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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast with me Matt

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Speaker 1: Perult at Sports Talk. Matt to follow me on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: This podcast being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot Com.

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Speaker 1: Promo code Juice at Omaha Steaks dot Com activates a

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Speaker 1: fifty percent savings on their anniversary sale that's going on

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Speaker 1: sale up to fifty percent off their anniversary packages. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so it is really late. I've been out here in Vegas.

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Speaker 1: If you guys don't know what bette Bash is. Bet

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Speaker 1: Bash is a pretty big gathering of sports gambling people,

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Speaker 1: sports gambling media. Circus Sports hosts it and it's a

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Speaker 1: kind of like a conference for the sports betting world.

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Speaker 1: It's a little bit of a different type of conference.

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Speaker 1: So a lot of cool conversations, a lot of stuff

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Speaker 1: going on. But I've been running around like crazy, very

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Speaker 1: happy that last night was a two to one win.

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Speaker 1: So we get another win here under our belts as

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Speaker 1: we roll here into a Thursday with a chance to

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Speaker 1: have a very nice winning week. So let's keep it

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Speaker 1: going here. I like this three bet situation we've got

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Speaker 1: going on, and we have football that is back, and

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Speaker 1: that is where we're going to start here with the

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Speaker 1: Patriots hosting the Houston Texas. This number has been bet

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Speaker 1: all the way up to three and a half. Here's

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Speaker 1: the thing that I can't fully understand it. And look,

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Speaker 1: I already missed on my first preseason bet. If I

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Speaker 1: miss this, I'll go zero to two in the preseason.

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Speaker 1: I'm not saying it's easy to bet in the preseason. However,

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Speaker 1: last year, if you were with us, we made a

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Speaker 1: pretty good amount of money betting on Bailey z Appy

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Speaker 1: because Mac Jones is going to be the starting quarterback. Okay,

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Speaker 1: but the offense has been there's not a competition going

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Speaker 1: on between Mac Jones and Bailey Zappy. But there really

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Speaker 1: isn't that big of a drop off between Mac Jones

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Speaker 1: and Bailey's. The kid can throw the football. And we

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Speaker 1: bet them last year and said, you know what, bet

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Speaker 1: the over a lot with the Patriots because they're going

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Speaker 1: to run this offense. And look, they had a complete

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Speaker 1: clown show running their offense and calling plays last year

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Speaker 1: with Joe Judge and Matt Patricia. But now you got

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Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien coming in, and this is the first time

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Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien will have a chance to showcase what he

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Speaker 1: can do and what this offense might look like. The

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Speaker 1: starters won't play very much. We do know that the

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Speaker 1: Texans aren't going to play many of their starters on

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Speaker 1: offense or on defense, and that's often the case with

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Speaker 1: the first preseason game. Let's say Mac Jones plays a

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Speaker 1: couple of series and then Bailey's Appy plays maybe the

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Speaker 1: whole second quarter, third quarter. That's good news for us.

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Speaker 1: I get over a field goal at home home dogs

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Speaker 1: at plus three and a half. That's too good to

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Speaker 1: pass up. I know people are betting on the Texans,

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Speaker 1: They're betting on what's going to happen with this offense,

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Speaker 1: and I think the Patriots aren't going to do very

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Speaker 1: much here. They're not going to show very much. And

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Speaker 1: that's very very possible here. But I like Bailey's and look, CJ.

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Speaker 1: Stroud's gonna play. But how much is he gonna play?

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Speaker 1: We'll see, We'll see what the offense looks like. We'll

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Speaker 1: see how much. They're gonna run, you know, Demon Pierce

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Speaker 1: and other of the backs. You know, I don't know

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Speaker 1: that they may. Demiko Ryans may play a lot. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna find out a lot about Jmico Ryans right now.

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Speaker 1: But I think the Patriots being at home the taste

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Speaker 1: of last year. It's a Thursday night at Jellette Stadium.

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Speaker 1: I think the one I get out to a fast

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Speaker 1: start here, and I think Mac Jones, you know, if

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Speaker 1: he plays, we'll see he's scheduled to play. But I

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Speaker 1: think Bailey Zappy's gonna play an absolute ton here and

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Speaker 1: have a chance to put up a lot of yards

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Speaker 1: like he did in the preseason. Trace McSorley could come

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Speaker 1: in here and play. Malie Cunningham could come in and play.

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Speaker 1: I like the Patriots backup quarterbacks better than I like

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Speaker 1: the Texans backup quarterbacks because well they're the Texans and

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Speaker 1: Davis Mills. I'm not really worried too much about Patriots

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Speaker 1: plus three and a half homer pick. Don't care home

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Speaker 1: dog in the preseason. I like the under in this

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Speaker 1: game too. I'll take the plus three and a half

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Speaker 1: Patriots one point one units at home plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half Heck, bet the money line too if you

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Speaker 1: want for the Patriots to win the game outright, don't

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Speaker 1: mind that play either. Okay, two bets in baseball. Let's

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Speaker 1: talk about the Astros here and what the Astros have

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Speaker 1: been doing. Beaten up on Baltimore. They want eight to two.

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Speaker 1: Yesterday the over did hit for us. This is an

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Speaker 1: early start time, nine thirty Eastern time, sorry, Pacific time,

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Speaker 1: twelve thirty five on the East Coast, Hunter Brown against

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Speaker 1: Dean Kremer. You've got a seven to six and eight

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Speaker 1: to two victory for the Astros as they go for

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Speaker 1: the sweep. You guys know, I tend to like to

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Speaker 1: bet this, to bet the streak. Hunter Brown on the

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Speaker 1: road this year overall eight and seven within a four

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Speaker 1: point zero seven ERA, But on the road he is

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Speaker 1: with three sixty five three point sixty five ERA five

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Speaker 1: and three record of two forty six opposing matting average.

