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Speaker 1: Welcome into the Friday morning edition and the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Barolt here on Bettingpros dot com.

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Speaker 1: This is always being brought to you by bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: All right, we are going to have a very special

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice for you guys. This is a forty five

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Speaker 1: minute podcast. This is from the YouTube live stream from

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Speaker 1: last night. You guys are gonna hear me break down

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Speaker 1: the picks and the plays that I've got going on

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Speaker 1: here on Friday. Also, I'm going to make a selection

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Speaker 1: on every single game being played, side pick on every

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Speaker 1: game being played coming up here on Friday for the

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Speaker 1: NCAA tournament. So very cool stuff. Remember, we're coming back

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Speaker 1: again with a live stream on Saturday morning at eleven

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Speaker 1: am Eastern eight am Pacific time. There will be a

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast on Saturday morning specifically just for the picks.

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Speaker 1: Then the podcast coming at sorry, then the live stream

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Speaker 1: coming at you for all the other picks and plays

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Speaker 1: coming for Saturday eleven am for that Eastern time for

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Speaker 1: that live stream, but then the Daily Juice dropping on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: But let's join the live stream that I hosted on

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Speaker 1: our YouTube channel. Subscribe to it if you're not a subscriber,

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Speaker 1: please do that here for the Daly Juice podcast for

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot Com on YouTube. Let's do it daily Juice

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Speaker 1: podcast here on a Friday morning and here on a

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Speaker 1: Thursday afternoon for a live stream. And okay, so we're good.

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Speaker 1: So everyone says we're looking good. Everyone says we're going good.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's rock and roll here. Okay, so we're

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Speaker 1: one and one on the day. Michigan State up next. Boy,

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Speaker 1: that was a sweat for Drake. So Drake plus two

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Speaker 1: that gets home for us. That was really nice. I

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Speaker 1: loved to see that. We needed that because of what

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Speaker 1: happened with Mount Saint Mary's so kind of a bummer.

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Speaker 1: I come out of the gym and I'm all like

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Speaker 1: bouncing and like excited, like hey, let's go, Like, oh god,

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Speaker 1: really what happened? Mount Saint Mary's gets beaten in the

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Speaker 1: second half by Texas Southern. So start off the day

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Speaker 1: zho to one. That's not good. So then we roll

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Speaker 1: into a really hard first half for Drake and they

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Speaker 1: went on a ten to zero run to end the

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Speaker 1: first half. Now this is something to watch, Okay to

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Speaker 1: watch for Layola Chicago in their game coming up here

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Speaker 1: against Georgia Tech. The Valley for a long time has

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Speaker 1: had a problem with starting slow in games because of

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Speaker 1: the layoff, they're not up to speed. Georgia Tech played

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Speaker 1: just last Sunday in the ACC championship game. Loyola hasn't

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Speaker 1: played for what two weeks in the when they played

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Speaker 1: two weeks ago in the Missouri Valley Conference championship game,

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Speaker 1: so that layoff was obvious. Drake couldn't hit a darn thing.

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Speaker 1: And then they woke up and they survived because well,

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Speaker 1: which is US State decided to take a three when

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Speaker 1: they didn't need to take a three? Why not take

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Speaker 1: that ball to the rack man go up to lay that.

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Speaker 1: I mean, that's a make the referee have to make

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Speaker 1: a call. Don't take a pull up jumper from five

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Speaker 1: feet behind three point line. I'm not complaining, okay. I

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Speaker 1: mean we had Drake plus two, that three goes. It's

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Speaker 1: a push. So when he pulled up for three, I

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Speaker 1: was like, you're hitting me, and then it was short,

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Speaker 1: so Drake wins. I Unfortunately, after everyone and I mean

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Speaker 1: three different people on the air and two others off

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Speaker 1: the air, said Matt, you have the best number for

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Speaker 1: Drake middle that you got three, take it lay the

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Speaker 1: three for which dou state plus three you got plus

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Speaker 1: three on Drake, you got a middle opportunity, you'll hit

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Speaker 1: both bets. I've been burned a lot with that. And

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Speaker 1: so instead of, you know, one of my friends said, look,

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Speaker 1: losing the juice is not really losing, no, it is.

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Speaker 1: It is to me, right, if I'm gonna lose nearly

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Speaker 1: a half a unit because I'm betting on both sides

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Speaker 1: and it doesn't hit if Drake blows them out or

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Speaker 1: which is to blows him out, that's frustrating to me.

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Speaker 1: So the middle hit and the text messages poured in

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Speaker 1: saying did you do it? Did you do it? And

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Speaker 1: not didn't do it? So I just took the win.

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Speaker 1: I'm not being kind of a sore winner here, but

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Speaker 1: I just it was annoying, Okay, put it that way.

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Speaker 1: I choked on it. Should have done it. I was

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Speaker 1: told by multiple people do it, do it, do it,

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Speaker 1: and I didn't do it. And it's kind of like

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Speaker 1: one of those things at the blackjack table where everyone's

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Speaker 1: standing around and like telling you to hit on seventeen

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Speaker 1: and you're like, nope, not hitting on seventeen and then

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Speaker 1: you know you end up you win your card, but

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Speaker 1: everybody else wanted you to hit or take a bus

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Speaker 1: card or whatever. So it's just frustrating when that happens

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Speaker 1: and everyone's telling you to do it. You gotta hold steady.

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Speaker 1: If I had pushed, I would have been really mad

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Speaker 1: because I would have been a push and a win.

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Speaker 1: So that was one person's point saying that three goes,

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Speaker 1: it's a push and a win. So now you know

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Speaker 1: you're up the same, so it's you know, it really

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter. At the end of the day, it really

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter. So Norfolk State and app State are playing

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Speaker 1: right now. Then we have Michigan State taking on UCLA

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Speaker 1: in the nightcap, which is gonna be a pretty boring game.

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Speaker 1: So tomorrow we've got a litany of games. Okay, we

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Speaker 1: got sixteen games to go through. So what I thought

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Speaker 1: I would do is, I'm gonna give you my picks.

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Speaker 1: Then I'm gonna go through all sixteen games for tomorrow.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you a pick and a play on

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Speaker 1: them all. Okay, what I think is going to happen

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Speaker 1: where I think it wouldn't be a bad idea to

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Speaker 1: go ahead and bet on these games. Okay, So that's

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Speaker 1: how I'm gonna do it. And then we'll get into

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Speaker 1: conversations with you guys, and we'll start talking about things

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Speaker 1: you want to talk about and answering questions and whatnot,

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Speaker 1: and we'll hang out here for you know, hmm, like

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Speaker 1: I don't know, we'll hang out for till six forty

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Speaker 1: five or so forty five minutes. Okay, So let's start

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Speaker 1: here and I can give you the picks in the

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Speaker 1: place for where I'm going to be. If this is

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Speaker 1: if you're listening to this, you're not gonna be able

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Speaker 1: to see this. But I'm gonna go ahead and and

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Speaker 1: run this through. Hopefully my mic does not cut off

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Speaker 1: here when I do that, Okay, does not? All right,

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Speaker 1: So here's where we are for the picks that I've

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Speaker 1: got going on for tomorrow. Okay, got four plays going

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Speaker 1: for you guys coming up here for tomorrow. Let's start

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Speaker 1: with Villanova, a play I gave you guys last night

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Speaker 1: on the Daily Juice. Villanova minus six and a half.

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Speaker 1: That number has come down. There's money on Winthrop. Okay,

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Speaker 1: you probably get a better number than I'm gonna get.

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Speaker 1: But here's what I'm thinking for Nova, Nova's had enough

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Speaker 1: time to figure this out. Villanova did not perform well

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Speaker 1: in the in the biggest tournaments or against Providence in

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Speaker 1: the game right before the biggest tournament's biggest tournaments, following

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Speaker 1: the loss of Colin go Lesbie, their starting point guard.

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Speaker 1: But they've had quite a bit of time to figure

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Speaker 1: this out. Now, Okay, they've had quite a bit of

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Speaker 1: time to practice, to get ready and to see Winthrop.

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Speaker 1: And I'm gonna roll with the better athletes. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: roll with the better players, and I'm gonna roll with

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Speaker 1: Villanova mine six and a half against Winthrop, and I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna fade a trendy dog. There's a lot of trendy

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Speaker 1: dogs out there. There's a lot of people who are

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Speaker 1: all about Winthrop, Winthrop, Winthrop. And on Saturday, you're gonna

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Speaker 1: see it because I'm gonna come back. And now I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go against everyone here with their with their trendy picks.

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Speaker 1: And I could follow my face and be dead wrong.

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Speaker 1: But I'm looking at the Creighton Blue Jays, I'm looking

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Speaker 1: at Virginia, I'm looking at Villanova, I'm looking at Chalk,

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Speaker 1: and I'm looking at the teams that we all bet

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Speaker 1: on and watched all year long. And I know the

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Speaker 1: dance is crazy, and I know six and a half

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Speaker 1: can be a big number, But I just think Villanova

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Speaker 1: is way more talented than Winthrop. And I think the

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Speaker 1: level of competition that Nova played versus who Winthrop played, well,

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Speaker 1: they won twenty plus games. Matt, Yeah, look at this

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Speaker 1: is not like Drake versus Wichdall State in terms of

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Speaker 1: who they've played all right. I mean everyone was was

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Speaker 1: on Wichdall because they were, like, well, whichital had? You know,

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Speaker 1: they played better caliber opponents. Now it's not the same. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Novah played in the Big East. Okay, Novah played some

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Speaker 1: wars and I think they're gonna play well enough. I

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Speaker 1: don't think they're going far in the dance. I just

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Speaker 1: think they're better than Winthrop. They're more talented, and I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take Villanova to winning cover at six and a

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Speaker 1: half here against Winthrop. Pick number two North Carolina and Wisconsin.

