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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Wednesday morning

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: I'm with you every single morning. I'm your host of

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Speaker 1: this three hundred and sixty five day experiment experience known

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Speaker 1: as the Daily Juice Podcast. You guys can follow me

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Speaker 1: across all socials at sports Talk Matt in. This podcast

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by our friends at Olmaha steaks

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Speaker 1: dot com with their customized URL which is olmasteaks dot

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Speaker 1: com slash Juice. Subscriptions are available right now where you

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Speaker 1: guys can go and get free burgers for life, ten

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Speaker 1: percent off your first purchase, and always that one money

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Speaker 1: back guarantee at olmasteaks dot com slash Juice. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: if you bet everything yesterday, it was a winning day,

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Speaker 1: but it was not a winning day officially. That three

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Speaker 1: leg moneyline parlay which I forgot to put it on

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Speaker 1: the podcast. It was in the discord channel. I apologize.

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Speaker 1: We took four sorry, three four dollars favorites parlay them together,

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Speaker 1: got to even money and they all cashed. Luckily, the

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Speaker 1: Oilers won in overtime. That was the one big sweat

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Speaker 1: with them. Against Montreal. They blew a two nothing lead,

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Speaker 1: but we got that right. Easy win for the Kings

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Speaker 1: and an easy win for Nashville. So three leg money

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Speaker 1: line parlay that cashed. Georgia survived. Only way to describe that,

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Speaker 1: laying one and a half points. They won by two

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Speaker 1: last second shot by Xavier. They came all the way

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Speaker 1: back on Georgia. But Georgia did win the niit, so

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Speaker 1: we got that right. But the other two bets wrong

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Speaker 1: officially because Kansas State just couldn't keep it close. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they couldn't stop giving up open threes. It was weird,

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Speaker 1: which is defensively they were just asleep. But this is

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Speaker 1: the NIT, right, I mean. And then I don't know

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Speaker 1: what happened at the end of the game for Butler Man.

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Speaker 1: That was just a complete and total melt melt down

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Speaker 1: by Butler, and Minnesota wins on a free throw at

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Speaker 1: the end they advanced. Butler loses, so not good for

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Speaker 1: the Big East there at all to have that go down.

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Speaker 1: Zaber loses as well, so the Big East goes zho

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Speaker 1: and two in the NIT. I go one and two

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Speaker 1: overall in the NIT. But we get the parlay right,

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Speaker 1: and we got oh, the NSAA tournament. But we started

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Speaker 1: off one to zero in the dance because Colorado State

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Speaker 1: destroyed Virginia again, How did Virginia make the dance? How

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Speaker 1: did the committee with a straight face put that garbage

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Speaker 1: on national TV in a standalone game. I mean, that's

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Speaker 1: just garbage. It's unacceptable. I don't know how Saint John's

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Speaker 1: in Providence in Indiana State, I don't know how they

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Speaker 1: watched that game and didn't want to go throw up

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Speaker 1: in the bathroom, going you jerks, You did that, You

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Speaker 1: intentionally did that. You put that abomination in your bracket

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Speaker 1: over teams that were deserving, teams that would score more

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Speaker 1: than fourteen points and a half, teams that actually would

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Speaker 1: be able to score and make it somewhat entertaining. Congrats

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Speaker 1: to Colorado State. They played tremendous Nico MEDVEV, great coach,

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Speaker 1: huge win for them. They advanced. They're gonna beat Texas,

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Speaker 1: by the way, so watch for a play on that.

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Speaker 1: CSU will beat Texas. I don't understand people think Texas

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Speaker 1: is good. They're not. CSU is playing really well. But

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Speaker 1: that's just it's a frustration. So here's what's happening. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna give you two bets right at the top that

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Speaker 1: I cannot make official because well, i'll explain here a

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Speaker 1: second why I can't make them. I'm gonna have two

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Speaker 1: official plays and two unofficial plays. The unofficial plays had

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Speaker 1: been better than the official plays. One bet, there's no

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Speaker 1: way all of you are going to be able to

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Speaker 1: play it. Why it starts in a grand total of

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Speaker 1: five hours from right now. It's baseball, okay, Dodgers padres

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Speaker 1: our first baseball bet of the year. The other one

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Speaker 1: is a minus one ninety five bet, which I would

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Speaker 1: never in a million years come on here and recommend

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Speaker 1: a minus one ninety five bet. Okay, say, if it

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Speaker 1: goes down, you lose two units on it. Okay, but

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you about it. You can do what

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Speaker 1: you want with it, so be it right. Two official plays,

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Speaker 1: one in the n it in one in the NBA

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Speaker 1: that I'm gonna give you here in just one second.

