1 00:00:01,720 --> 00:00:04,960 Speaker 1: Also media. 2 00:00:05,720 --> 00:00:08,159 Speaker 2: So I have pulled up poly Market and Kyle she 3 00:00:08,280 --> 00:00:10,920 Speaker 2: We're gonna go through each of the trending predictions right 4 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:14,880 Speaker 2: now and then decide where we're gonna be putting our 5 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 2: last year's profit from cool zone coin. We're gonna be 6 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 2: transferring that on the blockchain to poly market, and I 7 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:23,919 Speaker 2: think we can come out of this year with a 8 00:00:23,960 --> 00:00:24,959 Speaker 2: big profit. 9 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:27,640 Speaker 3: This is how we're relying on funding our operations. 10 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 4: Jesus, that's going forward. Can you check partly market real quick? Say? 11 00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:34,320 Speaker 4: If Morris he's still alive, Jesus, it's been three years 12 00:00:34,320 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 4: in a row. 13 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:39,080 Speaker 2: So this is our twenty twenty six predictions episode. Like usual, 14 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:41,280 Speaker 2: I think we should start by reflecting us move our 15 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 2: predictions from last year to see how right and wrong 16 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:49,159 Speaker 2: we were. The big one big prediction that we discussed 17 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:52,480 Speaker 2: the most as a team is when is Elon Musk 18 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 2: gonna distance himself from Trump? Or when are they gonna 19 00:00:55,560 --> 00:00:58,000 Speaker 2: break up? What do they have their you know, separation? 20 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 2: And each in every one of the extended cool Zone 21 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:05,320 Speaker 2: media team members who works on it could happen here 22 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:11,560 Speaker 2: put in a date and the most accurate guess was 23 00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 2: from it could happen Here's main editor Adam, who said 24 00:01:16,760 --> 00:01:21,399 Speaker 2: May which was really spot on. So congrats to Adam 25 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:24,319 Speaker 2: and to all of us stumble through our episodes and 26 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 2: have to edit them. 27 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:26,640 Speaker 3: All cutting all the burps out. 28 00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 2: Yeah actually actually, uh, you know, maybe to really give 29 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:33,680 Speaker 2: credit back to us, maybe influenced your your wisdom. 30 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 4: God, let me reflect on his gloria myself. 31 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:40,680 Speaker 3: Yes, we really made him wiser, and thus we're all 32 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 3: wrong ourselves. 33 00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 4: And taking most psychological da It's a good you know. 34 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:48,200 Speaker 2: It means that we're smarter as a group entity, as 35 00:01:48,240 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 2: a hive mind. We're all smarter than our own individual intelligence, 36 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 2: which Adam has the most access to. 37 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:55,560 Speaker 3: Yes, just like ants. 38 00:01:55,920 --> 00:02:01,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, but yeah, no, Adam did pretty good on that 39 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:06,800 Speaker 2: May thirtieth guess, so there you go. Sophie also close 40 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 2: at May sixth, and then Molly congered June tenth, also 41 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:13,959 Speaker 2: kind of in that zone. But Adam definitely hit it 42 00:02:14,040 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 2: spot on. We had a few other predictions. Some of 43 00:02:18,200 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 2: them were predictions. Some of them, I guess we're kind 44 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:21,639 Speaker 2: of more hopes and dreams, which sadly did not come 45 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 2: to pass. The meon mar Junta was predicted by me 46 00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 2: and James to Junta was predicted by me and James 47 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 2: to Making Out twenty twenty five. They've kind of stuck 48 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:33,320 Speaker 2: on to power. 49 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:33,799 Speaker 5: Yeah. 50 00:02:33,919 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 4: Yeah, if they've rallied pretty substantially Italy. 51 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:40,359 Speaker 2: It's unfortunate Yaho's still as Prime Minister. I did predict 52 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:42,520 Speaker 2: that Assad would become a Russia Today host. I think 53 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 2: it's a good prediction, but did not happen. 54 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 3: That could still happen. 55 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:47,360 Speaker 2: It still happen in the future. 56 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 4: I'm waiting for them to hire him for a fucking podcast. 57 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 3: I don't think I predicted this, but I'm not surprised. 58 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:55,720 Speaker 3: He's just playing video games. 59 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:58,280 Speaker 2: No, he's just pulled up in a hotel playing video games. 60 00:02:58,320 --> 00:02:59,520 Speaker 4: Now. Yeah. 61 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:02,079 Speaker 2: During There's Our Death segment, I laid out a new 62 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:06,200 Speaker 2: theory of death based on Spotify Rapped, which the previous 63 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:09,880 Speaker 2: two years had some important deaths associated with Spotify rap Day. 64 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 2: No big Spotify Rapped deaths this year, unfortunately, though. I 65 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:19,519 Speaker 2: did make a death prediction last episode which did not 66 00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:23,239 Speaker 2: fully become true, but slightly became true right after we 67 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:25,680 Speaker 2: record that episode. Last year, before the episode even aired, 68 00:03:26,000 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 2: I predicted that someone would try to assassinate Nick Fuent 69 00:03:29,360 --> 00:03:32,799 Speaker 2: as well. Nick was live streaming, perhaps a deranged fanboy. 70 00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 2: Days later, Just days later, someone showed up outside of 71 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 2: Nick's house as he was live streaming with a weapon, 72 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:45,720 Speaker 2: allegedly trying to kill him. This person died later that night, 73 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:49,080 Speaker 2: and in like exchange with police, it became this whole thing. 74 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 2: But that happened just a few days after I made 75 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:54,120 Speaker 2: that prediction, so technically didn't even happen in twenty twenty five. 76 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 2: Happened still in twenty twenty four before we aired that 77 00:03:56,320 --> 00:03:59,320 Speaker 2: last episode, But it was close, was close to some 78 00:03:59,400 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 2: kind of zeitgeist on that. It's unclear that guy was 79 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:06,520 Speaker 2: a fanboy. We really don't know much about him. What's 80 00:04:06,560 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 2: a few other predictions that have like kind of kind 81 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:12,720 Speaker 2: of come true, But like it's more in terms of 82 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 2: like which degree I guess. 83 00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 3: I think my weird terrorism prediction has been pretty Yeah, 84 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:20,599 Speaker 3: area own the money. Yeah, that's that's continued to be 85 00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:22,200 Speaker 3: a driver of the discourse. 86 00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:25,480 Speaker 2: We'll return to that in a sec. Sophie talked about, 87 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 2: you know, Trump moving some like White House operations to 88 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 2: mar A Lago, which has partially happened. There's been a 89 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 2: lot of like a like a holiday events done at 90 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:35,480 Speaker 2: mar A Lago. Sometimes he's working out. 91 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 5: Of there very odd things. 