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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go there throwing into spect so

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Speaker 2: I'm saying it's a catch touch down.

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Speaker 1: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 1: go to win.

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Speaker 3: That's incredible.

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Speaker 1: Big banks, all banks.

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Speaker 4: I like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right, this is the.

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Speaker 4: Ultimate kabak if you want to beat and we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Welcome into the Action Network Podcast presented by FanDuel. This

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Speaker 2: is your NFL Week nine Best Bets episode. I'm your host,

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Speaker 2: Brendan Glasheen, joined by three Action Network experts. I'll intro

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Speaker 2: them momentarily. They're going to be going through their three

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Speaker 2: favorite bets for the upcoming Week nine Sunday Monday slate.

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Speaker 2: As a reminder, you can find all of the picks

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Speaker 2: from the show, as well as the Sunday six pack

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Speaker 2: with Raybond and Stucky, all logged on this account Action

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Speaker 2: Network NFL Picks. We had a marvelous dandy Week eight,

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Speaker 2: eight and four. The record plus ten point six eight units,

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Speaker 2: thank you, mister Brandon Anderson. The plus seven point fifty

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Speaker 2: niners rams first half Niners full time amazing.

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Speaker 3: So for the season we are forty thirty and two

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Speaker 3: that is the record. The gens joining me today.

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Speaker 2: Brandon Anderson has mentioned Anthony Dubundo. I was going to

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Speaker 2: make a dumb joke and call you Anthony charge as

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Speaker 2: opposed to Vegas refund.

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Speaker 3: But kind of a bad joke see Heavy Crickets. Yeah, anyway, Anthony,

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Speaker 3: thanks for being here. Jill Gallant joins us.

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Speaker 2: He's also the host of The Touchdown Show, which is

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Speaker 2: every Sunday morning during the season ten thirty am Eastern

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Speaker 2: live on the Action app, Action HQ Twitter, as well

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Speaker 2: as the Action.

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Speaker 3: HQ YouTube page.

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Speaker 2: So six teams on the by this week, the Browns,

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys, the Broncos, Yes.

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Speaker 3: Giants, Steelers, Niners.

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Speaker 2: It feels repetitive, folks, but I think we got to

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Speaker 2: keep hitting on the trendy stuff that's been happening in

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Speaker 2: the NFL. At the midway point, underdogs are still rolling,

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Speaker 2: hitting at a fifty seven percent clip seventy fifty two

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Speaker 2: and one against the spread. We have favorites of seven

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Speaker 2: points or more seven games under five hundred against the

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Speaker 2: spread at ten and seventeen. We have three of those

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Speaker 2: this weekend, case minus twelve and a half against the Titans.

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Speaker 2: The Bills are laying eleven and a half against the

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Speaker 2: Jets on the road and the Bengals, who just came

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Speaker 2: off an ugly loss on Monday night. They are laying

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Speaker 2: seven and a half against the Panthers. It's the least

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Speaker 2: profitable start for touchdown favorites since two thousand and four,

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Speaker 2: and unders continued to roll as well fifty eight percent clip.

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Speaker 2: It's the best start for the under through eight games

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Speaker 2: in the last twenty years, the second best last year

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Speaker 2: sixty eight fifty six and one against the number through

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Speaker 2: eight games.

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Speaker 3: Okay, housekeeping is over.

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Speaker 2: Before we get to the best bets, we want a

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Speaker 2: sentence to describe the week nine betting card.

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Speaker 3: Brandon Anderson, what comes to mind?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, we're halfway through the year, and for me, it's

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Speaker 4: an old bodaghetti by Loo Sell High. Look for a

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Speaker 4: spot threeek and invest when things are cheap and get

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Speaker 4: out when it is expensive.

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Speaker 5: Jill Gallant find something else to do at four pm

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Speaker 5: Eastern Because I don't think schedule makers anticipated what these

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Speaker 5: matchups were going to be and how they were going

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Speaker 5: to play out by week nine. Because Rams Buccaneers on

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Speaker 5: paper looked like it was going to be an awesome matchup.

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Speaker 5: I'm not sure if anybody's gonna even want to watch it.

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Speaker 5: At the total set of forty two and a half,

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Speaker 5: it could just be a slog fest, very much a

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Speaker 5: frozen Pizza style of afternoon for sure.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we're gonna hear a lot of Tony Romo. I

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Speaker 3: don't know, Jim, I don't.

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Speaker 4: Know what to do here, Jim, what do we do?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot of confusion. And I think in that

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Speaker 2: game based on how those two teams are trending. Anthony Dubundo,

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Speaker 2: what do you have for us my week, Blues, We've

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Speaker 2: got six teams out of action.

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Speaker 1: We've got three games this week with a ten point spread.

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Speaker 1: There's not that much of a competitive board this week

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Speaker 1: for exciting games. And like Joe mentioned, the best game

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Speaker 1: on paper coming into the season has not lived up

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Speaker 1: to the hype. And I know brand that'll be watching

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks anyway. So at four o'clock, yeah.

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Speaker 3: We can watch.

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Speaker 2: You can watch Phillies highlights. In the meantime, you might

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Speaker 2: have home run highlights with all these bye weeks. Okay,

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Speaker 2: let's get to our first best bet of the day.

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Speaker 2: It will come from Brandon Anderson. As a reminder, these

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Speaker 2: guys have not consulted each other before making these picks

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Speaker 2: and logging them in our Google doc. So we might

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Speaker 2: have overlap, we might have contradictions.

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Speaker 3: We welcome all of it.

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Speaker 2: Every man for himself. Brandon, start us off. I think

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Speaker 2: you're taking us somewhere really tropical.

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Speaker 4: And beautiful, somewhere we all know and love, Seattle Island.

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Speaker 4: We are back Seahawks plus two in Arizona. Do you

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Speaker 4: think you traveled to Arizona for the winter, But let's

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Speaker 4: just stay at Seattle Island the whole time. Look, let's

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Speaker 4: do this again. We've been on Seattle Island for a

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Speaker 4: few weeks now and it's going well. Seattle has three

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Speaker 4: straight double digit wins. They beat the Giants, that's a

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Speaker 4: playoff team, they beat the Chargers, that's a playoff team.

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Speaker 4: And they beat these Cardinals, the team that they're playing

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Speaker 4: three weeks ago, nineteen to nine. Six of those points

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Speaker 4: weren't even scored by the offense. Arizona scored a field

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Speaker 4: goal on the opening drive and then not again the

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Speaker 4: whole arrest of the game. Six turnovers, six sacks. It

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Speaker 4: was ugly, and now we're still making Arizona the favorite again.

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Speaker 4: I appreciate it. Books. Thank you for the line. Seattle

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Speaker 4: is good. How many times we have to say it.

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Speaker 4: Seattle is good. They are over the last five weeks

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Speaker 4: top six in offense and defense by Dboa. The last

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Speaker 4: three weeks they are the number one defense that's including

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Speaker 4: against Arizona. So I think the defense may have actually

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Speaker 4: caught up to the offense here. And same as we

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Speaker 4: said before, Arizona struggles on early downs and kind of

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Speaker 4: moving the chains. They rely on Tyler Murray do some

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Speaker 4: stuff for us. Seattle is the opposite. Seattle moves the

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Speaker 4: ball well and number three defense on first downs. So

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Speaker 4: Arizona's going to be in a rough spot all game.

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Speaker 4: Seattle has shown they're going to keep things moving. And

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Speaker 4: Arizona bottom five against explosive passing plays. And like we've

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Speaker 4: been saying, you'll want Gino Smith right now, not Kyler Murray.

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Speaker 4: Gino is the guy with all the good metrics. So

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Speaker 4: what changed since last time, Well, you know it is

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Speaker 4: three weeks. What's different? Well, two things. Number One, Danner

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Speaker 4: Hopkins is back. That's good, it's helpful. It's not enough

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Speaker 4: for an offense that couldn't score literally after the opening drive.