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Speaker 1: But before we do anything, I have to tell you

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Speaker 1: about our friends at well. The bet. I don't know

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Speaker 1: what happened to that. Where did that got that got erased?

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Speaker 1: That's too bad. Hold on, I'll have to do that

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Speaker 1: on the fly. I'll have to be able to put

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Speaker 1: that picture up quickly for us to be able to

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Speaker 1: do that. Luckily, I can do that fast. If you

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Speaker 1: guys listening on audio, you have no idea what I

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Speaker 1: am what I am doing at the moment, but I am.

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Speaker 1: I am correcting this really fast so we can get

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Speaker 1: our graphic up in a proper space for you guys.

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Speaker 1: I apologize for that, but let's put that up and

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Speaker 1: there it is the bracket optimizer from Betting Pros. I

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Speaker 1: apologize for that. Not being ready to go got deleted

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Speaker 1: for some ridiculous reason. But let me tell you about

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Speaker 1: our bracket optimizer going on right now. Help you win

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Speaker 1: and build a winning bracket in seconds. Optimize your bracket

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Speaker 1: using trusted sources like kenpom BPI and the most accurate

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Speaker 1: matchups key info as well as you fill out your bracket,

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Speaker 1: get optimal upsets sleeper picks based on the sides of

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Speaker 1: visit bettingpros dot com slash bracket or download the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros app at Bettingpros dot com slash apps. All Right,

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Speaker 1: Baseball glass Now, Darvish Padres Dodgers total is five and

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Speaker 1: a half the Nurfe no runs in the first inning

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Speaker 1: minus one oh five. Now they're in Soul, South Korea.

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Speaker 1: This is a different country. Talk about the offense being

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Speaker 1: behind the pitching would be kind of an understatement, right,

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Speaker 1: Normally the offense gets off to a slow start. These

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Speaker 1: are two really good pitchers in glass Now and Darbish.

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Speaker 1: And the books are telling us that they're not expecting

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Speaker 1: a whole lot of offense in this game, because well

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Speaker 1: the total is five and a half only being minus

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Speaker 1: one zho five. Okay, this is one of those things.

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Speaker 1: Well actually sorry, it's eight and a half of those

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Speaker 1: five and a half. First five is five and a half.

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Speaker 1: It's eight and a half total for this game, though

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Speaker 1: it was five and a half. The five and a

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Speaker 1: half is the first five number. Look, you can bet.

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Speaker 1: I've seen peoples say take the over, but and I

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Speaker 1: get it. Keeping this Dodgers offense down is going to

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Speaker 1: be difficult to do. But it's just a personal play Okay,

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Speaker 1: I want to wake up to a green check mark.

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Speaker 1: I mean Glass now, darbish. Three outs apiece, that's all.

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Speaker 1: You need, Three outs apiece in the first inning, first outing,

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Speaker 1: foreign country. Who knows what this backdrop. It's a six

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Speaker 1: am start time on the East coast, okay, three am

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Speaker 1: on the West coast. Not making this official because there's

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Speaker 1: no way all of you guys get there, But I

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Speaker 1: am making a personal play on it. Nurfy, no run

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Speaker 1: in the first inning Dodgers and the Padres. This might

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Speaker 1: be the only time all year that I bet the

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Speaker 1: nurfy for the Dodgers. Okay, Dodgers offense is going to

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Speaker 1: be stacked crazy. You need three outs right at the top.

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Speaker 1: Not going to be easy to do here, But I

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Speaker 1: believe the Dodgers are the road team here, so they

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Speaker 1: will bet first and you'll get Shohotani up in the

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Speaker 1: first inning. Need to get him out. Might be the

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Speaker 1: only time to get him out. Need to get him out.

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Speaker 1: But Glass now going now for the Dodgers in his

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Speaker 1: debut opening day technically for Major League Baseball. Nurfy under

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Speaker 1: one one run, no run in the first inning for

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Speaker 1: Dodgers and the Padres. Here for minus one oh five.

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Speaker 1: It's slight juice. Okay. You can bet one run score

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Speaker 1: at FanDuel, that's plus three hundred. You can get two

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Speaker 1: or more runs. I think that's plus four hundred at FanDuel.

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Speaker 1: You can chop around and find that price, but pretty

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Speaker 1: much the no is minus one oh five everywhere. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so oh I forgot. I'll give you another NSA tournament

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Speaker 1: bet as well. We had Houston MIAs fifteen in the

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Speaker 1: first half. I'll give you another one coming up here

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Speaker 1: in just one second. But let's talk about the other

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Speaker 1: bet I'm gonna make personally minus one ninety five. Dallas

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Speaker 1: Stars are at home against the Arizona Coyotes. Now, the

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Speaker 1: Arizona Coyotes have gone six and one on the road

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Speaker 1: to a second period over last seven road games, six

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Speaker 1: and one to the over second period. We know what

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Speaker 1: Dallas has been doing, right. They are just an absolute wagon.

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Speaker 1: Didn't hit the last game, But the last time I

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Speaker 1: played this was two games ago. Dallas hit, but the

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Speaker 1: parlay leg did not. I'm done parlaying this, ok I'm

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Speaker 1: just gonna bet this myself. I'm gonna suck it up

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Speaker 1: and hammer it and deal with the juice. Okay. I

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Speaker 1: can't make it official. I'm too cold, okay, but I'm

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Speaker 1: just it should just be a bet that you make

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Speaker 1: for the rest of the year. They're twenty four and two, okay,

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Speaker 1: it's twenty four and two. Until this thing goes to

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Speaker 1: like three or four times where we don't cash it,

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Speaker 1: then maybe you can stop. But the total is six

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Speaker 1: and a half in this game, and it's really expensive.

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Speaker 1: It's minus one ninety five. Okay, the books know it.

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Speaker 1: Because Arizona gives up goals and scores goals in the

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Speaker 1: second period. Dallas is at home six and a half.

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Speaker 1: They can score two goals themselves. The over one and

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Speaker 1: a half goals Dallas hosting Arizona minus one ninety five. Again,

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Speaker 1: that's a personal play. I would never in my life

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Speaker 1: recommend that you guys lay minus one ninety five. It's

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Speaker 1: against everything that I think of. It's not a great bet.

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Speaker 1: It's too juicy. But as somebody in the discord channel

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Speaker 1: once coined, you only pay the juice when you lose.

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Speaker 1: So that's true. So I'm gonna lay it. Second period

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Speaker 1: over one and a half goals Arizona and Dallas at

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Speaker 1: minus one ninety five Okay, let's talk basketball. I gave

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Speaker 1: you Houston in the first half minus fifteen against Longwood yesterday.

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Speaker 1: Today Drake money lined. Drake is playing Washington State. According

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Speaker 1: to Ken Palm, this is a one point win for

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Speaker 1: Washington State. The number opened up at plus one and

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Speaker 1: a half for Drake. It flipped. Drake is now laying

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Speaker 1: one and a half. I don't want to play around

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Speaker 1: with this and get beat by a one shot. You know,

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Speaker 1: Drake wins by one and we lose this bet Okay,

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Speaker 1: Fandel has this at minus one eighteen. Tucker Devrees is

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Speaker 1: going to be the focal point. Somebody else is going

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Speaker 1: to have to step up here for Drake because Washington

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Speaker 1: State's gonna blitz him. There's no debating it. Washington State's

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Speaker 1: defense is pretty good second in adjusted efficiency, thirty fifth

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Speaker 1: in effective field goal percentage seventieth and three point defense

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Speaker 1: forty fifth and two point defense. It's their calling card, Okay,

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Speaker 1: one hundred percent. It's their calling card. So they're gonna

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Speaker 1: trap Tucker Derees, get the ball out of his hands. Sure,

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Speaker 1: somebody else, Connor and Wright or Darnell Brody, they have

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Speaker 1: got to go and abuse Washington State and when it

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Speaker 1: comes to hitting open threes, this is where Drake has

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Speaker 1: to do it. They're thirty ninth in three point percentage,

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Speaker 1: they're twenty fourth in two point percentage, they're twenty seventh

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Speaker 1: and effective field goal percentage, they're forty first in adjusted efficiency.

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Speaker 1: And they're playing in Omaha, Nebraska. This is a huge

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Speaker 1: home court advantage for Drake. Any Creighton basketball season ticket

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Speaker 1: older is going to be they're wearing blue, not Creighton blue,

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Speaker 1: but Drake blue, cheering for Darren Dvrees. Darren Davrees is

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Speaker 1: the head coach, father of Tucker Devrees. Darren d Rock

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Speaker 1: as we call him in the Omaha circles. D Rock

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Speaker 1: coached on Dan Altman's staff for years, helped Dana open

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Speaker 1: up the building. He will play and you used to

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Speaker 1: be called the Quest Center, now it's called the Chie Center.

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Speaker 1: There's gonna be a huge home court advantage here. Drake

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Speaker 1: money line minus one eighteen. Drake to win. The bench

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Speaker 1: needs to come up and play well. They can't turn

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Speaker 1: the basketball over, but I don't think Washington State's offense

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Speaker 1: is gonna be good enough. There are one hundred and

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Speaker 1: seventy six one hundred and seventy sixth and three point percentage,

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Speaker 1: they're eighty seventh and two point percentage. They're okay. Effective

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Speaker 1: field goal percent is ninety fifth, sixty fifth and adjusted efficiency.

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Speaker 1: But they don't score a ton from behind the arc.

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Speaker 1: Just twenty five percent of their points come from behind

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Speaker 1: the three point line. And that's the one thing that Drake,

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Speaker 1: you know, is pretty good at guarding. They're not great

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Speaker 1: at guarding the two. But if Drake is hitting threes

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Speaker 1: and Washington State is scoring two's, Drake wins home court

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Speaker 1: advantage for Drake in this game. I think it goes

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Speaker 1: a long way for Drake. I think Drake's gonna play

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Speaker 1: Iowa State for the chance to go to the Sweet

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Speaker 1: sixteen Drake money line minus one eighteen against Washington State

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Speaker 1: for one point one eight units. Okay, that game will play.

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Speaker 1: It gets played on the Thursday. So there's your first

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Speaker 1: Thursday play for us here coming up for that. All right,

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Speaker 1: So this tube, I told you I'm not gonna be heavy.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna have like a gigantic card for the

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Speaker 1: n DOUAA tournament. I'm gonna let the futures play out

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Speaker 1: for the first weekend. I'll have a normal three or

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Speaker 1: four bets. I'm not saying I'm not gonna play it.

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Speaker 1: I'm just not gonna be like playing nine games in

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Speaker 1: the nce double a tournament. You're gonna see me go

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Speaker 1: above and beyond what I normally do because I want

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Speaker 1: to let those futures play out. I want to see

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Speaker 1: what we're gonna do here. And there's a couple of

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Speaker 1: really fun stats that have been flying around, Like, twenty

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Speaker 1: four of the last twenty five national champions have been

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Speaker 1: in the top forty for effective off for effective fiegal

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Speaker 1: oh sorry for adjusted efficiency offensively in top twenty for

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Speaker 1: adjusted efficiency defense. Every team I've bet a future on

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Speaker 1: is in that they all are. North Carolina is like

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Speaker 1: just on the outside, but they're pretty much there too.

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Speaker 1: North Carolina Eras, which is amazing, Creighton, Marquette, Tennessee, Iowa State.

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Speaker 1: So let's hope that continues. Let's hope that that goes

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Speaker 1: well for us, and we can ride this a little

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Speaker 1: bit here for for our future market and then sublay tournament. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So there's two bets in so far. Houston mis fifteen

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Speaker 1: in the first half, Drake money line at minus one eighteen. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about today. Two bets SMU against Indiana State.

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Speaker 1: Kempom has this as a total of one point fifty nine.

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Speaker 1: Kempom has this as a win for Indiana State eighty

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Speaker 1: three to seventy six. The number is seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: I'm not really down with laying this type of juice, okay,

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Speaker 1: or this number of number of points I should say.

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Speaker 1: I know it's in terra hote, okay. I know Indiana

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Speaker 1: State has been really good at home. I know they

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Speaker 1: lost to Illinois State at home, and that's it their

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Speaker 1: only home loss. Came back on the thirteenth of February.

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Speaker 1: They won every other game. They went seventeen and three

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Speaker 1: in the Missouri Valley Conference. They lost to Drake in

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Speaker 1: the final because they were asleep in the first half.

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Speaker 1: I don't think they're going to be asleep here in

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Speaker 1: this game, SMU. This is a team that's got athletes.

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Speaker 1: They'll have better athletes than Indiana State. But Indiana State

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Speaker 1: has the number one effective field goal percentage offense in

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Speaker 1: college basketball, the number one two point percentage basket offense

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Speaker 1: in college basketball, third in free throw percentage, twentieth in

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Speaker 1: effective field goal percentage, eleventh, and three point shooting okay,

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Speaker 1: and they're at home, home cooking, baby, they're going to

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Speaker 1: be fired up. This year, Indiana State at home was

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Speaker 1: a team that you could back to the over. Indiana

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Speaker 1: State at home went nine and four to the over.

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Speaker 1: This year now they went eleven and twelve overall, twelve

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Speaker 1: and eleven to the under, but nine and four at home.

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Speaker 1: SMU on the road went seven and eight, eight and

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Speaker 1: seven to the under. But they were five and five

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Speaker 1: over their last ten and four and one to the

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Speaker 1: under over their last five. But that was with totals

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Speaker 1: that were pretty up there, one sixty one, one fifty four.

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Speaker 1: The games went under. This game's at one fifty seven.

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Speaker 1: It opened up at one six and a half. It's

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Speaker 1: been bet up to one fifty seven, and I think

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Speaker 1: we're going to see offense here on a neutral In

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Speaker 1: the Valley Tournament, Indiana State scored eighty ninety four and

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Speaker 1: seventy five. In their last home game against Murray State,

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Speaker 1: they scored eighty nine. Game flew over against them. Against

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Speaker 1: Illinois Chicago at home, they scored eighty eight. Against Illinois State,

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Speaker 1: they scored only sixty seven. The game still went over

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Speaker 1: because they gave up eighty against Valpo. They scored one

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Speaker 1: hundred and one at home against Drake. It went under.

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Speaker 1: That's the last time a home game went under. That

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Speaker 1: was a while ago. That was way back on the

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Speaker 1: third of February. They scored seventy five points, won the

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Speaker 1: game seventy five sixty seven didn't go over or did

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Speaker 1: went under, but they still scored nearly. You know, seventy

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Speaker 1: five points is a good output. Scored ninety five points

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Speaker 1: at home against Bradley, Okay, I think they score. I

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Speaker 1: just don't want to lay this many points. Seven seven

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Speaker 1: and a half is just too heavy. I instead, I'll

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Speaker 1: play the over over one point fifty seven. SMU and

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Speaker 1: Indiana State. I think SMU is going to be able

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Speaker 1: to score here. Indiana State, as I talked about, they're

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Speaker 1: no for their offense, not their defense. Okay, they're not

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Speaker 1: great defensively, their middle of the pack accord with the country.

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Speaker 1: But I mean ninetieth and effective field goal percentage ninety

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Speaker 1: seventh and justine efficiency Defensively, While SMU's offense is not tremendous,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna have better athletes and they're gonna be able

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Speaker 1: to get to the rim. I think on Indiana State

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Speaker 1: and score. I expect up tempo here SMU is only

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Speaker 1: in the top one and one to seventieth in pace.

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Speaker 1: Right for SMU, you have one seventieth in pace, But

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Speaker 1: Indiana State is much faster and much quicker. Indiana State

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Speaker 1: is fortieth in tempo. They'll play at their tempo tonight.

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Speaker 1: I think over one seven SMU and Indiana State one

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Speaker 1: play in the NBA, and it's right back to Philadelphia

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Speaker 1: at Phoenix and it's right back to the under. Philadelphia

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Speaker 1: is an under machine. Seven and three to the under

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Speaker 1: over their last ten. Phoenix is seven and three to

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Speaker 1: the under over their last ten. At home, Phoenix is

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Speaker 1: eighteen sixteen and one to the under this year. Now,

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Speaker 1: Philly is an overteam overall, seventeen and fifteen on the road. However,

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Speaker 1: you take a look at what they've done recently. They've

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Speaker 1: gone under six straight times. They went over against Memphis

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Speaker 1: and Brooklyn back in the beginning of the month and Charlotte,

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Speaker 1: but against Dallas, Boston, Milwaukee, Cleveland, New York, Miami all under.

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Speaker 1: Since the fourteenth of February, the Philadelphia seventy six ers

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Speaker 1: have gone over just three times. We're here at the

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Speaker 1: middle part of March. On the other side, at home

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Speaker 1: undermachined for the Suns under against Boston, under against Toronto,

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00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:05,879
Speaker 1: under against Oklahoma City, under against Houston, under against Houston,

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Speaker 1: under against the Lakers under against Detroit. That's one, two, three, four, five, six,

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Speaker 1: seven straight unders for the Suns at home totals two twenty.

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Speaker 1: Open at two twenty three, then bet down to two twenty.

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Speaker 1: We'll bet the under again here for Philadelphia on the

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Speaker 1: road at Phoenix and keep the street going here for

345
00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:31,600
Speaker 1: the Sixers and the Suns of not being not scoring

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Speaker 1: a ton of points and not playing up tempo, locking

347
00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:39,280
Speaker 1: down defensively, and just not scoring six straight unders, let's

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Speaker 1: make it seven for the Philadelphia seventy six ers under

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Speaker 1: two twenty for one point one units. Okay, so I

350
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Speaker 1: know I gave you a lot here. Only two bets

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Speaker 1: are official for today. Okay, We're gonna go a little

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Speaker 1: light on the card here. Officially today Phoenix Philly under

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Speaker 1: two twenty SMU Indiana State over one fifty seven. I

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Speaker 1: have no idea what to do with Colorado Boise State

355
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Speaker 1: zero in game. Bet that I gotta watch that, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I lean Boise State. I think Boise State wins the game.

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Speaker 1: I'm not. I'm not betting it. I'm not. I couldn't

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Speaker 1: get myself to bet it. I'm shaky on it. I'm

359
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Speaker 1: not overly confident. There's people I know, I respect who

360
00:20:14,080 --> 00:20:17,240
Speaker 1: are on Colorado. So I got to watch that game

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Speaker 1: a little bit. I'll bet an in game Drake money

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Speaker 1: line against Washington State. That for Thursday. That's not for today,

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Speaker 1: that's for Thursday. Nurfy Baseball Dodgers Padres no run in

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Speaker 1: the first inning MIS one oh five, not official, over

365
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Speaker 1: one and a half goals, second period Dallas Arizona. Again

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Speaker 1: not official. You can play it if you want. I'm

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Speaker 1: playing it, but it's I'll never recommend those plays. One

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Speaker 1: most of you were gonna wake up and go, oh

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Speaker 1: did he win? Yes? Or no, oh he lost? It

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Speaker 1: would be par for the course given how I've played

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Speaker 1: recently and how I've been running. But then I'm never

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Speaker 1: recommending MYUS one ninety five. I don't care how hot

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Speaker 1: I am. I'm then never recommending Mis one ninety five.

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Speaker 1: But parlaying the second period with something else is I

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Speaker 1: don't recommend it. I'm making it more difficult for myself.

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Speaker 1: I just I want to see shots go in. I

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Speaker 1: don't want to make it more tough. Twenty four and

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Speaker 1: two over the last twenty six games for the Dallas Stars.

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Speaker 1: Second period over one and a half goals. Going to

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Speaker 1: come in and fire on it again. But officially it's

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Speaker 1: over one fifty seven SMU Indiana State under two twenty,

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Speaker 1: Phoenix and Philly under two twenty for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: Mis map parole to follow me across all socials at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt every morning. The Deal Juice podcast I

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Speaker 1: was being brought to you by olmastaks dot com