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Speaker 1: Welcome in. Everybody in a betting prose, it's time to

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Speaker 1: place your bets and it's beat Joey pa Joe Pisa, Pia.

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Speaker 1: It's time to look ahead to the props. Four week

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Speaker 1: and nine. In the NFL, the Welsh is on vacation.

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Speaker 1: Good for him. I'm taking vacation next week because he

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Speaker 1: took vacation. The guy that never takes vacation, Andrew Rickson,

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Speaker 1: that guy is a dog. Forget it. Although you did

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Speaker 1: take some time when you got married, So I guess

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Speaker 1: tip a day June.

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Speaker 2: How horrible of me during the NFL season to take

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Speaker 2: time in June.

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Speaker 1: Well no, well, you know for guys like me and

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Speaker 1: well she you do baseball coverage around these parts too.

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Speaker 1: The mind starts to melt this time of year by

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Speaker 1: the time we get to know the Dodgers. Yeah, Dodgers

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Speaker 1: winning the World Series there so anyone but the Yankees,

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Speaker 1: I guess I think they're Oh, Dodgers bought a World Series,

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Speaker 1: but good for them. As a Mets fan, I'm hoping

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Speaker 1: that the Mets buy a World series next year. That's

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Speaker 1: That's a lot of and I'm okay with it. I'm

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Speaker 1: at peace with it. People can talk about all they want.

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Speaker 1: I'm eight years old since the last time they won.

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Speaker 1: That's how old I was. So yeah, I'm okay, go

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Speaker 1: buy one.

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Speaker 2: How old was I then?

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Speaker 1: You were not born?

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Speaker 2: I was just thought this point.

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Speaker 1: But We've got a lot of thoughts and a lot

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Speaker 1: of feelings about the props for this week, so I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna step in with my props. I've already logged them.

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Speaker 1: Of course, you can follow us over on Betting Pros.

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Speaker 1: Just search our names right in the tab there and

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Speaker 1: you can find ericson you can find Pizza Pa. You

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Speaker 1: can find all of us very easily. And of course

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Speaker 1: don't forget to use the prop bet cheat sheet too

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Speaker 1: while you're on VP, because that is the tool that

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Speaker 1: will separate you from the pack. We're talking about the

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Speaker 1: projections against the actual numbers here that Vegas is giving you,

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Speaker 1: and you can see the overs, the unders and then

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Speaker 1: the best place to bet them. So use the prop

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Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet, go to bettingpros dot com, slash props,

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Speaker 1: or again just use it on the app. That's the

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Speaker 1: best way to do it. Andrew, I'm gonna kick things

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Speaker 1: off here and I'm gonna start with Javonte Williams here

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Speaker 1: because this matchup is not the best here. Baltimore Ravens

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Speaker 1: might have some problems on defense, but the one thing

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Speaker 1: they do well is they actually are tough to run on. Now,

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Speaker 1: Nick Chubb was the first guy to break the fifty

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Speaker 1: mark against them this season, which is saying a lot,

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Speaker 1: But look at Javonte Williams. I'm looking at this Denver

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Speaker 1: Broncos offense and I know they've had some moments recently.

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Speaker 1: They've been getting the job done and part of that

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Speaker 1: is getting Javonte the ball. But the number is forty

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Speaker 1: five and a half and this guy is no Nick Chubb,

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Speaker 1: So I am going to even Nick Chubb off of

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Speaker 1: an injury Nick Chubb, So I am going to go

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Speaker 1: with the under on this one too. I think Baltimore

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Speaker 1: plays angry in this game. I know we talked about

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Speaker 1: this game a lot with Terrell yesterday on The Best

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Speaker 1: Bets Show, But even though we both think that Denver

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Speaker 1: has a chance to cover this enormous number, I'm just

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Speaker 1: not thinking it's gonna be a good day in the

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Speaker 1: office for the run game. So give me the under.

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Speaker 1: Forty five and a half rushing yards for Javonte Williams

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Speaker 1: to get us out strong out of the gate with

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Speaker 1: an under. Are you proud of me? Andrew I started

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Speaker 1: with an under.

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Speaker 2: Oh, I'm so proud. Don't tell Welsh because he's the

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Speaker 2: king of the overs. I know that we've we've opened

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Speaker 2: him up to being more open to taking unders.

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Speaker 1: But I mean, Josy, I took it under a Monday

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Speaker 1: night football into the parlay too for Devin Singletary thirty

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Speaker 1: one and a half on the under. It crushed baby,

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Speaker 1: It absolutely crushed.

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Speaker 2: Love one crushed Tyron Tracy got hurt in the game

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Speaker 2: and didn't even matter. Singletary was not running on the

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Speaker 2: Steelers defense.

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Speaker 1: Well, the great part about now for the rest of

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Speaker 1: the season is we have so much data we can use.

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Speaker 1: You know, the first couple weeks of the season are tough.

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Speaker 1: You know who really are teams like Seattle Seahawks, right,

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Speaker 1: it was trying to tough to get a sense of

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Speaker 1: who that team was. We know who's good against the run,

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Speaker 1: who gives up to any passing yards, who's not covering?

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Speaker 1: We know the identity of the teams. This is the

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Speaker 1: point in time. I feel like once you hit week nine,

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Speaker 1: week ten, like all right, second half of the year,

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Speaker 1: we know the identities of these teams were ready to crush.

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Speaker 1: So that being said, when you're looking at the props

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Speaker 1: this week, you've got somebody already set up and unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: I guess it's an under for you.

