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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey p joe pis Apia,

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Speaker 1: and this is VP NFL. It's time to look to

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Speaker 1: the props. Because we've been talking about these games all

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Speaker 1: week long. Let's get a little micromanagy. Let's start to

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Speaker 1: dig into the individuals, not just the games themselves. Sometimes

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Speaker 1: we get two wrapped up because they only have four games.

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Speaker 1: We talk about them too much. Let's find other ways

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Speaker 1: to make money besides betting on the lines and the

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Speaker 1: spreads and all that good stuff. And to help us

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Speaker 1: do it, the Welsh, the ericson, the Undertaker himself, and

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Speaker 1: we're going to go through our touchdown calls. We're going

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Speaker 1: to go through our favorite props for these games. Welsh,

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Speaker 1: I know you've been digging all week for the props.

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Speaker 1: You're ready to go. Last week you got a touchdown

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Speaker 1: call right and you and ericson both three and two

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Speaker 1: on the prop. So a good week overall. I would say,

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Speaker 1: are you pleased with the wildcard round in retrospect?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: Pretty much. I mean, as I saw in the prediction show,

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Speaker 3: I told ericson if I only followed the bets that

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Speaker 3: I did on this show, I would be a wildly

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Speaker 3: sick that'sful gambler. I would be really good if I

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Speaker 3: only did what I said on this show. I've pulled

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Speaker 3: out four in one weeks. I have exponentially, I believe

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Speaker 3: more over five hundred on this show the whole season.

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Speaker 3: But that's not the case because I get all get

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Speaker 3: in my oh look at these games.

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Speaker 1: I got a first touch, I.

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Speaker 3: Got it, and I just it doesn't quite work like

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Speaker 3: that last weeks.

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Speaker 1: A little bit of a bloodbath.

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Speaker 3: You gottual be disciplined. I plus money, touchdown, call lad McConkey,

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Speaker 3: thank you. Three and two on the props would be good.

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Speaker 3: I lack discipline there lots of it.

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Speaker 4: Just gotta shut down the computer, walk out.

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Speaker 2: And in your case, I touched the grass, but you

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Speaker 2: but you touched the sand right in Arizona.

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Speaker 4: You can get out there. No grass, just sand.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. You know many DFS lineups I've ruined the last

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Speaker 1: couple of years by making changes in the last two

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Speaker 1: I am. It's so bad that I used to put

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Speaker 1: a little post it note on my computer and it said, hey, moron,

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Speaker 1: leave your lineups alone. And I still sometimes would go

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Speaker 1: in there and muck with him on the worst.

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Speaker 4: You just cover it as you're changing.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's like sh you don't us know about it.

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Speaker 1: It's all right. We're gonna get into the props here

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Speaker 1: before we do. A quick reminder make sure you join

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Speaker 1: us right here on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Scott BigMan,

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Speaker 1: Joe Pizza Via in game live betting the Chiefs Texans

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Speaker 1: first half, four fifteen Eastern time. That's right, we're contractually

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Speaker 1: obligated to every singles Texans game. Hopefully this is the

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Speaker 1: end for the Texans, because I don't know.

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Speaker 3: You guys are pretty good too. Last week too, I

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Speaker 3: believe we were in game betting.

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Speaker 1: We were very strong. We had the overs on a Conky,

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Speaker 1: we had the overs on Herbert. We had a lot

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Speaker 1: of good stuff in there. Unfortunately, we were a little

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Speaker 1: wrong about the game itself, but things got a little

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Speaker 1: wack to do in that one. Hopefully we'll be just

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Speaker 1: as good this week. Join us, make us your second

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Speaker 1: screen experience again. Ring the belt to the gestetting, Subscribe

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Speaker 1: to the channel, be with us, hang out with us.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna be way more fun to listen to, and

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Speaker 1: we're gonna be betting the game, and that's how you're

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Speaker 1: watching it anyway, So you might as well hang out

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Speaker 1: with us, and you could turn down. I assume it's

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Speaker 1: Tony Romo and Jim Nantz right, turn those guys down,

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Speaker 1: hang out with us. I don't know about that over Jim,

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 3: Oh God, that's why he's a professional, Joe, That's why

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Speaker 3: he has the job.

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Speaker 1: He doesn't die, he's a professional. Why does he make

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Speaker 1: up words like especially especially, He's not a word, Tony especially,

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Speaker 1: He's not a word. Now, the everyone I've said it,

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Speaker 1: you're always gonna hear it for the rest of your lives. Everybody,

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Speaker 1: I've ruined it for you. All right, let's get to

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Speaker 1: Welsh's first pick. First game, Chiefs Texans, Welsh, what do

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Speaker 1: you have?

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Speaker 3: Let's roll with it. DeAndre Hopkins receiving yards over. I

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Speaker 3: love this one. This might have even moved up a

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Speaker 3: yard so far when I took it earlier in the week.

