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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Wednesday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Peralt. You guys

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Speaker 2: can follow me across all of my socials at Sports Talk.

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Speaker 2: Matt and we were back after a one in one

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Speaker 2: night for us. We were heavy on the futures yesterday,

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Speaker 2: but we wind up going one in one. If you

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Speaker 2: were on the Discord channel chat, you saw me when

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Speaker 2: I said take okayc plus two and a half at

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Speaker 2: the beginning of the second overtime, and that cashed because

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Speaker 2: okay See won the game, but our pre flop loss

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Speaker 2: came in with under seven and a half. The Warriors

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Speaker 2: win easily over the Lakers. The Lakers are going to stink,

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Speaker 2: as we talked about last night, but the Warriors looked

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Speaker 2: very good. I like the Warriors a lot. I like

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Speaker 2: what Jimmy Butler looked like last night, thirty one points

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Speaker 2: for him with Steph. I'm high on the Warriors. I

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Speaker 2: think they're going to be a formidable opponent here for

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Speaker 2: the OKAC Thunder and other teams in the Western Conference.

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Speaker 2: So one in one, down point one, so it's a

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Speaker 2: flat day. But we lost on Monday, so we're off

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Speaker 2: to a losing start to the week on Monday and Tuesday.

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Speaker 2: As we head here into a Wednesday, it is an

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Speaker 2: NBA day again. Today, I'm not going to bet hockey,

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Speaker 2: and then baseball starts Friday.

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Speaker 1: Tomorrow night.

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Speaker 2: We have NFL football, So we will do basketball today

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Speaker 2: and then we'll do football tomorrow, and then we'll do

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Speaker 2: baseball on Friday, and then we'll see Saturday on the

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Speaker 2: weekends and whatnot as we roll. So just heads up, FYI,

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Speaker 2: as the week is going to roll for us. However,

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Speaker 2: for those of you asking about the prop bet cheat sheet,

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Speaker 2: and for those of you asking about the prop bets

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Speaker 2: that we did very well with last year, you have

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Speaker 2: to allow the prop bet cheat sheet. The algorithm needs data,

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Speaker 2: and so anything that's being projected right now is off

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Speaker 2: of last season, and so even the bets I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: give you here tonight today for the NBA, it's all projections, right,

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Speaker 2: it's all I mean, we're flying blind in the beginning

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Speaker 2: part of the NBA season, and really this is kind

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Speaker 2: of how I do it. I come out of the gate,

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Speaker 2: I make some plays early. We hope to be basically

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Speaker 2: five hundred, and then we let things marinate and we'll

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Speaker 2: go and bet football, and then we'll come back to

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Speaker 2: the NBA next week. After about ten days. That's when

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Speaker 2: I tend to look at the prop bet cheat sheet

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Speaker 2: and start to pull NBA prop bets. So look at

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Speaker 2: it's October. We're going to be betting the NBA consistently

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Speaker 2: from now until June. Okay, So, like I know there's

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Speaker 2: this added, like where are the prop bets? It was

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Speaker 2: so good last year. Hold on a second, we're going

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Speaker 2: to get into the prop bets. But I use the

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Speaker 2: prop bet cheat sheets and let's let these games be played,

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Speaker 2: and we need a couple of games for each team

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Speaker 2: before we get to any real data to be able

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Speaker 2: to pull from. So again, even the bets I'm making today,

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Speaker 2: we are flying blind on this. We're just using some

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Speaker 2: data from last year and some common sense to make

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Speaker 2: the projection right. I think the Lakers are going to stink.

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Speaker 2: I like the Warriors. The Warriors remind us two point favorites.

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Speaker 2: Easy pasy, make the bet. Okay, bet the Warriors. That

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Speaker 2: was the easy play. The OKAC Thunder got their ring

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Speaker 2: game with a double overtime. It was an incredible matchup.

