1 00:00:13,160 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 1: The show goes on. This is the official show on 2 00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:21,440 Speaker 1: the Fish on First podcast channel. I'm Eli Sussman, managing 3 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:24,920 Speaker 1: editor of Fishtrips, where we cover your Miami Marlins every 4 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:28,400 Speaker 1: day in our own way, talking to you during the 5 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:32,519 Speaker 1: final moments of twenty twenty three Grapefruit League play as 6 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 1: we transition into the regular year, and as we transition 7 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:39,519 Speaker 1: into this rebranded podcast channel. If you've been subscribed to 8 00:00:39,560 --> 00:00:43,080 Speaker 1: Fish Trips before we've we've been podcasting regularly for over 9 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 1: four years now, then you are still subscribed to fish 10 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 1: on First. 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If you enjoy 16 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:11,959 Speaker 1: what we're doing here, please rate and review and follow 17 00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 1: the shows so that you get alerted with every episode 18 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:17,679 Speaker 1: that includes the official show twice a week that includes 19 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:21,399 Speaker 1: audio recordings of our state of the Fish Twitter spaces 20 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:24,520 Speaker 1: that can have your call ins during the process of 21 00:01:24,560 --> 00:01:28,560 Speaker 1: those shows that we do fish Stripes Unfiltered every couple weeks, 22 00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 1: Phishology every couple weeks. All that available here on this 23 00:01:33,440 --> 00:01:38,680 Speaker 1: podcast channel fish on First. So as we head into 24 00:01:38,720 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 1: this season, I'm especially studying several players closely. I've picked 25 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:48,240 Speaker 1: out six X factors on this Marlins team, either players 26 00:01:48,240 --> 00:01:50,560 Speaker 1: who are on the opening roster or who will be 27 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: significant factors during the course of the long regular season, 28 00:01:54,320 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 1: and I'm going to get into why these players are 29 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 1: X factors, What is an X factor, and ideas that 30 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 1: these particular guys stood out to me in this process 31 00:02:03,560 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 1: right after this break. An X factor, to me is 32 00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 1: a volatile player, somebody whose possible outcomes in performance during 33 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:21,520 Speaker 1: this upcoming season have a pretty wide variance. They can 34 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 1: be terrible, they can be awesome, they can be anywhere 35 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:27,600 Speaker 1: in between, the opposite of an X factor, a predictable 36 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:32,200 Speaker 1: a steady player, a reliable player, or a struggling player. 37 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:34,799 Speaker 1: Like there are certain guys that we already have a 38 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: very firm idea of what they're going to provide this 39 00:02:38,560 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 1: upcoming year. On the pitching side, of course, Sandy Alcantra 40 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:44,160 Speaker 1: stands out. You know he's gonna work deep into games. 41 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:46,160 Speaker 1: You know he's gonna get a lot of soft contact, 42 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 1: and even if he's not gonna repeat his cy young season, 43 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 1: he's gonna be a top of the rotation kind of 44 00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 1: arm for this Marlins team. 45 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:56,320 Speaker 2: Everything I do, you know, I do? We send the 46 00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 2: mentality on. 47 00:02:57,720 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 1: The hitting side, A lot of this Marlins offseason was 48 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:04,359 Speaker 1: focused on getting kind of boring players and predictable players, 49 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:08,280 Speaker 1: Luisa Rise being a shining example of that because he's 50 00:03:08,320 --> 00:03:11,080 Speaker 1: going to get about as many singles as anybody. He's 51 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 1: going to play multiple positions if you need him to. 52 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:16,119 Speaker 1: Even when he's not getting hits, He's going to put 53 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:18,560 Speaker 1: his bat on the ball and make productive outs. So 54 00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 1: there's a high floor to that player, also somewhat of 55 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 1: a limited ceiling because of what he can't do on 56 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:26,720 Speaker 1: the field. And cut from that same cloth, you have 57 00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:29,399 Speaker 1: Gene Segura. There's a little bit of a question about 58 00:03:29,440 --> 00:03:31,079 Speaker 1: what his defense is going to look like at third 59 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:34,840 Speaker 1: base given his lack of experience there. But offensively like 60 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:38,000 Speaker 1: a Rise, a lot of contact, a lot of contact 61 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 1: producing singles, somebody who is probably better than the average 62 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:45,680 Speaker 1: player in clutch situations. Those are the examples of boring 63 00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:47,760 Speaker 1: players that don't apply to this episode. I want to 64 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 1: focus on the other ones, and there are really a 65 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:53,720 Speaker 1: wide variety of players that could fit in this category. 66 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 1: And that's why it is kind of difficult to predict 67 00:03:57,200 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 1: how a team is going to perform overall, because so 68 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:02,480 Speaker 1: many indie vidual players can go in one direction or 69 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:06,920 Speaker 1: the other, whether it's for health reasons, psychological reasons, the 70 00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:09,840 Speaker 1: way that their opponents adjust to them, any sort of 71 00:04:09,880 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 1: degradation to their skills or improvement in their skills. There's 72 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:15,320 Speaker 1: so much that we don't know, even if we cover 73 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:18,040 Speaker 1: this team as closely as we possibly can. I've picked 74 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:19,920 Speaker 1: up these six players, just a few minutes on each 75 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:23,039 Speaker 1: of them. Why do is I'm excited potentially for their upside? 76 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:25,640 Speaker 1: Why it is that I'm concerned that things could go 77 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:29,280 Speaker 1: poorly for them. We begin with the consensus number one 78 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:33,880 Speaker 1: prospect in this Marlins organization, Yuri Perez, who is not 79 00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:35,600 Speaker 1: going to be on the open gay roster. He's going 80 00:04:35,640 --> 00:04:38,560 Speaker 1: to head down to Triple A Jacksonville. He could be 81 00:04:38,680 --> 00:04:42,239 Speaker 1: up in fairly short order. Not just the best prospect 82 00:04:42,279 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 1: in the Marlins organization, in some experts opinions the very 83 00:04:45,839 --> 00:04:52,560 Speaker 1: best pitching prospect in baseball. Such uncommon height and coordination 84 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:55,360 Speaker 1: that he has, such a repeatable delivery at that size 85 00:04:55,839 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 1: with pitch, A really great pitch makes the potential to 86 00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 1: have a plus fast ball, not a plus plus. A 87 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:05,960 Speaker 1: great changeup that he's had throughout his pro career, and 88 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:09,040 Speaker 1: this slider that he's added to his repertoire in twenty 89 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 1: twenty two that has now taken precedent as his primary 90 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:16,719 Speaker 1: breaking ball. All those pitches can get swings and misses, 91 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:19,159 Speaker 1: all of them he can throw for strikes. 92 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:22,919 Speaker 2: The ninth ranked prospect in all of big league ball, 93 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:26,479 Speaker 2: Uri Perez takes over for the Barlins. You're at the 94 00:05:26,480 --> 00:05:29,160 Speaker 2: top of the sixth inning. Perez, with his glove over 95 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 2: his head, out of the wind up, delivers and it's 96 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:35,359 Speaker 2: swung on and miss Almonte's down on strikes. That was 97 00:05:35,400 --> 00:05:37,359 Speaker 2: the change up from Uri Perez. 