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Speaker 4: It's not enough to totally sway me to Arizona should

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Speaker 4: win this game. And second it is in Arizona. But

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Speaker 4: Seattle has won Arizona's only one one of the last

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Speaker 4: nine at home in the rivalry. They're two six and

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Speaker 4: one ats in that span. So and of course can't

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Speaker 4: Tyler Arizona without some Cliff Kingsbury stats. You guys know

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Speaker 4: that Kingsbury as a favorite nine to fifteen ats, thirty

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Speaker 4: eight percent, one in four again in the division. He

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Speaker 4: carol sixty two percent cover rate as an underdog eighteen

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Speaker 4: and ten ats in the division. You know, smith good

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Speaker 4: record in the division. Ats one more time Seattle Island.

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Speaker 4: Look next week, Seattle Island moves to Germany, so we

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Speaker 4: might have to take this thing abroad. We're going to

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Speaker 4: Munich maybe, but one more time here in the States

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Speaker 4: as an underdog. I honestly can't believe we're still going

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Speaker 4: to this an underdog. Take it out plus two and

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Speaker 4: take it any plus number give me. Seattle road Dogs.

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Speaker 2: This season are also forty two and thirty overall against

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Speaker 2: the spread.

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Speaker 3: It's been a good year for the road Dog.

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Speaker 2: We're at a point now you have the Staples that

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Speaker 2: was easy button Brandon's gonna have to make a button

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Speaker 2: or some sort of sounder about the Seattle Seahawks because

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Speaker 2: it is very repetitive. But he just says he does

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Speaker 2: such a magical job differentiating his delivery.

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Speaker 4: I was I was trying to come up with, like

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Speaker 4: what sound does Seahawks make? I was gonna do like

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Speaker 4: a cacaw or something, but I don't. I don't know

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Speaker 4: what bird sound I need here, and I'm not sure

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Speaker 4: it's maybe it's the mine. Is that what it is like? Then?

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Speaker 4: Email guys, I think that's what it is. Well, we'll

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Speaker 4: work on that, I work chop.

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Speaker 2: Seahawks are also one win away from going over their

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Speaker 2: win total, which was set at five and a half

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Speaker 2: before the season. That's pretty amazing what Pete has done

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Speaker 2: in Seattle. Okay, Joe Gallant, your first first best bet, please.

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Speaker 5: Sure so if you listen to our recap pod, you

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Speaker 5: probably know where this first pick is going because I

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Speaker 5: let loose a tie rad on the Jaguars that I

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Speaker 5: had to kind of just take a walk after the

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Speaker 5: podcast where I just had to simmer down. So I'm

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Speaker 5: going to take the Raiders minus one and a halfress

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Speaker 5: the Jaguars, trying to keep it a little more g

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Speaker 5: rated this time, and because this pick is mainly a

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Speaker 5: fade of the Jags. They have scored twenty points in

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Speaker 5: three of their last four games less than twenty points

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Speaker 5: rather and Trevor Warrence, he just continues to make bad

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Speaker 5: throws and decisions and crucial moments like during this Jags

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Speaker 5: five game losing streak. The defense has kind of been

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Speaker 5: regressing as well. Six rushing touchdowns allowed one hundred and

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Speaker 5: thirty five rush yards per game, nine touchdowns of wide

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Speaker 5: receivers already this season.

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Speaker 4: That's twenty ninth in the NFL. I'm expecting a huge bounce.

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Speaker 5: Back from Devonte Adams, who was held to just one

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Speaker 5: catch last week. Now, if this spread was maybe four

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Speaker 5: and a half, maybe you could talk me into the

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Speaker 5: Jags covering here. But I just no longer trust Doug

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Speaker 5: Peterson or Trevor Lawrence to make quality decisions when the

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Speaker 5: game is on the line. I mean, they led an

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Speaker 5: inept Broncos offense who couldn't do anything in London, walk

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Speaker 5: the field on them and score a game winning touchdown.

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Speaker 5: And also a little highlight here, Brandon, you wrote about

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Speaker 5: the previewing Week nine on Action Network Dot com You

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Speaker 5: highlighted teams returning from London and their opponent team totals

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Speaker 5: and how they just kind of put a number on

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Speaker 5: that defense. The Raiders team totals set at twenty three

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Speaker 5: and a half, but opponent team totals are seven to

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Speaker 5: two to the over in those post London games, and

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Speaker 5: all nine opponents have been tied or led in the

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Speaker 5: fourth quarter in those instances. I think the Raiders are

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Speaker 5: pretty much just going to roll here now. From a

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Speaker 5: touchdown perspective, I would say I do like the idea

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Speaker 5: of a Zay Jones revenge game touchdown.

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Speaker 4: If you can get it over plus two hundred odds

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Speaker 4: for the Jags.

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Speaker 2: Jacksonville is three and thirteen against the spread in their

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Speaker 2: last sixteen games. We talked about this, and you're right,

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Speaker 2: Joe Brandon's been on this. There's no rest after London.

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Speaker 3: That is a choice.

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Speaker 2: That is a choice these teams made before the season.

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Speaker 2: You could have opted to go into a buye. That

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Speaker 2: is not the case for Jacksonville. So even though the

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Speaker 2: Raiders have to travel cross country for this game, there's

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Speaker 2: still a lot of travel going on on the Jacksonville side.

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Speaker 2: Their second home, which is London, Anthony Dbundo, Welcome to

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Speaker 2: the Pod. First best bet, please.

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Speaker 1: I'm going with the Detroit Lions plus three and a

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Speaker 1: half at home against the green Bay Packers. If you

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Speaker 1: pull up the chart for defenses in the National Football

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Speaker 1: League on OURBSDM dot com, everybody's relatively squenched in the middle.

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Speaker 1: You have a few outliers, you know, Denver, Philadelphia, Dallas

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Speaker 1: on the good end, and then you have on the

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Speaker 1: one end. There is one extreme outlier, and it is

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Speaker 1: the Detroit Lions. They have been incredibly bad defensively. We

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Speaker 1: watched it last week at home against the Miami Dolphins.

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Speaker 1: They had no answers for all of the explosive receiving

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Speaker 1: options that the Dolphins have, and Tua was able to

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Speaker 1: just sit back there and pick this team apart. I

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Speaker 1: don't think they're going to have the same problems against

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Speaker 1: this green Bay offense. Jared Goff historically much better indoors,

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Speaker 1: much better at home. Statistically, PFF grade ten points better

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Speaker 1: when he's not under pressure. Green Bay's pressure rate about

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Speaker 1: league average. The thing that's going to be important here

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Speaker 1: for the Detroit offense is that the green Bay defense

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Speaker 1: is the worst in the league on standard downs They

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Speaker 1: are thirty second, even worse than the Lions in success rate,

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Speaker 1: which means that Detroit will be able to run the ball,

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Speaker 1: They'll be able to stay ahead of the change. They're

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Speaker 1: not going to force Golf into being a hero on

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Speaker 1: obvious passing down situations particularly often. And I know that

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Speaker 1: the Lions had disappointed everybody this season, but Green Bay's

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Speaker 1: offense has not been consistent enough to get margin here.

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Speaker 1: One metric I like to look at offensive series success rate.

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Speaker 1: How often does your offense convert a series of first

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Speaker 1: down into another first down to continue to drive. It's

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Speaker 1: pretty predictive generally, Lions in the top ten, green Bay

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Speaker 1: just slightly below league average. So I'm getting the better

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Speaker 1: offense catching three and a half points at home, and

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Speaker 1: the Lions defense, as bad as it's been. We've had

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Speaker 1: conversations about other defenses in this league, whether it's Atlanta

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Speaker 1: when they were getting embarrassed at various points of the season,

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Speaker 1: or even Seattle defense tends to regress towards the mean.

