WEBVTT - Exxon to Buy Denbury for $4.9 Billion in Pipeline Push

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Wait inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 1>global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebek from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>And the x On Mobile.

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<v Speaker 3>Agreed to buy Denberry from four point nine billion. It's

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<v Speaker 3>biggest acquisition in six years. It's a deal that will

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<v Speaker 3>give Xon, which is of course a major integrated oil company,

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<v Speaker 3>major player. It's going to give it the largest network

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<v Speaker 3>of carbon dioxide pipelines in the US. Danbury's key asset.

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<v Speaker 3>I guess I've got thirteen hundred miles.

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<v Speaker 2>DO two pipelines.

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<v Speaker 4>What got my attention today because I was like, what

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<v Speaker 4>are CO two pipelines? We have pipelines that ship around

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<v Speaker 4>CO two. So I started looking into it, and it

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<v Speaker 4>turns out that they use that to pull more oil

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<v Speaker 4>out of old wells. But also they can use these

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<v Speaker 4>pipelines to carry CO two around and put it back

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<v Speaker 4>in the ground.

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<v Speaker 3>Yay, all right, so let's find out the significance of it.

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<v Speaker 3>There's also some news on Shell looking for options to sell.

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<v Speaker 3>I guess it's global renewable power operations with more on

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<v Speaker 3>all of this is our energy guru, Alex Steel. She

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<v Speaker 3>has also Bloomberg TV and Commodities Edge anchor, and she's

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<v Speaker 3>on the phone in New York City, Yes.

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<v Speaker 4>From ten to twelve every weekday.

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<v Speaker 5>Alex, you da, I love the promo.

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<v Speaker 3>Hello Hello, So tell us about the significance of this deal, Alex.

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<v Speaker 5>So, basically, Exon's buying these pipelines, like Matt was just saying,

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<v Speaker 5>and this is really an Inflation Reduction Act play. So

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<v Speaker 5>here's the deal. In the Inflation Reduction Act, there is

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<v Speaker 5>a subsidy where if you're able to put CO two

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<v Speaker 5>in the ground, you get eighty five bucks a ton

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<v Speaker 5>and that comes in the form of a check and

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<v Speaker 5>then eventually it comes in the form of a tax credit.

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<v Speaker 5>So there's a lot of money to be made in

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<v Speaker 5>this and that went a very long way in making

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<v Speaker 5>the storage really viable. Right, So this is what Exon did.

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<v Speaker 5>So they are working on a few projects on the

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<v Speaker 5>golf code. They have three customers, CF Industries, Lend as

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<v Speaker 5>well as new Core that they promise they're going to

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<v Speaker 5>put some of their CO two back in the ground

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<v Speaker 5>and this is going to go a really long way.

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<v Speaker 5>In helping them do all of that net nets.

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<v Speaker 3>That's the deal.

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<v Speaker 4>So let me bring in Kevin Crowley right now, senior

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<v Speaker 4>US oil reporter, Kevin, how serious is this, uh? Putting

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<v Speaker 4>CO two back in the ground in terms of, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>fighting climate change.

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<v Speaker 6>All the majors, all the major bodies really recognize that,

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<v Speaker 6>you know, carbon capture is a key climate change fighting

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<v Speaker 6>technology because there are certain sectors that are really impossible

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<v Speaker 6>to decarbonize without carbon captures, such as cement airlines at

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<v Speaker 6>the moment, you know, refineries, chemical plants, these these type

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<v Speaker 6>type of things, they're always going to emit c O

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<v Speaker 6>two and carbon capture really is the only way to

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<v Speaker 6>to stop that CO two being put into the app However,

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<v Speaker 6>carbon catch has had a very long history of failure,

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<v Speaker 6>and Egxon is really hoping that this acquisition is going

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<v Speaker 6>to is going to help them, help them get it

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<v Speaker 6>right this time, well and help us.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, I'm looking at a exceon mobile right. This

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<v Speaker 3>is a company with alex what three hundred and forty

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<v Speaker 3>two billion expected in revenues this coming year. It's a

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<v Speaker 3>four hundred and twenty two billion dollar market cap. So

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<v Speaker 3>put this in perspective, this deal in their overall business.

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<v Speaker 5>Fair I mean it was. It's a six billion dollar deal,

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<v Speaker 5>I mean five billion dollars. It's their biggest in six years.

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<v Speaker 5>So that's one part of it. But I think it's

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<v Speaker 5>about the future that counts. So they've already committed about

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<v Speaker 5>seventeen billion dollars over the next four years to decarbonize

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<v Speaker 5>their own stuff as well as other company stuff, if

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<v Speaker 5>I just put it that way. So the idea is

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<v Speaker 5>that they're going to be making a lot of money

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<v Speaker 5>on this in the future. Like, is it a viable,

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<v Speaker 5>super awesome business now? Probably not. I spoke to Dan Ammon,

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<v Speaker 5>who runs their low carbon solutions business on that, and

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<v Speaker 5>he's like, we don't make a deal unless it's already profitable.

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<v Speaker 5>How profitable it's going to be? I don't think anyone

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<v Speaker 5>really knows that, because they're going to need to customers

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<v Speaker 5>like see if industries in New Core to come in

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<v Speaker 5>and sign these deals with them. What we do know

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<v Speaker 5>is that this has the opportunity to be a lot

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<v Speaker 5>more profitable than the deals like Shell and BP, who

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<v Speaker 5>been on renewables and now are like, oh God, what

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<v Speaker 5>do I do? The returns aren't there.

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<v Speaker 4>I got to get out of this, and we're seeing

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<v Speaker 4>that today in Shell. I wonder, Kevin, and I'll throw

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<v Speaker 4>this one to you. You know, Exon Mobile famously has

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<v Speaker 4>board members from Engine number one, an activist shareholder that

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<v Speaker 4>hopefully is going to do good for the climate. Is

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<v Speaker 4>this kind of deal, Is this kind of movement, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>bear the hallmark of Engine number one pushing Exon Mobile

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<v Speaker 4>to be a more responsible kind of global citizen.

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<v Speaker 6>I think so. I think it's I think it's inconceivable

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<v Speaker 6>that this would have happened before twenty twenty one, which

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<v Speaker 6>is when those Engine number one directors were elected onto

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<v Speaker 6>the boards. Now, Egxon has this low carbon solutions business,

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<v Speaker 6>which is one of its three main divisions alongside it's

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<v Speaker 6>a it's a big upstream and obviously refining in chemicals.

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<v Speaker 6>So they are they are taking this now a lot

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<v Speaker 6>more seriously than they were, you know, even even three

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<v Speaker 6>years ago. So clearly they are having a big effect

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<v Speaker 6>on the on the on the company strategy.

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<v Speaker 1>Now.

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<v Speaker 6>It may not be as quick as as what some

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<v Speaker 6>environmentalists would like, but I think the hallmarks of a

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<v Speaker 6>Venge number one are definitely here.

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<v Speaker 3>Help me out, guys. I mean, this carbon dioxide has

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<v Speaker 3>to go somewhere, right, and if a if a pipe bursts,

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<v Speaker 3>not a good thing, right, I mean, so, Kevin, there

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<v Speaker 3>are dangers to this strategy.

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<v Speaker 6>Yes, definitely. I mean, the best thing for the environment

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<v Speaker 6>is not to produce the carbon direxide in the first place.

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<v Speaker 6>And that's that's why, that's why a lot of environmentalists

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<v Speaker 6>are actually anti carbon capture because it does it does

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<v Speaker 6>perpetuate the life of the fossil fuels industry. But in

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<v Speaker 6>the event that carbon is being produced, the industry says, well,

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<v Speaker 6>you know, it's much better to capture it and put

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<v Speaker 6>it in the ground. But you're right, there are there

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<v Speaker 6>are a lot of risks associated with that. The industry

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<v Speaker 6>says that carbon can be sequestered in the ground for

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<v Speaker 6>hundreds of thousands of years. Do we know that, we don't.

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<v Speaker 6>It may not, it may not work like that. Pipelines

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<v Speaker 6>also can be can be can be quite dangerous. There

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<v Speaker 6>was a big incident in there early earlier this year

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<v Speaker 6>I think in Mississippi where carbon dioxide pipeline burst and

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<v Speaker 6>was awful for the surrounding community. Lots of hospitalizations, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 6>So this is certainly a strategy not without risk and

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<v Speaker 6>As I said, carbon capture hasn't had the best hasn't

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<v Speaker 6>really worked for the last twenty years. So now eggs

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<v Speaker 6>On is really making a push to really really try

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<v Speaker 6>and make it work this time.

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<v Speaker 4>It's got to be a valuable asset just just because

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<v Speaker 4>this is pipeline that is built. I mean, Alex, you

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<v Speaker 4>know the regulatory the regulatory andronment here. It's not easy

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<v Speaker 4>to build pipelines for anything.

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<v Speaker 5>No, And then that's one of the questions I asked

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<v Speaker 5>dan Am and I was like, why was this better

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<v Speaker 5>to buy than build? It would have cost probably more

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<v Speaker 5>or more importantly taken a lot longer. I read this

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<v Speaker 5>one grade article or survey that said you're looking at

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<v Speaker 5>anywhere from like three to six years to do anything

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<v Speaker 5>like whether.

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<v Speaker 7>It's natural gas, whether it's win any of it takes

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<v Speaker 7>forever to get it done, which is one of the

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<v Speaker 7>main hurdles in the energy transition. Like everyone knows secretly

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<v Speaker 7>you're going to need to put shovels projects in the ground,

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<v Speaker 7>but no one wants to be the first person to

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<v Speaker 7>say that. So this kind of gives them a leg up.

