WEBVTT - Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend - July 8th, 2022

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 1>global business, finance and tech news. As it happened. Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Messier and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

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<v Speaker 1>Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Hi, everyone, welcome to the weekend

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<v Speaker 1>edition of Bloomberg Business Week. Well, this week you're going

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<v Speaker 1>to hear from many members of our Bloomberg team as

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<v Speaker 1>Tim and I were managing ourselves or our families through COVID,

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<v Speaker 1>And I gotta say, Tim, it's been a crazy couple

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<v Speaker 1>of weeks. I've had COVID twice. Yeah. I mean, look,

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<v Speaker 1>first of all, a big thank you to the team

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<v Speaker 1>here at Bloomberg Radio for managing through it, and then

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<v Speaker 1>our colleagues for jumping in for us. But hey, we're

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<v Speaker 1>on the other side of it, Carol, hopefully truly on

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<v Speaker 1>the other side of it at this point, right, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>totally fingers crossed. Uh. And it was another crazy week, right, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it was. It's look, you know, they got John monthly

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<v Speaker 1>jobs report happened. It's become even more key in today's

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<v Speaker 1>environment where investors just continue to consider the possible trade

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<v Speaker 1>off between a risk session and aggressive fed tightening. Talk

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<v Speaker 1>about being between a rock and a hard place, all right.

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<v Speaker 1>Also ahead, we're gonna talk about a lot of stuff,

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<v Speaker 1>including supply chains and the world's biggest business problems. Once

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<v Speaker 1>CEO says Quantum Computing might just be the fix. Plus

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<v Speaker 1>swamp Poodle just a funny name, not to former chairman

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<v Speaker 1>and Mellon Bank CEO. We're on his hometown and how

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<v Speaker 1>his humble upbringing set him up to lead one of

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<v Speaker 1>America's biggest financial institutions. All of that to come. First up,

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<v Speaker 1>we love love to hear about the Heist. That's the

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<v Speaker 1>special double issue of Bloomberg Business Week. It is out

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<v Speaker 1>now on newsstands, online and on the Bloomberg. We're bringing

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<v Speaker 1>you stories from it throughout the next couple of hours.

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<v Speaker 1>And to get us all going on the Heist issue,

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week editor Joel Webber gives us the lowdown

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<v Speaker 1>on this year's scams and snitches, joined here by Paul Sweeney,

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<v Speaker 1>a Bloomberg Surveillance and senior Markets editor, Mike week It,

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<v Speaker 1>Oh my gosh, it's like the ultimate Summer bee Tree.

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<v Speaker 1>Number of years ago. We decided that this theme, this

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<v Speaker 1>topic UM deserves to go cover to cover, So we

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<v Speaker 1>go from the front cover to the back cover and

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<v Speaker 1>we go all in on heist, which we open with

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<v Speaker 1>a little uh opening paragraph that just also reminds people

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<v Speaker 1>that you know, for these are mostly intended as sort

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<v Speaker 1>of school degree stories, but there are some some real

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<v Speaker 1>heists in the headlines right now that people people feel

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<v Speaker 1>very much affected by. So where we acknowledge those as well.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'll talk to us about the lot lottery lawyers

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<v Speaker 1>and what that heist is about. That's when I haven't

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<v Speaker 1>had a chance to read yet. The story UM is

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<v Speaker 1>about UM, a lawyer on Long Island who basically created

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<v Speaker 1>a new business which was advising UM people who won

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<v Speaker 1>mega millions or powerballs, and he put together actually a

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<v Speaker 1>little modest portfolio of winners and then help them start

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<v Speaker 1>advising advising them and UM sort of being a financial

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<v Speaker 1>advisor to them. And that's where the story kind of

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<v Speaker 1>snowballs and it turns into this cast of characters that

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<v Speaker 1>may or may not have scammed him. There there is

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<v Speaker 1>a ongoing um H lawsuits, So I have to say

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<v Speaker 1>this is all allegedly UM, except that the details of

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<v Speaker 1>the story. You just can't make this stuff up, all right,

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<v Speaker 1>A little bit more somber one perhaps is taken tax

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<v Speaker 1>leans cost generations of Black Americans their land? How does

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<v Speaker 1>that work? Yeah, so this was a far more sober one.

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<v Speaker 1>UM and Margaret new Kirk came to us with this

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<v Speaker 1>UM a number of months ago and said that she

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<v Speaker 1>had found out about a family in South Carolina that

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<v Speaker 1>generations ago actually ended up losing. It's losing their land.

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<v Speaker 1>And the story is tragic. It's about the great grandmother

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<v Speaker 1>who who basically was paying UM what she thought was

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<v Speaker 1>UM taxes to UM via sort of a white intermediary

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<v Speaker 1>in South Carolina who was taking money to the government

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<v Speaker 1>on her behalf. It turns out that he had actually

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<v Speaker 1>purchased the land from the government via a tax ling,

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<v Speaker 1>and that the money that she was giving him was

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<v Speaker 1>actually rent, and he broke this news to her UM

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<v Speaker 1>upon the time that he was actually selling that land.

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<v Speaker 1>And the story goes into not only the family story

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<v Speaker 1>of how they missed out on this land that is

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<v Speaker 1>actually just an incredible location and in South Carolina, but

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<v Speaker 1>also how this is a practice that writ large across America,

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<v Speaker 1>not only used to happen but continues to happen, and

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<v Speaker 1>because of that, black Black Americans UM end up losing

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<v Speaker 1>out on wealth. You know, real estate is a source

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<v Speaker 1>of wealth and that intergenerational thing that happens between families,

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<v Speaker 1>UM is something that a lot of Black Americans have

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<v Speaker 1>missed out on. So we felt like that was an

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<v Speaker 1>appropriate one to bring him to the highst issue as well. Joel,

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<v Speaker 1>if you step back for a minute, you know you

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know how many years in a row you've

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<v Speaker 1>done this highest five five years that, so you're probably

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<v Speaker 1>up to thirty stories by now. Where's the heist capital

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<v Speaker 1>of the world in your opinion? I would actually put

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<v Speaker 1>it as as Florida. I think the nefarious deeds that

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<v Speaker 1>go down or make it make it a special place

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<v Speaker 1>that I think we went a little light on Florida

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<v Speaker 1>in this issue. But sleeper um Los Angeles. And there's

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<v Speaker 1>another great one in this issue called the open house

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<v Speaker 1>Hunters who who hit l as rich and famous. And

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<v Speaker 1>this story is incredible because it's about UM this duo

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<v Speaker 1>who would go scope houses. Also allegedly that this trial

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<v Speaker 1>is coming up in August. Uh, they would go scope

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<v Speaker 1>open houses and it turns out a lot of these

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<v Speaker 1>open houses were owned by celebrities, and so they were

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<v Speaker 1>actually able to come into homes kind of scope worth

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<v Speaker 1>the goods were and then come back later and do

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<v Speaker 1>their do their stuff. And this was a year's long effort.

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<v Speaker 1>This was a massive crimes free and they took luxury bags,

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<v Speaker 1>they took they hit Usher Usher up to have Lebron

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<v Speaker 1>James's Cleveland calves ring from when he won the championship

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<v Speaker 1>that got stolen. It's just amazing read. And some of

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<v Speaker 1>these brake ins were just like the I think the

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<v Speaker 1>cops and the detectives were like totally bufuddled, like they

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<v Speaker 1>had like parkur abilities on top of everything else, and

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<v Speaker 1>we're like dropping in from skylights like in Mission Impossible.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's some fun stuff here. That was Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week editor Joel Webber. Clearly, there's plenty to look forward

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<v Speaker 1>to and this year's special Heist issue, and a big

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<v Speaker 1>thank you, of course to Paul Sweeney of Bloomberg Surveillance

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<v Speaker 1>and Senior Markets editor Mike Reagan for bringing us that interview.

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<v Speaker 1>Coming up, Joel is back, this time with Bloomberg reporter

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<v Speaker 1>and heist detective Zeke Fox to tell us about a

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<v Speaker 1>rapper's crypto scheme and how it all went terribly wrong.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week. This is Bloomberg. This

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<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Man here and Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovin from Bloomberg Radio. An instant classic

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<v Speaker 1>from this year's Heist issue. It's about a novelty rapper

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<v Speaker 1>and her startup guy husband who are now facing trial

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<v Speaker 1>for their roles in an eight billion dollar hack of

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<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrency exchange bit fin x that took place back in

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<v Speaker 1>So how do they pull it off? To begin with?

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<v Speaker 1>How did they get caught? And what happened to hold

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<v Speaker 1>that money? To tell the tale, we've got Bloomberg Market

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<v Speaker 1>Senior editor Mike Reagan and Carol Well. They turned to

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<v Speaker 1>the individual who wrote the piece, Bloomberg News Financial Investigations

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<v Speaker 1>reporter Zeke Fox, along with Business Week editor Joel Weber.

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<v Speaker 1>It might actually be the biggest hack of heist of

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<v Speaker 1>all time, right and see how does that? How does

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<v Speaker 1>that happen? The next was one of the biggest crypto

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<v Speaker 1>exchanges in the world, but like a lot of exchanges,

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<v Speaker 1>it had what appears to be very poor security and

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<v Speaker 1>somebody got into the exchange and you stole the passwords

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<v Speaker 1>do there are bitcoins and transferred out more than half

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<v Speaker 1>the bitcoins, more than a hundred thousand bitcoins, And for

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<v Speaker 1>years there was a mystery what happened, and the value

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<v Speaker 1>of those bitcoins rose and rose until at their peak,

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<v Speaker 1>the missing bitcoins were worth more than eight billion dollars. Zeke,

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<v Speaker 1>I wanted to ask you about the two main characters

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<v Speaker 1>in this story, Heather Morgan, a k razzle razzle Cohn

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<v Speaker 1>and her husband. Um, you describe what I consider some

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<v Speaker 1>major crimes against music on her part and her rap

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<v Speaker 1>music just awful, awful rap music is is her claim

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<v Speaker 1>the theme. But I don't get the you know, I

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<v Speaker 1>don't get the opinion that she was a criminal going

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<v Speaker 1>into this. She just sort of stumbled into this heist.

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<v Speaker 1>To walk us through how what we know about how

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<v Speaker 1>these two got involved in this caper? Yeah, I mean

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<v Speaker 1>that was what was so crazy is that in February,

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<v Speaker 1>out of nowhere, the Department of Justice announced that they've

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<v Speaker 1>recovered most of the bitcoins and arrested to people for

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<v Speaker 1>money laundering. There's this couple, Heather and Ilia and Heather,

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<v Speaker 1>as I said, the story she's got the rap persona.

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<v Speaker 1>It was just it seems so unlikely. It's like something

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<v Speaker 1>you wouldn't believe if someone made it up. Um. And yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>she has like a very standard or not very standard

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<v Speaker 1>but her back, but nothing about her background suggests that

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<v Speaker 1>she would get involved in something like this. But the

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<v Speaker 1>fact is when they when the authorities rated their apartment

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<v Speaker 1>down in the Financial District, what they found on the

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<v Speaker 1>husband's cloud accounts was an encrypted file that contained the

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<v Speaker 1>passwords to all these stolen bitcoins. And like in bitcoin,

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<v Speaker 1>you don't want anyone whoever controls these private keys, these

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<v Speaker 1>passwords controls the coin. So the fact that he's in

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<v Speaker 1>possession of all the sold and funds is like a

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<v Speaker 1>strong suggestion that uh, he may have been the one

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<v Speaker 1>who took them. And the authorities also have evidence that

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<v Speaker 1>Morgan participated in efforts to move this money and to

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<v Speaker 1>conceal its origins and that's why she got arrested too.

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<v Speaker 1>Um but uh yeah, it's it's it really is mysterious

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<v Speaker 1>how uh if these two are in fact the hackers,

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<v Speaker 1>how they got into it, um or why they were

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<v Speaker 1>trying to attack so much attention after they had pulled

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<v Speaker 1>off like this crazy crime. So so yeah, break that

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<v Speaker 1>down for us, because obviously this hack happened a while ago,

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<v Speaker 1>and then it was sort of this big mystery and

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<v Speaker 1>what what was the thing that triggered authorities becoming increasingly interested.

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<v Speaker 1>So with bitcoin, it exists as like an entry on

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<v Speaker 1>a distributed database, so anyone could look up the addresses

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<v Speaker 1>where the hackers sent the funds like this was public

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<v Speaker 1>and I could see that the bitcoins were in like

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<v Speaker 1>these numbered addresses, but there's no association with any person um.

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<v Speaker 1>So the problem was that the reputable bitcoin companies don't

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<v Speaker 1>want to touch bitcoins that they know come from a

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<v Speaker 1>crime like a hack. So the hackers need to find

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<v Speaker 1>some way to move these bitcoins to someone who didn't care.

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<v Speaker 1>And they found one place, which is called Alpha Bay,

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<v Speaker 1>which would place essentially eBay for like drugs and guns

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<v Speaker 1>on the dark West. And the thinking was that you

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<v Speaker 1>send the bitcoins to alpha Bay, and then you inside

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<v Speaker 1>Alpha Bay, all the funds are mixed up. So but

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<v Speaker 1>then when you withdraw the bitcoins from alphabet to a

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<v Speaker 1>new address, no one will know that the new address

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<v Speaker 1>is associated with the hack. Um. The problem was that

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<v Speaker 1>the authorities, in particular the cyber crime unit within the

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<v Speaker 1>I r S was on like this crazy streak of

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<v Speaker 1>cracking cryptocrimes, and one of the places they went after

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<v Speaker 1>was Alpha Bay. And after like this raid with the

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<v Speaker 1>Royal High Police in Thailand, they were able to get

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<v Speaker 1>Alphabat's computers and that meant to have all of Alphabat's

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<v Speaker 1>internal records and they could connect transfers to Alpha Bai

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<v Speaker 1>with transfers out of Alpha Bay, so transfers that the

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<v Speaker 1>hackers thought were safe. We're now UH able to be

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<v Speaker 1>figured out. But the fact is that there was this

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<v Speaker 1>was such a trove of data that the authorities were

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<v Speaker 1>bringing all sorts of cases related to this. It took

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<v Speaker 1>him a few years before UH they realized what they

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<v Speaker 1>had and were able to gather enough evidence to UH

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<v Speaker 1>search Heather and Ilia's apartment and and and Zeke quickly.

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<v Speaker 1>Where where do things stand now is in present a

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<v Speaker 1>waiting trial. Heather is out on bail, and there's evidence

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<v Speaker 1>that they sent some or whoever had these bitcoins sent

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<v Speaker 1>them to another dark net market in Russia called Hydra.