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Speaker 1: In the long run, they cannot stay this bad forever,

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Speaker 1: and so I'm banking on a bit of a dead

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Speaker 1: cat bounce from the Lions defense getting up at home

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Speaker 1: in a divisional game against Rogers, who, let's face it,

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Speaker 1: has taken a step back this season. I don't think

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Speaker 1: it's just the weapons. I think the whole offense taking

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Speaker 1: a step back, and he's making more mistakes than he

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Speaker 1: did in years past.

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Speaker 3: Do you know the name of the new secondary's coach

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Speaker 3: in Detroit?

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Speaker 1: Top my head, I don't.

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Speaker 3: I don't either. I don't think it matters. That was

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Speaker 3: my point, It doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: I mean, defenses go through these periods where they're really

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Speaker 1: bad sometimes and like the personnel's not good. Jeff of

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Speaker 1: Couda's I think really good. I mean, he looked he

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Speaker 1: got exposed a little bit last week, but a lot

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Speaker 1: of that had to do with the fact that there's

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Speaker 1: just too many options in Miami to try to cover

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Speaker 1: them all. I think it was more encouraging to me.

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Speaker 1: One Acuda played pretty well in the Dallas game, and

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Speaker 1: he is seeming to be improving. Could help take away

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Speaker 1: which is already a pretty mediocre receiving corps for the Packers.

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Speaker 1: The biggest surprise for me is Lions haven't been able

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Speaker 1: to pass, protect or run the ball as well as

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Speaker 1: I thought they would come into the season. But against

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Speaker 1: this Green Bay front. This could be the game where

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Speaker 1: they get right offensively.

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Speaker 2: Five straight losses for the Lions straight up. They've lost

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Speaker 2: four straight against the spread for the first time since

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Speaker 2: twenty seventeen. They are five and nineteen straight up in

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Speaker 2: their last twenty four games at home. But the Packers

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Speaker 2: have lost four straight as well. So something's got to

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Speaker 2: give at Ford Field this week. Let's go back to

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Speaker 2: Brandon Anderson for his second pick.

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Speaker 4: Well, some does got to give, and I hate to

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Speaker 4: do it, but I gotta just come right back at

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Speaker 4: dbundo his debut pick. He's already ozer for one, guys,

291
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Speaker 4: because the Green Bay Packers minus three and a half

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Speaker 4: at the Lions is my second pick. He's right, this

293
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Speaker 4: is a Bilo spot. Got the wrong team though. We're

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Speaker 4: buying low on the Packers after four straight losses. And look,

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Speaker 4: I think we all expected. I did myself. I said

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Speaker 4: a month ago a Packers super Bowl. Take it. This

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Speaker 4: is the spot.

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Speaker 1: Boy.

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Speaker 4: Don't feel great about that one right now, but part

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Speaker 4: of the logic was, Okay, look at this upcoming scratch.

301
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Speaker 4: We got the Giants, we got the Jets, we got Washington.

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Speaker 4: Green Bay is going to start piling up all these wins. Well,

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Speaker 4: it turns out those teams are all five hundred, are

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Speaker 4: better like everyone in the East divisions, and the Packers.

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Speaker 4: I lost to all of them. But green Bay is

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Speaker 4: now zero to five against teams five hundred are better,

307
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Speaker 4: but three and zero against teams below five hundred. And

308
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Speaker 4: I can't believe de Bondo is trying to tell us

309
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Speaker 4: that teams regress to the mean, and using the Lions

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Speaker 4: as the example. The Lions haven't been meaningful in the

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Speaker 4: NFL since like the nineteen fifty seven championship game, and

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Speaker 4: that's the team coming back to the mean. This team

313
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Speaker 4: is terrible. They're worst in defense, their worst against the pass,

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Speaker 4: their thirtieth against the run, which is apparently a compliment

315
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Speaker 4: for the Lions defense. The Packers defense not good, not

316
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Speaker 4: a lot better. But the difference to me is the offense.

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Speaker 4: And I like Aaron Rodgers better than Jared Goff. I'm

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Speaker 4: just gonna put that out there. I'll take Rogers rather

319
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Speaker 4: than Goff even regressed Rogers this season, and Packers defense

320
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Speaker 4: pass defense has been pretty good number six in DBOA.

321
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Speaker 4: Pass offense and rush offense both top ten in DVA.

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Speaker 4: I think we're underestimating a little bit the Packers offense

323
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Speaker 4: just because the schedule has been difficult. The defense, their

324
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Speaker 4: face have been pretty good. So I like the Packers here,

325
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Speaker 4: and I think two. The key thing is number because

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Speaker 4: this is a spot I would have expected to probably

327
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Speaker 4: have to be in the line this year. But I

328
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Speaker 4: would have thought the line was going to be something

329
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Speaker 4: like Packers minus six. And it's like, oh man, Detroit,

330
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Speaker 4: they're pretty good at home, they can score a lot.

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Speaker 4: The back door will be open. I feel much better

332
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Speaker 4: down at minus three and a half, maybe minus three

333
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Speaker 4: if an inches back a little bit. And then all

334
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Speaker 4: the Rogers trends division favorite sixty four percent, cover rate,

335
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Speaker 4: one score favorite sixty four percent, one score favorite against

336
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Speaker 4: Detroit eight and the three against the spread. And then

337
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Speaker 4: after a loss under the floor eleven and two ats

338
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Speaker 4: and I know this year none of the trends matter anymore, right, Well,

339
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Speaker 4: legacy this year? Yes, what's u?

340
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Speaker 1: It's the year where legacy trends go to die.

341
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Speaker 4: It has been a rough year for a legacy trends. Yeah,

342
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Speaker 4: Russell Wilson, Yeah, the legacy trends have not been great

343
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Speaker 4: this year, but these trends they've been much worse for

344
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Speaker 4: guys like Brady and Russell Wilson. For Rogers, They're still

345
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Speaker 4: kind of around five hundred on these and if that's

346
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Speaker 4: a downswing, I still feel pretty good about them. The

347
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Speaker 4: key thing for me is this, Do I think the

348
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Speaker 4: Packers are a super Bowl team? I do not. Do

349
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Speaker 4: I think the Packers are good? I do not. All

350
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Speaker 4: I have to know for this game is are they

351
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Speaker 4: better than the Lions? And I do believe they're better

352
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Speaker 4: than the Lions. I will take the minus three and

353
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Speaker 4: a half on the road.

354
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Speaker 1: I will say I took Detroit plus four at home

355
00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:24,359
Speaker 1: against Miami last week and so, and I think that

356
00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:27,280
Speaker 1: Miami is clearly better than green Bay at this point.

357
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Speaker 1: So I would be a coward if I didn't go

358
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Speaker 1: back on the train and bet the Lions. So I'm

359
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Speaker 1: happy to ride with the Lions, and maybe Dan Campbell

360
00:17:34,320 --> 00:17:36,600
Speaker 1: will cook up a back door for me if it's

361
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Speaker 1: not looking great and we'll lose by three.

362
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Speaker 3: Do you just want pain? That's what it sounds like.

363
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know. I mean I think you know.

364
00:17:44,080 --> 00:17:46,080
Speaker 1: The green Bay defense has also been bolstered up. I mean,

365
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Speaker 1: let's consider the last four quarterbacks they've played, right, I

366
00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:53,879
Speaker 1: mean they played Bailey's Happy. Yes he's great, but like you,

367
00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:57,720
Speaker 1: no he's not. And then they played Zach Wilson, Danny Dimes,

368
00:17:58,080 --> 00:18:00,720
Speaker 1: Taylor Heineke. Okay, yes they played Josh, but like this

369
00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:02,920
Speaker 1: they have they play justin fields like they haven't played

370
00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:05,040
Speaker 1: a good number of quarterbacks. Not saying that Jared Goff

371
00:18:05,080 --> 00:18:06,879
Speaker 1: is on world beater, but this Detroit offense has been

372
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Speaker 1: very good. So I'm in I'm in the lines again.

