1 00:00:01,600 --> 00:00:04,880 Speaker 1: From the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studios. This is Bloomberg day 2 00:00:04,880 --> 00:00:06,880 Speaker 1: Break for Friday, June sixteenth. 3 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:09,760 Speaker 2: Coming up today, stocks around the world are on track 4 00:00:09,840 --> 00:00:11,640 Speaker 2: for their best week since March. 5 00:00:12,119 --> 00:00:15,000 Speaker 1: The Bank of Japan skirts global trends and holds it 6 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:16,200 Speaker 1: stimulus in place. 7 00:00:16,520 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 2: Chinese President she Jenping meets with Microsoft founder Bill. 8 00:00:20,239 --> 00:00:23,639 Speaker 1: Gates, and Adobe is the latest tech company to ride 9 00:00:23,680 --> 00:00:24,800 Speaker 1: the AI Rally. 10 00:00:24,960 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 3: The New York command charge and the stabbing death of 11 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 3: another subway writer was released without bail, plus deadly tornadoes 12 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 3: in a Texas panhandletown. I'm Michael Barr. Oh, we're ahead. 13 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 4: I'm John Staff, Sharon's words, Ricky Fowler and Vanders shoftleish 14 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:39,880 Speaker 4: on sixty teens at the US Open. 15 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:42,600 Speaker 3: The metsos the Cardinals tonight. The Yankees are in Boston. 16 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 5: That's all straight ahead on Bloomberg day Break, the business 17 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:49,640 Speaker 5: news you need to starn your day in just one 18 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 5: fifteen minute podcast each morning on Apples, Spotify, the Bloomberg 19 00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 5: Business Appen everywhere you get your podcasts. 20 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:01,280 Speaker 6: Good morning, I'm Nathan. 21 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:04,200 Speaker 1: Hager and I'm Amy Morris. Here are the stories we're 22 00:01:04,240 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 1: following today. 23 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:07,720 Speaker 2: Stocks enter the final day of this week. On a 24 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 2: winning streak, the S and P five hundred has risen 25 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:12,600 Speaker 2: for six straight days, and it now tops the forty 26 00:01:12,600 --> 00:01:15,480 Speaker 2: four hundred level. The Dow is up almost twenty percent 27 00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:18,399 Speaker 2: from mid September low, while the Nasdaq one hundred hit 28 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:21,760 Speaker 2: its highest level since March of twenty twenty two thanks 29 00:01:21,760 --> 00:01:25,520 Speaker 2: to Apple, Nvidia, and Microsoft and e Toro Global market 30 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 2: strategist Ben Laylor thinks this rally has legs. 31 00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:30,679 Speaker 1: I think the tech rally is completely justified. 32 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:33,120 Speaker 7: I mean will see the earnings value where the earnings 33 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 7: growth thumbers turning up, whether it's AI, whether it's cost cutting, 34 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 7: whether it's investors looking for defensive growth. 35 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:42,360 Speaker 8: I think this rally is increasingly well balanced. 36 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:44,760 Speaker 2: Ben Ledler and Etro notes global stocks are on track 37 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:47,320 Speaker 2: for their best week since March, but trading today could 38 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 2: come with plenty of twists. In turns, we will see 39 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 2: a massive number of options contracts expired today in what 40 00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:55,160 Speaker 2: is known as quadruple witching. 41 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 1: And Nathan the Federal Reserve remains largely in focus on 42 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 1: the heels of this round, bets that the Central Bank 43 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:04,920 Speaker 1: will soon end its tightening cycle. Our fueling optimism, we 44 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 1: make it more clues today Saint Louis. FED President Jim 45 00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 1: Bullard and FED Governor Chris Wallers speak in Norway today. 46 00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 1: Richmond FED President Tom Barkin speaks on inflation at an 47 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:16,519 Speaker 1: event in Maryland this morning. 