WEBVTT - MLB: Leading Off May 17th, 2024 (EP. 814) 0:00:05.640 --> 0:00:08.840 Non commit everybody to fansay ros MLB. This is leading 0:00:08.840 --> 0:00:11.440 off live walking by bet three six five bed five 0:00:11.440 --> 0:00:14.640 bucks get one hundred and fifty in bonus bet. When 0:00:14.720 --> 0:00:16.720 you do like you have to use the promo code 0:00:16.760 --> 0:00:18.239 leading off. That's the thing you have to do. And 0:00:18.280 --> 0:00:21.439 look at me. I'm back, everybody. I'm mister Meek Seeks 0:00:21.640 --> 0:00:24.239 and that of course is the Welsh. And Scott Bogman 0:00:24.400 --> 0:00:27.159 was here doing a great job yesterday filling in for me. 0:00:27.520 --> 0:00:30.000 Had to take mom to the doctor's office. He's getting 0:00:30.040 --> 0:00:33.040 ready to get her as done. Not plastic surgery, she's 0:00:33.040 --> 0:00:37.320 getting in cataracts and things going on. Welsh. I appreciate 0:00:37.320 --> 0:00:40.120 you holding down the fort. I did watch the Prospect 0:00:40.159 --> 0:00:43.360 stuff yesterday. Amazing work with the double A guys. Look 0:00:43.400 --> 0:00:47.240 at you, the deep dive prospect man. Who's better than you? Welsh? 0:00:47.240 --> 0:00:48.560 Because I can't think of anyone. 0:00:48.800 --> 0:00:51.240 Oh, I didn't think of many, but maybe in some 0:00:51.280 --> 0:00:53.279 respects I might stand up there. 0:00:53.320 --> 0:00:54.319 Thank you very much. It's good. 0:00:54.400 --> 0:00:57.600 Look at how get a joyous and excited. Give Joe 0:00:57.680 --> 0:00:59.920 one day off and he comes back and he's like, you. 0:01:00.120 --> 0:01:02.000 Did a good job. You did a good job. I 0:01:02.160 --> 0:01:02.640 love you. 0:01:02.720 --> 0:01:04.440 I love the pets. I love the crack of Jacks. 0:01:04.480 --> 0:01:06.760 I love them all. I love everybody. I was telling 0:01:06.800 --> 0:01:09.680 Welsh I watched something hilarious last night. It was this 0:01:10.000 --> 0:01:12.840 movie called A Disturbance in the Forest, which is a 0:01:12.920 --> 0:01:16.520 documentary about the making of the Star Wars Holiday special, 0:01:16.560 --> 0:01:19.240 which aired in I think nineteen seventy eight or something, 0:01:19.600 --> 0:01:23.080 and it is the most bizarre, hilarious thing. I send 0:01:23.080 --> 0:01:26.320 it to you. You gotta watch this thing. It's hysterical. 0:01:26.720 --> 0:01:30.400 It's a Star Wars special with the Wookie family celebrating 0:01:30.400 --> 0:01:33.040 something called Life Day, and it's got all the original 0:01:33.040 --> 0:01:35.720 people in it, eventually making cameos. But it was done 0:01:35.800 --> 0:01:39.000 by all these weird seventies like, you know, the people 0:01:39.000 --> 0:01:42.200 who did the Carol Burnett Show and Share Show and 0:01:42.200 --> 0:01:44.080 all these like whacky you know, everybody had a variety 0:01:44.080 --> 0:01:45.959 show in the seventies. By the way, I wish it 0:01:46.000 --> 0:01:47.280 was a seventies so you and I could have a 0:01:47.319 --> 0:01:49.240 variety show and do singing and dancing stuff here on 0:01:49.320 --> 0:01:52.400 the program. But holy crap, was it hilarious. And b 0:01:52.600 --> 0:01:55.520 Arthur's in it. She's like the bartender at the cantina, 0:01:55.560 --> 0:01:58.760 and like all these weird like Harvey Korman, and it 0:01:58.920 --> 0:02:02.760 just it's so weird. I can't imagine what kind of drugs. 0:02:03.000 --> 0:02:05.600 You know, it's like their original endgame or you know, 0:02:05.680 --> 0:02:09.160 it's like the These are all the cameos that everybody 0:02:09.160 --> 0:02:10.000 wanted in the Star Wars. 0:02:10.120 --> 0:02:11.119 Yet does that mean b Arthur? 0:02:11.360 --> 0:02:14.400 I guess it wasn't be Arthur like herself the character 0:02:14.440 --> 0:02:17.119 b Arthur in Star Wars, because then be Arthur would 0:02:17.120 --> 0:02:18.600 exist in the Star Wars uniforse. 