373
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Speaker 4: Not saying Jared Goff is a world beater, but are

374
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Speaker 4: saying that I'd take Jared Goff's offense over Aaron Rodgers.

375
00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:18,760
Speaker 4: Just clarifying it's not beating world, just beating Aaron Rodgers.

376
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Speaker 4: We'll see how it goes.

377
00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:21,000
Speaker 3: Everybody.

378
00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:24,639
Speaker 2: Well, look, Brandon is fading the public. According to the

379
00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:27,639
Speaker 2: Action app right now, Detroit getting seventy five percent of

380
00:18:27,720 --> 00:18:31,280
Speaker 2: the money, fifty five percent of the bets. And the

381
00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:34,240
Speaker 2: staggering thing about this great Bay team minus four point

382
00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:37,879
Speaker 2: fifty going into the year to win the division and

383
00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:39,879
Speaker 2: now they're at plus one point eighty to win the

384
00:18:40,040 --> 00:18:43,640
Speaker 2: NFC North. Let's move it along to Jill Gallant, who

385
00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:46,120
Speaker 2: has a pick as well in the NFC North.

386
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Speaker 5: Yeah, so We're gonna be looking at the Vikings Commanders game,

387
00:18:51,320 --> 00:18:54,640
Speaker 5: and I haven't had a huge luck with totals so far,

388
00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:56,960
Speaker 5: but I still look at this total, I think it's

389
00:18:56,960 --> 00:18:59,160
Speaker 5: a couple points low. We're going to take the over

390
00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:03,200
Speaker 5: forty three and a half for Vikings Commanders and Brandon. Again,

391
00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:06,760
Speaker 5: I'm not trying to demerit the Vikings for their six

392
00:19:06,800 --> 00:19:08,719
Speaker 5: and one record. I know we can harp about how

393
00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:11,760
Speaker 5: hollow it may feel, but I don't know if we

394
00:19:11,840 --> 00:19:14,320
Speaker 5: can really deny how well the Vikings offense has played

395
00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:17,680
Speaker 5: this season. I'm very impressed still with that offense. Even

396
00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:20,560
Speaker 5: if Kirk Cousin is yet to throw for three hundred yards.

397
00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:23,000
Speaker 5: The Vikings are still putting up just under twenty five

398
00:19:23,040 --> 00:19:25,920
Speaker 5: points per game, and the average combined score in Vikings

399
00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:29,359
Speaker 5: games specifically from Week three onward during this win streak

400
00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:32,880
Speaker 5: is fifty one point two. Now, the Commanders, they've given

401
00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:36,080
Speaker 5: up fourteen passing touchdowns already this season. That is kind

402
00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:38,840
Speaker 5: of the weakness in their defense. And I think we

403
00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:41,160
Speaker 5: can bank on Minnesota to at least do their part

404
00:19:41,320 --> 00:19:43,080
Speaker 5: in this total. And I think we could see a

405
00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:45,520
Speaker 5: big Jefferson game like he hasn't caught a touchdown.

406
00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:45,960
Speaker 4: Since Week one.

407
00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:48,760
Speaker 5: The big reason why I like the over, though, is

408
00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,639
Speaker 5: because of the Vikings defense, which is bottom five and

409
00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:52,920
Speaker 5: passing yards a labor game.

410
00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:55,119
Speaker 4: A guy like Taylor Heineke can get off.

411
00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:56,800
Speaker 5: On this kind of defense to be able to throw

412
00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:59,320
Speaker 5: it to the Curtis Samuels and the Terry mclaurins of

413
00:19:59,359 --> 00:20:01,520
Speaker 5: the world. If the Vikings get up early, I think

414
00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:04,920
Speaker 5: they're susceptible to some garbage time points scored by the Commanders,

415
00:20:05,000 --> 00:20:07,920
Speaker 5: especially the way that just happened last week against the Cardinals. So,

416
00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:10,080
Speaker 5: like I was saying, I think this total is about

417
00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:11,680
Speaker 5: a point and a half short. I think it should

418
00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:13,720
Speaker 5: be around forty five and a half. If it was

419
00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:15,800
Speaker 5: over forty five and a half, I might not play it.

420
00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:17,160
Speaker 5: But I feel like a forty three and a half,

421
00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:19,080
Speaker 5: nice little sweet spot, and we can get the over

422
00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:19,640
Speaker 5: forty four.

423
00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:24,400
Speaker 3: And who is that touchdown against that suspect Green Bay

424
00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:28,960
Speaker 3: Packers defense? Right to Bundo, Damn right, that's a cheap job.

425
00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:32,920
Speaker 3: Back to Anthony, Back to you, what's your second best bet.

426
00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:36,159
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the Kansas City Chiefs and the

427
00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:38,560
Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans under forty six and a half.

428
00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:39,680
Speaker 3: Titans.

429
00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:42,600
Speaker 1: Voodoo has burned me repeatedly throughout the past two seasons,

430
00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:46,040
Speaker 1: and I am really tired of going against this team.

431
00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:48,760
Speaker 1: Rabel has been excellent as an underdog in the past.

432
00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:51,720
Speaker 1: I don't really see how Tennessee is able to consistently

433
00:20:51,760 --> 00:20:55,359
Speaker 1: score in this game. Their offense looked lifeless against Houston.

434
00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:57,359
Speaker 1: I know they ran for one thousand yards, but they

435
00:20:57,400 --> 00:21:00,520
Speaker 1: still only scored seventeen points and the late town to

436
00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:03,879
Speaker 1: get to seventeen. So this offense has been really you know,

437
00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:05,800
Speaker 1: that's the thing about you know, the modern NFL is

438
00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:07,639
Speaker 1: when you run the ball as much as as Tennessee

439
00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:09,520
Speaker 1: wants to run the ball, they only tempted one pass

440
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:13,239
Speaker 1: in the first quarter of the game against Houston, then

441
00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:15,600
Speaker 1: you're gonna have a hard time putting up big point totals,

442
00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:18,800
Speaker 1: especially when you play like Tennessee, who is dead last

443
00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:20,880
Speaker 1: in the league in pace thirty first and first half

444
00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:24,800
Speaker 1: pace thirty second and second half pace. Tennessee has also

445
00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:26,840
Speaker 1: been the best offense in the league on script this

446
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:29,240
Speaker 1: year first quarter. I wrote about this a few weeks ago,

447
00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:31,520
Speaker 1: like they're the number one offense in the first two

448
00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:33,280
Speaker 1: drives when they're able to script out what they want

449
00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:35,960
Speaker 1: to do. Get Derek Henry on some created screens, get

450
00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:38,840
Speaker 1: them out in space, but after that they've been terrible.

451
00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:42,600
Speaker 1: They had their first touchdown in the fourth quarter all

452
00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:46,840
Speaker 1: season last week and the week before against Indianapolis when

453
00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:49,040
Speaker 1: they kicked a field goal that was their first points

454
00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:51,760
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter this season. So there's all kinds

455
00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:55,280
Speaker 1: of problems. They have no receivers whatsoever. Kansas City's run

456
00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:58,359
Speaker 1: defense isn't as bad as people think. I don't you know.

457
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:00,879
Speaker 1: They're right below league average. It's not as bad as

458
00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:03,600
Speaker 1: it was in the last couple of years. So I'm

459
00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:05,399
Speaker 1: encouraged by what I've heard, what I've seen from the

460
00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:08,840
Speaker 1: Kansas City run defense enough to at least contain Henry

461
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:11,040
Speaker 1: even if you can't necessarily stop him. They're gonna load

462
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:14,159
Speaker 1: up the box, I'm sure. And I don't see how

463
00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:16,640
Speaker 1: Tennessee scores enough here to keep up with Kansas City.

464
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:19,280
Speaker 1: And in the second half. This is the interesting thing

465
00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:22,280
Speaker 1: about the Chiefs. They're seventh in pace in the first half.

