WEBVTT - Mattel CEO on Creating Value as a Stand Alone Company

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Business Wait inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 2>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 2>global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 2>Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 3>All Right, folks, this is certainly our world.

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<v Speaker 4>We are focusing so much on the politics, the geopolitical

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<v Speaker 4>of our world right now, certainly the last few weeks.

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<v Speaker 4>But we are also in the midst of earning season,

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<v Speaker 4>and we're also in the midst of a market where

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<v Speaker 4>you've got Wall Street getting a bit of a reality

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<v Speaker 4>check after our disappointing start of that megacap earnings season,

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<v Speaker 4>some concerns over the AI frenzy. Having said that while

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<v Speaker 4>the major market averages, we are seeing a fair amount

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<v Speaker 4>of selling today. One name that's definitely standing out is

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<v Speaker 4>Mattel Shares, a mateller up about nine and a half

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<v Speaker 4>percent today after the toymaker reported second quarter just at

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<v Speaker 4>earnings per share that came in ahead of Wall Street estimates.

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<v Speaker 4>Analysts were also positive on the results, highlighting the company's

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<v Speaker 4>gross margin performance, which Morgan Stanley said had remained impressive.

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<v Speaker 4>Second quarter revenue, it was declined to one point zero

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<v Speaker 4>eight billiy did miss the one point one billion average

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<v Speaker 4>of estimates compiled by Bloomberg by just a little bit.

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<v Speaker 4>But we want to get into the quarter of the business.

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<v Speaker 4>So much that's going on back with us. As Xinon cries,

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<v Speaker 4>he's Mattel chairman and CEO. As a reminder, Mattel has

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<v Speaker 4>the brands Barbie, Fisher Price, Hot Wheels, American Girl and

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<v Speaker 4>many more. And I feel like in this very heavy environment, Einon,

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<v Speaker 4>we are grateful to talk about the business of toys.

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<v Speaker 4>Having said that, we are so delighted to have you back.

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<v Speaker 4>Welcome back, How are you?

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<v Speaker 5>Thank you, Carol, thank you, Tam.

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<v Speaker 2>Great to be here now.

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<v Speaker 4>I would say we would be remiss in this heavy

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<v Speaker 4>environment that we want to just talk a little bit

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<v Speaker 4>about the environment. You've been to the White House. We

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<v Speaker 4>have talked politics with you. Before you are from Israel.

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<v Speaker 4>We've talked with you many times side attack last October,

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<v Speaker 4>Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahoe before that joint session of the

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<v Speaker 4>US Congress. As a CEO, how are you navigating all

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<v Speaker 4>of this? How are you thinking about the GEO politics

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<v Speaker 4>that continues to be a part of our world today.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, of course, this is an important part of our

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<v Speaker 5>life these days, especially for me as an Israeli. I

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<v Speaker 5>keep thinking about the hostages and pray for the release

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<v Speaker 5>as soon as possible.

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<v Speaker 6>What about when it comes to today's speech by net

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<v Speaker 6>and Yahoo? Is this something that's on your radar? It's

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<v Speaker 6>the fourth time that he's addressed Congress, the first time

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<v Speaker 6>that he's been in the United States since the war began.

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<v Speaker 6>As somebody from the country, how is it on your radar?

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<v Speaker 5>Of course, it's on my radar. I haven't seen it,

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<v Speaker 5>to be honest. I've been talking to our investors all

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<v Speaker 5>morning following our earning. But it's something I tend towards

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<v Speaker 5>later today, and so I'm sure we'll catch up with

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<v Speaker 5>everything that we said in Congress today and the reactions

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<v Speaker 5>in America, in Israel and around the world.

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<v Speaker 4>All Right, one more questions on politics, the US race,

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<v Speaker 4>which you know has consumed our world, all of the

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<v Speaker 4>country the last three weeks, the November outcome. Does it

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<v Speaker 4>matter for you as someone who runs a company, a

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<v Speaker 4>well known, publicly iconic brand, global company, does it matter

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<v Speaker 4>who's in the White House? Come November for you.

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<v Speaker 5>Of course, we are following everything very closely the election

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<v Speaker 5>process leading up to the November elections. But as a company,

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<v Speaker 5>we have a long standing history of working with all

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<v Speaker 5>government leaders around the world, not just in the US,

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<v Speaker 5>and we are focused on executing our strategy and confident

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<v Speaker 5>that we can work with everyone across the political spectrum.

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<v Speaker 6>How would your strategy in unchanged if we saw former

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<v Speaker 6>President Trump return to the White House and continue to

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<v Speaker 6>see perhaps an even harsher stance towards China increased tariffs

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<v Speaker 6>for example, that he's talked about, how would that affect

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<v Speaker 6>your business.

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<v Speaker 5>Well? As a company, our job is to design a

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<v Speaker 5>flexible organization that can respond and react to market changes.

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<v Speaker 5>And I'm not commenting specifically about terriffs or China, but

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<v Speaker 5>in general, this is what we do as a company.

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<v Speaker 5>We have a very strong supply chain, a very versatile

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<v Speaker 5>business model, and we are designed to be able to

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<v Speaker 5>respond to changes in the market in supply chain or

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<v Speaker 5>a consumer taste for that matter. And this is something

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<v Speaker 5>that we've done a really good job at over the

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<v Speaker 5>last few years to create a flexible and responsive organization

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<v Speaker 5>that can can adjust and operate in different types of environments.

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<v Speaker 6>You know on what is flexible and responsive mean in

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<v Speaker 6>terms of geography, where is your supply chain now in

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<v Speaker 6>terms of in China versus other parts of the world,

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<v Speaker 6>like how much of your products that are sold around

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<v Speaker 6>the world are made in China versus other countries.

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<v Speaker 5>In China we make less than a half of our

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<v Speaker 5>product today. The industry average is about eighty to eighty

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<v Speaker 5>five percent, so we're indexed meaningfully less in the industry.

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<v Speaker 5>And we continue to diversify manufacturing footprint. This is not

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<v Speaker 5>necessarily in response to any political risk, but as a company,

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<v Speaker 5>our job is to create that flexibility. So we continue

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<v Speaker 5>to diversify our manufacturing footprint, our own factories and some

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<v Speaker 5>of the vendors that we work with across across different

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<v Speaker 5>geographist to make sure that we have the right capabilities

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<v Speaker 5>and still the ability to mobilize resources and adjust to

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<v Speaker 5>opportunities as well as any changes in cost structure, in

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<v Speaker 5>tariffs and capabilities that we are looking to continue to

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<v Speaker 5>add to strengthen our capability our offering.

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<v Speaker 4>All right, so as promised, let's get to the quarter.

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<v Speaker 4>Let's get to the business. So talk to us about

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<v Speaker 4>the quarter that was in the outlook. Tell us about

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<v Speaker 4>where you are feeling real strength, where you're feeling some challenges.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, this was a good second quarter and a good

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<v Speaker 5>second half of first half of Mattel with significant growth,

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<v Speaker 5>margin expansion, and improved profitability. We continue to strengthen our

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<v Speaker 5>balance sheet and more than double free cash flow in

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<v Speaker 5>the trailing twelve month. The industry performed better than anticipated,

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<v Speaker 5>better than we anticipated, and Mattel gained share globally in

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<v Speaker 5>the second quarter and the first half. And you talked

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<v Speaker 5>about it before, Carol and Tim, I believe we spoke

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<v Speaker 5>about how we continue to position the company for growth.

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<v Speaker 5>We expect to grow in the second half of the

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<v Speaker 5>year and reiterated a fullier guidance for the company. Looking ahead,

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<v Speaker 5>we expect to outpace the industry, continue to gain more

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<v Speaker 5>share in twenty twenty four, and grow sales and earnings

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<v Speaker 5>in twenty twenty five.

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<v Speaker 4>So talk to us about some of the different brands.

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<v Speaker 4>Fisher Price launching something I grew up with, Big Time

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<v Speaker 4>launching its new line Fisher Price would recently. How is

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<v Speaker 4>that being received by retailers and by consumers and do

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<v Speaker 4>you anticipate that this could be maybe a really top

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<v Speaker 4>seller come the holidays.

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<v Speaker 5>Fisher Price is such an incredible brand. It will be

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<v Speaker 5>celebrating its ninety fourth anniversary this year. Fisher Price grew

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<v Speaker 5>eleven percent in the second quarter, reflecting the early success

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<v Speaker 5>of our new strategy, which is working well. We expect

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<v Speaker 5>Fisher Price to grow in the second half to grow

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<v Speaker 5>for the full year, driven by a new line of

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<v Speaker 5>the wood segment that you mentioned that we're now expanding globally,

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<v Speaker 5>more core lines product that are growing, and new franchises

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<v Speaker 5>that we're adding to a little people collector. The brand

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<v Speaker 5>is just is so much part of culture and has

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<v Speaker 5>great trust by parents and families. We in terms of

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<v Speaker 5>performance in the category, outperformed the industry gain share in

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<v Speaker 5>the infant toddler in preschool category in the second quarter

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<v Speaker 5>and the first half and was the number one with

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<v Speaker 5>Mattel was the number one toy company globally in the category.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, and what about hot wheels? Gross billings growth

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<v Speaker 6>and gross billings for hot wheels was relatively weak in

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<v Speaker 6>the second quarter. Give us an idea of the catalyst.