0:02:18.600 --> 0:02:20.920 Well, I don't know if it's canon, but all I 0:02:20.960 --> 0:02:23.640 know is it was amazing, and so I don't know 0:02:23.639 --> 0:02:26.240 if you can consider it canon or not. Because apparently 0:02:26.280 --> 0:02:28.960 then like there's all these little things in like the 0:02:29.000 --> 0:02:32.919 Mandalorian like referring to it, referring to like this holiday 0:02:32.919 --> 0:02:35.360 special and the Wretchedness like could following and it aired 0:02:35.360 --> 0:02:36.959 one time, So apparently it was like this thing in 0:02:36.960 --> 0:02:39.800 the geek community where everyone had to like share VHS tapes. 0:02:39.840 --> 0:02:41.200 There were copies of copies of copies. 0:02:41.360 --> 0:02:43.280 You guys, see what happens when Joe gets today? Oh 0:02:43.280 --> 0:02:44.040 this is insane. 0:02:44.040 --> 0:02:45.639 What has happened to you? I don't know about a 0:02:45.680 --> 0:02:46.000 day off? 0:02:46.000 --> 0:02:47.720 You're all happy, You're just like, let me tell you 0:02:47.760 --> 0:02:49.480 about this Crazy Star Wars special. 0:02:50.240 --> 0:02:52.440 Let's get along two weeks around these parts. Let me 0:02:52.480 --> 0:02:54.919 just tell you, but well, let's let's get to something 0:02:54.960 --> 0:02:57.880 that's gonna make me even happier. Ellie Dela Cruz. It's 0:02:57.919 --> 0:03:00.800 Ellie's world Welsh and we're just living in it. Yesterday, 0:03:00.840 --> 0:03:03.959 four to four, four steals, they get a w over 0:03:04.000 --> 0:03:07.560 the Dodgers, the best team in baseball. And just for context, 0:03:08.040 --> 0:03:10.320 Eli de Lacruz has thirty stolen bases now in forty 0:03:10.320 --> 0:03:13.480 four games. It is the seventeenth of May. He has 0:03:13.560 --> 0:03:15.359 almost twice as many as the second guy, which is 0:03:15.400 --> 0:03:19.800 Jose Cabal Yattle. Bryce Trang has sixteen. They're both at 0:03:19.800 --> 0:03:22.640 sixteen and seventeen, respectively. But oh my god, nine homers 0:03:22.680 --> 0:03:24.800 twenty two RBI. He's sitting in two seventy seven. But 0:03:24.919 --> 0:03:28.359 the ops is just under nine hundred's right there, Ledo A. 0:03:28.440 --> 0:03:30.440 Cruz might still strike out a little bit, but well, 0:03:30.600 --> 0:03:32.040 I don't know if there's a guy that's more fun 0:03:32.040 --> 0:03:34.840 to watch and in terms of fantasy return on investment 0:03:34.920 --> 0:03:36.800 right now, he has been that dude. 0:03:37.000 --> 0:03:39.120 Yeah, man, there's a lot of stuff that's kind of 0:03:39.200 --> 0:03:41.720 packed in there. First would love for us to pull 0:03:41.760 --> 0:03:45.760 that clip in like what was it February or early March, Joe, 0:03:45.800 --> 0:03:46.720 where I'm like, hey, you know. 0:03:46.800 --> 0:03:49.520 My favorite bet is steals. I keep saying that. 0:03:49.760 --> 0:03:53.840 But what has been impressive, and this is impressive when 0:03:53.880 --> 0:03:56.160 you look at it. We've really been hyper focused on 0:03:56.680 --> 0:04:00.400 a like the inconsistencies that are going to exist with Ellie. 0:04:01.000 --> 0:04:04.000 But the strikeouts. The strikeouts are down. He's almost under 0:04:04.080 --> 0:04:08.480 thirty percent, which is massive. The stolen bases are going 0:04:08.560 --> 0:04:10.600 to be a chalk piece of his game. But the 0:04:10.680 --> 0:04:13.960 hitting profile continues to be great. He has still maintained 0:04:14.040 --> 0:04:16.560 that thirteen percent in barrel rate. He has an expected 0:04:16.600 --> 0:04:19.479 batting average in the two sixties. He's got double digit 0:04:19.520 --> 0:04:22.640 walk rate. And for all that it's worth, I did 0:04:22.680 --> 0:04:25.120 do this show I mentioned on the show yesterday. I 0:04:25.200 --> 0:04:29.600 spent about forty minutes with Ino Sarris on ITL talking 0:04:29.640 --> 0:04:32.280 about a lot of the procedural stuff about the new 0:04:32.279 --> 0:04:35.000 bat tracking and what you can use and blah blah blah. 0:04:35.000 --> 0:04:37.040 So people want to check that out. Is really interesting conversation. 