466
00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:24,359
Speaker 1: They like to move pretty quick, but then they just

467
00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:26,359
Speaker 1: shut it down. So if they're up double digits here,

468
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:28,080
Speaker 1: we're going to see a very slow pace in the

469
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:31,000
Speaker 1: second half. Kansas City is bottom half of the league

470
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 1: in pace in the second half, so playing with the

471
00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 1: league which I expect them to have, they're probably just

472
00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:37,800
Speaker 1: gonna shut it down move on the next week with

473
00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:40,480
Speaker 1: a pretty comfortable win. Like under forty six and a half.

474
00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:44,480
Speaker 2: Titans are two and five to the over this year.

475
00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:48,280
Speaker 2: Kansas City is four and three in those spots. Of course,

476
00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 2: we're familiar with these two teams meeting in the playoffs

477
00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:54,199
Speaker 2: every once in a while. So yeah, I mean all

478
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:57,320
Speaker 2: the trends tell you to maybe stay off Kansas City

479
00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:00,680
Speaker 2: on the spread, but like you said, get in there,

480
00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:05,960
Speaker 2: get out feeling healthy and making it out surviving in advancing.

481
00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:08,200
Speaker 3: Okay, final bet from each of you will go to

482
00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:08,920
Speaker 3: Brandon first.

483
00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:12,240
Speaker 4: You got to go back to the NFC North. Let's

484
00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:15,640
Speaker 4: complete the quartet. We did Packers' lines, we did Vikings.

485
00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:18,879
Speaker 4: Let's go for the Bears. I will take my hometown

486
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:23,520
Speaker 4: or home suburban area town, Chicago Bears plus four and

487
00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:27,400
Speaker 4: a half to defend the home field against the Miami Dolphins.

488
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:30,360
Speaker 4: So I was on Miami last week. This is now

489
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:33,160
Speaker 4: a by low and a cell high spot, so sell

490
00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:36,399
Speaker 4: high and Miami. They're five and zero with Tula they

491
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:39,560
Speaker 4: just got the big splashy trade for Bradley Chubb Jeff

492
00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:43,679
Speaker 4: Wilson in everyone's excited about Miami right now. The Bears

493
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:47,680
Speaker 4: traded away rokwand Smith. They traded away Robert Quinn. Looking

494
00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:50,960
Speaker 4: to the future. The future might be sooner than we

495
00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:54,440
Speaker 4: think because guess what they found out that Justin Field

496
00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 4: is allowed to run and pass the ball. It's crazy.

497
00:23:57,160 --> 00:23:59,879
Speaker 4: They allowed their quarterback to do the things he's good at,

498
00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:02,720
Speaker 4: and they're kind of fun and a little decent lately.

499
00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:05,800
Speaker 4: The Bears scored thirty three and twenty nine points the

500
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:09,400
Speaker 4: last two weeks. The Bears, their totals were barely hitting

501
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:13,080
Speaker 4: that in both sides combined. There is Sundley scoring now

502
00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:16,880
Speaker 4: and Miami doesn't get good pressure on the quarterback. That's

503
00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:20,120
Speaker 4: Chicago's weakest spot as they're pass blocking, so that gives

504
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:22,240
Speaker 4: Field maybe a little more time to do some things.

505
00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:26,560
Speaker 4: And the Bears defense is awful against the run, not

506
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,800
Speaker 4: something Maamy really does that well, they're all right against

507
00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:32,000
Speaker 4: the pass, and especially if they haven't really given on

508
00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:35,600
Speaker 4: many explosive passing plays. So I think the matchup kind

509
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:38,120
Speaker 4: of gives a few problems here for what Miami does best.

510
00:24:38,600 --> 00:24:41,320
Speaker 4: And then there's the home road splits. Miami's defense at

511
00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:45,119
Speaker 4: home tenth this season, on the road dead last. They

512
00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:47,080
Speaker 4: have a lot at least twenty seven points in all

513
00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:50,560
Speaker 4: four road games. We mentioned the Dolphins Lions game last week.

514
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:53,160
Speaker 4: The Lions just kept putting up points they could, Miami

515
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:56,880
Speaker 4: could do nothing to stop them. And then Chicago number

516
00:24:57,000 --> 00:24:59,920
Speaker 4: seven defense at home versus thirty first on the road,

517
00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:03,280
Speaker 4: so they get the home advantage here. They're much better

518
00:25:03,359 --> 00:25:05,800
Speaker 4: defense in the second half. We've talked about how Miami

519
00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:08,480
Speaker 4: kind of pours it on late once that speed factor

520
00:25:08,560 --> 00:25:11,040
Speaker 4: gets there, So I think the Bears keep it close,

521
00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:13,480
Speaker 4: they hang around. And then one other thing, you always

522
00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 4: got to keep your eye on special teams. The Dolphins

523
00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 4: are the worst special teams unit in the league. The

524
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 4: Bears are top three on special teams by DVOA. So

525
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 4: that's one of those hidden things you don't really notice

526
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:27,840
Speaker 4: right up until you missed an extra point and you

527
00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:30,520
Speaker 4: got a punt blocked and he shanked one out of bounds,

528
00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:33,640
Speaker 4: and just it's a spot where the Bears just keep

529
00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:36,800
Speaker 4: getting these little tiny advantages all games, and I think

530
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:40,360
Speaker 4: they add up. So talked about the year the underdog

531
00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:43,840
Speaker 4: underdogs between three and ten points this year now forty

532
00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:46,920
Speaker 4: one and twenty one against the spread, sixty six percent

533
00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:50,200
Speaker 4: cover rate if both the teams miss the playoffs seventy

534
00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:52,960
Speaker 4: nine percent if the total is forty seven are blow

535
00:25:53,040 --> 00:25:55,920
Speaker 4: like this one's seventy one percent. Just a great spot

536
00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:59,120
Speaker 4: for the underdog. So I'm gonna play Chicago.

537
00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:00,480
Speaker 1: It dropped.

538
00:26:00,560 --> 00:26:02,280
Speaker 4: It was five and a half, it's dropped down to

539
00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:04,399
Speaker 4: four and a half. I don't mind that too much.

540
00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:06,639
Speaker 4: That's kind of a dead zone anyway. And what it

541
00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:09,080
Speaker 4: does tell me is that a few other betters out

542
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:11,000
Speaker 4: there are also starting to notice that. You know what,

543
00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:14,639
Speaker 4: let's get some value on Chicago here. Money line underdogs

544
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:16,520
Speaker 4: by the way of one eighty or longer like this

545
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:19,960
Speaker 4: one sixteen twenty four and one straight up this year

546
00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:23,879
Speaker 4: thirty four percent. ROI. So I like the Dolphins, I

547
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:26,160
Speaker 4: don't like the spot for them. I will take Chicago

548
00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:28,520
Speaker 4: to cover. I'm gonna play the money line too, a

549
00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:31,159
Speaker 4: plus one ninety. Let's just see what the Bears can do.

550
00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:33,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the home road splits is a great

551
00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:35,920
Speaker 2: call because we talked so much about earlier the season,

552
00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:38,840
Speaker 2: Miami reaping the benefits of the heat being at home,

553
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:41,840
Speaker 2: and they can take advantage of that spot. Training camp,

554
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:45,800
Speaker 2: preseason games, they get that advantage in that spot. So

555
00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:47,680
Speaker 2: also there's a chance of wind and rain in the

556
00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:51,080
Speaker 2: forecast this weekend. And look, I know, two, it takes

557
00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:52,840
Speaker 2: a lot of crap from the national media.

558
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:53,960
Speaker 4: Is he all that good?

559
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:56,200
Speaker 3: He's going to enter that same territory.

560
00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:58,080
Speaker 2: I get the sense that Jalen Hurts was in last

561
00:26:58,160 --> 00:26:59,840
Speaker 2: year when they lost to Tampa in the playoff game.

