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Speaker 1: Sunday Week seventeen wrapping up, and we have a day

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Speaker 1: to discuss.

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Speaker 2: We have a couple of days to discuss. In fact,

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Favorites presented by DraftKings. I'm your host,

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Speaker 2: Brandon Kravitz. I feel like we have not talked in days.

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Speaker 2: I'm joined by my fellow degenerates, Kendra Middleton and Stucky.

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Speaker 3: We've got our goats and wotes queued.

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Speaker 2: Up, our biggest takeaways from the Christmas slate, the Saturday slate,

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Speaker 2: and we'll spend most of our time on the Sunday

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Speaker 2: card that we just witnessed. Plus we've got a fast

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Speaker 2: pass parlay for you for Rams Falcons.

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Speaker 3: How was everyone's day, Kendra? How is your Christmas?

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Speaker 2: Give me a nice little bow on what maybe we've

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Speaker 2: missed the last couple of days.

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Speaker 4: I am ready for this week to be over. I

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Speaker 4: hate Christmas. It's the worst and I had a bad week,

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Speaker 4: so I'm ready for this week to be over. I'm

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Speaker 4: ready for it to be next year. I have nothing

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Speaker 4: nice to say, so I'm not going to say anything

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Speaker 4: at all.

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Speaker 2: You know you and you had yourself a successful season

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Speaker 2: as well, so I don't know if if I were

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Speaker 2: you if I'd be that quick to remove myself from

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Speaker 2: the twenty twenty five season. But we've got one more

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Speaker 2: week of regular season action and then we'll discuss a

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Speaker 2: postseason schedule when we get there.

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Speaker 3: But Stucky, what about you? How is your Christmas? How

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Speaker 3: was your betting week?

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Speaker 5: Good week and good run lately. So hope to keep

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Speaker 5: it going, but it's always on to the next I

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Speaker 5: love this time of the year for figuring out. I

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Speaker 5: love the playoff simulations, and this week coming up, it's

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Speaker 5: all about figuring out who is going to rest their

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Speaker 5: starters and who is not, because most everything is pretty

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Speaker 5: much decided besides the obvious, right like, you're gonna have

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Speaker 5: San Francisco Seattle potentially for the division and for the

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Speaker 5: one seed. Loser then drops to six and then maybe

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Speaker 5: goes to Philly. You have Baltimore Pittsburgh for the division,

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Speaker 5: Carolina Tampa, who might be the two worst team in

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Speaker 5: the division by the way, playing for the division. Maybe

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Speaker 5: if the Falcons win out, Panthers win the division no

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Speaker 5: matter what. I don't know if everyone knows that. So

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Speaker 5: if the Atlanto beats the Rams tomorrow night and the

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Speaker 5: Rams have no shot of winning the Division. If San

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Speaker 5: Francisco wins tonight because Seattle won, just throwing that out there,

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Speaker 5: but it's just trying to figure that out. How much

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Speaker 5: are team's going to value like going up to the five,

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Speaker 5: potentially going up to the five line, or you know,

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Speaker 5: staying at the six or risks dropping to the seven,

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Speaker 5: like a team like the Chargers. Right, they can't win

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Speaker 5: the division? Now, how do they treat next week's game?

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Speaker 5: Because you could go up to the five seed. That

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Speaker 5: could mean hey, we're going to Pittsburgh, but it also

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Speaker 5: could mean you're going to Baltimore. So maybe we just say,

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Speaker 5: let's rest our starters and make sure Herbert and we

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Speaker 5: don't have any more injuries on the offensive line. The Rams,

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Speaker 5: for example, I could ramble about this for days. We'll

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Speaker 5: do that on the podcast this week. But the Rams,

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Speaker 5: for example, McVeigh historically almost always rests his starters no

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Speaker 5: matter what. Like obviously if it's for the division, for

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Speaker 5: a bye, it's different. But like when it just comes

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Speaker 5: to like all right, I can go up a seed

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Speaker 5: or two, he says, No, I always choose health. I

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Speaker 5: don't care where we have to play, But in the

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Speaker 5: NFC that I mean, it's a pretty big difference between

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Speaker 5: the five and the six, because the five means you're

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Speaker 5: going to the you know, the NFC South, you know,

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Speaker 5: the the Ugly prom Queen, or you're going to Philly.

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Speaker 5: So yeah, like that's that's trying to figure all that

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Speaker 5: out Green Bay, for example, you if you're if you're

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Speaker 5: the floor, you rest everybody, you're the seven last. And

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Speaker 5: I think he hinted at this, but last year they

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Speaker 5: played same exact scenario and Watson toward his ACL they

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Speaker 5: have so many injuries, you rest everyone, you put Clayton

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Speaker 5: tune out there, Clayton tune Max Brosmer meaningless Week eighteen,

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Speaker 5: what a game? Uh So Yeah, I can't wait to

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Speaker 5: dig into all that, which we'll get to with the podcast.

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Speaker 5: But it's a decent week and it's on to the next.

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Speaker 2: I do think that we should get you the Floor

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Speaker 2: again before we wrap, to just see if we can

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Speaker 2: go through a couple of these scenarios and see if

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Speaker 2: there's any value that we should be mopping up. You

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Speaker 2: don't spend a lot of time on the Sunday episode

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Speaker 2: looking ahead to the next week, but this will be

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Speaker 2: a really good week to do that. Before all of

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Speaker 2: the games are even wrapped up for exactly those reasons.

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Speaker 2: So we'll get back to that in just a moment.

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Speaker 2: Second week in a row where I have cooked our

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Speaker 2: parlay might have to sit out for Week eighteen. Those

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Speaker 2: damn Panthers, I'll start with. My vote is Carolina who

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Speaker 2: has won me a lot of money this year. I

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Speaker 2: did the Action Network twenty twenty five wrapped thing. The

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Speaker 2: team in sports baseball, basketball, football that made me the

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Speaker 2: most money this year was the Carolina Panthers. However, we

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Speaker 2: needed them today to come through and they It's not

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Speaker 2: like it was just a bad read. I got closing

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Speaker 2: line value. The game closed at six and a half,

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Speaker 2: got it at seven and a half. They it had

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Speaker 2: opportunity after opportunity in the first half, and then had

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Speaker 2: a chance to cover through the back door at the

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Speaker 2: end of the game and was just not able to

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Speaker 2: get it done. A horrible game from Bryce Young and

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Speaker 2: neither of these teams. The Bucks who lost to the

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Speaker 2: Dolphins got the cover there. But neither of these teams

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Speaker 2: deserve to win the NFC South. Neither of these teams

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Speaker 2: deserve to be in the playoffs. Very salty about the

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Speaker 2: Sad Cats today, So I'll you know.

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Speaker 5: Bryce Young had a bad game, fourteen to twenty four

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Speaker 5: for fifty four yards.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it was pretty It was pretty pretty awful, pretty

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Speaker 2: pretty abysmal opportunities to.

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Speaker 3: Drive down the field.