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Speaker 1: If you guys are a long time listeners of the Jews,

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Speaker 1: you know how I feel about Wisconsin. I haven't been

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Speaker 1: a huge fan of Wisconsin, and I've looked at Wisconsin

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Speaker 1: kind of negatively for most of the year. I've lost

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Speaker 1: a bunch of money on Wisconsin because I just haven't

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Speaker 1: seen the games. Right we are on Iowa against Wisconsin,

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Speaker 1: and Wisconsin covered late in this season. North Carolina, their

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Speaker 1: bigs are gonna be the difference here. Wisconsin's used to

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Speaker 1: being the bigger team. They're not gonna be the bigger

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Speaker 1: team against North Carolina. I like with North Carolina how

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Speaker 1: they looked at the end of the season. I know

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Speaker 1: things in the ACC didn't go that well. It's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a tight game. You gotta really look at the

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Speaker 1: point guard play and the guard play for Wisconsin. You

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Speaker 1: gotta check that. You can't really there's like one or

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Speaker 1: two main options for Wisconsin. You gotta check it. If

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Speaker 1: you're if your North Carolina, you gotta play defense. But

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Speaker 1: Roy Williams is I believe twenty nine and zero in

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Speaker 1: first round games in the NAA tournaments. I think that

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Speaker 1: goes to thirty and oh here against Wisconsin. It's basically

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Speaker 1: a pick. It's minus one and a half. So I mean,

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Speaker 1: it could be a tight game to down the wire,

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Speaker 1: but I'm gonna take North Carolina to win and advance

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Speaker 1: here to take on Baylor in the next round. One

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Speaker 1: dog to talk about here, all right, and that is

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Speaker 1: Syracuse plus the three. Syracuse is a team that is

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Speaker 1: taking on another one of these trendy dogs in San

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Speaker 1: Diego State. These teams have played before, and San Diego

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Speaker 1: State could not figure out the three. It comes down

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Speaker 1: to one thing. I'm sorry, I could not figure out

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Speaker 1: the two three. This comes down to one thing, and

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Speaker 1: really one thing only, and that is whether you're going

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Speaker 1: to see threes fall for San Diego State. And they're

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Speaker 1: really good at hitting threes. But Buddy Beheim has got

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Speaker 1: to play the way that he played like he did

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Speaker 1: in the ACC and I just think that team for

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Speaker 1: Syracuse is starting to come around here a little bit. Also,

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Speaker 1: the question marks about Brian Dutcher leaving for Minnesota are loud. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we talked about this on my radio show a lot.

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Speaker 1: But Brian Dutcher has a four million dollar buyout for

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Speaker 1: every other team except Minnesota, where it's a one million

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Speaker 1: dollar buyout, all right, So he has already put this

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Speaker 1: into play where he wants to go to Minnesota. His

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Speaker 1: dad was the coach there. I think he's gone, and

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Speaker 1: I think when players at mid majors know that they

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Speaker 1: can have it in the back of their minds, like, hey, coach,

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Speaker 1: you're out of here anyway, so what do I care

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Speaker 1: what you say? And Syracuse has Jim Beheim, okay, and

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Speaker 1: you've got that two three zone, and you've got a

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Speaker 1: guy who has been criticized a lot this year for

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Speaker 1: the way things have gone, and a run in the

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Speaker 1: NAA Tournament would go a long way for Syracuse. And

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Speaker 1: Jim Beyheim just shut everybody up as to how they've

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Speaker 1: been talking about this Syracuse team. And his son Buddy

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Speaker 1: was on fire in the ACC. He's gonna have to

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Speaker 1: be on fire again here if Syracuse wants to win

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Speaker 1: this game. But I got Syracuse to beat San Diego State.

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Speaker 1: I just think Syracuse has played a high level competition,

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Speaker 1: two more difficult games in the ACC than once. San

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Speaker 1: Diego State has played in the Mountain West Conference way

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Speaker 1: too many games. The bottom of the Mountain West Conference

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Speaker 1: was absolute garbage this year, complete trash. So I think

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Speaker 1: up against Syracuse, you got longer athletes, better athletes, better

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Speaker 1: basketball team, Syracuse plus three and then the last play

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Speaker 1: going for tomorrow. All these are a half a unit.

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Speaker 1: By the way, Rutgers, I like this team. I like

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Speaker 1: Rutgers a lot. I like their talent. This is a

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Speaker 1: team that's got a chance to make some noise. This

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Speaker 1: is a team that if they advance and taking on Houston,

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Speaker 1: I think they had a chance to push Houston here,

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Speaker 1: and look, they this could be a big year for them.

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Speaker 1: Rutgers played in the Big Ten. They played some really

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Speaker 1: tough competition, some really good teams, beating some good teams

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Speaker 1: hanging around. Okay, they've got to take care of the

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Speaker 1: basketball and they've got to rebound. But I think Rutgers

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Speaker 1: is gonna win this game here against Ruck against Clemson.

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Speaker 1: It's just minus one here, So I'm on Rouck minus

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Speaker 1: one against the against the Clemson Tigers here. Okay, So

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Speaker 1: four plays, half a unit going here for us on

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Speaker 1: a Friday. I'm not playing any hockey. I'm not playing

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Speaker 1: NBA an the NBA. We're going strictly with these four plays,

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Speaker 1: and then I've got five going on Saturday. Okay, And

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Speaker 1: I mean I want to get into I mean, I

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Speaker 1: but we're doing one of these live streams on Saturday morning,

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Speaker 1: and I'm doing the Daily Juice on Saturday morning as well.

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Speaker 1: So like I don't want to give you the plays

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Speaker 1: yet here on Saturday, but I have five plays on

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Speaker 1: Saturday because I do like five games on Saturday. So

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Speaker 1: Villanova mina six and a half, North Carolina minus one

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Speaker 1: and a half, Syracuse plus three in Rutgers minus one. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so let's go through all sixteen games here, and let's

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Speaker 1: talk about what I've pipped and what I think is

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Speaker 1: gonna happen against the spread. Okay, Virginia Tech and Florida.

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Speaker 1: Virginia Tech is a really interesting team. This game is

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Speaker 1: a pick between Florida and Virginia Tech. I'm taking Virginia

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Speaker 1: Tech to win this game, but I don't know which

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Speaker 1: Florida team is gonna show up, and if the good

256
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Speaker 1: Florida team shows up, they can win this game. If

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Speaker 1: the bad Florida team shows up, I don't know. I'm

258
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Speaker 1: taking Virginia Tech, but I don't love it. I couldn't

259
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Speaker 1: bet it. I don't love it. This is a game

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Speaker 1: to watch. Tight game one or two possessions will dictate

261
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Speaker 1: and determine this for sure. Second game, Colgate in Arkansas.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the most interesting game from a book perspective.

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Speaker 1: Because everyone's on colegate, I have Arkansas to win the

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Speaker 1: money line is minus three point ninety. I don't know

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Speaker 1: about that. That's just that's a lot. That's a lot

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Speaker 1: of juice to put down on Arkansas. But for Colgate

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Speaker 1: to keep the game close. A lot of people think

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Speaker 1: the metrics are wrong. The metrics say Colgate is going

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Speaker 1: to be in this game. If you believe the numbers,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna be in this game. A lot of people

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Speaker 1: say that's not true. People have talked to I've said

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Speaker 1: that's not true. Arkansas is gonna run them out of

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Speaker 1: the gym. They're gonna kill him. Muscleman's got some great

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Speaker 1: young talents. He's a really good coach in the tournament.

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Speaker 1: He's had success with Nevada. Look out for this Arkansas team. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I like Arkansas. They win the game. How many points?

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Speaker 1: Nine and a half is a lot of points. I

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Speaker 1: don't know. Too many points to lay Arkansas wins. If

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Speaker 1: I had to bet, take Colgate plus the nine and

280
00:13:17,400 --> 00:13:22,079
Speaker 1: a half. But I don't know. Third game Drexel and Illinois. Well,

281
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Speaker 1: Illinois is my champion. So Illinois to win this game

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Speaker 1: and going away if I'm gonna bet this game, Okay,

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Speaker 1: Illinois in the first half, first half point spread is thirteen.

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Speaker 1: The line is twenty two and a half. I hate

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Speaker 1: when they do that. I hate when they shave, when

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00:13:39,800 --> 00:13:41,520
Speaker 1: they shade because they know people are gonna do this.

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Speaker 1: So really, the line should be like ten or eleven, right,

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Speaker 1: twenty two and a half should be eleven and a half.