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<v Speaker 1>And on Hydra you could pay someone in bitcoin and

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<v Speaker 1>have them very rubles underground for you, and then you

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<v Speaker 1>could go dig them up later, so you never know.

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<v Speaker 1>They take a lot of money to hydra. There could

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<v Speaker 1>be some fundles of rubles sitting somewhere waiting for Heather

0:13:40.120 --> 0:13:42.839
<v Speaker 1>and Ilia to come they come up. That was Bloomberg

0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:46.280
<v Speaker 1>News Financial Investigations reporter Zeke Fox, with Business Week editor

0:13:46.360 --> 0:13:48.520
<v Speaker 1>Joe Weber, Mike Greek and of course with us there

0:13:48.600 --> 0:13:50.599
<v Speaker 1>as well. We'll have more from the Heigst issue, but

0:13:50.720 --> 0:13:54.000
<v Speaker 1>later on on our broadcast. Still ahead on Bloomberg Business Week,

0:13:54.120 --> 0:13:57.439
<v Speaker 1>the CEO of a multimillion dollar software company says quantum

0:13:57.480 --> 0:14:00.680
<v Speaker 1>computing can solve supply chain issues. Find out how. On

0:14:00.720 --> 0:14:13.120
<v Speaker 1>the other side, this is Bloomberg Broadcasting from the financial

0:14:13.160 --> 0:14:16.679
<v Speaker 1>capital of the world, Bloomberg Eleve in Frio in New York,

0:14:16.800 --> 0:14:21.040
<v Speaker 1>to Washington, d C. Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg one oh

0:14:21.120 --> 0:14:24.200
<v Speaker 1>six one to San Francisco, Bloomberg nine sixty to the

0:14:24.240 --> 0:14:27.320
<v Speaker 1>country Sirius XM Chado one nine ten and around the

0:14:27.360 --> 0:14:31.400
<v Speaker 1>globe the Bloomberg Business app and Bloomberg Radio dot Com.

0:14:31.400 --> 0:14:35.440
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. My next cast is all

0:14:35.440 --> 0:14:37.680
<v Speaker 1>about the zeros and the ones and how they can

0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:41.800
<v Speaker 1>solve the world's biggest business problems. The CEO of Quantum Computing, Inc.

0:14:41.920 --> 0:14:45.320
<v Speaker 1>Robert Listkowski, spoke with Paul Sweeney of Bloomberg Surveillance and

0:14:45.360 --> 0:14:48.520
<v Speaker 1>senior markets editor Mike Reagan. They began by asking a

0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:52.920
<v Speaker 1>very important question, what exactly is quantum computing. It's an

0:14:52.920 --> 0:14:58.120
<v Speaker 1>exponentially much more powerful, computationally way of looking at really

0:14:58.160 --> 0:15:00.800
<v Speaker 1>complex problems. You know, I can get into the physics

0:15:00.800 --> 0:15:03.360
<v Speaker 1>of it, right. Classic computers look at ones and zeros.

0:15:03.400 --> 0:15:06.000
<v Speaker 1>Quantum computers look at ones and zeros and a zero

0:15:06.040 --> 0:15:07.880
<v Speaker 1>and one at the same time. You can get into

0:15:07.880 --> 0:15:09.720
<v Speaker 1>all that stuff, right. But I think at the end

0:15:09.760 --> 0:15:12.280
<v Speaker 1>of the day, for the average business user, people are

0:15:12.800 --> 0:15:15.520
<v Speaker 1>need to know that we can do really really complex

0:15:15.560 --> 0:15:19.280
<v Speaker 1>types of computations, dealing with supply chain, dealing with all

0:15:19.320 --> 0:15:23.280
<v Speaker 1>sorts of variables in ways that classical computers can't even

0:15:23.320 --> 0:15:27.360
<v Speaker 1>begin to achieve. Yes, so, Robert, your company's Quantum Computing Inc.

0:15:28.040 --> 0:15:31.240
<v Speaker 1>Qubatt is the ticker simple. You tell us a little

0:15:31.240 --> 0:15:35.520
<v Speaker 1>bit about some of the products you're offering or or

0:15:35.840 --> 0:15:39.600
<v Speaker 1>having development. I know a lot has to do um

0:15:39.760 --> 0:15:43.080
<v Speaker 1>with stuff like security support and and that sort of thing.

0:15:43.120 --> 0:15:45.240
<v Speaker 1>Can you walk us through some of your main offerings

0:15:45.240 --> 0:15:47.720
<v Speaker 1>and and uh, you know, what we should need to

0:15:47.720 --> 0:15:50.520
<v Speaker 1>know about them. Sure, so we started off as a

0:15:50.520 --> 0:15:54.200
<v Speaker 1>software company. We're a platform that was designed to allow

0:15:54.280 --> 0:15:56.760
<v Speaker 1>business users or any user that for that matter, to

0:15:56.800 --> 0:15:59.640
<v Speaker 1>connect up to a quantum computer. Quantum computers don't have

0:15:59.680 --> 0:16:02.960
<v Speaker 1>the same programming language that classical computers do, right, You can't.

0:16:03.280 --> 0:16:05.240
<v Speaker 1>You can't take what you've done on a Windows machine

0:16:05.320 --> 0:16:08.120
<v Speaker 1>or an IBM three sixty or whatever the machines are

0:16:08.160 --> 0:16:09.880
<v Speaker 1>out there and then be able to do that on

0:16:09.920 --> 0:16:13.560
<v Speaker 1>a quantum computer. They need different programming techniques, right. They're

0:16:13.640 --> 0:16:16.680
<v Speaker 1>very complex systems. You need quantum programmers to be able

0:16:16.720 --> 0:16:19.080
<v Speaker 1>to do these things. So we created a platform that

0:16:19.120 --> 0:16:21.400
<v Speaker 1>would allow a business user to formulate a problem that

0:16:21.400 --> 0:16:24.760
<v Speaker 1>could run on not just one quantum computer, but any

0:16:24.840 --> 0:16:27.880
<v Speaker 1>number of quantum computers. And that way we took the

0:16:27.920 --> 0:16:30.560
<v Speaker 1>heavy lifting out of the equation and allowed people to

0:16:30.600 --> 0:16:34.400
<v Speaker 1>be able to do things today the challenges quantum computing

0:16:34.560 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 1>as a domain hasn't quite achieved the level of capability

0:16:39.440 --> 0:16:41.800
<v Speaker 1>that we needed to get. Right. It's a process. It's

0:16:41.840 --> 0:16:45.360
<v Speaker 1>an evolutionary process that says, and we can do great

0:16:45.440 --> 0:16:48.160
<v Speaker 1>things today, but we're gonna really do great things, better

0:16:48.200 --> 0:16:51.200
<v Speaker 1>things tomorrow because quantum computers are going to be much

0:16:51.240 --> 0:16:53.840
<v Speaker 1>more capable in a few years than they are today.

0:16:54.000 --> 0:16:57.560
<v Speaker 1>Classical computers can do things that quantum computers can do

0:16:57.760 --> 0:17:02.360
<v Speaker 1>right now and compute, you know, computational problems that um

0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:04.800
<v Speaker 1>they can really give good results for it. But but

0:17:05.520 --> 0:17:08.560
<v Speaker 1>over time quantum computers are going to continue to evolve

0:17:08.600 --> 0:17:11.240
<v Speaker 1>into really really capable machines. So we looked at a

0:17:11.280 --> 0:17:13.920
<v Speaker 1>way that we could bring business users to those machines,

0:17:13.960 --> 0:17:17.080
<v Speaker 1>get them ready to be quantum ready as as machines

0:17:17.080 --> 0:17:20.560
<v Speaker 1>are coming on on online solve certain problems dealing with

0:17:20.600 --> 0:17:24.919
<v Speaker 1>supply chain and other optimization problems. However, just recently, and

0:17:24.960 --> 0:17:28.080
<v Speaker 1>this is really exciting for us, we just acquired a company,

0:17:28.320 --> 0:17:32.399
<v Speaker 1>a photonic computing company called q photon, which actually uses

0:17:32.400 --> 0:17:35.399
<v Speaker 1>photonics a different way to look at a way of

0:17:35.400 --> 0:17:40.159
<v Speaker 1>computing quantumly and we can actually solve some problems today

0:17:40.200 --> 0:17:43.400
<v Speaker 1>that are actually business problems, business related problems. So there's

0:17:43.440 --> 0:17:47.520
<v Speaker 1>a way to apply quantum computing and techniques today that

0:17:47.760 --> 0:17:50.760
<v Speaker 1>um quantum computing can actually solve and we have a

0:17:50.800 --> 0:17:53.560
<v Speaker 1>computer that can do that. So it's really interesting is

0:17:53.600 --> 0:17:56.720
<v Speaker 1>that we have become a full stack quantum computing company.

0:17:56.760 --> 0:17:59.680
<v Speaker 1>We're no longer just a software company. Q Photon is

0:17:59.760 --> 0:18:02.680
<v Speaker 1>no long going just a hardware company. Together, combining these

0:18:02.680 --> 0:18:04.800
<v Speaker 1>two companies, we can do an end to end approach

0:18:04.840 --> 0:18:09.760
<v Speaker 1>towards providing solutions to real world problems. Ask you about

0:18:09.760 --> 0:18:11.600
<v Speaker 1>that whole notion of the full stack you know, Um,

0:18:12.119 --> 0:18:14.520
<v Speaker 1>so much of what we've talked about this year has

0:18:14.600 --> 0:18:19.040
<v Speaker 1>been the semiconductor market. I'm guessing in your line of work,

0:18:19.119 --> 0:18:24.040
<v Speaker 1>you need access to the best, you know, fastest chips available.

0:18:24.160 --> 0:18:27.040
<v Speaker 1>Is this whole uh supply chain issues with the chips

0:18:27.040 --> 0:18:30.639
<v Speaker 1>themself throwing you any curveballs? Is it a problem at all? No,

0:18:30.800 --> 0:18:33.320
<v Speaker 1>it hasn't been. I mean, first off, we're not producing

0:18:33.320 --> 0:18:35.919
<v Speaker 1>computers at scale yet, We're just producing a couple and

0:18:35.960 --> 0:18:38.359
<v Speaker 1>three of them at a time. So for us, supply

0:18:38.440 --> 0:18:41.240
<v Speaker 1>chain issues haven't haven't really manifested themselves in terms of

0:18:41.280 --> 0:18:45.240
<v Speaker 1>the scale that you know most supply chains are seeing that. Secondly,

0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:48.119
<v Speaker 1>the chips that were manufacturing and we are manufacturing chips

0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:50.000
<v Speaker 1>are are much different than what you see in the

0:18:50.040 --> 0:18:53.760
<v Speaker 1>microchip industry. So are is a very specialized, very unique

0:18:53.760 --> 0:18:57.399
<v Speaker 1>types of materials that go into creating the photonics that

0:18:57.400 --> 0:18:59.720
<v Speaker 1>are required for our quantum computing. So we have a

0:18:59.760 --> 0:19:01.960
<v Speaker 1>bump into that now in the future perhaps, but I

0:19:02.000 --> 0:19:05.240
<v Speaker 1>think we've got, you know, our plans and scaling help

0:19:05.359 --> 0:19:08.080
<v Speaker 1>us kind of mitigate that kind of risk. But I

0:19:08.280 --> 0:19:09.960
<v Speaker 1>but to your point, you know, a lot of the

0:19:10.000 --> 0:19:13.240
<v Speaker 1>computer industry is suffering from those those microcircuits and the the

0:19:13.280 --> 0:19:16.280
<v Speaker 1>microchips types of supply chain issues, and they will be

0:19:16.359 --> 0:19:19.600
<v Speaker 1>for the foreseeable future. We, on the other hand, don't

0:19:19.760 --> 0:19:22.399
<v Speaker 1>don't We're not gonna be bumping into that. And you

0:19:22.440 --> 0:19:25.120
<v Speaker 1>really can't compare the two. The quantum computer is gonna

0:19:25.119 --> 0:19:27.080
<v Speaker 1>be able to do things that the classical that you know,

0:19:27.359 --> 0:19:31.680
<v Speaker 1>several many classical computers couldn't do. Tied together quantum. One

0:19:31.760 --> 0:19:34.880
<v Speaker 1>quantum computer is gonna be able to achieve um computational

0:19:34.920 --> 0:19:38.560
<v Speaker 1>superiority um that those classical computers can't do. So supply

0:19:38.640 --> 0:19:41.320
<v Speaker 1>chain issues won't be as impactful to the quantum industry

0:19:41.320 --> 0:19:43.080
<v Speaker 1>as they are in the classical industry. A lot to

0:19:43.080 --> 0:19:45.560
<v Speaker 1>take in there. Big thank you to Robert Liskowski, he's

0:19:45.720 --> 0:19:49.440
<v Speaker 1>CEO of Quantum Computing, Inc. Joined there by Bloomberg Surveillance

0:19:49.560 --> 0:19:52.480
<v Speaker 1>is Paul Sweeney and Senior markets editor Mike Regan. You're

0:19:52.520 --> 0:19:55.320
<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Up next, how former mail

0:19:55.359 --> 0:19:58.639
<v Speaker 1>In Bank CEO Marty McGinn's humble beginnings set him on

0:19:58.680 --> 0:20:00.440
<v Speaker 1>a path to the top of one of the America's

0:20:00.480 --> 0:20:03.920
<v Speaker 1>biggest financial institutions, and why he thinks the US is

0:20:03.960 --> 0:20:15.200
<v Speaker 1>at a heightened risk of recession. This is Bloomberg. You're

0:20:15.280 --> 0:20:19.159
<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg

0:20:19.240 --> 0:20:25.480
<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovik from Bloomberg Radio. Swampoodle funny word, right, Well,

0:20:25.600 --> 0:20:28.399
<v Speaker 1>it's also the name of a North Philadelphia neighborhood. It

0:20:28.480 --> 0:20:30.560
<v Speaker 1>plays a big part in our next guest new book.