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Speaker 1: He has given up twelve home runs on the road,

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Speaker 1: which is a little scary at Camon Yards because it's

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Speaker 1: a bit of a launching pad. But twenty eight earned

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Speaker 1: runs in sixty nine innings worth of work is pretty

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Speaker 1: good for Hunter Brown. Last time out against the Yankees,

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Speaker 1: six innings, two earned runs given up on the road

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Speaker 1: last time I against Oakland six innings, two earned runs

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Speaker 1: as well. He has been pretty good. Astros bats have

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Speaker 1: been very good here in this series, beaten up on

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Speaker 1: the Orioles and Dean Kremer going here with a ten

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Speaker 1: and four record four point six one's been pretty good.

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Speaker 1: But at home five point three five ERA five and

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Speaker 1: two record two fifty o posing batting average, fourteen home

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Speaker 1: runs given up at cam in yards for him, forty

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Speaker 1: one earned in sixty nine innings worth of work. He

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Speaker 1: won his last well he's won. He's won one, two, three, four,

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Speaker 1: five six straight starts he's won for the Orioles. But

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Speaker 1: I think this is when you could fade it here.

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Speaker 1: I normally do bet the streaks. I get it, but

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Speaker 1: I like the Astros streaking more than I like the

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Speaker 1: Oriole streaking, and I think the bats will come to live.

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Speaker 1: I like the over in this game too. If looking

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Speaker 1: for extra action, the over in this game I think

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Speaker 1: is a good bet between the Orioles uh and the Astros,

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Speaker 1: But I think it's low juice because of the record

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Speaker 1: for Kremer, and I think you get a chance to

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Speaker 1: jump on Houston, here to go for the sweep. Minus

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Speaker 1: one point fifteen Astros money line to beat the Baltimore Orioles.

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Speaker 1: We're going one point one to five units down on

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Speaker 1: the Astros. And then finally no hitter last night in Philadelphia, okay,

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Speaker 1: seven nothing, the game went under. National's got blanked. Look impressive.

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Speaker 1: I mean Lorenzo, I mean, my gosh, the guy was greatest.

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Speaker 1: Family was in the crowd. Second start with the Phillies

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Speaker 1: and got those no hitter. Just unbelievable performance. Really really

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Speaker 1: cool to see him go off and do that. But

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Speaker 1: this is an opportunity here to jump in with Patrick

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Speaker 1: Corbyn and Aaron Nola Corbyn. It's Patrick Corbyn day. Okay,

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Speaker 1: do we bet overs with Corbyn? Of course you do.

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Speaker 1: Five point three one ERA four and four record on

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Speaker 1: the road, two seventy one oposing batting average, thirty seven

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Speaker 1: earned runs given up sixty two and two thirteen is

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Speaker 1: worth of work. And seventeen home runs given up by

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Speaker 1: Patrick Corbyn on the road this year. Last time out

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Speaker 1: on the road against the Reds, three innings and six sorry,

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Speaker 1: six and a third and three runs, giving up three

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Speaker 1: home runs, all solo shots against the Mets, five and

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Speaker 1: two thirds, four earned runs against Chicago, three earn runs

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Speaker 1: in five and a third. It's just a guy who

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Speaker 1: generally gives up runs on the road. And well, we

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Speaker 1: like betting over's with Patrick Corbin, in particular in ballparks

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Speaker 1: like Philadelphia, where Aaron Nola also could get hit here

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Speaker 1: a little bit. I mean, after getting blanks, you may

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Speaker 1: see a bounce back spot three seventy five ERA three

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Speaker 1: point seventy five ERA for Nola at home four and three.

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Speaker 1: Opposing batting average is to ten, so maybe gives up

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Speaker 1: three two four. You know, last time out against Case,

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Speaker 1: gave up five ear and runs. Time before that against

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Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Pirates five earned runs against Cleveland, three earned runs.

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Speaker 1: He gives up three or four earn runs here, we

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Speaker 1: should be good to go with the over nine at

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Speaker 1: minus one twenty. After getting blanked Nationals to score, no

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Speaker 1: hit Nationalist to score, but also the Philadelphia a Phillies

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Speaker 1: to hit on Patrick Corbin, We're gonna take Corbyn day.

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Speaker 1: Go for the over Patrick Corbyn and Nola minus one twenty.

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Speaker 1: Remember we bet listed pictures. Okay, it's important. Don't bet

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Speaker 1: action bet listed pitchers. So in case there's a scratch,

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Speaker 1: you get your money back. It's avoided. Bet okay Nola

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Speaker 1: versus Corbyn. It's important because it's Patrick Corbyn Day, all right.

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Speaker 1: Three bets for US two in baseball, one in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: In the NFL Patriots plus three and a half one

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Speaker 1: point one units at home against the Texans, the Astros

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Speaker 1: on the road minus one point fifteen one point one

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Speaker 1: five units down on that against the Baltimore Orioles. And

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Speaker 1: we're taking the Nationals and in the Phillies over nine

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Speaker 1: at minus one twenty for one point two units minus

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Speaker 1: Matt Parol. Let's have a good Thursday. Keep the positive

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Speaker 1: mojo going on this Thursday. In for this week, you

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Speaker 1: guys can follow me on socials at sports doc map

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Speaker 1: each and every morning. That DEALI Jus podcast allys being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by Omaha Stakes dot Com