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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named best vetting podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: We're throwing in job spect.

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Speaker 2: I'm sitting it to cash totar.

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Speaker 4: We'll see most gambles when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 4: go to win.

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Speaker 2: God, that's incredible.

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Speaker 5: Big bank, small bank.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money.

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Speaker 6: All right, this is the ultimate cabin you want to pull.

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Speaker 7: And we are Hounderway.

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Speaker 2: Hello, everyone, Welcome back to another NFL Fantasy Flex episode

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Speaker 2: of the award winning Action Network podcast, presented by Bett MGM,

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Speaker 2: the official odds provider of the show. I'm Matthew Freeman

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Speaker 2: and the editor in chief of Fantasy Labs. In here

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Speaker 2: with me are Shaan Corner and Chris Raymond. Shawn is

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Speaker 2: the Action Network Director of Predictive Analytics. Chris is a

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Speaker 2: senior editor and analysts at the Action Network and there

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Speaker 2: too of the best fantasy football rankers in the world.

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Speaker 2: This episode, we're highlighting the players at the top of

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Speaker 2: our week seven rankings and our fantasy tool at the

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Speaker 2: Action Network. We're discussing the guys we're high and low

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Speaker 2: on and looking at how they do on our Fantasy

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Speaker 2: Labs models and we are speculating of course on some

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Speaker 2: player props and joining us. His return to the show

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Speaker 2: is Jeff Collins Jeff L. Heefy, a top daily fantasy

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Speaker 2: sports player and the proprietor of numberball dot Com. Jeff,

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Speaker 2: how's he going?

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Speaker 3: What's up?

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Speaker 8: Yeah, I'm a veteran to the show now is my

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Speaker 8: second time and looking forward to it.

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Speaker 2: This year, we're looking to bring in a lot of veterans.

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Speaker 2: You know, continuity with the coronavirus is really important this season,

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Speaker 2: so we're looking to have an established roster of guests.

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Speaker 2: So good to have you back on the show to

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Speaker 2: give us your DFS insight. And speaking of course of DFS,

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Speaker 2: I want to remind everyone to participate in the best

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Speaker 2: DFS contest ever, the Action Network Podcast Tournament of Champions,

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Speaker 2: presented by at MGM. It is a free custom tournament

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Speaker 2: on Yahoo for our listeners. You can join by clicking

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Speaker 2: the link in the show description. Each week, the top

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Speaker 2: ten finishers get over one thousand dollars in Action Network prizes.

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Speaker 2: In the top five finishers punch their ticket to the

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Speaker 2: wildcard week in Grand Finale, where they compete for the

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Speaker 2: grand prize, a Las Vegas trip for two, valued at

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Speaker 2: five thousand dollars, courtesy of bet MGM. Again, listeners can

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Speaker 2: join for free every week. Click on the link in

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Speaker 2: the episode description to join. Jeff, I want to get

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Speaker 2: your thoughts on the quarterbacks that we have at the

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Speaker 2: top of our rankings for week seven. Russell Wilson, Josh Allen,

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Speaker 2: Kyler Murray. Probably no surprise that those guys are at

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Speaker 2: least among the top quarterbacks, although you could obviously make

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Speaker 2: a case for Patrick Mahomes as someone who should be

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Speaker 2: included in the top three. Where are you with the

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Speaker 2: guys that you would put at the top of the

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Speaker 2: board at quarterback?

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Speaker 8: Yeah, that's a solid list. I can't really argue too

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Speaker 8: much on those. The three that we've got the top

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Speaker 8: of our list this week would be Alan Mahomes, who

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Speaker 8: you'd mentioned, and then Watson, who's I guess a little

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Speaker 8: bit more of a hot take, but Deshaun, since the

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Speaker 8: coaching changes looked much different, you can put as much

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Speaker 8: weight into that as you want. But I think with that,

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Speaker 8: combined with what we knew of Watson expected of Watson

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Speaker 8: coming into this season, he deserves to be in it

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Speaker 8: at least consideration.

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Speaker 7: But with you on Alan, the only.

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Speaker 8: Concern there is if that game just gets super ugly

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Speaker 8: and there's no reason for him to pass and no

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Speaker 8: reason to risk him running either.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, with you on Watson, it's amazing what he's been

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Speaker 2: able to do without DeAndre Hopkins. But I guess it

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Speaker 2: helps that Will Fuller has been able to stay healthy

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Speaker 2: so far this year to help compensate for the loss

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Speaker 2: of Hopkins. Who, outside of Watson is a quarterback or

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Speaker 2: two that you are high on for this upcoming week.

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Speaker 8: I assume I'm going to be higher on him than

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Speaker 8: the field is this week again. But Matt Ryan is

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Speaker 8: a guy that everyone had just kind of written off

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Speaker 8: last week and.

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Speaker 7: I didn't really buy that.

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Speaker 8: With Julio coming back, of course, you got to expect

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Speaker 8: a big boost there, and he looks good, and expect

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Speaker 8: it again in another soft matchup that he's going to

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Speaker 8: perform really well and that full complement of weapons even

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Speaker 8: to the point of gauge, and they've got a good

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Speaker 8: tight end as well at Hurst. I mean, this is

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Speaker 8: a strong, strong offense and a really good matchup and

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Speaker 8: I'm going to be all about him this week. And

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Speaker 8: then I mean justin Herbert too. That kid is just unreal.

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Speaker 8: I don't know that he's going to fly under the

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Speaker 8: radar at this point anymore, especially in a good matchup.

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Speaker 8: But love that he takes chances down the field aggressively,

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Speaker 8: which I think is great for DFS and tournaments and

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Speaker 8: upside and that sort of stuff. And with his weapons

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Speaker 8: healthy Again, if Keenan Allen can go this week, you've

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Speaker 8: got Mike Williams.

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Speaker 7: Back in Hunter Henry.

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Speaker 8: I mean that that's a strong stable weapons over there.

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Speaker 2: All right, Sean, I normally kick it to you, but

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Speaker 2: it seems like you always take the guy that Raybond

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Speaker 2: wants to talk about and so and so I'm going

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Speaker 2: to kick it to Raybond first, just to give him,

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Speaker 2: give him that first shot at the guys at this position. Raybond,

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Speaker 2: who are you high on this week?

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Speaker 4: It's Joe Burrow in DFS at five point five K.

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Speaker 5: You know he's way down there.

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Speaker 4: Just given the volume of plays that Cincinnati's running in

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Speaker 4: that Cleveland defense. I mean, I called this out last

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Speaker 4: week when we were in our you know, betting stuff

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Speaker 4: on Action Network about you know, the Steelers and this

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Speaker 4: this Browns defense is not very good, So I'm going

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Speaker 4: with Joe.

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Speaker 5: Burrow at five point five K. Love Kyler.

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Speaker 4: He's forced in DraftKings pricing. I think he should be

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Speaker 4: number two. That Seattle Arizona game has the potential to

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Speaker 4: have the most plays run on the entire suit.

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Speaker 5: So those two, those are the two guys. Murray on

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Speaker 5: the high end and Joe Burrow on the low end.

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Speaker 9: That's unbelievable because he took both of my guys both

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Speaker 9: in the high and low end. But Kyler Murray's by

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Speaker 9: far my favorite seven K or above QB. You know,

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Speaker 9: last night we saw him struggle as a passer and

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Speaker 9: he still ended with the top five finish and you wonder,

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Speaker 9: you know, if a dak Led offense were facing him

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Speaker 9: last night, he probably would have been you know, thrust

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Speaker 9: it into the top QB score overall. So I love

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Speaker 9: Kyler's upside. This week, the Seahawks game should be a shootout.

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Speaker 9: And one of the things with Kyler has been his

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Speaker 9: just rushing ability this year has been off the charts.

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Speaker 9: He's had either seventy rushing yards or rushing touchdown every

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Speaker 9: game this year. So this is this is just an

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Speaker 9: ultimate ceiling game spot for Kyler Murray and then yeah,

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Speaker 9: Joe Burrows at the top of my personal Fantasy Labs

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Speaker 9: model right now. He's way too cheap at fifty five

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Speaker 9: hundred against the Browns, who aren't necessarily, you know, a

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Speaker 9: pushover defense by any means. But you know, he's coming

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Speaker 9: off a matchup against the Rave and the Colts, who

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Speaker 9: are who are two very good defenses. So I love

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Speaker 9: him in this spot. And it's it's good to see

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Speaker 9: aj Green bounce back with an e catch ninety six

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Speaker 9: yard game. I'm not expecting too much from him going forward,

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Speaker 9: but you know, if he has three legit receivers going forward,

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Speaker 9: I like bros chances. And again, he's just way too

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Speaker 9: cheap for the spot where I think that the Browns

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Speaker 9: are sort of a pass funnel defense. So I'll have

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Speaker 9: him if I spend down at QB.

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Speaker 2: All right, One guy I'm pretty high on is Cam Newton.

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Speaker 2: One of the big questions entering last week for me

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Speaker 2: was coming off of COVID, how would he be used?

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Speaker 2: Would they continue to run him? And yeah, I mean

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Speaker 2: he continued to run. He has for the season a

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Speaker 2: thirty five percent market share of the team's rushing attempts,

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Speaker 2: which for a quarterback is just unbelievable, and going against

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Speaker 2: a forty nine Ers defense that is pretty banged up

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Speaker 2: at all levels of the unit, I think there's a

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Speaker 2: pretty decent chance that the game can stay competitive and

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Speaker 2: Cam Newton can run against a defensive line that isn't

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Speaker 2: anywhere close to what it used to be. So I

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Speaker 2: like Cam Newton in this spot. Jeff, who is someone

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Speaker 2: you are relatively low on a quarterback?

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Speaker 8: So well, one guy would be Aaron Rodgers. I think

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Speaker 8: once you're priced in like that seven K plus range,

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Speaker 8: if you don't have any rushing upside, that's just it

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Speaker 8: doesn't really make sense to use those guys usually. And

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Speaker 8: then I would say that he's got.

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Speaker 7: Pretty lucky to start the season.

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Speaker 8: I think he's overperforming, so there was bound to be

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Speaker 8: a little bit of regression there anyway, So Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 8: would be one guy that I don't like, and then

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Speaker 8: on the cheaper end, a guy like Gardner Minshew. I

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Speaker 8: could see people thinking that game's gonna have some fantasy

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Speaker 8: appeal because of some prices and stuff. But I think

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Speaker 8: that Chargers defense is really well schemed and despite the

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Speaker 8: injuries that they end up having they just continue to perform.

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Speaker 8: So the Jags and Minshew would be an offense that

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Speaker 8: I'm looking to avoid.

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Speaker 2: All Right, Sean, I'm giving you the first bite of

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Speaker 2: the forbidden apple here. Who are you looking to fade?

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Speaker 9: I'm looking to Faye Josh Allen at seventy seven hundred.

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Speaker 9: Jeff alluded to it earlier, but I just think Alan's

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Speaker 9: ceiling is much much lower in this spot. I think

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Speaker 9: he should bounce back from back to back poor games,

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Speaker 9: but you know, I don't think Joe Flacco or even

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Speaker 9: if Darnold returns this week, are capable of pushing this

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Speaker 9: Bill's offense to really be forced to do anything in

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Speaker 9: the second half. So I'm just worried about his upset.

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Speaker 9: I think this will be a big Devin singleitary Zach

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Speaker 9: Moss type of game. And then the other guy I'm

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Speaker 9: low on is Big Ben at sixty six hundred. I

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Speaker 9: seem to be low on Big Ben every week. Compared

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Speaker 9: to the ECR. Last week, I was minus six this week,

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Speaker 9: he's my QB sixteen, And the reason for that is,

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Speaker 9: you know, he doesn't really have to put up huge

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Speaker 9: numbers for them to win because of their elite defense.

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Speaker 9: So He's only top two hundred and forty passing yards

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Speaker 9: once this season, making him pretty touchdown dependent.

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Speaker 3: And you know we've seen Chase Claypool.

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Speaker 9: With this goal line play where they you know, flip

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Speaker 9: it to him in the backfield sort of as a

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Speaker 9: goal line back, so to speak. Two games in a

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Speaker 9: row now, so that that's kind of concerning for Big Ben.

