Speaker 1: Non commit everybody to fansay ros MLB. This is leading
Speaker 1: off live walking by bet three six five bed five
Speaker 1: bucks get one hundred and fifty in bonus bet. When
Speaker 1: you do like you have to use the promo code
Speaker 1: leading off. That's the thing you have to do. And
Speaker 1: look at me. I'm back, everybody. I'm mister Meek Seeks
Speaker 1: and that of course is the Welsh. And Scott Bogman
Speaker 1: was here doing a great job yesterday filling in for me.
Speaker 1: Had to take mom to the doctor's office. He's getting
Speaker 1: ready to get her as done. Not plastic surgery, she's
Speaker 1: getting in cataracts and things going on. Welsh. I appreciate
Speaker 1: you holding down the fort. I did watch the Prospect
Speaker 1: stuff yesterday. Amazing work with the double A guys. Look
Speaker 1: at you, the deep dive prospect man. Who's better than you? Welsh?
Speaker 1: Because I can't think of anyone.
Speaker 2: Oh, I didn't think of many, but maybe in some
Speaker 2: respects I might stand up there.
Speaker 3: Thank you very much. It's good.
Speaker 2: Look at how get a joyous and excited. Give Joe
Speaker 2: one day off and he comes back and he's like, you.
Speaker 3: Did a good job. You did a good job. I
Speaker 3: love you.
Speaker 1: I love the pets. I love the crack of Jacks.
Speaker 1: I love them all. I love everybody. I was telling
Speaker 1: Welsh I watched something hilarious last night. It was this
Speaker 1: movie called A Disturbance in the Forest, which is a
Speaker 1: documentary about the making of the Star Wars Holiday special,
Speaker 1: which aired in I think nineteen seventy eight or something,
Speaker 1: and it is the most bizarre, hilarious thing. I send
Speaker 1: it to you. You gotta watch this thing. It's hysterical.
Speaker 1: It's a Star Wars special with the Wookie family celebrating
Speaker 1: something called Life Day, and it's got all the original
Speaker 1: people in it, eventually making cameos. But it was done
Speaker 1: by all these weird seventies like, you know, the people
Speaker 1: who did the Carol Burnett Show and Share Show and
Speaker 1: all these like whacky you know, everybody had a variety
Speaker 1: show in the seventies. By the way, I wish it
Speaker 1: was a seventies so you and I could have a
Speaker 1: variety show and do singing and dancing stuff here on
Speaker 1: the program. But holy crap, was it hilarious. And b
Speaker 1: Arthur's in it. She's like the bartender at the cantina,
Speaker 1: and like all these weird like Harvey Korman, and it
Speaker 1: just it's so weird. I can't imagine what kind of drugs.
Speaker 2: You know, it's like their original endgame or you know,
Speaker 2: it's like the These are all the cameos that everybody
Speaker 2: wanted in the Star Wars.
Speaker 3: Yet does that mean b Arthur?
Speaker 2: I guess it wasn't be Arthur like herself the character
Speaker 2: b Arthur in Star Wars, because then be Arthur would
Speaker 2: exist in the Star Wars uniforse.
Speaker 1: Well, I don't know if it's canon, but all I
Speaker 1: know is it was amazing, and so I don't know
Speaker 1: if you can consider it canon or not. Because apparently
Speaker 1: then like there's all these little things in like the
Speaker 1: Mandalorian like referring to it, referring to like this holiday
Speaker 1: special and the Wretchedness like could following and it aired
Speaker 1: one time, So apparently it was like this thing in
Speaker 1: the geek community where everyone had to like share VHS tapes.
Speaker 1: There were copies of copies of copies.
Speaker 2: You guys, see what happens when Joe gets today? Oh
Speaker 2: this is insane.
Speaker 3: What has happened to you? I don't know about a
Speaker 3: day off?
Speaker 2: You're all happy, You're just like, let me tell you
Speaker 2: about this Crazy Star Wars special.
Speaker 1: Let's get along two weeks around these parts. Let me
Speaker 1: just tell you, but well, let's let's get to something
Speaker 1: that's gonna make me even happier. Ellie Dela Cruz. It's
Speaker 1: Ellie's world Welsh and we're just living in it. Yesterday,
Speaker 1: four to four, four steals, they get a w over
Speaker 1: the Dodgers, the best team in baseball. And just for context,
Speaker 1: Eli de Lacruz has thirty stolen bases now in forty
Speaker 1: four games. It is the seventeenth of May. He has
Speaker 1: almost twice as many as the second guy, which is
Speaker 1: Jose Cabal Yattle. Bryce Trang has sixteen. They're both at
Speaker 1: sixteen and seventeen, respectively. But oh my god, nine homers
Speaker 1: twenty two RBI. He's sitting in two seventy seven. But
Speaker 1: the ops is just under nine hundred's right there, Ledo A.
Speaker 1: Cruz might still strike out a little bit, but well,
Speaker 1: I don't know if there's a guy that's more fun
Speaker 1: to watch and in terms of fantasy return on investment
Speaker 1: right now, he has been that dude.
Speaker 2: Yeah, man, there's a lot of stuff that's kind of
Speaker 2: packed in there. First would love for us to pull
Speaker 2: that clip in like what was it February or early March, Joe,
Speaker 2: where I'm like, hey, you know.
Speaker 3: My favorite bet is steals. I keep saying that.
Speaker 2: But what has been impressive, and this is impressive when
Speaker 2: you look at it. We've really been hyper focused on
Speaker 2: a like the inconsistencies that are going to exist with Ellie.
