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Speaker 1: All righty, Big Night tonight, Welcome inn. Lay Kick is live.

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Speaker 1: It is Thursday night, August twenty sixth year of our Lord,

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty one. Jam packed? How jam packed are we? Well?

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Speaker 1: By the time we go off the air, it's not

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Speaker 1: going to be a show that's over an hour long,

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Speaker 1: but we will have predictions up to it, including wins

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Speaker 1: and losses for thirty eight teams over three conferences. We're

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Speaker 1: hitting full season predictions for the SEC, for the Big Ten,

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Speaker 1: for the Big twelve. Tonight we are also and that's big,

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Speaker 1: but we're not stopping. They're going to talk about two

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Speaker 1: thousand and seven, as some of you have been apt

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Speaker 1: to do over the course of the spring and summer,

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Speaker 1: and I've pushed it and I've pushed it, and I

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Speaker 1: pushed it because I knew that I wanted to get

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Speaker 1: to right at the point we are now one week

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Speaker 1: to go until the full season starts, hours to go

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Speaker 1: until part of the season starts, and I've looked at

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Speaker 1: this season from afar and I've seen that I think

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Speaker 1: there's going to be a little more competitive balance at

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Speaker 1: the top of it, maybe than we had in recent years.

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Speaker 1: So I knew this theme would pop up the whole

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Speaker 1: two thousand and seven protocol. Two thousand and seven one of,

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Speaker 1: if not the wildest years in the history of college football.

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Speaker 1: What would it take to get something along those lines?

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Speaker 1: Maybe not a total duplicate, but what would it take

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Speaker 1: to repeat portions of the two thousand and seven season.

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Speaker 1: I think we have at least some things to look

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Speaker 1: for and some things that are very possible. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to discuss that in a few minutes. Also, for the

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Speaker 1: final time before the season starts, we're going to talk

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Speaker 1: final camp whispers and intel. There are a lot of

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Speaker 1: things still happening. We've still got quarterback battles going on,

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Speaker 1: but more so over the past week. When you start

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Speaker 1: to install actual and you go into actual game prep

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Speaker 1: for your week one matchup, you start to get a

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Speaker 1: sense of how stats really feel. And so I've got

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Speaker 1: some of that for you tonight. It has never been

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Speaker 1: more imperative than it is right now to make sure

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Speaker 1: you're following on Twitter and Instagram at Lake Kick Josh.

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Speaker 1: Why is that? Well? Tomorrow morning is the morning that

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Speaker 1: many of you have been emailing me about for the

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Speaker 1: better part of half a year. We are unveiling not

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Speaker 1: only the Pate State mascot. We are unveiling a whole

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Speaker 1: slew of Pate State logos, which will inevitably lead to

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Speaker 1: the merch question, which I will answer as delicately as

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Speaker 1: I can once it comes at me. But tomorrow morning,

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Speaker 1: on those platforms, we will unveil a logo that I

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Speaker 1: could not be any more happy with if I designed

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Speaker 1: it myself. In fact, if I designed it, it kind

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Speaker 1: of secretly suck. I didn't. One of you did, which

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Speaker 1: is usually the case around here. When something great happens,

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Speaker 1: one of you has done it. That's just the kind

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Speaker 1: of relationship you and I have. And boy, you've come

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Speaker 1: through again. You guys also came through on the name

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Speaker 1: after we released this Tomorrow, I'm gonna need you to

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Speaker 1: come through again. Plus what we don't have Auburn's got

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Speaker 1: war Eagle, Bama's got roll tied. We don't have a

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Speaker 1: battle cry yet. We're gonna need one. I had some ideas,

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Speaker 1: they were all inappropriate, they all got thrown out, and

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Speaker 1: so we're going to need a good, clean battle cry

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Speaker 1: and that's going to be up to you. Also, this

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Speaker 1: next show we have is going into full game week, mind,

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Speaker 1: and when we get to the Sunday Show. I mean

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Speaker 1: those of you who have been around a while, you

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Speaker 1: know when we flip that season on switch, I mean

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Speaker 1: it's really it's go time. It's pedal to the floor

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Speaker 1: for about four or five months. We've got Rama Noodle

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Speaker 1: Express debuting Sunday. Those are our biggest bets of the week,

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Speaker 1: sixty point nine percent against the number that's what we

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Speaker 1: went last year. Also, we'll have mood trackers. We'll have

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Speaker 1: rapid reaction on Sunday Night, which is obviously can't miss

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Speaker 1: for many reasons. We'll have full game predictions. We got

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Speaker 1: JP poll, We've got the entire Renaissance Tour coming up

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Speaker 1: this year because we'll be on the road every week

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Speaker 1: and we will announce the city, the destination, the campus

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Speaker 1: that we're going to be on the following weekend. That'll

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Speaker 1: be announced on every Sunday show. We're really worked up

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Speaker 1: around here. I mean, we do a show year round,

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Speaker 1: but this is what we're always building towards. And I

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Speaker 1: know some of you have lives to live, and you've

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Speaker 1: been gone for a little while. Come on back, and

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Speaker 1: I would suggest bringing five of your friends with you.

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Speaker 1: You look around elsewhere, there's a lot to be upset

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Speaker 1: about this table though, this table over here, the college

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Speaker 1: football table, it's it's a place where you can be

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Speaker 1: happy for a little while. And if you need a

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Speaker 1: show to watch during the week, tell them to watch

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Speaker 1: this one. Thank you, by the way, numbers through the roof,

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Speaker 1: Thank you so much. So we have got to get

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Speaker 1: serious because it is prediction time. I wait as late

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Speaker 1: in the game as we can, because I like to

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Speaker 1: ingest the most information from camp as we can. But

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Speaker 1: we can't be waiting any longer or it would literally

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Speaker 1: be cheating because games will have been played. So here's

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Speaker 1: where we're going to start tonight. I'm going in the

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Speaker 1: order of what our numbers say to go in. We

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Speaker 1: are going with SEC predictions. SEC predictions circa twenty twenty one.

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Speaker 1: Where are we going? Who do we like? Well? The

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Speaker 1: first thing I like to do in these I don't

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Speaker 1: just like to go record, record record, I do like

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Speaker 1: to talk about some things, the couple of things that

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Speaker 1: I'm watching in the SEC. And I love to read

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Speaker 1: the comments on this because I love to know what

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Speaker 1: you're watching because it lets me know how to guide

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Speaker 1: the show throughout the rest of the year. You got

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Speaker 1: a couple of teams that are just totally fascinating. One

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Speaker 1: i'm's Texas and M. One of them's Georgia. Everyone knows

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Speaker 1: about Bama, They're a household name, but these two to

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Speaker 1: me are household names because I've covered the conference for

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Speaker 1: long time. But nationally, they don't look at Texas, A

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Speaker 1: and M and Georgia rightfully. So the way they look

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Speaker 1: at Alabama and why is that, Well, they don't have

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Speaker 1: the hardware. Now I am not a has to see

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Speaker 1: it to believe it. Guy. I believe both are capable

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Speaker 1: of doing that, But it doesn't matter because all that

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Speaker 1: matters is ultimately that you do it. And So the

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Speaker 1: first question, and to me, the biggest question across the

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Speaker 1: conference this year, is will either of those brands, that

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Speaker 1: A and M or that GP, will either one of

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Speaker 1: them elevate to Tier one. I mean, that would be

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Speaker 1: one of the biggest stories in this conference in quite

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Speaker 1: a while. Not a huge upset, but it'd be one

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Speaker 1: of the biggest stories in this conference in quite a while.

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Speaker 1: That's the first thing that I'll watch. The second thing

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Speaker 1: that I think is really going to be fun to

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Speaker 1: watch is some of these new head coaches. You got

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Speaker 1: Josh hypel at Tennessee. You got Shane Beemer at South Carolina.

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Speaker 1: Brian Harson's already had a really bumpy takeoff, or at

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Speaker 1: least trip down the runway. They're not in the air yet.

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Speaker 1: And now we've got games to play, and you've got

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Speaker 1: a variety of expectations, not wide and range, but a

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Speaker 1: variety of expectations for some of these new head coaches.

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Speaker 1: And I just wonder, because I think the expectation levels

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Speaker 1: are largely in check, how smooth can these takeoffs be?

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Speaker 1: I think Josh Haipel at Tennessee, even if they lose

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Speaker 1: some games this year, I'm gonna give you the projected

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Speaker 1: record from the model in just a second. Even if

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Speaker 1: they lose some games, I think Tennessee fans can at

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Speaker 1: least take comfort in knowing if you watch your team lose,

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Speaker 1: it won't be because you went down with a bunch

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Speaker 1: of offensive bullets left in the chamber. At the very least,

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Speaker 1: at least, they're going to be a very very entertaining

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Speaker 1: offensive product, and you're going to know you fully leveraged

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Speaker 1: your capability offensively, and if you get outscored, you get outscored.

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Speaker 1: If you turn the ball over because you're young, and

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Speaker 1: you're inexperienced, and you just got a lot of pieces

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Speaker 1: that are kind of being shoehorned in together into a

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Speaker 1: new offensive system. So be it. That's what year one

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Speaker 1: looks like in a lot of cases. That's what I'm

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Speaker 1: thinking and feeling with Tennessee again record prediction to come

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Speaker 1: South Carolina. The most important thing here to me is

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Speaker 1: not so much a win loss record. I've done a

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Speaker 1: lot of radio in South Carolina and the Carolina's in general.

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Speaker 1: Anytime we talk about the game cots, I'm always very

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Speaker 1: quick to say, I don't think success is going to

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Speaker 1: be determined by whether Shane Biemer goes six and six. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we're good, we made a Bowl four and eight. No,

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Speaker 1: he's an abject failure. It's a bottom line business. It's

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Speaker 1: a wins and lost business, and I get it. But

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Speaker 1: if we're trying to be forward thinking about South Carolina

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Speaker 1: and we understand where the program is right now compared

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Speaker 1: to where you want it to be over there, which

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Speaker 1: I think long term can be a contender in the East,

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Speaker 1: I don't care what the perception is. The reality is

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Speaker 1: Carolina has the capability of being a contender. Not this year.

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Speaker 1: But in the future, well, if we're trying to get there,

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Speaker 1: you can't afford to lose your recruiting momentum. There's a

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Speaker 1: lot of program momentum built up around South Carolina as

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Speaker 1: a program right now. But that's easy to build in

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Speaker 1: the summer because it's easy to go on the speaking tour.

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Speaker 1: If you've got the gift that Shane Biemer has, and

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Speaker 1: you've got that magnetic quality because he is South Carolina.

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Speaker 1: You cut his arm open, doesn't really bleed so much red.

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Speaker 1: It's South Carolina, it's garned, it's South Carolina. They know

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Speaker 1: that they love him. That's why they say supported is higher.

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Speaker 1: But then you get into the season and I'm looking

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Speaker 1: at South Carolina schedule on the screen right now, and

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Speaker 1: presumably you beat Eastern Illinois, but listen, if you go

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Speaker 1: to East Carolina and you struggle in lieu of having

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Speaker 1: Georgia on deck, and then you obviously eventually get into

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Speaker 1: the meat of the SEC schedule if you start piling

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Speaker 1: losses up, here's the biggest challenge for Shane Beemer in

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Speaker 1: South Carolina. Can you still make that fan base and

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Speaker 1: more importantly, can you still make high school coaches high

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Speaker 1: school recruits and their parents and their guardians and their

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Speaker 1: families feel the same way about you as they do

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Speaker 1: right now, because that is going to be the magic

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Speaker 1: ingredient this year. Don't lose the momentum you've built up

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Speaker 1: since you landed on the tarmac in Columbia and you

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Speaker 1: took this job. That would be success in year one. Also,

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Speaker 1: some week overweek incremental improvement offensively, that'd be nice too.

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Speaker 1: What about Alabama and Florida. Those two played in the

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Speaker 1: SEC Championship game last year, and what I would love

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Speaker 1: to know is how effectively each of them are going

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Speaker 1: to replace some key starters. We've seen Bama it more

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Speaker 1: so than Florida. I mean, Florida has not been in

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Speaker 1: the coming off a national championship. Now we got to

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Speaker 1: reload sort of mold that Alabama frequently finds themselves in.

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Speaker 1: But either way, I mean, there are a lot of

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Speaker 1: expectations for both programs. With Alabama, there is benefit of

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Speaker 1: the doubt, given that there is not given at Florida.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about Emory Jones a little bit later

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Speaker 1: in the show, but I mean we could talk about

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Speaker 1: it here too. It's a standalone video. I am very,

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Speaker 1: very curious because these two play each other in Week three,

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Speaker 1: what we'll be saying about these offenses by that point.

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Speaker 1: There is an assumption that you know, I have been

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Speaker 1: hesitant to buy into that this Alabama offense will just

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Speaker 1: be Bama and Week one against Miami, they'll pick up

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Speaker 1: right where they left off. No, they won't. They will not.