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Speaker 1: It's thirteen. It's thirteen for a reason, because they know

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Speaker 1: bet the first half on Illinois mis thirteen. You're gonna

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Speaker 1: play the game. Bet the first half. Don't lay twenty

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Speaker 1: two and a half points. You don't know what the

293
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Speaker 1: guys are gonna do when all the bench players come

294
00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:01,560
Speaker 1: in in the late part of the first half. It

295
00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:03,800
Speaker 1: could be just you get burned from a last second

296
00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:06,640
Speaker 1: shot or something. Don't like it. Texas Tech in Utah

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00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:09,920
Speaker 1: State's an interesting matchup, and I have Tech winning this game,

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00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:15,840
Speaker 1: but I am confused. I am feeling like I don't

299
00:14:15,880 --> 00:14:19,000
Speaker 1: know what to do with this game exactly because of

300
00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:21,400
Speaker 1: the fact that Utus State twots the three pretty well

301
00:14:21,880 --> 00:14:24,840
Speaker 1: and Texas Tech defensively is very good. I'm not playing

302
00:14:24,880 --> 00:14:26,880
Speaker 1: any totals, but I think the under one thirty one

303
00:14:26,920 --> 00:14:29,160
Speaker 1: in this game would definitely be in play. I think

304
00:14:29,200 --> 00:14:32,400
Speaker 1: Tech wins. I would probably take Tech minus four, but

305
00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:34,520
Speaker 1: I'm not positive. I don't feel great about that. I

306
00:14:34,520 --> 00:14:37,080
Speaker 1: think the coaching is great. Craig Smith's a really good coach.

307
00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:38,760
Speaker 1: Is that success in the tournament and then you've got

308
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Speaker 1: a really good coach in Chris Beard. So if I

309
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Speaker 1: had to take it, I would take Texas Tech minus four,

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00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:45,360
Speaker 1: Ohio State and Oral Roberts. I looked at this game.

311
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Speaker 1: I think the Buck guys win big. I think sixteen

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00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:50,160
Speaker 1: is a big number. I'm a little concerned about the

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Speaker 1: Buck guys after that big ten performance being so good

314
00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:54,360
Speaker 1: and maybe a big letdown for them, though I'm a

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00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:56,240
Speaker 1: little nervous about that. I have a high State in

316
00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:58,480
Speaker 1: the final four, so I want a hotestate to come

317
00:14:58,520 --> 00:15:01,080
Speaker 1: out here and just destroy or ro But again, it's

318
00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:03,920
Speaker 1: a big number. Same thing with Baylor and Hartford. If

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Speaker 1: you're gonna bet this game, it's Baylor in the first

320
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Speaker 1: half against Hartford. Hartford's got awful, by the way, they

321
00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:11,600
Speaker 1: are not a good team. The number is fourteen and

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Speaker 1: a half for Baylor. I would bet Baylor in the

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Speaker 1: first half. I'm gonna bet it. Bet Baylor in the

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Speaker 1: first half. It's funny how everyone's like, well, you know,

325
00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:21,000
Speaker 1: maybe they keep it close in the first half, but

326
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Speaker 1: I don't think so with these sixteen seeds. Hartford is

327
00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:27,240
Speaker 1: not good. They have no they have no athletes anywhere

328
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Speaker 1: close to Baylor. That game, I may I'm I'm gonna

329
00:15:30,840 --> 00:15:32,840
Speaker 1: I may bet that game in the first half myself,

330
00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:35,720
Speaker 1: because I think Baylor is just gonna absolutely destroy Hartford.

331
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Speaker 1: If you're watching Hartford play, you mass Lowell in the

332
00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:40,080
Speaker 1: championship game of the America East. That is not a

333
00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:43,360
Speaker 1: good basketball team, all right, Oregon State and Tennessee. I

334
00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:46,920
Speaker 1: looked at this game. This game was almost on my radar.

335
00:15:46,960 --> 00:15:49,920
Speaker 1: This is all. This game almost made the card. So

336
00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:54,040
Speaker 1: when you look at Oregon State, I don't think they're

337
00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:56,960
Speaker 1: that good. I think Oregon State's gonna get destroyed in

338
00:15:57,000 --> 00:15:59,320
Speaker 1: this game. Oregon State made on a miracle win on

339
00:15:59,320 --> 00:16:01,920
Speaker 1: a miracle run, won the PAC twelve, and everyone's like, oh,

340
00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:04,320
Speaker 1: Oregon State, Look, they're not a good team. The PAC

341
00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:08,040
Speaker 1: twelve is not a good conference. Tennessee plays really strong defense.

342
00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:10,680
Speaker 1: I like this volunteer team. I'd lay the eight and

343
00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:12,560
Speaker 1: a half, all right, So a couple of you guys

344
00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:15,840
Speaker 1: are wondering about the parlay. I'm gonna lay that eight

345
00:16:15,840 --> 00:16:19,560
Speaker 1: and a half. I'm gonna lay Liberty plus seven and

346
00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:22,240
Speaker 1: a half, a game that almost made the card. But

347
00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:25,239
Speaker 1: my guy, Papa Bear, who's on my show every single Thursday,

348
00:16:25,400 --> 00:16:27,920
Speaker 1: that's his play of the week is Liberty plus seven

349
00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:31,200
Speaker 1: and a half. All right, So we're gonna go plus

350
00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:35,320
Speaker 1: seven and a half for Liberty against Oklahoma State. That

351
00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:38,280
Speaker 1: is a very popular pick for a lot of people.

352
00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:42,360
Speaker 1: A lot of people really really like that play, and

353
00:16:42,560 --> 00:16:44,200
Speaker 1: I think Liberty is gonna keep that game very close.

354
00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:46,320
Speaker 1: Oklahoma State might win on like a Caid Cunningham last

355
00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:48,880
Speaker 1: second shot, but look at Liberty and what they're capable

356
00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:53,560
Speaker 1: of doing. Take Tennessee minus eight and a half against

357
00:16:53,600 --> 00:16:58,240
Speaker 1: Oregon State and we'll find one more game here for

358
00:16:58,640 --> 00:17:01,240
Speaker 1: the other game that would have almost made my uh

359
00:17:01,360 --> 00:17:03,080
Speaker 1: oh yeah, Baylor in the first half. Let's see if

360
00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:04,600
Speaker 1: we add in Let's see what happens when we add

361
00:17:04,600 --> 00:17:09,080
Speaker 1: in Baylor in the first half. Here laying fourteen and

362
00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:12,879
Speaker 1: a half up against a really bad Heartford team. So

363
00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:15,600
Speaker 1: let's see. So if we were to parlay that, that's

364
00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:18,880
Speaker 1: plus six hundred. There you go. All right, So there

365
00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:23,640
Speaker 1: is your don't play a parlay parlay for Friday, because

366
00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:26,120
Speaker 1: well the podcast. Will this is part of the podcast,

367
00:17:26,320 --> 00:17:27,879
Speaker 1: So let's just on the fly. You guys get to

368
00:17:27,880 --> 00:17:29,800
Speaker 1: see me to do it. Tennessee mins Eight and a

369
00:17:29,800 --> 00:17:33,600
Speaker 1: half Liberty plus seven and a half Baylor minus fourteen

370
00:17:33,600 --> 00:17:35,440
Speaker 1: and a half in the first half. That is plus

371
00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:37,399
Speaker 1: six hundred Okay, so there you go. There's a three

372
00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:40,479
Speaker 1: leg parlay at plus six hundred two wins. So if

373
00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:42,400
Speaker 1: you want to bet that, don't bet the parlay parlay.

374
00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:44,200
Speaker 1: There you go. We're two and eight so far. Bet

375
00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:46,120
Speaker 1: and knows by the way, so we're still technically making

376
00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:48,960
Speaker 1: money on them, and we'll see if Baylor destroys Hertford's

377
00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:51,320
Speaker 1: really really bad. Tennessee Mins. Eight and a half probably

378
00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:53,639
Speaker 1: is the most shaky of those three bets, because I

379
00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:55,760
Speaker 1: do think Liberty's gonna cash that seven and a half.

380
00:17:55,880 --> 00:17:57,720
Speaker 1: That's not my play, so I don't. I'm gonna. I

381
00:17:57,720 --> 00:17:59,680
Speaker 1: already bet that myself. I bet Liberty plus seven and

382
00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:01,320
Speaker 1: a half, but I don't. That's not my play. So

383
00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:03,800
Speaker 1: I don't take people's plays and say okay here and

384
00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:06,040
Speaker 1: give it to you guys as if it's my play now.

385
00:18:06,080 --> 00:18:08,720
Speaker 1: But if you want extra action and pose four games

386
00:18:08,720 --> 00:18:10,600
Speaker 1: we talked about, you want extra action. You can go

387
00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:13,560
Speaker 1: ahead and jump on that if you would like. Okay,

388
00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:16,879
Speaker 1: So let me just pull those down from a picks perspective.

389
00:18:18,000 --> 00:18:22,639
Speaker 1: All right, So we're going Tennessee Liberty plus seven and

390
00:18:22,680 --> 00:18:24,440
Speaker 1: a half is he mins eight and a half and

391
00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:27,040
Speaker 1: we're going first half for Baylor fourteen and a half. Okay,

392
00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:30,960
Speaker 1: let's see Georgia Tech. Would I skip a game? Nope,

393
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:34,280
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech and Laylo Chicago. All right, So Georgia Tech's

394
00:18:34,320 --> 00:18:36,720
Speaker 1: center starting center is out due to COVID nineteen. That's

395
00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:38,760
Speaker 1: where that line has moved dramatically. To my four and

396
00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:42,199
Speaker 1: a half. I was going to take Layola Chicago, and

397
00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:44,600
Speaker 1: then the line moved dramatically, and I was like, okay,

398
00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:46,679
Speaker 1: and then it kept on moving, kept on moving. I

399
00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:49,000
Speaker 1: like Leayol Chicago to win this game, but I think

400
00:18:49,080 --> 00:18:51,760
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech very well might keep this game within four

401
00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:53,560
Speaker 1: and a half points. If I had to bet this,

402
00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:55,560
Speaker 1: I would take Georgia Tech plus four and a half.