0:20:30.840 --> 0:20:35.320
<v Speaker 1>It's called From Swampoodle to Melanbank Ceo, An Irish Americans Journey,

0:20:35.320 --> 0:20:39.760
<v Speaker 1>The autobiography of Martin G. Mcgwinn Jr. The former chairman

0:20:39.760 --> 0:20:43.080
<v Speaker 1>and CEO of Melonbank, spoke in depth about his upbringing

0:20:43.080 --> 0:20:46.240
<v Speaker 1>with Bloomberg Radio is Paul Sweeney and Senior Markets editor

0:20:46.320 --> 0:20:48.960
<v Speaker 1>Mike Reagan. Marty, I love the title, but you gotta

0:20:49.000 --> 0:20:53.719
<v Speaker 1>tell me what or where is swampoodle. Well, it certainly

0:20:53.800 --> 0:20:57.159
<v Speaker 1>is an unusual word, and it's it's a neighborhood in

0:20:57.240 --> 0:21:02.119
<v Speaker 1>northern Philadelphia where are a lot of Irish immigrants settled

0:21:02.160 --> 0:21:06.159
<v Speaker 1>in the early nineteen hundreds, including my grandparents. So it

0:21:06.200 --> 0:21:09.600
<v Speaker 1>seemed like a good place to start, uh, telling my story.

0:21:09.720 --> 0:21:14.400
<v Speaker 1>And so it is from swamp poodle to Melanbank CEO. Hey, Marty, Uh,

0:21:14.680 --> 0:21:16.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm just kind of seeing here. You grew

0:21:16.320 --> 0:21:19.919
<v Speaker 1>up in Princeton, graduated from Villanova and Villanova Law school,

0:21:20.320 --> 0:21:22.280
<v Speaker 1>and then you starved into Marine Corps Vietnam. Tell us

0:21:22.320 --> 0:21:27.959
<v Speaker 1>about that experience. Well, Uh, I joined the Marine Corps

0:21:28.000 --> 0:21:31.160
<v Speaker 1>while I was in college because they had a program

0:21:31.160 --> 0:21:33.680
<v Speaker 1>where you went down during summers in college and went

0:21:33.720 --> 0:21:37.080
<v Speaker 1>through your your your basic training, and then you were

0:21:37.080 --> 0:21:40.639
<v Speaker 1>commissioned when you graduated. And in my case, I was

0:21:40.680 --> 0:21:43.760
<v Speaker 1>guaranteed the deferments. I could go to law school and

0:21:43.800 --> 0:21:46.720
<v Speaker 1>then serve on active duty. And that seemed a good

0:21:46.720 --> 0:21:49.400
<v Speaker 1>way for me to commit to serve my country at

0:21:49.440 --> 0:21:52.159
<v Speaker 1>the same time be able to start my career in

0:21:52.200 --> 0:21:55.840
<v Speaker 1>a way that it was consistent with my planning. And

0:21:55.840 --> 0:21:58.000
<v Speaker 1>and in the Marine Corps, you may know, I mean

0:21:59.000 --> 0:22:00.760
<v Speaker 1>they have a saying every man as a fighting man

0:22:00.840 --> 0:22:02.960
<v Speaker 1>from the comment on on down, So you have to

0:22:03.000 --> 0:22:05.720
<v Speaker 1>get through all the same basic training even if you

0:22:05.800 --> 0:22:10.920
<v Speaker 1>intend to have or hope to have a basic legal responsibility,

0:22:10.920 --> 0:22:13.680
<v Speaker 1>which is what I did, and then serving in Vietnam

0:22:13.800 --> 0:22:17.040
<v Speaker 1>was what all Marines were doing during those days when

0:22:17.080 --> 0:22:19.840
<v Speaker 1>I was was active. You know, Marty, I always like

0:22:19.960 --> 0:22:23.320
<v Speaker 1>to talk to UH people who have had experiences running

0:22:23.320 --> 0:22:25.040
<v Speaker 1>a bank, because I feel like they have such a

0:22:25.119 --> 0:22:29.800
<v Speaker 1>unique perspective on the economy and markets, almost like no

0:22:29.840 --> 0:22:32.560
<v Speaker 1>one else can sort of view from having been in

0:22:32.600 --> 0:22:35.160
<v Speaker 1>your position. And I'm curious to know if we're here

0:22:35.200 --> 0:22:38.280
<v Speaker 1>sitting in an environment with more than eight percent inflation,

0:22:39.119 --> 0:22:41.640
<v Speaker 1>treasure yields going up one day down the next year,

0:22:41.920 --> 0:22:44.680
<v Speaker 1>stocks in a bear market, what's your sort of read

0:22:44.760 --> 0:22:47.359
<v Speaker 1>on the economy and and how we should think about

0:22:47.480 --> 0:22:50.479
<v Speaker 1>markets and and the whole banking industry and and and

0:22:50.520 --> 0:22:55.359
<v Speaker 1>everything UH in your old wheelhouse these days. That's a

0:22:55.359 --> 0:22:58.400
<v Speaker 1>pretty broad question, but let me try to answer it, UH,

0:22:58.560 --> 0:23:00.880
<v Speaker 1>as far as the economy is can concerned. I mean,

0:23:00.920 --> 0:23:04.240
<v Speaker 1>I think we've had a fairly strong economy for quite

0:23:04.240 --> 0:23:08.199
<v Speaker 1>a few years now, and then when Congress really stepped

0:23:08.240 --> 0:23:12.440
<v Speaker 1>up the spending, I think that really is what triggered

0:23:12.800 --> 0:23:16.679
<v Speaker 1>the first move toward inflation. UM. And then when you have,

0:23:16.760 --> 0:23:20.160
<v Speaker 1>of course, the war in Ukraine and the energy problems

0:23:20.200 --> 0:23:23.359
<v Speaker 1>and all the other issues. UM. And then frankly, I

0:23:23.400 --> 0:23:26.919
<v Speaker 1>think the FRED was FED was very slow in moving

0:23:26.960 --> 0:23:30.639
<v Speaker 1>to raise interest rates, and so the challenge now looking ahead,

0:23:30.640 --> 0:23:33.480
<v Speaker 1>and my opinion is the FED would love somehow to

0:23:33.480 --> 0:23:36.640
<v Speaker 1>get us what they call a soft landing, which means

0:23:36.640 --> 0:23:40.639
<v Speaker 1>they contain inflation without causing too much disruption in the economy.

0:23:40.680 --> 0:23:43.639
<v Speaker 1>But that's it's been very hard to do both historically

0:23:43.680 --> 0:23:46.560
<v Speaker 1>and I think in this environment with so many uh

0:23:46.680 --> 0:23:49.760
<v Speaker 1>problematic issues UH, that I think it's going to be

0:23:49.840 --> 0:23:52.960
<v Speaker 1>difficult to do. So my own opinion is I think

0:23:52.960 --> 0:23:57.480
<v Speaker 1>there's a greater chance for a recession UH than previously,

0:23:57.560 --> 0:24:00.320
<v Speaker 1>So maybe there's it's more likely than less less likely.

0:24:00.400 --> 0:24:05.280
<v Speaker 1>I think, going back to the banking part of your question, uh,

0:24:05.160 --> 0:24:09.480
<v Speaker 1>A government regulation has been increasing in less decade or

0:24:09.480 --> 0:24:14.119
<v Speaker 1>so UH, and banking it very difficult to compete in

0:24:14.160 --> 0:24:18.000
<v Speaker 1>an economy where you're not only dealing with non financial

0:24:18.040 --> 0:24:21.520
<v Speaker 1>institutions that are regulated differently, but you're dealing with competitors

0:24:21.520 --> 0:24:25.119
<v Speaker 1>on a global basis. So it's a very difficult environment.

0:24:25.280 --> 0:24:28.679
<v Speaker 1>And of course you're right, I mean the banks have

0:24:28.840 --> 0:24:31.199
<v Speaker 1>to work very hard in the economy as all companies,

0:24:31.560 --> 0:24:34.919
<v Speaker 1>but still they're more directly affected. So this is a

0:24:35.000 --> 0:24:38.080
<v Speaker 1>very difficult environment I think for banking loves to get

0:24:38.240 --> 0:24:41.600
<v Speaker 1>some color from you. You were chairman at CEO of

0:24:41.640 --> 0:24:45.639
<v Speaker 1>Melon Financial Corporation from to two thousand six. Talk to

0:24:45.760 --> 0:24:50.879
<v Speaker 1>us about that time and some of the challenges you faced. Well,

0:24:51.720 --> 0:24:55.000
<v Speaker 1>it would that that period of time followed a very

0:24:55.040 --> 0:24:59.400
<v Speaker 1>strong stock market, which was not only important for how

0:25:00.200 --> 0:25:04.080
<v Speaker 1>corporation shares trade, but of course, Uh, we sold our

0:25:04.119 --> 0:25:07.160
<v Speaker 1>retail banking business, so I wanted to move away from

0:25:07.160 --> 0:25:11.240
<v Speaker 1>being a more traditional bank to a to a more

0:25:11.280 --> 0:25:17.160
<v Speaker 1>focused organization with our strategic focus on asset management asset servicing.

0:25:17.240 --> 0:25:21.520
<v Speaker 1>So that slower market period after a stronger market period

0:25:21.560 --> 0:25:24.439
<v Speaker 1>also had a major impact on our business. So it

0:25:24.560 --> 0:25:26.480
<v Speaker 1>was it was a major struggle with one of the

0:25:26.880 --> 0:25:30.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, the poorest equity market since the depression. You know, Marty,

0:25:30.440 --> 0:25:33.399
<v Speaker 1>I've read a few pages from the book earlier and

0:25:33.560 --> 0:25:37.199
<v Speaker 1>uh really Uh one anecdote that caught my attention was

0:25:37.560 --> 0:25:41.239
<v Speaker 1>when you were a kid, uh going to see the

0:25:41.240 --> 0:25:46.240
<v Speaker 1>Philadelphia Athletics play at Connie Mack Stadium. That's going back

0:25:46.280 --> 0:25:49.639
<v Speaker 1>called but here's and as I said before, I Marty

0:25:49.640 --> 0:25:52.000
<v Speaker 1>and I have such a similar background, I wondered if

0:25:52.000 --> 0:25:54.200
<v Speaker 1>we were related. But here's what really made me think

0:25:54.200 --> 0:25:56.080
<v Speaker 1>we're related. Paul's he used to wait to hold about

0:25:56.080 --> 0:25:58.760
<v Speaker 1>halfway through the game so he could get in for free,

0:25:58.840 --> 0:26:02.919
<v Speaker 1>not after okay, But but Martin, what are you know

0:26:02.960 --> 0:26:06.199
<v Speaker 1>with that kind of that kind of humble and you know,

0:26:06.320 --> 0:26:10.000
<v Speaker 1>hard working upbringing that you described in the book from

0:26:10.040 --> 0:26:14.280
<v Speaker 1>your family in the swamp Poodle uh section of Philadelphia.

0:26:14.359 --> 0:26:17.600
<v Speaker 1>How does that serve you eventually in the role of

0:26:17.600 --> 0:26:21.119
<v Speaker 1>a bank ceo? You know? Is I'm guessing you know

0:26:21.280 --> 0:26:24.960
<v Speaker 1>you earned the you learned the value of a dollar

0:26:25.280 --> 0:26:28.040
<v Speaker 1>very early, and I'm guessing you must have carried that

0:26:28.119 --> 0:26:30.399
<v Speaker 1>on throughout your career as a banker. Is that is

0:26:30.440 --> 0:26:32.880
<v Speaker 1>that fair to say? No, I think it's it's very

0:26:32.920 --> 0:26:36.800
<v Speaker 1>fair to say, and I would expand on that slightly. Yes.

0:26:37.320 --> 0:26:41.400
<v Speaker 1>My my grandparents were Irish immigrants. My grandfather was an

0:26:41.400 --> 0:26:46.040
<v Speaker 1>operator of a trolley, my grandmother was a homemaker, uh,

0:26:46.600 --> 0:26:51.280
<v Speaker 1>And so we began with very modest the backgrounds, and

0:26:51.320 --> 0:26:55.040
<v Speaker 1>so I think that certainly teaches you that not only

0:26:55.080 --> 0:26:57.000
<v Speaker 1>the value of a dollar, but I think also the

0:26:57.600 --> 0:27:00.159
<v Speaker 1>need to work hard, uh and to be committed do

0:27:00.200 --> 0:27:03.439
<v Speaker 1>what you do and frankly, I also think of error.

0:27:03.640 --> 0:27:07.919
<v Speaker 1>But my Irish American background was very important too, and

0:27:08.440 --> 0:27:13.160
<v Speaker 1>in uh inculcating a desire to work hard, but also

0:27:13.240 --> 0:27:16.400
<v Speaker 1>to maintain a sense of humor, especially about myself. And

0:27:16.400 --> 0:27:19.400
<v Speaker 1>and I think those combined backgrounds have been very important

0:27:19.400 --> 0:27:22.960
<v Speaker 1>in my life. That's true. The Irish are very self deprecating, Paul, Paul.

0:27:23.600 --> 0:27:25.960
<v Speaker 1>It's rare to get three Irish guys from Philly together

0:27:26.040 --> 0:27:27.800
<v Speaker 1>like this without someone getting in trouble. I don't know.

0:27:27.840 --> 0:27:30.200
<v Speaker 1>I remember Conny mack Stadium was right on the edge

0:27:30.200 --> 0:27:32.600
<v Speaker 1>of swamp poodle too, so it was right there. That's

0:27:32.600 --> 0:27:35.840
<v Speaker 1>why I wonder where the term swamp poodle? What's the

0:27:35.840 --> 0:27:38.520
<v Speaker 1>origins of that today? It's a good question, and I've

0:27:38.520 --> 0:27:41.879
<v Speaker 1>tried to find the answer, uh, and it's not a

0:27:41.960 --> 0:27:45.600
<v Speaker 1>very satisfactory answer. So I'm afraid I can't give you

0:27:45.640 --> 0:27:48.359
<v Speaker 1>a very good answer. But somehow it's stuck, and I

0:27:48.400 --> 0:27:50.679
<v Speaker 1>think many people don't know about it today, which is

0:27:50.920 --> 0:27:54.359
<v Speaker 1>why it's sort of made the title kind of intriguing. Yeah, yeah,

0:27:54.359 --> 0:27:57.520
<v Speaker 1>it's interesting, So Marty, if you think about that, you know,

0:27:57.560 --> 0:28:00.680
<v Speaker 1>the US banking system, over the last fifteen years, we

0:28:00.760 --> 0:28:04.000
<v Speaker 1>had the great financial crisis two thousands seven, two thousand

0:28:04.040 --> 0:28:07.120
<v Speaker 1>and eight, and the banks obviously played a role there.