0:04:37.680 --> 0:04:39.880 What's applicable is tough, But at the end of the day, 0:04:40.480 --> 0:04:44.720 bat speed is always kind of king. Seventy five miles 0:04:44.800 --> 0:04:46.760 per hour he's on the high end. He's on the 0:04:46.839 --> 0:04:50.520 I think from a percentile perspective, top twelve percent in 0:04:50.520 --> 0:04:53.239 the league. Ellie is, so you've got quick, fast bat, 0:04:53.760 --> 0:04:56.800 You're hitting the ball harder, you're barreling that the marriage 0:04:56.839 --> 0:05:00.000 between barrels and bat speed I think is really important. 0:05:00.200 --> 0:05:02.200 He's found that he's striking out less. 0:05:03.000 --> 0:05:03.240 Yeah. 0:05:03.279 --> 0:05:07.640 Man, Like, if you were a hater of lie, you're 0:05:07.720 --> 0:05:10.800 wrong if you questioned some of this stuff, like I 0:05:10.920 --> 0:05:13.279 might have questioned some of it, kind of wrong because 0:05:13.320 --> 0:05:16.760 he's a first round player in any format at this point. 0:05:17.040 --> 0:05:20.000 Absolutely exciting and you know, like if you don't have shares, 0:05:20.040 --> 0:05:22.359 it kind of stinks for you in some capacity. I 0:05:22.360 --> 0:05:26.160 only have one or two in some DC's over in 0:05:26.200 --> 0:05:27.800 the NFBCM. 0:05:27.279 --> 0:05:30.360 For two dollars in my homekeeper league this year two 0:05:30.839 --> 0:05:32.880 because I picked him up last year at the beginning 0:05:32.880 --> 0:05:34.200 of the year and stashed him. 0:05:34.240 --> 0:05:36.760 Do you think this pace I think that's the biggest question, 0:05:36.839 --> 0:05:39.560 or do you think like this version this looking. 0:05:39.360 --> 0:05:42.320 At the date here, six weeks, This six weeks. 0:05:42.120 --> 0:05:44.719 Version is the lle at the end of the year, Like, 0:05:44.920 --> 0:05:46.880 do you think we're going to see a two sixty 0:05:46.920 --> 0:05:49.359 batting average? It's going to be like eighty stolen bases, 0:05:49.440 --> 0:05:50.479 Like what is the line? 0:05:50.600 --> 0:05:52.359 That's a fascinating question. Like there's going to be a 0:05:52.360 --> 0:05:54.799 slump in there at some point, that's just the nature 0:05:54.800 --> 0:05:57.560 of the beast. But even with the slump, I mean 0:05:57.640 --> 0:06:00.400 the stolen base pace that he's on right now. I mean, 0:06:00.720 --> 0:06:02.680 how amazing would it be if he could reach one 0:06:02.720 --> 0:06:05.000 hundred sole bases this year. I mean that's like Ricky 0:06:05.040 --> 0:06:06.320 Henderson level kind of stuff. 0:06:06.320 --> 0:06:08.400 That he went for five last night. 0:06:08.440 --> 0:06:11.600 By the way he went, it was perfect throw that 0:06:11.680 --> 0:06:13.279 got him out, and he would have had he would 0:06:13.320 --> 0:06:15.400 have been Booker t he'd have been like five times. 0:06:15.880 --> 0:06:17.599 He would have been five times stolen basis. 0:06:17.760 --> 0:06:20.120 It's the environment, it's the rules changes that have allowed 0:06:20.120 --> 0:06:23.760 this to happen, the lack of the art form of 0:06:23.800 --> 0:06:26.320 holding runners on again going back to the art form 0:06:26.360 --> 0:06:29.280 of pitching. Oh and you know, making sure that you 0:06:29.279 --> 0:06:32.240 get Ellie Dela Cruz out is important because once he 0:06:32.240 --> 0:06:35.320 gets on the bases, it's a double or triple and 0:06:35.360 --> 0:06:36.960 I think that's something you've got to take an account. 