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Speaker 1: Happy Friday, guys. Welcome into the late session of the

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Speaker 1: Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Paroltz. You guys can

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Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. You followed

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros on Twitter at Betting Pros NFL. We are

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Speaker 1: here on YouTube for video wherever you get your audio podcasts,

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Speaker 1: and we're always being brought to you by bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: The offer ten dollars to win one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 1: dollars on in any event college basketball, college football, whatever

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Speaker 1: you want to get into promo code Juice one fifty

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Speaker 1: with BETMGM betmgm dot com New users ten dollars to

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Speaker 1: win one fifty if you use the promo code Juice

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Speaker 1: one fifty upon signing up. Okay, boy, last night was

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Speaker 1: a rollercoaster. How about Pitt. Everything had to go right

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Speaker 1: for us to cover the six and a half point number,

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Speaker 1: and I mean everything. They coughed up a big lead,

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Speaker 1: they were able to hold North Carolina to a field

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Speaker 1: goal to go to overtime, not a touchdown, which was

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Speaker 1: debatable as and it almost scored by the one yard line.

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Speaker 1: And then we had to get to have Pitt win

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Speaker 1: the coin toss, and they did and take the ball first,

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Speaker 1: which they did, and then go score a touchdown, which

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Speaker 1: they did, and then kick the extra point and make

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Speaker 1: the extra point, which they did. And then we had

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Speaker 1: to get a stop. And then the heavens opened up

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Speaker 1: and the rain, our gods of gambling had minus six

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Speaker 1: and a half because it was perfect for that rain

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Speaker 1: to come pouring down like that, and we get the

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Speaker 1: one unit win. Pit wins by seven in overtime. Oh boy,

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Speaker 1: one unit cash bang. Now on the other side, this

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Speaker 1: is where you get lucky on one side and unlucky

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Speaker 1: on another. I told you last night that I wanted

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Speaker 1: to play. I wanted to take the seven and a

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Speaker 1: half points with Miami, and I was waiting to find

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Speaker 1: out a book Tua. And then they don't, and then

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Speaker 1: Miami and Brian Flores decides not to play Tua, and

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Speaker 1: we have to go back to last year in the bungling,

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Speaker 1: the ridiculousness that Brian Flora has had last year trying

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Speaker 1: to deal with Ryan Fitzpatrick or Tua and who should

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Speaker 1: play when everybody knew Fitzpatrick should have played the entire

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Speaker 1: season and Miami's a playoff team with Fitzpatrick as the quarterback,

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Speaker 1: Miami's in the playoffs, but because they thought they had

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Speaker 1: to develop a franchise quarterback, Floras just choked. And you know,

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Speaker 1: here in Vegas, he puts to A in, takes two out,

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Speaker 1: puts Fitzpatrick in. They go and win a crazy game

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Speaker 1: with that whole like you know, face mask getting yank

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Speaker 1: throw thing. Brian Flores is a very good defensive coach.

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Speaker 1: He is a very indecisive head coach when it comes

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Speaker 1: to his quarterbacks. Because why the hell, excuse my language

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Speaker 1: wasn't to us starting that game too? I should have started,

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Speaker 1: I mean, per second hurt if Jacobe Prissett doesn't get hurt,

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Speaker 1: do we see toua? I don't know. I don't know

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Speaker 1: if we see too to be quite honest. So man,

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Speaker 1: Miami wins the game outright, the under does not come in,

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Speaker 1: so that one unit does not come in neither bed hit.

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Speaker 1: So we go down a full unit and a half

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Speaker 1: in that game. We came back with a one unit

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Speaker 1: cash on the Pittsburgh game, and we got the under

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Speaker 1: in the Pittsburgh game right as well. So it's a

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Speaker 1: two and two day for us, and it's basically a

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Speaker 1: flat day down the juice. So it's a losing day

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Speaker 1: ten officially to losing day on the pot. It's a

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Speaker 1: losing day for me personally as well. I got the

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Speaker 1: Vegas Golden Knights goal in the first ten minutes, right

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Speaker 1: that game is still going on right now, I have

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Speaker 1: the over five and a half in that game. I

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Speaker 1: don't think I'm getting that. Creighton basketball minus eleven in

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Speaker 1: the first half. What the hell was that they lost

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Speaker 1: in the first half to Kennishaw And I'm forgetting who

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Speaker 1: they played in the first game, which was so pathetically bad,

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Speaker 1: I mean really bad. Both first halfs. The Creighton Blue

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Speaker 1: Jays have been losing to buy opponents. They've come back

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Speaker 1: and won the game in the second half, but neither

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Speaker 1: time covering both games go under. Might be a really

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Speaker 1: rough year in Omaha this year for the Creighton Blue Jays.