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<v Speaker 7>What is also interesting too, and I wonder, you know,

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<v Speaker 7>if Kevin has thought about this also, is it what

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<v Speaker 7>it means for their oil assets. There was lots of

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<v Speaker 7>rumors circulating that Exam was going to buy Pioneer Natural

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<v Speaker 7>Resources that would have been a straight up pure shale play.

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<v Speaker 7>And I wonder if that like puts it on the

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<v Speaker 7>back burner now or if they can you know, chew

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<v Speaker 7>gum and tie their shoes all at.

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<v Speaker 6>The same time.

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<v Speaker 7>But I wonder if it also sort of takes the

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<v Speaker 7>focus away from that part of the business in terms

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<v Speaker 7>of actually buying that growth too.

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<v Speaker 6>Kevin, what do you think I think Excell can tie

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<v Speaker 6>their shoes and chew gum than you are exactly this is,

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<v Speaker 6>this is exactly exactly there is There is no way

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<v Speaker 6>that this this this compromises or is a trade offs

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<v Speaker 6>all with their oil and gas business. Eggs On is

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<v Speaker 6>one hundred percent all in on oil and gas will

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<v Speaker 6>be for for many decades to come if they they

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<v Speaker 6>are expanding their oil and gas production quite aggressively actually

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<v Speaker 6>all over the world. So I mean, there's Guyana's the

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<v Speaker 6>key example, but there's also Peri and we actually had

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<v Speaker 6>this this week as well. They're sort of targeting final

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<v Speaker 6>investment decision in Mozambique in twenty twenty five or so.

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<v Speaker 6>So you know this is this is the complimentary to

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<v Speaker 6>oil and gas. And of course you know this is

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<v Speaker 6>a company that made record profits last year, so it

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<v Speaker 6>can it can afford to do both.

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<v Speaker 3>You guys are incredible. Thank you so much. Alex Steele,

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<v Speaker 3>Commodity's Edge anchor, Bloomberg Television, of course, the European market

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<v Speaker 3>close on the phone in New York City, and Kevin

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<v Speaker 3>Crawley are thanks to you as well, senior US oil

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<v Speaker 3>reporter at Bloomberg News on Zoom from Houston. Interesting right, yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>fascinating face gives them a pipeline.

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<v Speaker 4>It was one of the first stories I read this morning.

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<v Speaker 4>Very cool stuff.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't know if you've seen Matt. I was looking

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<v Speaker 3>at some statistics getting ready for this segment, and so

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<v Speaker 3>we know post pandemic, people were isolated, they were bored,

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of people turned to illegal drugs.

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<v Speaker 4>And that's what I do, and I on board stop.

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<v Speaker 3>The increase in fatalities was fastest from twenty nineteen to

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<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty one, as deaths from overdoses rose. In general,

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<v Speaker 3>opioid overdoses took the lives of eighty thousand Americans in

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<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty one. That's the last year with official final numbers.

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<v Speaker 3>And then we had, of course the reckoning, a big settlement.

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<v Speaker 3>So is like Purdue, McKesson, j and Jay, CBS, Walmart, Walgreens,

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of them, all part of a more than

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<v Speaker 3>fifty billion dollars settlement of opioid claims. So I don't know,

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<v Speaker 3>do you know exactly what's happening with that money?

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<v Speaker 4>It's interesting. I well, I don't know about the money.

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<v Speaker 4>But I spent, as you know, the pandemic in Germany

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<v Speaker 4>and had some skiing accidents and broken bones while I

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<v Speaker 4>was there, you know. And they don't prescribe opioids essentially.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, they can obviously in terrible cases, but by

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<v Speaker 4>and large, the most powerful drug you're getting for pain

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<v Speaker 4>is ibuprofen. And yeah, as a result, they don't have

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<v Speaker 4>any kind of problem with opioids.

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<v Speaker 2>All right.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, maybe that's a deeper subject or a deeper conversation.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, that's the end of that conversation. That's how

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<v Speaker 4>long it lasts.

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<v Speaker 3>All right, Well, let's see what Sarah Whaley has to say,

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<v Speaker 3>because she is program manager of the Bloomberg Overdose Prevention

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<v Speaker 3>Initiative at the Johns Hopkins Blueberg School Public Health, as

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<v Speaker 3>you know, supported by Michael R. Bloomberg, founder of Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 3>ELPI and Bluemberg Philanthropies. She z owns youim in Baltimore. Sarah,

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<v Speaker 3>I feel like you bring up the subject of opioids,

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<v Speaker 3>and Matt makes a really good point. It's there's a

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<v Speaker 3>lot to this a.

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<v Speaker 4>Very American problem.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, and I agree. I just had a family member

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<v Speaker 3>who had some surgery and they just kind of threw opioids.

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<v Speaker 3>It's still yes, is nice? So where are we the

0:11:26.840 --> 0:11:29.880
<v Speaker 3>opioid crisis? Can we start there? Yeah?

0:11:29.920 --> 0:11:32.880
<v Speaker 8>So it's it's not a great topic to start off

0:11:32.880 --> 0:11:36.200
<v Speaker 8>with because it's it's unfortunate the opioid crisis continues to

0:11:36.240 --> 0:11:39.480
<v Speaker 8>surge across the country. Like you mentioned, the numbers in

0:11:39.520 --> 0:11:43.280
<v Speaker 8>twenty twenty one are super high. They're four times higher

0:11:43.320 --> 0:11:45.880
<v Speaker 8>than they were in the late nineties when oxycotton hit

0:11:45.920 --> 0:11:48.680
<v Speaker 8>the market and that is because we're in this era

0:11:48.760 --> 0:11:52.480
<v Speaker 8>where the main cause of overdose deaths are synthetic opioids

0:11:52.520 --> 0:11:57.360
<v Speaker 8>like fentanyl and illicitly manufactured fentanyl is more potent than

0:11:57.360 --> 0:12:01.080
<v Speaker 8>heroine and oxycotton, and it's unfortunately what we are finding

0:12:01.120 --> 0:12:03.040
<v Speaker 8>in most street drugs across the country.

0:12:03.559 --> 0:12:09.640
<v Speaker 4>Why do people, I mean, I understand how people get

0:12:09.640 --> 0:12:16.480
<v Speaker 4>hooked on oxies and vicodins and percocets. Ventanyl everybody knows

0:12:16.600 --> 0:12:19.119
<v Speaker 4>is deadly, So why does anyone take fentanyl?

0:12:20.480 --> 0:12:22.800
<v Speaker 8>So when you have a substance use disorder, when you're

0:12:22.800 --> 0:12:27.360
<v Speaker 8>addicted to opioids, there are cravings physiologically within your body,

0:12:27.440 --> 0:12:30.640
<v Speaker 8>and there are drug seeking behaviors, and so even though

0:12:30.679 --> 0:12:34.720
<v Speaker 8>you may know the risk of purchasing drugs on the street,

0:12:35.000 --> 0:12:37.880
<v Speaker 8>you have these cravings and so you do it anyway.

0:12:38.640 --> 0:12:43.720
<v Speaker 3>Why are people, to Matt's point, in Germany, you wouldn't

0:12:43.720 --> 0:12:48.000
<v Speaker 3>get opoioids. Why are we still prescribing them like that

0:12:48.040 --> 0:12:52.120
<v Speaker 3>and giving them out if we know that they're dangerous?

0:12:53.080 --> 0:12:55.440
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, So I think this all goes back to the

0:12:55.559 --> 0:12:58.760
<v Speaker 8>lawsuits that you were talking about and Purdue Pharma, and

0:12:59.240 --> 0:13:03.280
<v Speaker 8>so they're the farmaceutical manufacture of the drug oxycotton, and

0:13:05.080 --> 0:13:09.400
<v Speaker 8>that that drug was prescribed over prescribed in our country

0:13:09.440 --> 0:13:12.800
<v Speaker 8>for quite some time. And that's why these cases are

0:13:14.120 --> 0:13:17.480
<v Speaker 8>coming through our court system right now, is because of

0:13:17.520 --> 0:13:22.720
<v Speaker 8>the role that these companies have played in supplying pain

0:13:22.800 --> 0:13:24.800
<v Speaker 8>pills in our communities.

0:13:26.040 --> 0:13:28.520
<v Speaker 4>It just doesn't make sense that. I mean, Carol, your

0:13:28.679 --> 0:13:33.240
<v Speaker 4>family member had surgery what recently? So they're still doing it.

0:13:33.679 --> 0:13:37.920
<v Speaker 4>I mean, do doctors just take a while to get

0:13:37.920 --> 0:13:42.559
<v Speaker 4>on the same page as you know, you know everyone else.

0:13:43.440 --> 0:13:46.560
<v Speaker 4>Are the doctors still? Are they somehow paid? Do they

0:13:46.559 --> 0:13:49.920
<v Speaker 4>get perks for prescribing these drugs? Do patients just demand them?

0:13:50.400 --> 0:13:52.320
<v Speaker 4>I mean, what's why don't they just stop?

0:13:53.559 --> 0:13:53.640
<v Speaker 6>So?