0:28:07.480 --> 0:28:09.320
<v Speaker 1>We've just gone through two and a half years and

0:28:09.359 --> 0:28:14.280
<v Speaker 1>still dealing with this global pandemic, and that's been an

0:28:14.359 --> 0:28:16.440
<v Speaker 1>uncertain time. How do you just give us your thoughts

0:28:16.440 --> 0:28:18.200
<v Speaker 1>on kind of as you look at the US banking

0:28:18.240 --> 0:28:20.800
<v Speaker 1>system here today, kind of what are your views in

0:28:20.920 --> 0:28:23.639
<v Speaker 1>terms of how it's performing, the relative health of it,

0:28:23.680 --> 0:28:27.120
<v Speaker 1>and kind of maybe what it can do better. Well.

0:28:27.280 --> 0:28:30.240
<v Speaker 1>I think these last fifteen years and and a lot

0:28:30.280 --> 0:28:35.080
<v Speaker 1>of the extra regulations have made doing business we're burdensome

0:28:35.119 --> 0:28:37.000
<v Speaker 1>that it needs to be. But on the other hand,

0:28:37.720 --> 0:28:40.840
<v Speaker 1>some of those regulations and the requirements that banks have

0:28:40.960 --> 0:28:44.160
<v Speaker 1>to comply with in terms of capital have also made

0:28:44.200 --> 0:28:47.720
<v Speaker 1>the banks much stronger. And so I think today the

0:28:47.760 --> 0:28:51.640
<v Speaker 1>banks in general are very strong, uh And I think

0:28:51.680 --> 0:28:55.040
<v Speaker 1>these tests that have been applied periodically have shown that

0:28:55.120 --> 0:28:58.360
<v Speaker 1>to be the case. Obviously, the economy now is a

0:28:58.400 --> 0:29:01.360
<v Speaker 1>major challenge, but I think of banks are well positioned

0:29:01.400 --> 0:29:03.560
<v Speaker 1>and and I hope we can get a balance in

0:29:03.640 --> 0:29:08.280
<v Speaker 1>the regulatory environment that you know, dissuades on inappropriate risk

0:29:08.360 --> 0:29:12.000
<v Speaker 1>but also encourages appropriate risk taking and keeps our banking

0:29:12.040 --> 0:29:15.840
<v Speaker 1>system strong because it's so important to the economy. You know,

0:29:15.880 --> 0:29:18.240
<v Speaker 1>Marty Paul and I were just talking about how it

0:29:18.280 --> 0:29:21.160
<v Speaker 1>seems like there was almost a bubble in just about

0:29:21.160 --> 0:29:25.000
<v Speaker 1>every asset class the last few years. That's you know,

0:29:25.720 --> 0:29:29.960
<v Speaker 1>collapsing before our eyes now, from stocks to even treasuries

0:29:30.000 --> 0:29:34.800
<v Speaker 1>were probably overvalued there Um. The one bubble that perhaps

0:29:34.800 --> 0:29:37.320
<v Speaker 1>exists that hasn't burst just yet is housing. You know,

0:29:37.320 --> 0:29:40.240
<v Speaker 1>we've had this tremendous run up in housing prices, and

0:29:40.280 --> 0:29:43.840
<v Speaker 1>obviously that caused a big problem when they came back

0:29:43.840 --> 0:29:46.600
<v Speaker 1>to earth during the financial crisis. To get back to

0:29:46.640 --> 0:29:49.480
<v Speaker 1>that idea of regulation I mean, is that the current

0:29:49.480 --> 0:29:53.120
<v Speaker 1>banking system knock on wood in much better shape to

0:29:53.600 --> 0:29:57.240
<v Speaker 1>absorb some roughness in the housing market if these prices

0:29:57.280 --> 0:30:00.600
<v Speaker 1>come back to earth. Yeah, I think for sure. Part

0:30:00.600 --> 0:30:03.520
<v Speaker 1>of the problem with the prior crisis was that the

0:30:03.640 --> 0:30:06.200
<v Speaker 1>bank lending, and not just banks, by the way, but

0:30:06.280 --> 0:30:09.320
<v Speaker 1>even non banks, a lot of different financial institutions which

0:30:09.320 --> 0:30:13.560
<v Speaker 1>were less regulated, where obviously lending sometimes without requiring any

0:30:13.600 --> 0:30:17.040
<v Speaker 1>collateral at all, and and so at look at Lehman Brothers,

0:30:17.080 --> 0:30:21.880
<v Speaker 1>they were so highly uh under capitalized and over leveraged

0:30:22.400 --> 0:30:25.600
<v Speaker 1>that that's what ultimately led to their demise. And I

0:30:25.640 --> 0:30:29.080
<v Speaker 1>think today banks are stronger. I think they're the requirements

0:30:29.120 --> 0:30:34.280
<v Speaker 1>against lending, especially on on houses will protect the banks

0:30:34.280 --> 0:30:38.400
<v Speaker 1>and hopefully homeowners as well during this crisis. But uh,

0:30:38.800 --> 0:30:42.240
<v Speaker 1>remember too, part of this bubble, if that's what it is,

0:30:42.360 --> 0:30:45.239
<v Speaker 1>or at least the massive appreciation is being driven by

0:30:45.280 --> 0:30:48.320
<v Speaker 1>supply and demand, and there's just, you know, far more

0:30:48.360 --> 0:30:51.680
<v Speaker 1>demand than there is supply, and that's being reflected many markets.

0:30:52.040 --> 0:30:54.600
<v Speaker 1>On the other hand, as interest rates go up, that

0:30:54.680 --> 0:30:56.920
<v Speaker 1>will have an impact on people that have borrowed, but

0:30:56.960 --> 0:30:59.680
<v Speaker 1>hopefully both they and the banks are in better position

0:30:59.720 --> 0:31:03.040
<v Speaker 1>to have that's former Melan Banks CEO Marty mcgwin with

0:31:03.040 --> 0:31:06.760
<v Speaker 1>our Paul Sweeney and Mike Reagan. Mcgwin's autobiography it is

0:31:06.800 --> 0:31:08.880
<v Speaker 1>out now, and that reps up the first hour of

0:31:08.920 --> 0:31:11.520
<v Speaker 1>the weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week from Bloomberg Radio.

0:31:11.560 --> 0:31:14.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm Carol Masser, I'm Tim Stinovic. Ahead in our next hour,

0:31:14.680 --> 0:31:17.560
<v Speaker 1>we'll talk with Free Vago CEO Axel Heafer on the

0:31:17.680 --> 0:31:21.120
<v Speaker 1>all important summer travel season. The experience is not good.

0:31:21.240 --> 0:31:23.920
<v Speaker 1>Prices are very high. Um, you have you have, as

0:31:23.960 --> 0:31:26.840
<v Speaker 1>you said, you have labor shortage everywhere, so the outlook

0:31:26.880 --> 0:31:29.160
<v Speaker 1>is actually not that good. Plus another gem from the

0:31:29.160 --> 0:31:31.760
<v Speaker 1>Business Week heist issue all about a New York lottery

0:31:31.840 --> 0:31:35.840
<v Speaker 1>lawyer who won his clients trust then lost their mega millions.

0:31:36.200 --> 0:31:45.160
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Business Week inside from

0:31:45.160 --> 0:31:48.320
<v Speaker 1>the reporters and editors who bring you America's most trusted

0:31:48.360 --> 0:31:52.520
<v Speaker 1>business magazine, plus global business, finance and tech news as

0:31:52.560 --> 0:31:56.480
<v Speaker 1>it happened. Sloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg

0:31:56.520 --> 0:32:02.360
<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Plenty ahead in

0:32:02.360 --> 0:32:04.920
<v Speaker 1>our second hour of the weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week,

0:32:05.160 --> 0:32:08.560
<v Speaker 1>including the CEO of travel services company Travago on temperate

0:32:08.600 --> 0:32:12.560
<v Speaker 1>expectations and hot destinations for summer travel, and the story

0:32:12.600 --> 0:32:14.960
<v Speaker 1>of a New York area lawyer who built a practice

0:32:15.000 --> 0:32:18.600
<v Speaker 1>by giving legal and financial advice to lottery jackpot winners

0:32:18.680 --> 0:32:21.600
<v Speaker 1>who's now accused of fraud. First up this hour. Though

0:32:21.720 --> 0:32:23.960
<v Speaker 1>in addition to Friday's job print, new f O m

0:32:24.000 --> 0:32:26.720
<v Speaker 1>C minutes came out this week. Official sy A fifty

0:32:26.800 --> 0:32:29.239
<v Speaker 1>or seventy five basis point hike come in later this

0:32:29.320 --> 0:32:31.360
<v Speaker 1>month to help break down the latest missive from the

0:32:31.440 --> 0:32:35.000
<v Speaker 1>US Central Bank. Bloomberg News senior markets reporter Katie Greifeld

0:32:35.160 --> 0:32:37.920
<v Speaker 1>and senior Markets editor Mike Reagan spoke with Don McCree,

0:32:38.120 --> 0:32:40.960
<v Speaker 1>head of commercial banking at Citizens Financial Group. I think

0:32:40.960 --> 0:32:44.120
<v Speaker 1>it was pretty much as expected. I think share Powell

0:32:44.200 --> 0:32:46.600
<v Speaker 1>in its testimony a few weeks ago was was certainly

0:32:46.600 --> 0:32:50.040
<v Speaker 1>pretty hawkish and uh, we're leaning towards probably a seventy

0:32:50.040 --> 0:32:53.680
<v Speaker 1>five basis point move. Again reinforced that there's a likelihood

0:32:53.720 --> 0:32:56.000
<v Speaker 1>that the economy could slip into some kind of recession.

0:32:56.000 --> 0:33:00.080
<v Speaker 1>Whether it's deeper shallow is to be seen. Don it

0:33:00.200 --> 0:33:03.160
<v Speaker 1>strikes me as a pretty uh difficult environment to be

0:33:03.200 --> 0:33:07.640
<v Speaker 1>in commercial banking. One day we have interest rates rising

0:33:07.800 --> 0:33:11.520
<v Speaker 1>really vastly. The next day they're coming back down. The

0:33:11.600 --> 0:33:15.240
<v Speaker 1>focus seems to shift from concerns about inflation so concerns

0:33:15.760 --> 0:33:19.760
<v Speaker 1>about the economy possibly falling into a recession. What is

0:33:19.920 --> 0:33:23.160
<v Speaker 1>sort of the atmosphere among your clients right now. Are

0:33:23.200 --> 0:33:26.200
<v Speaker 1>they sort of pulling back on demand for loans at

0:33:26.240 --> 0:33:28.400
<v Speaker 1>a time like this, or is there even more demanding

0:33:28.680 --> 0:33:31.320
<v Speaker 1>It's actually pretty good. I mean, if anything, there's more

0:33:31.360 --> 0:33:34.800
<v Speaker 1>demand at the margin. Um, that's largely a function of

0:33:34.840 --> 0:33:37.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the other markets. Being so disrupted. So

0:33:37.480 --> 0:33:41.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, the equity markets are clearly you know, selling off.

0:33:41.080 --> 0:33:42.880
<v Speaker 1>There's not a lot of new capital being raised there.

0:33:42.920 --> 0:33:45.120
<v Speaker 1>The high yeld market has been essentially closed. I think

0:33:45.120 --> 0:33:48.360
<v Speaker 1>there was billion of issuance in the in the last quarter,

0:33:48.440 --> 0:33:50.480
<v Speaker 1>which has got to be a record low and for

0:33:50.800 --> 0:33:54.000
<v Speaker 1>very light light calendars going forward. And the institutional loan

0:33:54.040 --> 0:33:57.560
<v Speaker 1>markets are kind of backed up right now and really

0:33:58.120 --> 0:33:59.880
<v Speaker 1>kind of hanging to the sidelines still. I see what

0:33:59.920 --> 0:34:02.840
<v Speaker 1>the economic picture. So we've had a pretty heavy client

0:34:02.920 --> 0:34:05.880
<v Speaker 1>flow um. And remember in a in a bank like ours,

0:34:06.440 --> 0:34:09.080
<v Speaker 1>our loan book is floating rates, so as rates go up,

0:34:09.120 --> 0:34:11.359
<v Speaker 1>it's a short term index and floating rates, so as

0:34:11.440 --> 0:34:13.560
<v Speaker 1>rates go up, that's generally a good thing, you know,

0:34:13.640 --> 0:34:15.799
<v Speaker 1>for our P and L and bank earnings. And then

0:34:15.840 --> 0:34:18.960
<v Speaker 1>on the risk side, I would say that we're seeing

0:34:19.280 --> 0:34:22.560
<v Speaker 1>very little stress in the portfolio. I think that CEOs

0:34:23.440 --> 0:34:26.960
<v Speaker 1>got very serious during the pandemic. They adjusted their businesses,

0:34:27.000 --> 0:34:30.680
<v Speaker 1>trim their workforce, adjusted their working capital um and that's

0:34:30.719 --> 0:34:33.840
<v Speaker 1>continuing as they stare into you know, a potential recession.

0:34:33.920 --> 0:34:37.400
<v Speaker 1>So people are very focused and they're taking actions on

0:34:37.440 --> 0:34:39.920
<v Speaker 1>their business to try to make sure they can survive.

0:34:39.960 --> 0:34:42.359
<v Speaker 1>Whatever the economy throws at them, and on what kind

0:34:42.360 --> 0:34:45.040
<v Speaker 1>of conversations are you having with clients right now? Because

0:34:45.040 --> 0:34:48.160
<v Speaker 1>if I, you know, look across Wall Street commentary that

0:34:48.200 --> 0:34:49.960
<v Speaker 1>I get in the morning, if I look at you know,

0:34:50.040 --> 0:34:53.920
<v Speaker 1>consumer sentiments surveys, seems like there's a lot of angst

0:34:54.000 --> 0:34:56.239
<v Speaker 1>out there. Would you say that that's showing up in

0:34:56.280 --> 0:34:58.200
<v Speaker 1>some of the conversations that you've been having as well

0:34:58.719 --> 0:35:01.080
<v Speaker 1>it is, I'd say, sarn. I wouldn't. I wouldn't. I

0:35:01.080 --> 0:35:03.279
<v Speaker 1>think anst as a little bit strong. Um. I think

0:35:03.280 --> 0:35:05.319
<v Speaker 1>they're trying to figure out ways to automate and become

0:35:05.400 --> 0:35:07.960
<v Speaker 1>less dependent upon the labor because that continues to be

0:35:08.000 --> 0:35:11.239
<v Speaker 1>a real constraint being able to hire people. That's constraining

0:35:11.320 --> 0:35:14.000
<v Speaker 1>the sales line in a lot of our clients. The

0:35:14.320 --> 0:35:16.360
<v Speaker 1>one one piece of good news that they're not worried

0:35:16.400 --> 0:35:20.239
<v Speaker 1>about is interest rates because a lot of companies refinanced

0:35:20.239 --> 0:35:22.680
<v Speaker 1>over the last two or three years, taking advantage of

0:35:22.719 --> 0:35:24.840
<v Speaker 1>the really low rates that were available in the marketplace

0:35:24.880 --> 0:35:27.239
<v Speaker 1>and turned out their debt. So we're not facing a

0:35:27.280 --> 0:35:30.920
<v Speaker 1>wall of maturities that we might otherwise be facing right now. Um.