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Speaker 2: Thunder are going to be are going to be very good,

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Speaker 2: but the Rockets are going to be equally good. I

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Speaker 2: doubt the Rockets are going to be you know, seven

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Speaker 2: and a half point dogs much ever again this season

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Speaker 2: given Kevin Durant and everything else. So great game, great performance,

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Speaker 2: but the Warriors. Sorry, but the Thunder win the game.

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Speaker 2: They just don't cover the seven and a half point spread,

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Speaker 2: so one in one I will take it. Before we

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Speaker 2: get into the picks for today, a reminder that this

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Speaker 2: podcast is being brought to you.

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Speaker 1: There's always something to bet on.

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Speaker 2: have failed to cover in ten straight games at home

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Speaker 2: as home favorites. The Cavaliers have covered the spread as

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Speaker 2: road underdogs against an each Copperence team eight times in

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Speaker 2: a row. The Cabs are also on a seven game

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Speaker 2: covered the spread in four straight home games as home favorites.

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Speaker 1: All right, so let's start with the Celtics.

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Speaker 2: I told you last night I like Boston over forty

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Speaker 2: one and a half wins. Celtics and the Sixers huge rivalry.

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Speaker 2: Now Boston owned Philly because Joel Embiid could never beat

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Speaker 2: Al Horford. It's why the Celtics were so excited to

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Speaker 2: bring al Horford back after he went to Philadelphia. Sixers were,

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Speaker 2: you know, we can't beat him, join him type of thing.

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Speaker 2: So they couldn't beat the Celtics with Al Horford, so

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Speaker 2: they signed Al Horford.

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Speaker 1: So Al Horford went to Philadelphia.

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Speaker 2: It was a disaster because well, the Sixers are a disaster,

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Speaker 2: and so then you go and get al Horford back.

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Speaker 2: And now Al Horford has gone again. Now Al Horford

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Speaker 2: is with the Warriors. I love this signing for Al

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Speaker 2: Horford to go to the Warriors, hated for the Celtics. However,

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Speaker 2: there is a quote going around and I've been talking

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Speaker 2: about this Starting five show so much that Netflix should

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Speaker 2: start paying me because I've been quoting it so much.

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Speaker 2: But there is an unbelievable quote from the show between

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Speaker 2: Jalen Brown and Joe Missoula. I was laughing so hard

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Speaker 2: when I heard it last night that my daughter had

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Speaker 2: to came in and asked me why I was laughing

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Speaker 2: so hard and what was so funny?

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Speaker 1: And I had to explain to her that.

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Speaker 2: Joe Missoula, the head coach of the Celtics, was asked

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Speaker 2: about it getting into a fight with Jalen Brown and

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Speaker 2: who would win in a fight between Jalen Brown and

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Speaker 2: Joe Missoula, and Joe said, well, Jalen will probably win,

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Speaker 2: but neither one of us are coming out alive, like

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Speaker 2: literally saying I might lose, but I'm going to kill you.

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Speaker 2: That is the mentality of the Boston Seltics head coach.

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Speaker 2: He is insane. I can't stress how much I love

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Speaker 2: Joe Miszula, like, I absolutely love the guy. He's a

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Speaker 2: mixed martial artist, he does jiu jitsu.

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Speaker 1: He is a no joke, no.

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Speaker 2: Frills, no nonsense, take someone out at all costs type

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Speaker 2: of coach. The Sixers coming to town, I don't think

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Speaker 2: are prepared for what's gonna happen. Boston's not gonna get

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Speaker 2: into firefights with teams. We have seen a steady stream

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Speaker 2: of over money bets come in here over the last

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Speaker 2: forty eight hours. This number has ballooned from an opener

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Speaker 2: of two twenty four and a half to now two

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Speaker 2: twenty eight and a half. I just don't think Boston's

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Speaker 2: gonna play the way that everybody thinks. I mean, maybe

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Speaker 2: Boston is gonna play really up tempo and shoot a

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Speaker 2: ton of threes like they have before. Maybe without Jason

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Speaker 2: Tatum's ability to drive to the basket, they're gonna shoot

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Speaker 2: even more threes.