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Speaker 1: They will probably beat Miami. I'm gonna pick them to

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Speaker 1: beat Miami. They will not just pick up where they

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Speaker 1: left off last year. I can assure you of that.

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Speaker 1: There will be some struggle. There will be some growing

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Speaker 1: pains early on. Ditto for Florida. I think that's a

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Speaker 1: little more expected. But man, they play Week three and

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Speaker 1: Florida's got the benefit of one of the most saying

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Speaker 1: home field advantages we will have seen in twenty four

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Speaker 1: months in this sport. That's gonna be something to watch

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Speaker 1: over in Baton Rouge. You know, LSU is a team

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Speaker 1: Florida is gonna play later in the year. It's a

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Speaker 1: game that I'm about to talk about in just a second.

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Speaker 1: But at LSU, let me ask you a question, what

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Speaker 1: are your expectations for them? I've had wide ranges of

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Speaker 1: answers for that question from LSU fans. Now the ones

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Speaker 1: publicly are all nine wins are better I've had in

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Speaker 1: my DMS a lot. I've had some LSU fans say, now,

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Speaker 1: don't tell anyone this, especially Paul Paul Rickey, don't tell

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Speaker 1: him this. I think seven to five this year. I

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Speaker 1: don't know, man, I just don't. I don't like the

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Speaker 1: offensive line situation. I don't know that these running backs

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Speaker 1: are gonna step up every time I look up. We

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Speaker 1: got four new names on the injury chart, so there's

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Speaker 1: a wide range of expectation. Again, I'm gonna give you

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Speaker 1: my prediction in just a second. It's hard to nail

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Speaker 1: this team down though, But what I feel we're gonna

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Speaker 1: have is I feel we're gonna have this really, really

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Speaker 1: good idea when we watch him play UCLA. I don't

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Speaker 1: think LSU is going to go to UCLA and beat

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Speaker 1: them forty four to five fourteen and then implode later

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Speaker 1: in the year. Conversely, I don't think LSU is going

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Speaker 1: to go to UCLA and stumble to a loss or

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Speaker 1: a narrow win and then just buzz all the rest

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Speaker 1: of their schedule. I mean, there's growth that can be

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Speaker 1: had week over week with any team that ends up

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Speaker 1: being good. But I think a lot of the questions

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Speaker 1: that we have not been able to answer for months

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Speaker 1: and months and months in a lot of cases, will

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Speaker 1: be answered over the span of four quarters on a

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Speaker 1: Saturday afternoon next week. Feel so good to say that.

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Speaker 1: So some quick games. I got three of them that

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Speaker 1: I circle for every conference to just put up on

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Speaker 1: the wall. This is not an exhaustive list, it's the

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Speaker 1: sec every week. You got a couple of them. But again,

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Speaker 1: that Bama at Florida Week three matchup. We've got a

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Speaker 1: lot of internal struggle right now. We on the Late

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Speaker 1: kickstaff aka Director Colin and I, we are very very

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Speaker 1: much in limbo as to which game we should choose

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Speaker 1: to go to. We're being recruited, you know, I'm actively

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Speaker 1: being recruited in my Twitter dms by the fan bases here.

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Speaker 1: And there's good arguments. There's no wrong argument. You've got

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Speaker 1: the Auburn at Penn state wide out and you got

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Speaker 1: Bama at Florida. And I cannot overstate how incredible the

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Speaker 1: environment's going to be down there in Gainesville. Because whatever

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Speaker 1: you expect about Florida, the point is they probably don't

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Speaker 1: have a loss yet and no one tells those guys

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Speaker 1: they're supposed to lose to Alabama. And in a lot

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Speaker 1: of cases, you take it upon yourself as a fan

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Speaker 1: to change that dynamic. And they've got the ability to

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Speaker 1: trust me. Last time I was at Florida, the crowd

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Speaker 1: there changed the trajectory of a game. At that point.

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Speaker 1: It was Auburn in there. You could feel it on

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Speaker 1: the field, palpable, you could feel it. Incredible. So that

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Speaker 1: one's in Week three. How about a Week six game

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Speaker 1: it's Bama again, but this one's on the road at

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Speaker 1: A and M. Now this is the circle game for

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Speaker 1: the conference this year. A lot of times it's Bama

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Speaker 1: and LSU. Last year it was Bama Georgia. Finally, Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M has the statue about themselves that they

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Speaker 1: get that home game and they get the national spotlight.

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Speaker 1: Like I said the other night, probably the first time

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Speaker 1: the eyes of the college football nation will be on

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M since the time dab on Clemson

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Speaker 1: went in there and they got pushed, They really got pushed.

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Speaker 1: Didn't win the game that night. A and M didn't

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Speaker 1: win the game that night. So that's one to look

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Speaker 1: forward to. And also I mean, one that I've just

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Speaker 1: got an abnormal amount of fascination about is Florida at LSU.

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Speaker 1: This is a week seven games, so the week after

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Speaker 1: BAMA and A and M, Florida goes to LSU. And

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Speaker 1: the reason, aside from the obvious, why this has such

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Speaker 1: marquee appeal for me, is because if Florida's already played Bama,

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Speaker 1: and let's just for argument's sake, say they came up

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Speaker 1: short that day, They've got Georgia the week after this game,

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Speaker 1: two weeks after this game, and this could be to

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Speaker 1: determine what rides on that game in Jacksonville. And that's

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Speaker 1: just the Florida side of things. You've also got the

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Speaker 1: LSU side of things, where if things pan out the

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Speaker 1: way that they expect them to, they're undefeated at this point,

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Speaker 1: and this would be the last remaining major hurdle to

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Speaker 1: being undefeated when they play Alabama, which would be a

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Speaker 1: story in and of itself. So let's talk about some

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Speaker 1: final predictions. Let me explain to you how we go

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Speaker 1: about this. We have our own model, our own proprietary model,

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Speaker 1: the same one we use to pump out the JP

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Speaker 1: pole and the same one we use every week to

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Speaker 1: give you the Rama Noodle Express picks that you guys

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Speaker 1: swear by. So if we got a record attached to

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Speaker 1: your team's name that you don't like, but this model

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Speaker 1: also made you a lot of money last year, are

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Speaker 1: you gonna yell at the model? Are you just going

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Speaker 1: to scoff at the model? What are we gonna do

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Speaker 1: with the model? I don't know, but I just want

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Speaker 1: to say. I do want all the credit if these

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Speaker 1: picks go right, with none of the blame if the

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Speaker 1: picks go wrong. So let's take a look at the

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Speaker 1: SEC final record predictions as presented by the model per

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Speaker 1: one thousand season simulations. There are no undefeated teams in

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Speaker 1: the SEC this year per the model. I agree with that.

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Speaker 1: By the way, I've got Georgia and Bama in the

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Speaker 1: SEC title game. We'll give you the winners of all

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Speaker 1: those games Sunday night. Pay attention to the number two

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Speaker 1: spot in the West. If you're listening on podcast, I've

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Speaker 1: got Bama and A and M both going eleven and

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Speaker 1: one this year. I don't know who loses to who

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Speaker 1: they're That's not the way this works, but I'm telling

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Speaker 1: you that equals two playoff teams I am a firm believer.

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Speaker 1: If Texas A and M's eleven and one, I mean

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Speaker 1: I would assume obviously the losses to Alabama because BAMA

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Speaker 1: won the West. But I think at that point kind

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Speaker 1: of a replay of last year. But I think two

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Speaker 1: years in a row doing that, A and M's got

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Speaker 1: a strong shot to be in the playoff. LSU at

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Speaker 1: nine and three in the West third place fascinating because

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Speaker 1: there is a popular train of thought out there that

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Speaker 1: LSU is either going to be a ten win team

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Speaker 1: or better, or they're just going to implode and be

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Speaker 1: seven and five or worse. And I understand why it's

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Speaker 1: that way, but again, consider the logic behind this model.

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Speaker 1: It's a thousand simulations, so very much you're getting sort

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Speaker 1: of the average output of all that, and it lands

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Speaker 1: at nine and three, So you got to help the

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Speaker 1: amount of both in a thousand simulations. There Ole, miss Arkansas, Auburn,

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Speaker 1: and Mississippi State round out the top seven. We are

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Speaker 1: not all that high on the Auburn Tigers. The more

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Speaker 1: intel that we have gotten from fall camp down there.

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Speaker 1: It's not about the COVID stuff either. That doesn't help.

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Speaker 1: Just I don't know. I think it's gonna take a

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Speaker 1: little bit longer for that program to get its legs

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Speaker 1: under it under Brian Harson than you would want. Now

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Speaker 1: we've got Florida in second place in the East at

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Speaker 1: nine to three, and then the Missouri Tigers, who we've

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Speaker 1: liked more and more as we've put more and more

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Speaker 1: data in that model at eight and four and eight

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Speaker 1: and four. If you look at Missouri's record, means they're

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Speaker 1: beating a couple of folks you don't think they're supposed

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Speaker 1: to be beating. They do not draw LSU, nor do

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Speaker 1: they draw Alabama out of the SEC West though, and

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Speaker 1: when they get Texas A and M, it's the week

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Speaker 1: after the Alabama game. Just keep that in mind. Kentucky

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Speaker 1: very fashionable pick right now, got them at seven and five.

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Speaker 1: That's a very good year for the Cats. I do

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Speaker 1: have Tennessee making a bowl game at six and six,

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Speaker 1: and then we got South Carolina four and eight, Vandy

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Speaker 1: two and ten. That is our SEC official final stamp

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Speaker 1: at and endorset predictions for the twenty twenty one season.

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Speaker 1: As always, very excited to see what you have to

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Speaker 1: say in the comment section. Now, what we want to

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Speaker 1: do is we want to pack up. We want to

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Speaker 1: put on some warmer gear and we want to head

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Speaker 1: up north. And let's have our Big Ten season preview.

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Speaker 1: Where do you start? If I were to ask you

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Speaker 1: in the Big Ten, biggest question, where are you going?

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Speaker 1: Cause to me, it doesn't even have to do with

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Speaker 1: Ohio State. Ohio State is almost a given for me,

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Speaker 1: not an absolute, but a given. I'm looking at Michigan

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Speaker 1: and Penn State. Michigan and Penn State are the Big

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Speaker 1: Ten's version of kind of the Georgia Texas A and

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Speaker 1: M dynamic. Now those programs are not apples to apples

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Speaker 1: in comparison, but the dynamics the same. Because you look

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Speaker 1: at Penn State and Michigan and you wonder can they

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Speaker 1: start fast? Because they're comparable. Neither one of them is

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Speaker 1: the top dog, but they're both comparable. Can they start fast?

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Speaker 1: Because if they don't, you could have some immediate negative

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Speaker 1: ramifications on either end of this. I think more harshly

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Speaker 1: on the Michigan side. They got Western Michigan in week

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Speaker 1: one and then they got Washington coming in in week two.

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Speaker 1: And on one hand, I'm a believer that Jim Harball's

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Speaker 1: made some right decisions, but if they lose again this

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Speaker 1: year early on, and then it starts compounding in effect.

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Speaker 1: I don't know that that staff's going to have the

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Speaker 1: ability need to see things all the way through. Look

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Speaker 1: at their schedule if you're watching on YouTube right now.

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Speaker 1: They got the Washington game in week two, and we

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Speaker 1: just skim over games like Northern Illinois for that matter.

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Speaker 1: We skimmed over Western Michigan in week one. We'll skim

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Speaker 1: over Rutgers. I mean, insiders in the Big Ten will

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Speaker 1: tell you, don't do that. Don't skim over Rutgers. But

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Speaker 1: then even if you do your fair amount of skimming,

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Speaker 1: you got Wisconsin on the road. You got to go

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Speaker 1: back to back roadies by the way, Wisconsin, then Nebraska,

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Speaker 1: which for Nebraska will be no less than a super

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Speaker 1: Bowl moment for them. And of course you know you've

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Speaker 1: got Indiana, Penn State, Ohio State, so you see it

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Speaker 1: quickly how it can compound. And with Penn State. I've

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Speaker 1: beaten this to death, but I just think there's such

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Speaker 1: a wide gap between what it feels like up there

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Speaker 1: whether they beat Wisconsin in week one versus whether they

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Speaker 1: lose to them, and if they do lose to them,

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Speaker 1: all those old memories, those bad evil memories from last

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Speaker 1: year start to creep in just in time for Auburn

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Speaker 1: to come in there, because I am going to overlook

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Speaker 1: ball State, even though MAC insiders will tell you don't

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Speaker 1: do that, but for the time being, we're going to

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Speaker 1: do it. And Auburn comes in, They're in Week three

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Speaker 1: and it's a good old fashioned week three must win situation,

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Speaker 1: so fast starts are imperative for both of those programs. Now,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about the Buckeyes. Has Ohio State's defense improved

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Speaker 1: to the point it needs to that they can win

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Speaker 1: a championship with I don't have any doubt offensively about

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Speaker 1: pretty much any facet of this team. So it not

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Speaker 1: includes quarterback. It is strictly secondary linebacker to a lesser degree,

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Speaker 1: but secondary. And remembering last year, the state they were

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Speaker 1: in towards the end of the year, they do not

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Speaker 1: face a lot of high caliber passing attacks, so you

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Speaker 1: don't see him exposed a whole lot. But you don't

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Speaker 1: have to be exposed in order for weakness to be there.

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Speaker 1: That's why I'm very interested when Ohio State eventually plays Indiana,

429
00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:43,879
Speaker 1: which is it's kind of towards the middle portion of

430
00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:46,879
Speaker 1: the season. I'm interested to see how that game plays out,

431
00:19:47,240 --> 00:19:50,479
Speaker 1: whether Ohio State wins by two touchdowns, or they lose outright,

432
00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:53,800
Speaker 1: or they blow Indiana out. I'm interested to see what

433
00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:56,960
Speaker 1: the Indiana passing game is capable of doing. For that matter,

434
00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:58,879
Speaker 1: I'm interested to see what Minnesota does to him in

435
00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:01,440
Speaker 1: Week one. I think minnesot offensive approach probably a little

436
00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:04,119
Speaker 1: bit different than Indiana's against Ohio State, but that's something

437
00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:08,639
Speaker 1: to watch. Also, I wonder if you look across the

438
00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:11,560
Speaker 1: entire landscape of the Big Ten, how does the tier

439
00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:14,040
Speaker 1: system set up. Because you're looking at Ohio State schedule

440
00:20:14,080 --> 00:20:16,560
Speaker 1: right there, you've got a hard time finding more than

441
00:20:16,600 --> 00:20:19,440
Speaker 1: one loss. And I will even see that. I'm about

442
00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:22,359
Speaker 1: to show you our record predictions. But let's just step

443
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:24,800
Speaker 1: aside from Ohio State. Let's look at the rest of

444
00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:27,000
Speaker 1: this conference. I'm a believer the Big Ten is a

445
00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:29,600
Speaker 1: very strong conference this year, and I'm a believer that

446
00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:31,560
Speaker 1: if you want to call it the Tier two, I'm

447
00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:33,800
Speaker 1: a believer the Tier two of the Big Ten this

448
00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:36,679
Speaker 1: year is deep, and I think there are teams here

449
00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:40,360
Speaker 1: that can challenge Ohio State. Wisconsin is certainly one of them.

450
00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:43,560
Speaker 1: I was one of them. Indiana is one of them,

451
00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:45,840
Speaker 1: Penn State's absolutely one of them, Michigan hopes to be

452
00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:49,560
Speaker 1: one of them, and theoretically could be. And the follow

453
00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:52,840
Speaker 1: up to that is, are they all Tier two? Because

454
00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:55,600
Speaker 1: there is an emergency disaster scenario in play here that

455
00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:58,400
Speaker 1: you know, even our friends in Columbus, they know it exists.

456
00:20:58,600 --> 00:21:00,760
Speaker 1: We will not talk about it, but they know it exists.

457
00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:03,199
Speaker 1: And that's Ohio State just flat out lose as a

458
00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:05,479
Speaker 1: game in the first two weeks of the year, and

459
00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:08,680
Speaker 1: then someone like Wisconsin is shining through the first two

460
00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:09,800
Speaker 1: weeks of the year, and all of a sudden, it

461
00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:13,040
Speaker 1: just feels like there either isn't a Tier one in

462
00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:14,720
Speaker 1: the Big ten to start the year and everyone's in

463
00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:17,160
Speaker 1: Tier two, or maybe we have multi tier one teams

464
00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:20,600
Speaker 1: also not exactly Tier one or Tier two. Do we

465
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:22,480
Speaker 1: have teams that can come out of nowhere up here?

466
00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:24,919
Speaker 1: I mean, do we have teams that could overshoot their

467
00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:28,200
Speaker 1: projected win loss mark by two or three wins? I'm

468
00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:32,440
Speaker 1: thinking Rutgers Illinois under Brett Beelama. I'm thinking Michigan State

469
00:21:32,560 --> 00:21:35,879
Speaker 1: last year one games that appeared they had no business winning.

470
00:21:36,320 --> 00:21:38,600
Speaker 1: Minnesota is a team we have ranked in our top

471
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:41,560
Speaker 1: twenty five. The AP didn't have them receiving votes, period,

472
00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 1: so some things to keep in mind there. In fact,

473
00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,760
Speaker 1: I'd be curious if you had to pick a team

474
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:48,960
Speaker 1: that was the biggest candidate to come out of nowhere,

475
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:51,680
Speaker 1: would it be Nebraska. I didn't even mention Nebraska. Which

476
00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:54,399
Speaker 1: team would come out of nowhere doesn't have to actually happen,

477
00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:56,280
Speaker 1: but if there was one that was likely to happen,

478
00:21:56,280 --> 00:21:58,880
Speaker 1: which one would you pick? Let's talk about some games

479
00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:01,520
Speaker 1: of the year to circle in the Big ten. The

480
00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:04,000
Speaker 1: first one you don't have to wait long for. We

481
00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:06,119
Speaker 1: are nine days away from it as you and I

482
00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:09,199
Speaker 1: sit here talking tonight on this August twenty sixth, and

483
00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:12,199
Speaker 1: that is Penn State at Wisconsin. It's one of the

484
00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 1: games I'm most excited about in the entire first half

485
00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:17,200
Speaker 1: of the season. It just so happens to be parked

486
00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:20,320
Speaker 1: there in Week one. These teams we have ranked ninth

487
00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:24,360
Speaker 1: and eighth respectively in the JPE pole, so we view

488
00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:27,560
Speaker 1: this for our purposes as a top ten matchup. If

489
00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:30,400
Speaker 1: this game is competitive, you will not see our opinion

490
00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:33,000
Speaker 1: change on either of these teams. In all likelihood, we

491
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:35,520
Speaker 1: still have both of them in the top ten. Perception

492
00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:38,720
Speaker 1: would change. If Wisconsin won twenty seven to twenty, perception

493
00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:41,960
Speaker 1: would change. Reality for us probably would not. What about

494
00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:44,879
Speaker 1: Michigan at Nebraska. We fast forward to the middle of

495
00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:48,720
Speaker 1: the season. It's week six, Michigan at Nebraska. We just

496
00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:51,480
Speaker 1: talked about this. Remember who Michigan has played the week before.

497
00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:54,520
Speaker 1: They've gone on the road to Wisconsin, and then they

498
00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:57,159
Speaker 1: go back on the road to face Nebraska. Now we

499
00:22:57,200 --> 00:23:01,120
Speaker 1: need some context. As our buddy, who doesn't know he's

500
00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:02,679
Speaker 1: a friend of ours, but he's one of our buddies.

501
00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:06,800
Speaker 1: As our buddy, Eric Bischoff says, context is king, and

502
00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:09,160
Speaker 1: I got to know what Michigan has done the week

503
00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:12,159
Speaker 1: before against Wisconsin in order to fully know how we

504
00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 1: feel about this, because they could be in wounded animal mode.

505
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:18,000
Speaker 1: They could be undefeated and looking to survive a treacherous

506
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:20,600
Speaker 1: road trip to Lincoln. You never know. But you also

507
00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:23,960
Speaker 1: don't know what Nebraska's done because you look at Nebraska's

508
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:26,720
Speaker 1: schedule and you just assume they've got losses already by

509
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:29,920
Speaker 1: this point. But yet there's no guarantee of that. Nebraska

510
00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:31,960
Speaker 1: plays this Saturday, they play in forty eight hours, and

511
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:35,320
Speaker 1: they go to Illinois. It's a game I've given a

512
00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:39,080
Speaker 1: passing thought to, adding to the Ramannudle express, I'm not therefore,

513
00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:40,560
Speaker 1: I'm not even gonna tell you what side I'd be on,

514
00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:44,360
Speaker 1: because you'll be tempted. But Nebraska is still favored by

515
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:46,560
Speaker 1: six and a half. The line has dropped precipitously, but

516
00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:49,240
Speaker 1: they are still favored. But what are the records here?

517
00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:53,400
Speaker 1: This game has serious car wreck, can't look away potential,

518
00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:56,119
Speaker 1: or it has serious good for both of you. We

519
00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:57,960
Speaker 1: never thought you'd be here, but now we're gonna watch

520
00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:01,040
Speaker 1: this game potential. So in my just a little big

521
00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:05,160
Speaker 1: ten backdrop, let's take a look at the actual season predictions.

522
00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:08,160
Speaker 1: There was a theme that I saw start to form

523
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:10,959
Speaker 1: as we started to put together the conference predictions, and

524
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:14,399
Speaker 1: that is not seeing undefeated teams. As we run all

525
00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:16,680
Speaker 1: this through the model and the model spits out the

526
00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:19,600
Speaker 1: projections and it's carried over. We saw it in the

527
00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:22,800
Speaker 1: SEC where there was no predicted undefeated team. In the

528
00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:25,840
Speaker 1: Big Ten, we do not have a predicted undefeated team.

529
00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:28,399
Speaker 1: This is great. This is the fantasy of all of

530
00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:31,119
Speaker 1: you who want more competitive balance. We got the Buckeyes

531
00:24:31,480 --> 00:24:34,439
Speaker 1: still winning the Eastern Division, but we got them with

532
00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:37,399
Speaker 1: a loss. Also have Penn State very competitive. They're at

533
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:39,960
Speaker 1: ten and two, and that's a battle. I mean, that's

534
00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:42,960
Speaker 1: a very big battle. And so then we've got Michigan

535
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:46,679
Speaker 1: third in the East at nine and three, And I

536
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:49,200
Speaker 1: got to be honest with you, I'm going to ride

537
00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:52,359
Speaker 1: with the model here. But if i'm spitballing records, I

538
00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:55,120
Speaker 1: don't have Michigan at nine and three. I've got them

539
00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:57,560
Speaker 1: closer to seven wins than nine wins. But I'm going

540
00:24:57,640 --> 00:24:59,400
Speaker 1: to trust the model because we built it to kick

541
00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:01,760
Speaker 1: our own opinion and gut to the curb. So we're

542
00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:03,720
Speaker 1: gonna go nine and three with Michigan, and then we

543
00:25:03,800 --> 00:25:06,240
Speaker 1: drop off a couple of games. Indiana at seven and five,

544
00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:09,280
Speaker 1: Rutgers knocking on the door of Bowl contention at five

545
00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:12,679
Speaker 1: and seven, as is Maryland, as is Michigan State. No.

546
00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:16,040
Speaker 1: One worse than five and seven in the East, which

547
00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:18,080
Speaker 1: would be very notable if it were to happen. Over

548
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:21,959
Speaker 1: in the West. Wisconsin leads the way as I expect

549
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,680
Speaker 1: them to do at ten and two, but look at Minnesota,

550
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:27,520
Speaker 1: the number two team in the West that I think

551
00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:29,840
Speaker 1: would be a big surprise. They finished eight and four

552
00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:32,000
Speaker 1: that's a big surprise. They've obviously won a heads up

553
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:34,800
Speaker 1: matchup over Iowa because the Hawkeys have the same record,

554
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:37,720
Speaker 1: but they finished third at eight and four. And then

555
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,359
Speaker 1: the fourth place team is a five hundred team and

556
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:45,240
Speaker 1: it's Nebraska fascinating nonetheless, Northwestern also five hundred and the

557
00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:49,080
Speaker 1: fifth spot, and then it's Purdue in Illinois rounding things out,

558
00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:53,920
Speaker 1: barely missing out on Bowl contention themselves. So Ohio State

559
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:57,320
Speaker 1: Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship game. And keep in mind, now,

560
00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:00,480
Speaker 1: if Ohio State already has a DMP on that schedule,

561
00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:03,639
Speaker 1: then they are not viewed as invincible. And then you

562
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:06,000
Speaker 1: got to ask yourself also, well who beat them? Was

563
00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:08,040
Speaker 1: it Oregon or was it Week one? I mean, did

564
00:26:08,040 --> 00:26:10,600
Speaker 1: they lose to Penn State? Who beat them? So anyone

565
00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:14,320
Speaker 1: on that schedule who has shown the ability to beat

566
00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:17,080
Speaker 1: Ohio State certainly makes them vulnerable enough to where that

567
00:26:17,119 --> 00:26:21,840
Speaker 1: Big Ten Championship game is must see TV. All right,

568
00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,600
Speaker 1: So now let's go from the land of divisions to

569
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:27,280
Speaker 1: the land with no divisions but for the time being,

570
00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:29,600
Speaker 1: still a ten team league, and that's the Big Twelve,

571
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:33,800
Speaker 1: our full Big twelve season predictions. Where do we start here?

572
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:35,919
Speaker 1: What's the first question you would ask to me. This

573
00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:37,960
Speaker 1: is obvious. We got to go to Austin, Texas, right,

574
00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:40,199
Speaker 1: and you got to ask about Steve Sarkisian And you

575
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:42,280
Speaker 1: got to ask, I don't know, you go broad brush

576
00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:43,920
Speaker 1: if you want to, I will. How's he going to

577
00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:47,520
Speaker 1: handle this first year? Well, let's take a deep breath

578
00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:50,000
Speaker 1: and then let's consider what's on the table. We're going

579
00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:51,760
Speaker 1: to talk about Texas a little bit later in the show.

580
00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:54,440
Speaker 1: But how is he going to handle year one? I mean,

581
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:58,200
Speaker 1: this entire quarterback balance is very delicate, but ultimately, you

582
00:26:58,280 --> 00:26:59,840
Speaker 1: got to pick the guy you feel gives you the

583
00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:02,160
Speaker 1: best chance to win, and then you just got let

584
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 1: Domino's fall. Got to let the circumstances fall as they may.

585
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 1: If a guy transfers, a guy transfers, If you end

586
00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 1: up having to replace the guy you picked with the

587
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:13,280
Speaker 1: guy that you put in the QB two spot halfway

588
00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:15,480
Speaker 1: through the first half of game one, then you got

589
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:19,320
Speaker 1: to do it. But outside of that, there is not

590
00:27:19,800 --> 00:27:22,960
Speaker 1: an easier way into the schedule type element with Texas

591
00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:25,840
Speaker 1: this year, they got Louisiana and then they go to Arkansas.

592
00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:28,040
Speaker 1: These are two losable games, so it's just It's going

593
00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 1: to be very, very much a theatrical sort of opening

594
00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:34,280
Speaker 1: to the season for Texas. If you're an outsider, you know,

595
00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:37,800
Speaker 1: if you live in Provo, Utah and you have no

596
00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:40,439
Speaker 1: connection to Texas at all and you're just watching as

597
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:42,560
Speaker 1: a college football fan, I mean, that's going to be

598
00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:45,119
Speaker 1: kind of theatrical. A lot of drama there. There's always

599
00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:47,439
Speaker 1: drama with Texas. But if he gets off to a

600
00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:51,320
Speaker 1: fast start, what I don't want to hear is people say, well,

601
00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:54,480
Speaker 1: it was just it was just ull in Arkansas. No,

602
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,280
Speaker 1: you don't get to spend the whole summer saying I

603
00:27:57,280 --> 00:27:59,439
Speaker 1: think Texas going to get upset, and then when they

604
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:02,240
Speaker 1: don't get up that say, big deal. You're supposed to

605
00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:04,639
Speaker 1: win both those games. Can't have it both ways. So

606
00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:08,119
Speaker 1: that's one thing to watch. What about their brethren, whether

607
00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:11,200
Speaker 1: they know it or not in Norman, Oklahoma? How different

608
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:15,200
Speaker 1: does Oklahoma look this year than past years? A lot

609
00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:18,879
Speaker 1: is expected of Oklahoma. I got a text from Lincoln

610
00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:21,520
Speaker 1: Riley about an hour before the show started, and he said,

611
00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:26,000
Speaker 1: do you play running back? And I don't. They've got

612
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:29,520
Speaker 1: more depth concerns at that position this afternoon than they

613
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:31,879
Speaker 1: did this morning. But they'll be okay, I think, but

614
00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:34,680
Speaker 1: how different do they look? You know, cause if you're

615
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:37,800
Speaker 1: going from the conversation of I think Oklahoma can win

616
00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:40,760
Speaker 1: the Big Twelve and nothing more to the conversation of

617
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:43,720
Speaker 1: I think they can win the national championship, well you

618
00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:46,600
Speaker 1: got to look different. And so this Oklahoma team, if

619
00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:51,560
Speaker 1: they are indeed of championship caliber, I mean conference and

620
00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:56,840
Speaker 1: playoff championship caliber, they'll look different. You will be in Enid, Oklahoma,

621
00:28:57,760 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 1: a city that was only referenced I think one time

622
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:02,840
Speaker 1: in pop culture, which of course would have been Jurassic

623
00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:06,200
Speaker 1: Park three, an abomination to the franchise, but it was

624
00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:08,479
Speaker 1: referenced by Ti Leoni and Jurassic Park three. If you're

625
00:29:08,520 --> 00:29:12,120
Speaker 1: sitting there and Enid and you're watching Oklahoma, if that's

626
00:29:12,160 --> 00:29:16,520
Speaker 1: a championship caliber team, you should rightfully looking over your

627
00:29:16,520 --> 00:29:19,120
Speaker 1: buddy on the other couch and saying that they you

628
00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 1: can tell this is a different team than the one

629
00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:24,600
Speaker 1: we had in even seventeen or eighteen or nineteen, and

630
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:27,800
Speaker 1: you'll all feel it, like we'll all know now ultimately

631
00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:30,560
Speaker 1: they still got hurdles to clear. You're looking at the

632
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 1: odds to win the Big Twelve right now, ou is

633
00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:36,800
Speaker 1: a healthy favorite with my excuse me the Iowa State

634
00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:39,280
Speaker 1: Cyclones at plus two to eighty. Next step, just how

635
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:43,440
Speaker 1: different do they look? Though? Also how many seasons can

636
00:29:43,520 --> 00:29:47,880
Speaker 1: TCEU and Texas Tech ruin? I wish I had the

637
00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:51,200
Speaker 1: schedules out here, but I went over it the other day.

638
00:29:51,560 --> 00:29:55,400
Speaker 1: I mean t First off, TCU has a situation, it's

639
00:29:55,400 --> 00:29:59,240
Speaker 1: like a little round robin there where they play Texas

640
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:01,440
Speaker 1: right before red River. You see it right here if

641
00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:04,200
Speaker 1: you're watching on YouTube. They play Texas right before Texas

642
00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:07,400
Speaker 1: plays Oklahoma, and then they play Oklahoma right after they

643
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:09,840
Speaker 1: play Texas, and it's just it could be a potential mess.

644
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:13,280
Speaker 1: But also Texas Tech has a situation where they got

645
00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:16,320
Speaker 1: three teams back to back to back that they play

646
00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,680
Speaker 1: right before they play Oklahoma. So there's all sorts of

647
00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:22,560
Speaker 1: there's all sorts of potential pitfalls. And this is a

648
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:25,400
Speaker 1: situation where they got a lot of size at receiver,

649
00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:28,760
Speaker 1: they've got an experienced quarterback, and Tyler Shuck coming in

650
00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:31,200
Speaker 1: there by way of Oregon, Oregon didn't have they didn't

651
00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:32,960
Speaker 1: have time for him anymore, or he didn't have time

652
00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:35,640
Speaker 1: for Oregon. I guess Texas Tech's a dangerous team. A

653
00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:37,600
Speaker 1: lot of people are whispering in the Big twelve about

654
00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:40,400
Speaker 1: Texas Tech. No one's talking about it nationally. I mean,

655
00:30:40,440 --> 00:30:43,520
Speaker 1: I got folks out here who are picking the playoff

656
00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:46,200
Speaker 1: field and picking you know, your bowl field that couldn't

657
00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:48,200
Speaker 1: find Lubbock, Texas on a map. And you need to

658
00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:51,120
Speaker 1: a lot of prairie dogs out there. Once rode a

659
00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:55,960
Speaker 1: greyhound bus from Columbus, Georgia to Lubbock, Texas. Now that's

660
00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:58,200
Speaker 1: a hall. You see a lot of beautiful parts of

661
00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:00,880
Speaker 1: our country and then you see a lot of the

662
00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 1: armpits of our country. But you see a lot of scenery. Nonetheless,

663
00:31:04,280 --> 00:31:07,240
Speaker 1: but Lubbock, Texas. Find folks kind of windy, find folks

664
00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:09,320
Speaker 1: out there. You need to be paying attention to Texas

665
00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:11,880
Speaker 1: Tech because even if they don't do anything of note,

666
00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:15,320
Speaker 1: they could ruin one or two seasons. Also, can Iowa

667
00:31:15,480 --> 00:31:19,720
Speaker 1: State just reach the next rung? One of my favorite

668
00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:23,880
Speaker 1: gimmick matches or novelty matches in all of pro wrestling

669
00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:25,800
Speaker 1: is the ladder match. And I always thought it was

670
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:29,920
Speaker 1: a little ridiculous and non realistic. How dare they in

671
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:33,320
Speaker 1: pro wrestling when they made the last rung of the ladder?

672
00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 1: So hard to climb. But yet here Iowa State sits

673
00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:40,360
Speaker 1: and there's the belt hanging high above the ring, and

674
00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:43,840
Speaker 1: they're so close, and they're reaching and they're reaching, and

675
00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:46,240
Speaker 1: it's one more wrung up. As it turns out, you

676
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 1: gotta climb one more wrong razor, and so you climb

677
00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:52,400
Speaker 1: and you reach again as Matt Campbell reaches right there

678
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:55,320
Speaker 1: on the actual screen, can you get it? Is there

679
00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:57,680
Speaker 1: any more juice to be squeezed out of this program?

680
00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:00,200
Speaker 1: Because there is a train of thought out there that no, oh,

681
00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:02,600
Speaker 1: it doesn't matter if you've got all this experience coming back.

682
00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:05,600
Speaker 1: Those guys were last year what they're going to be

683
00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:08,080
Speaker 1: this year. It's just you're not gonna squeeze much more

684
00:32:08,120 --> 00:32:11,240
Speaker 1: out of them. I happen to differ in that opinion

685
00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:14,280
Speaker 1: because this is a team that lost three games last year.

686
00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:16,480
Speaker 1: I mean, I do believe they're capable of getting more.

687
00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:20,080
Speaker 1: But let's just be careful because I know everyone's talking

688
00:32:20,120 --> 00:32:24,760
Speaker 1: about Week two or against Iowa. No one up there

689
00:32:24,800 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 1: wants to play Northern Iowa. No one. There's no benefit

690
00:32:28,040 --> 00:32:30,720
Speaker 1: for it for any of us in Ames, any of

691
00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 1: us Ames Iowans. There's no benefit in it. So let's

692
00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:36,800
Speaker 1: just be careful. Crazier things have happened before. But this

693
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:39,160
Speaker 1: is a treacherous schedule if you're looking for it throughout.

694
00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:41,600
Speaker 1: And they go to Oklahoma way late in the year,

695
00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:45,480
Speaker 1: and then they play, to me, the second most dangerous

696
00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:48,920
Speaker 1: team in the Big Twelve the final week on short

697
00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:52,720
Speaker 1: rest of the regular season, presumably before a Big Twelve

698
00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:55,560
Speaker 1: championship game. Oh and by the way, that's not enough,

699
00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:58,440
Speaker 1: as was the theme already. Check Out who they play

700
00:32:58,520 --> 00:33:02,080
Speaker 1: right before Oklahoma. Check out who they play right before

701
00:33:02,120 --> 00:33:04,760
Speaker 1: Texas Tech. Yeah, so that's hard. That's a tough little

702
00:33:04,760 --> 00:33:06,400
Speaker 1: stretch through at the end of the year. But you

703
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:08,920
Speaker 1: know what, we've dealt with adversity before at Iowa State,

704
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:12,040
Speaker 1: and we'll be okay. How okay will we be? I'm

705
00:33:12,040 --> 00:33:14,240
Speaker 1: about to show you. Let's talk about our Big Twelve

706
00:33:14,320 --> 00:33:18,280
Speaker 1: conference predictions. Now, this is not a divisioned conference, it's

707
00:33:18,360 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 1: just one through. What are they at right now? Ten?

708
00:33:20,760 --> 00:33:22,960
Speaker 1: As of today, they got ten teams in this conference.

709
00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:25,560
Speaker 1: How are we going to stack it up? Oklahoma the

710
00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:28,560
Speaker 1: overwhelming preseason favorite at minus two eighty odds, Iowa State

711
00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:30,800
Speaker 1: at plus two to eighty. Well, I got to be

712
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 1: honest with you, that's not the way I see it

713
00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:35,160
Speaker 1: shaken out, and that's not the way the model sees

714
00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:37,320
Speaker 1: it shaken out. And it's interesting because we put the

715
00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:39,480
Speaker 1: JP pole out the other night and we had Iowa

716
00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:42,560
Speaker 1: State at six and we got Oklahoma at two. But

717
00:33:42,640 --> 00:33:45,600
Speaker 1: we also have a forward thinking aspect of that model

718
00:33:45,640 --> 00:33:47,920
Speaker 1: to where we kind of see the season and we

719
00:33:47,960 --> 00:33:51,640
Speaker 1: try and see it evolve. It's a brave undertaking because

720
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 1: most statisticians would roll their eyes at that concept. But

721
00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:57,080
Speaker 1: we've done okay with this model. Here is the way

722
00:33:57,120 --> 00:33:59,880
Speaker 1: we see the Big twelve shaken out. We got eye

723
00:33:59,880 --> 00:34:02,120
Speaker 1: with State winning the Big Twelve. I'm kind of delaying

724
00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:03,840
Speaker 1: so we can get the graphic up, but we have

725
00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:06,080
Speaker 1: Iowa State winning the Big Twelve at a laire we go.

726
00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:08,360
Speaker 1: We got Iowa State winning the Big Twelve at eleven

727
00:34:08,360 --> 00:34:11,120
Speaker 1: and one. We got Oklahoma also at eleven and one.

728
00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:15,000
Speaker 1: And so how has this end of season back to

729
00:34:15,040 --> 00:34:17,959
Speaker 1: back with TCU in the middle sort of matchup fair

730
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:21,440
Speaker 1: because it's gonna be very weird. And also there's an

731
00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:24,520
Speaker 1: added layer of this. We got Iowa State winning the

732
00:34:24,520 --> 00:34:27,440
Speaker 1: Big twelve championship game. Don't know if they lost in

733
00:34:27,520 --> 00:34:29,799
Speaker 1: Norman or not, if they didn't they beat Oklahoma twice,

734
00:34:29,800 --> 00:34:33,920
Speaker 1: which will be fascinating, But also is there room in

735
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:37,000
Speaker 1: this little equation for two Big twelve teams to make

736
00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:40,879
Speaker 1: the playoff? Could happen? Roger Angels in the outfield start

737
00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:44,239
Speaker 1: flapping those wings. Crazier things have happened. TCU is in

738
00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:46,800
Speaker 1: the third position, and I put Texas in the fourth position,

739
00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:49,960
Speaker 1: which means Texas has likely lost the head to head

740
00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:52,640
Speaker 1: match up with TCU. Well, it absolutely means that. And

741
00:34:52,680 --> 00:34:55,160
Speaker 1: in Texas Tech at five, which I think the model

742
00:34:55,200 --> 00:34:57,920
Speaker 1: sees as a little bit loftier goal for the Red

743
00:34:58,040 --> 00:35:01,160
Speaker 1: Raiders than maybe the odds makers do. From six to ten,

744
00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:05,319
Speaker 1: it is West Virginia, Oklahoma State, Kansas State still a

745
00:35:05,360 --> 00:35:07,759
Speaker 1: bowl team there, Kansas State in the eighth position at

746
00:35:07,760 --> 00:35:10,440
Speaker 1: six and six, and then we fall off pretty steeply

747
00:35:10,600 --> 00:35:13,160
Speaker 1: Baylor at four and eight. We do have Kansas winning

748
00:35:13,160 --> 00:35:15,520
Speaker 1: a game. We're not total savages here. We do have

749
00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:19,080
Speaker 1: the Jayhawks winning a game. So well, Oregon has nothing

750
00:35:19,120 --> 00:35:20,560
Speaker 1: to do with this conference act. I'm gonna talk about

751
00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:22,480
Speaker 1: him in a second. Iowa State, though winning the Big

752
00:35:22,520 --> 00:35:25,600
Speaker 1: Twelve I think would be viewed as a pretty major upset.

753
00:35:26,520 --> 00:35:29,960
Speaker 1: I want to completely and totally state. For the record,

754
00:35:30,080 --> 00:35:32,759
Speaker 1: there is heavy bias here, but that is what the

755
00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:35,480
Speaker 1: model spat out, so I did not change that. So

756
00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:36,799
Speaker 1: there you go. That's the way we see the Big

757
00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:40,520
Speaker 1: twelve shaken out this year. All right. You know I

758
00:35:40,520 --> 00:35:42,760
Speaker 1: don't get it, Colin, because it's the middle of August,

759
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:46,520
Speaker 1: the humidity and due point are what they normally are,

760
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:49,600
Speaker 1: and my lips feel dry. I mean, we don't have

761
00:35:49,640 --> 00:35:51,360
Speaker 1: any chapstick out here. I don't plan on buying it

762
00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:54,239
Speaker 1: for another few months. I'll just sold yourang as only

763
00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:57,320
Speaker 1: I can, unless you have something I can borrow. Colin. Okay,

764
00:35:57,960 --> 00:35:59,879
Speaker 1: so I've gotten this question. If I've gotten it once,

765
00:35:59,920 --> 00:36:03,239
Speaker 1: I've gotten it one hundred times since the last season ended,

766
00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:06,160
Speaker 1: and that is can you talk about the two thousand

767
00:36:06,160 --> 00:36:08,319
Speaker 1: and seven season? How do you think that that could

768
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:11,480
Speaker 1: ever happen again? How vividly do you remember the seven season?

769
00:36:11,719 --> 00:36:13,399
Speaker 1: So I wanted to talk about it here tonight, Colin.

770
00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:16,719
Speaker 1: Here's your endpoint three to one. How well do you

771
00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:19,680
Speaker 1: really remember the two thousand and seven college football season?

772
00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:23,560
Speaker 1: Some of you remember it more vividly than others. It's funny, though,

773
00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:27,000
Speaker 1: if you hear about how crazy it was, but then

774
00:36:27,080 --> 00:36:29,520
Speaker 1: you just pull up the record books and you're scanning

775
00:36:29,560 --> 00:36:33,399
Speaker 1: the national championship game matchups. It doesn't really stand out.

776
00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:37,320
Speaker 1: LSU versus Ohio State does not stand out as anything crazy.

777
00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:39,560
Speaker 1: That just sounds like more of the same, right, And

778
00:36:39,640 --> 00:36:42,239
Speaker 1: what the record book doesn't tell you, at least right

779
00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:45,160
Speaker 1: there on the surface, is that we were just inches

780
00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:51,359
Speaker 1: away from having a Missouri versus West Virginia national championship game.

781
00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:54,279
Speaker 1: This is also a year, I mean, among several other

782
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:58,680
Speaker 1: crazy things, this is a year where Kansas was a

783
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:02,600
Speaker 1: mainstay in the top ten. Yes, the same Kansas we

784
00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:05,080
Speaker 1: just picked to go one and eleven. The Jayhawks were

785
00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:07,120
Speaker 1: right there. They went to the Orange Bowl, I believe

786
00:37:07,160 --> 00:37:10,160
Speaker 1: that year, led by Todd Reesing. And so how could

787
00:37:10,239 --> 00:37:14,319
Speaker 1: this ever happen again? Some things that happened this year?

788
00:37:15,040 --> 00:37:18,920
Speaker 1: To refreshify your memory. Bill Connolly wrote a pretty lengthy

789
00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:21,400
Speaker 1: piece over on ESPN the other day about this, and

790
00:37:21,440 --> 00:37:26,080
Speaker 1: he wrote this paragraph. It perfectly encapsulates the absurdity of

791
00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:28,440
Speaker 1: the two thousand and seven season. This is the year

792
00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:31,319
Speaker 1: Appalachian State beat Michigan in Week one, So that's how

793
00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:36,200
Speaker 1: the year started. Stanford beat USC the Trojans finish number three.

794
00:37:36,320 --> 00:37:38,640
Speaker 1: You see in the poll. Here in the final Apeo Pole,

795
00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:43,240
Speaker 1: USC lost to Stanford and kids. That may not sound

796
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:46,440
Speaker 1: notable today, you think to yourself, Stanford's they're a good program.

797
00:37:46,680 --> 00:37:49,920
Speaker 1: They were a forty one point underdog in the coliseum

798
00:37:49,920 --> 00:37:52,319
Speaker 1: that day. And then Jim Harbaugh had one of the

799
00:37:52,400 --> 00:37:56,640
Speaker 1: more aggressive postgame interactions with Pete Carroll that I've ever seen.

800
00:37:56,680 --> 00:37:59,600
Speaker 1: He did like a Rick Flair chop, but he did

801
00:37:59,600 --> 00:38:02,120
Speaker 1: it on Peace Carroll's back. I mean, Rick will chop

802
00:38:02,160 --> 00:38:04,680
Speaker 1: you in the chest. But Pete Carroll got chopped on

803
00:38:04,719 --> 00:38:06,960
Speaker 1: the back after he got beaten as a forty one

804
00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:09,799
Speaker 1: point favorite. So that was ugly. Oh it doesn't stop there.

805
00:38:09,960 --> 00:38:12,759
Speaker 1: Illinois beats Ohio State this year. Ohio State ended up

806
00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:17,680
Speaker 1: playing for a title. LSU lost twice in triple overtime,

807
00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:21,600
Speaker 1: including the last game of the regular season, and that's

808
00:38:21,680 --> 00:38:25,600
Speaker 1: the team that won the national championship. Oh how about

809
00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:29,600
Speaker 1: this little footnote. Seven times in the two thousand and

810
00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:34,680
Speaker 1: seven season the number two team lost seven I had

811
00:38:34,719 --> 00:38:38,080
Speaker 1: Colin run the numbers. That is half of the season.

812
00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:40,800
Speaker 1: Every other week you had the number two team losing.

813
00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:44,160
Speaker 1: The top two teams the number one and number two

814
00:38:44,719 --> 00:38:47,280
Speaker 1: lost in the same week. Three times. Can you imagine

815
00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:50,360
Speaker 1: that happening this year. If you've got Clemson in Alabama

816
00:38:51,120 --> 00:38:53,520
Speaker 1: and they both lose in the same week, and then

817
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:56,640
Speaker 1: the next year it's Georgia and Oklahoma and they both

818
00:38:56,719 --> 00:38:59,600
Speaker 1: lose in the same week. That happens three times. It's crazy.

819
00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:03,279
Speaker 1: Happens like once a decade now. And also, we were

820
00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:06,960
Speaker 1: so close to having Missouri versus West Virginia in the

821
00:39:07,040 --> 00:39:09,560
Speaker 1: National Championship. I want to say Pitt beat West Virginia

822
00:39:09,640 --> 00:39:13,319
Speaker 1: like thirteen to nine. I mean, seriously, the title game

823
00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:15,480
Speaker 1: was in Glendale. It was in the Fiesta Bowl that year.

824
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:21,040
Speaker 1: Imagine the Fiesta Bowl going to sleep that Friday night

825
00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:23,719
Speaker 1: and they think, we're gonna get We're gonna get West

826
00:39:23,800 --> 00:39:27,680
Speaker 1: Virginia and we're gonna get Missouri. Hoops against hoops. That's

827
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:29,399
Speaker 1: what you're sending us out here. And then they wake

828
00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:32,200
Speaker 1: up the next morning and their lines drawn through both

829
00:39:32,200 --> 00:39:36,600
Speaker 1: of those teams. Hey, how does Ohio State LSU sound instead? So,

830
00:39:36,680 --> 00:39:38,840
Speaker 1: I mean, those people, a lot of those folks found religion.

831
00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:41,480
Speaker 1: I was told after that night. But that was a

832
00:39:41,520 --> 00:39:44,440
Speaker 1: crazy turn of events. So that's what happened in two

833
00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:47,440
Speaker 1: thousand and seven. How does that happen again. How do

834
00:39:47,520 --> 00:39:50,880
Speaker 1: you resurrect that chaos? So I've had a lot of

835
00:39:50,880 --> 00:39:54,560
Speaker 1: thoughts about this as I shuffle my nose because I

836
00:39:54,600 --> 00:39:56,759
Speaker 1: had some other things I wanted to read, So yeah,

837
00:39:56,760 --> 00:39:58,080
Speaker 1: there we go. So I've had a lot of thoughts

838
00:39:58,080 --> 00:40:01,520
Speaker 1: about this. A lot of people swear by this year.

839
00:40:01,560 --> 00:40:03,279
Speaker 1: I mean a lot of people love the seven season

840
00:40:03,320 --> 00:40:05,439
Speaker 1: and they wish every season was like this, And I've

841
00:40:05,480 --> 00:40:07,839
Speaker 1: not been like that. This season was not one of

842
00:40:07,840 --> 00:40:12,680
Speaker 1: my more fonder memories. I don't know why I think

843
00:40:12,719 --> 00:40:15,320
Speaker 1: that college football can have a certain order and structure

844
00:40:15,360 --> 00:40:17,600
Speaker 1: to it and still have a lot of drama. That

845
00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:19,719
Speaker 1: makes me sound like an elitist, because really, what I

846
00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:21,080
Speaker 1: just said there is I just want all the big

847
00:40:21,120 --> 00:40:23,480
Speaker 1: teams to win. But for better or for worse, that's

848
00:40:23,520 --> 00:40:25,719
Speaker 1: how I felt. I think I don't know why it is.

849
00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:28,600
Speaker 1: I've always felt that way. But as I said this

850
00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:31,880
Speaker 1: morning on Twitter, I've changed. You guys have brought me

851
00:40:31,920 --> 00:40:34,640
Speaker 1: to the table, and to show you how open minded

852
00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:37,880
Speaker 1: I am, I have shut up and I've listened, and

853
00:40:38,120 --> 00:40:40,799
Speaker 1: unlike the playoff expansion that you will never get me

854
00:40:40,840 --> 00:40:44,000
Speaker 1: to flip on, I have flipped on this. So I

855
00:40:44,040 --> 00:40:47,040
Speaker 1: want to announce it tonight right here, August twenty sixth

856
00:40:47,200 --> 00:40:50,040
Speaker 1: year of our lower twenty twenty one. I would not

857
00:40:50,239 --> 00:40:53,200
Speaker 1: have a single problem if we had a duplicate of

858
00:40:53,200 --> 00:40:55,440
Speaker 1: the two thousand and seven season happened this year. I

859
00:40:55,440 --> 00:40:57,719
Speaker 1: think it would be a palate cleanser for college football

860
00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:01,840
Speaker 1: for many reasons. Chief among them is I could actually

861
00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:04,239
Speaker 1: harness it, and I could take it and throw it

862
00:41:04,239 --> 00:41:07,600
Speaker 1: in the face of every single individual who has sworn

863
00:41:07,680 --> 00:41:11,319
Speaker 1: to me and you that the playoff has rid us

864
00:41:11,360 --> 00:41:15,160
Speaker 1: forever of the opportunity for competitive balance, and the playoff

865
00:41:15,400 --> 00:41:17,880
Speaker 1: is the is the bane of our existence or the

866
00:41:17,960 --> 00:41:20,960
Speaker 1: vein of our existence? Choose one, and it's the source

867
00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:23,839
Speaker 1: of all the imbalance. It's not bad decision making, it's

868
00:41:23,840 --> 00:41:27,360
Speaker 1: not poor hires. No, it's that playoff, that evil playoff,

869
00:41:27,800 --> 00:41:30,319
Speaker 1: which has of course never been the case. But I

870
00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:32,560
Speaker 1: know a lot of you believe that. Well, my question

871
00:41:32,640 --> 00:41:35,000
Speaker 1: would be, if we had this happen, or just some

872
00:41:35,160 --> 00:41:37,160
Speaker 1: version of this happened, I'm gonna give you some scenarios.

873
00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:40,160
Speaker 1: What do they say to me. Do they say this

874
00:41:40,239 --> 00:41:43,279
Speaker 1: is the outlier? Do they say, oh, you can't trust it.

875
00:41:42,680 --> 00:41:46,200
Speaker 1: It's a post COVID year, you know, it's like last year,

876
00:41:46,200 --> 00:41:48,680
Speaker 1: anything bad that happened, it's a COVID year. Well, this year,

877
00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:51,040
Speaker 1: if all of a sudden we got upset after upset,

878
00:41:51,040 --> 00:41:52,799
Speaker 1: it's a post COVID year. I don't know what they

879
00:41:52,840 --> 00:41:56,319
Speaker 1: would say, but there would be a con here, the

880
00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:58,880
Speaker 1: con to this happening. If you're rooting for this, the

881
00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:02,040
Speaker 1: con is the in two thousand and seven was not

882
00:42:02,200 --> 00:42:05,279
Speaker 1: nearly as concentrated as it is now. You did not

883
00:42:05,520 --> 00:42:09,560
Speaker 1: have programs that were operating at the level Bama or

884
00:42:09,600 --> 00:42:13,560
Speaker 1: Ohio State or Clemson are right now. But if you're

885
00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:16,160
Speaker 1: pulling for this to happen, here's something you may have

886
00:42:16,239 --> 00:42:19,320
Speaker 1: on your side. What we also have never had seven

887
00:42:19,480 --> 00:42:22,120
Speaker 1: or any other year, is you've never had the average

888
00:42:22,120 --> 00:42:25,160
Speaker 1: experience rates be higher than they will be this year.

889
00:42:25,480 --> 00:42:28,640
Speaker 1: The super Senior rule has everybody well above and beyond

890
00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:32,839
Speaker 1: what their average returning starter experience rate normally is. There

891
00:42:32,840 --> 00:42:36,120
Speaker 1: are theories out there as to how that will impact

892
00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:38,600
Speaker 1: the sport this year. I don't think there's any smart

893
00:42:38,600 --> 00:42:41,560
Speaker 1: money on that. I've got my feeling. I think defensive

894
00:42:41,560 --> 00:42:43,959
Speaker 1: football is going to be played at a much higher level.

895
00:42:44,000 --> 00:42:46,000
Speaker 1: I think games are going to be crisper this year.

896
00:42:46,480 --> 00:42:48,400
Speaker 1: I just overall think the product is going to be

897
00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:51,600
Speaker 1: played at a higher level this year. That could be

898
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:54,760
Speaker 1: that all the teams play at a higher level. Thus

899
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:57,840
Speaker 1: it is a nothing. We don't really get anything. We

900
00:42:57,840 --> 00:43:00,520
Speaker 1: don't get any change at all. But we didn't have

901
00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:03,480
Speaker 1: that in seven. So both of those factors weren't in play.

902
00:43:03,560 --> 00:43:06,319
Speaker 1: But the dream is not real until we start seeing

903
00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:08,640
Speaker 1: top four teams fall. I think you draw out the

904
00:43:08,640 --> 00:43:11,640
Speaker 1: dividing line at three or four Bama, Ohio State, Clemson

905
00:43:11,640 --> 00:43:14,360
Speaker 1: in Oklahoma, Georgia, wherever you want to go. Those teams

906
00:43:14,400 --> 00:43:16,239
Speaker 1: have to start falling. And I'm not talking about when

907
00:43:16,280 --> 00:43:18,800
Speaker 1: they play each other. So Clemson Georgia play Week one.

908
00:43:19,120 --> 00:43:20,520
Speaker 1: I got it on good authority. One of them's got

909
00:43:20,640 --> 00:43:24,200
Speaker 1: to lose. But outside of that, it's not really real

910
00:43:24,480 --> 00:43:27,600
Speaker 1: until some of the upsets start happening. So Bill Connelly

911
00:43:27,640 --> 00:43:29,600
Speaker 1: actually put out a list of all the games that

912
00:43:29,719 --> 00:43:32,840
Speaker 1: could be on the radar. Of course, you got Bama,

913
00:43:33,360 --> 00:43:36,280
Speaker 1: you got games like Bama Florida, you got games like Bama, Texas,

914
00:43:36,280 --> 00:43:38,880
Speaker 1: A and M. But I do think the definition of

915
00:43:38,960 --> 00:43:42,160
Speaker 1: upset has changed a little bit because of that competitive

916
00:43:42,200 --> 00:43:45,080
Speaker 1: balance that's changed. See back in the day, I mean

917
00:43:45,080 --> 00:43:47,879
Speaker 1: your number one, number two, number three teams. They could

918
00:43:47,880 --> 00:43:50,920
Speaker 1: be playing games against number nineteen. In some cases, you

919
00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:53,160
Speaker 1: could have a single digit spread on the game. That's

920
00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:55,240
Speaker 1: not really the way it is these days. It's really

921
00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:58,720
Speaker 1: hard to see Alabama play anyone and have that spread

922
00:43:58,800 --> 00:44:02,120
Speaker 1: under two touchdow, much less into single digits. It has

923
00:44:02,160 --> 00:44:04,680
Speaker 1: only happened a couple times, and it's normally in the

924
00:44:04,680 --> 00:44:08,640
Speaker 1: playoff or a national championship game. But because of that,

925
00:44:09,200 --> 00:44:12,080
Speaker 1: if Texas A and M were to beat Alabama, that's

926
00:44:12,120 --> 00:44:14,640
Speaker 1: the number sixteen beating the number one team preseason, that

927
00:44:14,680 --> 00:44:16,720
Speaker 1: it'd be a huge upset. I mean, that would qualify

928
00:44:16,719 --> 00:44:19,840
Speaker 1: as a huge upset. I think Indiana at number seventeen,

929
00:44:19,880 --> 00:44:22,440
Speaker 1: if they beat number four Ohio State, that would be

930
00:44:22,520 --> 00:44:25,200
Speaker 1: viewed as a huge upset. I think if Florida beat Bama,

931
00:44:25,200 --> 00:44:26,920
Speaker 1: even in the Swamp, that would be viewed as a

932
00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:31,320
Speaker 1: huge upset. Clemson goes to NC State September twenty fifth,

933
00:44:32,280 --> 00:44:34,240
Speaker 1: that would be viewed, I think as a huge upset.

934
00:44:34,280 --> 00:44:36,120
Speaker 1: I mean, all these teams are ranked, but I think

935
00:44:36,160 --> 00:44:37,560
Speaker 1: it would be viewed as a huge upset. But what

936
00:44:37,600 --> 00:44:39,920
Speaker 1: about some of these other games, because these are the

937
00:44:39,920 --> 00:44:41,799
Speaker 1: ones that you'd really need. You got to have some

938
00:44:41,840 --> 00:44:44,040
Speaker 1: stuff come out of nowhere. You got to have you

939
00:44:44,600 --> 00:44:46,560
Speaker 1: gotta have some game go full on app State over

940
00:44:46,640 --> 00:44:50,400
Speaker 1: Michigan and some of the games Bill Connolly put together.

941
00:44:51,280 --> 00:44:53,640
Speaker 1: Did you know Oklahoma opens their season at Tulane? I

942
00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:55,680
Speaker 1: don't think most of you know that. What about UAB

943
00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:59,000
Speaker 1: going to Georgia? No? No one feeling that and went, okay,

944
00:44:59,200 --> 00:45:02,879
Speaker 1: what about to Leed Notre Dame? Yes? No? Maybe name

945
00:45:02,920 --> 00:45:05,680
Speaker 1: your favorite Rockets player. By the way, Fresno State at

946
00:45:05,680 --> 00:45:09,000
Speaker 1: Oregon is a trendy game on the West coast. Fresno

947
00:45:09,120 --> 00:45:11,359
Speaker 1: plays in week one, they go to Oregon in week two.

948
00:45:11,600 --> 00:45:15,799
Speaker 1: Now Oregon or no, that's that's week three? So do

949
00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:18,120
Speaker 1: I have that right? Colin? No, it can't be that.

950
00:45:18,360 --> 00:45:21,120
Speaker 1: Hold on. Okay, week one, that's it. Fresno plays a

951
00:45:21,120 --> 00:45:24,000
Speaker 1: week zero game, so they play this weekend, then they

952
00:45:24,040 --> 00:45:27,600
Speaker 1: go to Oregon, and the theory is Fresno's not showing

953
00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:30,960
Speaker 1: anything this weekend and they'll just unload the entire tool

954
00:45:31,080 --> 00:45:33,680
Speaker 1: chest on the road at Eugene, where Oregon's not going

955
00:45:33,760 --> 00:45:35,440
Speaker 1: to be wanting to show anything because they go on

956
00:45:35,440 --> 00:45:37,720
Speaker 1: the road to Ohio State the next week. Could happen

957
00:45:38,040 --> 00:45:39,719
Speaker 1: you can sell me on that. I don't think I'm

958
00:45:39,719 --> 00:45:42,920
Speaker 1: gonna pick it. What about Army at Wisconsin. Don't schedule

959
00:45:43,040 --> 00:45:46,160
Speaker 1: Army guys. I appreciate, I appreciate our servicemen and women,

960
00:45:46,400 --> 00:45:48,839
Speaker 1: but I'm not scheduling their football team. Nothing good can

961
00:45:48,840 --> 00:45:50,880
Speaker 1: come from that for US. Pete State will not be

962
00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:53,759
Speaker 1: scheduling the service academies. We will be donating to the

963
00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:56,520
Speaker 1: service academies. We will be making Thanksgiving meals for the

964
00:45:56,520 --> 00:46:00,000
Speaker 1: service academies, but we're not scheduling them. What about Apps

965
00:46:00,040 --> 00:46:02,600
Speaker 1: State at Miami. This is a juicy little game now,

966
00:46:02,600 --> 00:46:05,799
Speaker 1: because that's in I think Week two. Miami's got that

967
00:46:05,960 --> 00:46:09,000
Speaker 1: Bama game, and then they got app State and Michigan

968
00:46:09,040 --> 00:46:10,920
Speaker 1: State they play, and people are gonna be overlooking that.

969
00:46:11,160 --> 00:46:14,719
Speaker 1: San Jose State goes to USC That is in September fourth,

970
00:46:14,920 --> 00:46:18,479
Speaker 1: that's Week one. Central Michigan at LSU. Mid September Ball

971
00:46:18,520 --> 00:46:20,760
Speaker 1: State at Penn State. We just talked about that game earlier.

972
00:46:20,920 --> 00:46:23,520
Speaker 1: Do we feel any of them. I'm telling you we

973
00:46:23,560 --> 00:46:26,239
Speaker 1: probably just listed two upsets. We probably have two of

974
00:46:26,280 --> 00:46:29,319
Speaker 1: them coming from that group. But my feeling is not

975
00:46:29,360 --> 00:46:32,759
Speaker 1: about September. I have long expressed that I think this

976
00:46:32,840 --> 00:46:35,960
Speaker 1: is going to be a more competitively balanced year. I

977
00:46:35,960 --> 00:46:39,040
Speaker 1: think those redwoods do not rise nearly as high above

978
00:46:39,080 --> 00:46:41,279
Speaker 1: the college football canopy as it normally does, or they

979
00:46:41,280 --> 00:46:44,080
Speaker 1: normally do now. As a result, I really think November

980
00:46:44,120 --> 00:46:45,719
Speaker 1: is going to be insane. I do not think we're

981
00:46:45,719 --> 00:46:48,080
Speaker 1: going to arrive in the first week of November and

982
00:46:48,200 --> 00:46:51,360
Speaker 1: have two or three of the five Power five conference

983
00:46:51,440 --> 00:46:54,200
Speaker 1: races settled. Maybe one, but I don't think it's going

984
00:46:54,280 --> 00:46:57,399
Speaker 1: to be multiples. And number two, I think conference races

985
00:46:57,440 --> 00:46:59,359
Speaker 1: are going to be wide open. I think division races

986
00:46:59,400 --> 00:47:01,440
Speaker 1: are going to be wide I think a lot of

987
00:47:01,560 --> 00:47:04,480
Speaker 1: contenders that normally have clean resumes are going to have

988
00:47:04,480 --> 00:47:06,200
Speaker 1: blood on their lip and they're going to have a

989
00:47:06,239 --> 00:47:09,120
Speaker 1: swollen eye, and they may still be the best, but

990
00:47:09,200 --> 00:47:11,520
Speaker 1: it doesn't look like it has in years past. And

991
00:47:11,600 --> 00:47:15,319
Speaker 1: I think that instead of maybe four or five or

992
00:47:15,440 --> 00:47:18,719
Speaker 1: six teams vying for those playoff spots, I think we'll

993
00:47:18,719 --> 00:47:21,200
Speaker 1: be in the eight nine to ten range, maybe even

994
00:47:21,239 --> 00:47:24,839
Speaker 1: eleven or twelve in early November. And that is going

995
00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:27,120
Speaker 1: to do wonders for a lot of what people are

996
00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:30,280
Speaker 1: trying to manufacture into college football via and expanded playoff,

997
00:47:30,719 --> 00:47:34,240
Speaker 1: because you'll have a bunch of teams vying for spots

998
00:47:34,560 --> 00:47:37,640
Speaker 1: that still hold incredible value because there's only four of them,

999
00:47:37,800 --> 00:47:39,759
Speaker 1: and some people are going to be upset because they

1000
00:47:39,800 --> 00:47:41,680
Speaker 1: can't make it, even though they had a very good season.

1001
00:47:41,960 --> 00:47:44,840
Speaker 1: And as I've told you, people, being upset at the

1002
00:47:44,920 --> 00:47:47,280
Speaker 1: end of a college football season is not the worst

1003
00:47:47,320 --> 00:47:49,719
Speaker 1: thing in the world. It's just not I am looking

1004
00:47:49,760 --> 00:47:51,200
Speaker 1: forward to this year. I think it's going to be

1005
00:47:51,200 --> 00:47:53,680
Speaker 1: a renaissance year and if we get a if we

1006
00:47:53,719 --> 00:47:56,440
Speaker 1: get a total seven reset, so be it. I'll be

1007
00:47:56,480 --> 00:47:58,800
Speaker 1: happy with it all right. Last thing I wanted to

1008
00:47:58,880 --> 00:48:01,880
Speaker 1: do here, I want to to for the last time

1009
00:48:02,320 --> 00:48:04,000
Speaker 1: kind of go around the country right quick, some of

1010
00:48:04,040 --> 00:48:06,560
Speaker 1: the last whispers and intel that we're hearing before the

1011
00:48:06,600 --> 00:48:08,800
Speaker 1: season starts, and I wanted to start in Texas, A

1012
00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:11,000
Speaker 1: and M. We got the announcement we thought we were

1013
00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:14,080
Speaker 1: going to get about quarterback. Haines King is the starter there,

1014
00:48:14,760 --> 00:48:18,000
Speaker 1: but Zach Calzada is the backup. Zack Calzada is a

1015
00:48:18,040 --> 00:48:20,680
Speaker 1: guy that if they do have to go to their

1016
00:48:20,680 --> 00:48:23,520
Speaker 1: backup for any reason, I think is more than serviceable.

1017
00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:25,440
Speaker 1: I think they feel fine about him. It's just when

1018
00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:28,640
Speaker 1: it comes to intangibles, Haines King had him, he was

1019
00:48:28,680 --> 00:48:30,120
Speaker 1: not going to be a guy. He was going to

1020
00:48:30,160 --> 00:48:33,000
Speaker 1: be a guy that Kalzada had to definitively overtake, and

1021
00:48:33,040 --> 00:48:35,160
Speaker 1: I don't think that ever happened. So both really good

1022
00:48:35,239 --> 00:48:38,840
Speaker 1: kids though, both really good players. But you talk to

1023
00:48:38,840 --> 00:48:41,120
Speaker 1: people close to the in In program and they're quick to

1024
00:48:41,120 --> 00:48:44,520
Speaker 1: tell you they have worked the vertical passing game. They

1025
00:48:44,560 --> 00:48:47,680
Speaker 1: have thrown the ball deep this fall, more so than

1026
00:48:47,719 --> 00:48:50,399
Speaker 1: they have under Jimbo at any point since they've been there.

1027
00:48:51,000 --> 00:48:52,759
Speaker 1: I don't know what that means. I don't know what

1028
00:48:52,840 --> 00:48:56,359
Speaker 1: to make of that. I do know Jimbo Fisher has

1029
00:48:56,440 --> 00:48:58,839
Speaker 1: to look across the ball and he has to see

1030
00:48:58,880 --> 00:49:01,440
Speaker 1: what Mike Elko's defense can do, and he has to

1031
00:49:01,480 --> 00:49:04,480
Speaker 1: know we've got to bail me out defense. And so

1032
00:49:05,120 --> 00:49:08,160
Speaker 1: we cannot beat Alabama playing the kind of offense we've

1033
00:49:08,160 --> 00:49:10,960
Speaker 1: been playing. That much is sure. That much is certain.

1034
00:49:11,719 --> 00:49:14,560
Speaker 1: So if the answer in Jimbo Fisher's mind is we

1035
00:49:14,640 --> 00:49:16,799
Speaker 1: got to take some more chances, I may be uncomfortable

1036
00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:18,360
Speaker 1: with it, but to beat the team we got to

1037
00:49:18,360 --> 00:49:20,280
Speaker 1: beat in Tuscaloosa, we got to take more chances because

1038
00:49:20,280 --> 00:49:21,680
Speaker 1: no one cares if we go ten and two, eleven

1039
00:49:21,680 --> 00:49:23,400
Speaker 1: and one if we don't beat that team. So we

1040
00:49:23,440 --> 00:49:25,240
Speaker 1: got to beat him. We got him in our building.

1041
00:49:25,440 --> 00:49:27,160
Speaker 1: We were never going to have a more favorable environment.

1042
00:49:27,160 --> 00:49:28,359
Speaker 1: We got to beat him to do it. We got

1043
00:49:28,400 --> 00:49:30,440
Speaker 1: to push the ball down the field. And it's comforting,

1044
00:49:30,960 --> 00:49:33,560
Speaker 1: even amid all that risk, to know if we turn

1045
00:49:33,640 --> 00:49:36,319
Speaker 1: the ball over, we got a defense. Hadn't always been

1046
00:49:36,360 --> 00:49:38,200
Speaker 1: able to say that to Texas A and M. More

1047
00:49:38,200 --> 00:49:39,640
Speaker 1: so in the last two or three years they have.

1048
00:49:40,040 --> 00:49:43,080
Speaker 1: That's one of the quietest major stories in college football

1049
00:49:43,400 --> 00:49:45,800
Speaker 1: is the emergence of the Texas A and M defense.

1050
00:49:45,880 --> 00:49:48,600
Speaker 1: It's one of the best in the country now, and

1051
00:49:48,680 --> 00:49:51,560
Speaker 1: we weren't saying that under Kevin Summam. How about Texas.

1052
00:49:52,080 --> 00:49:54,719
Speaker 1: I remained enthralled by this quarterback battle. I mean, it's

1053
00:49:54,719 --> 00:49:57,640
Speaker 1: still not settled. Some people would lead you believe it is, though,

1054
00:49:58,280 --> 00:50:00,360
Speaker 1: and I'm not so sure. I don't agree with them,

1055
00:50:00,920 --> 00:50:03,520
Speaker 1: but you really know why I'm smiling when we talk

1056
00:50:03,600 --> 00:50:08,080
Speaker 1: about Texas quarterbacks. That means imminent in the discussion is

1057
00:50:08,120 --> 00:50:11,040
Speaker 1: one of those good old fashioned chip brown horns. Twenty

1058
00:50:11,080 --> 00:50:14,000
Speaker 1: four to seven Insider reports, you might as well turn

1059
00:50:14,160 --> 00:50:16,919
Speaker 1: the lights down, light up a cigarette, and I don't

1060
00:50:16,960 --> 00:50:20,880
Speaker 1: even smoke. Play some soft, corny jazz music in the background.

1061
00:50:20,960 --> 00:50:22,879
Speaker 1: But you got to set the mood for a Chip

1062
00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:27,600
Speaker 1: Brown practice report. But here's what's happening, Hudson Card, Casey Thompson.

1063
00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:30,600
Speaker 1: The dynamic has shifted a little bit. It was Casey

1064
00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:33,879
Speaker 1: Thompson in the lead going into this thing. Hudson Card

1065
00:50:33,920 --> 00:50:36,480
Speaker 1: now coming out of that second scrimmage taking a majority

1066
00:50:36,560 --> 00:50:39,959
Speaker 1: of the one QB reps. But there's been no announcement made.

1067
00:50:40,600 --> 00:50:43,520
Speaker 1: And with that, I read you just a few snippets

1068
00:50:43,719 --> 00:50:46,239
Speaker 1: from Chip Brown's premium article over on Horns twenty four

1069
00:50:46,239 --> 00:50:50,040
Speaker 1: to seven sources telling him Steve Sarkisian has not spoken

1070
00:50:50,080 --> 00:50:52,160
Speaker 1: with the quarterback yet about who's going to start. But

1071
00:50:53,520 --> 00:50:55,080
Speaker 1: and this is where it gets real juicy, So I

1072
00:50:55,080 --> 00:50:56,960
Speaker 1: need you to put a bib on. There is a

1073
00:50:57,000 --> 00:51:01,520
Speaker 1: real possibility that Thompson would pack up and leave if

1074
00:51:01,640 --> 00:51:04,520
Speaker 1: Hudson Cart is named the starter. This has long been

1075
00:51:04,600 --> 00:51:08,040
Speaker 1: a fear and a suspicion that has been whispered about

1076
00:51:08,080 --> 00:51:11,319
Speaker 1: all the Texas fan base, and now it looks like

1077
00:51:11,360 --> 00:51:13,239
Speaker 1: some of those whispers have a lot of validity to

1078
00:51:13,280 --> 00:51:15,480
Speaker 1: them because Casey Thompson is looking at what he did

1079
00:51:15,480 --> 00:51:18,160
Speaker 1: in the Alamobile. He probably doesn't feel he's lost the

1080
00:51:18,239 --> 00:51:22,080
Speaker 1: job in fall camp, and so sources tell Chip Brown

1081
00:51:22,239 --> 00:51:25,279
Speaker 1: Horns twenty four to seven, Steve Sarkisian is aware of

1082
00:51:25,320 --> 00:51:29,680
Speaker 1: that possibility and that quote. He is concerned about that possibility. Oh,

1083
00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:33,040
Speaker 1: by the way, multiple sources saying the third quarterback there

1084
00:51:33,239 --> 00:51:35,319
Speaker 1: is in anywhere close to being ready for game action

1085
00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:39,640
Speaker 1: if he does indeed become the backup. So what do

1086
00:51:39,680 --> 00:51:41,680
Speaker 1: you do? Well, the answer is really hard, and it's

1087
00:51:41,719 --> 00:51:44,120
Speaker 1: really simple. You play the best guy. You put the

1088
00:51:44,120 --> 00:51:45,520
Speaker 1: guy on the field. It gives you the best chance

1089
00:51:45,560 --> 00:51:47,759
Speaker 1: to win. If it causes a transfer, so be it.

1090
00:51:48,400 --> 00:51:51,359
Speaker 1: And if two games into the season you have God

1091
00:51:51,400 --> 00:51:54,840
Speaker 1: forbid a major injury, so be it. What you can't

1092
00:51:54,880 --> 00:51:57,560
Speaker 1: do is you can't get scared about the potential of

1093
00:51:57,600 --> 00:52:00,879
Speaker 1: a kid transferring and play the second best stop and

1094
00:52:00,920 --> 00:52:03,759
Speaker 1: then live with those consequences, because then you lose the

1095
00:52:03,760 --> 00:52:06,720
Speaker 1: respect of your locker room, You may lose the respect

1096
00:52:06,760 --> 00:52:09,440
Speaker 1: of your coaching staff. And as we have noted several

1097
00:52:09,480 --> 00:52:12,280
Speaker 1: times here, Steve Sarkisian is not a fifteen year veteran.

1098
00:52:12,520 --> 00:52:14,960
Speaker 1: He is not Nick Saban. He does not walk through

1099
00:52:15,000 --> 00:52:17,520
Speaker 1: with the cachet of a head coach that is established.

1100
00:52:17,719 --> 00:52:21,200
Speaker 1: He is trying to establish himself. You've got to make

1101
00:52:21,200 --> 00:52:23,400
Speaker 1: hard decisions. That's why they pay you what they pay you.

1102
00:52:23,520 --> 00:52:26,480
Speaker 1: That's why you get your name on every marquee Hudson card.

1103
00:52:26,520 --> 00:52:28,560
Speaker 1: I think it's going to be the starter here. Will

1104
00:52:28,560 --> 00:52:31,760
Speaker 1: be fascinated to see if it means indeed a transfer.

1105
00:52:32,080 --> 00:52:35,759
Speaker 1: What about Florida because quarterback is worth watching at Florida too.

1106
00:52:36,160 --> 00:52:39,319
Speaker 1: You may think, if you're not a Gator fan, did

1107
00:52:39,320 --> 00:52:41,560
Speaker 1: Emory Jones get hurt? No, he did not get hurt.

1108
00:52:41,840 --> 00:52:45,040
Speaker 1: But Emory Jones is who he is. There are a

1109
00:52:45,080 --> 00:52:48,200
Speaker 1: lot of good qualities about Emory Jones, but he is

1110
00:52:48,280 --> 00:52:50,479
Speaker 1: not a guy who is going to light the world

1111
00:52:50,560 --> 00:52:52,560
Speaker 1: on fire through the air. He's just not. Anyone who

1112
00:52:52,640 --> 00:52:56,160
Speaker 1: expects that is setting themselves up to be disappointing. Now,

1113
00:52:56,840 --> 00:53:01,040
Speaker 1: most people around Florida don't believe that. But I have

1114
00:53:01,080 --> 00:53:03,960
Speaker 1: a little internal dynamic here that is a dilemma because

1115
00:53:04,000 --> 00:53:06,640
Speaker 1: Anthony Richardson, the more you talk to people close to

1116
00:53:06,680 --> 00:53:09,120
Speaker 1: the Florida program is the one they want to talk about.

1117
00:53:09,320 --> 00:53:11,600
Speaker 1: That's not the first time in the history of God's

1118
00:53:11,640 --> 00:53:14,240
Speaker 1: creation that people want to talk about the backup quarterback.

1119
00:53:14,520 --> 00:53:18,120
Speaker 1: But Anthony Richardson is a tank physically, and Anthony Richardson

1120
00:53:18,160 --> 00:53:20,759
Speaker 1: has also got a lot of physical qualities that are

1121
00:53:20,800 --> 00:53:24,680
Speaker 1: probably best in that quarterback room. Anthony Richardson will be

1122
00:53:24,719 --> 00:53:26,919
Speaker 1: the first to tell you the mental side of the game.

1123
00:53:26,960 --> 00:53:29,120
Speaker 1: He's still evolving them. I mean, if you go by

1124
00:53:29,120 --> 00:53:32,640
Speaker 1: his quotes, he's got like the perfect attitude for a

1125
00:53:32,680 --> 00:53:35,640
Speaker 1: backup quarterback. But I think there's going to come a

1126
00:53:35,640 --> 00:53:37,759
Speaker 1: time this year where he gets on the field in

1127
00:53:37,840 --> 00:53:41,279
Speaker 1: meaningful action. That's how Mullen handles his roster really, and

1128
00:53:43,480 --> 00:53:45,920
Speaker 1: I want to see what happens because I have a

1129
00:53:46,000 --> 00:53:49,000
Speaker 1: sneaking suspicion that what's going to happen sometime in the

1130
00:53:49,000 --> 00:53:51,520
Speaker 1: first half of Florida season is Emory Jones is going

1131
00:53:51,600 --> 00:53:54,520
Speaker 1: to struggle at some point in a game and Dan

1132
00:53:54,600 --> 00:53:56,719
Speaker 1: Mullen's going to send Anthony Richardson out there for a

1133
00:53:56,800 --> 00:54:00,440
Speaker 1: series and then it's game on. Because I think you

1134
00:54:00,480 --> 00:54:02,719
Speaker 1: and I both know what happens. You could have it

1135
00:54:02,760 --> 00:54:04,799
Speaker 1: in your mind all you want to let's give him

1136
00:54:04,800 --> 00:54:08,000
Speaker 1: a series. Well, if you go six for seven and

1137
00:54:08,120 --> 00:54:10,400
Speaker 1: they hot knife through butter it right down the field

1138
00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:13,200
Speaker 1: and they score, are you taking him off the field.

1139
00:54:13,400 --> 00:54:15,520
Speaker 1: If you do, what does the Swamp twenty four to

1140
00:54:15,520 --> 00:54:17,960
Speaker 1: seven message board look like? Because I can tell you

1141
00:54:18,120 --> 00:54:21,440
Speaker 1: they've very been out of shape regardless because they are

1142
00:54:21,480 --> 00:54:23,080
Speaker 1: already having to watch the quarterback be pulled out of

1143
00:54:23,120 --> 00:54:24,400
Speaker 1: the game. But if you put a guy in there

1144
00:54:24,400 --> 00:54:26,440
Speaker 1: who gets it done, and then you take him out to

1145
00:54:26,480 --> 00:54:28,560
Speaker 1: put the guy who was struggling back in there, then

1146
00:54:28,600 --> 00:54:31,120
Speaker 1: all of a sudden, your entire quarterback pedigree as a

1147
00:54:31,160 --> 00:54:33,279
Speaker 1: head coach and as a developer of the position goes

1148
00:54:33,320 --> 00:54:35,720
Speaker 1: out the window. It gets folded up like he used Napkin.

1149
00:54:36,200 --> 00:54:40,680
Speaker 1: Speaking of the pedigree. Though we are talking about Emory Jones.

1150
00:54:40,719 --> 00:54:44,239
Speaker 1: Everything I know about Dan Mullen is leading me instinctively

1151
00:54:44,360 --> 00:54:47,640
Speaker 1: to think he'll be okay, because Dan Mullen gets every

1152
00:54:47,719 --> 00:54:50,439
Speaker 1: ounce of potential out of every quarterback he coaches. And also,

1153
00:54:50,520 --> 00:54:52,080
Speaker 1: Emory Jones didn't just walk in the door. He's been

1154
00:54:52,120 --> 00:54:54,520
Speaker 1: out there three years now. So whatever the absolute best

1155
00:54:54,520 --> 00:54:56,040
Speaker 1: out of a guy who was a former four star

1156
00:54:56,280 --> 00:55:00,000
Speaker 1: from Georgia is Dan Mullen will get So my instinct

1157
00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:02,839
Speaker 1: he tells me, Damn Moan's great at this. Emery Jones

1158
00:55:02,880 --> 00:55:05,520
Speaker 1: will be fine. That doesn't mean he may not have

1159
00:55:05,560 --> 00:55:07,640
Speaker 1: a very talented option behind him though, so just a

1160
00:55:07,640 --> 00:55:11,360
Speaker 1: little dynamic to watch. And lastly, bad news out of

1161
00:55:11,400 --> 00:55:14,880
Speaker 1: Notre Dame, and it is really bad. It's really unfortunate.

1162
00:55:14,960 --> 00:55:17,799
Speaker 1: So Marcus Freeman is the defensive coordinator there who has

1163
00:55:17,840 --> 00:55:20,279
Speaker 1: come in and lit the world on fire up there.

1164
00:55:20,280 --> 00:55:23,239
Speaker 1: From a recruiting perspective, they love him. Everyone loves him.

1165
00:55:23,320 --> 00:55:24,719
Speaker 1: A lot of people hope he'll be the head coach

1166
00:55:24,760 --> 00:55:27,720
Speaker 1: one day. Some interesting comments from Brian Kelly on that front,

1167
00:55:27,960 --> 00:55:30,879
Speaker 1: very interesting this week, But that's not what I want

1168
00:55:30,920 --> 00:55:32,640
Speaker 1: to talk about. What I want to talk about is

1169
00:55:32,640 --> 00:55:35,799
Speaker 1: they lost a very versatile and important player right out

1170
00:55:35,880 --> 00:55:38,200
Speaker 1: of the middle of that defense at the linebacker corps,

1171
00:55:38,880 --> 00:55:41,759
Speaker 1: Maris Leafoul, who I never got the pronunciation right on,

1172
00:55:41,840 --> 00:55:44,600
Speaker 1: but he was lost I don't know how long, for

1173
00:55:44,800 --> 00:55:47,080
Speaker 1: maybe the year at the very least a long time

1174
00:55:47,400 --> 00:55:50,600
Speaker 1: with a lower extremity injury. It's a big blow. They've

1175
00:55:50,600 --> 00:55:52,960
Speaker 1: got depth at linebacker, they're not going to have to

1176
00:55:53,000 --> 00:55:55,640
Speaker 1: put out walk ons, but they don't have anyone who

1177
00:55:55,640 --> 00:55:58,880
Speaker 1: possesses the particular skill set that he did, and so

1178
00:55:59,080 --> 00:56:02,400
Speaker 1: that takes away a lot of the multiple elements of

1179
00:56:02,440 --> 00:56:05,120
Speaker 1: your defense and you never know what kind of game

1180
00:56:05,200 --> 00:56:07,799
Speaker 1: changing ability that guy was gonna have for you that

1181
00:56:07,920 --> 00:56:10,759
Speaker 1: his replacement simply doesn't have. So those are some things

1182
00:56:10,760 --> 00:56:14,560
Speaker 1: to watch. Our last Whispers and Intel's segment before the

1183
00:56:14,600 --> 00:56:19,000
Speaker 1: season starts. Really enjoyed that, all right, So remember it

1184
00:56:19,040 --> 00:56:20,919
Speaker 1: is imperative. I'm gonna send this in the chat now

1185
00:56:21,040 --> 00:56:24,359
Speaker 1: three two one boom. It is imperative. Got to make

1186
00:56:24,400 --> 00:56:26,600
Speaker 1: sure you follow on Twitter and Instagram. At Late Kick Josh,

1187
00:56:26,640 --> 00:56:28,760
Speaker 1: we are announcing Pete State Bright and Early in the morning.

1188
00:56:29,640 --> 00:56:31,759
Speaker 1: I don't know how you won't love these logos if

1189
00:56:31,800 --> 00:56:34,400
Speaker 1: you know the flavor of this show, and you know

1190
00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:37,520
Speaker 1: my proclivity to like the things that I like and

1191
00:56:37,560 --> 00:56:40,279
Speaker 1: to be into the things I'm into. And if you

1192
00:56:40,320 --> 00:56:42,239
Speaker 1: were around when we had the contest to come up

1193
00:56:42,280 --> 00:56:44,880
Speaker 1: with the name, more than one of you came up

1194
00:56:44,920 --> 00:56:48,200
Speaker 1: with the name. So it's very much crowdsourced. It's very

1195
00:56:48,239 --> 00:56:50,160
Speaker 1: much a product of you. I just happened to be

1196
00:56:50,200 --> 00:56:52,719
Speaker 1: the beneficiary. I think we all are, though, and you're

1197
00:56:52,719 --> 00:56:54,200
Speaker 1: gonna love what you see in the morning. So at

1198
00:56:54,239 --> 00:56:56,480
Speaker 1: Late Kick Josh, make sure you're following. And thank you

1199
00:56:56,560 --> 00:56:59,240
Speaker 1: so much for subscribing to the channel. We're over sixty

1200
00:56:59,320 --> 00:57:06,760
Speaker 1: thousand Please keep doing that and share. Share, share comments, tweets, Instagram, story, everywhere.

1201
00:57:06,880 --> 00:57:09,680
Speaker 1: Share that helps us. That is marketing. It's invaluable. Thank

1202
00:57:09,680 --> 00:57:12,799
Speaker 1: you so much. Still, more big announcements coming, so stay

1203
00:57:12,800 --> 00:57:15,120
Speaker 1: tuned until then. For Director Colin, our entire crew in

1204
00:57:15,160 --> 00:57:17,600
Speaker 1: Fort Lauderdale, I'm Josh Paper have Yourself's a great start

1205
00:57:17,640 --> 00:57:20,240
Speaker 1: to the weekend. Enjoys early college football, and God bless

1206
00:57:20,280 --> 00:57:20,320
Speaker 1: you