0:35:31.000 --> 0:35:34.000
<v Speaker 1>And they're they're if they're not if they're not termed out.

0:35:34.000 --> 0:35:36.600
<v Speaker 1>There's been enormous amounts of hedging activity boast in the

0:35:36.600 --> 0:35:39.239
<v Speaker 1>currency markets and in the commodities marketing, in the interest

0:35:39.320 --> 0:35:42.480
<v Speaker 1>rate market, so people are people are somewhat protected in

0:35:42.480 --> 0:35:44.520
<v Speaker 1>a rising rate environment, which is the other thing you

0:35:44.520 --> 0:35:47.319
<v Speaker 1>always worry about. So don how does someone in your

0:35:47.320 --> 0:35:50.960
<v Speaker 1>position sort of think about and prepare for recession? You know,

0:35:51.080 --> 0:35:54.480
<v Speaker 1>is it time to start tightening up your underwriting standards

0:35:54.520 --> 0:35:57.160
<v Speaker 1>on on the loans you are issuing or is it

0:35:57.200 --> 0:35:59.040
<v Speaker 1>too early for that? You know, how do you sort

0:35:59.040 --> 0:36:02.960
<v Speaker 1>of navigate such We're definitely tightening. We're definitely tightening a

0:36:03.000 --> 0:36:05.480
<v Speaker 1>little bit at the margin um and being more selective,

0:36:05.560 --> 0:36:08.200
<v Speaker 1>particularly if it's not an existing client. You know. Number

0:36:08.239 --> 0:36:11.040
<v Speaker 1>one is is we've banked in a large number of

0:36:11.080 --> 0:36:13.120
<v Speaker 1>our clients for many, many years. We've seen them go

0:36:13.160 --> 0:36:15.920
<v Speaker 1>through cycles. We've seen how the management's behave. You know,

0:36:15.960 --> 0:36:19.960
<v Speaker 1>we're literally in touch with them weekly or monthly, really

0:36:20.040 --> 0:36:22.400
<v Speaker 1>understanding what's happening in their business and how they're preparing

0:36:22.920 --> 0:36:25.400
<v Speaker 1>on the new business side. You know, if something is

0:36:25.400 --> 0:36:28.040
<v Speaker 1>is a little more marginal or a little more leveraged,

0:36:28.120 --> 0:36:29.840
<v Speaker 1>we may take a pass at the split second, but

0:36:29.920 --> 0:36:32.640
<v Speaker 1>it's I wouldn't say it's it's significant in terms of

0:36:32.680 --> 0:36:36.359
<v Speaker 1>our origination volumes. Interesting to hear you say that, you know,

0:36:36.560 --> 0:36:39.600
<v Speaker 1>it does matter whether or not this person has been

0:36:39.600 --> 0:36:42.120
<v Speaker 1>a client in the past in terms of evaluating. But

0:36:42.120 --> 0:36:44.440
<v Speaker 1>I am curious. I want to hear um your broad

0:36:44.480 --> 0:36:46.799
<v Speaker 1>thoughts on what this sort of whip lash that we've

0:36:46.840 --> 0:36:49.840
<v Speaker 1>seen across financial assets, not just in stocks, but in

0:36:49.920 --> 0:36:52.920
<v Speaker 1>bonds and all corners of fixed income, what that has

0:36:52.960 --> 0:36:56.799
<v Speaker 1>meant for M and A and for deals, Because anecdotally

0:36:56.800 --> 0:36:58.080
<v Speaker 1>I don't have the numbers in front of me, it

0:36:58.080 --> 0:37:00.960
<v Speaker 1>feels like there's been quite a slowdown. Yeah, there has,

0:37:01.040 --> 0:37:03.080
<v Speaker 1>and you know we have we continue to have a

0:37:03.239 --> 0:37:06.120
<v Speaker 1>very very large, maybe record M and A pipeline. It's

0:37:06.200 --> 0:37:08.719
<v Speaker 1>just not going to be executable right now, you know,

0:37:08.719 --> 0:37:11.759
<v Speaker 1>if it requires financing of any kind of scale with

0:37:11.800 --> 0:37:15.120
<v Speaker 1>any kind of leverage. To think about the private equity arena. Um,

0:37:15.160 --> 0:37:17.400
<v Speaker 1>there's been a real slowdown in terms of of P

0:37:17.560 --> 0:37:20.480
<v Speaker 1>and E or PE oriented M and A. And then

0:37:20.480 --> 0:37:22.560
<v Speaker 1>I think if you've got size and if you have

0:37:22.640 --> 0:37:24.759
<v Speaker 1>to go out and raise you know, seven eight nine

0:37:24.800 --> 0:37:26.960
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars as part of an M and A transaction,

0:37:27.360 --> 0:37:29.320
<v Speaker 1>the markets are just not that deep right now, and

0:37:29.840 --> 0:37:32.919
<v Speaker 1>that's away from buyers and sellers trying to figure out

0:37:32.920 --> 0:37:36.640
<v Speaker 1>whether value still works at whatever in whatever conversations that

0:37:36.680 --> 0:37:39.160
<v Speaker 1>they've been having. So I think you need a valuation

0:37:39.200 --> 0:37:42.640
<v Speaker 1>adjustment in certain areas of the economy and then there's

0:37:42.680 --> 0:37:44.440
<v Speaker 1>going to be a wait and see in terms of

0:37:44.480 --> 0:37:47.520
<v Speaker 1>what can be financed. Um particularly that's got some size

0:37:47.560 --> 0:37:49.760
<v Speaker 1>to it. That was Don McCree, head of commercial banking

0:37:49.760 --> 0:37:53.200
<v Speaker 1>at Citizens Financial Group, along with Bloomberg's Katie Greifeld and

0:37:53.239 --> 0:37:56.440
<v Speaker 1>Mike Regain. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Coming up

0:37:56.520 --> 0:37:59.200
<v Speaker 1>the story of the so called a lottery lawyer who

0:37:59.200 --> 0:38:02.719
<v Speaker 1>stands accused of a massive fraud after spending years advising

0:38:02.800 --> 0:38:06.640
<v Speaker 1>jackpot winners. A lot of lottery winners are not financially

0:38:06.640 --> 0:38:09.279
<v Speaker 1>sophisticated in a blowing at all, feel like they've got

0:38:09.280 --> 0:38:11.600
<v Speaker 1>to give it to friends or family or whatever, and

0:38:11.640 --> 0:38:14.200
<v Speaker 1>so this guy takes advantage of this opening more in

0:38:14.239 --> 0:38:17.840
<v Speaker 1>the alleged one million dollars scammer that's coming up. This

0:38:17.960 --> 0:38:29.360
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser

0:38:29.600 --> 0:38:35.279
<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg Quick Takes. Tim Stenovik from Bloomberg Radio. We've

0:38:35.320 --> 0:38:37.480
<v Speaker 1>got one more story for you from the Bloomberg Business

0:38:37.480 --> 0:38:40.080
<v Speaker 1>Week annual Heist issue. This next story features a New

0:38:40.160 --> 0:38:44.400
<v Speaker 1>York area attorney who courted newly wealthy clients and allegedly

0:38:44.440 --> 0:38:46.640
<v Speaker 1>built them out of tens of millions of dollars in

0:38:46.719 --> 0:38:49.920
<v Speaker 1>lottery winnings. Bloomberg Radio is Paul Sweeney and Bloomberg Markets

0:38:49.920 --> 0:38:52.640
<v Speaker 1>correspondent Creedy Cooped caught up with a Business Week freelance

0:38:52.640 --> 0:38:55.600
<v Speaker 1>reporter Simon van Zyland, would to help unravel the story

0:38:55.800 --> 0:38:58.759
<v Speaker 1>of Jay Kurland. Let's soften it before we get into

0:38:58.800 --> 0:39:01.319
<v Speaker 1>calling you a scam. Okay, is he is going on

0:39:01.400 --> 0:39:04.440
<v Speaker 1>trial in about two weeks, so we have to say

0:39:04.440 --> 0:39:06.839
<v Speaker 1>alleged with him, although he has some co conspirators who

0:39:06.800 --> 0:39:10.600
<v Speaker 1>I'll get into, who have all played guilty and so scammy. Indeed,

0:39:10.719 --> 0:39:14.000
<v Speaker 1>this looks essentially The lottery lawyer is a guy named

0:39:14.040 --> 0:39:17.080
<v Speaker 1>Jason Kurwin, and he cornered a niche market of the

0:39:17.160 --> 0:39:20.680
<v Speaker 1>legal world by representing newly minted power Ball and Megan

0:39:20.760 --> 0:39:23.520
<v Speaker 1>Millions winners. And so he show up on the Today's

0:39:23.520 --> 0:39:25.960
<v Speaker 1>Show or all over the internet basically saying if you've

0:39:26.000 --> 0:39:28.160
<v Speaker 1>won money and you're bewildered and you've no idea what

0:39:28.200 --> 0:39:30.160
<v Speaker 1>to do with it. Called me, I'm your guy. And

0:39:30.239 --> 0:39:32.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, as some of your listeners may know, a

0:39:32.200 --> 0:39:35.600
<v Speaker 1>lot of a lottery winners are not financially sophisticated. They

0:39:35.640 --> 0:39:37.480
<v Speaker 1>end up blowing at all. I feel like they've got

0:39:37.480 --> 0:39:39.840
<v Speaker 1>to give it to friends or family or whatever. And

0:39:39.840 --> 0:39:42.719
<v Speaker 1>so this guy takes advantage of this opening. He has

0:39:42.760 --> 0:39:47.760
<v Speaker 1>alleged to basically have squandered over a hundred million dollars

0:39:47.800 --> 0:39:50.160
<v Speaker 1>from some of the bigger lottery winners in recent history

0:39:50.480 --> 0:39:54.520
<v Speaker 1>on a variety of colorful schemes. And that's that's sort

0:39:54.520 --> 0:39:57.200
<v Speaker 1>of the top line of it. So how did he

0:39:57.239 --> 0:40:01.919
<v Speaker 1>get caught here? Um? So that's a great question because

0:40:01.960 --> 0:40:06.640
<v Speaker 1>there's these overlapping criminal schemes that, um that are at

0:40:06.680 --> 0:40:09.320
<v Speaker 1>play here. So there was a I think that probably

0:40:09.320 --> 0:40:12.960
<v Speaker 1>it's there's a Ponzi scheme involved, and so we don't

0:40:13.000 --> 0:40:15.560
<v Speaker 1>really need to explain why the Ponzi schemes involved. Basically,

0:40:15.600 --> 0:40:18.600
<v Speaker 1>a guy purporting to be a jeweler in Long Island

0:40:18.960 --> 0:40:21.239
<v Speaker 1>was saying he could get massive returns on jeweler I

0:40:21.280 --> 0:40:23.839
<v Speaker 1>think like the uncut gems Oudam Sandler movie, but like

0:40:23.920 --> 0:40:28.239
<v Speaker 1>in Long Island. He ends up getting pinched for with

0:40:28.440 --> 0:40:31.479
<v Speaker 1>the Ponzi scheme, and that Ponzi scheme overlaps the water lawyer.

0:40:31.800 --> 0:40:35.000
<v Speaker 1>That guy, the Ponzi scheme jeweler guy ends up becoming

0:40:35.040 --> 0:40:38.880
<v Speaker 1>a confidential informant and starts wire tapping calls involved with

0:40:38.920 --> 0:40:42.240
<v Speaker 1>a lottery lawyer, and that I think ends up toping

0:40:42.320 --> 0:40:45.200
<v Speaker 1>some dominoes. Other people start flipping. There's wire taps up

0:40:45.200 --> 0:40:47.799
<v Speaker 1>the wazoo in this call in this case. Uh. And

0:40:47.800 --> 0:40:49.680
<v Speaker 1>eventually they would let down and they figure out that

0:40:49.719 --> 0:40:52.240
<v Speaker 1>the water lawer has been been losing money on behalf

0:40:52.239 --> 0:40:54.320
<v Speaker 1>of the people that you're supposed to be managing, you know,

0:40:54.360 --> 0:40:56.400
<v Speaker 1>their money and growing it, not you know, throwing it

0:40:56.440 --> 0:40:59.520
<v Speaker 1>down the toilet. What are some of the quote unquote

0:40:59.520 --> 0:41:02.799
<v Speaker 1>investment uh that these folks made on behalf of their clients.

0:41:02.840 --> 0:41:04.520
<v Speaker 1>Because it seems to me, I always say to myself

0:41:04.640 --> 0:41:06.520
<v Speaker 1>when I see somebody on the TV screen holding up

0:41:06.560 --> 0:41:11.719
<v Speaker 1>that big check for I would just buy treasuries and

0:41:11.719 --> 0:41:13.920
<v Speaker 1>go to sleep. They do. So this is the irony.

0:41:14.040 --> 0:41:17.520
<v Speaker 1>So these guys, they you know, varying levels of financialifuication.

0:41:17.600 --> 0:41:20.720
<v Speaker 1>But so one of his big winners in the biggest

0:41:20.760 --> 0:41:23.880
<v Speaker 1>single lottery winner of all time, meaning she won. She

0:41:23.960 --> 0:41:27.440
<v Speaker 1>was a Long South Carolina woman who kept her identity private.

0:41:27.680 --> 0:41:32.200
<v Speaker 1>One point five billion dollars Jack Pott before tacks, and

0:41:32.360 --> 0:41:35.840
<v Speaker 1>she said to him, please invest conservatively, and he was

0:41:35.840 --> 0:41:37.960
<v Speaker 1>like surchure. Sure. Turns out that one of the bigger

0:41:37.960 --> 0:41:42.520
<v Speaker 1>investment schemes was something called the Merchant Cash Advanced Business.