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Speaker 3: It's at twenty eight and a half. Anything under thirty

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Speaker 3: is in play. He has hit this twenty eight and

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Speaker 3: a half in nine of his last ten games. He

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Speaker 3: hit this in their last matchup. Texans are also giving

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Speaker 3: up the twelfth most receiving yards to wideouts on the year.

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Speaker 3: You got a revenge narrative. But at the end of

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Speaker 3: the day, because obviously, like the Chiefs are gonna slang

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Speaker 3: the ball to a lot of different targets. Mahomes always

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Speaker 3: does that. Don't be surprised when Watson has a catch

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Speaker 3: and you're like, Juju's still in the league, like that

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Speaker 3: type of stuff. But DeAndre Hopkins, he's getting those targets,

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Speaker 3: he's getting red zone targets, and it's just such a

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Speaker 3: low number. He's been crushing this. You're in a spot

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Speaker 3: where you're also going to be throwing more against the

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Speaker 3: Texans than you are going to be running. You've got

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Speaker 3: revenge narrative. Even if I didn't have all these other

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Speaker 3: things in play, it's just such a low total. I

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Speaker 3: think if you're worthy's in play here. But under thirty

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Speaker 3: for DeAndre Hopkins. I already told you he's been smashing this,

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Speaker 3: So I really like this one. Twenty eight and a

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Speaker 3: half over.

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Speaker 1: All, Right, Andrew Erickson, you're the undertaker for a reason,

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Speaker 1: so start things off right here for this divisional.

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Speaker 2: Round, cream Hunt under thirty four and a half rushing yards.

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Speaker 2: I think that this is going to be a shift

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Speaker 2: in the backfield with Isaiah Pacheco kind of taking on

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Speaker 2: a larger role, and I think it's going to come

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Speaker 2: at the expense of Cream Hunt. And we know all

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Speaker 2: year long, Cream Hunt has not been this explosive running

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Speaker 2: back at any capacity. He has been just churning out

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Speaker 2: three yards to carry all year long, while Pachecko has

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Speaker 2: been on the shelf.

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Speaker 4: But with Pacheco back, I don't.

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Speaker 2: Expect Hunt to get nearly enough volume to get him

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Speaker 2: to thirty four and half rushing yards. So the last

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Speaker 2: time that they faced the Texans, he did get to

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Speaker 2: fifty five rushing yards on eleven carries. Twenty of those

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Speaker 2: yards came on the very last rush attempt where the

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Speaker 2: Texans over pursued with ten guys in the box and

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Speaker 2: Cream Hunt had to slide on the play. It was

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Speaker 2: his one run this year where he's rush for more

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Speaker 2: than twenty yards. He's done it one time all season long.

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Speaker 2: So if he's gonna be taking a step back, I

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Speaker 2: just don't expect him to see a to get to

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Speaker 2: hit this number. I mean, even last week, the Chargers

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Speaker 2: couldn't run the football.

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Speaker 4: I mean JK.

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Speaker 2: Dobbins was held to two point nine yards per ca

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Speaker 2: or twenty six yards on nine carries. So I just

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Speaker 2: don't think Hunt, with the lack of explosiveness, I don't

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Speaker 2: think he's able to get to thirty four and a

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Speaker 2: half rushing yards again Pacheco In the same matchup, when

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Speaker 2: Pacheco was operating with cream Hunt, I mean he was

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Speaker 2: held to under thirty rushing yards. So I like the

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Speaker 2: Auderharo Cream Hunt.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's shift gears here. Commander's coming off a

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Speaker 1: huge playoff victory on the road against the Buccaneers. The

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Speaker 1: Lion's kicking back, hanging out waiting for their opponent and

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Speaker 1: getting healthy too. David Montgomery's gonna be back in this game,

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Speaker 1: and it's gonna be a whole lot of running because

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Speaker 1: the Commanders have a whole lot of problems stopping the run.

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Speaker 1: So welch, as you've looked through all the different props

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Speaker 1: that are out there, where do you want to go

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Speaker 1: for Commander's Lions?

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Speaker 3: This one's gonna be a little gross, But you remember

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Speaker 3: last week, we might come back to this here shortly.

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Speaker 3: I tied in the Jaden Daniels, who was one of

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Speaker 3: my absolute favorite bets last week twenty two and a half,

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Speaker 3: twenty one and a half over completions crushed, it got

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Speaker 3: to twenty four and he has been spreading the ball out. Obviously,

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Speaker 3: Terry McLaurin is the big play here. So what is

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Speaker 3: ugly about this? Because we're betting on Diami Brown, that

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Speaker 3: is where we're going to go. But again, like DeAndre Hopkins,

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Speaker 3: this is another low number at twenty eight and a half.