0:13:53.760 --> 0:13:55.839
<v Speaker 8>I think I think it's a combination of a lot

0:13:55.880 --> 0:14:00.000
<v Speaker 8>of things. Regulations in how we prescribe opioids have changed

0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:03.560
<v Speaker 8>changed in response to kind of what happened in the

0:14:03.600 --> 0:14:08.319
<v Speaker 8>late nineties with with oxycotton. I think there I am

0:14:08.360 --> 0:14:11.320
<v Speaker 8>not a medical provider, so I don't I don't want

0:14:11.360 --> 0:14:13.280
<v Speaker 8>to speak for them, but I do think there is

0:14:13.320 --> 0:14:19.320
<v Speaker 8>still some utility in them. So there is Fentanyl is

0:14:19.440 --> 0:14:22.880
<v Speaker 8>used for patients who are experiencing a lot of pain

0:14:22.960 --> 0:14:26.240
<v Speaker 8>from like cancer and other procedures, So there is utility

0:14:26.440 --> 0:14:31.760
<v Speaker 8>in these pain pills, but they were were widely over

0:14:31.880 --> 0:14:33.160
<v Speaker 8>prescribed for some time.

0:14:33.320 --> 0:14:35.320
<v Speaker 3>Are they not anymore? Do we know that for a.

0:14:35.280 --> 0:14:38.920
<v Speaker 8>Fact things have changed. The number of pills that are

0:14:38.920 --> 0:14:41.160
<v Speaker 8>going out has decreased immensely.

0:14:41.920 --> 0:14:44.640
<v Speaker 4>So what do we do If you've got someone who's

0:14:44.760 --> 0:14:51.600
<v Speaker 4>addicted and isn't able to just stop using, which I

0:14:51.640 --> 0:14:54.760
<v Speaker 4>would think that's what you'd want to do, right, just stop.

0:14:55.360 --> 0:14:58.480
<v Speaker 4>But if somebody says they can't for whatever reason, they're two,

0:14:58.800 --> 0:15:02.680
<v Speaker 4>they love opioids too much, what do you do to

0:15:02.760 --> 0:15:06.120
<v Speaker 4>get them off? Is there some kind of methadone suboxone

0:15:06.160 --> 0:15:08.120
<v Speaker 4>treatment that actually works?

0:15:09.200 --> 0:15:14.040
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, So there's lots of avenues and interventions, and the

0:15:14.160 --> 0:15:18.040
<v Speaker 8>money coming down from these opioid settlements can be used

0:15:18.120 --> 0:15:22.040
<v Speaker 8>or should be used towards these opioid abatement programs, which

0:15:22.040 --> 0:15:26.560
<v Speaker 8>are programs and interventions to treat, prevent, and reduce opioid

0:15:26.560 --> 0:15:30.720
<v Speaker 8>misuse and the harms associated with this misuse. And they

0:15:30.760 --> 0:15:35.520
<v Speaker 8>can be used on programs, for example, overdose reversal medication.

0:15:36.200 --> 0:15:39.600
<v Speaker 8>So we often hear about inn oloxone going to first responders,

0:15:39.640 --> 0:15:42.520
<v Speaker 8>but malaxim should be out in the community for people

0:15:42.520 --> 0:15:44.560
<v Speaker 8>who are at risk of overdosing. So if they do

0:15:44.600 --> 0:15:47.680
<v Speaker 8>take an opioid and they overdose, someone who is near

0:15:47.760 --> 0:15:52.440
<v Speaker 8>them can give them noloxone and save their life. You

0:15:52.560 --> 0:15:55.640
<v Speaker 8>mentioned methadone, so these dollars can also be used to

0:15:55.760 --> 0:15:59.680
<v Speaker 8>increase access to medications for the treatment of opioid use disorder.

0:16:00.120 --> 0:16:02.640
<v Speaker 8>We have three of those medications that are approved by

0:16:02.680 --> 0:16:07.040
<v Speaker 8>the FDA methodone, bupen, orphan, and meltrek zone. And while

0:16:07.080 --> 0:16:11.600
<v Speaker 8>these are very effective treatments, they are currently pretty underutilized

0:16:11.640 --> 0:16:14.680
<v Speaker 8>across the country. So in thinking about how states want

0:16:14.720 --> 0:16:17.600
<v Speaker 8>to spend their settlement money, they could use that money

0:16:17.640 --> 0:16:22.840
<v Speaker 8>to invest in increasing access to these medications. And then

0:16:22.880 --> 0:16:24.720
<v Speaker 8>the other one I just want to quickly mention is

0:16:24.760 --> 0:16:28.240
<v Speaker 8>harm reduction services. So harm reduction is a broad term

0:16:28.360 --> 0:16:32.200
<v Speaker 8>used to describe a spectrum of services to reduce the

0:16:32.280 --> 0:16:35.960
<v Speaker 8>harms associated with drug use. Like you said, it's hard

0:16:36.000 --> 0:16:39.480
<v Speaker 8>to stop using opioids, So harm reduction programs offer safer

0:16:39.560 --> 0:16:43.600
<v Speaker 8>drug use supplies like sterile syringes, but also an array

0:16:43.640 --> 0:16:47.840
<v Speaker 8>of other services like medical supports, behavioral health, and other

0:16:47.920 --> 0:16:51.240
<v Speaker 8>social services. And these harm reduction programs are often the

0:16:51.280 --> 0:16:55.760
<v Speaker 8>first access point to vulnerable populations and the relationships that

0:16:55.800 --> 0:16:58.040
<v Speaker 8>are built by the staff at these programs can really

0:16:58.080 --> 0:17:02.480
<v Speaker 8>help to facilitate entry into other services and ultimately recovery.

0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:06.760
<v Speaker 3>So for someone who's studied this situation, in this epidemic,

0:17:07.040 --> 0:17:09.199
<v Speaker 3>I mean, what do you think is the most effective

0:17:09.200 --> 0:17:11.480
<v Speaker 3>thing we can do to actually really make a difference

0:17:11.840 --> 0:17:13.399
<v Speaker 3>and put an end to this so that I'm not

0:17:13.480 --> 0:17:16.560
<v Speaker 3>talking about an opioid crisis or that isn't or you

0:17:16.600 --> 0:17:20.000
<v Speaker 3>aren't in two years from now, three years from now,

0:17:20.200 --> 0:17:20.960
<v Speaker 3>five years from now.

0:17:21.000 --> 0:17:24.040
<v Speaker 8>I mean, I think a big one is the stigma

0:17:24.119 --> 0:17:27.320
<v Speaker 8>that we have and the lack of understanding of the

0:17:27.359 --> 0:17:31.480
<v Speaker 8>physiological changes that happens when you develop an opioid use disorder.

0:17:32.720 --> 0:17:35.639
<v Speaker 8>And there's still so much much stigma in the community

0:17:35.680 --> 0:17:38.480
<v Speaker 8>that we hold as individuals, but it's also pervasive in

0:17:39.000 --> 0:17:42.159
<v Speaker 8>policies and within the medical system as well. And so

0:17:43.280 --> 0:17:47.200
<v Speaker 8>I think just educating ourselves on opioid use disorder and

0:17:48.080 --> 0:17:51.919
<v Speaker 8>centering ourselves that you know this the eighty six thousand

0:17:51.960 --> 0:17:54.800
<v Speaker 8>people that we lost in twenty twenty one, those are individuals,

0:17:54.800 --> 0:18:00.199
<v Speaker 8>Like that's somebody's son, somebody's daughter and husband, what you know,

0:18:00.760 --> 0:18:03.040
<v Speaker 8>it's an individual and there are things that we can

0:18:03.080 --> 0:18:04.840
<v Speaker 8>do to help and we all kind of have to

0:18:04.920 --> 0:18:08.200
<v Speaker 8>change our mindset in how we approach this crisis.

0:18:08.520 --> 0:18:09.960
<v Speaker 3>All Right, We're gonna leave it on that note. Sarah,

0:18:09.960 --> 0:18:12.520
<v Speaker 3>Thank you so much, Sarah Welle. She's a program manager

0:18:12.520 --> 0:18:15.800
<v Speaker 3>of the Bloomberg Overdose Prevention Initiative over JOHNS. Hopkins Bloomberg

0:18:15.800 --> 0:18:16.800
<v Speaker 3>School of Public Health.

0:18:18.480 --> 0:18:22.080
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:18:22.119 --> 0:18:26.119
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern on Bloomberg Radio,

0:18:26.320 --> 0:18:29.600
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0:18:29.720 --> 0:18:32.760
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0:18:33.240 --> 0:18:36.040
<v Speaker 1>Just Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:18:37.520 --> 0:18:40.199
<v Speaker 3>Well, someone who's been playing around certainly with threads is

0:18:40.200 --> 0:18:43.040
<v Speaker 3>our own Max Chafkin. He's calumnist for Bloomberg Business Week

0:18:43.040 --> 0:18:45.399
<v Speaker 3>here in our interactive broker studio. He writes about it

0:18:45.760 --> 0:18:47.600
<v Speaker 3>in a story that's in the upcoming new issue, which

0:18:47.680 --> 0:18:50.159
<v Speaker 3>is out on newsstands tomorrow, already online at Bloomberg dot com,

0:18:50.240 --> 0:18:54.280
<v Speaker 3>slash BUSINESSWEEKND on the Bloomberg terminal. So tell us about

0:18:54.440 --> 0:18:55.679
<v Speaker 3>your experience with threads.

0:18:55.800 --> 0:18:58.440
<v Speaker 9>Well, it's nicer than Twitter, I mean, in my experience,

0:18:58.400 --> 0:19:00.520
<v Speaker 9>which probably the best thing you could say for I mean,

0:19:00.840 --> 0:19:04.280
<v Speaker 9>so far to my mind. You know, Facebook has basically

0:19:04.359 --> 0:19:07.159
<v Speaker 9>meta now has been doing this for basically the past decade,

0:19:07.200 --> 0:19:10.239
<v Speaker 9>where you know, Mark Zackerberg's team look out at the

0:19:10.480 --> 0:19:14.080
<v Speaker 9>app universe and figure out find things to copy, and

0:19:14.119 --> 0:19:18.120
<v Speaker 9>they they've copied a lot of things, mostly unsuccessfully. Every

0:19:18.119 --> 0:19:21.200
<v Speaker 9>now and then that they have a hit Stories, which

0:19:21.240 --> 0:19:24.159
<v Speaker 9>is you know, part of Instagram Reels, which we could debate,

0:19:24.240 --> 0:19:27.359
<v Speaker 9>kind of a knockoff on TikTok. Both those have been successful,

0:19:27.800 --> 0:19:30.120
<v Speaker 9>and Threads is kind of in that proud tradition.