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Speaker 2: Yes, it is an under on Remandre Stevenson for the

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Speaker 2: New England Patriots, running back fifty nine and a half

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Speaker 2: rushing yards and taking the under. The Titans have the

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Speaker 2: number one defense in terms of stuff rate against the run.

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Speaker 2: So you're looking at what they've done season long, well,

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Speaker 2: especially when you look last week, Oh my god, they

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Speaker 2: got destroyed by the run. Well, they played the Lions again.

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Speaker 2: Talk about how the best bets show again. I'm using

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Speaker 2: the knowledge that Terrell brings to the table to help

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Speaker 2: me make prop bets. Teams play bad after they play

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Speaker 2: the Lions, but I don't think that that's going to

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Speaker 2: matter because the Patriots can't run the ball effectively, and

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Speaker 2: the Titans when they're not playing the Lions, have been

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Speaker 2: a good run defense. If you look at what they've done,

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Speaker 2: basically accept teams that were basically the Lions. Only one

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Speaker 2: running back the Titans have faced this year has rusted

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Speaker 2: for at least sixty five yards and that was Jamior

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Speaker 2: Games last week. Gibbs is also the only running back

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Speaker 2: to rush for at least forty five yards and score

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Speaker 2: a touchdown against the Titans this season. So I am

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Speaker 2: not expecting a lot from this Patriots offense, especially if

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Speaker 2: it's Jacoby Brissett at quarterback and Seamson's last fifteen games

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Speaker 2: as an underdog. And this is something that you can

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Speaker 2: find in the prop at cheat sheet using the betting

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Speaker 2: systems telling you what players do in certain matchups when

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Speaker 2: they're an underdog, when they're a home favorite. That matters,

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Speaker 2: especially because a lot of these players are gamescript dependent,

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Speaker 2: especially when it comes to running backs rushing props. You

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Speaker 2: can't run the ball when you're losing by points as

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Speaker 2: an underdog on the road, and that's how I see

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Speaker 2: this game kind of playing out here. So he is

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Speaker 2: eleven and four towards the under on his rushing prop.

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Speaker 2: That's seventy three percent towards the under fifty nine a

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Speaker 2: half rushing yards. He didn't hit this number last week

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Speaker 2: against the New York Jets, and that was a soft

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Speaker 2: matchup for me. So even though he scored the touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: the rushing yards wasn't there. So I like the under

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Speaker 2: Arramadre Stevens in fifty nine a half rushing yards. He's

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Speaker 2: just in two inconsistent this year to rely on in

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Speaker 2: a matchup that's typically been bad for running backs.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I still like the under in that game completely.

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Speaker 1: I don't know one thing that tends to go over

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Speaker 1: typically is anybody running the football against the Carolina Panthers.

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Speaker 1: They are the worst, and I mean the worst in

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Speaker 1: the league. But you already knew that. Twelve thirty seven

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Speaker 1: that's how many rushing yards they've given up and fun fact,

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Speaker 1: they've given up fifteen touchdowns to running backs this year.

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Speaker 1: So give me Alvin Kamara. It's the first game back

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Speaker 1: for Derek Carr. We don't want to push him too much.

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Speaker 1: It's good to get him back on the field, but

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Speaker 1: let's be realistic. The workload for Kamara has been heavy

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Speaker 1: and steady this year. So I like him to go

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Speaker 1: over his number for this week, and that number right

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Speaker 1: now has said it just sixty three and a half

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Speaker 1: rushing yards.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: What I love to do also is make this a

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Speaker 1: little tiny duo bet where you add you bet them

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Speaker 1: separately to bet him to score a touchdown because those

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Speaker 1: touchdown numbers against Carolina defense for running backs, and then

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Speaker 1: bet the over and then put them together too so

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Speaker 1: you can get some nice plus money on there. So again,

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Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara, all the Alvin Camaro. As the numbers continue

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Speaker 1: to come out there, I would be betting both of

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Speaker 1: those any touchdown score and along with the over here

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Speaker 1: and then put them together to to get a little

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Speaker 1: fun bet there against the Carolina Panthers, a team that

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Speaker 1: is done already and we're not even in double two weeks.

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Speaker 1: They folded up the tents, they're trading guys. Bryce Young's

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Speaker 1: back at quarterback. It's over, folks. It's on to next

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Speaker 1: year and onto the draft again, and they'll probably have

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Speaker 1: another high pick that they'll probably blow on the wrong

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Speaker 1: answer yet again. How many times in a row can

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Speaker 1: they do that? I don't know. I guess we're gonna

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Speaker 1: find out. Andrew. Let's get to the next guy in

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Speaker 1: your list. And I am now I don't want to

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Speaker 1: say completely, but at least for now, I'm semi retired.

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Speaker 1: I was gonna say retire, but I know me at

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Speaker 1: some point I might come back around. I'm retired from

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Speaker 1: betting anything that has to do with the Dolphins. The

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Speaker 1: Dolphins can stick it because they have stuck it to

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Speaker 1: me all year long. So I'm out. I'm semi retired.

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Speaker 1: Maybe I'm not in Florida. I'm in North Carolina. I'm

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Speaker 1: on my way down to continue to you know, get

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Speaker 1: that retirement. But you have found something you like when

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Speaker 1: it comes to the Dolphins this week, and with Devon

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Speaker 1: e Chan specifically, so let's talk about it.

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Speaker 2: I think this is my favorite prop on the board.