92 00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, But on the other hand, he's also just mar 93 00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:44,680 Speaker 2: a lago of fying the White House itself, which with 94 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 2: like the ballroom, So it's kind of going in both directions. 95 00:04:49,160 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 2: Mia did did put a very firm prediction on like 96 00:04:53,320 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 2: an economic collapse in twenty twenty five, like in the 97 00:04:56,520 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 2: United States. Again, it's it's it's it's like a slow 98 00:04:59,480 --> 00:05:01,240 Speaker 2: in terms of like one of the key ideas for 99 00:05:01,279 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 2: our show is like crumbles versus collapse. It certainly continued 100 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:08,480 Speaker 2: to crumble, but I think the actual full collapse point 101 00:05:08,520 --> 00:05:09,400 Speaker 2: is still upcoming. 102 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 6: Yeah, well, we'll get into this more later. I will 103 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 6: say it is kind of baffling to have my prediction 104 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:21,960 Speaker 6: completely derailed literally just solely by AI data center spending. 105 00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:24,640 Speaker 2: Yes, which I did not predict. 106 00:05:24,520 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 6: That any entire American growth rate would be and I 107 00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 6: did set growth. 108 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:34,159 Speaker 2: Yeah, I didn't get that. No, the actual like like 109 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:37,279 Speaker 2: job market and economy has become so separate from like 110 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:40,880 Speaker 2: corporate spending and stock market stuff. And like Robert did, 111 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:43,479 Speaker 2: actually I think hit this little bit on the head. 112 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:47,159 Speaker 2: He talked about how the economy will basically remain identical 113 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:49,920 Speaker 2: to Biden's economy in terms of inflation, but the stock 114 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 2: market will continue to go up and housing will keep 115 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:54,919 Speaker 2: getting more expensive, and the left will start to be 116 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:57,920 Speaker 2: able to hit conservatives on inflation. And yeah, I think 117 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 2: that is pretty much what happened. E Condomy's in a 118 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:03,640 Speaker 2: relatively similar place as it was last year. But you know, 119 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 2: inflation is still ticking. There's some like artificial attempts to 120 00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:11,799 Speaker 2: bring it down by Trump, but it's not really working 121 00:06:11,839 --> 00:06:12,840 Speaker 2: in terms of prices. 122 00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:16,799 Speaker 3: No, the only thing cropping it up in a numbers 123 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:20,280 Speaker 3: term is fucking Nvidia. Well, in Vidia less so now, 124 00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:23,760 Speaker 3: but just irrational exuberance over AI in general. Yeah, but 125 00:06:24,520 --> 00:06:26,480 Speaker 3: people are complaining about all the same things they were 126 00:06:26,520 --> 00:06:27,919 Speaker 3: under Biden, just more so. 127 00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:31,480 Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, I guess I have three other points here. 128 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:34,479 Speaker 2: I talked about a blue governor deployed national Guard troops 129 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:39,799 Speaker 2: against Trump federal troops. Instead you got Trump deployed national 130 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 2: Guard troops against individual cities with like police kind of 131 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:46,800 Speaker 2: caught in between. We still have yet to see the 132 00:06:47,120 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 2: the cool and based moment where like a blue governor 133 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:53,800 Speaker 2: deploys national Guard against against dhlven. 134 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:55,279 Speaker 4: Youse deployed his Twitter account today. 135 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:55,800 Speaker 5: Yeah. 136 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 2: No, Still, Sophie talked about there'd be still no clear 137 00:06:59,200 --> 00:07:04,640 Speaker 2: left wing Joe Rogan, but so many have tried, a 138 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:05,320 Speaker 2: lot of people try. 139 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 3: I still feel like I could be it. 140 00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:09,760 Speaker 2: You're gonna have to be a lot more on camera, 141 00:07:09,960 --> 00:07:12,240 Speaker 2: I think. Yeahah, well, they'll have to have a lot 142 00:07:12,280 --> 00:07:14,000 Speaker 2: a lot more on camera stuff for that. 143 00:07:13,960 --> 00:07:18,720 Speaker 4: More camera less hair, larger gut can't be explained. 144 00:07:18,320 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 3: Steroids, different drugs. 145 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:24,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean Adam Freeland is certainly positioning in that direction. Yeah, 146 00:07:24,760 --> 00:07:26,560 Speaker 2: I agree here. I agree here. 147 00:07:26,880 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 5: Also, I predicted that something would happen to the Paul Brothers, 148 00:07:29,600 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 5: and unfortunately the only thing that happened is that their 149 00:07:31,880 --> 00:07:33,440 Speaker 5: HBO show did not get renewed. 150 00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 4: When was that boxed? 151 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:34,800 Speaker 1: Bad? 152 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:37,600 Speaker 3: That was year prior and it wasn't good. 153 00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:41,080 Speaker 5: No, they had a TV show called Paul American. 154 00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:44,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, are you serious? I didn't even hear about this. 155 00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:47,760 Speaker 5: It was on HBO, but it got canceled. 156 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:50,320 Speaker 2: I guess I've just had other stuff going on. 157 00:07:50,760 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm kind of glad that I've lived a life 158 00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:56,040 Speaker 4: where I didn't know that. I have no shame about that. 159 00:07:57,320 --> 00:07:59,480 Speaker 2: Finally, both myself and like a few of us kind 160 00:07:59,480 --> 00:08:01,600 Speaker 2: of talked about is that there would be this movement 161 00:08:01,720 --> 00:08:06,560 Speaker 2: away from big mobilizations. Some big mobilizations happened in short 162 00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:09,280 Speaker 2: periods of time, right, like especially good point like la 163 00:08:09,400 --> 00:08:11,880 Speaker 2: I think it's probably the most significant, but in terms 164 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 2: of like like actual like countrywide mass mobilizations, right, there's 165 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 2: a movement away from this and moving towards lone wolf attacks, 166 00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:24,360 Speaker 2: which did happen, and specifically I predicted there would be 167 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 2: like a very a very sloppy Luigi copycat in the 168 00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:34,679 Speaker 2: next four months, And oh boy, did this happen multiple 169 00:08:34,880 --> 00:08:37,280 Speaker 2: in reoccurring times. And this kind of played into this 170 00:08:37,400 --> 00:08:41,200 Speaker 2: larger model I was creating, which kind of starts around 171 00:08:41,280 --> 00:08:44,920 Speaker 2: the assassination of shinzo Abe, creating this escalating series of 172 00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:48,400 Speaker 2: assassinations happening faster and faster, because like after shinzo Abe, 173 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:51,640 Speaker 2: there was you know, two years later, Thomas Crooks trying 174 00:08:51,640 --> 00:08:54,680 Speaker 2: to assassinate Onald Trump and bout the Pennsylvania six months later, 175 00:08:54,880 --> 00:08:58,360 Speaker 2: the United Healthcare CEO. Three months after that, someone tried 176 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 2: to burn down the home of Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro 177 00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:02,800 Speaker 2: in the middle of the night. One and a half 178 00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:05,520 Speaker 2: months after that, there was the assassination of two Israeli 179 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:08,720 Speaker 2: embassy staffers in Washington, d c Two weeks after that, 180 00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:11,839 Speaker 2: a Christian missionary named Vance Belter killed in Minnesota House 181 00:09:11,880 --> 00:09:15,160 Speaker 2: speaker Melissa Hortman and her husband and shot Senator John Hoffman. 