1 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:14,320 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast. 2 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 1: I'm Tracy Alloway. My co host Joe Wisenthal. Is a 3 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,440 Speaker 1: way which means I get a chance to talk about 4 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:24,439 Speaker 1: one of my all time favorite topics, which has to 5 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 1: be bond market structure um and particularly the evolution or 6 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:33,760 Speaker 1: sometimes lack thereof, of that structure and the way that 7 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 1: a massive, massive market is actually traded. So when people 8 00:00:38,960 --> 00:00:41,600 Speaker 1: think about the corporate bond market, I think there's a 9 00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:46,599 Speaker 1: tendency to think way back to sort of liars poker 10 00:00:47,240 --> 00:00:51,600 Speaker 1: era corporate bond trading, like this was the big business 11 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 1: on Wall Street. People made lots of money from it, 12 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 1: You had certain personalities that were tied to it, and 13 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 1: it was sort of old fashioned the way bonds were traded. 14 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 1: And then fast forward to you know, post financial crisis, 15 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:10,039 Speaker 1: the two thousand tens, and surprisingly, even as the stock 16 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 1: market had largely electronified, the corporate bond market was still 17 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 1: pretty much operating like it had in even the nine eighties. 18 00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:23,679 Speaker 1: You know, trades done by phone, some trades done by facts, 19 00:01:23,760 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 1: kind of amazingly, and then if you fast forward to 20 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:31,200 Speaker 1: one We've spoken a lot on the show about the 21 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:35,679 Speaker 1: idea of the pandemic forcing or increasing the rate of 22 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:39,840 Speaker 1: digitalization in the broader economy, the idea of everyone ordering 23 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 1: stuff online and more things just moving to the cloud 24 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:49,520 Speaker 1: and computerized processes. Interestingly, it seems like the pandemic has 25 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: had a little bit of that effect on the corporate 26 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:55,320 Speaker 1: bond market as well. So we've actually seen the proportion 27 00:01:55,440 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 1: of corporate bond trades that are electronic go up. The 28 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 1: most recent research I saw, I think it was from 29 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 1: Greenwich Associates, had electronic trading as a proportion of overall 30 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 1: investment grade corporate bond trading at about forty of the 31 00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:15,880 Speaker 1: total UH. That is up from I think at the 32 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:21,240 Speaker 1: beginning of and up from a minuscule one tenth of 33 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:24,600 Speaker 1: total trading in eleven. So that tells you how far 34 00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:28,639 Speaker 1: we've come, But of course there is much further to go, 35 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 1: and there have been efforts to reform corporate bond trading 36 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 1: the way it's done for many, many years now, and 37 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 1: one of the most interesting developments in that space has 38 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:44,160 Speaker 1: been the establishment of the Fixed Income Market Structure Advisory 39 00:02:44,200 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 1: Committee by the SEC. This was created back in with 40 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:53,320 Speaker 1: the intention of improving the fixed income market and encouraging 41 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:57,120 Speaker 1: its development So today I'm very pleased to say that 42 00:02:57,120 --> 00:02:59,519 Speaker 1: we are going to be checking in on what's going 43 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:02,320 Speaker 1: on with the corporate bond market, whether or not Fim 44 00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:06,080 Speaker 1: Sack has been able to fix it or you know, 45 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:08,960 Speaker 1: at least improve it moderately. We're gonna be doing that 46 00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:11,359 Speaker 1: with the perfect person. We're going to be speaking with 47 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 1: Larry Harris, who was on film Sack so on the 48 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:19,400 Speaker 1: SEC committee. He's also the former chief economist at the SEC. 49 00:03:19,680 --> 00:03:21,800 Speaker 1: He was there from two thousand two to two thousand 50 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:25,120 Speaker 1: four and he is currently the Fred V. Keenan Chair 51 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: in Finance at the USC Marshall School of Business. So, Larry, 52 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 1: thanks so much for coming on the show. Oh, it's 53 00:03:32,160 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 1: a pleasure to be here. So maybe just a first question. 54 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:39,119 Speaker 1: I mean, it sounds like you have been in these 55 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: sort of trading and market micro structure space for a 56 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:47,120 Speaker 1: very long time. Is this something that you've always been following. Yes, 57 00:03:47,360 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 1: I've been working in market microstructure pretty much from the 58 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 1: beginning of the academic field now probably forty years. So 59 00:03:56,800 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 1: given your expertise, I have to ask what that about 60 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 1: corporate bonds that seems to make them a little bit 61 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:10,880 Speaker 1: more stubborn when it comes to things like electronic trading standardization, 62 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 1: uh other efforts to improve liquidity. It feels like the 63 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 1: corporate bond space, despite people trying to evolve it for 64 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 1: i mean decades now, it feels like it's definitely an 65 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:29,119 Speaker 1: uphill battle. Tracy, that's a great question. If you listen 66 00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:32,040 Speaker 1: to the vested interests in the bond market, they'll tell 67 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:35,760 Speaker 1: you that bonds are just simply different. They're different from equities, 68 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:38,560 Speaker 1: they're different from options, they're different from futures, and they 69 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:42,520 Speaker 1: say that the differences are what makes the market structure different. 70 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 1: Of course, they don't often articulate exactly what those differences are. 71 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 1: So often they'll tell you that they're different because there 72 00:04:50,520 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 1: are so many bonds, but there are even more options 73 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 1: that trade, and they trade in exchange markets and they 74 00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:00,800 Speaker 1: trade pretty well. They'll tell you that they're because they're 75 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:06,479 Speaker 1: so risky. Although equities are more risky per dollar of 76 00:05:06,640 --> 00:05:09,680 Speaker 1: principle than our bonds. So it's a it's a little 77 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:12,560 Speaker 1: hard to understand this question on its face. We're gonna 78 00:05:12,600 --> 00:05:15,120 Speaker 1: have to dig deeper. But as long as we're starting 79 00:05:15,120 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 1: with some history. As you started history, um, you started 80 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:21,800 Speaker 1: around the eighties. I'd like to push it back much further. UH, 81 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:25,600 Speaker 1: to share with you and our audience some very interesting 82 00:05:25,640 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 1: things that many people don't know. Bonds used to trade 83 00:05:28,880 --> 00:05:32,920 Speaker 1: almost exclusively in exchange markets at the New York Stock 84 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:37,239 Speaker 1: Exchange and at the American Stock Exchange. Corporate bonds stopped 85 00:05:37,240 --> 00:05:41,360 Speaker 1: trading on the exchange markets in the mid forties, UH, 86 00:05:41,400 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 1: and an interesting paper was done by two academics, Bruno 87 00:05:44,920 --> 00:05:48,240 Speaker 1: Bier and Rick Green. And what they did is they 88 00:05:48,279 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 1: looked to see how those bonds traded in the forties 89 00:05:53,480 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 1: and in the late thirties and compared that trading to 90 00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:59,039 Speaker 1: how they presently trade now. And when I say how 91 00:05:59,080 --> 00:06:02,279 Speaker 1: they trade, I'm really referring to how expensive was it 92 00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:05,279 Speaker 1: to trade the bonds. And when I speak about expense, 93 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 1: I don't call I'm not speaking about the price. I'm 94 00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:11,080 Speaker 1: talking about the transaction costs of trading. So if you 95 00:06:11,279 --> 00:06:13,360 Speaker 1: buy a bond that's worth a hundred but you pay 96 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:17,240 Speaker 1: a hundred one, then your cost was was one point 97 00:06:17,279 --> 00:06:21,120 Speaker 1: of par value. So these bonds that traded New York 98 00:06:21,120 --> 00:06:23,919 Speaker 1: Stock Exchange. I'll save the result for a moment, but 99 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:26,760 Speaker 1: you can all anticipate what it's going to be. Let's 100 00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 1: talk about how they traded. So they traded in order books, 101 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 1: just like the stocks trade, but because there were so 102 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:36,599 Speaker 1: many bonds, they had to put the order books in 103 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:41,000 Speaker 1: filing cabinets. And so these order books, these databases were 104 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:43,799 Speaker 1: contained in filing cabinets. If you wanted to trade a bond, 105 00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:47,400 Speaker 1: you went to the bond specialist post and you mentioned, 106 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:49,159 Speaker 1: you know, he said what bond you wanted to trade, 107 00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:51,520 Speaker 1: and the clerk would go. The specialists go and look 108 00:06:51,600 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 1: up the bond in the filing cabinet, find out who 109 00:06:53,560 --> 00:06:56,800 Speaker 1: had left orders for it. And so now the punchline, 110 00:06:56,800 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 1: of course, it is one that everybody's expecting in those 111 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 1: non electronic but order driven markets. So order driven means 112 00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:08,679 Speaker 1: exchange markets in which you have rules that match buyers 113 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:12,040 Speaker 1: to sellers. So the most aggressive buyer, the one is 114 00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 1: willing to pay the most gets matched to the most 115 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:18,280 Speaker 1: aggressive seller, the one who's offering the lowest price. In 116 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:22,880 Speaker 1: those order driven markets, bonds traded at lower transaction costs 117 00:07:22,960 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 1: ages ago. Then they were trading until just a few 118 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:30,800 Speaker 1: years ago. So so that leaves us with the interesting 119 00:07:30,880 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 1: question why why did the markets move away from the 120 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:38,480 Speaker 1: stock exchange where the stock exchanges Because the AMAX bonds 121 00:07:38,480 --> 00:07:41,080 Speaker 1: were also important. Why did they move away from the 122 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 1: stock exchanges and into the investment banks and the dealers 123 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:47,880 Speaker 1: and brokers, So somehow they captured it. And this is 124 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:51,280 Speaker 1: not really well understood. Bruno Bier and Rick Green speculate 125 00:07:51,360 --> 00:07:54,640 Speaker 1: about it. It's hard to imagine that it made sense 126 00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:59,320 Speaker 1: for the buy side, UH, the investors, because in the 127 00:07:59,400 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 1: end they did worse. But um I think it's just 128 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:07,640 Speaker 1: because the investment banks probably controlled much of the supply 129 00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:10,400 Speaker 1: of bonds. They were buying and selling them. They were dealers, 130 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:15,080 Speaker 1: and they preferred to trade as dealers then as some 131 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:20,120 Speaker 1: dealers operating in exchange markets. Of course, dealers always operate 132 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 1: in exchange markets. There's nothing new there, but they're more 133 00:08:23,280 --> 00:08:26,200 Speaker 1: powerful when they trade in a dark environment where you 134 00:08:26,240 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: don't see the trade prices and you don't see the quotes. 135 00:08:31,160 --> 00:08:35,600 Speaker 1: Now fast forward and UH two thousand and two to 136 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:38,680 Speaker 1: oh four or so. At the time I was chief economist, 137 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:43,880 Speaker 1: the sec FINRA started the Trace bond price reporting project, 138 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:49,400 Speaker 1: and the dealers were very opposed to having those trade 139 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:52,360 Speaker 1: prices reported, even with a fifteen minute lag, which is 140 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:56,280 Speaker 1: what was finally determined. Um I was privileged, along with 141 00:08:56,760 --> 00:09:01,000 Speaker 1: some others to engage in research that showed that making 142 00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:07,080 Speaker 1: those bond prices public information would lower investor transaction costs 143 00:09:07,080 --> 00:09:11,640 Speaker 1: by about a billion dollars per year. So the opposition 144 00:09:11,679 --> 00:09:14,360 Speaker 1: to the dealers to making the prices public kind of 145 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 1: withered away in the face of those empirical results. I'll 146 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 1: tell you two fund stories. There's somewhat self serving, but 147 00:09:22,240 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 1: does make the point about this story. Yeah. So the 148 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:30,720 Speaker 1: first one is that, um, so the SEC did indeed 149 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:34,160 Speaker 1: mandate that the bond trade prices be made public, and 150 00:09:34,160 --> 00:09:36,720 Speaker 1: now trace prices are available on the Internet and everybody 151 00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 1: can see them. So the two stories are. First, um, 152 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:42,560 Speaker 1: somebody came along, I forget the fellow's name, might have 153 00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 1: been a woman and replicated the study in which I 154 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:50,640 Speaker 1: participated and discovered that indeed investors were saving billion dollars. 155 00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:53,800 Speaker 1: So my study had been based on just a trial 156 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:57,800 Speaker 1: of trace and from the bonds that were public, and 157 00:09:57,880 --> 00:10:00,920 Speaker 1: we compared them to the bonds that weren't public publicly 158 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:04,160 Speaker 1: where the information wasn't publicly available to trade price information. 159 00:10:05,280 --> 00:10:07,800 Speaker 1: From doing the comparison, were able to determine what we 160 00:10:07,840 --> 00:10:10,840 Speaker 1: thought the savings would be. The way we did the study, 161 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:16,800 Speaker 1: we compared how the bonds that were trading in more 162 00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:23,080 Speaker 1: transparent markets, the initial trace transparent bonds. We compared how 163 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:26,599 Speaker 1: they traded to the ones that had not yet been converted, 164 00:10:26,880 --> 00:10:29,520 Speaker 1: and we we found that about a billion dollars would 165 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:33,319 Speaker 1: be saved by investors. And so the first story is that, uh, indeed, 166 00:10:33,480 --> 00:10:36,319 Speaker 1: somebody looked at it a few years later and determined 167 00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:39,880 Speaker 1: that our estimate was was on target. So I I say, 168 00:10:39,920 --> 00:10:44,600 Speaker 1: somewhat immodestly that we did well. But the important point 169 00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:47,240 Speaker 1: is that not only on a prospective basis, but on 170 00:10:47,280 --> 00:10:51,480 Speaker 1: a retrospective basis, it appears that that bond price transparency 171 00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:55,960 Speaker 1: substantially lower transaction costs. So that's the first story. The 172 00:10:56,000 --> 00:10:59,240 Speaker 1: second story is a little bit more fun. And Nette Nazareth, 173 00:10:59,320 --> 00:11:02,240 Speaker 1: who was then the director of what was then called 174 00:11:02,280 --> 00:11:05,160 Speaker 1: the Division of Trading and Markets, who was a big 175 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:10,720 Speaker 1: proponent of making the bond prices transparent. She kept asking me, Larry, 176 00:11:10,720 --> 00:11:12,480 Speaker 1: how come you're not done with that study? How come 177 00:11:12,520 --> 00:11:14,679 Speaker 1: night you're done done with the study? Because they needed 178 00:11:14,720 --> 00:11:18,560 Speaker 1: that study to build the political wherewithal to get the 179 00:11:18,640 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 1: capital to to get this done. And I kept telling her, 180 00:11:22,640 --> 00:11:25,040 Speaker 1: listen and that I'd like to have it done yesterday, 181 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:28,920 Speaker 1: but we're going to be super careful because the dealers 182 00:11:29,000 --> 00:11:32,320 Speaker 1: are going to criticize this study. So fast forward about 183 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 1: ten years. I'm at some conference. I'm talking to somebody, 184 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:39,240 Speaker 1: you know, an academic conference, and uh and this guy 185 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:41,720 Speaker 1: sort of drops uh. He says, um, you know you 186 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 1: did that bond study about transaction costs to the initial 187 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:48,320 Speaker 1: trace down And I said yeah. He says, uh says, 188 00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:51,960 Speaker 1: I know, I know a backstory about that. I'm going yeah, 189 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:55,600 Speaker 1: he says, he says, the dealers, Uh sent it to 190 00:11:55,720 --> 00:11:58,240 Speaker 1: a colleague of mine at the university. I won't say 191 00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:02,559 Speaker 1: which one, but it was a strong, reputable university, asking 192 00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:05,880 Speaker 1: is there anything wrong with the study? Uh, you know, 193 00:12:05,920 --> 00:12:10,040 Speaker 1: can you find econometric problems or something like that? And Uh. 194 00:12:10,520 --> 00:12:14,200 Speaker 1: The response was apparently no, you're gonna have to live 195 00:12:14,240 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 1: with it. It was well done. So again a pat 196 00:12:16,800 --> 00:12:20,520 Speaker 1: on my back. But also also there's a more important point, 197 00:12:20,559 --> 00:12:24,240 Speaker 1: which is that there's a role for academic work. Rigorous 198 00:12:24,280 --> 00:12:26,520 Speaker 1: work didn't have to be done by academic can be 199 00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:29,280 Speaker 1: done by practitioners as well, and by the economists at 200 00:12:29,320 --> 00:12:33,040 Speaker 1: the SEC. There's a role for rigorous work for trying 201 00:12:33,080 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 1: to understand how things could be different. I mean, that 202 00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:40,520 Speaker 1: is such a fascinating um insight into the way the 203 00:12:40,640 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 1: SEC works and also the way it's various stakeholders um 204 00:12:44,559 --> 00:12:47,559 Speaker 1: sort of interact with it. There's one thing I wanted 205 00:12:47,600 --> 00:12:49,719 Speaker 1: to ask you before we sort of move on to 206 00:12:49,920 --> 00:12:53,120 Speaker 1: what happened next, But can we just can we focus 207 00:12:53,160 --> 00:12:55,959 Speaker 1: in on on the dealers here a little bit more so? 208 00:12:56,160 --> 00:12:58,720 Speaker 1: You know, you you kind of touched on this, this 209 00:12:58,840 --> 00:13:02,080 Speaker 1: idea that the dealers have vested interest in the way 210 00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:05,600 Speaker 1: that the current system works. So I brought up liars 211 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:09,000 Speaker 1: Poker at the beginning. You know, this is the idea 212 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:12,640 Speaker 1: of people sitting at the big dealer banks who are 213 00:13:12,720 --> 00:13:15,200 Speaker 1: taking calls from investors who want to buy or sell 214 00:13:15,280 --> 00:13:19,960 Speaker 1: certain bonds. They're basically the middleman who are holding the 215 00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:22,760 Speaker 1: informational power and who can say like, well, I have 216 00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:24,160 Speaker 1: a quote on this one or I have a quote 217 00:13:24,160 --> 00:13:27,320 Speaker 1: on that one, and no one really is quite clear 218 00:13:27,920 --> 00:13:30,640 Speaker 1: what the actual price of these bonds are. They're sitting 219 00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:33,960 Speaker 1: in the middle. It's a very intransparent process. Now, in 220 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:37,720 Speaker 1: the years since then, we have had these new electronic 221 00:13:37,760 --> 00:13:40,200 Speaker 1: trading venues set up, and here I have to do 222 00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:44,000 Speaker 1: a massive disclosure and say that Bloomberg has one UM, 223 00:13:44,040 --> 00:13:48,199 Speaker 1: so we have Bloomberg Trade Web and market Access, and 224 00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:54,079 Speaker 1: my understanding of those is that basically they've made dealing 225 00:13:54,160 --> 00:13:58,400 Speaker 1: with dealers potentially more efficient. So you can do a 226 00:13:58,480 --> 00:14:01,280 Speaker 1: request for a quote with just you know, a click 227 00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:03,400 Speaker 1: of a button and you can get one very very quickly. 228 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:07,880 Speaker 1: But they still preserve some of the power of the 229 00:14:07,960 --> 00:14:11,800 Speaker 1: dealers in that process. You can't do a deal directly 230 00:14:11,880 --> 00:14:16,199 Speaker 1: with another buy side participants for instance. Is that right? 231 00:14:16,280 --> 00:14:19,480 Speaker 1: Is that the right way to think about it? Yes, 232 00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:22,360 Speaker 1: that's generally correct. And though they would like to create 233 00:14:23,080 --> 00:14:26,600 Speaker 1: exchange type markets, uh, they know that they still need 234 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:28,920 Speaker 1: the dealers to provide the liquidity and so that the 235 00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:32,720 Speaker 1: dealers call the shots. Tracy, you're, you're. You use the 236 00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:36,640 Speaker 1: word um informational power. You could not be more on 237 00:14:36,760 --> 00:14:41,440 Speaker 1: target with that phrase. So, just so that everybody listening 238 00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:45,320 Speaker 1: has a clear understanding of how powerful information is, let's 239 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:49,600 Speaker 1: discuss a simple example of where that everybody can relate to. 240 00:14:50,080 --> 00:14:53,000 Speaker 1: Suppose you need to buy a say a used car 241 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:55,080 Speaker 1: or could be a new car, uh, and you go 242 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:56,920 Speaker 1: to the dealer and you find what you want to buy, 243 00:14:57,160 --> 00:14:59,920 Speaker 1: and you you then make a bid. Okay, now, they 244 00:15:00,200 --> 00:15:03,440 Speaker 1: two mistakes that you can make. You can underbid or 245 00:15:03,480 --> 00:15:07,000 Speaker 1: you can overbid. Now, if you underbid, here's what happens. 246 00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:10,640 Speaker 1: So the salesman says, say, Larry, I'd really love to 247 00:15:10,680 --> 00:15:13,400 Speaker 1: sell you that car at that price, but if we 248 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:15,520 Speaker 1: do that, we just can't stay in business. The price 249 00:15:15,560 --> 00:15:18,600 Speaker 1: is simply too low. So, um, you don't do the deal. 250 00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:23,000 Speaker 1: Now suppose that you overbid. What does the salesman say. 251 00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:26,440 Speaker 1: Salesman says, hey, Larry, I'd really like to sell you 252 00:15:26,520 --> 00:15:29,440 Speaker 1: that car, but if I do so at that price, 253 00:15:29,840 --> 00:15:31,920 Speaker 1: we're going to go out of business. But hang on 254 00:15:31,960 --> 00:15:34,360 Speaker 1: a minute, let me see what my sales manager says. 255 00:15:35,680 --> 00:15:37,320 Speaker 1: And of course he comes back and sells you the 256 00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 1: car at the price that's uh, that's too high. So 257 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 1: what's going on here? Obviously you can make two mistakes. 258 00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:47,480 Speaker 1: But because the dealer knows values better than you do, 259 00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 1: the dealer isn't gonna sell it for undervalue, but it'd 260 00:15:51,240 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 1: be more than happy to sell it for overvalue. And 261 00:15:54,400 --> 00:15:57,880 Speaker 1: so this is the story. This is why information about 262 00:15:58,040 --> 00:16:02,200 Speaker 1: values is so incredibly important. Unfortunately, we only have half 263 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:06,200 Speaker 1: the story on price values. We've got now the trace 264 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 1: data that we just talked about which tells you the 265 00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:13,600 Speaker 1: prices at which bonds traded. By and large, we don't 266 00:16:13,640 --> 00:16:18,200 Speaker 1: have very much quotation data, although it's increasing substantially, we 267 00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:21,920 Speaker 1: don't have much quotation data where the dealers are telling 268 00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:25,840 Speaker 1: the public the prices which they're willing to trade. So 269 00:16:25,880 --> 00:16:27,840 Speaker 1: if you want to go buy a bond and you're smart, 270 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:30,120 Speaker 1: what you do is you you you go and call 271 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:32,240 Speaker 1: up a dealer and say what's your offer, and then 272 00:16:32,280 --> 00:16:34,680 Speaker 1: you call another dealer and ask for what your offer, 273 00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:36,200 Speaker 1: and you call another dealer and you can sort of 274 00:16:36,200 --> 00:16:39,040 Speaker 1: make them all know that you're doing this, or you 275 00:16:39,040 --> 00:16:41,200 Speaker 1: can do a request for quote, which is essentially the 276 00:16:41,240 --> 00:16:43,520 Speaker 1: same thing, and you try to get them to compete 277 00:16:43,560 --> 00:16:46,520 Speaker 1: with each other. But it's an expensive process and um, 278 00:16:46,560 --> 00:16:49,720 Speaker 1: they're only volunteering information to you, not to the public, 279 00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:53,320 Speaker 1: so it's not quite as effective as the competition we 280 00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:57,960 Speaker 1: see every single day for even a liquid securities at 281 00:16:58,040 --> 00:17:02,520 Speaker 1: the various stock exchange is or the options exchanges. So 282 00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:07,040 Speaker 1: when pricing data became available on trades, you're getting the 283 00:17:07,320 --> 00:17:11,520 Speaker 1: specific points, the specific prices at what which bonds are 284 00:17:11,840 --> 00:17:16,280 Speaker 1: being traded, but you're not getting potential quotes from a 285 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:18,920 Speaker 1: bunch of dealers about like where they could buy or 286 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:22,720 Speaker 1: seldom you're getting the actual transaction data. How did that 287 00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:29,480 Speaker 1: change the market or change behavior of participants. Well sophisticated 288 00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:32,399 Speaker 1: people and even some less sophisticated who know enough to 289 00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:36,119 Speaker 1: look up bond prices can find out where the bonds 290 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:39,800 Speaker 1: recently traded. And if a bond recently traded, you know, 291 00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:43,040 Speaker 1: just minutes ago, then you have a good point of 292 00:17:43,080 --> 00:17:45,600 Speaker 1: reference to what the value that bond is, especially if 293 00:17:45,640 --> 00:17:48,560 Speaker 1: it's a very large trade. The large trades tend to 294 00:17:48,600 --> 00:17:52,199 Speaker 1: be more informative than the smaller trades because the smaller traders, frankly, 295 00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:54,520 Speaker 1: you know, they just don't know as much. They don't 296 00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:56,800 Speaker 1: know how to they don't know how to control the 297 00:17:56,840 --> 00:18:00,240 Speaker 1: information environment. They trade through brokers who aren't particularly how full, 298 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:03,760 Speaker 1: and so the smaller trade prices aren't so important. But 299 00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:06,080 Speaker 1: if you want to trade a bond, say you're trying 300 00:18:06,080 --> 00:18:08,040 Speaker 1: to sell a bond, is a more typical story than 301 00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:10,560 Speaker 1: wanting to buy one. Uh, you want to sell a 302 00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:13,960 Speaker 1: bond that you need that you need to generate some liquidity. 303 00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:17,440 Speaker 1: Maybe that bond didn't trade yesterday or today, Um, that 304 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:20,760 Speaker 1: would be ideal. Say it traded last Um, you know 305 00:18:20,760 --> 00:18:24,679 Speaker 1: a month ago or perhaps a year ago. Uh, there 306 00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:26,320 Speaker 1: are a lot of bonding issues out there, and some 307 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:29,399 Speaker 1: of them, they we say they trade only by appointment, 308 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:31,840 Speaker 1: which is kind of funny. Okay, so you've got a 309 00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:34,160 Speaker 1: bond trade from ages ago, and now all the question 310 00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:37,600 Speaker 1: is what's the thing worth? And you know there are 311 00:18:37,760 --> 00:18:41,159 Speaker 1: bond pricing services that can give you some sense of 312 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:43,600 Speaker 1: what the bond is worth. That's very important because mutual 313 00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:45,879 Speaker 1: funds that hold bonds have to value their bonds and 314 00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:48,120 Speaker 1: if they don't trade, well, I mean, what's the bond worth? 315 00:18:48,119 --> 00:18:51,520 Speaker 1: They've got to know every day. So these pricing services 316 00:18:52,000 --> 00:18:54,440 Speaker 1: what they do is they say, okay, this bond didn't trade, 317 00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:58,040 Speaker 1: but it looks a lot like these other bonds, maybe 318 00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:00,560 Speaker 1: bonds by the same issuer, or maybe be bonds with 319 00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:04,480 Speaker 1: the same cupon rate, the same maturity, the same the 320 00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:08,639 Speaker 1: same preference in liquidation, stuff like that. And so they say, okay, 321 00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:11,760 Speaker 1: we got a model that says if if these other 322 00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:14,640 Speaker 1: bonds are sort of recently traded and we see their prices, 323 00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:18,080 Speaker 1: we can infer what this thing is probably worth. Of course, 324 00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:20,520 Speaker 1: you know, the small trader, the guy who's trading odd lots. 325 00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:25,040 Speaker 1: You're on the right show. I know. That's that's why 326 00:19:25,080 --> 00:19:29,400 Speaker 1: I laughed here. Uh. Yeah, they don't get that information 327 00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:33,320 Speaker 1: and it's expensive. And in any event, though, um, what 328 00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:36,439 Speaker 1: the pricing services say is not necessarily true either. It's 329 00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:39,280 Speaker 1: just their best estament. Real truth comes when people are 330 00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:41,840 Speaker 1: ready to put their money on the on the table 331 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:46,240 Speaker 1: and trade and actually negotiate prices. So it's good to 332 00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:50,720 Speaker 1: have those trace prices, but it would be even better 333 00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 1: if we had perspective prices, pre trade prices. The quotes, 334 00:19:56,040 --> 00:19:58,040 Speaker 1: there are a lot of them out now out there now, 335 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:01,520 Speaker 1: and uh, entities like bond to click are starting to 336 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:05,200 Speaker 1: aggregate them from dealers. The dealers are willing to share 337 00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 1: with bond click because they want to see what the 338 00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:10,640 Speaker 1: other dealers are saying. The dealers aren't They're not They're 339 00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:13,720 Speaker 1: not dummies. Uh, they're very very sharp people, of course. 340 00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:18,239 Speaker 1: But the consequence, though, is that increasingly this data is 341 00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:21,719 Speaker 1: becoming more public and you know, bond click is uh 342 00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:24,879 Speaker 1: appears to be leading here, but I suspect I believe 343 00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:27,719 Speaker 1: that there's some others as well. The dealers aren't entirely 344 00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:30,960 Speaker 1: happy about it. So it's not an easy proposition. As 345 00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:33,120 Speaker 1: long as you're speaking about a little bit of history. 346 00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:39,399 Speaker 1: Cannor Fitzgerald ran a open outcry sort of brokered bond 347 00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:43,879 Speaker 1: market and treasuries, and through their E Trade subsidiary since 348 00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:47,320 Speaker 1: spun out, they wanted to get the bonds into an 349 00:20:47,320 --> 00:20:52,160 Speaker 1: electronic trading system and they had had a terribly difficult 350 00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:56,080 Speaker 1: time doing that. The dealers basically boycotted the system for 351 00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:59,800 Speaker 1: a while, but they persevered. They managed to get it done, 352 00:20:59,840 --> 00:21:03,080 Speaker 1: but it's not easy. The big challenge that these systems 353 00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:06,719 Speaker 1: face creating an exchange like system is that when somebody 354 00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:09,120 Speaker 1: needs to trade, they usually need to trade right now, 355 00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:11,280 Speaker 1: and they look at a system they say, wow, that 356 00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:14,800 Speaker 1: is a cracker jack system. That's beautiful. I'd love to 357 00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:16,920 Speaker 1: trade there, but right now, I got to get my 358 00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:19,720 Speaker 1: order done and there's nobody else there, so I'm gonna 359 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:22,640 Speaker 1: get my order done. And when when that market becomes looking, 360 00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:24,840 Speaker 1: you give me a call and I'll definitely send my 361 00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:27,720 Speaker 1: orders there. So it's a chicken and egg problem here. 362 00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:30,320 Speaker 1: Only the problem is it's not which came first, is 363 00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:33,679 Speaker 1: that neither comes first because people need to get their 364 00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:37,399 Speaker 1: business done and so that's that's the force that keeps 365 00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:41,159 Speaker 1: change from happening too quickly. But On the flip side, 366 00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:45,439 Speaker 1: these electronics systems have vastly decreased the cost of dealing, 367 00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:48,680 Speaker 1: and now you have lots of proprietary traders who are 368 00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:53,520 Speaker 1: willing to deal bonds like they deal stocks. The deal 369 00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:55,919 Speaker 1: odd lots, but they're willing to come back over and 370 00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:58,679 Speaker 1: over again, and so increasingly you're gonna start seeing, and 371 00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:02,639 Speaker 1: we've already seen it, are algorithms used by institutions to 372 00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:06,000 Speaker 1: fill large orders in odd lots, and they'll they'll do 373 00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:09,760 Speaker 1: that because there are dealers who are well dealers are 374 00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:13,679 Speaker 1: proprietary traders, but let's call them proprietary traders are essentially using, 375 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:17,439 Speaker 1: you know, some crude version of the high frequency trading 376 00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:20,040 Speaker 1: methods that they use in the stock markets to deal. 377 00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 1: We should be clear about what bonds are. So here's 378 00:22:24,560 --> 00:22:26,880 Speaker 1: a fun way of thinking about a bond. People tell 379 00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:30,320 Speaker 1: you that bonds are something special, but from this point 380 00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:34,359 Speaker 1: of view, there perhaps not so special bonds if you 381 00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:37,120 Speaker 1: think about their risk. There are a package of two 382 00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:41,480 Speaker 1: types of risk. There's interest rate risk and it's bundled 383 00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:44,639 Speaker 1: with credit risk. So credit risk is the risk that 384 00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,840 Speaker 1: the company that's promised to pay off its bonds goes 385 00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:50,960 Speaker 1: bankrupt and you don't get paid. An interest rate risk 386 00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:53,119 Speaker 1: is the risk that, say you bought a bond and 387 00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:56,160 Speaker 1: then interest rates rise in the price of your bond drops. 388 00:22:56,160 --> 00:23:00,520 Speaker 1: So that's not comfortable. So think about this risk. What 389 00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:04,120 Speaker 1: is there about putting both risks into a single instrument 390 00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:08,440 Speaker 1: and tying them together with an invisible string. The string 391 00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:11,160 Speaker 1: is actually called the bond covenant, the contract that sets 392 00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:14,600 Speaker 1: up the bond. What is there about doing that that 393 00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 1: makes the bond something different from the risk that trades elsewhere. 394 00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:24,119 Speaker 1: So the interest rate risk trades in highly liquid treasury 395 00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:27,439 Speaker 1: bond markets. They are also in the futures markets. They 396 00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:29,760 Speaker 1: are whether they are cash or in the futures. They 397 00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:33,560 Speaker 1: trade in these order driven exchange like systems, and the 398 00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:36,960 Speaker 1: credit risk, as we mentioned earlier, the credit risk of 399 00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 1: bonds is even as much less than the credit risk 400 00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:43,080 Speaker 1: of the associated stocks. So the credit risk is being 401 00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:47,720 Speaker 1: traded in again order driven markets, the stock exchanges and 402 00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:53,120 Speaker 1: the similar systems, and they're both highly liquid markets with 403 00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:57,560 Speaker 1: lots and lots of pre trade and post trade order exposure. 404 00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:00,080 Speaker 1: So pre traders, the quotes and post trade or the 405 00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:04,040 Speaker 1: trade prices, and those markets function really well. So what 406 00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 1: is there about that magic string that connects those two 407 00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:12,919 Speaker 1: risks into a single bond that somehow makes it necessary 408 00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:15,600 Speaker 1: to trade it in the dark. And if you've got 409 00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:17,959 Speaker 1: a good answer, I I'd love to hear it, because 410 00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,199 Speaker 1: I've heard lots of people try to explain it, but 411 00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:25,680 Speaker 1: nobody has convinced me. And I'll remind you again one 412 00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:29,879 Speaker 1: final reminder before we turn to another topic. That explanation, 413 00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:34,840 Speaker 1: the magical explanation, also has to explain why it didn't 414 00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:38,560 Speaker 1: operate in the nineties when these markets were trading in 415 00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:42,600 Speaker 1: ex anti and ex post transparent markets at the exchanges. 416 00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:46,240 Speaker 1: So there's anybody wants to explain this one is going 417 00:24:46,280 --> 00:25:03,359 Speaker 1: to have to work really hard to be very creative. Well, 418 00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:07,640 Speaker 1: I think that brings us up to modern times very 419 00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:12,000 Speaker 1: very well. So you know, we have some progress when 420 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:16,560 Speaker 1: it comes to pricing transparency, notably the trace data which 421 00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:20,320 Speaker 1: is now being produced based on actual bond trades but 422 00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:25,600 Speaker 1: not potential quotes. You have the electronic trading venues that 423 00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:28,919 Speaker 1: are mostly operating on a request for quote basis and 424 00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:33,080 Speaker 1: are mostly preserving some of the informational power of the dealers. 425 00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:36,919 Speaker 1: And you have some venues that are trying to aggregate 426 00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:41,760 Speaker 1: prices um and quotes for bond trades like bond click, 427 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:45,919 Speaker 1: which you mentioned, but sort of improvements on the edges, 428 00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:51,399 Speaker 1: nothing massively fundamental. And yet this is something that you know, 429 00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:53,600 Speaker 1: you laid it out very clearly earlier. This is something 430 00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:57,520 Speaker 1: that has been of concern to the SEC for a 431 00:25:57,560 --> 00:26:00,920 Speaker 1: long time now, and I personally remember speaking to think 432 00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:04,200 Speaker 1: it was Dan Gallagher back in and he was saying, 433 00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:08,120 Speaker 1: you know, it's time to address the liars poker dynamics 434 00:26:08,520 --> 00:26:12,359 Speaker 1: embedded in the corporate bond market system. And yet here 435 00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:16,199 Speaker 1: we are years later, still talking about potential fixes or 436 00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:19,320 Speaker 1: improvements that could be made. So I want to talk 437 00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:22,320 Speaker 1: to you specifically about one of the big SEC projects 438 00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:24,840 Speaker 1: to try to fix all of this, which is the 439 00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:30,919 Speaker 1: establishment of film SACK, the Fixed Income Market Structure Advisory Committee. 440 00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:35,399 Speaker 1: In this was supposed to be. My understanding is it 441 00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:38,560 Speaker 1: was supposed to be the big effort by the SEC 442 00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:41,480 Speaker 1: to try to come to a consensus on what needs 443 00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:45,040 Speaker 1: to be done and then actually implement it. And you 444 00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:47,199 Speaker 1: are on the committee, So maybe maybe you could give 445 00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:49,639 Speaker 1: us your perspective of what exactly the goals were when 446 00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:53,280 Speaker 1: it was established. Well, I suppose it depends who you 447 00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:55,960 Speaker 1: ask and how Canada, they will be when they respond. 448 00:26:57,080 --> 00:26:58,760 Speaker 1: When I went into it, I thought this was a 449 00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:02,640 Speaker 1: great opportunity to modernize the markets. Um I had been 450 00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:06,119 Speaker 1: instrumental with the net Nazareth and many others. Remember every 451 00:27:06,160 --> 00:27:09,240 Speaker 1: success has lots and lots of grandparents and parents and 452 00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:13,239 Speaker 1: godfathers and god mothers and so forth. We have been 453 00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:19,440 Speaker 1: instrumental in moving the stock markets from open outcry floor 454 00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:23,560 Speaker 1: based systems into electronic systems that are incredibly efficient now. 455 00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:26,199 Speaker 1: So that was neat, and so I thought, gee, this 456 00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:28,960 Speaker 1: would be a really great time to see what we 457 00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:32,680 Speaker 1: can do to to solve some of these problems. They're 458 00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:35,200 Speaker 1: not really problems, but just to make the markets better. 459 00:27:36,320 --> 00:27:38,439 Speaker 1: And so some things that I was hoping we'd be 460 00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:40,360 Speaker 1: able to do is that we could, you know, call 461 00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:44,159 Speaker 1: for the formation of a national best bitter offer, or 462 00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:48,320 Speaker 1: have Finra do like NASDAC did, or have NASDAC and 463 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:52,359 Speaker 1: the nas d do this create a a nasdak. The 464 00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:56,080 Speaker 1: original nasdack for bonds. The original naz Back was just 465 00:27:56,200 --> 00:28:00,080 Speaker 1: a quotation system where he showed everybody's quotes, all the 466 00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:04,560 Speaker 1: dealer quotes. It's called a quote tableau, so it just 467 00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,560 Speaker 1: seeing the quotes. Ex Anti gets people to compete more 468 00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:10,280 Speaker 1: and makes the markets better. And then they ultimately evolved 469 00:28:10,280 --> 00:28:12,960 Speaker 1: into the NASDAC stock market, which is a full blown 470 00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:17,080 Speaker 1: exchange and and regulated as such. Now, so I thought, 471 00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:18,960 Speaker 1: you know, at a minimum we could try to ask 472 00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:24,360 Speaker 1: for that. There was almost no support for that. There 473 00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:26,800 Speaker 1: were a few people who were in the boat, but 474 00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:30,920 Speaker 1: the vast majority of the members of FIM SACH were 475 00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:36,800 Speaker 1: opposed to any change so radical. Who were the other members? Well, 476 00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:39,640 Speaker 1: we'll talk about that, But so we weren't calling you 477 00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:43,240 Speaker 1: know this what this proposal was not a call for, 478 00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:46,520 Speaker 1: you know, a trade through rule, which would be pretty radical. 479 00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:49,800 Speaker 1: We're just saying, you know, let people, let's collect all 480 00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:53,880 Speaker 1: the ex anti data that the quote data. So who 481 00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:56,680 Speaker 1: were the people on FIM SACK. Well, by law, these 482 00:28:56,760 --> 00:29:01,920 Speaker 1: advisory committees have to be representative of sort of everybody 483 00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:04,640 Speaker 1: who has an interest in the issue. Everybody has to 484 00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:07,640 Speaker 1: be the at the table. But the law doesn't tell 485 00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:10,320 Speaker 1: you how the table should be weighted. You know, how 486 00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:12,960 Speaker 1: many people of each type. And so you had the 487 00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:16,400 Speaker 1: bond dealers, you had the bond issuers, you had a 488 00:29:16,400 --> 00:29:21,080 Speaker 1: few academics, you had a few investor advocates, you had 489 00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:25,200 Speaker 1: the alternative trading systems. You had some dealers, I think 490 00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:29,959 Speaker 1: I mentioned them as well, issuers and large institutional investors. 491 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:33,120 Speaker 1: So I think it pretty well covers the gamut, but 492 00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:37,040 Speaker 1: it was weighted heavily towards people who were either vested 493 00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:42,160 Speaker 1: in the status quo or who we're dependent on people 494 00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:44,440 Speaker 1: who are vested in the status quo. So if you're 495 00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:46,720 Speaker 1: an issuer, you don't want to go out and piss 496 00:29:46,760 --> 00:29:50,320 Speaker 1: off your investment bank because because you've got to do 497 00:29:50,360 --> 00:29:53,560 Speaker 1: business with them, and so basically you just go along 498 00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:57,640 Speaker 1: and uh, you know, I would make in passion speeches 499 00:29:57,680 --> 00:30:00,320 Speaker 1: about how we should be doing what's best for the 500 00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:03,200 Speaker 1: country and stuff like that, and they all, in their 501 00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:05,640 Speaker 1: own way, thought that they were doing what's best for 502 00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:08,960 Speaker 1: the country. But I think that perhaps there are points 503 00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:13,360 Speaker 1: of view might have been partially compromised or at least 504 00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:17,959 Speaker 1: subtly influenced by their self interest. So I'm trying to 505 00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:20,320 Speaker 1: be polite, but you know exactly what I've said, and 506 00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:24,280 Speaker 1: it's not surprising. There's a lot of fear that if 507 00:30:24,280 --> 00:30:28,520 Speaker 1: we made any changes, we'd screw things up. And so 508 00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:32,400 Speaker 1: the problem to getting changed is that our bond markets 509 00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:35,920 Speaker 1: are for all their awards the best bond markets in 510 00:30:35,920 --> 00:30:39,080 Speaker 1: the world. They could be a whole lot better. I 511 00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:42,160 Speaker 1: know that from my experience, and uh, a lot of 512 00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:44,760 Speaker 1: other people know it, but getting it there is really difficult, 513 00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:51,479 Speaker 1: and so it's very challenging and disappointing. My understanding was, 514 00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:54,840 Speaker 1: I mean, this can have come as a surprise to 515 00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:59,160 Speaker 1: anyone who created this committee, Like if you get a 516 00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:03,960 Speaker 1: bunch of varying interests together in the room, they might 517 00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:08,360 Speaker 1: not be able to agree on fixing the market or 518 00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:11,760 Speaker 1: improving the market, especially given that they haven't really agreed 519 00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:13,640 Speaker 1: on how to do that, you know, for many, many 520 00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:17,000 Speaker 1: years previously. And I always thought the idea of getting 521 00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:20,240 Speaker 1: the SEC involved was that you would have an independent 522 00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:24,640 Speaker 1: arbiter who could look at this information and try to, 523 00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:28,320 Speaker 1: you know, come up with a solution that might be 524 00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:33,600 Speaker 1: independent of the individual interests of people in the market currently. 525 00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:38,000 Speaker 1: But that doesn't seem to have happened, judging by the 526 00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:41,040 Speaker 1: lack of news that I've seen on you know, stuff 527 00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:45,360 Speaker 1: being proposed or coming out of the committee. Well, there's 528 00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:48,479 Speaker 1: a lot, there's a lot in that. So I mentioned 529 00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:53,360 Speaker 1: that the composition of film Sack basically established what they 530 00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:55,360 Speaker 1: were going to do, and what they were not willing 531 00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:58,120 Speaker 1: to do. It's instructive that the very first thing that 532 00:31:58,200 --> 00:32:01,160 Speaker 1: they proposed was to the a the reporting of of 533 00:32:01,320 --> 00:32:04,960 Speaker 1: super large bond trades. Right now, their prices are reported 534 00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:07,680 Speaker 1: within fifteen minutes with the marker saying that the trade 535 00:32:07,760 --> 00:32:09,840 Speaker 1: is if it's an investment grade bond, it's more than 536 00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:12,600 Speaker 1: five million dollars, and then six months later you can 537 00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:15,000 Speaker 1: find out the full size. But who cares at that 538 00:32:15,040 --> 00:32:18,040 Speaker 1: point and five million dollar trade is plenty big enough, 539 00:32:18,080 --> 00:32:21,400 Speaker 1: you know, it's big. So they proposed that that we 540 00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:25,719 Speaker 1: should delay reporting those trade prices and sizes for I 541 00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:28,640 Speaker 1: think three days or something like that, but then we'll 542 00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:33,480 Speaker 1: report the whole thing. So there was like, well, we'll 543 00:32:33,520 --> 00:32:35,840 Speaker 1: give you something. But what they were taking away was 544 00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:38,640 Speaker 1: really really meaningful, and this is the first thing they proposed. 545 00:32:39,240 --> 00:32:41,760 Speaker 1: So that was like a shock to me. It's like 546 00:32:41,800 --> 00:32:45,840 Speaker 1: we're going backwards. Uh, it's just crazy. Okay, So the 547 00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:49,600 Speaker 1: SEC appoints all these people and they according to how 548 00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:53,280 Speaker 1: they do the waiting, they can determine the outcome. So 549 00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:56,560 Speaker 1: let's be generous to the SEC and say that there 550 00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:59,480 Speaker 1: are a couple of different ways that change can take place, 551 00:32:59,840 --> 00:33:04,200 Speaker 1: and how you feel about these ways depends on how 552 00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:07,480 Speaker 1: you feel about uninformed investors and how you feel about 553 00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:11,920 Speaker 1: political economy or your political philosophy. So one way is 554 00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:16,320 Speaker 1: for the SEC to mandate change. So we did this 555 00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:19,800 Speaker 1: when we were making changes to equity market structure to 556 00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:22,560 Speaker 1: make the markets electronic. That was reag MS and it 557 00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:26,760 Speaker 1: was extraordinarily successful. So the SEC has the power to 558 00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:29,880 Speaker 1: regulate markets, and it gets challenged by the incumbents, but 559 00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:32,000 Speaker 1: in the end, if they do their work properly, they 560 00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:34,760 Speaker 1: can get what they want and done. The argument for 561 00:33:34,800 --> 00:33:37,880 Speaker 1: the SEC doing this is that somebody has to represent 562 00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:40,640 Speaker 1: the interests of uninformed investors who will never be able 563 00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:43,720 Speaker 1: to do this by themselves. Okay, so that's an argument. 564 00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:49,880 Speaker 1: The counter argument, which is also respectful, is that listen, 565 00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:53,120 Speaker 1: f the markets would be better in a changed state. 566 00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:56,360 Speaker 1: There will be people who will provide those changes, and 567 00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:59,720 Speaker 1: though it might be difficult, uh, it's not impossible, and 568 00:33:59,760 --> 00:34:03,560 Speaker 1: in US it's impossible, we shouldn't regulate. So, for instance, 569 00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:07,200 Speaker 1: there are private entities who are now aggregating best bids 570 00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:11,000 Speaker 1: and offers. We talked about bond click. There are brokers 571 00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:13,759 Speaker 1: who are doing it as well. So interactive brokers will 572 00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:19,200 Speaker 1: allow its clients to trade on bond markets where Interactive 573 00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:23,200 Speaker 1: is collected quotes from a multitude of dealers. And more interestingly, 574 00:34:23,680 --> 00:34:29,120 Speaker 1: Interactive will allow their clients to post their offers to trade, 575 00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:31,520 Speaker 1: so they can post bids and offers just like you 576 00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:34,560 Speaker 1: can in the stock market, and uh they post them 577 00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:38,000 Speaker 1: at venues where they actually might get hit. And so 578 00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:41,279 Speaker 1: instead of always buying at the ask price, you might 579 00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:42,880 Speaker 1: be able to buy at the bid price if you 580 00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:45,719 Speaker 1: trade through Interactive. Now, in the interest of full disclosure, 581 00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:48,600 Speaker 1: I have to tell everybody that I am a director. 582 00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:53,000 Speaker 1: I'm actually the lead independent director of Interactive, and so um, 583 00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:56,480 Speaker 1: you should recognize that that. Uh, I have an interest 584 00:34:56,520 --> 00:34:59,359 Speaker 1: in letting people know about this. But they're innovative and 585 00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:03,520 Speaker 1: that's in things. So going back to political philosophy, clients 586 00:35:03,600 --> 00:35:06,480 Speaker 1: want this, they can go trade through Interactive brokers, and 587 00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:09,800 Speaker 1: if SWAB sees that they're losing clients or e Trade 588 00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:13,400 Speaker 1: or you know, merrit Trader, they can start offering the 589 00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:17,279 Speaker 1: same services. So the premise here, of course is that 590 00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:24,520 Speaker 1: ultimately the uninformed and unknowledgeable trader will benefit because there 591 00:35:24,520 --> 00:35:28,040 Speaker 1: are knowledgeable traders who put significant demands on the system 592 00:35:28,080 --> 00:35:31,400 Speaker 1: and cause the system to change that may take twenty 593 00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:34,520 Speaker 1: or thirty years, or may never happen. It may only 594 00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:37,160 Speaker 1: happen for the informed traders, and everybody else sort of 595 00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:41,359 Speaker 1: gets left behind because people never know any better. And 596 00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:43,919 Speaker 1: if that bothers you, then you're back into the first 597 00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:47,560 Speaker 1: camp that says maybe the SEC should do something. So 598 00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:49,680 Speaker 1: from my point of view, I think that the SEC 599 00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:52,279 Speaker 1: should exercise a little bit more power. I don't like 600 00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:55,400 Speaker 1: to see them do too much regulation, but they should 601 00:35:55,400 --> 00:35:58,960 Speaker 1: exercise power when you have certain problems in the market 602 00:35:59,000 --> 00:36:03,000 Speaker 1: that make competitive solutions difficult, and those problems are agency 603 00:36:03,040 --> 00:36:06,759 Speaker 1: problems where people are represented by people who have conflicts 604 00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:10,440 Speaker 1: of interest. The people who are doing the representation, like 605 00:36:10,520 --> 00:36:14,480 Speaker 1: the brokers, they don't have a strong interest in serving 606 00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:17,200 Speaker 1: their clients. Well, if the client doesn't know that, they're 607 00:36:17,239 --> 00:36:20,680 Speaker 1: getting screwed. I believe that's the technical term in the market. 608 00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:24,600 Speaker 1: So I hope nobody takes any offense. It wouldn't be 609 00:36:24,640 --> 00:36:28,040 Speaker 1: the first time it was said on all lots. Yeah, 610 00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:30,320 Speaker 1: I'll be more careful about some of the other technical 611 00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:34,040 Speaker 1: terms that are often bandied about in the markets. So 612 00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:39,440 Speaker 1: when the broker has a conflict of interest and the 613 00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:41,880 Speaker 1: client doesn't even recognize it, the broker is not going 614 00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:44,040 Speaker 1: to be too eager to change it because the broker 615 00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:45,839 Speaker 1: is going to act in their self interest, and their 616 00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:48,759 Speaker 1: self interest is usually too to go along and keep 617 00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:51,640 Speaker 1: things simple. And in some cases they even get paid 618 00:36:51,640 --> 00:36:53,600 Speaker 1: for order flow. But I don't think that happens in 619 00:36:53,640 --> 00:36:56,400 Speaker 1: the bond markets. That may be misinformed. So that's a 620 00:36:56,640 --> 00:36:59,680 Speaker 1: that's a potential problem. And then another potential problem was 621 00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:03,080 Speaker 1: this um uh. Economists call it the order flow problem, 622 00:37:03,120 --> 00:37:05,960 Speaker 1: but if you're just a regular person, you just know 623 00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:08,880 Speaker 1: it as a notion that liquidity attracts liquidity. And we 624 00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:12,319 Speaker 1: discussed it earlier when we talked about how difficult it 625 00:37:12,400 --> 00:37:15,120 Speaker 1: is to start a new market. You got a new 626 00:37:15,200 --> 00:37:20,360 Speaker 1: market exactly. It's a cracker jack market. But the problem 627 00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:24,000 Speaker 1: is is that it never gets off the ground until 628 00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:26,000 Speaker 1: people are willing to trade there. And they're not willing 629 00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:27,520 Speaker 1: to trade there because I've got to get their stuff 630 00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:30,400 Speaker 1: done right away. So that's it. That's a problem that 631 00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:33,560 Speaker 1: inhibits competition. We all may be better off with that 632 00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:36,760 Speaker 1: cracker jack market. You know, maybe it's an order driven 633 00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:39,600 Speaker 1: market with all the bells and whistles that will make 634 00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:42,879 Speaker 1: trading super efficient, like we see in the equity markets, 635 00:37:43,000 --> 00:37:45,720 Speaker 1: and then to a lesser extent in the options markets, 636 00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:49,960 Speaker 1: and certainly in the futures markets. We we may want 637 00:37:50,000 --> 00:37:51,919 Speaker 1: that and it could be better, but we may never 638 00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:56,680 Speaker 1: get there without the assistance of a regulator. So these problems, 639 00:37:57,040 --> 00:38:00,520 Speaker 1: agency problems and externalities see the fan see words that 640 00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:05,920 Speaker 1: economists know and use. These problems ensure that that free 641 00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:10,319 Speaker 1: markets don't often don't always produce competitive markets. And so 642 00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:14,239 Speaker 1: this is where political fossiphy can diverge. I am a 643 00:38:14,360 --> 00:38:17,280 Speaker 1: hundred percent in favor of free market, of free markets 644 00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:21,960 Speaker 1: when free markets produce competitive markets. But if a free 645 00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:25,840 Speaker 1: market is got problems like agency problems or externalities that 646 00:38:26,120 --> 00:38:29,200 Speaker 1: ensure that we don't get to the competitive solution, then 647 00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:32,960 Speaker 1: we need to have a very light hand that will 648 00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:37,600 Speaker 1: give a nudge. I'm avoiding the word that that nasty 649 00:38:37,640 --> 00:38:40,239 Speaker 1: word regulation, but to give a nudge to get us 650 00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:44,040 Speaker 1: to the right equilium, to get a structure that benefits everybody. 651 00:38:44,239 --> 00:38:46,520 Speaker 1: We should talk for a moment why we care about this. 652 00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:50,080 Speaker 1: Even though we have the very best markets in the 653 00:38:50,120 --> 00:38:54,040 Speaker 1: world in the bonds, they could still be substantially better, 654 00:38:54,080 --> 00:38:57,480 Speaker 1: and if they were better, we would all benefit. So 655 00:38:58,080 --> 00:39:02,280 Speaker 1: volumes would increase substantially, which ironically would benefit the dealers. 656 00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:06,719 Speaker 1: Transaction costs would drop, and uh we would you know, 657 00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:09,799 Speaker 1: people who are saving for the retirement would be able 658 00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:14,440 Speaker 1: to save more efficiently, and issuers would see lower issuance 659 00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:17,480 Speaker 1: costs because the cost of issuing a bond depends on 660 00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:20,440 Speaker 1: how liquid the market's going to be after you've issued 661 00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:23,200 Speaker 1: the bond. People don't want to pay so much for 662 00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:25,160 Speaker 1: a bond that will be locked up forever if they 663 00:39:25,239 --> 00:39:27,080 Speaker 1: need the money out, they don't want to lose a 664 00:39:27,120 --> 00:39:30,200 Speaker 1: lot trying to sell it. But if the bond looks 665 00:39:30,200 --> 00:39:32,280 Speaker 1: like it's going to trade in a highly liquid market, 666 00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:35,080 Speaker 1: they'll pay more for the bond. And when people pay 667 00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:39,239 Speaker 1: more for initial public offerings to bonds, when the corporations 668 00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:41,640 Speaker 1: are funding, it means they're funding costs are lower and 669 00:39:41,680 --> 00:39:44,399 Speaker 1: so that's good for them as well. So there are 670 00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:48,319 Speaker 1: a lot of really important and very valuable benefits that 671 00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:52,040 Speaker 1: are associated with making these markets that are markets. But 672 00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:55,160 Speaker 1: there are some strong vested interests. Give you a note 673 00:39:55,160 --> 00:39:59,640 Speaker 1: on a story about vested interests. So the SEC adopted trace, 674 00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:02,880 Speaker 1: we talked about it at length. At the same time, 675 00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:07,480 Speaker 1: the Canadian markets were faced with the same proposal and 676 00:40:07,520 --> 00:40:13,200 Speaker 1: they didn't do it. They since have adopted post trade transparency, 677 00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:15,200 Speaker 1: you know, to show you what the trade prices were, 678 00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:17,520 Speaker 1: but it took them ten fifteen years to do it. 679 00:40:18,040 --> 00:40:21,160 Speaker 1: And the reason perhaps was that the regulator there was 680 00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:24,319 Speaker 1: the Bank of Canada, and the Bank of Canada has 681 00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:28,520 Speaker 1: a close relationship with the large dealers and as a consequence, 682 00:40:28,600 --> 00:40:31,440 Speaker 1: they just didn't want to rock the boat. This despite 683 00:40:31,480 --> 00:40:35,960 Speaker 1: the fact that there's overwhelming evidence from America that the 684 00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:40,720 Speaker 1: world didn't end as some people suggested with those bond 685 00:40:40,760 --> 00:40:44,120 Speaker 1: prices being made public, and likewise, the world's not going 686 00:40:44,200 --> 00:40:48,160 Speaker 1: to end if bonds were traded in order driven systems, 687 00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:51,520 Speaker 1: because we see order driven systems trading similar instruments all 688 00:40:51,520 --> 00:40:54,000 Speaker 1: the time all throughout the world and in the United 689 00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:58,120 Speaker 1: States as well. So lots of fears about the end 690 00:40:58,160 --> 00:41:16,839 Speaker 1: of the world, but I'm not there. Well, can I 691 00:41:16,880 --> 00:41:21,120 Speaker 1: just ask one devil's advocate point on this idea of 692 00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:26,600 Speaker 1: regulation versus natural market evolution, And it kind of relates 693 00:41:26,640 --> 00:41:28,600 Speaker 1: back to something I said in the intro, which is 694 00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:31,480 Speaker 1: this idea that over the past year or so you 695 00:41:31,600 --> 00:41:35,920 Speaker 1: have seen something of an improvement or a migration in 696 00:41:36,080 --> 00:41:41,000 Speaker 1: the amount of bond trades that are actually electronic UM 697 00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:43,399 Speaker 1: and going through some of those platforms. So I think 698 00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:47,320 Speaker 1: I cited the Greenwich Associates data that had the number 699 00:41:47,360 --> 00:41:51,239 Speaker 1: of i G Investment grade bond transactions UM that were 700 00:41:51,280 --> 00:41:57,920 Speaker 1: electronic at UM currently versus something like less than at 701 00:41:57,960 --> 00:42:03,160 Speaker 1: the beginning of So something happened in UM, you know 702 00:42:03,239 --> 00:42:07,600 Speaker 1: the pandemic. You had the Federal Reserve buying corporate bond 703 00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:11,800 Speaker 1: e t s for the first time. Those two things 704 00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:17,799 Speaker 1: arguably have helped shift the market more than previous regulation 705 00:42:17,960 --> 00:42:21,880 Speaker 1: or some of these previous private efforts have done in 706 00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:24,680 Speaker 1: the past. So is there an argument to be made 707 00:42:24,719 --> 00:42:28,839 Speaker 1: that you could just let the bond market continue its 708 00:42:28,920 --> 00:42:35,719 Speaker 1: natural progression and maybe eventually people will change their behavior. UM. 709 00:42:35,840 --> 00:42:38,279 Speaker 1: Certainly you could make that argument. There's strong evidence that 710 00:42:38,840 --> 00:42:42,600 Speaker 1: this is what's happening, and it may continue to accelerate. 711 00:42:43,280 --> 00:42:46,799 Speaker 1: The two stories that you offered may have contributed. But 712 00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:49,880 Speaker 1: I think there was another story even stronger, which was 713 00:42:49,960 --> 00:42:54,040 Speaker 1: that as a result of Basil three UM, the large 714 00:42:54,080 --> 00:42:58,240 Speaker 1: banks came to be at a disadvantage to proprietary traders 715 00:42:58,239 --> 00:43:01,360 Speaker 1: when dealing bonds. And we can talk about what that 716 00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:07,040 Speaker 1: disadvantage was, but basically, when holding a bond portfolio, UH, 717 00:43:07,400 --> 00:43:12,000 Speaker 1: the banks have to hold more capital against the positions 718 00:43:12,280 --> 00:43:16,080 Speaker 1: than do proprietary traders have to hold. And as a consequence, 719 00:43:16,160 --> 00:43:19,399 Speaker 1: the banks could not compete as effectively as they had 720 00:43:19,520 --> 00:43:23,759 Speaker 1: competed before, which meant that a lot of the personnel 721 00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:27,520 Speaker 1: at those banks left and form their own proprietary trading 722 00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:31,120 Speaker 1: groups or joined other proprietary trading groups. And all of 723 00:43:31,160 --> 00:43:33,960 Speaker 1: a sudden, you have a core of highly skilled dealers 724 00:43:34,200 --> 00:43:39,640 Speaker 1: in a proprietary environment that want to make money, and uh, 725 00:43:39,760 --> 00:43:44,160 Speaker 1: they're electronically sophisticated. And I believe that it was probably 726 00:43:44,280 --> 00:43:49,080 Speaker 1: these guys who have made the electronic venues more liquid 727 00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:52,600 Speaker 1: and has given us that and I expect that that 728 00:43:52,600 --> 00:43:55,400 Speaker 1: will that trend will continue, and I think that's I 729 00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:58,640 Speaker 1: think that's a good thing. And indeed, if you look 730 00:43:58,640 --> 00:44:03,120 Speaker 1: at studies of spreads, we see that spreads have indeed 731 00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:06,160 Speaker 1: dropped in the bond markets because of the more competition 732 00:44:06,200 --> 00:44:10,279 Speaker 1: from these electronic entities. And there's of course two competitions 733 00:44:10,320 --> 00:44:12,080 Speaker 1: here that we want to promote both of them. There's 734 00:44:12,120 --> 00:44:15,080 Speaker 1: the competition for best price, which works best when you 735 00:44:15,080 --> 00:44:17,480 Speaker 1: put everybody in the same place. Best price means that 736 00:44:17,560 --> 00:44:20,360 Speaker 1: buyers looking for the lowest purchase price in the sellers 737 00:44:20,400 --> 00:44:23,080 Speaker 1: looking for the highest sales price. They also have the 738 00:44:23,120 --> 00:44:27,320 Speaker 1: competition to be the venue that hosts that competition, whether 739 00:44:27,360 --> 00:44:30,240 Speaker 1: it's an exchange or a broker, or just a dealer 740 00:44:30,320 --> 00:44:33,120 Speaker 1: who says, I'll take the other side and give you 741 00:44:33,160 --> 00:44:36,880 Speaker 1: the liquidity. So we like to have both competitions, but 742 00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:40,719 Speaker 1: the two competitions don't coexist particularly well with each other, 743 00:44:40,760 --> 00:44:45,719 Speaker 1: and the sec and over time has leaned towards promoting 744 00:44:45,719 --> 00:44:49,640 Speaker 1: one competition versus the other competition. And what's really interesting, 745 00:44:49,640 --> 00:44:51,759 Speaker 1: of course, is that anybody who has a position in 746 00:44:51,800 --> 00:44:55,200 Speaker 1: these markets about my position, I don't mean their bond position, 747 00:44:55,280 --> 00:44:57,480 Speaker 1: but I mean they're their opinion about how they should 748 00:44:57,480 --> 00:45:00,080 Speaker 1: be organized. Anybody has a such an a pain and 749 00:45:00,600 --> 00:45:05,359 Speaker 1: always cites their opinion is being pro competitive. So if 750 00:45:05,400 --> 00:45:08,120 Speaker 1: they want to see more centralization, they say they want 751 00:45:08,160 --> 00:45:11,040 Speaker 1: to see the competition for best price enhance. That's really good. 752 00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:15,000 Speaker 1: And if they want to see more competition among exchange 753 00:45:15,080 --> 00:45:17,799 Speaker 1: venues and so forth, they say, the system as it 754 00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:20,880 Speaker 1: is is really competitive and that's important, and it's created 755 00:45:20,920 --> 00:45:25,400 Speaker 1: the best markets that ever were now until recently, they 756 00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:27,440 Speaker 1: are now the best markets that ever were. But until 757 00:45:27,520 --> 00:45:32,359 Speaker 1: recently before these electronic innovations, those markets back in UH 758 00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:35,640 Speaker 1: in the nineties at the stock exchange, they were better. 759 00:45:36,280 --> 00:45:38,040 Speaker 1: And how much better would they be now that we 760 00:45:38,080 --> 00:45:40,719 Speaker 1: have computers that can handle those filing cabinets. You know, 761 00:45:40,760 --> 00:45:45,480 Speaker 1: it's just a database problem. So it's pretty darn interesting. 762 00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:49,359 Speaker 1: One other issue it love to share with you. Yes, 763 00:45:49,520 --> 00:45:54,640 Speaker 1: ses regulatory framework for small retail traders in the bond 764 00:45:54,680 --> 00:45:58,799 Speaker 1: markets is dealer centric. The assumption is that dealers are 765 00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:02,359 Speaker 1: doing all the trades. In contrast, in the equity mark 766 00:46:02,480 --> 00:46:06,720 Speaker 1: is the regulatory framework is broker centric. It revolves around 767 00:46:06,719 --> 00:46:10,600 Speaker 1: the brokers, and so the difference is that the brokers 768 00:46:10,600 --> 00:46:15,480 Speaker 1: are required to get best execution. And but when the 769 00:46:15,480 --> 00:46:18,960 Speaker 1: the brokers are acting as dealers to you, there's a 770 00:46:19,040 --> 00:46:22,680 Speaker 1: sort of a different relationship. But quite frequently now that 771 00:46:22,719 --> 00:46:26,760 Speaker 1: the markets are electronic and where you have venues where 772 00:46:26,920 --> 00:46:29,759 Speaker 1: quotes are being aggregated, or we have dealers who are 773 00:46:29,840 --> 00:46:35,680 Speaker 1: sharing their quotes directly with brokers. Quite frequently a broker 774 00:46:35,760 --> 00:46:41,280 Speaker 1: dealer who offers bonds to their clients takes no position whatsoever. 775 00:46:41,400 --> 00:46:45,480 Speaker 1: They do what's called a riskless principal trade, which means 776 00:46:45,520 --> 00:46:48,760 Speaker 1: that they buy from a dealer and they immediately sell, 777 00:46:49,040 --> 00:46:52,279 Speaker 1: usually marking it up to their client, and they'll show 778 00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:54,239 Speaker 1: the client what's available because they have a list of 779 00:46:54,239 --> 00:46:56,320 Speaker 1: what the dealers say is available, and the client chooses 780 00:46:56,320 --> 00:46:59,160 Speaker 1: what they want and being of the trade is done okay. 781 00:46:59,160 --> 00:47:03,240 Speaker 1: So there's no principal risk involved with that transaction because 782 00:47:03,280 --> 00:47:08,320 Speaker 1: the intermediary, the broker, is literally acting as a broker, 783 00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:11,760 Speaker 1: but is regulated as a dealer. So there's a type 784 00:47:11,840 --> 00:47:15,719 Speaker 1: mismatch here. And uh, if there's a good reason that 785 00:47:15,960 --> 00:47:21,040 Speaker 1: we regulate broker dealers primarily as brokers when doing ristless 786 00:47:21,080 --> 00:47:24,800 Speaker 1: principal trades, which is essentially what they do when clients 787 00:47:24,840 --> 00:47:29,040 Speaker 1: buy stocks or options or futures, why don't we regulate 788 00:47:29,080 --> 00:47:32,400 Speaker 1: them the same way when they're trading bonds. And the 789 00:47:32,440 --> 00:47:38,279 Speaker 1: answer of courses bonds are different, so, but but I 790 00:47:38,320 --> 00:47:41,959 Speaker 1: don't think they really are so different. There's one other 791 00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:45,480 Speaker 1: question that I wanted to ask you, which is about 792 00:47:45,680 --> 00:47:49,919 Speaker 1: Gary Gensler, the new SEC commissioner. And you know, we've 793 00:47:49,920 --> 00:47:53,120 Speaker 1: seen him come in and he's made a lot of 794 00:47:53,160 --> 00:47:58,560 Speaker 1: noise about focusing on things like crypto and payment for 795 00:47:58,719 --> 00:48:02,000 Speaker 1: order flow in the equity market. Um, and you know, 796 00:48:02,120 --> 00:48:06,040 Speaker 1: general retail stock trading issues um seemed to be high 797 00:48:06,080 --> 00:48:10,200 Speaker 1: on his agenda, but he has also spoken quite a 798 00:48:10,200 --> 00:48:14,840 Speaker 1: bit about price transparency in the bond market and maybe 799 00:48:14,920 --> 00:48:18,400 Speaker 1: some other um improvements that you could make to the 800 00:48:18,440 --> 00:48:21,680 Speaker 1: regulatory structure. And I'm aware that we haven't really spoken 801 00:48:21,680 --> 00:48:25,680 Speaker 1: about a t S at all or alternative trading systems, 802 00:48:25,680 --> 00:48:29,160 Speaker 1: But is this something that you would expect Gensler to 803 00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:32,160 Speaker 1: be looking at in the next year or so. Do 804 00:48:32,200 --> 00:48:34,480 Speaker 1: you get the sense that this is high on the 805 00:48:34,600 --> 00:48:39,279 Speaker 1: SEC's priority list given what happened with fim Sak, all 806 00:48:39,280 --> 00:48:42,359 Speaker 1: that happened under Film SAC and most importantly, the constitution 807 00:48:42,360 --> 00:48:46,319 Speaker 1: of the committee itself took place under a SEC that 808 00:48:46,400 --> 00:48:51,400 Speaker 1: was dominated by more conservative political interests. So now we 809 00:48:51,480 --> 00:48:55,800 Speaker 1: have an SEC that's now dominated by somewhat more liberal 810 00:48:55,800 --> 00:48:59,640 Speaker 1: political interests, and as a consequence, there is a potential 811 00:48:59,680 --> 00:49:03,880 Speaker 1: for change here. My impression though, is that this is 812 00:49:03,960 --> 00:49:08,160 Speaker 1: not his hot issue. There's a variety of reasons why, 813 00:49:08,200 --> 00:49:10,480 Speaker 1: but the evidence that it's not a hot issue is 814 00:49:10,520 --> 00:49:13,720 Speaker 1: that he still has not appointed a full time director 815 00:49:13,800 --> 00:49:17,600 Speaker 1: for the Division of Trading and UH. It is now 816 00:49:17,640 --> 00:49:19,880 Speaker 1: called the Division of Trading and Markets. It used to 817 00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:22,800 Speaker 1: be called the division of market Regulation. I misspoke earlier 818 00:49:22,800 --> 00:49:25,440 Speaker 1: when I mentioned that. So he still has an acting 819 00:49:25,480 --> 00:49:29,040 Speaker 1: director who seems quite competent, but a acting director just 820 00:49:29,040 --> 00:49:32,439 Speaker 1: doesn't have the same power as a director. And then 821 00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:37,600 Speaker 1: all of his regulatory people report to a person in 822 00:49:37,680 --> 00:49:41,920 Speaker 1: his office who doesn't have a strong background in market structure. 823 00:49:42,000 --> 00:49:45,320 Speaker 1: She's an attorney. Her last job was a deputy general 824 00:49:45,320 --> 00:49:48,680 Speaker 1: counsel for a f l C. I Oh, I've never 825 00:49:48,760 --> 00:49:51,120 Speaker 1: met her. I'm sure she's a wonderful woman, and I'm 826 00:49:51,120 --> 00:49:54,560 Speaker 1: sure she's a very fast learner, as almost all attorneys are, 827 00:49:55,280 --> 00:49:58,480 Speaker 1: and I can assue every attorney thinks they are. But 828 00:49:58,680 --> 00:50:01,839 Speaker 1: it's not the same thing. And so uh so, just 829 00:50:01,920 --> 00:50:05,960 Speaker 1: from those omissions, if you will, I'd suggest that perhaps 830 00:50:06,120 --> 00:50:11,120 Speaker 1: some market structure issues aren't high on his regulatory agenda. Now, 831 00:50:11,160 --> 00:50:13,680 Speaker 1: all that said, there's a lot of money involved in 832 00:50:13,719 --> 00:50:15,760 Speaker 1: these issues, and when there's a lot of money involved 833 00:50:15,760 --> 00:50:19,400 Speaker 1: in the issues, vested interests will lobby their senators, and 834 00:50:19,480 --> 00:50:22,880 Speaker 1: so they make contributions to senators, and senators look at 835 00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:26,000 Speaker 1: that and say, Hey, the US bond markets are the 836 00:50:26,040 --> 00:50:28,080 Speaker 1: best markets in the world. Why would we ever want 837 00:50:28,120 --> 00:50:31,160 Speaker 1: tom up with them? Because just because some you know, 838 00:50:31,280 --> 00:50:34,520 Speaker 1: academic who thinks he knows something tells us that it 839 00:50:34,520 --> 00:50:37,439 Speaker 1: could be better. Well, you know what, I just don't 840 00:50:37,480 --> 00:50:39,880 Speaker 1: see it. And so you know, if the SEC proposes 841 00:50:39,960 --> 00:50:43,120 Speaker 1: to do something, as senator writes the letters saying not 842 00:50:43,239 --> 00:50:46,600 Speaker 1: an opposition, but can you kindly explain why you're doing 843 00:50:46,640 --> 00:50:49,680 Speaker 1: what you're doing, And then in between the lines, which 844 00:50:49,760 --> 00:50:52,399 Speaker 1: is not written, it's uh oh. And by the way, 845 00:50:52,840 --> 00:50:57,040 Speaker 1: you may recognize that I sit on the the Finance 846 00:50:57,080 --> 00:50:59,640 Speaker 1: Committee and we set your budget. And from the tone 847 00:50:59,640 --> 00:51:01,719 Speaker 1: of let or there's a little bit of skepticism and 848 00:51:01,760 --> 00:51:05,680 Speaker 1: sort of everybody knows, what's what? Why do senators do this? Well, 849 00:51:05,880 --> 00:51:09,439 Speaker 1: they do care about the markets, but it's an abstraction. 850 00:51:09,480 --> 00:51:12,919 Speaker 1: It's far away from them. They can raise capital, which 851 00:51:12,960 --> 00:51:16,600 Speaker 1: is political contributions, cheaply and then spend it where it's 852 00:51:16,600 --> 00:51:18,560 Speaker 1: more dear to them, on the issues that are more 853 00:51:18,560 --> 00:51:22,360 Speaker 1: important to them, whether it be abortion or early childhood 854 00:51:22,719 --> 00:51:26,799 Speaker 1: education or armed forces or who knows what roads doesn't matter. 855 00:51:27,520 --> 00:51:30,480 Speaker 1: And so what you see is senators on both sides 856 00:51:30,800 --> 00:51:34,560 Speaker 1: have this tendency to be co opted by strong interests, 857 00:51:34,760 --> 00:51:37,200 Speaker 1: and so what you need is a very very strong 858 00:51:37,760 --> 00:51:42,399 Speaker 1: SEC that can make the case and explain how much 859 00:51:42,440 --> 00:51:46,040 Speaker 1: better things would be if we do all this, because 860 00:51:46,080 --> 00:51:48,080 Speaker 1: it's going to be painful. The SEC will end up 861 00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:51,239 Speaker 1: being sued. They'll be letters from senators, and at some 862 00:51:51,280 --> 00:51:54,799 Speaker 1: point the letters can be less than subtle. So you 863 00:51:54,840 --> 00:51:59,040 Speaker 1: need you need somebody who's really been empowered. We had that, 864 00:51:59,440 --> 00:52:04,680 Speaker 1: uh under Harvey Pitt, who was actually too outspoken, but 865 00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:10,720 Speaker 1: it continued under Donaldson, and that's when Reagan mis NMS 866 00:52:10,840 --> 00:52:14,200 Speaker 1: was adopted over the objections of the Republicans. And it 867 00:52:14,239 --> 00:52:17,480 Speaker 1: was odd that Donaldson, a Republican, actually voted with the 868 00:52:17,480 --> 00:52:21,000 Speaker 1: two Democrats to adopt Reagan MS, but that was perhaps 869 00:52:21,040 --> 00:52:24,560 Speaker 1: because he said was at the closer to the end 870 00:52:24,560 --> 00:52:26,640 Speaker 1: of his career than to the beginning of his career 871 00:52:26,719 --> 00:52:29,520 Speaker 1: and may have been thinking more as a statesman then 872 00:52:29,680 --> 00:52:32,799 Speaker 1: as somebody with vested interests. He also may not have 873 00:52:32,840 --> 00:52:35,000 Speaker 1: cared very much and just let staff do what they 874 00:52:35,000 --> 00:52:37,080 Speaker 1: wanted to do and they got away with it. But 875 00:52:37,239 --> 00:52:42,640 Speaker 1: it's it's difficult, no question about Yeah, I'm getting that sense, Larry. 876 00:52:42,719 --> 00:52:45,680 Speaker 1: This has been a fascinating conversation and I feel like 877 00:52:45,719 --> 00:52:49,800 Speaker 1: we could probably talk like all day potentially about SEC 878 00:52:50,040 --> 00:52:54,080 Speaker 1: history and some of the political mechanations there. But thank 879 00:52:54,080 --> 00:52:56,640 Speaker 1: you so much, really appreciate you coming on all thoughts, 880 00:52:57,320 --> 00:53:00,880 Speaker 1: Thanks for this opportunity to share some really important insights 881 00:53:00,920 --> 00:53:17,080 Speaker 1: with you and your audience. Figure So clearly I enjoyed 882 00:53:17,080 --> 00:53:21,000 Speaker 1: that conversation. It's always a joy for me to get 883 00:53:21,040 --> 00:53:24,279 Speaker 1: back to talking about corporate bond market structure, And of 884 00:53:24,320 --> 00:53:26,920 Speaker 1: course a couple of the things that stand out is 885 00:53:27,000 --> 00:53:32,920 Speaker 1: that tension between a regulatory push towards fixing these agency 886 00:53:33,080 --> 00:53:38,960 Speaker 1: problems that Larry described versus the natural development of the market. 887 00:53:39,840 --> 00:53:42,759 Speaker 1: And part of me thinks, like, yes, we've seen some 888 00:53:42,880 --> 00:53:46,000 Speaker 1: improvement over the past couple of years or so, but 889 00:53:46,080 --> 00:53:48,959 Speaker 1: there is still so much further to go in what 890 00:53:49,160 --> 00:53:52,680 Speaker 1: is one of the most important markets in the world, 891 00:53:53,520 --> 00:53:56,720 Speaker 1: and it's sort of amazing to me that there isn't 892 00:53:56,800 --> 00:53:59,239 Speaker 1: more of a spotlight shown on this particular issue. But 893 00:53:59,320 --> 00:54:01,200 Speaker 1: on the other hand, I thought Larry did a very 894 00:54:01,200 --> 00:54:04,279 Speaker 1: good job of explaining some of the political considerations that 895 00:54:04,400 --> 00:54:09,680 Speaker 1: going into formulating the SEC's uh sort of agenda under 896 00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:14,160 Speaker 1: various personnel and new commissioners, and so maybe that explains it. 897 00:54:14,200 --> 00:54:17,680 Speaker 1: I can't imagine that telling people that your regulatory focus 898 00:54:17,719 --> 00:54:21,359 Speaker 1: really needs to be on fixing credit markets? Um, is 899 00:54:21,440 --> 00:54:24,840 Speaker 1: that much of a sexy topic for a broader audience, 900 00:54:24,880 --> 00:54:28,399 Speaker 1: Although you know, certainly, on this particular podcast, we try 901 00:54:28,440 --> 00:54:31,200 Speaker 1: to make it one all right. Um. I think I'm 902 00:54:31,200 --> 00:54:32,880 Speaker 1: gonna leave it there because it's weird to talk to 903 00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:36,120 Speaker 1: myself without Joe. This has been another episode of the 904 00:54:36,160 --> 00:54:38,960 Speaker 1: All Thoughts podcast. I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me 905 00:54:39,200 --> 00:54:42,520 Speaker 1: on Twitter at Tracy Alloway. You can follow my co 906 00:54:42,640 --> 00:54:46,239 Speaker 1: host Joe Wisenthal. He is at The Stalwart. You can 907 00:54:46,280 --> 00:54:50,759 Speaker 1: follow our producer Laura Carlson. She is at Laura M. Carlson. 908 00:54:51,280 --> 00:54:55,240 Speaker 1: And you should follow Bloomberg Podcasts. They are at podcasts. 909 00:54:55,520 --> 00:55:02,400 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to