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Speaker 2: Devon Chan over four and a half receptions. I think

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Speaker 2: that this number is actually it's been bet down to

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Speaker 2: three and a half receptions, so you don't get as

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Speaker 2: much of a payout. But I don't care. Whatever the

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Speaker 2: receptions are, whatever the receiving yards are, just take all

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Speaker 2: the overs on a Chan to catch passes in this

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Speaker 2: matchup against the Buffalo Bills. Look every running back or

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Speaker 2: the Bills defense this year allowing the most yards, most catches,

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Speaker 2: most targets to running backs in the passing game. Eight

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Speaker 2: Chan three games with two tongue of Viola as the quarterback.

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Speaker 2: He has at least six catches in every single game

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Speaker 2: that two has started this season. Six. This number is

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Speaker 2: n even close to six. So I don't know if

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Speaker 2: you can bet alt perceptions. Yeah, you can't find it.

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Speaker 2: Take the over do it. That's really like, this is

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Speaker 2: Miley my favorite prop. Just again, this is and this

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Speaker 2: is exactly what they did when they face the Bills

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Speaker 2: earlier this year. They just fed eight chan in the

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Speaker 2: receiving game. And I think you're gonna see the exact

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Speaker 2: same thing again, especially if they're trailing chasing points on

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Speaker 2: the road against the Bills. Yeah. Hn, easy over for me.

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Speaker 1: Next one here is one to two or I am

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Speaker 1: going to Nick Chubb. Now, Nick Chubb starting to look

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Speaker 1: healthier and healthier, the workload, the percentage of the backfield

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Speaker 1: really starting to favor him already just two weeks into it.

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Speaker 1: And next week he's got to buy Now, Andrew and

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Speaker 1: I are both on the Cleveland Browns this week to

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Speaker 1: cover this huge number. And I am looking right now

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Speaker 1: for a potential here when you're looking at Nick Chubb

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Speaker 1: to go into a situation where fifty two and a

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Speaker 1: half is a very small number. He basically got this

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Speaker 1: last week against a very good Ravens run defense. Now

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Speaker 1: the Chargers run defense, also on paper is good. But

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Speaker 1: let's investigate a little further because let's look at the opponents.

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Speaker 1: The Raiders an offense that can't get out of its

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Speaker 1: own way all year. The Panthers, they put up three

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Speaker 1: points against the Chargers, need I say more? The Steelers.

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Speaker 1: Now the Steelers good. They want to run the football,

218
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Speaker 1: but Najie Harris is not exactly Nick Chubb at Nick

219
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Speaker 1: Chubb peak. We know that that is not up for debate.

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Speaker 1: The Chiefs also a run game influx when they got

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Speaker 1: them at the end of September, right still trying to

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Speaker 1: figure things out there, bringing in a Kareem Hunt, so

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Speaker 1: you're still kind of finding their way. The Broncos again,

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Speaker 1: not a prolific offense by any stretch, or a quarterback

225
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Speaker 1: who's going to throw the ball deep and keep you honest.

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Speaker 1: And then the Arizona Cardinals, okay, that one, I'll give

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Speaker 1: you where you know James Connor has been pretty effective

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Speaker 1: this year. And of course, you know last week against

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Speaker 1: the Saints I think we all know what's going on

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Speaker 1: with the Saints without Derek Carr. So they've either had

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Speaker 1: a situation where they were playing bad quarterbacks, bad offenses,

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Speaker 1: not good running backs. It's all gone their way. So

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Speaker 1: I think this number is just a tad inflated, and

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Speaker 1: I think this number for Nick Chubb is just a

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Speaker 1: bit low. Therefore, I'm going to go over a fifty

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Speaker 1: two and a half. I think we see him get

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Speaker 1: into the seventies this week. I don't know if I

238
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Speaker 1: want to ladder bet it quite yet. I'm not there

239
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Speaker 1: with Nick Chubb. But considering they have the bye next week,

240
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Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be too concerned with the Worklook,

241
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Speaker 1: I think he gets pretty much a full workload, then

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Speaker 1: a week of rest, and then it's Nick Chubb rest

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Speaker 1: of season. As we've seen Nick Chubb because from all

244
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Speaker 1: the tape and I went back and rewatched it andrew

245
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Speaker 1: everything I saw looked really good with Chubb. So I'm

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Speaker 1: going over this number for Nick Chubb. And you, my friend,

247
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Speaker 1: are with me, and I love it.

248
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Speaker 2: Joe, you are the one that's kind of been a

249
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Speaker 2: goin to open the week not really seeing Chubb like

250
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Speaker 2: you did. And then the stat about the Ravens and

251
00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:39,280
Speaker 2: he was the first guy to rush for fifty yards.

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Speaker 2: It's just it's just changed my outlook on life. With

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Speaker 2: Nick Chubb.

254
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Speaker 1: It's like, oh my.

255
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Speaker 2: God, man, this is We're back we're back with Nick

256
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Speaker 2: Chubb moving a back back. In the Week nine rankings

257
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Speaker 2: for running back, I have to only have Chubb in

258
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Speaker 2: one spot, and it's in Dynasty team where my running backs.

259
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Speaker 2: I've had no running backs basically all year. So to

260
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Speaker 2: get Chubb back, wasn't sure what I was gonna expect.

261
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Speaker 2: I am so excited for him rest of season. So

262
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Speaker 2: this matchup, you talked about who the Chargers have faced.