0:06:36.960 --> 0:06:38.800 It's nearly like a run score. And that's the other 0:06:38.839 --> 0:06:41.080 thing too, is like what his run score total could be, 0:06:41.279 --> 0:06:42.880 could you imagine what this lineup would be if Matt 0:06:42.920 --> 0:06:45.839 McClain was healthy, right, Like, think about that too. I 0:06:45.839 --> 0:06:48.440 think about Christen and Karnasiostrand has been a disappointment and 0:06:48.440 --> 0:06:50.359 then he's on the il. This lineup is not one 0:06:50.440 --> 0:06:52.800 hundred percent, So I do think there will be struggles. 0:06:52.800 --> 0:06:55.200 To answer your question, I also do believe that at 0:06:55.200 --> 0:06:56.760 some point too, when you get some of these other 0:06:56.800 --> 0:06:59.520 pieces back or right, man, the Reds are going to 0:06:59.560 --> 0:07:01.440 be really dangerous. The Reds feel like they could be 0:07:01.480 --> 0:07:04.719 a playoff team. But it's again, the pitching's gotta gotta 0:07:04.720 --> 0:07:05.440 be more consistent. 0:07:05.480 --> 0:07:07.440 They got to buy yeah, and they've got to make 0:07:07.480 --> 0:07:07.840 some buys. 0:07:08.000 --> 0:07:08.240 Put it. 0:07:08.440 --> 0:07:10.560 If risk is a put up, put up his comment 0:07:10.920 --> 0:07:11.600 do this game? 0:07:11.960 --> 0:07:15.000 What do you think the predictive line for the year is? 0:07:15.040 --> 0:07:17.280 Because one of the most important things to me for 0:07:17.360 --> 0:07:20.080 some of these players is that they don't fall into 0:07:20.120 --> 0:07:23.080 the trap of being a wasteland for a month. That's 0:07:23.080 --> 0:07:25.480 the thing where like you have a guy who is 0:07:25.560 --> 0:07:28.600 great for three months, bad for two and then people call, oh, 0:07:28.640 --> 0:07:30.120 it's a huge win, and it's like, well, if this 0:07:30.160 --> 0:07:33.880 guy was almost a borderline droppable, that doesn't help Elly's 0:07:33.880 --> 0:07:38.000 finding consistency in these stolen bases. Even if he hits 0:07:38.040 --> 0:07:40.280 two twenty, he's gonna get on base and steal like crazy. 0:07:40.320 --> 0:07:43.280 So fifty nine or two fifty seven, twenty nine homers, 0:07:43.320 --> 0:07:45.680 one hundred and eight steals, one hundred and twelve runs 0:07:45.880 --> 0:07:47.000 from Visirism. 0:07:46.680 --> 0:07:49.040 Gets twenty two, one hundred and twenty two runs. 0:07:49.160 --> 0:07:51.200 Of all these numbers, one twenty two is what I 0:07:51.360 --> 0:07:53.480 like the most, to be honest with you, you know what, 0:07:53.520 --> 0:07:56.040 I think this is pretty reasonable. I would trim down 0:07:56.040 --> 0:07:58.120 the stolen bases to like one oh two because I 0:07:58.160 --> 0:08:00.760 think when he's getting closer there, I think it's going 0:08:00.840 --> 0:08:01.960 to be a thing. You know. I remember a couple 0:08:01.960 --> 0:08:03.400 of years ago when Pete A. Lonzo was a rookie 0:08:03.400 --> 0:08:05.440 and he was very aware of the home run record. 0:08:05.440 --> 0:08:07.920 He's very aware of the milestone of one hundred stolen bases. 0:08:07.960 --> 0:08:11.320 I think is something that players are hyper aware of. Ellie, 0:08:11.360 --> 0:08:13.840 and I think he's Ellie knows, and he knows that 0:08:13.960 --> 0:08:16.360 right now he is on a pace to crush that, 0:08:16.640 --> 0:08:21.000 and that's a very exciting thing to He'll tell you this, good. 0:08:20.560 --> 0:08:23.520 Ellie will have more stolen bases than RBI at the 0:08:23.600 --> 0:08:25.640 end of the year. I think I think he's going 0:08:25.720 --> 0:08:26.400 to push we. 0:08:26.600 --> 0:08:28.360 Have more stone bases than teams this year. 0:08:28.680 --> 0:08:31.960 Yeah, I think he's gonna have like eighty five stolen bases. 0:08:32.000 --> 0:08:34.400 I think it's gonna be in the twenties on Homers. 