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Speaker 1: They do not look good. So we got that wrong?

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Speaker 1: What else did we get right? I'm forgetting what else

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Speaker 1: we wound up right and wrong? But it's a losing

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Speaker 1: day for me personally. So it's a flat day on

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Speaker 1: the juice, losing day for me personally. It's the last

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Speaker 1: two days it's been a winning day for me personally

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Speaker 1: in a losing day in the podcast today, it's down

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Speaker 1: the Juice so tenchnically a losing day but not much.

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Speaker 1: And then it's a losing day for me personally. So

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Speaker 1: I've got four plays to give you guys, right, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: four plays to give you guys here, two in college

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Speaker 1: basketball and one in college or in two in college

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Speaker 1: football that I want to give you guys. Not doing

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Speaker 1: the parlay again today. We'll probably pick that back up

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Speaker 1: next week, maybe after Thanksgiving. Maybe we'll do after Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 1: But just so you guys know, I am going back

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Speaker 1: to Boston for Thanksgiving, and it's going to be kind

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Speaker 1: of interesting as to how I get this done. And

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Speaker 1: you know where I'm taping. I could see the betting

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Speaker 1: pros background. I'm going to be in Boston, you know,

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Speaker 1: in a in a hotel. So I don't know, we'll

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Speaker 1: find out where I'm gonna be doing the Deal Juice

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Speaker 1: podcast from coming up for Thanksgiving. But we have got

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Speaker 1: big NFL slates and big games to bet on, so

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Speaker 1: we'll do that. Let's start with college football, and let's

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Speaker 1: start with Cincinnati taking on South Florida. South Florida is

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Speaker 1: not a bad is a bad football team, Okay, but

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Speaker 1: they're five and four against the spread. Not a good team,

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Speaker 1: but they're five and four against spread. They have the

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Speaker 1: same record against the number as Cincinnati and UCF at

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Speaker 1: home is four and one against the number, four and

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Speaker 1: one against the number. Cincinnati on the road laying twenty

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Speaker 1: three points. All of a sudden, all the pressure is

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Speaker 1: starting to mount on Cincinnati, where even though the committee

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Speaker 1: is sort of playing a game with where they're putting Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: because we're gonna see the cannibalization of teams in front

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Speaker 1: of them when it comes to who gets into the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: If since he just keeps on winning, they'll be undefeated

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Speaker 1: and they'll get in. But they got to keep on winning.

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Speaker 1: That's one of the things. They gotta keep on winning.

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Speaker 1: In the last couple of weeks, it looks like they're

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Speaker 1: a team that's starting to bog down. They're a team

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Speaker 1: that's starting to struggle. Now. Look, they could easily line

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Speaker 1: up and annihilate South Florida tonight, absolutely, But against Navy

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Speaker 1: they were laying twenty eight and a half and they

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Speaker 1: won by seven. Against Tulane, they were laying twenty seven

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Speaker 1: and a half and they won by nineteen. Against Tulsa,

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Speaker 1: they were laying twenty two and a half and they

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Speaker 1: won by eight. They haven't covered since the middle of October.

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Speaker 1: The books are inflating their lines and on the road.

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati is just two and two against the spread, and

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Speaker 1: they've missed their last two games zero to two and

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Speaker 1: their last two against the spread. While South Florida they

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Speaker 1: just lost by twelve to Houston. At home, they covered

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Speaker 1: thir plus thirteen and a half. They did not cover

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Speaker 1: on the road. At East Carolina, they were catching on

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Speaker 1: and a half. They lost by fifteen. Temple, they were

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Speaker 1: laying one and a half and they won by twenty.