Speaker 2: But the strikeouts. The strikeouts are down. He's almost under
Speaker 2: thirty percent, which is massive. The stolen bases are going
Speaker 2: to be a chalk piece of his game. But the
Speaker 2: hitting profile continues to be great. He has still maintained
Speaker 2: that thirteen percent in barrel rate. He has an expected
Speaker 2: batting average in the two sixties. He's got double digit
Speaker 2: walk rate. And for all that it's worth, I did
Speaker 2: do this show I mentioned on the show yesterday. I
Speaker 2: spent about forty minutes with Ino Sarris on ITL talking
Speaker 2: about a lot of the procedural stuff about the new
Speaker 2: bat tracking and what you can use and blah blah blah.
Speaker 2: So people want to check that out. Is really interesting conversation.
Speaker 2: What's applicable is tough, But at the end of the day,
Speaker 2: bat speed is always kind of king. Seventy five miles
Speaker 2: per hour he's on the high end. He's on the
Speaker 2: I think from a percentile perspective, top twelve percent in
Speaker 2: the league. Ellie is, so you've got quick, fast bat,
Speaker 2: You're hitting the ball harder, you're barreling that the marriage
Speaker 2: between barrels and bat speed I think is really important.
Speaker 2: He's found that he's striking out less.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 2: Man, Like, if you were a hater of lie, you're
Speaker 2: wrong if you questioned some of this stuff, like I
Speaker 2: might have questioned some of it, kind of wrong because
Speaker 2: he's a first round player in any format at this point.
Speaker 2: Absolutely exciting and you know, like if you don't have shares,
Speaker 2: it kind of stinks for you in some capacity. I
Speaker 2: only have one or two in some DC's over in
Speaker 2: the NFBCM.
Speaker 1: For two dollars in my homekeeper league this year two
Speaker 1: because I picked him up last year at the beginning
Speaker 1: of the year and stashed him.
Speaker 2: Do you think this pace I think that's the biggest question,
Speaker 2: or do you think like this version this looking.
Speaker 3: At the date here, six weeks, This six weeks.
Speaker 2: Version is the lle at the end of the year, Like,
Speaker 2: do you think we're going to see a two sixty
Speaker 2: batting average? It's going to be like eighty stolen bases,
Speaker 2: Like what is the line?
Speaker 1: That's a fascinating question. Like there's going to be a
Speaker 1: slump in there at some point, that's just the nature
Speaker 1: of the beast. But even with the slump, I mean
Speaker 1: the stolen base pace that he's on right now. I mean,
Speaker 1: how amazing would it be if he could reach one
Speaker 1: hundred sole bases this year. I mean that's like Ricky
Speaker 1: Henderson level kind of stuff.
Speaker 3: That he went for five last night.
Speaker 2: By the way he went, it was perfect throw that
Speaker 2: got him out, and he would have had he would
Speaker 2: have been Booker t he'd have been like five times.
Speaker 3: He would have been five times stolen basis.
Speaker 1: It's the environment, it's the rules changes that have allowed
Speaker 1: this to happen, the lack of the art form of
Speaker 1: holding runners on again going back to the art form
Speaker 1: of pitching. Oh and you know, making sure that you
Speaker 1: get Ellie Dela Cruz out is important because once he
Speaker 1: gets on the bases, it's a double or triple and
Speaker 1: I think that's something you've got to take an account.
Speaker 1: It's nearly like a run score. And that's the other
Speaker 1: thing too, is like what his run score total could be,
Speaker 1: could you imagine what this lineup would be if Matt
Speaker 1: McClain was healthy, right, Like, think about that too. I
Speaker 1: think about Christen and Karnasiostrand has been a disappointment and
Speaker 1: then he's on the il. This lineup is not one
Speaker 1: hundred percent, So I do think there will be struggles.
Speaker 1: To answer your question, I also do believe that at
Speaker 1: some point too, when you get some of these other
Speaker 1: pieces back or right, man, the Reds are going to
Speaker 1: be really dangerous. The Reds feel like they could be
Speaker 1: a playoff team. But it's again, the pitching's gotta gotta
Speaker 1: be more consistent.
Speaker 3: They got to buy yeah, and they've got to make
Speaker 3: some buys.
Speaker 1: Put it.
Speaker 3: If risk is a put up, put up his comment
Speaker 3: do this game?
Speaker 2: What do you think the predictive line for the year is?
Speaker 2: Because one of the most important things to me for
Speaker 2: some of these players is that they don't fall into
Speaker 2: the trap of being a wasteland for a month. That's
Speaker 2: the thing where like you have a guy who is
Speaker 2: great for three months, bad for two and then people call, oh,
Speaker 2: it's a huge win, and it's like, well, if this
Speaker 2: guy was almost a borderline droppable, that doesn't help Elly's
Speaker 2: finding consistency in these stolen bases. Even if he hits
Speaker 2: two twenty, he's gonna get on base and steal like crazy.
Speaker 2: So fifty nine or two fifty seven, twenty nine homers,
Speaker 2: one hundred and eight steals, one hundred and twelve runs
Speaker 2: from Visirism.
Speaker 3: Gets twenty two, one hundred and twenty two runs.