0:08:34.600 --> 0:08:38.400 He's gonna score one hundred something runs and he'll probably like, 0:08:39.040 --> 0:08:42.760 you know, seventy five RBI with eighty five stolen bases. 0:08:42.800 --> 0:08:44.640 It's gonna gonna post. 0:08:44.520 --> 0:08:47.160 An interview after two, which was amazing. The post interview, 0:08:47.480 --> 0:08:49.079 he was like, Yeah, I like LA. I played a 0:08:49.120 --> 0:08:50.720 lot of Grand Theft Auto when I was a kid. 0:08:51.600 --> 0:08:52.600 Thought that was tremendous. 0:08:52.600 --> 0:08:54.760 Elly is is very uniquely awesome. 0:08:55.080 --> 0:08:56.959 And I love that he had worked on the English too, 0:08:57.000 --> 0:08:58.680 so because he wanted to do the interviews, he wanted 0:08:58.720 --> 0:09:00.200 to connect with the fans and stuff like that. Like 0:09:00.240 --> 0:09:02.960 that's just amazing. Like I like to think if you 0:09:03.000 --> 0:09:04.719 know what I was, if if I got sent to 0:09:04.760 --> 0:09:06.800 the Mexican League of Podcasting right that I would be 0:09:06.840 --> 0:09:08.640 working very hard on my Spanish and I would be 0:09:08.679 --> 0:09:11.440 making every attempt to not host the show in English 0:09:11.480 --> 0:09:13.319 and make sure that that's a very important part of 0:09:13.360 --> 0:09:14.520 the connectivity of the audience. 0:09:15.320 --> 0:09:16.920 There'll be options. 0:09:16.679 --> 0:09:21.960 Any Uh, well, that's a good one of our Spanish 0:09:22.000 --> 0:09:23.880 speaking folks here in the chat. Let me know what 0:09:24.000 --> 0:09:24.920 the equivalent of age. 0:09:26.000 --> 0:09:26.360 Let's see. 0:09:26.920 --> 0:09:29.440 I'm sure that will work. All right, Let's talk about 0:09:29.440 --> 0:09:31.360 Paul Skeens, because we haven't talked about him in like 0:09:31.400 --> 0:09:35.040 ten minutes. Paul Skans I already, I told watch for 0:09:35.120 --> 0:09:37.880 the show. I feel I'm getting schens fatigue already. I'm 0:09:37.880 --> 0:09:39.720 like two starts into this thing and I'm a little 0:09:39.760 --> 0:09:44.199 schemed out. Another start today, it's another day start two, 0:09:44.200 --> 0:09:46.400 which I don't love. You know, some guys just don't 0:09:46.400 --> 0:09:49.240 play well in the daytime also, just you know, for 0:09:49.280 --> 0:09:52.400 whatever reason. But here we go. We're back again. It's 0:09:52.440 --> 0:09:54.280 the same. It's the it's the back to back start 0:09:54.280 --> 0:09:56.480 two against the Cubs, which is another thing where you 0:09:56.520 --> 0:09:59.200 know sometimes that second time around that team, you're only 0:09:59.200 --> 0:10:02.439 facing that same team. Why so preview if you will 0:10:02.840 --> 0:10:05.360 a little bit of the Paul Skins two point out today. 0:10:06.040 --> 0:10:08.720 I'm a little bit worried about, like exactly what you're saying. 0:10:08.880 --> 0:10:10.800 By the way, I looked at the Google Translate and 0:10:10.840 --> 0:10:11.679 it said. 0:10:12.080 --> 0:10:15.280 Hey too, hey too. But I also saw hey doo, 0:10:15.559 --> 0:10:19.960 yo Ola. Hey, I think yo Ola would make a lot. 0:10:19.960 --> 0:10:21.920 I don't get the hayo anymore. They made me stop 0:10:21.960 --> 0:10:24.760 doing that. The old other things didn't like that. So 0:10:25.040 --> 0:10:26.679 I haven't done a hay yo in a long time. 0:10:27.080 --> 0:10:30.560 That's like twenty twenty one. Last time I hayoed, Hey, 0:10:30.800 --> 0:10:32.400 maybe Papa Joe can get away with it. 0:10:32.520 --> 0:10:34.120 Pupa definitely did that. Yeah. 0:10:34.640 --> 0:10:36.319 By the way, there's a clip on the YouTube channel 0:10:36.320 --> 0:10:39.280 of just the Papa Joe the best of Papa Joe moments. 