0:19:30.560 --> 0:19:34.679
<v Speaker 4>Dude, don't forget Facebook. I mean, I will never forget

0:19:34.720 --> 0:19:37.760
<v Speaker 4>how excited I was to find friends tor and started

0:19:37.800 --> 0:19:40.640
<v Speaker 4>to convince my buddies around the world to sign up.

0:19:41.040 --> 0:19:44.359
<v Speaker 4>And I was kind of bummed out when everyone switched

0:19:44.400 --> 0:19:47.879
<v Speaker 4>over to MySpace and all of that was before Facebook

0:19:47.920 --> 0:19:50.600
<v Speaker 4>even you know, was a glint in its mother's eyes.

0:19:50.840 --> 0:19:52.720
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, no, absolutely, you know.

0:19:52.800 --> 0:19:55.399
<v Speaker 9>And but I think that the what's made Threads, what

0:19:55.520 --> 0:19:57.520
<v Speaker 9>sort of made it successful but also creates kind of

0:19:57.520 --> 0:19:59.359
<v Speaker 9>a bit of a vulnerability, is like you said, it's

0:19:59.400 --> 0:20:02.679
<v Speaker 9>super easy sign up for It's basically Twitter, except you

0:20:02.720 --> 0:20:06.160
<v Speaker 9>sign up through Instagram and it kind of auto populates

0:20:06.280 --> 0:20:10.639
<v Speaker 9>your feed with your Instagram friends, which has made it,

0:20:10.640 --> 0:20:12.400
<v Speaker 9>which has created all this excitement because all these people

0:20:12.440 --> 0:20:15.320
<v Speaker 9>are getting notifications, people are signing up, But once you

0:20:15.400 --> 0:20:18.359
<v Speaker 9>actually get in there, I think it's a little bit empty.

0:20:18.600 --> 0:20:21.080
<v Speaker 9>I don't know what others probably have different experiences, but

0:20:21.200 --> 0:20:23.800
<v Speaker 9>I've been getting all these alerts from people you know,

0:20:23.880 --> 0:20:25.439
<v Speaker 9>so and so followed you, and you click on their

0:20:25.440 --> 0:20:27.679
<v Speaker 9>profile and it's empty and it has this kind of

0:20:27.720 --> 0:20:30.399
<v Speaker 9>manufactured quality to it, which is I think something you

0:20:30.400 --> 0:20:32.359
<v Speaker 9>could you could say a lot about Facebook. Now, on

0:20:32.400 --> 0:20:36.800
<v Speaker 9>the other hand, it doesn't have the kind of crazy

0:20:37.680 --> 0:20:40.040
<v Speaker 9>quality of Elon Musk's Twitter. And I think that's what

0:20:40.119 --> 0:20:43.320
<v Speaker 9>Mark Zuckerberg is betting on, that that you know, Twitter

0:20:43.320 --> 0:20:45.919
<v Speaker 9>has just gotten too weird, too chaotic or whatever, and

0:20:45.960 --> 0:20:48.840
<v Speaker 9>that there is an appeal for you know, Instagram but

0:20:48.960 --> 0:20:49.520
<v Speaker 9>with text.

0:20:49.960 --> 0:20:52.600
<v Speaker 3>So Twitter's disasters, if you will, are kind of providing

0:20:52.640 --> 0:20:54.520
<v Speaker 3>an opportunity for others, including threads.

0:20:54.880 --> 0:20:56.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's potentially.

0:20:56.640 --> 0:21:00.240
<v Speaker 9>But I think I think that this the figures we're

0:21:00.240 --> 0:21:02.639
<v Speaker 9>seeing in terms of threads, the uptake on threads, so

0:21:02.640 --> 0:21:05.080
<v Speaker 9>it's a one hundred million people signed up in five days,

0:21:05.359 --> 0:21:07.639
<v Speaker 9>which makes it, you know, but by that measure, the

0:21:07.680 --> 0:21:09.919
<v Speaker 9>fastest growing app of all time. I think you need

0:21:09.960 --> 0:21:11.639
<v Speaker 9>to take that with a grain assault because of the

0:21:11.680 --> 0:21:15.360
<v Speaker 9>fact that it's essentially auto populating from this other social network,

0:21:15.359 --> 0:21:19.000
<v Speaker 9>Instagram that has two billion users. So in certain ways

0:21:19.000 --> 0:21:20.639
<v Speaker 9>it's a new app. In other ways, it's just like

0:21:20.680 --> 0:21:24.840
<v Speaker 9>another version of Instagram. And I think it also kind

0:21:24.880 --> 0:21:27.080
<v Speaker 9>of shows a little bit of the weakness that that

0:21:27.119 --> 0:21:29.359
<v Speaker 9>Facebook is dealing with. This what I wrote about in

0:21:29.400 --> 0:21:32.720
<v Speaker 9>this piece, which is that you know, for a couple

0:21:33.680 --> 0:21:37.520
<v Speaker 9>basically for several years, there's been this sort of flattening

0:21:37.560 --> 0:21:40.360
<v Speaker 9>out or even decline and engagement. People are not sharing

0:21:40.400 --> 0:21:43.479
<v Speaker 9>things on social media platforms the way they used to,

0:21:43.520 --> 0:21:47.320
<v Speaker 9>and that's been a problem for years, and with the

0:21:47.400 --> 0:21:48.960
<v Speaker 9>end of the pandemic, it's kind of bringing it to

0:21:49.000 --> 0:21:51.160
<v Speaker 9>the forefront. And so you have things like Threads, which

0:21:51.200 --> 0:21:53.920
<v Speaker 9>is you know, I think Canon probably should be seen

0:21:54.160 --> 0:21:56.919
<v Speaker 9>as an effort to kind of juice Instagram to like

0:21:57.160 --> 0:21:59.680
<v Speaker 9>give people a reason to get back on this thing

0:21:59.720 --> 0:22:02.359
<v Speaker 9>that maybe they're getting a little sick of, and also

0:22:02.440 --> 0:22:06.440
<v Speaker 9>maybe give you know, Meta some other way to get

0:22:06.480 --> 0:22:09.840
<v Speaker 9>people back engaged with its services and maybe away from TikTok.

0:22:10.280 --> 0:22:12.879
<v Speaker 4>I'm curious to know, Carol, what your experience is with

0:22:12.880 --> 0:22:14.480
<v Speaker 4>Twitter because you seem to love it.

0:22:14.359 --> 0:22:16.680
<v Speaker 3>And I like tweet deck. I play a lot more

0:22:16.680 --> 0:22:18.960
<v Speaker 3>on that than I do on Twitter, and because I have,

0:22:19.359 --> 0:22:20.840
<v Speaker 3>although I have to say, I don't love it as

0:22:20.880 --> 0:22:23.200
<v Speaker 3>it as I used it, because my feed is definitely

0:22:23.640 --> 0:22:24.560
<v Speaker 3>things have been mucked around.

0:22:24.680 --> 0:22:26.399
<v Speaker 4>That's what I'm wondering about it. Like I love to

0:22:26.400 --> 0:22:28.840
<v Speaker 4>put stuff out there, but how you consume the information

0:22:28.920 --> 0:22:29.479
<v Speaker 4>that's on it.

0:22:29.520 --> 0:22:32.000
<v Speaker 3>What I do love when there's news happening, Like it's

0:22:32.160 --> 0:22:34.040
<v Speaker 3>just a great place to get a lot of people

0:22:34.040 --> 0:22:36.520
<v Speaker 3>weighing in and I actually feel like it's fairly accurate

0:22:36.640 --> 0:22:39.320
<v Speaker 3>and you get just some really good observations. Having said that,

0:22:39.400 --> 0:22:41.280
<v Speaker 3>I'll sometimes say something and somebody like, hey did you

0:22:41.320 --> 0:22:43.679
<v Speaker 3>see this? And I feel like with financials, like you

0:22:43.720 --> 0:22:45.960
<v Speaker 3>get a lot of good research. So I do like it,

0:22:46.200 --> 0:22:47.600
<v Speaker 3>and I haven't played around with threads.

0:22:47.720 --> 0:22:49.440
<v Speaker 4>You're looking at me, fins, Well, yeah, I mean one

0:22:49.520 --> 0:22:50.360
<v Speaker 4>thing on Instagram.

0:22:50.520 --> 0:22:53.159
<v Speaker 2>One interesting thing about threads is that.

0:22:53.080 --> 0:22:55.480
<v Speaker 3>I like to live life and actually go do things.

0:22:55.280 --> 0:22:55.920
<v Speaker 2>They don't want.

0:22:55.960 --> 0:22:58.280
<v Speaker 9>I mean that that's the kind of thing that they

0:22:58.320 --> 0:23:00.480
<v Speaker 9>actually don't want. You know, they've come out there and

0:23:00.520 --> 0:23:02.760
<v Speaker 9>said they don't want news to be a big part

0:23:02.880 --> 0:23:06.080
<v Speaker 9>of the of the feed, which has you know, implications

0:23:06.119 --> 0:23:07.800
<v Speaker 9>for you know, media outlets and so on who have

0:23:07.880 --> 0:23:11.600
<v Speaker 9>built there, as you say, ecosystems, journalistic ecosystems on Twitter.

0:23:11.920 --> 0:23:13.520
<v Speaker 9>That I think the idea is that they won't exist

0:23:13.520 --> 0:23:15.960
<v Speaker 9>on Threads. And and part of that is because of

0:23:16.000 --> 0:23:19.360
<v Speaker 9>advertising and you know, Facebook Meta. For all their all

0:23:19.400 --> 0:23:22.160
<v Speaker 9>the flaws of these apps, you know, they are very

0:23:22.200 --> 0:23:26.320
<v Speaker 9>good at at serving advertisers, and I think that's part

0:23:26.320 --> 0:23:29.280
<v Speaker 9>of what makes Threads unsatisfying, you know, from a user

0:23:29.280 --> 0:23:31.880
<v Speaker 9>experience standpoint. On the other hand, it could turn into

0:23:32.119 --> 0:23:33.240
<v Speaker 9>a successful business as.

0:23:33.359 --> 0:23:35.600
<v Speaker 3>The Sarah virus's ads are coming, right.

0:23:35.880 --> 0:23:37.360
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's definitely the ads are coming.

0:23:37.359 --> 0:23:40.800
<v Speaker 9>There's absolutely no question of that, you know, and they've

0:23:40.840 --> 0:23:43.000
<v Speaker 9>said that, you know, they're gonna that's gonna get worked out.

0:23:43.040 --> 0:23:44.879
<v Speaker 9>But but the idea is to have a place that

0:23:44.960 --> 0:23:49.720
<v Speaker 9>feels safer and and friendlier to to add advertisers than Twitter.

0:23:49.880 --> 0:23:52.840
<v Speaker 2>And also I think, but well the bad guys come,

0:23:53.920 --> 0:23:55.760
<v Speaker 2>well that's the post. Yeah, for sure, that's possible.

0:23:55.800 --> 0:24:01.080
<v Speaker 9>I think you know, the controversy or the it's right now,

0:24:01.119 --> 0:24:04.560
<v Speaker 9>there's no you know, the original Twitter. The thing that

0:24:04.560 --> 0:24:07.399
<v Speaker 9>most people know is this feed of chronological feed of

0:24:07.400 --> 0:24:09.679
<v Speaker 9>things that you post your friends are posting, and Threads

0:24:09.720 --> 0:24:11.320
<v Speaker 9>doesn't have that right now. Maybe they'll have it at

0:24:11.320 --> 0:24:14.199
<v Speaker 9>some point. Right now, it's entirely algorithmic. It's just like

0:24:14.520 --> 0:24:17.600
<v Speaker 9>TikTok for text. So you see, you know, a bunch

0:24:17.600 --> 0:24:19.760
<v Speaker 9>of your friends posts, but then when when that runs out,

0:24:19.800 --> 0:24:23.639
<v Speaker 9>you just see like a steady scroll of influencers.

0:24:22.920 --> 0:24:25.360
<v Speaker 2>Brands and so on. So it's a different thing.

0:24:25.400 --> 0:24:28.520
<v Speaker 9>And I think Facebook is sort of betting that you

0:24:28.560 --> 0:24:31.720
<v Speaker 9>know there, that the sort of Instagram crowd would want

0:24:31.760 --> 0:24:33.840
<v Speaker 9>to share things in a text form.

0:24:34.160 --> 0:24:34.960
<v Speaker 2>I don't know if that's true.

0:24:34.960 --> 0:24:36.120
<v Speaker 9>I don't know if the people who are really good

0:24:36.119 --> 0:24:39.919
<v Speaker 9>at like taking pictures of beautiful landscapes aren't necessarily the

0:24:39.920 --> 0:24:41.960
<v Speaker 9>most creative or clever writers.

0:24:42.040 --> 0:24:43.960
<v Speaker 2>But you know, I suppose we'll see so.

0:24:46.080 --> 0:24:50.760
<v Speaker 4>In terms of advertisers and what they like and don't like. Obviously,

0:24:50.920 --> 0:24:53.880
<v Speaker 4>the controversy and the bad people on Twitter has been

0:24:54.000 --> 0:24:56.840
<v Speaker 4>one problem, or the bad person who owns Twitter has

0:24:56.880 --> 0:25:00.199
<v Speaker 4>been one problem for them. But the other problem, uh

0:25:02.080 --> 0:25:05.560
<v Speaker 4>Facebook and you know Threads, is the api. I know

0:25:05.640 --> 0:25:08.560
<v Speaker 4>that a lot of you know, the industry that likes

0:25:08.600 --> 0:25:13.840
<v Speaker 4>to sweep these platforms for data. Uh, they can do

0:25:13.880 --> 0:25:17.360
<v Speaker 4>it very easily with Twitter's API, and they like Twitter's API.

0:25:18.040 --> 0:25:22.359
<v Speaker 4>They don't love the API that Meta offers. Well.

0:25:22.560 --> 0:25:24.680
<v Speaker 9>I mean the thing is, though, that Musk has been

0:25:24.680 --> 0:25:27.480
<v Speaker 9>cracking down on that, that that API access that made

0:25:27.480 --> 0:25:30.320
<v Speaker 9>Twitter so popular, you know, is now as part of

0:25:30.440 --> 0:25:33.440
<v Speaker 9>Elon Musk's efforts to like, you know, turn this thing

0:25:33.480 --> 0:25:36.040
<v Speaker 9>into a profitable business and make his debt payments, he's

0:25:36.080 --> 0:25:39.160
<v Speaker 9>been you know, uh starting to charge people for.

0:25:39.160 --> 0:25:42.920
<v Speaker 2>This API access. Uh. Facebook Meta, as he said, is

0:25:42.920 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 2>a closed platform.

0:25:43.920 --> 0:25:46.919
<v Speaker 9>And and you know, we don't know exactly what's happening

0:25:46.920 --> 0:25:49.119
<v Speaker 9>behind the scenes on the threads algorithm, but I think

0:25:49.119 --> 0:25:52.280
<v Speaker 9>it's basically it's probably the same algorithm that's driving you know,

0:25:52.480 --> 0:25:54.879
<v Speaker 9>the rest of the platform. And and the idea again

0:25:55.000 --> 0:25:56.800
<v Speaker 9>is is yeh, is to keep it, like he said,

0:25:56.880 --> 0:25:59.439
<v Speaker 9>kind of keep it inside and and eventually, you know,

0:25:59.640 --> 0:26:00.960
<v Speaker 9>gather as much data as possible.

0:26:01.000 --> 0:26:01.159
<v Speaker 4>You know.

0:26:01.240 --> 0:26:04.320
<v Speaker 9>One challenge that Facebook has had over the last few

0:26:04.400 --> 0:26:08.359
<v Speaker 9>years is people are not sharing as much, which creates problems,

0:26:08.480 --> 0:26:09.760
<v Speaker 9>you know, both in terms of what is it going

0:26:09.800 --> 0:26:11.800
<v Speaker 9>to show you, but also creates problems in terms of

0:26:11.880 --> 0:26:14.679
<v Speaker 9>data collection and like how does it learn things about you.

0:26:14.800 --> 0:26:17.399
<v Speaker 9>So so one opportunity here with this new platform is

0:26:17.440 --> 0:26:19.680
<v Speaker 9>maybe people will start posting stuff again. Maybe they see

0:26:19.680 --> 0:26:22.520
<v Speaker 9>a new app, there's a new form, and it could create,

0:26:22.600 --> 0:26:26.400
<v Speaker 9>you know, further opportunities for targeting. But again, I don't

0:26:26.400 --> 0:26:29.480
<v Speaker 9>think we know for sure whether these one hundred million

0:26:29.600 --> 0:26:32.040
<v Speaker 9>or how many users are on there now are going

0:26:32.080 --> 0:26:33.360
<v Speaker 9>to be to come back.

0:26:33.440 --> 0:26:33.680
<v Speaker 4>Max.

0:26:33.720 --> 0:26:35.720
<v Speaker 3>My big takeaway from your story, which is kind of

0:26:36.000 --> 0:26:37.840
<v Speaker 3>evident in the headline as well, but there was a

0:26:37.880 --> 0:26:40.959
<v Speaker 3>number I took away of the pandemic where we are

0:26:41.000 --> 0:26:43.800
<v Speaker 3>spending less on our devices still six hours forty three

0:26:43.800 --> 0:26:45.960
<v Speaker 3>minutes a day, but slightly lower than twenty seventeen, down

0:26:46.000 --> 0:26:49.159
<v Speaker 3>thirteen minutes. Biggest drop since I guess this company started

0:26:49.200 --> 0:26:52.040
<v Speaker 3>tracking it that you source. But my point is that

0:26:52.480 --> 0:26:56.679
<v Speaker 3>when Facebook or when Twitter and different things were created,

0:26:56.720 --> 0:26:58.560
<v Speaker 3>it was how many years ago, right, And it was

0:26:58.600 --> 0:27:01.720
<v Speaker 3>like internet glow, all kind of new, right, and everybody

0:27:01.800 --> 0:27:04.360
<v Speaker 3>was kind of into it at experiencing it. And at

0:27:04.359 --> 0:27:07.120
<v Speaker 3>this point people have other things that they can do,

0:27:07.720 --> 0:27:09.960
<v Speaker 3>and I just maybe we just don't want it anymore.

0:27:10.280 --> 0:27:12.199
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, well I think we were as money. Maybe we

0:27:12.240 --> 0:27:15.480
<v Speaker 9>just don't want it as much. And and there's more competition,

0:27:15.720 --> 0:27:18.440
<v Speaker 9>and you know, as you said, there was this kind

0:27:18.480 --> 0:27:24.560
<v Speaker 9>of growth in audience and attention that happened so reliably

0:27:24.960 --> 0:27:26.639
<v Speaker 9>and in such an explosive way that I think a

0:27:26.680 --> 0:27:29.320
<v Speaker 9>lot of companies came to see it almost like a

0:27:29.400 --> 0:27:32.119
<v Speaker 9>natural law, like gravity or something. Right, It's just bound

0:27:32.160 --> 0:27:35.479
<v Speaker 9>to happen. And the pandemic, of course made it seem

0:27:35.720 --> 0:27:37.919
<v Speaker 9>even more so. You had people talking about a new normal.

0:27:38.040 --> 0:27:38.199
<v Speaker 10>You know.

0:27:38.240 --> 0:27:40.439
<v Speaker 9>Mark Zuckerberg, you know, was so bought into this that

0:27:40.440 --> 0:27:41.879
<v Speaker 9>he's that he changed the name of the company of

0:27:41.960 --> 0:27:45.400
<v Speaker 9>Meta and started talking to the metaverse. And what's happened

0:27:45.520 --> 0:27:49.680
<v Speaker 9>is you have more competition and less time, and that's

0:27:49.760 --> 0:27:52.800
<v Speaker 9>creating a lot of dislocation, both in terms of social

0:27:52.880 --> 0:27:53.520
<v Speaker 9>media companies.

0:27:53.520 --> 0:27:54.960
<v Speaker 2>You know, we've seen layoffs obviously at.

0:27:54.840 --> 0:27:56.880
<v Speaker 3>Meta streaming services, right streaming.

0:27:56.640 --> 0:28:00.280
<v Speaker 9>Streaming services and news you know, BuzzFeed and Vice, both

0:28:00.320 --> 0:28:03.720
<v Speaker 9>of which really kind of hitched their wagons to to

0:28:04.240 --> 0:28:07.720
<v Speaker 9>these social platforms, have struggled because because the audiences aren't there,

0:28:07.760 --> 0:28:10.280
<v Speaker 9>people are spending less time and and that's creating all

0:28:10.280 --> 0:28:13.159
<v Speaker 9>sorts of problems, you know, across the media landscape.

0:28:14.000 --> 0:28:17.040
<v Speaker 4>One of the things I thought was interesting, as I said,

0:28:17.040 --> 0:28:21.080
<v Speaker 4>I signed up for Threads and then I quit. I think,

0:28:21.560 --> 0:28:25.120
<v Speaker 4>I think I deactivated my account. There was a delete

0:28:25.440 --> 0:28:27.399
<v Speaker 4>at least I know I deleted the app and I

0:28:27.440 --> 0:28:30.879
<v Speaker 4>did something. But I read in the story that there's

0:28:30.920 --> 0:28:34.159
<v Speaker 4>no way to delete your Threads account permanently unless you

0:28:34.200 --> 0:28:36.439
<v Speaker 4>also delete your Instagram account. I know I didn't do that.

0:28:37.040 --> 0:28:37.919
<v Speaker 2>He's got you forever.

0:28:38.520 --> 0:28:42.960
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, so Threads is technically part of Instagram, So yes,

0:28:43.000 --> 0:28:45.600
<v Speaker 9>you can delete the app, but you can't delete your account.

0:28:46.040 --> 0:28:48.959
<v Speaker 9>They've they've said, and I don't know how to take this,

0:28:49.120 --> 0:28:51.600
<v Speaker 9>like whether this is like a real whether this is

0:28:51.640 --> 0:28:53.320
<v Speaker 9>just slip service or what, but they've said they are

0:28:53.360 --> 0:28:58.600
<v Speaker 9>they're looking into ways that you could delete. Come at

0:28:58.640 --> 0:29:00.360
<v Speaker 9>some point maybe you will be able to That was

0:29:00.400 --> 0:29:02.120
<v Speaker 9>probably my favorite line of the whole story.

0:29:02.440 --> 0:29:05.880
<v Speaker 4>Instagram's head Adam Lazeri said the company is looking into

0:29:05.920 --> 0:29:08.520
<v Speaker 4>a way to delete your Threads account separately. Come on,

0:29:09.040 --> 0:29:10.960
<v Speaker 4>I mean, there's, dude, the cool.

0:29:10.720 --> 0:29:14.680
<v Speaker 9>Thing and also maybe the slightly disturbing thing, depending on

0:29:14.680 --> 0:29:16.920
<v Speaker 9>your point of view of Facebook, is this Thread's launch

0:29:17.000 --> 0:29:19.160
<v Speaker 9>really is an opportunity to see all the things that

0:29:19.200 --> 0:29:22.120
<v Speaker 9>Facebook does well in terms of growth, in terms of

0:29:22.120 --> 0:29:26.160
<v Speaker 9>like tricking people or convincing people or enticing people to

0:29:26.600 --> 0:29:29.760
<v Speaker 9>download their apps and create create content, because really it's

0:29:29.800 --> 0:29:32.480
<v Speaker 9>just it's engineered, starting from Instagram until you get on

0:29:32.520 --> 0:29:34.520
<v Speaker 9>there to just sort of like bring you in, and

0:29:34.560 --> 0:29:36.600
<v Speaker 9>then once it's got you, as I said, you know,

0:29:36.960 --> 0:29:40.880
<v Speaker 9>or as you discover it, it's it's hard to get out.

0:29:40.920 --> 0:29:44.280
<v Speaker 9>And that's been kind of like the Mark Zuckerberg playbook

0:29:44.880 --> 0:29:45.680
<v Speaker 9>for a really long time.

0:29:45.720 --> 0:29:47.840
<v Speaker 4>Oh wait, what happens if I delete my Twitter account?

0:29:47.840 --> 0:29:49.320
<v Speaker 4>If I commit Twitter.

0:29:49.120 --> 0:29:50.280
<v Speaker 2>Side the universe?

0:29:51.360 --> 0:29:54.120
<v Speaker 4>Do they do they keep my data? Or do we

0:29:54.200 --> 0:29:54.560
<v Speaker 4>not know?

0:29:55.120 --> 0:29:56.120
<v Speaker 2>I am not sure.

0:29:56.680 --> 0:30:00.160
<v Speaker 9>I think that in general, I mean Twitter has I

0:30:00.160 --> 0:30:03.080
<v Speaker 9>had to monetize the data, so I doubt that the

0:30:03.160 --> 0:30:03.960
<v Speaker 9>data goes away.

0:30:03.960 --> 0:30:05.520
<v Speaker 2>But but you have to have.

0:30:05.440 --> 0:30:09.560
<v Speaker 3>A special place in their storage areas. That's Matt Miller's

0:30:09.720 --> 0:30:13.640
<v Speaker 3>So wait, because you're this amazing journalist, you obviously reached

0:30:13.680 --> 0:30:15.360
<v Speaker 3>out to Twitter. What did they say to you?

0:30:15.720 --> 0:30:17.600
<v Speaker 2>They sent me a poop emoji?

0:30:21.160 --> 0:30:26.640
<v Speaker 4>Abu dude? I mean that guy has been he's prepping

0:30:26.680 --> 0:30:30.280
<v Speaker 4>for a cage fight. He's in great shape. Like, what's

0:30:30.320 --> 0:30:31.320
<v Speaker 4>the deal with this dude?

0:30:31.400 --> 0:30:32.280
<v Speaker 2>Well, he looks great.

0:30:32.360 --> 0:30:34.840
<v Speaker 9>I mean he's you know, he's he's inside of forty

0:30:35.080 --> 0:30:38.080
<v Speaker 9>and I think, you know, there's I'm sure there's some

0:30:38.200 --> 0:30:41.600
<v Speaker 9>psychological things going on, there reasons why people get into

0:30:41.600 --> 0:30:45.080
<v Speaker 9>cage fighting. But I think one thing that I find

0:30:45.080 --> 0:30:48.480
<v Speaker 9>interesting here about this Zuck Elon kind of reality show

0:30:48.840 --> 0:30:52.120
<v Speaker 9>cycle is I think it's a symptom of of the

0:30:52.120 --> 0:30:54.800
<v Speaker 9>way people are getting tired of this stuff. And and

0:30:54.800 --> 0:30:57.520
<v Speaker 9>and you see Elon. I mean, the the big asset

0:30:57.560 --> 0:30:59.840
<v Speaker 9>Twitter has is Elon. It's it's that he is just

0:31:00.080 --> 0:31:02.840
<v Speaker 9>endlessly fascinating. You cannot take your eyes off of him,

0:31:02.880 --> 0:31:05.120
<v Speaker 9>even when he is doing, you know, stuff that is

0:31:05.280 --> 0:31:07.840
<v Speaker 9>you know, abhorring or saying things that are are crazy.

0:31:08.160 --> 0:31:11.200
<v Speaker 9>And and like the fact that Mark Zuckerberg is embracing that,

0:31:11.960 --> 0:31:15.000
<v Speaker 9>to me is strange and suggests that he is trying

0:31:15.000 --> 0:31:16.760
<v Speaker 9>to capture a little bit of that, you know.

0:31:19.160 --> 0:31:21.080
<v Speaker 2>But of course it's double short, and it's.

0:31:20.960 --> 0:31:24.000
<v Speaker 9>It's so different from Zuckerberg's you know, previous brand, So

0:31:24.040 --> 0:31:25.600
<v Speaker 9>it's a little it's hard to know what to make

0:31:25.640 --> 0:31:25.880
<v Speaker 9>of it.

0:31:25.960 --> 0:31:28.400
<v Speaker 3>Well, story, they're never letting go of you.

0:31:29.560 --> 0:31:31.560
<v Speaker 4>I don't mind. Everyone can have me.

0:31:31.800 --> 0:31:34.520
<v Speaker 3>Max Chafkin, thank you, what fun. He is calumnist at

0:31:34.520 --> 0:31:37.520
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg BusinessWeek. Check out the new issue on newstands tomorrow

0:31:38.040 --> 0:31:39.880
<v Speaker 3>on the Bloomberg and of course at Bloomberg dot com

0:31:39.880 --> 0:31:45.440
<v Speaker 3>Slish BusinessWeek. This is Bloomberg Radio, Marc.

0:31:47.400 --> 0:31:57.040
<v Speaker 11>Journal, you let me drive, honey, please, Gravel, I want

0:31:57.040 --> 0:31:57.600
<v Speaker 11>to drive.

0:31:59.880 --> 0:32:00.560
<v Speaker 6>The question.

0:32:04.360 --> 0:32:07.440
<v Speaker 4>This is the drive to the Globe.

0:32:07.680 --> 0:32:10.760
<v Speaker 1>We should it on on Bluebird Radio.

0:32:10.920 --> 0:32:13.800
<v Speaker 3>All right, everybody, eighteen minutes left in today's trading session.

0:32:13.800 --> 0:32:16.520
<v Speaker 3>Matt Miller wants again eating nerds or something.

0:32:16.680 --> 0:32:17.560
<v Speaker 4>I'm not eating nerds.

0:32:17.640 --> 0:32:18.280
<v Speaker 3>What are you eating?

0:32:18.360 --> 0:32:21.360
<v Speaker 4>It's a healthy nut mix with Look at this to

0:32:21.440 --> 0:32:23.800
<v Speaker 4>be followed by nerds. That's a dried banana. There. It

0:32:23.800 --> 0:32:25.720
<v Speaker 4>doesn't get any healthier than dried banana.

0:32:25.800 --> 0:32:29.600
<v Speaker 3>Their nerds around there anywhere, not here at your desk.

0:32:30.400 --> 0:32:30.760
<v Speaker 2>Maybe.

0:32:30.800 --> 0:32:32.840
<v Speaker 3>All right, let's get to it. We're watching the markets.

0:32:32.840 --> 0:32:37.320
<v Speaker 3>Equities continue to march higher on this Thursday, Lecho and on.

0:32:37.400 --> 0:32:39.440
<v Speaker 3>Let's get to it though. With Doug Sioka, I'm so

0:32:39.480 --> 0:32:41.240
<v Speaker 3>glad to have him back, CEO and partner at Cavar

0:32:41.280 --> 0:32:44.440
<v Speaker 3>Capital Partners. They've got about a billion in assets under management.

0:32:44.440 --> 0:32:48.160
<v Speaker 3>Back with the sun Zoom from Leewood, Kansas. Doug, good

0:32:48.200 --> 0:32:51.040
<v Speaker 3>to have you here. I'm assuming you're not eating any nerds.

0:32:52.120 --> 0:32:55.880
<v Speaker 3>Having said I'm getting hungry though, for nerds or for

0:32:56.520 --> 0:32:58.680
<v Speaker 3>no but let's talk about it. Hey, listen, let's ask

0:32:58.720 --> 0:33:01.560
<v Speaker 3>about Jim Bollard. I don't know, is there a thing

0:33:01.640 --> 0:33:04.240
<v Speaker 3>for you in importance of Jim Bullard stepping down?

0:33:05.720 --> 0:33:08.400
<v Speaker 10>You know, I mean I was happy to see it, actually, Carol,

0:33:08.440 --> 0:33:11.400
<v Speaker 10>And you know, I think just generally change is pretty positive.

0:33:11.400 --> 0:33:13.720
<v Speaker 10>And I know technically there are I guess the term

0:33:13.800 --> 0:33:16.800
<v Speaker 10>limit at fourteen years, but it's a really long time.

0:33:16.920 --> 0:33:20.640
<v Speaker 10>So I think having fresh perspective interwoven, even with more regularity,

0:33:20.720 --> 0:33:25.080
<v Speaker 10>can't be bad. I also think it's exceedingly difficult now

0:33:25.760 --> 0:33:29.680
<v Speaker 10>to come up with something impactful and insightful to share

0:33:30.280 --> 0:33:33.240
<v Speaker 10>with as often as these FED governors and presidents are

0:33:33.240 --> 0:33:36.000
<v Speaker 10>asked to speak, and I think sometimes there comes maybe

0:33:36.000 --> 0:33:39.640
<v Speaker 10>a temptation to make grandiose statements or proclamations, even when

0:33:39.640 --> 0:33:42.360
<v Speaker 10>they are that are necessary, and I always felt like

0:33:43.000 --> 0:33:44.680
<v Speaker 10>Bullard cannot resist that temptation.

0:33:46.080 --> 0:33:49.680
<v Speaker 4>That was actually my takeaway as well. When I first

0:33:49.720 --> 0:33:53.200
<v Speaker 4>read this story and saw that he won't be he

0:33:53.240 --> 0:33:55.880
<v Speaker 4>won't be agreeing to any more speaking engagements from today,

0:33:55.880 --> 0:33:58.960
<v Speaker 4>I was like, phew. He also got into a little

0:33:58.960 --> 0:34:01.520
<v Speaker 4>bit of trouble with that speaking engagements, right because he

0:34:03.240 --> 0:34:06.000
<v Speaker 4>was getting paid for speaking engagements that were kind of private.

0:34:07.800 --> 0:34:08.080
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:34:08.120 --> 0:34:10.600
<v Speaker 10>I don't know the facts on that map, but again

0:34:10.640 --> 0:34:13.200
<v Speaker 10>I know that with Powell as the president and elevating

0:34:13.280 --> 0:34:16.800
<v Speaker 10>kind of communication, the public profile these these fed presidents

0:34:16.880 --> 0:34:21.520
<v Speaker 10>voting or non to me was almost counterproductive. Right when

0:34:21.560 --> 0:34:26.040
<v Speaker 10>you are making policy by consensus and then I get

0:34:26.080 --> 0:34:29.440
<v Speaker 10>the SEP and I get the mysterious anonymous dot plotting,

0:34:29.880 --> 0:34:33.160
<v Speaker 10>but when you come out then and have comments and

0:34:33.239 --> 0:34:37.560
<v Speaker 10>commentary that are inconsistent with like the policy vote and

0:34:37.560 --> 0:34:39.360
<v Speaker 10>then we got to wait for the minutes. I just

0:34:39.400 --> 0:34:41.239
<v Speaker 10>feel like the rhetoric and kind of the court of

0:34:41.239 --> 0:34:43.800
<v Speaker 10>public opinion which monetary policy has been deployed over the

0:34:43.880 --> 0:34:45.600
<v Speaker 10>last several years, I just have found it to be

0:34:45.640 --> 0:34:47.879
<v Speaker 10>counter productive. And again I kind of felt like Jim

0:34:47.880 --> 0:34:50.520
<v Speaker 10>Bulller was one of the lead. It's the kind of

0:34:50.520 --> 0:34:53.440
<v Speaker 10>the lead of baton twirlers in that whole circus.

0:34:54.040 --> 0:34:57.560
<v Speaker 4>Let's put that aside and look at these markets, because

0:34:58.160 --> 0:35:01.440
<v Speaker 4>over forty five hundred on the and you know, we

0:35:01.480 --> 0:35:05.000
<v Speaker 4>continued it. Well, we're at session highs again here, up

0:35:05.040 --> 0:35:09.080
<v Speaker 4>one percent after rallying every single day this week. What's

0:35:09.120 --> 0:35:12.279
<v Speaker 4>good out there, Doug? I mean, why why are we

0:35:12.280 --> 0:35:13.160
<v Speaker 4>so bullish here?

0:35:14.200 --> 0:35:14.399
<v Speaker 9>Yeah?

0:35:14.520 --> 0:35:16.800
<v Speaker 10>You know right now? I mean, obviously tech keeps running,

0:35:16.840 --> 0:35:19.279
<v Speaker 10>and it's it's kind of a combination of three things.

0:35:19.280 --> 0:35:21.880
<v Speaker 10>I mean, or one path least resistance number two fomo

0:35:22.440 --> 0:35:25.840
<v Speaker 10>number three. We're actually seeing like tangible amounts of retail

0:35:25.840 --> 0:35:28.399
<v Speaker 10>money beginning to come into the market. And I think

0:35:28.440 --> 0:35:32.080
<v Speaker 10>commonly people they're like, there's a couturion sell saying Okay,

0:35:32.080 --> 0:35:35.879
<v Speaker 10>here comes retail. Time to get out. Maybe that's when

0:35:35.920 --> 0:35:38.320
<v Speaker 10>retail is a little bit more fully invested, right, Retail

0:35:38.480 --> 0:35:42.320
<v Speaker 10>creates kind of another wave of momentum in the direction

0:35:42.520 --> 0:35:46.400
<v Speaker 10>kind of where the best opportunities have seemed to be identified,

0:35:46.760 --> 0:35:49.960
<v Speaker 10>and momentum itself is a factor, right. I read something

0:35:49.960 --> 0:35:51.480
<v Speaker 10>the other day I thought that was pretty fascinating is

0:35:51.520 --> 0:35:55.719
<v Speaker 10>that even when markets right with the expectation of identifying

0:35:55.760 --> 0:35:59.239
<v Speaker 10>sort of oversold levels or overbought levels, even when the

0:35:59.320 --> 0:36:02.200
<v Speaker 10>NASAQ one hundred historically has been twenty percent above a

0:36:02.239 --> 0:36:05.080
<v Speaker 10>two hundred day moving average, the six to twelve month

0:36:05.120 --> 0:36:09.279
<v Speaker 10>return going forward is still about twenty percent. So I

0:36:09.280 --> 0:36:11.680
<v Speaker 10>think maybe there's some of that that that's playing itself out.

0:36:11.719 --> 0:36:14.160
<v Speaker 10>But certainly the momentum is extremely strong.

0:36:14.239 --> 0:36:14.560
<v Speaker 1>Right now.

0:36:15.000 --> 0:36:16.800
<v Speaker 10>We'll see what happens with earnings next week, right to

0:36:16.800 --> 0:36:19.120
<v Speaker 10>see if that's gonna be an additional tailwinner that's going

0:36:19.200 --> 0:36:20.400
<v Speaker 10>to be an impediment to continuation.

0:36:20.600 --> 0:36:22.000
<v Speaker 3>Have you been buying banks ahead of it?

0:36:24.000 --> 0:36:26.160
<v Speaker 10>You know, we haven't been too aggressive, like in the

0:36:26.160 --> 0:36:28.200
<v Speaker 10>financial side. You know, one of the things, in spite

0:36:28.239 --> 0:36:34.000
<v Speaker 10>of kind of the the calming down on the psychological

0:36:34.000 --> 0:36:37.360
<v Speaker 10>concern about the viabilities of these banks, we really are

0:36:37.400 --> 0:36:41.080
<v Speaker 10>really concerned about, like the ongoing profitability, particularly of the

0:36:41.120 --> 0:36:43.880
<v Speaker 10>regional and smaller banks. Right you have lower loan demand

0:36:43.960 --> 0:36:46.960
<v Speaker 10>just because the economy is generally slowing. Number two, you

0:36:46.960 --> 0:36:50.080
<v Speaker 10>have higher expenses because it's difficult to make that interest

0:36:50.120 --> 0:36:52.040
<v Speaker 10>margin with your cost of financing is going up just

0:36:52.080 --> 0:36:55.120
<v Speaker 10>to be competitive with the prevailing money market rates. And

0:36:55.239 --> 0:36:58.640
<v Speaker 10>number three, you're gonna have more regulation. So it's difficult

0:36:58.640 --> 0:37:00.360
<v Speaker 10>for us to ascertain where we are kind of in

0:37:00.400 --> 0:37:02.200
<v Speaker 10>that profit cycle for the banks in general.

0:37:02.200 --> 0:37:06.000
<v Speaker 4>Carroll, I was actually making a list of pros and

0:37:06.000 --> 0:37:08.840
<v Speaker 4>cons for the banks, and I could only come up

0:37:08.920 --> 0:37:13.040
<v Speaker 4>with cons. And they slow down in deal making, higher

0:37:13.040 --> 0:37:17.000
<v Speaker 4>deposit costs, flighter deposits, higher regulatory costs, too much headcount,

0:37:17.080 --> 0:37:21.080
<v Speaker 4>dropping loan asset values. I mean, I just can't think

0:37:21.120 --> 0:37:21.640
<v Speaker 4>of a pro.

0:37:22.719 --> 0:37:24.919
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, pro's going to be consolidation, man, I mean, which

0:37:24.960 --> 0:37:26.759
<v Speaker 10>maybe gets a little bit more of the specuative side

0:37:26.760 --> 0:37:29.600
<v Speaker 10>of why you want to own one outside the operational value,

0:37:29.600 --> 0:37:31.920
<v Speaker 10>maybe the book value and kind of contributing value, the

0:37:32.120 --> 0:37:35.160
<v Speaker 10>creative capability to be folded into a large organization. I

0:37:35.200 --> 0:37:37.520
<v Speaker 10>feared for like the smaller community bank only because I

0:37:37.560 --> 0:37:40.520
<v Speaker 10>feel what the FED has done, inadvertently or otherwise has

0:37:40.560 --> 0:37:42.840
<v Speaker 10>made it a lot more difficult for them to survivive independently.

0:37:43.080 --> 0:37:44.880
<v Speaker 3>And I guess some of it depends on the economic

0:37:44.960 --> 0:37:47.080
<v Speaker 3>cycle too. I mean, banks are so way down right

0:37:47.080 --> 0:37:48.399
<v Speaker 3>because of all the regional but it.

0:37:48.320 --> 0:37:52.879
<v Speaker 4>Seems like the regulators want a consolidation wave in banks, right,

0:37:52.920 --> 0:37:55.680
<v Speaker 4>I mean, there's over four thousand. They seem to be

0:37:55.760 --> 0:37:59.279
<v Speaker 4>pushing for that. And ironically that could be a good

0:37:59.280 --> 0:38:02.399
<v Speaker 4>thing for the big banks because their investment bankers could

0:38:02.400 --> 0:38:03.279
<v Speaker 4>have some work to do.

0:38:05.040 --> 0:38:06.920
<v Speaker 10>That's true, I mean, and they're looking for work to

0:38:06.960 --> 0:38:08.880
<v Speaker 10>do right now. And obviously, if you read what Golden

0:38:08.920 --> 0:38:11.080
<v Speaker 10>has said in the last couple of quarters, and even

0:38:11.080 --> 0:38:13.960
<v Speaker 10>in kind of the quasi pre announcement. I mean the

0:38:14.040 --> 0:38:17.160
<v Speaker 10>deal flows lower, and I think multiples are contracting. Cost

0:38:17.160 --> 0:38:21.000
<v Speaker 10>of capital's higher. Organ they generally, you know, global economic

0:38:21.080 --> 0:38:23.640
<v Speaker 10>ambiguity is elevated, so you're not seeing a lot of

0:38:23.640 --> 0:38:25.360
<v Speaker 10>deals that are just going to get rubber stamped and

0:38:25.400 --> 0:38:27.680
<v Speaker 10>put through. They're going to require a whole lot of

0:38:27.880 --> 0:38:30.680
<v Speaker 10>kind of heft in that whole banking lineup right now.

0:38:30.719 --> 0:38:33.680
<v Speaker 10>So yeah, they could be to where corporate es guys

0:38:33.719 --> 0:38:35.440
<v Speaker 10>make an introduction, the M and A guys, they get

0:38:35.440 --> 0:38:37.080
<v Speaker 10>a deal done, and then they make a bigger bank,

0:38:37.120 --> 0:38:40.160
<v Speaker 10>and then sixty twelve years from now they deconstruct that

0:38:40.239 --> 0:38:42.399
<v Speaker 10>bank and the bankers get paid again. So maybe that's

0:38:42.400 --> 0:38:43.440
<v Speaker 10>where really to be focused.

0:38:43.440 --> 0:38:45.480
<v Speaker 3>The balance portfolio, it's back.

0:38:46.960 --> 0:38:50.600
<v Speaker 10>It's back. It's back because I mean, both both sides

0:38:50.640 --> 0:38:53.319
<v Speaker 10>of it right are making contributions, and we're spending a

0:38:53.320 --> 0:38:56.719
<v Speaker 10>lot of time right now in kind of the structure

0:38:56.719 --> 0:38:59.920
<v Speaker 10>are fixed income portfolios, and I mean, there's no question

0:39:00.040 --> 0:39:02.479
<v Speaker 10>the yield curve is going to normalize. So we've seen

0:39:02.640 --> 0:39:04.839
<v Speaker 10>kind of a little bit of an attempt to do

0:39:04.920 --> 0:39:07.759
<v Speaker 10>so just this week, and we're of the mind that

0:39:08.120 --> 0:39:10.680
<v Speaker 10>it's going to be a disproportionate adjustment with with the

0:39:10.719 --> 0:39:13.840
<v Speaker 10>front end coming down versus the back end going much higher.

0:39:14.280 --> 0:39:16.759
<v Speaker 10>In this whole we have a long way to go.

0:39:16.760 --> 0:39:19.440
<v Speaker 10>Going back to the Fed rhetoric, it's a bit bizarre

0:39:19.440 --> 0:39:21.520
<v Speaker 10>in my opinion right. I think the Fed needs to

0:39:21.560 --> 0:39:23.560
<v Speaker 10>continue to relax. I don't think they're going to stand

0:39:23.560 --> 0:39:26.319
<v Speaker 10>pat in July. But we have these known lags of

0:39:26.320 --> 0:39:29.520
<v Speaker 10>monetary policy that are taking hold in any time.

0:39:29.640 --> 0:39:29.799
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:39:29.920 --> 0:39:33.000
<v Speaker 10>Historically, when the Fed funds rate has gone above CPI,

0:39:33.200 --> 0:39:35.759
<v Speaker 10>the fourd OUTLOK twelve months for the bond mark is

0:39:35.800 --> 0:39:38.759
<v Speaker 10>extraordinarily strong. I don't see why that's going to be

0:39:38.800 --> 0:39:41.040
<v Speaker 10>any different this time. But I think the thing is

0:39:41.080 --> 0:39:44.200
<v Speaker 10>more than anything. Just wrap your brain around buying bonds

0:39:44.200 --> 0:39:46.719
<v Speaker 10>in longer dates with shorter yields, and.

0:39:47.920 --> 0:39:50.920
<v Speaker 2>You have the right hand wisdom.

0:39:54.719 --> 0:39:59.320
<v Speaker 3>CEO and Capital Partner's Hunting out the Sand from mccamps

0:39:59.520 --> 0:40:01.080
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0:40:02.160 --> 0:40:06.799
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