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Speaker 3: Diami has hit this in four of his last five games,

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Speaker 3: this last matchup. This total, by the way, this last

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Speaker 3: matchup five targets. In that game, he had five catches

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Speaker 3: in eighty nine yards, which I really like. You can

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Speaker 3: also pass on the Lions right now, the Lions in

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Speaker 3: general as far as everything you know, we've talked about

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Speaker 3: all season. You know, they're the third most receiving yards

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Speaker 3: given up over the last month. I like this setup

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Speaker 3: projections around thirty two on PFF for Diamie Brown. So

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Speaker 3: there's like, you know, there's not like a ton of

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Speaker 3: wiggle room. But I think defensively you're going to have

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Speaker 3: Terry McLaurin getting the most eyes, and we have seen

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Speaker 3: Jayden Daniels does not force the ball in one direction.

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Speaker 3: It's not Cooper Rush and the Cowboys where it's just

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Speaker 3: you know, close your eyes, throw it to CD and

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Speaker 3: you know, just pray is he's going to move the

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Speaker 3: ball around accordingly. Yes it's Eckler, Yes that's Ertz. But

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Speaker 3: with twenty eight point five Dimi Brown might get this

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Speaker 3: in one catch. So I really like this set up

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Speaker 3: on a low number. It's the probably ugliest of the

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Speaker 3: bets that I've got here this week, but that is

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Speaker 3: number two, and we will go back to the Commander's

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Speaker 3: here in just a little bit.

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Speaker 1: For me as well, I'm not going to mention this

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Speaker 1: in the touchdowns, so I'm just gonna mention it now.

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Speaker 1: David Montgomery plus five hundred for the first touchdown score.

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Speaker 1: I love that. Get David Montgomery at the goal line

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Speaker 1: that first drive. You imagine that first drive is probably

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Speaker 1: a good one for the Commanders. There's a big number there.

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Speaker 1: You know, everybody's oh, David Montgomery's back. I feel that moment.

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Speaker 1: I can just I want it in my vein. I

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Speaker 1: want it all right. Andrew Erics and a lot of

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Speaker 1: people are going to be going to aman Rossaint Brown,

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Speaker 1: but you have another wide receiver in Detroit. In mind,

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Speaker 1: this weekend.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Jamison Williams over three and a half reception, so

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Speaker 2: he has at least five receptions and six of his

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Speaker 2: last seven games seven plus targets in each of those contests.

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Speaker 2: So this number actually opened up at four and a

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Speaker 2: half receptions earlier at plus money, and now it's been

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Speaker 2: changed to three and a half receptions would be over

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Speaker 2: a little bit more juicy. So I've reflected on this

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Speaker 2: one a lot because of the David Montgomery factor, and

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Speaker 2: that does actually kind of play a role in if

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Speaker 2: they are running the ball more than that is less

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Speaker 2: volume you could potentially see coming jameson Williams way. So

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Speaker 2: do I regret being aggressive on it at four and

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Speaker 2: a half receptions? Maybe a tad bit, but I still

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Speaker 2: like it over at three and a half. But again,

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Speaker 2: at this point in time, after I've done more research,

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Speaker 2: I think I would just want the three and a half.

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Speaker 2: I wouldn't be over aggressive with the foreign hatch, just

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Speaker 2: because you can't just completely ignore Dave Montgomery. You know,

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Speaker 2: if they are running the ball on a very beatable

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Speaker 2: run defense, then Jamison Williams receptions becomes a potential issue

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Speaker 2: based on volume. When I put this in the sheet,

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Speaker 2: I was just thinking about, Oh, I know that these

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Speaker 2: guys are coming out. They're gonna hound me think, well, Erickson,

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Speaker 2: watch taking the receiving yards. You think JMO's good, right,

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Speaker 2: And I'm like, you know what, they're probably right. So

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Speaker 2: I think when we looking at the receiving yards too,

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Speaker 2: as another way to hedge potentially my over on the

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Speaker 2: four and a half.

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Speaker 4: But I do like you over on the three and

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Speaker 4: a half.

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Speaker 1: I think it's all the Gibbs, all of Montgomery in

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Speaker 1: this game.

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Speaker 2: I do.

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Speaker 1: I just think they're gonna lead on the running backs.

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Speaker 1: They've been so good. Gibbs has been awesome. Now I

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Speaker 1: know gives his totals have gone up when Montgomery was out,

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Speaker 1: but I think there's enough for everybody in this one,

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Speaker 1: and I do think they'll have a lead, which is

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Speaker 1: also good for those totals. Now, Look, it's tough to

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Speaker 1: do a show where we don't talk about Jay and

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Speaker 1: Daniels if we have the opportunity, So both the guys

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Speaker 1: have ways to approach him this weekend. Let's start with

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Speaker 1: you Welsh, and you're looking at that completion number, which

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Speaker 1: is twenty two and a half. If the game script

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Speaker 1: is you know they're playing catch up. You would imagine

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Speaker 1: this would be an over Yeah.

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Speaker 3: And this is exactly that I had last week, and

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Speaker 3: I'm running it right back. And guess what, he smashed

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Speaker 3: it again. He is now if you don't count the

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Speaker 3: final regular season game where you know, he came in

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Speaker 3: for a little bit and left, if we don't count that.