Speaker 1: Of all these numbers, one twenty two is what I
Speaker 1: like the most, to be honest with you, you know what,
Speaker 1: I think this is pretty reasonable. I would trim down
Speaker 1: the stolen bases to like one oh two because I
Speaker 1: think when he's getting closer there, I think it's going
Speaker 1: to be a thing. You know. I remember a couple
Speaker 1: of years ago when Pete A. Lonzo was a rookie
Speaker 1: and he was very aware of the home run record.
Speaker 1: He's very aware of the milestone of one hundred stolen bases.
Speaker 1: I think is something that players are hyper aware of. Ellie,
Speaker 1: and I think he's Ellie knows, and he knows that
Speaker 1: right now he is on a pace to crush that,
Speaker 1: and that's a very exciting thing to He'll tell you this, good.
Speaker 2: Ellie will have more stolen bases than RBI at the
Speaker 2: end of the year. I think I think he's going
Speaker 2: to push we.
Speaker 1: Have more stone bases than teams this year.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think he's gonna have like eighty five stolen bases.
Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be in the twenties on Homers.
Speaker 2: He's gonna score one hundred something runs and he'll probably like,
Speaker 2: you know, seventy five RBI with eighty five stolen bases.
Speaker 3: It's gonna gonna post.
Speaker 1: An interview after two, which was amazing. The post interview,
Speaker 1: he was like, Yeah, I like LA. I played a
Speaker 1: lot of Grand Theft Auto when I was a kid.
Speaker 1: Thought that was tremendous.
Speaker 3: Elly is is very uniquely awesome.
Speaker 1: And I love that he had worked on the English too,
Speaker 1: so because he wanted to do the interviews, he wanted
Speaker 1: to connect with the fans and stuff like that. Like
Speaker 1: that's just amazing. Like I like to think if you
Speaker 1: know what I was, if if I got sent to
Speaker 1: the Mexican League of Podcasting right that I would be
Speaker 1: working very hard on my Spanish and I would be
Speaker 1: making every attempt to not host the show in English
Speaker 1: and make sure that that's a very important part of
Speaker 1: the connectivity of the audience.
Speaker 3: There'll be options.
Speaker 1: Any Uh, well, that's a good one of our Spanish
Speaker 1: speaking folks here in the chat. Let me know what
Speaker 1: the equivalent of age.
Speaker 3: Let's see.
Speaker 1: I'm sure that will work. All right, Let's talk about
Speaker 1: Paul Skeens, because we haven't talked about him in like
Speaker 1: ten minutes. Paul Skans I already, I told watch for
Speaker 1: the show. I feel I'm getting schens fatigue already. I'm
Speaker 1: like two starts into this thing and I'm a little
Speaker 1: schemed out. Another start today, it's another day start two,
Speaker 1: which I don't love. You know, some guys just don't
Speaker 1: play well in the daytime also, just you know, for
Speaker 1: whatever reason. But here we go. We're back again. It's
Speaker 1: the same. It's the it's the back to back start
Speaker 1: two against the Cubs, which is another thing where you
Speaker 1: know sometimes that second time around that team, you're only
Speaker 1: facing that same team. Why so preview if you will
Speaker 1: a little bit of the Paul Skins two point out today.
Speaker 2: I'm a little bit worried about, like exactly what you're saying.
Speaker 2: By the way, I looked at the Google Translate and
Speaker 2: it said.
Speaker 3: Hey too, hey too. But I also saw hey doo,
Speaker 3: yo Ola. Hey, I think yo Ola would make a lot.
Speaker 1: I don't get the hayo anymore. They made me stop
Speaker 1: doing that. The old other things didn't like that. So
Speaker 1: I haven't done a hay yo in a long time.
Speaker 1: That's like twenty twenty one. Last time I hayoed, Hey,
Speaker 1: maybe Papa Joe can get away with it.
Speaker 3: Pupa definitely did that. Yeah.
Speaker 1: By the way, there's a clip on the YouTube channel
Speaker 1: of just the Papa Joe the best of Papa Joe moments.
Speaker 1: Would you shout out to Welsh and Tyler to put
Speaker 1: that together. It's tremendous. Go subscribe to YouTube channel. Check
Speaker 1: that out. But back to Paul Skins.
Speaker 2: Yeah, so I'm very interested interested to see like how
Speaker 2: the pitch mix ends up working. Another interesting thing, when
Speaker 2: I was talking with you know, we actually kind of
Speaker 2: just dove into Jared Jones and into Paul Skins because
Speaker 2: in that first start, the thing I still haven't got
Speaker 2: out of my brain was he was like heavy fastball
Speaker 2: in those first two innings and the guys were just
Speaker 2: way behind it. Then all of a sudden they started
Speaker 2: to try to go splinker slider on two strike counts. Grandall,
Speaker 2: I felt like they were I don't know, if it
Speaker 2: was getting cute and maybe it was masking the worry
Speaker 2: that guys were gonna start catching up to the fastball.
Speaker 2: I'm not one hundred percent sure, but I felt like
Speaker 2: he started being a little bit less effective. So your
Speaker 2: second start, you're going back to the team, back to
Speaker 2: the players that have seen you. Ian Hap a pretty
Speaker 2: good high strike hitter. You know, they just had Jared Jones, like,
Speaker 2: I don't know if I love his strikeout prop.
Speaker 3: Today it's like six and a half, and I can't
Speaker 3: go either way.
Speaker 1: I agree. You know, I went a meet this morning
Speaker 1: when I put the show together, immediately where I went
Speaker 1: and I go, okay, what's the skeen's number. I'm thinking
Speaker 1: like five and a half? It was six, and I
Speaker 1: was like no, oh, And if anything, the under is
Speaker 1: intriguing because I think you get plus money on the under.