0:10:39.320 --> 0:10:41.760 Would you shout out to Welsh and Tyler to put 0:10:41.800 --> 0:10:45.000 that together. It's tremendous. Go subscribe to YouTube channel. Check 0:10:45.000 --> 0:10:46.200 that out. But back to Paul Skins. 0:10:46.520 --> 0:10:50.400 Yeah, so I'm very interested interested to see like how 0:10:50.440 --> 0:10:53.400 the pitch mix ends up working. Another interesting thing, when 0:10:53.400 --> 0:10:54.800 I was talking with you know, we actually kind of 0:10:54.840 --> 0:10:59.080 just dove into Jared Jones and into Paul Skins because 0:10:59.440 --> 0:11:01.360 in that first start, the thing I still haven't got 0:11:01.360 --> 0:11:04.199 out of my brain was he was like heavy fastball 0:11:04.320 --> 0:11:06.720 in those first two innings and the guys were just 0:11:06.840 --> 0:11:09.319 way behind it. Then all of a sudden they started 0:11:09.320 --> 0:11:13.280 to try to go splinker slider on two strike counts. Grandall, 0:11:13.320 --> 0:11:15.360 I felt like they were I don't know, if it 0:11:15.400 --> 0:11:18.079 was getting cute and maybe it was masking the worry 0:11:18.360 --> 0:11:20.360 that guys were gonna start catching up to the fastball. 0:11:20.400 --> 0:11:22.000 I'm not one hundred percent sure, but I felt like 0:11:22.040 --> 0:11:26.480 he started being a little bit less effective. So your 0:11:26.520 --> 0:11:29.400 second start, you're going back to the team, back to 0:11:29.440 --> 0:11:33.439 the players that have seen you. Ian Hap a pretty 0:11:33.440 --> 0:11:37.880 good high strike hitter. You know, they just had Jared Jones, like, 0:11:38.640 --> 0:11:41.840 I don't know if I love his strikeout prop. 0:11:41.880 --> 0:11:44.440 Today it's like six and a half, and I can't 0:11:44.440 --> 0:11:45.040 go either way. 0:11:45.160 --> 0:11:47.800 I agree. You know, I went a meet this morning 0:11:47.840 --> 0:11:50.120 when I put the show together, immediately where I went 0:11:50.160 --> 0:11:51.640 and I go, okay, what's the skeen's number. I'm thinking 0:11:51.679 --> 0:11:52.920 like five and a half? It was six, and I 0:11:52.960 --> 0:11:56.000 was like no, oh, And if anything, the under is 0:11:56.040 --> 0:11:58.000 intriguing because I think you get plus money on the under. 0:11:58.240 --> 0:11:59.680 Yeah, no, of course you do. But it's like I 0:11:59.720 --> 0:12:01.040 can't do that so right. 0:12:01.000 --> 0:12:03.760 But that's not a great investment either, because we all 0:12:03.760 --> 0:12:06.720 know how no electric schemes can be. I don't stay 0:12:06.760 --> 0:12:07.319 away from me. 0:12:07.280 --> 0:12:11.680 Today unless there's an approach change as far as what 0:12:11.720 --> 0:12:13.600 they're gonna do with the pitch mix, Maybe go really 0:12:13.600 --> 0:12:16.440 heavy fastballs. My gut tells me we're not gonna go 0:12:16.520 --> 0:12:20.920 five again. I think you're gonna have more secondary sitting. 0:12:20.960 --> 0:12:24.760 They're gonna probably sit on some more secondary stuff and 0:12:24.840 --> 0:12:27.880 it might be real heavy fastball looks in this, So 0:12:28.120 --> 0:12:30.320 maybe the walks are gonna be it's gonna go like 0:12:30.360 --> 0:12:32.760 he's gonna strike out ten or I think this is 0:12:32.800 --> 0:12:34.480 gonna be a little bit rougher than the last one. 0:12:34.520 --> 0:12:36.600 I just don't think he's gonna go five. But again, 0:12:36.679 --> 0:12:39.199 this is all sample size. We just don't know quite 0:12:39.320 --> 0:12:41.240 enough about it. It's the early game, so it's gonna 0:12:41.240 --> 0:12:43.520 happen here pretty soon. But I'm not touching any of 0:12:43.559 --> 0:12:46.160 the props or anything like that because going up against 0:12:46.160 --> 0:12:49.160 the same team again not the best. But I didn't 0:12:49.160 --> 0:12:51.000 even see this Bizi zik As. I said no Horner, 0:12:51.080 --> 0:12:54.400 no Swanson, no Suzuki today, so that actually does bode 0:12:55.080 --> 0:12:57.080 schemes did get Suzuki a couple times, though, but that 0:12:57.120 --> 0:13:00.439 bodes relatively well, So we'll see. We'll see on I 0:13:00.440 --> 0:13:02.520 think it's going to be a much better time to 0:13:02.679 --> 0:13:06.000 process who he's going to be after we've got like 0:13:06.160 --> 0:13:08.959 two or three starts in it. But I do one 0:13:09.040 --> 0:13:13.040 hundred percent feel the craziness is gone from Skeens. 