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Speaker 3: Not trying to cherry pick, but he didn't play the

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Speaker 3: whole game. He has hit this completion yard marker in

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Speaker 3: six straight games. In fact, he has had twenty four

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Speaker 3: completions in six straight games, which is crazy. Two of

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Speaker 3: those last three games, by the way they've the Lions

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Speaker 3: have given up twenty six or more completions as well.

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Speaker 3: The last one Darnold obviously was a mess, but forty

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Speaker 3: pass attempts. On the season, the Lions are giving up

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Speaker 3: the twelfth most completions, but over the last month, the

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Speaker 3: third most completions. And that was a big play for

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Speaker 3: last week's against the Bucks. They were giving up the

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Speaker 3: most completions in the NFL over the last month. Well,

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Speaker 3: guess and over the season, and guess what Lions are

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Speaker 3: last month their third And then you talk about the

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Speaker 3: script of the game. I do expect Washington to be

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Speaker 3: playing from behind, and that is going to put Jayden

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Speaker 3: Daniels throwing the ball. He's been massively efficient. You know,

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Speaker 3: I talk about the Diamie Brown thing, But the other

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Speaker 3: thing this team has going for them is you've got

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Speaker 3: Zach Ertz down the middle. You've got Austin Eckler on

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Speaker 3: the short, You've got Terry mccauch. He's got options. He's

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Speaker 3: making it happen. And if they're playing from behind for

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Speaker 3: the majority of the game, it's gonna be one with

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Speaker 3: his legs and it's gonna be done with completions. And

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Speaker 3: unless scheme wise, they do what they did with Sam

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Speaker 3: Donald and they're in his face, he gets no passes

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Speaker 3: off and he's gonna throw thirty five plus pass attempts.

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Speaker 3: So I think the pass attempt marker was thirty four

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Speaker 3: to thirty five right now. Unless you know they completely

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Speaker 3: Sam darnald him, he's gonna smash this one. So I'm

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Speaker 3: running it right back again. I need twenty three completions.

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Speaker 3: He smashed this in six straight games. They're gonna be

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Speaker 3: playing from behind against a team that you can throw against. Yes,

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Speaker 3: of course I love this pass completions. Jayden Daniels twenty

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Speaker 3: two point five over.

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Speaker 1: I like that you made Sam Donald a verb that

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Speaker 1: was fun. Jayden Daniels, what about from a rushing standpoint,

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Speaker 1: where do you want to go there?

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Speaker 2: Errickson, I'm taking the over over fifty three and a

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Speaker 2: half rushing yard. I think that he's going to be

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Speaker 2: I think he's going to be running a lot in

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Speaker 2: this game. I think that it's because you look at

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Speaker 2: the lines. Defensively, we're they do more than any other.

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Speaker 2: They play a lot of man coverage, right, and what

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Speaker 2: happens defensive backs are turned and the quarterbacks is gonna run.

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Speaker 4: Look.

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Speaker 2: I love like the Diamie Brown's elemens A Kias's zach ertzz.

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Speaker 2: But I think Daniels is gonna have to make all

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Speaker 2: the plays on his own this week. I just think

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Speaker 2: that that's going to be the game script. You look

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Speaker 2: at the quarterback or the what the lines have given

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Speaker 2: up to quarterbacks rushing. They've lot the fourth most rushing

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Speaker 2: yards quarterbacks this season against, specifically against scrambles on early downs,

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Speaker 2: third most rushing yards, fourth highest conversion rate. I think

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Speaker 2: that Daniels isn't going to take any risks trying to

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Speaker 2: throw the ball necessarily to some of these other receivers

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Speaker 2: and be like I'm gonna make plays with my legs,

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Speaker 2: like I'm the reason we're here, Like let's be honest.

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Speaker 2: So I think he's gonna be doing and calling his

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Speaker 2: number a lot. I think he's gonna be doing a

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Speaker 2: ton of scrambling in this matchup. That's actually why I

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Speaker 2: think that he's like a low key under the radar

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Speaker 2: guy to score, because I think that he might just

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Speaker 2: call his own number and not mess around with Oh

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Speaker 2: it's hand the BA off to Brian Robinson so we

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Speaker 2: can get stuff for a negative five yard loss. So

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Speaker 2: I like Daniels a lot again, especially because he didn't

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Speaker 2: go over lashed last week his rushing yards prop even

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Speaker 2: though we had thirteen carries. I mean, he's been over

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Speaker 2: sixty rushing yards and three of his last four full starts,

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Speaker 2: so he's been I know you said, like this number

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Speaker 2: is high, but he's been going over this number pretty consistently,

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Speaker 2: and I think the matchup calls for him to just

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Speaker 2: be scrambling. I think he's gonna have over fifteen rushing

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Speaker 2: attempts in this game, so I think it'll be over

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Speaker 2: fifty three and a half rushing yards.