562
00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:01,360
Speaker 3: Can to win a playoff game?

563
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,520
Speaker 2: Two is already talking about the super Bowl, And that's cool, Like,

564
00:27:04,600 --> 00:27:07,879
Speaker 2: I think confidence is a big thing, but pump the

565
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:10,240
Speaker 2: brakes a little bit. You're five and three through eight weeks.

566
00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:13,560
Speaker 2: You're not Buffalo right now, You're not Kansas City. So

567
00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:16,639
Speaker 2: I felt a little premature they're talking. And just to

568
00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:19,120
Speaker 2: read the quote, I think through OTAs and through training camp,

569
00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:21,320
Speaker 2: you could see the potential that we had a team

570
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:24,399
Speaker 2: offensively and defensively that we're not afraid to talk.

571
00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:27,639
Speaker 3: About super Bowls here. I mean, good for you feeling

572
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:30,440
Speaker 3: that way, but maybe a look ahead spot. I do

573
00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:33,399
Speaker 3: think that after the trade, they're.

574
00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:35,960
Speaker 2: Feeling good about themselves, as they should, but they could

575
00:27:36,000 --> 00:27:37,480
Speaker 2: still very well win the game. But the Bears have

576
00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:40,200
Speaker 2: been competitive, that's for sure. Let's go to Jill second

577
00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:41,920
Speaker 2: part of me last best bet.

578
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:42,879
Speaker 4: That's right.

579
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:45,440
Speaker 5: Yeah, And we took Patriots minus two and a half

580
00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:48,359
Speaker 5: against the Jets last week. I was similar thinking, and

581
00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:50,320
Speaker 5: we're going right back to the well, we're taking Patriots

582
00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:53,880
Speaker 5: minus four and a half versus the Colts. The Colts again,

583
00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:56,320
Speaker 5: not trying to bully you. Anthony's first time back on

584
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:57,880
Speaker 5: the show. I don't really want to just start harping

585
00:27:57,960 --> 00:27:59,880
Speaker 5: on why this team isn't good. But at the same time,

586
00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:02,760
Speaker 5: since the Jonathan Taylor injury in Week four, man like

587
00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:06,160
Speaker 5: this offense has just sunk to another level. Like, outside

588
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:09,000
Speaker 5: of that miraculous comeback versus the Jags, they've averaged a

589
00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:12,920
Speaker 5: robust twelve point three points per game. They really can't

590
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:15,400
Speaker 5: move the ball. In that same four game stretch, they've

591
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:18,280
Speaker 5: only averaged sixteen first downs per game. To put that

592
00:28:18,320 --> 00:28:21,080
Speaker 5: in perspective, like the league averages twenty point three. If

593
00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:23,160
Speaker 5: that was a full season average, they'd be thirty first

594
00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:26,080
Speaker 5: in the NFL. Now, you're essentially putting a rookie quarterback

595
00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:29,720
Speaker 5: in Sam Ellinger, not Ellinger, as I've been corrected.

596
00:28:29,560 --> 00:28:31,320
Speaker 4: On the road in Foxborough.

597
00:28:32,080 --> 00:28:35,520
Speaker 5: That sounds like a recipe for disaster, and especially because yes,

598
00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:37,960
Speaker 5: this is his second year in the league, but I'm

599
00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:40,040
Speaker 5: viewing him as a rookie quarterback because this is his

600
00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:43,240
Speaker 5: second official start. Bill Belichick is ten and four against

601
00:28:43,240 --> 00:28:46,680
Speaker 5: the spread at home when facing rookie quarterbacks in this spot. Now,

602
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:49,040
Speaker 5: the Colts, they were already one of the most sacked

603
00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:51,160
Speaker 5: teams in the league and allowing pressure into the Patriots.

604
00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:51,600
Speaker 4: What do they do?

605
00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:53,640
Speaker 5: They're top five in sacks and their top five in

606
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:56,480
Speaker 5: interceptions as well. The Colts as well, they don't really

607
00:28:56,520 --> 00:28:59,280
Speaker 5: have as many checkdown options anymore, especially Jonathan Taylor, who

608
00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:02,080
Speaker 5: was held out of this again on Thursday. Nahem Heins

609
00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:05,320
Speaker 5: is now in Buffalo. I think Sam Ellinger is going

610
00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:08,320
Speaker 5: to look shell shocked. I think the big if if

611
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:11,400
Speaker 5: Mac Jones doesn't turn the ball over. I don't really

612
00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:13,240
Speaker 5: see how the Colts keep this game within a touchdown.

613
00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:14,640
Speaker 5: That is a big if though. Now I want to

614
00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:16,880
Speaker 5: just cite a couple of trends from our own Evan Abrams.

615
00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:20,760
Speaker 5: It is weekly NFL primer on Action Network dot Com,

616
00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:23,800
Speaker 5: like in the last twenty years. After facing the Jets,

617
00:29:24,400 --> 00:29:26,760
Speaker 5: the Patriots and Bill Belichick are twenty eight and nine

618
00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:29,360
Speaker 5: straight up in twenty four and twelve and two against

619
00:29:29,360 --> 00:29:32,280
Speaker 5: the spread since twenty sixteen, So over the last six

620
00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:35,080
Speaker 5: years ten and one straight up, nine and two against

621
00:29:35,120 --> 00:29:37,959
Speaker 5: the spread, and the total is kind of moving right now.

622
00:29:38,040 --> 00:29:39,000
Speaker 4: But when the total is.

623
00:29:39,040 --> 00:29:42,640
Speaker 5: At forty or lower, Belichick is thirty one ten and

624
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,239
Speaker 5: one against the spread, a seventy six percent cover rate

625
00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:47,760
Speaker 5: over the last twenty years. So I just think there's

626
00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,320
Speaker 5: too many factors playing against the Colts in this matchup.

627
00:29:50,360 --> 00:29:52,120
Speaker 5: I'm going to take the Patriots as long as they're

628
00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:53,640
Speaker 5: right at this line here at four.

629
00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:53,920
Speaker 1: And a half.

630
00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:56,160
Speaker 3: Just a narrative to Belichick.

631
00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:58,960
Speaker 2: Won't let this group get complacent after what happened in

632
00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:02,000
Speaker 2: that Bears game Monday. Coming off a nice win against

633
00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:05,280
Speaker 2: a piss poor team like the Lions. We've talked about

634
00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:07,080
Speaker 2: the Lions quite a bit. Then you lay an egg

635
00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:10,560
Speaker 2: against Chicago on Monday night. It feels like it'll be

636
00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:12,920
Speaker 2: buttoned up, that's for sure. But yeah, Mac Jones take

637
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:14,720
Speaker 2: care of the ball and just just kick field goals

638
00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:16,760
Speaker 2: in this game. Like the Patriots, thick Folk is a

639
00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 2: freaking weapon. He might be their best player, all right,

640
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:20,640
Speaker 2: Tubundo take us home.

641
00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:25,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I see the case for the Patriots defense shutting

642
00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:27,320
Speaker 1: down the Colts, but I actually think the Colts defense

643
00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:28,760
Speaker 1: is gonna have a lot of success in this game

644
00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:31,080
Speaker 1: as well. So I'm on the under forty and a half.

645
00:30:31,440 --> 00:30:33,320
Speaker 1: It opened forty two and it's come down a little bit.

646
00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:37,000
Speaker 1: Colts defar as Buckner had I thought his best game

647
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:39,080
Speaker 1: of the season last week after going back and rewatching it.

648
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:41,440
Speaker 1: He looks as healthy as he's looked all season, and

649
00:30:41,520 --> 00:30:43,680
Speaker 1: the combination of him and Grover Stewart makes the Colts

650
00:30:43,720 --> 00:30:46,520
Speaker 1: a really difficult team to run on. And we've seen

651
00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 1: that their defensive line is finally healthy. They are top

652
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:53,160
Speaker 1: seven in both rushing success rate allowed and rushing DVOA.