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Speaker 1: Maybe.

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Speaker 2: But defensively, I think Boston's gonna absolutely lock in and

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Speaker 2: lock down. I think they know the only way they

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Speaker 2: can contend is by being the best defensive team in

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Speaker 2: the league. That they have to play an elite brand

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Speaker 2: of defense, that Jalen Brown is a great defender, and

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Speaker 2: the guys like Tyrese Maxi cannot get to the rim.

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Speaker 2: You cannot allow him to beat you because then Joel

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Speaker 2: Embiid gets going. Boston doesn't really have an answer for Embiid,

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Speaker 2: to be quite honest tonight. I mean, I'm not sure

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Speaker 2: how Boston defends Joel Embiid. It could be just let

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Speaker 2: Embiid get his and then nobody else gets anything else,

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Speaker 2: because I'm not sure there's a real matchup. It was

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Speaker 2: Al Horford and Al's gone, so I am very curious

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Speaker 2: to see how Boston is going to defend. But I

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Speaker 2: think Boston's gonna play slower than people think. I think

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Speaker 2: Boston's gonna be more deliberate, and I'm going to come

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Speaker 2: in and take the under. It's all the way up

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Speaker 2: to two twenty eight and a half. You guys might

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Speaker 2: get two twenty nine, you might get two thirty, you

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Speaker 2: may get a better number.

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Speaker 1: But I think this game goes under.

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Speaker 2: I don't think we see you know, a one twenty

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Speaker 2: to you know to one ten type of basketball game here,

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Speaker 2: Boston's favored.

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Speaker 1: I would lean to Philly a little bit here early

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Speaker 1: in the year for.

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Speaker 2: Boston in particular, if Joel Embiid really goes off. But

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Speaker 2: I think the best play in the game is the

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Speaker 2: under Celtics sixers under two twenty eight and a half

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Speaker 2: for one point one units second bet.

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Speaker 1: And I went and.

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Speaker 2: Took a look at this a little bit from last year. No,

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Speaker 2: these are all old stats from last year. However, when

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Speaker 2: you look at teams on the road being favored like

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Speaker 2: Cleveland was last year tonight, and look for last year

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Speaker 2: when Cleveland was on the road in favored last year,

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Speaker 2: the over hit twenty five times and missed thirteen times.

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Speaker 2: That's a sixty six percent clip that they went over

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Speaker 2: when they were a road favorite. As a home underdog.

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Speaker 2: The new York Knicks. They were only home underdogs six

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Speaker 2: times last year, five and one to the over. Now

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Speaker 2: Tibbs is gone. Okay, so you have Mike Brown coming

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Speaker 2: in new coach. But I think they're gonna play more

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Speaker 2: up tempo. I think the Knicks are gonna play more

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Speaker 2: like the Cleveland Cavaliers. I don't think they're gonna be deliberate.

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Speaker 2: I think they're gonna shoot a bunch of threes. I

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Speaker 2: think they're gonna be a bit more up tempo. And

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Speaker 2: Cleveland we know what they do. They bomit. They come

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Speaker 2: in and just start jacking threes. Donovan Mitchell and company.

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Speaker 2: You know they're basically taking threes from the bus. So

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Speaker 2: no Max Strus, he's out. No Darius Garland he is out.

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Speaker 2: Game time decision for DeAndre Hunter, which to me doesn't

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Speaker 2: hurt the overplay because he's a great defensive player. Karl

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Speaker 2: Anthony Towns is a game time decision OG and Anobi

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Speaker 2: is also a game time decision. But Mitchell Robinson is out.

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Speaker 2: Josh Hart is out for this game for the New

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Speaker 2: York Knicks. I think we see points. I think it's

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Speaker 2: up tempo. I think it's up and down. I think

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Speaker 2: we should a ton of threes. I'm playing the over

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Speaker 2: over Cleveland and New York over two twenty six and

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Speaker 2: a half for one point one units. Before we talk

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Speaker 2: about the last play of the day, let me remind

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Speaker 2: you about the Ricky Piersol jersey that's available right now.