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Speaker 1: Now, remember we're all using the prop bet cheat sheet here,

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Speaker 1: and so should you go to Bettingpros dot com slash

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Speaker 1: props and use the prop bet cheat sheet because it

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Speaker 1: gives you the best projections with the lines and then

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Speaker 1: where to bet them with the best value. They call

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Speaker 1: it a cheat sheet for a reason, folks, So cheat

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Speaker 1: with us and use the prof bet cheat sheet, and

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Speaker 1: hopefully Welsh will keep his discipline and just use the

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet and not at the last minute

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Speaker 1: go off of it on his own, and you get

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Speaker 1: tailored recommendations and track winning trends as well. So once again,

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Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app, use the prop bet cheat sheet,

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Speaker 1: or just go to Betting pros dot com slash props today, Welsh,

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Speaker 1: I'm so glad you finally are bringing up Derrick Henry

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Speaker 1: because I've been waiting for somebody to talk about him.

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Speaker 1: I'm on the rushing over with the touchdown. That pairing

336
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Speaker 1: there get you the plus money. He has gone over

337
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Speaker 1: the ninety six and a half mark four of his

338
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Speaker 1: last four games. He has been an absolute monster. But

339
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Speaker 1: you're taking a different approach. You're not taking yards, you're

340
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Speaker 1: taking attempts let's talk about the.

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Speaker 3: Why that was my favorite. So last week Jaden Daniels,

342
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Speaker 3: you know, and the completions was my favorite. This is

343
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Speaker 3: my absolute favorite rushing attempts. It's still sitting at this number.

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Speaker 3: Nineteen point five. Tiny bitted juice is kind of flown

345
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Speaker 3: around there, but nineteen point five. I am going clearly

346
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Speaker 3: with the over on Derrick Henry his rushing yard prop

347
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Speaker 3: by the way, so this is an interesting element of

348
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Speaker 3: it is implied round one ten. That's what the last

349
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Speaker 3: number I saw was one big those big like end

350
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Speaker 3: of season Saquon numbers. Well, he has had you're mentioning

351
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Speaker 3: going over one hundred. He's had one hundred and twenty

352
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Speaker 3: yards in four straight games. And check this out. Anytime

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Speaker 3: he has had twenty carries this season, he has gone

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Speaker 3: over one hundred yards. Only one game this season he

355
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Speaker 3: went over one hundred without twenty carries. But if he

356
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Speaker 3: has twenty carries, he has one hundred yards. Let's go

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Speaker 3: back to it. What again, Yes, they are implying he's

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Speaker 3: going well over one hundred yards. So I'm going to

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Speaker 3: take that Vegas rule and I'm going to go over

360
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Speaker 3: those rush attempts. By the way, we'd also point out

361
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Speaker 3: the last matchup against the Bills, he went for one

362
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Speaker 3: hundred and ninety nine on twenty four carries. I think

363
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Speaker 3: it was twenty four carries, So this has happened before.

364
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Speaker 3: They're going to lean on Derrick Henry. He continuously smashes

365
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Speaker 3: and under twenty earths. Essentially it's at twenty carries. I

366
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Speaker 3: would probably be honest, I'd play this at like twenty

367
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Speaker 3: one point five over, but this is the number I

368
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Speaker 3: like to make it like my favorite of the week,

369
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Speaker 3: So Rush attempts over Dereck Henry nineteen point five.

370
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Speaker 1: All right, last week we were on the under for

371
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Speaker 1: Cooper Cup, and looks like that trend is pretty strong.

372
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Speaker 1: Thirty nine and a half is the new number this week.

373
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Speaker 1: It keeps getting lower every week, and it keeps going

374
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Speaker 1: under it every week. So with that secondary being as

375
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Speaker 1: good as it is in Philadelphia, this feels like another

376
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Speaker 1: under to me, Andrew.

377
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Speaker 2: Yep, I'm taking the under a Cooper Cup under four

378
00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:54,120
Speaker 2: and a half reception, so he has five receptions in

379
00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:58,920
Speaker 2: his last four games total, five in his last four games.

380
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Speaker 2: This is just one game, and we're talking about here

381
00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,080
Speaker 2: that he has to finish with less than five catches

382
00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:05,840
Speaker 2: or under four and a half receptions. So look like

383
00:16:05,880 --> 00:16:08,000
Speaker 2: you said, he's just been a ghost, like he really

384
00:16:08,040 --> 00:16:10,080
Speaker 2: has not been involved in the offense. And even last

385
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Speaker 2: week in the wildcard round, it was Tyler Higby that

386
00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:15,320
Speaker 2: was Matthew Stafford's outlet if it wasn't Pooka Nakua.

387
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Speaker 4: So I'm not exactly sure why this is the case.

388
00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:20,960
Speaker 2: Maybe it's this Cup, is he's washed, he's injured, I

389
00:16:21,000 --> 00:16:22,720
Speaker 2: don't know, but they're not involving him in the offense.

