WEBVTT - Week 17: DFS Angles 0:00:01.280 --> 0:00:05.000 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:07.120 --> 0:00:10.480 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:10.760 --> 0:00:15.160 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:15.280 --> 0:00:18.119 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. 0:00:18.600 --> 0:00:24.480 Now here's your host. Welcome to Week seventeen, a special 0:00:24.560 --> 0:00:26.680 edition of Fantasy Football Weekly. I'm Paul Charchi and my 0:00:26.760 --> 0:00:30.520 co host is Brian Johnson. We made it to the 0:00:30.560 --> 0:00:33.199 fantasy off season. We did it is it's it's the 0:00:33.240 --> 0:00:36.040 fantasy off season, even if it's not even I guess 0:00:36.080 --> 0:00:40.839 the I wouldn't even call the time in the playoffs, 0:00:40.159 --> 0:00:45.000 regular reality season, fantasy off season exactly. And I didn't 0:00:45.000 --> 0:00:46.440 think we were gonna make it here. To be honest 0:00:46.479 --> 0:00:48.400 with you, I don't know. I don't know about your 0:00:49.040 --> 0:00:53.239 wind back to August. Look, but hey, and give the 0:00:53.360 --> 0:00:56.120 NFL credit. Man. They just said we're gonna power through this. 0:00:56.480 --> 0:00:59.080 And there are a lot of people that said, oh no, 0:00:59.280 --> 0:01:01.680 that's wrong. What do you want to do? Do you infect? 0:01:01.800 --> 0:01:03.440 You know, infect all the players? You want to give 0:01:03.480 --> 0:01:06.160 thirty two teams COVID you know what they you know? 0:01:06.280 --> 0:01:09.040 To their credit, it wasn't always a smooth ride and 0:01:09.480 --> 0:01:11.080 a lot of people that do a lot of adapting, 0:01:11.120 --> 0:01:13.840 including fantasy owners. But at the end of the day, 0:01:13.880 --> 0:01:16.680 the NFL had it right. They can get through the playoffs. 0:01:16.680 --> 0:01:18.920 About any major hiccups too, we don't want to jink 0:01:18.959 --> 0:01:21.480 them now. How from a fantasy perspective, we don't care 0:01:21.640 --> 0:01:25.920 what we're done. Mostly yes, uh ex some weeks seventeen seasonal, 0:01:25.959 --> 0:01:27.920 it's over. If you're playing it. You know, as you 0:01:27.920 --> 0:01:30.360 guys already know if you're listening to podcast, if you're 0:01:30.360 --> 0:01:33.080 playing your Fantasy championship in weeks seventeen, you're doing it wrong. 0:01:33.920 --> 0:01:36.840 But we believe this is a great opportunity for daily 0:01:37.000 --> 0:01:40.119 Fantasy Sports, and that's we're going to just spend most 0:01:40.120 --> 0:01:42.399 of this podcast talking about some angles that we like 0:01:42.480 --> 0:01:45.279 for DFS. Um Some people don't even know what DFS 0:01:45.319 --> 0:01:47.520 stands for. I just think I think that makes sense. 0:01:47.760 --> 0:01:49.800 I think there's a great opportunity for DFS players in 0:01:50.040 --> 0:01:53.880 weeks seventeen, Brian, because some percentage of the people that 0:01:53.880 --> 0:01:57.560 are playing this week, they're not even really paying five 0:01:57.600 --> 0:02:00.200 ten percent aren't paying close enough attention to all the 0:02:00.320 --> 0:02:04.400 things that shift in week seventeen. You gotta really pay 0:02:04.440 --> 0:02:07.720 close attention in Week seventeen. Well, let's dialing back really quick. 0:02:07.800 --> 0:02:10.920 Just for anyone who doesn't know what daily Fantasy sports is. 0:02:11.160 --> 0:02:13.840 Most do. But if you don't, if you happen to 0:02:13.919 --> 0:02:16.800 not know, it's whatever you know about fantasy football marries 0:02:16.919 --> 0:02:19.600 up to DFS in the lineup that you set is 0:02:19.720 --> 0:02:22.560 very similar. One quarterback to running backs, blah blah blah. 0:02:22.840 --> 0:02:24.880 The scoring is very similar to what you're used to. 0:02:25.200 --> 0:02:27.640 But where it's different is you build your team with 0:02:27.720 --> 0:02:31.640 a fake salary cap. Most sites it's fifty dollars. You 0:02:31.800 --> 0:02:34.280 use that, and every player has a price tag attached 0:02:34.320 --> 0:02:36.600 to him. The better ones are more expensive, the ones 