1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. 2 00:00:07,840 --> 00:00:10,920 Speaker 2: Well, I love what Majority Leader John Thune said. It's 3 00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:13,480 Speaker 2: clear as mud in terms of the sequencing. But the 4 00:00:13,520 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 2: priorities are clear for President elect Trump in order to 5 00:00:16,720 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 2: get as a gender through and we're going to talk 6 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 2: about that right now with former Speaker of the House 7 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:23,640 Speaker 2: Kevin McCarthy. You know how challenging it is its slim 8 00:00:23,680 --> 00:00:25,920 Speaker 2: majorities to get anything done in Congress. 9 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:27,280 Speaker 3: What's your advice to President Trump? 10 00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 2: Does he go for this one big, beautiful bill or 11 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:31,160 Speaker 2: does he lean on the Senate who wants to see 12 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:32,159 Speaker 2: a two track approach. 13 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:34,199 Speaker 1: I think one bill is the right answer, and this 14 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:35,559 Speaker 1: is why you've got to understand for you. 15 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:39,560 Speaker 3: But is it big? Well, this is the point. It's different. Okay, 16 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:40,000 Speaker 3: this is the. 17 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 1: First time in modern history the majority in the Senate 18 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:46,920 Speaker 1: is larger than the House. So the Senate's going to 19 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:49,599 Speaker 1: have a different view. They've got fifty three, but they 20 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 1: really have fifty four. By having the Vice president. The 21 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:55,200 Speaker 1: House is and has a smaller majority than it had 22 00:00:55,240 --> 00:00:56,040 Speaker 1: in the last Congress. 23 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 3: They lost seats why everybody else won? 24 00:00:58,280 --> 00:01:01,200 Speaker 1: Plus come January twentieth, they're going to lose two more 25 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:04,240 Speaker 1: members for a time period. Those two Florida seats won't 26 00:01:04,240 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 1: get filled till April first, and then the New York 27 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 1: seat won't get filled to after that. So you can't 28 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 1: take that many bites of the apple. And remember for 29 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:16,039 Speaker 1: your viewers why you're doing reconciliation. It's a special provision 30 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 1: that allows you, if your party controls the scent in 31 00:01:18,400 --> 00:01:21,319 Speaker 1: the House, to pass in the Senate without sixty votes. 32 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:23,920 Speaker 1: But you can't write a perfect bill. So this is 33 00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:26,800 Speaker 1: how the Democrats did Obama carrots, how we did tax reform. 34 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:28,120 Speaker 3: You've got tax reform. 35 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:29,839 Speaker 1: You have to get done by the end of the year, 36 00:01:30,240 --> 00:01:32,360 Speaker 1: otherwise your taxes all go up. 37 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:33,800 Speaker 3: So the pressure is on you. 38 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 1: If you make the bill too big and too beautiful, 39 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:40,920 Speaker 1: most in history, it collapses upon itself because it's too big. 40 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:45,200 Speaker 1: The reason why they're looking at two different bills. They 41 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:48,560 Speaker 1: need money now for the border, but I believe the 42 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 1: border is a disaster. Declare it a disaster. Pull money 43 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 1: from the disaster fund. You're going to be putting more 44 00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:57,360 Speaker 1: in for californiawards, and let you do the border right 45 00:01:57,400 --> 00:02:00,360 Speaker 1: now because tax will take a little longer. The other 46 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:03,840 Speaker 1: problem they have, though, is they made a mistake they 47 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:06,600 Speaker 1: never finished the funding from last year, and this is 48 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:09,679 Speaker 1: a disadvantage for Trump. They hurt Trump by making him 49 00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 1: worry about last year's funding now, which is due in March. 50 00:02:12,919 --> 00:02:14,280 Speaker 3: Is that a fault of Speaker Johnson? 51 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 1: I don't know whose fault it is, but they should 52 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 1: have got the job done okay, and they should have 53 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:20,160 Speaker 1: done the debt ceiling already. 54 00:02:20,320 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 3: So these are two. 55 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 1: Provisions that the Democrats could use to an advantage and 56 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 1: slow down your agenda. So the first thing I would do, 57 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:30,520 Speaker 1: you still have time now finish the funding from last 58 00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 1: year and take care of the debt ceiling, so President 59 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:36,639 Speaker 1: Trump could have the honeymoon or the agenda he wants 60 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:40,079 Speaker 1: to start putting forward. Because we're now in they got 61 00:02:40,120 --> 00:02:43,079 Speaker 1: to confirm in the Senate the new cabinet. He's got 62 00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:45,200 Speaker 1: to get his people in line to start working. But 63 00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:48,679 Speaker 1: President Trump knows this job already. He knows he's got 64 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:50,880 Speaker 1: four years. He's not going to waste one moment. He'll 65 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 1: do tremendous on the executive orders, but he needs the 66 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:56,200 Speaker 1: legislative body to catch up to him. 67 00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 2: Who's going to be that moderating voice to make sure 68 00:02:58,880 --> 00:03:01,799 Speaker 2: that it's not too big, so that it doesn't actually collapse. 69 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:05,079 Speaker 1: Well, it's what I love. It's the free market. It's 70 00:03:05,080 --> 00:03:06,200 Speaker 1: a natural that you'll see. 71 00:03:06,280 --> 00:03:07,640 Speaker 3: So you think it's this bond market. 72 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 2: We've seen yields go up, people start to help. That's 73 00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:12,680 Speaker 2: going to be on the debt financial discipline? Do you 74 00:03:12,680 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 2: think the bond market is? Do you have does Congress 75 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:17,640 Speaker 2: have room to spend as much as Trump's rhetoric is 76 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:18,520 Speaker 2: talking about. 77 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:21,200 Speaker 1: Well the problem Trump's just now coming in. It's like 78 00:03:21,240 --> 00:03:24,079 Speaker 1: I'm taking over a company, and remember what the debt 79 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:24,640 Speaker 1: ceiling is. 80 00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:26,440 Speaker 3: You've got to give him leeway. 81 00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 1: So all it says is paying the debt that the 82 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 1: last people had spent. But the debt ceiling doesn't solve 83 00:03:31,880 --> 00:03:32,640 Speaker 1: all these problems. 84 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:33,320 Speaker 3: The market right. 85 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:35,960 Speaker 2: Now is pricing in his future plans and spending. 86 00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:39,440 Speaker 3: Will that be the moderating We're not counting in Doze? Okay? 87 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:41,600 Speaker 3: And what I look to doze. 88 00:03:41,600 --> 00:03:44,040 Speaker 1: I think this is good because it gives people the opportunity. 89 00:03:44,280 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 1: But the way to handle this, and I tried to 90 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:48,880 Speaker 1: get Biden to go for this. In nineteen eighty nine, 91 00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:52,480 Speaker 1: the Soviet Union collapsed, so we need to reform our 92 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:55,520 Speaker 1: military all designed to fight the Soviet Union. But what 93 00:03:55,600 --> 00:03:57,480 Speaker 1: member was going to raise their hand and said close 94 00:03:57,520 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 1: my military base. Nobody, but you need to created a commission. 95 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 1: But this was the important part. 96 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 3: You had teeth to it. If they got their work. 97 00:04:05,720 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 1: Done, it got to vote in the House and the 98 00:04:07,320 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 1: Senate with no amendments and long and beholded pass. 99 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 3: They need to do something like that for Doge. 100 00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:14,440 Speaker 1: When Doge gets their work done, let them vote in 101 00:04:14,480 --> 00:04:17,240 Speaker 1: the House and the Senate with no amendments, and you'll 102 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:19,039 Speaker 1: know whether you can get it. I think one of 103 00:04:19,040 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 1: our greatest threat is our debt. Okay, but we've got 104 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:24,279 Speaker 1: to do a lot of things going forward. The debt 105 00:04:24,320 --> 00:04:26,279 Speaker 1: ceiling is not a part of that. You should take 106 00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 1: that out of the way. Let the president be able 107 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:30,400 Speaker 1: to govern do the job that has to be done. 108 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:34,240 Speaker 2: Are you feeling that this can potentially be done though 109 00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 2: in April? What Speaker Johnson's talking about all of this spending, 110 00:04:38,120 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 2: reconciliation and a disaster. 111 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:43,080 Speaker 1: Well, I think it's hard to say by April first, 112 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 1: because you haven't put every vote matters. I'd wait to 113 00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:50,000 Speaker 1: the Florida seats because that's two more seats. You can't 114 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:54,280 Speaker 1: get tax done that fast because remember tax, they're going 115 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:56,480 Speaker 1: to do something about salt. They're going to do something 116 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:59,039 Speaker 1: about tax on tips. That costs money, so how are 117 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:00,720 Speaker 1: you going to pay for it? But you've got to 118 00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:02,800 Speaker 1: start working on the border. So take that money from 119 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:05,200 Speaker 1: disaster and do the executive orders. 120 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:06,039 Speaker 3: Get that done. 121 00:05:06,279 --> 00:05:08,800 Speaker 1: You want to do something on energy, but if you 122 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 1: put the debt ceiling to reconciliation. 123 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 2: Which is what people are talking about, that won't work. 124 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:18,000 Speaker 1: And this is why because there are members in the 125 00:05:18,080 --> 00:05:20,320 Speaker 1: Republent Party that will never vote for it, and you 126 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:21,599 Speaker 1: have no votes to see. 127 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 2: House Freedom Caucus. Yeah, so you should wins that fight 128 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 2: Trump or the House Freedom Caucus. 129 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:28,640 Speaker 3: Well, no, Trump will always win. 130 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 1: House Freedom Caucus loses from that perspective because the House 131 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 1: Freedom Caucus is in saying to the American public, your taxes. 132 00:05:34,880 --> 00:05:35,680 Speaker 3: Are going to go up. 133 00:05:36,000 --> 00:05:38,040 Speaker 1: And you know a lot of you've watched in the 134 00:05:38,040 --> 00:05:41,160 Speaker 1: House Freedom Caucus. Their former chairman was anti Trump. They 135 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 1: have anti Trump people in that caucus and it's unfortunate. 136 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:46,680 Speaker 3: So nobody can fight here. 137 00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:49,840 Speaker 1: They've got to focus on priorities, but they got to 138 00:05:49,839 --> 00:05:51,839 Speaker 1: focus on the policy. You're not going to get it 139 00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 1: one hundred percent right, but government isn't designed. 140 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 2: That way right. 141 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 3: You've got to have combat because you've got to deal 142 00:05:55,960 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 3: with the Senate. But you will get this done. It's 143 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 3: in the sequencing of how you do it. I also 144 00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 3: want to ask you. 145 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:03,600 Speaker 2: You mentioned California the disaster at the top. How do 146 00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:06,080 Speaker 2: you think Trump is going to deal with when he's 147 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 2: inaugurated and the incoming tragedy devastating fires that are apocalyptic, 148 00:06:12,200 --> 00:06:14,960 Speaker 2: people not having their homes, not having enough water, not 149 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:17,599 Speaker 2: having enough firefighters. How is he going to work with 150 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 2: Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom to solve this new vice. 151 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:21,680 Speaker 3: There's a third point too. 152 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:24,919 Speaker 1: A lot of these families lost their insurance in the 153 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:29,000 Speaker 1: last six months because of Gavin Newsom's anability to deal 154 00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:31,919 Speaker 1: with this problem. You know, insurance companies wanted to raise rates, 155 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:34,800 Speaker 1: They wanted to be able to make sure they can 156 00:06:34,839 --> 00:06:38,599 Speaker 1: afford to insure. When he wouldn't focus on that issue, 157 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 1: they have left the state. My mother lost her homeowner 158 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:47,600 Speaker 1: insurance from Geico and she had no claims because California 159 00:06:47,640 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 1: was uninsurable and they ignored the problem. 160 00:06:50,200 --> 00:06:51,360 Speaker 3: He gallivanted around. 161 00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:54,440 Speaker 1: You know the saddest part about all of this, We've 162 00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:58,000 Speaker 1: had these fires before I went out to California, with 163 00:06:58,080 --> 00:07:02,839 Speaker 1: then President Trump. November seventeen, two thousand and eighteen. We 164 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:06,600 Speaker 1: just had Paradise where eighty five people died, and we 165 00:07:06,640 --> 00:07:09,479 Speaker 1: toured that with Gavin Newsom, who had been elected governor 166 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:11,760 Speaker 1: not sworn in in Jerry Brown, and then we flew. 167 00:07:11,520 --> 00:07:13,800 Speaker 3: Down to Malibu that had a fire as well. 168 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:17,840 Speaker 1: I was in the meeting walking these places where President 169 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:20,800 Speaker 1: Trump is saying, you got to take the fuel away. Yeah, 170 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:22,600 Speaker 1: you're going to get a fire when there's wind to 171 00:07:22,680 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 1: push it, but if it doesn't have fuel, it can't 172 00:07:25,360 --> 00:07:28,040 Speaker 1: keep growing. The other problem too, is had you worked 173 00:07:28,080 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 1: on the evacuation ahead of time, instead of these cars 174 00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:33,440 Speaker 1: getting stopped in people, that's what happened in Paradise. What 175 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:36,920 Speaker 1: about the infrastructure. You can't go to a fire hydrant 176 00:07:37,040 --> 00:07:40,040 Speaker 1: and not have water. And President Trump worked on providing 177 00:07:40,040 --> 00:07:41,800 Speaker 1: the water further and you know who fought him. 178 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:43,000 Speaker 3: On it, Gavin Newsom. 179 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 2: But looking ahead, Trump is going to come in and 180 00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 2: want to make sure that California gets the money they need. 181 00:07:47,480 --> 00:07:50,000 Speaker 1: I think you're going to see Trump will be there 182 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 1: for California. But what Trump's going to do too is 183 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 1: you can't keep repeating the same mistake. I think you're 184 00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 1: going to see executive orders pretty early about the water Again. 185 00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:01,760 Speaker 1: The President Trump did that lab time. Had Gavin followed through, 186 00:08:01,840 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 1: we would have had water. President Trump was very serious 187 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:08,280 Speaker 1: about making sure taking out that fuel, protecting it, managing 188 00:08:08,360 --> 00:08:09,320 Speaker 1: it so you won't have that. 189 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:11,840 Speaker 3: You're going to see him double down even harder on this. 190 00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 1: But California, the state, they've got to change their behavior, 191 00:08:16,560 --> 00:08:19,000 Speaker 1: and I think what President Trump will do is put 192 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 1: the mechanism is where Gavin cannot make this mistake again. 193 00:08:22,360 --> 00:08:24,560 Speaker 2: Since you left Congress, I know you've been focused on AI. 194 00:08:24,600 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 2: I want you to want to end on this, but 195 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 2: you've also become an informal advisor to President LEC. 196 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:29,160 Speaker 3: Trump. 197 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:31,400 Speaker 2: You were at mar A Lago just last week. Do 198 00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:34,000 Speaker 2: you see yourself going into government or do you like 199 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:35,600 Speaker 2: being that call on the outside? 200 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:36,920 Speaker 3: I serve for a long time. 201 00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 1: I want to utilize the knowledge I have from being 202 00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 1: speaker and everything else, and also on the outside that 203 00:08:44,360 --> 00:08:46,679 Speaker 1: Congress starts looking at the issues in the next fifty 204 00:08:46,760 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 1: sixty years. I mean, if Congress is looking back to 205 00:08:49,240 --> 00:08:52,240 Speaker 1: do the funding from last year, we're losing the battle 206 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:55,680 Speaker 1: for the next century. And I firmly believe whoever captures 207 00:08:55,720 --> 00:08:57,960 Speaker 1: AI and quantum. So these are all the issues I 208 00:08:57,960 --> 00:08:59,839 Speaker 1: worked on while I was Speaker. You know, I went 209 00:08:59,840 --> 00:09:03,240 Speaker 1: to MIT, which teaches a course to all the generals 210 00:09:03,240 --> 00:09:05,400 Speaker 1: in our military, four years ago, having to develop a 211 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:07,560 Speaker 1: course to teach it to all of our members of Congress. 212 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:12,520 Speaker 1: The China Select Committee, right, the AI committee. So whoever 213 00:09:12,600 --> 00:09:15,640 Speaker 1: captures AI and quantum has the advantage. But if you 214 00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:17,760 Speaker 1: want to capture AI and quantum, you've got to get 215 00:09:17,760 --> 00:09:20,680 Speaker 1: the energy policy right, otherwise you'll never have a data center. 216 00:09:20,760 --> 00:09:23,079 Speaker 1: So what I'm doing at the Alpha Institute is literally 217 00:09:23,200 --> 00:09:27,360 Speaker 1: just policy showing a roadmap for the policy makers to 218 00:09:27,480 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 1: solve those problems. 219 00:09:28,840 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 3: Just continue what I did. 220 00:09:30,559 --> 00:09:33,199 Speaker 1: Why I was working there to help the policy makers 221 00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 1: and America succeed and be successful. 222 00:09:35,440 --> 00:09:37,280 Speaker 2: Former Speaker of the House, Kevin McCarthy, thank you so 223 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 2: much for your time