390
00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:25,280
Speaker 2: And with Tyler Higby healthy, Trum mcgazays is going to play,

391
00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:26,520
Speaker 2: I would expet we're going to see more of the

392
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Speaker 2: same against this really tough Philadelphia Eagles secondary. So we've

393
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Speaker 2: already seen this matchup play out earlier this year. Cupp

394
00:16:32,680 --> 00:16:35,480
Speaker 2: did have a more productive game eight for eleven sixty

395
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Speaker 2: yards and a touchdown, but a lot of the production

396
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Speaker 2: came in the fourth quarter. He would have been a bust.

397
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Speaker 2: I mean, he would have finished with seven catches for

398
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Speaker 2: thirty three yards. So I'm just going continue to fade

399
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Speaker 2: Cooper Cup and again this matchup. Also, he's going to

400
00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:50,840
Speaker 2: be paired against Cooper Degen, So it's like Cooper on Cooper.

401
00:16:50,600 --> 00:16:55,520
Speaker 4: Matchups one of the best. So Cooper de Gen has been.

402
00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:58,000
Speaker 2: One of the best rookie cornerbacks, safeties wherever you want

403
00:16:58,040 --> 00:17:00,840
Speaker 2: to classify him this year. And he did a really

404
00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:03,840
Speaker 2: good job covering Cooper Cup when they played earlier. He

405
00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:07,760
Speaker 2: laid three catches for eleven yards when they were matched up,

406
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Speaker 2: and coverage in the first matchup. So I think the

407
00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:14,200
Speaker 2: RAMS recipe for success is Pooka, Tyler Higbee and Kien Williams,

408
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Speaker 2: and I don't think Cooper Cups can be nearly involved.

409
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Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the under four and a half receptions, all.

410
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Speaker 1: Right, one more for each of the guys and Welsh

411
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Speaker 1: You've got a combo here with your last one. Let's

412
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Speaker 1: talk about this. This sounds sexy.

413
00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:25,119
Speaker 3: Now we're gonna put a parlay together.

414
00:17:25,280 --> 00:17:25,560
Speaker 1: Frank.

415
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Speaker 3: The Jamison Williams reception, I think would imply in this

416
00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:31,840
Speaker 3: there's some great reception yard props. I like it's funny

417
00:17:31,880 --> 00:17:34,080
Speaker 3: Ericson brought up earlier like I'm not gonna yell at

418
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Speaker 3: you about receptions. I'm the one that gets yelled at

419
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Speaker 3: for doing reception a lot. So I like reception markers.

420
00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:40,840
Speaker 3: A lot of them were juiced, and there's some big

421
00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:43,240
Speaker 3: juice on them. So a couple of these individually were

422
00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:45,320
Speaker 3: a little bit tough. So I found a couple of

423
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Speaker 3: my favorites. I put two together, and so we have

424
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Speaker 3: a little reception parlay. We're going Xavier Worthy over four

425
00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:56,520
Speaker 3: point five receptions, so five receptions, Justice Hill over two

426
00:17:56,560 --> 00:17:59,520
Speaker 3: point five. On the Worthy side, he has five straight

427
00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:03,119
Speaker 3: games of five or more receptions. He's also had nine

428
00:18:03,240 --> 00:18:06,200
Speaker 3: targets or more in his last three games, each of

429
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Speaker 3: those last three games. On the Hill side, Hill has

430
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Speaker 3: three of his last four games caught four or more passes.

431
00:18:14,359 --> 00:18:17,200
Speaker 3: By the way, the Bills are averaging five receptions given

432
00:18:17,240 --> 00:18:19,240
Speaker 3: up to running backs on the year. That is his

433
00:18:19,520 --> 00:18:23,280
Speaker 3: role on the receiving side, and on both of these.

434
00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:25,840
Speaker 3: You know, Worthy in general has also run a lot

435
00:18:25,840 --> 00:18:27,720
Speaker 3: of short stuff. It's not like he is this big

436
00:18:27,760 --> 00:18:30,200
Speaker 3: play option. They love to run those screens. Get him

437
00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:33,359
Speaker 3: into open field, just let his legs go. They're going

438
00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:36,160
Speaker 3: to keep throwing those underpasses. And that's the exact same

439
00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:38,760
Speaker 3: role that Justice Hill plays. And obviously the receiving game

440
00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:40,960
Speaker 3: is a little bit in question. So I love both

441
00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:43,360
Speaker 3: of these. I paired these together. You get them right

442
00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:46,680
Speaker 3: around plus one seventy five for Justice Hill two point

443
00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:49,879
Speaker 3: five receptions and Xavier Worthy four point five paired together.

444
00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:52,800
Speaker 1: Right, the game script may or may not go the

445
00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:55,359
Speaker 1: way for the Buffalo Bills. Plus the Baltimore Ravens are

446
00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:57,560
Speaker 1: really good upfront. That can be a long day at

447
00:18:57,600 --> 00:18:59,600
Speaker 1: the office for James Coke. The numbers fifty five and

448
00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:02,000
Speaker 1: a half undertaker take us away.