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Speaker 2: I think that's a really astute point that you brought up,

264
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Speaker 2: because the last two weeks, right, that's when I think

265
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Speaker 2: they faced more legitimate running games, and that's when they've

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Speaker 2: given up five point seven yards per carry, an average

267
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Speaker 2: of one hundred rushing yards per game. And the thing

268
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Speaker 2: about the Chargers defense, and I was on the James

269
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Speaker 2: Connor over rushing prop a couple weeks ago against the Chargers,

270
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Speaker 2: because what LA does defensively is they don't stack the box, right,

271
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Speaker 2: They send a lot of guys back in their secondary

272
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Speaker 2: drop back into coverage, which is why their pass defense

273
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Speaker 2: has been so good this year, limiting yards per attempt,

274
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Speaker 2: passing yards per game, but their run defense has been

275
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Speaker 2: more leaky, and it's because, well, you just laid it

276
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Speaker 2: out all the matchups. Why are we stacking the box

277
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Speaker 2: against the Raiders. We don't need to do that. Let

278
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Speaker 2: them run, us get two yards to carry because we

279
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Speaker 2: know these teams can't run. But against teams that actually

280
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Speaker 2: have been able to run, like James Connor, like an

281
00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:52,160
Speaker 2: Alvin Kamara. Yes, you saw more rushing production. So I

282
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Speaker 2: think that the Browns are gonna get some favorable looks

283
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Speaker 2: in the run game. Chubb got sixteen carries. I'd expect

284
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Speaker 2: if he gets a similar workload to that, he's going

285
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Speaker 2: over fifty two and a half rushing yards. So Nick Chubb, Baby,

286
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Speaker 2: that's right.

287
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Speaker 1: By the way, if you put the Nick Chubb anytime

288
00:12:05,120 --> 00:12:07,760
Speaker 1: touchdown score with this over fifty six and a half,

289
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Speaker 1: you're getting two to one, And that sounds like a

290
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Speaker 1: good place to me. Like I I mean, Nick Chubb

291
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Speaker 1: getting in the end zone for this game, absolutely.

292
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Speaker 2: Nick, Nick Chubb, it just makes you so happy.

293
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Speaker 1: Look man, and I you know, I didn't discount it,

294
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Speaker 1: but the injury was so severe that I was concerned,

295
00:12:24,760 --> 00:12:27,280
Speaker 1: like even Nick Chubb and his greatness, can he come

296
00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:29,480
Speaker 1: back from that? And what I saw with some of

297
00:12:29,480 --> 00:12:30,920
Speaker 1: those cuts that he was making in some of those

298
00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:32,720
Speaker 1: movements and I'm like, well, that looks like Nick Chubb

299
00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:36,680
Speaker 1: to me. And as long as there's no residual soreness

300
00:12:36,760 --> 00:12:38,800
Speaker 1: or he's like not practicing or other issues like that,

301
00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:41,880
Speaker 1: you can't beat this guy's work ethic. You can't beat

302
00:12:41,920 --> 00:12:44,240
Speaker 1: this guy's heart. Like he's just one of those dudes.

303
00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:46,200
Speaker 1: And you know we saw when Andrew Peterson gave back

304
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Speaker 1: from d surgery, right, some of those special running backs.

305
00:12:49,800 --> 00:12:53,120
Speaker 1: Dereck Henry, special running back. You know he's thirty. Well, yeah,

306
00:12:53,160 --> 00:12:55,320
Speaker 1: we'll tell it to him now. Like it just some

307
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Speaker 1: guys are special.

308
00:12:56,200 --> 00:12:58,960
Speaker 2: I would never tell Derick Henry anything about his age

309
00:12:58,960 --> 00:13:00,000
Speaker 2: if I had to meet him in person.

310
00:13:00,280 --> 00:13:03,840
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry, you are handsome and wonderful at everything you do.

311
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Speaker 1: Let's get to the next one here. It's Jamar Chase

312
00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:10,360
Speaker 1: eighty three and a half receiving yards. And I want

313
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Speaker 1: to talk about this one for a second here because

314
00:13:12,880 --> 00:13:15,000
Speaker 1: t Higgins's health, whether he's on the field or not,

315
00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:17,360
Speaker 1: is a little questionable with that quad injury. Now, it's

316
00:13:17,400 --> 00:13:20,640
Speaker 1: funny because he had been going very well before this injury,

317
00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:22,080
Speaker 1: and all of a sudden, the injury popped up and

318
00:13:22,120 --> 00:13:23,880
Speaker 1: he was out of the game. Last week. This week

319
00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:25,920
Speaker 1: they get a matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders, and

320
00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:28,800
Speaker 1: again I'm not looking for receptions, I'm looking for yards.

321
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Speaker 1: I think a couple big catches from Chase can really

322
00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:32,960
Speaker 1: put this over the top if you're looking to it.

323
00:13:33,160 --> 00:13:35,640
Speaker 1: Where he's been the last couple of weeks, he's been

324
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Speaker 1: pretty quiet, Jamar Chase. I mean he has been under

325
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Speaker 1: one hundred. In fact, he's been under seventy five for

326
00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:44,520
Speaker 1: the last three weeks and under sixty for the last

327
00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:47,960
Speaker 1: two against Cleveland and against Philadelphia, matchups where he should

328
00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:50,800
Speaker 1: have smashed. I think you get home, you get right

329
00:13:50,840 --> 00:13:53,360
Speaker 1: here again, and you kind of regroup and say, look,

330
00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:55,360
Speaker 1: we just got to keep filtering the ball of this guy.

331
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Speaker 1: And you know, eleven targets last week, that's better the

332
00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:02,480
Speaker 1: is two weeks he only saw six, So just continue

333
00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:04,319
Speaker 1: to pepper and wit targets. I think it's gonna be

334
00:14:04,360 --> 00:14:07,120
Speaker 1: a good situation there against Las Vegas. I like the over.