653
00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:55,600
Speaker 1: So I don't think the Patriots are going to be

654
00:30:55,640 --> 00:30:57,960
Speaker 1: able to run the ball in this game, and I

655
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:01,520
Speaker 1: really don't think. I think that Jones is actually closer

656
00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:03,920
Speaker 1: of a quarterback to what we've seen this year than

657
00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:07,040
Speaker 1: what we did last season. The regression seems real for him.

658
00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:08,640
Speaker 1: They're not able to push the ball down the field.

659
00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:11,680
Speaker 1: He's twenty fifth and EPA per play. It's a big concern.

660
00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:15,320
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor. I mean, the line is suggesting he may play.

661
00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:18,040
Speaker 1: Now it has come a little bit up in the total,

662
00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:20,120
Speaker 1: jumped up from back up to forty and a half.

663
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:23,040
Speaker 1: I don't really think it matters whether he plays or not,

664
00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:28,040
Speaker 1: because the Colts offensive line, probably of all the units

665
00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:30,480
Speaker 1: in all of football. The most shocking to me is

666
00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:33,240
Speaker 1: how unable the Colts have been to run the football

667
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:35,760
Speaker 1: this year, because I expected, as a fan and as

668
00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:37,960
Speaker 1: a better to them to be able to bank on

669
00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:41,920
Speaker 1: the running game being at least complacent or competent, but

670
00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:44,880
Speaker 1: it has not been there. Bottom eight in success rate.

671
00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:47,400
Speaker 1: So there's just a big red flag here because you

672
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:49,440
Speaker 1: can run on New England, but I don't think the

673
00:31:49,520 --> 00:31:51,200
Speaker 1: Colts are going to be able to run on anybody,

674
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:54,800
Speaker 1: any NFL team, maybe not even the Lions. So it's

675
00:31:54,840 --> 00:31:56,400
Speaker 1: hard to picture how the Colts are able to move

676
00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:59,080
Speaker 1: the ball here. And you talked about Belichick against rookies

677
00:32:00,520 --> 00:32:03,560
Speaker 1: that trend. You can just see how it plays out right.

678
00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:06,240
Speaker 1: They get pressure, they force mistakes, they give him looks

679
00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:08,680
Speaker 1: that he's never seen before. I love that Ellinger met

680
00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:11,680
Speaker 1: with Stefan Gilmour before the game this week and said,

681
00:32:11,800 --> 00:32:14,200
Speaker 1: tell me everything you know about Bill Elichick's defense. But

682
00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:15,920
Speaker 1: I think there's a good chance he's going to be

683
00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:18,000
Speaker 1: seeing ghosts by the end of this game. He actually

684
00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:20,840
Speaker 1: had a good second half. I thought Ellinger actually showed

685
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:22,680
Speaker 1: some signs of life on the rewatch when I went

686
00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:25,280
Speaker 1: back and watched it. But I'm still not a believer

687
00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:27,760
Speaker 1: in him, not a believer in this offense. And I

688
00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:30,200
Speaker 1: think this is going to be a dragged out type,

689
00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 1: low scoring game.

690
00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:33,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll try, man. I kind of want to jump

691
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:35,320
Speaker 4: in with both of you guys on this one. I

692
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:37,520
Speaker 4: like Patriots first half here for a lot of the

693
00:32:37,560 --> 00:32:40,800
Speaker 4: same reasons you both just said. I like the Colts

694
00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:42,640
Speaker 4: are not a good first half team to Bundle, You've

695
00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:46,400
Speaker 4: written about that before their last Offensively, the defense is

696
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:49,200
Speaker 4: worse than the first half as well. Patriots defense is

697
00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:52,840
Speaker 4: second in the first half. And yeah, that's that Ellinger thing. Ellinger.

698
00:32:53,080 --> 00:32:55,320
Speaker 4: Of course I'm the one that messes it up. So

699
00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:58,760
Speaker 4: Ellinger on the road, first start on the road here,

700
00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:01,200
Speaker 4: and I think first half. You know, maybe, like you

701
00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 4: said to Bundle, he did settle in toward the end

702
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:05,680
Speaker 4: of the game, but you get the first half, you

703
00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:07,480
Speaker 4: get it before he has a chance to kind of

704
00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:09,840
Speaker 4: adjust and catch his breath A little bit. I think

705
00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:12,800
Speaker 4: Belichick comes out with some surprise, as you know. Oh

706
00:33:12,920 --> 00:33:15,360
Speaker 4: Stefan Gilmour, you told him everything. Huh, Well, I got

707
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:17,360
Speaker 4: a couple other tricks out in my sleeve. So I

708
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:19,640
Speaker 4: think I like the first half plus that way too.

709
00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:21,840
Speaker 4: Even with the line of falling Jill, you get under

710
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:23,880
Speaker 4: the key number if you played just the first half,

711
00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:25,800
Speaker 4: and I have to worry about the back door and

712
00:33:25,880 --> 00:33:28,280
Speaker 4: that sort of thing. So I'm with you, guys. I

713
00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:30,160
Speaker 4: think it's gonna be a low scoring game. I think

714
00:33:30,160 --> 00:33:31,760
Speaker 4: it'd rather just take the first half and then get

715
00:33:31,800 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 4: out of there and no worries.

716
00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:36,240
Speaker 2: Brandon, That's why we give you the last name Smith

717
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:39,520
Speaker 2: on Seahawks Island to keep it simple for you for

718
00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:40,480
Speaker 2: Gino purposes.

719
00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:41,120
Speaker 4: Colts.

720
00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:43,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, Colts are zero to eight against the first half

721
00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:46,840
Speaker 2: spread this season. They have lost ten straight first half

722
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:48,840
Speaker 2: spreads dating back to last year.

723
00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:51,640
Speaker 3: Some other notes. You both sold the bizar.

724
00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:52,880
Speaker 4: What's that?

725
00:33:53,040 --> 00:33:54,280
Speaker 3: It's bizarre they went.

726
00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:56,080
Speaker 1: They went from a good team on the script. I

727
00:33:56,120 --> 00:33:58,320
Speaker 1: mean they scored like every every drive the last two

728
00:33:58,360 --> 00:34:01,120
Speaker 1: years under Phil Rivers and Carson Wentz. You know, they

729
00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:04,840
Speaker 1: were scoring on the first drive this year nothing, And

730
00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:07,600
Speaker 1: it's strange, and you know they did just fire their

731
00:34:07,640 --> 00:34:10,560
Speaker 1: offensive coordinator, Frank Reich's taking over the play calling again

732
00:34:10,640 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 1: and running the offense. I don't really think it matters.

733
00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:14,600
Speaker 1: I think it really comes down to one. They need

734
00:34:14,640 --> 00:34:15,920
Speaker 1: to fire the offensive line coach. But I think it

735
00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:18,520
Speaker 1: really comes down to the regression up front and them

736
00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:20,600
Speaker 1: not being able to fade it, like they can't overcome that.

737
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:22,959
Speaker 1: So I think the Patriots, I think both the lines

738
00:34:22,960 --> 00:34:23,760
Speaker 1: are gonna feast.

739
00:34:25,480 --> 00:34:27,960
Speaker 2: And the Colts seven and one to the under this

740
00:34:28,120 --> 00:34:30,919
Speaker 2: year four and oh to the under on the road.

741
00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:34,520
Speaker 2: So we Oh and by the way, last note, Jonathan

742
00:34:34,560 --> 00:34:38,080
Speaker 2: Taylor not present at practice Thursday, so that is something

743
00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:41,400
Speaker 2: to monitor for a potential line movement. I would imagine

744
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:44,080
Speaker 2: if he's playing Jill quickly to go back to your

745
00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:48,439
Speaker 2: total pick or sorry, Anthony had the total pick. Would

746
00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:51,600
Speaker 2: you suggest if we get word on Taylor, could that

747
00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:55,000
Speaker 2: number rise or is that probably already baked in?