48 00:02:16,639 --> 00:02:19,240 Speaker 2: Well, so far, Amy, every FED decision in this tightening 49 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 2: cycle's been unanimous, and now Larry Summers warns diverging views 50 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 2: that the Central Bank could blow it off course. We 51 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 2: spoke with the former Treasury secretary for the latest edition 52 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 2: of Bloomberg Wall Street Week. 53 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:33,320 Speaker 9: I found the Fed's action a little bit confusing. This 54 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 9: meeting felt like it was driven as much by the 55 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 9: internal political dynamics of the FED as by any consistent 56 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:46,200 Speaker 9: and coherent reading of the economic situation, and that was 57 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:47,800 Speaker 9: a bit disturbing to me. 58 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:50,959 Speaker 2: Those comments from Larry Summers come after the FED paused 59 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:53,360 Speaker 2: rate hikes for the first time in fifteen months. Stay 60 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 2: tuned for more of that conversation coming up shortly on 61 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:56,480 Speaker 2: the program. 62 00:02:57,040 --> 00:03:00,640 Speaker 1: Central banks meanwhile, also in focus in Asia overnight, the 63 00:03:00,680 --> 00:03:03,600 Speaker 1: Bank of Japan held its stimulus measures in place, as 64 00:03:03,600 --> 00:03:07,640 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Daybreak Asia anchor Brian Curtis tells us the boj 65 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:10,000 Speaker 1: is waiting for more sustainable inflation. 66 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:13,639 Speaker 10: Governor Kazuo, who waited a left unchanged the boj's negative 67 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 10: interest rate and yield curve control program. Yen immediately weakened 68 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 10: against the dollar. Not that there was much doubt to 69 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 10: any of this, as it was predicted by forty four 70 00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 10: of forty seven economists we surveyed. Governor Huwaida has said 71 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 10: the cost of prematurely tightening policy could damage Japan's nascent 72 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:35,120 Speaker 10: inflation trend, and he's not willing to risk it. Still, 73 00:03:35,160 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 10: speculation rumbles on that a tweak may be coming in July. 74 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 10: Brian Curtis Bloomberg Daybreak. 75 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 2: Thank you, Brian, Turning to geopolitics now, Secretary of State 76 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 2: Anthony Blincoln remains on track to travel to China this weekend. 77 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 2: The nation's top diplomat will be in Beijing Sunday. He'll 78 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 2: speak with several top Chinese officials during his two day visit, 79 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:56,040 Speaker 2: including a possible meeting with China's President, Shei Jinping. 80 00:03:56,880 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 1: Meantime, President she has already met with another big name. 81 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 1: Microsoft founder Bill Gates sat down with China's president in Beijing. 82 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 1: She told the billionaire that China is willing to work 83 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 1: with the world on technology innovation and pandemic prevention Jimi. 84 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 2: Henry Kissinger is weighing in on geopolitics tied to China. 85 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 2: The former Secretary of State says a military conflict over 86 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 2: Taiwan is probable. That's if the current trajectory remains unchanged. 87 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:25,599 Speaker 2: The one hundred year old diplomat sat down for a 88 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:29,919 Speaker 2: wide ranging conversation with Bloomberg's editor in chief John Micklfwaite on. 89 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:35,039 Speaker 11: The current predictary of religions. I think some military conflict 90 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 11: is probable, but I also think the current predictary of 91 00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 11: religion must be alded. 92 00:04:42,040 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 2: And you can hear the full conversation with former Secretary 93 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 2: of State Henry Kissinger on Bloomberg Television. We'll have it 94 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:50,600 Speaker 2: for you tonight at eight pm Eastern Listen on demand 95 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:54,160 Speaker 2: on the Bloomberg Talks podcast. You can find that at Apple, Spotify, 96 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 2: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 97 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:58,760 Speaker 1: Turning back to the markets, now, we're seeing shares of 98 00:04:58,800 --> 00:05:01,520 Speaker 1: Adobe gaining this this morning. They're up more than three 99 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 1: percent in early trading. The company is raising its full 100 00:05:04,640 --> 00:05:08,960 Speaker 1: year outlook on optimism that artificial intelligence will spur software demand. 101 00:05:09,240 --> 00:05:11,520 Speaker 1: We get those details from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. 102 00:05:11,640 --> 00:05:16,160 Speaker 7: Adobe is the longtime top seller of software for creative professionals. 