0:41:42.520 --> 0:41:44.839
<v Speaker 1>He and somebodies in Long Island got into mc AS

0:41:44.840 --> 0:41:46.480
<v Speaker 1>and what that is. It's it's almost like kind of

0:41:46.560 --> 0:41:51.279
<v Speaker 1>gray area legal loan sharking, highly extracted loans, incredibly high

0:41:51.280 --> 0:41:54.240
<v Speaker 1>interest rates up too. It's for people with bad credit,

0:41:54.360 --> 0:41:56.919
<v Speaker 1>deathper for cash, maybe they have criminal history, who knows,

0:41:57.719 --> 0:42:01.279
<v Speaker 1>very popular kind of gray area of industry here in

0:42:01.320 --> 0:42:03.680
<v Speaker 1>New York State. He decides this would be a great

0:42:03.719 --> 0:42:06.800
<v Speaker 1>investment scheme. Uh. The guys he ends up partying with

0:42:06.920 --> 0:42:10.080
<v Speaker 1>their total crooks, one of them one of whose grandfather

0:42:10.320 --> 0:42:15.400
<v Speaker 1>was the head boss of the Colombo crime. Yeah, and

0:42:15.440 --> 0:42:17.360
<v Speaker 1>so that's maybe not the guy. I don't know if

0:42:17.360 --> 0:42:19.880
<v Speaker 1>he googled him or not, but like, that might not

0:42:19.920 --> 0:42:21.239
<v Speaker 1>be the guy you want to get in business with.

0:42:21.640 --> 0:42:24.160
<v Speaker 1>And so that that money starts disappearing for a combination

0:42:24.160 --> 0:42:27.480
<v Speaker 1>of reasons. One the grandson of the mob boss plus

0:42:27.520 --> 0:42:30.799
<v Speaker 1>this other guy. Uh, they start kind of raiding the accounts, like, hey,

0:42:30.840 --> 0:42:32.799
<v Speaker 1>we deserve a like we didn't win the lottery. One

0:42:32.800 --> 0:42:34.439
<v Speaker 1>of these guys deserve all the money. So they start

0:42:34.520 --> 0:42:37.200
<v Speaker 1>rating it. Then they start investing what ends up being

0:42:37.239 --> 0:42:40.160
<v Speaker 1>the Ponzi scheme, which so they lose all of it.

0:42:40.440 --> 0:42:42.680
<v Speaker 1>And then this is a kicker to try to get

0:42:42.680 --> 0:42:46.120
<v Speaker 1>the money back. They learn about another guy who actually

0:42:46.239 --> 0:42:48.799
<v Speaker 1>is an alleged member of the New York City mob

0:42:48.840 --> 0:42:51.959
<v Speaker 1>but for a different family, the Genevaise family, who says

0:42:52.120 --> 0:42:53.879
<v Speaker 1>this is the beginning of the pandemic. Now he says,

0:42:54.160 --> 0:42:56.480
<v Speaker 1>I've got something called Ppe and I'm gonna make a

0:42:56.480 --> 0:42:58.640
<v Speaker 1>ton of money on it. And then that's the final

0:42:58.680 --> 0:43:02.240
<v Speaker 1>way that losing money. There's there's a lot of layers

0:43:02.280 --> 0:43:05.040
<v Speaker 1>to this story. Clearly, let's add one more. Talk to

0:43:05.160 --> 0:43:09.520
<v Speaker 1>us about Cheddar Capital. Yeah, so Cheddar Capital ridiculous name

0:43:09.840 --> 0:43:12.000
<v Speaker 1>and if you google it, like you, this is the

0:43:12.080 --> 0:43:14.560
<v Speaker 1>name of a business, Uh, you can't even find it.

0:43:14.560 --> 0:43:16.960
<v Speaker 1>It's like there's that vanity fair website called Cheddar and

0:43:16.960 --> 0:43:18.560
<v Speaker 1>then there's the cheese and it's like, is this even

0:43:18.560 --> 0:43:21.080
<v Speaker 1>a real thing? Cheddar was one of the merchan cash

0:43:21.080 --> 0:43:24.360
<v Speaker 1>advanced businesses that he was putting a lot of the

0:43:24.520 --> 0:43:26.680
<v Speaker 1>lottery winner's money in. And I think it's the beginning.

0:43:26.680 --> 0:43:29.120
<v Speaker 1>It's possible that this was such an extractive and lucrative

0:43:29.120 --> 0:43:32.400
<v Speaker 1>industry actually, um, that they were making a fair amount

0:43:32.400 --> 0:43:34.560
<v Speaker 1>of money on it. Uh, it's just that it seemed

0:43:34.560 --> 0:43:37.800
<v Speaker 1>to have been terribly mismanaged. Um so Cheddar. Once the

0:43:37.880 --> 0:43:42.640
<v Speaker 1>Cheddar money started allegedly disappearing, UM that that toppled a

0:43:42.680 --> 0:43:44.560
<v Speaker 1>bunch of other dominoes which led us down the road.

0:43:44.600 --> 0:43:46.640
<v Speaker 1>I was just telling you about. So Simon. There are

0:43:46.680 --> 0:43:49.200
<v Speaker 1>four kind of main characters in your story here, but

0:43:49.280 --> 0:43:52.280
<v Speaker 1>the lottery lawyer, and three of them have already pled

0:43:52.280 --> 0:43:56.320
<v Speaker 1>guilty in their waiting sentencing. But the lottery lawyer himself,

0:43:56.920 --> 0:43:59.680
<v Speaker 1>he's going to trial, right, give us a sense of

0:44:00.040 --> 0:44:01.719
<v Speaker 1>the timing one once that can occur, how do you

0:44:02.040 --> 0:44:04.960
<v Speaker 1>what's the expectation about how that might play out? The

0:44:05.360 --> 0:44:08.240
<v Speaker 1>looks like um, at least a couple of co conspirators

0:44:08.239 --> 0:44:10.919
<v Speaker 1>will testify against him. His own brother in law who's

0:44:10.920 --> 0:44:15.480
<v Speaker 1>a very careful, colorful character. He's a cosmetic surgeon in

0:44:15.560 --> 0:44:19.840
<v Speaker 1>Long Island, uh called Scott Bleyer, who's handle on Instagram

0:44:20.080 --> 0:44:23.239
<v Speaker 1>is dr b Fixen and definitely worth a look if

0:44:23.239 --> 0:44:26.160
<v Speaker 1>you're on Instagram. He will be testifying apparently against his

0:44:26.200 --> 0:44:29.040
<v Speaker 1>own brother in law and a whole separate aspect of this.

0:44:29.400 --> 0:44:31.600
<v Speaker 1>So I would say this, between all the lawyers they

0:44:31.680 --> 0:44:34.440
<v Speaker 1>talked to and people involved in the case, everyone is

0:44:34.440 --> 0:44:37.440
<v Speaker 1>shocked at this guy. A lottery lawyers even going to trial.

0:44:38.000 --> 0:44:40.239
<v Speaker 1>He was fired from his law firm Riskin Rattler, which

0:44:40.280 --> 0:44:42.120
<v Speaker 1>is based on Long Island, as soon as the allegations

0:44:42.200 --> 0:44:45.239
<v Speaker 1>hit that the wire tops are incriminating. There's three gather

0:44:45.280 --> 0:44:48.160
<v Speaker 1>guys who played guilty. Um, but his lawyer, I think

0:44:48.160 --> 0:44:50.000
<v Speaker 1>he will. My guess is he's trying to clear his

0:44:50.080 --> 0:44:51.919
<v Speaker 1>name because even if he if he takes a plea,

0:44:52.120 --> 0:44:53.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't think he's worried. He's never gonna work again.

0:44:53.880 --> 0:44:56.719
<v Speaker 1>And his whole reputation was based on integrity, right, I'm

0:44:56.719 --> 0:44:58.439
<v Speaker 1>gonna help you manage your money. I'm the good guy,

0:44:59.040 --> 0:45:01.400
<v Speaker 1>and his record was alice until then. He seems like

0:45:01.440 --> 0:45:04.400
<v Speaker 1>a family guy. He just seemed pretty milk past. I

0:45:04.480 --> 0:45:06.320
<v Speaker 1>think he's going to Hell Mary to try to clear

0:45:06.360 --> 0:45:08.799
<v Speaker 1>his name, and the lawyers, basically, I think are going

0:45:08.840 --> 0:45:12.080
<v Speaker 1>to argue that he himself was scammed by his co

0:45:12.080 --> 0:45:14.680
<v Speaker 1>conspirators that he invested money in a bench of that

0:45:14.880 --> 0:45:17.560
<v Speaker 1>bunch of bad schemes and it wasn't in fault. The

0:45:17.680 --> 0:45:21.880
<v Speaker 1>problem is that he, unbeknownst to the allegedly unbeknownst to

0:45:21.880 --> 0:45:24.759
<v Speaker 1>the winners, was taking a cut of the investment in

0:45:24.840 --> 0:45:27.759
<v Speaker 1>terms of in like these things like Cheddar capital these businesses,

0:45:28.000 --> 0:45:31.520
<v Speaker 1>and was allegedly spending it on you know, classic cliches

0:45:31.560 --> 0:45:35.759
<v Speaker 1>like sac fIF avenue, uh an SUV like you name

0:45:35.920 --> 0:45:38.480
<v Speaker 1>that kind of stuff, and so might be a tall

0:45:38.719 --> 0:45:41.440
<v Speaker 1>hurdle for them to get an acquittal. That was Business

0:45:41.440 --> 0:45:44.399
<v Speaker 1>Week freelance reporter Simon van zyland Wood talking with Paul

0:45:44.440 --> 0:45:48.239
<v Speaker 1>Sweeney of Bloomberg Surveillance and Markets correspondent Creedy Gupta. Still

0:45:48.280 --> 0:45:50.680
<v Speaker 1>to come on Bloomberg business Week. New research on the

0:45:50.760 --> 0:45:53.840
<v Speaker 1>changing landscape of E s G Why A recent survey

0:45:53.880 --> 0:45:57.000
<v Speaker 1>showed impact investing to be more appealing to men and

0:45:57.160 --> 0:45:59.880
<v Speaker 1>women and the E s G sector Americans are most concerned.

0:46:01.320 --> 0:46:14.760
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Broadcasting from the financial capital of the world,

0:46:14.840 --> 0:46:18.320
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg eleven Rio in New York to Washington, d C.

0:46:18.480 --> 0:46:23.200
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg one of six one does San Francisco,

0:46:23.280 --> 0:46:26.719
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg nine six to the country, Sirius XM Channel one

0:46:26.840 --> 0:46:30.520
<v Speaker 1>nine and around the globe, the Bloomberg Business and Bloomberg

0:46:30.600 --> 0:46:34.720
<v Speaker 1>Radio dot Com. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

0:46:34.800 --> 0:46:41.359
<v Speaker 1>Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stenovan on Bloomberg Radio. Well, well,

0:46:41.480 --> 0:46:44.560
<v Speaker 1>CHILEI on Wall Street certainly in the first half of

0:46:45.320 --> 0:46:47.520
<v Speaker 1>two Chile in my studio as well, and chilly when

0:46:47.520 --> 0:46:50.480
<v Speaker 1>it comes to E s G because in May, investors

0:46:50.480 --> 0:46:53.360
<v Speaker 1>made the biggest ever monthly redemptions from US Exchange traded

0:46:53.440 --> 0:46:56.880
<v Speaker 1>e s G funds based on Bloomberg Intelligence estimates. So

0:46:57.000 --> 0:46:58.680
<v Speaker 1>let's get to our guests see what she and her

0:46:58.680 --> 0:47:01.319
<v Speaker 1>team are seeing. When it comes to impact investing in

0:47:01.360 --> 0:47:03.680
<v Speaker 1>E s G. Sarah Bratton hughes his head of E

0:47:03.800 --> 0:47:06.799
<v Speaker 1>s G and Sustainable Investing in America's Century Investments. She

0:47:06.960 --> 0:47:09.279
<v Speaker 1>joins us phone on the phone from New York City,

0:47:09.320 --> 0:47:12.120
<v Speaker 1>American Century. By the way, they're controlling owner is the

0:47:12.120 --> 0:47:16.040
<v Speaker 1>biomedical research Organizations Stower's Institute for Medical Research. The firm

0:47:16.080 --> 0:47:20.320
<v Speaker 1>directs its profits to their efforts to defeat life threatening diseases.

0:47:20.360 --> 0:47:23.319
<v Speaker 1>So uh, they're not only investing for others. They really

0:47:23.320 --> 0:47:26.080
<v Speaker 1>are kind of walking the talk. Sarah. Nice to have

0:47:26.120 --> 0:47:28.920
<v Speaker 1>you here with Mike and myself. What interest are you

0:47:29.040 --> 0:47:30.960
<v Speaker 1>seeing an E s G right now amid all the

0:47:31.000 --> 0:47:33.960
<v Speaker 1>market volatility? Thank you for having me, Carroll. We are

0:47:34.000 --> 0:47:37.640
<v Speaker 1>still seeing UM increased interest and E s G and

0:47:37.760 --> 0:47:42.480
<v Speaker 1>sustainable investing. Although those headlines thought redemptions, Although the redemptions

0:47:42.640 --> 0:47:44.799
<v Speaker 1>have gathered headlines, you can't really look at them in

0:47:44.840 --> 0:47:47.360
<v Speaker 1>a vacuum. You have to look at them versus the

0:47:47.400 --> 0:47:50.880
<v Speaker 1>broader market as well. So UH, this year we conducted

0:47:50.920 --> 0:47:54.680
<v Speaker 1>the FIT edition of our Impact Investing survey and there

0:47:54.719 --> 0:47:57.560
<v Speaker 1>were some really interesting UH findings and there are all

0:47:57.600 --> 0:48:01.000
<v Speaker 1>just talk about these three things that really surprised today. UM.

0:48:01.040 --> 0:48:05.040
<v Speaker 1>Here in the US we've seen increased appeal of impact investing.

0:48:05.360 --> 0:48:08.160
<v Speaker 1>But interestingly, it was probably the first or only survey

0:48:08.160 --> 0:48:12.120
<v Speaker 1>I've ever seen that men had preferred impact investing over

0:48:12.120 --> 0:48:14.400
<v Speaker 1>a woman. And when you really killed back the onion

0:48:14.440 --> 0:48:17.120
<v Speaker 1>and looked at the numbers, what you saw was actually

0:48:17.160 --> 0:48:20.240
<v Speaker 1>there's a delta around what the education and impact investing

0:48:20.320 --> 0:48:23.840
<v Speaker 1>is a woman, UH, particularly in the baby boomer generation.