98 00:05:38,320 --> 00:05:42,240 Speaker 1: It's just an extremely well rounded pitcher who's been performing 99 00:05:42,279 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 1: well a sub three ERA in his minor league career 100 00:05:44,920 --> 00:05:49,360 Speaker 1: while facing competition that is five, six seven years older 101 00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:53,720 Speaker 1: than him. He's, as of this recording, still just a teenager. 102 00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 1: We're talking about him as a major league reinforcement in 103 00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 1: the near term future, and he's more than a year 104 00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 1: away from being able to buy his own drink. To celebrate. 105 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:06,120 Speaker 1: So I am kind of on the same wavelength as 106 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 1: most people in terms of what I believe URI's upside is. 107 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 1: The reason why he's an X factor is he doesn't 108 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 1: have any major league experience to this point recent Major 109 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 1: League Baseball, both the Marlins and if you look around 110 00:06:17,440 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 1: the league just but every other team, you see, even 111 00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:23,360 Speaker 1: among great prospects, that it is more or less a 112 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:26,000 Speaker 1: coin flip as to whether or not they're actually going 113 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 1: to be solid big leaguers as rookies, highly ranked prospects, 114 00:06:31,640 --> 00:06:35,600 Speaker 1: and ones with the measurables that Yuri has, like all 115 00:06:35,640 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 1: the advantages that he has over a hitter over the 116 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:41,080 Speaker 1: course of his career, I think it is reasonable to 117 00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:43,240 Speaker 1: assume he's going to be an above average starting pitcher. 118 00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 1: Will he be an above average starting pitcher immediately? Nobody 119 00:06:47,000 --> 00:06:50,560 Speaker 1: has the faintest clue, and if they do, you need 120 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:53,760 Speaker 1: to take them less seriously, especially on the pitching side. 121 00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:58,640 Speaker 1: It's such a it's such a coin flip. It is 122 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 1: you have no idea how exact act they're going to 123 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:03,240 Speaker 1: translate from the miners to the majors, even from the 124 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 1: upper miners to the majors. The different the disparity in 125 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:12,120 Speaker 1: talent and game planning in other factors is wider than 126 00:07:12,360 --> 00:07:15,360 Speaker 1: it has been in recent history. So you just don't 127 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:17,720 Speaker 1: know until they get a taste of it. And we'll 128 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 1: see when Yuri does get a taste of it, some 129 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:23,119 Speaker 1: of it slightly out of his control, depending on how 130 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,800 Speaker 1: the veterans hold up health wise and performance wise during 131 00:07:25,800 --> 00:07:28,119 Speaker 1: the course of the season the Marlins. At this point, 132 00:07:28,360 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: at least on the starting pitching side, things have gone 133 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:34,680 Speaker 1: pretty well from a health perspective. There's no urgency to 134 00:07:34,720 --> 00:07:37,400 Speaker 1: call him up. I do certainly expect him to make 135 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 1: some starts for the Marlins this year, so he could 136 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 1: be as good as anybody in the rotation Sandy included 137 00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:45,520 Speaker 1: from the get go. He really could be. This is 138 00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:48,960 Speaker 1: the type of talent that we're talking about. However, he 139 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 1: could also be out of his elements, and it could 140 00:07:52,840 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 1: prove to be that he actually doesn't help them win 141 00:07:54,920 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 1: games in twenty twenty three. It can go either way. 142 00:07:57,600 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 1: He is the one prospect I'm going to feature in 143 00:07:59,840 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 1: this episode to the total opposite end of the spectrum. 144 00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 1: Somebody who is old enough to be Yuri's father, Johnny 145 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:12,120 Speaker 1: Queto New Marlins Edition, last year with the White Sox 146 00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:16,720 Speaker 1: a one to eighteen adjusted ERA in one hundred and 147 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 1: fifty eight endings pitch. So I'm using that Baseball reference 148 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: that ER plus, where one hundred is league average. Anything 149 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:25,480 Speaker 1: over one hundred is better than league average. And he 150 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:29,640 Speaker 1: was very good for the White Sox last year despite 151 00:08:29,680 --> 00:08:33,080 Speaker 1: signing a minor league deal with them Originally. The reasons 152 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:37,480 Speaker 1: for excitement is that what he did last year still 153 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:39,960 Speaker 1: looks like the same guy that he did a year ago. 154 00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:43,040 Speaker 1: He doesn't throw as hard as he used to during 155 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:47,920 Speaker 1: his cy Young caliber seasons during the prime of his career, 156 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:53,160 Speaker 1: but he has an extremely deep and unpredictable pitch mix 157 00:08:53,200 --> 00:08:56,120 Speaker 1: in the way that he uses it. Even though he 158 00:08:56,120 --> 00:08:58,040 Speaker 1: didn't miss bats's past year, we'll get to that in 159 00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:00,560 Speaker 1: a moment. When balls were put in play, it was 160 00:09:00,600 --> 00:09:04,320 Speaker 1: a very normal results, about a two ninety six batting 161 00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:07,360 Speaker 1: average on balls in play. He got these good results 162 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:11,160 Speaker 1: over a large quantity of innings, and it wasn't necessarily 163 00:09:11,240 --> 00:09:13,600 Speaker 1: good luck that put it in his favor. He was 164 00:09:13,640 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 1: getting a lot of weak contact. He was playing in 165 00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:19,080 Speaker 1: front of a defense in Chicago that wasn't particularly highly regarded. 166 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:21,079 Speaker 1: Maybe a little bit better than the defense he gets 167 00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:24,960 Speaker 1: here in Miami, we'll see it was the combination of 168 00:09:25,000 --> 00:09:28,600 Speaker 1: preventing runs and also going surprisingly deep into games, averaging 169 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:32,600 Speaker 1: over six innings per start, and that is very notable 170 00:09:32,920 --> 00:09:35,640 Speaker 1: thresholds across this year. That is not a given when 171 00:09:35,679 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 1: you're talking about starting pitchers these days. So Sandy, Sandy, 172 00:09:39,480 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 1: Johnny Quato, if he does that again, he'd be second 173 00:09:42,440 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 1: to Sandy in terms of how deep he goes into games. 174 00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:49,360 Speaker 1: That is an extremely important factor for any team, especially 175 00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:53,360 Speaker 1: one with the Marlins that has some uncertainty in their bullpen. 176 00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:58,560 Speaker 1: At this moment, he still does his vintage Quato mannerisms, 177 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:02,840 Speaker 1: the shimmy and other variations on his delivery to upset 178 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:04,360 Speaker 1: the timing of the hitter so they don't know when 179 00:10:04,360 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 1: the ball's coming out. And from the sample we've seen 180 00:10:07,240 --> 00:10:11,280 Speaker 1: this spring, he's still able to maintain his command of 181 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:14,320 Speaker 1: his pitches even when he varies his delivery. That is 182 00:10:14,360 --> 00:10:18,720 Speaker 1: so important because it's all for moot. If those tweaks, 183 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 1: those idiosyncrasies prevent you from actually throwing the ball where 184 00:10:22,320 --> 00:10:24,240 Speaker 1: you want to throw the ball. That's what has made 185 00:10:24,280 --> 00:10:27,079 Speaker 1: Quato such a fun figure to watch through the years 186 00:10:27,120 --> 00:10:31,000 Speaker 1: is that he's able to execute the same even when 187 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:33,800 Speaker 1: he seems to be off balance. He never truly is. 188 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:36,560 Speaker 1: That's the trick of it, what you're worried about. Well 189 00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:41,000 Speaker 1: thirty seven years old. There's been a decline gradually in 190 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 1: the quality of his stuff. As I mentioned last year, 191 00:10:44,400 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 1: there was a big decline in the quality of the 192 00:10:47,720 --> 00:10:51,760 Speaker 1: quantity of his strikeouts. Quato just was not missing, that's whatsoever. 