182 00:09:15,679 --> 00:09:17,760 Speaker 2: Next month was the Prairie Land assault on an ice 183 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:20,080 Speaker 2: facility in July, the exact details of which are still 184 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 2: getting figured out in court. But after this things kind 185 00:09:24,320 --> 00:09:28,280 Speaker 2: of tapered down for a bit until September with the 186 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:31,480 Speaker 2: Charlie Kirk assassination and the attack on the ice facility 187 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 2: in Texas which kills two immigrant detainees. So yeah, in 188 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 2: terms of like you know, lone wolf style, pre planned 189 00:09:41,200 --> 00:09:46,360 Speaker 2: assassination style attacks, sloppy copycats, write people writing messages on 190 00:09:46,440 --> 00:09:51,480 Speaker 2: bullet casings, emulating the United Healthcare CEO assassination, this was 191 00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:55,280 Speaker 2: like a super super dominant part of twenty twenty five. 192 00:09:55,640 --> 00:09:58,000 Speaker 3: It's the same pattern. I talked about this at the 193 00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:02,360 Speaker 3: end of my episode on and Manchione after like that 194 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:05,720 Speaker 3: came out right that like there's copycats after every shooting. 195 00:10:05,760 --> 00:10:07,760 Speaker 3: This is basically following the same kind of thing we 196 00:10:07,760 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 3: saw in twenty nineteen with the eight Chan shootings right 197 00:10:11,280 --> 00:10:14,040 Speaker 3: where you like this. This has been going on for 198 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:16,480 Speaker 3: much longer than that, but it's a very predictable once 199 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:19,200 Speaker 3: you start to expect it. It's a very predictable thing, 200 00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:22,800 Speaker 3: which is, someone carries out a shooting that actually manages 201 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:25,880 Speaker 3: to break through our levels of apathy about violence in 202 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:30,920 Speaker 3: this society and keeps everyone's attention, and then throughout the 203 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:33,440 Speaker 3: year a bunch of different people try iterations based on 204 00:10:33,480 --> 00:10:35,839 Speaker 3: that because it's the only way to get attention, and 205 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:37,720 Speaker 3: that's what all these people are craving, right, That's the 206 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 3: only real currency that still has value. 207 00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:43,160 Speaker 6: I will say, I think it says something positive about 208 00:10:43,160 --> 00:10:45,559 Speaker 6: the turnoway for mass mobilizations that the lone Wolf stuff 209 00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:47,760 Speaker 6: wasn't the only stuff that happened. There was also the 210 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:50,319 Speaker 6: turn towards the thing we talked about in our Q 211 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 6: and a episode about the Ice wrapped response stuff, which is, 212 00:10:53,559 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 6: you know, there were a few big mobilizations, but then 213 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:58,560 Speaker 6: ICE was forced to change their tactics by the fact 214 00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 6: that giant mobilizations by ICE, we're going badly for them. 215 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:02,920 Speaker 6: And this did create a whole bunch of sort of 216 00:11:02,960 --> 00:11:07,920 Speaker 6: decentralized rapid response networks and a whole bunch of actions 217 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:10,720 Speaker 6: that were sort of based on this very very decentralized 218 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:13,199 Speaker 6: very we show up and we do this thing at 219 00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:16,880 Speaker 6: this place, what's happening. It has stopped some of the 220 00:11:16,920 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 6: things that is happening. It has not stopped all of 221 00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:21,360 Speaker 6: the horrors that have been happening. But I think it 222 00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 6: is a positive trend in terms of the way that 223 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:25,360 Speaker 6: ICE has been forced to adjust their tactics to do 224 00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:28,280 Speaker 6: things that are harder and get less people at a time. 225 00:11:28,760 --> 00:11:30,760 Speaker 6: So I think that's worth as a positive thing worth 226 00:11:30,760 --> 00:11:33,880 Speaker 6: sharing of. How yeah, yeah, that the tactical innovations that 227 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:36,679 Speaker 6: activists have been deploying have been forcing ICE to do 228 00:11:36,760 --> 00:11:37,959 Speaker 6: less devastating raids. 229 00:11:38,760 --> 00:11:42,800 Speaker 4: We saw various attempts at mass mobilization, most successful with 230 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:46,920 Speaker 4: the No Kings marches, which were vast, but we also 231 00:11:46,920 --> 00:11:49,080 Speaker 4: saw those fifty to fifty one things which kind of 232 00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:52,719 Speaker 4: were not as successful in turning out a lot of 233 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:55,600 Speaker 4: umbers of people. But like me, it said, like in Ventura, right, 234 00:11:55,800 --> 00:11:57,719 Speaker 4: Like we saw huge numbers of people show up when 235 00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:00,199 Speaker 4: ICE tried to rate a couple of agricultural facility. He's 236 00:12:00,280 --> 00:12:02,760 Speaker 4: up there, and yeah, well like I was up in La. 237 00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:05,760 Speaker 4: We've spoken about that extensively. But like Garrison said, that 238 00:12:05,800 --> 00:12:09,960 Speaker 4: was probably the biggest mobilization against ICE at one time. 239 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:11,360 Speaker 4: In one place that we saw. 240 00:12:11,640 --> 00:12:13,520 Speaker 2: It's a probably do ad break and then move into 241 00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:29,240 Speaker 2: predictions for this upcoming year twenty twenty six. Yep, the 242 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:32,679 Speaker 2: stock market is still trying to keep going, although in 243 00:12:32,760 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 2: some parts is like, if not going down, flatlining like 244 00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:41,280 Speaker 2: a bitcoined did not increase this past year. There's been 245 00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:45,040 Speaker 2: a few popular like rising stocks like Netflix, which are 246 00:12:45,160 --> 00:12:48,440 Speaker 2: pretty much at the same spot they were at the 247 00:12:48,480 --> 00:12:50,760 Speaker 2: start of twenty twenty five, still going up and down. 248 00:12:51,040 --> 00:12:51,240 Speaker 4: Yeah. 249 00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:53,280 Speaker 3: Games Workshop is up forty eight percent. 250 00:12:53,440 --> 00:12:59,400 Speaker 2: Baby ye, war Hammer, the assassin Oran kingmaker, it's great. 251 00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:02,720 Speaker 3: Sixty seven most valuable company in the entire UK, larger 252 00:13:02,720 --> 00:13:08,160 Speaker 3: than there a whole fishing industry. Baby really Yeah, that's 253 00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:12,640 Speaker 3: Warhammer is load bearing to the British economy. It's the 254 00:13:12,679 --> 00:13:14,520 Speaker 3: only thing Noddingham really has left. 255 00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:17,240 Speaker 4: Yeah, so they got rid of the sheriff. It already 256 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:21,280 Speaker 4: went downhill for them. Hey that in Robinhood. Tourism is yeah, 257 00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:24,440 Speaker 4: anything you can do in Notingham. Now, Okay, I have 258 00:13:24,800 --> 00:13:26,960 Speaker 4: I have a big one about this. And it's not 259 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:28,600 Speaker 4: that the tech bubble is going to collapse. I do 260 00:13:28,600 --> 00:13:30,439 Speaker 4: think the tech bubble is going to pop this year. 261 00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:32,600 Speaker 3: At about this year, but within the next twelve months. 262 00:13:32,600 --> 00:13:34,760 Speaker 3: I think you're saying, because we've got like three weeks 263 00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:35,160 Speaker 3: left in. 264 00:13:35,160 --> 00:13:37,960 Speaker 2: This year, Well, you know, in twenty twenty six. Yeah, 265 00:13:38,040 --> 00:13:40,240 Speaker 2: these are these are predictions for twenty twenty six. Yeah, 266 00:13:40,280 --> 00:13:43,200 Speaker 2: in twenty twenty six, the tech bubble is going to pop. Yeah, 267 00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:44,200 Speaker 2: that's not the prediction. 268 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:48,040 Speaker 6: The prediction is that, in an attempt to recoup the 269 00:13:48,160 --> 00:13:51,240 Speaker 6: value from all of the completely useless data centers that 270 00:13:51,280 --> 00:13:54,160 Speaker 6: they will have built that can only run LMS and 271 00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:58,200 Speaker 6: can do nothing else, someone is going to invent a 272 00:13:58,200 --> 00:14:01,800 Speaker 6: cryptocurrency that can only be mined by large language models. 