335
00:14:07,240 --> 00:14:09,480
Speaker 1: I know it's a big number eighty three and a half,

336
00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:11,600
Speaker 1: but I still think this is a good one. And

337
00:14:11,640 --> 00:14:13,120
Speaker 1: then if you get the news or Higgins is out

338
00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:15,200
Speaker 1: and you bet this early, then I think you're in

339
00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:17,920
Speaker 1: a really good spot potentially for this So Andrew.

340
00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:21,240
Speaker 2: Sorry, do you like it more with Higgins not playing

341
00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:24,240
Speaker 2: or playing? Because because I think I like it more

342
00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:28,440
Speaker 2: of Higgins plays because I really feel like Chase. When

343
00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:32,280
Speaker 2: Higgins plays.

344
00:14:30,800 --> 00:14:34,280
Speaker 1: Well, that would uh well, he did have the touchdown

345
00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:37,480
Speaker 1: last week, so that is good when Higgins was out

346
00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:39,160
Speaker 1: of that game. But when Higgins was starting to play

347
00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:42,200
Speaker 1: better in the two weeks prior, those are the two

348
00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:44,120
Speaker 1: weeks he went under one hundred if you go back

349
00:14:44,160 --> 00:14:47,440
Speaker 1: three weeks before that when he was against Baltimore or

350
00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:50,920
Speaker 1: Higgins was still kind of you know, but together though,

351
00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:51,560
Speaker 1: because what.

352
00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:54,840
Speaker 2: Weeks weeks one and two, right did Chase went under

353
00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:56,720
Speaker 2: this number both times because Higgins was inactive.

354
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Speaker 1: So I think if Higgins is active, it's still good.

355
00:15:00,600 --> 00:15:02,080
Speaker 2: I think it's better. I think it's better.

356
00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:04,680
Speaker 1: I also think I want to lock it in regardless

357
00:15:04,720 --> 00:15:06,520
Speaker 1: now because if Higgins is out, it could move to

358
00:15:06,560 --> 00:15:08,880
Speaker 1: eighty five or eighty six or something like that, because

359
00:15:08,920 --> 00:15:11,640
Speaker 1: I think people might maybe think too much of Chase.

360
00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:13,520
Speaker 1: So either way, I want to lock it in now

361
00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:14,880
Speaker 1: because I think is a good number. But you do

362
00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:16,400
Speaker 1: bring up a great point there, and that's something to

363
00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:20,280
Speaker 1: think about. Let's think about Rico Dawdle for a second here, please,

364
00:15:21,040 --> 00:15:23,320
Speaker 1: because he did not show up last week, much to

365
00:15:23,360 --> 00:15:25,560
Speaker 1: the chagrin of the Dallas Cowboys and everybody else. The

366
00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:28,640
Speaker 1: Cowboys ruined my upset special a leade at halftime. They

367
00:15:28,680 --> 00:15:31,360
Speaker 1: find ways to lose every single week. It's unbelievable. So

368
00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:33,080
Speaker 1: Rico Dawdell this week, what do you think of his

369
00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:34,800
Speaker 1: eighteen and a half receiving yards.

370
00:15:34,840 --> 00:15:37,280
Speaker 2: See, we know that Trell was right about the Cowboys

371
00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:39,800
Speaker 2: fading them last week. But if I had the fact

372
00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:42,000
Speaker 2: that Rico dall was going to be an act, I

373
00:15:42,000 --> 00:15:45,200
Speaker 2: I would have jumped off the Cowboys right away. That

374
00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:48,960
Speaker 2: being said, I'm kidding, of course, I think Rico gets

375
00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:51,320
Speaker 2: the full workload in this matchup. I think that Dallas

376
00:15:51,360 --> 00:15:54,400
Speaker 2: has seen what Dalvin Cook and Zekeella can do, and

377
00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:57,480
Speaker 2: it's dust. They can't do anything, they can't move. And

378
00:15:57,520 --> 00:15:59,480
Speaker 2: what Rico Dalla has done this season, even in a

379
00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:03,080
Speaker 2: kind of consistent role, he's been involved as a receiver,

380
00:16:03,760 --> 00:16:05,720
Speaker 2: and he's at least eighteen and a half receiving yards

381
00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:07,400
Speaker 2: in four of his last five games. And that's my

382
00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:09,280
Speaker 2: prop here. By the way, Ton announced it, Rico daddle

383
00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:11,760
Speaker 2: over eighteen and a half receiving yards, so he's over

384
00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:14,320
Speaker 2: that number in four of his last five games. All

385
00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:16,040
Speaker 2: but two running backs at the Falcons have faced the

386
00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:19,000
Speaker 2: season have yet to exceed their receiving yards prop. So

387
00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:22,080
Speaker 2: it's funny because before the Sunday Night game, I actually

388
00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:24,600
Speaker 2: bet the over on Dalvin Cook's receiving yards prop because

389
00:16:24,720 --> 00:16:26,720
Speaker 2: of what I thought about with Rico Daddle. He's like, oh,

390
00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:28,400
Speaker 2: well if Dalvin and he caught one pass for ten

391
00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:30,600
Speaker 2: yards and it hit and I felt great about it.