103 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:21,000 Speaker 7: It is adding generative AI features throughout its products. Last week, 104 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 7: the company unveiled enterprise level subscriptions for the new tools, 105 00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 7: which include legal assurance against copyright claims. In New York, 106 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:33,039 Speaker 7: Charlie Pellett Bloomberg Daybreak, All right, Charlie, thanks, we have 107 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 7: news on Bank of America this morning. We're told the 108 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:38,360 Speaker 7: firm's commercial banking unit is seeing a surge in new clients. 109 00:05:38,360 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 7: In Bloomberg's Doug Krisner has that story. 110 00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:43,359 Speaker 12: It follows the failure of several regional banks in the 111 00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:47,040 Speaker 12: US during March. Biave says its commercial banking unit had 112 00:05:47,040 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 12: an increase of fifty five percent in new clients in 113 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 12: the month of May compared to last year, and the 114 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:55,480 Speaker 12: momentum is expected to continue. Bank of America saying the 115 00:05:55,600 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 12: unit is on track to report fifty percent growth in 116 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:01,839 Speaker 12: customer editions for all of twenty twenty three. That would 117 00:06:01,880 --> 00:06:05,560 Speaker 12: be up from thirty five percent of new relationships last year, 118 00:06:05,640 --> 00:06:08,320 Speaker 12: and as a result, Bank of America is planning to 119 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:11,279 Speaker 12: bulk up staffing to keep up with demand. This will 120 00:06:11,279 --> 00:06:15,000 Speaker 12: include hiring senior bankers from outside firms in New York. 121 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 12: I'm Doug Prisner, Bloomberg Daybreak. 122 00:06:16,760 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 7: Thank you, Doug. 123 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 1: Walt. Disney losing a top executive, the company's chief financial 124 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:23,839 Speaker 1: officer taking a family medical leave of absence, stepping down 125 00:06:23,839 --> 00:06:26,240 Speaker 1: from a role as the wear at the world's largest 126 00:06:26,320 --> 00:06:29,520 Speaker 1: entertainment company. Disney says Christine McCarthy will be replaced on 127 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:32,919 Speaker 1: an interim basis by Kevin Lansberry, the CFO of Disney's 128 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:36,800 Speaker 1: Theme Parks division. And this is Bloomberg. 129 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:42,839 Speaker 2: Time now to take a look at some of the 130 00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:44,920 Speaker 2: other stories making news in New York and around the 131 00:06:44,960 --> 00:06:46,560 Speaker 2: world with Bloomberg's Michael Varr. 132 00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:49,320 Speaker 3: Good morning, Michael, Good morning. Nathan, a twenty year old 133 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 3: man accused in Tuesday's deadly subway stabbing of a passenger 134 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:57,000 Speaker 3: in Brooklyn, was released without bail. Jordan Williams was charged 135 00:06:57,040 --> 00:06:59,720 Speaker 3: with manslaughter and criminal possession of a weapon in the 136 00:07:00,160 --> 00:07:03,440 Speaker 3: of a homeless man, thirty six year old Victor Waddrogo. 137 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:07,599 Speaker 3: Witnesses say Waydrogo was harassing subway riders and at one 138 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 3: point punched William's girlfriend before the deadly stabbing. William's attorney, 139 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:15,560 Speaker 3: Jason Goldman, told ABC seven. It is a clear case 140 00:07:15,600 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 3: of self defense. 141 00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:17,960 Speaker 4: You have two choices right now. 142 00:07:18,040 --> 00:07:21,120 Speaker 13: List You can sit there and get assaulted and your 143 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 13: friends or family or loved ones can get assaulted and 144 00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:28,080 Speaker 13: seriously injured. Or you can fight back and get arrested 145 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:31,080 Speaker 13: and maybe get charged. Maybe you go to rikers, maybe 146 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:33,400 Speaker 13: get released. So you know, what are you supposed to do. 147 00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 3: William's mother says that her son cares about life and 148 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:41,160 Speaker 3: is extremely remorseful. A deadly outbreak of severe weather, at 149 00:07:41,240 --> 00:07:43,400 Speaker 3: least three people are dead and more than one hundred 150 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 3: injured in the Texas panhandled town of Perryton. A mobile 151 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 3: home park took a direct hit. Perrington Fire Chief Paul Dutcher. 152 00:07:51,280 --> 00:07:55,040 Speaker 14: Searching these areas, searching the brifield seat, making sure we've 153 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:56,920 Speaker 14: got people gathered up. 154 00:07:57,280 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 3: Tornadoes were also reported from Oklahoma to Michigan. At least 155 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:04,960 Speaker 3: fifteen people were killed and ten others were hurt after 156 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:08,280 Speaker 3: a bus carrying more than two dozen people crashed into 157 00:08:08,280 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 3: a semi truck in Manitoba, Canada. Authority to say the 158 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:15,400 Speaker 3: bus crossed the westbound lanes of Highway One and was 159 00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 3: crossing the eastbound lanes when it collided with the semi 160 00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 3: As drama continues with Republicans in the House, the country 161 00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:26,800 Speaker 3: is potentially headed for another showdown on government funding in October. 162 00:08:27,040 --> 00:08:28,280 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's Ad Baxter. 163 00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 15: Reports even though a bipartisan bill raised the debt ceiling 164 00:08:32,160 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 15: while cutting spending passed earlier this month, this is another 165 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 15: battle of funding, another round. Senator Lindsey Graham says not 166 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:40,800 Speaker 15: looking good. 167 00:08:40,920 --> 00:08:44,280 Speaker 13: The chance of passing all the appropriation bills. 168 00:08:45,320 --> 00:08:47,720 Speaker 12: For the House and Center bree On numbers almost zero. 169 00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:51,000 Speaker 15: Raam says there is a big divide between the two 170 00:08:51,080 --> 00:08:55,080 Speaker 15: chambers of the legislature in San Francisco. I'm at Baxter 171 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 15: Bloomberg Daybreak. 172 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:59,560 Speaker 3: The Supreme Court, in a seven to two decision, upheld 173 00:08:59,559 --> 00:09:03,400 Speaker 3: a land law giving Native American families priority in the 174 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:07,160 Speaker 3: adoption of Native children. A white Texas couple had challenged 175 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 3: the law as discriminatory on the basis of race. Global 176 00:09:10,559 --> 00:09:13,480 Speaker 3: News twenty four hours a day, powered by more than 177 00:09:13,600 --> 00:09:17,720 Speaker 3: twenty seven hundred journalists nanailists in over one hundred twenty countries. 178 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 3: How Michael Barr, this is Bloomberg, Nathan. 179 00:09:20,720 --> 00:09:25,760 Speaker 8: Thank you, Michael. 180 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:28,320 Speaker 2: Time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update. Bront you by 181 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:31,040 Speaker 2: tri State out He good morning, John Stasher. 182 00:09:30,600 --> 00:09:33,880 Speaker 4: Good morning, Nathan. US Open courses are traditionally known to 183 00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 4: be extremely challenging, even for the best golfers in the world, 184 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 4: not really the case of the LA Country Club, ideal 185 00:09:39,240 --> 00:09:43,520 Speaker 4: conditions led to two historic rounds of sixty two Ricky 186 00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:46,600 Speaker 4: Fowler and Xander Shoffley. There had only been one sixty 187 00:09:46,640 --> 00:09:50,200 Speaker 4: two ever in any major Brandon Grace six years ago 188 00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:53,040 Speaker 4: at the FGA. Shofley was bogey free. Fowler set a 189 00:09:53,080 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 4: record with ten verdies. He made five birdie putts of 190 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:57,040 Speaker 4: more than ten feet. 191 00:09:57,200 --> 00:10:00,640 Speaker 14: I didn't really know or see any score, and then 192 00:10:00,679 --> 00:10:03,520 Speaker 14: I saw that Alexander was at seven at that point, 193 00:10:04,559 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 14: and I'm not sure if he even knew where I 194 00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:08,199 Speaker 14: was or anything, but it was kind of cool to 195 00:10:08,200 --> 00:10:10,199 Speaker 14: just see if he did. To see he you know, 196 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:12,480 Speaker 14: kind of latched on and we were, you know, taking 197 00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:12,960 Speaker 14: off of it. 198 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:16,040 Speaker 4: Both Fowler and Shofley have been chasing their first career 199 00:10:16,080 --> 00:10:19,280 Speaker 4: major victory after numerous close calls. Although Faller had been 200 00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:21,520 Speaker 4: in a deep slump the last two years, he had 201 00:10:21,520 --> 00:10:23,839 Speaker 4: not even qualified to play the Open. Dustin Johnson in 202 00:10:23,840 --> 00:10:26,840 Speaker 4: twenty sixteen Open winner only two shots behind the co 203 00:10:26,920 --> 00:10:29,760 Speaker 4: leaders and Rory McElroy, whose only open victory was twelve 204 00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:33,319 Speaker 4: years ago, trails by three round two. Today, the public 205 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:35,880 Speaker 4: money to help build a new stadium in Las Vegas 206 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:38,040 Speaker 4: and the Oakland A's now a done deal. It still 207 00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:40,720 Speaker 4: needs the approval of the owners, but Baseball Comvensioner Rob 208 00:10:40,760 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 4: Manford said he feels sorry for A's fans, but that 209 00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 4: there was no community sport to keep the team in Oakland. 210 00:10:46,040 --> 00:10:48,360 Speaker 4: Yankees and Red Sox Night at Fenway, Yanks first visit 211 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:51,080 Speaker 4: to Boston. Mets host the Cardinals, who are fifteen games 212 00:10:51,160 --> 00:10:54,480 Speaker 4: under five hundred. Homer Jones has passed away a speedy 213 00:10:54,559 --> 00:10:58,000 Speaker 4: Giants receiver in the late nineteen sixties, and after a touchdown, 214 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:01,560 Speaker 4: Jones made history becoming the first and then spike the ball. 215 00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:05,080 Speaker 4: Homer Jones was eighty two. John Stashedward Bloomberg. 216 00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:11,199 Speaker 8: Sports from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, 217 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:16,239 Speaker 8: Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syrias Exam the Bloomberg 218 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:18,280 Speaker 8: Business Appen Bloomberg dot Com. 219 00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:23,080 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. It 220 00:11:23,160 --> 00:11:25,320 Speaker 2: has been quite the week on Wall Street. We are 221 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 2: coming off six straight winning sessions for stocks. We saw 222 00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:33,440 Speaker 2: mixed US inflation report. Headline prices cooled while core inflation rose. 223 00:11:33,520 --> 00:11:36,320 Speaker 2: Traders saw that as dubvish, And finally we got a 224 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:39,000 Speaker 2: pause in rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, the first 225 00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:42,600 Speaker 2: time they did not raise rates in fifteen months. Let's 226 00:11:42,679 --> 00:11:45,080 Speaker 2: take stock of it all now with Larry Summers, the 227 00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:49,040 Speaker 2: Bloomberg News contributor and former US Treasury secretary, sat down 228 00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:52,280 Speaker 2: for a conversation with Bloomberg's Romaine Bostick. Let's listen in 229 00:11:52,320 --> 00:11:53,320 Speaker 2: to part of that right. 230 00:11:53,160 --> 00:11:56,200 Speaker 16: Now, Larry, let's talk about the FED meeting more importantly. 231 00:11:56,200 --> 00:12:00,440 Speaker 16: That FED pause not necessarily a surprise, but do you 232 00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:01,439 Speaker 16: think it was appropriate? 233 00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:04,959 Speaker 9: I'm not sure. I found the Fed's action a little 234 00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:12,640 Speaker 9: bit confusing. I understand the arguments for not hiking at 235 00:12:12,640 --> 00:12:17,319 Speaker 9: this meeting, but those arguments wouldn't point towards signaling to 236 00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:22,880 Speaker 9: further rate increases. They wouldn't point towards significantly revising the 237 00:12:22,920 --> 00:12:28,679 Speaker 9: forecast towards a stronger economy and more inflation. I understand 238 00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:33,800 Speaker 9: the arguments for having gone the other way, but I 239 00:12:33,840 --> 00:12:40,000 Speaker 9: don't really understand the internal consistency of an approach of 240 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:46,440 Speaker 9: pausing at this meeting. But then signaling to further rate 241 00:12:46,520 --> 00:12:49,920 Speaker 9: hikes down the road, and signaling that they no longer 242 00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:54,079 Speaker 9: expect unemployment to increase nearly as much as they used 243 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 9: to expect it. So this meeting felt like it was 244 00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:01,800 Speaker 9: driven as much by the internal political dynamics of the 245 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:07,680 Speaker 9: FED as by any consistent and coherent reading of the 246 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:11,200 Speaker 9: economic situation, and that was a bit disturbing. 247 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:13,959 Speaker 16: They raised some of their economic projections, or at least 248 00:13:13,960 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 16: they improved a little bit here, but you still have 249 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:18,320 Speaker 16: a market that seems to be betting on this idea 250 00:13:18,800 --> 00:13:21,920 Speaker 16: of a recession, the idea that the FED itself may 251 00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:24,120 Speaker 16: have actually overtightened, or at least is on its way 252 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 16: to doing that. 253 00:13:25,480 --> 00:13:28,559 Speaker 9: That would not be my best guess. I think it's 254 00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:32,560 Speaker 9: very hard to read. But my best guess is that 255 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:37,760 Speaker 9: the consumer, which is seventy percent of the economy, appears 256 00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:43,720 Speaker 9: to be running really quite strong. At this point. We've 257 00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:49,760 Speaker 9: got very strong employment data, much faster than population growth. 258 00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 9: The indicators on wages are a bit mixed, but the 259 00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:58,360 Speaker 9: ones that seem most reliable to me that adjusts for 260 00:13:58,520 --> 00:14:04,800 Speaker 9: changes in the composition the labor force are showing substantial strength. 261 00:14:05,400 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 7: So I don't see. 262 00:14:07,559 --> 00:14:12,360 Speaker 9: The idea that we've got a durable reduction in inflation 263 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:18,120 Speaker 9: clearly established, nor do I see clear evidence of a 264 00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:24,520 Speaker 9: slowing coming. So in that context, I think the FED 265 00:14:25,080 --> 00:14:31,280 Speaker 9: has probably got to maintain a posture of moving towards restraint. 266 00:14:31,840 --> 00:14:35,560 Speaker 9: But I think that they ought to decide what their 267 00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:40,880 Speaker 9: balancing of risks is. And I was struck that the 268 00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:46,280 Speaker 9: balancing of risks that was implicit in not moving this 269 00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:50,440 Speaker 9: time was kind of inconsistent with the balancing of risks 270 00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:55,520 Speaker 9: that that was signaled by the two tightenings and by 271 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:58,640 Speaker 9: the forecast revisions. 272 00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:02,040 Speaker 16: I want to go overseas to China. They had a 273 00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:04,400 Speaker 16: much different policy meeting coming out of the People's Bank 274 00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:06,400 Speaker 16: of China a cut and there's been a lot of 275 00:15:06,440 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 16: discussion here Larry about the health of the Chinese economy 276 00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:11,680 Speaker 16: and light of the data we've gotten and a lot 277 00:15:11,720 --> 00:15:14,160 Speaker 16: of some of the reports by Bloomberg and others that 278 00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:17,000 Speaker 16: they are considering fiscal or at least some sort of 279 00:15:17,000 --> 00:15:20,360 Speaker 16: economic stimulus measures to get that economy going back again. 280 00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:26,480 Speaker 9: I think the Chinese have a very difficult set of 281 00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:33,160 Speaker 9: challenges ahead of them. They're very serious financial overhangs coming 282 00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:37,920 Speaker 9: out of what's happening in real estate. I take a 283 00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 9: somewhat more medium term view of it. And what's an 284 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:46,920 Speaker 9: economy about. Economy is about people and it's about capital. 285 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:50,120 Speaker 9: And what we know is that the number of births 286 00:15:50,160 --> 00:15:54,200 Speaker 9: in China has fallen by almost fifty percent in the 287 00:15:54,280 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 9: last six years. And we know that Bloomberg reported that 288 00:16:00,640 --> 00:16:05,360 Speaker 9: the number of millionaires leaving China was kind of high, 289 00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:10,120 Speaker 9: high by historical standards and high by global standards. So 290 00:16:10,240 --> 00:16:16,760 Speaker 9: whether it's a supply of people investment in new capital, 291 00:16:17,200 --> 00:16:21,280 Speaker 9: I think you've got some fundamental bets that aren't running 292 00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:22,359 Speaker 9: that positive. 293 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:28,040 Speaker 6: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Today, your morning brief on the 294 00:16:28,080 --> 00:16:31,480 Speaker 6: story's making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 295 00:16:31,520 --> 00:16:34,520 Speaker 1: Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 296 00:16:34,640 --> 00:16:38,800 Speaker 1: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you 297 00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:40,000 Speaker 1: get your podcasts. 298 00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:42,840 Speaker 6: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 299 00:16:42,920 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 6: am Wall Street time, on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 300 00:16:45,560 --> 00:16:48,360 Speaker 6: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 301 00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:51,360 Speaker 6: Bloomberg one oh six to one in Boston, and Bloomberg 302 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:53,120 Speaker 6: ninety sixty in San Francisco. 303 00:16:53,320 --> 00:16:56,840 Speaker 1: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 304 00:16:56,920 --> 00:17:01,640 Speaker 1: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexi up Play Bloomberg eleven 305 00:17:01,720 --> 00:17:02,760 Speaker 1: thirty plus. 306 00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:05,760 Speaker 6: Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app, serious 307 00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:09,879 Speaker 6: XM Channel one nineteen, the iHeartRadio app, and on Bloomberg 308 00:17:09,960 --> 00:17:11,760 Speaker 6: dot Com. I'm Nathan Hager. 309 00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:15,320 Speaker 1: And I'm Amy Morris. Join us again tomorrow morning for 310 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:18,080 Speaker 1: all the news you need to start your day right 311 00:17:18,160 --> 00:17:19,720 Speaker 1: here on Bloomberg Daybreak