449
00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:05,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, two running backs this season have had over fifty

450
00:19:05,560 --> 00:19:08,360
Speaker 2: five and a half rushing yards against the Ravens run defense,

451
00:19:08,520 --> 00:19:11,280
Speaker 2: Sayqwe Barkley and Najee Harris, And he played the Ravens

452
00:19:11,320 --> 00:19:14,160
Speaker 2: three times and he got over that number one time.

453
00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:16,919
Speaker 2: So James Cook, I don't think this is going to

454
00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:19,680
Speaker 2: be an effective running attack for the Buffalo Bills. Again,

455
00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:22,040
Speaker 2: the Ravens defense is really tough to run on. And

456
00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:23,920
Speaker 2: James Cook has been very boom or bust this year,

457
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,840
Speaker 2: Like He's had massive games where he's scoring three plus touchdowns,

458
00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:28,840
Speaker 2: one hundred rushing yards, and then he has other games

459
00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:31,840
Speaker 2: where he's nowhere near fifty rushing yards and he's kind

460
00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:34,639
Speaker 2: of game scripted out. So this just doesn't seem to

461
00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:36,840
Speaker 2: me like a James Cook game. This seems more like

462
00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:38,520
Speaker 2: a hey, Josh Allens is going to make a million

463
00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:41,000
Speaker 2: plays with his you know, Hodgepodge of receivers and we'll

464
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:43,679
Speaker 2: see who steps up. So I like the under und.

465
00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:45,200
Speaker 2: This is probably one of my favorites. That's why it's

466
00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:47,400
Speaker 2: my number one James Cook under. Of course it's an under,

467
00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:49,840
Speaker 2: so under on the fifty five and a half rushing yards.

468
00:19:49,560 --> 00:19:51,959
Speaker 1: Caste on brand. All right, let's get to the touchdowns here,

469
00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:54,720
Speaker 1: and remember the Touchdown Score Report is available at bettingpros

470
00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:57,520
Speaker 1: dot com slash touchdown. If you're looking for an edge

471
00:19:57,520 --> 00:19:59,680
Speaker 1: and touchdown bets, and I know you are, Our Touchdown

472
00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:03,639
Speaker 1: Score Report compares anytime touchdown stats to prop bets, the odds,

473
00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:07,080
Speaker 1: and projections to help identify the very best anytime touchdown

474
00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:09,919
Speaker 1: bets you'll find. Head over to bettingpros dot com slash

475
00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:13,439
Speaker 1: touchdown for the latest touchdown prop analysis today. I'll go

476
00:20:13,520 --> 00:20:16,440
Speaker 1: first year, keeping this simple, all right. I already told

477
00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:18,560
Speaker 1: you I want to bet Derek Henry plus five hundred

478
00:20:18,600 --> 00:20:19,800
Speaker 1: on the first one. I already told you I want

479
00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:23,560
Speaker 1: to take an excuse me, David Montgomery on the plus

480
00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:25,040
Speaker 1: five hundred in the first one. I want to bet

481
00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:27,919
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry with a touchdown and the over on his yardage.

482
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,000
Speaker 1: But I also want to bet these two, which is

483
00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,480
Speaker 1: Nico Collins plus one eighty. Nico has been the guy

484
00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:35,280
Speaker 1: for CJ Strout all season long. He's the go to.

485
00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:38,160
Speaker 1: Nico will have his moment. I think the Texans will

486
00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:40,359
Speaker 1: fall short, but plus one eighty is a really good number.

487
00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:43,960
Speaker 1: And then the next one Mark Andrews plus one sixty five. Well,

488
00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:46,960
Speaker 1: let's talk about Mark Andrews. The man who has forgotten

489
00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:50,040
Speaker 1: mid season has become basically a touchdown machine. He has

490
00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:52,320
Speaker 1: scored a touchdown in Week twelve, in Week thirteen, in

491
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:55,359
Speaker 1: week fifteen when he played again, Week sixteen, seventeen, and

492
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,840
Speaker 1: eighteen nine. Didn't score last week. That's fine. They ran

493
00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,160
Speaker 1: the football pretty much. I don't know every single play,

494
00:21:01,400 --> 00:21:02,719
Speaker 1: so in this one I look for him to get

495
00:21:02,760 --> 00:21:04,440
Speaker 1: back up on track and it's a good number. Plus

496
00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:06,240
Speaker 1: one sixty five. Welsh, where are you going for your

497
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,240
Speaker 1: touchdown calls for this weekend?

498
00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:10,360
Speaker 3: Now? We actually talked about one of them that we're

499
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:12,159
Speaker 3: going to jump into. But first up, it's going to

500
00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:15,720
Speaker 3: be Aj Brown. Oh Aj Brown. Anytime touchdown is around

501
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:18,240
Speaker 3: one and a half. He's had touchdowns in three of

502
00:21:18,280 --> 00:21:21,720
Speaker 3: his last four games. Last matchup against a Rams six

503
00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:26,280
Speaker 3: catches on seven targets with a score. So AJ Brown

504
00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:28,000
Speaker 3: at one and a half. And you guys mentioned for

505
00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:30,760
Speaker 3: Jayden Daniels, I again, I think there's completions in there.