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Speaker 9: And then you know James Connor and Benny Snell both

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Speaker 9: had rushing touchdowns last week. So again, if you're going

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Speaker 9: to be touched on dependant as a quarterback and you

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Speaker 9: have all these you know, goal line options out of

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Speaker 9: the backfield, it's pretty concerning. So this week against the Titans,

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Speaker 9: it should be a lower scoring close game. I'm meant

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Speaker 9: to be low on Big Ben again. And yeah, he's

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Speaker 9: just priced way too high with a lowered ceiling this year.

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Speaker 2: All right, Raybond, who are you staying away from Andy Dalton?

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Speaker 5: Next question?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah, not being more really.

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Speaker 5: I mean I think you guys.

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Speaker 4: The prop last week was Dalton's passing yards and I

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Speaker 4: said I had him at sixty six in the love

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Speaker 4: way of the fashions. He finished at sixty six, But

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Speaker 4: like that was the most terrible game but looking at

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Speaker 4: this chip against Washington right, another team with a strong

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Speaker 4: front seven that they ranked number They ranked top ten

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Speaker 4: in sacks, They rank right around in the top twelven

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Speaker 4: pressure rate and they don't even have to blitz that

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Speaker 4: much to do that. Chase Young is back. This is

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Speaker 4: not necessarily a rebound spot. I know it seems like it.

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Speaker 4: You know, Oh, we're going to play Washington.

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Speaker 5: They're terrible.

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Speaker 4: They're going on the road short week, and this guy's

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Speaker 4: kryptonite throughout his career. The reason he's a backup and

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Speaker 4: not still starting somewhere is because he's terrible at handling pressure.

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Speaker 5: This is a Zeke Elliott game. To carry them, he

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Speaker 5: has to rebound.

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Speaker 4: We already saw a Dulton checking it down all day

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Speaker 4: to Zeke to start last game, and that was the

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Speaker 4: game plan.

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Speaker 5: It went a little away.

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Speaker 4: He was lucky to get to sixty six and a

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Speaker 4: touchdown against the Cardinals.

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Speaker 5: I'm just not with it all right.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to have more to say about Zeke later.

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Speaker 2: That's what we call a tease in the business. Drew Brees,

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Speaker 2: I don't think this should be anything too controversial here.

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Speaker 2: It's a situation where the Saints are big favorites. I'm

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Speaker 2: expecting them to run the ball against this Panthers defense

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Speaker 2: because they can run it against that defense. And even

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Speaker 2: if this weren't a run heavy approach, I still don't

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Speaker 2: think i'd want any part of Breeze considering that he's

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Speaker 2: just not pushing the ball down the field, and there's

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Speaker 2: always the uh, the Tasom Hill factor.

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Speaker 6: That's a small controversial statement.

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Speaker 2: Are you serious?

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Speaker 3: Absolutely?

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Speaker 4: I mean, it's Drew Brees at home against one of

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Speaker 4: the worst defenses bottom four and pressure rate. He averages

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Speaker 4: like two touchdowns a game at home, like.

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Speaker 8: He promise might be back.

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Speaker 4: I get the rushing, like he's not gonna get any rushing.

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Speaker 4: I get I still have him like twelve, But like

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Speaker 4: that's still controversial, Like you don't like him.

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Speaker 2: I feel like there are other quarterbacks I would rather have,

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Speaker 2: I know, Breeze at home. Like I get that in theory,

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Speaker 2: it's a good matchup. I just I still don't see

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Speaker 2: it happening. I just I want no part of Breeze

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Speaker 2: this year.

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Speaker 6: Wow, Okay, I mean he was thrown down there.

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Speaker 4: I mean, and I know because I bet against him

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Speaker 4: against the h I think it was a Lions he

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Speaker 4: was thrown down the field in that game, So I mean,

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Speaker 4: I don't think he's like done done.

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Speaker 2: He had like two throws down the field. You know

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Speaker 2: that's anything special. I'm off of Breeze this week.

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Speaker 4: Okay, one question, would you would you say he has

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Speaker 4: QB one overall potential on the week?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, over all of the quarterbacks?

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Speaker 4: No, Okay, I think he does just because he could

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Speaker 4: throw like five touchdowns.

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Speaker 5: But I get it if you share that way, Okay.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't. I don't think he could throw five touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: I just don't see that in his range of outcomes anymore.

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Speaker 2: Which this is going to be very painful. When he

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Speaker 2: throws five touchdowns and this gets clipped and put all

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Speaker 2: over social media, it's gonna be great.

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Speaker 7: He's gonna be the chalk.

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Speaker 8: I think this week, or is a decent chance Its

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Speaker 8: sixty one hundred, that's like price of Dalton and Minshew,

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Speaker 8: and you know there's there's a decent chance.

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Speaker 7: He's going to be the chalk.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, that was a controversial take.

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Speaker 2: That's all saying.

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Speaker 5: I get it.

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Speaker 2: I get it.

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Speaker 6: I've been fading Breeze too.

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Speaker 4: I'm just saying it was it wasn't non controversial.

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Speaker 2: I'm just saying I'm not I'm not going to get

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Speaker 2: the chalk. That's all I'm saying. I'm not. I'm not

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Speaker 2: going there, all right, Sean, give us the player prop, which,

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Speaker 2: by the way, people should check out the Fantasy Labs

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Speaker 2: player proptal, where the props with the back quality of

301
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Speaker 2: ten have a sixty percent win over the past two years.

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Speaker 2: Of course, when player props are posted, you can bet

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Speaker 2: them at Betts MGM. Sean, give us the quarterback player prop.

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Speaker 9: Let's go with Ryan Tannehill passing yards against the Steelers.

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Speaker 9: He's always tricky for me every week to project. I

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Speaker 9: don't know about you guys, but I consider him a

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Speaker 9: top ten quarterback this year. It's it's not like I

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Speaker 9: still think last season was fraudulent or anything. It's always

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Speaker 9: there's a reason why I don't have him as a

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Speaker 9: top five quarterback, whether it's his entire receiving corps out

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Speaker 9: due to COVID and he's throwing to Nick Westbrook, or

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Speaker 9: you know, last week I was projecting a huge game

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Speaker 9: for Derrick Henry. Now this week he faces the Steelers,

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Speaker 9: so you know, how can you project them in your

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Speaker 9: top five? So I just want to hear where you

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Speaker 9: guys have him in terms of passing yards. But I

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Speaker 9: have it right now set at two hundred and sixty

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Speaker 9: two and a half under two forty five.

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Speaker 2: Sean. You know, I'm normally on the overs in this

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Speaker 2: little game we play, but I'm also taking the under.

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Speaker 2: But I have it closer. I have it at two fifty.

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Speaker 8: I'm lower than everyone, So this is just star mean projection.

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Speaker 8: It's to forty one, so we would definitely be on

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Speaker 8: the media and under.

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Speaker 2: For sure.

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Speaker 4: I will be betting on the Titans this week. Most

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Speaker 4: likely Tara Juan is going to drive that line. Probably

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Speaker 4: Pittsburgh's probably gonna get to three point favorite. You know,

329
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Speaker 4: the number one quarterback in passer rating under pressure is

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Speaker 4: this year Ryan Tannehill.

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Speaker 3: Soill the game, Like the.

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Speaker 6: Injury shouldn't hurt him that much.

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Speaker 4: I get like I still have him like nineteenth just

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Speaker 4: because the Steelers are tough. It might not be like

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Speaker 4: a high volume game, but like, don't I don't necessarily

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Speaker 4: see any like super red flags.

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Speaker 6: There's just a lot of better matchups this week.

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Speaker 4: I mean, the Steelers, you're just really not trying to

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Speaker 4: go against that defense with a quarterback when we have

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Speaker 4: so many good ones on the slee In my opinion.

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Speaker 9: Right just every week he seems to overachieve. So I'm

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Speaker 9: happy being on the Tannehill side. Three to zero towards

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Speaker 9: the under here, I'll take the Tannehill over leveraged.

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Speaker 2: Let's talk about the running backs. The guys at the

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Speaker 2: top of our rankings. We have Alvin Kamara, Ezekiel Elliott,

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Speaker 2: Aaron Jones, Jeff Who would you be putting in the

347
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Speaker 2: top three.

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Speaker 8: I've got Kamara and Jones in there, but I don't

349
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Speaker 8: have Zeke in the top three.

350
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Speaker 7: Instead, I've got Mike Davis.

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Speaker 8: Mike Davis is a guy that I wasn't so sure

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Speaker 8: about in the beginning there, but after about a game

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Speaker 8: and a half of seeing him perform, I'm going all right,

354
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Speaker 8: Apparently I'm wrong about Mike Davis, so really high on him,

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Speaker 8: and I think that he deserves consideration in the top three.

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Speaker 7: As crazy as that sounds.

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Speaker 2: No, I mean I can buy it. I mean I

358
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Speaker 2: think there are you know, maybe five or six guys

359
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Speaker 2: that you could make an argument for to be in

360
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Speaker 2: the top three this week outside of Mike Davis. Who's

361
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Speaker 2: someone else that you think you are relatively high on.

362
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Speaker 8: So this almost positive is going to be a hot take.

363
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Speaker 8: But Clyde Edwards E Lair, I would say, is a

364
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Speaker 8: guy that I'm going to be higher on relative to

365
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Speaker 8: the field. I think that every one's expecting a big

366
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Speaker 8: decrease in production from him, and even like the sites

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Speaker 8: responded with, it seems like a too low of a

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Speaker 8: price here at sixty one hundred for him on DraftKings.

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Speaker 7: The Le'Veon Bell, I.

370
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Speaker 8: Think is more so going to affect Darrell Williams than

371
00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:20,480
Speaker 8: Clyde Edwards Hilaire, at least in the very beginning here

372
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Speaker 8: talking about working him in for the first game, and

373
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Speaker 8: no one's gonna want to touch that situation. I think

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Speaker 8: he's going to project very similarly similarly to as if

375
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Speaker 8: Le'Veon Bell had never signed. So he's won. And then

376
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Speaker 8: DeAndre Swift is a guy that I got lucky and said, man,

377
00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:39,360
Speaker 8: I bet you this guy's gonna win someone the Millionmaker

378
00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:42,000
Speaker 8: this week, and sure enough, at four percent owned, he

379
00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:46,880
Speaker 8: won someone the Millimaker. I think it's just one thing

380
00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:50,200
Speaker 8: you should keep an eye on as you're projecting teams

381
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Speaker 8: coming off bye weeks. Are guys that would seemingly be

382
00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:57,440
Speaker 8: more involved with especially rookies, or we're seeing this right

383
00:17:57,480 --> 00:18:01,240
Speaker 8: now with Tua being named the starting quarderback for the Dolphins,

384
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Speaker 8: Like they're obviously trying to work in their rookie there

385
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Speaker 8: and quarterbacks. The most important that I have that the

386
00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:09,879
Speaker 8: extra week, But it just seems so obvious that the

387
00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:13,159
Speaker 8: running back position there for the Lions, let's work in

388
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Speaker 8: DeAndre Swift more. He's the guy that Kiraan Johnson said, like,

389
00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:18,560
Speaker 8: there's I can't.

390
00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:19,920
Speaker 7: Do the things that DeAndre Swift does.

391
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Speaker 8: Like the running backs there know that he's the best

392
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Speaker 8: running back. The coaches know he's the best running back.

393
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Speaker 8: Why is and he involved? They might have just needed

394
00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:29,399
Speaker 8: that extra week. So he's getting about fifty percent of.

395
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Speaker 7: The work now.

396
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Speaker 8: I think that continues moving forward. And he's still really cheap.

397
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Speaker 8: He's in a great matchup, So DeAndre Swift would be

398
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Speaker 8: the other.

399
00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:40,880
Speaker 2: Guy, Sean, I'm kicking his You who are you relatively

400
00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:41,199
Speaker 2: high on?

401
00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:45,760
Speaker 9: So for the higher priced guys, I'm high on Aaron Jones.

402
00:18:46,320 --> 00:18:48,440
Speaker 9: He's seventy to two hundred this week, but I think

403
00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:50,720
Speaker 9: he should have a bounce back game. You know, he's

404
00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:53,840
Speaker 9: coming off a matchup against Tampa Bay who you know,

405
00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:56,240
Speaker 9: even without Vita Vea, should be one of the stingier

406
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Speaker 9: run defenses the rest of the season. Now he gets Houston,

407
00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:02,919
Speaker 9: who has been one of the worst run defenses. You know,

408
00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:05,359
Speaker 9: they've allowed four different running backs to top one hundred

409
00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:07,880
Speaker 9: yards this year, including Derrek Henry's two hundred ard game

410
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:11,080
Speaker 9: last week. Even against the Ravens, they allowed four different

411
00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:13,920
Speaker 9: ballcarriers to top fifty yards. I think it's just a

412
00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:16,879
Speaker 9: you know, set up for a ceiling spot for Aaron Jones,

413
00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:19,320
Speaker 9: so I should have decent amount of shares on him

414
00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:22,280
Speaker 9: and then one of the cheaper guys. It's a little

415
00:19:22,280 --> 00:19:24,679
Speaker 9: early in the week to be really you know, loading

416
00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:27,560
Speaker 9: up on him, but Jamichael Hasty at forty two hundred,

417
00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:30,320
Speaker 9: he should probably be owned in all leagues, just to

418
00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:33,000
Speaker 9: see how this shapes out. Again, when it comes to

419
00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:36,200
Speaker 9: the forty nine ers running game, we're really investing in

420
00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:38,960
Speaker 9: the Kyle Shanahan system, not really the player. So he

421
00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:41,680
Speaker 9: has a chance to be this year's Raheem Mosert. Now

422
00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:44,720
Speaker 9: that Raheem Mosert ironically is on the ir and Tevin

423
00:19:44,760 --> 00:19:47,400
Speaker 9: Coleman I don't think is expected to be back anytime soon.

424
00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:49,240
Speaker 9: You know, it's worth taking a flyer in hasty and

425
00:19:49,280 --> 00:19:50,919
Speaker 9: you know, later in the week, hopefully we'll have a

426
00:19:50,960 --> 00:19:53,639
Speaker 9: better idea on the situation. But he's nearly two k

427
00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:56,480
Speaker 9: cheaper than Jack McKennon, and these situations, I do like

428
00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:59,200
Speaker 9: to go with the guy that people might be overlooking.

429
00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:03,159
Speaker 9: So I'll have a decent as of Jamichael Hycy.

430
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Speaker 2: This week, Raymond, who do you like?

431
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Speaker 4: I didn't think we'd be here, but Todd Gurley. I

432
00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:10,760
Speaker 4: love Todd Gurley this week. Have him as a top

433
00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:13,520
Speaker 4: ten back. He's only six K going against the Lions

434
00:20:13,520 --> 00:20:16,320
Speaker 4: in here awful run defense. They've given up the sixth

435
00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:20,280
Speaker 4: most half PPR points two opposing backs. Girl, he's getting

436
00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:22,560
Speaker 4: he's carrying the load. He had twenty carries last week.

437
00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:26,119
Speaker 4: Didn't go for much yardage in that game, but you know,

438
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:28,240
Speaker 4: new coaching staff, he gets twenty carries.

439
00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:29,840
Speaker 5: I think that was a positive sign.

440
00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:32,480
Speaker 4: And now you're at home as a home favorite against

441
00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:34,840
Speaker 4: a bad run defense in a game with a high total.

442
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:38,280
Speaker 4: I mean, this is a multi touchdown smash spot for

443
00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:39,040
Speaker 4: Todd Gurley.

444
00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:42,840
Speaker 2: All right, one guy I am high on. And granted

445
00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:44,399
Speaker 2: this is early in the week, so we don't know

446
00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:47,479
Speaker 2: exactly what's going to happen with Leonard Fournette. But you know,

447
00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:52,159
Speaker 2: assuming that Fournette is out and or limited even if

448
00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:55,359
Speaker 2: he returns, I think it's a situation where Ronald Jones

449
00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:59,480
Speaker 2: is still going to keep the lead back role based

450
00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:02,160
Speaker 2: on what he he's done the past three weeks. Now.

451
00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:06,159
Speaker 2: Granted that he's one of the worst starting backs in

452
00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:08,320
Speaker 2: the league when it comes to catching the ball, it's

453
00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:11,880
Speaker 2: just amazing how inefficient he is at turning targets into yards,

454
00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:15,600
Speaker 2: So that is something that limits his upside, But his

455
00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:19,080
Speaker 2: rushing production has been, you know, among the best in

456
00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:22,960
Speaker 2: the league, especially over the last three weeks. And Fournette,

457
00:21:23,040 --> 00:21:25,480
Speaker 2: I don't know if he really could have done any

458
00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:28,800
Speaker 2: better than what we've seen out of Ronald Jones. And

459
00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:32,280
Speaker 2: in Fournette's absence, we've seen Jones establish at least I

460
00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:34,719
Speaker 2: wouldn't say, some sort of like rapport with Tom Brady,

461
00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:38,160
Speaker 2: but at least like a level of trust where they

462
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:40,199
Speaker 2: know what they can get out of Ronald Jones at

463
00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:44,160
Speaker 2: this point. So I am I mean, I would say

464
00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:48,520
Speaker 2: kind of surprised that Jones is popping so high in

465
00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:52,600
Speaker 2: my rankings. I have him number seven right now. Assuming no,

466
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:54,440
Speaker 2: we're not going to see that much out of Fornette.

467
00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 2: So I'll be looking at the practice reports. If we

468
00:21:56,760 --> 00:22:00,600
Speaker 2: see Fournette practicing in full on Wednesday or then I'm

469
00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:04,919
Speaker 2: going to bump the rankings down. But assuming that Fournette

470
00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:09,679
Speaker 2: is out or limited, Jones is going to be someone

471
00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:13,439
Speaker 2: I'm pretty invested in, Jeff, Who are you low on?

472
00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:14,399
Speaker 3: Kenyan?

473
00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:17,320
Speaker 8: Drake is one and this is coming off the game

474
00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:20,720
Speaker 8: yesterday where he just had one hundred and thirty hundred

475
00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:23,879
Speaker 8: and forty yards or something, So I feel like the

476
00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:26,920
Speaker 8: recency bias might kick in for people and they're they're

477
00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:29,679
Speaker 8: ready to kind of hop back on him, especially a

478
00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:33,320
Speaker 8: high scoring environment and everything against Seattle. It seems like

479
00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:35,359
Speaker 8: a spot that people are gonna want to look at too.

480
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:38,719
Speaker 8: And he's priced cheaper than Chase Edmonds. I think I'm

481
00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:42,080
Speaker 8: pretty sure I saw on DraftKings. But the problem is,

482
00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:45,080
Speaker 8: I don't really think he showed that much in that

483
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:47,560
Speaker 8: game last night. He looked the same to me, where

484
00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:50,240
Speaker 8: all season he's had a hard time getting around the edges.

485
00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:53,239
Speaker 8: Even when they're force feeding the ball to get him

486
00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:55,360
Speaker 8: into the end zone, a lot of times he's failing.

487
00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:58,680
Speaker 8: I think he scored a one yard touchdown this game

488
00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:01,320
Speaker 8: and then that last run. I mean, the Dallas defense

489
00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,760
Speaker 8: was all right checked out that that should not even

490
00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:07,000
Speaker 8: count for anything as we're looking at how well he

491
00:23:07,080 --> 00:23:09,680
Speaker 8: played that game. So Drake would be a guy I'm

492
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:11,840
Speaker 8: low on. And then James Robinson to kind of go

493
00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:15,680
Speaker 8: with the theme of really buying into that Chargers defense

494
00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:17,960
Speaker 8: and thinking that Jaguars offense.

495
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:18,560
Speaker 7: Is going to struggle.

496
00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:21,440
Speaker 8: Of course, the results have kind of come back down

497
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,160
Speaker 8: to earth a little bit for James Robinson, especially in

498
00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:26,600
Speaker 8: the on the run side of things, where he's averaging

499
00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 8: the average two point four yards per kerry against Detroit

500
00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:33,600
Speaker 8: and three point seven against Houston, whereas before earlier in

501
00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:34,520
Speaker 8: the season he was just.

502
00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:36,480
Speaker 7: Dominating so much.

503
00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:39,280
Speaker 8: Lower on James Robinson and Kenyon Drake than the field,

504
00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:39,960
Speaker 8: I think.

505
00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:41,800
Speaker 2: Sean, who are you low on?

506
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:45,159
Speaker 9: I'm low on Derick Henry this week. I have him

507
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:47,960
Speaker 9: all the way down to running back six. So I mean,

508
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:50,199
Speaker 9: if you're in season long leagues, you're starting him no

509
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 9: matter what. And I think if we were to do

510
00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:56,040
Speaker 9: a redraft today, I'd probably take him number one overall.

511
00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:58,800
Speaker 9: But you know, like I mentioned, he's coming off you know,

512
00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:01,720
Speaker 9: the two hunderd game against Texans, who's who have struggled

513
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:04,760
Speaker 9: mightily against running backs this here, and now he faces

514
00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:06,560
Speaker 9: the Pittsburgh Steelers, who are first.

515
00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:07,640
Speaker 3: In DBA against the run.

516
00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:10,520
Speaker 9: You know, the loss of Devin Bush should hurt, but

517
00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:13,240
Speaker 9: it's not like I'm, you know, regressing this defense to

518
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:16,160
Speaker 9: average all of a sudden. So I think just give

519
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:19,000
Speaker 9: him the spot at seventy five hundred. Coming off a

520
00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:21,600
Speaker 9: huge game, I think he'll be over owned, and I'm

521
00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:23,879
Speaker 9: just hoping the Steelers defense can hold him to like

522
00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:27,160
Speaker 9: one hundred yards and a touchdown. And you know he's

523
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:30,320
Speaker 9: always limited in the passing game, so I think his

524
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:33,200
Speaker 9: ceiling is a little bit lower this week. And then

525
00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:36,639
Speaker 9: also I'm low on Jerck McKinnon at fifty eight hundred.

526
00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:39,080
Speaker 9: It kind of goes with what I was saying with

527
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:42,120
Speaker 9: Jamichael Hasty. I think, just because Raheem Mozurt is out,

528
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:44,359
Speaker 9: we can't just assume Jack McKinnon is going to become

529
00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:46,800
Speaker 9: the workhorse back we saw a couple of weeks ago.

530
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:50,320
Speaker 9: I think Hasty and McKinnon will probably split carries, but

531
00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:53,560
Speaker 9: this is a situation where I rather go with the

532
00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:56,680
Speaker 9: back that's two k cheaper, just because there's so much uncertainty,

533
00:24:57,400 --> 00:24:59,440
Speaker 9: and I think Hasty will be under owned this week,

534
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:02,640
Speaker 9: so that that means I'm pretty much fading McKinnon. Again,

535
00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:05,120
Speaker 9: it's early in the week. I could change my mind

536
00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:07,679
Speaker 9: comes Saturday if we hear more about the situation, but

537
00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:09,400
Speaker 9: as of now, I'm leaning Hasty.

538
00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:11,359
Speaker 2: Raymond, who are you fading?

539
00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:14,560
Speaker 4: All of the San Francisco Backs and all of the

540
00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:17,800
Speaker 4: New England Backs. Both of these teams are top five

541
00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:21,120
Speaker 4: and fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks, and as Sean kind

542
00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:23,320
Speaker 4: of alluded to, we don't know what the heck's going

543
00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 4: on in San Francisco. Jeff Wilson may lead them and

544
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,520
Speaker 4: carries this week. Maybe Kyle Yustchek will just play single

545
00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:31,080
Speaker 4: back in the shotgun all day like he was getting

546
00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:33,360
Speaker 4: deep targets last week. But we have no idea what's

547
00:25:33,359 --> 00:25:35,439
Speaker 4: going to happen. So like, I don't even think that

548
00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:37,280
Speaker 4: it's wise to take a stand in this case.

549
00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:38,040
Speaker 5: I think we just.

550
00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:40,840
Speaker 4: Admit that, hey, it could go one of like three

551
00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:42,800
Speaker 4: or four ways in that backfield.

552
00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:43,919
Speaker 5: It's not a great matchup.

553
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:46,680
Speaker 4: They're going across the country coming off a big win,

554
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:49,520
Speaker 4: super wet sound spot for San fran and on the other.

555
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:51,320
Speaker 5: Side, you know, New England.

556
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:54,760
Speaker 4: It's San Francisco's actually allowed the least points to running backs,

557
00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 4: and you never know kind of what you're going to

558
00:25:57,320 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 4: get these days.

559
00:25:57,800 --> 00:25:59,040
Speaker 5: Out of this New England offense.

560
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:01,359
Speaker 4: You're gonna get a lot of Cam Newton runs, but

561
00:26:01,600 --> 00:26:02,960
Speaker 4: you know, is it going to be burkehet, is it

562
00:26:03,000 --> 00:26:05,200
Speaker 4: going to be Harris? It depends on the script. James

563
00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:07,360
Speaker 4: White might catch a lot, but if they're running, it's

564
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:09,840
Speaker 4: a tough matchup. I just want no part to either

565
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:14,080
Speaker 4: that game, except for, as you mentioned, Friedman, Cam Newton.

566
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:18,200
Speaker 2: All Right, the guy I'm relatively low on is Ezekiel Elliott.

567
00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:20,280
Speaker 2: I was low on him last week, and a lot

568
00:26:20,320 --> 00:26:22,480
Speaker 2: of the logic was I don't think he's going to

569
00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:27,320
Speaker 2: have the opportunities to score touchdowns, and that's very much

570
00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:30,160
Speaker 2: what we saw. He did get targets, but I don't

571
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,720
Speaker 2: think we can count on him getting eleven targets again.

572
00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:36,399
Speaker 2: This upcoming game. We're looking at a run offense that

573
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:39,960
Speaker 2: I think is pretty anemic without the offensive line that

574
00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:43,360
Speaker 2: has really powered that running game for the past half

575
00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:47,280
Speaker 2: decade or so. In an offense that I mean with

576
00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:51,720
Speaker 2: Andy Dalton under center. You know, the TCU days were wonderful.

577
00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:55,480
Speaker 2: We'll always have that Rose Bowl victory in twenty ten.

578
00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:58,679
Speaker 2: But you know, Andy Dalton is not going to be

579
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:01,600
Speaker 2: bringing glory to the Dallas Worth area in the twenty

580
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:05,399
Speaker 2: twenty season. So I'm not expecting an offense that is

581
00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:09,960
Speaker 2: going to provide opportunities for touchdowns to Ezekiel Elliott. I

582
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:12,399
Speaker 2: think it's just going to be pretty bad all the

583
00:27:12,440 --> 00:27:14,520
Speaker 2: way around. If he gets there. I think it's going

584
00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:17,760
Speaker 2: to be through massive target volume. But that's just I think,

585
00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:21,320
Speaker 2: pretty hard to predict or project for running back. So

586
00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:25,119
Speaker 2: I mean, I still have him number five. It's not

587
00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:28,440
Speaker 2: as if that's like horrible or anything, but I mean

588
00:27:28,800 --> 00:27:33,399
Speaker 2: I don't think he belongs in the top three for sure. Okay, Sean,

589
00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:34,400
Speaker 2: give us the prop.

590
00:27:35,560 --> 00:27:38,679
Speaker 9: We're going to have to go with Le'Veon Bell total

591
00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:42,359
Speaker 9: rushing and receiving yards. And this is an absolutely impossible

592
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:43,919
Speaker 9: line for me to set some I'm just gonna throw

593
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:45,600
Speaker 9: it out there forty and a half.

594
00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:49,119
Speaker 8: I haven't dug into this enough to have a super

595
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:54,040
Speaker 8: strong read on the median projection for Leaveon Bell, but

596
00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:57,040
Speaker 8: I would still lean under. Of course, you heard me

597
00:27:57,080 --> 00:28:00,760
Speaker 8: talk about being high on ch and thinking that Le'veon's

598
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:04,199
Speaker 8: more likely to be in the Darrell Williams role, and

599
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:05,879
Speaker 8: if he is in that role, then it's got to

600
00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:06,400
Speaker 8: be the under.

601
00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:09,760
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm going under as well.

602
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:15,400
Speaker 4: I'm still conservative projecting him for around six to seven touches.

603
00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:19,359
Speaker 4: Maybe that's super low, but especially after Kuid Edwards Hlaire

604
00:28:19,440 --> 00:28:22,040
Speaker 4: showed out last week, I just don't think you give

605
00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:26,800
Speaker 4: Le'Veon bell like, you know, ten to fifteen touches unless

606
00:28:26,840 --> 00:28:28,840
Speaker 4: you run forty six times again.

607
00:28:28,920 --> 00:28:30,919
Speaker 5: But remember, you know this is the Chiefs.

608
00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:33,119
Speaker 4: They come off a game where they lose and they

609
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:34,880
Speaker 4: felt like they threw too much and they've been throwing

610
00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:36,520
Speaker 4: down field too much, and so what do they do.

611
00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:38,200
Speaker 4: They go short and they run the ball more than

612
00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:40,680
Speaker 4: Andy Reid has ever run. Now, the Broncos had a

613
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:43,480
Speaker 4: week to kind of ingest that take that in. What

614
00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:45,240
Speaker 4: do you think is going to happen this week? You

615
00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:48,240
Speaker 4: know they'll probably throw it deep all day, So I'm

616
00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 4: going conservative with Belle Sean.

617
00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:53,920
Speaker 2: I had to do some quick math on the question

618
00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:58,280
Speaker 2: combined yardage, but yeah, I will barely take the over.

619
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:01,840
Speaker 2: You said forty and a half. I have at forty two,

620
00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:06,520
Speaker 2: so you know, pretty much right there with you in

621
00:29:06,600 --> 00:29:08,880
Speaker 2: terms of where you've set the line. I guess I'm

622
00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:12,240
Speaker 2: probably being a little more aggressive in terms of the

623
00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:15,680
Speaker 2: usage that I think Bell is going to get, particularly

624
00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:18,960
Speaker 2: as a pass catcher. I think he will eat into

625
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:21,760
Speaker 2: Edwards a layer just a little bit, because Edwards Lairy

626
00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:24,280
Speaker 2: has been really good as a runner, I think, much

627
00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:27,360
Speaker 2: better than anyone would have anticipated, and not nearly as

628
00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:30,800
Speaker 2: good of a receiver as we would have expected when

629
00:29:30,840 --> 00:29:33,959
Speaker 2: he entered the league, which is I mean something that

630
00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:36,280
Speaker 2: was just mind blowing, Like he was great as a

631
00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:38,280
Speaker 2: pass catching back in college and we haven't seen that

632
00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:41,400
Speaker 2: at all in the NFL. And I think that's the

633
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:45,800
Speaker 2: one area where Belle probably still really can outproduce and

634
00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:49,840
Speaker 2: make an immediate contribution. If Belle is using the receiving game,

635
00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:52,000
Speaker 2: I think it makes it a little bit easier for

636
00:29:52,120 --> 00:29:56,280
Speaker 2: him to hit this number with even just a few targets.

637
00:29:56,120 --> 00:29:59,080
Speaker 4: That's a good point for Evan because he Edwards Alaier

638
00:29:59,120 --> 00:30:01,960
Speaker 4: made a horrible at the end of that Buffalo game

639
00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:03,800
Speaker 4: where they were trying to run it down to the

640
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:06,240
Speaker 4: two minute warning and they throw They shouldn't have been thrown,

641
00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:07,760
Speaker 4: but they throw on like a little screen, and he

642
00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:10,120
Speaker 4: like has like a whole bunch of blocks and he

643
00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:12,080
Speaker 4: just decides to take it outside and goes out of

644
00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:14,720
Speaker 4: bounds and stops the clock at like two nineteen when

645
00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:16,400
Speaker 4: they were just trying to run it down. So I

646
00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,520
Speaker 4: could definitely see him, you know, getting West usage in

647
00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 4: their past game.

648
00:30:20,680 --> 00:30:23,719
Speaker 2: All right, let's talk about wide receivers. The guys at

649
00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:28,560
Speaker 2: the top of more rankings, DeAndre Hopkins, Defonte Adams, Stefan Diggs.

650
00:30:29,280 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 2: It's I think a pretty decent week for wide receivers.

651
00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:34,479
Speaker 2: You can make some arguments for a number of guys

652
00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:37,760
Speaker 2: to be in the top three. Jeff, who are you

653
00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:38,560
Speaker 2: putting up there?

654
00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:43,880
Speaker 8: I've got new Hopkins and Adams in there, but I'm

655
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:47,520
Speaker 8: pretty low on Diggs this week. So I've got Keenan

656
00:30:47,560 --> 00:30:50,440
Speaker 8: Allen actually in the top three, and that's a pretty

657
00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:53,000
Speaker 8: big jump, I would say, from where most people are

658
00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 8: going to happen. But again, it's just an incredible matchup.

659
00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:59,440
Speaker 8: Really buy into Herbert and what he's doing. Of course,

660
00:30:59,440 --> 00:31:01,680
Speaker 8: he's Allen's on the injury report, so we'll see if

661
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:04,680
Speaker 8: he even plays. But if he does play, really like

662
00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:07,520
Speaker 8: this matchup for him, like him to rebound off the

663
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:09,880
Speaker 8: game against New Orleans.

664
00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:13,560
Speaker 2: There, Yeah, Jeff, I mean, I think Keenan in the

665
00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:18,200
Speaker 2: top three, it's totally defensible. Sean hasn't projected number four.

666
00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:21,320
Speaker 2: I have him number six, but you know, if you

667
00:31:21,400 --> 00:31:23,600
Speaker 2: bump up his usage just a little bit, like I

668
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 2: feel like I've conservatively projected him down just a little

669
00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:29,240
Speaker 2: bit because of the injury. But I mean with the

670
00:31:29,280 --> 00:31:31,880
Speaker 2: market share he was seen, with all the target volume

671
00:31:31,920 --> 00:31:35,560
Speaker 2: he was getting once Justin Herbert became quarterback, I think

672
00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:37,920
Speaker 2: you could easily see how he finishes in the top three.

673
00:31:38,480 --> 00:31:41,480
Speaker 2: So I think that makes sense. Who are you relatively

674
00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:42,600
Speaker 2: high on besides Keenan?

675
00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:45,920
Speaker 8: So one guy is going to be Fuller, and that

676
00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:49,440
Speaker 8: goes along with the thinking with Watson and buying into

677
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:53,160
Speaker 8: the offensive improvement a little bit with the coaching change,

678
00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 8: but it's also a big thing. It's just I was

679
00:31:56,760 --> 00:31:58,880
Speaker 8: super high on u Fuller, like a lot of fantasy

680
00:31:58,920 --> 00:32:02,680
Speaker 8: and now Annely we're heading into the season. We saw

681
00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:05,840
Speaker 8: some dispoint results with him getting a hamstring injury in

682
00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:07,600
Speaker 8: the one game where he put up a zero. But

683
00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:11,160
Speaker 8: when he's healthy and out there, he's just going to produce.

684
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:15,240
Speaker 8: He's the guy in that offense. I know that Cooks

685
00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:17,440
Speaker 8: has had some good games as well, But I think

686
00:32:17,520 --> 00:32:20,120
Speaker 8: that in a way helps him too, of course, to

687
00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:23,280
Speaker 8: take some attention off of him, and really like his

688
00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:26,160
Speaker 8: upside every week. But he has a higher floor than

689
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:28,160
Speaker 8: we're used to seeing with him in previous seasons.

690
00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:31,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, totally with you there. Loved Wilf Alert this week

691
00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:32,960
Speaker 2: and pretty much every week.

692
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:35,920
Speaker 10: I hope you're enjoying this great Action network podcast. I

693
00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:37,600
Speaker 10: want to make sure you know about the Locked On

694
00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:41,000
Speaker 10: podcast network Locked on as a daily podcast on your

695
00:32:41,040 --> 00:32:41,640
Speaker 10: favorite team.

696
00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:43,480
Speaker 7: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

697
00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:44,960
Speaker 2: You are locked on of the Dallas marriage.

698
00:32:45,080 --> 00:32:47,800
Speaker 8: Came everybody to the Locked On Lakers podcast Let's Go.

699
00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:50,959
Speaker 10: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

700
00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:53,280
Speaker 10: know your team better than anyone and give you the

701
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702
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703
00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:06,520
Speaker 2: Chris, who is a wide receiver you're high on?

704
00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:09,360
Speaker 5: I love Julio again this week.

705
00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:12,480
Speaker 4: I think he continues to eat and I like Terry

706
00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:16,160
Speaker 4: mcquaren a lot Terry McLaren is currently my wide receiver.

707
00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:16,680
Speaker 3: Six.

708
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:20,760
Speaker 4: The Cowboys have given up the number the second most

709
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:24,520
Speaker 4: schedule adjusted yards per game to opposing number one receivers

710
00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:28,920
Speaker 4: according to football outsiders, and aside from that one game

711
00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:32,000
Speaker 4: against jaywhen Ramsey McLaren's been eating every week, you know,

712
00:33:32,080 --> 00:33:34,840
Speaker 4: getting yardage in at least the sixties, if not higher.

713
00:33:35,400 --> 00:33:37,400
Speaker 4: So I think this is another great spot for him

714
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:41,320
Speaker 4: and it should be a close game. And you know,

715
00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:43,920
Speaker 4: in in that kind of situation, you always like the

716
00:33:43,960 --> 00:33:47,040
Speaker 4: pass catcher, especially when he's like the only guy on

717
00:33:47,080 --> 00:33:50,320
Speaker 4: that team. And in this Dallas defense can can be exploited,

718
00:33:50,320 --> 00:33:51,880
Speaker 4: as we saw with Christian Kirk.

719
00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:53,600
Speaker 5: You know, they they barely.

720
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:55,720
Speaker 4: Give up, like the quarterback had about the worst game

721
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:57,920
Speaker 4: he could possibly have, and somehow Dallas defense is still

722
00:33:57,920 --> 00:33:59,400
Speaker 4: giving up like eighty yard bombs.

723
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:00,960
Speaker 5: So I love Terry this week.

724
00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:04,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely with you on McLaurin. He went from having

725
00:34:04,840 --> 00:34:08,440
Speaker 2: the toughest six week stretch of opposing number one cornerbacks

726
00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:11,040
Speaker 2: to now he gets to face Darryl Worley, who's the

727
00:34:11,160 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 2: number five cornerback on a horrible pass defense. Absolutely smash

728
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:19,840
Speaker 2: matchup for him. Love it, Sean, who are you high on?

729
00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:23,400
Speaker 9: So you already mentioned that he's in my top five,

730
00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:26,319
Speaker 9: But Keenan Allen, I love this week, especially at his

731
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:27,760
Speaker 9: price of sixty two hundred.

732
00:34:27,920 --> 00:34:28,840
Speaker 3: He'll absolutely have a.

733
00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:31,839
Speaker 9: Bounce back game after leaving early with back spasms, which

734
00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:34,080
Speaker 9: it was actually good news, that's what the injury was.

735
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:36,120
Speaker 9: I think he should be pretty close to one hundred

736
00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:38,480
Speaker 9: percent given he had the bye week to rest up.

737
00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:41,359
Speaker 9: You know, he's seeing ten plus targets in every game,

738
00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:44,440
Speaker 9: justin Herbert started and where he's played more than a quarter.

739
00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:46,440
Speaker 9: So I think they'll just go right back to the

740
00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:49,360
Speaker 9: well here, big game for Alan coming up this week,

741
00:34:49,520 --> 00:34:51,360
Speaker 9: and then yeah, I could see why it's frustrating for

742
00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:53,560
Speaker 9: raybound to go after me because he stole my guy again.

743
00:34:54,440 --> 00:34:57,080
Speaker 9: I love Terry mclaurran this week at fifty eight hundred.

744
00:34:57,120 --> 00:35:00,000
Speaker 9: I think this is a ceiling game spot for him.

745
00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:02,800
Speaker 9: And you know with mclarn his his issue is always

746
00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:07,080
Speaker 9: quarterback play, and not that Kyle Allen is like anywhere

747
00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:09,759
Speaker 9: near an average quarterback even but he was good enough

748
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:11,880
Speaker 9: last game to throw for two hundred and eighty yards.

749
00:35:12,200 --> 00:35:15,520
Speaker 9: He connected with McLaurin for seven catches and seventy seven yards,

750
00:35:15,520 --> 00:35:19,200
Speaker 9: So just any hint of any quarterback play with a

751
00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:22,279
Speaker 9: pulse is good for McLaurin. And as Raybau mentioned, you

752
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:25,839
Speaker 9: know this Dallas defense gave up you know, they potentially

753
00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:28,120
Speaker 9: gave up a eighty yard bomb to Isabelle at the

754
00:35:28,160 --> 00:35:30,399
Speaker 9: beginning of the game, and they gave up two more

755
00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:32,680
Speaker 9: bombs later in the game. So this is just a

756
00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:35,239
Speaker 9: spot where I could see McLaurin going off like we

757
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:36,560
Speaker 9: saw at times last year.

758
00:35:37,000 --> 00:35:38,439
Speaker 3: So I'll have a ton of McLaurin this week.

759
00:35:39,080 --> 00:35:42,600
Speaker 2: All right, One guy I'm high on and going opposite Jeff,

760
00:35:42,640 --> 00:35:45,799
Speaker 2: which probably isn't the smartest move here, But I'm really

761
00:35:45,800 --> 00:35:48,440
Speaker 2: interested in Stefan Diggs, and I could see how he

762
00:35:48,480 --> 00:35:52,160
Speaker 2: could be a floor game just because the Bills might

763
00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:55,200
Speaker 2: not need to throw all that much in order to

764
00:35:55,520 --> 00:36:01,360
Speaker 2: dominate the woeful Jets. But eight percent target chair is

765
00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:04,040
Speaker 2: what we've seen out of Stefan Diggs so far, ninety

766
00:36:04,040 --> 00:36:07,480
Speaker 2: two and a half yards per game. I don't know,

767
00:36:07,680 --> 00:36:10,040
Speaker 2: I mean, I just I see him going against this

768
00:36:10,200 --> 00:36:14,480
Speaker 2: Jets defense that looks like it's really, really bad. And

769
00:36:14,640 --> 00:36:18,800
Speaker 2: I could imagine a peak scenario where even though the

770
00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:23,200
Speaker 2: floor might not be there because of volume issues, we

771
00:36:23,239 --> 00:36:25,400
Speaker 2: could maybe see you know, like one hundred ish yards

772
00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:28,120
Speaker 2: and two touchdowns out of Digs. Like I think he

773
00:36:28,719 --> 00:36:33,120
Speaker 2: has ceiling potential for sure in this spot. So I'm

774
00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:37,239
Speaker 2: pretty interested in digs. Jeff, who are you low on?

775
00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:39,000
Speaker 2: And if you want to talk more about being low

776
00:36:39,080 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 2: on digs, definitely go for it.

777
00:36:40,880 --> 00:36:42,359
Speaker 8: Well yeah, I mean that was the guy I had

778
00:36:42,400 --> 00:36:44,080
Speaker 8: listed here that I was going to talk about. So

779
00:36:44,320 --> 00:36:48,400
Speaker 8: just transitions into this pretty smoothly. But I'll make the

780
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:50,160
Speaker 8: case against him, even though I don't want to push

781
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:52,440
Speaker 8: back too hard because I agree with basically everything you

782
00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:54,920
Speaker 8: said that the ceiling is there. It's just that the

783
00:36:55,000 --> 00:36:58,200
Speaker 8: floor is much much lower in this matchup because you

784
00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:01,799
Speaker 8: think about it, and the Jets, they could give up

785
00:37:01,840 --> 00:37:04,960
Speaker 8: a lot of yards if this game becomes competitive, But

786
00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:06,839
Speaker 8: what I think is more likely is that they're going

787
00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:10,959
Speaker 8: to give up some short touchdowns because the offense put

788
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:14,319
Speaker 8: the Bills in the Jets offense put the Bills in

789
00:37:14,440 --> 00:37:18,880
Speaker 8: good field position. Ends up being short touchdowns and fewer attempts,

790
00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:21,920
Speaker 8: and it's just an ugly game overall for fantasy. And

791
00:37:21,920 --> 00:37:25,560
Speaker 8: when you've got the fewer attempts, that increases the volatility

792
00:37:25,600 --> 00:37:29,279
Speaker 8: of projecting where are these touchdowns and pass attempts going to?

793
00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:32,839
Speaker 8: And of course we would think that most likely it's

794
00:37:32,840 --> 00:37:36,720
Speaker 8: going to be digs. But if it's when you decrease

795
00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:39,600
Speaker 8: those attempts increase the volatility. It could go anywhere, and

796
00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:43,279
Speaker 8: pretty worried about. I wouldn't claim I definitely wouldn't play

797
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:45,080
Speaker 8: in cash, but I agree with you that in tournaments

798
00:37:45,080 --> 00:37:46,799
Speaker 8: it would not be surprising at all if he caught

799
00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:47,640
Speaker 8: two touchdowns.

800
00:37:48,120 --> 00:37:49,200
Speaker 2: Sean, who are you low on?

801
00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:53,440
Speaker 9: I'm melow on both Amari Cooper and CD Lamb at

802
00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:57,360
Speaker 9: their absurd prices right now. You know, at halftime, Lamb

803
00:37:57,360 --> 00:38:00,400
Speaker 9: had zero catches and Cooper had one catch freight yards.

804
00:38:00,719 --> 00:38:03,000
Speaker 9: Then they were able to salvage in garbage time and

805
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:05,600
Speaker 9: both had seven catches apiece. So I'm hoping that leads

806
00:38:05,640 --> 00:38:08,680
Speaker 9: people to still take them at these prices. But it's

807
00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:11,200
Speaker 9: pretty clear that without Dak, this offense is going to

808
00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:14,800
Speaker 9: take a huge step back. A matchup against Washington should

809
00:38:14,840 --> 00:38:18,600
Speaker 9: be close. There probably shouldn't be much garbage time in

810
00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:20,360
Speaker 9: this one, and the totals all the way down to

811
00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:23,560
Speaker 9: forty six just not something we're used to seeing with

812
00:38:23,680 --> 00:38:26,960
Speaker 9: a Dak led offense. So I'm way low on these guys,

813
00:38:27,040 --> 00:38:29,760
Speaker 9: and they would have to be about one k cheaper

814
00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:32,480
Speaker 9: for me to even consider them. So I'm just hoping

815
00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:34,680
Speaker 9: the fact that they were able to salvage and put

816
00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:37,920
Speaker 9: up a decent line means that people will still take

817
00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:40,080
Speaker 9: them here. But I won't have anything to do with

818
00:38:40,120 --> 00:38:40,720
Speaker 9: them this week.

819
00:38:41,600 --> 00:38:42,600
Speaker 2: Raban, who you fading?

820
00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:44,800
Speaker 5: Yeah? This is damn.

821
00:38:44,800 --> 00:38:48,440
Speaker 4: Me and Sean are just I think Mari and Ceedee

822
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:51,560
Speaker 4: lamb the Cowboys receivers for the reasons I mentioned with Dalton,

823
00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:53,600
Speaker 4: but I will throw out one that I think is

824
00:38:53,920 --> 00:38:56,400
Speaker 4: a little more contrarian that I don't think any of

825
00:38:56,440 --> 00:38:59,720
Speaker 4: you guys may agree with. But for me, Will Fuller,

826
00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:02,399
Speaker 4: I think will full is way too overpriced at sixty

827
00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:06,480
Speaker 4: eight hundred when you consider that Green Bay is number

828
00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:08,759
Speaker 4: one in the league in schedule adjusted yards allowed to

829
00:39:08,920 --> 00:39:11,680
Speaker 4: number one receivers at forty one point nine, and they're

830
00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:14,120
Speaker 4: only allowing fifty six point four schedule adjusted yards to

831
00:39:14,200 --> 00:39:17,440
Speaker 4: number twos. You know, So whether you consider Cooks or

832
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:20,359
Speaker 4: Fuller the true number one, I consider Fuller. But they've

833
00:39:20,360 --> 00:39:24,080
Speaker 4: been very stingy Kevin King and JayR Alexander, And if

834
00:39:24,120 --> 00:39:25,960
Speaker 4: they put Alexander on him, I mean he's been shadowing

835
00:39:26,000 --> 00:39:27,640
Speaker 4: over the past couple weeks and hasn't allowed.

836
00:39:27,440 --> 00:39:29,239
Speaker 5: To catch to you know, the guys.

837
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:32,360
Speaker 4: He's in shadow coverage, So I think it's a sticky

838
00:39:32,440 --> 00:39:35,120
Speaker 4: matchup for for Fuller where people are going to kind

839
00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:37,359
Speaker 4: of be rolled into. You know, what he's done over

840
00:39:37,400 --> 00:39:40,600
Speaker 4: the past few games and the high total, and at

841
00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:42,759
Speaker 4: sixty eight hundred, I mean the guy there's Tyler.

842
00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:43,480
Speaker 5: Lockett is cheaper.

843
00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:47,120
Speaker 4: You got Galladay right in that price range. Julio is

844
00:39:47,160 --> 00:39:49,719
Speaker 4: not much more expensive. These guys, in my opinion, have

845
00:39:49,880 --> 00:39:53,799
Speaker 4: much higher floors in the in their respective matchups than

846
00:39:53,880 --> 00:39:55,040
Speaker 4: does Will Fuller.

847
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:55,360
Speaker 5: At that price.

848
00:39:56,400 --> 00:40:00,279
Speaker 2: All right, A guy I am looking to fade is

849
00:40:00,320 --> 00:40:03,319
Speaker 2: Tyreek Hill. I have him ranked number eight, and I

850
00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:07,680
Speaker 2: feel a little bit weird about this because normally I'm

851
00:40:07,719 --> 00:40:10,360
Speaker 2: pretty enthusiastic about Tyreek Hill and his potential, and I

852
00:40:10,400 --> 00:40:13,160
Speaker 2: still think he obviously has upside, but he has only

853
00:40:13,160 --> 00:40:15,920
Speaker 2: an eighteen percent target share this year, which is lower

854
00:40:15,960 --> 00:40:17,560
Speaker 2: than what we've seen out of him in the past.

855
00:40:17,680 --> 00:40:20,799
Speaker 2: And then who knows what we're going to see out

856
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:24,439
Speaker 2: of the Chiefs offense this weekend. But we have seen

857
00:40:24,480 --> 00:40:26,719
Speaker 2: them spread the ball around a little bit more and

858
00:40:26,800 --> 00:40:29,279
Speaker 2: rely on the running game a little bit more than

859
00:40:29,320 --> 00:40:32,719
Speaker 2: they have in previous seasons. And so if that is

860
00:40:32,800 --> 00:40:35,359
Speaker 2: what they do this week and we see Tyreek Hill

861
00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:39,080
Speaker 2: have only an eighteen percent target share once again, then

862
00:40:39,480 --> 00:40:41,400
Speaker 2: I mean we're looking at a guy who's probably not

863
00:40:41,440 --> 00:40:44,239
Speaker 2: going to finish in the top five. So although he

864
00:40:44,360 --> 00:40:48,200
Speaker 2: has the upside to be the number one overall receiver

865
00:40:48,320 --> 00:40:51,000
Speaker 2: on the slate, I think there's just a little too

866
00:40:51,040 --> 00:40:54,680
Speaker 2: much downside that he carries based on how he's been

867
00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:58,800
Speaker 2: used and how that offense is functioning this year. Sean

868
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:00,160
Speaker 2: give us the problem up.

869
00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:05,600
Speaker 9: So let's go with Michael Thomas receiving yards in his

870
00:41:06,440 --> 00:41:07,319
Speaker 9: return this week.

871
00:41:08,280 --> 00:41:10,520
Speaker 3: I have it at eighty five and a half.

872
00:41:13,480 --> 00:41:17,320
Speaker 2: I will take the under. I have it around seventy

873
00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:22,040
Speaker 2: six and a half. And it's hard, I think, to

874
00:41:22,120 --> 00:41:24,799
Speaker 2: know where to set them the market share for him,

875
00:41:25,680 --> 00:41:29,760
Speaker 2: like ordinarily I think around like thirty percent or something

876
00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:33,319
Speaker 2: around there. But Emmanuel Sanders is developing a little bit

877
00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:38,000
Speaker 2: within that offense, Trey Kwan Smith is emerging, Alvin Kamara

878
00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:40,880
Speaker 2: will get his targets, you know, and then of course

879
00:41:41,120 --> 00:41:43,319
Speaker 2: Jared Cook is there, So I don't know. It just

880
00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:46,640
Speaker 2: seems like it's easy to knock him down just a

881
00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:50,000
Speaker 2: little bit in his first game back, and that's why

882
00:41:50,000 --> 00:41:50,799
Speaker 2: I'm on the under here.

883
00:41:51,800 --> 00:41:54,919
Speaker 8: Yeah, I think I would take the under. I think

884
00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:57,440
Speaker 8: that's a pretty good line, though I wouldn't feel.

885
00:41:57,280 --> 00:41:58,319
Speaker 7: Very confident about that.

886
00:41:58,440 --> 00:42:01,000
Speaker 8: So out of the prop we've given out so far,

887
00:42:01,160 --> 00:42:03,960
Speaker 8: this is the one I'd least like to that on.

888
00:42:04,640 --> 00:42:07,800
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm going under. I have him around twenty five percent.

889
00:42:08,160 --> 00:42:10,680
Speaker 4: And yeah, like Friedman said, it is really difficult to

890
00:42:10,760 --> 00:42:13,879
Speaker 4: kind of gauge exactly how many targets he's going to get.

891
00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:16,720
Speaker 4: But remember Michael Thomas has also been a guy who's

892
00:42:16,840 --> 00:42:19,480
Speaker 4: going to average about eleven twelve yards per catch, So

893
00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:22,040
Speaker 4: there's you know, he could he could easily catch you know,

894
00:42:22,120 --> 00:42:24,719
Speaker 4: seven eight nine balls, and that doesn't necessarily mean he

895
00:42:24,760 --> 00:42:28,200
Speaker 4: gets over that prop. And there's been issues with Thomas

896
00:42:28,239 --> 00:42:32,399
Speaker 4: obviously beyond just the injuries. So anytime there's a guy

897
00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:34,759
Speaker 4: like that, I like to be a little bit conservative

898
00:42:34,920 --> 00:42:37,759
Speaker 4: and kind of see what happens. Because, you know, even

899
00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:40,759
Speaker 4: though I thought the Bree statement was controversial, I do

900
00:42:40,800 --> 00:42:43,120
Speaker 4: think that Freedman was onto something with the fact that

901
00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:45,880
Speaker 4: this is a home favorite matchup against the defense that

902
00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:48,279
Speaker 4: you don't need to necessarily throw around the yard on.

903
00:42:49,040 --> 00:42:51,000
Speaker 4: So yeah, I have him as my wide receiver fourteen

904
00:42:51,400 --> 00:42:53,960
Speaker 4: right now, right around seventy seventy yards.

905
00:42:54,400 --> 00:42:58,359
Speaker 2: Whyde receiver fourteen? That that feels low. That feels much

906
00:42:58,400 --> 00:43:01,120
Speaker 2: more controversial than my brieest. Let's be honest.

907
00:43:02,080 --> 00:43:04,560
Speaker 4: At QB thirteen, Tomas his number one receiver at wide

908
00:43:04,600 --> 00:43:05,080
Speaker 4: receiver four.

909
00:43:05,120 --> 00:43:06,640
Speaker 6: I mean, there are a lot of good matchups this week.

910
00:43:06,640 --> 00:43:07,120
Speaker 6: I mean, I have.

911
00:43:07,120 --> 00:43:09,880
Speaker 4: Ridley and Julio in the top like five. Then you

912
00:43:09,880 --> 00:43:11,759
Speaker 4: have Lockett and Metcalf who have to be like in

913
00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:16,080
Speaker 4: the top ten. You have Stefan Diggs, you have Gallada.

914
00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:18,440
Speaker 4: You know, they're just I think a lot of great

915
00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:21,360
Speaker 4: matchups this week to where I don't I'm not certain

916
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:23,560
Speaker 4: on what's gonna happen with Thomas and the fact that

917
00:43:23,600 --> 00:43:26,680
Speaker 4: he was held out of a game not for an injury,

918
00:43:26,680 --> 00:43:30,399
Speaker 4: but also for disciplinary reasons and it's his first game back.

919
00:43:30,480 --> 00:43:32,320
Speaker 4: I mean, they're just they're just a lot of uncertainty.

920
00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:34,840
Speaker 9: I think it makes me feel better that he was

921
00:43:34,840 --> 00:43:37,839
Speaker 9: held out because of disciplining reasons and not in health,

922
00:43:38,160 --> 00:43:42,120
Speaker 9: but that's that's very different time. But yeah, I definitely

923
00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:44,640
Speaker 9: don't like having eighty five and a half as night production,

924
00:43:44,719 --> 00:43:45,520
Speaker 9: so I'm going to lower.

925
00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:47,279
Speaker 2: It a bit. Yeah, and Raymond, I should say, I'm

926
00:43:47,280 --> 00:43:49,200
Speaker 2: giving you a little bit of hard time. My ranking

927
00:43:49,239 --> 00:43:51,719
Speaker 2: for Thomas is much closer to where you have him

928
00:43:51,920 --> 00:43:55,840
Speaker 2: than where Sean has him. So I anymore with Breeze

929
00:43:56,000 --> 00:43:56,759
Speaker 2: in the passing game.

930
00:43:57,280 --> 00:43:57,800
Speaker 6: So it's early.

931
00:43:57,840 --> 00:43:58,520
Speaker 2: It's early in a week.

932
00:43:58,560 --> 00:44:01,400
Speaker 4: I mean, I may come up, but there's just certain

933
00:44:01,400 --> 00:44:03,920
Speaker 4: times when you have the red flags and it's like

934
00:44:04,080 --> 00:44:07,200
Speaker 4: in a week where there's so many good matchups, I

935
00:44:07,280 --> 00:44:09,920
Speaker 4: just don't see the need to like have him like fifth,

936
00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:10,600
Speaker 4: you know what I mean.

937
00:44:10,760 --> 00:44:15,080
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Speaker 11: the show.

956
00:45:08,719 --> 00:45:11,880
Speaker 2: All right, let's talk about the tight ends, and uh,

957
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:15,120
Speaker 2: I think it's pretty rubber stamped in the top three.

958
00:45:15,280 --> 00:45:18,680
Speaker 2: You have Kelsey, you have Kittle, you have Waller. Jeff,

959
00:45:18,719 --> 00:45:21,520
Speaker 2: is there anyone that you would consider putting in the

960
00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:23,400
Speaker 2: top three over one of those guys?

961
00:45:23,719 --> 00:45:27,400
Speaker 8: I think you could consider Henry over Waller, But yeah,

962
00:45:27,440 --> 00:45:30,680
Speaker 8: Waller is totally fine. There Again, I'm just super high

963
00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:32,920
Speaker 8: on the Chargers in that matchup there, but.

964
00:45:33,400 --> 00:45:34,800
Speaker 7: Yeah, a raw points.

965
00:45:34,800 --> 00:45:37,320
Speaker 8: So you're talking about Waller's probably going to grade out ahead.

966
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:40,160
Speaker 2: All right, So you like Henry? Who else are you

967
00:45:40,200 --> 00:45:41,440
Speaker 2: relatively high on this week?

968
00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:46,040
Speaker 8: So I know that everyone sounds like is pretty low

969
00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:49,919
Speaker 8: on that the Cowboys passing offense, which I agree with,

970
00:45:50,040 --> 00:45:52,239
Speaker 8: But I think Dalton Schultz is the one guy that

971
00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:55,799
Speaker 8: you want to consider if you are going to be

972
00:45:56,320 --> 00:45:58,279
Speaker 8: low on the team overall, but high on one guy.

973
00:45:58,560 --> 00:46:01,640
Speaker 8: I think that the low A dot is a positive

974
00:46:01,640 --> 00:46:04,239
Speaker 8: thing for him. With an offensive line that is just

975
00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:07,200
Speaker 8: toast right now, Daland's not going to get much time

976
00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:09,239
Speaker 8: to throw, so the deep routes aren't going to be

977
00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:12,600
Speaker 8: able to develop as easily, and you're gonna see him

978
00:46:12,600 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 8: going to Dalton Schultz. I think that we saw a

979
00:46:15,600 --> 00:46:17,919
Speaker 8: little bit of this in the game last night where

980
00:46:18,000 --> 00:46:21,279
Speaker 8: Dalton Schultz was targeted a decent amount, and I think

981
00:46:21,320 --> 00:46:23,920
Speaker 8: that's going to continue. We see five to eight targets

982
00:46:23,920 --> 00:46:27,560
Speaker 8: for Dalton Schultz as the low A dot, the short

983
00:46:27,640 --> 00:46:30,560
Speaker 8: route guy, and the guys like Ceedee, lambyt and Gallup

984
00:46:30,600 --> 00:46:32,080
Speaker 8: may be struggling a little bit more.

985
00:46:32,680 --> 00:46:34,000
Speaker 2: Sean, who are you high on?

986
00:46:35,120 --> 00:46:38,080
Speaker 9: Well, Jeff alluded to him earlier, but Hunter Henry I

987
00:46:38,120 --> 00:46:41,280
Speaker 9: have in my top four. I'm high on this Chargers

988
00:46:41,320 --> 00:46:44,120
Speaker 9: passing attack this week as well. And you know his

989
00:46:44,200 --> 00:46:47,200
Speaker 9: routes run per dropback has been right around at eighty

990
00:46:47,239 --> 00:46:50,560
Speaker 9: percent every week. He's one of the more steady tight

991
00:46:50,640 --> 00:46:52,960
Speaker 9: end options. This is a great matchup where you know

992
00:46:53,000 --> 00:46:54,240
Speaker 9: he has increased touchdown.

993
00:46:54,239 --> 00:46:56,239
Speaker 3: Odds concerning the Chargers.

994
00:46:55,960 --> 00:46:58,040
Speaker 9: Have one of the highest team totals, but also the

995
00:46:58,120 --> 00:47:01,680
Speaker 9: Jaguars have allowed five touchdowns to tie ends this year,

996
00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:05,120
Speaker 9: and you know there's no Darren Waller or Mark Andrews

997
00:47:05,120 --> 00:47:07,319
Speaker 9: on the main slate, so you know, if you're not

998
00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:09,279
Speaker 9: going to spend up for Kelsey or Kittle, he's the

999
00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:12,440
Speaker 9: best option by far. So at forty five hundred, I mean,

1000
00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:15,680
Speaker 9: he seems like a free square play this week. And

1001
00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:17,680
Speaker 9: you know, like I said, he's in my top four

1002
00:47:18,239 --> 00:47:20,760
Speaker 9: to start the week. All right, Raybon, I am almost

1003
00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:23,720
Speaker 9: expecting you to take my guy. So I'm just gonna say,

1004
00:47:24,120 --> 00:47:26,880
Speaker 9: I like Austin Hooper. Maybe you're not gonna take him.

1005
00:47:26,880 --> 00:47:29,319
Speaker 2: I don't know. Anyway, I like Austin Hooper this week.

1006
00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:31,799
Speaker 2: Cincinnati's not great against tight ends, and his market share

1007
00:47:31,840 --> 00:47:35,320
Speaker 2: has continued to go up as the season has developed.

1008
00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:37,319
Speaker 2: To wear at this point, I mean, you can't say

1009
00:47:37,360 --> 00:47:39,760
Speaker 2: that he's like the number one receiver in that offense,

1010
00:47:40,200 --> 00:47:44,560
Speaker 2: but he's getting targeted or he's getting opportunities basically just

1011
00:47:44,640 --> 00:47:48,520
Speaker 2: as much as anyone else in that offense. So I

1012
00:47:48,560 --> 00:47:51,000
Speaker 2: didn't imagine at the beginning of the season that I

1013
00:47:51,040 --> 00:47:53,640
Speaker 2: would be in on Hooper, but where we are at

1014
00:47:53,640 --> 00:47:57,080
Speaker 2: this point, I have him as a top six tight end, Raybon,

1015
00:47:57,200 --> 00:47:57,840
Speaker 2: who do you like?

1016
00:47:58,640 --> 00:48:00,839
Speaker 5: I mean, I just had a like when you said that.

1017
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:01,560
Speaker 5: I had to go.

1018
00:48:01,680 --> 00:48:04,359
Speaker 4: Double because you know, it's early, it's Tuesday, so kind

1019
00:48:04,360 --> 00:48:06,040
Speaker 4: of doing this on the fly, and I go to

1020
00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:07,799
Speaker 4: I go look up Hooper and I have him as

1021
00:48:07,800 --> 00:48:10,839
Speaker 4: a te five and I'm like, oh wow, So yeah,

1022
00:48:10,880 --> 00:48:15,320
Speaker 4: I'm with you on that. The Bengals are bottom four

1023
00:48:15,440 --> 00:48:19,360
Speaker 4: in terms of most schedule adjusted receiving yards allowed to

1024
00:48:19,560 --> 00:48:25,799
Speaker 4: the tight end position at seventy point one. And let's

1025
00:48:25,840 --> 00:48:28,960
Speaker 4: be honest. You know, Baker Mayfield, he's gonna have to

1026
00:48:29,000 --> 00:48:31,120
Speaker 4: be managed a little bit, and he struggles to get

1027
00:48:31,160 --> 00:48:32,960
Speaker 4: his ball the ball outside.

1028
00:48:32,520 --> 00:48:33,640
Speaker 5: To some of these playmakers.

1029
00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:36,120
Speaker 4: He's always been better kind of going to the guys

1030
00:48:36,440 --> 00:48:38,680
Speaker 4: who aren't the main guy, who aren't the guys that

1031
00:48:38,760 --> 00:48:40,640
Speaker 4: are getting the most attention from the defense. We saw

1032
00:48:40,640 --> 00:48:42,880
Speaker 4: that in his rookie year with Perriman and Higgins and

1033
00:48:42,920 --> 00:48:45,160
Speaker 4: all those guys, and we're starting to see it with Hooper.

1034
00:48:45,239 --> 00:48:46,279
Speaker 5: So I like him.

1035
00:48:46,320 --> 00:48:49,840
Speaker 4: I also think I would be remiss not to mention TJ. Hockinson,

1036
00:48:50,560 --> 00:48:53,400
Speaker 4: you know, going against Atlanta, who's become the Arizona of

1037
00:48:53,480 --> 00:48:57,200
Speaker 4: last year, seventy three point four schedule adjusted yards allowed.

1038
00:48:56,920 --> 00:48:57,520
Speaker 5: The tight ends.

1039
00:48:58,040 --> 00:49:01,200
Speaker 4: That is the second most in the league. And they're

1040
00:49:01,200 --> 00:49:04,879
Speaker 4: also they've also allowed seven touchdowns to the position. So

1041
00:49:05,600 --> 00:49:08,560
Speaker 4: love those two guys. And of course Henry is way

1042
00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:11,439
Speaker 4: way too cheap as well, but didn't want to steal

1043
00:49:11,480 --> 00:49:12,799
Speaker 4: Shan Stender hudn't.

1044
00:49:12,440 --> 00:49:15,759
Speaker 2: Have to, all right, Jeff, who are you low on?

1045
00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:19,239
Speaker 8: A couple guys at the position? I think you can

1046
00:49:19,280 --> 00:49:21,840
Speaker 8: be low on this week. One is Jerry Cook and

1047
00:49:21,920 --> 00:49:26,080
Speaker 8: another is Robert Tanyan. Robert Tanyan especially though I think

1048
00:49:26,160 --> 00:49:29,680
Speaker 8: people are aren't giving enough credit to DeVante Adams and

1049
00:49:29,719 --> 00:49:34,440
Speaker 8: how much that's going to impact his projection. So Robert Tanyan,

1050
00:49:34,760 --> 00:49:36,720
Speaker 8: I don't think we're going to be seeing those multi

1051
00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:40,320
Speaker 8: TV games or anything for as long as DeVante Adams

1052
00:49:40,440 --> 00:49:41,719
Speaker 8: is healthy.

1053
00:49:41,880 --> 00:49:43,919
Speaker 2: I'm with you there on Cook. He's the guy I'm

1054
00:49:43,920 --> 00:49:49,480
Speaker 2: low on. With Michael Thomas returning, Sanders, Trey Kon Smith obviously.

1055
00:49:49,760 --> 00:49:52,560
Speaker 2: Just we talked about Breeze earlier, where I think it's

1056
00:49:52,560 --> 00:49:54,959
Speaker 2: just going to be a situation where the Saints don't

1057
00:49:54,960 --> 00:49:57,440
Speaker 2: need to pass, and if they do, that's not a

1058
00:49:57,480 --> 00:49:59,960
Speaker 2: guarantee that Cook is the guy who actually gets the targets,

1059
00:50:00,120 --> 00:50:04,000
Speaker 2: So I'm with you one D on getting away from

1060
00:50:04,560 --> 00:50:08,560
Speaker 2: Cook this week, Okay gets a Raybon Raybon? Who are

1061
00:50:08,560 --> 00:50:10,280
Speaker 2: you low on Hayden Hurst?

1062
00:50:10,440 --> 00:50:12,600
Speaker 6: Hayden Hurst is my tight end thirteen this week.

1063
00:50:13,360 --> 00:50:14,960
Speaker 4: The Lions when you look at them, they've just been

1064
00:50:14,960 --> 00:50:17,760
Speaker 4: a tough matchup for tight ends, allowing the fewest schedule

1065
00:50:17,760 --> 00:50:20,520
Speaker 4: adjusted yards to the position at just twenty two point

1066
00:50:20,520 --> 00:50:23,680
Speaker 4: four and that's on five point eight schedule adjusted targets.

1067
00:50:23,719 --> 00:50:26,320
Speaker 4: So you put it together there, you average, they're allowing

1068
00:50:26,360 --> 00:50:29,640
Speaker 4: about four yards per target once you adjust for the

1069
00:50:29,680 --> 00:50:33,520
Speaker 4: strength to schedule. They're number three in DVOA against the position.

1070
00:50:33,600 --> 00:50:35,480
Speaker 4: And oh, by the way, there's some guy named Julio

1071
00:50:35,560 --> 00:50:38,560
Speaker 4: Jones back. He looks healthy and he's really good. And

1072
00:50:38,600 --> 00:50:41,520
Speaker 4: there's also some guy named Calvin Ridley he's also really good.

1073
00:50:42,160 --> 00:50:45,640
Speaker 4: And Jeff mentioned Gage, and you know, I think that's

1074
00:50:45,680 --> 00:50:47,719
Speaker 4: the top three and and by the way, I also

1075
00:50:47,719 --> 00:50:49,960
Speaker 4: think it's going to be a girly game. So Hurst

1076
00:50:50,040 --> 00:50:53,640
Speaker 4: is kind of that fifth option for Ford Lanta this week.

1077
00:50:53,719 --> 00:50:56,920
Speaker 2: Solow on him, Sean, who are you low on?

1078
00:50:57,800 --> 00:50:57,880
Speaker 3: Me?

1079
00:50:57,920 --> 00:51:02,080
Speaker 9: And Raybond disagree? Nice, I mean I have Hayden Hurst

1080
00:51:02,120 --> 00:51:03,879
Speaker 9: tight end seven. I'm not going to go on some

1081
00:51:03,960 --> 00:51:07,080
Speaker 9: tangent advocating for him. It's more to do if the

1082
00:51:07,239 --> 00:51:09,359
Speaker 9: low tight end one this week is kind of rough.

1083
00:51:10,280 --> 00:51:13,040
Speaker 9: But I do like Hurst going for Ray, but he

1084
00:51:13,160 --> 00:51:13,800
Speaker 9: was our boy.

1085
00:51:13,680 --> 00:51:14,560
Speaker 3: Heading into the season.

1086
00:51:14,680 --> 00:51:18,440
Speaker 9: I'm not abandoning it quite yet, but yeah, I take

1087
00:51:18,480 --> 00:51:20,480
Speaker 9: your point there. But the guy I'm low on, he

1088
00:51:20,520 --> 00:51:22,840
Speaker 9: doesn't plan on the main slate. So this is season

1089
00:51:22,840 --> 00:51:26,560
Speaker 9: long only advice. But Evan Ingram is my tight end eighteen,

1090
00:51:27,600 --> 00:51:30,880
Speaker 9: and you know, you feel like you probably spent a

1091
00:51:30,920 --> 00:51:33,760
Speaker 9: Round seven pick on him or something like that. It's okay,

1092
00:51:33,800 --> 00:51:36,600
Speaker 9: you can bench him, maybe not drop him quite yet,

1093
00:51:36,640 --> 00:51:39,680
Speaker 9: but we're getting there. He's just not startable in twelve

1094
00:51:39,719 --> 00:51:43,560
Speaker 9: team leagues despite running a healthy eighty percent routes run

1095
00:51:43,600 --> 00:51:46,760
Speaker 9: per dropback. I mean truly elite usage in that regard.

1096
00:51:47,239 --> 00:51:50,239
Speaker 9: He just the passing pie isn't as big this year.

1097
00:51:50,360 --> 00:51:52,799
Speaker 9: Daniel Jones has thrown front or two hundred yards in

1098
00:51:52,880 --> 00:51:56,560
Speaker 9: three the last four, and Sterling Shepherd may return this week,

1099
00:51:56,600 --> 00:51:59,360
Speaker 9: so just more competition for targets. I don't know if

1100
00:51:59,400 --> 00:52:02,359
Speaker 9: it's Jason Eric's fault, Evan Ingram's fault, Daniel Jones fault

1101
00:52:02,360 --> 00:52:04,360
Speaker 9: I don't know what's going on, but Evan Ingram is

1102
00:52:04,360 --> 00:52:07,080
Speaker 9: just not playable right now in any kind of format.

1103
00:52:07,360 --> 00:52:10,160
Speaker 2: Sean, I can tell you it's it's Jason Garrett's fault.

1104
00:52:10,239 --> 00:52:14,520
Speaker 4: I figured, I figured, that's that's interesting because you have

1105
00:52:14,560 --> 00:52:15,840
Speaker 4: Hayden Hurst tight end seven.

1106
00:52:15,920 --> 00:52:19,200
Speaker 9: You said, yeah, it's really He's tied with like seven

1107
00:52:19,239 --> 00:52:21,000
Speaker 9: tight ends in that range, so you know it could

1108
00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:21,920
Speaker 9: go up or down a top.

1109
00:52:22,080 --> 00:52:23,960
Speaker 4: I'm kind of busting my own balls there, but maybe

1110
00:52:23,960 --> 00:52:25,200
Speaker 4: I would have Hurst higher.

1111
00:52:25,000 --> 00:52:27,040
Speaker 6: If I didn't have Evan Ingram tight end six.

1112
00:52:30,000 --> 00:52:32,080
Speaker 4: No, I mean no, So, I mean Ingram still has

1113
00:52:32,120 --> 00:52:35,279
Speaker 4: a nineteen percent target chare and he's going against an

1114
00:52:35,320 --> 00:52:39,520
Speaker 4: Eagles defense that ranks number thirty one in DVOA against

1115
00:52:39,560 --> 00:52:42,799
Speaker 4: tight ends. I think I think it's it's worth one

1116
00:52:42,920 --> 00:52:45,160
Speaker 4: more week with Ingram, just because, as you mentioned that,

1117
00:52:45,239 --> 00:52:47,759
Speaker 4: you have the routes run per drop back and the

1118
00:52:47,800 --> 00:52:51,160
Speaker 4: Eagles just like linebacker safeties, they just that's the kind

1119
00:52:51,200 --> 00:52:51,640
Speaker 4: of players.

1120
00:52:51,680 --> 00:52:53,319
Speaker 5: Those are the kind of players they can't cover.

1121
00:52:54,160 --> 00:52:57,600
Speaker 4: And yeah, Shepherd back will help, But I mean Daniel

1122
00:52:57,680 --> 00:52:59,600
Speaker 4: Jones has had a brutal start to the season in

1123
00:52:59,680 --> 00:53:02,480
Speaker 4: terms of matchups, and then he had the weird, the

1124
00:53:02,560 --> 00:53:04,400
Speaker 4: really weird game script last week or I don't know,

1125
00:53:04,560 --> 00:53:06,880
Speaker 4: like they had like what like twenty dropbacks or something.

1126
00:53:06,920 --> 00:53:09,200
Speaker 4: So I'm giving him one more week. I'm pretty high

1127
00:53:09,200 --> 00:53:11,160
Speaker 4: on him, but I love the matchup against Philly, who's

1128
00:53:11,320 --> 00:53:12,520
Speaker 4: bottom three against ten.

1129
00:53:12,840 --> 00:53:15,600
Speaker 2: Haven't we been saying one more week about Evan Ingram

1130
00:53:15,600 --> 00:53:16,720
Speaker 2: for like three weeks?

1131
00:53:17,239 --> 00:53:17,719
Speaker 5: Yeah?

1132
00:53:17,840 --> 00:53:19,920
Speaker 4: I mean I guess it's like people bet on Dallas

1133
00:53:20,000 --> 00:53:22,919
Speaker 4: every week. You know they don't cover. Evan Ingram doesn't cover.

1134
00:53:23,120 --> 00:53:26,239
Speaker 3: I have Richard Rogers projected over Evan Ingram this.

1135
00:53:26,400 --> 00:53:27,839
Speaker 6: Oh no, that's that's come on.

1136
00:53:28,280 --> 00:53:31,759
Speaker 4: You will not end the week like that came Butler's there, man,

1137
00:53:31,840 --> 00:53:32,879
Speaker 4: Jason Krome.

1138
00:53:32,840 --> 00:53:33,440
Speaker 6: Are you kidding?

1139
00:53:34,239 --> 00:53:36,880
Speaker 3: Yeah? I think you're making my point that Richard Rodgers

1140
00:53:36,920 --> 00:53:37,520
Speaker 3: is the best.

1141
00:53:37,560 --> 00:53:40,719
Speaker 6: I mean, well they have a touchdown last week.

1142
00:53:41,120 --> 00:53:43,440
Speaker 9: Yeah, okay, well so what we'll we'll have to make

1143
00:53:43,480 --> 00:53:47,439
Speaker 9: a side bet on this, oh, universus, I mean Richard

1144
00:53:47,520 --> 00:53:51,600
Speaker 9: Rogers Thursday night immediately, like, yes, we'll bet on this.

1145
00:53:52,160 --> 00:53:52,359
Speaker 5: Yes.

1146
00:53:52,520 --> 00:53:54,239
Speaker 4: Oh, We've got to write this up on action like

1147
00:53:54,280 --> 00:53:57,120
Speaker 4: this is actually hilarious. I'm ready, I'm ready to like

1148
00:53:57,320 --> 00:53:58,000
Speaker 4: be embarrassed.

1149
00:53:58,440 --> 00:54:00,880
Speaker 2: Okay, Sean, give us the end prop.

1150
00:54:01,200 --> 00:54:03,800
Speaker 9: I was going to make some boring prop about George Kittle.

1151
00:54:04,040 --> 00:54:07,200
Speaker 9: Oh yeah, we'll stick with it. So George Kittle total

1152
00:54:07,239 --> 00:54:11,799
Speaker 9: receiving yards at home against the Patriots. You know, will

1153
00:54:11,840 --> 00:54:15,279
Speaker 9: Belichick try to take Kittle away? And will it matter?

1154
00:54:15,440 --> 00:54:18,919
Speaker 9: That's really the question. So I have his projection at

1155
00:54:19,320 --> 00:54:20,320
Speaker 9: seventy three and a half.

1156
00:54:20,239 --> 00:54:21,719
Speaker 2: Yards way over.

1157
00:54:22,680 --> 00:54:26,839
Speaker 8: I mean, our mean is like ninety four. Median will

1158
00:54:26,880 --> 00:54:29,719
Speaker 8: probably be like eighty ish, So I think that's an

1159
00:54:29,719 --> 00:54:30,200
Speaker 8: easy over.

1160
00:54:30,800 --> 00:54:33,439
Speaker 2: I'm with Jeff there. I have it around eighty seven.

1161
00:54:34,040 --> 00:54:37,279
Speaker 4: I have it at seventy eight, and I don't like that.

1162
00:54:37,320 --> 00:54:39,040
Speaker 4: I'm taking the over, So I'm going to take the

1163
00:54:39,120 --> 00:54:41,600
Speaker 4: under and just lower it. The Patriots are number two

1164
00:54:41,600 --> 00:54:44,120
Speaker 4: and dvo eight against tight ends, and I talked about

1165
00:54:44,120 --> 00:54:48,040
Speaker 4: this with Chris Harris on his podcast on Monday. You

1166
00:54:48,080 --> 00:54:51,280
Speaker 4: looked at the Rams mistake against Kittle in that game,

1167
00:54:51,400 --> 00:54:53,200
Speaker 4: and what they did was they would play all these

1168
00:54:53,200 --> 00:54:55,560
Speaker 4: soft zones and think that they can let Kittle catch

1169
00:54:55,600 --> 00:54:58,520
Speaker 4: the ball and then come up and make the tackle,

1170
00:54:58,600 --> 00:55:00,960
Speaker 4: and or they would have just like one guy dropping

1171
00:55:01,040 --> 00:55:02,719
Speaker 4: in his own and Kittle would just like beat him

1172
00:55:02,719 --> 00:55:05,480
Speaker 4: off the snap. The Rams put out like the perfect

1173
00:55:05,520 --> 00:55:09,279
Speaker 4: mistake tape for Bill Belichick to now shut him down,

1174
00:55:09,360 --> 00:55:10,840
Speaker 4: and I think this is a I think this is

1175
00:55:10,840 --> 00:55:13,800
Speaker 4: a game where you see other guys eating Kittle's quiet.

1176
00:55:13,800 --> 00:55:15,480
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna go under even though I have him

1177
00:55:15,480 --> 00:55:17,000
Speaker 4: at seventy eight. I'm knocking him.

1178
00:55:16,840 --> 00:55:21,000
Speaker 2: Down, all right, Jeff? What content should people check out

1179
00:55:21,000 --> 00:55:21,680
Speaker 2: at number Ball?

1180
00:55:22,160 --> 00:55:24,720
Speaker 7: Number Ball, We've got a lot of really cool stuff.

1181
00:55:25,000 --> 00:55:27,280
Speaker 7: The content is good and everything.

1182
00:55:27,320 --> 00:55:32,680
Speaker 8: We've got Justin Freeman doing some showdown coverage, which is cool.

1183
00:55:32,680 --> 00:55:35,520
Speaker 8: He runs ten thousand sims and projects like which guys

1184
00:55:35,520 --> 00:55:37,839
Speaker 8: are most likely to end up as the captain, which

1185
00:55:37,880 --> 00:55:39,960
Speaker 8: guys are most likely to end up as the flex

1186
00:55:40,000 --> 00:55:40,640
Speaker 8: So that's cool.

1187
00:55:40,680 --> 00:55:42,920
Speaker 7: But a lot of what we do is data driven.

1188
00:55:43,040 --> 00:55:45,319
Speaker 8: I have a rundown article that I do for every

1189
00:55:45,320 --> 00:55:49,800
Speaker 8: mainslate and what's awesome that we added this season are

1190
00:55:50,360 --> 00:55:53,120
Speaker 8: with our tools, with our stack ratings, where we go

1191
00:55:53,200 --> 00:55:55,680
Speaker 8: and project out what the best stacks will be for

1192
00:55:55,719 --> 00:55:59,040
Speaker 8: every week. If you're going to use Matt Ryan, it's

1193
00:55:59,080 --> 00:56:02,040
Speaker 8: best to use one receiver and this is the receiver,

1194
00:56:02,160 --> 00:56:04,760
Speaker 8: and then this is the rating for if you decided

1195
00:56:04,800 --> 00:56:06,920
Speaker 8: to use a bringback option with him, and this is

1196
00:56:06,960 --> 00:56:08,400
Speaker 8: the guy that should be the bringback.

1197
00:56:08,480 --> 00:56:10,520
Speaker 7: So it's a nice tool.

1198
00:56:10,280 --> 00:56:12,160
Speaker 8: That I think is really useful for people that are

1199
00:56:12,200 --> 00:56:14,960
Speaker 8: trying to attack GPPs and to kind of show the

1200
00:56:15,040 --> 00:56:19,080
Speaker 8: difference between the different stacks in which one's great out

1201
00:56:19,080 --> 00:56:21,800
Speaker 8: well and which one's great out well with multiple receivers.

1202
00:56:23,120 --> 00:56:25,520
Speaker 2: All right, everyone, You can follow Jeff on Twitter at

1203
00:56:25,800 --> 00:56:29,480
Speaker 2: Jeff K Collins. Jeff, thanks for doing the show with us. Man.

1204
00:56:30,320 --> 00:56:31,719
Speaker 7: Appreciate the invito. This was fun.

1205
00:56:32,120 --> 00:56:33,840
Speaker 2: All right. You can follow Sean, Chris and me in

1206
00:56:33,880 --> 00:56:36,359
Speaker 2: the Action Network app at the Underscore odds maker Chris

1207
00:56:36,440 --> 00:56:38,799
Speaker 2: Raybond and Matt at the Oracle. Use the app to

1208
00:56:38,840 --> 00:56:41,320
Speaker 2: get real time odds and track your bets for free.

1209
00:56:41,520 --> 00:56:43,520
Speaker 2: Please subscribe to and rate and review the show and

1210
00:56:43,560 --> 00:57:02,040
Speaker 2: listen and download on Spotify. See you again next episode.

1211
00:57:04,920 --> 00:57:06,000
Speaker 3: We're finished talking