0:13:12.840 --> 0:13:14.679 The height. Like I know you said, you're like, you're 0:13:14.720 --> 0:13:16.120 sick of talking about I'm. 0:13:16.120 --> 0:13:17.880 Sick of talking about I'm fatigued. 0:13:17.920 --> 0:13:19.040 There's a different But I think. 0:13:18.920 --> 0:13:21.319 Tradery day off yesterday, so maybe I would be sick 0:13:21.360 --> 0:13:21.920 of it, but I'm not. 0:13:21.960 --> 0:13:24.040 I'm just but we talked about like, you know, look 0:13:24.040 --> 0:13:25.839 can you get for Schmes and blah blah blah blah, 0:13:25.840 --> 0:13:28.200 And it's just like I think that the there's a 0:13:28.240 --> 0:13:29.760 fatigue two right now. 0:13:29.800 --> 0:13:34.160 That's about that though that if the peak schemes value 0:13:34.200 --> 0:13:38.760 this year was Friday before his debut, you could have probably, 0:13:39.080 --> 0:13:41.160 I mean the packages you could have put together. Paul 0:13:41.200 --> 0:13:44.160 Skins are people salivating over what it could be. And 0:13:44.200 --> 0:13:45.600 it's not that he's not going to be amazing and 0:13:45.640 --> 0:13:47.480 have amazing moments. I think he will. And people I 0:13:47.520 --> 0:13:49.839 see in the chat asking you know Skeins are Jones. 0:13:49.880 --> 0:13:53.199 It's Jones. Jones has already proven now he's consistently great. 0:13:53.280 --> 0:13:55.240 Skeins has got to prove that at this level still. 0:13:55.320 --> 0:13:57.479 I don't care what he did a triple A. It's fantastic, 0:13:57.520 --> 0:13:59.800 it's fabulous. We're all excited. Jones has done it the 0:13:59.800 --> 0:14:02.360 major league level for six weeks. That's impressive to me. 0:14:02.679 --> 0:14:05.559 Tier Glass now was less impressive. Eight strikeouts but four 0:14:05.600 --> 0:14:07.360 runs over five innings lost to the Reds. We talked 0:14:07.360 --> 0:14:10.320 about that. Edwin Diaz blew another save. Okay, everybody, here 0:14:10.360 --> 0:14:13.600 we go, So here we go. He's terrible. 0:14:13.760 --> 0:14:14.600 Get rid of this guy. 0:14:14.640 --> 0:14:15.240 He's no good. 0:14:15.240 --> 0:14:15.920 He's a bump. 0:14:16.320 --> 0:14:18.800 You know. He goes hurt last year and now he 0:14:18.880 --> 0:14:21.320 comes in and he's he's blown all these saves. 0:14:21.440 --> 0:14:22.440 It's unbelievable. 0:14:22.800 --> 0:14:24.920 Look, I'm not worried about Edwin Diaz. To me, he's 0:14:24.960 --> 0:14:27.040 a by Low and the biggest other by Loo out 0:14:27.040 --> 0:14:29.840 there has got to be a Kunya Acunya right now. 0:14:30.040 --> 0:14:31.920 I wrote about this on Fantasy bros dot Com. You 0:14:31.920 --> 0:14:34.040 can go check that out in the latest by Low 0:14:34.120 --> 0:14:37.400 Sell High Up. Because Acunya is down at two forty five, 0:14:38.280 --> 0:14:40.520 slugging is at three forty two, the home run rate 0:14:40.640 --> 0:14:44.120 is atrocious. Everything right now is just bad for Acunya. 0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:46.600 This is your window to buy greatness. But rond Acuni 0:14:46.680 --> 0:14:48.400 is going to be fine the rest of the season. Collectively, 0:14:48.400 --> 0:14:52.440 the Braves have struggled. Olsen Riley will get hot if 0:14:52.560 --> 0:14:54.400 Albi's missed time at the beginning of the year with 0:14:54.440 --> 0:14:57.600 an injury, it's only a matter of time. And I 0:14:57.640 --> 0:14:59.800 am not worried at all about Akunya. I think this 0:14:59.840 --> 0:15:02.280 is your only window all season to buy him in leagues. 