0:02:36.639 --> 0:02:38.240 who aren't as good are cheaper, so you can't just 0:02:38.320 --> 0:02:40.720 load up on all the good players. That's DFS in 0:02:40.720 --> 0:02:46.200 a nutshell, all right, And what I think there's do 0:02:46.200 --> 0:02:48.440 you want to go beyond that and explain, you know, 0:02:48.639 --> 0:02:52.160 game theory stuff like that, Well, real quick, we won't 0:02:52.160 --> 0:02:54.400 go we won't get too hand holding, we won't get 0:02:54.400 --> 0:02:56.239 too heavy. But when we talk about some players we 0:02:56.320 --> 0:02:58.040 like this week, we're gonna say they are a good 0:02:58.120 --> 0:03:00.720 tournament play or a cash game play. There's generally two 0:03:00.880 --> 0:03:04.520 kinds of games, and daily Fantasy sports there's tournaments, and 0:03:04.560 --> 0:03:06.880 those are the big contests where there's a first place, 0:03:06.880 --> 0:03:08.560 a second place, a third place, all the way down 0:03:08.600 --> 0:03:12.200 the line, and those are the contests where you really well, 0:03:12.240 --> 0:03:14.400 those are the tournaments. Then the cash games are the 0:03:14.400 --> 0:03:17.920 head to heads or the fifty fifties where either you're 0:03:17.919 --> 0:03:20.440 playing against one person or half of the people in 0:03:20.520 --> 0:03:23.560 the contest win. And in those contests, you just kind 0:03:23.560 --> 0:03:25.679 of want to stay with the pack, you know what 0:03:25.720 --> 0:03:27.280 I mean. You don't want to differentiate, you don't want 0:03:27.280 --> 0:03:29.799 to get too contrarian. I'm throwing a lot of buzzwords 0:03:29.800 --> 0:03:31.320 out there. You don't want to use leverage plays. You 0:03:31.400 --> 0:03:33.880 just kinda you go with the best plays basically in 0:03:33.919 --> 0:03:36.840 cash games, but in tournaments you got a straight from 0:03:36.840 --> 0:03:38.840 the pack. At times you got a zig while other zag. 0:03:38.880 --> 0:03:41.680 You can't just go with all the chalky best plays 0:03:41.760 --> 0:03:43.760 or you're flat out it's not gonna win a tournament 0:03:43.840 --> 0:03:46.000 because there's too many people. Many people, so you know, 0:03:46.000 --> 0:03:47.760 there might be a thousand people in the tournament or 0:03:47.760 --> 0:03:49.960 twenty thousand people in the tournament. So if you just 0:03:50.120 --> 0:03:53.080 if you play everything normal, you're not going to stand 0:03:54.320 --> 0:03:55.840 especially if you only have one or two line up 0:03:55.920 --> 0:03:57.840 because you're going upup against guys that have a hundred 0:03:57.920 --> 0:04:00.520 lineups and they're they're using all all of the pular place, 0:04:00.520 --> 0:04:02.680 so you have to zig while other zag. All right, 0:04:02.720 --> 0:04:05.800 is there any other daily Fantasy sports one oh one 0:04:05.840 --> 0:04:07.720 that you think our listeners need to know right now 0:04:07.800 --> 0:04:10.720 at before we get started. I would say they call 0:04:10.760 --> 0:04:12.880 it a game of skill, it's still gambling. Don't put 0:04:12.920 --> 0:04:15.240 up money that you're not comfortable losing in DFS because 0:04:15.280 --> 0:04:19.160 it is very hard to win in DFS, especially in tournaments. 0:04:19.600 --> 0:04:23.760 DFS and fantasy does not meet the legal definition of gambling. 0:04:24.240 --> 0:04:27.080 Let me be extremely clear about this. What Brian just 0:04:27.160 --> 0:04:30.880 said is wrong. It is not gambling, just an opinion. 0:04:31.080 --> 0:04:33.479 It is you, but you are putting your cash at risk, 0:04:33.680 --> 0:04:36.719 but it is not cofinition of gambling. Black and white 0:04:36.839 --> 0:04:41.360 not gambling. Let's talk about some of the NFL teams 0:04:41.400 --> 0:04:44.800 you need to avoid as you're putting together your your 0:04:44.960 --> 0:04:47.719 your daily Fantasy rosters. And now when you're playing on 0:04:47.760 --> 0:04:51.000 most sites, you can literally remove these teams from your 0:04:51.000 --> 0:04:53.440 player pool by n clicking them in the matchups above, 0:04:53.480 --> 0:04:55.440 and I suggest doing that because you do not want 0:04:55.440 --> 0:04:57.200 any of these guys in any of your TFS lineups 0:04:57.400 --> 0:04:59.719 these teams. The Steelers have announced they're resting their starters. 0:05:00.480 --> 0:05:04.479 The Chiefs have announced they're resting their starters. Because the 0:05:04.600 --> 0:05:08.120 Steelers arresting their starters, they're effectively giving up on the 0:05:08.200 --> 0:05:10.279 number two seed, which means Buffalo is going to have 0:05:10.320 --> 0:05:12.279 the number two seed, which means Buffalo doesn't have to 0:05:12.279 --> 0:05:15.559 play their starters either. So there's a lot of danger 0:05:15.600 --> 0:05:17.360 with them. And then one other team that I think 0:05:17.400 --> 0:05:20.840 you I would just play a void is Tampa. They 0:05:21.000 --> 0:05:24.960 can only move from the fifth seed to the sixth seed, 0:05:25.320 --> 0:05:27.600 and both of those are first round road games, and 0:05:27.760 --> 0:05:30.440 the Bucks may just decide we don't know yet. Bucks 0:05:30.440 --> 0:05:33.599 may just decide we don't care enough between the fifth 0:05:33.640 --> 0:05:36.080 seed and the sixth seeds, so it doesn't matter, and 0:05:36.240 --> 0:05:38.479 we'd rather just rest our starters that that's a better 0:05:38.520 --> 0:05:40.920 advantage for us. There's one small angle that they might 0:05:40.960 --> 0:05:44.080 want to target the NFC East team, right, but you 0:05:44.120 --> 0:05:46.560 could try to target you could try to target that 0:05:46.640 --> 0:05:48.520 NFC East team. Let me throw one more thing in here, 0:05:48.560 --> 0:05:53.239 because when the morning wave of games is over on Sunday, 0:05:53.400 --> 0:05:57.000 that's going to alter how some teams may handle their 0:05:57.080 --> 0:06:00.080 games in the afternoon sleep. So you always here in 0:06:00.120 --> 0:06:03.960 seasonal leagues on Thursday, right. Never if you have Thursday players, 0:06:04.000 --> 0:06:05.520 never put him in your flex spot. You want to 0:06:05.560 --> 0:06:07.640 put him in your running back or wide receiver spot. 0:06:08.440 --> 0:06:12.200 That's definitely true. It's more so true in Daily Fantasy Sports. 0:06:12.240 --> 0:06:14.719 Even if all the teams are playing, all the players 0:06:14.720 --> 0:06:17.080 are playing on the same day, make sure you have 0:06:17.839 --> 0:06:20.400 your latest start time in that flex spot. Even if 0:06:20.400 --> 0:06:22.919 it's your favorite player in your lineup and you're like, 0:06:23.080 --> 0:06:25.279 he's my favorite running back, don't PLoP him in at 0:06:25.360 --> 0:06:27.920 running back. Put him in and your flex spot, whether 0:06:27.880 --> 0:06:29.800 it's a running back, a wide receiver, even a tight end. 0:06:29.880 --> 0:06:32.880 The latest spot, the latest start always in your flex 0:06:32.960 --> 0:06:35.440 butt in DFS, especially in COVID times because players get 0:06:35.480 --> 0:06:38.080 scratched right before the game. Look at des Brian and 0:06:38.120 --> 0:06:42.279 you want to leave yourself ultimate flexibility. Okay, so back 0:06:42.320 --> 0:06:43.840 to some of the teams that you're talking about, the 0:06:43.839 --> 0:06:45.840 teams you don't want to target. The teams that are 0:06:45.920 --> 0:06:51.880 highly motivated to win on Sunday are Cleveland. Uh, they'll 0:06:51.880 --> 0:06:53.960 be going up against the Steelers, a team with backups 0:06:54.000 --> 0:06:56.080 as we mentioned, and for Cleveland, it's not only a 0:06:56.120 --> 0:06:58.839 playoff spot. It's a win over a hated division rival 0:06:58.880 --> 0:07:01.240 who has dominated the brown for like twenty years. So 0:07:01.680 --> 0:07:03.960 you know this. I think the Browns are gonna be 0:07:04.040 --> 0:07:06.279 up for this. Tennessee needs a win for the division 0:07:06.279 --> 0:07:08.760 title and home game in Round one. Highly motivated team. 0:07:09.080 --> 0:07:12.480 They at Jacksonville Ravens have a winning in scenario and 0:07:12.600 --> 0:07:14.640 if they lose, they likely go home, so they are 0:07:14.720 --> 0:07:19.240 highly motivated. Indie needs a win and help. Green Bay 0:07:19.520 --> 0:07:22.520 looks to lock up home field with a win, so 0:07:22.600 --> 0:07:26.960 they'll be motivated. New Orleans can leap frog Green Bay 0:07:27.320 --> 0:07:29.560 to the number one seed with a win and some help. 0:07:29.720 --> 0:07:32.560 Packers can go so keep there. You could argue the 0:07:32.640 --> 0:07:34.960 vikings of their biggest rival. They would keep the Bears 0:07:34.960 --> 0:07:36.600 out of the playoffs two if they win that game. 0:07:38.080 --> 0:07:40.080 Although if you're the Packers, I want the Bears a 0:07:40.360 --> 0:07:42.640 fair point and I want to I seriously, I want 0:07:42.680 --> 0:07:44.800 the Bears in in the playoffs. That is a that's 0:07:44.800 --> 0:07:48.400 a team you can beat. Uh. We mentioned New Orleans. 0:07:48.440 --> 0:07:51.600 I believe that can leap frog Green Bay. Washington needs 0:07:51.960 --> 0:07:54.920 can they win. They're inna win in scenario, so and lose. 0:07:54.960 --> 0:07:57.400 If they lose, they go home. So highly motivated. Team there, 0:07:57.440 --> 0:08:01.040 but that's a tough offense to find helping. Uh Rams 0:08:01.680 --> 0:08:05.320 need a John Wolford lead, a win over in Arizona 0:08:06.280 --> 0:08:09.440 or a loss by Chicago to Green Bay. So there 0:08:09.480 --> 0:08:11.240 they will be playing to win, but they'll be doing 0:08:11.240 --> 0:08:15.559 without their starting quarterback, their best receiver, and two running backs. 0:08:15.560 --> 0:08:18.960 So bad news the Rams. Chicago's gotta win. In scenario 0:08:19.400 --> 0:08:22.360 Dallas needs a win and help and the Giants need 0:08:22.400 --> 0:08:25.200 to win and help. Um they play each other. So 0:08:26.680 --> 0:08:29.240 it's a lot of teams that are highly motivated for 0:08:29.320 --> 0:08:33.160 playoff positioning. Now let's talk about some of the players 0:08:33.160 --> 0:08:36.840 that that caught our I especially by the dollar at 0:08:36.840 --> 0:08:39.920 the quarterback position. Brian go ahead, Uh well, I like 0:08:40.280 --> 0:08:42.440 Ryan Tannehill a lot, and how can you not. He's 0:08:42.480 --> 0:08:45.679 up against the Texans who have packed it in. Well, 0:08:45.720 --> 0:08:47.920 they packed it in last year essentially for this season, 0:08:47.920 --> 0:08:52.040 and in Tannehill has played Houston already had sixty four 0:08:52.080 --> 0:08:55.400 passing yards four touchdowns against the Texans in Week six. 0:08:55.920 --> 0:08:58.600 I mean Brandon Allen just had three seventy yards and 0:08:58.600 --> 0:09:01.240 two touchdowns for the Bengals against the Texans last year. Now, 0:09:01.240 --> 0:09:03.880 now Tan Hills not chep seven k on d K 0:09:04.160 --> 0:09:07.960 that's uh, you know, six seventh pricest quarterback. But I 0:09:07.960 --> 0:09:11.480 don't see his ownership percentage being super high because of 0:09:11.520 --> 0:09:15.000 the running back on that team we're going to talk about. Finally, 0:09:15.000 --> 0:09:17.480 just pivot him for a second. So Derrick Henry is 0:09:19.600 --> 0:09:21.920 and this is the most favorable matchup of his year, 0:09:21.960 --> 0:09:24.880 and it's a must win scenario. Yeah, so you have 0:09:24.920 --> 0:09:26.480 to make I think you have to make a decision 0:09:26.480 --> 0:09:28.320 on whether or not you're gonna go in on on 0:09:28.400 --> 0:09:31.520 Derrick Henry. Yeah. In cash games, he's a guy that 0:09:31.559 --> 0:09:33.840 pretty much everyone's gonna plug into their lineup in a 0:09:33.880 --> 0:09:35.760 fifty fifty or a double up where you just have 0:09:35.800 --> 0:09:37.760 to essentially come in the top half of your league. 0:09:37.800 --> 0:09:41.440 Double ups or doubles is more like to But yeah, 0:09:41.480 --> 0:09:44.000 in in a tournament play and I only see very expensive. 0:09:44.400 --> 0:09:47.439 But if he goes belly up, you're screwed because you've 0:09:47.440 --> 0:09:52.319 spent all your monum. So to answer your question, if 0:09:52.320 --> 0:09:56.120 you're playing one lineup in a g PP, I would 0:09:56.120 --> 0:09:58.959 not play Derrick Henry. I think his ownership percentage will 0:09:59.000 --> 0:10:01.280 still be high because it's a really good matchup against 0:10:01.320 --> 0:10:03.760 an awful, awful run defense, and he has proven success 0:10:03.800 --> 0:10:05.840 over them year in and year out. All right, so 0:10:05.880 --> 0:10:07.680 I would I would get back to Hill. So at 0:10:07.679 --> 0:10:11.480 the contrarian angle then is is too, are you stacking Titans? Yeah? 0:10:11.520 --> 0:10:15.199 I would gain even more leverage by not playing Derrick Henry. 0:10:15.280 --> 0:10:18.120 And if Derrick Henry doesn't hit his five six times 0:10:18.240 --> 0:10:21.080 value and that's basically you multiply his salary by five 0:10:21.160 --> 0:10:23.199 or six and you get that many fantasy points. Yeah, 0:10:23.240 --> 0:10:25.559 I would stack a J. Brown, who I believe has 0:10:25.559 --> 0:10:29.240 four touchdowns in three career games against the Texans, and 0:10:29.360 --> 0:10:31.439 uh maybe even throw what we'll talk about Titans a 0:10:31.440 --> 0:10:33.360 little later, your boy John you Smith in there. But 0:10:33.480 --> 0:10:36.480 uh yeah, that's how you gain leverage, not just talking 0:10:36.520 --> 0:10:39.480 to uh titan's in any If you feel a player 0:10:39.880 --> 0:10:41.960 is gonna be super high owned, and that's a running back, 0:10:42.080 --> 0:10:44.080 then your your leverage plays either the running back from 0:10:44.120 --> 0:10:47.200 the other team or the passing game from that same team. 0:10:47.200 --> 0:10:49.120 And uh and that's the instance here, I think Henry 0:10:49.200 --> 0:10:53.959 is gonna be ownership and uh so, yeah, the leverage 0:10:53.960 --> 0:10:57.240 playby Tannehill and his receivers. I am really intrigued by 0:10:57.240 --> 0:11:02.240 Baker Mayfield. He's only dollars, uh that and he's my 0:11:02.320 --> 0:11:04.800 number six rand quarterback because the Steelers have nothing to 0:11:04.800 --> 0:11:07.079 play for. I think this is this is the stack 0:11:07.240 --> 0:11:11.000 I would put into a bigger tournament. Uh, to differentiate myself, 0:11:11.040 --> 0:11:12.839 I would be And you're gonna hear more Browns come 0:11:12.880 --> 0:11:16.960 up later on in the show. I like Baker Mayfield 0:11:17.000 --> 0:11:19.720 dollars instead of the seven thousand that Tan Hill. Yeah, 0:11:19.840 --> 0:11:22.080 he comes in cheaper, and then last week we didn't 0:11:22.120 --> 0:11:25.559 have any of his wide receivers. So yeah, yeah, the 0:11:26.200 --> 0:11:30.079 books to sees Pittsburgh, but they're not factoring in how 0:11:30.160 --> 0:11:33.120 bad that defense is going to be depleted personally right 0:11:33.320 --> 0:11:35.480 right and if Steelers just don't have anything to play for. 0:11:35.679 --> 0:11:37.600 So I think that's a good angle. Are there any 0:11:37.640 --> 0:11:39.560 other quarterbacks you want to talk about? Yeah? And this 0:11:39.600 --> 0:11:41.840 is a pretty much a meeting, meaningless game between the 0:11:41.880 --> 0:11:44.720 Lions and the Vikings. But I like Cousins at sixty hundred. 0:11:44.800 --> 0:11:46.720 He won't have his left tackle. But the Lions are 0:11:46.720 --> 0:11:49.080 probably the least motivated team out there. They're gonna be 0:11:49.120 --> 0:11:51.680 without a lot of players. And uh, Cousins at two hundred, 0:11:51.760 --> 0:11:55.240 twenty three yards and three touchdowns against Detroit in Week 0:11:55.360 --> 0:11:58.720 nine on just twenty past attempts, and they're gonna be Samsdalvin, Cook, 0:11:59.400 --> 0:12:02.520 Alexander and Madison not guaranteed to play. They got Justin 0:12:02.600 --> 0:12:06.079 Jefferson chasing the Rookie of the Year award essentially, and 0:12:06.800 --> 0:12:08.920 Kirk's is gonna want to shut up the haters one 0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:11.240 more time this year, and I just see him. The 0:12:11.320 --> 0:12:13.480 Vikings should have fun in this game with their skill players. 0:12:13.520 --> 0:12:18.440 I don't see why they would not, so uh by injuries. 0:12:18.480 --> 0:12:20.679 This game might get overlooked because it's totally meaningless to 0:12:20.720 --> 0:12:22.920 both teams. So I like Cousins, and again, it's a 0:12:23.000 --> 0:12:27.000 very stackable team with Jefferson and even feeling too all right, 0:12:27.120 --> 0:12:29.480 let's go to the running back position. Um, we talked 0:12:29.480 --> 0:12:32.520 about Derrick Henry. We're mostly saying we I think we 0:12:32.559 --> 0:12:35.400 can find better value elsewhere, and you know, I'd love 0:12:35.440 --> 0:12:38.360 to have Derrick Henry, but I'm not. So Let's talk 0:12:38.400 --> 0:12:40.000 about some of the other guys you like, beginning with 0:12:40.080 --> 0:12:44.480 David Montgomery. Yeah, David Montgomery has arguably the ceiling just 0:12:44.520 --> 0:12:49.040 about as high as Henry. He's outperformed performed Henry last week, 0:12:49.080 --> 0:12:51.800 and Henry had the better matchup in Montgomery essentially underperformed 0:12:51.840 --> 0:12:54.120 even though he hit twenty points. He didn't score touchdown, 0:12:54.120 --> 0:12:55.839 and we did score, but he didn't get hundred yards. 0:12:56.480 --> 0:12:59.480 People were expecting a bigger game from from Montgomery last week, 0:12:59.480 --> 0:13:01.200 but he should have a great game against green Bay. 0:13:01.240 --> 0:13:03.839 He did in week twelve, had a hundred and three 0:13:03.920 --> 0:13:06.960 yards on just eleven carries. He added forty receiving yards 0:13:07.000 --> 0:13:10.480 and receiving touchdown. The path of least resistance against the 0:13:10.480 --> 0:13:13.480 Packers is still against the run. Derrick Henry's improved that 0:13:13.480 --> 0:13:15.800 against Green Bay last week, but the game script got 0:13:15.800 --> 0:13:20.600 flipped upside down on Tennessee and Chicago has a chance 0:13:20.640 --> 0:13:22.959 to win this game. Packers will be without David back 0:13:23.000 --> 0:13:27.720 try and uh, yeah, Chicago and keep Rogers off the field, 0:13:27.760 --> 0:13:31.520 and they're gonna feed Montgomery heavily. So at seventy seven hundred, 0:13:31.640 --> 0:13:35.720 almost two thousand less than Henry, Montgomery's a guylking tournaments. Uh, 0:13:35.800 --> 0:13:38.000 talk to me about Miles Gaskin. This is a game 0:13:38.000 --> 0:13:40.320 in which two is going to get the start. Uh, 0:13:40.400 --> 0:13:41.959 And I think there's a lot of people that have 0:13:42.000 --> 0:13:44.640 a lot of trepidation about starting to in this in 0:13:44.720 --> 0:13:47.280 this matchup. And I would and I'd be if I 0:13:47.360 --> 0:13:50.000 were the Dolphins, I'd be orienting towards the running game 0:13:50.040 --> 0:13:52.840 here and Gaskin got almost all the work last week 0:13:52.880 --> 0:13:57.599 with Savant Akhmed and Acumed got the start, and you 0:13:57.640 --> 0:13:59.640 could tell they were kind of wanting to maybe a 0:13:59.640 --> 0:14:03.160 fifty fifty split, but Gasking just so much better that 0:14:03.400 --> 0:14:06.040 would never saw the field essentially after the first quarter. 0:14:06.320 --> 0:14:09.120 And again, this is one of those very motivated teams 0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:13.080 in Miami playing against a very unmotivated Buffalo team, and 0:14:13.360 --> 0:14:17.120 Gasking is a very moderately price that. This is a 0:14:17.160 --> 0:14:20.240 guy I think you'll see is somewhat popular in both 0:14:20.280 --> 0:14:23.040 cash games and tournaments, but at that price in this 0:14:23.360 --> 0:14:26.480 expected workload, that was the first game we're acumented and Gasking. 0:14:26.480 --> 0:14:28.600 We're both healthy too, and Gasting just blow him out 0:14:28.640 --> 0:14:30.160 of the water when it comes to playing time. So 0:14:30.520 --> 0:14:32.120 I think he's a guy that I would up lock 0:14:32.200 --> 0:14:35.320 into most lineups, regardless of playing tournaments or cash games. 0:14:35.320 --> 0:14:38.400 This week heavily owned player might be Ty Johnson of 0:14:38.400 --> 0:14:40.560 the Jets, because he's the starting running back for the 0:14:40.600 --> 0:14:43.440 Jets against the Patriots run defense that has packed it in, 0:14:43.960 --> 0:14:45.840 giving a five and a half yards per carry over 0:14:45.880 --> 0:14:48.560 the last three weeks. Uh, Ty Johnson, and we've got 0:14:48.560 --> 0:14:50.920 so Frank Gore's out, uh and La Michael p Ryan 0:14:51.040 --> 0:14:53.640 is on the COVID list. So it's gonna be all 0:14:53.760 --> 0:14:55.880 Thy Johnson in this game. And he's had one other 0:14:55.960 --> 0:15:00.080 game where he had a workhorse role and in that 0:15:00.160 --> 0:15:02.000 game we got twenty two carries. He put up a 0:15:02.040 --> 0:15:04.720 hundred four rushing yards and a touchdown on the Raiders. Yeah, 0:15:04.760 --> 0:15:06.520 that's when Gore got hurt in like the first carry. 0:15:06.520 --> 0:15:08.240 I remember I was heavy on Frank Gore that week, 0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:11.560 so I remember that week. Well, Johnson did well. Yeah 0:15:11.560 --> 0:15:14.080 as Raiders, and then Johnson did well when Gore came back. 0:15:14.120 --> 0:15:15.560 Even though Gore got all the carries, he had six 0:15:15.600 --> 0:15:17.480 catches and a touchdown the following week. So yeah, he 0:15:17.520 --> 0:15:20.240 can play for sure. And now he's only he's gonna 0:15:20.240 --> 0:15:23.800 be a lot of people are happening in both cash 0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:27.840 games and tournaments, so he's not a full on fade. 0:15:27.880 --> 0:15:31.120 But when it's it's tough to pass on a bell 0:15:31.200 --> 0:15:33.680 cow running back at this price. But if you have 0:15:33.760 --> 0:15:36.280 the stones too, and we'll talk about a leverage play 0:15:37.440 --> 0:15:39.040 very shortly on the Jets. If you're not gonna go 0:15:39.080 --> 0:15:42.160 with Thi Johnson, but Chi Johnson went to the bed, 0:15:42.200 --> 0:15:44.680 you have a huge edge on the field. Even even 0:15:44.680 --> 0:15:47.160 though he was so cheap. His ownership percentage projects to 0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:50.240 be very high. But I would come in personally owning 0:15:50.320 --> 0:15:54.200 him less than the thirty. He'll probably be owned by 0:15:54.200 --> 0:15:56.440 the field by only owning him. Like two of my 0:15:56.520 --> 0:15:59.800 ten lineups per se, Alexander Madison looks to me the 0:15:59.880 --> 0:16:02.320 vi Kings lead back with Dalvin Cook out. He goes 0:16:02.400 --> 0:16:04.560 up against the Lions, a team allowing the fifth most 0:16:04.640 --> 0:16:08.520 rushing yards, fifth most receiving yards to oppose it running backs, 0:16:08.600 --> 0:16:12.120 and Dalvin Cook destroyed them when they met earlier in 0:16:12.160 --> 0:16:15.200 this season. Um, they're the Vikings. If you want to 0:16:15.240 --> 0:16:17.200 go contrain. You talked about Cousins, and we do like 0:16:17.240 --> 0:16:19.880 the passing game here, but it's still the Vikings. They're 0:16:19.960 --> 0:16:22.040 never going to give up on the running game completely, 0:16:22.240 --> 0:16:25.560 and they could make if they could decide. Coaching staff 0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:28.800 could decide, we want to protect our most valuable players, 0:16:29.040 --> 0:16:32.560 Kirk Cousins, Adam Thiel, and Justin Jefferson. We're just gonna 0:16:32.680 --> 0:16:35.160 run Alexander Madison in this gamp. Yeah. One of the 0:16:35.160 --> 0:16:38.240 most common mistakes in fantasy football, whether it's daily or season, 0:16:38.480 --> 0:16:41.600 is a backup running back gets the starting job for 0:16:41.680 --> 0:16:44.440 whatever reason, the suspension, injury, and you just assume he's 0:16:44.480 --> 0:16:47.960 going to perform like the starter did. That's usually not 0:16:48.000 --> 0:16:50.120 the case, but that's kind of the case with Alexander 0:16:50.160 --> 0:16:53.280 Madison when he's gotten the opportunity. So yeah, I love 0:16:53.320 --> 0:16:57.200 the Madison play. He'll probably be another very popular cash 0:16:57.240 --> 0:16:59.240 game option because he seems like a very safe play. 0:16:59.280 --> 0:17:01.600 I don't think his own ship percentage will be as 0:17:01.680 --> 0:17:05.120 high in tournaments because people will want to differentiate and 0:17:05.160 --> 0:17:07.879 there's a little worry because he's questionable, they might give 0:17:08.000 --> 0:17:10.760 Mike Boone some run runs. So, uh, we have Madison 0:17:10.880 --> 0:17:12.840 certainly in play this week. We expect Madison to be 0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:14.840 available here. What do you think about Kareem Hunt, who 0:17:14.840 --> 0:17:17.119 I've added to our discussion list here at fifty hundred 0:17:17.160 --> 0:17:20.639 dollars And we talked about Browns earlier. They've got a 0:17:20.760 --> 0:17:22.760 you know, they've got a matchup against the Steelers team 0:17:22.800 --> 0:17:24.600 that's not got it doesn't have anything to play for. 0:17:25.000 --> 0:17:27.879 We saw Jonathan Taylor and Giovanni Bernard both put up 0:17:27.920 --> 0:17:30.159 big games against the Steelers in the last two weeks, 0:17:30.600 --> 0:17:32.520 and maybe the Browns just get ahead early in this 0:17:32.600 --> 0:17:37.120 one and they just rest Nick Chubb. Some, yeah, that's 0:17:37.119 --> 0:17:42.040 a lot of maybe for it's cheap, he's not. Yeah, 0:17:42.040 --> 0:17:43.919 he's not. That's the same price as Madison. Do you 0:17:43.920 --> 0:17:47.160 expect Madison to to be the bell cow? Essentially? If 0:17:47.240 --> 0:17:50.320 Chubb's yeah, hundreds still a backup running back, right, he 0:17:50.320 --> 0:17:53.919 gets good run it at the backup running backs. But 0:17:54.000 --> 0:17:58.000 but it's six K. His ten to fifteen touches still 0:17:58.040 --> 0:18:01.480 aren't guaranteed. And you want you want fifteen guaranteed touches 0:18:01.480 --> 0:18:05.240 from your running back almost regardless price. And who's to 0:18:05.240 --> 0:18:11.440 say they don't rest. So I'm kind of off on Hunt. 0:18:11.480 --> 0:18:13.680 He would be. He has a very high ceiling. He 0:18:13.720 --> 0:18:15.600 always does, so he would be a good tournament play 0:18:15.640 --> 0:18:17.639 because no one's gonna be on him. But like in 0:18:17.640 --> 0:18:20.160 a cash game where you're trying to stay with the pack, 0:18:20.280 --> 0:18:23.200 stay right the you know, the middle of the scoring field. 0:18:23.600 --> 0:18:26.239 Hans and Nog a guy like for the salary at 0:18:26.240 --> 0:18:30.040 wide receivers, Emmanuel Sanders. Since Drew Brees has come back, 0:18:30.080 --> 0:18:33.160 Sanders averaging eighty yards per game. Obviously no Michael Thomas 0:18:33.160 --> 0:18:36.199 in this game. Trey Kwan Samith's question mark. The Panthers 0:18:36.200 --> 0:18:38.680 secondary has been all over the place, at the good 0:18:38.720 --> 0:18:40.919 bad good games, bad games. You don't know what you're 0:18:40.920 --> 0:18:43.359 gonna get there. But Sanders has been very bankable and 0:18:44.200 --> 0:18:47.199 dollars seems reasonable. Yeah, definitely, and uh, I think he 0:18:47.240 --> 0:18:50.280 will also be a pretty popular choice this week with 0:18:50.440 --> 0:18:54.880 Thomas Still and I are. But you can you can 0:18:54.920 --> 0:18:58.600 eat that chalk essentially, if he's gonna get you your points, 0:18:58.600 --> 0:19:01.840 which if he sees the volume should alright. My next receiver, 0:19:01.960 --> 0:19:05.639 I like is is a value play Richard Higgins. Forty dollars. 0:19:05.960 --> 0:19:09.640 Jarvis Landry will cost you two thousand more than Richard Higgins. 0:19:09.840 --> 0:19:11.480 And I'm getting a guy who, over the last three 0:19:11.480 --> 0:19:14.000 weeks has basically been this has scored as well as 0:19:14.080 --> 0:19:17.199 Jarvis Landry has. He has scored and or top seventy 0:19:17.200 --> 0:19:19.560 six yards in three straight games for Chard Higgins has. 0:19:19.920 --> 0:19:22.000 I feel like this is a great opportunity to go 0:19:22.160 --> 0:19:25.080 Mayfield Higgins. I got a cheap quarterback. I got a 0:19:25.119 --> 0:19:28.360 cheap receiver in a great matchup. Definitely, And these receivers 0:19:28.359 --> 0:19:30.600 are gonna be frothing at the mouth after being forced 0:19:30.640 --> 0:19:34.080 to And I feel so bad for Landry, who never 0:19:34.119 --> 0:19:39.000 missed the game in his career. Uh, that sucks me. 0:19:39.320 --> 0:19:41.040 If I had to pick between Higgins and Landry, It's 0:19:41.040 --> 0:19:44.240