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Speaker 1: Against Tulsa they were catching seven and a half. They won,

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Speaker 1: but they lost by one. Against SMU, they were catching

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Speaker 1: twenty one and a half on the road and they

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Speaker 1: lost by twenty four. Against BYU won the road catching

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Speaker 1: twenty three points and they lost by eight. They're catching

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Speaker 1: twenty three points here coming up tonight. Central Florida's offense

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Speaker 1: is not good, all right, it's not good. They're gonna

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Speaker 1: have a really hard time scoring. However, could Central Florida's

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Speaker 1: defense keep this game within three touchdowns? I think they can.

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Speaker 1: I really do. All we're gonna need is Hell Florida,

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Speaker 1: I think is fourteen points. We get fourteen points. I

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Speaker 1: think it's gonna be like a thirty to fourteen final

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Speaker 1: and we're good, all right. I don't like what I'm

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Speaker 1: seeing out of Cincinnati. I don't like what I'm seeing

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Speaker 1: out of their offense. And they're getting everyone's best shot.

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Speaker 1: I mean literally everyone. This is their super I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's in Tampa, it's on the road, it's a Friday night.

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Speaker 1: It's a funky night. I mean, weird things happen on

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Speaker 1: Friday night. I'm taking the twenty three points here. Give

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Speaker 1: me South Florida plus twenty three at home against Cincinnati

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Speaker 1: for a half a unit, right, not going crazy? Half

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Speaker 1: a unit. However, the other half a unit is also

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Speaker 1: going to be in this game. Let's talk about the total.

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Speaker 1: The total is fifty eight. Okay, total is fifty eight

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati and South Florida. Cincinnati is four and five to

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Speaker 1: the over this season. South Florida five and four to

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Speaker 1: the over at home. They're four and one to the

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Speaker 1: over on the road though Cincinnati one in three. The

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Speaker 1: thing about this number being fifty eight is essentially we're

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Speaker 1: saying that Cincinnati is going to score the bulk of

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Speaker 1: the points. I have not seen a team total yet

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Speaker 1: for South Florida, but my guess is going to be

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Speaker 1: somewhere around like thirteen fourteen points, maybe twelve points for

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Speaker 1: South Florida. We're expecting Cincy to score all the points

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Speaker 1: up against South Florida. All we need is for them

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Speaker 1: to either take their foot off the gas or to

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Speaker 1: get up and just run the clock out. Against Houston,

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Speaker 1: the number was fifty three. The final score was fifty

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Speaker 1: four to forty two. Okay, over by forty three points.

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Speaker 1: But in the two previous games for South Florida on

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Speaker 1: the road at East Carolina and home against Temple fifty

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Speaker 1: five and a half game went under by twelve and

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Speaker 1: a half points. They only scored fourteen points. Against Temple

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Speaker 1: at home thirty four to fourteen, fifty four and a

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Speaker 1: half went under by six and a half points, again

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Speaker 1: only scoring fourteen points. They're not scoring very much, okay,

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Speaker 1: So even if we're wrong about this, and since he

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Speaker 1: comes out and dominates and they score thirty five points

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Speaker 1: on their runs like thirty five, nothing the under comes in.

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Speaker 1: So this is more of a fade on South Florida's

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Speaker 1: offense and the only way they covered that number at

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Speaker 1: plus twenty three. They got to keep Cincinnati somewhere in

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Speaker 1: the upper twenties, lower thirties. They get out to a

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Speaker 1: really big fast start. We're in trouble. But the last

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Speaker 1: three games for Cincinnati have all gone under fifty six points.

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Speaker 1: Against Tulsa as a number went under by eight, sixty

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Speaker 1: one and a half against Tulane, went under by eighteen

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Speaker 1: and a half, and forty nine and a half against Navy,

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Speaker 1: went under by two and a half. I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: just it's starting to trend in the wrong direction for Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: and sometimes you just need like, you know, the committee

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Speaker 1: always says like sometimes just worked itself out. And if

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Speaker 1: South Florida could beat Cincinnati tonight, I'm not saying it's

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Speaker 1: going to happen, but if they beat Cincinnati night, all

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Speaker 1: their worries and troubles are done. Right Friday night on

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Speaker 1: the road, funky stuff happens. I'm taking plus twenty three

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Speaker 1: under fifty eight each for a half a unit here

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Speaker 1: for us on a Friday night. That's our lone college

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Speaker 1: football bet here tonight, on our Friday night, Let's go

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Speaker 1: to college football. By the way, my personal plays will

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Speaker 1: be on the NBA games, will be on NHL games.