506
00:21:30,760 --> 00:21:33,040
Speaker 3: I think he is doing everything here and that is

507
00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:36,440
Speaker 3: plus one forty five maybe one fifty shop round. Look,

508
00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:39,800
Speaker 3: Lions have given up four rushing touchdowns over the last

509
00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:44,159
Speaker 3: four weeks. Interestingly enough, though, it was multi touchdowns in

510
00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:48,080
Speaker 3: two games and it was Josh Allen brock Purty. Jane

511
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:51,520
Speaker 3: Daniels is much more aggressive runner, maybe on the Josh

512
00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:55,440
Speaker 3: Allen side. So with exactly where Erickson was talking about,

513
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:58,480
Speaker 3: with Jade Daniels putting the game into his hands and feet,

514
00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:01,639
Speaker 3: anytime touchdown for Jade Annels and AJ Brown for me?

515
00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:04,840
Speaker 1: All right, Andrew Erickson, I know yesterday we were talking

516
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:08,240
Speaker 1: more about, you know, the Kareem hunt changing that backfield.

517
00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:11,080
Speaker 1: You brought it up today again. So with that being said,

518
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:12,560
Speaker 1: is it, Isaiah Pacheco time.

519
00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:14,720
Speaker 4: To check yourself before you wreck yourself?

520
00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:20,520
Speaker 2: Isaiah Pachecko anytime touchdown plus one sixty look, trusting the

521
00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:23,520
Speaker 2: process here, starting running back for the home team. Favored

522
00:22:23,520 --> 00:22:25,600
Speaker 2: by eight and a half points should not be listed

523
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:27,920
Speaker 2: at plus money to score a touchdown in my opinion,

524
00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:30,960
Speaker 2: so I'm taking it plus one sixty Pacheco to score

525
00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:33,680
Speaker 2: his first touchdown since Week one. He has scored four

526
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:36,200
Speaker 2: of his last five postseason games. He should be healthy,

527
00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:37,960
Speaker 2: so I think he's gonna find the end zone. And

528
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:42,000
Speaker 2: then my other one is I'm actually disagreeing with you, Joe.

529
00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:44,640
Speaker 2: I think it's going to be Isaiah Likely that scores.

530
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,080
Speaker 2: I like his odds more hits plus four hundred. He's

531
00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:49,080
Speaker 2: gonna play just as much as Mark Andrews because I

532
00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 2: don't think we're gonna Seezight Flowers, so they're going to

533
00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:53,800
Speaker 2: use the two tight ends. And when you look at

534
00:22:54,040 --> 00:22:58,040
Speaker 2: Mark Andrews against Buffalo five games, zero touchdowns, he has

535
00:22:58,080 --> 00:23:00,400
Speaker 2: never scored against the Buffalo bill So I think they're

536
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:02,080
Speaker 2: going to hone in on him on the red zone,

537
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:03,720
Speaker 2: like you said, because he's been the red zone guy,

538
00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:06,040
Speaker 2: but likely has had red zone moments as well. So

539
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,680
Speaker 2: I like Likely at longer odds to be the guy

540
00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:10,200
Speaker 2: for the Raves that scores.

541
00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:14,200
Speaker 1: To she Andrew, Erickson, Toche. So on that note, those

542
00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:16,080
Speaker 1: are the props. That's what we're looking at. And make

543
00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:20,200
Speaker 1: sure you join us live Chiefs Texans four fifteen Saturday

544
00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:22,960
Speaker 1: right here on Betting Pros. Don't forget to click the

545
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:26,480
Speaker 1: belt it goes ding, so you don't miss the opening

546
00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:28,040
Speaker 1: of the show. We're gonna be going through the whole

547
00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:30,680
Speaker 1: first half, just like last week. It was so much fun.

548
00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:33,280
Speaker 1: We hung out with everybody, we were sweating with everybody,

549
00:23:33,520 --> 00:23:35,879
Speaker 1: we were making bets, having a good time and watching

550
00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:38,119
Speaker 1: football the way it was meant to be by betting

551
00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:40,159
Speaker 1: on it at the same time. So again, join us

552
00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:42,439
Speaker 1: Chiefs Texans right here on the Betting Pros YouTube channel.

553
00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:44,679
Speaker 1: Subscribe today and drop your comments below. Two. What are

554
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:47,320
Speaker 1: your favorite props for the divisional round? We love to

555
00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:49,479
Speaker 1: hear from all of you, So what are your picks?

556
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:51,879
Speaker 1: Drop him in there. Enjoy the football this weekend. I

557
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:53,840
Speaker 1: know we will. That'll do it for us, But the

558
00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:56,679
Speaker 1: story of the game goes on for the Undertaker and

559
00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:59,719
Speaker 1: the Welsh. I'm Joey p We'll see you next time, kids,

560
00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:05,840
Speaker 1: Isaiah likely Jerk.

561
00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:09,440
Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

562
00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:11,840
Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

563
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Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on.

564
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565
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:18,240
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566
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567
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