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Speaker 2: With Sam Darnold looking like he was seeing ghosts in

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Speaker 2: the first half. I thought the defense played great and

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Speaker 2: Bryce Young was just a bag of shit today. It

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Speaker 2: was awful, Kendra, what about you?

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Speaker 4: My woe is myself. I chased some incentives that came

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Speaker 4: out for players and it did not work out in

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Speaker 4: my favor, and it caused my day to go to shit.

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Speaker 4: So it's me for chasing incentives. My goat is gonna.

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Speaker 2: Can we stop there? Who was the number one incentive

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Speaker 2: chase that you regret the most?

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Speaker 4: Hunter Henry Hunter?

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Speaker 3: Henry for sure, he needed he needed eight. He needs eight.

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Speaker 4: Catches before the end of the year to hit like

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Speaker 4: a five hundred thousand dollars incentive in his total for

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Speaker 4: today I think was four and a half. And I

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Speaker 4: hit the over because I figured that with their injuries

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Speaker 4: on the offensive line and all of their injuries at receiver,

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Speaker 4: that it would have been a Hunter Henry day. And

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Speaker 4: for some fucking reason, they put up nine thousand points

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Speaker 4: and my man had like two catches. And then I

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Speaker 4: also had Sam Darnold for two touchdowns passing. I think

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Speaker 4: he needs four total to hit an incentive. So yeah,

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Speaker 4: super fun I've it's funny because last year for me

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Speaker 4: was Matt like, I could not hit a spread to

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Speaker 4: save my life, and I was all player props and

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Speaker 4: I won all of my money on player props. And

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Speaker 4: this year has been the exact opposite. I've been hit

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Speaker 4: on spreads and dying with player props. I also last

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Speaker 4: minute got in on the bills and so that sucked.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, that's that's how my week has gone.

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Speaker 5: Bills, by the way, eight drives into Philly territory twelve points,

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Speaker 5: they lose because they got an extra point block. The

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Speaker 5: Eagles win another game that they shouldn't have won. I mean,

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Speaker 5: they did seventeen plays for seventeen yards, Hurtz didn't complete

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Speaker 5: a pass in the second half, oh for seven, and

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Speaker 5: they win I think a third game of the year

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Speaker 5: because of a blocked extra pointer field goal.

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Speaker 2: Well, he also had a Josh Allen passed to year

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Speaker 2: that yeah, he was wide open. That was just Even

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Speaker 2: with all of that, still had an opportunity on the

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Speaker 2: last play of the game to win.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, but another thing worth mentioning in that game, the

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Speaker 5: Bills probably win easily if Allen could move his foot.

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Speaker 5: Injury was definitely a thing and he just didn't have

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Speaker 5: the same burst. So Buffalo week eighteen day, who they

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Speaker 5: the Jets? I think, Jesus Christ, that team is an abomination. Yeah,

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Speaker 5: they host the Jets. I mean, could you could go

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Speaker 5: out there and play quarterback and beat the Jets? Maybe,

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Speaker 5: but I assume you rest out here. I mean you're

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Speaker 5: the I think there's the seventh seed right now, the difference,

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Speaker 5: and they don't have the tiebreaker over the Texans or

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Speaker 5: the Chargers. Like, maybe they could jump up if the

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Speaker 5: Texans love the Texans play at home against the Colts

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Speaker 5: and there Riley Leonard is going to start, so maybe

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Speaker 5: you can jump up to the sixth. But honestly, finally,

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Speaker 5: Buffalo is afraid of going into England or Denver right now,

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Speaker 5: So I think you rest everyone up, your Buffalo up. Yeah?

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Speaker 4: I agree?

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Speaker 3: What about you, Stucky As far as the wote goes

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Speaker 3: for today.

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Speaker 5: Uh, whatte is? Well? My goat is you mentioned the

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Speaker 5: Action rat my most profitable team in back to back

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Speaker 5: years the Cleveland Browns. So my goat is the Cleveland Browns.

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Speaker 5: My guy howd and did enough. He was in there

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Speaker 5: for only a quarter for to do this.

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Speaker 4: What are you guys talking?

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Speaker 3: I have fomo?

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Speaker 4: What the fuck is going on for?

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Speaker 5: What?

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Speaker 3: Wait? Yeah, it's that? Is that? Uh? When action rapped?

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Speaker 4: Am I old?

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Speaker 3: What the fuck? Do you know what Spotify wrapped is?

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Speaker 3: Are you familiar with?

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Speaker 4: You?

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Speaker 3: Just pull pull up your ass the same thing.

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Speaker 5: On the wh say my action. You'll see it at

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Speaker 5: the top. It says how you bet in twenty twenty?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, oh wait, you're doing this? This is still available? Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I guess the years ago.

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Speaker 5: The end of the year.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we're gonna need.

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Speaker 5: He came out. He helped develop that years ago. But

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Speaker 5: the Browns been my most probityham mainly I just faded

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Speaker 5: him on the road and bet him at home. Not nothing,

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Speaker 5: uh no, nothing earth shattering but that game. And my

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Speaker 5: woade is the Raiders. I mean I love the Raiders

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Speaker 5: this week and then they decide to fully outwardly tank.

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Speaker 5: I bet them before all this happened, they shut down Crosby.

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Speaker 5: What are we becoming the NBA like this? This is

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Speaker 5: the week seventeen. It's not even week eighteen, and.

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Speaker 2: I can't figure out which is the bigger tank of

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Speaker 2: benching Crosby or still deciding to play Genos Smith.

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Speaker 5: We shut down bowers Chin like that was. That was embarrassing.

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Speaker 5: And then the NFL is that of one of as

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Speaker 5: one of the two games in the four o'clock slate,

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Speaker 5: and when the other is the Eagles the most boring

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Speaker 5: team in the NFL.

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Speaker 3: This was not a long time.

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Speaker 2: For all the bad four o'clocks that we've had, all

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Speaker 2: the bad late windows that we've had this season. This

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Speaker 2: has been a theme on this podcast. I was bitching

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Speaker 2: about this. This was this the worst one.

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Speaker 3: I felt.

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Speaker 5: I'd never I never sleep, I never fall asleep. I

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Speaker 5: don't think I've ever missed an NFL window in my

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Speaker 5: life or since I, you know, was in middle school.

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Speaker 5: Watched every primetime game, every every single I'd never fall

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Speaker 5: I don't think I've fallen asleep. I woke up like

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Speaker 5: in the miss like eight minutes in the third quarter

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Speaker 5: because it was just it's the only game. I turned

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Speaker 5: red zone off and then just had one screen so

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Speaker 5: it was going to commercials. I'm not used to watching

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Speaker 5: commercials and do off. So yeah, that was a brutal slight.

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Speaker 5: But yeah, my goat is the Browns. That there's I've

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Speaker 5: wrote about this for ten years. I've talked about it

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Speaker 5: on Twitter for fifteen teams that need to win for

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Speaker 5: their playfofs playing eliminated teams. Those eliminated teams now are

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Speaker 5: one twelve over the final two weeks. I guess he's

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Speaker 5: a one twelve, sixty nine and one against the spread,

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Speaker 5: sixty one and a half percent somewhere around there. So yeah,

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Speaker 5: this week, Vikings at home against the Lions, Dolphins against

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Speaker 5: the Bucks, and the Browns against the Steelers went three

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Speaker 5: and zero. And yeah, I mean the Steelers, it was embarrassing.