273 00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 6: And this is going to be one of the big 274 00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:08,760 Speaker 6: attempts to recoup the hideous, hideous amounts of capital they've 275 00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:10,400 Speaker 6: been dumped into all these data centers. Is that they're 276 00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:12,720 Speaker 6: going to have someone's going to find a way to 277 00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:15,040 Speaker 6: make a kind of token that can only be generated 278 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:18,720 Speaker 6: by large language models, and they're gonna they're gonna try it. 279 00:14:18,760 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 6: Is it gonna work? I don't think so, But they 280 00:14:21,280 --> 00:14:23,360 Speaker 6: are going to try it. It's going to be a 281 00:14:23,360 --> 00:14:25,400 Speaker 6: big thing. They're gonna push it. It's gonna suck. 282 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:28,720 Speaker 3: There's gonna be a bunch of desperate attempts to like 283 00:14:29,680 --> 00:14:32,920 Speaker 3: once the money starts falling out and like, which is 284 00:14:32,920 --> 00:14:34,640 Speaker 3: not to say that I think that AI is going 285 00:14:34,680 --> 00:14:36,760 Speaker 3: to even the AI that annoys me is going to 286 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:40,360 Speaker 3: go away, But a lot of the irrational exuberance is 287 00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:42,480 Speaker 3: going to end, and a lot of the startups that 288 00:14:42,520 --> 00:14:45,280 Speaker 3: are just burning money are going to fail or get acquired, 289 00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:49,200 Speaker 3: and you're going to see tremendous desperation for people to 290 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:50,720 Speaker 3: be like, this is the next thing, This is the 291 00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:53,360 Speaker 3: next thing. Throw a bunch of money into this, Like, Yeah, 292 00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:55,840 Speaker 3: that's that's gonna be annoying. 293 00:14:56,400 --> 00:14:57,960 Speaker 2: No, I mean, I feel like people have been talking 294 00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 2: about the a bubble popping for a while. I have 295 00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:05,800 Speaker 2: been hearing things from people who think and track this 296 00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:08,760 Speaker 2: more than I do that if it is going to happen, 297 00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:12,520 Speaker 2: there's indicators that it's more likely to happen in twenty 298 00:15:12,560 --> 00:15:16,280 Speaker 2: six than it was in twenty five. I'm not going 299 00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:19,480 Speaker 2: to put money on that on the Calshi betting markets, 300 00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:23,400 Speaker 2: but god, it does seem to be more of a possibility. 301 00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 2: And you can see this the way people are handling 302 00:15:26,160 --> 00:15:28,600 Speaker 2: Navidia stock right now and being advised not to buy 303 00:15:28,640 --> 00:15:30,880 Speaker 2: more stock but still hold what you have. 304 00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, and just where Nvidio stock has moved over the 305 00:15:33,800 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 3: last month or so. 306 00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, so if you look at what's happening with Navidio, 307 00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:39,280 Speaker 2: we might have reached the peak and oh yeah, and 308 00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 2: it might be so jover for some of these guys. 309 00:15:41,560 --> 00:15:41,840 Speaker 1: Wow. 310 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:46,320 Speaker 3: Yeah. I think the big open question is how bad 311 00:15:46,400 --> 00:15:49,240 Speaker 3: it's going to be. There's going to be at least 312 00:15:49,280 --> 00:15:52,320 Speaker 3: one of these big AI companies open aire, anthropic, or 313 00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:56,840 Speaker 3: somebody that either goes bust entirely or has to get acquired. 314 00:15:57,480 --> 00:16:00,760 Speaker 3: But again, if you're looking at this rationally and wish casting, 315 00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:04,800 Speaker 3: both Apple, Google, and Microsoft are all perfectly capable of 316 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:06,120 Speaker 3: sustaining their rates of burn. 317 00:16:06,240 --> 00:16:07,480 Speaker 2: Microsoft is still going up. 318 00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:11,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, Facebook is as well. And I think what you're 319 00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:15,400 Speaker 3: likelier to see is contraction and consolidation, which is not 320 00:16:15,440 --> 00:16:17,080 Speaker 3: to say that it's not going to be disastrous for 321 00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:18,680 Speaker 3: some group. I think there's a good chance that we 322 00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:22,440 Speaker 3: do see some banks fail because there's there's some bad 323 00:16:22,520 --> 00:16:23,560 Speaker 3: investments out there. 324 00:16:23,640 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 6: Yeah, they have been doing collateralized loan obligations. Yeah, where 325 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 6: the underlying asset is compute time. 326 00:16:30,720 --> 00:16:31,080 Speaker 3: Yeah. 327 00:16:31,400 --> 00:16:33,920 Speaker 2: This is more deranged than two thousand and eight. 328 00:16:34,360 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 3: Yeah. 329 00:16:34,800 --> 00:16:37,640 Speaker 6: I cannot emphasize this enough. This is the most deranged 330 00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 6: thing I have seen since the Tulip crisis, Like I 331 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:44,080 Speaker 6: cannot explain just good God, So. 332 00:16:44,120 --> 00:16:46,160 Speaker 3: No, I mean the upside that we have over two 333 00:16:46,160 --> 00:16:48,400 Speaker 3: thousand and eight is that the thing that all of 334 00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:52,240 Speaker 3: these bad bets are on isn't people's houses, right, Yes, yeah, 335 00:16:52,280 --> 00:16:54,400 Speaker 3: And so that does there is a potential that some 336 00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:56,720 Speaker 3: good comes out of it in terms of like universities 337 00:16:56,760 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 3: getting access to a lot more compute that they can 338 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:01,000 Speaker 3: actually use valuable things. 339 00:17:01,240 --> 00:17:05,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, and people are already suffering under recession conditions. If 340 00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:08,000 Speaker 2: you're like a working class person, like you are already dealing 341 00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:11,399 Speaker 2: with the followed effects of this. Just the stock market 342 00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:14,600 Speaker 2: itself has been insulated from the rest of the economy 343 00:17:14,600 --> 00:17:17,280 Speaker 2: which is in a state of recession. And also it 344 00:17:17,320 --> 00:17:20,360 Speaker 2: can get worse, which so a lot of people who 345 00:17:20,359 --> 00:17:23,000 Speaker 2: aren't like super wealthy are like pro this bubble popping 346 00:17:23,040 --> 00:17:26,399 Speaker 2: and pro this because then if other people, people in 347 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:29,399 Speaker 2: power finally realize how bad it is, they're hopeful that 348 00:17:29,400 --> 00:17:32,159 Speaker 2: then something might be done to like fix some of 349 00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:35,919 Speaker 2: the material conditions, which I can understand people's like, like 350 00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:37,480 Speaker 2: you know point of view there. 351 00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, I am not as worried about this being as 352 00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:43,600 Speaker 3: bad for the average person as two thousand and eight was. 353 00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:46,399 Speaker 3: I don't think it's going to be as satisfying as 354 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:48,280 Speaker 3: people are hoping it was. It's not going to wipe 355 00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:50,600 Speaker 3: out or put an end to the annoyance of AI 356 00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:53,639 Speaker 3: in our lives, although it should make it easier to 357 00:17:54,280 --> 00:17:56,800 Speaker 3: rationalize some of the shit people have been saying, like 358 00:17:56,960 --> 00:17:59,560 Speaker 3: it should make the craziest of the AI boosters being 359 00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:01,760 Speaker 3: like this is to replace everything. The whole economy will 360 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:03,359 Speaker 3: be in two years, no one will have a job. 361 00:18:03,800 --> 00:18:05,920 Speaker 3: That's going to be a lot harder for anybody who's 362 00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:08,919 Speaker 3: not not seem like a crazy person while advocating. But 363 00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:12,560 Speaker 3: the Internet's gonna stay annoying, like unfortunate. 364 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:14,160 Speaker 4: I think it's fucked for a little while. 