1
00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,200
Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

2
00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:05,400
Speaker 1: your bets. It is me, Joey Pitty, Joe Pi's APA,

3
00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:07,480
Speaker 1: and today we're going to take our look at Week one,

4
00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:10,360
Speaker 1: the best of the lines, the best of the sides.

5
00:00:10,520 --> 00:00:13,040
Speaker 1: Oh man, we are here. Football is ready to go.

6
00:00:13,480 --> 00:00:17,079
Speaker 1: Kickoff is tonight. We're recording this on Thursday afternoon, and

7
00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:19,360
Speaker 1: my goodness, we're excited because that means now we can

8
00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:21,759
Speaker 1: finally bet on real football games. To help us break

9
00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:24,120
Speaker 1: down some of the best bets of the week, of course,

10
00:00:24,320 --> 00:00:27,360
Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson, mister big pot Energy himself and my good

11
00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:30,160
Speaker 1: friend f Sports Career, the One the Only, Joe Ranieri

12
00:00:30,320 --> 00:00:33,319
Speaker 1: two Joe's on one show. My goodness, it doesn't get

13
00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:36,360
Speaker 1: better than that. Joe Ranieri. I know you're excited for

14
00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:39,360
Speaker 1: the NFL season. I know we have this long period

15
00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:41,880
Speaker 1: of time waiting into August. But of all the things

16
00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:44,080
Speaker 1: going on this week in Week one, what's the one

17
00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:46,199
Speaker 1: thing in the NFL that you are so excited to

18
00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:49,720
Speaker 1: see finally happen. Is it a certain rookie starting, Is

19
00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:51,760
Speaker 1: it one of the new quarterbacks? Like, what's going on

20
00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:54,000
Speaker 1: for you that has your attention? In Week one.

21
00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:57,200
Speaker 2: Well, I'd be lying if I said that as a

22
00:00:57,440 --> 00:01:03,600
Speaker 2: lifelong Jets fan, depression has not set in yet, which

23
00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:08,000
Speaker 2: usually happens right around this time of year. But I'd

24
00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:10,920
Speaker 2: be lying if I said. The idea of Aaron Rodgers

25
00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:14,560
Speaker 2: in a Jets uniform, with that defense and some of

26
00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:18,000
Speaker 2: those changes, and they start right off the bat taking

27
00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:22,160
Speaker 2: on the nemesis Aaron Buffalo Metli Stadium is going to

28
00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:25,800
Speaker 2: be packed. I can't wait to see Aaron Rodgers and

29
00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:29,160
Speaker 2: these young kids. I'm really interested to see what the

30
00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:31,200
Speaker 2: New York Jets can bring to the table this year.

31
00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:33,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, you're right, though, I mean most of the Jet

32
00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:36,480
Speaker 1: fans I know. Even still it's hard because I'm still

33
00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:39,320
Speaker 1: up here in Jersey and they're still They're like, I

34
00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:41,400
Speaker 1: want to be happy, I want to be excited for

35
00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:44,039
Speaker 1: Monday Night football. But you could sense this doom and

36
00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:45,040
Speaker 1: gloom and I love it.

37
00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:47,120
Speaker 3: I live for That's just optimism.

38
00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:52,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, as New England Patriots fans Andre Erikson and myself

39
00:01:52,920 --> 00:01:55,280
Speaker 1: over here, which is kind of fun. I just heard

40
00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:57,880
Speaker 1: Bill Belichick broke up with his girlfriend Eric's I was

41
00:01:57,920 --> 00:01:59,919
Speaker 1: just reading about that. Are you worried about that effect

42
00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:03,560
Speaker 1: the game this week? He needs no distractions.

43
00:02:04,600 --> 00:02:05,520
Speaker 3: She's dialed in.

44
00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:09,919
Speaker 4: It's all twenty four to seven, you know, bells.

45
00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:13,680
Speaker 1: He's ready, he's ready. We're on to Tinder. All right,

46
00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:16,239
Speaker 1: all right, there you go. Let's let's get after everybody.

47
00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:18,240
Speaker 1: So today we're gonna review some of our favorite bets

48
00:02:18,240 --> 00:02:19,880
Speaker 1: of the week. The guys each have brought five to

49
00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:22,360
Speaker 1: the table that we're gonna review, talking about the sides

50
00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:24,280
Speaker 1: and what's going on. If you're looking for props, that's

51
00:02:24,320 --> 00:02:26,840
Speaker 1: tomorrow's show, So make sure you subscribe to the Betting

52
00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:29,080
Speaker 1: Pros on the YouTube side. Make sure you subscribe wherever

53
00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:32,000
Speaker 1: you get your pods, but also don't forget to subscribe

54
00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:34,120
Speaker 1: and leave a comment below because when you do, you

55
00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:37,600
Speaker 1: could win an Aaron Jones autograph jersey thanks to us.

56
00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:40,640
Speaker 1: And again it's real simple. Click the belt lit goes dings,

57
00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:42,920
Speaker 1: so you know if you're the winner, subscribe to the

58
00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:45,000
Speaker 1: YouTube channel and drop a comment. That's it, That's all

59
00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:46,680
Speaker 1: you gotta do. It's a beautiful time to your life.

60
00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:49,400
Speaker 1: And we also want you to join our NFL contest

61
00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:51,560
Speaker 1: which is going on right now. So download the new

62
00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:53,880
Speaker 1: Betting Pros app if you haven't already, and if you have,

63
00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:57,200
Speaker 1: go to the community tab go to NFL Contest or

64
00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:00,280
Speaker 1: just go to Bettingpros dot com slash NFL contest because

65
00:03:00,280 --> 00:03:03,400
Speaker 1: we're giving away weekly prizes. We're giving away monthly prizes,

66
00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:07,480
Speaker 1: an annual prize to a JSN autograph jersey. Also, so

67
00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:09,960
Speaker 1: we're giving away lots of cool stuff. I'm in that contest.

68
00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:12,240
Speaker 1: Ericson's in that contest. We want you to be in

69
00:03:12,280 --> 00:03:14,200
Speaker 1: that contest too. And every week we're going to tout

70
00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:16,480
Speaker 1: all the big winners of the week. And again it's

71
00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:18,840
Speaker 1: never too late to join because we're giving away Fantasy

72
00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:21,679
Speaker 1: Pro slag upgrades, the betting pros and Fantasy pros. You

73
00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:23,720
Speaker 1: want a time to be alive, just go have some

74
00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:26,000
Speaker 1: fun with us. Joe Vernier, you're our guest today. I

75
00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:27,560
Speaker 1: want to start with you. Give me the first game

76
00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:29,840
Speaker 1: on your list that you want to wager on in

77
00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:30,359
Speaker 1: week one.

78
00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:34,000
Speaker 2: Oh well, and listen, you just did this could and

79
00:03:34,080 --> 00:03:36,360
Speaker 2: I'm not sucking up. I want to go on record

80
00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:38,680
Speaker 2: and say I am not sucking up by making my

81
00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:43,640
Speaker 2: first bet the New England Patriots getting four points here

82
00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:50,280
Speaker 2: against the highly overrated Philadelphia Eagles team. And listen, guys,

83
00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:56,040
Speaker 2: it's simple. Philadelphia's schedule last year. It was so ridiculously

84
00:03:56,120 --> 00:04:00,080
Speaker 2: beneficial to them. It made them actually look like they

85
00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:04,280
Speaker 2: were way better than what they were. And that is

86
00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:08,320
Speaker 2: now carried over into this year. That was one of

87
00:04:08,360 --> 00:04:12,520
Speaker 2: the easiest schedules for a Super Bowl team. I believe

88
00:04:12,720 --> 00:04:15,800
Speaker 2: they said in the last fifteen years, the road to

89
00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:17,840
Speaker 2: the Super Bowl for Philadelphia was paved.

90
00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:20,520
Speaker 3: All they had to do was not screw it up.

91
00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:23,960
Speaker 2: Have you seen this year schedule, guys, at all with

92
00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:27,480
Speaker 2: what Philadelphia has got coming. And in meantime, let's talk

93
00:04:27,480 --> 00:04:32,200
Speaker 2: about the New England Patriots who finally realized maybe Matt

94
00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:36,320
Speaker 2: Patricia not the best option to run our offense.

95
00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:37,800
Speaker 3: So what do they do?

96
00:04:37,880 --> 00:04:40,200
Speaker 2: They go out and get a guy that I love

97
00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:42,040
Speaker 2: and I think he's got an ax to grind.

98
00:04:42,080 --> 00:04:43,599
Speaker 3: I think he's got a little something to prove there

99
00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:45,159
Speaker 3: in Bill O'Brien.

100
00:04:46,120 --> 00:04:49,080
Speaker 2: Nothing says confidence in mac Jones like the fact that

101
00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:51,640
Speaker 2: you cut Bailey's happy only to bring him back and

102
00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:55,520
Speaker 2: he's now your practice squad QB. So all of the edge,

103
00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:58,680
Speaker 2: there's no more looking over mac Jones's shoulder. The New

104
00:04:58,720 --> 00:05:02,760
Speaker 2: England defense is going to it's already being undervalued and underrated.

105
00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:05,280
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, and keep this in mind, Philadelphia and how

106
00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:09,120
Speaker 2: many starters they played in the preseason, Oh nobody. They

107
00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:11,800
Speaker 2: didn't play anybody. And not that that's not a bad

108
00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:14,599
Speaker 2: thing for the long term future, but what we have

109
00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:18,360
Speaker 2: seen in years past is that teams in Week one

110
00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:21,680
Speaker 2: who didn't play any of their starters, they come out

111
00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:24,600
Speaker 2: six and thirteen straight up, seven and twelve against the

112
00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:27,880
Speaker 2: number in Week one. You want to give me more

113
00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:29,960
Speaker 2: than a field goal, and you want to give me

114
00:05:30,279 --> 00:05:33,720
Speaker 2: more than a week of Bill Belichick to prepare for

115
00:05:33,760 --> 00:05:35,240
Speaker 2: my overrated ass.

116
00:05:35,600 --> 00:05:36,640
Speaker 3: I'm taking the new.

117
00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:40,240
Speaker 2: England Patriots and the points all day long. Welcome to

118
00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:43,320
Speaker 2: a new year, Philadelphia. Not going to be the same

119
00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:44,760
Speaker 2: cakewalk it was a year ago.

120
00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:46,760
Speaker 1: Man. This has hurt my heart though, because I have

121
00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:48,320
Speaker 1: a lot of eagle shares already because I think the

122
00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:52,040
Speaker 1: NFC is weak. I do, however, like what you're talking about,

123
00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:54,480
Speaker 1: because they did draft Christian Zalez. I like that linebacker

124
00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:56,119
Speaker 1: they drafted you with it, they have very good draft

125
00:05:56,160 --> 00:05:59,160
Speaker 1: on defense. Getting back to basics, and yes, getting back

126
00:05:59,160 --> 00:06:01,320
Speaker 1: to Bill O'Brien, what do you actually knows what he's

127
00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:04,680
Speaker 1: doing on the offense? What a concept ericson Let's go

128
00:06:04,680 --> 00:06:06,240
Speaker 1: to you give me one on your list here for

129
00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:07,200
Speaker 1: the best bets of Week one?

130
00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:10,760
Speaker 4: What do you have going with the Baltimore Ravens minus

131
00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:14,480
Speaker 4: ten at home against this Houston Texans offense led by c. J.

132
00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:17,680
Speaker 4: Stroud making his first NFL start again. It's a lot

133
00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:19,839
Speaker 4: of points for the Ravens to cover. But if any

134
00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:22,839
Speaker 4: team is just going to smash a rookie quarterbacks confidence

135
00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:26,040
Speaker 4: in Week one, it is the Baltimore Ravens. Last four

136
00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:30,000
Speaker 4: seasons with John Harbaugh Lamar Jackson in Week one, average

137
00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:32,679
Speaker 4: margin of victory in Week one has been over twenty

138
00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:36,360
Speaker 4: five points. They have made life horrible in Week one

139
00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:39,960
Speaker 4: for opposing quarterbacks. They've destroyed teams when they first open

140
00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:43,560
Speaker 4: up the season. Lamar Jackson has not played in front

141
00:06:43,560 --> 00:06:45,560
Speaker 4: of the Baltimore Ravens crowd in a long time because

142
00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:46,720
Speaker 4: he missed a bunch of games at the end of

143
00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:48,920
Speaker 4: last season. We haven't seen him in the preseason. They're

144
00:06:48,960 --> 00:06:51,440
Speaker 4: revealing this new offense with Todd Monkin, and I think

145
00:06:51,440 --> 00:06:53,160
Speaker 4: they want to come out guns blazeing, and I think

146
00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:56,480
Speaker 4: they can do that against this Texans team. That one

147
00:06:56,480 --> 00:06:58,880
Speaker 4: of the biggest things is injuries on their offensive line,

148
00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:01,240
Speaker 4: like they have a ton of injuries on their own line.

149
00:07:01,279 --> 00:07:03,320
Speaker 4: So although the Ravens defensive line has a lot of

150
00:07:04,120 --> 00:07:06,080
Speaker 4: changes from last year and their secondary is a little

151
00:07:06,120 --> 00:07:08,120
Speaker 4: banged up, I don't think it's going to matter. I

152
00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:09,640
Speaker 4: don't think they're gonna be able to run the football,

153
00:07:09,640 --> 00:07:11,840
Speaker 4: which the Texans want to do to kind of reduce

154
00:07:11,880 --> 00:07:14,880
Speaker 4: the pressure on CJ. Stroud. But I just think that's

155
00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:16,680
Speaker 4: going to happen. I think it's a house of horrors

156
00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:19,160
Speaker 4: for CJ. Stroud in Week one, and I think the

157
00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:21,520
Speaker 4: Ravens they went by double digits.

158
00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:24,000
Speaker 1: It's a tough road assignment for anybody when you think

159
00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:26,840
Speaker 1: about it. Always, Baltimore is always very tough, especially opening

160
00:07:26,840 --> 00:07:29,480
Speaker 1: that Week one and that defense. So yeah, it does

161
00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:31,560
Speaker 1: seem like a tough one. This one opened at nine

162
00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:33,200
Speaker 1: and a half and now it has gone to ten

163
00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:34,920
Speaker 1: pretty much in all the books, And don't forget to

164
00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:36,960
Speaker 1: make sure you sink all your sports books to betting

165
00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:39,400
Speaker 1: pros so you can know exactly if any more line

166
00:07:39,440 --> 00:07:41,960
Speaker 1: movement happens, if these number goes up or down, where

167
00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:43,480
Speaker 1: you might be. That way, you can always get the

168
00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:45,200
Speaker 1: best line. That's what we're trying to help you to do.

169
00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:47,280
Speaker 1: So all the sports books are here. You can go

170
00:07:47,320 --> 00:07:50,440
Speaker 1: and sync up your sportsbooks and then of course get

171
00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:53,400
Speaker 1: all gentifications so you know exactly which sports you're betting on,

172
00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:55,240
Speaker 1: where the movement is, and you can be on top

173
00:07:55,280 --> 00:07:57,320
Speaker 1: of all of that. That's what we do here at BP.

174
00:07:57,440 --> 00:07:59,000
Speaker 1: All right back to you, Joe, give me another game

175
00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:01,120
Speaker 1: that you're in on this week for Week one.

176
00:08:01,760 --> 00:08:02,480
Speaker 3: I love the.

177
00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:06,040
Speaker 2: Week one value in some of these games and with

178
00:08:06,280 --> 00:08:10,360
Speaker 2: some of the undervaluing of some teams. And to me,

179
00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:13,240
Speaker 2: one of the teams that's being the most undervalued right

180
00:08:13,280 --> 00:08:16,320
Speaker 2: now is the Tennessee Titans, who will take on the

181
00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:20,120
Speaker 2: New Orleans Saints and they're gonna get three and a

182
00:08:20,200 --> 00:08:23,720
Speaker 2: half points here. And would I'd be shocked if the

183
00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:26,120
Speaker 2: hook is still available as it's starting look like it's

184
00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:30,160
Speaker 2: starting to come down threes look like more realistic mode.

185
00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:33,760
Speaker 2: Is anybody really going to try to convince me that

186
00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:36,959
Speaker 2: the New Orleans Saints are the better team here?

187
00:08:38,480 --> 00:08:39,920
Speaker 3: Know what they are is.

188
00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:42,959
Speaker 2: An aging group that doesn't have their best running back

189
00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:46,040
Speaker 2: for the first one, two, three games because you know,

190
00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:48,839
Speaker 2: he likes to go to Vegas and beat people up,

191
00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:51,840
Speaker 2: so he's not going to be available to them. Derek

192
00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:56,000
Speaker 2: Carr has gotten progressively worse efficiency wise over the last

193
00:08:56,000 --> 00:09:00,240
Speaker 2: three to four years. This is now his fifth Ocnis

194
00:09:00,280 --> 00:09:02,560
Speaker 2: Allen as your head coach has never had a winning

195
00:09:02,640 --> 00:09:04,560
Speaker 2: season as a head coach.

196
00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:05,720
Speaker 3: There is no way.

197
00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:09,480
Speaker 2: You can convince me that the home field advantage is

198
00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:12,760
Speaker 2: worth what the market is telling me. I've got d

199
00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:16,680
Speaker 2: hop now, who could have gone New England, could have

200
00:09:16,760 --> 00:09:19,600
Speaker 2: gone in a number of different directions, but settled to

201
00:09:19,640 --> 00:09:23,320
Speaker 2: go to the Tennessee Titans. And oh yeah, by the way,

202
00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:27,000
Speaker 2: I get Derek Henry. I get finally a healthy, a

203
00:09:27,040 --> 00:09:31,960
Speaker 2: healthy Ryan Tannehill. Now the offensive line concern for the

204
00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:35,120
Speaker 2: Tennessee Titans, but you know what's not not against that

205
00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:39,880
Speaker 2: front of the Saints because that defensive front is worse

206
00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:42,920
Speaker 2: than it was last year. When you put it all together,

207
00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:45,880
Speaker 2: I get a better defense. As far as I'm concerned

208
00:09:46,160 --> 00:09:50,520
Speaker 2: with Tennessee on the road, I certainly give raybel the

209
00:09:50,679 --> 00:09:54,679
Speaker 2: thumbs up as a head coach over Dennis Allen here,

210
00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:57,600
Speaker 2: and I love the weapons and their ability to be

211
00:09:57,640 --> 00:09:59,480
Speaker 2: able to attack this New Orleans team.

212
00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:02,320
Speaker 3: The fact the hook was available shocking.

213
00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:05,120
Speaker 2: There is no way Tennessee should be getting more than

214
00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:07,560
Speaker 2: a field goal on the road against New Orleans love it.

215
00:10:07,559 --> 00:10:09,760
Speaker 1: You know, you bring up the age of the Saints too,

216
00:10:09,760 --> 00:10:12,120
Speaker 1: and that's something that concerns me very much as the

217
00:10:12,160 --> 00:10:13,840
Speaker 1: season goes on. I've had a lot of sharp people

218
00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:16,719
Speaker 1: on the show in the offseason, and Andrew two and

219
00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:19,760
Speaker 1: my question I did that, I did. I love you,

220
00:10:20,280 --> 00:10:24,160
Speaker 1: but you know, honesty, they've all and Mike this was,

221
00:10:24,360 --> 00:10:26,400
Speaker 1: you know, really interesting. I was on the Falcons and

222
00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:28,280
Speaker 1: they've all been on the Falcons to win that division.

223
00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:29,920
Speaker 1: Who are you on to win that division? Just out

224
00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:33,679
Speaker 1: of curiosity, My money was on the Falcons.

225
00:10:34,440 --> 00:10:37,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely in that division. I think the Falcons are

226
00:10:37,679 --> 00:10:40,520
Speaker 2: the team to beat. And listen, there were a lot

227
00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:42,160
Speaker 2: of people on the same page as us. Was a

228
00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:47,200
Speaker 2: nacho because where this opened and where it is right now,

229
00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:49,040
Speaker 2: there's a lot of people that we're getting on there.

230
00:10:49,080 --> 00:10:50,280
Speaker 2: And I think it's a put up, a shut up

231
00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:53,160
Speaker 2: year for Arthur Smith. I do trust him, and I

232
00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:57,000
Speaker 2: trust the style that he's going to employ is going

233
00:10:57,040 --> 00:10:59,200
Speaker 2: to help that defense, and it's going to help the

234
00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:02,720
Speaker 2: young quarterback with the running game. I think they're going

235
00:11:02,760 --> 00:11:05,440
Speaker 2: to be very dangerous come the end of the season.

236
00:11:05,520 --> 00:11:08,920
Speaker 1: So that's Joe Pizzapia. Joe Ranieri, Chris Raybond, and rich

237
00:11:09,000 --> 00:11:11,719
Speaker 1: Reebar from Sharp Football. That's a pretty good group of

238
00:11:11,720 --> 00:11:14,000
Speaker 1: people there, all right, Erickson, give me another one on

239
00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:15,560
Speaker 1: your list here for Week one? What do you have.

240
00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:19,280
Speaker 4: I'm going with the Pittsburgh Steelers and the money line

241
00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:22,280
Speaker 4: the upset over the San Francisco forty nine Ers, who

242
00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:23,880
Speaker 4: are going to be playing on the road. And if

243
00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:26,520
Speaker 4: we look at last year, they played four road games

244
00:11:26,520 --> 00:11:29,040
Speaker 4: over their ten game winning streak. Two came against the

245
00:11:29,080 --> 00:11:31,719
Speaker 4: Rams and Cardinals, two teams that were crumbling. One was

246
00:11:31,760 --> 00:11:33,920
Speaker 4: a Thursday night victory over Seattle and then one was

247
00:11:33,920 --> 00:11:36,840
Speaker 4: an overtime finish took them to overtime to beat the

248
00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:40,600
Speaker 4: Raiders led by Jared Stinham. So then they really did

249
00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:43,439
Speaker 4: not face a lot of strong teams on the road. Meanwhile,

250
00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:45,840
Speaker 4: the Steelers were really strong after their bye Week seven

251
00:11:45,880 --> 00:11:47,640
Speaker 4: and two against the spread seven and two straight up

252
00:11:47,679 --> 00:11:49,199
Speaker 4: after they started out two and six.

253
00:11:49,559 --> 00:11:50,120
Speaker 1: Both of their.

254
00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:53,040
Speaker 4: Losses were at home were by one score Pittsburgh three

255
00:11:53,080 --> 00:11:55,200
Speaker 4: to one to one in Week one. Over the past

256
00:11:55,320 --> 00:11:58,720
Speaker 4: five seasons, they've been a team that's had big upsets

257
00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:01,439
Speaker 4: in Week one, including the last two years versus the

258
00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:05,040
Speaker 4: Buffalo Bills, and Cincinnati Bengals. So I think that the

259
00:12:05,120 --> 00:12:08,720
Speaker 4: key matchup here. Steelers defensive line fifth ranked by PFF

260
00:12:08,800 --> 00:12:11,200
Speaker 4: against a forty nine Ers offensive line it's a little

261
00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:14,920
Speaker 4: bit older, eighteenth ranked at home. I think it's gonna

262
00:12:14,920 --> 00:12:17,600
Speaker 4: be tough for Rock Berdy coming back from this elbow injury.

263
00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:21,480
Speaker 4: It's his first start since that disastrous NFC Championship game

264
00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:23,560
Speaker 4: where the guy couldn't even throw the ball because of

265
00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:27,600
Speaker 4: a fierce Eagles pass rush getting after him. So I

266
00:12:27,720 --> 00:12:29,679
Speaker 4: love the Steelers here. I love them to pull up

267
00:12:29,679 --> 00:12:32,880
Speaker 4: their third straight Week one upset. They're three to one

268
00:12:32,880 --> 00:12:35,800
Speaker 4: to one as home dogs over the past two seasons.

269
00:12:36,000 --> 00:12:38,880
Speaker 4: Give me, Mike Tomon, give me the Steelers. Enough of

270
00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:41,760
Speaker 4: this Kyle Shanahan worship. You can turn any puppet into

271
00:12:41,840 --> 00:12:44,199
Speaker 4: a magic quarterback. Give me the Steelers.

272
00:12:44,720 --> 00:12:46,880
Speaker 1: Well, I do love muppets, so be careful what you

273
00:12:46,880 --> 00:12:48,920
Speaker 1: say here on the program. I will say this though,

274
00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:51,120
Speaker 1: this is my number one bet of the week on

275
00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:53,520
Speaker 1: the video I just recorded on Betting Pros. I do

276
00:12:53,600 --> 00:12:56,120
Speaker 1: my top ten bets of the week every single week here.

277
00:12:56,640 --> 00:12:58,720
Speaker 1: We just released it yesterday. This was number one for

278
00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:01,560
Speaker 1: all the reasons that Andrew just I love Pittsburgh get

279
00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:03,760
Speaker 1: home as the dog against the forty nine ers. Let's

280
00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:05,640
Speaker 1: go and look, I know Bosa just signed his contract.

281
00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:07,160
Speaker 1: Let's not pretend like he's not gonna be able to

282
00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:09,120
Speaker 1: pitch count in this game. So let's let's let's all

283
00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:12,160
Speaker 1: take a deep breath here. So I love this, I

284
00:13:12,200 --> 00:13:14,360
Speaker 1: app I do. I mean on this, Joe, you were

285
00:13:14,400 --> 00:13:15,760
Speaker 1: kind of nod in your head on this one too.

286
00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:17,520
Speaker 1: It seems like you're in on Pittsburgh also.

287
00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:21,000
Speaker 2: I I just don't know how many more times we

288
00:13:21,080 --> 00:13:22,800
Speaker 2: are going to doubt Tomlin.

289
00:13:23,000 --> 00:13:24,520
Speaker 3: I don't understand the market.

290
00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:27,640
Speaker 2: I mean it, Go ahead and doubt him, because then

291
00:13:27,679 --> 00:13:30,560
Speaker 2: you're giving our side the ability to be able and

292
00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:32,880
Speaker 2: go make some money backing him, because I don't know

293
00:13:32,920 --> 00:13:35,160
Speaker 2: what else the guy has to do to prove he's

294
00:13:35,160 --> 00:13:36,520
Speaker 2: one of the best in the game.

295
00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:38,719
Speaker 3: Never doubt the Steelers.

296
00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:40,880
Speaker 1: All right, Steelers on the money lines, what we've got here?

297
00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:42,960
Speaker 1: I got it at one twenty. I see it's at

298
00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:46,640
Speaker 1: plus one twelve now, so interesting how that's been moving

299
00:13:46,679 --> 00:13:49,360
Speaker 1: a little bit. I'm sorry, everybody, this is why you

300
00:13:49,440 --> 00:13:52,520
Speaker 1: follow me bettingpros dot COM's last Joe, So that way,

301
00:13:52,559 --> 00:13:54,360
Speaker 1: you know, early on you get the better numbers. All right,

302
00:13:54,400 --> 00:13:56,640
Speaker 1: let's keep going here, Joe's go back to you give

303
00:13:56,640 --> 00:13:58,440
Speaker 1: me another game for week one? What's sidey on?

304
00:13:59,120 --> 00:13:59,400
Speaker 3: All right?

305
00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:01,679
Speaker 2: Well, I will go to the Monday night game here

306
00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:04,040
Speaker 2: because I did just better and now it is starting

307
00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:07,120
Speaker 2: to move in the direction that I bet. So that's

308
00:14:07,160 --> 00:14:13,240
Speaker 2: either a need or it's either a great Listen. I

309
00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:16,800
Speaker 2: got enough CLB trophies on my bookcase back here to

310
00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:18,959
Speaker 2: last day lifetime, so we're good to go.

311
00:14:19,880 --> 00:14:21,320
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go to Monday night game.

312
00:14:21,400 --> 00:14:25,680
Speaker 2: And I went forget the side because again cautious optimism

313
00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:28,040
Speaker 2: with Aaron Rodgers as a Jet fan. But I have

314
00:14:28,120 --> 00:14:31,320
Speaker 2: no doubt this game is going under forty six and

315
00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:33,400
Speaker 2: a half is what it was. I'm starting to see

316
00:14:33,440 --> 00:14:36,240
Speaker 2: forty six and forty five and a half, and I

317
00:14:36,320 --> 00:14:39,840
Speaker 2: don't know why the market opened this one up as

318
00:14:39,920 --> 00:14:42,560
Speaker 2: high as it did. Are we under the impression that

319
00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:46,520
Speaker 2: the Bills defense and the Jets defense has somehow gotten

320
00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:49,760
Speaker 2: worse than they were a year ago. We're talking about

321
00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:54,280
Speaker 2: two of the best top four defenses UH in expected

322
00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:56,480
Speaker 2: yards per play, and the Jets weren't even a great

323
00:14:56,480 --> 00:15:00,000
Speaker 2: turnover defense last year, and they were still top five

324
00:15:00,040 --> 00:15:05,600
Speaker 2: even just about every defensive statistical category, including being able

325
00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:09,840
Speaker 2: to make Josh Allen a little uncomfortable. The weather calls

326
00:15:09,840 --> 00:15:12,280
Speaker 2: for some humidity and some rain, so we're talking about

327
00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:16,040
Speaker 2: a slick ball. And don't forget Aaron Rodgers is in

328
00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:19,920
Speaker 2: not in a rush when he runs this offense he

329
00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:22,560
Speaker 2: is going to take He's a lot of cadence, guys,

330
00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:25,160
Speaker 2: He's a lot of sits back. Wait until the clock

331
00:15:25,280 --> 00:15:28,360
Speaker 2: rolls out. I don't see this thing going up tempo

332
00:15:28,400 --> 00:15:30,880
Speaker 2: at all. I don't see I think the first one

333
00:15:31,280 --> 00:15:34,400
Speaker 2: to twenty four wins and I think that's where this

334
00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:39,160
Speaker 2: game is going to be. So anything anything over forty

335
00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:42,000
Speaker 2: five I think is a must bet to the under here.

336
00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:45,960
Speaker 2: Expect the defenses to be better than both offenses in

337
00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:48,560
Speaker 2: this one. It's going to be a rock fight, but

338
00:15:48,680 --> 00:15:50,920
Speaker 2: it's one that I hope the Jets win. But I'm

339
00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:51,600
Speaker 2: taking the under.

340
00:15:51,760 --> 00:15:53,440
Speaker 1: You know, I did a spot last week with our

341
00:15:53,440 --> 00:15:56,000
Speaker 1: good friend Ben Stevens over at Sportscried last week and

342
00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:57,360
Speaker 1: he was asking me about this game. It's like, what

343
00:15:57,360 --> 00:15:58,960
Speaker 1: are you gonna take away from this game when it's over?

344
00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:03,840
Speaker 1: To him was absolutely nothing, Because I feel like the

345
00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:07,920
Speaker 1: emotion of nine to eleven, first home game for Aaron Rodgers.

346
00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:09,920
Speaker 1: It's in the New York area, with two teams in

347
00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:12,560
Speaker 1: the New York area, There's just gonna be so much

348
00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:14,600
Speaker 1: going on there, and I think, no matter what the

349
00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:17,000
Speaker 1: outcome is, you shouldn't carry it over to the next week.

350
00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:18,200
Speaker 1: Do you agree with that tenement?

351
00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:19,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, listen.

352
00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:23,360
Speaker 2: I would take it as far as say, whatever you

353
00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:26,720
Speaker 2: see over the in the month of September football, what

354
00:16:27,640 --> 00:16:31,080
Speaker 2: burn it? Forget that you've ever seen it, because what

355
00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:34,840
Speaker 2: we're gonna have in October and November is not going

356
00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:37,560
Speaker 2: to even come close to resembling what we're gonna see

357
00:16:37,760 --> 00:16:39,200
Speaker 2: over in the next three to four weeks.

358
00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:41,160
Speaker 3: And don't forget limited.

359
00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:46,560
Speaker 2: Preseason guys, sat the first couple of games in September

360
00:16:46,600 --> 00:16:50,320
Speaker 2: are going to be opportunities for starters to kind of

361
00:16:50,360 --> 00:16:52,400
Speaker 2: get their feet and under them.

362
00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:54,240
Speaker 3: I wouldn't put a whole lot of stock into what

363
00:16:54,320 --> 00:16:55,800
Speaker 3: we're going to see over the next couple of weeks.

364
00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:58,040
Speaker 1: All right, Joe Ranieri, you taking us through? All right?

365
00:16:58,080 --> 00:16:59,560
Speaker 1: Get another one here, ericson what do you have?

366
00:17:00,520 --> 00:17:02,720
Speaker 4: I'm looking at the Jaguars Colts matchup. I'm going to

367
00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:05,520
Speaker 4: go with the Jaguars team total over twenty five and

368
00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:08,480
Speaker 4: a half points, So I don't know what the Colts

369
00:17:08,520 --> 00:17:11,240
Speaker 4: are doing in their secondary. They're starting, So they're two

370
00:17:11,280 --> 00:17:14,960
Speaker 4: starting cornerbacks for the Jacks or for the for the

371
00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:19,760
Speaker 4: Annapolis Colts, Dallas Flowers Daryl Baker Junior two former twenty

372
00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:22,879
Speaker 4: twenty two undrafted free agents, gotta cover Christian Kirk, Calvin

373
00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:27,000
Speaker 4: ridleyse A Jones, good Luck, and Trevor Lawrence. So I'm

374
00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:29,000
Speaker 4: just super confident that this Jaguars office is going to

375
00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:32,439
Speaker 4: put up a ton of points versus Colts defense. Not

376
00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:35,240
Speaker 4: as confident on the Anthony Richardson side of things, where

377
00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:37,320
Speaker 4: I think that he can make plays with his legs,

378
00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:40,639
Speaker 4: but the chaos that he creates when he's scrambling and

379
00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:44,040
Speaker 4: running around can create points for or create opportunities for

380
00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:45,879
Speaker 4: a lot of points. But not something I want to

381
00:17:45,920 --> 00:17:48,600
Speaker 4: necessarily bet on in Week one, which is why I

382
00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:51,679
Speaker 4: sided I think the Colts can do some offense, and

383
00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:54,280
Speaker 4: that kind of pushed the Jaguars having to continue to score.

384
00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:57,000
Speaker 4: The Jaguars average this number twenty five and a half

385
00:17:57,000 --> 00:17:59,960
Speaker 4: points in their two games last year against the Indianapolis Colts.

386
00:18:00,320 --> 00:18:02,480
Speaker 4: But what did they do? They added Calvin Ridley, So

387
00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:04,000
Speaker 4: they're going to score the same amount of points. Now

388
00:18:04,040 --> 00:18:07,360
Speaker 4: they've added a wide receiver one into the offense facing

389
00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:10,240
Speaker 4: two cornerbacks that we didn't even even heard of before.

390
00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:13,080
Speaker 4: So I like the Jaguars a lot in this spot. Again,

391
00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:15,680
Speaker 4: the fact that it's on the road makes me shy

392
00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:19,560
Speaker 4: away from the spread, just because trap game. They're on

393
00:18:19,600 --> 00:18:21,600
Speaker 4: the road. They've never seen Anthony Richardson. But I do

394
00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:24,200
Speaker 4: think we're gonna see some offensive fireworks in a dome

395
00:18:24,320 --> 00:18:26,840
Speaker 4: where I think Trevor Lawrence can rip it up from

396
00:18:26,840 --> 00:18:27,520
Speaker 4: his perspective.

397
00:18:27,680 --> 00:18:29,160
Speaker 1: I think you might have said Zay Flowers, but I'm

398
00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:30,160
Speaker 1: sure you mean Za Jones.

399
00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:31,280
Speaker 3: Jones.

400
00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:38,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, yes, Well, before everybody starts chiming in person, nobody

401
00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:41,840
Speaker 1: likes that person, all human beings. Do you realize how

402
00:18:41,840 --> 00:18:43,560
Speaker 1: hard we're all working here to get up to the

403
00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:45,360
Speaker 1: deadline of things? So I just wanted to make sure

404
00:18:45,680 --> 00:18:48,040
Speaker 1: see I defend you to the YouTube comments, you know,

405
00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:49,440
Speaker 1: which is something you got to do. But I love

406
00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:51,800
Speaker 1: our YouTube watchers. I love you all. None of you

407
00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:55,480
Speaker 1: sound like that. That's just every good football analyst has

408
00:18:55,520 --> 00:18:58,920
Speaker 1: that voice of that person who does stupid things. That's

409
00:18:58,960 --> 00:19:01,480
Speaker 1: just it's just what we do, all right, Ericson, I

410
00:19:01,520 --> 00:19:04,320
Speaker 1: love that. That's that whole game too. It's funny because

411
00:19:04,320 --> 00:19:06,680
Speaker 1: I felt like I feel like that was a trap

412
00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:08,000
Speaker 1: game a couple of weeks ago. A lot of people

413
00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:09,320
Speaker 1: were looking at that, and now after we've had a

414
00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:11,080
Speaker 1: little bit more time with Anthony Ridgers in a little

415
00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:12,879
Speaker 1: bit more clarity with Jonathan Taylor, I think all of

416
00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:15,879
Speaker 1: us go, yeah, Okay, this is not exactly the trap.

417
00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:17,840
Speaker 1: Maybe people thought it might be. All right, let's go

418
00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:20,680
Speaker 1: back to you, Joe, give oursel our last one here

419
00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:22,960
Speaker 1: that you have for Week one in the NFL. What

420
00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:23,359
Speaker 1: do you have?

421
00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:26,840
Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna go one different angle here simply

422
00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:31,360
Speaker 2: because I agreed with the Baltimore pick there, and so.

423
00:19:31,520 --> 00:19:34,200
Speaker 1: Well you can agree. That's that makes it even better

424
00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:35,880
Speaker 1: when two people agree.

425
00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:38,320
Speaker 3: I agree one hundred percent. I'll throw it out there.

426
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:40,879
Speaker 2: And I agree also in the fact that as much

427
00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:42,879
Speaker 2: as I like the under and the Monday Night game,

428
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:45,919
Speaker 2: I love the under and the Sunday night game as well.

429
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:48,960
Speaker 2: Forty six and a half for the Giants in Dallas

430
00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:53,040
Speaker 2: makes zero sense to me as well. Do not see

431
00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:57,800
Speaker 2: the Giants profiling is anything but an under team here

432
00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 2: this year with Danny Dimes and I love up Table,

433
00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:04,240
Speaker 2: absolutely love them. But the Giants are gonna win games

434
00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:08,160
Speaker 2: by grinding it out and playing possession and control of

435
00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:08,959
Speaker 2: the football.

436
00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:09,880
Speaker 3: They are not.

437
00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:15,440
Speaker 2: Going to win any sort of aerial attacks and high

438
00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:18,600
Speaker 2: octane types of offensive games. I think they got to

439
00:20:18,600 --> 00:20:20,360
Speaker 2: win it with defense. They got to win it by

440
00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:25,159
Speaker 2: being able to run the football and contain keeping that

441
00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:28,199
Speaker 2: defense out in the field the entire time. So to me,

442
00:20:28,640 --> 00:20:30,760
Speaker 2: forty six and a half, I'm starting to see forty

443
00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:32,960
Speaker 2: six and even forty five and a half in this

444
00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:35,439
Speaker 2: one here. I don't want nothing to do with a

445
00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:37,800
Speaker 2: divisional dog at home. I know a lot of people

446
00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:40,959
Speaker 2: are split on this. They love Dallas. I'm not in

447
00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:45,480
Speaker 2: week one taking any road favorites in a divisional matchup,

448
00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:46,760
Speaker 2: not going to do it.

449
00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:49,840
Speaker 3: But I will take the under in this one too.

450
00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:53,400
Speaker 2: If you can get anything over forty five, I think

451
00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:54,800
Speaker 2: that one too is going to be a bit of

452
00:20:54,840 --> 00:20:55,400
Speaker 2: a rock fight.

453
00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:58,080
Speaker 1: Yeah. Looking right now, I'm seeing forty six and a

454
00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:01,160
Speaker 1: half is the number your getting here on the under.

455
00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:04,480
Speaker 1: That's the best odds over on betting pros. I see

456
00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:06,800
Speaker 1: forty five and a half on MGM forty six a

457
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:08,720
Speaker 1: DK forty five and a half on fandles. So this

458
00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:10,760
Speaker 1: one's a little kind of all over the place. So,

459
00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:13,359
Speaker 1: as Joe said, kind of lock this in here because

460
00:21:13,760 --> 00:21:15,600
Speaker 1: this is another one to such a public game, which

461
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:17,040
Speaker 1: is always a tough one, isn't it, Joe. Whenever you

462
00:21:17,080 --> 00:21:19,320
Speaker 1: have those very public teams and New York team, Dallas

463
00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:21,720
Speaker 1: team's Week one, everyone's excited about football. How much do

464
00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:24,200
Speaker 1: you do you take into account too, of the bad

465
00:21:24,240 --> 00:21:26,479
Speaker 1: decision making that goes around that sort of element.

466
00:21:27,119 --> 00:21:29,240
Speaker 2: Well, in Week one, keep in mind, these lines have

467
00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:33,520
Speaker 2: been up six years. It's not like they just came

468
00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:37,439
Speaker 2: on last night. The lines have been available for quite

469
00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:41,280
Speaker 2: a while, and you know, just keep that in mind.

470
00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:43,840
Speaker 2: But always the Thursday night game, Monday night game, Sunday

471
00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:46,200
Speaker 2: night game, there are always going to be the highest

472
00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:50,119
Speaker 2: standalone profile games, which means you're gonna get a ton

473
00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:55,879
Speaker 2: of public money pushing into those games, into either teams

474
00:21:55,960 --> 00:22:00,600
Speaker 2: like Dallas or certainly public perception teams are going to

475
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,240
Speaker 2: get an awful out of love. But if we know that, guys,

476
00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:06,359
Speaker 2: I'm going to assure you the books know that, all.

477
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:08,080
Speaker 1: Right, Ericson, I feel like you've got some feelings about

478
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:11,040
Speaker 1: this one. Too. You also like the under, right, Yeah.

479
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,399
Speaker 4: I love the under in the Giants Cowboys. Look, Giants

480
00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:15,720
Speaker 4: were eleven eight to the under last year two games

481
00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:18,000
Speaker 4: versus Dallas, they were held to twenty or fewer points.

482
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:21,359
Speaker 4: Dallas has the best defense, arguably in the NFL. Michael

483
00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:23,280
Speaker 4: Parsons the favorite to win Defensive Player of the Year.

484
00:22:23,280 --> 00:22:25,320
Speaker 4: That dude is going to make Daniel.

485
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:26,960
Speaker 1: Joe, by the way, that number start out at seven.

486
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,040
Speaker 1: Do you see what that number is now? Yes, it's

487
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:31,879
Speaker 1: braazy like so I got it at seven again, days

488
00:22:31,920 --> 00:22:34,760
Speaker 1: came out six years ago. Like Joe Vernier said, Wait,

489
00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:37,040
Speaker 1: if this number came out there is seven boom. I

490
00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:38,800
Speaker 1: want to lock that in because I know that's not

491
00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:40,840
Speaker 1: gonna last. Go ahead, a what do you got? A?

492
00:22:40,960 --> 00:22:42,720
Speaker 4: Right? So, I don't think the Giants are going to

493
00:22:42,760 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 4: put up much of a fight on their offensive side.

494
00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:48,800
Speaker 4: And then on Dallas, it's welcome. Goodbye Kellen Moore, Hello,

495
00:22:48,800 --> 00:22:51,760
Speaker 4: Mike McCarthy. Hello, slow offense. Hello, we're going to run

496
00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:53,280
Speaker 4: the ball. Hello, We're not going to want to score

497
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:55,400
Speaker 4: points in the second half. That's what we're going to get.

498
00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:58,040
Speaker 4: So even if Dallas is productive in the first half

499
00:22:58,080 --> 00:22:59,680
Speaker 4: of the game, second half of the game. They're gonna

500
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:02,040
Speaker 4: be happy to run the football, not push pace, and

501
00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:04,520
Speaker 4: we're all gonna be underwhelmed, especially as fantasy managers, are like,

502
00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:05,960
Speaker 4: why are we not doing more? Why are we not

503
00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:06,399
Speaker 4: running more?

504
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:09,399
Speaker 1: Up Tempa. Well, that's my party for you, all right.

505
00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:11,040
Speaker 1: We got one more left for each of the guys.

506
00:23:11,119 --> 00:23:13,000
Speaker 1: Let's go through them. Joe, let's get back to you.

507
00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:15,439
Speaker 1: I know you got some feelings at the Miami and

508
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:16,160
Speaker 1: the Chargers.

509
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:21,640
Speaker 2: Yes, I got Miami with all my passions, and they

510
00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:23,879
Speaker 2: play right down the road for me here. But I

511
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:27,359
Speaker 2: will say this here. If you like offense, I think

512
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:30,000
Speaker 2: this is the game that you're gonna want to watch

513
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:32,560
Speaker 2: this week of all the games. And it was one

514
00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:36,520
Speaker 2: of the higher totals here. And I think that at

515
00:23:36,600 --> 00:23:39,200
Speaker 2: fifty one fifty one and a half, which is where

516
00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:42,560
Speaker 2: it had been hovering around. Listen, I love what Miami did.

517
00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:45,919
Speaker 2: They brought in Fangio, there's an emphasis on defense. They

518
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:50,040
Speaker 2: brought in Jailing Ramsey right. Unfortunately he got hurt, which

519
00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 2: is not great. But they did upgrade, upgrade in a

520
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:56,560
Speaker 2: number of positions on the defensive side, and I love that.

521
00:23:56,760 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 2: And we all know about the Chargers, right, on paper,

522
00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:02,639
Speaker 2: if they can stay healthy, it's the one team for

523
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:06,520
Speaker 2: all their faults, Brandon Staley that you have Brandon Staley,

524
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:10,280
Speaker 2: I will say that the injury bug, I mean the

525
00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:13,760
Speaker 2: unlucky nature of all the injuries they have had. That

526
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:16,560
Speaker 2: Jackson last year went down post and went down Khalil Mac.

527
00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:17,280
Speaker 3: They had so.

528
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:20,520
Speaker 2: Many injuries on the defensive side of the ball. You

529
00:24:21,720 --> 00:24:24,040
Speaker 2: have to scratch your head and hope it doesn't happen

530
00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 2: again if I'm a Charger fan. But the one thing

531
00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:28,640
Speaker 2: we know we're going to get from these two teams

532
00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:32,800
Speaker 2: is offense question marks on both sides of the defense.

533
00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:37,040
Speaker 2: I think early on, I don't have any problem thinking

534
00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:40,160
Speaker 2: and even a team total situation here, one of these

535
00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:43,760
Speaker 2: teams is going over thirty points here, if not both,

536
00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:47,040
Speaker 2: So I like the over in this one. This will

537
00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:49,400
Speaker 2: be an offensive, fun one to watch here. When it's

538
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:50,360
Speaker 2: all said and done.

539
00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:52,440
Speaker 1: All right, Eric saying, let's close it out strong here

540
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 1: with your last best bet of the week here for

541
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:55,320
Speaker 1: Week one.

542
00:24:55,880 --> 00:24:57,920
Speaker 4: All right, going to Monday Night football. We talked about

543
00:24:57,960 --> 00:24:59,920
Speaker 4: the under, which I also like, but I'm going to

544
00:24:59,960 --> 00:25:02,200
Speaker 4: go with the Bills minus two and a half. Look,

545
00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:04,480
Speaker 4: if it's gonna be a dog fight. If it's gonna

546
00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:07,159
Speaker 4: be a close game, I want the best quarterback and

547
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 4: that's Josh Allen with a field goal. Come on, like

548
00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:11,440
Speaker 4: Josh Allen three to one versus Robert Saal. Over the

549
00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 4: past two seasons, every time Josh Allen has faced the Jets,

550
00:25:14,680 --> 00:25:17,120
Speaker 4: or it's been Aaron Rodgers, they've been double digit favorites.

551
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,879
Speaker 4: So I think that the Buffalo Bills are kind of

552
00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 4: this team. We were all super high on last year

553
00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:26,000
Speaker 4: Super Bowl favorites, let's go Bills, and then the more

554
00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:28,560
Speaker 4: Hamlin thing happened. They kind of sputtered out during the playoffs,

555
00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:30,119
Speaker 4: and now it's kind of like, well the Bills had

556
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,479
Speaker 4: their chance, it's over. The playoff windows crushed, and it's

557
00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:34,720
Speaker 4: all over for Buffalo. Where I don't think that's the

558
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:36,400
Speaker 4: case here. I think they're gonna make a statement here

559
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:39,960
Speaker 4: against New York on the road Aaron Rodgers. It's gonna

560
00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:42,560
Speaker 4: be all sunshine. It's gonna be perfect rainbows with Rogers

561
00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:45,120
Speaker 4: in New York. No, it's not like that never happens.

562
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:47,719
Speaker 4: So I think the Bills come away with the win here,

563
00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:49,600
Speaker 4: win by field goals. So I like them minus two

564
00:25:49,640 --> 00:25:49,800
Speaker 4: and a.

565
00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:52,439
Speaker 1: Half Andrew, Are you saying that Aaron Rodgers might not

566
00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:53,480
Speaker 1: show up in a big spot.

567
00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:57,720
Speaker 4: It's possible, he may be overrated. It's definitely possible.

568
00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:01,280
Speaker 1: No, now, he's definitely gonna win that, we say. But look, gentlemen,

569
00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:03,560
Speaker 1: this is tremendous stuff I want to hear from all

570
00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:06,160
Speaker 1: of you who are watching the show. Drop your comments below,

571
00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:08,280
Speaker 1: give us your favorite picks of the week. Remember, we're

572
00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:11,160
Speaker 1: all in this together, so we might as well bet

573
00:26:11,200 --> 00:26:14,639
Speaker 1: together over on Betting Pros. Join the contest NFL contest

574
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:17,400
Speaker 1: right now again, click the community tab on the app,

575
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:20,199
Speaker 1: or go to Bettingpros dot Com slash NFL Contest. The

576
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:22,639
Speaker 1: grand prize this year at JSN Autograph Jersey and a

577
00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:25,520
Speaker 1: whole lot of other prizes every single week, every single month,

578
00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:27,359
Speaker 1: we also go on Aaron Jones Jersey. We're trying to

579
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:30,080
Speaker 1: give you. Click the bell to lit goos Ding, subscribe

580
00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 1: to the YouTube channel comment below and you can win

581
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:34,480
Speaker 1: that as well. And you can follow us there at

582
00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:37,159
Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot Com, slash Joe and of course at ericson

583
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:39,280
Speaker 1: as well. Joe Rainieri. You can follow over on x

584
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:41,840
Speaker 1: or Twitter, whatever the hell it is today at Joe

585
00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:44,040
Speaker 1: Rainiery and check him out on sports Grid again. One

586
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:46,720
Speaker 1: of my favorite people in the wagering space. Joe, thanks

587
00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:49,080
Speaker 1: so much for giving us your time today, your insights,

588
00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:52,160
Speaker 1: your your neurosis, your hate, your love, all the things

589
00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:53,719
Speaker 1: that you gave us here as a Jet fan, I

590
00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:56,199
Speaker 1: appreciate the therapy session for you, that you had some

591
00:26:56,280 --> 00:27:00,200
Speaker 1: things real quick before I let you go. Do the

592
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:02,920
Speaker 1: Jets win that game? I know Erickson's picking the bill side.

593
00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:04,240
Speaker 1: Do you think the Jets come away with the victory?

594
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,359
Speaker 1: I'm asking the Jet fan, which is a loaded question,

595
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:08,600
Speaker 1: I know, and that's why I want to ask it.

596
00:27:09,280 --> 00:27:13,280
Speaker 2: I will never ever admit to betting the bills against

597
00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:16,480
Speaker 2: the Jets, but I bet the bills.

598
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:20,000
Speaker 3: On there.

599
00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:22,480
Speaker 1: You go, subscribe to Betting Pros wherever you get your pods,

600
00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:25,480
Speaker 1: and again follow us here on the social media as

601
00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:27,280
Speaker 1: well at Betting Pros. That'll do it for us. But

602
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:29,440
Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Joe and Andrew.

603
00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:31,720
Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time.

604
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:32,119
Speaker 3: Kids,