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Speaker 1: We'll have props other stuff that I'll give you guys

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Speaker 1: if I have time. I've got a crazy day. I

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Speaker 1: don't know if I'm gonna be able to give you

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Speaker 1: everything like I've done the last three days giving you

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Speaker 1: my full cards. I'll try to do that, but I

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Speaker 1: got a very busy day today day today, so I'm

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Speaker 1: running around like crazy, and I may or may not

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Speaker 1: be able to give you, guys before like a full card.

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Speaker 1: I may have to check in and give you like

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Speaker 1: little piece meal like Okay, I bet that, Okay, I

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Speaker 1: bet this, I bet that. I know a bunch of

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Speaker 1: you guys have enjoyed seeing my entire card as to

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Speaker 1: what I'm playing. I'm gonna try to continue doing that

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Speaker 1: as much as possible so you guys can see it.

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Speaker 1: But NHL and NBA betting will come later today in

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel, bettingpros dot com, slash chat or underneath

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Speaker 1: me for the link on YouTube. All right, two teams

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Speaker 1: I have been waiting to bet on, and we get

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Speaker 1: to bet on them tonight. Let's start with the marquee

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Speaker 1: game of the entire night, Villanova at UCLA if you're

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Speaker 1: going bar hopping, you're going out. This game is bang bang,

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Speaker 1: bang up your alley. Okay, you're gonna come home after

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Speaker 1: going out to the best college game of the day.

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Speaker 1: Nova at Ucla for some reason, and I don't really

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Speaker 1: get why, but I'm gonna take it. Ucla is getting

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Speaker 1: a ton of public love and this number has been

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Speaker 1: driven up to four and a half. It was three,

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Speaker 1: now it's four and a half. Ucla at home. Game one.

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Speaker 1: For UCLA, they beat up on cal State Bakersfield twenty

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Speaker 1: three point line. They won by thirty seven. For Nova

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Speaker 1: playing Mount Saint Mary's, I was on that personally, laying

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Speaker 1: twenty six points twenty six and a half. They won

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Speaker 1: by forty, easily covering that number. Both teams want to know.

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Speaker 1: I love Villanova. This is a team I'm gonna ride early.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna ride them late. I like Villanova a lot.

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Speaker 1: I love their leadership, I love their experience, and I'm

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Speaker 1: just not buying Ucla. I'm sorry, I'm just not buying Ucla.

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Speaker 1: They were so lucky last year and this is the time. Okay,

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Speaker 1: they got a game under their belt, but I'm not

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Speaker 1: buying them as one of the elite, elite teams in

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Speaker 1: college basketball. Yet I like mccronin, okay, but this is

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Speaker 1: a team that was in the play in game for

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Speaker 1: a reason. They got very hot. They've done a great

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Speaker 1: job in recruiting. I understand they've got experience, but you

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Speaker 1: know who has insane experience in big time basketball games. Villanova.

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Speaker 1: And this is a nationally televised game, this is in

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Speaker 1: Los Angeles. This is a huge opportunity for Nova to

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Speaker 1: push its brand to the West Coast. Big game for

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Speaker 1: jay Wright to pounce here. I will have a personal

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Speaker 1: play on the money line, okay, but the official play,

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Speaker 1: I am taking the four and a half points. Give

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Speaker 1: me Covin Gillespie, give me Villanova, give me jay Wright

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Speaker 1: plus four and a half Nova on the road at UCLA.

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Speaker 1: I cannot wait to watch this darn game. It's gonna

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Speaker 1: be awesome. Eight thirty Pacific time, Tip eleven thirty on

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Speaker 1: the East Coast for the best game of the college

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Speaker 1: basketball day, Nova at Ucla. And then my second play,

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Speaker 1: so Nova plus four and a half half a unit,

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Speaker 1: other half a unit. Where we're going. I've been waiting

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Speaker 1: to bet Purdue, and I've been waiting for a game

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Speaker 1: where we can jump on this and well, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go back to my Missouri Valley Conference days. You guys

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Speaker 1: know this. I tend to look at valley games a

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Speaker 1: lot in eyeball different valley plays, and Purdue has I

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Speaker 1: don't know what you would call that, and calling an

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Speaker 1: NBA team probably isn't nice. They've got like giants, like

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Speaker 1: legitimate human beings who just knew who are real giants.