193 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:55,880 Speaker 1: Last year, striking out just one hundred and two batters 194 00:10:55,880 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 1: in those one hundred and fifty eight innings, one of 195 00:10:58,880 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 1: the lower strikeout rates in all of baseball, simply put so, 196 00:11:03,000 --> 00:11:07,480 Speaker 1: One thing is his signature changeup. That was his arguably 197 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:10,559 Speaker 1: his best pitch during his prime years. The whiff rate 198 00:11:10,600 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 1: on that pitch has taken a big drop last year 199 00:11:12,840 --> 00:11:16,080 Speaker 1: twenty three percent whiff rate on it. His previous career 200 00:11:16,160 --> 00:11:19,480 Speaker 1: low in any season was a twenty six percent you 201 00:11:19,840 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 1: rewind before twenty twenty two. In those recent seasons with 202 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:26,439 Speaker 1: the Giants, he was kind of in the wilderness from 203 00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 1: both the performance and a health standpoint. He was somebody 204 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:32,400 Speaker 1: that you just couldn't count on to give you a 205 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:35,559 Speaker 1: whole lot of workload or quality during the course of 206 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:38,199 Speaker 1: the season. So That's why last year was somewhat of 207 00:11:38,240 --> 00:11:41,200 Speaker 1: a surprise because it was the outlier compared to the 208 00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 1: previous half decade or so of his career, and he 209 00:11:47,480 --> 00:11:49,600 Speaker 1: is at a stage in his career where these players 210 00:11:49,640 --> 00:11:53,160 Speaker 1: typically declined, and it's more likely to go south than 211 00:11:53,160 --> 00:11:56,400 Speaker 1: it is to even plateau in terms of your overall performance. 212 00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 1: His spring training performance was downright awful from what we saw. 213 00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:02,480 Speaker 1: Now we didn't see all of it. At least one 214 00:12:02,520 --> 00:12:04,600 Speaker 1: of his starts was on the backfields. He made two 215 00:12:04,640 --> 00:12:07,880 Speaker 1: starts in the Grave Fruit League where he allowed eleven 216 00:12:07,960 --> 00:12:10,200 Speaker 1: earned rounds in just three and two thirds innings. So 217 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 1: that's a twenty seven era, so much hard contact in 218 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:19,160 Speaker 1: that sample as well as not some cheapies. That being said, 219 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:23,480 Speaker 1: he does have a career history of not getting results 220 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:25,600 Speaker 1: in spring training. That is not a priority for him. 221 00:12:25,679 --> 00:12:29,080 Speaker 1: Every hit player handles it differently in terms of what 222 00:12:29,160 --> 00:12:32,000 Speaker 1: their goals are in spring and clearly he has never 223 00:12:32,080 --> 00:12:36,720 Speaker 1: prioritized getting those results during these exhibition games. Not much 224 00:12:36,760 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 1: to read into that. Yeah, the bottom line is that 225 00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:42,040 Speaker 1: the contract that even the Marlins that were the top 226 00:12:42,080 --> 00:12:45,120 Speaker 1: bitters to get him one year eight point five million dollars, 227 00:12:45,160 --> 00:12:47,840 Speaker 1: that is not commensurate with his performance last year. That 228 00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:50,960 Speaker 1: just shows that even the top bidder for his services 229 00:12:51,360 --> 00:12:54,079 Speaker 1: is anticipating some sort of drop off. So that's the 230 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:57,280 Speaker 1: biggest tell when you're talking about him as an X 231 00:12:57,320 --> 00:13:01,320 Speaker 1: factor is the terms that took to sign him were 232 00:13:02,000 --> 00:13:05,679 Speaker 1: reflective of a player of weaker performance than the one 233 00:13:05,679 --> 00:13:07,480 Speaker 1: that he just put up in twenty twenty two. Even 234 00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 1: the Marlins seem to be bracing for him to come 235 00:13:09,400 --> 00:13:14,240 Speaker 1: down a little bit. But that being said, I just 236 00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:16,280 Speaker 1: don't want to rule it past the possibility that he 237 00:13:16,280 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 1: actually does maintain his performance, that he continues despite the 238 00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:23,960 Speaker 1: drop in fastball VLO to maintain the differential between his 239 00:13:24,040 --> 00:13:27,760 Speaker 1: pitches and continuing to use them in situations where batters 240 00:13:27,760 --> 00:13:30,559 Speaker 1: have a tough time anticipating what is coming. So I'm 241 00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 1: not going to totally rule out the fact that he 242 00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:34,839 Speaker 1: could be a good starting pitcher in twenty twenty three. 243 00:13:35,280 --> 00:13:37,200 Speaker 1: But we know that the downside is that he doesn't 244 00:13:37,200 --> 00:13:40,040 Speaker 1: even make it through this season as a major league player. 245 00:13:40,400 --> 00:13:43,600 Speaker 1: That's we need to be prepared for that wide range 246 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:47,240 Speaker 1: of outcomes in his case. Sticking on the starting pitching side. 247 00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:52,440 Speaker 1: In between these two experience levels, we have Trevor Rodgers 248 00:13:53,160 --> 00:13:56,760 Speaker 1: last year a seventy four er plus and his one 249 00:13:56,840 --> 00:14:00,400 Speaker 1: hundred and seven major league innings reminder one hundred league 250 00:14:00,440 --> 00:14:04,880 Speaker 1: average seventy four is very bad. Why we're excited anyway, 251 00:14:05,320 --> 00:14:08,839 Speaker 1: because not obviously, you go back the year before twenty 252 00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 1: twenty one, and he looks like he was emerging as 253 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:13,440 Speaker 1: one of the very best young left handers in Major 254 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:16,720 Speaker 1: League baseball, And even in twenty twenty two, we saw 255 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:20,040 Speaker 1: a pitcher that has generally very good command. He gets 256 00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:25,720 Speaker 1: great extension off the mound that allows his effective velocity 257 00:14:25,880 --> 00:14:29,160 Speaker 1: his perceived velocity to be even faster than his actual velocity. 258 00:14:29,200 --> 00:14:32,200 Speaker 1: He delivers the ball really close to the plate at six' 259 00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:35,280 Speaker 1: five with long, strides and he releases it from this 260 00:14:35,320 --> 00:14:40,640 Speaker 1: difficult arm slot that also makes it even play greater 261 00:14:40,760 --> 00:14:44,400 Speaker 1: than the raw quality of his. Stuff he looks the 262 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:50,920 Speaker 1: part of a really menacing starting. Pitcher his fastball when 263 00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:53,960 Speaker 1: he throws it up in the, zone he has all 264 00:14:53,960 --> 00:14:57,840 Speaker 1: the characteristics of a great quality. Pitch in that twenty 265 00:14:57,920 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 1: twenty one, season despite some, misstime he the league leaders 266 00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:04,920 Speaker 1: in strikeouts on his forcing fastball is change up pairs 267 00:15:05,040 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 1: very well with that the way that it moves particularly 268 00:15:09,920 --> 00:15:11,840 Speaker 1: coming out of that arm, slot it gets so much 269 00:15:11,920 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 1: horizontal break in addition to the typical vertical break that 270 00:15:15,440 --> 00:15:19,720 Speaker 1: you see on these. Changeups the ingredients are still there For, 271 00:15:19,800 --> 00:15:23,720 Speaker 1: trevor and he seems to be fully recovered from the 272 00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:26,560 Speaker 1: lat strain that he had at the end of last. 273 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:28,960 Speaker 1: Season health is a big. Factor. Two of, Course i'm 274 00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:33,480 Speaker 1: talking about any. Pitcher so the reasons for concern With 275 00:15:33,640 --> 00:15:39,720 Speaker 1: trevor watching him last, year there was there was the 276 00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 1: ra number which was concerning the fielder independent pitching told 277 00:15:45,600 --> 00:15:48,160 Speaker 1: a more promising. Story it was about over a run. 278 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:51,560 Speaker 1: Difference they had his fielder independent pitching at four point thirty, 279 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:54,120 Speaker 1: five which is only slightly worse than the league. Average 280 00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:58,359 Speaker 1: just watching him pitch though in the most important, situations 281 00:15:58,520 --> 00:16:02,280 Speaker 1: he just was failing to keep his composure and to 282 00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:05,480 Speaker 1: execute in those. Situations he had such a harder time 283 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:09,760 Speaker 1: than usual missing, bats putting batters away in those high 284 00:16:09,880 --> 00:16:12,440 Speaker 1: leverage or you could, say medium leverage spots than he 285 00:16:12,760 --> 00:16:14,720 Speaker 1: seemed to have in twenty twenty, one or that you'd 286 00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:19,240 Speaker 1: normally expect for somebody of his talent. Level there was 287 00:16:19,640 --> 00:16:23,520 Speaker 1: just a very obvious problem solving issue that he was 288 00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 1: having on the, mound it was leading to