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, of course you do. But it's like I
Speaker 3: can't do that so right.
Speaker 1: But that's not a great investment either, because we all
Speaker 1: know how no electric schemes can be. I don't stay
Speaker 1: away from me.
Speaker 2: Today unless there's an approach change as far as what
Speaker 2: they're gonna do with the pitch mix, Maybe go really
Speaker 2: heavy fastballs. My gut tells me we're not gonna go
Speaker 2: five again. I think you're gonna have more secondary sitting.
Speaker 2: They're gonna probably sit on some more secondary stuff and
Speaker 2: it might be real heavy fastball looks in this, So
Speaker 2: maybe the walks are gonna be it's gonna go like
Speaker 2: he's gonna strike out ten or I think this is
Speaker 2: gonna be a little bit rougher than the last one.
Speaker 2: I just don't think he's gonna go five. But again,
Speaker 2: this is all sample size. We just don't know quite
Speaker 2: enough about it. It's the early game, so it's gonna
Speaker 2: happen here pretty soon. But I'm not touching any of
Speaker 2: the props or anything like that because going up against
Speaker 2: the same team again not the best. But I didn't
Speaker 2: even see this Bizi zik As. I said no Horner,
Speaker 2: no Swanson, no Suzuki today, so that actually does bode
Speaker 2: schemes did get Suzuki a couple times, though, but that
Speaker 2: bodes relatively well, So we'll see. We'll see on I
Speaker 2: think it's going to be a much better time to
Speaker 2: process who he's going to be after we've got like
Speaker 2: two or three starts in it. But I do one
Speaker 2: hundred percent feel the craziness is gone from Skeens.
Speaker 3: The height. Like I know you said, you're like, you're
Speaker 3: sick of talking about I'm.
Speaker 1: Sick of talking about I'm fatigued.
Speaker 3: There's a different But I think.
Speaker 1: Tradery day off yesterday, so maybe I would be sick
Speaker 1: of it, but I'm not.
Speaker 2: I'm just but we talked about like, you know, look
Speaker 2: can you get for Schmes and blah blah blah blah,
Speaker 2: And it's just like I think that the there's a
Speaker 2: fatigue two right now.
Speaker 1: That's about that though that if the peak schemes value
Speaker 1: this year was Friday before his debut, you could have probably,
Speaker 1: I mean the packages you could have put together. Paul
Speaker 1: Skins are people salivating over what it could be. And
Speaker 1: it's not that he's not going to be amazing and
Speaker 1: have amazing moments. I think he will. And people I
Speaker 1: see in the chat asking you know Skeins are Jones.
Speaker 1: It's Jones. Jones has already proven now he's consistently great.
Speaker 1: Skeins has got to prove that at this level still.
Speaker 1: I don't care what he did a triple A. It's fantastic,
Speaker 1: it's fabulous. We're all excited. Jones has done it the
Speaker 1: major league level for six weeks. That's impressive to me.
Speaker 1: Tier Glass now was less impressive. Eight strikeouts but four
Speaker 1: runs over five innings lost to the Reds. We talked
Speaker 1: about that. Edwin Diaz blew another save. Okay, everybody, here
Speaker 1: we go, So here we go. He's terrible.
Speaker 3: Get rid of this guy.
Speaker 1: He's no good.
Speaker 3: He's a bump.
Speaker 1: You know. He goes hurt last year and now he
Speaker 1: comes in and he's he's blown all these saves.
Speaker 3: It's unbelievable.
Speaker 1: Look, I'm not worried about Edwin Diaz. To me, he's
Speaker 1: a by Low and the biggest other by Loo out
Speaker 1: there has got to be a Kunya Acunya right now.
Speaker 1: I wrote about this on Fantasy bros dot Com. You
Speaker 1: can go check that out in the latest by Low
Speaker 1: Sell High Up. Because Acunya is down at two forty five,
Speaker 1: slugging is at three forty two, the home run rate
Speaker 1: is atrocious. Everything right now is just bad for Acunya.
Speaker 1: This is your window to buy greatness. But rond Acuni
Speaker 1: is going to be fine the rest of the season. Collectively,
Speaker 1: the Braves have struggled. Olsen Riley will get hot if
Speaker 1: Albi's missed time at the beginning of the year with
Speaker 1: an injury, it's only a matter of time. And I
Speaker 1: am not worried at all about Akunya. I think this
Speaker 1: is your only window all season to buy him in leagues.
Speaker 1: But come correct, like you're gonna have to go and
Speaker 1: put out a really strong player. And think about it too.
Speaker 1: You know the all around greatness of Ronald of Cunya
Speaker 1: Welsh to me, you would trade a Freddie Freeman right now,
Speaker 1: despite the fact that Freeman's average is high and all
Speaker 1: that stuff for Ronald Acony if you could pull that off.
Speaker 1: And my reasoning is you're getting every category with Akunya
Speaker 1: where you're still Yeah, I don't think you're gonna set
Speaker 1: it going into the art like you can get Frey
Speaker 1: Freeman to steal as many basis as he did last year.
Speaker 1: I think that was a little bit of an anomaly.
Speaker 1: He's another year older. But what do you think, is
Speaker 1: this the only window to buy a Kunya? Because I
Speaker 1: think it.
Speaker 2: Is, yeah, the only window maybe like in a long
Speaker 2: period of time.
Speaker 3: It's interesting because we talked about it yesterday.
Speaker 2: The whole like detox get a day off when you
Speaker 2: start to look at underlying stuff. There's clearly one thing
Speaker 2: that stands out. It's the strikeouts. Like he was eleven
Speaker 2: percent last year, he's almost twenty five percent this year.
Speaker 2: The hard hit numbers are still there, but they're not
Speaker 2: at like his usual elite level.
Speaker 3: But because of.
Speaker 2: These things, you see kind of like the decline in
Speaker 2: barrel percentage decline and like you know, expected batting average
Speaker 2: that's stick in there. Not to keep harping on this,
Speaker 2: but like one of the things that you know and
Speaker 2: I talked about was if we had a year over
Speaker 2: year data about bat speed and the bat length and
Speaker 2: all that and.
Speaker 3: Watch it, Joe.
Speaker 2: You know, if we had the year over year data,
Speaker 2: it would be really fascinating because when you look at
Speaker 2: a Kunya, he's got he's got one of the fastest
Speaker 2: swings in baseball, but his the length of his swing
Speaker 2: is bigger than like the MLB.
Speaker 3: Average And calm yourself down.
Speaker 2: So what I'm getting at is what's the MLB average
Speaker 2: seven point three.
Speaker 1: That's that's pretty good, zize.
Speaker 3: Pretty good that it's very intimidating.
Speaker 2: But my my point with it is like this might
Speaker 2: be one of those things where you could tell because
Speaker 2: he's like seventy three percentile of bat speed is a
Speaker 2: consistency of going seventy five miles or over. My point
Speaker 2: is is having a predictability. Maybe his swing has gotten long,
Speaker 2: because the longer the swing sometimes it can indicate, you know,
Speaker 2: trying to lift the ball, get the ball in the air.
Speaker 2: So if you see an increase in strikeouts, and if
Speaker 2: he's added length to the swing while still swinging really hard,
Speaker 2: that might be creating some of the pressing I'm talking.
Speaker 2: I'm talking theory here with Acunya. Of course I'm buying
Speaker 2: a Cunya in any respect right now. But let me
Speaker 2: ask you this. If you were offered Ellie de la
Speaker 2: Cruz for your Ronald Acuna, would you accept.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's funny, my homely guy have both because I.
Speaker 3: Let's say this, Yeah you have you have God.
Speaker 1: For glass now and a guy has been laughing at me.
Speaker 1: My friend's been laughing at me all year. He's like,
Speaker 1: he's like, boy, you saw. I was like, yeah, well,
Speaker 1: this is my window to buy the position player.
Speaker 2: You have Ellie and you want a Counya. And the
Speaker 2: guy says, all right, I will do it. I want
Speaker 2: Ellie de la Cruz for Acuna Dynasty or Redraft.
Speaker 1: Uh in Redraft. I think I would still want a
Speaker 1: Cunya in Dynasty. That's a bigger conversation because it's not
Speaker 1: at least what it's not you still go to right.
Speaker 3: Away, and I'm still going to Kunya.
Speaker 1: I think it's a little bit of a pause for me,
Speaker 1: but it's what, why is it? Why is it not? Well?
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm probably anyway, because you know, MVPs don't
Speaker 1: grow on trees.
Speaker 2: But I mean I would remind everybody too if if
Speaker 2: we think that there's like some adjustment that's happened Ronald Acunya.
Speaker 2: In the preseason, I talked about this with our dev
Speaker 2: team here at Fantasy Pros. I had to explain that
Speaker 2: what Ronald Acunya did last year was at the level
Speaker 2: of what Sho hal Tani does, and that he performed
Speaker 2: like two first round players and one like he he
Speaker 2: was so uniquely incredible. Now, to be fair, I suppose
Speaker 2: Ellie is kind of like like getting his way up there.
Speaker 1: Ellie is right now showing you he has the ability
Speaker 1: to put up Acunya's numbers from last year SAMs batting average.
Speaker 3: And that's what I'm saying like, that's why I'm.
Speaker 1: Not interesting more stolen bases, which is terrified because we're like,
Speaker 1: oh my god, seventy steals for Acunya. This guys got.
Speaker 2: Thirty already, and he might hit like twenty five over
Speaker 2: the moment, and he might hit twenty five homers. But
Speaker 2: don't let six weeks change that. Ronald d'acunya is still
Speaker 2: a freak, a freak of freak, and performed not just
Speaker 2: like really good in two or three categories, but like
Speaker 2: as the number one overall fantasy player. So I would
Speaker 2: take a Coonia on both fronts, but I get through
Speaker 2: the redraft. One I actually think is like, that's the
Speaker 2: one I might consider. Dynasty a hell Nona?
Speaker 1: All right? Was a trade yesterday, the Pirates trade away
Speaker 1: Ronsey Contreras to the Angels, who once upon a time
Speaker 1: was the top one hundred prospect. Should we care about this trade?
Speaker 3: We should not know?
Speaker 1: Okay, all right? Joey lo Perfido got his first home run. Congratulations, buddy,
Speaker 1: that's the rookie looking for today. Also, Jackson Holiday, remember
Speaker 1: him two for five with a solo homer. Things are
Speaker 1: going a little bit better for Jackson High.
Speaker 3: I know what you're looking for.
Speaker 1: I know what you're looking Hey, guys, I told you
Speaker 1: eventually things would go really well for me. It's just
Speaker 1: a matter of time. Everybody, just be patient. I'll be
Speaker 1: passion patients. I'll be back.
Speaker 3: He's so adorable.
Speaker 1: Kobe Mayo also, by the way, exited for precautionary reasons
Speaker 1: with an undisclosed injuries. So we'll keep an eye on
Speaker 1: that one because we're all very excited about Kobe Mayo.
Speaker 1: Three up and three down Christian Hobby Are eight k's
Speaker 1: in six shutout innings. Jared Jones another great one for him,
Speaker 1: three earned runs but struck out seven, so we'll take
Speaker 1: that to the bank. Clark Schmidt Welsh's favorites, eight strikeouts
Speaker 1: for him a career high eight scoreless sittings against the Twinkies.
Speaker 1: Three down Joey Estes eight earned runs against the Astros.
Speaker 1: Justin Steele front of the show. Allowed six hits, five earned,
Speaker 1: so he's still working his way back a little bit obviously.
Speaker 1: And Joe Ryan not the best start for earned five
Speaker 1: and a third, but again was the Yankee.
Speaker 3: So i'll give him a peto.
Speaker 2: One thing I wanted to add to it real quick
Speaker 2: because I got to cheat a little bit, and I
Speaker 2: feel bad.
Speaker 3: On the show yesterday, one of that I said.
Speaker 2: Was alt line you could alt line Jared Jones's strikeouts
Speaker 2: to eight plus. Well, when I went to make my bet,
Speaker 2: I found it at seven plus and it was plus
Speaker 2: money because the eight plus was like two hundred and
Speaker 2: I found like plus one thirty five at seven plus,
Speaker 2: So I took the seven plus.
Speaker 3: He didn't hit a.
Speaker 2: But I still cashed, and I feel bad, and I
Speaker 2: hope people would do the same.
Speaker 3: I hope you did the same if you did bet.
Speaker 2: That, because he literally, by the way, ninety one pitches
Speaker 2: seven strikeouts. Had he not been on that pitch count
Speaker 2: could have gone deeper any other starting pitcher and probably
Speaker 2: gets to the eight.
Speaker 3: But I still cashed, and they feel bad. We also
Speaker 3: had yesterday.
Speaker 1: You never apologized for cashing.
Speaker 3: No, I didn't.
Speaker 2: But we were talking about omens and like bad luck
Speaker 2: and stuff like that, and I was, I caused some
Speaker 2: bad luck by dropping some baseballs, and those players are
Speaker 2: bad luck. And then I put my bets under your name,
Speaker 2: and then I went, oh, no, this is gonna be
Speaker 2: bad luck. And guess what it was?
Speaker 1: Bad luck.
Speaker 3: I think they all didn't hit because they were under
Speaker 3: your name.
Speaker 2: So someone asked earlier, how did the omen go? It
Speaker 2: was a bad omen.
Speaker 1: It was bad juju men, Eric Powell. If Ellie steals
Speaker 1: one hundred and that's twenty five home or the lle
Speaker 1: hype next year, yeah, is gonna be insane. I mean
Speaker 1: it gets I mean, imagine if he's thirty one hundred,
Speaker 1: I mean, is Elie the number one pick next year?
Speaker 1: I mean thirty one hundred. I mean that's crazy and
Speaker 1: not RBI steals.
Speaker 2: I mean said yeah, oh yeah, I didn't hear what
Speaker 2: you said. If he had thirty homers, yeah.
Speaker 1: One hundred, one hundred, one hundred player, has that ever happened?
Speaker 1: Because back when when Ricky was stealing one hundred, he
Speaker 1: didn't hit thirty homers. That was the Oakland Bays. It was
Speaker 1: until he got to the Yankees, and then the second
Speaker 1: turn in Oakland where the special vitamins were rampant in
Speaker 1: the clubhouse, a little whacky for him.
Speaker 2: Weren't the most homer stolen bases? Wasn't it like when
Speaker 2: Conseko did forty forty? Wasn't that like the most homer
Speaker 2: stolen base? Like most stolen base?
Speaker 1: I don't know with multiple question what ergo chat, What
Speaker 1: is the greatest home run RBI run total with stolen
Speaker 1: bases at the top of it. That's that's a good
Speaker 1: question there. I don't know. I don't know the answer
Speaker 1: to that. I mean, last year we had Akunya, right,
Speaker 1: seventy steals, he was one hundred. One hundred was a
Speaker 1: homer total last year for coone. I can't remember with
Speaker 1: the top of my head. Twenty not.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go look him right now, forty one I
Speaker 2: forgot hit forty one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, so that's.
Speaker 3: That might be that might be it. Yeah, there you go.
Speaker 3: We found it. It's pretty easy.
Speaker 2: So he got forty homers and had seventy three stolen bases.
Speaker 3: Jesus. Yeah.
Speaker 1: But again, it's we're talking about the home run RBI
Speaker 1: stolen based total and more than thirty home runs. That's
Speaker 1: the tricky thing. It's the more than thirty home runs
Speaker 1: that have the power to do it too.
Speaker 2: He literally did this like six months ago, and we're like,
Speaker 2: should we trade Eli feels.
Speaker 1: More like a like a Willie May's kind of stat
Speaker 1: or you know, or something like that. But hey, yo,
Speaker 1: that's crazy, all right. Injuries Hore Solaier is gonna play
Speaker 1: another minor league game. Trade Turner went their all his
Speaker 1: agility drill, So that's fun. So he's working out for
Speaker 1: the combine. Jeffrey Springs remember him, Welsh my batting practice yesterday.