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Speaker 1: And Indiana State has like no size whatsoever. They're in

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Speaker 1: such trouble on the glass tonight, like if they get

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Speaker 1: an offensive rebound tonight, I'll be stunned. Like Indiana State,

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Speaker 1: they've got a real big problem on their hands coming

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Speaker 1: here against Purdue. Now, Purdue in their first game against

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Speaker 1: Bellamine Bellamine twenty four point line, they win by twenty nine.

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Speaker 1: In the first game for Indiana State, they were two

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Speaker 1: and nine point favorites against Wisconsin Green Bay. They won

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Speaker 1: by four. This number is twenty three points opened up

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Speaker 1: at twenty four. It's come down a little bit. I

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Speaker 1: got it at twenty three. Purdue is going to annihilate

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Speaker 1: Indian State. And I love when we have an opportunity

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Speaker 1: to take on these games early because I think when

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Speaker 1: it when you have Matt Painter up against a in

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Speaker 1: state school, there is a little bit of this like

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Speaker 1: big brother little brother thing going on. Like, Okay, Indiana State,

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Speaker 1: like you've had some fun, you're known for Larry Bird.

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Speaker 1: But we're Purdue. We're expected to be a top ten team,

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Speaker 1: and we've got gargantuan guys up and down our roster.

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Speaker 1: We're just gonna throttle you. I think this is a

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Speaker 1: monster mismatch. This is the first time we get to

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Speaker 1: watch Purdue play. They're on the Big Ten Network, and

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Speaker 1: I think Indiana State's in a world of trouble. I

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Speaker 1: think Purdue wins the game by forty. I think I

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Speaker 1: just think they absolutely kill Indiana State coming up here

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Speaker 1: tonight on a Friday night, get their fans all rocking

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Speaker 1: and happy and excited and pumped up, beat up on

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Speaker 1: the little brother, and embarrass the little brother, because I

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Speaker 1: just it's not just like produce a jump shooting team

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Speaker 1: like Indiana State just doesn't have the horses to keep

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Speaker 1: up here. When you've got us seven to four center

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Speaker 1: in a six foot ten you know, starting power forward.

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Speaker 1: You know, Williams is just gonna be awesome this year.

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Speaker 1: He's gonna be so much fun to watch in him

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Speaker 1: coming out. Javon Willam's coming back for a senior season.

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Speaker 1: Perdue returns all five starters ninety percent sorry, ninety four

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Speaker 1: point six percent of their scoring and eighty eight point

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Speaker 1: two percent of their rebounding all come back. All right,

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Speaker 1: Mad Painters team is loaded, and they will unload tonight

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Speaker 1: at home taking on Indiana State. I'm gonna lay the

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Speaker 1: twenty two twenty three points here Perdue minus twenty three

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Speaker 1: at home against Indiana State. All right, So two plays

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Speaker 1: in college basketball, we're taking Villanova plus four and a half,

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Speaker 1: taking Purdue minus twenty three. I will have other things

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Speaker 1: going on. We'll talk about it in the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: NBA plays props maybe hockey player two to get into

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Speaker 1: here on our Friday night. But two plays are four

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Speaker 1: plays rather on three games. We're going under fifty eight

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati on the road at South Florida. I'm taking the

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Speaker 1: twenty three points South Florida plus twenty three. We're laying

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Speaker 1: the twenty three points with Purdue at home against Indiana State,

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Speaker 1: and we're catching taking the plus four and a half

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Speaker 1: for Villanova taking on UCLA. Mine's Matt Parult. Every morning,

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Speaker 1: it's the Daily Juice Podcast. We're counting down to our

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Speaker 1: five hundredth episode of the Daily Juice podcast. I will

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Speaker 1: talk to you every morning, including tomorrow morning, for the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice here on Betting pros dot com