0:48:24.000 --> 0:48:26.840
<v Speaker 1>So as we think about the transfer of wealth, UM,

0:48:26.960 --> 0:48:30.880
<v Speaker 1>people often talk about the intergenerational transfer of wealth, but

0:48:30.960 --> 0:48:33.640
<v Speaker 1>I like to think of it first as an intergender

0:48:33.680 --> 0:48:37.080
<v Speaker 1>transformation of wealth. What we've also noticed is the dominance

0:48:37.320 --> 0:48:41.239
<v Speaker 1>dominance of the S factors in the US, so UM consistently.

0:48:41.560 --> 0:48:44.759
<v Speaker 1>UM US investors, when they're looking at the factors that

0:48:44.800 --> 0:48:49.120
<v Speaker 1>they want to impact, consistently have had more appeal in

0:48:49.800 --> 0:48:54.600
<v Speaker 1>S factors than our global counterparts. So what we observed

0:48:54.600 --> 0:48:58.520
<v Speaker 1>this year again, healthcare is the most important factor from

0:48:58.520 --> 0:49:02.480
<v Speaker 1>a US perspective. Climate is up there second, but there

0:49:02.560 --> 0:49:05.840
<v Speaker 1>isn't another E factor from a U S perspective, UM,

0:49:05.920 --> 0:49:10.440
<v Speaker 1>whereas that is dominating, Climate dominates the UK, Germany and Australia.

0:49:10.960 --> 0:49:13.200
<v Speaker 1>And then the third and final bit is on greenwashing,

0:49:13.600 --> 0:49:17.520
<v Speaker 1>where over fifty of the investors were concerned about greenwashing.

0:49:17.560 --> 0:49:20.000
<v Speaker 1>I would actually, Carol think that that number was higher

0:49:20.600 --> 0:49:22.719
<v Speaker 1>or bay within marketing. I would agree. I would agree

0:49:22.760 --> 0:49:24.520
<v Speaker 1>because I really do feel like anything with the S

0:49:24.560 --> 0:49:26.360
<v Speaker 1>G and impact, people are like, Okay, enough of it.

0:49:26.400 --> 0:49:28.319
<v Speaker 1>We've seen a ton of money go into it. Now

0:49:28.719 --> 0:49:30.600
<v Speaker 1>show me that you're really doing it. Mike, do you

0:49:30.600 --> 0:49:34.040
<v Speaker 1>feel the same way. Yeah, Well, you know, Carol's sitting

0:49:34.120 --> 0:49:37.040
<v Speaker 1>and Sarah, there's certainly been a bit of a backlash

0:49:37.160 --> 0:49:41.680
<v Speaker 1>from the right side of the political aisle towards the

0:49:41.680 --> 0:49:43.760
<v Speaker 1>notion of the s G in general. Sarah, I'm wondering

0:49:44.160 --> 0:49:48.040
<v Speaker 1>if you view that as any sort of legitimate risk

0:49:48.120 --> 0:49:51.200
<v Speaker 1>going forward, especially no as these mid term elections come

0:49:51.280 --> 0:49:54.360
<v Speaker 1>up and a lot of people expecting the Republicans to

0:49:54.760 --> 0:49:58.799
<v Speaker 1>gain House and gain seats in Congress. Is there is

0:49:58.800 --> 0:50:02.440
<v Speaker 1>this backlash? Uh, sort of in the early phases. But

0:50:02.480 --> 0:50:04.239
<v Speaker 1>I wonder if is it a real risk to you?

0:50:04.280 --> 0:50:07.760
<v Speaker 1>Do you think, how are you thinking about it? So

0:50:07.960 --> 0:50:10.839
<v Speaker 1>I look at what has really resulted in the rise

0:50:11.080 --> 0:50:14.919
<v Speaker 1>of the SG investing, and it's um, the continued um

0:50:15.160 --> 0:50:18.759
<v Speaker 1>demand we've seen from a both in a retail client

0:50:18.800 --> 0:50:22.919
<v Speaker 1>perspective but also institutional clients. Um. It is the sort

0:50:22.920 --> 0:50:25.680
<v Speaker 1>of economic argument for it when you've seen this massive

0:50:25.760 --> 0:50:28.600
<v Speaker 1>rise of intangibles on balance sheets. If you look at

0:50:28.640 --> 0:50:31.160
<v Speaker 1>the amount of intangibles on balance sheets in nineteen seventy five,

0:50:32.960 --> 0:50:37.719
<v Speaker 1>the last figures were over twenty UM were over. But

0:50:37.760 --> 0:50:40.520
<v Speaker 1>I think the biggest thing is the policy environment. So

0:50:40.920 --> 0:50:45.560
<v Speaker 1>according to the UN Principles for Responsible Investing, the top

0:50:45.600 --> 0:50:49.319
<v Speaker 1>fifty out of the toxic economy have some form of

0:50:49.360 --> 0:50:53.319
<v Speaker 1>policy design to help investors consider sustainability, risks, opportunities and

0:50:53.360 --> 0:50:56.520
<v Speaker 1>outcomes UM. And for the longest time, the US was

0:50:56.600 --> 0:51:00.839
<v Speaker 1>the outlier UM in terms of policies. We're providing kill

0:51:00.880 --> 0:51:04.840
<v Speaker 1>wins for sustainable investing UM and now we may become

0:51:04.880 --> 0:51:08.840
<v Speaker 1>the outlier again. However, what we're seeing happening in the

0:51:08.840 --> 0:51:12.080
<v Speaker 1>rest of the world, particularly Europe, is going to continue

0:51:12.440 --> 0:51:16.279
<v Speaker 1>to provide kill win. That's Sarah Bratton Hughes, head of

0:51:16.280 --> 0:51:19.759
<v Speaker 1>E s G and Sustainable Investing over at American Century Investments,

0:51:19.800 --> 0:51:22.680
<v Speaker 1>along with me and Mike Reagan Bloomberg Markets. You're listening

0:51:22.719 --> 0:51:25.799
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week. Coming up travelers in the US

0:51:25.880 --> 0:51:29.040
<v Speaker 1>and around the globe Europe for a summer vacation to remember,

0:51:29.320 --> 0:51:32.319
<v Speaker 1>The CEO of Trovago explains what's hindering companies such as

0:51:32.400 --> 0:51:34.800
<v Speaker 1>his from meeting our pent up demand to hit the beach.

0:51:35.120 --> 0:51:47.400
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with

0:51:47.520 --> 0:51:52.120
<v Speaker 1>Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovik from Bloomberg Radio.

0:51:53.440 --> 0:51:56.360
<v Speaker 1>A recent survey from travel services company Trovago found that

0:51:56.400 --> 0:52:00.319
<v Speaker 1>four and five consumers expect two will be their best summer. Yeah,

0:52:00.680 --> 0:52:03.840
<v Speaker 1>This is rising fuel prices, labor shortages and an abundance

0:52:03.880 --> 0:52:07.839
<v Speaker 1>of flight cancelations snarl airports across the globe, already making

0:52:07.840 --> 0:52:11.839
<v Speaker 1>summer travel complicated and really testing our patients and our pocketbooks.

0:52:11.880 --> 0:52:13.960
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, Carol, I've had a better summer. This

0:52:14.080 --> 0:52:17.960
<v Speaker 1>has been Yeah, I don't know. We're not part of that.

0:52:17.960 --> 0:52:21.520
<v Speaker 1>Servey Bloomberg New Senior Markets reporter Katie Greifeld and Bloomberg

0:52:21.560 --> 0:52:24.480
<v Speaker 1>Market Senior editor Mike Reagan as Tree Vago CEO axcel

0:52:24.520 --> 0:52:27.279
<v Speaker 1>Hea for why he thinks travelers are looking past the

0:52:27.360 --> 0:52:31.000
<v Speaker 1>inconvenience for the prospect of excitement. It's a very interesting

0:52:31.040 --> 0:52:33.319
<v Speaker 1>point in time, to be honest, because we are coming

0:52:33.320 --> 0:52:36.520
<v Speaker 1>out of the pandemic and and everybody was looking very

0:52:36.560 --> 0:52:39.280
<v Speaker 1>much forward to the summer travel. And you see actually

0:52:39.360 --> 0:52:42.040
<v Speaker 1>a very strong demand for summer. But on the other hand,

0:52:42.120 --> 0:52:44.799
<v Speaker 1>you also can see that the experience is not good.

0:52:44.920 --> 0:52:47.600
<v Speaker 1>Prices are very high. Um, you have you have, as

0:52:47.640 --> 0:52:50.320
<v Speaker 1>you said, you have labor shortage everywhere, So the outlook

0:52:50.360 --> 0:52:53.360
<v Speaker 1>is actually not that good. Yeah, excell, is there any

0:52:53.440 --> 0:52:56.080
<v Speaker 1>sense of when things will get back to normal? Uh?

0:52:56.160 --> 0:52:58.880
<v Speaker 1>You know, this has just been a really nasty summer.

0:52:58.880 --> 0:53:01.759
<v Speaker 1>As Katie said, for delays and cancelations, is already light

0:53:01.760 --> 0:53:04.959
<v Speaker 1>at the end of the tunnel that you can see. Yeah,

0:53:05.000 --> 0:53:07.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean it's it's it's not that easy to be honest,

0:53:07.520 --> 0:53:10.880
<v Speaker 1>because I mean it's it's not only in the travel industry.

0:53:10.920 --> 0:53:14.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean you've got labor shortages UM pretty much everywhere.

0:53:14.360 --> 0:53:16.960
<v Speaker 1>And I mean, to me, the question really is how

0:53:17.000 --> 0:53:19.319
<v Speaker 1>do you get the world back into balance now? So

0:53:19.520 --> 0:53:22.480
<v Speaker 1>so there is UM is a lot more demands than

0:53:22.560 --> 0:53:25.760
<v Speaker 1>the kill what can be filled by by the current

0:53:25.800 --> 0:53:29.120
<v Speaker 1>staff levels and by supply and UM, I think we'll

0:53:29.120 --> 0:53:31.759
<v Speaker 1>probably see a slowdown in demand and have to see

0:53:31.760 --> 0:53:35.040
<v Speaker 1>a slow end demand UM and over years, demand supply

0:53:35.120 --> 0:53:38.640
<v Speaker 1>will meet each other. And so actually it's interesting. So

0:53:38.640 --> 0:53:43.400
<v Speaker 1>so Trivago has actual data points here. You have a

0:53:43.560 --> 0:53:47.440
<v Speaker 1>study that found that any three percent of respondents believe

0:53:47.560 --> 0:53:51.080
<v Speaker 1>that summer of two will be the best yet for

0:53:51.160 --> 0:53:55.040
<v Speaker 1>travel and advant adventures. Sort of square that circle for us.

0:53:55.080 --> 0:53:59.680
<v Speaker 1>How how does that uh sort of be a possibility

0:53:59.680 --> 0:54:03.919
<v Speaker 1>amid some of the themes that we're talking about. Yes, so, so,

0:54:03.960 --> 0:54:06.000
<v Speaker 1>I mean the in the pandemic, we have seen one

0:54:06.120 --> 0:54:08.839
<v Speaker 1>thing very very clearly. I mean, no, no matter how

0:54:09.239 --> 0:54:11.879
<v Speaker 1>difficult the situation has been and no no matter how

0:54:11.920 --> 0:54:15.400
<v Speaker 1>big the health warriors have been, UM, people want to

0:54:15.400 --> 0:54:18.160
<v Speaker 1>travel in summer, and so they need to get a break,

0:54:18.200 --> 0:54:20.399
<v Speaker 1>They need to break out of their daily routine. So

0:54:20.880 --> 0:54:22.680
<v Speaker 1>and and that's that's what I think what you can

0:54:22.680 --> 0:54:24.640
<v Speaker 1>see and in the survey that we've run that that

0:54:24.880 --> 0:54:28.399
<v Speaker 1>coming out of the pandemic, we are all looking very

0:54:28.480 --> 0:54:31.840
<v Speaker 1>much forward to the summer UM. But the experience in

0:54:31.880 --> 0:54:34.719
<v Speaker 1>the summer in many many places is actually not that

0:54:34.840 --> 0:54:38.279
<v Speaker 1>good because the supply UM is not able to meet

0:54:38.280 --> 0:54:40.839
<v Speaker 1>the demand. Plus obviously you have you have all these

0:54:40.880 --> 0:54:44.320
<v Speaker 1>problems in the world which leading to too bad service

0:54:44.400 --> 0:54:47.640
<v Speaker 1>to two higher prices. And I mean for for us

0:54:47.719 --> 0:54:51.480
<v Speaker 1>that UM that's actually interesting because we compare prices, you know,

0:54:51.600 --> 0:54:55.000
<v Speaker 1>so so in a way higher prices and and a

0:54:55.040 --> 0:54:58.840
<v Speaker 1>bigger discrepancy in different price levels is UM is for

0:54:58.960 --> 0:55:01.680
<v Speaker 1>us good because we can provide more value to our users.

0:55:02.520 --> 0:55:05.800
<v Speaker 1>You know, Axel, Katie and I are major market nerds

0:55:06.080 --> 0:55:09.120
<v Speaker 1>if they didn't warrant so, so we often view every

0:55:09.160 --> 0:55:13.000
<v Speaker 1>story from sort of the market angle. And the big

0:55:13.200 --> 0:55:16.400
<v Speaker 1>story this summer is the currency market weakness in the

0:55:16.480 --> 0:55:21.200
<v Speaker 1>Euro it's almost trading dollar for dollar on parody against

0:55:21.239 --> 0:55:24.720
<v Speaker 1>the dollar, and the dollar at multi year highs against

0:55:24.880 --> 0:55:28.160
<v Speaker 1>many currencies. Is that affecting travel trends at all? You know,

0:55:28.280 --> 0:55:32.560
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing more Americans visit Europe and fewer Europeans visit

0:55:32.640 --> 0:55:36.640
<v Speaker 1>America this summer. I mean, you've got trans atlantic travel

0:55:36.840 --> 0:55:41.200
<v Speaker 1>up in both directions, um not not unexpectedly. So you

0:55:41.320 --> 0:55:43.600
<v Speaker 1>can't really see that, at least in the numbers that

0:55:43.600 --> 0:55:45.400
<v Speaker 1>that we have to can't really see that because you

0:55:45.400 --> 0:55:49.120
<v Speaker 1>have this overall recovery of um of trans atlantic travel

0:55:49.360 --> 0:55:53.520
<v Speaker 1>um that is just dominating the overall trend um. I

0:55:53.560 --> 0:55:55.840
<v Speaker 1>think it it might be something that you that you

0:55:55.960 --> 0:55:58.479
<v Speaker 1>potentially will see in the in the months to come,

0:55:59.200 --> 0:56:01.520
<v Speaker 1>because you're right, I mean, it got a lot cheaper

0:56:01.560 --> 0:56:04.680
<v Speaker 1>for Americans to go to Europe. Have you seen any

0:56:04.880 --> 0:56:09.640
<v Speaker 1>difference in how people are traveling post pandemic, whether that's

0:56:09.680 --> 0:56:12.000
<v Speaker 1>with someone or you know, the type of trips that

0:56:12.040 --> 0:56:15.600
<v Speaker 1>they're taking. Yeah, I mean, we we've got the usual

0:56:15.680 --> 0:56:18.000
<v Speaker 1>suspect on top of the list. So in the US

0:56:18.080 --> 0:56:21.400
<v Speaker 1>you've got Las Vegas, Orlando, New York City on the

0:56:21.440 --> 0:56:25.360
<v Speaker 1>top five. So, um, we haven't seen that fundamental shift.

0:56:25.560 --> 0:56:30.040
<v Speaker 1>Asia is still um not back because Obviously the situation

0:56:30.080 --> 0:56:33.760
<v Speaker 1>there is more difficult, but other than that, the behavior

0:56:33.840 --> 0:56:35.919
<v Speaker 1>is much more normal compared to what we've seen last

0:56:35.960 --> 0:56:38.120
<v Speaker 1>year in the year before. Actually, we're talking a little

0:56:38.120 --> 0:56:40.680
<v Speaker 1>bit about where people are going. If I look at

0:56:40.680 --> 0:56:42.800
<v Speaker 1>some of the data that you sent over Las Vegas

0:56:43.239 --> 0:56:46.120
<v Speaker 1>favorite domestic destination, If I look down the list, it

0:56:46.160 --> 0:56:48.120
<v Speaker 1>seems that there's a theme, and that theme is going

0:56:48.160 --> 0:56:52.000
<v Speaker 1>to the beach. Yeah, absolutely, I mean the But that's

0:56:52.160 --> 0:56:54.040
<v Speaker 1>that's a very consistent to what we've seen in the

0:56:54.160 --> 0:56:56.920
<v Speaker 1>last two years. Um, it's really breaking out of the

0:56:57.200 --> 0:57:01.200
<v Speaker 1>of the city and and and going really form for

0:57:01.280 --> 0:57:04.160
<v Speaker 1>summer occasion where you can relax, you know. Actual, I

0:57:04.239 --> 0:57:08.120
<v Speaker 1>hear hot destinations, and I think price destinations, and I'm

0:57:08.120 --> 0:57:11.440
<v Speaker 1>really a cheap skate at heart. So I'm curious. Are

0:57:11.480 --> 0:57:14.799
<v Speaker 1>there any sort of off the beaten track destinations that

0:57:14.840 --> 0:57:18.280
<v Speaker 1>people are going, any sort of bargain hidden gem getaways

0:57:18.280 --> 0:57:21.280
<v Speaker 1>that we should know about. Yeah, I mean the I

0:57:21.280 --> 0:57:23.480
<v Speaker 1>mean this summer, actually it's there. There are there are

0:57:23.480 --> 0:57:27.400
<v Speaker 1>no real bar games, to be honest, Um, but obviously

0:57:27.440 --> 0:57:33.040
<v Speaker 1>you should avoid the top destinations So Vegas, New York, Orlando,

0:57:33.120 --> 0:57:35.560
<v Speaker 1>or Panama City, beat cetera. They are they are pretty

0:57:35.600 --> 0:57:39.000
<v Speaker 1>well booked. Um. So the best advice to get value

0:57:39.000 --> 0:57:41.600
<v Speaker 1>for money is actually to be very flexible, to be honest,

0:57:41.880 --> 0:57:45.880
<v Speaker 1>so um, to avoid air transportation, go by your own

0:57:45.880 --> 0:57:50.080
<v Speaker 1>car and and then be flexible on the time when

0:57:50.120 --> 0:57:53.320
<v Speaker 1>you're going, and and also on the destination. Of course,

0:57:53.360 --> 0:57:55.680
<v Speaker 1>if you take a car, you do have to pay

0:57:55.720 --> 0:57:58.000
<v Speaker 1>for gas, but at least you know no one can

0:57:58.080 --> 0:58:00.520
<v Speaker 1>cancel your car ride at least not Yeah, I don't

0:58:00.560 --> 0:58:03.760
<v Speaker 1>have to deal with that, but uh, accel very aware

0:58:03.800 --> 0:58:06.160
<v Speaker 1>that you're joining us from Germany. I've talked a lot

0:58:06.200 --> 0:58:09.320
<v Speaker 1>about the US so far, but when you look outside

0:58:09.600 --> 0:58:12.920
<v Speaker 1>of the United States States, I mean, where are people going?

0:58:13.080 --> 0:58:16.200
<v Speaker 1>What makes the sort of the summer destination list there?

0:58:17.760 --> 0:58:20.600
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it obviously depends a bit by country, Um

0:58:20.800 --> 0:58:22.720
<v Speaker 1>you I mean I have a similar trend the usual

0:58:22.760 --> 0:58:26.480
<v Speaker 1>suspect so um majorca for for the Germans and the

0:58:26.560 --> 0:58:30.360
<v Speaker 1>bread Dubai is very popular. So so really people were

0:58:30.440 --> 0:58:33.040
<v Speaker 1>after the pandemic looking forward to go to their favorite

0:58:33.240 --> 0:58:35.880
<v Speaker 1>beach destination. And and that's that's what you see pretty

0:58:35.920 --> 0:58:40.120
<v Speaker 1>much everywhere. Acts with all these flight cancelations, um, and

0:58:40.240 --> 0:58:42.720
<v Speaker 1>all the turmoil that's causing, I wonder does it help

0:58:43.200 --> 0:58:45.840
<v Speaker 1>to book way in advance or to your point, is

0:58:45.840 --> 0:58:48.680
<v Speaker 1>it better to be flexible and almost planning your vacation

0:58:48.720 --> 0:58:51.200
<v Speaker 1>at the last minute. Yeah. I mean the best advice

0:58:51.280 --> 0:58:54.800
<v Speaker 1>is really too to control transportation, because that's the part

0:58:54.880 --> 0:58:58.960
<v Speaker 1>that you that it is very difficult. Um right now. Um, So,

0:58:59.120 --> 0:59:02.000
<v Speaker 1>really driving is actually the best of the safest, And

0:59:02.080 --> 0:59:04.919
<v Speaker 1>if you're driving to a destination, you should actually book

0:59:04.920 --> 0:59:07.680
<v Speaker 1>in advance because there are a lot of destinations where

0:59:07.720 --> 0:59:10.760
<v Speaker 1>just there's just nothing available anymore. M hm. That is

0:59:10.760 --> 0:59:14.160
<v Speaker 1>so interesting. Yeah, and again coming off of just a

0:59:14.200 --> 0:59:19.440
<v Speaker 1>ton of headlines about flight cancelations, flight delays, at least

0:59:19.440 --> 0:59:21.760
<v Speaker 1>in the US, it's not I can't I don't know.

0:59:21.840 --> 0:59:24.120
<v Speaker 1>Can you drive to Mexico? I've never tried it. Let's

0:59:24.120 --> 0:59:27.880
<v Speaker 1>do it. Let's just got to get through this show

0:59:27.920 --> 0:59:29.600
<v Speaker 1>and then then we're Mike and I are going to

0:59:29.680 --> 0:59:33.280
<v Speaker 1>research that. But so the summer travel season obviously in

0:59:33.360 --> 0:59:36.200
<v Speaker 1>full swing, a little bit difficult, but people are still traveling.

0:59:36.600 --> 0:59:41.160
<v Speaker 1>Let's push ahead and talk about autumn. Um. I mean,

0:59:41.200 --> 0:59:43.520
<v Speaker 1>do you have any expectations for how that might go,

0:59:43.800 --> 0:59:46.480
<v Speaker 1>any sense that you know, given some of the difficulties

0:59:46.480 --> 0:59:49.880
<v Speaker 1>we've been talking about that making national headlines. Might people

0:59:50.000 --> 0:59:53.120
<v Speaker 1>just sort of hold off and wait for autumn? Yeah, so,

0:59:53.200 --> 0:59:55.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean not our expectations, and I mean I'm not

0:59:55.360 --> 0:59:58.360
<v Speaker 1>an economist, so so you might know better than me.

0:59:58.440 --> 1:00:02.720
<v Speaker 1>But our expectation aation is that the overall economy economy

1:00:02.760 --> 1:00:05.400
<v Speaker 1>has to slow down. Um. I mean we we are

1:00:05.440 --> 1:00:09.600
<v Speaker 1>completely out of balance, and you have obviously very high inflation,

1:00:09.640 --> 1:00:12.520
<v Speaker 1>intrograce arising, etcetera. So the disposal of the income of

1:00:12.560 --> 1:00:16.320
<v Speaker 1>many many people is coming under pressure. So what we

1:00:16.400 --> 1:00:22.080
<v Speaker 1>expect is that that people will actually try to save

1:00:22.160 --> 1:00:25.200
<v Speaker 1>money on their trips, which for us is I said earlier,

1:00:25.280 --> 1:00:28.400
<v Speaker 1>is is actually a good thing. Um. And that that

1:00:28.480 --> 1:00:31.480
<v Speaker 1>means that they travel more locally or more regionally um,

1:00:31.600 --> 1:00:34.880
<v Speaker 1>and that they shop around more for the right accommodation. Well,

1:00:34.880 --> 1:00:38.080
<v Speaker 1>this conversation gets me thinking about you know, business travel

1:00:38.280 --> 1:00:41.640
<v Speaker 1>for example, Um, I mean, what are what are you seeing? There?

1:00:41.760 --> 1:00:45.800
<v Speaker 1>Is business travel ever going to return to pre pandemic

1:00:45.880 --> 1:00:48.720
<v Speaker 1>levels or sort of like you know, the office environment

1:00:48.760 --> 1:00:51.920
<v Speaker 1>itself with some shifting to hybrid work. I mean, is

1:00:52.120 --> 1:00:56.560
<v Speaker 1>the business travel landscape sort of fundamentally changed here? I

1:00:56.600 --> 1:00:59.120
<v Speaker 1>do think? So, I think, I mean this, this is

1:00:59.160 --> 1:01:01.640
<v Speaker 1>actually different and I mean if we go back to

1:01:01.680 --> 1:01:04.200
<v Speaker 1>two thousand eight nine and to two thousand one two,

1:01:04.280 --> 1:01:06.520
<v Speaker 1>I mean we had the same discussions business travel will

1:01:06.520 --> 1:01:09.320
<v Speaker 1>not come back, etcetera. I think now there is one

1:01:09.520 --> 1:01:13.480
<v Speaker 1>very fundamental change, which is that even not traveling, I

1:01:13.480 --> 1:01:16.280
<v Speaker 1>mean in our core job, we accept that you can

1:01:16.280 --> 1:01:21.440
<v Speaker 1>actually work remotely and you can do you know, project updates, etcetera.

1:01:21.440 --> 1:01:24.760
<v Speaker 1>Remotely and we do that every week. And so that

1:01:24.760 --> 1:01:29.320
<v Speaker 1>that actually learning will lead to lower necessity for business travel.

1:01:29.400 --> 1:01:31.200
<v Speaker 1>And the way we are thinking about it, you have

1:01:31.240 --> 1:01:34.360
<v Speaker 1>basically two kinds of business travel. One is more relationships

1:01:34.440 --> 1:01:37.480
<v Speaker 1>sales focused, where you need to meet in person because

1:01:37.480 --> 1:01:40.920
<v Speaker 1>building relationship virtually is very difficult. The other one is

1:01:40.960 --> 1:01:44.480
<v Speaker 1>more transactional. I mean you you discuss the deal, you

1:01:44.520 --> 1:01:47.440
<v Speaker 1>give a project update, etcetera. Which is a lot of

1:01:47.640 --> 1:01:51.040
<v Speaker 1>intra company travel, and that will not come back to

1:01:51.480 --> 1:01:54.040
<v Speaker 1>pre pandemic levels. And a big thanks to Travago CEO

1:01:54.080 --> 1:01:56.680
<v Speaker 1>AXL he for for joining our broadcast and also to

1:01:56.720 --> 1:01:59.200
<v Speaker 1>our colleagues here at Bloomberg News you filled in for

1:01:59.280 --> 1:02:02.000
<v Speaker 1>both him and throughout the past week or so Katie

1:02:02.000 --> 1:02:05.000
<v Speaker 1>gray Feld, Mike Regan, Kregopt and Paul Sweeney. They are

1:02:05.040 --> 1:02:08.400
<v Speaker 1>the best. We appreciate their assist and expertise in really

1:02:08.400 --> 1:02:10.520
<v Speaker 1>guiding our ship this past week. Also got to thank

1:02:10.560 --> 1:02:13.840
<v Speaker 1>our producers Ri Lagami, Paul Brennan, and Carl Wanna, who

1:02:13.960 --> 1:02:16.720
<v Speaker 1>juggled a lot while we were out, oftentimes with just

1:02:16.800 --> 1:02:19.320
<v Speaker 1>minutes to find that we weren't available, so really appreciate

1:02:19.400 --> 1:02:22.840
<v Speaker 1>them heading up the ship. This week really takes a village.

1:02:23.240 --> 1:02:25.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm the village idiot and at COVID Free Village. All right,

1:02:26.000 --> 1:02:28.400
<v Speaker 1>that wraps up, You're no idiot. That wraps up the

1:02:28.400 --> 1:02:31.120
<v Speaker 1>weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week from Bloomberg Radio. Thanks

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<v Speaker 1>so much for joining us. I'm Carol Masser. Be sure

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<v Speaker 1>to tune into Bloomberg Business Week Monday through Friday starting

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<v Speaker 1>at two pm Wall Street Time on Bloomberg Radio. You

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<v Speaker 1>can also watch our daily broadcast on YouTube. Just search

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Global News, and be sure to check out our

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Find that at Bloomberg dot com, Apple,

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<v Speaker 1>or wherever you get your podcast. Bloomberg Business Week is

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<v Speaker 1>available on newsstands now, at Bloomberg dot com and on

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<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Terminal. I'm Tim Stutter and I'm Carol Masser.

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<v Speaker 1>Have a healthy and safe week, and everyone this is Bloomberg.