Speaker 1: That's exciting. Uh. The Angels activated Luis Rangifo off the
Speaker 1: tendil Shane bos one run over three and a third
Speaker 1: rehab start yesterday and Emma chn we'll see you as soon, buddy,
Speaker 1: Tommy John surgery. There you go, and it's gonna be done.
Speaker 1: So again. The only thing that can undo all that
Speaker 1: money for the Dodgers, it's saying a million times, is pitching, absolutely,
Speaker 1: pitching Dan saying Eric Davis, And I remember Eric Davis
Speaker 1: had some great seasons, but I want to say the
Speaker 1: elite Eric Davis seasons of stolen bases all had like
Speaker 1: twenty home run years. It wasn't like thirty something. You know,
Speaker 1: Strawberry had thirty thirty years and all that. But I'm
Speaker 1: talking a guy going over fifty stolen bases and hitting
Speaker 1: thirty home runs. That does not happen very often. I mean,
Speaker 1: how it happened last year.
Speaker 2: But I think I think like before last year Conseko
Speaker 2: was in like this small little grounding.
Speaker 3: You remember who the forty forty group was.
Speaker 1: So I do remember. There's one other thing we gotta
Speaker 1: do today, and of course it's the best bets of
Speaker 1: the day with Joey d and the Welsh. Make sure
Speaker 1: you place your wagers over at bet three sixty five
Speaker 1: bet five bucks. Get one hundred and fifty bonus bets
Speaker 1: when you use the promo code leading off over at
Speaker 1: bet three, six, five, twenty one or over In Kentucky
Speaker 1: gambling problem called what one hundred gambler or one hundred
Speaker 1: bets off in Iowa terms, conditions apply Welsh today, it's
Speaker 1: a fun Friday here on the program. You've got some wagers.
Speaker 1: I've got some wagers. I'm gonna start with Zach Wheeler
Speaker 1: on the mound to bounce back against the Washington Nationals.
Speaker 1: He's at home. Give me the Phillies on the run
Speaker 1: line minus one and a half. At minus one fifteen.
Speaker 1: Freddy P is back, my boy, Freddy Perolta against the
Speaker 1: Houston Astros. And the Astros have a lot of good hitters,
Speaker 1: but still I'm team Freddy P. Everybody knows that. So
Speaker 1: give me Milwaukee on the money line mi il mL,
Speaker 1: that's right, minus one ten. I like this number here
Speaker 1: today for Freddie Perolta to steymy an underutilized word to steymy.
Speaker 1: The Houston Astros lineup today, Freddie P's got big time
Speaker 1: strike out upside two. But that prop is very high
Speaker 1: and the Astros don't strike out a lot, so I'm
Speaker 1: gonna fade away from that one. Just go for the
Speaker 1: money line straight up there. And Ellie dela Cruz, Hey,
Speaker 1: when in Rome, Welsh? How about the over on point
Speaker 1: five stolen bases at plus one eighty today? Why not?
Speaker 1: Why wouldn't we do it after four last night? The
Speaker 1: guy is locked in.
Speaker 3: He is incredible.
Speaker 1: And if you put the ELI to steal a base
Speaker 1: along with to score a run in the same game parlay,
Speaker 1: you get plus two ninety three. That's almost three to
Speaker 1: one Welsh on. Ellie de la Cruz is red hot.
Speaker 1: All the puns intended?
Speaker 3: Welsh.
Speaker 1: What do you have for the people for best bets
Speaker 1: of the day?
Speaker 2: You got you got me inspired opening day? One of
Speaker 2: my favorite bets, by the way, I did the I
Speaker 2: called it cruise control.
Speaker 1: It was I remember that it was.
Speaker 2: The Ellie over one stolen base and O'Neal cruise to
Speaker 2: hit a home run. I might travel back to that
Speaker 2: one today because I do like some O'Neal, even if
Speaker 2: you want to play with the total bases, but those
Speaker 2: are not my bets. I'm going to a K prop
Speaker 2: to start us off here. Christian Scott over five and
Speaker 2: a half strikeouts today, got to remind us one eleven
Speaker 2: might see it at like one point fifteen at worst.
Speaker 2: He has had six strikeouts in both of his starts,
Speaker 2: going up against the Marlins, whose K percentage in general
Speaker 2: looks a little bit better, but the team has been
Speaker 2: and against Rioty's I got one of the highest chase
Speaker 2: rates in all of baseball, and I've loved everything that
Speaker 2: Christian Scott has done. He's been going six he commands.
Speaker 2: I think he is going to eat these.
Speaker 3: Guys up today. So I'm pretty good on it with
Speaker 3: this one.
Speaker 1: This was my original four or five that I was considering,
Speaker 1: So I'm with you on this one.
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is one of my my top two or
Speaker 2: like my one A one be a favorite bets today.
Speaker 2: This is the one I'm putting out is my best
Speaker 2: bet of the day because I think there's going to
Speaker 2: be a lot of focus on Paul Skeens and his
Speaker 2: strikeout number, but give me Christian Scott.
Speaker 3: Christian Scott is going to be one of those unhralded guys.
Speaker 2: When we talk about Paul Skins and the awesome rookies,
Speaker 2: don't forget Christian Scott is a dude.
Speaker 3: So that really high chase.
Speaker 2: Rate on the Marlins makes me feel pretty comfortable about him.
Speaker 2: You mentioned this one, Yankees. Give me the run line
Speaker 2: on the Yankees today. I'll take that all day long.
Speaker 2: With Nestra Cortes minus one and a half up against Clevey,
Speaker 2: Thank you very much, Yankees. All the also algorithm scores
Speaker 2: have almost over a two run differential between these teams,
Speaker 2: So let the Yankees eat and let Nestor do the same.
Speaker 2: You mentioned Freddy Peralta for my fifth bet. I'm going
Speaker 2: to join you in a money line bet, but it's
Speaker 2: not going to be the whole game.
Speaker 3: First five. Give me the first.
Speaker 2: Five inning money line for the Milwaukee Brewers at minus
Speaker 2: excuse me, at minus one twenty five. And I did
Speaker 2: it kind of like I'm like, oh well, and why
Speaker 2: I love it so much is because if the game
Speaker 2: is tied, my bet pushes minus one twenty five not
Speaker 2: too far off from full game numbers.
Speaker 3: So I'm backing Freddy peralta first five.
Speaker 2: Money line minus one twenty five bet three six fives
Speaker 2: on the best odds out there. Go and check it
Speaker 2: out bettingpros dot com slash Joe, Bettingpros dot Com slash Welsh,
Speaker 2: so you can follow us, you can see the bets
Speaker 2: anything else that we add as well.
Speaker 3: So go and do that today.
Speaker 1: And those are the best bets of the day. Make
Speaker 1: sure you download the app and of course use that
Speaker 1: promo code bet three six five to sign up today
Speaker 1: with the promo code leading off. When you do, all right, Welsh,
Speaker 1: it's time now to look for the home runs. And
Speaker 1: I see someone in the chat already said something that
Speaker 1: I'm already in on h So yeah, no spoiler alerts.
Speaker 1: Today Judge is hot and Judge owns Clevenger and that's
Speaker 1: where I'm going all weekend. Everybody's in on this one.
Speaker 1: Come join me. Let's all take Aaron Judge together, and
Speaker 1: that's what I'm gonna do, Welsh. I wasn't here yesterday.
Speaker 1: My home run called Jady Martinez though did not hit.
Speaker 1: So to look at the home run board. This is
Speaker 1: what it looks like right now. I'm still a fourteen.
Speaker 1: We'll get well, Shawn, he's so close. He's in double.
Speaker 1: He's so close, but still pass. He's at the top
Speaker 1: of the leader board. But look at look at Vlad, like,
Speaker 1: oh man, this is crazy. Look at this home run board.
Speaker 1: This is nuts. I love the face he's making of this.
Speaker 3: It's very good. I'm sure that's what he's saying.
Speaker 1: It is. Don't forget to join our discord. Fancypros dot
Speaker 1: com slash chat. That gentleman gave me two home runs
Speaker 1: the other day, Adlie Richman. It's free. It's fun. Go
Speaker 1: make your home run calls. We're getting away that Vlad
Speaker 1: Garrida autograph. Matt Welsh, where are you going this weekend?
Speaker 1: I'm going with the judge. Where are you going this weekend?
Speaker 1: For your homewry?
Speaker 3: By the way, also go and go to the discord.
Speaker 2: I had somebody like dm me on Instagram like how
Speaker 2: do I get in the home run contest?
Speaker 1: Discord?
Speaker 2: Get over to the corcord right now. Oh one dot
Speaker 2: com plush chess court. You can start doing those Oneal
Speaker 2: Cruz as I said, Onell Cruz is my bet for
Speaker 2: the day. Gonna go for a big fly, not a
Speaker 2: big BBB average, but I'm feeling O'Neill Cruz. I'm gonna
Speaker 2: bet his total bases, I think over usually I like
Speaker 2: to do that when I have my home run calls.
Speaker 2: So give me Oneal Cruz to get me on the
Speaker 2: board and I might play that Cruise controlled bet as
Speaker 2: well and join you with Ellie.
Speaker 3: I bet that's gonna pay pretty well.
Speaker 1: And there you have it, everybody, don't forget. If you
Speaker 1: enjoy the shows, and I know you do, subscribe to
Speaker 1: Fancy Bros MLB, drop your comments below. The Waiver Wire
Speaker 1: videos out, the trade videos out this week. The rookie
Speaker 1: stuff is out there in case you miss that's do
Speaker 1: stuff as well, the prospecting with the Welsh. Everything is
Speaker 1: here on the channel for you. If you drop your
Speaker 1: comments below, you just might win this Championship Fantasy Belt
Speaker 1: from Trophy's Mac. We're gonna give this bad boy away.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be fantastic. I'd like to do this on Monday.
Speaker 1: That's what I'd like to do, give it away. So
Speaker 1: this is your opportunity to be a part of the
Speaker 1: Channel Welsh Great time again. Another special shout out to
Speaker 1: Scott Bogmin fill it in for me, and I might
Speaker 1: have to do that then in a few weeks again.
Speaker 1: But it's good. It's good to get a little detox,
Speaker 1: as people like to say, for me, I need that too.
Speaker 1: Everybody needs a breathing. In the words of you know,
Speaker 1: the immortal wrestling words of many a great booker. How
Speaker 1: can I miss you if you don't go away? With
Speaker 1: that being said, we're gonna go away for the weekend,
Speaker 1: but we'll be back on Monday to do it all again.
Speaker 1: That'll do it for us, but the story of the
Speaker 1: game goes on for the Welsh. I'm Joey P. We'll
Speaker 1: see you next time.
Speaker 3: Kids.
Speaker 1: Enjoy your weekend.
Speaker 3: Happy baseball go Ellie. Oh bye he La cru