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Speaker 2: If you guys want to win it, all you have

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Speaker 2: to do is subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel

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Speaker 2: and comment on this video and we may select you

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Speaker 2: to win this jersey. Thanks to our friends at Pristine

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Speaker 2: Auction dot com, a forty nine ers autographed Ricky Piersol

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Speaker 2: jersey will be given away in the first week of November.

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Speaker 2: Subscribe to the YouTube channel and comment on this video

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Speaker 2: to enter in to win that signed jersey. Finally, Dallas

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Speaker 2: and the Spurs. I am a big fan of Cooper Cup.

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Speaker 1: I keep it going.

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Speaker 2: I want to call him Cooper Cup. I can't. I

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Speaker 2: need Cooper Flag. It's like the fifth time today I've

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Speaker 2: said him the wrong word. But Kyrie Irving is out, okay,

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Speaker 2: blew out his knee. Acl Will Anthony Davis stay healthy

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Speaker 2: because the Sixers, because the Lakers really could use him.

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Speaker 1: Gonna use him last night.

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Speaker 2: But now you have a backcourt where Kyrie Irving at

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Speaker 2: some point will play when we don't know, but they

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Speaker 2: brought in D'Angelo Russell to pick up the minutes. Okay,

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Speaker 2: this is about Cooper Flag and Anthony Davis. Okay, they're

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Speaker 2: playing Wembi Yama I out of the gate. That's going

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Speaker 2: to be a very difficult matchup. However, Ryan Nemhart has

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Speaker 2: played well here in the preseason, the former Creighton point

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Speaker 2: guard who went to Gonzaga, and he's played pretty well

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Speaker 2: off the bench, and there's some interesting opportunities maybe for

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Speaker 2: him to be the quote true point guard. He's undersized,

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Speaker 2: but maybe he the chance to play a bit more

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Speaker 2: than people think they need Russell to shoot three. But

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Speaker 2: I think Cooper Flag announces his presence here. I think

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Speaker 2: Cooper Flag is going to be such an incredible pro

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Speaker 2: and such a huge, huge get for the Dallas Mavericks.

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Speaker 2: Mavericks this season. The number is only two and a

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Speaker 2: half because I don't think people know exactly what Dallas is.

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Speaker 2: And frankly, you have Wemby yama and Wemby is Wemby

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Speaker 2: and he is going to be in the MVP conversation.

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Speaker 2: I just think you have a home favorite two and

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Speaker 2: a half. Most people are going to be on Dallas.

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Speaker 2: It's a popular play. This number probably should be three

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Speaker 2: and a half or four. So why is it so low?

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Speaker 2: Probably because the pros are taking the dog and keeping

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Speaker 2: this number depressed. But I'm going to take Dallas at home.

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Speaker 2: They're healthy at the moment, well they stay healthy, I

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Speaker 2: don't know, but I'm going to take it with Cooper

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Speaker 2: Flag making his NBA debut in the Mavericks to get

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Speaker 2: a win over the Spurs and Wemby Yama. I can't

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Speaker 2: wait to watch this game. This is going to be

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Speaker 2: an awesome game to watch to get a good feel

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Speaker 2: for where these two teams are. But I'll lay it

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Speaker 2: Dallas minus two and a half at home against the

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Speaker 2: San Antonio Spurs. So plays for today Celtics sixers under

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Speaker 2: two twenty eight and a half, Cleveland Knicks over two

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Speaker 2: twenty six and a half, and Dallas at home against

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Speaker 2: the Spurs laying two and a half points. All those

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Speaker 2: bets for one point one units. My name is Matt Parolz.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across my socials at sports

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Speaker 2: Doc Matt every morning. Wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 2: It is the daily juice