392
00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:33,760
Speaker 2: So going back to betting Dallas Cowboys overs and the

393
00:16:33,840 --> 00:16:37,800
Speaker 2: receiving yards props. Ric o'dowdell again. He's healthy, he's not

394
00:16:37,840 --> 00:16:39,600
Speaker 2: on the injury report, so he should be good to go,

395
00:16:39,640 --> 00:16:40,880
Speaker 2: and I expect him to get the full work with

396
00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:43,080
Speaker 2: Mike McCarthy was talking him up as being the featured

397
00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:44,680
Speaker 2: running back, and I think that he wanted to play,

398
00:16:44,680 --> 00:16:46,720
Speaker 2: but the doctor said, no, you have a temperature of

399
00:16:46,760 --> 00:16:48,400
Speaker 2: one hundred and two. You can't go out there. We

400
00:16:48,440 --> 00:16:51,480
Speaker 2: can't risk losing you, et cetera. So I'm gonna go

401
00:16:51,520 --> 00:16:53,800
Speaker 2: back to Rico Dawdle in a good matchup against the Falcons.

402
00:16:54,120 --> 00:16:57,000
Speaker 1: Can't risk losing him. We could just keep risking losing

403
00:16:57,040 --> 00:17:00,160
Speaker 1: games though. That's where he could keep risking. All of

404
00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:02,320
Speaker 1: the Cowboys. I think I'm semi retired from them this

405
00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:04,960
Speaker 1: year too. They although I was right about one thing,

406
00:17:05,040 --> 00:17:07,320
Speaker 1: Just get seedy, I say, just get see Lamb the

407
00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:09,040
Speaker 1: ball one hundred times. Just do it. I don't care

408
00:17:09,080 --> 00:17:11,200
Speaker 1: how ridiculous, Just keep.

409
00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:14,240
Speaker 2: Getting him garbage time touchdowns. Was they were mounting that

410
00:17:14,359 --> 00:17:18,359
Speaker 2: hound back? Oh chef, God, you're so ridiculous.

411
00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:20,080
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the last ones we have,

412
00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:22,240
Speaker 1: and then we'll talk about some touchdown scorers that we

413
00:17:22,320 --> 00:17:24,879
Speaker 1: have as well. Christ O Lave fifty nine and a

414
00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:27,280
Speaker 1: half receiving yards. He's like the only showing down right now.

415
00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:30,399
Speaker 1: And again it's the Carolina Panthers, So I'm not betting

416
00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:33,560
Speaker 1: the receptions because if they get up early, right, you

417
00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:36,480
Speaker 1: were gonna see them dial back in the second half

418
00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:38,840
Speaker 1: and just kind of manage the game and manage Car's health.

419
00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:41,560
Speaker 1: But getting up early you means scoring points at some point,

420
00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:43,919
Speaker 1: which means maybe some big plays from Chrystal Lave. I

421
00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:46,200
Speaker 1: love that anytime touchdown scorer prop for chrysal O Lave

422
00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:49,080
Speaker 1: this week, and I also love this number two. Anything

423
00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:53,280
Speaker 1: against those guys. So I'm bookending my Alvin Kamara pick

424
00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:55,359
Speaker 1: with the chrys O Lave pick. Fifteen to nine and

425
00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:58,120
Speaker 1: a half receiving yards. It's a very reasonable number. Two.

426
00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:01,600
Speaker 1: We're not in the sixty five seventy range. We are

427
00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:05,119
Speaker 1: under sixty. I think we can get there. And again,

428
00:18:05,200 --> 00:18:07,640
Speaker 1: I think that Derek Carr being back changes the whole

429
00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:10,520
Speaker 1: dynamic of this team. Derek Carr returning from injuries, that's

430
00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:12,919
Speaker 1: that's what we always like to see the most. So

431
00:18:12,960 --> 00:18:14,800
Speaker 1: get him back in your fantasy lineups, and also get

432
00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:17,600
Speaker 1: chrys O Lava back in there too, because Olave certainly

433
00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:19,840
Speaker 1: has a great matchup here against the Carolina Panther team

434
00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:23,000
Speaker 1: that has quit. It's over, it's done. Stick a FOURK

435
00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:27,000
Speaker 1: in them. Ericson, Let's go back to that game between

436
00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:29,600
Speaker 1: the Las Vegas Raiders and the Cincinnati Bengals, because you

437
00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:31,080
Speaker 1: got one more thing to say about that one.

438
00:18:31,160 --> 00:18:33,399
Speaker 2: Yes, I'm looking at Jacoby Myers over four and a

439
00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:35,399
Speaker 2: half reception. So he has at least four and a

440
00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:37,880
Speaker 2: half catches in four straight games the season, and they're

441
00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:40,920
Speaker 2: all games after the team moved on from Defonte Adams.

442
00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:45,040
Speaker 2: So Myers is kind of operating in a pseudo alpha role. Again,

443
00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:47,399
Speaker 2: brock Bowers is still the number one receiver on that team,

444
00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:50,359
Speaker 2: but I think that's good in this specific matchup. Last week,

445
00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:53,080
Speaker 2: I was on the over for DeVante Smith because the

446
00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:56,720
Speaker 2: Bengals defense is the worst defense against number two wide receivers.

447
00:18:56,960 --> 00:18:59,240
Speaker 2: So if Jacoby Myers is operating as that number two

448
00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:01,920
Speaker 2: pass catcher in offense with brock Buers being the number one,

449
00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:04,560
Speaker 2: I think they just continue to get Pepper with targets

450
00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:06,720
Speaker 2: like he's done. Just one of the most underrated wide

451
00:19:06,760 --> 00:19:09,040
Speaker 2: receivers I think in the NFL. And to this day,

452
00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:11,800
Speaker 2: I'm just so disappointed by my Patriots for letting him

453
00:19:11,840 --> 00:19:14,679
Speaker 2: walk for Juju Smith Schuster of all people, and I

454
00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:17,040
Speaker 2: wish I hadn't thought, oh, well, this is more of

455
00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:19,280
Speaker 2: a neutral move. I don't. I don't hate this move

456
00:19:19,320 --> 00:19:22,280
Speaker 2: when I initially when it initially happened, and I mean,

457
00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:24,760
Speaker 2: in hindsight, oh my god, it's such a horrible take.