403
00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:59,040
Speaker 1: I'm curious where the line will close if we still

404
00:18:59,080 --> 00:19:02,399
Speaker 1: this this line, here's to climb five six some of

405
00:19:02,520 --> 00:19:04,840
Speaker 1: that range. I'll be on Georgia Tech. Okay. I will

406
00:19:04,840 --> 00:19:08,000
Speaker 1: take Georgia Tech to maybe win the game outright a

407
00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:09,960
Speaker 1: plus one eighty plus two hundred of the money line

408
00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:11,600
Speaker 1: and may be worth taking Georgia Tech just giving the

409
00:19:11,640 --> 00:19:14,440
Speaker 1: level competition they've played. But I think Jost Pastors is

410
00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:16,360
Speaker 1: a really good coach, but they're playing above their heads

411
00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:18,399
Speaker 1: here a little bit in Layos Chicago with Porttermosor is

412
00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:21,240
Speaker 1: a really good team, really good coach team. They got

413
00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:23,399
Speaker 1: the bigs inside to handle this and maybe exploit the

414
00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:26,199
Speaker 1: fact that there's not gonna be the center there. Excuse

415
00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:28,560
Speaker 1: me for Georgia Tech. If I had to bet, I'll

416
00:19:28,560 --> 00:19:29,920
Speaker 1: take Tech plus four and a half. I'll wait to

417
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:31,439
Speaker 1: see how many points I can get out of that.

418
00:19:32,119 --> 00:19:34,480
Speaker 1: Wisconsin and North Carolina already told you. I'm on North

419
00:19:34,520 --> 00:19:37,640
Speaker 1: Carolina minus one and a half. Cleveland State in Houston.

420
00:19:38,080 --> 00:19:42,080
Speaker 1: So Houston is a horrible matchup for Cleveland State, just

421
00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:45,080
Speaker 1: absolutely horrible. But Cleveland State can score, they could run,

422
00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:47,040
Speaker 1: they can shoot, they can score. So I don't want

423
00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:48,680
Speaker 1: to take that in the first tap as Cleveland State

424
00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:50,960
Speaker 1: might hit a bunch of threes early and be up.

425
00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:53,040
Speaker 1: I also don't want to lay the twenty points with

426
00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:56,679
Speaker 1: Houston because I'm a little concerned about Houston's ability to

427
00:19:56,840 --> 00:20:00,640
Speaker 1: uh with backups and whatnot. They have killed team before.

428
00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:03,080
Speaker 1: I like Houston a lot. I've got Houston going to

429
00:20:03,080 --> 00:20:07,000
Speaker 1: the Sweet sixteen. If Houston does play Rutgers, I will

430
00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:09,199
Speaker 1: be on Houston, depending on what the line's gonna be.

431
00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:11,320
Speaker 1: But I think Houston wins the game. I think Houston's

432
00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:14,200
Speaker 1: gonna beat Cleveland State. I just don't know about twenty

433
00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:17,520
Speaker 1: They could they have beaten people at thirty thirty five points.

434
00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:20,240
Speaker 1: They this is a bad matchup for Cleveland State. Okay,

435
00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:22,440
Speaker 1: it's just a matter of how many points Houston wants

436
00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:24,560
Speaker 1: to win the game by. That's my problem, and I

437
00:20:24,720 --> 00:20:29,840
Speaker 1: just don't know. Purdue and North Texas line is seven

438
00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:32,480
Speaker 1: and a half for Purdue. I have Purdue winning this game.

439
00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:35,240
Speaker 1: But if I had to bet this, North Texas I

440
00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:38,800
Speaker 1: think will put a scare in Purdue. The difference might

441
00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:41,959
Speaker 1: be that seven foot three center for Purdue, the kids long,

442
00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:44,760
Speaker 1: the kids really hard to guard. North Texas has no

443
00:20:44,760 --> 00:20:47,800
Speaker 1: one to really match up with him. But they're faster

444
00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:50,680
Speaker 1: and more athletic than Purdue. They're gonna push Purdue, they're

445
00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:53,760
Speaker 1: gonna run. So my question really comes down to whether

446
00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:57,600
Speaker 1: or not Purdue can blow out North Texas. I'm not sure.

447
00:20:58,080 --> 00:21:00,160
Speaker 1: So if I was gonna bet it, I would take

448
00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:03,119
Speaker 1: North Texas plus seven and a half. Just not that

449
00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:05,720
Speaker 1: comfortable because if they're not hitting threes and they're turning

450
00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:08,560
Speaker 1: the basketball over, Perdue could win that game going away.

451
00:21:09,040 --> 00:21:11,080
Speaker 1: Syracuse in San Diego State, you guys know, I'm on

452
00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:14,600
Speaker 1: Syracuse plus the three there in that game. Morehead State

453
00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:18,159
Speaker 1: in West Virginia. I like West Virginia a lot, and

454
00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:20,800
Speaker 1: I'm a big fan of them, but I just don't

455
00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:23,280
Speaker 1: know about Moreheads State. I don't know enough about them.

456
00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:25,240
Speaker 1: I haven't seen them play. Okay, I've seen a lot

457
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:27,800
Speaker 1: of teams in this tournament play. I haven't seen Morehead

458
00:21:27,840 --> 00:21:31,960
Speaker 1: State play thirteen to a lot of points. This is

459
00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:33,720
Speaker 1: just a no play game for me. I really don't

460
00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:35,320
Speaker 1: have a good feel at all on this game. For

461
00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:39,159
Speaker 1: Morehead State in West Virginia. I am on Nova minus

462
00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:43,480
Speaker 1: six and a half against winthrow one game that I

463
00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:46,280
Speaker 1: am watching, all right, and in the Discord channel, you

464
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:50,680
Speaker 1: guys very well might get this ad from me tomorrow morning. Okay,

465
00:21:51,320 --> 00:21:57,640
Speaker 1: Georgetown against Colorado. I haven't bet this game yet. On

466
00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:00,880
Speaker 1: on my bracket, I have Georgetown winning this game outright,

467
00:22:01,720 --> 00:22:05,560
Speaker 1: I'm not there yet. It's plus one ninety. I might

468
00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:08,360
Speaker 1: be on a quarter unit on the two to one

469
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:11,360
Speaker 1: odds for Georgetown to win this game. Outright again, I'm

470
00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:15,560
Speaker 1: fading the Pac twelve. Colorado is a decent team. Georgetown's

471
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:17,879
Speaker 1: long and they're hard to match up against. And if

472
00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:21,240
Speaker 1: Georgetown's threes are falling, I just need to do a

473
00:22:21,320 --> 00:22:24,199
Speaker 1: little bit more research into Georgetown up against teams like

474
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:27,159
Speaker 1: Colorado as to what they're shooting percentage is like. But

475
00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:30,960
Speaker 1: if I can get Georgetown plus six plus seven, I'm

476
00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 1: gonna be on Georgetown most likely plus or maybe even

477
00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:37,840
Speaker 1: moneyline taking Georgetown against Colorado. So the Discord channel is

478
00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:40,600
Speaker 1: where I will put that bettingpros dot com slast chat

479
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:42,800
Speaker 1: to get into the Discord channel. If you're on YouTube

480
00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:45,240
Speaker 1: right below here, I guess everyone's on YouTube, but that's

481
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,440
Speaker 1: the onliest I am right now. I'm taping the podcast,

482
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 1: but no one else is on YouTube. Down below, there's

483
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:53,160
Speaker 1: a link on our YouTube channel for go aheading into

484
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:56,040
Speaker 1: to click on it and you can get into our YouTube.

485
00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:57,920
Speaker 1: You get in George discorre channel to be a part

486
00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:00,360
Speaker 1: of that. So we've we've gone over four thousand users

487
00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:02,880
Speaker 1: on discord, which is really cool, and so we'll have

488
00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:05,040
Speaker 1: a couple of plays in there, or at least display well.

489
00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:08,320
Speaker 1: If I make it with Georgetown over Colorado are taking

490
00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:10,119
Speaker 1: the five and a half, I'll make the play and

491
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:14,400
Speaker 1: they're coming up tomorrow morning. Florida State and North Carolina Greensboro.

492
00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:17,200
Speaker 1: The line is ten and a half. It's a big number.

493
00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:21,240
Speaker 1: It's a big number. Florida State's really talented. I just

494
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:24,760
Speaker 1: feel like I think it's too heavy, and I think

495
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:28,639
Speaker 1: Nten you would see Greensboro can keep the game relatively close.

496
00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:30,919
Speaker 1: But I'm nervous. I think that line is right. I

497
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:33,240
Speaker 1: think it's a double digit, ten point win for Florida State.

498
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:35,480
Speaker 1: So I don't see a lot of angle. There a

499
00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:40,439
Speaker 1: lot of benefit here. Okay, Eastern Washington and Kansas minus

500
00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:45,680
Speaker 1: ten and a half. Kansas has done this a lot. Okay,

501
00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:53,200
Speaker 1: Kansas has unfortunately done things where they have stumbled and

502
00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 1: they have lost to good teams early. You have Buck,

503
00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:03,560
Speaker 1: Now you have Baylor, so you have Buck, now you

504
00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:06,159
Speaker 1: have Bradley, and you have Northern Iowa where they have

505
00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:10,879
Speaker 1: lost games early that in the tournament. For that reason,

506
00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:13,920
Speaker 1: I'm not betting Kansas. I think they kill Eastern Washington.

507
00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:18,040
Speaker 1: But given their history, KU either loses the first game

508
00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:20,000
Speaker 1: or like goes to the final four. Like it's one

509
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:23,080
Speaker 1: of the other for them. So Bill Selp is notorious

510
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:26,359
Speaker 1: for first round losses. Can't do it. That's why I'm

511
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:32,600
Speaker 1: passing on this game. So sorry, Okay, those two games okay,

512
00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:36,159
Speaker 1: so sorry, Colorado and Georgetown is on Saturday. Okay, whoops, sorry,

513
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,760
Speaker 1: there we go, So we skipped over, so we got

514
00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:41,760
Speaker 1: into I went too far. Well, I blew through too

515
00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:47,880
Speaker 1: many games, and sorry, I was going through a bunch

516
00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:54,560
Speaker 1: of these games. So where are we here on these

517
00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:56,960
Speaker 1: first round these first okay? Yeah, you know right, Okay,

518
00:24:57,000 --> 00:24:58,880
Speaker 1: Now these games are tomorrow, okay, this is right. Yeah,

519
00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:01,320
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, So we're it was saying tomorrow, but tomorrow's

520
00:25:01,320 --> 00:25:03,520
Speaker 1: Friday and today is not Friday. Okay, so where was I?

521
00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:07,320
Speaker 1: And yeah, okay, so the Georgetown Colorado game, the Winter

522
00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:10,399
Speaker 1: Nova game was the last game. So Georgetown Colorado is

523
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:13,159
Speaker 1: a game that again I'm watching for Saturday and we'll

524
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:14,960
Speaker 1: see what happens with that. So those three games I

525
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:18,040
Speaker 1: was just talking about are games that will handle later. Okay. Sorry,

526
00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:19,800
Speaker 1: So I was getting getting ahead of myself. There a

527
00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:22,280
Speaker 1: little bit as to where we are with our picks

528
00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:24,240
Speaker 1: in place. Okay, So in case you're just joining us again,

529
00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:26,600
Speaker 1: let me throw up the the picks again, Nova Mine

530
00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:28,879
Speaker 1: six and a half North Carolina is one and a half.

531
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:32,760
Speaker 1: Syracuse plus three in Rutgers minus one is where we are. Okay.

532
00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:35,000
Speaker 1: So let's get to some of your questions here as

533
00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:38,320
Speaker 1: to what you guys are doing, where you guys are

534
00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 1: for your where's the chat? Okay, where's the chat? Hold

535
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:50,960
Speaker 1: on second? Alright, there's a left chat? Okay, all right,

536
00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:53,119
Speaker 1: so let's get to these questions you guys have, Okay,

537
00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:57,080
Speaker 1: Matt Gaman, what a game for Drake, huge second half.

538
00:25:57,080 --> 00:25:58,879
Speaker 1: I had that money line live. It was juicy in

539
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:00,760
Speaker 1: the second half. Huge hit for you guys. Great job.

540
00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:05,840
Speaker 1: That's awesome. They did hit that. Let's see. Okay, let

541
00:26:05,840 --> 00:26:08,760
Speaker 1: the madness begin. I believe it. Colgate take the points

542
00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:10,520
Speaker 1: with Coldgate eight and a half is the play. Look,

543
00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:12,720
Speaker 1: a lot of people are on that. Okay, that's a

544
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:17,199
Speaker 1: very popular play tomorrow. And again I'm I'm fading a

545
00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:19,119
Speaker 1: lot of these plays. Okay, I'm fading a lot of

546
00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:22,120
Speaker 1: these like, Hey, everyone's on it. Go eh. Okay, that's

547
00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:25,080
Speaker 1: why I'm on North Through. Everyone's on Winthrop. Okay, everyone's

548
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:31,680
Speaker 1: on Winthrop. I'm on Nova. Any no parlay parlays, right,

549
00:26:31,760 --> 00:26:33,200
Speaker 1: so I want to make sure I mess up and

550
00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:36,280
Speaker 1: give you guys something that's not gonna be Let's see

551
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:40,160
Speaker 1: the Liberty game. So that game is tomorrow. That game

552
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:43,480
Speaker 1: is tomorrow, and Baylor is tomorrow. Right, so I think

553
00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:48,480
Speaker 1: I didn't screw that up, right, Let's see Baylor is tomorrow. Yeah, okay, good,

554
00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:51,359
Speaker 1: So there you go. There's the parlay Tennessee. Mine is

555
00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:53,560
Speaker 1: eight and a half, Liberty plus seven and a half,

556
00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:55,560
Speaker 1: Baylor minus fourteen and a half in the first half.

557
00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:58,760
Speaker 1: There is your three team plus six hundred parlay for

558
00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:03,680
Speaker 1: they don't play a parlay parlay. Winthrop's gonna beat Nova. See,

559
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:06,400
Speaker 1: that's my point, and Rutgers is gonna beat Clemson. Well, okay, maybe,

560
00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:08,200
Speaker 1: I mean I'm on Ruckers, but I'm not on Ruckers

561
00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:10,920
Speaker 1: because everybody thinks that is because I think that that's

562
00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:14,119
Speaker 1: why I'm on Rutgers. I know everyone's on Winthrop. I

563
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:17,720
Speaker 1: mean it's a very chucky public play. Okay, it's very

564
00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:20,400
Speaker 1: A lot of people are on it. I'm just I'm

565
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:26,840
Speaker 1: fading it. Honest. So cut back to you, Matt, I

566
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:30,880
Speaker 1: love your ancestors. Yeah, who in the b YU game

567
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:32,600
Speaker 1: on Saturday. You have to listen to the live stream

568
00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 1: on Saturday morning for that, because it's gonna be a

569
00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:36,840
Speaker 1: live stream right here on YouTube for Saturday morning at

570
00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:39,760
Speaker 1: eight o'clock Pacific eleven am Eastern time, talking all about

571
00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:44,680
Speaker 1: that game and more coming up for BUYU. That's Utah State.

572
00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:46,400
Speaker 1: Miss four and a half is a good play. Utah

573
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:48,119
Speaker 1: State's not four and a half. That's plus four and

574
00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:49,560
Speaker 1: a half. Yeah, used to say it's plus four and

575
00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:53,800
Speaker 1: plus four now fandos a plus four for that here

576
00:27:54,080 --> 00:27:58,480
Speaker 1: on that. Why is your friend like Liberty so much?

577
00:27:58,520 --> 00:28:00,880
Speaker 1: I've watch boats in Oklahoma. State is the better team

578
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:04,520
Speaker 1: in my eyes. Okay, Look, handicappers have their own situations.

579
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:08,840
Speaker 1: And I mean, if you've been on the Daily Juice before,

580
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:12,119
Speaker 1: or our live streams before, or you've talked heard me

581
00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:13,760
Speaker 1: talk in the discord or read me talk in the

582
00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:17,720
Speaker 1: discord about my guys, I'm an aggregator of information. Okay,

583
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:19,920
Speaker 1: that's what I for me. That's where I am. I'm

584
00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:24,919
Speaker 1: an aggregator of information. So I believe that it's smarter

585
00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:28,360
Speaker 1: for me to listen to as many people as possible

586
00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:31,600
Speaker 1: and taking as much information as possible, and then guys,

587
00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:35,199
Speaker 1: I trust in Sean Lockhart. Papa Bear is someone I trust.

588
00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:37,439
Speaker 1: I've known him for four years now, he's spell on

589
00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:41,760
Speaker 1: my radio show for three and he wins consistently. He

590
00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:45,600
Speaker 1: puts up his bets, puts up his plays. He's one

591
00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:49,040
Speaker 1: of the two handicappers that sells picks that I actually

592
00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:51,680
Speaker 1: have on my radio show that we go back and

593
00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:53,520
Speaker 1: forth all the time. But I think you shouldn't sell picks.

594
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:56,280
Speaker 1: And he's like, I think you're wrong. And I have

595
00:28:56,560 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 1: known him for I respect him. I think he things

596
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:02,760
Speaker 1: the right way, and so I listened to him. And

597
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:04,560
Speaker 1: when he says something like that, and he comes on

598
00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:06,560
Speaker 1: and he wins more than he loses. How about that?

599
00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:09,680
Speaker 1: So he really likes Liberty. He thinks Liberty can push tempo.

600
00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:11,960
Speaker 1: He thinks Liberty can shoot a bunch of threes, and

601
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:13,800
Speaker 1: he thinks they can keep the game close. He's not

602
00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:16,280
Speaker 1: saying Liberty wins outright, He's just saying seven and a

603
00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 1: half points is too heavy for Oklahoma State. And he's

604
00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:22,440
Speaker 1: a little down on the big twelve. I don't agree

605
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:23,960
Speaker 1: with that. I'm not down on the Big Twelve. I

606
00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:26,520
Speaker 1: think the Big twelve's really good this year, in particular

607
00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 1: the top teams in the Big Twelve. I love West Virginia.

608
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:31,520
Speaker 1: I've liked Baylor a lot, although their defensive efficiency has

609
00:29:31,560 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 1: not been nearly as good as it's been in the past.

610
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:36,360
Speaker 1: I mean, I think there are teams that are gonna

611
00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:38,560
Speaker 1: make runs here in the Big Twelve. I've got Texas

612
00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:42,760
Speaker 1: in the final four. So my final four is Gonzaga, Texas,

613
00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:45,920
Speaker 1: Ohio State, Illinois. That's my final four. So that's why

614
00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:48,800
Speaker 1: I mean, it's not my play. Again, I'm not gonna

615
00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:50,760
Speaker 1: sit there and tell you that I can explain all

616
00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:53,120
Speaker 1: of it to you because it's not my play. But

617
00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:56,200
Speaker 1: Liberty plus seven and a half is his play. He

618
00:29:56,320 --> 00:29:59,719
Speaker 1: likes Liberty a lot. Coming up here today. Iowa eight

619
00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:02,640
Speaker 1: in the f half. Yeah, look, I think that that's

620
00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:07,000
Speaker 1: again that's a Saturday game. But I agree with that.

621
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,120
Speaker 1: I think Iowa kills Grand Canyon personally, and then they

622
00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:13,840
Speaker 1: lose to Oregon. How about that. I think I was

623
00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:16,320
Speaker 1: gonna take apart Grand Canyon. Iowa loves to beat bad

624
00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:18,600
Speaker 1: teams if you look at historically speaking, when they play

625
00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:20,360
Speaker 1: some of these cupcakes. They tend to kill it when

626
00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 1: guards has got a big advantage and you can't match

627
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:24,040
Speaker 1: up with a dude like that that's that big and

628
00:30:24,080 --> 00:30:26,520
Speaker 1: they can run and shoot. You know, this is where

629
00:30:26,520 --> 00:30:28,160
Speaker 1: he goes to work. And I think he just goes

630
00:30:28,200 --> 00:30:30,959
Speaker 1: to work. So first half Gonzaga, sorry, first half IOWA

631
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 1: in that game against Grand Canyon. Sure, I think that'd

632
00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:36,920
Speaker 1: be a good play first half for the game as well.

633
00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:38,840
Speaker 1: But we'll get into all that coming up on the

634
00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:41,720
Speaker 1: on the live stream coming up for Saturday for the

635
00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,920
Speaker 1: Daily Juice. Any over under total points you like in

636
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:48,959
Speaker 1: the first round, All right, here's my thing. Okay, I

637
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:54,280
Speaker 1: have this like stupid rule that I am. I am

638
00:30:54,320 --> 00:31:00,880
Speaker 1: not going to bet a over under in this tournament.

639
00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 1: Dave Sherifpan and I have a running joke right now.

640
00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:05,840
Speaker 1: He wants to see how many rounds it takes me

641
00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:08,640
Speaker 1: to break that promise. He thinks I will get involved

642
00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:12,320
Speaker 1: with the total. I just think basketball and tournaments, it's

643
00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:16,480
Speaker 1: so difficult to bet tournament over unders totals. I just

644
00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:18,720
Speaker 1: think you don't know how the game's gonna go, the

645
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:22,360
Speaker 1: pace of the game, game planning, it's just it's hard.

646
00:31:22,520 --> 00:31:24,800
Speaker 1: You can say Okay, Yeah, it's gonna go over over over,

647
00:31:24,840 --> 00:31:27,760
Speaker 1: and so often tournament games go under. So many tournament

648
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:30,560
Speaker 1: games go under. I mean, everybody likes this Norfolk State

649
00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:33,480
Speaker 1: and app State over, Right, They've scored fifty six points

650
00:31:33,520 --> 00:31:35,360
Speaker 1: in the first tap. I think I think the total

651
00:31:35,560 --> 00:31:38,680
Speaker 1: was like one forty or something like that. I mean

652
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:40,400
Speaker 1: everyone thought that both teams are gonna run up and

653
00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:42,400
Speaker 1: down and shoot and score twenty points in the first

654
00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 1: tap for Appalation State, right, So maybe the second half

655
00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:47,320
Speaker 1: everything changes and maybe the over does come in. But

656
00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:50,719
Speaker 1: I just think it's it's hard to predict pace of play,

657
00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:54,440
Speaker 1: it's hard to predict how teams react, how they hit shots.

658
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:58,880
Speaker 1: It's just tough. So if I can avoid it, I'm

659
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:01,840
Speaker 1: not gonna bet totals in this tournament. Just sides in

660
00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:04,960
Speaker 1: money lines. That's where I'm gonna be. We lost the

661
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:07,760
Speaker 1: money line bet with Mount Saint Mary's this morning. We

662
00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 1: got the Drake bet later in the day at plus two.

663
00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:13,680
Speaker 1: We got Michigan State coming up later on today. So

664
00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:16,080
Speaker 1: if you're listening to this on Friday morning for the

665
00:32:16,120 --> 00:32:18,800
Speaker 1: Daly Juice podcast, I do not know if we went

666
00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:20,920
Speaker 1: too in one or one in two. Hopefully we went

667
00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:23,360
Speaker 1: to in one, but that Michigan State play is so

668
00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:27,040
Speaker 1: bleeping public that I am scared to death of it.

669
00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:30,400
Speaker 1: So much money at DraftKings ninety percent of the money

670
00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:33,120
Speaker 1: was on Michigan State. I hate that, you guys know,

671
00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:35,680
Speaker 1: I absolutely hate that. So I don't know, Maybe we

672
00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:38,080
Speaker 1: go too in one, but I'm feeling one and two night.

673
00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:42,200
Speaker 1: Unfortunately on this it doesn't make more sense to make

674
00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:50,920
Speaker 1: to for an over under betting in live betting. I mean, yeah, okay,

675
00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:52,600
Speaker 1: I mean you can do that, you can live bet,

676
00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 1: but this is not what I mean. At some point, okay,

677
00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:59,440
Speaker 1: there's going to be a television network designed to just

678
00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:03,160
Speaker 1: live wagering, and you're gonna have people who will literally

679
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:06,200
Speaker 1: tell you live betting, live betting like Doug Zierian form

680
00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:09,760
Speaker 1: ESPN doesn't bet pregame much. He bets end game all

681
00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:13,280
Speaker 1: the time. That's just what he does. I'm not like

682
00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:16,160
Speaker 1: that because my job is not built that way. He

683
00:33:16,360 --> 00:33:19,240
Speaker 1: is a little bit more flexible because he's the host

684
00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:21,640
Speaker 1: of the Daily Wager, and so he is not inclined

685
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:24,200
Speaker 1: to have to He makes picks, but he's making one

686
00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:26,840
Speaker 1: pick per show, all right. He's hosting the show and

687
00:33:26,840 --> 00:33:29,560
Speaker 1: he'll make one pick. That's not what I do. I

688
00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:31,440
Speaker 1: host a four hour radio show where I've got to

689
00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:33,600
Speaker 1: make more than one pick. He hosts a one hour

690
00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:35,640
Speaker 1: television show. I'm not knocking what he does. I love Doug.

691
00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:38,440
Speaker 1: I'm just saying it's a different circumstances where he can

692
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:40,960
Speaker 1: live wager a lot more and make most of his

693
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:43,640
Speaker 1: bets because no one's looking for him for his live bets.

694
00:33:44,360 --> 00:33:46,520
Speaker 1: He's making his own bets and plays and whatnot. For me,

695
00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:50,160
Speaker 1: I need to be more on the studying side going

696
00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:52,680
Speaker 1: into a game. I live wager, Don't get me wrong.

697
00:33:52,760 --> 00:33:54,800
Speaker 1: I live bet with the best of them, and I

698
00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:57,080
Speaker 1: probably will bet over and under. But like for official

699
00:33:58,000 --> 00:34:01,600
Speaker 1: quote unquote Daily Juice official plays, I take those really seriously,

700
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:03,880
Speaker 1: Like that record is really important to me. We track that.

701
00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:07,960
Speaker 1: That's really important. So taking flyer bets and doing ridiculous

702
00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:10,520
Speaker 1: things and just like firing on stuff. Of course I

703
00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:13,080
Speaker 1: do that like everybody else. Do I bet stupid parlays?

704
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:16,040
Speaker 1: Of course I bet stupid parlays. Should I not do it?

705
00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:17,600
Speaker 1: Of course I shouldn't do it. I just don't do

706
00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:20,080
Speaker 1: it a lot. I'll have like one five buck bet

707
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:22,719
Speaker 1: a weekend going that may return, like you know, two

708
00:34:22,800 --> 00:34:25,799
Speaker 1: hundred bucks or something. It never hits. I know it's

709
00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:28,800
Speaker 1: not gonna hit. Just do it for fun. So that's

710
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:30,840
Speaker 1: kind of the point of like, you know, I was

711
00:34:30,840 --> 00:34:32,400
Speaker 1: talking about this on my radio show a little bit,

712
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:35,520
Speaker 1: but New Jersey had a twenty point five percent hold

713
00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:39,759
Speaker 1: in the month of January on I'm sorry about the February.

714
00:34:40,040 --> 00:34:43,799
Speaker 1: On parlays, the average hold for a sports book should

715
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:46,320
Speaker 1: be like six five percent, somewhere in that range. Twenty

716
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:49,680
Speaker 1: point five percent, so four times what they normally win,

717
00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:53,960
Speaker 1: what they normally keep, twenty percent on parlays. That's a

718
00:34:54,080 --> 00:34:57,480
Speaker 1: huge money maker. They love you for betting parlays if

719
00:34:57,520 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 1: you do it knowing you're gonna lose in just for

720
00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:01,879
Speaker 1: five bucks or whatever. But if you're consistently every day

721
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:04,880
Speaker 1: betting thirty forty fifty buck parlays trying to hit that

722
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:10,360
Speaker 1: home run, don't bet a parlay. Don't bet the parlay period.

723
00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:13,200
Speaker 1: So there you go. All right, a couple more minutes here,

724
00:35:14,120 --> 00:35:18,920
Speaker 1: let's see Alabama and Michigan in the same region. I'm

725
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:22,480
Speaker 1: so tired of how good Gonzaga is. Hard to be

726
00:35:22,600 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 1: bad when you don't play any team in the Big

727
00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:27,640
Speaker 1: Ten could stomp on them. Shannon, I'm gonna tell you

728
00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:32,840
Speaker 1: right now that the two seed, the three seed, and

729
00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:39,719
Speaker 1: the four seed in Gonzaga's region Gonzaga curb stomped them.

730
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:44,200
Speaker 1: This idea that Gonzaga didn't play anybody is really wrong.

731
00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:46,759
Speaker 1: All right. I know you may be a Big Ten

732
00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:49,640
Speaker 1: fan and oh we play this great, Okay, I understand it.

733
00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:52,560
Speaker 1: I have Gonzaga and Illinois playing in the championship game,

734
00:35:52,600 --> 00:35:55,640
Speaker 1: and I have Illinois beating Gonzaga. Okay, so I will

735
00:35:55,640 --> 00:35:58,440
Speaker 1: go with the Big Ten over the West Coast Conference.

736
00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 1: But Gonzaga is in the Fire Game, Gonzaga is in

737
00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:07,080
Speaker 1: the Final four, Gonzaga is really good, and Gonzaga is Gonzaga, Gonzaga,

738
00:36:07,120 --> 00:36:08,600
Speaker 1: Gonzaga whatever. You want to get mad when I say

739
00:36:08,640 --> 00:36:11,319
Speaker 1: Gonzaga wrong. It's like Nevada and Nevada people get all

740
00:36:11,560 --> 00:36:13,239
Speaker 1: ticked off when you get say that wrong too. In

741
00:36:13,239 --> 00:36:14,920
Speaker 1: the West. It's like it must be a West Coast

742
00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:20,520
Speaker 1: like desert thing. But Gonzaga is really good, like really

743
00:36:20,560 --> 00:36:24,000
Speaker 1: really really good. Okay. They have a lottery pick at guard.

744
00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:29,160
Speaker 1: Jalen Suggs is legit, like legit, legit, really really good.

745
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:32,400
Speaker 1: Timmy's a really good big they only play seven players,

746
00:36:32,440 --> 00:36:35,000
Speaker 1: that's their problem. Illinois beats them because of their depth,

747
00:36:35,040 --> 00:36:37,800
Speaker 1: and I think in a championship game setting, oftentimes fouls

748
00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:39,839
Speaker 1: come into play, and I think Illinois wins the game.

749
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:44,160
Speaker 1: So that's why I have Illinois over Gonzaga, love Bbama

750
00:36:44,160 --> 00:36:47,200
Speaker 1: as the final four choice. Nope, I have Ukon beating Alabama.

751
00:36:47,600 --> 00:36:53,440
Speaker 1: Just fya, I've never heard you go over one unit.

752
00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:57,960
Speaker 1: What would it take to bring that out? Oh? Okay,

753
00:36:58,239 --> 00:37:00,880
Speaker 1: so if you're new. So the reason why I'm not

754
00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:04,440
Speaker 1: going over one unit is because of COVID, and I

755
00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:07,840
Speaker 1: don't think we can use the numbers in the same way.

756
00:37:08,160 --> 00:37:10,160
Speaker 1: Even though there are numbers now you can say you

757
00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:15,040
Speaker 1: can reference, but historical, historically speaking, excuse me, numbers are

758
00:37:15,080 --> 00:37:17,480
Speaker 1: out the window. Because there's no fans, there's no travel,

759
00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:21,640
Speaker 1: the games are different. Coaches you hear everything, the players

760
00:37:21,680 --> 00:37:25,720
Speaker 1: hear everything, Referees here, everything, it's just very, very different.

761
00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:28,839
Speaker 1: Without fans. It's a different type of environment. Home court

762
00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:32,240
Speaker 1: totally different, home ice totally different, home field totally different. Okay,

763
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:36,520
Speaker 1: So that's why until we get to like I think

764
00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:39,400
Speaker 1: probably by July, I'll be back betting full units on

765
00:37:39,440 --> 00:37:42,040
Speaker 1: everything and I'll be willing to risk the bank roll,

766
00:37:42,080 --> 00:37:43,719
Speaker 1: and I'd be willing to come on out and go

767
00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:46,239
Speaker 1: full unit and go from there. But the reason why

768
00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:48,600
Speaker 1: I don't go over one unit is because of flat wagering.

769
00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:52,920
Speaker 1: So flat wagering is the premise is the thought that,

770
00:37:53,040 --> 00:37:55,919
Speaker 1: regardless of the juice you're paying, you bet the same

771
00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:59,080
Speaker 1: number over and over again. So for math purposes, you

772
00:37:59,080 --> 00:38:01,680
Speaker 1: can bet one hundred dollar on everything. So if you're

773
00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:04,239
Speaker 1: betting minus two to twenty five odds, that would return

774
00:38:04,280 --> 00:38:07,560
Speaker 1: about forty four dollars. Okay, so you bet one hundred bucks.

775
00:38:07,520 --> 00:38:11,200
Speaker 1: We just did this with the discord play for that

776
00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:14,640
Speaker 1: one last week where it was minus two twenty five odds.

777
00:38:15,000 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 1: So you go ahead, and if you're betting one hundred dollars,

778
00:38:17,080 --> 00:38:20,160
Speaker 1: you're being minus two to twenty five and it's returning

779
00:38:20,200 --> 00:38:24,800
Speaker 1: forty four dollars. Whether I'm betting four units, two units,

780
00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:27,000
Speaker 1: eight units, No, I don't do any of that, Okay,

781
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:31,960
Speaker 1: I know I'm going to lose. I am a conservative gambler.

782
00:38:32,080 --> 00:38:37,600
Speaker 1: I play defense, not offense. A true gambler plays offense.

783
00:38:38,040 --> 00:38:41,920
Speaker 1: A true gambler attacks. That's just not I'm in this

784
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:44,520
Speaker 1: for the long term, all right, I'm in this for

785
00:38:44,640 --> 00:38:47,120
Speaker 1: the marathon. I'm not in this for the quick fix.

786
00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:50,200
Speaker 1: I'm not in this. I'm not selling subscriptions, all right.

787
00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:53,640
Speaker 1: I've been doing this before the Dealer Juice began, and

788
00:38:53,680 --> 00:38:56,640
Speaker 1: I'm sticking by it, and it's worked for me so far,

789
00:38:57,360 --> 00:38:59,920
Speaker 1: because I know the down is coming, I know THEA

790
00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:03,640
Speaker 1: eight and one is coming. It's always lurking around the corner.

791
00:39:03,800 --> 00:39:07,799
Speaker 1: So I'm playing defense for that situation. That's why I'm

792
00:39:07,800 --> 00:39:10,880
Speaker 1: not arrogant cocky. You don't see me. You know. I

793
00:39:11,120 --> 00:39:14,080
Speaker 1: celebrate my victories, but I don't use terms like kill

794
00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:17,680
Speaker 1: your bookie, you know, bang your bookie, you know, crush

795
00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:19,680
Speaker 1: the book like. I don't do any of that stuff.

796
00:39:19,680 --> 00:39:22,759
Speaker 1: I just that's just not what I know. There are

797
00:39:22,760 --> 00:39:25,319
Speaker 1: smarter people out there than me. I know there are

798
00:39:25,360 --> 00:39:28,239
Speaker 1: better people at gambling than me. I just try to

799
00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:30,520
Speaker 1: talk to them. That's my goal. My goal is to

800
00:39:30,600 --> 00:39:32,719
Speaker 1: try to learn from them. If you're better at this

801
00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:34,600
Speaker 1: than I am, Okay, can I talk to you? How

802
00:39:34,640 --> 00:39:36,279
Speaker 1: do you do it? What do you do? How do

803
00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:38,960
Speaker 1: you study? I want to learn, right, I'm not the

804
00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:41,760
Speaker 1: end all be all, I'm not an oracle. I'm not Yoda.

805
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:44,520
Speaker 1: I don't have biffs almanac. Okay, I know how tough

806
00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:47,200
Speaker 1: this is. I know how hard this is. The greatest

807
00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:49,640
Speaker 1: gambler in the world won fifty seven percent of his

808
00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:54,040
Speaker 1: bets documented. When you know that and you realize that, well,

809
00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:57,640
Speaker 1: you have to play defense because the books are always

810
00:39:57,960 --> 00:40:01,239
Speaker 1: up on us. It's there one hundred ten to hour,

811
00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:06,319
Speaker 1: one hundred dollars every single time, and they're always they're

812
00:40:06,360 --> 00:40:09,680
Speaker 1: always leading, They're always you know, we always have one

813
00:40:09,719 --> 00:40:12,400
Speaker 1: hand tied behind our back in the boxing fight. So

814
00:40:12,480 --> 00:40:15,000
Speaker 1: because of that, I'm slipping and moving and I'm trying

815
00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:17,560
Speaker 1: to be a bit more elusive, and I don't want

816
00:40:17,560 --> 00:40:20,760
Speaker 1: to get hit because I know that overhand right is coming,

817
00:40:21,080 --> 00:40:23,279
Speaker 1: so I want to slip it and come back with

818
00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:26,640
Speaker 1: something a little more quick right. That's how I do it.

819
00:40:27,160 --> 00:40:29,920
Speaker 1: That's and and other people. You're welcome to bet whatever

820
00:40:29,960 --> 00:40:32,319
Speaker 1: you want on my picks. Okay, you're welcome to take

821
00:40:32,719 --> 00:40:35,680
Speaker 1: We had just a run last week where I was

822
00:40:35,760 --> 00:40:39,080
Speaker 1: twenty and seven. Okay, I had a week about a

823
00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:41,520
Speaker 1: month ago where I was twenty and five. You want

824
00:40:41,520 --> 00:40:43,960
Speaker 1: to bet more, you want to go full units, And

825
00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:45,680
Speaker 1: a lot of guys have said that Matt, you're hot

826
00:40:45,800 --> 00:40:48,560
Speaker 1: some guys are parlaying my picks together and hitting I

827
00:40:48,560 --> 00:40:51,160
Speaker 1: don't like that. I don't recommend that, but that's the

828
00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:53,160
Speaker 1: I get why people are trying to do that. I

829
00:40:53,200 --> 00:40:55,600
Speaker 1: get the idea of why you're doing that. So like

830
00:40:56,200 --> 00:40:58,840
Speaker 1: to me, it's you can bet whatever you want. I

831
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:00,880
Speaker 1: just tell you what I'm betting and how I'm betting it,

832
00:41:00,880 --> 00:41:03,839
Speaker 1: and we track it that way. Okay, So again, I'm

833
00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:07,200
Speaker 1: a conservative. Better I play defense with the books. I

834
00:41:07,239 --> 00:41:10,800
Speaker 1: don't feel like their algorithms and their army of people

835
00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:12,919
Speaker 1: that I can go to war with them and win.

836
00:41:13,480 --> 00:41:15,360
Speaker 1: Some do, And I know people who do go to

837
00:41:15,400 --> 00:41:18,600
Speaker 1: war with the books and win consistently and win big

838
00:41:18,880 --> 00:41:22,080
Speaker 1: pet but big bets down and win consistently. I'm just not.

839
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:26,400
Speaker 1: That's just not me. That's just what I do. Okay,

840
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:28,600
Speaker 1: that's just not what I do. So hopefully that hopefully

841
00:41:28,640 --> 00:41:36,080
Speaker 1: that makes sense. Okay, before we wrap here, Gators by three,

842
00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:41,400
Speaker 1: Florida or Virginia Tech. I have VA Tech money line tomorrow.

843
00:41:41,600 --> 00:41:43,680
Speaker 1: It's a pick them, so I would say I would

844
00:41:43,719 --> 00:41:46,400
Speaker 1: take va Tech tomorrow, but I can easily see Florida

845
00:41:46,400 --> 00:41:48,440
Speaker 1: winning the game. I didn't bet it, so I just

846
00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:51,480
Speaker 1: for that reason, it's it's it's a tough deal. Do

847
00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:53,960
Speaker 1: you know if the handle for FANDUL on Michigan State

848
00:41:54,040 --> 00:41:57,160
Speaker 1: is because of the spread the love event, Yeah, of

849
00:41:57,160 --> 00:42:00,480
Speaker 1: course it is. It's like plus seventy eight whatever it

850
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:02,520
Speaker 1: is from Michigan State. I don't I forget what it is.

851
00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:06,480
Speaker 1: It's something stupid, it's yeah, of course it's that. It's

852
00:42:06,480 --> 00:42:08,680
Speaker 1: because they just want to They're giving you free money.

853
00:42:08,719 --> 00:42:11,319
Speaker 1: It's a promotion. It's what books do, and in non

854
00:42:11,440 --> 00:42:16,799
Speaker 1: Vegas books, it is what books do. Danizzy on the

855
00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:19,920
Speaker 1: Discord Who's that is that? Nick? Who's Deanizzy on the

856
00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:24,160
Speaker 1: Discord Channel. That dude's phenomenal. If you guys aren't trailing,

857
00:42:24,200 --> 00:42:27,480
Speaker 1: that guy's fixed. That guy is darn good. Okay, he's

858
00:42:27,560 --> 00:42:29,480
Speaker 1: really really good. I don't know if he can talk.

859
00:42:29,960 --> 00:42:31,720
Speaker 1: I can talk. I don't know if he can talk.

860
00:42:32,200 --> 00:42:34,640
Speaker 1: I can make winning bets and I can talk. I

861
00:42:34,640 --> 00:42:36,320
Speaker 1: don't know if he can talk. If he can talk,

862
00:42:36,640 --> 00:42:38,480
Speaker 1: he could have a future in this biss because the

863
00:42:38,560 --> 00:42:42,000
Speaker 1: dude's good, documented good. On the Discord Channel. He's become

864
00:42:42,120 --> 00:42:44,560
Speaker 1: sort of like a folk hero on the Discord channel.

865
00:42:44,560 --> 00:42:46,640
Speaker 1: If you're not on that again, there's a link below

866
00:42:46,680 --> 00:42:48,560
Speaker 1: me here, you guys can get into the Discord channel.

867
00:42:50,920 --> 00:42:53,080
Speaker 1: How do you see the USC Drake game turning out

868
00:42:53,200 --> 00:42:57,400
Speaker 1: Drake money line? How about that? I think Drake wins

869
00:42:57,440 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 1: that game. I've got Drake advancing. I think that they

870
00:42:59,520 --> 00:43:01,920
Speaker 1: beat you. See again, I'm fading the back twelve. I

871
00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:04,360
Speaker 1: don't like the pack twelve this season. So going with

872
00:43:04,400 --> 00:43:08,120
Speaker 1: Drake on the money line. Okay, so before we wrap here,

873
00:43:08,400 --> 00:43:10,680
Speaker 1: let me quickly give you a little bit of a

874
00:43:10,760 --> 00:43:13,359
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877
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878
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881
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Speaker 1: in free bets. When you bet ten dollars on a

882
00:43:32,760 --> 00:43:36,399
Speaker 1: college basketball March matchup the first round, you bet ten

883
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Speaker 1: bucks on any college basketball game played in the first

884
00:43:39,080 --> 00:43:41,600
Speaker 1: round tomorrow, and you get a ten dollars free bet

885
00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:44,520
Speaker 1: for every college basketball game that's played on that day.

886
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Speaker 1: That is one hundred and sixty bucks on Friday, one

887
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Speaker 1: so on and so on in the second round. When

889
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Speaker 1: it gets to Sunday and Monday, it's twenty dollars on

890
00:43:55,480 --> 00:43:57,799
Speaker 1: a college basketball game in the second round, and you

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Speaker 1: get twenty dollars in free bets on every college basketball

892
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893
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Speaker 1: dollars of free bets because there's only eight games in

894
00:44:06,360 --> 00:44:08,600
Speaker 1: the second round, So it's one hundred and sixty bucks

895
00:44:08,600 --> 00:44:11,360
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899
00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:21,400
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900
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Speaker 1: do it. For the Daily Juice podcast and the Daily

901
00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:25,520
Speaker 1: Juice live stream here on YouTube. Remember we are back

902
00:44:25,560 --> 00:44:29,200
Speaker 1: on Saturday morning doing this again, eleven am Eastern time,

903
00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:32,880
Speaker 1: eight am Pacific time here on YouTube. Hit subscribe you

904
00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:35,400
Speaker 1: hadn't hit subscribe yet. If you're listening to this podcast

905
00:44:35,400 --> 00:44:37,759
Speaker 1: on Friday morning, hit subscribe when you come on to

906
00:44:37,800 --> 00:44:40,080
Speaker 1: the YouTube channel, so you're always notified when we go

907
00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:45,080
Speaker 1: live my Daily Juice YouTube every single morning. The YouTube version,

908
00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:47,720
Speaker 1: the video version version of the Daily Jue podcast does

909
00:44:48,000 --> 00:44:51,480
Speaker 1: drop here on YouTube for betting pros. My name is

910
00:44:51,480 --> 00:44:53,640
Speaker 1: Matt Parolchi. You can follow me on Twitter at sports

911
00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:55,960
Speaker 1: Talk Matt. Thank you for watching, Thank you for listening.

912
00:44:56,160 --> 00:44:58,680
Speaker 1: I'll talk to you for the Daily Juice on Saturday

913
00:44:58,680 --> 00:45:02,440
Speaker 1: morning and the Daydaily Juice live stream happening as well

914
00:45:02,680 --> 00:45:06,000
Speaker 1: here on YouTube. As we roll on with March madness,

915
00:45:06,200 --> 00:45:08,080
Speaker 1: good luck with your brackets, good luck with your bets,

916
00:45:08,120 --> 00:45:10,440
Speaker 1: and hopefully we got that Michigan State came to cash.

917
00:45:10,600 --> 00:45:13,600
Speaker 1: Here as to what we're doing here for the Daily Juice,

918
00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:25,239
Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast right here on bettingos dot com