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Speaker 5: What might get the Ravens into the playoffs is the fan,

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Speaker 5: the Detroit fan who baited Metcalf into because the Steelers

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Speaker 5: offense without Metcalf. Because he you could just watch, like

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Speaker 5: when teams are at the goal line, right, you'll have

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Speaker 5: a corner and then a safety over top. He draws attention.

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Speaker 5: They have nobody who can get open, who can beat

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Speaker 5: man covers. Nobody. I mean, you're Adam Feelnd and Scottie

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Speaker 5: Miller and mar and mvs no one can get open.

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Speaker 5: That was just an abysmal game plan from the Steelers.

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Speaker 5: They were so worried about Miles Garrett getting his record

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Speaker 5: that they might have cost themselves a playoff Berth. But

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Speaker 5: I guess Tom and got his nine wins and that's

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Speaker 5: all that matters. But that was in that like, that's

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Speaker 5: that's all they were worried about. And then you let

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Speaker 5: the Browns meet you and hold you at six points.

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Speaker 5: So yeah, Cleveland gets it done at home again despite

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Speaker 5: just their offense. They have nothing on offense without Fanning,

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Speaker 5: and Fanning got hurt. If he's out next week, they

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Speaker 5: probably get their doors bone Offen Sincy. So yeah, my

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Speaker 5: goat is the Cleveland Browns, and my wote my goat.

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Speaker 5: I joined you on that. I ended up joining you on

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Speaker 5: the Today right now, Mayfield. I mean that team is

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Speaker 5: like a bottom five team.

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Speaker 2: Right now, we're gonna We're gonna have to spend a

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Speaker 2: moment deciding I might end up betting the Panthers before

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Speaker 2: the end of this podcast, Kendra, before we move off

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Speaker 2: of this, I see the excitement on your face.

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Speaker 3: I want the update on the action.

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Speaker 4: I want you guys to guess my top team and

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Speaker 4: my bottom team.

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Speaker 3: Your top team would be anyone playing the Patriots.

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Speaker 5: I would have got the Patriots probably.

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Speaker 3: Your top team would be the No, you don't bet

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Speaker 3: the Jags that much. I'm gonna have.

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Speaker 2: You bet the Bengals today. I'm just gonna I know,

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Speaker 2: you gotta win under your belt there.

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Speaker 5: I believe it doesn't count. This is it's like based on.

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Speaker 4: Seahawks correct, Cravince, Yes it was. Who do you think

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Speaker 4: My worst team was not the Patriots? And I am

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Speaker 4: shocked it was the Cowboys.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we've all gotten drunk on the Cowboys.

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Speaker 4: Yeah. I just like it with Dak Prescott was having

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Speaker 4: like an MVP first half and then I got got

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Speaker 4: you know.

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Speaker 3: How much fun was that? To look through that? It

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Speaker 3: was cutie.

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Speaker 4: I liked her. I liked it. We should do that

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Speaker 4: again next year. I like it.

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Speaker 2: We should definite. I think all three we should do it.

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Speaker 2: We should do it on the podcast to get.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we should agree.

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Speaker 4: That would be fun. I didn't know that it was

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Speaker 4: a thing and you guys were talking about it, and

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Speaker 4: I was like, wait, a mite old, what is going on?

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Speaker 3: So I my goat would be Drake May.

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Speaker 2: I was thinking as I'm watching him light up the

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Speaker 2: Jets and didn't even play the fourth quarter. By the way,

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Speaker 2: he had two incompletions, five touchdown passes, didn't play a

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Speaker 2: whole quarter, and I'm thinking, Okay, this guy's locked up

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Speaker 2: the MVP, and Matt Stafford's still a heavy favorite to

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Speaker 2: win the MVP. So I guess blasting the Jets doesn't

297
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Speaker 2: exactly do it for the the odds makers out there.

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Speaker 4: But I talked about this yesterday on a show that

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Speaker 4: I did, and everyone seems to be under the impression

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Speaker 4: that if it's even close, they're going to get it.

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Speaker 4: Give it to Stafford because he's old and it's like

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Speaker 4: a career award.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean May.

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Speaker 5: I mean that May has also played the easiest schedule

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Speaker 5: of any team over the past thirty years. I don't

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Speaker 5: know the Patriots to manage to play thirteen backup quarterbacks

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Speaker 5: in a seventeen game schedule, but they did.

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Speaker 2: I feel like the argument is pretty even though obviously

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Speaker 2: that's the knock against May is his schedule. He doesn't

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Speaker 2: have Puka Nakua and Devonte Adams and Sean McVeigh calling plays.

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Speaker 5: Yeah no, they don't. There's a running game not as

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Speaker 5: good of an offensive line. But I mean, these things

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Speaker 5: are sometimes just career awards, their narrative awards. So this guy'sn'

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Speaker 5: god in a while. I actually think that it probably

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Speaker 5: is May who's been the I mean, you think about it.

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Speaker 5: The offensive line is not great, the wide receiver room

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Speaker 5: it's not anywhere close to the Rams. The running game

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Speaker 5: is not overly efficient. The defense isn't outstanding by any stretch. Yes,

319
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Speaker 5: they've had a very easy schedule, but he's been tremendous.

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Speaker 5: I think, like in a vacuum, May deserves it. But

321
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Speaker 5: I can why Stafford is the favorite. Maybe that's a reason.

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Speaker 5: I don't know. I mean, maybe that plays into what

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Speaker 5: the Rams do over the final two weeks because the Rams,

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Speaker 5: legitimately mcday always opts for Rest and then and if

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Speaker 5: if the forty nine ers win tonight, like there is

326
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Speaker 5: I mean, like, how much do you value going from

327
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Speaker 5: the six to the five? That's the only decision for

328
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Speaker 5: the Rams left this season.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean May is plus one eighty. Maybe

330
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Speaker 2: there's some value there if Stafford. Let's say Stafford plays

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Speaker 2: poorly on Monday night and then doesn't even play next week,

332
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Speaker 2: and May has another good game.

333
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Speaker 5: Wars aren't aren't my specially, so I don't know what's

334
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Speaker 5: fair there.

335
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Speaker 4: Who is the primetime Who's primetime this week? Because that

336
00:16:48,720 --> 00:16:50,520
Speaker 4: might let us know ahead of time if they need

337
00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:53,600
Speaker 4: to win. Oh, everything's flexed, so we don't know what.

338
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Speaker 5: We don't know the schedule. We have no you know

339
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Speaker 5: the schedule.

340
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Speaker 4: Tomorrow night during Yeah, I was gonna say once we

341
00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:01,560
Speaker 4: know the schedule, like we can figure out if the

342
00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:05,639
Speaker 4: Patriots will have the opportunity to rest people or not.