a surprising 289 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:30,440 Speaker 1: number of these blow up. Innings so to make that go, 290 00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:32,600 Speaker 1: away there needs to be some adjustment on his part 291 00:16:32,640 --> 00:16:35,120 Speaker 1: because it was happening again and again and again that 292 00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:38,120 Speaker 1: when he was getting the second time through an order in, 293 00:16:38,160 --> 00:16:42,400 Speaker 1: particular that he was getting stuck in those outings and 294 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:46,160 Speaker 1: not able to give the team. Length last year twenty 295 00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:48,360 Speaker 1: three starts to get to those one hundred and seven, 296 00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:53,040 Speaker 1: innings that's well below five innings per start from. Him 297 00:16:54,880 --> 00:16:57,440 Speaker 1: if he is going to be better from a run 298 00:16:57,440 --> 00:16:59,920 Speaker 1: prevention standpoint this year but not going to go deeper in, 299 00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:02,880 Speaker 1: games that is still a. Problem that is still somebody 300 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:05,960 Speaker 1: that you need to look long and hard and think 301 00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 1: about whether they should even be in your. Rotation the 302 00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 1: going deep into these games is going to be of 303 00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:15,840 Speaker 1: major importance just as much as it is keeping runs 304 00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:18,959 Speaker 1: off the board in the first. Place one thing we 305 00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:22,040 Speaker 1: saw last, year really throughout his, career but especially last, 306 00:17:22,080 --> 00:17:25,040 Speaker 1: year is how his velocity on his fastball faded as 307 00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:27,720 Speaker 1: games went. On when he's at his, best it's ninety 308 00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:31,560 Speaker 1: five ninety. Six so far this, spring he's averaging just 309 00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:34,920 Speaker 1: ninety three point two miles on his four seen fastball 310 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 1: in the pitches that we've actually been able to track 311 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:40,639 Speaker 1: that is about the same as it was last. Spring 312 00:17:40,840 --> 00:17:42,560 Speaker 1: it's a mile per hower lower than it was in 313 00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:46,120 Speaker 1: twenty twenty, one and that was entering his standout rookie. 314 00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:49,600 Speaker 1: Season so a little bit of concern about whether he 315 00:17:49,600 --> 00:17:52,359 Speaker 1: has actually put those conditioning questions behind him and to 316 00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:55,840 Speaker 1: be able to maintain his quality of. Stuff he is 317 00:17:55,960 --> 00:18:00,280 Speaker 1: working on this new sinker additional pitch in his mixed 318 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:02,879 Speaker 1: to combine with the four seamer slider and change. Up 319 00:18:03,800 --> 00:18:06,760 Speaker 1: he's used it in spring, games BUT i can't say 320 00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:09,440 Speaker 1: that we've actually seen anything in particular from it to 321 00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:12,480 Speaker 1: make it clear that's going to enhance his overall quality. 322 00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:14,600 Speaker 1: Performance that is still a question. Mark it's good that 323 00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:17,600 Speaker 1: he's he took the initiative to try to add this 324 00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:22,280 Speaker 1: additional wrinkle to his strategy on the, Mound it's still 325 00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:23,680 Speaker 1: a big question as to whether or not it's going 326 00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:26,879 Speaker 1: to make a difference one way or. Another so to 327 00:18:27,359 --> 00:18:31,800 Speaker 1: like underline negatives, Here i'm just not sure we're going 328 00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:33,960 Speaker 1: to see a much different picture than we saw last. 329 00:18:34,040 --> 00:18:37,760 Speaker 1: Year so how much is of his simple turn and 330 00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:40,439 Speaker 1: luck is going to bring up his results closer to 331 00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:44,480 Speaker 1: what we, expect and he's he going to really be 332 00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:47,480 Speaker 1: doing anything clearly better than he did in the twenty 333 00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:50,040 Speaker 1: twenty two. Season that's still a big wait and see. 334 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:53,159 Speaker 1: Whichever so we've seen the upside already with him as a, 335 00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:56,359 Speaker 1: player and the downside is that if he performs like 336 00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:58,960 Speaker 1: he did last, YEAR i don't think there's gonna be 337 00:18:59,080 --> 00:19:02,640 Speaker 1: room for him on the major league pitching. Staff so three, 338 00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:04,800 Speaker 1: down three to go on THESE x factors for the 339 00:19:04,840 --> 00:19:07,359 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three. Seasons we'll be back with the rest 340 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:12,320 Speaker 1: after this. Break, Still Eli sussman of Fitz stripes going 341 00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:15,879 Speaker 1: through MY x factors for this. Season volatile players with 342 00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:21,360 Speaker 1: relatively high, ceilings relatively frightening low, floors players, that, FRANKLY 343 00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:24,199 Speaker 1: i don't have a great feel for how they're going 344 00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:26,240 Speaker 1: to perform this. YEAR i could see it going either. 345 00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:31,000 Speaker 1: Way we've Covered Yari, Perez we've Covered Johnny, cuato we've 346 00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:35,200 Speaker 1: Covered Trevor, rodgers and now on the position player's, Side Heesus. 347 00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:39,399 Speaker 1: Sanchez last season a ninety three weighted runs created plus 348 00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:42,200 Speaker 1: in three hundred and forty three played. Appearances once, again 349 00:19:42,240 --> 00:19:45,199 Speaker 1: one hundred isily garage slightly worse than league average as a. 350 00:19:45,280 --> 00:19:48,280 Speaker 1: Hitter it was book ended by very good production in 351 00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:53,199 Speaker 1: Early april last. Year jesus was the best player on 352 00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:55,480 Speaker 1: the team for those first couple of, weeks and then 353 00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:56,960 Speaker 1: when he came back at the very end of the 354 00:19:57,040 --> 00:20:00,680 Speaker 1: year From TRIPLE, a he was again very productive at the. 355 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:04,760 Speaker 1: Plate in, between it was a big. Wreck so we'll 356 00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:07,200 Speaker 1: get to that wreck in just a few. Moments staying 357 00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:11,080 Speaker 1: on the positives from this, spring he had very good 358 00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:14,719 Speaker 1: quality of at bats anyway you slice. It He it 359 00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:19,560 Speaker 1: was impressive to see him at the plate the. Spring 360 00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:23,880 Speaker 1: the results were slightly better than. Well on a team 361 00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:27,720 Speaker 1: that had very few standout offensive. Performers he hit over 362 00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:30,640 Speaker 1: three Hundred let me take a look at this full 363 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 1: slash one here three hundred three h two a three 364 00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:35,959 Speaker 1: point thirty three on base four nineteen. Slugging it's not 365 00:20:36,040 --> 00:20:39,080 Speaker 1: really that. Sexy in a small. Sample he also stole three, 366 00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:41,119 Speaker 1: bases And i'll get to the other side of that 367 00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:44,239 Speaker 1: equation pretty shortly. SOON i have a must to say On. 368 00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:47,800 Speaker 1: Sanchez for a player that has shown such immense promise 369 00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:50,600 Speaker 1: in the game of power, department he has as much 370 00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:53,160 Speaker 1: game power as anybody on this. Team that is saying 371 00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:56,120 Speaker 1: a lot because there are some big mashers on This marlins. 372 00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:59,440 Speaker 1: Roster In, sanchez he'll, remember hit the longest home run 373 00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:02,560 Speaker 1: of anyone Ar own's player in twenty twenty, two and 374 00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:06,640 Speaker 1: really in both seasons both of his mostly full years 375 00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:09,200 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one and twenty twenty, Two he's had 376 00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:13,760 Speaker 1: a handful of these no doubter homers in several and 377 00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:18,399 Speaker 1: very high leverage. Situations so he has that. Potential he 378 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:22,760 Speaker 1: has enough in there that our Own isaacazoud made it 379 00:21:22,800 --> 00:21:26,240 Speaker 1: a bold prediction That haseus will hit forty home runs this. 380 00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:29,840 Speaker 1: Year very bold in my. Opinion what we've seen is 381 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 1: that he hits relatively well against righty's right handed pitching 382 00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:37,640 Speaker 1: for his, career a one to TEN wrc plus against. 