458
00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:26,719
Speaker 2: And by the Patriots to let a guy that they

459
00:19:26,800 --> 00:19:28,960
Speaker 2: drafted I think it was a undrafted free agent or

460
00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:31,159
Speaker 2: a seventh round pick and develop him. He was a

461
00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:31,880
Speaker 2: Patriots side.

462
00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:34,640
Speaker 1: I got a look, I mean curious.

463
00:19:34,359 --> 00:19:35,920
Speaker 2: Well was the it was the same year they drafted

464
00:19:35,920 --> 00:19:38,560
Speaker 2: to kill Harry and uh yeah, they got to Chhobe.

465
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:39,520
Speaker 1: Myers and that worked out well.

466
00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:42,800
Speaker 2: Well if they had just kept Myers. If my if

467
00:19:42,880 --> 00:19:45,080
Speaker 2: nik kill Harry had turned it into to turn into

468
00:19:45,160 --> 00:19:47,280
Speaker 2: Jacoby Myers, we'd be like, all right, that's fine whatever.

469
00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:50,240
Speaker 2: So uh but yeah, I'm going to try to cut

470
00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:52,880
Speaker 2: my losses here, make up for my losses with Jacoby

471
00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:55,080
Speaker 2: and the Patriots and bet on his over interceptions this

472
00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:56,600
Speaker 2: week against the Cincinnati Bengals.

473
00:19:57,400 --> 00:20:00,119
Speaker 1: I'm trying to look and see you like, undraft to

474
00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:02,760
Speaker 1: free agent in twenty nineteen, there you go, it was wow,

475
00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:06,399
Speaker 1: look at that. Yeah, the track record of the Nikhil

476
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:07,720
Speaker 1: harry Is and Taekwana Thornton.

477
00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:11,760
Speaker 2: You can't you can't trust any any Patriots retever. They

478
00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:13,800
Speaker 2: draft inside the top two rounds, but the guys they

479
00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:16,480
Speaker 2: take from round six on are Oh baby, we got

480
00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:19,120
Speaker 2: Douglas Popps a little bit Edelman was a seventh round

481
00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:19,640
Speaker 2: draft pick.

482
00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:22,520
Speaker 1: You really get Booty? Where Khan Budi Goo he was

483
00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:28,360
Speaker 1: a sixth round draft pick? Was he six? Oh? God? Seriously?

484
00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:31,200
Speaker 1: Like they are so bad at that? Alright, So Myers, Yeah,

485
00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:32,880
Speaker 1: I agree with all the sentiments there in the four

486
00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:34,920
Speaker 1: and a half makes a ton of sense. I've got

487
00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:36,560
Speaker 1: more on that game in just a second.

488
00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:36,760
Speaker 2: Two.

489
00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:40,040
Speaker 1: But before we get to that, talking about touchdowns, touchdown

490
00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:43,440
Speaker 1: score Report at bettingpros dot com slash touchdown is available,

491
00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:45,600
Speaker 1: So if you're looking for an edge this week to

492
00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:49,040
Speaker 1: bet some touchdowns, use our touchdown score report because it

493
00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:52,840
Speaker 1: compares anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds and projections

494
00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:55,480
Speaker 1: to help identify the best anytime touchdown bets that you

495
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,440
Speaker 1: can find anywhere across the planet. It's ahead to bettingpros

496
00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:02,560
Speaker 1: dot com slash touchdown today for the latest touchdown prop analysis.

497
00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,359
Speaker 1: All right, going back to that Raiders game, give me

498
00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:08,400
Speaker 1: brock Bowers to score a touchdown plus two twenty. Let's

499
00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:11,800
Speaker 1: go getting two to one money on him. I love

500
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:15,200
Speaker 1: it the volume Zeration, Raider Nation, let's go. I'm where

501
00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:17,800
Speaker 1: like I'm representing you today. Come on, Rader Nation, don't

502
00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:19,639
Speaker 1: let me down. I haven't said I retired from you

503
00:21:19,840 --> 00:21:22,879
Speaker 1: yet yet. All right, And the other thing I like

504
00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:24,760
Speaker 1: a lot too, Now that Joe Flacco is back in down,

505
00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:27,800
Speaker 1: I might bet both of them or just one of them,

506
00:21:28,040 --> 00:21:31,200
Speaker 1: but I think both are extremely viable this week. Josh

507
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:34,400
Speaker 1: Downs and Michael Pittman are both plus one seventy five

508
00:21:34,480 --> 00:21:37,439
Speaker 1: to score this week, so I think you could get both.

509
00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:40,720
Speaker 1: I think you're certainly gonna get one, and I think

510
00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:43,080
Speaker 1: that they are worth going in there. And again, the

511
00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:46,040
Speaker 1: big arm of Joe Flacco and the reckless abandon of

512
00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:48,560
Speaker 1: throwing the football is something that I think you're going

513
00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:53,480
Speaker 1: to see against that Minnesota Vikings defense. Joe Flacco understands blitzes.

514
00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:55,600
Speaker 1: Joe Flacco is gonna sit in the pocket and deliver

515
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:59,040
Speaker 1: some balls. And I think Pittman downs in particular are

516
00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:01,680
Speaker 1: two ways you're gonna see score potentially, if not both.

517
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:03,719
Speaker 1: And that's a pretty good numbergain almost getting two to

518
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:05,000
Speaker 1: one on those two Colts receivers.