0:15:02.480 --> 0:15:04.440 But come correct, like you're gonna have to go and 0:15:04.480 --> 0:15:07.320 put out a really strong player. And think about it too. 0:15:08.080 --> 0:15:10.640 You know the all around greatness of Ronald of Cunya 0:15:10.680 --> 0:15:14.080 Welsh to me, you would trade a Freddie Freeman right now, 0:15:14.160 --> 0:15:16.040 despite the fact that Freeman's average is high and all 0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:18.360 that stuff for Ronald Acony if you could pull that off. 0:15:18.360 --> 0:15:21.640 And my reasoning is you're getting every category with Akunya 0:15:21.720 --> 0:15:24.560 where you're still Yeah, I don't think you're gonna set 0:15:24.560 --> 0:15:25.920 it going into the art like you can get Frey 0:15:25.920 --> 0:15:27.600 Freeman to steal as many basis as he did last year. 0:15:27.600 --> 0:15:29.000 I think that was a little bit of an anomaly. 0:15:29.160 --> 0:15:30.800 He's another year older. But what do you think, is 0:15:30.800 --> 0:15:32.480 this the only window to buy a Kunya? Because I 0:15:32.480 --> 0:15:32.800 think it. 0:15:32.760 --> 0:15:36.280 Is, yeah, the only window maybe like in a long 0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:37.040 period of time. 0:15:37.360 --> 0:15:39.160 It's interesting because we talked about it yesterday. 0:15:39.200 --> 0:15:42.040 The whole like detox get a day off when you 0:15:42.080 --> 0:15:45.240 start to look at underlying stuff. There's clearly one thing 0:15:45.240 --> 0:15:48.120 that stands out. It's the strikeouts. Like he was eleven 0:15:48.160 --> 0:15:51.480 percent last year, he's almost twenty five percent this year. 0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:53.840 The hard hit numbers are still there, but they're not 0:15:53.960 --> 0:15:55.520 at like his usual elite level. 0:15:55.720 --> 0:15:56.360 But because of. 0:15:56.320 --> 0:15:59.080 These things, you see kind of like the decline in 0:15:59.120 --> 0:16:02.200 barrel percentage decline and like you know, expected batting average 0:16:02.200 --> 0:16:04.560 that's stick in there. Not to keep harping on this, 0:16:04.880 --> 0:16:06.880 but like one of the things that you know and 0:16:06.920 --> 0:16:10.280 I talked about was if we had a year over 0:16:10.400 --> 0:16:15.320 year data about bat speed and the bat length and 0:16:15.360 --> 0:16:16.520 all that and. 0:16:16.520 --> 0:16:17.160 Watch it, Joe. 0:16:17.560 --> 0:16:19.360 You know, if we had the year over year data, 0:16:19.400 --> 0:16:21.840 it would be really fascinating because when you look at 0:16:21.840 --> 0:16:25.600 a Kunya, he's got he's got one of the fastest 0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:28.920 swings in baseball, but his the length of his swing 0:16:29.360 --> 0:16:31.840 is bigger than like the MLB. 0:16:31.680 --> 0:16:33.760 Average And calm yourself down. 0:16:33.960 --> 0:16:36.640 So what I'm getting at is what's the MLB average 0:16:36.920 --> 0:16:37.720 seven point three. 0:16:39.240 --> 0:16:41.040 That's that's pretty good, zize. 0:16:41.120 --> 0:16:43.760 Pretty good that it's very intimidating. 0:16:44.560 --> 0:16:48.080 But my my point with it is like this might 0:16:48.120 --> 0:16:50.000 be one of those things where you could tell because 0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:54.160 he's like seventy three percentile of bat speed is a 0:16:54.240 --> 0:16:57.520 consistency of going seventy five miles or over. My point 0:16:57.600 --> 0:17:01.280 is is having a predictability. Maybe his swing has gotten long, 0:17:01.320 --> 0:17:04.359