383 00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:41,080 Speaker 1: Righty's you put him in a platoon. SITUATION i know 384 00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:44,120 Speaker 1: That Peter pratt Of Lockdown marlins has called for this very. 385 00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:47,280 Speaker 1: Specifically they should just put him in those situations all 386 00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:50,000 Speaker 1: the time and protect him as a platoon player for 387 00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:53,720 Speaker 1: the lefty Hitting. Sanchez he's been good at that in the. 388 00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:58,440 Speaker 1: Past the hotspurts early in twenty twenty. Two we saw 389 00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:01,520 Speaker 1: this IN i Think august of twenty twenty. One, yeah 390 00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:04,600 Speaker 1: when he is, hot he is a run producer with 391 00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:08,200 Speaker 1: tremendous potential in the. Outfields even he has a very 392 00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:12,800 Speaker 1: strong throwing arm on a team again that has several 393 00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:15,400 Speaker 1: guys that have strong throwing, arms but his sticks. Out 394 00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:18,840 Speaker 1: so that's just another tool that he brings to the skill. 395 00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:23,040 Speaker 1: Set and he's still relatively, young just twenty five years, 396 00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:27,800 Speaker 1: old still pre arbitration. Eligible if things really work out for, 397 00:22:27,880 --> 00:22:30,600 Speaker 1: him then this is the type of player that if 398 00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:33,560 Speaker 1: he reaches his, ceiling he is a building, Block he's 399 00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:39,199 Speaker 1: an extension. Candidate there is all that In sanchez why you're. Worried, 400 00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:46,120 Speaker 1: fundamentally he is a very aggravating player to. Watch so 401 00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:50,439 Speaker 1: despite the arm strength that he, has his defense IS 402 00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:53,560 Speaker 1: i GUESS i would call it a Erratic. Now The 403 00:22:53,600 --> 00:22:55,640 Speaker 1: marlins put him in a very bad spot last. Year 404 00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:58,959 Speaker 1: they made him their everyday center, fielder coming out early 405 00:22:59,040 --> 00:23:02,080 Speaker 1: in the season and made more than halfway through the 406 00:23:02,080 --> 00:23:05,639 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two seasons before they finally took the l 407 00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:10,800 Speaker 1: on that. DECISION i thought that was unreasonable expectation for. 408 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:13,119 Speaker 1: Him and the problem is that even in the corner, 409 00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:17,560 Speaker 1: spots you just see this decision making that scratches your 410 00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 1: head in terms of throwing to the right, bases hidden 411 00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:23,800 Speaker 1: cut off. Guys the routes that he takes the balls are, 412 00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:27,119 Speaker 1: also you, know very. Questionable what he does well, DEFENSIVELY 413 00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:28,879 Speaker 1: i guess is the timing of his, jumps and then 414 00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:33,199 Speaker 1: his top end sprint speed is above. Average it's just 415 00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:36,679 Speaker 1: the little things that cause him to misplay some catchable 416 00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:43,400 Speaker 1: balls and to turn some slight mistakes into extra bass. 417 00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:47,040 Speaker 1: Mistakes most memorably last year was the inside the park 418 00:23:47,080 --> 00:23:49,440 Speaker 1: home run that he allowed At Tropicana field. 419 00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:52,560 Speaker 2: And the first patch a liner off the bat Of 420 00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:56,399 Speaker 2: kermeyer had a diving a Tip bike, said chance gonna. 421 00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:56,959 Speaker 1: Go all the way to the. 422 00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 2: Wall he got a chance to circle. 423 00:23:59,200 --> 00:24:01,439 Speaker 1: UP i got, Third he's gonna get. 424 00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:03,720 Speaker 2: The grade line head round the play. 425 00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:08,919 Speaker 1: Edge not a, Time birks pitch bottom of the. First 426 00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 1: kermeier then chinned, up Park Olbron. 427 00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:15,880 Speaker 2: Could you have set it up any? Better go after 428 00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:19,679 Speaker 2: the first? Pitch Aggressive Hayesue. Sanchez he gave himself a 429 00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:20,920 Speaker 2: shot once it got by. 430 00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:25,359 Speaker 1: HIM i think everybody was standing. Here this also applies 431 00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:28,520 Speaker 1: on the basic paths as a base. Runner for somebody 432 00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:33,240 Speaker 1: with his, athleticism it is surprising that over the course 433 00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:37,239 Speaker 1: now with parts of three major league, seasons overall one 434 00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:40,399 Speaker 1: hundred and seventy two, games he has one stolen base 435 00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:43,800 Speaker 1: one stolen base For sanchez and all that time and 436 00:24:44,040 --> 00:24:48,000 Speaker 1: only two. Attempts so it goes beyond. That he makes 437 00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:50,800 Speaker 1: outs on the bases as, well those things that are 438 00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:54,439 Speaker 1: more difficult to, quantify But Baseball reference has the stat 439 00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:58,119 Speaker 1: called outs on the bases in terms of advancing on live, 440 00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:02,200 Speaker 1: balls making u worst mistakes when they're not steel, attempts 441 00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:04,840 Speaker 1: and he led the team last year with six outs 442 00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:07,480 Speaker 1: on the. Basis that's despite not spending the whole year 443 00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:09,720 Speaker 1: in the majors and not getting on base a ton 444 00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:13,199 Speaker 1: in the first. Place so it's these little things that 445 00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:15,879 Speaker 1: really drag out his. Value even if he unleisure is 446 00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:18,800 Speaker 1: the best version of himself at the, plate these other 447 00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:21,560 Speaker 1: areas are going to drag down his overall contribution to the. 448 00:25:21,600 --> 00:25:23,879 Speaker 1: Team the most important thing is going to be that 449 00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:28,080 Speaker 1: contribution at the. Plate his performance against lefties is about 450 00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:31,119 Speaker 1: as bad this past season as any single season that 451 00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:35,960 Speaker 1: you'll ever, see just a hard time recognizing anything out 452 00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:38,760 Speaker 1: of the lefties hands and getting himself into bad. Counts 453 00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:42,040 Speaker 1: there's a lot of swing and, miss even at pitches 454 00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:46,359 Speaker 1: in the. Zone For, sanchez there's very limited windows he 455 00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:49,520 Speaker 1: has where he can truly make solid contact on. It 456 00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:52,719 Speaker 1: we've already talked about the quality of that contact is 457 00:25:53,040 --> 00:25:56,359 Speaker 1: pretty awesome on the high. End everything in, between, though 458 00:25:56,920 --> 00:26:00,520 Speaker 1: is not helping the team win very. Much so at 459 00:26:00,520 --> 00:26:02,879 Speaker 1: this point of his, CAREER i think you can already 460 00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:07,800 Speaker 1: move on from the idea of him as a center field. 461 00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:12,280 Speaker 1: Option he is Very it was a big storyline last 462 00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:14,879 Speaker 1: year that he had only one minor league option remaining 463 00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:16,720 Speaker 1: in The marlins were stalling as long as they cannot 464 00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:18,879 Speaker 1: to use, it and they finally just had to do, 465 00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:21,520 Speaker 1: it and that leaves him without any options moving. Forward 466 00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:24,200 Speaker 1: they cannot send him down to the minors unless he clears, 467 00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:26,680 Speaker 1: waivers and if he clears, WAIVERS i would just show 468 00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:28,840 Speaker 1: you how far his value has fallen as a player 469 00:26:29,640 --> 00:26:31,520 Speaker 1: from what it used to be when he was kind 470 00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:36,200 Speaker 1: of a borderline top one HUNDRED mlb. Prospect with, him 471 00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:39,119 Speaker 1: the question is whether he's going to just get on 472 00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:42,119 Speaker 1: base enough to justify some of the other deficiencies in his, 473 00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:44,760 Speaker 1: game and maybe there is an opportunity for him to 474 00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:48,840 Speaker 1: address some of those fundamental. Flaws, Unfortunately i'm skeptical about that, 475 00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:51,440 Speaker 1: part but the fundamentals, part because this is a player 476 00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:54,600 Speaker 1: who has now been in professional baseball for close to nine, 477 00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:57,919 Speaker 1: years SO i don't know how much you've really changed 478 00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:00,399 Speaker 1: this deep into your pro career in terms of picking 479 00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:03,600 Speaker 1: up the little details of the game and being able 480 00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:08,800 Speaker 1: to take advantage of. THEM i still do see the 481 00:27:08,880 --> 00:27:13,240 Speaker 1: upside in the run production department that could still be, 482 00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:15,920 Speaker 1: there and the way that This marlins roster is. Constructed 483 00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:18,840 Speaker 1: he doesn't have to take very, many if any at 484 00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:23,800 Speaker 1: bats whatsoever against lefty pitching surrounded By Jorges, Hilaire Brian 485 00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:26,920 Speaker 1: delacruz and Aviosly El garcia who will get too shortly 486 00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:31,640 Speaker 1: their platoon possibilities right here that could bring the best 487 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:35,199 Speaker 1: out of everybody. Involved So, hey Sus, sanchez BIG x 488 00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:39,480 Speaker 1: factor for The marlins this. Year number five on my list. 489 00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:44,120 Speaker 1: Here Edward cabrera last year's performance in The majors extremely, 490 00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:49,160 Speaker 1: exhilarating a one thirty FIVE era plus in his seventy 491 00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:54,159 Speaker 1: two healthy, endings those coming In june and then he 492 00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:57,359 Speaker 1: came back In august And. September miss time before, that 493 00:27:57,440 --> 00:28:01,959 Speaker 1: miss time in between that the excitement is it's pretty 494 00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:06,640 Speaker 1: easy to. Convey he is. Nasty he is this comp 495 00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:11,040 Speaker 1: has been. Made Is Sandy alcontra level. Nasty there's some 496 00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:13,960 Speaker 1: common threads there in terms of the quality of their. 497 00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:17,600 Speaker 1: Pitches it's a high nineties fastball that hasn't touched one 498 00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:20,920 Speaker 1: hundred in a real game, yet But i've seen it 499 00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:23,959 Speaker 1: happen before earlier in his pro, career and he has 500 00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:26,639 Speaker 1: the changeup working off of. That just such a unique 501 00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:31,480 Speaker 1: pitch with fastball, velocity but also with that very sudden 502 00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:34,199 Speaker 1: movement dropping below the barrel of the bat as it 503 00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:36,800 Speaker 1: gets to the. Zone he's had a good slider for a. 504 00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:40,160 Speaker 1: While and WHAT i saw last, year even before he 505 00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:43,040 Speaker 1: joined the big league staff, again was the improvement in 506 00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:45,120 Speaker 1: his curveball and the way that he was utilizing it 507 00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:48,120 Speaker 1: to steel strikes instead of relying only on swing and 508 00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:51,320 Speaker 1: miss and soft. Contact he used his. Curve it was 509 00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:53,920 Speaker 1: especially on displaying his final spring start where he went 510 00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:57,680 Speaker 1: up against Stacked cardinals lineup and he left the mound 511 00:28:57,760 --> 00:29:00,480 Speaker 1: in the sixth inning without allowing a run for one 512 00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:03,680 Speaker 1: inherited runner finally. Scored you've seen it just now on 513 00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:06,320 Speaker 1: a handful of occasions where he has these individual outings 514 00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:10,000 Speaker 1: that he looks, unhitble not just in, spring but we 515 00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:13,000 Speaker 1: saw last year there was That rockies, GAME i think 516 00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:16,720 Speaker 1: there was A phillies game last, year several others that 517 00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:21,440 Speaker 1: are not even coming to mind where he just looks, 518 00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:25,800 Speaker 1: amazing he looks. Overpowering that's the quality of the stuff 519 00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:28,960 Speaker 1: is absolutely, there and the depth of the pitch mix 520 00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:32,440 Speaker 1: is again very big. Key that's something THAT i prioritize 521 00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:34,920 Speaker 1: a lot in evaluating pitchers is how many different directions 522 00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:37,880 Speaker 1: they can go against both lefties and righty's to get 523 00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:42,800 Speaker 1: their desired results in a key. Situation edward last year 524 00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:44,880 Speaker 1: even we saw a nice step forward in terms of 525 00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:46,920 Speaker 1: working deep into games as. Well that is going to 526 00:29:46,920 --> 00:29:50,800 Speaker 1: be very important for concern. Though there are a lot 527 00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:52,760 Speaker 1: of different angles that could go to, here the main 528 00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:58,040 Speaker 1: one being his questionable durability throughout His Major league his 529 00:29:58,120 --> 00:30:03,040 Speaker 1: professional career now then a handful of injured list. Stints 530 00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:07,080 Speaker 1: there was last year it was let me make SURE 531 00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:09,640 Speaker 1: i have this. RIGHT i think it was tendinitis that 532 00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:12,880 Speaker 1: kept him out for close to two. Months then there 533 00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:16,120 Speaker 1: was a spring training prior to that where he had 534 00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:20,920 Speaker 1: that nerve issue in his biceps and earlier in his 535 00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:25,760 Speaker 1: minor league. Career nothing, severe but just a handful of 536 00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:28,760 Speaker 1: instances that limited him is the workload that he's been 537 00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:32,520 Speaker 1: able to build. Up he's had blister issues multiple times 538 00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:34,800 Speaker 1: in his. Career he had to leave his final start 539 00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:37,920 Speaker 1: of the twenty twenty two season with a small injury 540 00:30:38,040 --> 00:30:44,280 Speaker 1: situation because of. That this, SEASON i think REALISTICALLY i 541 00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:47,200 Speaker 1: don't see him making thirty two, starts even if everything goes. 542 00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:50,880 Speaker 1: Well they need to have his somewhat of a workload 543 00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:54,000 Speaker 1: limit in, mind just because he hasn't come close to 544 00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:58,320 Speaker 1: being that kind of player to this, point and given his. 545 00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:04,760 Speaker 1: Past his past his injuries are often the most biggest 546 00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:09,120 Speaker 1: factor in predicting future injuries for somebody like. HIM i 547 00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:13,760 Speaker 1: continue to be very annoyed by his fastball, usage the 548 00:31:13,840 --> 00:31:16,840 Speaker 1: lack of conviction that he has in his, fastball so 549 00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:19,200 Speaker 1: his change up to be, fair can act like a 550 00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:23,240 Speaker 1: fastball because of how hard he throws. It, still it's 551 00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:27,240 Speaker 1: important to have a four seemer in your, pitch mix 552 00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:29,400 Speaker 1: that to pair with that as well to bring out 553 00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:31,600 Speaker 1: the very best in both the change up and everything 554 00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:34,080 Speaker 1: else that he, has and especially to get ahead and. 555 00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:37,080 Speaker 1: Counts so even when he was having success last year 556 00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:40,240 Speaker 1: that one point thirty FIVE era plus a RAW era 557 00:31:40,520 --> 00:31:44,440 Speaker 1: right around. Three he was doing it despite getting falling 558 00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:47,360 Speaker 1: behind in counts nearly half the. Time he just was 559 00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:50,840 Speaker 1: not throwing first pitch. Strikes, typically for a lot of, 560 00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:52,840 Speaker 1: pitchers the fastball is the pitch that they trust the 561 00:31:52,840 --> 00:31:54,560 Speaker 1: most to get them ahead in the account or to 562 00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:57,440 Speaker 1: get them back into account where they're. Behind With, edward 563 00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:02,000 Speaker 1: he just does not have in that, pitch AND i 564 00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:05,120 Speaker 1: think that's why he uses it about as little as 565 00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:07,959 Speaker 1: any starting pitcher in, baseball throwing his fasketball only a 566 00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:10,360 Speaker 1: third of the, TIME i believe it or, not out 567 00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:14,800 Speaker 1: of all his total, pitches without having more conviction in that, 568 00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:18,520 Speaker 1: pitch without being able to trust it to command it 569 00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:21,440 Speaker 1: when you need a called strike concertain, situation and he's 570 00:32:21,480 --> 00:32:24,160 Speaker 1: relying too much on that curve ball of his to 571 00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:27,560 Speaker 1: get him back, INTOCCOUNTS i just think he's going to 572 00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:31,000 Speaker 1: be inefficient and he's going to put on more free 573 00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:33,680 Speaker 1: base runners than you'd like. To, so just, GENERALLY i 574 00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:37,160 Speaker 1: think his control is a big question. Mark it's, why 575 00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:39,680 Speaker 1: even though he has this upside of being top of 576 00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:43,120 Speaker 1: the rotation starting, PITCHER i feel very earnestly that there 577 00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:46,560 Speaker 1: is a risk Of cabrera being a relief arm in 578 00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:49,960 Speaker 1: the near. Future he's had some success now in the big. 579 00:32:50,040 --> 00:32:54,320 Speaker 1: Leagues it's been the Reverse, trevor where the underlying stats 580 00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:58,160 Speaker 1: even last year were not as flattering as the raw 581 00:32:58,280 --> 00:33:01,440 Speaker 1: quality of. Stuff in the raw era that he was 582 00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:05,200 Speaker 1: putting on too many free base runners thirty three walks 583 00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:07,320 Speaker 1: in those seventy two. Innings he was along too many 584 00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:11,520 Speaker 1: home runs at, times which is that is very, unsandy 585 00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:14,000 Speaker 1: like for everybody that likes to draw the, parallels is 586 00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:17,040 Speaker 1: that that's been a very key difference between him that 587 00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:21,840 Speaker 1: he needs to get ironed. Out so he fits right 588 00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:24,360 Speaker 1: in here with these other pitchers that we, Covered AND 589 00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:27,320 Speaker 1: i think his his floor is maybe a little bit 590 00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:31,560 Speaker 1: higher Than, trevor's just because he's not going to Allow 591 00:33:32,520 --> 00:33:34,560 Speaker 1: you don't think that he's gonna allow a high volume 592 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:36,960 Speaker 1: of total. Hits But i'm still worried about the extra base, 593 00:33:37,040 --> 00:33:39,480 Speaker 1: hits And i'm worried about the, walks And i'm worried 594 00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:43,080 Speaker 1: about him staying healthy as. Well so the upside is pretty. 595 00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:47,400 Speaker 1: GREAT i would not be surprised if he does have 596 00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:49,000 Speaker 1: the best year of his career to this, point if 597 00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:51,440 Speaker 1: he asserts himself as the number two guy in This marlins. 598 00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:55,880 Speaker 1: Rotation i'm just saying that there is some variance With Edward. 599 00:33:55,920 --> 00:34:00,240 Speaker 1: Cabrera looking to this upcoming, Season we're gonna finish off umber, 600 00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:06,680 Speaker 1: Six Ava Sayel garcia a Disastrous marlin's debut in twenty twenty, 601 00:34:06,680 --> 00:34:10,040 Speaker 1: two a sixty SIX wrc plus and is three hundred 602 00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:15,880 Speaker 1: and eighty plate appearances the Most the easiest starting point 603 00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:18,759 Speaker 1: when it comes to the glass half full With avi 604 00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:20,880 Speaker 1: is that we've seen this. Before we've seen him have 605 00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:24,719 Speaker 1: bad years and they've been bookended by good. Years one you're, 606 00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:28,719 Speaker 1: bad one you're. Good dating back to twenty, sixteen that's 607 00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:33,640 Speaker 1: been the, trend alternating between below average hitting and above 608 00:34:33,640 --> 00:34:35,799 Speaker 1: average hitting in each of those. Years so if that trend, 609 00:34:35,880 --> 00:34:39,560 Speaker 1: continues then coming off a bad year isn't such a worrisome. 610 00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:45,880 Speaker 1: Thing he is even just a halftick Above sanchez in 611 00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:50,680 Speaker 1: the raw power. Department his peak exsit velocities are. Tremendous 612 00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:52,640 Speaker 1: as long as he gets the ball a little bit, 613 00:34:52,680 --> 00:34:56,799 Speaker 1: elevated he's going to get better than most results on 614 00:34:57,000 --> 00:34:59,920 Speaker 1: balls and play first career a three twenty three batting 615 00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:02,680 Speaker 1: average on balls in, play and now that you have 616 00:35:02,760 --> 00:35:05,719 Speaker 1: some shift, RESTRICTIONS i think he can benefit from that 617 00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:09,040 Speaker 1: even a little bit. More he reported a camp this 618 00:35:09,120 --> 00:35:11,399 Speaker 1: year in much better shape than he did last. Year 619 00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:13,440 Speaker 1: that was noticeable from the get. Go that was noticeable 620 00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:15,680 Speaker 1: at the very beginning of the off. Season this has 621 00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:19,319 Speaker 1: been a process ever since he hurt his hamstring late 622 00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:21,319 Speaker 1: in the twenty twenty two. Season he knew that he 623 00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:25,520 Speaker 1: had to lose. Weight the exact number escapes me was 624 00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:28,400 Speaker 1: maybe twenty twenty five pounds down from where he was 625 00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:31,480 Speaker 1: at the same time a year. Ago so both in 626 00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:38,440 Speaker 1: a physical state in a psychological, state he seems in optimal. 627 00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:41,040 Speaker 1: Form you know he's not going to succeed, now he's 628 00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:43,960 Speaker 1: putting himself in the best SITUATION i should, say to 629 00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:48,440 Speaker 1: bounce back from his disappointing campaign a year. Ago Why i'm. 630 00:35:48,480 --> 00:35:51,680 Speaker 1: Worried the reason why he was ineffective in twenty twenty 631 00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:53,799 Speaker 1: two and had very little to do with his. Weight 632 00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:57,520 Speaker 1: he was still moving around pretty well as a defender 633 00:35:57,560 --> 00:36:01,400 Speaker 1: and as a base. Runner problem was his swing. Decisions 634 00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:03,640 Speaker 1: he was right near the top of the league in 635 00:36:03,719 --> 00:36:06,880 Speaker 1: chasing pitches outside his. Zone nearly half of all pitches 636 00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:09,919 Speaker 1: thrown to obviously Al garcia that outside the strike zone 637 00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:12,880 Speaker 1: he swung At that is not how that is supposed to. 638 00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:15,960 Speaker 1: Work you want your chase rate to be below thirty, percent, 639 00:36:16,040 --> 00:36:20,080 Speaker 1: certainly so that put him naturally in bad. Counts that 640 00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:22,839 Speaker 1: led to a lot of. Strikeouts his strikeout rate last 641 00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:26,080 Speaker 1: year twenty eight point seven, percent that was a career 642 00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:28,920 Speaker 1: worst in that category for. Him in his walk rate 643 00:36:29,080 --> 00:36:32,560 Speaker 1: four point five, percent that was his worst in ten. 644 00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:37,920 Speaker 1: Years you have a very limited margin of error to 645 00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:41,440 Speaker 1: succeed as a offensive player if you're striking out that 646 00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:45,040 Speaker 1: much and you're walking that much the way that he. 647 00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:48,719 Speaker 1: WAS i don't know exactly how that suddenly flips from 648 00:36:48,760 --> 00:36:52,920 Speaker 1: one year to, another but that's gonna be his challenge 649 00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:56,280 Speaker 1: this upcoming. Year that's the main. Thing based on spring, 650 00:36:56,320 --> 00:37:01,680 Speaker 1: training the eye, test and that's some it's looked a 651 00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:05,120 Speaker 1: lot like the twenty twenty two regular season version Of 652 00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:09,040 Speaker 1: avi struck out in about forty percent of his plate 653 00:37:09,040 --> 00:37:14,319 Speaker 1: appearances this. Spring so even though the results on as 654 00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:18,280 Speaker 1: a hitter take a much larger sample to normalize things 655 00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:22,040 Speaker 1: like strikeout rate and walk, grade maybe a little bit 656 00:37:22,120 --> 00:37:25,319 Speaker 1: more indicative of who you're gonna be when you just 657 00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:29,840 Speaker 1: look at the spring, games struck out fifteen times in fifth, 658 00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:32,160 Speaker 1: No i'm looking at the wrong line twenty times in 659 00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:35,719 Speaker 1: fifty played appearances, right forty percent on the dot and 660 00:37:35,840 --> 00:37:39,040 Speaker 1: only true one. Walk you may remember he was hot 661 00:37:39,280 --> 00:37:41,200 Speaker 1: at the very start of spring training in that first 662 00:37:41,239 --> 00:37:45,920 Speaker 1: week and then ever since then completely non, productive so 663 00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:50,680 Speaker 1: he is not taking any momentum whatsoever into the regular. 664 00:37:50,800 --> 00:37:53,279 Speaker 1: Season The marlins had him playing quite a bit of 665 00:37:53,320 --> 00:37:55,720 Speaker 1: left field in spring. Training that is not a position 666 00:37:55,800 --> 00:38:01,520 Speaker 1: that he's played during meaningful games since he's sixteen twenty 667 00:38:01,640 --> 00:38:04,799 Speaker 1: thirteen to the right one. Year he's played very very 668 00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:08,880 Speaker 1: little left field in recent years during big league, games 669 00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:11,360 Speaker 1: and he basically split time between left and right this spring. 670 00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:15,279 Speaker 1: Training different angles when you play an unfamiliar spot like, 671 00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:20,920 Speaker 1: that it's a less demanding position from an throwing perspective 672 00:38:21,400 --> 00:38:24,280 Speaker 1: At Lone Depot, park and now THAT i think about, 673 00:38:24,280 --> 00:38:27,680 Speaker 1: it left field is slightly more ground to cover, though 674 00:38:28,000 --> 00:38:31,560 Speaker 1: than it is in right field in home. Games either, 675 00:38:31,600 --> 00:38:35,359 Speaker 1: WAY i think that's interesting that they're going to play 676 00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:37,640 Speaker 1: him so much well that they intend to use him 677 00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:40,000 Speaker 1: during real, games and a position that he hasn't played 678 00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:42,920 Speaker 1: in real games in quite a. While with The Avey. 679 00:38:42,960 --> 00:38:47,319 Speaker 1: Garcia the other reason for concern is not even in his, 680 00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:50,879 Speaker 1: control but because of the contract that he signed and 681 00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:55,680 Speaker 1: the fact that if he, struggles you know that the 682 00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:59,120 Speaker 1: team is in a position where they won't be able 683 00:38:59,160 --> 00:39:01,520 Speaker 1: to get anything in return for. Him they're stuck with 684 00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:04,239 Speaker 1: him at least for this. Year it sure seems like 685 00:39:04,760 --> 00:39:07,640 Speaker 1: so they even in a situation where it's clear that 686 00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:13,360 Speaker 1: he's not, performing they're Putting they've put themselves into the 687 00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:18,160 Speaker 1: spot where they may play him even when he's it's 688 00:39:18,160 --> 00:39:20,400 Speaker 1: not justified they may play. Him they may put him 689 00:39:20,400 --> 00:39:23,920 Speaker 1: in a position to be somewhat of a scapegoat for their. Struggles, 690 00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:27,880 Speaker 1: uh if it comes to, THAT i touched on the 691 00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:31,480 Speaker 1: other side With Hayesu, sanchez the fact that it's a 692 00:39:31,480 --> 00:39:35,359 Speaker 1: platoon possibility for. HIM i think that'd be the best 693 00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:37,680 Speaker 1: for all, involved if they'd be, willing really from the 694 00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:40,560 Speaker 1: start of the, season, honestly to look At avius something 695 00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:42,919 Speaker 1: less than an everyday player and just focus on putting 696 00:39:43,000 --> 00:39:47,600 Speaker 1: him in the most favorable matchups possible to get kind 697 00:39:47,600 --> 00:39:50,000 Speaker 1: of the results that you're looking for before you, know 698 00:39:50,040 --> 00:39:52,719 Speaker 1: putting too much on his. Plate, Again so is he 699 00:39:52,800 --> 00:39:54,960 Speaker 1: going to be the player that he was in twenty 700 00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:57,319 Speaker 1: twenty one that convinced The marlins to invest fifty three 701 00:39:57,400 --> 00:39:59,880 Speaker 1: million dollars in, him the year where he hit nearly 702 00:40:00,040 --> 00:40:02,080 Speaker 1: thirty home. Runs he didn't hit thirty, kim but he 703 00:40:02,120 --> 00:40:05,960 Speaker 1: had nearly thirty that year in addition to fairly good 704 00:40:05,960 --> 00:40:10,799 Speaker 1: defense and some good. Durability or is he somebody that 705 00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:15,280 Speaker 1: this trends could abruptly. Ends is he now in, decline 706 00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:17,520 Speaker 1: the thirty one year old turning thirty two in the 707 00:40:17,520 --> 00:40:20,000 Speaker 1: middle of the. Year has he been figured? Out is 708 00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:22,520 Speaker 1: there an adjustment for him to make at this point 709 00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:25,879 Speaker 1: of his career to get him back on, track or 710 00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:30,120 Speaker 1: is he going to go down as yet another inefficient 711 00:40:30,320 --> 00:40:34,040 Speaker 1: free agent signing for This marlins. Team somewhere in the 712 00:40:34,040 --> 00:40:36,840 Speaker 1: middle maybe where you can count on him for a 713 00:40:36,920 --> 00:40:40,719 Speaker 1: key extra base, hit but still limited in the on 714 00:40:40,880 --> 00:40:45,960 Speaker 1: base department and something less than everyday. Player it's important 715 00:40:45,960 --> 00:40:48,520 Speaker 1: for The marlins for him to be something better than replacement, 716 00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:52,799 Speaker 1: level that's for. SURE i find myself kind of on 717 00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:56,920 Speaker 1: the skeptical side in terms of a full On garcia bounce. 718 00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:59,319 Speaker 1: Back that's why we play the, Games that's WHY i 719 00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:04,280 Speaker 1: spent forty plus minutes talking about this. Topic Yarry, Perez Johnny, 720 00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:09,719 Speaker 1: Quato Trevor, Rodgers heyes Sous, Sanchez Edward, Cabrera Avasayel. Garcia 721 00:41:09,719 --> 00:41:13,920 Speaker 1: those are MY x factors for This marlins. Team if 722 00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:16,799 Speaker 1: they all, struggle then This marlins team will fall short 723 00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:19,720 Speaker 1: of its. Goals if they all are on the higher 724 00:41:19,840 --> 00:41:23,040 Speaker 1: end of possible, outcomes then this is a team that 725 00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:26,200 Speaker 1: you can dream about challenging for five hundred or even 726 00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:29,440 Speaker 1: better than. That most likely you're gonna have some hits 727 00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:34,440 Speaker 1: and some misses in this, group And i'm struggling to 728 00:41:34,440 --> 00:41:37,360 Speaker 1: even muster a guest with most of their. CASES i 729 00:41:37,400 --> 00:41:40,120 Speaker 1: think they really could go either way in terms of 730 00:41:40,120 --> 00:41:42,520 Speaker 1: bouncing back to who they used to, be potentially having 731 00:41:42,600 --> 00:41:47,000 Speaker 1: career years in some, areas or just not being very helpful. 732 00:41:47,080 --> 00:41:50,720 Speaker 1: Whatsoever that's why they're, here and that's why This marvelin's 733 00:41:50,800 --> 00:41:54,160 Speaker 1: team is in a very fascinating. Spot So i'd love 734 00:41:54,200 --> 00:41:56,840 Speaker 1: to hear who YOUR x factors are the players that 735 00:41:56,880 --> 00:41:59,759 Speaker 1: you're having the most difficult time getting a handle on 736 00:42:00,040 --> 00:42:03,280 Speaker 1: for the twenty twenty three. Season those are. Mine Eli, 737 00:42:03,400 --> 00:42:07,560 Speaker 1: Sussman Fish strip's managing. Editor here on Phish On, first 738 00:42:07,840 --> 00:42:12,000 Speaker 1: please subscribe to the pod if you don't already a 739 00:42:12,120 --> 00:42:14,400 Speaker 1: huge season, ahead and we're gonna have one more episode 740 00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:17,560 Speaker 1: of the official show out Before Opening. Day hope you 741 00:42:17,600 --> 00:42:20,080 Speaker 1: tune in for that one as. Well thanks for your, 742 00:42:20,120 --> 00:42:21,279 Speaker 1: support and Go. 743 00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:31,080 Speaker 2: Fish