365 00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:15,560 Speaker 3: Yeah. 366 00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:18,960 Speaker 5: I think my girly pop economy prediction is that we're 367 00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:23,920 Speaker 5: going to continue to see influencer shopping. What I mean 368 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:27,639 Speaker 5: by that is like influencers have been pushing products like 369 00:18:27,720 --> 00:18:30,840 Speaker 5: no other and marketing budgets have been going to influencer 370 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:33,960 Speaker 5: marketing at a rapid pace. And I think we're gonna 371 00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:36,359 Speaker 5: see the implementation of AI into that more. And I 372 00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:40,159 Speaker 5: think that that is primarily going to be one of 373 00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:42,640 Speaker 5: the ways, like we might see less or we'll still 374 00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 5: see as much, but targeted ads, and we're going to 375 00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:48,760 Speaker 5: see an addition to that, we'll also see like targeted 376 00:18:48,840 --> 00:18:53,359 Speaker 5: influencer marketing for products, and like it's already pretty gnarly 377 00:18:53,440 --> 00:18:56,080 Speaker 5: on like TikTok and Instagram, but I think we're only 378 00:18:56,119 --> 00:18:57,879 Speaker 5: going to see more of that, and it's just gonna, 379 00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:00,440 Speaker 5: you know, going to be peak capital them care. 380 00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:05,200 Speaker 2: Something that could be really fun is that if it pops, 381 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:09,719 Speaker 2: it's going to line up almost perfectly with two thousand 382 00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:13,439 Speaker 2: and eight nostalgia. So we'll have recession nostalgia, which is 383 00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:16,439 Speaker 2: already starting to happen in the same time as a 384 00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:19,919 Speaker 2: whole economic recession. So we'll have the recessions line up 385 00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:22,960 Speaker 2: in time with their nostalgia cycle, and then you know, 386 00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:24,919 Speaker 2: it's only a matter of months before you have you know, 387 00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:27,800 Speaker 2: like twenty tens like hipster stuff coming coming back in 388 00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:32,120 Speaker 2: great So you know, it's right there, We're so close. 389 00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:34,280 Speaker 2: We're already at that like like you know, two thousand 390 00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:37,399 Speaker 2: and eight level of two thousands of nostalgia. But if 391 00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:39,879 Speaker 2: it lines up with the recession, then that could that 392 00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:40,880 Speaker 2: could be really exciting. 393 00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:43,879 Speaker 3: Now I'm also kind of curious as to whether or 394 00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:46,280 Speaker 3: not we're going to start seeing you know, a lot 395 00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:48,840 Speaker 3: of the earliest adopters of AI on a regular basis. 396 00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:52,000 Speaker 3: We're very young people using it to cheat at school, yes, 397 00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:57,159 Speaker 3: and just kind of trawling different teachers, subreddits and online communities. 398 00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:00,720 Speaker 3: I'm seeing teachers talk about like younger kids now they're 399 00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 3: being a backlash among very young people against the use 400 00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:07,639 Speaker 3: of AI and the way it makes people talk. This 401 00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:09,800 Speaker 3: is kind of coming alongside as you're starting to see 402 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:14,359 Speaker 3: a recovery in levels of literacy as schools depart from 403 00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:16,960 Speaker 3: the bad way of teaching kids to read that fuck 404 00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:20,200 Speaker 3: everyone up. I don't have any kind of longitudinal statistical 405 00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:22,879 Speaker 3: data on this. This is all very much anecdotal, so 406 00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:25,840 Speaker 3: I'm still waiting to see is this a broader trend 407 00:20:25,920 --> 00:20:28,040 Speaker 3: or did I just come across some people saying this 408 00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:30,439 Speaker 3: is a thing that they're seeing in their area. But 409 00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:34,080 Speaker 3: I'm kind of interested. And there's a degree to which 410 00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:36,720 Speaker 3: I think some sort of backlash against AI is inevitable 411 00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:40,280 Speaker 3: just because of how everyone running society is trying to 412 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:43,679 Speaker 3: push people to replace everything with it like that just 413 00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:46,960 Speaker 3: inevitably is going to irritate the kids because the adults 414 00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:49,280 Speaker 3: are all doing it right, We'll see. 415 00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:54,760 Speaker 4: I think people are increasingly better at spotting AI, like 416 00:20:54,840 --> 00:20:58,400 Speaker 4: intuitively and very quickly. It's something I've seen, like not 417 00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:02,240 Speaker 4: in high school, but like teaching at a university level. 418 00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:04,920 Speaker 4: People just being like, this is an IR response, and 419 00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:07,720 Speaker 4: it's fucking cringe like because the AI always writes in 420 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:11,119 Speaker 4: a particularly cringe way, right, that is very obvious, and 421 00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:14,520 Speaker 4: I've seen that. But I genuinely hope more people stop 422 00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:17,840 Speaker 4: using AI because it is making education a pretty fucking 423 00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:21,120 Speaker 4: miserable place to be right now, which is Tomama, because 424 00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:21,720 Speaker 4: I like teaching. 425 00:21:22,800 --> 00:21:25,520 Speaker 2: Let's go on another at break and then return for 426 00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:40,560 Speaker 2: some mid term predictions. Hey, is it everyone excited? It's 427 00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:41,360 Speaker 2: another election? 428 00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:44,280 Speaker 4: You're already people are saying the most important one of 429 00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:45,480 Speaker 4: our lives, Garrison. 430 00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:47,680 Speaker 2: I think, so just what I was starting to miss it. 431 00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:51,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm voting Kamala for every single camera. 432 00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 2: Single state level position. Yeah, sure, she will be the comptroller. 433 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:00,840 Speaker 5: You're killing me. 434 00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:02,240 Speaker 2: Who do we think is gonna run? 435 00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:03,080 Speaker 5: Gavin Newsome? 436 00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:07,880 Speaker 2: Yeah? 437 00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:11,720 Speaker 4: Midterms? Yeah, Unfortunately, Sophie, we have another reporter like talking 438 00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:12,879 Speaker 4: about twenty twenty eight. 439 00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:14,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, we don't have to do that until next year's 440 00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:16,159 Speaker 3: I skipped. 441 00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:18,600 Speaker 5: I've skipped the midterms, and I was already going to 442 00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:22,159 Speaker 5: the next level of hell, no, no, no, Who's going 443 00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:23,520 Speaker 5: to be governor of California? 444 00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:27,200 Speaker 4: James God knows. The Dems have not really been putting 445 00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:32,560 Speaker 4: their strongest foot forward. Katie Porter had these like really 446 00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:34,840 Speaker 4: pretty nasty videos come out of the way she was 447 00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:37,760 Speaker 4: just talking to people who work for her. I don't 448 00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:40,280 Speaker 4: think that that is a good leadership great, and I 449 00:22:40,359 --> 00:22:42,640 Speaker 4: don't think that that it's a person we should choose. 450 00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:45,560 Speaker 4: I don't know. I'm so resigned to being it being 451 00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:48,960 Speaker 4: someone's shit, you know that, Like I honestly try not 452 00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:51,120 Speaker 4: to put too much of my time and effort into it. 453 00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:53,840 Speaker 4: But yeah, I know, maybe I'll be fucking Katy Perry. 454 00:22:53,880 --> 00:22:59,280 Speaker 4: Maybe Trudeau will pass on his electoral magic. She's got 455 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:02,159 Speaker 4: some good songs. She could use them with actually, with 456 00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:06,160 Speaker 4: the intellectual property licensing, which Trump doesn't do, she could 457 00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:08,840 Speaker 4: get that shock. Maybe the shock could be vice governor. 458 00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:12,680 Speaker 4: You know, that's the potential there. We have worried about 459 00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:13,240 Speaker 4: the shock. 460 00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:18,280 Speaker 2: So obviously the Democrats are protected to do well in 461 00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:21,000 Speaker 2: this in this midterm election based on like like like 462 00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:24,640 Speaker 2: anti Trump sentiment and like the regular swing away from 463 00:23:24,680 --> 00:23:28,119 Speaker 2: the like whoever is in the executive branch in mid terms, 464 00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:30,960 Speaker 2: And yeah, I think the Democrats will do well, especially 465 00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:32,200 Speaker 2: if you look at the last like a month or 466 00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:37,440 Speaker 2: so of election results. I think it's possible they take 467 00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:41,000 Speaker 2: both chambers. I think they will absolutely take one. I'm 468 00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:44,240 Speaker 2: going split, it's possible they take both chambers. I don't 469 00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:47,119 Speaker 2: think it's going to be a landslide. It's not going 470 00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:49,800 Speaker 2: to be a blue tsunami blue nay. I think it 471 00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:52,959 Speaker 2: may be a blue wave. I think I think a 472 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:56,240 Speaker 2: wave or a small wave is likely. I do not 473 00:23:56,280 --> 00:23:59,040 Speaker 2: think it's going to be a complete blowout. But there's 474 00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:02,000 Speaker 2: been like especially in the Tennessee's special election, a thirteen 475 00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:07,120 Speaker 2: point shift towards Democrats. We've seen other double digit shifts 476 00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:09,679 Speaker 2: across the country in the in the past in the 477 00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:12,920 Speaker 2: past month. I don't know how much they'll be able 478 00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:17,040 Speaker 2: to continue that sort of sentiment in you know, nine 479 00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:21,280 Speaker 2: months time, ten months, eleven months time leading into November. 480 00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,760 Speaker 2: So I think some of that enthusiasm will maybe taper 481 00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:27,399 Speaker 2: off a little bit as Trump becomes kind of like 482 00:24:27,440 --> 00:24:29,040 Speaker 2: a lame duck presidency. 483 00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:32,480 Speaker 6: But I still think they'll do like Okay. In terms 484 00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:35,960 Speaker 6: of like the Democrats, I very much disapear. I think 485 00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:38,200 Speaker 6: this is going to be like a generic DE plus fourteen. 486 00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:41,159 Speaker 6: This is going to be a fucking massacre. What signs 487 00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:44,320 Speaker 6: are pointing towards that? I mean, they just won the 488 00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:46,680 Speaker 6: mayorship of Miami. 489 00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:49,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, Well so you're saying it's going to be 490 00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:50,960 Speaker 2: good for the Democrats de plus fourteen. 491 00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:54,520 Speaker 6: Yeah, like Democrats plus fourteen. Like I'm talking like an 492 00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:58,919 Speaker 6: as a tsunami. Okay, got My prediction is that all 493 00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:01,479 Speaker 6: of the polling people are fucking cowards. What's happening right 494 00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:03,960 Speaker 6: now at the polling is that they are using the 495 00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:07,000 Speaker 6: twenty twenty four electorate. This is not the twenty twenty 496 00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:09,680 Speaker 6: four electorate. They have not figured this out yet. They 497 00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:13,200 Speaker 6: are still underestimating the exact scale of which everyone fucking 498 00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:13,840 Speaker 6: hates them, Like. 499 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:18,720 Speaker 3: I'ld be surprised if both houses flip. But yeah, here's 500 00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:19,040 Speaker 3: the thing. 501 00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:22,760 Speaker 6: The Cuban parts of Miami, Yeah went left by like 502 00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:25,120 Speaker 6: fifteen points touch something we talked about in the show. 503 00:25:25,119 --> 00:25:27,200 Speaker 6: They are going through and systematically pissing off every single 504 00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:29,199 Speaker 6: part of their base, right, Like one of the things 505 00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:31,800 Speaker 6: one of the stories I've been tracking is about the 506 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:34,640 Speaker 6: ways in which they've been spystematically pissing off a whole 507 00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:37,680 Speaker 6: bunch of farmers who are a very very consistent right 508 00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:40,000 Speaker 6: wing voting base, and they're pissing them off a trade 509 00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:42,840 Speaker 6: war bullshit because China's not buying swoydeans, right. This is 510 00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:45,399 Speaker 6: how they're losing elections in Western Iowa. I think the 511 00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:47,239 Speaker 6: other part of this too is and this is how 512 00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:48,720 Speaker 6: I think the momentum is going to be sustained, is 513 00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:51,320 Speaker 6: that things haven't even gotten as bad as they're going 514 00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:53,720 Speaker 6: to get yet. The actual standard of living in this 515 00:25:53,800 --> 00:25:56,480 Speaker 6: country right now, it is going to get so much 516 00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:59,440 Speaker 6: worse as as all of the inflation stuff sort of 517 00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:02,480 Speaker 6: racks up, et cetera, et cetera. Like, the country is 518 00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:04,560 Speaker 6: going to be worse. Everyone's going to be more pissed off. 519 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:08,320 Speaker 6: Trump is going to have bombed like four more countries. 520 00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:11,000 Speaker 6: We're gonna have like cent troops into Mexico or some shit. 521 00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:13,679 Speaker 6: He's going to be so unpopular it's going to be 522 00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:16,720 Speaker 6: like it's gonna be the fucking flood out there that's possible. 523 00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:20,639 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think the incompacy advantage becomes less and less 524 00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:23,440 Speaker 4: relevant the worse the economy gets and like that was 525 00:26:23,480 --> 00:26:26,119 Speaker 4: something Biden got hit with, right, that Trump is is 526 00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:28,760 Speaker 4: going to have to wear especially to get further and 527 00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:31,280 Speaker 4: further into his term. Right, it's a Trump economy. 528 00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:35,640 Speaker 2: I guess this just requires that the current momentum Democrats 529 00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:38,240 Speaker 2: have to be maintained for a while, which is something 530 00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:40,600 Speaker 2: that historically Democrats haven't been great at. 531 00:26:40,760 --> 00:26:42,160 Speaker 4: Yes, yeah, they have shift at it. 532 00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:45,040 Speaker 2: So this will require effort for you know, people like 533 00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:48,680 Speaker 2: organizing with the Democrats and social media messaging, like actual 534 00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:52,239 Speaker 2: in person like like electoral organizing to really keep this 535 00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:56,600 Speaker 2: momentum pressure going for the next eleven months, which which 536 00:26:56,760 --> 00:26:58,800 Speaker 2: is you know, they've they've done a good job at 537 00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:01,199 Speaker 2: this the past like six months, but can they like 538 00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:03,440 Speaker 2: maintain this to the mid terms. That's the only point 539 00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:05,760 Speaker 2: where I start to hesitate in terms of like the 540 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:08,199 Speaker 2: scale of like a blue wave. But I think it's 541 00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:10,040 Speaker 2: it's certainly possible that that they end up doing it 542 00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:12,159 Speaker 2: quite well, but it's going to be reliant on like 543 00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:14,080 Speaker 2: maintaining this this pressure. 544 00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:19,040 Speaker 3: No, there's still some structural difficulties that make flipping Congress 545 00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:21,000 Speaker 3: entirely very. 546 00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 2: Difficult, especially with the redistricting stuff happening. Yeah, yeah, so 547 00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:26,720 Speaker 2: like could they take the Senate quite easily. Yeah, the 548 00:27:26,800 --> 00:27:29,240 Speaker 2: House still up in the air. For me, I think 549 00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:32,679 Speaker 2: lean the Democrat at this point, certainly leaning Democrat, but 550 00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:34,560 Speaker 2: still not confident. 551 00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:36,640 Speaker 3: That'd be great. I just I don't want to get irrationally, 552 00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:39,240 Speaker 3: you know, ahead of our skeazier. 553 00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:43,080 Speaker 6: I have watched very very dysfunctional state Democratic parties win 554 00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:45,399 Speaker 6: elections and districts that were R plus twenty two. 555 00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:48,160 Speaker 2: Anything can happen at this point. 556 00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:51,560 Speaker 4: Like, yeah, no, Yeah, it's not coming from a national strategy. 557 00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:54,879 Speaker 4: It's coming from like local candidates doing well on local 558 00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:57,960 Speaker 4: issues and people fucking hating Trump. Yeah, it is not 559 00:27:58,040 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 4: the DNC who is putting Higgins or Mam Damie in office. Well, yeah, 560 00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:06,240 Speaker 4: that is, uh, I guess a good thing because the 561 00:28:06,280 --> 00:28:08,520 Speaker 4: DNT fucking sucks. It has always fucking sucked, and it 562 00:28:08,560 --> 00:28:10,600 Speaker 4: has really reinforced how much it sucks in the last 563 00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:11,359 Speaker 4: eight years. 564 00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:11,760 Speaker 1: Yeah. 565 00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:13,680 Speaker 2: And being able to hit Trump and Republicans on the 566 00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:17,240 Speaker 2: economy with tariffs, this, like all the garky stuff, has 567 00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:19,640 Speaker 2: proven to be pretty successful so far, and I think 568 00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:22,919 Speaker 2: being able to continue that messaging as the economy trends 569 00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:26,199 Speaker 2: in its current direction. Being able to continue that messaging 570 00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:30,480 Speaker 2: I think will help the Democrats. Interestingly, a Platner in 571 00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:34,320 Speaker 2: Maine still seems to be the front runner for that race, 572 00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:37,479 Speaker 2: so I think there's a decent chance we get our 573 00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:39,560 Speaker 2: first total cob in the Senate. 574 00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:44,280 Speaker 4: Well, he didn't absolutely dog shit cover up. I'm sorry 575 00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:46,000 Speaker 4: if you are listening and you did that yet to you, 576 00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:49,240 Speaker 4: but it's probably not your best work. Like he's got 577 00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:50,120 Speaker 4: a blob now. 578 00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:53,120 Speaker 2: That stuff just did not prove to be super impactful 579 00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:55,680 Speaker 2: to the actual voters in Maine, it seems, and the 580 00:28:55,840 --> 00:28:59,640 Speaker 2: actual like focus on his talking points have maintained his lead. 581 00:28:59,800 --> 00:29:02,560 Speaker 2: So I think that's something that Democrats can also look 582 00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:04,720 Speaker 2: look to. Yeah, in terms of like how much of 583 00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:07,840 Speaker 2: these like you know, like tertiary like personal attacks or 584 00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:12,840 Speaker 2: like you know, genuine yeah, genuinely valid valid complaints or 585 00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:16,719 Speaker 2: issues are are not very dominant based on how much 586 00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:19,040 Speaker 2: emphsis is actually getting put on. This is sort of 587 00:29:19,080 --> 00:29:21,000 Speaker 2: like affordability messaging. 588 00:29:21,280 --> 00:29:23,600 Speaker 5: To wrap up this Predictions episode, should we do a 589 00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:25,600 Speaker 5: quick death pick? 590 00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:26,720 Speaker 2: No one's gonna die. 591 00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:28,360 Speaker 3: I thought you're gonna ask it. Do you think we're 592 00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:30,400 Speaker 3: going to invade Venezuela? 593 00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:32,040 Speaker 2: No? See, this is what I'm interested in I'm more 594 00:29:32,080 --> 00:29:34,520 Speaker 2: interested in are we going to start any wars? Yes? 595 00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:34,800 Speaker 4: Yes? 596 00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:36,560 Speaker 2: And is his cabinet going to stay the same? 597 00:29:36,720 --> 00:29:38,840 Speaker 3: Kindness already have started. 598 00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:41,720 Speaker 2: To answer your first question, yes, yeh. 599 00:29:42,040 --> 00:29:43,600 Speaker 5: Is the cabit gonna stay the same? 600 00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:48,560 Speaker 2: I'm surprised it's weird, right Trump first term there was 601 00:29:48,600 --> 00:29:51,680 Speaker 2: a lot of cabinet turnover in the first year. Sure, Scaramouchi, 602 00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:54,200 Speaker 2: this is this is not happening this year. This year 603 00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:58,560 Speaker 2: they stayed pretty tight knit, despite a lot of terminils 604 00:29:58,720 --> 00:30:02,320 Speaker 2: or like you know, issues around like Cash Battel, Pam Bondi, 605 00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:06,480 Speaker 2: RFK Junior, Pete Haig Seth with the double tap war crime. 606 00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:08,040 Speaker 4: Strikes No as well. 607 00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:11,880 Speaker 2: They're pretty tight knit, it seems, so. I don't know 608 00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:15,280 Speaker 2: if it's gonna be cabinet turnover. I think Cash Battel 609 00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:16,320 Speaker 2: will be out next year. 610 00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:19,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think Cash might have Yeah, might be on 611 00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:20,280 Speaker 3: the edge of this. 612 00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:22,880 Speaker 4: Lost the podcast price he just found the ja Sics 613 00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:23,360 Speaker 4: pipe Bomber. 614 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:25,200 Speaker 2: I don't think it's gonna happen. I think the cabinet's 615 00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:28,320 Speaker 2: gonna stay the same, which I predicted against last year. 616 00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:33,200 Speaker 2: But I think based on how they've weathered certain controversies, 617 00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:37,880 Speaker 2: I do not know if Trump cares enough to do 618 00:30:38,040 --> 00:30:39,440 Speaker 2: cabinet turnover. 619 00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:41,640 Speaker 4: Yeah who I was talking to him about these things. 620 00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:43,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, well see, I don't there's no one that I 621 00:30:43,800 --> 00:30:46,880 Speaker 3: think is an obvious choice. I think the likeliest turnover 622 00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:47,880 Speaker 3: is Paatel. 623 00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:49,040 Speaker 5: Then maybe hag Seth. 624 00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:51,520 Speaker 3: I don't think he's gonna go. I think heg Seth 625 00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:55,360 Speaker 3: is too loyal, He's a he's a team player, sure, 626 00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:58,280 Speaker 3: and he has absolutely no chance of going into business 627 00:30:58,280 --> 00:30:59,240 Speaker 3: for himself. Right. 628 00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:01,800 Speaker 2: This is the big thing is that it's not a 629 00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:05,880 Speaker 2: skill or competency that got these people their jobs, which 630 00:31:05,920 --> 00:31:07,600 Speaker 2: you know, it's kind of kind of was a factor 631 00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:10,360 Speaker 2: in Trump one point zero, in Trump two point zero. 632 00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:11,960 Speaker 2: It is just pure loyalty. 633 00:31:12,240 --> 00:31:13,520 Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, yeah. 634 00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:15,280 Speaker 2: And if they're able to prove that, especially around like 635 00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:21,160 Speaker 2: you know, the Epstein stuff really really tested those those loyalties. Yes, 636 00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:23,320 Speaker 2: And if they're able to get out of the Epstein 637 00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:26,440 Speaker 2: controversy it's like kind of intact, then I think all 638 00:31:26,480 --> 00:31:28,600 Speaker 2: these guys will be set for like the next next 639 00:31:28,600 --> 00:31:31,440 Speaker 2: little bed. I guess do we think Vance is ever 640 00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,080 Speaker 2: going to become a president during the next like year 641 00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:34,400 Speaker 2: or two. 642 00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:37,800 Speaker 3: Trump is like eighties, So I'm not going to say 643 00:31:37,800 --> 00:31:40,880 Speaker 3: there's not a twenty or thirty percent chance that just 644 00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:43,840 Speaker 3: like if Donald Trump dies, Vance becomes the president, right sure, 645 00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:45,720 Speaker 3: and like he's at the age where he could just 646 00:31:45,800 --> 00:31:49,440 Speaker 3: drop dead right outside of that, No, I don't think 647 00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:50,680 Speaker 3: he's likely to become president. 648 00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:54,800 Speaker 4: Yeah, I do think in the next twelve months, the 649 00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:59,040 Speaker 4: US will begin a UAV campaign in the sahell quite 650 00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:01,720 Speaker 4: possibly in Nigeria. Like I think, yeah, that's possible in 651 00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:04,680 Speaker 4: the next twelve weeks, just looking at flights that they've 652 00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:05,600 Speaker 4: had very recently. 653 00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:08,520 Speaker 3: There's a decent chance too that they start expanding the 654 00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:12,040 Speaker 3: use of special forces and maybe even keep fobs open 655 00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:15,400 Speaker 3: without the willingness of the Nigerian government. But that's a 656 00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:16,080 Speaker 3: longer shot. 657 00:32:16,160 --> 00:32:20,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, and the Nigerian government's pretty pretty into it right now. Yeah. 658 00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:21,760 Speaker 2: Do you think they're going to put troops in the 659 00:32:21,800 --> 00:32:24,280 Speaker 2: ground at either Mexico or Venezuela. 660 00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:28,040 Speaker 3: I think there's a good chance that we utilize special 661 00:32:28,120 --> 00:32:31,320 Speaker 3: forces on the ground in parts of Mexico for brief 662 00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:32,200 Speaker 3: periods of time. 663 00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:33,960 Speaker 4: That's a good chance that we already have. 664 00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:37,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean we almost certainly already have. I think 665 00:32:37,360 --> 00:32:39,720 Speaker 3: there's a chance that we wind up having people on 666 00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:42,520 Speaker 3: the ground in Venezuela after a fuck up, right, Like, 667 00:32:42,560 --> 00:32:45,320 Speaker 3: but I think that at present their plan is airstrikes 668 00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:47,880 Speaker 3: and drone strikes. I think if we were to wind 669 00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:50,240 Speaker 3: up having anything on the ground in Venezuela, it would 670 00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:52,680 Speaker 3: be as a result of like a strike with a 671 00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:56,320 Speaker 3: manned craft going badly and someone going down over Venezuela. 672 00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:59,680 Speaker 3: That's not a zero percent chance if they keep fucking around. 673 00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:02,440 Speaker 3: But I really don't think they want to have troops 674 00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:04,360 Speaker 3: on the ground in Venezuela. I think they want to 675 00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:06,280 Speaker 3: be striking targets in Venezuela. 676 00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:08,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's not a place where they want. You want 677 00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:11,840 Speaker 4: largs them by the troops to be to be engaging 678 00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:14,440 Speaker 4: like that wouldn't go well. Trump does not want to 679 00:33:14,600 --> 00:33:17,920 Speaker 4: wear that, right, Like if we saw in Syria, like 680 00:33:18,120 --> 00:33:20,920 Speaker 4: he wasn't willing to deploy large now about the troops. 681 00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:24,840 Speaker 4: He was willing to use a lot of drone and 682 00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:28,080 Speaker 4: air strikes even when the civilian cost was very high. 683 00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:30,400 Speaker 4: And I think that is the model, Like that that 684 00:33:30,520 --> 00:33:33,520 Speaker 4: strike cell model that we saw, like like the strike 685 00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:35,320 Speaker 4: in Bagus at the end of the Islamic State is 686 00:33:35,320 --> 00:33:38,280 Speaker 4: probably a good example of the sort of yeah, quote 687 00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:41,360 Speaker 4: unquote collateral damage right killing civilians that we can expect 688 00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:42,760 Speaker 4: them to see as acceptable. 689 00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:44,760 Speaker 6: I think the final point on this is that the 690 00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:48,800 Speaker 6: Trump administration genuinely believes that they can top of visions 691 00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:50,320 Speaker 6: with their strikes. They thought they thought this with the 692 00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:52,520 Speaker 6: hoo Us and they think there's a buff venezuela. They 693 00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:55,160 Speaker 6: actually think you can do this despite all evidence of 694 00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:57,880 Speaker 6: the contrary. So I think it's going to inform a 695 00:33:57,880 --> 00:33:58,800 Speaker 6: lot of their decisions. 696 00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:02,000 Speaker 4: Yeah, and I think like kind of not not Syria 697 00:34:02,080 --> 00:34:04,160 Speaker 4: with a SAD but Syria with the Islamic State. We're 698 00:34:04,520 --> 00:34:07,480 Speaker 4: reinforced that for them, but like obviously overlooking like that 699 00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:09,360 Speaker 4: they have an incredible partner for us, so they don't 700 00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:10,600 Speaker 4: have in these places. 701 00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:14,719 Speaker 2: Well, I think that's our predictions. First time we're not 702 00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:16,960 Speaker 2: doing a desk segment, and you know what, I feel fine, 703 00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:21,480 Speaker 2: other Yep, no one's gonna die twenty twenty seven Mars. 704 00:34:21,600 --> 00:34:21,799 Speaker 3: Yeah. 705 00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:23,279 Speaker 4: Still, I'm not going to say it this time because 706 00:34:23,280 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 4: I've been inadvertually blessing him with long life. 707 00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:31,280 Speaker 1: It could happen. Here is a production of cool Zone Media. 708 00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:34,560 Speaker 1: For more podcasts from cool Zone Media, visit our website 709 00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:37,200 Speaker 1: cool zonemedia dot com or check us out on the 710 00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:41,160 Speaker 1: iHeartRadio app, Apple podcasts, or wherever you listen to podcasts. 711 00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:43,520 Speaker 1: You can now find sources for it could happen here 712 00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:46,520 Speaker 1: listened directly in episode descriptions. Thanks for listening.