343
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Speaker 2: There's two lines that I want to talk about before

344
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Speaker 2: we get to Sunday Night Football and our Monday Night

345
00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:14,399
Speaker 2: Football Fast Pass parlay. The Bucks opened as three and

346
00:17:14,440 --> 00:17:17,320
Speaker 2: a half point favorites at home against the Carolina Panthers.

347
00:17:17,640 --> 00:17:22,560
Speaker 2: The Ravens are three point favorites in Pittsburgh. Lamar is

348
00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:27,560
Speaker 2: supposed to be back for this game, so that's definitely.

349
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Speaker 5: The new came rising, this Lamar Jackson thing every week

350
00:17:31,720 --> 00:17:37,920
Speaker 5: if you follow college football. But now Kendrick I will say,

351
00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:44,800
Speaker 5: there are obvious primetime flexes because we have Panthers, Yeah,

352
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Speaker 5: two raven Steelers and then Seahawks forty nine ers.

353
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Speaker 4: But Chargers it's Chargers Broncos.

354
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Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean that game is not that intriguing because

355
00:17:55,080 --> 00:18:01,080
Speaker 5: the Bronco has already won the division. But the the

356
00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:03,919
Speaker 5: NFL will make sure that the other games. It's the

357
00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:07,120
Speaker 5: first priorty is like, hey, let's flex, We'll sacrifice competitive

358
00:18:07,119 --> 00:18:09,800
Speaker 5: advantage because we want the best game in primetime because

359
00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:11,439
Speaker 5: at the end of the day, it's about ratings. But

360
00:18:11,680 --> 00:18:13,520
Speaker 5: so those are the three nominees. The rest of the games,

361
00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:16,200
Speaker 5: they'll all be at the same time, so like they

362
00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:20,480
Speaker 5: will force the Broncos and Patriots both the yea, I just.

363
00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:23,520
Speaker 4: Wonder because that kind of answers like two of the three,

364
00:18:24,800 --> 00:18:26,919
Speaker 4: but I don't know what the third will be for primetime.

365
00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:29,280
Speaker 5: No, that's that's that's gonna be all three Seattle sand

366
00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:31,159
Speaker 5: Fran even.

367
00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:32,760
Speaker 4: Though Seattle sand Fran might not matter.

368
00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:36,520
Speaker 5: No, it's gonna matter no matter what. But it might

369
00:18:37,359 --> 00:18:40,800
Speaker 5: if if if San Francisco wins tonight and then the

370
00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:43,080
Speaker 5: Rams have nothing to play for next week except seeding,

371
00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:49,840
Speaker 5: but that game will matter for the division and and

372
00:18:49,960 --> 00:18:54,679
Speaker 5: one seed, I think. But like the Patriots and the Broncos,

373
00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:57,919
Speaker 5: games are not going to go into primetime, so they'll

374
00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:00,840
Speaker 5: play at the same time because they want, don't They don't.

375
00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:02,520
Speaker 5: They can't have one of those teams get the rest

376
00:19:02,520 --> 00:19:06,440
Speaker 5: of their starters because of the one seed, and then

377
00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:07,720
Speaker 5: like the rest of the games will all be at

378
00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:10,840
Speaker 5: the same time. But Ravens minus three three and a half,

379
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,880
Speaker 5: I think, I mean the Metcalf injury is huge. I mean,

380
00:19:14,240 --> 00:19:17,080
Speaker 5: if he might be worth a couple of points to

381
00:19:17,119 --> 00:19:19,879
Speaker 5: the spread, but we don't. We don't know in Lamar Jackson.

382
00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:23,280
Speaker 5: And if Lamar Jackson does play, who which version is he?

383
00:19:23,840 --> 00:19:27,480
Speaker 5: I mean, like the Honty that we saw yesterday, it's

384
00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:30,840
Speaker 5: better than the hobbled version of Lamar that we've seen.

385
00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:34,080
Speaker 5: So tough game to crack. But I don't trust. I

386
00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:39,120
Speaker 5: don't trust that Steelers offense without Metcalf. It is brutal.

387
00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:44,000
Speaker 2: Is But I would file this under I did not

388
00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:46,479
Speaker 2: play into this the last time these two teams played.

389
00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:48,240
Speaker 3: But you have.

390
00:19:49,600 --> 00:19:53,600
Speaker 2: Hardball and Tomlin head to head with a spread that's

391
00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:57,760
Speaker 2: at least three. You take the dog. Then you have

392
00:19:57,800 --> 00:20:02,040
Speaker 2: the Steelers at home. Here conventional wisdom would say bet

393
00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:07,479
Speaker 2: the Steelers. No conventional I'm not saying it's the play.

394
00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:10,040
Speaker 5: I don't think there's anything to do Earli here. I mean,

395
00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:14,360
Speaker 5: we don't know in Lamar. I think three is about right,

396
00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:18,720
Speaker 5: So I mean, if you wanted to take the hook, fine,

397
00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:21,399
Speaker 5: but that's that's a huge that's going to decide so

398
00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:23,640
Speaker 5: many Like in the AFC, the difference between going think

399
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:24,960
Speaker 5: about it, like right now we don't even know the

400
00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:27,159
Speaker 5: quarterback and the Ravens aren't. That's spread US three and

401
00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:32,399
Speaker 5: a half in Pittsburgh, that five seed. Like, the difference

402
00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:37,639
Speaker 5: between going to Baltimore and Pittsburgh is massive. But Evan

403
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:40,600
Speaker 5: and then Tampa, I mean, who wants to I who

404
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:45,199
Speaker 5: wants to beat Tampa hasn't covered in two months, they

405
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:48,320
Speaker 5: haven't covered eight straight games.

406
00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:51,920
Speaker 2: They're giving you the hook on this one. This one's

407
00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:54,520
Speaker 2: available in DraftKings right now. Plus three and a half

408
00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:56,600
Speaker 2: on the Carolina Panthers. I'm just gonna go ahead and

409
00:20:56,640 --> 00:20:58,720
Speaker 2: plant my flag on that now, Yeah.

410
00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:03,680
Speaker 4: No kidding. The meltdown of Bucks Twitter over Liam Cohen.

411
00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:10,720
Speaker 5: Has been I mean, take a look at Liam Cohen leading,

412
00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:14,359
Speaker 5: look at Baker this year, look at Trevor Lawrence this year.

413
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 5: That and then look at the Lions and what has

414
00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:21,920
Speaker 5: happened to the Lion's office on those other things the

415
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:24,360
Speaker 5: offensive line. But look at what's happened to the Bears

416
00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:28,080
Speaker 5: after Ben Johnson left and the Lions. Those were two

417
00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:32,200
Speaker 5: of the two of the best offensive minds in the NFL,

418
00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:36,920
Speaker 5: leading jobs in the offseason, and their teams that they

419
00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:38,879
Speaker 5: left have cratered.

420
00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:41,639
Speaker 4: And the teams that I mean, yeah, you can expect

421
00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:45,760
Speaker 4: that more with the Lions though, losing both of them.

422
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:48,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, and that team still can't stay healthy. They weren't

423
00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:50,760
Speaker 2: able to stay healthy last year and it cost them.

424
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:52,560
Speaker 2: They weren't able to stay healthy this year and it

425
00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:53,720
Speaker 2: cost Yeah, there's other factors.

426
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:56,960
Speaker 5: Their offensive line isn't as good, but you can just

427
00:21:57,000 --> 00:21:59,400
Speaker 5: tell it's just not. The offense isn't the same without Johnson,

428
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:03,320
Speaker 5: and the Bears offense obviously has gone through the roof.

429
00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:06,680
Speaker 5: So but the Liam Cohen effect, you can go back years.

430
00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:09,520
Speaker 5: You can go back to Cohen coming to Kentucky one

431
00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:13,040
Speaker 5: year leading coming back whenever he goes the offense and

432
00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:19,280
Speaker 5: perus when he leaves, it goes down the drain. But yeah,

433
00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:21,720
Speaker 5: I mean, I think numbers wise, three, I think three

434
00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:24,840
Speaker 5: makes sense on both games. But I would not that

435
00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:27,120
Speaker 5: the Bucks with your money, I'll tell you that.

436
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:31,719
Speaker 2: A cool stat I saw from the Jaggs pr Twitter

437
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:34,680
Speaker 2: about Liam Cullen. He's the only first year head coach

438
00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:38,280
Speaker 2: in NFL history to win twelve plus games after taking

439
00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:42,280
Speaker 2: over a team that won four or fewer the year prior.

440
00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:45,320
Speaker 2: That is impressive stuff. And he's probably not even gonna

441
00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:48,879
Speaker 2: win Coach of the Year. Also, Evan Abrams shares in

442
00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:52,600
Speaker 2: our chat here that the Buffalo Bills line against the

443
00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:54,840
Speaker 2: Jets has already moved three points, went nine and a

444
00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:58,040
Speaker 2: half to twelve and a half as we are talking. So,

445
00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:02,040
Speaker 2: I don't you advise getting a lot down on Sunday night,

446
00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:03,879
Speaker 2: but if you have a good read on how some

447
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:06,000
Speaker 2: of these teams are going to play these situations out,

448
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:07,800
Speaker 2: this might be the day to do it. Because these

449
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:09,960
Speaker 2: this is going to be stuck. You would you at

450
00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:12,960
Speaker 2: least agree with the general idea that this will be

451
00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:16,439
Speaker 2: the wildest line movement week of the entire NFL season

452
00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:22,520
Speaker 2: across the board from now until next Sunday. Yeah, So

453
00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:24,400
Speaker 2: if you feel like you have a good beat on that,

454
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:26,800
Speaker 2: then this is the week to take advantage of it. Usually,

455
00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:29,520
Speaker 2: I mean, these lines move, but they don't move drastically

456
00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 2: outside of injury.

457
00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:32,240
Speaker 3: We're going to see some wild stuff.

458
00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:37,800
Speaker 5: Yeah, that's it's It's gonna be based off of availability

459
00:23:37,840 --> 00:23:41,040
Speaker 5: reports and what coaches say, you're going to see a

460
00:23:41,080 --> 00:23:44,439
Speaker 5: lot a lot of line movement obviously is if you

461
00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:47,640
Speaker 5: have quarterbacks who don't end up starting, you'll see massive swings.

462
00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:51,920
Speaker 5: Going back to Evan to bring you in here. I'm

463
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:53,520
Speaker 5: glad to the schedule real quick, so I'm doing this

464
00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:57,080
Speaker 5: on the fly. We sadly we don't have any games

465
00:23:57,119 --> 00:24:00,440
Speaker 5: next week where teams that are eliminated, ying teams that

466
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:04,960
Speaker 5: need to win right don't think so often that's sad.

467
00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:07,440
Speaker 5: That's my favorite part of week seventeen and eighteen. We

468
00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:09,439
Speaker 5: got it out of the way with a three game sweep.

469
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:12,520
Speaker 2: Those will take it, yes, But I mean next week

470
00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:15,119
Speaker 2: you get to add three wins to the Ledger.

471
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,760
Speaker 3: There on that trend, there are.

472
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:20,439
Speaker 5: Just next week do you have like a couple, you know,

473
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,399
Speaker 5: three really high profile, high leverage games. And then the

474
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:26,719
Speaker 5: rest of the card is for example, like if you're

475
00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:35,040
Speaker 5: the Eagles playing the Commanders, the Eagles right now are

476
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:40,359
Speaker 5: the three seed. If the Bears lose tonight, the Eagles

477
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:43,600
Speaker 5: are still the three seed, And if the Bears win

478
00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:45,480
Speaker 5: the night, the Eagles are locked into the three seed.

479
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:48,199
Speaker 5: But let's say the Bears, who are underdogs, lose tonight,

480
00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:53,719
Speaker 5: then Philly has to make a decision do we play

481
00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:58,720
Speaker 5: our starters next week with the hope, you know, risking injury,

482
00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:01,680
Speaker 5: with the hope that the Bears lose to the Lions

483
00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:06,400
Speaker 5: at home because the Bears have the tiebreaker of the Eagles.

484
00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:12,679
Speaker 5: So yeah, I could see Philly resting starters next week.

485
00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:17,040
Speaker 3: That line up right now as we speak, probably for

486
00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:17,760
Speaker 3: that reason if.

487
00:25:17,640 --> 00:25:20,480
Speaker 5: They if the Eagles rest starters, their offense will probably

488
00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:22,600
Speaker 5: look better. So take that for what it's worth.

489
00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:27,119
Speaker 2: Let's get to get our Sunday Night football preview and

490
00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:29,480
Speaker 2: a Monday Night Football fast pass parlay to get to.

491
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:32,640
Speaker 2: But first let's call toss it over to Kendrim Middleton

492
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:34,240
Speaker 2: for a word about DraftKings.

493
00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:37,840
Speaker 4: The Favorites podcast is sponsored by Draft Kings sports book

494
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495
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496
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497
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498
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499
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500
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502
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503
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,320
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504
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:06,240
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505
00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:07,120
Speaker 4: is yours.

506
00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:10,680
Speaker 5: All right, thanks Kendri. But Brandon, how you wanted to

507
00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:14,960
Speaker 5: talk about the high profile games? Let's I want to

508
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:20,400
Speaker 5: talk about these two spreads. Ola Duken six point road

509
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:23,720
Speaker 5: favorite in Vegas? What number do you need to play

510
00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:27,600
Speaker 5: to play Vegas? Who was obviously trying to lose and

511
00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:30,920
Speaker 5: sitting out players? And I mean, Ola Duken is a

512
00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 5: six point road favorite?

513
00:26:32,000 --> 00:26:34,240
Speaker 3: Did they not wait? Did they not already lock up

514
00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:35,960
Speaker 3: the number one pick? Though?

515
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:38,920
Speaker 5: I think the Giants get it. If the Giants lose,

516
00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:40,800
Speaker 5: the Raiders win. Haven't you checked that?

517
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:44,000
Speaker 3: I'm pretty sure that's correct, even though the Giants.

518
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,520
Speaker 5: I think with the loss today, the Raiders get it.

519
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:49,439
Speaker 5: But maybe I'm.

520
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:52,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I believed so it wouldn't wouldn't the first Tipe

521
00:26:52,920 --> 00:26:55,280
Speaker 2: Raker be head to head and the Giants beat the Raiders,

522
00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:57,520
Speaker 2: so the Giants wouldn't then jump the Raiders.

523
00:26:57,760 --> 00:26:59,880
Speaker 4: I thought the Giants had to lose today. I hate

524
00:26:59,880 --> 00:27:01,760
Speaker 4: the crap at the end of the season and you're like,

525
00:27:01,840 --> 00:27:04,960
Speaker 4: what is going on? Who is going where? So stressful?

526
00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:09,120
Speaker 3: I kind of like getting a Kenny Pickett led Raiders team.

527
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 5: I don't think it's sad ahead for that though, Tuck,

528
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:13,480
Speaker 5: He's right. With the loss today. With the loss today

529
00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:15,280
Speaker 5: to the Giants, the Raiders now have an eighty percent

530
00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:17,440
Speaker 5: chance to scare the number one pick. So yeah, the

531
00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:21,080
Speaker 5: Raiders have to lose next week to guarantee it, so

532
00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:23,000
Speaker 5: they'll be in full time Like who wants to bet

533
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:24,159
Speaker 5: the Raiders next week? But who wants to?

534
00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:24,359
Speaker 2: Let?

535
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:25,800
Speaker 5: You want to lay six with a little duke? And

536
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:29,480
Speaker 5: I don't that game that that'll go in the late slate,

537
00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:31,679
Speaker 5: that that's the four o'clock the Raiders. Get the Raiders

538
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:33,360
Speaker 5: out of my life with these three two to three

539
00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:37,840
Speaker 5: game late slates and it's the Raiders. We just completely awful.

540
00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:38,840
Speaker 3: Game should be canceled.

541
00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:40,600
Speaker 2: The last time the Raiders had the number one pick,

542
00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:43,199
Speaker 2: by the way, anybody want to take a gander at

543
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:46,119
Speaker 2: who they took to Marcus, that would be the one

544
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:48,080
Speaker 2: last time they had done it was. In fact, it

545
00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:50,199
Speaker 2: was the only time the Raiders have ever had the

546
00:27:50,240 --> 00:27:50,920
Speaker 2: number one pick.

547
00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:53,000
Speaker 3: They Marcus Russell My.

548
00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:59,000
Speaker 5: Other favorite game is uh, I know that uh uh

549
00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:03,000
Speaker 5: the Viking Uh O'Connell came out and said he wants

550
00:28:03,320 --> 00:28:05,600
Speaker 5: JJ to play in the finale. For like another data point,

551
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:09,560
Speaker 5: But there is a chance that right now Clayton Tune

552
00:28:09,600 --> 00:28:13,960
Speaker 5: is a six point favorite over the Packers, who are

553
00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:17,120
Speaker 5: obviously going to rest everybody that their team next week

554
00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:20,600
Speaker 5: will look like a practice squad team. Uh with uh,

555
00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:26,560
Speaker 5: who's who? Who's to who came in again for them? No,

556
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:31,120
Speaker 5: it's Brosmer is a sixsmer against like Clayton Tune. Brosmer's

557
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 5: a six point favorite over over Clayton Tune. Could be JJ,

558
00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:40,000
Speaker 5: but think about Brosmer. They just had three net passing

559
00:28:40,080 --> 00:28:43,440
Speaker 5: yards listed as a potential six point favorite. But yeah,

560
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:44,960
Speaker 5: I mean, how do you play the Packers? But there's

561
00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:47,080
Speaker 5: a number that's a price for everything. I'll say that

562
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:48,240
Speaker 5: I gotta figure out this week.

563
00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:50,840
Speaker 2: Like Evan, Evan, I have a suggestion for the primer.

564
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:53,760
Speaker 2: I would love to know if there's a way trend

565
00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:56,600
Speaker 2: wise to bet into these totals with teams that are

566
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 2: benching players, because you would think that things are going

567
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:01,880
Speaker 2: to look a lot more like the preseason, and if

568
00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:05,240
Speaker 2: these numbers are still sitting around the fifties. I feel

569
00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:07,840
Speaker 2: like there's gonna be some value on unders going into

570
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:09,280
Speaker 2: week eighteen, but I don't know that.

571
00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:11,520
Speaker 5: Are most of the games that are garbage that don't

572
00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:15,360
Speaker 5: matter though. We're sitting at thirty nine, thirty seven, thirty five,

573
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:19,800
Speaker 5: so they're very much priced in. But for you, Brandon.

574
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:22,240
Speaker 3: Anything, Wow, you're too kind. All right?

575
00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 5: What's the Raiders total? Thirty three indoors thirty five and

576
00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:31,720
Speaker 5: a half right now? I mean that game is that

577
00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:34,800
Speaker 5: game is something because the Chiefs want to lose too,

578
00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:37,560
Speaker 5: like they wanted to beat the Broncos on Christmas Night,

579
00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:39,920
Speaker 5: but they want the best that we have, the Raiders

580
00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:42,600
Speaker 5: finishing back to back games against teams that don't want

581
00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:44,280
Speaker 5: to lose, although the Giants are too stupid of an

582
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:45,280
Speaker 5: organization to lose.

583
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:50,480
Speaker 3: Back to the great anytime touchdown with Travis Kelcey sitting goodbye.

584
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:53,360
Speaker 2: I mean we got Giants, the Giants, Cowboys. Half those

585
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:54,000
Speaker 2: teams have nothing.

586
00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:57,160
Speaker 5: I actually respect the Giants for trying and playing. This

587
00:29:57,200 --> 00:30:01,880
Speaker 5: isn't the NBA. There's only eighteen weeks, but back to

588
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:05,040
Speaker 5: back years, almost one year to the day of Art,

589
00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:08,560
Speaker 5: Giants win a game and lose the number one pick potentially,

590
00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 5: but I'm assuming they rold On.

591
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:12,640
Speaker 4: To be fair, I don't even think it really matters

592
00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:14,600
Speaker 4: because it's not like the Giants need a quarterback and

593
00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:16,560
Speaker 4: that's what the Raiders are going to want, so like

594
00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:18,160
Speaker 4: it doesn't even matter.

595
00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 5: But I mean it does for like leverage, like if

596
00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:23,760
Speaker 5: you think of like you could trade it and you

597
00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:25,880
Speaker 5: could trade back and like, because what does this win

598
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:30,120
Speaker 5: really mean? But you know, I respect teams for playing,

599
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:33,680
Speaker 5: but from an organization perspective, it probably didn't make the

600
00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:37,440
Speaker 5: most sense, Like you should have just put Russ out

601
00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:38,240
Speaker 5: there or.

602
00:30:38,600 --> 00:30:39,640
Speaker 4: Pete Carroll done.

603
00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:41,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, he's done.

604
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:43,440
Speaker 2: And they're going to draft a new quarterback too, so

605
00:30:43,480 --> 00:30:45,080
Speaker 2: they're going to want to get him a new shiny

606
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:46,720
Speaker 2: offensive coach too as well.

607
00:30:48,080 --> 00:30:49,800
Speaker 5: I just don't like where this is. I don't like

608
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:55,080
Speaker 5: this NFL teams outwardly tanking. This doesn't happen usually. Sometimes

609
00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:57,800
Speaker 5: it happens to organizational decisions in like the last week,

610
00:30:57,840 --> 00:31:01,360
Speaker 5: but with two weeks to go, Max Crosby, who wanted

611
00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:05,240
Speaker 5: to play, and you're just saying no, we're shutting you down.

612
00:31:05,360 --> 00:31:06,040
Speaker 5: I don't like that.

613
00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:09,600
Speaker 3: But the Raiders are a clown organization.

614
00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:12,280
Speaker 2: Let's talk Bears forty nine Ers the Niners, favored by

615
00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:14,360
Speaker 2: three and a half total, sitting at fifty one and

616
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:17,520
Speaker 2: a half. Both teams have locked up a playoff spot,

617
00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:19,840
Speaker 2: but both are still fighting for seating in the NFC.

618
00:31:20,240 --> 00:31:24,200
Speaker 2: As we have discussed on tonight's episode, San Francisco has

619
00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:27,000
Speaker 2: been significantly better than anybody who is giving them credit

620
00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:31,080
Speaker 2: for this season. Defense is obviously an issue, and it

621
00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:33,040
Speaker 2: could be a problem tonight going up against a really

622
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:37,000
Speaker 2: potent Chicago Bears offense. But apparently Chicago folks are reporting

623
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:40,640
Speaker 2: that there are illnesses that are spreading around the locker room.

624
00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:42,520
Speaker 2: So I don't know how bad or how many players

625
00:31:42,560 --> 00:31:45,000
Speaker 2: this has impacted, but still this is a more you

626
00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:46,040
Speaker 2: know situation.

627
00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:50,880
Speaker 5: I like nch division, itis, like the I like.

628
00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:53,040
Speaker 2: The forty nine Ers. Tonight, Kendra, are you on anything

629
00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:54,480
Speaker 2: for the Sunday Night Action?

630
00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:59,120
Speaker 4: I honestly think outside of our responsibilities, I'm probably done

631
00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 4: gambling into the postseason.

632
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:03,600
Speaker 3: Then it was that ugly today.

633
00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 4: Ken No, I just said this hard no no, I

634
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:11,400
Speaker 4: said this the other day, like, I just don't love

635
00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:14,240
Speaker 4: these last couple of weeks, this one, particularly because of

636
00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:17,920
Speaker 4: Christmas and everything going on. I just there's too many

637
00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:20,280
Speaker 4: variables about people who need to win and need to lose,

638
00:32:20,320 --> 00:32:23,240
Speaker 4: and I hate betting on games like that. I just

639
00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:25,880
Speaker 4: I'm ready to move on to the postseason.

640
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:26,600
Speaker 3: I've had enough.

641
00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:32,520
Speaker 5: Evan's gonna fill in for Kendra. Evan likes, You'll.

642
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:35,640
Speaker 3: Just be over here cheering. Yeah, you're doing great.

643
00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:42,080
Speaker 5: First touchdown eight to one. That's a horrible price. That's

644
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:46,480
Speaker 5: one Evan has already started drinking for the new year.

645
00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,680
Speaker 5: Luke Farrell eighty to one, first touchdown. I have nothing

646
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:53,400
Speaker 5: to night. I mean with the illness, is Kittle being

647
00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:55,800
Speaker 5: I think Kittle got ruled out right, he is out.

648
00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:58,560
Speaker 5: That's a big loss, Like that's not obviously not just

649
00:32:58,600 --> 00:33:02,400
Speaker 5: because of what he can do in the passing game,

650
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:06,880
Speaker 5: but his blocking always just takes the forty nine ers

651
00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:10,520
Speaker 5: offense to another level. The Bears have a bunch of

652
00:33:10,560 --> 00:33:13,480
Speaker 5: injuries too that they're dealing with an illnesses, and I

653
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:19,480
Speaker 5: have nothing. I think the line is close to about fair.

654
00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:22,720
Speaker 2: So Tan just by the way back upside end for

655
00:33:22,760 --> 00:33:24,920
Speaker 2: the forty nine ers plus two fifty five to get

656
00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:25,840
Speaker 2: into the end zone.

657
00:33:26,120 --> 00:33:29,240
Speaker 3: McCaffrey is a wild minus two fifty.

658
00:33:29,320 --> 00:33:31,160
Speaker 2: I think a good way to bet McCaffrey though, if

659
00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:33,120
Speaker 2: you want to go anytime touchdown, you can bet him

660
00:33:33,120 --> 00:33:36,720
Speaker 2: first half at plus one thirty and then if you're

661
00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:39,760
Speaker 2: just that desperate to bet them live, you'll probably get

662
00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:41,080
Speaker 2: plus money after halftime.

663
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:43,560
Speaker 3: That'd be my wife my way.

664
00:33:43,600 --> 00:33:45,840
Speaker 2: If you if you just have to get McCaffrey on

665
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:47,360
Speaker 2: your card, you would not do that.

666
00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:49,840
Speaker 5: I mean, I would not recommend just betting them first half.

667
00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:52,120
Speaker 5: And you you get desperate bet them live, people.

668
00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:55,160
Speaker 3: Well never, I mean you should not. You shouldn't chase.

669
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:58,400
Speaker 2: But you know, I just understand the betting habits of

670
00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:02,000
Speaker 2: people that are listening to this, and that's the way

671
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:02,920
Speaker 2: that I would go about it.

672
00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:05,320
Speaker 3: But yes, you should not get that sprit. That's a

673
00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:05,880
Speaker 3: bad idea.

674
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:13,200
Speaker 5: So Bears win and UH Bears win tonight, Bears beat

675
00:34:13,200 --> 00:34:18,879
Speaker 5: the Lions. Next week, San Francisco beat Seattle Bears one

676
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:28,799
Speaker 5: seed Nuts Bears win tonight, beat the Lions, and San

677
00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:34,440
Speaker 5: Francisco beats the Seahawks. Bears are the one seed and

678
00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:45,799
Speaker 5: additionally Chargers UH beat the Broncos next week, and UH

679
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:54,240
Speaker 5: Jags beat the Titans and the Dolphins beat the Patriots.

680
00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:55,960
Speaker 5: That's how your Jags get to the one seed.

681
00:34:56,800 --> 00:35:00,480
Speaker 3: I know it's ugly. It's so ugly. Also kind of

682
00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:03,080
Speaker 3: doable with those especially.

683
00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:08,600
Speaker 4: The Dolphins playing in January at Foxborough. Are you insane?

684
00:35:10,200 --> 00:35:11,920
Speaker 5: I mean, I think the Patriots have to play. Is

685
00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:13,120
Speaker 5: there a line off of that game yet?

686
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:18,080
Speaker 3: I have not for the Patriots Dolphins game.

687
00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:23,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, ten and a half on draft.

688
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:26,120
Speaker 5: They they're going to schedule them at the same time

689
00:35:26,120 --> 00:35:29,760
Speaker 5: as the Broncos, and then there's a chance that the

690
00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:35,799
Speaker 5: Chargers sit guys, So the Patriots I don't know, so

691
00:35:35,880 --> 00:35:38,200
Speaker 5: like the Patriots could just say, like, based on what

692
00:35:38,200 --> 00:35:40,600
Speaker 5: the Broncos are doing, they could end up eventually sitting us.

693
00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:42,200
Speaker 5: I don't know. We'll get to that during the week.

694
00:35:42,239 --> 00:35:45,000
Speaker 5: By the way, Miles get Monday My Football. Miles Garrett

695
00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:48,520
Speaker 5: on today's game versus Pittsburgh. To an extent, they were

696
00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:51,720
Speaker 5: more worried about keeping me this is the quote. To

697
00:35:51,840 --> 00:35:53,839
Speaker 5: an extent, they were more worried about keeping me away

698
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:56,359
Speaker 5: from Aaron Rodgers and getting the win. That's what came

699
00:35:56,400 --> 00:35:59,400
Speaker 5: back to bite them. I was screaming that the entire game. Uh,

700
00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:03,160
Speaker 5: imagine sacrificing your playoff chances so that you weren't on

701
00:36:03,160 --> 00:36:07,040
Speaker 5: a highlight hub. Miles Garrett getting the record unbelievable.

702
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:09,880
Speaker 2: That's why they say throw out the record books when

703
00:36:09,920 --> 00:36:11,840
Speaker 2: these teams play each other for that exact reason.

704
00:36:12,440 --> 00:36:14,680
Speaker 3: Monday Night Football.

705
00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:26,760
Speaker 2: Rams at Falcons Falcons seven point dogs total at forty

706
00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:29,320
Speaker 2: nine and a half. Let's get to our DraftKings. Monday

707
00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:33,520
Speaker 2: Night Football fast pass parlay before we settle in for

708
00:36:33,560 --> 00:36:34,239
Speaker 2: the night game.

709
00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:35,399
Speaker 3: Number has been.

710
00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:38,040
Speaker 2: Beaten up a little bit, but at a touchdown and

711
00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:42,520
Speaker 2: an extra point. I still like the hard charging Atlanta Falcons.

712
00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:46,840
Speaker 2: I don't think they quite qualify for the stucky trend

713
00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:49,719
Speaker 2: of team that needs to win against a team that's eliminated.

714
00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:50,759
Speaker 3: They don't qualify.

715
00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:53,719
Speaker 2: However, I do like the way the Falcons have looked

716
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:56,879
Speaker 2: the last couple of weeks. Plucky and the Rams are

717
00:36:56,880 --> 00:37:02,200
Speaker 2: still without DeVante Adams that impacts them offensively. Pooka Nakua

718
00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:04,719
Speaker 2: seems like at least once a game he has to

719
00:37:04,760 --> 00:37:07,800
Speaker 2: be checked out by somebody. If there's even a question

720
00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:11,200
Speaker 2: in this game. As we inch closer to the postseason,

721
00:37:11,600 --> 00:37:14,640
Speaker 2: they will remove him from the football game. I like

722
00:37:14,680 --> 00:37:18,359
Speaker 2: the Falcons here catching seven. Kendra, what about you?

723
00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:21,000
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with Pooka for an any time. He

724
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:24,759
Speaker 4: just it seems like a guarantee every single week, So

725
00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:26,759
Speaker 4: in a parlay, I'm going to chase it at the

726
00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:28,800
Speaker 4: price minus one fifty I think it is on draftings.

727
00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:31,759
Speaker 4: I think I just checked that it has changed since

728
00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:34,359
Speaker 4: our podcast started, So I want to make sure you.

729
00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:38,000
Speaker 3: Are correct, Stucky round out the fast pass.

730
00:37:38,200 --> 00:37:41,879
Speaker 5: I like the Falcons too, I think to offensive line

731
00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:49,680
Speaker 5: injuries to DeVante Adams, I will let's go with I mean,

732
00:37:49,680 --> 00:37:53,080
Speaker 5: I'm going to check these prices, but uh should we

733
00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:54,640
Speaker 5: go because I was going to go with the Falcons.

734
00:37:54,680 --> 00:37:55,560
Speaker 5: I'm doing this on the fly.

735
00:37:57,440 --> 00:38:02,360
Speaker 2: You still want Kolbe Parkinson. We would have two rams touchdowns.

736
00:38:02,440 --> 00:38:04,680
Speaker 2: This would be a very non related parlay.

737
00:38:05,200 --> 00:38:12,120
Speaker 5: Let's go Bijon forty plus uh receiving yards.

738
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:15,920
Speaker 4: All right, okay, wow, okay, okay, that's so we have.

739
00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:19,440
Speaker 5: That would be what's that pay plus four.

740
00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:25,600
Speaker 2: Fifty boom Falcons plus seven Pukakua anytime touchdown score Bjeon

741
00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:30,840
Speaker 2: Robinson at least forty receiving yards at plus four fifty

742
00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:35,520
Speaker 2: over on DraftKings where the crown is yours the favorites.

743
00:38:35,560 --> 00:38:39,160
Speaker 2: We'll return on Tuesday, back to a normal schedule next week.

744
00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:41,720
Speaker 3: I believe we are going to be right here.

745
00:38:41,600 --> 00:38:45,000
Speaker 2: On the Action Network YouTube page talking week eighteen in

746
00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:48,040
Speaker 2: the NFL, and we are gonna give Stocky the fed.

747
00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:49,440
Speaker 5: I don't think we would be regular.

748
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:53,120
Speaker 3: Okay, well let's well, let's then let's check.

749
00:38:54,239 --> 00:38:55,360
Speaker 5: We might do everything on Tuesday.

750
00:38:55,440 --> 00:38:59,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, oh, we'll talk about that after the sea. We're

751
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:01,240
Speaker 3: gonna have a side bar about this.

752
00:39:01,200 --> 00:39:04,239
Speaker 5: But sometime. We'll definitely be back Tuesday, and.

753
00:39:04,200 --> 00:39:06,520
Speaker 2: We're definitely going to give Stucky the floor for at

754
00:39:06,600 --> 00:39:09,080
Speaker 2: least fifteen minutes to break down all the machinations of

755
00:39:09,080 --> 00:39:10,759
Speaker 2: what teams need to do and don't need to do

756
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:11,439
Speaker 2: so that we can.

757
00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:14,920
Speaker 3: We look forward to it. Good luck with all of

758
00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:15,560
Speaker 3: your bets tonight.

759
00:39:15,560 --> 00:39:17,480
Speaker 2: We'll see you next time here on the Favorites presented

760
00:39:17,640 --> 00:39:26,400
Speaker 2: by Draft.

761
00:39:27,840 --> 00:39:31,319
Speaker 5: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

762
00:39:31,719 --> 00:39:34,560
Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

763
00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:37,480
Speaker 3: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

764
00:39:37,520 --> 00:39:38,320
Speaker 3: hundred Gambler