519
00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:08,040
Speaker 2: Andrew Yeah, I looked earlier. I had Josh Downs at

520
00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:10,879
Speaker 2: plus two fifty's that's what I was seeing, so maybe.

521
00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:13,280
Speaker 1: Well it's trimmed down on FD at least, so I

522
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:15,240
Speaker 1: don't know where the other spots are. Well, I'm just

523
00:22:15,280 --> 00:22:17,280
Speaker 1: saying if it's two fifty, slam it.

524
00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:20,520
Speaker 2: Yes, yes, Josh, this is Josh Downs week and if

525
00:22:20,520 --> 00:22:23,040
Speaker 2: he if he fails, then the fantasy managers are gonna

526
00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:25,080
Speaker 2: be very sad because we're ranking Josh Down's a top

527
00:22:25,080 --> 00:22:28,160
Speaker 2: twenty receiver in ECR. We are buying the Joe Flacco's

528
00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:31,080
Speaker 2: gonna rejuvenate this entire cults passing game and Josh Downs

529
00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:33,120
Speaker 2: We're all gonna be watching because it's Sunday night football.

530
00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:35,480
Speaker 2: And yeah, so Josh Downs is gonna find the endze.

531
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:38,159
Speaker 2: He should have score twice last week, and he looked

532
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:40,080
Speaker 2: great on that second catch. He just he rolled down

533
00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:41,840
Speaker 2: at the one yard line and then so I'm going

534
00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:43,880
Speaker 2: off the board a little bit here with my second touchdown.

535
00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:48,399
Speaker 2: Adam Troutman like the Broncos. Here again for those aren't familiar,

536
00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 2: Adam Troutman is a tight end for the Denver Broncos.

537
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:54,399
Speaker 1: I almost I was looking at this one, so I

538
00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:57,119
Speaker 1: actually love this. I was looking at this and I

539
00:22:57,200 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 1: was like, am I getting too? It was like and

540
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:03,080
Speaker 1: then I saw that you picked it? And now I

541
00:23:03,080 --> 00:23:03,720
Speaker 1: want to bet it.

542
00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:06,000
Speaker 2: Yes, because of the Ravens are one of the worst

543
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,880
Speaker 2: teams against tight ends this season, the most receiving yards

544
00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:11,280
Speaker 2: allowed to tight ends and they've only allowed one touchdown

545
00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:12,880
Speaker 2: two tight ends and it was last week to David

546
00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:16,520
Speaker 2: and Joku. So again looking for potential progression. Adam Troutman

547
00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:20,399
Speaker 2: scored last week two red zone targets. Look, if we

548
00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:22,159
Speaker 2: know that Bonnicks isn't they're not gonna be able to

549
00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:23,960
Speaker 2: run the ball into the end zone. So Bonix is

550
00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:26,480
Speaker 2: throwing it, then I think Adam Troutman could score for

551
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:28,560
Speaker 2: the second week in a row. So Adam Troutman at

552
00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:32,399
Speaker 2: plus seven point fifty to scoring any time touchdown, sign

553
00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:32,920
Speaker 2: me up, Joe.

554
00:23:33,520 --> 00:23:36,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, A Dulsae in the doghouse. And I saw that

555
00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:38,880
Speaker 1: same thing I was looking against, you know, guys who

556
00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:41,639
Speaker 1: were bad against you know, the teams are bad against

557
00:23:41,640 --> 00:23:43,199
Speaker 1: tight ends. And I was like, oh man, this is

558
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:45,160
Speaker 1: this is all shaping up to be a very Adam

559
00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:47,800
Speaker 1: Troutman kind of thing. I can't do it. I can't stop.

560
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:51,000
Speaker 1: But maybe we found Donald Parham.

561
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:52,400
Speaker 2: We found him.

562
00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:55,280
Speaker 1: This year's Donald parrm. There you go. What's it for

563
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:57,399
Speaker 1: first time touchdown? That's the real question.

564
00:23:57,760 --> 00:24:01,639
Speaker 2: Plus four thousand, I would say, we're insha let's go.

565
00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:04,640
Speaker 1: So there you have it, everybody. Those are the touchdown

566
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:06,399
Speaker 1: calls and the prop best for the week. What are

567
00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,000
Speaker 1: you in on? I want to hear from you. Drop

568
00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:10,919
Speaker 1: your comments below in the YouTube channel. Don't forget to

569
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:12,959
Speaker 1: subscribe to our Betting Pros YouTube channel too, and ring

570
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,800
Speaker 1: the bell. Take those thing for notifications while you're at it,

571
00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 1: and also subscribe to the podcast wherever you get your

572
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,600
Speaker 1: pods and download the BP app, use the prop bet

573
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:23,680
Speaker 1: cheat sheet, use the betting tools that we have at VP.

574
00:24:23,840 --> 00:24:26,320
Speaker 1: They are the best by far, and if you haven't

575
00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 1: checked it out, now is the time. We're gonna be

576
00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:31,199
Speaker 1: red hot from now on all the way through the

577
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:33,960
Speaker 1: Super Bowl, So we want you on this betting journey

578
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:35,880
Speaker 1: with us. Here for NFL. That'll do it for us,

579
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:38,280
Speaker 1: but the story of the game goes on for Andrew ericson.

580
00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:41,680
Speaker 1: I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time, kids, Adam

581
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:42,520
Speaker 1: tropping to the moon.

582
00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:45,639
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

583
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,040
Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

584
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:51,480
Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

585
00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:54,399
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586
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:58,159
Speaker 3: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

587
00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:00,679
Speaker 3: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros