1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:03,680 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here 2 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: and we here at breaking points, are already thinking of 3 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: ways we can up our game for this critical election. 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:11,719 Speaker 2: We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade 5 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 2: the studio ad staff, give you, guys, the best independent. 6 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 3: Coverage that is possible. 7 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,279 Speaker 2: If you like what we're all about, it just means 8 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:20,000 Speaker 2: the absolute world to have your support. 9 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:25,639 Speaker 3: But enough with that, let's get to the show. Good morning, everybody, 10 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:28,400 Speaker 3: Happy Monday. We have an amazing show for everybody today. 11 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 3: Extra amazing Ryan, It's a bro show the Pound. It's there. 12 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 3: That's all people are here for. 13 00:00:32,360 --> 00:00:33,319 Speaker 4: You cannot wait for this one. 14 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 3: That's right, all right, We've got a lot of stuff 15 00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:36,839 Speaker 3: to cover today. Man, I don't know how Crystal does this. 16 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:38,559 Speaker 3: All right, Ukraine, let's start with that. 17 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:40,599 Speaker 2: We're going to talk a little bit about a very 18 00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:43,760 Speaker 2: strategic defeat for the Ukrainians in this war, as there's 19 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:47,160 Speaker 2: been major developments the Munich Security Conference. Then our friend 20 00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:50,479 Speaker 2: Diegor Kotkin will join us live from Moscow to discuss 21 00:00:50,560 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 2: the death of Russian dissonant Alexey Navalne, who was found 22 00:00:54,080 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 2: dead in a prison above the Arctic Circle. And let's 23 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 2: say mysterious circumstances, What does this mean for Uton's control 24 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:01,400 Speaker 2: of Russia? 25 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:02,760 Speaker 3: Why did he decide to kill him? 26 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:02,959 Speaker 5: Now? 27 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:05,399 Speaker 2: If that is in fact the result of his death. 28 00:01:05,520 --> 00:01:09,319 Speaker 2: Fannie Willis has some stunning testimony that will have major 29 00:01:09,360 --> 00:01:12,480 Speaker 2: impacts on that case against Trump in the state of Georgia, 30 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:16,720 Speaker 2: basically confirming a relationship previously with the prosecutor who she 31 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:20,480 Speaker 2: hired to go after Trump, and including some possible corruption 32 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:23,040 Speaker 2: allegations that she might have gotten herself in some very 33 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:25,959 Speaker 2: hot water on the stand. Matt Tayibi out with a 34 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:28,959 Speaker 2: new report with Michael Schellenberger about the CIA spying on 35 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:30,920 Speaker 2: the Trump campaign. We're going to break some of that down, 36 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:32,520 Speaker 2: as well as a bit of a fracas that he's 37 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 2: found himself in with Elon musk Over at Twitter. Ryan, 38 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:38,000 Speaker 2: you're gonna be breaking down for us major developments out 39 00:01:38,000 --> 00:01:39,920 Speaker 2: of the state of Israel. We're gonna be talking about 40 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:43,960 Speaker 2: benjaminettya who's declaration saying there will be no two state solutions, 41 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 2: some a doctor who you actually personally know who's gone missing, 42 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:50,960 Speaker 2: some humanitarian developments, and then we're going to discuss Rashida Talib, 43 00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 2: who is a squad member Representative Democrat from Michigan who 44 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 2: is urging people not to vote for Joe Biden in 45 00:01:57,920 --> 00:02:02,240 Speaker 2: that primary, committed own commit and coming under major attack 46 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 2: by the MSNBC liberals. 47 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:05,880 Speaker 3: So we've got a big, big show for everybody today. 48 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:07,520 Speaker 2: Before we get to that, though, I just want to 49 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:09,600 Speaker 2: say thank you all to everybody who signed up for 50 00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 2: the focus group to be able to help us out. 51 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 2: We have major more and developments and plans and all 52 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 2: these other things that are coming very very soon, so 53 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:18,200 Speaker 2: we can help us out Breakingpoints dot Com. 54 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 3: We've got some big stuff that we're. 55 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:21,080 Speaker 2: Ready to debut for all of you, which I'm very 56 00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:23,239 Speaker 2: very excited to show. All right, let's go ahead and 57 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:26,760 Speaker 2: start with Ukraine. So there's been some major, major developments 58 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:29,640 Speaker 2: out of Ukraine. I did a monologue on Thursday discussing 59 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:32,320 Speaker 2: some of the major reasons why I personally oppose AID, 60 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:35,880 Speaker 2: and in that I previewed the Battle of Advica, very 61 00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:38,880 Speaker 2: strategic town that has been at the basics of the 62 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:42,600 Speaker 2: front line since twenty fourteen in a target of Russian 63 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:45,360 Speaker 2: forces come on under even more attack in the last 64 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 2: couple of years of the war. Let's go and put 65 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:50,919 Speaker 2: this up there on the screen at Vika as of yesterday, 66 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 2: officially confirmed by the Ukrainians, has fallen to Russian forces. 67 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 2: They say, quote with Ukrainian forces at the risk of encirclement, 68 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:01,720 Speaker 2: the top military commanders nick named the butcher by his 69 00:03:01,760 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 2: own troops, by the way, not by this enemy, says 70 00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 2: in startingly candid account, soldier described disarray and despair. 71 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:09,040 Speaker 3: Effectively. 72 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:13,000 Speaker 2: What they describe Ryan is that this city, as I said, 73 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:15,440 Speaker 2: which was previously home to some thirty thousand people, it's 74 00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:18,240 Speaker 2: a very strategic strong point for the Ukrainian forces because 75 00:03:18,240 --> 00:03:22,239 Speaker 2: they have some major bases of behind the lines, a 76 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 2: couple thirty miles or so behind them. It's one of 77 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 2: the reasons that they felt very strongly that they needed 78 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:30,360 Speaker 2: to defend the city. The fall of the city is 79 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 2: kind of becoming a flashpoint for the argument for aid 80 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 2: to Ukraine. President Zelenski and the Ukrainian advocates of aid 81 00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:42,280 Speaker 2: are saying that the city fell because of lack of ammunition, 82 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 2: specifically artillery ammunition. Opponents of aid pointing out that this 83 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 2: is a city where even with strong reinforcements, you know, 84 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 2: even you know, supposedly, let's say, if artillery ammunition was 85 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 2: the sole reason that it highlights and spotlights the massive 86 00:03:57,160 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 2: manpower and morale problems that they had in this battle 87 00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:03,400 Speaker 2: where they were builded together. People were very fearful that 88 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:05,760 Speaker 2: troops were going to be running away, and some of 89 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 2: the on the ground accounts of many of the soldiers 90 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:12,600 Speaker 2: there showing absolute despair, big morale problems in there as 91 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 2: well as Russians with it appears have been able to 92 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:19,560 Speaker 2: replenish their ranks with volunteers, not with conscripts. And while 93 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,240 Speaker 2: yes they certainly took losses taking the city, that this 94 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:25,479 Speaker 2: could be the beginning of a new advance, not just 95 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 2: there but all along the six hundred mile front line. 96 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:29,680 Speaker 1: What does it mean for the front line and what 97 00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:32,520 Speaker 1: does it mean for the Russian advance that this particular 98 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 1: strategic point. 99 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:38,280 Speaker 2: Well, again not the general but military analysts that I've 100 00:04:38,279 --> 00:04:41,840 Speaker 2: seen say that the territory and the terrain behind it 101 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 2: is actually much easier for maneuver that the Ukrainians will 102 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:46,800 Speaker 2: find it difficult to be able to pull back and 103 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:49,760 Speaker 2: to be able to hold there. If they, as they claim, 104 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:52,200 Speaker 2: artillery is the main reason there, then obviously that's a 105 00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 2: static thing and that's not going to change. 106 00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:55,360 Speaker 4: This was the spot to hold, and that's why they've 107 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 4: been holding it. It wasn't ten years. 108 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:58,919 Speaker 2: Well, yeah, so it was a spot to hold for 109 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 2: several reasons. Became a political point. It also was kind 110 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:04,040 Speaker 2: of a strategic crossroad, as I said, kind of that 111 00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 2: gateway to the place that we're talking about, the terrain 112 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 2: and specifically some of the strategic assets that were placed 113 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 2: behind there. Really the reason why I think the battle 114 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:14,760 Speaker 2: at this point is important is it just as this 115 00:05:14,800 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 2: is the spotlight, and this is kind of why we 116 00:05:16,520 --> 00:05:19,200 Speaker 2: decided to leave the show with. This is now the 117 00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:22,159 Speaker 2: nexus on which all of the arguments around A to 118 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:26,960 Speaker 2: Ukraine are being argued. So President Biden seizing upon the 119 00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:30,920 Speaker 2: failures on the Ukrainian frontier to blame Republicans, saying it's 120 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:32,600 Speaker 2: their fault that this loss happened. 121 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:33,919 Speaker 3: Here's what he had to say, The. 122 00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 6: Idea that now if you run now of ammunition, we 123 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 6: brook away. I find a serve, I find it on ethic, 124 00:05:41,279 --> 00:05:44,400 Speaker 6: I find it just country and everything we are as 125 00:05:44,440 --> 00:05:45,279 Speaker 6: a country. 126 00:05:45,440 --> 00:05:47,279 Speaker 3: So as you can see Ryan President Biden. 127 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:50,240 Speaker 2: Kind of the ongoing line now from Biden from many 128 00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:53,400 Speaker 2: of the Democrats. Fox News reporters supposedly supposed to be 129 00:05:53,480 --> 00:05:55,600 Speaker 2: neutral or like this is unconscionable. 130 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:58,000 Speaker 3: This demonstrates why the Ukrainians are losing. 131 00:05:58,040 --> 00:05:59,840 Speaker 2: I really wanted to focus in on this point because 132 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:03,480 Speaker 2: really is the crux of everything, which is this has 133 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:07,840 Speaker 2: now become evidence for why more military aid needs to 134 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:10,479 Speaker 2: keep funding, you know, keep flowing to Ukraine. And you 135 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:13,479 Speaker 2: also saw this at the Munich Security Conference where US 136 00:06:13,560 --> 00:06:16,279 Speaker 2: former Secretary Hillary Clinton made her case raid. 137 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 3: Here's what she had to say. 138 00:06:17,520 --> 00:06:18,720 Speaker 5: He's absolutely right. 139 00:06:18,760 --> 00:06:21,479 Speaker 7: I mean, he knows the military situation, I know the 140 00:06:21,480 --> 00:06:26,400 Speaker 7: political situation. If we actually voted to reflect the majority 141 00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:28,799 Speaker 7: in Congress, the majority in the United States, we would 142 00:06:28,800 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 7: be sending more help to Ukraine right now. 143 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 8: I think in order to fill. 144 00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:37,680 Speaker 7: The gap between now and when we can try to 145 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:40,240 Speaker 7: force a vote on the floor of the House, which 146 00:06:40,279 --> 00:06:43,520 Speaker 7: I think is what's going to have to happen, other 147 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:46,280 Speaker 7: countries need to look at their weapon stocks. If they 148 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:48,839 Speaker 7: were thinking of sending or selling something to someone else, 149 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:50,880 Speaker 7: halt that sale. 150 00:06:50,760 --> 00:06:51,600 Speaker 3: Send it to Ukraine. 151 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 7: We've got to keep Ukraine going, and they are running 152 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:58,800 Speaker 7: out of ammunition. I was just speaking with some Ukrainian representatives, 153 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 7: and you know, they're online soldiers who have been so 154 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:04,640 Speaker 7: brave are literally getting, you know, a couple of shells. 155 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 3: That's all they're getting, and they need more help. This 156 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:09,160 Speaker 3: was somewhere I really wanted to spend time. Yeah, go ahead, right. 157 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:13,000 Speaker 1: It's just worth pointing out that earlier, after the counter 158 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:17,640 Speaker 1: offensive showed such success for the Ukrainians, that was used 159 00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 1: as the rationale for why you know, another hundred billions 160 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 1: about the counter and a half year and a half ago, 161 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 1: So that meant things are going really well, so we 162 00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:28,680 Speaker 1: need to send more weapons. Now they're saying things are 163 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:32,239 Speaker 1: going really badly, so therefore we need to send more weapons. 164 00:07:32,280 --> 00:07:33,720 Speaker 3: It's interesting circular logic. 165 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 1: And you can imagine if it's stalemated, well, obviously you 166 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:39,720 Speaker 1: have to send more weapons because the stalemate will be broken. 167 00:07:39,760 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 2: So exactly right, because we just want to send more weabs. Yeah, 168 00:07:42,760 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 2: if they just want to send more weapons. And one 169 00:07:44,320 --> 00:07:46,120 Speaker 2: of the things that really bothers me about this is 170 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:49,320 Speaker 2: that they're not dealing with reality. The presumption there appears 171 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 2: to be that there are secret artillery stocks which are 172 00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:56,400 Speaker 2: just laying, you know, unused in the West that maybe 173 00:07:56,440 --> 00:07:58,360 Speaker 2: you know, we may need for ourselves should we ever 174 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:01,560 Speaker 2: get into a conflict, but in production that secretly we 175 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:02,640 Speaker 2: can just turn things on. 176 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:04,800 Speaker 3: They refuse to deal with reality. 177 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 2: I actually went through and read a new report by 178 00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:11,720 Speaker 2: the Estonian intelligence services. Now keep in mind this is 179 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 2: complete propaganda pro Ukraine, but they accidentally did admit a 180 00:08:16,160 --> 00:08:18,240 Speaker 2: very basic truth which all of us need to grapple with. 181 00:08:18,360 --> 00:08:19,960 Speaker 3: Let's put this up there on the screen. 182 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 2: I've highlighted the relevant portion, which also includes a graphic. 183 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 2: It says, therefore, it is almost certain Western ammunition deliveries 184 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:31,400 Speaker 2: to Ukraine in twenty twenty four will not be able 185 00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 2: to keep pace with supplies available for Russian armed forces. 186 00:08:35,679 --> 00:08:38,120 Speaker 2: Now that is a very mild way of saying it. 187 00:08:38,360 --> 00:08:40,080 Speaker 2: And as you guys can actually see, there was a 188 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:42,680 Speaker 2: graph that was right below it, which is a very 189 00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:46,120 Speaker 2: important one and demonstrates the real futility of the US 190 00:08:46,160 --> 00:08:48,880 Speaker 2: and Western economies right now. So in twenty twenty one, 191 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:53,640 Speaker 2: Ryan Russia produced four hundred thousand shells. In twenty twenty two, 192 00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:55,640 Speaker 2: in the midst of the war, they were able to 193 00:08:55,640 --> 00:08:58,360 Speaker 2: increase that to one million twenty twenty three, in the 194 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:00,720 Speaker 2: span of just a year, they were able to produce 195 00:09:00,760 --> 00:09:04,640 Speaker 2: three point five million shells. They are projected by the 196 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 2: Estonians to be able to produce four point five million. Now, Ryan, 197 00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:12,960 Speaker 2: the European Union has had seven months to promise one 198 00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 2: million shells, so one out of do the math there, 199 00:09:15,800 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 2: what is that twenty five percent or so of the 200 00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 2: shells that the Russians are going to be able to produce? 201 00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:21,680 Speaker 2: How many do you think they are actually able to 202 00:09:21,679 --> 00:09:23,680 Speaker 2: produce despite having six to seven months to be able 203 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:24,360 Speaker 2: to run production? 204 00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:26,680 Speaker 1: If I had a guess, yeah, does discount ones that 205 00:09:26,679 --> 00:09:28,560 Speaker 1: they're like secretly buying from Pakagting No. 206 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:30,800 Speaker 2: No, no, no, this is the ones they're actually able to 207 00:09:30,840 --> 00:09:32,720 Speaker 2: produce in house. If they were able to give them 208 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 2: a couple thousand, Yeah, half a million, half a million, 209 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:39,000 Speaker 2: so half of the promised amount having seven months to 210 00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:42,160 Speaker 2: be able to ramp up production and so basically it 211 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 2: is an industrial reality. 212 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:45,560 Speaker 4: But they are the Mercedes Benz of shells. 213 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:48,360 Speaker 2: Sure, but here's the other problem, as you just alluded to. Now, 214 00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:49,880 Speaker 2: they're like, well, maybe we need to buy them from 215 00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:51,360 Speaker 2: somebody else. How do you know they're going to sell 216 00:09:51,360 --> 00:09:53,440 Speaker 2: them to you? You don't and with the government also, 217 00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 2: why should they? 218 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:54,320 Speaker 3: Yeah? 219 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:56,280 Speaker 2: Exactly, the South Koreans they have a policy in their 220 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:58,120 Speaker 2: government they're like, we don't really want to get involved in. 221 00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:00,320 Speaker 1: This, we'll put a new government in right as a 222 00:10:00,320 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 1: new policy. 223 00:10:01,080 --> 00:10:04,120 Speaker 2: As we saw previously, we actually bamboozled the South Koreans previously, 224 00:10:04,360 --> 00:10:06,280 Speaker 2: you know, in some sort of backdoor deal to send 225 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:09,160 Speaker 2: weapons to Ukraine. But this is just a basic facet 226 00:10:09,240 --> 00:10:13,680 Speaker 2: of industrial production. We cannot come anywhere even close to 227 00:10:13,760 --> 00:10:16,240 Speaker 2: the Russian industrial production. By the way, that was not 228 00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:18,400 Speaker 2: supposed to happen. If you know, if we go back 229 00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:21,079 Speaker 2: and read what some of the previous sanctions were saying, 230 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 2: it was going to collapse. It demonstrates to us very 231 00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:26,880 Speaker 2: clearly that Russia and you know, I got this wrong too, 232 00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:30,960 Speaker 2: because all of us underestimated the resilience of Fundamentally, what 233 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:33,440 Speaker 2: Russia and China have as an advantage over us. They 234 00:10:33,480 --> 00:10:37,400 Speaker 2: have closed systems, they have vertically integrated production, and if 235 00:10:37,440 --> 00:10:40,319 Speaker 2: they don't have vertically integrated production, they are still able 236 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:43,040 Speaker 2: to buy enough from the Great Powers to do not 237 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:46,679 Speaker 2: agree with us on the Ukraine consensus. It demonstrates pretty 238 00:10:46,720 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 2: clearly that you can have the entire West try and 239 00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:52,880 Speaker 2: flatten your economy with sanctions, but if you have enough production, 240 00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 2: if you have the will, you can easily get it done. 241 00:10:55,640 --> 00:10:57,120 Speaker 3: Now, I don't want people to get me wrong, if 242 00:10:57,120 --> 00:10:59,640 Speaker 3: we converted our economy to total war, yeah, maybe we. 243 00:10:59,559 --> 00:11:01,480 Speaker 5: Could, you know, sure we do. 244 00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:02,400 Speaker 3: It's like, do you want to do that? 245 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:04,559 Speaker 2: You know, you want me to rush in the coffee 246 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:06,360 Speaker 2: in my cup, you know, to make sure that the 247 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:09,680 Speaker 2: Ukrainians can maybe hold the line in Advika. And I 248 00:11:09,679 --> 00:11:11,839 Speaker 2: think that's really what it gets to is that we 249 00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:14,839 Speaker 2: are at a point now where the reality is is 250 00:11:14,880 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 2: that we have exhausted our coffers basically to zero. One 251 00:11:17,559 --> 00:11:21,040 Speaker 2: of the reasons why President Biden sent cluster munitions to 252 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:23,200 Speaker 2: Ukraine was not just because they wanted them. It's because 253 00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:26,120 Speaker 2: we didn't have any more artillery to send them. And 254 00:11:26,880 --> 00:11:29,680 Speaker 2: one of the alleged, you know, benefits of the new 255 00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:32,040 Speaker 2: package is they're like, well, it's all going to flow 256 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:34,440 Speaker 2: to us, you know, factories and all that. 257 00:11:34,600 --> 00:11:36,600 Speaker 3: But here's what they don't tell you guys. It would 258 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:38,679 Speaker 3: take eighteen months. 259 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:40,680 Speaker 2: For those shells to be able to roll off in 260 00:11:40,720 --> 00:11:44,320 Speaker 2: significant enough numbers. So at the entire point, we're not 261 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:47,280 Speaker 2: dealing with reality and all of this, all of us. 262 00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:50,559 Speaker 2: Even if we were to supply all of this ammunition, 263 00:11:50,640 --> 00:11:53,240 Speaker 2: et cetera, it would only be able to get Ukraine 264 00:11:53,240 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 2: to run not even parody in terms of the number 265 00:11:55,880 --> 00:11:56,959 Speaker 2: of shells, And in that. 266 00:11:56,960 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 3: Situation, you actually need more than the enemy if you 267 00:12:00,280 --> 00:12:01,240 Speaker 3: want to try and do shape. 268 00:12:01,320 --> 00:12:04,480 Speaker 2: This is again from military tacticians and analysts that I've followed. 269 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:07,560 Speaker 2: People were actually relatively nonpartisan her like, they would actually 270 00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:11,000 Speaker 2: need an advantage to conduct shaping operations and all of that. 271 00:12:11,040 --> 00:12:13,760 Speaker 3: At best, what you would be arguing for maybe. 272 00:12:13,480 --> 00:12:16,880 Speaker 2: It's for them to quote hold the line, but this 273 00:12:16,960 --> 00:12:21,560 Speaker 2: belies what morale problems, the fact that they're kidnapping old 274 00:12:21,640 --> 00:12:24,640 Speaker 2: and disabled people off the street that are basically there 275 00:12:24,679 --> 00:12:26,240 Speaker 2: to help hold the front line. 276 00:12:26,640 --> 00:12:28,199 Speaker 3: The situation is hopeless for them. 277 00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:30,120 Speaker 2: I mean, it's really one of the they would be 278 00:12:30,360 --> 00:12:32,959 Speaker 2: lucky if they have the same amount of territory today, 279 00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:35,720 Speaker 2: even if we were to ship them millions of shells, 280 00:12:35,760 --> 00:12:37,680 Speaker 2: and then you know how many tens of thousands of 281 00:12:37,679 --> 00:12:40,120 Speaker 2: people would be dead in the meantime of their own 282 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:40,640 Speaker 2: citizen rate. 283 00:12:40,760 --> 00:12:44,080 Speaker 1: And fundamentally, what we're talking about is kind of restructuring 284 00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:50,080 Speaker 1: the entire West's economy to produce munitions so that this war. 285 00:12:50,000 --> 00:12:53,280 Speaker 4: Can just go on forever. Yes, Like, who does that 286 00:12:53,320 --> 00:12:54,280 Speaker 4: make sense to you? 287 00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:58,320 Speaker 1: This is two countries that are fighting over territory between 288 00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:04,040 Speaker 1: them works something out here. This is beyond the capacity 289 00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:06,680 Speaker 1: of our international rules based order to sort out. 290 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:08,040 Speaker 4: Are you kidding me? 291 00:13:08,240 --> 00:13:08,680 Speaker 3: Of course not. 292 00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:10,480 Speaker 2: You know, all it would take is literally a phone 293 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 2: call from President Biden. 294 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:13,960 Speaker 3: You can ask Victor Orbh of Hungary. He said that. 295 00:13:14,000 --> 00:13:15,839 Speaker 2: He goes, look, you guys are the ones who can 296 00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:18,000 Speaker 2: figure it out. Yeah, he said, this will not be 297 00:13:18,320 --> 00:13:20,360 Speaker 2: negotiated between Ukraine and Russia. This is going to be 298 00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:24,400 Speaker 2: between Washington and Moscow. President Putin made that clear in 299 00:13:24,520 --> 00:13:27,440 Speaker 2: his talker interview. If he let's find out if he's lying, 300 00:13:27,520 --> 00:13:29,439 Speaker 2: We don't know, you know, we have no idea. Of course, 301 00:13:29,440 --> 00:13:32,400 Speaker 2: it was out rejected, completely out of hand. The reason 302 00:13:32,440 --> 00:13:34,640 Speaker 2: again I'm spending time here is you need to know 303 00:13:34,679 --> 00:13:37,840 Speaker 2: the reality. It's not there's no secret artillery. There's no 304 00:13:37,960 --> 00:13:41,240 Speaker 2: secret weapons that are just hanging out there. And if 305 00:13:41,240 --> 00:13:43,160 Speaker 2: there were, why would we send them to you? Frank, 306 00:13:43,240 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 2: you want to drain us to the zero to send 307 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:46,320 Speaker 2: them so they. 308 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 1: When we attack the cartels, the cars will cartels invade 309 00:13:49,440 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 1: us and they just conquer us. 310 00:13:51,120 --> 00:13:53,280 Speaker 3: I mean, it's not a joke. It's true. It's not 311 00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:55,480 Speaker 3: even just cartels. I mean, who knows there's so many 312 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:56,920 Speaker 3: different flashpoints across the. 313 00:13:56,960 --> 00:13:59,600 Speaker 2: Clow would I would be remiss if I didn't say, 314 00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:01,960 Speaker 2: if you're a pro Israel person, the Israelis, guess what 315 00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 2: artillery they are ammunition? 316 00:14:03,240 --> 00:14:05,520 Speaker 3: They want the same ones as the Ukrainians. 317 00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:06,600 Speaker 4: Because they will go to war with Lebanon. 318 00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:08,920 Speaker 1: Well, it was funny to see Hillary Clinton say if 319 00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:11,400 Speaker 1: you were thinking about selling your weapons to somebody else? 320 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:14,640 Speaker 4: Like, is she bds opponent? All of a sudden, She's. 321 00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:17,400 Speaker 1: Like, maybe you're right, She's like kidding, And is you're 322 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:18,760 Speaker 1: watching that be like hmm. 323 00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:21,520 Speaker 3: Look this reality. I mean it's sad. 324 00:14:21,840 --> 00:14:23,760 Speaker 2: It is sad because if you think about it, back 325 00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:26,440 Speaker 2: in the day, in nineteen ninety one, after the Cold War, 326 00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:29,160 Speaker 2: we actually produced eight hundred thousand shells I believe that year, 327 00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:30,920 Speaker 2: and last year I think it was something like forty 328 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 2: maybe sixty thousand, which is pathetic, and it demonstrates the 329 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:34,800 Speaker 2: hollowing out and. 330 00:14:34,800 --> 00:14:35,960 Speaker 3: All that of the economy. 331 00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:38,560 Speaker 2: All this is ever, all this has really done, is 332 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:40,840 Speaker 2: demonstrated to me like how weak and unprepared we are 333 00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:43,600 Speaker 2: for the fact that we can't even supply to full 334 00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:47,120 Speaker 2: strength like a third world backwater military as opposed to 335 00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:48,000 Speaker 2: although it. 336 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:49,600 Speaker 4: Is taking on a pretty big country. 337 00:14:49,720 --> 00:14:51,680 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, I mean, certainly, but which we. 338 00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:54,480 Speaker 1: Seem to forget. It's like the Ukraine is not fighting 339 00:14:54,520 --> 00:14:55,080 Speaker 1: Poland here. 340 00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:56,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, No, you're right, I mean, and that's one of 341 00:14:56,680 --> 00:14:59,560 Speaker 2: those two where it's clear that we've under they've significantly 342 00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:02,040 Speaker 2: underrestd made it the strength. I mean, you have, as 343 00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:05,520 Speaker 2: I said, they've got four point five million shells. Even again, 344 00:15:05,640 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 2: you can ask the Estonians, they're the ones who read 345 00:15:07,600 --> 00:15:10,040 Speaker 2: the report. In their own report, they say that Russia 346 00:15:10,080 --> 00:15:13,280 Speaker 2: has largely been able to fill it's all of its 347 00:15:13,320 --> 00:15:16,120 Speaker 2: losses with volunteers by just paying the money in the 348 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:19,000 Speaker 2: poorest regions of Russia, and a lot of people, including 349 00:15:19,040 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 2: the people who've been killed, the widows and all that, 350 00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:22,680 Speaker 2: are like, hey, listen, you know, I missed my husband, 351 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:24,800 Speaker 2: but I'm getting paid more than I ever did before, 352 00:15:25,200 --> 00:15:28,600 Speaker 2: which sounds bleak, but you've never been really already, No, I. 353 00:15:28,560 --> 00:15:32,280 Speaker 3: Swear, I actually highlighted the same report. Here. 354 00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 2: They went and they did some interviews and it was 355 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:36,520 Speaker 2: in like dagastan Er, you know, some of like really 356 00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:39,480 Speaker 2: backwater regions of Russia, and it was like, many widows 357 00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:42,320 Speaker 2: find themselves much richer today as a result of the 358 00:15:42,360 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 2: war because they're making far more in pensions than they 359 00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:46,920 Speaker 2: ever did in their economy. 360 00:15:47,400 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 4: Yeah, they never liked that, one of them. Maybe it 361 00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:52,600 Speaker 4: didn't like him any children, probably miss the wife. 362 00:15:53,200 --> 00:15:54,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, you're right exactly. 363 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:56,120 Speaker 2: Let's put this up there on the screen as well, 364 00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:58,200 Speaker 2: because you're going to hear this a lot, you know, 365 00:15:58,240 --> 00:16:02,160 Speaker 2: continuing from the Lenski, from all of his advocates here 366 00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:05,119 Speaker 2: in Washington, they say that we are running an artificial 367 00:16:05,160 --> 00:16:09,280 Speaker 2: deficit of weapons after the Ukrainian withdrawal from Advika. They're 368 00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:12,960 Speaker 2: trying again to make this purely a matter of ammunition. 369 00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:16,400 Speaker 2: But the truth is is that even if they had parody, 370 00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:18,680 Speaker 2: the best they could do is hold. We can't even 371 00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:22,240 Speaker 2: get them to parody with current Western industrial production. And 372 00:16:22,280 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 2: that presumes that it would be worth draining our coffers 373 00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:29,360 Speaker 2: to zero, spinning up all of our economies to total war, 374 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:32,400 Speaker 2: just to keep the war going and they could hold 375 00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:33,280 Speaker 2: on the front line. 376 00:16:33,520 --> 00:16:35,800 Speaker 3: For what nobody ever answers that question. 377 00:16:35,840 --> 00:16:38,960 Speaker 1: You would think that after the second counter offensive, that 378 00:16:39,040 --> 00:16:43,000 Speaker 1: where we poured as much money as we could find 379 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:45,360 Speaker 1: into it and fifty billion as many weapons as we 380 00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:49,520 Speaker 1: could find into it, the Ukrainians threw thousands of men 381 00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:53,520 Speaker 1: into it and it failed. Yes, you would think that 382 00:16:53,640 --> 00:16:57,360 Speaker 1: after that, you're like, Okay, we tried that. That's not 383 00:16:57,400 --> 00:17:00,000 Speaker 1: going to work. Now we sit down and we negotiation 384 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:01,720 Speaker 1: what the end of this looks like. 385 00:17:01,760 --> 00:17:05,080 Speaker 3: But that's not the answer. Rights more, which is do more, Yeah, 386 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:05,840 Speaker 3: more and more and more. 387 00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:08,520 Speaker 1: I fewer people you're running out of and older people 388 00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:10,840 Speaker 1: yegor who we're going to have on next He said it, 389 00:17:10,840 --> 00:17:13,080 Speaker 1: He said it really well, either they run out of 390 00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:15,480 Speaker 1: money and ammunition now or they run out of men 391 00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:16,240 Speaker 1: in like two years. 392 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:19,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's actually it may even be sooner than that. 393 00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:22,679 Speaker 2: Six hundred and fifty thousand conscript age Ukrainian men have 394 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:26,359 Speaker 2: fled the country, have bribed their way out. They're basically 395 00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:29,200 Speaker 2: at this point, if you're like fifty or so, you're. 396 00:17:29,119 --> 00:17:30,639 Speaker 3: Up for grabs, you know, to be able to go. 397 00:17:30,840 --> 00:17:33,320 Speaker 2: The average age of the military is somewhere around forty 398 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:35,320 Speaker 2: five to fifty years old. That means that there's a 399 00:17:35,320 --> 00:17:37,000 Speaker 2: seventy year old in there. If the average s fifty, 400 00:17:37,040 --> 00:17:38,919 Speaker 2: that means there's a seventy year old in there. Like 401 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:40,960 Speaker 2: if we think about what a normal distribution looks like, 402 00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:44,840 Speaker 2: so let's just consider you know where really things are going. 403 00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:47,000 Speaker 2: And you know, even if you gave them like you said, 404 00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:49,160 Speaker 2: then it's just going to be a country of boys 405 00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:52,000 Speaker 2: and old men. And even then, you know, can they 406 00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:54,840 Speaker 2: really be able to hold on? And this presumes so 407 00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:58,560 Speaker 2: much more of Western support, which still belies the question 408 00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:00,639 Speaker 2: of now what very difficult? 409 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:02,240 Speaker 4: In two years? What about four? 410 00:18:02,359 --> 00:18:03,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, what about six ten? 411 00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:07,439 Speaker 1: There's no reason that Russia's going to stop unless we 412 00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:09,439 Speaker 1: come to a negotiated solution to this. 413 00:18:09,560 --> 00:18:13,040 Speaker 2: Right, Well, that's what reality is like. It's not pretty, 414 00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:14,919 Speaker 2: but it is what it is. And it's one of 415 00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:17,400 Speaker 2: those where a lot of people in the news are 416 00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:20,200 Speaker 2: just not being honest. They're displaying it purely as some 417 00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:24,040 Speaker 2: sort of magic artillery problem, when there are manifold issues 418 00:18:24,040 --> 00:18:26,479 Speaker 2: as to the Ukrainians, and in the meantime they are 419 00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:29,320 Speaker 2: likely to only lose more territory. The Russians appear to 420 00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:33,040 Speaker 2: be preparing for a major offensive sometime in March, all 421 00:18:33,080 --> 00:18:35,560 Speaker 2: along the front line, and it will just continue and 422 00:18:35,600 --> 00:18:38,000 Speaker 2: continue and continue. Will they have major breakthroughs like they 423 00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:39,439 Speaker 2: did in the early days of the war. No, they 424 00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:42,159 Speaker 2: don't care, though they are totally willing to sacrifice as 425 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:44,520 Speaker 2: many men as possible, and as we're just about to 426 00:18:44,520 --> 00:18:47,640 Speaker 2: talk about with Yegor, Putin is actually stronger domestically than 427 00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:53,440 Speaker 2: ever at the same time here domestically, as we've discussed 428 00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:55,679 Speaker 2: a lot here, Fanny will let's actually believe it was 429 00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:57,239 Speaker 2: with you, Ryan, last time we did a little bit 430 00:18:57,240 --> 00:18:59,600 Speaker 2: of an update on this story. Who is the prosecutor 431 00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:02,160 Speaker 2: in the state of Georgia is in major hot water 432 00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:04,399 Speaker 2: there after it was revealed that she was having an 433 00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:07,960 Speaker 2: affair with the top prosecutor who she had hired in 434 00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:10,920 Speaker 2: the Trump case. He was paid some seven hundred thousand 435 00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:13,800 Speaker 2: dollars nearly by the state. The major reason she's in 436 00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:16,199 Speaker 2: hot water is not because of the affair that's come 437 00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:19,560 Speaker 2: to light through his divorce proceedings, but because it appears 438 00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:24,600 Speaker 2: that they took many lavish vacations together and airs no 439 00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:27,920 Speaker 2: evidence Ryan that she reimbursed him as she is. 440 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:29,920 Speaker 3: Required to do by state law. 441 00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:32,119 Speaker 2: So in the middle of the hearing there was a 442 00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 2: dramatic moment where Fanny Willis originally was defying or saying 443 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:38,640 Speaker 2: that she would not comply with a subpoena to come 444 00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:41,520 Speaker 2: and testify, rushed to the courtroom to try and tell 445 00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:44,600 Speaker 2: the truth and quickly fell apart on the stand with 446 00:19:44,760 --> 00:19:46,720 Speaker 2: her story. The story that the two of them have 447 00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:50,080 Speaker 2: decided to concoct is that while yes, they did attend 448 00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:53,080 Speaker 2: many lavish vacations and take a lot of cool trips 449 00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:56,240 Speaker 2: together hotel rooms, etc. That she did pay him back, 450 00:19:56,440 --> 00:19:59,399 Speaker 2: but she did it in untraceable amounts of cash. 451 00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:00,600 Speaker 3: Here's what she had to say. 452 00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:02,280 Speaker 5: Let's talk about both of those. 453 00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:04,080 Speaker 9: I know he initially paid for it. 454 00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:07,960 Speaker 5: Did you pay him back for the cruise and for 455 00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:09,720 Speaker 5: a rub? But yeah, I gave him his money before 456 00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:10,720 Speaker 5: we ever went on that trip. 457 00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:13,040 Speaker 9: You gave him cash before you ever went on the trip, 458 00:20:13,160 --> 00:20:15,800 Speaker 9: m okay. And so when you got cash to pay 459 00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:17,040 Speaker 9: him back on these trips, would you go to the 460 00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:18,000 Speaker 9: ATM No. 461 00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:20,480 Speaker 3: Lady, you would not go to the ATM No. 462 00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 10: And my worst days has probably only been five hundred 463 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:24,159 Speaker 10: or one thousand dollars. 464 00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:27,240 Speaker 5: At my best days, I probably had fifteen thousand. 465 00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:27,680 Speaker 9: Dollars in my house. 466 00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:30,840 Speaker 10: A kid cash at all times, there's going to be 467 00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:33,960 Speaker 10: cash in my house or whenever I'm laying my head. 468 00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:36,080 Speaker 9: The money that you paid and it's her way the 469 00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:38,840 Speaker 9: cash in October of twenty twenty two, you do not 470 00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:40,200 Speaker 9: know where that money came from. 471 00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:41,480 Speaker 11: I do know where it came from. 472 00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:43,240 Speaker 12: It came from my sweat and tears. 473 00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:44,879 Speaker 3: It came from her sweat and tears. 474 00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:45,120 Speaker 12: Ryan. 475 00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:47,560 Speaker 2: However, when she was asked if she could produce withdrawal 476 00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:50,120 Speaker 2: and deposit slips from the ATM and she could prove 477 00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:53,880 Speaker 2: from her bank account the withdrawal of said cash, she said, well, 478 00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:57,080 Speaker 2: it's just accumulated over the years. Who knows where it 479 00:20:57,119 --> 00:21:01,760 Speaker 2: came from. It's a very interesting defense. Actually spawned a 480 00:21:01,840 --> 00:21:04,560 Speaker 2: discussion here in our studio. I was told I'm out 481 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:09,080 Speaker 2: of touch generationally because I don't have sympathy for people 482 00:21:09,080 --> 00:21:12,280 Speaker 2: who just keep vast amounts of cash around and listen, 483 00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:14,240 Speaker 2: you know, at a at a like a level of 484 00:21:14,280 --> 00:21:17,080 Speaker 2: like the Great Depression and not trusting the banking system. Listen, 485 00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:19,480 Speaker 2: I'm totally with you. There's just a little bit of 486 00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:23,080 Speaker 2: a problem. It turns out that miss Willis pays her 487 00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:27,120 Speaker 2: rent with the cash app and that whenever it's convenient 488 00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:31,280 Speaker 2: for other expenses that she does use you know, credit cards, 489 00:21:31,280 --> 00:21:34,160 Speaker 2: the bank, the official banking system, traceable bank system. It's 490 00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:38,440 Speaker 2: only in this instance where she's being asked to provide 491 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:41,600 Speaker 2: evidence that she did, in fact not flout Georgia corruption 492 00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:45,159 Speaker 2: law and did payback her lover for the lavish vacations. 493 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:48,040 Speaker 2: That she does claim that she had these vast amounts 494 00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:50,639 Speaker 2: of cash that was available to her, and that in 495 00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:55,800 Speaker 2: every single instance, unlike previously when she was using legitimate 496 00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:59,040 Speaker 2: banking tools or traceable ones, that she was no, she 497 00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:00,080 Speaker 2: did not default. 498 00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:01,199 Speaker 3: To that in every instance. 499 00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:05,360 Speaker 2: Very reasonable and very obviously not a cover story. 500 00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:05,680 Speaker 3: Isn't it. 501 00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 1: It certainly does stink like a cover story. 502 00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:11,719 Speaker 4: I always root for people to get away with cover stories. 503 00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:14,320 Speaker 1: Yes, And I hate the way that the state can 504 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:16,040 Speaker 1: trace every little die. 505 00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:17,119 Speaker 4: I hate your stomach. 506 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:21,080 Speaker 1: So the way that this kind of cover story usually 507 00:22:21,119 --> 00:22:24,359 Speaker 1: unravels is that somebody will get text messages between the 508 00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:27,720 Speaker 1: two of them where they will say, let's let's tell 509 00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:32,399 Speaker 1: the prosecutors that we paid each other in cash, and 510 00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:35,320 Speaker 1: then somebody thumbs up the message and then that goes 511 00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:37,280 Speaker 1: in front of the jury and you're like, oh, wow, yes, 512 00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:38,919 Speaker 1: I'm so I'm so busted. 513 00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:39,160 Speaker 12: Here. 514 00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:43,320 Speaker 1: Her real problem ethically was once she was in a 515 00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:48,280 Speaker 1: romantic relationship, well his problem. Pro tip if you're getting divorced, 516 00:22:49,320 --> 00:22:52,200 Speaker 1: don't take it to court. 517 00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:53,600 Speaker 3: Because ask Bill Gates, mister. 518 00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:58,280 Speaker 1: Past Bill Gates, we would know about all his Epstein's stuff. 519 00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:01,160 Speaker 1: If he had just paid whatever she was asking, whatever 520 00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:04,040 Speaker 1: she was asking, you pay that, you're going to be fine. 521 00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 1: But her problem was once they were in a real 522 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:11,000 Speaker 1: romantic relationship, was hiring him to begin with? That's right, 523 00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:14,200 Speaker 1: once they're dating, Why am I supposed to care who 524 00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:14,879 Speaker 1: pays for dinner? 525 00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:16,640 Speaker 4: We don't care about cruise, right, But it. 526 00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:21,280 Speaker 1: Was because she hired him. Now she's responsible for him 527 00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:24,320 Speaker 1: making that money, and now the state has an interest 528 00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:26,320 Speaker 1: in who's paying for this cruise and who's paying for 529 00:23:26,359 --> 00:23:27,080 Speaker 1: the dinner. 530 00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:30,240 Speaker 3: And we're not talking about five K, two K or something. 531 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:34,000 Speaker 2: We're talking about six seven hundred thousand dollars which he 532 00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:36,840 Speaker 2: needs to account for, and by all accounts was an 533 00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:39,959 Speaker 2: inexperienced prosecutor. If you go back and you read before 534 00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:41,960 Speaker 2: the affair came to light, there were a lot of 535 00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:44,240 Speaker 2: questions in Georgia. They're like, hey, why did she hire 536 00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:45,719 Speaker 2: this guy? Like, you know, he kind of came out 537 00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:47,399 Speaker 2: of nowhere. There are a lot of other people that 538 00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:49,840 Speaker 2: she could have turned to. It's a very odd choice, 539 00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:52,119 Speaker 2: but it appears that she has trust in him. She 540 00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:55,680 Speaker 2: certainly did. I guess trusting with that amount of cash. 541 00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:59,000 Speaker 2: Mister Wade, by the way, going with the story at court, 542 00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:00,000 Speaker 2: here's what he had to say. 543 00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:02,960 Speaker 9: You said in the affidavit that you roughly shared. 544 00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,040 Speaker 3: Travel though, correct, Yes, ma'an okay. 545 00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:08,080 Speaker 9: So this roughly sharing travel, you're saying she reimbursed you. 546 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:11,679 Speaker 9: She did, And where did you deposit the money she 547 00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:12,320 Speaker 9: reimbursed you? 548 00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:15,000 Speaker 5: It was cash? She didn't She didn't give me any chicks. 549 00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:17,639 Speaker 8: So she paid you cash for her share of. 550 00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:18,160 Speaker 5: All these bats. 551 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:19,800 Speaker 12: Mister Shaffer, you'll step out if you do. 552 00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:21,200 Speaker 3: That again, yes, ma'am, okay. 553 00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 9: And so all of the vacations that she took she paid. 554 00:24:24,560 --> 00:24:27,200 Speaker 12: You cash for, yes, ma'am. 555 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:30,879 Speaker 9: And you purchased all of these vacations. 556 00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:32,639 Speaker 3: On your business credit card, correct, yes, ma'am. 557 00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:36,600 Speaker 9: And you included those in deductions on your taxes correct? 558 00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:38,440 Speaker 5: No, man, no, you did not. 559 00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:41,399 Speaker 2: So you purchased all this So how why is it 560 00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:44,280 Speaker 2: mss Willis is only using cash, but he's getting these 561 00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:47,440 Speaker 2: point maxing whenever he's lying stuff on his business He 562 00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:49,680 Speaker 2: won those points credit card, right, but why doesn't she 563 00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:51,760 Speaker 2: want any points? That's what I understand what's happening here. 564 00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:53,000 Speaker 4: That's true? Give that's those points? 565 00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:55,679 Speaker 3: Megan Kelly did a great summary really of this. 566 00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:57,240 Speaker 2: Let me put this stuff there on the screen, just 567 00:24:57,320 --> 00:24:59,119 Speaker 2: because there's so much that came out of this hearing. 568 00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:02,080 Speaker 3: Number one, this actually preceded both of their testimony. 569 00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:05,760 Speaker 2: Fanning Willis's close friend testified to the court under oath 570 00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:10,440 Speaker 2: that their romantic relationship began way before Fanning Willis hired him, 571 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:13,000 Speaker 2: meaning that they both lied to the court. Number two, 572 00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:16,840 Speaker 2: Wade claimed that she reimbursed him for all of these 573 00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:21,159 Speaker 2: very expensive trips, including wine tasting to Napa bitch. She 574 00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:23,480 Speaker 2: made clear just so you know, Ryan, She's like, I 575 00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:25,840 Speaker 2: don't even like wine. I prefer Ga Gray Goose. So 576 00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:28,400 Speaker 2: thank you for that, Miss Willis. She says, of course 577 00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:30,840 Speaker 2: it was on cash. And then three, he definitely caught 578 00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:34,440 Speaker 2: lying on his earlier court submissions in divorce court, attempting 579 00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:36,280 Speaker 2: to say that the reason he swore that he had 580 00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:39,520 Speaker 2: no receipts was because he only had credit card statements 581 00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:40,840 Speaker 2: reflecting the charges. 582 00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:43,080 Speaker 3: I have secondhand embarrassment. 583 00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:45,320 Speaker 2: I mean, it really is one where there is also 584 00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:49,119 Speaker 2: other instances, for example, Ryan, where she claimed that she 585 00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:51,520 Speaker 2: had large amounts of cash on hand because she had 586 00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:52,320 Speaker 2: just come off. 587 00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:54,399 Speaker 3: Of her campaign. And you're like, wait what, Hold on 588 00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:58,480 Speaker 3: a second, It's like record scratch, what are you saying? 589 00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:01,520 Speaker 3: Did you mean he'sh. 590 00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:03,920 Speaker 4: Where's Georgia Bureau of in exactly? 591 00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:07,840 Speaker 2: Can we get the Georgia Election Bureau who you are allegedly, you. 592 00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:09,640 Speaker 3: Know, prosecuting Trump on behalf. 593 00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:11,480 Speaker 4: Of Oh yeah, a whole bunch of cash from your campaign. 594 00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:13,320 Speaker 2: Well you said this last time, and maybe you can 595 00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:17,200 Speaker 2: explain it again. The problem here is the corruption law. 596 00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:20,000 Speaker 2: Her Tawdrey affair and all that other stuff is a 597 00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:22,800 Speaker 2: secondary concern. The law is clear, like you have to 598 00:26:22,800 --> 00:26:25,920 Speaker 2: reimburse people, you know, especially when you're in a personal relationship, 599 00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:27,960 Speaker 2: and you have to be able to account for that. 600 00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:30,639 Speaker 2: I mean, I was explaining to our crew previously, like 601 00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:34,480 Speaker 2: if I spend ten dollars on our account or whatever, 602 00:26:34,520 --> 00:26:37,399 Speaker 2: and it's not immediately clear. My accountants are up my 603 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:40,040 Speaker 2: ass this same day they're like, hey, what is this 604 00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:42,560 Speaker 2: charge for? You need to clearly explain and all this 605 00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:45,199 Speaker 2: just so I can be compliant in the event that 606 00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:46,160 Speaker 2: irs or whatever. 607 00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,080 Speaker 3: She's the Georgia prosecutor. I mean, you know, it's like 608 00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:50,440 Speaker 3: she clearly has a. 609 00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:53,239 Speaker 2: Present interest, far more present than I do, of you know, 610 00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:56,119 Speaker 2: dotting my eyes crossing my t's and all that stuff, 611 00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:58,240 Speaker 2: just to prove in any event that someone would ever 612 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:00,760 Speaker 2: look at our books that all are our finances are 613 00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:02,280 Speaker 2: one hundred percent legit. 614 00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:07,040 Speaker 1: What makes this difficult for her She can either get 615 00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:09,400 Speaker 1: caught in the affair or she can follow the law, 616 00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:14,040 Speaker 1: because if you're having an affair, you're not going to 617 00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:17,920 Speaker 1: be then like, you know, five hundred dollars from Fanny 618 00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:21,440 Speaker 1: willis in the bank account, So you can imagine why, 619 00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:25,080 Speaker 1: let's say it was cash, or that she's not paying 620 00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:28,280 Speaker 1: it back, why that would happen. But fundamentally for people 621 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:31,480 Speaker 1: to understand, it's an anti kickback law. If you are 622 00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:36,040 Speaker 1: a public figure who has your fingers on the purse 623 00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:40,000 Speaker 1: strings of the public money, and you have the power 624 00:27:40,040 --> 00:27:42,280 Speaker 1: to give let's say one hundred thousand dollars contract to 625 00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:47,480 Speaker 1: somebody everywhere throughout world history, what happens is that somebody 626 00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:50,160 Speaker 1: who wants that contract says, give me the one hundred k, 627 00:27:50,600 --> 00:27:53,000 Speaker 1: and I'll kick you back ten K. Yes, And so 628 00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:56,159 Speaker 1: as a public official, so many of them are like, great, 629 00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:58,680 Speaker 1: what do I care who does who gets this project 630 00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:01,000 Speaker 1: or who we hire. I'm going to walk away with 631 00:28:01,040 --> 00:28:04,280 Speaker 1: ten thousand dollars so it's an anti kickback law. You 632 00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:07,680 Speaker 1: can't take more than x, you know, a very nominal 633 00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:11,000 Speaker 1: amount of money from somebody who got a contract. And 634 00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:13,480 Speaker 1: so he got six seven hundred thousand dollars contract to 635 00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:16,440 Speaker 1: be the lawyer on this thing. She can't take money back. 636 00:28:16,880 --> 00:28:20,800 Speaker 1: What makes it ethically and weirdly different is that it 637 00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:24,000 Speaker 1: wasn't really a kickback, like we know what was going 638 00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:25,719 Speaker 1: on here, but it is a violation. But it is, 639 00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:27,840 Speaker 1: But you've stumbled into a violation. 640 00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:29,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, listen, I have friends who work in 641 00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:30,679 Speaker 3: because I hired him. 642 00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:31,840 Speaker 4: If I got enough dinner. 643 00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:32,960 Speaker 2: With them, as you know, it's a pain in the 644 00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:34,800 Speaker 2: ass sometimes like well, I can't accept it, you know, 645 00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:36,200 Speaker 2: because I'll be like I'll take the check because I 646 00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:38,240 Speaker 2: want the points right, and I'm like, no, I can 647 00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:40,120 Speaker 2: only accept up to twenty dollars or what. And these 648 00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:42,479 Speaker 2: are these people are the low level staffers as compared 649 00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:43,080 Speaker 2: to this lady. 650 00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:47,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, you're going up against the former president of the 651 00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:51,560 Speaker 1: United States as a state level prosecutor. 652 00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:54,760 Speaker 4: You have to have your ducks in a row. 653 00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:57,400 Speaker 1: You would think, I forget what the recent case was 654 00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:04,160 Speaker 1: where somebody got got caught up. They were well, I forget. 655 00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:05,680 Speaker 1: I forget it was in the two It was just 656 00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:08,120 Speaker 1: a month ago or whatever. They went down for something 657 00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:12,240 Speaker 1: that they were completely guilty of, but it had nothing 658 00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:14,160 Speaker 1: to do with like the initial things like but if 659 00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:16,880 Speaker 1: but if you're if you're taking on a power center, 660 00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:19,080 Speaker 1: like they're gonna come for you, right, and then they're 661 00:29:19,080 --> 00:29:20,600 Speaker 1: gonna find whatever you did wrong. 662 00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:22,680 Speaker 4: Oh, I was thinking of Claudie and Gray and Glasure 663 00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:23,800 Speaker 4: as that's what it was. 664 00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:24,280 Speaker 12: That's right. 665 00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:26,680 Speaker 1: It's like, look, if you're going to be president of Harvard, 666 00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:27,760 Speaker 1: you got to have your daughter. 667 00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:30,600 Speaker 3: It's actually not complicent. 668 00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:31,960 Speaker 1: Even though they were not coming after you for that. 669 00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:33,719 Speaker 1: It was about Israel. 670 00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:35,720 Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly what are you doing? 671 00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:36,160 Speaker 12: Right? 672 00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:37,720 Speaker 2: Why do you think I'm where do you think we're 673 00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:39,920 Speaker 2: so neurotical? I know that we talk a lot of 674 00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:41,520 Speaker 2: shit about a lot of people in power, and it's 675 00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:43,600 Speaker 2: like you want to come go ahead, all right? You know, 676 00:29:43,720 --> 00:29:46,719 Speaker 2: probably a little bit too cautious over here at breaking points. 677 00:29:46,840 --> 00:29:49,400 Speaker 2: The final thing here is MSNBC had to come up 678 00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:52,200 Speaker 2: with the best defense of miss willis that they could. 679 00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:53,320 Speaker 3: Here's what they had to say. 680 00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:56,840 Speaker 13: The testimony on the whole was calmer then I expected 681 00:29:56,840 --> 00:29:57,120 Speaker 13: it to be. 682 00:29:57,120 --> 00:29:59,719 Speaker 8: When she first walked in, you were worried, but also 683 00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:01,360 Speaker 8: incredibly detailed it. 684 00:30:01,400 --> 00:30:03,480 Speaker 5: I thought her portrayal of why it. 685 00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:05,640 Speaker 13: Is that she pays for things in cash and has 686 00:30:05,720 --> 00:30:08,600 Speaker 13: lots of cash on hand was very compelling. Basically, it 687 00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:11,280 Speaker 13: was a life lesson she learned from her father and 688 00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:13,440 Speaker 13: then sort of joked about the way that she was 689 00:30:13,520 --> 00:30:16,200 Speaker 13: raised by that old white man as she referred to 690 00:30:16,360 --> 00:30:17,760 Speaker 13: Yeah and KETHERR Kristian. 691 00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:19,280 Speaker 5: And the defense oversold this. 692 00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:21,640 Speaker 7: There was no evidence other than the woman who is 693 00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:22,480 Speaker 7: a former friend and. 694 00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:23,480 Speaker 5: A former employee. 695 00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:27,080 Speaker 7: That's their evidence, and anyone who has an elderly black 696 00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:28,960 Speaker 7: parent or elderly black people in life. 697 00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:30,320 Speaker 5: No, it's about. 698 00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:31,960 Speaker 7: Keeping cash because you never know where you're going to 699 00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:32,440 Speaker 7: need it. 700 00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:33,800 Speaker 5: So she's been very credible. 701 00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:38,520 Speaker 2: It's very credible because there is an antiquated racial explanation 702 00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:39,600 Speaker 2: that is based. 703 00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:40,840 Speaker 4: In white people too. 704 00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:43,239 Speaker 1: My grandfather, who lived through the depression, keeps cash, and 705 00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:46,160 Speaker 1: so I'm actually not doubting whether she keeps a lot 706 00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:48,440 Speaker 1: of cash with her. What I am kind of doubting 707 00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:51,800 Speaker 1: is whether she unrolled a whole bunch of it handed. 708 00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:54,320 Speaker 2: It's like, really, you reimburse him for every trip, every 709 00:30:54,320 --> 00:30:56,520 Speaker 2: single trip, because if you didn't. You violated the law. 710 00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:58,800 Speaker 2: And it's like, well, you can't prove it. And it's 711 00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:01,320 Speaker 2: like the Epstein things saying, I'm not comparing the two. 712 00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:04,440 Speaker 2: I'm just saying whenever I would read through the financial 713 00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:07,560 Speaker 2: services reports around Epstein from New York and all those others, 714 00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:10,240 Speaker 2: he would take out, you know, nine and ninety nine 715 00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:12,640 Speaker 2: dollars for tips, and every single time he would write 716 00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:14,640 Speaker 2: it out like this is for tips, and it's like, really, 717 00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:18,560 Speaker 2: it's like that's obviously supposed to trigger alerts inside of 718 00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:21,440 Speaker 2: the system. Hunter too, if anybody wants to know, if 719 00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:24,520 Speaker 2: you go and you read his you know, extravaganza back 720 00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:27,880 Speaker 2: and all expenses, he was spending six seven hundred thousand dollars, 721 00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:32,040 Speaker 2: often in cash. In general, when people do shady things, 722 00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:35,800 Speaker 2: they're spending large amounts of cash, specifically to try and 723 00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:39,560 Speaker 2: stay out of the legitimate banking system, and specifically because 724 00:31:39,720 --> 00:31:42,880 Speaker 2: she was able and often did use the legitimate banking 725 00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:47,120 Speaker 2: system for other expenses. It makes her explanation even more 726 00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:49,960 Speaker 2: doubtable as to how this was not untoward and to 727 00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:50,960 Speaker 2: why we shouldn't really. 728 00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:52,000 Speaker 3: Believe a lot of what she said. 729 00:31:52,120 --> 00:31:53,080 Speaker 4: So what's going to happen there? 730 00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:56,960 Speaker 2: I mean there's they're previously a judge had said that 731 00:31:57,000 --> 00:31:59,320 Speaker 2: this possibly could be grounds for dismissal. I mean, it's 732 00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:01,200 Speaker 2: one of those where at the very least, I mean, 733 00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:03,040 Speaker 2: I think you could put a decent amount of reasonable 734 00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:04,880 Speaker 2: doubt in jury's head. 735 00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:05,680 Speaker 3: Prosecution. 736 00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:07,120 Speaker 4: Do you find a new prosecutor? What do you do? 737 00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:10,240 Speaker 2: Maybe I'm look, I'm not there guy to ask. I 738 00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:12,640 Speaker 2: don't know about Georgia double jeopardy or any of that. 739 00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:16,080 Speaker 2: From what I know the people in the Trump people Georgia. 740 00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:18,800 Speaker 2: I've said that before. He's touched by God. And I 741 00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:22,560 Speaker 2: don't even believe in God but neither, but he's touched 742 00:32:22,560 --> 00:32:24,400 Speaker 2: by it. He has been you know, he's had his 743 00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:26,840 Speaker 2: hands laid. There's an angel who was looking out. 744 00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:28,920 Speaker 4: It was from that White House when they all laid 745 00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:29,280 Speaker 4: their hands. 746 00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:32,080 Speaker 3: Maybe you're right, Maybe it worked, it worked. Maybe I 747 00:32:32,080 --> 00:32:34,040 Speaker 3: should have listened to the evangelicals when I was growing up. 748 00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:38,080 Speaker 3: Maybe they were right. All right, let's move on to 749 00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:38,760 Speaker 3: the next part here. 750 00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:41,760 Speaker 2: Matt Tayibe out with a new report, taking a couple 751 00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:43,840 Speaker 2: of time days to digest this one, and I wanted 752 00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:46,360 Speaker 2: to Actually, you're a great person to talk about it with. 753 00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:46,920 Speaker 4: Ryan. 754 00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:50,200 Speaker 2: It traces back to some of the original days of 755 00:32:50,320 --> 00:32:53,000 Speaker 2: Russia Gate with some pretty interesting reporting. 756 00:32:53,080 --> 00:32:54,640 Speaker 3: Let's put this up there on the screen. 757 00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:58,160 Speaker 2: This is coby lined Matt Tayibi, Michael Schellenberger over at 758 00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:01,440 Speaker 2: Public and Alex gutten Tog, three excellent reporters. 759 00:33:01,600 --> 00:33:04,200 Speaker 3: They say, quote it was all a lie. The Trump Russia. 760 00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:07,240 Speaker 2: Scandal made its formal launch on January sixteenth, twenty seventeen, 761 00:33:07,480 --> 00:33:09,320 Speaker 2: when the Office of the d and I published what 762 00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:13,080 Speaker 2: was known then as the Intelligence Community Assessment. However, the 763 00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:15,880 Speaker 2: report declared that Russia and Putin interfered in the twenty 764 00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:19,320 Speaker 2: sixteen presidential election to denigrate Hillary Clinton to arm her 765 00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:22,600 Speaker 2: electability thanks to her preference for President Donald Trump. 766 00:33:22,760 --> 00:33:25,400 Speaker 3: It was powerful stuff and it was dead wrong. 767 00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:29,040 Speaker 2: So according to them, there was an inside effort by 768 00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:32,520 Speaker 2: the CIA within the DNI as well to try and 769 00:33:32,560 --> 00:33:35,600 Speaker 2: to demonstrate that they cooked the intelligence to say that 770 00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:39,239 Speaker 2: quote Russia had favored Hillary Clinton and not Trump in 771 00:33:39,280 --> 00:33:43,000 Speaker 2: twenty sixteen, according to several sources that they had spoken to. 772 00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:45,800 Speaker 2: Matt's been obviously working on reporting and news like this 773 00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:49,400 Speaker 2: now for quite some time. I think the effective allegation 774 00:33:49,640 --> 00:33:51,600 Speaker 2: within it, and it's very detailed that you guys can 775 00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:57,120 Speaker 2: go and read is that they selectively made intelligence important 776 00:33:57,560 --> 00:34:00,160 Speaker 2: that claimed that Russia would like for Donald Trump to 777 00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:03,040 Speaker 2: win in twenty sixteen, to then make it a declarative 778 00:34:03,200 --> 00:34:06,280 Speaker 2: conclusion that they could put in the so called declassified 779 00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:09,120 Speaker 2: intelligence assessment. And I mean, Ryan, you and I were 780 00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:12,640 Speaker 2: reporting at that time that intelligence assessment right before Trump 781 00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:16,440 Speaker 2: takes office. Is tremendously influential for overall of Russiagate because 782 00:34:16,520 --> 00:34:18,760 Speaker 2: front page of the New York Times, you know, intel 783 00:34:19,120 --> 00:34:22,680 Speaker 2: Russia wanted Trump to win right as he's taking office. 784 00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:25,400 Speaker 2: This is while you know the Muller investigation and all that, 785 00:34:25,440 --> 00:34:28,040 Speaker 2: the very early days of that began to come forward. 786 00:34:28,120 --> 00:34:31,400 Speaker 2: You have big discussions around James Comey and is firing. 787 00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:34,480 Speaker 2: This is years now, you know, in retrospect. But the 788 00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:36,759 Speaker 2: reason why I think it is important is that once 789 00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:39,759 Speaker 2: something Matt has really not ever let go, and what 790 00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:43,719 Speaker 2: he is truly correct about is the seiasic implications of 791 00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:46,160 Speaker 2: Russia Gate, because it's a lot like the Iraq War 792 00:34:46,200 --> 00:34:49,440 Speaker 2: and their fortieth order consequences. It was a media scandal, certainly, 793 00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:53,560 Speaker 2: you know Iraq WMD level failure, but it also constrained 794 00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:55,600 Speaker 2: a lot of legitimate options for the President of the 795 00:34:55,680 --> 00:34:58,799 Speaker 2: United States, Trump in many cases tried to prove he 796 00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:02,320 Speaker 2: was tougher on Russia then Obama shipping weapons to Ukraine. 797 00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:04,200 Speaker 2: Anyone want to tell me how that worked out in 798 00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:08,239 Speaker 2: terms of the war. It certainly realigned the entire Democratic 799 00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:11,880 Speaker 2: Party to become much more anti Russia. If you go 800 00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:15,440 Speaker 2: back and you read President Obama's twenty fifteen interview with 801 00:35:15,640 --> 00:35:18,360 Speaker 2: Jeffrey Goldberg, he sounds like me. You know, He'll be like, 802 00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:20,319 Speaker 2: He'll be like, listen, you know, Ukraine is not a 803 00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:22,800 Speaker 2: major strategic interest for America. If you really want to 804 00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:25,200 Speaker 2: make the argument that Americans should die for Ukraine, go ahead. 805 00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:28,080 Speaker 3: I don't agree with you. What happened to that Democratic Party? 806 00:35:28,080 --> 00:35:28,439 Speaker 3: It's gone. 807 00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:32,120 Speaker 1: That's a year after the kind of Dawnbus war break, right, Yeah. 808 00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:39,320 Speaker 1: And twenty twelve, liberals including me, cheered during the presidential 809 00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:42,480 Speaker 1: debate with Obama and Romney where Romney. 810 00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:44,680 Speaker 3: Bayonets moment, Yeah that's great, and he's. 811 00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:48,480 Speaker 1: Like, he's talking about Russia being the our biggest geostrategic adversary, 812 00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:52,040 Speaker 1: and yeah, Obama's like, what are you talking about? 813 00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:54,640 Speaker 4: This is not nineteen twelve. 814 00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:58,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, banets and the battleships and like cavalry and like horses, 815 00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:00,960 Speaker 1: like come on, get into the modern era. 816 00:36:01,040 --> 00:36:02,560 Speaker 4: This is not and actually and. 817 00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:03,640 Speaker 3: That is and he was right. 818 00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:05,680 Speaker 4: Obama was right. 819 00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:09,799 Speaker 1: He was right about that, and Putin actually wanted him 820 00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:13,239 Speaker 1: to be right about that. And this is something that 821 00:36:13,600 --> 00:36:16,960 Speaker 1: Jegor has actually talked about that the main thing that 822 00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:19,480 Speaker 1: we misunderstand both about the collapse of the Soviet Union 823 00:36:19,520 --> 00:36:23,000 Speaker 1: and also Putin's psychology is that when the Soviet Union collapse, 824 00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:25,560 Speaker 1: that the elites who took it over and turned themselves 825 00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:27,600 Speaker 1: into oligarchs thought they were going to get a martial 826 00:36:27,640 --> 00:36:30,279 Speaker 1: plan from the United States, thought that they if they 827 00:36:30,360 --> 00:36:34,160 Speaker 1: basically surrendered the Cold War, that the West would then 828 00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:38,440 Speaker 1: welcome them in to this world of nations where you 829 00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:40,640 Speaker 1: get to have this nice inequality at the very top. 830 00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:46,560 Speaker 1: Because they misunderstood the conflict between the Soviet Union and 831 00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:52,080 Speaker 1: the West as around communism and around kind of capitalism 832 00:36:52,880 --> 00:36:56,080 Speaker 1: versus communism, when actually it was about you know, the 833 00:36:56,080 --> 00:36:59,400 Speaker 1: West versus another power center like it, it was purely 834 00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:02,800 Speaker 1: about power. So Russia replacing the Silvi Union didn't actually 835 00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:05,840 Speaker 1: change that from our calculus, but from Putin's perspective, and 836 00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:09,080 Speaker 1: you can see this bleeding all through the Tucker interview. 837 00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:11,560 Speaker 1: He just wants the West to like him and like 838 00:37:11,640 --> 00:37:13,000 Speaker 1: accept him as Yeah. 839 00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:14,320 Speaker 3: He's like, we wanted to be a part of NATO. 840 00:37:14,520 --> 00:37:15,920 Speaker 3: We want They. 841 00:37:15,920 --> 00:37:19,400 Speaker 1: Literally asked to be part of NATO, and we're like, no, 842 00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:22,160 Speaker 1: NATO exists to go to war with you, so why 843 00:37:22,200 --> 00:37:25,000 Speaker 1: would we let you in it? And from their perspective, 844 00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:28,239 Speaker 1: they're like, well, so there's no war. We're like, yeah, 845 00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:32,719 Speaker 1: that's the whole point. We need a conflict to constantly 846 00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:35,759 Speaker 1: kind of keep our thing going. And they could never 847 00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:38,560 Speaker 1: and they could never understand that. And then this gave 848 00:37:39,400 --> 00:37:43,319 Speaker 1: this Russia Gate situation gave the West the opportunity to 849 00:37:43,400 --> 00:37:45,360 Speaker 1: kind of put Russia back in the place that it 850 00:37:45,560 --> 00:37:46,560 Speaker 1: that it likes, which is. 851 00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:48,880 Speaker 3: I would say too all cerial empowered. 852 00:37:49,120 --> 00:37:49,279 Speaker 5: This one. 853 00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:50,080 Speaker 3: People don't understand. 854 00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:52,160 Speaker 2: Putin has always been the same, all right, as you said, Yes, 855 00:37:52,200 --> 00:37:54,120 Speaker 2: he definitely does want the West like him and all that, 856 00:37:54,160 --> 00:37:56,760 Speaker 2: but he sees the follows of a union as a tragedy. 857 00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:58,480 Speaker 2: But the best question they talk or asked him in 858 00:37:58,480 --> 00:38:00,960 Speaker 2: the interview is like, look, if all this bullshit is true, 859 00:38:01,000 --> 00:38:02,600 Speaker 2: why didn't you just invade Ukraine on the day that 860 00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:04,520 Speaker 2: you took office? And the truth is is that he 861 00:38:04,560 --> 00:38:08,279 Speaker 2: didn't have enough control, and not enough of the oligarchic 862 00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:09,560 Speaker 2: elite agreed with him. 863 00:38:09,600 --> 00:38:12,279 Speaker 3: They wanted to be friendly with West. They like it here. 864 00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:14,520 Speaker 3: That's why it sucks for them that they can't. 865 00:38:14,320 --> 00:38:16,000 Speaker 4: Leave Manhattan, Mia. 866 00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:18,719 Speaker 2: That's why they hate that they can't access their cool 867 00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:21,759 Speaker 2: properties in Brooklyn in New York. And you know that 868 00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:23,719 Speaker 2: what is that stupid ass building in the middle of 869 00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:26,400 Speaker 2: New York. It's probably empty right now, the result of well, 870 00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:29,759 Speaker 2: I forget time, warnersenter or something like that, they should 871 00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:30,440 Speaker 2: tear that thing down. 872 00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:31,560 Speaker 3: That's a whole other conversation. 873 00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:35,880 Speaker 2: The point just being that the Russian oligarchic elite, you know, 874 00:38:36,000 --> 00:38:38,200 Speaker 2: it took them years to be able to put in 875 00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:41,799 Speaker 2: a place where Putin could finagle all of society such 876 00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:44,840 Speaker 2: that he could take an oppositional stance towards Russia. Russia 877 00:38:44,840 --> 00:38:47,360 Speaker 2: Gate was a gift to him to be able to 878 00:38:47,480 --> 00:38:51,600 Speaker 2: purge the elite of any Western friendly people. Combined then 879 00:38:51,920 --> 00:38:54,640 Speaker 2: with the Ukraine invasion and the subsequent sanctions, part of 880 00:38:54,680 --> 00:38:57,200 Speaker 2: why he is much stronger today in that society than 881 00:38:57,239 --> 00:39:00,000 Speaker 2: he ever was ten years ago. And prior Russia Gate 882 00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:03,480 Speaker 2: was hugely influential to that. I also find it interesting 883 00:39:03,520 --> 00:39:07,240 Speaker 2: that everybody seems to ignore the more recent Putin interview 884 00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:10,600 Speaker 2: not with Tucker after Tucker, where he said I would 885 00:39:10,640 --> 00:39:13,280 Speaker 2: prefer Biden. I actually would like Biden to win the election. 886 00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:14,759 Speaker 2: Here's what he had to say. I'm going to go 887 00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:17,400 Speaker 2: ahead and read this. You have a Kremlin interviewer. They say, 888 00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:20,400 Speaker 2: who's better for US, Biden or Trump? Putin says Biden. 889 00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:23,200 Speaker 2: He's more experienced, he's more predictable. He is an old 890 00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:26,239 Speaker 2: school politician, he says, But we will work with any 891 00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:30,359 Speaker 2: US leader who the American people have confidence in. And 892 00:39:30,520 --> 00:39:34,520 Speaker 2: I just find that astounding. He says it outright. Trump 893 00:39:35,160 --> 00:39:38,640 Speaker 2: is he trolling a little bit, but he trolls all 894 00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:40,799 Speaker 2: the time. How do you know when we take it 895 00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:41,560 Speaker 2: seriously or not. 896 00:39:41,840 --> 00:39:46,120 Speaker 1: What he's saying is that predictability matters. Yes, And it's 897 00:39:46,200 --> 00:39:48,279 Speaker 1: not crazy to look at Trump and be like, not 898 00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:50,839 Speaker 1: exactly sure what he's going to do, Like Trump is 899 00:39:50,880 --> 00:39:51,799 Speaker 1: not predictable. 900 00:39:51,880 --> 00:39:54,200 Speaker 4: Hillary Clinton. He despised Hillary Clinton. 901 00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:59,160 Speaker 1: He blamed Hillary Clinton for basically election interference in his 902 00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:01,920 Speaker 1: you know, he blamed aimed her at when she was 903 00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:05,800 Speaker 1: Secretary of State for sparking protests against him with Navolney 904 00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:08,439 Speaker 1: et cetera. He believes, you know, he sees the hand 905 00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:12,120 Speaker 1: of the CIA everywhere as frankly, you know, any foreign 906 00:40:12,120 --> 00:40:13,280 Speaker 1: government ought to He's. 907 00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:16,359 Speaker 3: It's not all our fault, but it's not like we 908 00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:18,440 Speaker 3: weren't involved either. Let's all be real. 909 00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:20,840 Speaker 1: So it's clear that he does not like Hillary Clinton, 910 00:40:20,920 --> 00:40:24,640 Speaker 1: did not like want her to be president, but he 911 00:40:24,680 --> 00:40:26,239 Speaker 1: doesn't want anybody to. 912 00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:27,400 Speaker 4: Be president of the United States. 913 00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:29,400 Speaker 1: If the president, if there's going to be a president 914 00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:31,080 Speaker 1: of United States, you can imagine why he'd say, you 915 00:40:31,120 --> 00:40:34,880 Speaker 1: know what, let's have one that's more predictable than less predictable. 916 00:40:35,160 --> 00:40:37,840 Speaker 1: And if it's going to be Trump, let's try to 917 00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:41,160 Speaker 1: like influence him one way or another. Like so you 918 00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:43,280 Speaker 1: can you can see all of the things being true, 919 00:40:43,360 --> 00:40:46,680 Speaker 1: like the influence campaign. You could be seen as like, 920 00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:49,200 Speaker 1: we don't know how Trump is going to be as 921 00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:51,560 Speaker 1: president if he is president, but if he is, let's 922 00:40:51,560 --> 00:40:53,920 Speaker 1: try to have him, you know, buddies with us. 923 00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:56,440 Speaker 2: An interesting question too, would be let's say Trump does 924 00:40:56,440 --> 00:40:59,600 Speaker 2: come in office, he does fulfill his promise of ending 925 00:40:59,640 --> 00:41:01,640 Speaker 2: the Ukraine War on day one, Let's say that we 926 00:41:01,680 --> 00:41:04,319 Speaker 2: did freeze things. I'm not so convinced things would be 927 00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:07,240 Speaker 2: all kumbai AA in Russia. I mean, the Russian economy 928 00:41:07,280 --> 00:41:09,040 Speaker 2: is running on war right now. What would they do 929 00:41:09,120 --> 00:41:11,240 Speaker 2: if they just stopped. I mean, they would have huge inflation, 930 00:41:11,280 --> 00:41:13,840 Speaker 2: we find another war, yeah, they would. They would seriously 931 00:41:13,880 --> 00:41:16,480 Speaker 2: be in trouble. You know, Putin is using wartime powers 932 00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:18,960 Speaker 2: and others to kill Nabalne maybe you know, or to 933 00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:21,640 Speaker 2: eliminate political opponents, to purge. 934 00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:23,560 Speaker 1: The He could say, you could start sending the shells 935 00:41:23,560 --> 00:41:26,840 Speaker 1: to Irun, which which then sends them too. 936 00:41:27,040 --> 00:41:28,160 Speaker 2: But I'm just saying, I mean, if you look at 937 00:41:28,160 --> 00:41:30,319 Speaker 2: any economy in the world that's ever transitioned from a 938 00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:32,399 Speaker 2: war economy out of it, it's not so simple from 939 00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:35,759 Speaker 2: nineteen forty six in our case, post post Vietnam, and 940 00:41:35,960 --> 00:41:38,480 Speaker 2: we had a lot of problems coming out of those 941 00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:41,839 Speaker 2: that Russia would not certainly not be immune from any 942 00:41:41,920 --> 00:41:44,279 Speaker 2: of that. And that just demonstrates to all of us that, 943 00:41:44,360 --> 00:41:47,240 Speaker 2: you know, not everything is so you know, black and white, 944 00:41:47,440 --> 00:41:50,040 Speaker 2: especially here with the CIA report. So I just want 945 00:41:50,040 --> 00:41:53,040 Speaker 2: to again commend Matt. I think it's a very interesting report. 946 00:41:53,560 --> 00:41:56,520 Speaker 2: The crux of it just comes back to that they 947 00:41:56,560 --> 00:41:58,600 Speaker 2: believe the si He. According to the sources that he 948 00:41:58,640 --> 00:42:02,160 Speaker 2: spoke to years now later, they say multiple that they 949 00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:05,320 Speaker 2: had cooked the intelligence such that they had upgraded sources 950 00:42:05,360 --> 00:42:09,200 Speaker 2: from untrustworthy or not that trustworthy to trustworthy to justify 951 00:42:09,360 --> 00:42:12,040 Speaker 2: underlying claims that had a massive impact. 952 00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:13,040 Speaker 3: On our overall politics. 953 00:42:13,080 --> 00:42:16,120 Speaker 2: I one hundred percent believe that it's consistent with everything 954 00:42:16,120 --> 00:42:18,680 Speaker 2: that's come out from the Carter Page, Faiza and all 955 00:42:18,719 --> 00:42:20,680 Speaker 2: the other Russia Gate scandals, and it was a very 956 00:42:20,680 --> 00:42:22,279 Speaker 2: good reporting. So we'll have a link down in the 957 00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:23,960 Speaker 2: description if you guys want to throw either of them 958 00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:25,359 Speaker 2: a subscription and support their work. 959 00:42:25,520 --> 00:42:27,840 Speaker 3: They're independent journalists and they do awesome jobs. 960 00:42:30,520 --> 00:42:33,680 Speaker 1: Meanwhile, on our puddy Matt Tayabe he's beefing with Elon 961 00:42:33,800 --> 00:42:34,359 Speaker 1: Musk Socker. 962 00:42:34,400 --> 00:42:35,520 Speaker 4: You've been following this. 963 00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:39,640 Speaker 2: I've been following it just because Elon really is one 964 00:42:39,640 --> 00:42:43,320 Speaker 2: of the most unpredictable people who is out there. So Matt, 965 00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:46,200 Speaker 2: as we'll all recall, you know, is this incredible journalist. 966 00:42:46,239 --> 00:42:50,280 Speaker 2: He does the Twitter files. He's the person who Elon 967 00:42:50,440 --> 00:42:53,760 Speaker 2: goes to. He was accused of being an Elon Tody, 968 00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:57,560 Speaker 2: of doing pr, doing pr for the richest man in 969 00:42:57,600 --> 00:43:01,360 Speaker 2: the world by reporting, you know, legitimate story working with sources. 970 00:43:01,440 --> 00:43:03,439 Speaker 2: What Matt always told us. He's like, look, I didn't 971 00:43:03,440 --> 00:43:04,520 Speaker 2: agree to any preconditions. 972 00:43:04,520 --> 00:43:05,120 Speaker 3: He brought it to me. 973 00:43:05,239 --> 00:43:07,640 Speaker 4: The only precondition was that it had to be published. 974 00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:10,759 Speaker 2: Published first on and is reasonable. That's yeah, you do 975 00:43:10,800 --> 00:43:11,600 Speaker 2: this stuff all the time. 976 00:43:11,840 --> 00:43:14,320 Speaker 3: People. People will always come to you with preconditions and 977 00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:14,759 Speaker 3: all the stuff. 978 00:43:14,920 --> 00:43:18,000 Speaker 1: Well, they would say, yeah, actually sometimes we like, I've 979 00:43:18,000 --> 00:43:20,799 Speaker 1: got a scoop, but will you will you do it 980 00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:23,200 Speaker 1: in your newsletter? Will you do it an intercept? Would 981 00:43:23,200 --> 00:43:26,440 Speaker 1: it be counterpoints? And like some people for different purposes 982 00:43:27,000 --> 00:43:30,120 Speaker 1: want different platforms first with that, and if they're like 983 00:43:30,160 --> 00:43:31,360 Speaker 1: if they want a thing and I don't feel like 984 00:43:31,360 --> 00:43:32,799 Speaker 1: doing that, I'm like, well, no, I'm not gonna I'm 985 00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:34,440 Speaker 1: not gonna do that, And that's fine, and they go shopping. 986 00:43:34,480 --> 00:43:36,120 Speaker 3: Right, we have power, you know, there's a power in 987 00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:38,200 Speaker 3: this relationship. It's give and take. But you're certainly not 988 00:43:38,280 --> 00:43:39,200 Speaker 3: doing PR. 989 00:43:39,360 --> 00:43:41,560 Speaker 2: But then all of the people who accused him of 990 00:43:41,600 --> 00:43:46,160 Speaker 2: doing PR conveniently are ignoring the fact that Tayibi has 991 00:43:46,160 --> 00:43:49,200 Speaker 2: by all accounts, really been punished by Elon actually for 992 00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:53,000 Speaker 2: speaking out on behalf of a platform that Tayebi is 993 00:43:53,040 --> 00:43:55,239 Speaker 2: very loyal to. Substack let's put this up there on 994 00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:58,480 Speaker 2: the screen. Matt has released a bunch of text messages 995 00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:01,879 Speaker 2: that he had with Elon Muss from earlier last year, 996 00:44:01,920 --> 00:44:04,440 Speaker 2: in April of twenty twenty three. I'll read them verbatim, 997 00:44:04,440 --> 00:44:07,680 Speaker 2: he says, Elon, am I being shadow band. Elon replies, 998 00:44:07,719 --> 00:44:10,080 Speaker 2: we went on lockdown after discovering Substack has stole at 999 00:44:10,080 --> 00:44:12,600 Speaker 2: a mass amount of our data to prepopulate their Twitter ripoff. 1000 00:44:12,960 --> 00:44:14,640 Speaker 3: It looks like there's still a blanket search band. It 1001 00:44:14,680 --> 00:44:15,640 Speaker 3: should be fixed tomorrow. 1002 00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:18,360 Speaker 2: Going forward, tweets with Substack will not appear in the 1003 00:44:18,360 --> 00:44:20,680 Speaker 2: for you page unless it is paid advertising, just like 1004 00:44:20,719 --> 00:44:25,120 Speaker 2: Facebook and Instagram, they will appear in following this reply 1005 00:44:25,680 --> 00:44:29,440 Speaker 2: included from Matt. He says, Elon, I have repeatedly declined 1006 00:44:29,480 --> 00:44:32,000 Speaker 2: to criticize you. I have nothing to do with your 1007 00:44:32,040 --> 00:44:35,160 Speaker 2: beef with Substack. Is there a reason why I'm being 1008 00:44:35,160 --> 00:44:38,880 Speaker 2: put in the middle of things? This seems really crazy. Elon, 1009 00:44:39,360 --> 00:44:43,040 Speaker 2: you are dead to me. Please get off Twitter and 1010 00:44:43,120 --> 00:44:48,120 Speaker 2: stay on substack. Matt, this is about the substack thing. Seriously, 1011 00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:51,239 Speaker 2: that was it that appears to be you know, the 1012 00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:54,880 Speaker 2: texts that were released and Matt the reason that he 1013 00:44:55,040 --> 00:44:59,040 Speaker 2: replied this is because he had been tweeting previously. Quote, 1014 00:44:59,080 --> 00:45:02,040 Speaker 2: Elon is unc comfortable around people who are not afraid 1015 00:45:02,080 --> 00:45:03,799 Speaker 2: of him, and wants to prove he can hurt my 1016 00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:06,560 Speaker 2: business instead of just talking to me, even if it 1017 00:45:06,640 --> 00:45:09,719 Speaker 2: means suppressing access to news that he thinks is important. 1018 00:45:09,920 --> 00:45:13,239 Speaker 2: Somebody replied, are you actually suggesting that Elon is deliberately 1019 00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:15,960 Speaker 2: burying your visibility? Do you have any proof of this, 1020 00:45:16,280 --> 00:45:19,200 Speaker 2: to which he then posts literal proof showing that he 1021 00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:22,919 Speaker 2: actually was banned. And you know, for anybody who also 1022 00:45:22,960 --> 00:45:25,359 Speaker 2: wants to accuse me or whatever of support, I mean, 1023 00:45:25,440 --> 00:45:30,600 Speaker 2: this is craziness because substack is the venue, the platform 1024 00:45:30,640 --> 00:45:32,760 Speaker 2: through which so much independent journalism is flourishing. 1025 00:45:32,920 --> 00:45:33,439 Speaker 3: Number one. 1026 00:45:33,560 --> 00:45:35,880 Speaker 2: Number two, we just read everybody a report, you know, 1027 00:45:35,920 --> 00:45:39,560 Speaker 2: from public. I find it horrible that people like Schallenberger 1028 00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:43,280 Speaker 2: and Taibi, who have thriving platforms over there very often 1029 00:45:43,360 --> 00:45:45,680 Speaker 2: Ryan when they want to distribute their work, cannot tweet 1030 00:45:45,719 --> 00:45:48,480 Speaker 2: out links to substack like they could to any other 1031 00:45:48,520 --> 00:45:50,759 Speaker 2: now in terms of substacks stealing Twitter and all that, 1032 00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:53,080 Speaker 2: I don't know personally, it sounds like bullshit to me. 1033 00:45:53,160 --> 00:45:54,520 Speaker 3: If you if you ask me, you know. 1034 00:45:54,560 --> 00:45:57,600 Speaker 4: Stuff is to available. It's the API and they just 1035 00:45:57,800 --> 00:45:58,439 Speaker 4: scraped it. 1036 00:45:59,280 --> 00:46:01,600 Speaker 2: Right, And it's like, in reality, like what were they 1037 00:46:01,640 --> 00:46:04,320 Speaker 2: really afraid of that people were going to leave the platform? 1038 00:46:04,320 --> 00:46:05,880 Speaker 3: It's like, are they really going to leave the platform 1039 00:46:05,880 --> 00:46:07,600 Speaker 3: in critical numbers? Like, let's be honest here. 1040 00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:12,120 Speaker 2: You know, he's always he's always tweeting about how x's 1041 00:46:12,880 --> 00:46:15,839 Speaker 2: x's traffic, monthly users or whatever, and all that went up. 1042 00:46:16,080 --> 00:46:18,640 Speaker 2: It was just a capricious move, clearly done from a 1043 00:46:18,680 --> 00:46:22,000 Speaker 2: position of weakness. And anyway, I thought it was funny 1044 00:46:22,040 --> 00:46:24,319 Speaker 2: because it just highlights to me that all of the 1045 00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:28,000 Speaker 2: people who really trashed him for doing journalism that was 1046 00:46:28,040 --> 00:46:31,720 Speaker 2: allegedly you know, pro Elon and you know, writing pr 1047 00:46:31,880 --> 00:46:34,680 Speaker 2: for all of them, are completely ignoring that his business 1048 00:46:34,680 --> 00:46:37,520 Speaker 2: has been very materially harmed. He arguably he was better 1049 00:46:37,520 --> 00:46:39,239 Speaker 2: off under the old Twitter regime because at least I 1050 00:46:39,239 --> 00:46:40,600 Speaker 2: think was going viral, right. 1051 00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:43,239 Speaker 3: You know, now you don't see him as much. It's 1052 00:46:43,320 --> 00:46:49,000 Speaker 3: very clear that his his platform is being or his right. Yeah, yeah, 1053 00:46:49,120 --> 00:46:50,960 Speaker 3: it's so many followers he was able to pick up. 1054 00:46:51,120 --> 00:46:52,759 Speaker 1: I had my inbox, but if I don't, but if 1055 00:46:52,760 --> 00:46:55,480 Speaker 1: I wasn't like getting his emails, I probably wouldn't see him. 1056 00:46:55,520 --> 00:46:56,839 Speaker 3: Exactly. I think that's really bad. 1057 00:46:56,880 --> 00:46:59,120 Speaker 2: I mean, it's just Look, it's not just Matt We'll 1058 00:46:59,200 --> 00:47:00,839 Speaker 2: forget who was a Barry Weis. 1059 00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:03,080 Speaker 3: I remember she was also involved. 1060 00:47:02,880 --> 00:47:05,840 Speaker 2: In the Twitter files and she criticized this is the 1061 00:47:06,040 --> 00:47:09,920 Speaker 2: early Elon Moore. Whenever Elon banned and then unbanned that 1062 00:47:09,960 --> 00:47:12,520 Speaker 2: account that followed as private Jet and a couple of 1063 00:47:12,520 --> 00:47:15,360 Speaker 2: other journalists Barry wise, I believe it's spoken out against it. 1064 00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:17,600 Speaker 2: And he replied to her being like, you're virtue signaling. 1065 00:47:17,640 --> 00:47:19,840 Speaker 2: She's like, I'm not virtue signaling. I just I believe 1066 00:47:20,239 --> 00:47:22,560 Speaker 2: a certain set of things. I don't really care who 1067 00:47:22,600 --> 00:47:25,360 Speaker 2: it is. Also that it is the person that's doing it. 1068 00:47:25,719 --> 00:47:28,160 Speaker 1: Also, if like you think something is a virtue and 1069 00:47:28,200 --> 00:47:30,279 Speaker 1: you want to signal that to people, it's actually that's 1070 00:47:30,400 --> 00:47:32,200 Speaker 1: that's okay, that's actually okay, free country. 1071 00:47:32,320 --> 00:47:33,399 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's like. 1072 00:47:33,400 --> 00:47:36,040 Speaker 1: If you think that is wrong to ban this account 1073 00:47:36,080 --> 00:47:39,520 Speaker 1: and you say that publicly, that's called free speech, yes, 1074 00:47:39,800 --> 00:47:44,480 Speaker 1: virtue like yeah, And it shows that he must his 1075 00:47:45,080 --> 00:47:49,160 Speaker 1: defenders who say he's ideologically committed to an independent media 1076 00:47:49,360 --> 00:47:52,200 Speaker 1: are lying. He's what he's committed to as a media 1077 00:47:52,239 --> 00:47:56,120 Speaker 1: which he controls. Now, if you believe that he's a 1078 00:47:56,120 --> 00:48:00,000 Speaker 1: benign media dictator, then go ahead, you put your face 1079 00:48:00,160 --> 00:48:04,200 Speaker 1: in him to control everything. If you think that it's better, 1080 00:48:04,239 --> 00:48:08,279 Speaker 1: if if voices are dispersed and people have access to 1081 00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:13,440 Speaker 1: different platforms, then you don't want a controlling billionaire dictator 1082 00:48:13,480 --> 00:48:14,720 Speaker 1: to run everything. 1083 00:48:14,880 --> 00:48:18,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, look, somebody please tell me why substack 1084 00:48:18,719 --> 00:48:21,200 Speaker 2: is being throttled. But the New York Times can trend 1085 00:48:21,239 --> 00:48:24,120 Speaker 2: like that doesn't make any sense truly, especially if you're 1086 00:48:24,160 --> 00:48:26,080 Speaker 2: committed to free speech. 1087 00:48:26,120 --> 00:48:26,239 Speaker 5: Er. 1088 00:48:26,400 --> 00:48:29,120 Speaker 1: The problem for Tayibe there is and you know this, 1089 00:48:29,200 --> 00:48:32,480 Speaker 1: from premium subscribers here to breaking points, there's just a 1090 00:48:32,600 --> 00:48:36,719 Speaker 1: natural churn. Sure every month, either there's a billing problem, 1091 00:48:37,320 --> 00:48:40,320 Speaker 1: or we'll forget their credit card or lose their jobs 1092 00:48:40,520 --> 00:48:42,480 Speaker 1: or I say something that annoys them and. 1093 00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:46,600 Speaker 4: They're out of here. And that's fine. 1094 00:48:47,440 --> 00:48:49,879 Speaker 1: Churn is part of a subscription basis, but you need 1095 00:48:49,920 --> 00:48:52,000 Speaker 1: to then be able to get new people to replace them. 1096 00:48:52,440 --> 00:48:55,359 Speaker 1: And if Tayobi can't market his his work, then his 1097 00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:57,160 Speaker 1: churn is just going one direction. 1098 00:48:57,600 --> 00:49:00,320 Speaker 3: And even though he's doing fantastic, far the one easier. 1099 00:49:00,360 --> 00:49:03,040 Speaker 2: But I wanted to support I wanted to play some 1100 00:49:03,080 --> 00:49:04,880 Speaker 2: of this and to actually give you know, credit not 1101 00:49:04,880 --> 00:49:06,719 Speaker 2: only is a very important story. But just to again 1102 00:49:06,840 --> 00:49:10,319 Speaker 2: to highlight this, like he's being genuinely screwed over by 1103 00:49:10,400 --> 00:49:13,480 Speaker 2: Ela for reasons totally out of his control. 1104 00:49:13,560 --> 00:49:16,399 Speaker 3: For sighting, he backed him like. 1105 00:49:16,360 --> 00:49:16,839 Speaker 4: At the time. 1106 00:49:17,040 --> 00:49:19,319 Speaker 1: At the time, Elon told him, why don't you just 1107 00:49:19,320 --> 00:49:23,520 Speaker 1: publish everything on Twitter because we're taking the the like 1108 00:49:24,160 --> 00:49:28,480 Speaker 1: limit away. Yeah, And Matt didn't really even take that seriously. 1109 00:49:28,520 --> 00:49:31,759 Speaker 1: He's like, that's an interesting thought, but of course I'm 1110 00:49:31,760 --> 00:49:34,160 Speaker 1: not going to do that. I have tens of thousands, 1111 00:49:34,200 --> 00:49:37,040 Speaker 1: hundreds of thousands of subscribers over here on substect. 1112 00:49:37,040 --> 00:49:38,799 Speaker 4: This is a platform that's treated me very well, and. 1113 00:49:38,760 --> 00:49:43,919 Speaker 1: It's also better at like distributing long form content people's inboxes. 1114 00:49:43,920 --> 00:49:45,240 Speaker 4: I'm not going to do it on Twitter. 1115 00:49:45,640 --> 00:49:48,279 Speaker 1: But it was his refusal, it was his refusal to 1116 00:49:48,600 --> 00:49:51,960 Speaker 1: adopt a platform that doesn't work for his purposes that 1117 00:49:52,080 --> 00:49:55,239 Speaker 1: led to him banning him shadow banning him. 1118 00:49:55,239 --> 00:49:57,800 Speaker 2: It's not right away speaking up from that here in 1119 00:49:58,280 --> 00:50:01,120 Speaker 2: all of this, it's certainly not. And for all of 1120 00:50:01,120 --> 00:50:03,319 Speaker 2: those who ask for proof that he was being shadow banned, 1121 00:50:03,719 --> 00:50:06,520 Speaker 2: unlike ninety five percent, no, unlike ninety nine point nine 1122 00:50:06,560 --> 00:50:09,520 Speaker 2: percent of people who are claiming that he actually has 1123 00:50:09,560 --> 00:50:11,600 Speaker 2: the receipts from the guy. Go whit support the guy 1124 00:50:11,680 --> 00:50:14,200 Speaker 2: if you can. We'll have a link in the description 1125 00:50:14,320 --> 00:50:15,000 Speaker 2: to his newsletter. 1126 00:50:15,080 --> 00:50:17,880 Speaker 1: So Israeli Prime Minister of Benjamin Netyah, who responded to 1127 00:50:17,920 --> 00:50:21,440 Speaker 1: international pressure over the creation of a Palestinian state alongside 1128 00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:22,160 Speaker 1: in Israeli one. 1129 00:50:22,520 --> 00:50:24,240 Speaker 4: We can put this up here here. He is speaking 1130 00:50:24,280 --> 00:50:25,240 Speaker 4: to the Kanesse. 1131 00:50:24,960 --> 00:50:30,279 Speaker 1: Yesterday with an official declaration saying that Israel absolutely rejects 1132 00:50:30,719 --> 00:50:34,759 Speaker 1: any type of dictat from the international community that they 1133 00:50:34,760 --> 00:50:38,080 Speaker 1: agree to a Palestinian state. Now, this is you know, 1134 00:50:38,120 --> 00:50:42,000 Speaker 1: saga is sort of like that tweet format where somebody 1135 00:50:42,000 --> 00:50:47,800 Speaker 1: says nobody, absolutely nobody, Benjamin net and Yahoo. It's like, yeah, okay, 1136 00:50:47,800 --> 00:50:50,680 Speaker 1: there's been an international pressure. But also he didn't have 1137 00:50:50,719 --> 00:50:52,960 Speaker 1: to come out with his declaration like we get it. 1138 00:50:53,040 --> 00:50:56,480 Speaker 1: Like he's been against he's been against a Palestinian state 1139 00:50:56,840 --> 00:50:59,600 Speaker 1: since like the nineteen nineties. It's only in the last 1140 00:50:59,760 --> 00:51:03,520 Speaker 1: may be several months that that has really been absorbed 1141 00:51:03,960 --> 00:51:06,880 Speaker 1: by the media because you know, people like you and 1142 00:51:06,960 --> 00:51:08,520 Speaker 1: I have been following this for a long time have 1143 00:51:08,640 --> 00:51:11,759 Speaker 1: always been able to understand that Netnyahu is against a 1144 00:51:11,800 --> 00:51:15,319 Speaker 1: Palestinian state. You know, he's he would occasionally say it 1145 00:51:15,360 --> 00:51:17,359 Speaker 1: openly that he opposed a Palestinian state. 1146 00:51:17,840 --> 00:51:19,160 Speaker 4: We even remember when. 1147 00:51:18,960 --> 00:51:23,360 Speaker 1: He said the reason that he helped to facilitate Hamas 1148 00:51:23,560 --> 00:51:27,719 Speaker 1: remaining in power was so that you could divide the 1149 00:51:28,520 --> 00:51:31,600 Speaker 1: Palestinian leadership between the West Bank and Gaza, because a 1150 00:51:31,760 --> 00:51:35,719 Speaker 1: united Palestinian leadership would bring pressure to bear for a 1151 00:51:35,719 --> 00:51:40,880 Speaker 1: Palestinian state, and so by splitting the Palestinians you prevent 1152 00:51:41,040 --> 00:51:43,920 Speaker 1: the formation of a Palestinian state. He has made his 1153 00:51:44,320 --> 00:51:49,879 Speaker 1: entire argument for why he his entire legacy has been 1154 00:51:50,239 --> 00:51:51,520 Speaker 1: prevention of a Palestinian state. 1155 00:51:51,560 --> 00:51:53,200 Speaker 4: In his argument for continuing in. 1156 00:51:53,160 --> 00:51:55,160 Speaker 1: Office is that he is the only one that can 1157 00:51:55,200 --> 00:51:59,160 Speaker 1: manipulate the United States effectively to make sure that there 1158 00:51:59,200 --> 00:52:01,000 Speaker 1: is no Palestinian state like that hit. 1159 00:52:01,160 --> 00:52:04,319 Speaker 4: That is his entire rash now now here. 1160 00:52:04,480 --> 00:52:08,720 Speaker 1: But this reflects increasing I think global pressure to say, 1161 00:52:08,840 --> 00:52:11,399 Speaker 1: all right, come on, it's been a long time. 1162 00:52:11,480 --> 00:52:13,200 Speaker 4: Let's let's let's let's resolve this. 1163 00:52:13,239 --> 00:52:15,719 Speaker 2: I saw on an analysis that this was Bbe in 1164 00:52:15,960 --> 00:52:19,719 Speaker 2: October sixth mode, as in, this is political BB. There's 1165 00:52:19,719 --> 00:52:22,480 Speaker 2: a reason saying this in Hebrew, except he's reflecting the 1166 00:52:22,520 --> 00:52:25,600 Speaker 2: conditions of the war. He's trying to get this coalition together. 1167 00:52:25,640 --> 00:52:28,120 Speaker 2: He's trying to get the right wingers to support him. 1168 00:52:28,120 --> 00:52:30,880 Speaker 2: As you said, a major part of something he often 1169 00:52:30,920 --> 00:52:33,200 Speaker 2: admits in Hebrew is I am the reason there. 1170 00:52:33,080 --> 00:52:35,319 Speaker 3: Is a Palestinian state. Right he forgets, so we can 1171 00:52:35,400 --> 00:52:35,920 Speaker 3: hit translate. 1172 00:52:35,960 --> 00:52:39,880 Speaker 1: But it's actually pretty easy to have that translate. 1173 00:52:40,560 --> 00:52:43,239 Speaker 2: Just so something like that. But he says it very 1174 00:52:43,680 --> 00:52:46,920 Speaker 2: not even quietly, openly behind the scenes. My question to 1175 00:52:47,000 --> 00:52:50,840 Speaker 2: you is, in the context of US foreign policy and 1176 00:52:50,920 --> 00:52:53,800 Speaker 2: Western foreign policy, will this actually matter? Are the palest 1177 00:52:53,840 --> 00:52:56,439 Speaker 2: Indians correct that this is just lip for service from 1178 00:52:56,440 --> 00:52:58,360 Speaker 2: the US because we keep saying there has to be 1179 00:52:58,400 --> 00:53:01,319 Speaker 2: a resumption of a Palestinian state, a recognition of that 1180 00:53:01,480 --> 00:53:04,160 Speaker 2: at the end of this process period, end of story. 1181 00:53:04,360 --> 00:53:06,160 Speaker 2: And if he is not going to be a legitimate 1182 00:53:06,200 --> 00:53:08,920 Speaker 2: negotiating partner, we continue to provide them aid and to 1183 00:53:09,040 --> 00:53:12,000 Speaker 2: tacitly support their actions. Is this not then the default 1184 00:53:12,000 --> 00:53:13,960 Speaker 2: position of the United States government at this point? 1185 00:53:14,080 --> 00:53:16,799 Speaker 1: It is, as long as we keep shipping arms and 1186 00:53:16,880 --> 00:53:21,759 Speaker 1: money and giving that tacit and explicit support. Doesn't matter 1187 00:53:21,800 --> 00:53:24,719 Speaker 1: what we say. What matters is what we do. And 1188 00:53:24,760 --> 00:53:27,240 Speaker 1: it also in some ways doesn't matter what net Nyahu 1189 00:53:27,400 --> 00:53:29,920 Speaker 1: says there It matters what Netnah Who does, and that 1190 00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:34,359 Speaker 1: brings us to our next veo. Here, what Netnah Who 1191 00:53:34,480 --> 00:53:38,239 Speaker 1: is currently doing is building what's called Highway seven forty nine. 1192 00:53:38,280 --> 00:53:41,000 Speaker 1: And so if you're listening to the podcast but We're rolling, 1193 00:53:41,040 --> 00:53:46,040 Speaker 1: here is a documentary from Israel's Channel fourteen that played 1194 00:53:46,040 --> 00:53:46,759 Speaker 1: on Saturday. 1195 00:53:47,719 --> 00:53:50,760 Speaker 4: This is a highway that is cutting across. 1196 00:53:50,320 --> 00:53:53,279 Speaker 1: The middle of the Gaza Strip basically from the neg 1197 00:53:53,280 --> 00:53:56,399 Speaker 1: of over almost all the way to the sea. 1198 00:53:57,840 --> 00:54:02,080 Speaker 4: It looking like it's going to be come some type. 1199 00:54:01,880 --> 00:54:05,880 Speaker 1: Of Berlin Wall situation that bifurcates the two you know, 1200 00:54:05,960 --> 00:54:08,719 Speaker 1: the Gaza Strip into two. In other words, if it 1201 00:54:08,920 --> 00:54:13,719 Speaker 1: was the largest open air prison on October sixth, that 1202 00:54:13,960 --> 00:54:16,840 Speaker 1: now it would be the two largest open air prisons 1203 00:54:16,880 --> 00:54:21,080 Speaker 1: just split in two. And according to this documentary that 1204 00:54:21,520 --> 00:54:24,080 Speaker 1: aired on Israeli TV, you wouldn't even be able to 1205 00:54:24,120 --> 00:54:27,680 Speaker 1: travel from one side to the other if you're if 1206 00:54:27,680 --> 00:54:31,680 Speaker 1: you're a Gazen, you know. Since the Oslo Accords came 1207 00:54:31,719 --> 00:54:35,080 Speaker 1: into effect in the nineteen nineties, traff travel has been 1208 00:54:35,080 --> 00:54:40,160 Speaker 1: increasingly restricted for Palestinians, which is one reason travel, civil liberties, economic, 1209 00:54:40,719 --> 00:54:45,040 Speaker 1: the economy, et cetera. Has been increasingly curtailed. One of 1210 00:54:45,040 --> 00:54:48,400 Speaker 1: the reasons that Hamas has kind of gained in influence 1211 00:54:49,120 --> 00:54:52,719 Speaker 1: among Palestinians because a lot of Palestinians say, look, the 1212 00:54:52,840 --> 00:54:57,759 Speaker 1: parties that advocated for this Oslo accord have only led 1213 00:54:57,760 --> 00:55:02,160 Speaker 1: to things getting materially worse for us. Not that it's 1214 00:55:02,239 --> 00:55:05,040 Speaker 1: status quo and things haven't gotten better for us, but 1215 00:55:05,080 --> 00:55:07,000 Speaker 1: things are actually better in the eighties and nineties than 1216 00:55:07,000 --> 00:55:09,800 Speaker 1: they are now. If you live, if you live in 1217 00:55:09,840 --> 00:55:13,200 Speaker 1: Godz on October sixth, you basically couldn't leave. I mean 1218 00:55:13,239 --> 00:55:15,040 Speaker 1: you could leave if you could get some type of 1219 00:55:15,080 --> 00:55:17,640 Speaker 1: permit that could take months or years. You'd have people 1220 00:55:17,640 --> 00:55:19,799 Speaker 1: with health complications who would die before they got the 1221 00:55:19,840 --> 00:55:22,480 Speaker 1: permits to leave. And so now you're saying that that's 1222 00:55:22,520 --> 00:55:27,319 Speaker 1: going to be cut even even tighter. And so and 1223 00:55:27,360 --> 00:55:29,400 Speaker 1: we're going to talk a little bit later about the 1224 00:55:29,400 --> 00:55:32,840 Speaker 1: West West Bank in this in this block. But the 1225 00:55:32,960 --> 00:55:35,000 Speaker 1: problem in the West Bank is all of these different 1226 00:55:35,080 --> 00:55:38,120 Speaker 1: bantustans and all these different settlements. 1227 00:55:37,680 --> 00:55:39,480 Speaker 3: That what do you mean people who are familiar, Oh 1228 00:55:39,560 --> 00:55:40,560 Speaker 3: so in South. 1229 00:55:40,280 --> 00:55:43,880 Speaker 1: A, why you have these like little tiny areas that 1230 00:55:43,960 --> 00:55:47,879 Speaker 1: are cordoned off that you basically couldn't couldn't leave during 1231 00:55:47,920 --> 00:55:52,759 Speaker 1: apartheid during apartheid and so and you just make them 1232 00:55:52,760 --> 00:55:56,160 Speaker 1: smaller and smaller and smaller. And that's the main thing 1233 00:55:56,239 --> 00:55:58,720 Speaker 1: making it so hard for Palatinianes to have any sovereignty 1234 00:55:58,719 --> 00:56:00,439 Speaker 1: in the West Bank because there's something like one hundred 1235 00:56:00,480 --> 00:56:02,880 Speaker 1: thousand settlers dividing the West bankup. 1236 00:56:03,520 --> 00:56:06,960 Speaker 4: Now if you divide Gaza up too, it goes. 1237 00:56:07,560 --> 00:56:11,400 Speaker 1: It really fits into what Netanyahu is arguing here that 1238 00:56:11,480 --> 00:56:13,640 Speaker 1: he's going to be the guy that is going to 1239 00:56:13,920 --> 00:56:15,719 Speaker 1: change the reality on the ground to make it so 1240 00:56:16,080 --> 00:56:18,960 Speaker 1: there cannot be a Palestinian state just can't happen. 1241 00:56:19,280 --> 00:56:22,160 Speaker 2: So with that establishment of the highway, do you see 1242 00:56:22,200 --> 00:56:26,920 Speaker 2: that as establishment is really control over that territory, set policy, 1243 00:56:27,000 --> 00:56:27,919 Speaker 2: Like what is it. 1244 00:56:28,520 --> 00:56:31,359 Speaker 1: The goal there would be that, Yeah, you'd have you'd 1245 00:56:31,360 --> 00:56:35,919 Speaker 1: have watch towers, and you'd have a sophisticated security apparatus 1246 00:56:36,560 --> 00:56:37,240 Speaker 1: with walls. 1247 00:56:37,640 --> 00:56:40,479 Speaker 4: You know, they they've they've got the wall up by just. 1248 00:56:40,400 --> 00:56:42,520 Speaker 2: Like October six, though it basically seems like they're doubling 1249 00:56:42,560 --> 00:56:43,400 Speaker 2: down on the same strategy. 1250 00:56:43,480 --> 00:56:47,239 Speaker 1: Yes, it's it's it's quote unquote managing the conflict, just 1251 00:56:47,360 --> 00:56:49,800 Speaker 1: managing it harder, right, Yeah. 1252 00:56:49,360 --> 00:56:52,000 Speaker 3: And so this combines with some movement out of Egypt. 1253 00:56:52,080 --> 00:56:53,840 Speaker 2: I actually really am curious what you think about this, 1254 00:56:53,840 --> 00:56:55,600 Speaker 2: because there's a variety of ways. Let's put this up 1255 00:56:55,640 --> 00:56:58,040 Speaker 2: there please on the screen, guys. We have video here 1256 00:56:58,480 --> 00:57:01,840 Speaker 2: of Egypt that is building a massive fence around the 1257 00:57:01,960 --> 00:57:06,120 Speaker 2: Rafa border. They're calling it a logistics zone. More likely Ryan, 1258 00:57:06,280 --> 00:57:10,240 Speaker 2: it seems to be in response to be an anticipated 1259 00:57:10,440 --> 00:57:14,920 Speaker 2: Rafa offensive by the IDF that would somehow pen in 1260 00:57:15,480 --> 00:57:18,840 Speaker 2: Palestinians I'm assuming who if they were able to breach 1261 00:57:18,960 --> 00:57:22,479 Speaker 2: the Rafa crossing would then be included in this zone. 1262 00:57:22,800 --> 00:57:27,080 Speaker 2: But I mean seems strategically important because it would mean 1263 00:57:27,520 --> 00:57:32,640 Speaker 2: that these Palestinian civilians would be in some odd no 1264 00:57:32,800 --> 00:57:36,120 Speaker 2: man's land where they're technically inside of Egypt, but the 1265 00:57:36,160 --> 00:57:39,200 Speaker 2: Egyptians are keeping them out and not allowing them to 1266 00:57:39,240 --> 00:57:41,160 Speaker 2: resettle or whatever into the Sinai. 1267 00:57:41,720 --> 00:57:41,919 Speaker 4: Yeah. 1268 00:57:41,960 --> 00:57:45,720 Speaker 1: Since December, the fear has been that the Rafa crossing 1269 00:57:45,760 --> 00:57:49,400 Speaker 1: would be breached by a mob of people who just 1270 00:57:49,560 --> 00:57:53,480 Speaker 1: overwhelmed security there because there'd be so much pressure brought 1271 00:57:53,480 --> 00:57:55,760 Speaker 1: to bear on it by the suffering of the people 1272 00:57:55,760 --> 00:57:57,760 Speaker 1: on the other side of it. Egypt, for just as long, 1273 00:57:57,800 --> 00:58:01,960 Speaker 1: has been reinforcing it, putting tanks there, put sending out 1274 00:58:02,000 --> 00:58:05,120 Speaker 1: declarations saying that you know this, this absolutely cannot happen. 1275 00:58:05,360 --> 00:58:09,680 Speaker 1: You know, from from Egypt's perspective, uh they they see 1276 00:58:09,720 --> 00:58:12,480 Speaker 1: a million refugees you know, pouring into the Seani desert 1277 00:58:12,480 --> 00:58:17,400 Speaker 1: as massively destabilizing was basically a dictatorship that they have 1278 00:58:17,520 --> 00:58:21,400 Speaker 1: over there. So this is you know, unless uh CC 1279 00:58:21,560 --> 00:58:24,400 Speaker 1: wants to you know, head to Florida and retire this like, 1280 00:58:24,720 --> 00:58:28,040 Speaker 1: this is an existential question for the Egyptian government and 1281 00:58:28,080 --> 00:58:31,600 Speaker 1: they're being extremely clear that that they're that they're not 1282 00:58:31,800 --> 00:58:34,360 Speaker 1: going to allow what seems to be the only thing 1283 00:58:34,400 --> 00:58:36,880 Speaker 1: that makes any sense from Israel, like what like, what 1284 00:58:37,200 --> 00:58:38,240 Speaker 1: are what are. 1285 00:58:38,080 --> 00:58:38,840 Speaker 4: They doing here? 1286 00:58:38,880 --> 00:58:40,600 Speaker 1: And the only thing that makes sense is that they're 1287 00:58:41,040 --> 00:58:44,560 Speaker 1: driving into Rafa with such ferocity with the hope that 1288 00:58:44,600 --> 00:58:46,720 Speaker 1: they will then force them into the sign of others. 1289 00:58:46,760 --> 00:58:50,760 Speaker 1: So if you build these this met barriers, that relieves 1290 00:58:50,800 --> 00:58:53,880 Speaker 1: some pressure on the border because a lot of the 1291 00:58:53,920 --> 00:58:57,920 Speaker 1: people see, okay, let's say we could overwhelm the border 1292 00:58:57,920 --> 00:59:01,880 Speaker 1: and bust through there. The we all we've done is 1293 00:59:01,920 --> 00:59:05,640 Speaker 1: get into this desert area and are staring at these 1294 00:59:06,320 --> 00:59:07,640 Speaker 1: cement walls, right. 1295 00:59:07,840 --> 00:59:11,800 Speaker 2: And that's where the big question is, are the Egyptians 1296 00:59:11,840 --> 00:59:15,640 Speaker 2: going to revoke the Camp David peace accords. Are yeah, 1297 00:59:15,640 --> 00:59:18,960 Speaker 2: they threatened to do that. This would appear to indicate that. 1298 00:59:19,400 --> 00:59:21,040 Speaker 2: And this is the other big question. Are they are 1299 00:59:21,040 --> 00:59:22,960 Speaker 2: they coordinating with the Israelis? Are they like, hey, you 1300 00:59:23,040 --> 00:59:25,560 Speaker 2: got to wait up for us to put up some 1301 00:59:25,640 --> 00:59:27,840 Speaker 2: barriers and all that, because we can't be having a 1302 00:59:27,840 --> 00:59:30,360 Speaker 2: mass expulsion. But at the same time, that appears to 1303 00:59:30,400 --> 00:59:32,960 Speaker 2: be what some of the goals of the Israeli government 1304 00:59:33,000 --> 00:59:35,439 Speaker 2: are in this case. And if they do go into 1305 00:59:35,480 --> 00:59:37,560 Speaker 2: this so called no man's land, I mean, what are 1306 00:59:37,600 --> 00:59:39,120 Speaker 2: the odds that they ever actually. 1307 00:59:38,760 --> 00:59:39,520 Speaker 3: Are able to leave? 1308 00:59:39,640 --> 00:59:43,400 Speaker 2: Probably low, you know, in terms of in terms of 1309 00:59:43,440 --> 00:59:45,960 Speaker 2: what the actions currently anticipate for them. 1310 00:59:46,120 --> 00:59:47,000 Speaker 4: That's exactly right. 1311 00:59:48,120 --> 00:59:50,960 Speaker 1: You know, if there was some trust, like let's say 1312 00:59:51,800 --> 00:59:59,440 Speaker 1: that the population turned on Hamas and actually wanted Israel 1313 00:59:59,520 --> 01:00:02,480 Speaker 1: to like kind of round up and root out all 1314 01:00:02,520 --> 01:00:05,840 Speaker 1: of the Hamas fighters, and there was some faith from 1315 01:00:05,920 --> 01:00:08,720 Speaker 1: the Palestinian people that Israel would of course just allow 1316 01:00:08,760 --> 01:00:10,920 Speaker 1: them to return and help help with the reconstruction of 1317 01:00:10,960 --> 01:00:15,640 Speaker 1: their homes, then sure, you set up a refugee camp 1318 01:00:15,640 --> 01:00:19,200 Speaker 1: in the Sinai and the battle unfolds and then people 1319 01:00:19,280 --> 01:00:19,680 Speaker 1: come back. 1320 01:00:20,080 --> 01:00:21,280 Speaker 4: That is none. 1321 01:00:21,480 --> 01:00:24,040 Speaker 1: None of that is the case, though not like, not 1322 01:00:24,080 --> 01:00:28,160 Speaker 1: a single piece of that is true. The Palestinians do 1323 01:00:28,240 --> 01:00:31,480 Speaker 1: not trust Israel to allow them back into Gaza if 1324 01:00:31,800 --> 01:00:35,560 Speaker 1: they ever left, even though currently, like on an individual level, 1325 01:00:36,080 --> 01:00:39,160 Speaker 1: most Palestinians, it seems like if they could get out 1326 01:00:39,200 --> 01:00:42,280 Speaker 1: of this horrifying hell on Earth situation that they're in 1327 01:00:42,360 --> 01:00:44,960 Speaker 1: temporarily would. 1328 01:00:44,520 --> 01:00:45,200 Speaker 4: Get out right. 1329 01:00:45,280 --> 01:00:48,520 Speaker 1: But there's now if Israel was actually serious about this. 1330 01:00:49,280 --> 01:00:52,400 Speaker 1: They have and lots of people have actually suggested this, 1331 01:00:53,000 --> 01:00:55,680 Speaker 1: but they have not taken them up on it, which 1332 01:00:55,680 --> 01:00:58,440 Speaker 1: shows what their plan is. Open up the Israeli neck 1333 01:00:58,520 --> 01:01:02,080 Speaker 1: of desert to create a You wouldn't need a whole 1334 01:01:02,120 --> 01:01:04,960 Speaker 1: lot of territory to create a refugee camp, and you 1335 01:01:05,000 --> 01:01:09,880 Speaker 1: could say, you know, men over sixty I think they've 1336 01:01:09,880 --> 01:01:10,760 Speaker 1: said boys under. 1337 01:01:10,640 --> 01:01:13,920 Speaker 3: Fifty children and women and. 1338 01:01:13,960 --> 01:01:19,600 Speaker 1: Children, and that put a million people there, but that 1339 01:01:19,600 --> 01:01:22,840 Speaker 1: that is Israeli territory, and so that would kind of 1340 01:01:22,960 --> 01:01:27,000 Speaker 1: guarantee the right of return to Gaza, and that seems 1341 01:01:27,040 --> 01:01:28,720 Speaker 1: to be the problem with that plan. 1342 01:01:28,800 --> 01:01:31,280 Speaker 2: That's an interesting point. I hadn't considered that really at all. 1343 01:01:33,760 --> 01:01:35,640 Speaker 2: Why don't we move to the next part there, right, And. 1344 01:01:35,600 --> 01:01:39,200 Speaker 1: So on Thursday, the Algerians are going to bring to 1345 01:01:39,440 --> 01:01:42,760 Speaker 1: or we're talking about bringing to the United Nations another 1346 01:01:42,840 --> 01:01:47,480 Speaker 1: ceasefire resolution. We can put up this element from from 1347 01:01:47,920 --> 01:01:51,680 Speaker 1: Joe Biden. The administration came out and announced that they 1348 01:01:51,720 --> 01:01:54,720 Speaker 1: would veto They said it will not be adopted. They 1349 01:01:54,720 --> 01:02:00,520 Speaker 1: will veto a ceasefire resolution. So, on the one hand, 1350 01:02:00,000 --> 01:02:06,280 Speaker 1: and Biden is privately and semi publicly urging net Yahoo 1351 01:02:06,520 --> 01:02:10,760 Speaker 1: not to launch an invasion of Rafa. Separately, he is 1352 01:02:11,680 --> 01:02:17,040 Speaker 1: a facilitating the transfer of more weapons which would assist 1353 01:02:17,080 --> 01:02:20,200 Speaker 1: with this invasion of Rafa, and on top of that 1354 01:02:20,440 --> 01:02:26,960 Speaker 1: is promising to veto any international accountability for this invasion. 1355 01:02:27,000 --> 01:02:31,280 Speaker 1: So in order to try to find some gap between 1356 01:02:31,360 --> 01:02:34,640 Speaker 1: what the United States is doing and what and what 1357 01:02:34,680 --> 01:02:38,200 Speaker 1: you Israel is doing, you have to squint insanely hard, 1358 01:02:38,440 --> 01:02:42,840 Speaker 1: like we are one hundred percent complicit in what we 1359 01:02:43,280 --> 01:02:46,440 Speaker 1: have described as a disaster, Like the State Department and 1360 01:02:46,520 --> 01:02:49,400 Speaker 1: Kirby from the White House have both said used the 1361 01:02:49,400 --> 01:02:52,720 Speaker 1: word disaster to describe what would happen if there was 1362 01:02:52,760 --> 01:02:55,280 Speaker 1: an invasion of Rafa, right. 1363 01:02:55,120 --> 01:02:57,720 Speaker 3: And yet which so here's to me, like, that's that's 1364 01:02:57,720 --> 01:02:58,600 Speaker 3: what's happening. 1365 01:02:58,320 --> 01:03:00,120 Speaker 1: And we're gonna and we're gonna veto an effort to 1366 01:03:00,160 --> 01:03:03,440 Speaker 1: stop it, and we're going to arm it. It is 1367 01:03:04,080 --> 01:03:06,920 Speaker 1: I understand why it is making people so crazy watching 1368 01:03:06,960 --> 01:03:09,520 Speaker 1: it unfold, Like wait a minute, we think this is 1369 01:03:09,560 --> 01:03:12,240 Speaker 1: a disaster. We don't want this to happen, but we're 1370 01:03:12,280 --> 01:03:16,560 Speaker 1: going to use our capital internationally to block the UN 1371 01:03:17,040 --> 01:03:18,000 Speaker 1: and we're going to arm it. 1372 01:03:19,080 --> 01:03:19,560 Speaker 3: This makes it. 1373 01:03:19,600 --> 01:03:21,880 Speaker 2: This makes Biden actually more prisoner at pro Israel even 1374 01:03:21,920 --> 01:03:24,920 Speaker 2: than Obama. Absolutely, yeah, because he would you know, I 1375 01:03:24,960 --> 01:03:27,080 Speaker 2: don't know if you remember in twenty sixteen they allowed 1376 01:03:27,400 --> 01:03:29,240 Speaker 2: a couple of resolutions and all that to go through 1377 01:03:29,280 --> 01:03:33,320 Speaker 2: the UN. Yeah, specifically to try and depress Oh yeah, 1378 01:03:33,440 --> 01:03:36,000 Speaker 2: that was a blood feud for the Ages, which. 1379 01:03:35,800 --> 01:03:41,000 Speaker 1: I helped Amir Tabone, this great Israeli reporter who he 1380 01:03:41,480 --> 01:03:45,640 Speaker 1: became kind of a journalistic celebrity October seventh and eighth 1381 01:03:45,640 --> 01:03:49,720 Speaker 1: because he wrote this incredible piece about being stuck in 1382 01:03:49,760 --> 01:03:52,760 Speaker 1: a safe room in one of the kibbutzim and being 1383 01:03:52,800 --> 01:03:55,919 Speaker 1: saved by his grandfather who came all the way from 1384 01:03:55,960 --> 01:03:58,560 Speaker 1: Tel Aviv to rescue his family. He's working on a 1385 01:03:58,560 --> 01:04:03,280 Speaker 1: book now about relationship about the last like fifty years 1386 01:04:03,400 --> 01:04:05,560 Speaker 1: or so, but I helped him with a profile of 1387 01:04:05,640 --> 01:04:09,880 Speaker 1: the relationship between net Yahu and an Obama back in 1388 01:04:10,080 --> 01:04:12,520 Speaker 1: like twenty fiftween twenty sixteen. People should go back and 1389 01:04:12,560 --> 01:04:15,360 Speaker 1: read that these two teams did not like each other, 1390 01:04:15,360 --> 01:04:19,000 Speaker 1: as John Madden like to say, speaking people that don't 1391 01:04:19,080 --> 01:04:22,880 Speaker 1: like each other. So let's move to the international response 1392 01:04:22,960 --> 01:04:27,400 Speaker 1: to this coming Rafa invasion. We can put up Lula 1393 01:04:27,440 --> 01:04:32,240 Speaker 1: da Silva here, President of Brazil. He's saying, what is 1394 01:04:32,280 --> 01:04:34,800 Speaker 1: happening in the Gaza strip hasn't happened in history before. 1395 01:04:34,800 --> 01:04:37,600 Speaker 1: It does not exist at any other historical context. And 1396 01:04:37,640 --> 01:04:40,840 Speaker 1: then Lula adds, in fact, it existed when Hitler decided 1397 01:04:40,880 --> 01:04:46,560 Speaker 1: to kill the Jews. So the president of Brazil analogizing 1398 01:04:47,760 --> 01:04:52,080 Speaker 1: what Israel is doing to the Palestinians what happened during 1399 01:04:52,120 --> 01:04:59,280 Speaker 1: the Holocaust. Moving back to Europe, the criticism is serious, 1400 01:04:59,280 --> 01:05:02,760 Speaker 1: but not quite on the level of Lula rhetoric. But 1401 01:05:03,520 --> 01:05:07,800 Speaker 1: let's put up here EU Foreign Minister Joseph Borol at 1402 01:05:07,800 --> 01:05:11,320 Speaker 1: the Munich conference, because this is a really fascinating point. 1403 01:05:11,440 --> 01:05:13,920 Speaker 1: He made a couple of other points before this. This one, though, 1404 01:05:13,960 --> 01:05:17,640 Speaker 1: I think, is really worth considering. So let's roll and 1405 01:05:17,720 --> 01:05:21,320 Speaker 1: the global salad. The third one. They have its own dynamic. 1406 01:05:22,400 --> 01:05:25,560 Speaker 1: But no doubt, the war in Ukraine and. 1407 01:05:25,520 --> 01:05:30,920 Speaker 11: In Gaza has increased tremendously the political space of the 1408 01:05:30,920 --> 01:05:35,320 Speaker 11: global South visa vi to us, and we have to avoid. 1409 01:05:35,280 --> 01:05:37,880 Speaker 5: The Rest against the West. 1410 01:05:39,000 --> 01:05:44,520 Speaker 11: For Russia, this new geopolitical liscenario has increased dramatically, it 1411 01:05:44,720 --> 01:05:49,080 Speaker 11: stands since the beginning of the war in Gaza, and 1412 01:05:49,120 --> 01:05:53,960 Speaker 11: they are really taking good advantage of our mistakes. 1413 01:05:55,240 --> 01:05:57,400 Speaker 12: The blame about bubble. 1414 01:05:57,200 --> 01:06:01,439 Speaker 11: Standards is something that we need to address, and not 1415 01:06:01,520 --> 01:06:06,120 Speaker 11: only with nice words. It's clear that the wind is 1416 01:06:06,680 --> 01:06:11,160 Speaker 11: blowing against the West, is blowing against us, and we 1417 01:06:11,280 --> 01:06:12,880 Speaker 11: have to win the battle of narrative. 1418 01:06:13,200 --> 01:06:15,200 Speaker 1: And so right before this he had said, look, when 1419 01:06:15,200 --> 01:06:17,560 Speaker 1: it comes to Ukraine, with exception of maybe one country, 1420 01:06:17,600 --> 01:06:22,000 Speaker 1: I assume he means Hungary, we've been united on this situation, 1421 01:06:22,080 --> 01:06:25,240 Speaker 1: he said, But when it comes to Gaza and when 1422 01:06:25,240 --> 01:06:27,840 Speaker 1: it comes to Israel, all the member states want to. 1423 01:06:27,760 --> 01:06:30,040 Speaker 4: Play games, play their own little game. 1424 01:06:30,280 --> 01:06:30,640 Speaker 12: He said. 1425 01:06:31,160 --> 01:06:34,200 Speaker 1: The result of that is that it is becoming the 1426 01:06:34,240 --> 01:06:39,440 Speaker 1: West against the Rest. And he's trying to let this 1427 01:06:39,720 --> 01:06:44,560 Speaker 1: the European elite there, the European leadership into the fact 1428 01:06:45,320 --> 01:06:48,600 Speaker 1: that this has been a godsend for everyone outside of 1429 01:06:48,960 --> 01:06:53,120 Speaker 1: the West, that the double standard is so apparent across 1430 01:06:53,160 --> 01:06:55,840 Speaker 1: the global global South that when you hear somebody like 1431 01:06:55,920 --> 01:07:00,800 Speaker 1: Lula make such make make a comparison as extreme is 1432 01:07:00,840 --> 01:07:04,640 Speaker 1: that what he's saying is that that's resonating with billions 1433 01:07:04,640 --> 01:07:07,120 Speaker 1: of people around the world, and you need to understand 1434 01:07:07,160 --> 01:07:10,600 Speaker 1: where that's going. So, how are you surprised that the 1435 01:07:10,960 --> 01:07:15,800 Speaker 1: kind of the geopolitical chaos that's that the West seems 1436 01:07:15,800 --> 01:07:18,120 Speaker 1: to be willing to accept for this war. 1437 01:07:18,640 --> 01:07:20,080 Speaker 3: Well, I was surprised on Ukraine. 1438 01:07:20,160 --> 01:07:24,440 Speaker 2: I mean I watched us realign our relationships with Brazil 1439 01:07:24,520 --> 01:07:28,160 Speaker 2: and India, which are I'm gonna say one hundred times 1440 01:07:28,200 --> 01:07:31,360 Speaker 2: more important to us than freaking Ukraine. 1441 01:07:31,400 --> 01:07:32,600 Speaker 3: Like, basically, think about this. 1442 01:07:32,920 --> 01:07:36,000 Speaker 2: We think that the territory of the eastern Dunbass region, 1443 01:07:36,000 --> 01:07:38,560 Speaker 2: the territorial integrity of that is so important that we 1444 01:07:38,560 --> 01:07:42,240 Speaker 2: should sacrifice that Nika right Moblas that nobody in this 1445 01:07:42,280 --> 01:07:44,360 Speaker 2: country could name, including the people who want to ship 1446 01:07:44,400 --> 01:07:47,320 Speaker 2: them weapons. We think that is more important that that 1447 01:07:47,360 --> 01:07:50,400 Speaker 2: integrity than our relationship with the Indian government, or with 1448 01:07:50,440 --> 01:07:53,120 Speaker 2: the Brazilian government, or with the South African government. 1449 01:07:53,320 --> 01:07:56,080 Speaker 3: And then you combine this situation with. 1450 01:07:56,440 --> 01:07:59,120 Speaker 2: Israel, where all of the rhetoric that we were using 1451 01:07:59,200 --> 01:08:01,960 Speaker 2: to the Indian, to the Brazilians and to others as 1452 01:08:01,960 --> 01:08:04,479 Speaker 2: to why we just support them around civilians and about 1453 01:08:04,560 --> 01:08:06,240 Speaker 2: rules based order and all of that. 1454 01:08:06,240 --> 01:08:08,240 Speaker 3: They're like, are you a joke. They're like, no, we 1455 01:08:08,280 --> 01:08:08,960 Speaker 3: don't believe you. 1456 01:08:09,600 --> 01:08:14,120 Speaker 2: They already thought that we were empty, hollow people working 1457 01:08:14,200 --> 01:08:17,080 Speaker 2: great power politics and shrouding it in rhetoric. Now this 1458 01:08:17,240 --> 01:08:19,600 Speaker 2: just confirms it to them in an exact one to 1459 01:08:19,680 --> 01:08:22,439 Speaker 2: one situation. So yeah, I mean it doesn't shock me 1460 01:08:22,600 --> 01:08:26,560 Speaker 2: at all of what has happened with our geopolitical situation. 1461 01:08:26,880 --> 01:08:29,320 Speaker 2: I do think it's been a disaster for us because 1462 01:08:29,439 --> 01:08:32,200 Speaker 2: it both undermines any rhetoric that we have on human rights. 1463 01:08:32,360 --> 01:08:34,439 Speaker 2: And look, I'm on record, I don't really believe foreign 1464 01:08:34,439 --> 01:08:36,639 Speaker 2: policy should be conducted that way, but if you're going 1465 01:08:36,680 --> 01:08:39,759 Speaker 2: to at least be consistent, and we're not doing anything 1466 01:08:39,760 --> 01:08:42,120 Speaker 2: that is in our direct strategic interest, So we're in 1467 01:08:42,160 --> 01:08:46,320 Speaker 2: this odd, you know, third bubble where we selectively apply 1468 01:08:46,439 --> 01:08:48,640 Speaker 2: both which makes us weak on all fronts. 1469 01:08:48,439 --> 01:08:49,760 Speaker 4: And to the point about human rights. 1470 01:08:49,800 --> 01:08:52,440 Speaker 1: And we can go back to that Channel fourteen documentary 1471 01:08:52,439 --> 01:08:55,400 Speaker 1: that we talked about at the very top we roll 1472 01:08:55,479 --> 01:08:57,840 Speaker 1: this one little clip from there, which is just an 1473 01:08:57,880 --> 01:09:01,519 Speaker 1: absolutely shocking thing that was that was published, that was 1474 01:09:01,560 --> 01:09:05,560 Speaker 1: aired on Israeli TV. This is an an Israeli interrogators 1475 01:09:05,520 --> 01:09:08,280 Speaker 1: said human animals, most of them, of course, at the beginning, 1476 01:09:08,320 --> 01:09:11,519 Speaker 1: deny any connection to the events of October seventh, and 1477 01:09:11,600 --> 01:09:15,040 Speaker 1: through certain tools and means, we managed to get the 1478 01:09:15,080 --> 01:09:19,960 Speaker 1: first confessions out of them. So essentially, this is an 1479 01:09:20,040 --> 01:09:24,400 Speaker 1: Israeli interrogator on Israeli TV saying that they use certain 1480 01:09:24,400 --> 01:09:30,120 Speaker 1: tools and means to move Palestinian detainees from denying involvement 1481 01:09:30,120 --> 01:09:35,200 Speaker 1: in October seventh to confessing quote unquote confessing to involvement 1482 01:09:35,520 --> 01:09:38,760 Speaker 1: in October seventh. Saga, how long would it take you 1483 01:09:38,880 --> 01:09:42,960 Speaker 1: under certain tools and means until you told your captors whatever? 1484 01:09:43,520 --> 01:09:43,880 Speaker 3: I don't know. 1485 01:09:43,920 --> 01:09:45,400 Speaker 4: I don't even know if they would have to do it. 1486 01:09:45,439 --> 01:09:47,240 Speaker 1: I think if they pulled the drill out, I'd be like, 1487 01:09:47,240 --> 01:09:49,160 Speaker 1: all right, just what do you want me to sign? 1488 01:09:49,320 --> 01:09:52,280 Speaker 3: I've read enough. I'm not going through the Pow books. 1489 01:09:53,200 --> 01:09:55,360 Speaker 2: By the way, highly I could go on a whole 1490 01:09:55,360 --> 01:09:57,920 Speaker 2: tangent because I went down a real rabbit hole on Vietnam. 1491 01:09:57,960 --> 01:10:01,360 Speaker 2: POW's to know that number one, everybody breaks, and number 1492 01:10:01,400 --> 01:10:05,680 Speaker 2: two that there's virtually like nothing that you can tell 1493 01:10:05,720 --> 01:10:08,639 Speaker 2: yourself that will prepare you for being in a situation 1494 01:10:08,760 --> 01:10:11,840 Speaker 2: that is even remotely like this, and that you very likely, 1495 01:10:12,439 --> 01:10:14,479 Speaker 2: you know, like you said, will likely be able to 1496 01:10:14,479 --> 01:10:17,679 Speaker 2: tell your captors whatever you want, whatever they want to hear, 1497 01:10:18,120 --> 01:10:20,120 Speaker 2: or at least, you know, try and placate them and 1498 01:10:20,160 --> 01:10:22,200 Speaker 2: certain instant just to be able to stop that. 1499 01:10:22,280 --> 01:10:24,200 Speaker 3: And that was obviously in a very extreme case. 1500 01:10:24,240 --> 01:10:26,680 Speaker 2: I don't know necessarily what these gentlemen went through, but 1501 01:10:26,760 --> 01:10:28,640 Speaker 2: this was often you don't have to ask me. You 1502 01:10:28,640 --> 01:10:31,240 Speaker 2: can ask former PW John McCain. You won't ever hear 1503 01:10:31,280 --> 01:10:34,760 Speaker 2: me cite him, you know, favorably often. But he made 1504 01:10:34,760 --> 01:10:37,320 Speaker 2: this case a lot during the Bush administration when he 1505 01:10:37,439 --> 01:10:42,320 Speaker 2: was very against enhanced interrogation against al Qaida, certain tools 1506 01:10:42,560 --> 01:10:44,800 Speaker 2: and means, specifically because he was like, look, he's like, 1507 01:10:44,840 --> 01:10:46,720 Speaker 2: I don't have a moral care for these people. He's like, 1508 01:10:46,720 --> 01:10:50,360 Speaker 2: it just doesn't work. And you know, propagandistically, when you 1509 01:10:50,360 --> 01:10:52,800 Speaker 2: put stuff out there, people know they're not dumb that 1510 01:10:52,880 --> 01:10:54,599 Speaker 2: are like, okay, well it seems like you were questioned 1511 01:10:54,680 --> 01:10:56,960 Speaker 2: under duress. Then they're not gonna do you know they're 1512 01:10:57,000 --> 01:10:59,000 Speaker 2: going to discount a lot of what you were saying. 1513 01:10:59,040 --> 01:10:59,960 Speaker 3: So no, I'm not surprised. 1514 01:11:00,360 --> 01:11:04,599 Speaker 1: And in this documentary they're picking up detainee after detaining 1515 01:11:04,840 --> 01:11:08,720 Speaker 1: every every male that seems to be anywhere between teenage 1516 01:11:08,800 --> 01:11:12,920 Speaker 1: and not elderly, They've they've got the cameras there and 1517 01:11:12,920 --> 01:11:15,920 Speaker 1: making a little documentary where were you on October seventh 1518 01:11:16,200 --> 01:11:18,200 Speaker 1: when I was in my factory, I was in a bakery, 1519 01:11:18,840 --> 01:11:19,920 Speaker 1: And they're like, we don't. 1520 01:11:19,720 --> 01:11:20,760 Speaker 4: Believe you over here. 1521 01:11:20,880 --> 01:11:23,920 Speaker 1: Yes, there are two there were at the start of 1522 01:11:23,920 --> 01:11:28,040 Speaker 1: this two point three million people in Gaza, or several 1523 01:11:28,080 --> 01:11:33,000 Speaker 1: thousand that participated in the attack on October seventh, and 1524 01:11:33,000 --> 01:11:36,280 Speaker 1: then several hundred civilians that also broke through the fence. 1525 01:11:36,760 --> 01:11:40,320 Speaker 1: Like if you pick up every single male that you 1526 01:11:40,479 --> 01:11:44,240 Speaker 1: see in Gaza, you know nine hundred ninety nine out 1527 01:11:44,280 --> 01:11:46,240 Speaker 1: of a thousand of those are going to be innocent, 1528 01:11:46,760 --> 01:11:50,519 Speaker 1: and you're going to use this torture on them to 1529 01:11:50,720 --> 01:11:53,680 Speaker 1: extract a confession that doesn't it doesn't make what they 1530 01:11:53,720 --> 01:11:54,360 Speaker 1: tell you true. 1531 01:11:54,520 --> 01:11:55,920 Speaker 2: Ran, you have a case of a doctor. Do you 1532 01:11:55,960 --> 01:11:57,360 Speaker 2: want a highlight that to people because you have a 1533 01:11:57,400 --> 01:11:58,439 Speaker 2: personal connection to this. 1534 01:11:58,479 --> 01:12:01,839 Speaker 1: Well, yeah, so we can put up doctor Kalette Elsir 1535 01:12:01,960 --> 01:12:06,880 Speaker 1: here from Nasser Hospital on so on. On Friday, a 1536 01:12:07,680 --> 01:12:11,360 Speaker 1: colleague of his was was sending me what's that message? 1537 01:12:11,400 --> 01:12:11,840 Speaker 4: What's up? 1538 01:12:12,240 --> 01:12:15,959 Speaker 1: Video and audio messages and photos from not NASA hospital 1539 01:12:17,560 --> 01:12:20,439 Speaker 1: hoping that uh and here's a that's right, there is 1540 01:12:20,439 --> 01:12:26,200 Speaker 1: something that doctor Elser posted on Instagram himself. What's so 1541 01:12:26,320 --> 01:12:31,639 Speaker 1: poignant about this on Friday for me was this, there 1542 01:12:31,720 --> 01:12:36,240 Speaker 1: was this intense belief from doctor el Sir and and 1543 01:12:36,320 --> 01:12:38,080 Speaker 1: his friends and those who are reaching out to me 1544 01:12:38,120 --> 01:12:41,400 Speaker 1: and others in the press that if only we could 1545 01:12:41,439 --> 01:12:44,360 Speaker 1: get this to the White House, and I did. I said, 1546 01:12:44,400 --> 01:12:46,000 Speaker 1: I will, I will send this to the White House 1547 01:12:46,000 --> 01:12:47,479 Speaker 1: and I sent it. I can I get comment on 1548 01:12:47,520 --> 01:12:49,320 Speaker 1: what's going on at Alnster Hospital. Want to let you 1549 01:12:49,400 --> 01:12:52,680 Speaker 1: know that doctor Collet Elser is saying saying this. He 1550 01:12:53,080 --> 01:12:55,040 Speaker 1: was one of the ones who worked in the ICU. 1551 01:12:55,400 --> 01:12:59,800 Speaker 1: He sent videos of the ICU going dark, literally pulling 1552 01:12:59,840 --> 01:13:04,800 Speaker 1: the plug on it, which ended up killing patients. Because 1553 01:13:04,840 --> 01:13:08,040 Speaker 1: if you need oxygen and you pull the plug, you 1554 01:13:09,600 --> 01:13:12,680 Speaker 1: are at risk of dying, and multiple people in that 1555 01:13:12,920 --> 01:13:15,080 Speaker 1: ICU did die. So I reached out the White House 1556 01:13:15,120 --> 01:13:18,960 Speaker 1: said people are dying in Alnoss I see you. This 1557 01:13:19,040 --> 01:13:20,360 Speaker 1: is what the doctor is telling us. Do you have 1558 01:13:20,400 --> 01:13:22,960 Speaker 1: any response, because I don't want to get myself in 1559 01:13:23,000 --> 01:13:27,760 Speaker 1: a position where I'm advocating for the US to do 1560 01:13:27,800 --> 01:13:30,120 Speaker 1: anything in particular, but I'm going to let them know, 1561 01:13:30,560 --> 01:13:35,240 Speaker 1: Like right now as we're speaking, people's lives are at risk, 1562 01:13:35,720 --> 01:13:39,320 Speaker 1: and if you decide to do something to save their lives, 1563 01:13:39,960 --> 01:13:41,479 Speaker 1: then you decide to do that. 1564 01:13:42,000 --> 01:13:42,880 Speaker 4: I'm making you aware. 1565 01:13:42,960 --> 01:13:45,680 Speaker 1: But what was so interesting to me, and this has 1566 01:13:45,720 --> 01:13:50,280 Speaker 1: been happening throughout the entire conflict, so many Palestinians will 1567 01:13:50,280 --> 01:13:54,160 Speaker 1: reach out hoping that I can get word to the 1568 01:13:54,160 --> 01:13:58,600 Speaker 1: White House to stop x Y or ze atrocity that 1569 01:13:58,760 --> 01:14:02,679 Speaker 1: is underway but not even finished yet, Like there's still 1570 01:14:02,760 --> 01:14:05,400 Speaker 1: a chance to save people, whether it's hint like the 1571 01:14:05,479 --> 01:14:09,519 Speaker 1: Hindrad job situation is a great example. And like I said, 1572 01:14:09,640 --> 01:14:12,120 Speaker 1: I'll reach out for comment. But the whole time, I'm thinking, 1573 01:14:13,240 --> 01:14:17,879 Speaker 1: your faith in the United States is touching and poignant, 1574 01:14:18,600 --> 01:14:23,559 Speaker 1: but misplaced. They know what Israel is doing, They are 1575 01:14:23,840 --> 01:14:28,559 Speaker 1: arming Israel to do that thing. They are using their 1576 01:14:28,640 --> 01:14:34,799 Speaker 1: international capital to block the world from intervening to stop 1577 01:14:34,880 --> 01:14:38,639 Speaker 1: this from happening. But I feel it deeply, this belief 1578 01:14:38,680 --> 01:14:42,080 Speaker 1: that there has to be somebody you can call to 1579 01:14:42,160 --> 01:14:45,960 Speaker 1: stop this. They just it looks and feels so wrong, 1580 01:14:46,640 --> 01:14:49,240 Speaker 1: and with with the right kind of phone call, it 1581 01:14:49,280 --> 01:14:51,800 Speaker 1: could be stopped there. 1582 01:14:52,200 --> 01:14:54,200 Speaker 4: But they're not. They're not going to do it. 1583 01:14:54,600 --> 01:14:57,360 Speaker 1: You can call nine one one, but that nine one 1584 01:14:57,400 --> 01:15:01,040 Speaker 1: one is arming the people who are burglarizing your house 1585 01:15:01,080 --> 01:15:01,599 Speaker 1: at the moment. 1586 01:15:01,640 --> 01:15:03,479 Speaker 2: Well, the case that you're making is very poignant, and 1587 01:15:03,520 --> 01:15:06,160 Speaker 2: it's exactly one that Rashida to leave his thinking. 1588 01:15:06,720 --> 01:15:09,160 Speaker 1: So but by the way, just to finish on doctor 1589 01:15:09,200 --> 01:15:13,280 Speaker 1: al Sir, they raided the hospital and as far as 1590 01:15:13,320 --> 01:15:15,479 Speaker 1: anybody can tell, he was picked up along with all 1591 01:15:15,479 --> 01:15:20,880 Speaker 1: the other doctors and is held in communicado in Israeli captivity. 1592 01:15:21,320 --> 01:15:24,920 Speaker 1: Right now, Israel just racking up more and more hostages. 1593 01:15:25,040 --> 01:15:28,640 Speaker 1: And so his colleagues and his friends put out a 1594 01:15:28,640 --> 01:15:32,960 Speaker 1: statement like begging basically Israel to release this doctor and 1595 01:15:33,000 --> 01:15:33,880 Speaker 1: the other doctors that. 1596 01:15:33,840 --> 01:15:38,160 Speaker 4: They picked up so far, to no avail. 1597 01:15:37,400 --> 01:15:42,360 Speaker 1: That was Friday night, Friday night, US times, Saturday morning 1598 01:15:42,439 --> 01:15:42,880 Speaker 1: their time. 1599 01:15:43,439 --> 01:15:45,000 Speaker 4: Now here we are Monday morning. 1600 01:15:45,520 --> 01:15:48,559 Speaker 1: Still no word on his fate, if he's even alive, 1601 01:15:48,960 --> 01:15:52,400 Speaker 1: or whether he's getting the certain tools and means to 1602 01:15:52,439 --> 01:15:54,840 Speaker 1: try to force him to confess that he wasn't actually 1603 01:15:54,880 --> 01:15:57,840 Speaker 1: a doctor despite all of the evidence that he is, 1604 01:15:57,880 --> 01:16:02,799 Speaker 1: and instead he's actually Pausedian Islamic Jahad operative or whatever. 1605 01:16:02,960 --> 01:16:06,720 Speaker 1: But yes, so this brings us to Rashida Talib. There 1606 01:16:06,760 --> 01:16:10,040 Speaker 1: is a movement in the Michigan which is having its 1607 01:16:10,040 --> 01:16:13,320 Speaker 1: primary next week and actually early voting is happening now, 1608 01:16:13,760 --> 01:16:15,720 Speaker 1: So people, if you're in Michigan, you can go out 1609 01:16:15,720 --> 01:16:19,400 Speaker 1: and early vote right now, rather than getting behind Mary 1610 01:16:19,479 --> 01:16:23,120 Speaker 1: and Williamson or Dean Phillips or writing in jenk Yuger 1611 01:16:23,160 --> 01:16:25,440 Speaker 1: who wasn't able to get on the ballot because of 1612 01:16:24,840 --> 01:16:31,120 Speaker 1: the issues around around natural born citizens versus non natural 1613 01:16:31,160 --> 01:16:35,800 Speaker 1: born citizens. What a group in Michigan is urging people 1614 01:16:35,880 --> 01:16:39,560 Speaker 1: to do is vote uncommitted. They got an extremely powerful 1615 01:16:39,920 --> 01:16:42,719 Speaker 1: supporter now in Representative Rashida Talib. 1616 01:16:42,800 --> 01:16:43,960 Speaker 4: We can play her clip here. 1617 01:16:44,120 --> 01:16:46,880 Speaker 8: It as important as you all know, to not only 1618 01:16:47,000 --> 01:16:50,320 Speaker 8: march against the genocide, not only make sure that we're 1619 01:16:50,360 --> 01:16:53,080 Speaker 8: calling our members of Congress and local elected and predit 1620 01:16:53,200 --> 01:16:57,080 Speaker 8: passe city resolutions all throughout our country. It is also 1621 01:16:57,120 --> 01:16:59,680 Speaker 8: important to create a voting block, something that is a 1622 01:17:00,160 --> 01:17:03,160 Speaker 8: horn to say enough is enough. We don't want a 1623 01:17:03,200 --> 01:17:06,720 Speaker 8: country that supports warmed wars and bombs and destruction. We 1624 01:17:06,760 --> 01:17:09,160 Speaker 8: want to support life. We want to stand up for 1625 01:17:09,320 --> 01:17:13,280 Speaker 8: every single life killed in RUSSA. Don't make us even 1626 01:17:13,280 --> 01:17:17,559 Speaker 8: more invisible. Right now we feel completely neglis, neglected and 1627 01:17:17,600 --> 01:17:20,280 Speaker 8: just unseen by our government. If you want us to 1628 01:17:20,320 --> 01:17:23,160 Speaker 8: be louder, then come here and vote uncommitted. 1629 01:17:23,520 --> 01:17:28,360 Speaker 1: So the dow Go, the democratic media ecosystem has decided 1630 01:17:28,400 --> 01:17:30,800 Speaker 1: in their infinite wisdom that they're going to strive and 1631 01:17:30,880 --> 01:17:33,840 Speaker 1: affect this okay that they're gonna have. They're going to 1632 01:17:33,920 --> 01:17:37,960 Speaker 1: have a temper tantrum of such epic proportions that her 1633 01:17:38,000 --> 01:17:43,040 Speaker 1: social media video will reach exponentially more people because they 1634 01:17:43,080 --> 01:17:49,719 Speaker 1: can't handle even the tiniest of challenges, not even voting 1635 01:17:49,720 --> 01:17:52,000 Speaker 1: against him. NBC it was like Rashila Telip says vote 1636 01:17:52,040 --> 01:17:52,559 Speaker 1: against Biden. 1637 01:17:52,640 --> 01:17:53,439 Speaker 4: No, she didn't say that. 1638 01:17:53,720 --> 01:17:56,599 Speaker 1: She said vote uncommitted, which is like, we'll still support 1639 01:17:56,600 --> 01:17:59,240 Speaker 1: you in the general election if you just do the 1640 01:17:59,280 --> 01:18:01,680 Speaker 1: things that we're asking you to do. So let's go 1641 01:18:01,720 --> 01:18:04,480 Speaker 1: to MSNBC real quickly for some sober analysis. 1642 01:18:04,760 --> 01:18:09,040 Speaker 10: Let's talk about how the realities of politics works in Washington, DC. 1643 01:18:09,560 --> 01:18:11,280 Speaker 10: I got a lot of friends and family in Detroit. 1644 01:18:11,400 --> 01:18:13,600 Speaker 10: I care a lot about that proud Black community. But 1645 01:18:13,760 --> 01:18:16,080 Speaker 10: up though, to all the folks in Detroit, when Jalen 1646 01:18:16,160 --> 01:18:19,240 Speaker 10: Rose Leadership Academy and Wayne State and Castech don't get 1647 01:18:19,280 --> 01:18:22,960 Speaker 10: the proper appropriations from the Democratic administration, the Democratic president, 1648 01:18:23,200 --> 01:18:26,280 Speaker 10: remember it's because you're a Democratic congresswoman told them to 1649 01:18:26,360 --> 01:18:29,240 Speaker 10: not for the Democratic president in the primary, and she 1650 01:18:29,320 --> 01:18:31,519 Speaker 10: won't have the excuse that well, I was saying primary, 1651 01:18:31,600 --> 01:18:34,120 Speaker 10: not general. Uh, you don't slap the president in the 1652 01:18:34,120 --> 01:18:36,799 Speaker 10: face and then expect to be treated as a member 1653 01:18:36,800 --> 01:18:39,759 Speaker 10: of the caucus in good standing. And so Rashida Talib 1654 01:18:39,880 --> 01:18:41,760 Speaker 10: is not there to represent the squads. She's not there 1655 01:18:41,760 --> 01:18:44,320 Speaker 10: to represent Palestine while there's merit and all those things. 1656 01:18:44,439 --> 01:18:47,320 Speaker 10: You're there to represent your hometown constituency in the city 1657 01:18:47,320 --> 01:18:49,280 Speaker 10: of Detroit. And I will tell all my friends and 1658 01:18:49,360 --> 01:18:52,280 Speaker 10: family Detroit as your congresswoman has failed you and frankly 1659 01:18:52,320 --> 01:18:53,000 Speaker 10: embarrassed you. 1660 01:18:53,240 --> 01:18:55,360 Speaker 3: And there could potentially be ramifications. 1661 01:18:55,400 --> 01:18:56,960 Speaker 14: I don't like to be a surplus, but if you 1662 01:18:56,960 --> 01:18:59,400 Speaker 14: want to see Donald Trump beat Throw Biden, then you 1663 01:18:59,400 --> 01:19:03,240 Speaker 14: have voices of Charlemagne and Rashida tale questioning Joe Biden's leadership, 1664 01:19:03,280 --> 01:19:06,280 Speaker 14: suggesting he's not fit for reelection. That's how you do it, 1665 01:19:06,479 --> 01:19:09,800 Speaker 14: Democrats beating themselves. I mean, right now, Democrats have been 1666 01:19:09,800 --> 01:19:12,960 Speaker 14: given a historic opportunity with an alliance of independence and 1667 01:19:12,960 --> 01:19:16,519 Speaker 14: disaffected republicans that showed up with the Democratic Coalition in 1668 01:19:16,600 --> 01:19:19,559 Speaker 14: eighteen and twenty and twenty two. And you're telling me 1669 01:19:19,640 --> 01:19:22,640 Speaker 14: going into twenty twenty four that a sitting Democratic congresswoman 1670 01:19:23,000 --> 01:19:25,360 Speaker 14: and a leading voice on the left are going to say, Nah, 1671 01:19:25,520 --> 01:19:27,960 Speaker 14: we don't know about our guy, maybe we shouldn't support him. 1672 01:19:28,120 --> 01:19:31,160 Speaker 14: It's a bunch of hot garbage, Alex. And if those 1673 01:19:31,240 --> 01:19:32,040 Speaker 14: voices don't. 1674 01:19:31,880 --> 01:19:33,759 Speaker 4: Fall in line, fall in land. 1675 01:19:33,840 --> 01:19:37,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's Don calloway we used to have in rising days. 1676 01:19:37,400 --> 01:19:42,280 Speaker 2: For people who haven't forgotten, he's certainly still dropping suspicy takes. 1677 01:19:42,360 --> 01:19:44,400 Speaker 1: I mean, just on, let's put up, Yeah, let's put up. 1678 01:19:44,400 --> 01:19:46,839 Speaker 1: Don's LinkedIn here, by the way, what he's up to nowadays? 1679 01:19:46,880 --> 01:19:48,280 Speaker 1: Do we have the next that next element here? 1680 01:19:48,320 --> 01:19:50,960 Speaker 3: I don't want to insult. If you want to, you can't. 1681 01:19:51,000 --> 01:19:52,759 Speaker 3: All right, what does he got impact? 1682 01:19:52,760 --> 01:19:57,160 Speaker 1: Investor, venture capital, private equity management, consultant, corporate affairs? 1683 01:19:57,960 --> 01:19:59,479 Speaker 3: I always liked him for the right, I like. 1684 01:19:59,439 --> 01:20:04,120 Speaker 1: Don sure sure, but he's threatening Basically, he's saying that 1685 01:20:04,160 --> 01:20:07,280 Speaker 1: Detroit is going to be is not going to get 1686 01:20:07,960 --> 01:20:10,800 Speaker 1: federal money because Rashiad Talib is standing up for this, 1687 01:20:11,160 --> 01:20:17,080 Speaker 1: not one second of debate on MSNBC about the issue 1688 01:20:17,120 --> 01:20:21,800 Speaker 1: itself that she what she is standing up for, right, 1689 01:20:22,080 --> 01:20:24,920 Speaker 1: and instead she needs to just get in line, Like 1690 01:20:25,040 --> 01:20:26,400 Speaker 1: wasn't that his Yeah. 1691 01:20:27,040 --> 01:20:29,400 Speaker 2: You can't slap the president in the face. It's a 1692 01:20:29,400 --> 01:20:31,040 Speaker 2: primary night in general. I'm like, I don't know, I mean, 1693 01:20:31,040 --> 01:20:34,639 Speaker 2: it seems pretty relevant to me, it's not. Actually I 1694 01:20:34,680 --> 01:20:37,519 Speaker 2: was telling you so, I was at a Hassan Minaj show, 1695 01:20:38,040 --> 01:20:41,920 Speaker 2: which you know, pretty liberal and also predominantly. 1696 01:20:41,320 --> 01:20:42,479 Speaker 3: A big Muslim audience. 1697 01:20:43,080 --> 01:20:45,320 Speaker 2: This happened on Saturday, and I like to just pay 1698 01:20:45,320 --> 01:20:47,599 Speaker 2: attention and be like, okay, what's the you know, what's 1699 01:20:47,640 --> 01:20:48,520 Speaker 2: the tune. 1700 01:20:48,240 --> 01:20:50,639 Speaker 3: Out there, and just previews. I'm not going to spoil 1701 01:20:50,680 --> 01:20:51,000 Speaker 3: the set. 1702 01:20:51,280 --> 01:20:53,120 Speaker 2: But he did a good job, and actually it was 1703 01:20:53,200 --> 01:20:56,560 Speaker 2: even interested for the amount of jokes at Biden's expense. 1704 01:20:56,600 --> 01:20:59,400 Speaker 3: And it was hitting. It was hitting with a liberal audience. 1705 01:20:59,400 --> 01:21:02,200 Speaker 2: And there were a couple moments where, in particular, I 1706 01:21:02,240 --> 01:21:05,479 Speaker 2: saw some of the attendees, you know, if many of 1707 01:21:05,479 --> 01:21:07,920 Speaker 2: whom had his job or something like that on clearly 1708 01:21:08,000 --> 01:21:11,679 Speaker 2: were Muslim Americans who were definitely cheering at Biden's expense, 1709 01:21:12,240 --> 01:21:14,320 Speaker 2: and I was just like, huh, that's interesting. 1710 01:21:14,479 --> 01:21:14,640 Speaker 5: You know. 1711 01:21:14,680 --> 01:21:18,080 Speaker 2: It's one of those where you know, you very rarely 1712 01:21:18,200 --> 01:21:20,519 Speaker 2: know whether something you read on a poll or something 1713 01:21:20,520 --> 01:21:22,479 Speaker 2: that you know you see on social media isn't real 1714 01:21:22,560 --> 01:21:25,080 Speaker 2: can it manifest itself in real life. But there were 1715 01:21:25,080 --> 01:21:26,960 Speaker 2: a lot of people there, from what I can tell again, 1716 01:21:27,120 --> 01:21:30,360 Speaker 2: people who I would definitely code as uber libs, people 1717 01:21:30,360 --> 01:21:33,360 Speaker 2: who were definitely Biden voters or likely to be in 1718 01:21:33,400 --> 01:21:37,320 Speaker 2: that category in twenty twenty who were not happy I 1719 01:21:37,320 --> 01:21:38,920 Speaker 2: think with the present now, will they vote for him 1720 01:21:39,000 --> 01:21:40,799 Speaker 2: in the end in twenty twenty. 1721 01:21:40,560 --> 01:21:42,439 Speaker 3: Four maybe, but you know a lot of them, a 1722 01:21:42,520 --> 01:21:43,639 Speaker 3: lot of them may sit it out too. 1723 01:21:43,760 --> 01:21:43,960 Speaker 4: Yeah. 1724 01:21:44,439 --> 01:21:47,360 Speaker 1: I mean, from the people that I talked to in 1725 01:21:47,520 --> 01:21:51,439 Speaker 1: the Illinois and Michigan and the Muslim American community. Unless 1726 01:21:51,520 --> 01:21:56,280 Speaker 1: all of the people there are lying or overstating it, 1727 01:21:56,280 --> 01:22:01,599 Speaker 1: it seems like the revulsion at Biden for what he's 1728 01:22:01,640 --> 01:22:08,759 Speaker 1: doing is almost universal, like beyond what anybody has seen before. 1729 01:22:08,760 --> 01:22:11,599 Speaker 1: And you hear it from so many people who will 1730 01:22:11,640 --> 01:22:16,160 Speaker 1: tell you I have always been somebody who argued against 1731 01:22:16,200 --> 01:22:19,439 Speaker 1: Third parties who said, yes, you're never because these are 1732 01:22:19,479 --> 01:22:22,879 Speaker 1: Muslims in America. First of all, they're never getting everything 1733 01:22:22,920 --> 01:22:25,479 Speaker 1: that they think they ought to from the American two 1734 01:22:25,520 --> 01:22:30,160 Speaker 1: party system. So they are they more than anybody else understand, 1735 01:22:30,320 --> 01:22:33,280 Speaker 1: you know, compromising in order to get the lesser of 1736 01:22:33,360 --> 01:22:36,120 Speaker 1: two evils. So these are people who have been making 1737 01:22:36,160 --> 01:22:39,519 Speaker 1: the lesser. These are state representatives, you know, these are 1738 01:22:39,520 --> 01:22:41,400 Speaker 1: Michigan Party leaders majority leader. 1739 01:22:41,520 --> 01:22:42,920 Speaker 4: Well, do you remember mayor of Dearborn? 1740 01:22:42,960 --> 01:22:44,240 Speaker 2: I was going to say, do you remember the guy 1741 01:22:44,280 --> 01:22:48,719 Speaker 2: that we interviewed in New Hampshire, the guys for people 1742 01:22:48,720 --> 01:22:49,160 Speaker 2: wh don't you. 1743 01:22:49,120 --> 01:22:50,879 Speaker 3: Should actually go watch it there because it's hilarious. 1744 01:22:51,080 --> 01:22:55,000 Speaker 2: This is the most like ultra Biden bro voter that 1745 01:22:55,000 --> 01:22:56,040 Speaker 2: they're at the end of the interview. 1746 01:22:56,040 --> 01:22:56,880 Speaker 3: I don't know if you remember. 1747 01:22:56,920 --> 01:22:58,760 Speaker 2: He's like, by the way, I just want to say 1748 01:22:58,760 --> 01:23:00,519 Speaker 2: thank you to our capital police. 1749 01:23:00,920 --> 01:23:03,320 Speaker 3: And I literally see what they laughing, like. 1750 01:23:03,280 --> 01:23:05,360 Speaker 4: For whats for January sixth? It's like this. 1751 01:23:05,720 --> 01:23:09,360 Speaker 2: I burst out laughing because it would not even occur 1752 01:23:09,400 --> 01:23:11,880 Speaker 2: to me that somebody who is like the most ultra 1753 01:23:12,080 --> 01:23:16,400 Speaker 2: noormy live MSNBC voter, like you said, who is abhorred 1754 01:23:16,600 --> 01:23:20,880 Speaker 2: to to third party Cornell West or any of that. 1755 01:23:21,240 --> 01:23:23,120 Speaker 3: Even he is like, don't vote Biden. 1756 01:23:23,240 --> 01:23:25,120 Speaker 1: And he was the one, Yeah, he was the one 1757 01:23:25,120 --> 01:23:27,599 Speaker 1: who organized right in ceasefire in New Hampshire which ended 1758 01:23:27,680 --> 01:23:29,920 Speaker 1: up getting they were expecting two or three hundred votes 1759 01:23:29,960 --> 01:23:31,639 Speaker 1: and ended up getting about sixteen hundred. 1760 01:23:31,760 --> 01:23:33,519 Speaker 3: Wow, which I mean a lot. 1761 01:23:34,040 --> 01:23:35,920 Speaker 1: But it's not many people in I'm sure either, but 1762 01:23:35,960 --> 01:23:36,920 Speaker 1: it's probably. 1763 01:23:36,560 --> 01:23:38,599 Speaker 3: Going to be a lot more potent in Michigan. 1764 01:23:38,680 --> 01:23:44,120 Speaker 1: They if uncommitted beats Joe Biden in Michigan, it's still necessarily. 1765 01:23:43,760 --> 01:23:45,360 Speaker 4: Doesn't change anything, but at. 1766 01:23:45,280 --> 01:23:49,000 Speaker 1: Least people will feel like they had a chance to 1767 01:23:49,240 --> 01:23:54,880 Speaker 1: say on a national stage how enraged they are. And 1768 01:23:55,280 --> 01:23:57,800 Speaker 1: people keep thinking, well, this is the Muslim Americans. Yes 1769 01:23:57,840 --> 01:24:00,519 Speaker 1: it is, but it's also young people. It's like, that's right, 1770 01:24:00,520 --> 01:24:04,400 Speaker 1: people under it's not just thirty thirty five, which which was. 1771 01:24:04,760 --> 01:24:07,519 Speaker 1: And Joaquin Castro, to his great credit, has been pretty 1772 01:24:07,520 --> 01:24:09,920 Speaker 1: outspoken on this. CNN had him on to talk and 1773 01:24:09,920 --> 01:24:12,479 Speaker 1: they tried to do a horse horse race thing with him, 1774 01:24:12,560 --> 01:24:15,000 Speaker 1: and he brought it back to the actual policy, right 1775 01:24:15,240 --> 01:24:19,000 Speaker 1: saying like, what what Biden is doing is damaging to 1776 01:24:19,040 --> 01:24:22,519 Speaker 1: the US, damaging to Israel, and it is turning off 1777 01:24:24,360 --> 01:24:26,240 Speaker 1: young people and Muslim Americans. 1778 01:24:26,479 --> 01:24:28,960 Speaker 2: The question is, though, why is it just Rashida to leave? 1779 01:24:29,560 --> 01:24:31,599 Speaker 2: I haven't seen AOC say. I think she said Biden 1780 01:24:31,680 --> 01:24:34,040 Speaker 2: was the best president of every like that. Why is 1781 01:24:34,040 --> 01:24:36,080 Speaker 2: it not you know, all these other squad members. 1782 01:24:36,240 --> 01:24:38,600 Speaker 4: It's it's a good question. It's a good question. 1783 01:24:39,960 --> 01:24:43,400 Speaker 1: Because if you had the entire squad, say, rallying in 1784 01:24:43,439 --> 01:24:48,680 Speaker 1: Michigan for uncommitted, then I think that has a that 1785 01:24:48,840 --> 01:24:51,640 Speaker 1: has a bigger impact. Sure, yes, you've seen you have 1786 01:24:51,720 --> 01:24:54,120 Speaker 1: seen a split there. You know, the rest of the 1787 01:24:54,160 --> 01:24:57,160 Speaker 1: squad has supported Rashida Tleib. 1788 01:24:57,200 --> 01:24:59,640 Speaker 4: They voted, you know, against censuring her. 1789 01:24:59,800 --> 01:25:02,519 Speaker 1: They've said supportive things about her, but they are letting 1790 01:25:02,520 --> 01:25:04,320 Speaker 1: her kind of take these. 1791 01:25:04,160 --> 01:25:08,080 Speaker 4: Bullets for them. So they're not really operating as a 1792 01:25:08,080 --> 01:25:09,280 Speaker 4: squad in this. 1793 01:25:09,640 --> 01:25:12,000 Speaker 3: All right, well we will, We'll see how it works out. 1794 01:25:12,040 --> 01:25:12,919 Speaker 3: I'm very curious. 1795 01:25:13,080 --> 01:25:15,760 Speaker 2: Ceasefire, as you said, didn't exactly get a lot of votes, 1796 01:25:15,800 --> 01:25:18,200 Speaker 2: but I could see it actually become something. And especially 1797 01:25:18,240 --> 01:25:19,840 Speaker 2: here here's the thing in this particularly, you have an 1798 01:25:19,920 --> 01:25:24,320 Speaker 2: actual elected representative. Crystal's been telling me that Rashida's lead 1799 01:25:24,360 --> 01:25:26,840 Speaker 2: has been breaking in money, you know. 1800 01:25:26,840 --> 01:25:30,120 Speaker 3: With millions stands millions of dollars, so clearly. 1801 01:25:30,320 --> 01:25:33,760 Speaker 1: She's not people Magestry actually spends like four uncommitted right 1802 01:25:34,439 --> 01:25:36,080 Speaker 1: and also in New Hampshire was it was a two 1803 01:25:36,160 --> 01:25:40,280 Speaker 1: week organic campaign. This has financing behind it, and like 1804 01:25:40,320 --> 01:25:43,040 Speaker 1: you said, Rashida has actual money if she decides to 1805 01:25:43,040 --> 01:25:43,719 Speaker 1: pull the trigger. 1806 01:25:43,960 --> 01:25:47,920 Speaker 4: And she didn't even go up on air all right. 1807 01:25:47,960 --> 01:25:50,160 Speaker 1: Here in the United States, when it comes to foreign figures, 1808 01:25:50,439 --> 01:25:54,600 Speaker 1: we deal in cartoons, only in caricatures, and so that 1809 01:25:54,760 --> 01:25:57,479 Speaker 1: was the case when it comes to Alexia Volney. He, 1810 01:25:58,040 --> 01:26:01,040 Speaker 1: on the one hand, was the hero of the Russian 1811 01:26:01,080 --> 01:26:04,559 Speaker 1: resistance and the leading light of that nation. If you 1812 01:26:04,600 --> 01:26:08,120 Speaker 1: hear from other people, he was a racist in islamophobe, 1813 01:26:08,360 --> 01:26:12,160 Speaker 1: cia stooge who deserved what he got. So to try 1814 01:26:12,360 --> 01:26:17,559 Speaker 1: to actually move it from cartoon charriacture into kind of 1815 01:26:17,760 --> 01:26:21,600 Speaker 1: real life, we're going to be joined by socialist commentator 1816 01:26:22,080 --> 01:26:27,040 Speaker 1: Yegor Kotkin joining us from Moscow. Yegor, you've talked a 1817 01:26:27,040 --> 01:26:29,920 Speaker 1: little bit about Navalney online recently. If we can put 1818 01:26:30,000 --> 01:26:33,479 Speaker 1: up this element from Jegor here, this is one of 1819 01:26:33,520 --> 01:26:35,840 Speaker 1: the things you said, the living Navalney was important not 1820 01:26:35,920 --> 01:26:38,880 Speaker 1: because of his politics, but as a political trailblazer. Dead 1821 01:26:39,000 --> 01:26:41,600 Speaker 1: Navalney is important as a symbol of resistance to the 1822 01:26:41,640 --> 01:26:44,840 Speaker 1: oligarchic regime, and the same people who killed him as 1823 01:26:44,880 --> 01:26:47,120 Speaker 1: a human now are trying to kill him as a symbol. 1824 01:26:47,439 --> 01:26:48,479 Speaker 4: Don't be a part of it. 1825 01:26:48,720 --> 01:26:51,479 Speaker 1: And Yegor, what I found interesting about your analysis, which 1826 01:26:51,479 --> 01:26:54,360 Speaker 1: people can find on your Twitter accountant is much deeper 1827 01:26:54,400 --> 01:26:56,160 Speaker 1: than that, is that if you were here in the 1828 01:26:56,280 --> 01:26:59,040 Speaker 1: United States, you'd probably be in the camp of people 1829 01:26:59,080 --> 01:27:02,519 Speaker 1: who were saying, actually, this guy's as cia st and uh, 1830 01:27:03,280 --> 01:27:03,559 Speaker 1: you know. 1831 01:27:03,560 --> 01:27:07,920 Speaker 4: Deserve deserves what he deserves, what he got. But there's 1832 01:27:07,920 --> 01:27:10,240 Speaker 4: so much more to then Walney story. 1833 01:27:10,800 --> 01:27:15,240 Speaker 1: So let me let me start with this question, what's 1834 01:27:15,280 --> 01:27:20,519 Speaker 1: been your kind of relationship to Navawnyism over your own 1835 01:27:21,200 --> 01:27:22,360 Speaker 1: political evolution? 1836 01:27:24,400 --> 01:27:26,960 Speaker 15: Well, I have to say I knew as a figure 1837 01:27:27,000 --> 01:27:31,400 Speaker 15: political figure and the following all of his career for 1838 01:27:31,439 --> 01:27:34,559 Speaker 15: almost fifteen years, and most of this time I was 1839 01:27:34,600 --> 01:27:38,280 Speaker 15: a novely skeptic because of I mean, it's not a 1840 01:27:38,320 --> 01:27:40,639 Speaker 15: secret that she started basically as a fastist. I mean 1841 01:27:41,880 --> 01:27:45,840 Speaker 15: his video about from two thousand and seven when he 1842 01:27:45,920 --> 01:27:51,439 Speaker 15: referred to the immigrants as cockroaches being reserved again with 1843 01:27:51,560 --> 01:27:55,040 Speaker 15: his name back in the news, and there was a lot. 1844 01:27:55,200 --> 01:27:56,240 Speaker 12: Then he moved to the left. 1845 01:27:56,280 --> 01:27:58,800 Speaker 15: He constantly, in my view him constantly moved to the 1846 01:27:58,880 --> 01:28:05,599 Speaker 15: left over this fifteen year public career, reaching first liberal center, 1847 01:28:05,800 --> 01:28:10,200 Speaker 15: then moving even slightly to the left, almost borderline social 1848 01:28:10,240 --> 01:28:13,960 Speaker 15: democratic policies, but still staying firmly in the liberal center. 1849 01:28:14,840 --> 01:28:18,360 Speaker 15: And I think the history of Navali resonated with the 1850 01:28:18,439 --> 01:28:22,840 Speaker 15: audience specifically because this is a history of a populist 1851 01:28:23,600 --> 01:28:29,720 Speaker 15: who was follow his whole life path was finding a 1852 01:28:29,760 --> 01:28:33,360 Speaker 15: way to communicate with the most Russian people as possible, 1853 01:28:34,120 --> 01:28:37,439 Speaker 15: and as many populists going for the most people. He 1854 01:28:37,560 --> 01:28:40,800 Speaker 15: started from the lowest possible nominators, So he started from 1855 01:28:40,840 --> 01:28:42,840 Speaker 15: the ride and started from from xenophobia. 1856 01:28:43,520 --> 01:28:46,760 Speaker 1: But so can I can did he ever recant the xenophobia? 1857 01:28:46,800 --> 01:28:47,600 Speaker 4: Did he recant that? 1858 01:28:47,760 --> 01:28:49,080 Speaker 3: Or what he? 1859 01:28:49,200 --> 01:28:49,400 Speaker 2: Yes? 1860 01:28:49,640 --> 01:28:50,840 Speaker 4: What was his evolution like? 1861 01:28:52,640 --> 01:28:57,600 Speaker 12: Uh, well, he entered very soon. He moved moved on 1862 01:28:57,720 --> 01:28:58,560 Speaker 12: to anti. 1863 01:28:58,240 --> 01:29:05,840 Speaker 15: Corruption uh investigations, and he entered the liberal center, liberal media, 1864 01:29:06,760 --> 01:29:10,400 Speaker 15: who became his main base of support and the network 1865 01:29:10,400 --> 01:29:15,120 Speaker 15: of support. And he moved on from the Russian marches 1866 01:29:15,160 --> 01:29:23,599 Speaker 15: and Russian nationalism to being basically liberal centrist like closer 1867 01:29:23,640 --> 01:29:30,280 Speaker 15: to twenty thirteen, twenty fifteen, but he still was looking 1868 01:29:30,360 --> 01:29:34,000 Speaker 15: for he still was staying in the populist lane. It's 1869 01:29:34,080 --> 01:29:39,439 Speaker 15: just his When he found that being populist right put 1870 01:29:39,479 --> 01:29:43,439 Speaker 15: you in such as in certain fringe area, very limited 1871 01:29:43,520 --> 01:29:46,919 Speaker 15: area of a fringe right, he moved. 1872 01:29:46,680 --> 01:29:47,880 Speaker 12: On to the center. 1873 01:29:47,960 --> 01:29:53,320 Speaker 15: But he started experiment with the leftist populist policies, and 1874 01:29:54,240 --> 01:29:57,240 Speaker 15: in some of them he actually went to the left 1875 01:29:57,360 --> 01:30:00,400 Speaker 15: of his main base of support and network of support 1876 01:30:00,760 --> 01:30:06,120 Speaker 15: liberal people. One for example, in twenty eighteen, becoming a 1877 01:30:06,160 --> 01:30:07,320 Speaker 15: presidential election. 1878 01:30:07,240 --> 01:30:10,599 Speaker 12: In Russia, where he tried to. 1879 01:30:10,000 --> 01:30:13,960 Speaker 15: Compete with Puttin, he suggested increase in a minimum wage 1880 01:30:14,160 --> 01:30:18,240 Speaker 15: two and a half times, five times from ten from 1881 01:30:18,240 --> 01:30:21,800 Speaker 15: ten thousand troubles to twenty five thousand troubles. It is 1882 01:30:21,840 --> 01:30:27,520 Speaker 15: a very substantial increase. It is very necessary increase for Russia. 1883 01:30:27,960 --> 01:30:30,760 Speaker 15: It's even harder situation than in American in terms of 1884 01:30:30,800 --> 01:30:35,479 Speaker 15: a living wage. Here and he was heavily criticized by 1885 01:30:35,520 --> 01:30:39,679 Speaker 15: his own base and network of support by the liberal center, 1886 01:30:40,560 --> 01:30:44,559 Speaker 15: to the extent that even now six years later, when 1887 01:30:44,640 --> 01:30:50,880 Speaker 15: he already did this topic of debate about this minimumage increase, 1888 01:30:50,960 --> 01:30:54,400 Speaker 15: he's suggested again was reiterated in the day of his 1889 01:30:54,479 --> 01:30:57,719 Speaker 15: death by his supporters, So this debate never never died. 1890 01:30:59,600 --> 01:31:01,479 Speaker 2: Just one of the things that I'm trying to get to. 1891 01:31:01,640 --> 01:31:04,200 Speaker 2: I think for our audience, they're hearing about him a 1892 01:31:04,240 --> 01:31:06,120 Speaker 2: lot in our news. What I hear from you is 1893 01:31:06,160 --> 01:31:08,599 Speaker 2: he was a complicated figure. You know, we understand him 1894 01:31:08,600 --> 01:31:11,559 Speaker 2: only as a Putent critic. You know, from what I 1895 01:31:11,600 --> 01:31:14,559 Speaker 2: can tell, he was a Russian nationalist, but he was 1896 01:31:14,600 --> 01:31:18,680 Speaker 2: an anti corruption activist. But he wasn't necessarily you know, 1897 01:31:18,760 --> 01:31:22,200 Speaker 2: the dream of European politicians like how how did he 1898 01:31:22,360 --> 01:31:25,320 Speaker 2: How did people inside of Russia think of Navalny and 1899 01:31:25,360 --> 01:31:27,599 Speaker 2: why did Putin consider him a threat enough to throw 1900 01:31:27,680 --> 01:31:28,200 Speaker 2: him in prison? 1901 01:31:29,760 --> 01:31:33,840 Speaker 15: I think, uh, I think you can you you can't 1902 01:31:33,840 --> 01:31:36,559 Speaker 15: tell how people that also think about Novality because it's 1903 01:31:36,720 --> 01:31:40,840 Speaker 15: heavily skewed by the propaganda from Putting media on the 1904 01:31:40,920 --> 01:31:44,479 Speaker 15: one hand, and the liberal propaganda from Individia independent media 1905 01:31:44,560 --> 01:31:47,920 Speaker 15: on the other hand. So his view in any Russian 1906 01:31:47,920 --> 01:31:52,679 Speaker 15: group will be heavily skewed by ideological bias. And uh, 1907 01:31:53,439 --> 01:31:56,880 Speaker 15: I think Putting the recognized him as the biggest threat 1908 01:31:56,960 --> 01:32:01,439 Speaker 15: to his rule because Navali always starketed him his as 1909 01:32:01,479 --> 01:32:07,240 Speaker 15: his main enemy, and his populist search search for whatever 1910 01:32:07,479 --> 01:32:11,240 Speaker 15: give him the most base of support. He also experimented 1911 01:32:11,280 --> 01:32:14,560 Speaker 15: the support of unions at some point, being one of 1912 01:32:14,600 --> 01:32:18,680 Speaker 15: the first politicians who tried to restore restore unions as 1913 01:32:18,720 --> 01:32:21,160 Speaker 15: a political force in Russia. Since he us as our fault, 1914 01:32:21,840 --> 01:32:27,000 Speaker 15: so again it was kind of left to show of 1915 01:32:27,080 --> 01:32:29,720 Speaker 15: him to try to do this. He always tried to 1916 01:32:29,760 --> 01:32:35,240 Speaker 15: maximize his base of support to to bit Puchin, So 1917 01:32:35,320 --> 01:32:39,320 Speaker 15: his target always was Puchin, and that made him uh. 1918 01:32:39,520 --> 01:32:42,960 Speaker 15: He obviously had some ideology, but his main goal in 1919 01:32:43,000 --> 01:32:47,160 Speaker 15: life was to defit Putchin, and he was able. He 1920 01:32:47,360 --> 01:32:51,479 Speaker 15: was ready to utilize any means necessary to do that. 1921 01:32:52,200 --> 01:32:54,400 Speaker 12: In terms of political he never he never crossed the 1922 01:32:54,439 --> 01:32:54,920 Speaker 12: line of. 1923 01:32:54,840 --> 01:32:58,280 Speaker 15: Political violence actually, but in terms of political engagement, he 1924 01:32:58,760 --> 01:33:02,040 Speaker 15: was looking everywhere for every way Pusson. That's that's why 1925 01:33:02,040 --> 01:33:05,599 Speaker 15: he was uh the dangerous for pushing. That's why Putting 1926 01:33:06,000 --> 01:33:09,120 Speaker 15: kindesing out him as his enemy. And that's why I 1927 01:33:09,360 --> 01:33:13,160 Speaker 15: when I said the road the street on his death. 1928 01:33:13,840 --> 01:33:16,920 Speaker 15: He was mainly a trail Brazer. My politics is not 1929 01:33:17,040 --> 01:33:22,400 Speaker 15: navality politics. I evolved myself from like liberal center to 1930 01:33:22,920 --> 01:33:27,080 Speaker 15: basically a socialist right now, so I always was to 1931 01:33:27,120 --> 01:33:27,960 Speaker 15: the left of him. 1932 01:33:28,680 --> 01:33:31,320 Speaker 12: We never saw so I why but I saw. 1933 01:33:31,200 --> 01:33:35,840 Speaker 15: In his what he's doing, UH the best possibility for 1934 01:33:35,920 --> 01:33:39,800 Speaker 15: opening for leftist electoral politics in Russia, which right now 1935 01:33:39,840 --> 01:33:44,680 Speaker 15: doesn't exist, so I thought, and his experiments with the 1936 01:33:44,760 --> 01:33:50,360 Speaker 15: left initiatives like rising medium wage UH, re animating unions 1937 01:33:50,520 --> 01:33:54,680 Speaker 15: UH and the helicopter money during the COVID lockdowns and 1938 01:33:55,200 --> 01:33:57,920 Speaker 15: UH social democratic initiatives led that. 1939 01:33:58,520 --> 01:33:58,880 Speaker 9: Uh. 1940 01:33:59,040 --> 01:34:00,799 Speaker 12: They were very very useful. 1941 01:34:01,080 --> 01:34:05,920 Speaker 15: And is his electoral initiatives like smart voting actually helped 1942 01:34:05,960 --> 01:34:14,479 Speaker 15: to elect some leftist deputies in Moscow City Duma from 1943 01:34:14,479 --> 01:34:17,960 Speaker 15: the young leftist ILK, not all the Red Guard who 1944 01:34:18,000 --> 01:34:21,679 Speaker 15: basically go with put you in one hundred percent of times, 1945 01:34:22,000 --> 01:34:25,920 Speaker 15: but from the young oppositions, opposition leftists. They for the 1946 01:34:25,960 --> 01:34:28,920 Speaker 15: first time got in some high places of power in Russia, 1947 01:34:28,960 --> 01:34:29,599 Speaker 15: being elected. 1948 01:34:29,920 --> 01:34:33,200 Speaker 12: Right now they all. 1949 01:34:32,360 --> 01:34:34,639 Speaker 15: Already removed from there, but for the first time since 1950 01:34:34,720 --> 01:34:39,439 Speaker 15: ninety ninety one, new leftist ILK got in places in 1951 01:34:39,600 --> 01:34:43,040 Speaker 15: power of power in part the help of novality. 1952 01:34:43,680 --> 01:34:46,720 Speaker 1: Of One of the things you'll hear here in the 1953 01:34:46,800 --> 01:34:50,519 Speaker 1: United States about him is that actually kind of American 1954 01:34:50,600 --> 01:34:55,439 Speaker 1: leads overblow how how much power he had, how much 1955 01:34:55,479 --> 01:34:59,479 Speaker 1: support he had among Russian people. What's your sense of 1956 01:34:59,479 --> 01:35:02,599 Speaker 1: what kind of base of social support he had there. 1957 01:35:03,840 --> 01:35:05,000 Speaker 12: I think I think it's true. 1958 01:35:05,040 --> 01:35:08,280 Speaker 15: I think they projected a lot of their own expectations 1959 01:35:08,320 --> 01:35:13,200 Speaker 15: on Navali and his real base of support. If I 1960 01:35:13,200 --> 01:35:19,200 Speaker 15: don't think it ever would in like perfect perfectly free 1961 01:35:19,240 --> 01:35:24,639 Speaker 15: elections with the strong leftist party is a strong social 1962 01:35:24,680 --> 01:35:27,880 Speaker 15: democratic presence, not only put in versus Novale. 1963 01:35:27,960 --> 01:35:30,120 Speaker 12: I don't think the liberal center. 1964 01:35:29,880 --> 01:35:35,200 Speaker 15: That Novality represent would ever broke fifteen percent threshold as 1965 01:35:35,240 --> 01:35:38,200 Speaker 15: it was in the nineties, because when there was a 1966 01:35:38,320 --> 01:35:41,120 Speaker 15: kind of freeish election in the nineties and Russia, the 1967 01:35:41,320 --> 01:35:43,679 Speaker 15: liberal center always was kind of marginal. 1968 01:35:43,800 --> 01:35:44,679 Speaker 12: That's why the loss. 1969 01:35:44,840 --> 01:35:48,840 Speaker 1: So if you say fifteen or fifty fifteen, now, I 1970 01:35:48,840 --> 01:35:51,280 Speaker 1: don't think it would be much much much more than 1971 01:35:51,280 --> 01:35:53,560 Speaker 1: that because so tiny. 1972 01:35:54,720 --> 01:35:59,360 Speaker 15: Yeah, actually yes, well significant noticeable, but not like the 1973 01:35:59,680 --> 01:36:04,559 Speaker 15: Legion Party because either nationalists right propus and right or 1974 01:36:05,520 --> 01:36:09,960 Speaker 15: old school proslags left still has much bigger place of 1975 01:36:09,960 --> 01:36:11,719 Speaker 15: supporting Russia for natural reasons. 1976 01:36:11,760 --> 01:36:15,320 Speaker 2: But yegor even within that, from you know, your realistic assessment, 1977 01:36:15,479 --> 01:36:18,639 Speaker 2: he still was thrown in prison, sent above the Arctic Circle, 1978 01:36:18,720 --> 01:36:20,479 Speaker 2: and we can put this up there on the screen. 1979 01:36:20,520 --> 01:36:23,439 Speaker 2: Apparently they're telling his family that he suffered from some 1980 01:36:23,560 --> 01:36:27,639 Speaker 2: like quote sudden death syndrome, which we have here. I mean, 1981 01:36:27,720 --> 01:36:30,320 Speaker 2: it's just laughable for many of us to look at. 1982 01:36:30,520 --> 01:36:32,960 Speaker 2: I know you've told him many times that people in 1983 01:36:33,040 --> 01:36:35,360 Speaker 2: Russia they probably don't even hear stuff like this, or 1984 01:36:35,360 --> 01:36:37,960 Speaker 2: if they do, they believe it. But you know, it 1985 01:36:38,040 --> 01:36:40,639 Speaker 2: seems to us a position of weakness to kill somebody, 1986 01:36:40,960 --> 01:36:43,120 Speaker 2: you know, in this manner whenever as you describe, it's 1987 01:36:43,120 --> 01:36:44,280 Speaker 2: not even a realistic threat. 1988 01:36:44,520 --> 01:36:47,040 Speaker 3: What can would that tell us about Putin himself? You know, 1989 01:36:47,120 --> 01:36:48,280 Speaker 3: at this moment in time. 1990 01:36:49,800 --> 01:36:52,400 Speaker 15: The reason of this being this is actually find to 1991 01:36:52,439 --> 01:36:55,679 Speaker 15: find it? Yes, you know, well what can I say? 1992 01:36:56,400 --> 01:36:59,840 Speaker 15: It all comes back to his main goal being able 1993 01:36:59,880 --> 01:37:05,040 Speaker 15: to to defeit Putchin and his ability to utilize I mean, overall, 1994 01:37:05,680 --> 01:37:09,360 Speaker 15: in a normal electoral stration, calm and democratic, I don't 1995 01:37:09,400 --> 01:37:12,280 Speaker 15: think his brand of liberalism would have more than fifteen 1996 01:37:12,280 --> 01:37:15,960 Speaker 15: percent of support, But he was in terms of political 1997 01:37:16,000 --> 01:37:21,160 Speaker 15: repression that Putting created, he was able to mobilize this 1998 01:37:21,760 --> 01:37:23,880 Speaker 15: fifteen percent just proportionally. 1999 01:37:23,920 --> 01:37:24,639 Speaker 12: It was young. 2000 01:37:24,560 --> 01:37:27,439 Speaker 15: People, people living in big cities, people living in Moscow. 2001 01:37:27,760 --> 01:37:32,280 Speaker 15: His highest rating most Scow elections was almost thirty percent 2002 01:37:32,560 --> 01:37:36,439 Speaker 15: ten years ago. It was a very high result for 2003 01:37:37,320 --> 01:37:41,719 Speaker 15: liberal politician. So he was able to utilize this young, 2004 01:37:41,920 --> 01:37:46,639 Speaker 15: passionate part of the Russian people who would go on 2005 01:37:46,720 --> 01:37:50,519 Speaker 15: streets on the protests. On the biggest street protests were 2006 01:37:50,640 --> 01:37:54,439 Speaker 15: either with the Navali presence ten years ago when Putting 2007 01:37:54,520 --> 01:37:58,080 Speaker 15: announced that he's going back as a president for the 2008 01:37:58,120 --> 01:38:01,679 Speaker 15: third term, or ten years later when Aval was returned 2009 01:38:01,680 --> 01:38:04,160 Speaker 15: to Russia three years ago and was imprisoned again. The 2010 01:38:04,200 --> 01:38:08,120 Speaker 15: biggest protest in the last ten years broke up on 2011 01:38:08,160 --> 01:38:11,880 Speaker 15: the streets again internection with Navali names. 2012 01:38:11,880 --> 01:38:13,920 Speaker 12: So his ability to be. 2013 01:38:14,000 --> 01:38:19,120 Speaker 15: Visible and you mabilized youth and mabilized street politics in 2014 01:38:19,160 --> 01:38:22,280 Speaker 15: the way that any other political force in Russia can 2015 01:38:22,600 --> 01:38:25,880 Speaker 15: or wouldn't do. I think that's what put him on 2016 01:38:25,920 --> 01:38:29,920 Speaker 15: the map, and that's why pushing was in some fashions, 2017 01:38:29,920 --> 01:38:33,320 Speaker 15: maybe if Putting was more democratic irrationally afraid, because I 2018 01:38:33,360 --> 01:38:38,679 Speaker 15: don't think that, Like, we can see how politics can 2019 01:38:38,960 --> 01:38:43,120 Speaker 15: change leaders' names, parties and still remain the same on 2020 01:38:43,160 --> 01:38:45,800 Speaker 15: the example of America. So there is a lot of 2021 01:38:46,600 --> 01:38:49,639 Speaker 15: There is a lot of ways to continue the status school, 2022 01:38:49,720 --> 01:38:52,240 Speaker 15: especially if your status school is the power of like 2023 01:38:52,520 --> 01:38:55,599 Speaker 15: one hundred or one thousand riches people in the country 2024 01:38:56,560 --> 01:38:59,960 Speaker 15: without without political repression or in without. 2025 01:39:01,680 --> 01:39:02,519 Speaker 12: Political killing. 2026 01:39:02,640 --> 01:39:06,280 Speaker 15: So result like breaking the elections, you can do it 2027 01:39:06,800 --> 01:39:09,120 Speaker 15: through different things like America does. 2028 01:39:09,520 --> 01:39:13,200 Speaker 2: Makes sense, Riego, We always appreciate your analysis live from Moscow. 2029 01:39:13,280 --> 01:39:15,799 Speaker 2: As a reminder, this man is literally, you know, risking 2030 01:39:15,920 --> 01:39:17,439 Speaker 2: a lot, you know, to be able to just come 2031 01:39:17,479 --> 01:39:20,080 Speaker 2: to us live. You can follow him on Twitter. We'll 2032 01:39:20,080 --> 01:39:22,120 Speaker 2: have a link to that in the description. And we 2033 01:39:22,160 --> 01:39:25,680 Speaker 2: always appreciate your time, sir. Thank you, thank you very much, 2034 01:39:26,360 --> 01:39:26,920 Speaker 2: see you later. 2035 01:39:27,040 --> 01:39:28,240 Speaker 3: Thank you for hosting with me. 2036 01:39:28,360 --> 01:39:30,680 Speaker 2: My friend, you are always a bare no no, you're 2037 01:39:30,680 --> 01:39:31,560 Speaker 2: not doing counterpoints. 2038 01:39:31,760 --> 01:39:34,120 Speaker 3: Cristal will be filling in for you on counterpoints. 2039 01:39:34,160 --> 01:39:34,759 Speaker 4: Going to Mexico. 2040 01:39:35,120 --> 01:39:36,719 Speaker 3: Going to Mexico, nice, watch. 2041 01:39:36,720 --> 01:39:39,040 Speaker 4: Some fish concerts. I'll be thinking of you down there. 2042 01:39:39,200 --> 01:39:41,080 Speaker 4: I'm going to get you down there. I'm gonna get 2043 01:39:41,080 --> 01:39:42,640 Speaker 4: you down there one year. You're gonna work it. 2044 01:39:42,720 --> 01:39:44,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, but I won't be at a fish concert and 2045 01:39:44,920 --> 01:39:47,479 Speaker 2: tell you that I'll be somewhere somewhere, very very far 2046 01:39:47,520 --> 01:39:50,599 Speaker 2: away from civilization, eating tacos or something like that from 2047 01:39:50,640 --> 01:39:52,360 Speaker 2: a guy on the street. Anyway, Thank you guys so 2048 01:39:52,479 --> 01:39:54,760 Speaker 2: much for watching. We really appreciate you. Sign up at 2049 01:39:54,760 --> 01:39:57,519 Speaker 2: breakingpoints dot com. If you're able to support our work. Otherwise, 2050 01:39:57,560 --> 01:39:59,400 Speaker 2: Chris will be back and I will see you all tomorrow. 2051 01:40:00,680 --> 01:40:04,280 Speaker 1: The speak spe