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<v Speaker 6>Tell the investing audience about the catalyst for a rebound

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<v Speaker 6>for the holiday selling season and if there are any new

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<v Speaker 6>products or advertising come in to help push it.

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<v Speaker 5>Hotwords is another incredible brand. Hot Wheels is on track,

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<v Speaker 5>on track for its seventh consecutive record year, seventh consecutive

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<v Speaker 5>record year. We couldn't be more excited and confident about

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<v Speaker 5>where hotwitods is growing. It grew in the second in

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<v Speaker 5>the second quarter five percent, with more activation planned for

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<v Speaker 5>the second half. We're growing the adult collector line and

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<v Speaker 5>more adult product. We brought any distribution globally for Hotweels

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<v Speaker 5>specifically as well as the rest of the portfolio, and

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<v Speaker 5>we expect to accelerate growth in the RC and skate

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<v Speaker 5>lines and of course have another season of Hot Wheels

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<v Speaker 5>Let's Race on Netflix that is launching this fall. So

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<v Speaker 5>great product activated by more content and just a great

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<v Speaker 5>line by Hot Wheels on track for its seventh consecutive

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<v Speaker 5>year of growth.

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<v Speaker 4>All right, so Hot Wheels for guys and gals or kids,

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<v Speaker 4>boys and girls, but also Barbie for boys and girls

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<v Speaker 4>whoever wants it. But let's talk Barbie, which is another

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<v Speaker 4>one of the iconic brands, you know, and I'm certainly

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<v Speaker 4>of Mattel Barbie brand. I'm looking at the second quarter right,

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<v Speaker 4>sales held back by a six percent decline in global

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<v Speaker 4>buildings for the company's flagship flagship doll segment, which includes

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<v Speaker 4>bar Be Toughier over your comparisons in the second half,

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<v Speaker 4>did the movie, what are you continuing to see in

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<v Speaker 4>terms of the impact that that has had on the

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<v Speaker 4>Barbie line, and do you expect the brand to return

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<v Speaker 4>to growth maybe next year.

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<v Speaker 5>Barbie is an incredible brand that never sits still, and

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<v Speaker 5>the movie expanded the audience even more. As you would imagine,

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<v Speaker 5>Barbie was the number one doll property globally and continued

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<v Speaker 5>to gain share in the second quarter this year. We're

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<v Speaker 5>celebrating Barbie's sixty fifth anniversary with multiple activations and a

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<v Speaker 5>new brand campaign that we're launching in the fall. We're

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<v Speaker 5>launching also new segments supported by more shelf space in

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<v Speaker 5>the second half, so Barbie will have even more reach

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<v Speaker 5>in the marketplace. We're launching new offering for adult collectors

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<v Speaker 5>as well as we did for Hot Wheels, and there

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<v Speaker 5>will be more content on Netflix targeting the kid's audience.

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<v Speaker 5>Barbie has consistently gained global share and continue to strengthen

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<v Speaker 5>its position as the leader in the dolls category. And

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<v Speaker 5>you know, Carol, Yeah, very few brands have the cultural

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<v Speaker 5>relevance as Barbie, and we couldn't be more confident about

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<v Speaker 5>the incredible franchise. But this incredible franchise and where it

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<v Speaker 5>will go from here, well.

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<v Speaker 4>I have to tell you on in the newsroom earlier

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<v Speaker 4>this morning, a bunch of us, I will say, all women, Cec,

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<v Speaker 4>myself and Elizabeth having a conversation. I was kind of

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<v Speaker 4>very much into Barbie, but I also talked about American Girl,

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<v Speaker 4>where my daughter was kind of all over it, and

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<v Speaker 4>so was Cec and Elizabeth. Anyway, we talked for a

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<v Speaker 4>while about this. I am curious about American Girl where

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<v Speaker 4>it still fits into your portfolio because it's interesting, it

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<v Speaker 4>has evolved, and we kind of went back to the

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<v Speaker 4>beginning of the brand when it before it was even owned.

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<v Speaker 3>By you guys, about that.

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<v Speaker 4>It really, you know, taught young individuals, young women, young

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<v Speaker 4>girls about history, and you know they were very much

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<v Speaker 4>tied to it. Now you've got a gap American Girl,

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<v Speaker 4>You've got Disney collaborations. What's the thinking around American Girl.

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<v Speaker 5>American Girl is a valued asset within the Mattel portfolio

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<v Speaker 5>with significant fan base and great product. American Girl grew

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<v Speaker 5>for the second quarter in a row, and we saw

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<v Speaker 5>how American Girl is outpressing the industry in the large

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<v Speaker 5>old category and the overall dull category, especially in the

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<v Speaker 5>eighteen inch dolls and was up double digit. We saw

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<v Speaker 5>the flapship flagship stores up, especially the new store in

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<v Speaker 5>LA that was a high double digit. And we continued

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<v Speaker 5>to optimize the rettled footprint to make sure that we

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<v Speaker 5>are creating a holistic, omni channel experience for fans. And

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<v Speaker 5>as you say, part of the success is how we

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<v Speaker 5>evolved the brand and how we infuse brand purpose but

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<v Speaker 5>also cultural relevance. And this is part of our secret

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<v Speaker 5>sauce on the Mattel Playbook and how we continue to

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<v Speaker 5>stay relevant and take brands that are timeless and make

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<v Speaker 5>them timely and reach and engage consumers today and touch

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<v Speaker 5>fans everywhere, touch their heart and mind and do things

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<v Speaker 5>that really matter in society and engage fans at an

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<v Speaker 5>emotional level.

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<v Speaker 4>I have to ask you, I know there's been a

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<v Speaker 4>Wall Street Barbie. I don't know that there's been an

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<v Speaker 4>American Girl who works in investment banking. But having said that,

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<v Speaker 4>a report on Monday that you guys have received a

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<v Speaker 4>takeover approach from El Catterton, the private equity firm backed

0:13:35.880 --> 0:13:39.440
<v Speaker 4>by LVMH. You've come out and said that you believe

0:13:39.480 --> 0:13:41.680
<v Speaker 4>you the company can achieve a higher market value if

0:13:41.679 --> 0:13:45.800
<v Speaker 4>it continues as an independent company. Are you open first

0:13:45.840 --> 0:13:48.080
<v Speaker 4>of all, have they approached you and are you open

0:13:48.120 --> 0:13:48.800
<v Speaker 4>to doing a deal?

0:13:50.520 --> 0:13:53.760
<v Speaker 5>Well, as you would expect, we don't comment from the speculation.

0:13:54.480 --> 0:13:58.600
<v Speaker 3>It's just now in. It's just you and me, so.

0:13:58.640 --> 0:14:01.200
<v Speaker 5>Just between us, just between and the three of us.

0:14:01.559 --> 0:14:03.840
<v Speaker 5>What I can say is that we're very confident in

0:14:03.880 --> 0:14:07.800
<v Speaker 5>Motel strategy and our ability to create long term shareholder

0:14:07.880 --> 0:14:11.800
<v Speaker 5>value as a stand alone company. This is what we're doing.

0:14:11.840 --> 0:14:14.760
<v Speaker 5>You're seeing it in the quarter, you're seeing it at

0:14:14.800 --> 0:14:17.439
<v Speaker 5>the start of this year, and you're seeing it since

0:14:17.440 --> 0:14:20.320
<v Speaker 5>the start of the ten around in twenty eighteen. It's

0:14:20.360 --> 0:14:23.320
<v Speaker 5>in the numbers. It's in our growth in top line

0:14:23.360 --> 0:14:26.440
<v Speaker 5>by a billion dollars. It's how we continued to improve

0:14:26.520 --> 0:14:31.120
<v Speaker 5>our adjusted growth margin by almost one thousand basis points

0:14:31.400 --> 0:14:34.480
<v Speaker 5>and guided to a higher number another one hundred to

0:14:34.520 --> 0:14:38.600
<v Speaker 5>one hundred and fifty points this year. Adjusted IBIDAH grew

0:14:38.840 --> 0:14:41.960
<v Speaker 5>seven and a half times since we started the ten around,

0:14:42.440 --> 0:14:45.320
<v Speaker 5>and our free cash flow went from a negative three

0:14:45.400 --> 0:14:48.440
<v Speaker 5>hundred and twenty five million dollars to more than seven

0:14:48.520 --> 0:14:51.520
<v Speaker 5>hundred million dollars at the end of last year. And

0:14:51.600 --> 0:14:54.720
<v Speaker 5>of course we are now investment grade. It's a very

0:14:54.720 --> 0:14:56.160
<v Speaker 5>weak puls So it's.

0:14:56.000 --> 0:14:58.000
<v Speaker 4>Not just about price, maybe a better price.

0:15:00.080 --> 0:15:03.560
<v Speaker 5>Well, it's about creating long term shareholder value and we

0:15:03.600 --> 0:15:07.320
<v Speaker 5>are well positioned to build on our multi year trajectory

0:15:07.360 --> 0:15:10.080
<v Speaker 5>and continue to execute our strategy and expect the share

0:15:10.160 --> 0:15:13.240
<v Speaker 5>price to reflect this over time.

0:15:14.560 --> 0:15:15.840
<v Speaker 7>What would make you do a deal?

0:15:19.120 --> 0:15:22.960
<v Speaker 5>Well, broadly speaking, we are here to create long term

0:15:23.040 --> 0:15:27.840
<v Speaker 5>shareholder value and we do it in every day. This

0:15:28.000 --> 0:15:31.480
<v Speaker 5>is what we focused on and we consistently execute and

0:15:31.520 --> 0:15:35.080
<v Speaker 5>deliver on the strategy. That's what we focused on, and

0:15:35.120 --> 0:15:38.920
<v Speaker 5>we believe that we create that value, long term shareholder

0:15:39.000 --> 0:15:40.560
<v Speaker 5>value as a standalone company.

0:15:41.600 --> 0:15:45.800
<v Speaker 4>So to that point, Lina Dunham, stepping away from the

0:15:45.800 --> 0:15:48.080
<v Speaker 4>poly pocket movie, what are your plans for that brand

0:15:48.120 --> 0:15:50.720
<v Speaker 4>and tell us what's the next you know, big screen

0:15:50.840 --> 0:15:52.760
<v Speaker 4>and you know, I think you guys have a ton

0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:54.560
<v Speaker 4>of projects in the works.

0:15:54.640 --> 0:15:55.920
<v Speaker 3>What can we look forward.

0:15:55.640 --> 0:16:00.960
<v Speaker 5>To as we're very excited by the progress we're seeing

0:16:01.000 --> 0:16:05.240
<v Speaker 5>in our film strategy. Mattel Films. Of course, the Barbe

0:16:05.240 --> 0:16:07.720
<v Speaker 5>movie is set the scene, but there's so much more

0:16:07.880 --> 0:16:12.520
<v Speaker 5>and we currently have sixteen projects in the making. We

0:16:12.680 --> 0:16:15.960
<v Speaker 5>recently announced a release date for Masters of the Universes

0:16:15.960 --> 0:16:19.280
<v Speaker 5>would be June fifth of twenty twenty six. We announced

0:16:19.280 --> 0:16:23.160
<v Speaker 5>a new director for Matchbox and a new movie for

0:16:23.400 --> 0:16:26.560
<v Speaker 5>Months de High at Universal with the Kiva Goldsman, a

0:16:26.600 --> 0:16:31.360
<v Speaker 5>two time Oscar winning writer and producer. So there's a

0:16:31.360 --> 0:16:35.920
<v Speaker 5>lot that is going on with everything at Mattel Films.

0:16:36.440 --> 0:16:42.440
<v Speaker 5>The Polypocket project is progressing. Lily Collins is still attached

0:16:42.960 --> 0:16:46.120
<v Speaker 5>and we're very excited about how this movie is shaping up,

0:16:46.400 --> 0:16:50.720
<v Speaker 5>as well as the rest of the films. Late that again,

0:16:50.760 --> 0:16:54.640
<v Speaker 5>it's all about It's all about collaborating with leading filmmakers

0:16:55.120 --> 0:16:58.240
<v Speaker 5>to make standout quality movies based on our iconic brands

0:16:58.240 --> 0:17:02.400
<v Speaker 5>that will resonate in culture and appeal to global audiences.

0:17:02.720 --> 0:17:04.560
<v Speaker 3>Eno and Ken wants to know, does he get a movie?

0:17:04.560 --> 0:17:05.520
<v Speaker 3>Does he get a movie?

0:17:07.640 --> 0:17:11.240
<v Speaker 5>Well, of course, we continue to look for opportunities to

0:17:11.320 --> 0:17:14.760
<v Speaker 5>engage bands every way we can, and one day maybe

0:17:14.800 --> 0:17:17.240
<v Speaker 5>you will have a movie as well.

0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:18.719
<v Speaker 3>I'm open, I'm going to count on you.

0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:20.439
<v Speaker 6>Maybe you can help me with the hot wheels on

0:17:20.440 --> 0:17:22.000
<v Speaker 6>your desk, but you gave it to you gave it

0:17:22.040 --> 0:17:22.480
<v Speaker 6>to my son.

0:17:22.680 --> 0:17:26.520
<v Speaker 4>Little cameos in movies courtesy of Bloomberg Programming. You know,

0:17:26.720 --> 0:17:28.399
<v Speaker 4>thank you as well. A lot on your plate, so

0:17:28.480 --> 0:17:30.600
<v Speaker 4>appreciate all the time. You always give us a fine

0:17:30.640 --> 0:17:32.920
<v Speaker 4>for us. Great to check in with you you on

0:17:33.000 --> 0:17:35.320
<v Speaker 4>cries of course, folks. He is the CEO and chairman

0:17:35.400 --> 0:17:37.520
<v Speaker 4>of Mittel, joining us. As we said, Mattel shares are

0:17:37.560 --> 0:17:40.440
<v Speaker 4>up nine percent. They're up almost sixteen percent this week,

0:17:40.720 --> 0:17:45.879
<v Speaker 4>fifteen percent pop on Monday, courtesy of some you know,

0:17:46.200 --> 0:17:47.880
<v Speaker 4>maybe that chatter.

0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:49.280
<v Speaker 7>Deal chat chat. How does that sound?

0:17:51.480 --> 0:17:55.320
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Listen live

0:17:55.440 --> 0:17:58.080
<v Speaker 2>each weekday. He's starting at two pm Eastern on Apple

0:17:58.119 --> 0:18:01.040
<v Speaker 2>car Play and Android Auto with the Blomberg Business Ad.

0:18:01.240 --> 0:18:04.120
<v Speaker 2>You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our

0:18:04.119 --> 0:18:08.520
<v Speaker 2>flagship New York station jo Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:18:10.080 --> 0:18:12.119
<v Speaker 6>Our next guest is the CEO of the largest company

0:18:12.160 --> 0:18:14.680
<v Speaker 6>that you've probably never heard of and less you work

0:18:14.680 --> 0:18:18.560
<v Speaker 6>in the industry. Burns and McDonald is an engineering, architecture, construction,

0:18:18.600 --> 0:18:21.760
<v Speaker 6>and environmental and consulting firm that plays in just a

0:18:21.880 --> 0:18:26.160
<v Speaker 6>ton of industries. We're talking aviation, infrastructure, healthcare, military construction,

0:18:26.560 --> 0:18:30.359
<v Speaker 6>consumer product manufacturing, food and beverage production, oil, gas, chemicals,

0:18:30.720 --> 0:18:33.440
<v Speaker 6>renewable energy, telecommunications, and more.

0:18:33.600 --> 0:18:35.879
<v Speaker 4>Kind of the economy in a snapshot, it's one hundred

0:18:35.880 --> 0:18:38.800
<v Speaker 4>percent employee owned. They've got more than seventy offices in

0:18:38.840 --> 0:18:40.840
<v Speaker 4>the US and around the world. Needless to say, Leslie

0:18:40.880 --> 0:18:42.560
<v Speaker 4>Duke has a good idea and she's probably got a

0:18:42.600 --> 0:18:45.520
<v Speaker 4>great idea of how economies tim around the world are doing.

0:18:45.680 --> 0:18:48.520
<v Speaker 6>Welcome Leslie Duke, CEO of Burns and McDonald based in

0:18:48.600 --> 0:18:51.040
<v Speaker 6>Kansas City, but joining us here in our Bloomberg Interactive

0:18:51.040 --> 0:18:51.720
<v Speaker 6>Brokers studio.

0:18:51.720 --> 0:18:52.960
<v Speaker 7>How are you very good.

0:18:52.920 --> 0:18:54.320
<v Speaker 8>Tim Thank you so much for having me.

0:18:54.359 --> 0:18:56.600
<v Speaker 9>It's good to be here with you both today and

0:18:56.640 --> 0:18:58.840
<v Speaker 9>I look forward to visiting with I think some very

0:18:58.840 --> 0:19:02.840
<v Speaker 9>interesting things going on in the energy and data center markets.

0:19:02.880 --> 0:19:05.080
<v Speaker 8>It's a really fascinating time.

0:19:05.280 --> 0:19:08.119
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, we talk a lot about energy and data centers

0:19:08.160 --> 0:19:10.760
<v Speaker 6>because data centers are using so much energy. We're going

0:19:10.800 --> 0:19:11.919
<v Speaker 6>to get to that in just a minute. But I

0:19:11.920 --> 0:19:14.960
<v Speaker 6>want to start big picture because, as I mentioned, you

0:19:15.160 --> 0:19:17.280
<v Speaker 6>guys play in everything, so you have a really good

0:19:17.359 --> 0:19:21.919
<v Speaker 6>understanding of how economies around the world are doing at

0:19:21.960 --> 0:19:24.520
<v Speaker 6>a high level. What are you seeing out there specifically

0:19:24.520 --> 0:19:25.080
<v Speaker 6>in the US.

0:19:25.600 --> 0:19:28.119
<v Speaker 9>Sure, we're mostly domestically focused, so I think I have

0:19:28.200 --> 0:19:31.400
<v Speaker 9>a pretty good pulse on the US marketplace. Things are

0:19:31.400 --> 0:19:36.000
<v Speaker 9>busy in the infrastructure business. We're soliciting and receiving a

0:19:36.040 --> 0:19:38.520
<v Speaker 9>lot of work. Still, I think there was a little

0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:40.760
<v Speaker 9>bit of a slow down in the second quarter would

0:19:40.760 --> 0:19:43.320
<v Speaker 9>be what I would feel. Maybe a little into first quarter,

0:19:43.760 --> 0:19:46.720
<v Speaker 9>we're back to a nice rhythm of work coming through

0:19:46.760 --> 0:19:47.360
<v Speaker 9>our doors.

0:19:48.320 --> 0:19:50.680
<v Speaker 8>Construction has been robust.

0:19:50.320 --> 0:19:53.600
<v Speaker 9>Throughout and a lot of people ask me about the

0:19:53.600 --> 0:19:57.760
<v Speaker 9>election and how that's impacting our business, and we do

0:19:57.800 --> 0:20:00.920
<v Speaker 9>think there's some finance that slowed down. People are kind

0:20:00.920 --> 0:20:04.600
<v Speaker 9>of waiting on some things, but generally speaking, there's.

0:20:04.440 --> 0:20:05.240
<v Speaker 8>Still a lot to do.

0:20:05.400 --> 0:20:07.760
<v Speaker 9>So some of the funding that's come out of the

0:20:07.800 --> 0:20:12.920
<v Speaker 9>government recently, the IJA and IRA funding has really fueled

0:20:12.960 --> 0:20:15.280
<v Speaker 9>a lot of projects in our industry.

0:20:14.840 --> 0:20:16.199
<v Speaker 7>And so that's been good for business.

0:20:16.240 --> 0:20:18.760
<v Speaker 9>It has been great for business, and I think that

0:20:18.840 --> 0:20:20.879
<v Speaker 9>it's also you know, we're a little bit of a

0:20:20.960 --> 0:20:25.199
<v Speaker 9>counter economy business as it is, so we're resilient in

0:20:25.240 --> 0:20:29.160
<v Speaker 9>that way. But I think that then there are these

0:20:29.200 --> 0:20:33.320
<v Speaker 9>other business renewable energy, or data centers that are coming

0:20:33.359 --> 0:20:35.560
<v Speaker 9>in at a time where other things may be slowing down.

0:20:35.600 --> 0:20:38.040
<v Speaker 9>And when you have the diversity Burns and mac does,

0:20:38.640 --> 0:20:41.600
<v Speaker 9>you are able to swing your workforce over and start

0:20:41.600 --> 0:20:44.159
<v Speaker 9>to respond to things that are very very hot right now.

0:20:44.560 --> 0:20:47.159
<v Speaker 9>And we certainly are seeing that across the board when

0:20:47.240 --> 0:20:47.880
<v Speaker 9>it comes to both.

0:20:48.000 --> 0:20:50.080
<v Speaker 4>When you do a project, though, I mean, how long

0:20:50.080 --> 0:20:51.640
<v Speaker 4>does it go on for? So it kind of gives

0:20:51.640 --> 0:20:53.159
<v Speaker 4>you a certain amount of lead time. Right when you

0:20:53.200 --> 0:20:55.679
<v Speaker 4>say that, you guys are kind of counter you know,

0:20:55.720 --> 0:20:58.160
<v Speaker 4>the economy in terms of what's going on the cycles.

0:20:58.280 --> 0:20:59.920
<v Speaker 3>Give us an idea, like remind us.

0:21:00.080 --> 0:21:01.760
<v Speaker 9>Sure, you know, it depends on the project. So there's

0:21:01.760 --> 0:21:04.400
<v Speaker 9>some that are pretty quick hitters. Data for an, for example,

0:21:04.520 --> 0:21:06.879
<v Speaker 9>is very fast moving. They can they can build a

0:21:06.960 --> 0:21:09.600
<v Speaker 9>data center in less than two years now.

0:21:09.520 --> 0:21:11.520
<v Speaker 3>Because it's basically a box with a bunch of machines.

0:21:11.640 --> 0:21:12.800
<v Speaker 8>A box and a bunch of machines.

0:21:12.800 --> 0:21:15.960
<v Speaker 9>Now they get electricity, that's right, They need power in

0:21:16.000 --> 0:21:20.360
<v Speaker 9>that electricity. Yeah, that's exactly right. And power is really

0:21:20.440 --> 0:21:22.399
<v Speaker 9>I mean, we laugh a lot about it, but it

0:21:22.480 --> 0:21:26.679
<v Speaker 9>is becoming extremely constrained because the need is growing. The

0:21:26.760 --> 0:21:30.560
<v Speaker 9>hyper scale is real. So the scarcity of places in

0:21:30.600 --> 0:21:35.560
<v Speaker 9>the United States that can actually attract hyper scale is shrinking,

0:21:35.720 --> 0:21:37.960
<v Speaker 9>so it's harder and harder to find a place you

0:21:37.960 --> 0:21:39.200
<v Speaker 9>can put a hyper scale data.

0:21:39.240 --> 0:21:42.160
<v Speaker 4>Is that constraining the development of data centers right now?

0:21:42.520 --> 0:21:44.000
<v Speaker 3>The build out it is.

0:21:44.440 --> 0:21:46.919
<v Speaker 9>Changing the way that they're looking at how they need

0:21:46.960 --> 0:21:48.760
<v Speaker 9>to get ahead of it. So I think there's a

0:21:48.960 --> 0:21:52.320
<v Speaker 9>much broader look at how to approach data and power,

0:21:52.920 --> 0:21:56.960
<v Speaker 9>including owning it themselves. So data may not wait on

0:21:57.040 --> 0:22:00.199
<v Speaker 9>an electric utility today, and they may start to own

0:22:00.440 --> 0:22:04.399
<v Speaker 9>their own power island off grid, maybe use the grid

0:22:04.440 --> 0:22:06.960
<v Speaker 9>for reliability and backup power.

0:22:06.720 --> 0:22:08.840
<v Speaker 8>But not primary generation.

0:22:09.520 --> 0:22:12.760
<v Speaker 9>So I think the data centers are being extremely creative

0:22:12.840 --> 0:22:15.480
<v Speaker 9>right now what they're willing to consider in the way

0:22:15.520 --> 0:22:18.680
<v Speaker 9>that they keep this business going. It's fast paced, it's

0:22:18.720 --> 0:22:22.159
<v Speaker 9>not slowing down. It's highly competitive. They can't afford in

0:22:22.200 --> 0:22:27.200
<v Speaker 9>some cases to wait for the utility processtive. The regulatory

0:22:27.280 --> 0:22:29.439
<v Speaker 9>hurdles are real, and so those are things that are

0:22:29.480 --> 0:22:33.520
<v Speaker 9>really headwinds to data if data doesn't take charge, and

0:22:33.600 --> 0:22:36.159
<v Speaker 9>so then you've got utilities are like, hey, we don't want.

0:22:36.000 --> 0:22:36.680
<v Speaker 8>To lose that load.

0:22:36.720 --> 0:22:40.680
<v Speaker 9>We want to continue to attract businesses into our business,

0:22:40.680 --> 0:22:43.359
<v Speaker 9>and so they're upping the ante. They're trying to bring

0:22:43.480 --> 0:22:44.320
<v Speaker 9>power faster.

0:22:44.160 --> 0:22:46.200
<v Speaker 4>But is it helping them to build that renewable power

0:22:46.280 --> 0:22:49.600
<v Speaker 4>faster because we have seen folks, whether I think it's

0:22:49.600 --> 0:22:52.119
<v Speaker 4>an Amazon and some others like if they need they

0:22:52.119 --> 0:22:54.560
<v Speaker 4>obviously need the data centers, and then they're linking up

0:22:54.560 --> 0:22:57.320
<v Speaker 4>with those who have, you know, access to the renewable

0:22:57.400 --> 0:22:58.040
<v Speaker 4>power side.

0:22:58.640 --> 0:23:01.720
<v Speaker 9>Sure, I think you know, we've never been busier and renewable,

0:23:01.880 --> 0:23:07.040
<v Speaker 9>and so the renewable business is all utilities are pivoting

0:23:07.200 --> 0:23:10.800
<v Speaker 9>to a greener future and a carbon free future. So

0:23:10.880 --> 0:23:13.240
<v Speaker 9>that's been a part of our business here in recent

0:23:13.320 --> 0:23:15.320
<v Speaker 9>years that has really motivated a lot.

0:23:15.119 --> 0:23:16.240
<v Speaker 8>Of business for us.

0:23:17.560 --> 0:23:20.320
<v Speaker 9>All of big data is interested in green energy. So

0:23:20.359 --> 0:23:23.280
<v Speaker 9>when they are ahead of it and they have capacity

0:23:23.320 --> 0:23:25.959
<v Speaker 9>in that, then it follows suit that data is going

0:23:26.000 --> 0:23:28.720
<v Speaker 9>to be attracted to them. And then we do see

0:23:29.119 --> 0:23:32.000
<v Speaker 9>a resurgence of natural gas coming in to do some

0:23:32.119 --> 0:23:35.240
<v Speaker 9>backup power. Bridge fuel is what we tend to call it,

0:23:35.280 --> 0:23:37.360
<v Speaker 9>where we know it's going to take longer to get

0:23:37.400 --> 0:23:42.439
<v Speaker 9>some of the bigger clean fuel, the baseload generation that

0:23:42.480 --> 0:23:44.720
<v Speaker 9>can be built to grind it until you get it right.

0:23:44.760 --> 0:23:46.679
<v Speaker 9>So I think natural gas is the solution for that.

0:23:46.760 --> 0:23:50.360
<v Speaker 9>And I even think that you see data accepting.

0:23:49.800 --> 0:23:50.560
<v Speaker 8>That to some degree.

0:23:50.600 --> 0:23:53.840
<v Speaker 9>And it used to be kind of a polarizing political issue.

0:23:53.920 --> 0:23:56.080
<v Speaker 9>Both sides of the aisle are saying, yes, we get

0:23:56.080 --> 0:23:59.520
<v Speaker 9>it to stabilize and have reliable power. We've got to

0:23:59.560 --> 0:24:02.000
<v Speaker 9>accept that natural gas is going to get us there.

0:24:02.480 --> 0:24:06.240
<v Speaker 9>And some of the things like you know, modular reactors,

0:24:06.240 --> 0:24:07.080
<v Speaker 9>small modular action.

0:24:07.160 --> 0:24:07.480
<v Speaker 7>We love.

0:24:07.640 --> 0:24:10.480
<v Speaker 9>SMR is a technology, but the runways long right it's

0:24:10.520 --> 0:24:11.200
<v Speaker 9>going to take.

0:24:11.080 --> 0:24:13.040
<v Speaker 6>The problem is we haven't seen any of them built

0:24:13.040 --> 0:24:14.080
<v Speaker 6>to fruition at this point.

0:24:14.200 --> 0:24:17.639
<v Speaker 9>That's right, it's a it's an unproven and and you know,

0:24:17.680 --> 0:24:21.960
<v Speaker 9>even just take the regulatory process, well, how patient is

0:24:22.040 --> 0:24:24.520
<v Speaker 9>data going to be? And so they have to have

0:24:24.560 --> 0:24:27.040
<v Speaker 9>a solution today that can get them what they need

0:24:27.080 --> 0:24:29.240
<v Speaker 9>as soon as they can get it. They need to

0:24:29.280 --> 0:24:33.840
<v Speaker 9>have power to interconnect to, but they have the investment

0:24:33.920 --> 0:24:36.480
<v Speaker 9>dollars that could kick start that. And I think that

0:24:36.840 --> 0:24:40.320
<v Speaker 9>we're finding some interesting conversations going on with the long

0:24:40.440 --> 0:24:43.680
<v Speaker 9>term picture, because this is the beginning, I mean with

0:24:43.680 --> 0:24:46.640
<v Speaker 9>with we're talking about AI, but it's e commerce, it's

0:24:47.080 --> 0:24:52.440
<v Speaker 9>cloud computing, it's it's so many things, and so this is,

0:24:52.600 --> 0:24:55.280
<v Speaker 9>this is a trajectory that they're they're in the long

0:24:55.359 --> 0:24:57.560
<v Speaker 9>game for and so I think you're gonna see short game,

0:24:57.600 --> 0:25:00.760
<v Speaker 9>long game, natural gas, short game, and then we'll see

0:25:00.760 --> 0:25:05.919
<v Speaker 9>what emerges in the long game for cleaner carbon free solutions.

0:25:06.240 --> 0:25:07.639
<v Speaker 8>I'm real excited about the possible.

0:25:07.760 --> 0:25:08.560
<v Speaker 7>Do you think that?

0:25:08.880 --> 0:25:11.680
<v Speaker 6>And you said, you know, support for a bridge fuel

0:25:11.760 --> 0:25:16.639
<v Speaker 6>to get us to greener future is bipartisan. No question

0:25:16.760 --> 0:25:19.639
<v Speaker 6>though that Republicans are more supportive of fossil fuels.

0:25:19.680 --> 0:25:21.360
<v Speaker 7>We saw that just last.

0:25:21.119 --> 0:25:23.760
<v Speaker 6>Week at the RNC and the conversation around that from

0:25:23.800 --> 0:25:28.000
<v Speaker 6>the speeches. Are you concerned that if Republicans do retake

0:25:28.040 --> 0:25:31.840
<v Speaker 6>the White House, green energy and investment in green energy

0:25:32.440 --> 0:25:34.160
<v Speaker 6>will get pushed back, will slow down.

0:25:34.760 --> 0:25:37.040
<v Speaker 9>I'm not, you know, And do I think it could

0:25:37.040 --> 0:25:42.040
<v Speaker 9>create a bit of a change. Sure, regulatory it always matters.

0:25:42.240 --> 0:25:45.480
<v Speaker 9>But the truth is is that the consumers committed to it,

0:25:46.000 --> 0:25:47.399
<v Speaker 9>and companies are committed to it.

0:25:47.400 --> 0:25:49.240
<v Speaker 8>Our utilities are committed to most.

0:25:49.080 --> 0:25:51.760
<v Speaker 9>Of name dates that they want to have their goals

0:25:51.800 --> 0:25:56.320
<v Speaker 9>met by. They're all marching quickly towards those goals, striving

0:25:56.400 --> 0:25:59.560
<v Speaker 9>to get there. Those things are resilient to the politics

0:25:59.560 --> 0:26:01.760
<v Speaker 9>of the time. Time and so I do believe you're

0:26:01.800 --> 0:26:06.520
<v Speaker 9>going to see it continue. And even during the Trump administration,

0:26:07.240 --> 0:26:10.680
<v Speaker 9>we never saw larger growth in solar than we did

0:26:10.760 --> 0:26:13.520
<v Speaker 9>during his term as president, and that's just because of

0:26:13.560 --> 0:26:17.159
<v Speaker 9>this tenacious appetite for clean energy that the world has.

0:26:17.240 --> 0:26:20.520
<v Speaker 9>So I don't see that slowing down. And I think

0:26:20.560 --> 0:26:23.439
<v Speaker 9>that there's a more pragmatic approach in some ways to

0:26:24.119 --> 0:26:28.200
<v Speaker 9>renewable energies, in needing some backup, reliable power to make

0:26:28.240 --> 0:26:30.760
<v Speaker 9>sure that you can continue to invest in renewables and

0:26:30.760 --> 0:26:33.520
<v Speaker 9>it not become disruptive.

0:26:33.160 --> 0:26:34.399
<v Speaker 3>Because of your vantage point.

0:26:34.400 --> 0:26:37.720
<v Speaker 4>As Tim said, you know, largest company probably never heard of,

0:26:37.760 --> 0:26:39.800
<v Speaker 4>but you probably should have heard it because of the

0:26:40.400 --> 0:26:43.760
<v Speaker 4>different types of industries you play into. What about your

0:26:43.800 --> 0:26:45.680
<v Speaker 4>business and what you are seeing do you think might

0:26:45.720 --> 0:26:47.560
<v Speaker 4>surprise the Bloomberg audience.

0:26:48.000 --> 0:26:50.920
<v Speaker 9>I think probably how much of the value stream we're

0:26:50.960 --> 0:26:51.399
<v Speaker 9>involved in.

0:26:51.480 --> 0:26:52.280
<v Speaker 8>Everybody knows us.

0:26:52.320 --> 0:26:54.760
<v Speaker 9>We're number one in power, we're number two in data

0:26:55.200 --> 0:26:58.280
<v Speaker 9>as an engineer construction company, so everybody that does know

0:26:58.359 --> 0:27:00.640
<v Speaker 9>Burns a Mac knows us there. But I would say

0:27:00.640 --> 0:27:03.359
<v Speaker 9>most people would probably be surprised at how far upstream

0:27:03.520 --> 0:27:08.160
<v Speaker 9>we go in the consultancy side of studying the power

0:27:08.160 --> 0:27:11.720
<v Speaker 9>grids in the United States, really helping utilities and other

0:27:11.880 --> 0:27:17.480
<v Speaker 9>interconnect companies come into the right power purchase agreements. You know,

0:27:17.520 --> 0:27:21.439
<v Speaker 9>we're very much in the permitting side of air and

0:27:21.800 --> 0:27:25.040
<v Speaker 9>land permitting, so we really have a perspective that that

0:27:25.280 --> 0:27:29.000
<v Speaker 9>really is ahead of what's coming in our consultancy group,

0:27:29.080 --> 0:27:32.480
<v Speaker 9>we call it our eighteen ninety eight and co. That's

0:27:32.520 --> 0:27:34.119
<v Speaker 9>the year we were found at, one hundred and twenty

0:27:34.119 --> 0:27:35.760
<v Speaker 9>six years ago. But I think that's always a little

0:27:35.760 --> 0:27:38.040
<v Speaker 9>surprising to people that haven't tapped into that brain of

0:27:38.119 --> 0:27:38.800
<v Speaker 9>Burns and Max.

0:27:39.000 --> 0:27:43.199
<v Speaker 6>Not to be confused with an offshoot of the Kevin Costner.

0:27:43.560 --> 0:27:46.840
<v Speaker 9>Exactly, not very confusing the website.

0:27:47.040 --> 0:27:50.919
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, it's not, you know, the Dutton family. It's not

0:27:50.960 --> 0:27:53.679
<v Speaker 6>an offshoot of the Dutton family. I do want to

0:27:53.680 --> 0:27:57.680
<v Speaker 6>know about revenue, where the revenue comes from in terms

0:27:57.680 --> 0:28:02.159
<v Speaker 6>of private industry customers coming after you, your customers who

0:28:02.200 --> 0:28:08.080
<v Speaker 6>are in private sector versus municipalities, states and the federal government.

0:28:08.680 --> 0:28:09.800
<v Speaker 8>Sure, it's a great question.

0:28:10.000 --> 0:28:12.880
<v Speaker 9>I'll start with the last and say, you know, municipalities

0:28:12.920 --> 0:28:15.560
<v Speaker 9>in the federal government, they've really you know, found funding

0:28:15.720 --> 0:28:18.639
<v Speaker 9>in some of the recent government action, and so there's

0:28:18.680 --> 0:28:21.320
<v Speaker 9>a pretty robust amount of government work coming out, so

0:28:21.320 --> 0:28:23.240
<v Speaker 9>we see a lot going on there.

0:28:24.080 --> 0:28:26.000
<v Speaker 8>We see an.

0:28:25.600 --> 0:28:28.080
<v Speaker 9>Enormous amount of work in manufacturing.

0:28:28.160 --> 0:28:28.439
<v Speaker 8>That's a.

0:28:30.080 --> 0:28:33.960
<v Speaker 9>Broad bucket of business, but it gets real surgical when

0:28:33.960 --> 0:28:36.439
<v Speaker 9>you start looking at it. It's reshoring of products that

0:28:36.480 --> 0:28:39.240
<v Speaker 9>we learned we needed to build here in the US.

0:28:39.280 --> 0:28:40.080
<v Speaker 3>Is that continuing?

0:28:40.280 --> 0:28:40.520
<v Speaker 7>It is?

0:28:40.680 --> 0:28:41.640
<v Speaker 8>It is continuing.

0:28:41.920 --> 0:28:43.920
<v Speaker 9>We really you can see it in land prices in

0:28:43.960 --> 0:28:47.480
<v Speaker 9>the right places. Logistic companies are really seeing, you know,

0:28:47.560 --> 0:28:51.600
<v Speaker 9>land prices go up. So manufacturing is real. And then

0:28:51.640 --> 0:28:56.240
<v Speaker 9>even like in our refining space, the focus on renewable

0:28:56.280 --> 0:29:00.640
<v Speaker 9>fuels and you know feedstock that's renewable and so some

0:29:00.680 --> 0:29:02.840
<v Speaker 9>of that is super interesting. I think people would be

0:29:03.080 --> 0:29:06.440
<v Speaker 9>really thrilled at the work that's being done there and

0:29:06.480 --> 0:29:09.719
<v Speaker 9>the amount of time and energy going into trying to

0:29:09.760 --> 0:29:12.480
<v Speaker 9>reframe the game. And I think airlines are at the

0:29:12.480 --> 0:29:15.440
<v Speaker 9>tip of that. They really are very interested, very mindful

0:29:16.080 --> 0:29:19.520
<v Speaker 9>of the environment around us, and they're trying to figure

0:29:19.560 --> 0:29:22.240
<v Speaker 9>out how they can pivot to renewable fuels. So there's

0:29:22.280 --> 0:29:25.320
<v Speaker 9>exciting things going on in any microcosm of our.

0:29:26.960 --> 0:29:27.360
<v Speaker 8>Markets.

0:29:27.400 --> 0:29:29.800
<v Speaker 9>But when you really look closer what's.

0:29:29.680 --> 0:29:31.800
<v Speaker 8>Driving it, it's not that dissimilar.

0:29:32.240 --> 0:29:34.400
<v Speaker 9>And so people are focused on trying to clean things

0:29:34.480 --> 0:29:38.760
<v Speaker 9>up and get things regulated, and I believe in a

0:29:38.760 --> 0:29:42.360
<v Speaker 9>carbon free future that is possible if we keep down

0:29:42.400 --> 0:29:42.800
<v Speaker 9>this road.

0:29:42.840 --> 0:29:44.160
<v Speaker 8>And so I think it's exciting times.

0:29:44.200 --> 0:29:46.320
<v Speaker 3>Some would say we don't have a choice. It's are

0:29:46.320 --> 0:29:47.160
<v Speaker 3>based on what's going on.

0:29:47.240 --> 0:29:50.440
<v Speaker 4>Hey, Leslie, just got about thirty seconds left here, because

0:29:50.520 --> 0:29:52.760
<v Speaker 4>you have such a great window into so much of

0:29:52.760 --> 0:29:55.400
<v Speaker 4>what's going on, and I know you say you're kind

0:29:55.400 --> 0:29:57.800
<v Speaker 4>of counter to the economy or what's going on. Potentially

0:29:58.880 --> 0:30:03.360
<v Speaker 4>any signs of slow down recession give us an idea

0:30:03.440 --> 0:30:04.240
<v Speaker 4>we are bloomberg.

0:30:04.280 --> 0:30:05.960
<v Speaker 8>We always like you know, you.

0:30:05.920 --> 0:30:10.120
<v Speaker 9>Know, we we are not seeing significant slow down, and

0:30:10.200 --> 0:30:13.080
<v Speaker 9>so you know, we I think if we see headwinds,

0:30:13.160 --> 0:30:17.480
<v Speaker 9>it's in some of the procurement streams. Some of the

0:30:17.520 --> 0:30:23.240
<v Speaker 9>global procurement that we do is seeing continued strife and difficulty.

0:30:23.360 --> 0:30:26.680
<v Speaker 9>Electronics in particular, we are really struggling. And by the way,

0:30:26.720 --> 0:30:29.560
<v Speaker 9>the world is electrical. I say, the world is run

0:30:29.560 --> 0:30:31.880
<v Speaker 9>by electrical engineers. They just haven't figured it out yet.

0:30:32.320 --> 0:30:36.320
<v Speaker 9>But everything is becoming electrified. And so you look at cars.

0:30:36.320 --> 0:30:37.920
<v Speaker 9>We talk about that all the time, but it's not

0:30:38.200 --> 0:30:41.720
<v Speaker 9>just that it's automation in every walk of our lives,

0:30:42.280 --> 0:30:46.440
<v Speaker 9>and those things are really struggling in a global economy,

0:30:47.000 --> 0:30:50.520
<v Speaker 9>and the logistics of electronics is still something that we're

0:30:50.560 --> 0:30:53.600
<v Speaker 9>struggling to meet demand, and it is the long lead

0:30:53.600 --> 0:30:56.760
<v Speaker 9>items on all of our projects, regardless of industry and marketplace.

0:30:57.360 --> 0:31:01.160
<v Speaker 6>Leslie really appreciate you joining us. Leslie, CEO of Burns

0:31:01.160 --> 0:31:03.680
<v Speaker 6>and McDonald based in Kansas City. Here in our Bloomberg

0:31:03.680 --> 0:31:05.360
<v Speaker 6>Interactive at Brokers Studio.

0:31:06.440 --> 0:31:12.800
<v Speaker 4>I'm brother Marc, a journal How about you let me drive?

0:31:13.040 --> 0:31:15.040
<v Speaker 2>Oh no, no, no no, who's gone to drive?

0:31:16.120 --> 0:31:18.360
<v Speaker 5>Honey? Please, I'll do the riding gravel.

0:31:18.960 --> 0:31:20.280
<v Speaker 1>Let's wat I want to drive.

0:31:20.320 --> 0:31:23.480
<v Speaker 2>It's good question.

0:31:27.280 --> 0:31:29.200
<v Speaker 7>This is the drive to the globe.

0:31:29.400 --> 0:31:32.520
<v Speaker 2>Dot com think we'll buy around each other down on

0:31:32.760 --> 0:31:33.720
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Radio.

0:31:34.040 --> 0:31:36.200
<v Speaker 3>All right, everybody TikTok as I like to say.

0:31:36.120 --> 0:31:36.760
<v Speaker 7>Is it TikTok?

0:31:37.280 --> 0:31:40.640
<v Speaker 4>It is all right, man, I'm not going on. As

0:31:40.680 --> 0:31:43.120
<v Speaker 4>you know, there's about twelve minutes left in today's trading session.

0:31:43.200 --> 0:31:46.760
<v Speaker 4>Charlie just breaking down the trade. We are hovering neuro

0:31:46.840 --> 0:31:48.720
<v Speaker 4>lows of the session, so that means three point three

0:31:48.760 --> 0:31:51.440
<v Speaker 4>percent lower on the Nasdaq, one hundred two point two

0:31:51.440 --> 0:31:53.479
<v Speaker 4>percent lower on the S and P five hundred, one

0:31:53.520 --> 0:31:55.959
<v Speaker 4>point two percent lower on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

0:31:56.000 --> 0:32:00.160
<v Speaker 4>Just rehear hashing those numbers because we haven't seen it's

0:32:00.200 --> 0:32:02.000
<v Speaker 4>kind of selling in some time. In fact, if you

0:32:02.000 --> 0:32:04.040
<v Speaker 4>look at the Nasdaq one hundred, last time we saw

0:32:05.200 --> 0:32:08.960
<v Speaker 4>we were down this much. This is I guess, the

0:32:09.000 --> 0:32:12.320
<v Speaker 4>most in terms of a decline since October of twenty

0:32:12.360 --> 0:32:15.680
<v Speaker 4>twenty two. So yeah, not quite two full years, but

0:32:15.800 --> 0:32:16.800
<v Speaker 4>getting the close about.

0:32:16.600 --> 0:32:17.280
<v Speaker 3>One and a half or so.

0:32:17.560 --> 0:32:19.560
<v Speaker 6>S and P only up fourteen percent so far this

0:32:19.640 --> 0:32:20.560
<v Speaker 6>year only.

0:32:21.160 --> 0:32:23.880
<v Speaker 4>And listen, mark go up, markets go down right, and

0:32:23.920 --> 0:32:26.280
<v Speaker 4>some say buying opportunity or not? Or is it a

0:32:26.320 --> 0:32:29.280
<v Speaker 4>reset like this is? But we're still kind of earlyish

0:32:29.440 --> 0:32:29.959
<v Speaker 4>in earnings.

0:32:30.000 --> 0:32:31.400
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I think it's fair to say. Let's see what

0:32:31.560 --> 0:32:34.239
<v Speaker 6>Nevill Javari has to say. Zequity portfolio manager at all

0:32:34.240 --> 0:32:36.480
<v Speaker 6>Spring Global Investments. They've got about five hundred and seventy

0:32:36.600 --> 0:32:39.920
<v Speaker 6>billion dollars in assets under management. Usually he's hanging out

0:32:39.960 --> 0:32:43.080
<v Speaker 6>just outside of Washington, DC, but he's joining nothing going

0:32:43.120 --> 0:32:46.680
<v Speaker 6>on there. Don't go to Paris right now, and maybe

0:32:46.720 --> 0:32:48.000
<v Speaker 6>you know, if you don't want to go to see

0:32:48.000 --> 0:32:50.760
<v Speaker 6>the Olympics, and maybe stay out of Washington if you

0:32:50.800 --> 0:32:54.040
<v Speaker 6>want a game going. Yeah, there certainly is Neville good

0:32:54.040 --> 0:32:55.920
<v Speaker 6>to have you with us. What do you make of

0:32:55.920 --> 0:32:58.200
<v Speaker 6>what of the way that Carol described the environment is it?

0:32:58.240 --> 0:33:01.280
<v Speaker 6>Is it a buying opportunity now? At the same time,

0:33:01.520 --> 0:33:03.400
<v Speaker 6>we are just at the start of earning season, and

0:33:03.600 --> 0:33:07.160
<v Speaker 6>boy that mag seven. The two stocks that reported yesterday,

0:33:07.160 --> 0:33:09.840
<v Speaker 6>Alphabet and Tesla, certainly put in a different kind of

0:33:09.880 --> 0:33:10.800
<v Speaker 6>tone in the market today.

0:33:10.920 --> 0:33:13.240
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, thanks for having me, Tim, Thanks for having me Carol.

0:33:13.360 --> 0:33:17.720
<v Speaker 1>I think what you're seeing is a little continuation of

0:33:17.760 --> 0:33:21.520
<v Speaker 1>what started in the postmarket last afternoon when both Tesla

0:33:21.720 --> 0:33:25.520
<v Speaker 1>and Alphabet reported. I think there may have been a

0:33:25.720 --> 0:33:30.040
<v Speaker 1>little bit of AI fatigue that's sort of playing out today.

0:33:31.000 --> 0:33:35.520
<v Speaker 1>I think Alphabet's print and guide was pretty solid, really

0:33:35.520 --> 0:33:39.720
<v Speaker 1>good numbers, margins were good, they raised guidance. It was

0:33:39.760 --> 0:33:42.840
<v Speaker 1>a solid print, There was a solid guide. I think

0:33:42.840 --> 0:33:45.920
<v Speaker 1>the one thing that sort of concerned investors and led

0:33:45.960 --> 0:33:48.000
<v Speaker 1>to the sell off was the fact that they talked

0:33:48.000 --> 0:33:50.960
<v Speaker 1>about that the investments that they were making thus fall.

0:33:51.080 --> 0:33:54.520
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, the CAPEK spending in AI were not paying off,

0:33:54.560 --> 0:33:56.800
<v Speaker 6>and that timeline is being pushed further to the right.

0:33:56.960 --> 0:33:58.480
<v Speaker 6>You think that's more of a concern than the mess

0:33:58.480 --> 0:34:02.040
<v Speaker 6>on YouTube at revenue. I think YouTube revenue well.

0:34:01.880 --> 0:34:04.880
<v Speaker 1>I think I think Alphabet's doing what Alphabet has done historically,

0:34:05.000 --> 0:34:08.760
<v Speaker 1>right and search and ad, and then yet YouTube was weak.

0:34:09.160 --> 0:34:11.960
<v Speaker 1>And then sort of the concern was the spending on

0:34:12.400 --> 0:34:15.680
<v Speaker 1>the capex that was spent on AI, where you weren't

0:34:15.719 --> 0:34:19.040
<v Speaker 1>having quite the return that boat management. And then investors

0:34:19.040 --> 0:34:22.440
<v Speaker 1>looked at and said, yeah, maybe this has pushed out

0:34:22.520 --> 0:34:24.320
<v Speaker 1>a little bit to the right. And then you're seeing

0:34:24.360 --> 0:34:27.760
<v Speaker 1>that play out today with some of the other hyperscalers,

0:34:27.760 --> 0:34:29.600
<v Speaker 1>you're seeing it in big cap tech, and you're seeing

0:34:29.640 --> 0:34:31.840
<v Speaker 1>it sort of play through in the market this afternoon.

0:34:32.000 --> 0:34:34.880
<v Speaker 4>So I mean, how are we supposed to as investors?

0:34:34.920 --> 0:34:36.279
<v Speaker 4>I mean, this is something I feel like you and

0:34:36.320 --> 0:34:38.520
<v Speaker 4>I talk a lot about. We're so quarter to quarter focus,

0:34:39.400 --> 0:34:41.320
<v Speaker 4>you know. I feel like if you go back six months,

0:34:41.320 --> 0:34:45.440
<v Speaker 4>eight months, you know, last year, if you weren't spending

0:34:45.480 --> 0:34:48.000
<v Speaker 4>on AI, you were kind of smacked down because you

0:34:48.080 --> 0:34:50.360
<v Speaker 4>might be behind the curve. So is it just a

0:34:50.440 --> 0:34:54.040
<v Speaker 4>case of, you know, what's the right balance between spending

0:34:54.120 --> 0:34:57.360
<v Speaker 4>and payoff? Do we not get enough clarity about the

0:34:57.400 --> 0:35:00.000
<v Speaker 4>spending that Google is doing when it's connected to AI,

0:35:00.200 --> 0:35:02.920
<v Speaker 4>and whether or not. It's seeing that return on investment.

0:35:03.040 --> 0:35:03.560
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I think.

0:35:03.640 --> 0:35:05.719
<v Speaker 1>I think if you look back, or you listen back

0:35:05.760 --> 0:35:08.120
<v Speaker 1>to some of the transcripts and the earnings calls going

0:35:08.160 --> 0:35:11.239
<v Speaker 1>back a year, if you threw the word AI in there,

0:35:11.719 --> 0:35:15.840
<v Speaker 1>it almost helped your stock price rally. So I think

0:35:16.239 --> 0:35:17.240
<v Speaker 1>now you've got.

0:35:17.160 --> 0:35:21.880
<v Speaker 6>Now that you've done it blockchain, remember that six or

0:35:21.920 --> 0:35:22.880
<v Speaker 6>seven years ago.

0:35:23.360 --> 0:35:26.279
<v Speaker 1>You've gotten to a point where investors are starting to

0:35:26.400 --> 0:35:30.680
<v Speaker 1>question how much of this is necessary, how's it playing out?

0:35:31.000 --> 0:35:33.480
<v Speaker 1>And really what are the benefits? Can we absorb this

0:35:33.560 --> 0:35:37.960
<v Speaker 1>in our business, use it, become more productive, become more efficient,

0:35:38.200 --> 0:35:40.600
<v Speaker 1>And I think those questions are starting to bubble up

0:35:40.600 --> 0:35:43.240
<v Speaker 1>a little bit more. And then what Google said, Alphabet

0:35:43.320 --> 0:35:46.880
<v Speaker 1>said last afternoon sort of really set off a greater

0:35:47.320 --> 0:35:50.040
<v Speaker 1>level of scrutiny in these investments around AI.

0:35:50.239 --> 0:35:53.280
<v Speaker 6>Okay, we love having you come on because you brought stocks,

0:35:53.760 --> 0:35:56.920
<v Speaker 6>and just so everybody knows if you bring stocks, if

0:35:56.960 --> 0:35:58.839
<v Speaker 6>you bring stocks, we love you. We like stocks more

0:35:58.880 --> 0:36:02.920
<v Speaker 6>than socks. Okay, ups. Yeah, what a good day to

0:36:02.920 --> 0:36:06.440
<v Speaker 6>talk about ups because yesterday it closed down twelve percent.

0:36:07.440 --> 0:36:09.440
<v Speaker 3>We're stock declining twenty five years.

0:36:09.800 --> 0:36:10.719
<v Speaker 7>You're still bullish though?

0:36:10.800 --> 0:36:11.040
<v Speaker 5>Yeah?

0:36:11.120 --> 0:36:13.879
<v Speaker 1>Oh we like it. I think it was an overreaction.

0:36:14.440 --> 0:36:17.320
<v Speaker 1>There's plenty of good stuff there. They're investing in Network

0:36:17.360 --> 0:36:20.840
<v Speaker 1>of the Future, They've made significant investments in their Frankfort

0:36:20.920 --> 0:36:25.000
<v Speaker 1>hub that's going to tie Europe to Asia. They monetize

0:36:25.040 --> 0:36:31.000
<v Speaker 1>the brokerage business, they're reinstituting a share by back, and

0:36:31.040 --> 0:36:34.160
<v Speaker 1>then you know, a lot of this is digesting the

0:36:34.280 --> 0:36:37.839
<v Speaker 1>costs from the labor union agreement that they signed last year,

0:36:37.880 --> 0:36:40.040
<v Speaker 1>so some of that will be behind them in the

0:36:40.080 --> 0:36:42.759
<v Speaker 1>coming year and they're going to exit the year with

0:36:43.160 --> 0:36:46.080
<v Speaker 1>ten plus percent margins on the domestic side. So there's

0:36:46.120 --> 0:36:48.960
<v Speaker 1>plenty of good stuff out there. I think investors would

0:36:49.000 --> 0:36:51.359
<v Speaker 1>just focus on the fact that expenses were higher than

0:36:51.360 --> 0:36:52.200
<v Speaker 1>where they should be.

0:36:52.400 --> 0:36:52.880
<v Speaker 3>The passion.

0:36:53.040 --> 0:36:55.680
<v Speaker 4>Is it shipping though or smaller and less profitable. Is

0:36:55.719 --> 0:36:57.840
<v Speaker 4>that a worsome or is it just a some of

0:36:57.920 --> 0:36:58.759
<v Speaker 4>it kirls.

0:36:58.520 --> 0:37:02.239
<v Speaker 1>Some of it just because what they said was there

0:37:02.280 --> 0:37:05.720
<v Speaker 1>was a certain type of business owner that was moving

0:37:05.760 --> 0:37:07.920
<v Speaker 1>from next day air to ground, and then there was

0:37:07.920 --> 0:37:10.840
<v Speaker 1>a certain a certain profile that was moving from ground

0:37:10.840 --> 0:37:13.120
<v Speaker 1>to short posts. So yeah, that's going.

0:37:13.040 --> 0:37:13.640
<v Speaker 7>To play out.

0:37:14.200 --> 0:37:17.480
<v Speaker 1>The contract that they signed with the USPS is going

0:37:17.560 --> 0:37:20.799
<v Speaker 1>to be incrementally added to the events it is, and

0:37:20.840 --> 0:37:23.000
<v Speaker 1>it's going to come online at the back half of

0:37:23.040 --> 0:37:26.680
<v Speaker 1>the year and you're going to see those benefits before

0:37:26.719 --> 0:37:27.680
<v Speaker 1>we let you go.

0:37:27.680 --> 0:37:30.480
<v Speaker 3>Gosh, I want to go to Hilton.

0:37:30.640 --> 0:37:32.400
<v Speaker 6>I want to go to Hilton. Yeah, we could do

0:37:32.520 --> 0:37:34.920
<v Speaker 6>Union Pacific. They report tomorrow, but let's do Hilton. It's

0:37:34.960 --> 0:37:36.759
<v Speaker 6>up nineteen percent so far this year. We don't hear

0:37:36.760 --> 0:37:40.600
<v Speaker 6>from them until August. What's going on with Hilton.

0:37:40.680 --> 0:37:44.279
<v Speaker 1>Great franchise asset light model they've been bringing on. They

0:37:44.280 --> 0:37:47.120
<v Speaker 1>have the whole spectrum from sort of the consumer to

0:37:47.200 --> 0:37:51.960
<v Speaker 1>business low end to the luxury portfolio. Business travel has

0:37:52.000 --> 0:37:54.520
<v Speaker 1>actually been a strong point for them. You have people

0:37:55.040 --> 0:37:58.520
<v Speaker 1>going on business trips, staying overnight longer than they did

0:37:58.640 --> 0:38:01.240
<v Speaker 1>so instead of a two night visit, it's now maybe.

0:38:01.040 --> 0:38:03.359
<v Speaker 7>Three or four. We're traveling. We are traveling a lot.

0:38:03.480 --> 0:38:05.200
<v Speaker 3>We are traveling more than we have in a while.

0:38:05.320 --> 0:38:05.520
<v Speaker 7>Yeah.

0:38:05.600 --> 0:38:08.040
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it's interesting because so it doesn't matter if the

0:38:08.120 --> 0:38:09.200
<v Speaker 4>revenge travel is over.

0:38:10.160 --> 0:38:11.000
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it's over.

0:38:11.040 --> 0:38:12.359
<v Speaker 3>You don't think it's think it's playing out.

0:38:12.719 --> 0:38:15.520
<v Speaker 1>The hybrid work week helps people work in three days,

0:38:15.560 --> 0:38:17.400
<v Speaker 1>remote and being able to travel work.

0:38:17.280 --> 0:38:19.040
<v Speaker 3>For There are a lot of people on business tips.

0:38:19.120 --> 0:38:20.680
<v Speaker 3>Taking like a significant other.

0:38:21.160 --> 0:38:25.480
<v Speaker 7>Really not us? Hell, hold on, hold on, we can

0:38:25.520 --> 0:38:25.919
<v Speaker 7>do that.

0:38:26.080 --> 0:38:27.640
<v Speaker 3>What do they call that when people like.

0:38:27.600 --> 0:38:29.000
<v Speaker 7>They take you, but then you got to take your kids.

0:38:29.040 --> 0:38:33.600
<v Speaker 3>Here's a word for it, to take your heads. Nice

0:38:33.600 --> 0:38:34.160
<v Speaker 3>to have you here.

0:38:34.360 --> 0:38:35.600
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much for having me.

0:38:35.640 --> 0:38:38.400
<v Speaker 7>Appreciate it. We'll come back. Appreciate it all right.

0:38:38.440 --> 0:38:39.040
<v Speaker 3>Nevill Jabari.

0:38:39.120 --> 0:38:42.319
<v Speaker 4>He's an equity portfolio manager at all Spring Global Investments,

0:38:42.600 --> 0:38:44.799
<v Speaker 4>five hundred and seventy billion dollars in assets under manager,

0:38:44.880 --> 0:38:46.400
<v Speaker 4>joining us right here in our studio.

0:38:47.160 --> 0:38:51.799
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Podcast, a little Apple, Spotify,

0:38:51.920 --> 0:38:55.640
<v Speaker 2>and anywhere else you get your podcast. Listen live weekday

0:38:55.680 --> 0:38:59.240
<v Speaker 2>afternoons from two to five pm Eastern on Bloomberg dot com,

0:38:59.320 --> 0:39:02.640
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0:39:02.719 --> 0:39:05.640
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0:39:05.880 --> 0:39:07.880
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