748
00:34:55,040 --> 00:34:57,040
Speaker 1: I would imagine forty one is a key number, so

749
00:34:57,160 --> 00:34:59,160
Speaker 1: you could sit you could sit around and maybe try

750
00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:01,640
Speaker 1: to get a forty one. But I'm a member of

751
00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:05,520
Speaker 1: the RBSDM community. The running backs don't really matter community,

752
00:35:05,640 --> 00:35:08,880
Speaker 1: so I don't personally care I mean, the Colts didn't

753
00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:13,000
Speaker 1: have Taylor or Hines in the game against Jacksonville, and

754
00:35:14,040 --> 00:35:17,640
Speaker 1: some guy they pulled off the street, Dean Jackson, went

755
00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:20,080
Speaker 1: off and had their best receiving and rushing game of

756
00:35:20,120 --> 00:35:23,200
Speaker 1: the season for any player on the team. So it

757
00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:26,480
Speaker 1: doesn't matter for me whether Taylor plays or not. Obviously

758
00:35:26,560 --> 00:35:28,839
Speaker 1: he's a good running back, he's talented, but he has

759
00:35:28,920 --> 00:35:31,239
Speaker 1: not looked the same this year and he's clearly not

760
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:32,719
Speaker 1: could be one hundred percent. He was banged up the

761
00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:34,839
Speaker 1: last couple of games he's played and has not been

762
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:36,880
Speaker 1: nearly as effective. I know there's a lot of fantasy

763
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:38,920
Speaker 1: owners that have lame out on me as a Colts fan,

764
00:35:39,080 --> 00:35:40,840
Speaker 1: so for his underperformance.

765
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:44,320
Speaker 2: Before we wrap up, get the picks recapped, and also

766
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:47,400
Speaker 2: wrap up the show, we are going to look ahead

767
00:35:47,520 --> 00:35:50,520
Speaker 2: quickly to week number ten to see if we like

768
00:35:50,520 --> 00:35:56,520
Speaker 2: any numbers now before any adjustments following Sunday's action, Brandon

769
00:35:56,560 --> 00:35:58,439
Speaker 2: Anderson look ahead line for week ten?

770
00:35:58,560 --> 00:36:01,640
Speaker 4: What do you have like the Steelers plus two and

771
00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:04,320
Speaker 4: a half at home against the Saints next week? You

772
00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:07,440
Speaker 4: hear that right away. You know this is a raw,

773
00:36:07,600 --> 00:36:12,080
Speaker 4: raw Mike Tomlin spot. So Steelers they don't play this weekend.

774
00:36:12,440 --> 00:36:14,800
Speaker 4: The Steelers finally get a week off. They needed it,

775
00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:17,400
Speaker 4: can you Pickett gets a chance to gel with the

776
00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:19,719
Speaker 4: offense kind of figure things out. He got thrown into

777
00:36:19,760 --> 00:36:22,200
Speaker 4: the fire mid game when they just said they weren't

778
00:36:22,200 --> 00:36:24,879
Speaker 4: going to play him, and then it's had a really

779
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:28,799
Speaker 4: tough time schedule wise. He' said four starts for them

780
00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:32,480
Speaker 4: came on the road, and it's Buffalo, Billy and Miami,

781
00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:35,680
Speaker 4: three really good teams. So his defense has been getting

782
00:36:35,719 --> 00:36:38,839
Speaker 4: lit up. And the week off should help the defense too.

783
00:36:38,960 --> 00:36:41,799
Speaker 4: That secondary gets a little time to heal. Dja Watt

784
00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:44,160
Speaker 4: starting to practice. He might be back for this one.

785
00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:46,880
Speaker 4: You get defensive player of the year back. That certainly

786
00:36:47,080 --> 00:36:50,880
Speaker 4: is good news, especially against a shaky offensive line, and

787
00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:53,120
Speaker 4: they get whoever it is the Saints decided to put

788
00:36:53,160 --> 00:36:55,440
Speaker 4: at quarterback for this one. So I think it's a

789
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:58,960
Speaker 4: good spot to grab the Steelers. Saints perception right at

790
00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:03,000
Speaker 4: this moment pretty high. They just beat the Raiders twenty four. Thing,

791
00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:06,160
Speaker 4: when was the last time anybody even thought about the

792
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:09,480
Speaker 4: Saints before that game? They've been a complete afterthought on

793
00:37:09,600 --> 00:37:13,400
Speaker 4: the season. Now their road favorites here. Andy Dalton, James

794
00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 4: Winston road favorites. I don't really see it. Dalton is

795
00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:21,840
Speaker 4: nine and sixteen against the spreapreadroom games. That obviously is

796
00:37:21,920 --> 00:37:24,680
Speaker 4: the spot that he's in on Monday night. Here, he's

797
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:27,480
Speaker 4: three and eleven on the road. There. Jamis Winston if

798
00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:30,399
Speaker 4: it's him, and if they go Jamis thirteen twenty three

799
00:37:30,440 --> 00:37:33,560
Speaker 4: and three ats and toss ups eight eighteen and one

800
00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:36,480
Speaker 4: as a favorite. So whoever it is at quarterback, give

801
00:37:36,520 --> 00:37:38,920
Speaker 4: me Taysom Hill. I don't care. It's not going to

802
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:41,160
Speaker 4: be a good quarterback Here'd rather have Can you pick

803
00:37:41,200 --> 00:37:43,319
Speaker 4: it at home? To be totally honest with the week

804
00:37:43,600 --> 00:37:47,200
Speaker 4: to prepare, settle in a little bit. And then the

805
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:50,200
Speaker 4: old Mike Tomlin stats. You guys know Tomlin as an

806
00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:53,320
Speaker 4: underdog week five forward thirty nine, sixteen and one ats

807
00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:55,839
Speaker 4: seventy one pert. But when you get him at home,

808
00:37:56,120 --> 00:38:00,640
Speaker 4: it's not often home underdog, right Tomlin fourteen two and

809
00:38:00,760 --> 00:38:04,719
Speaker 4: a one ats covered nine straight one seven in row

810
00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:09,600
Speaker 4: as an underdog thirteen and four outright at home underdog

811
00:38:09,760 --> 00:38:13,560
Speaker 4: in Mike Tomlin's career, nearly a one hundred percent ROI

812
00:38:13,719 --> 00:38:16,440
Speaker 4: on the Lion, So I like the Steelers plus two

813
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:18,680
Speaker 4: and a half I like the money line. I see

814
00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:21,400
Speaker 4: a plus one twenty five. I don't think this was

815
00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:24,000
Speaker 4: going to move a ton over the weekends. The Steelers

816
00:38:24,040 --> 00:38:27,239
Speaker 4: aren't playing, but the Saints do play Monday night against

817
00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:29,400
Speaker 4: the Ravens. The Ravens are pretty good. And if the

818
00:38:29,520 --> 00:38:31,320
Speaker 4: Ravens come out and kind of drop the hammer on

819
00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:34,120
Speaker 4: the Saints and everyone goes, oh, right, this was a

820
00:38:34,200 --> 00:38:36,400
Speaker 4: team we hated the rest of the season, we're thinking

821
00:38:36,520 --> 00:38:38,560
Speaker 4: well of them right now, then, I do think this

822
00:38:38,640 --> 00:38:40,360
Speaker 4: can move. And like we said, two is kind of

823
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:42,600
Speaker 4: a key number now as well. So I'll just grab

824
00:38:42,680 --> 00:38:44,680
Speaker 4: Steelers plus two and a half. Make sure I get

825
00:38:44,719 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 4: that raw ra underdog spot.

826
00:38:46,800 --> 00:38:48,640
Speaker 2: Speaking of that to more New Orleans the game, we

827
00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:51,920
Speaker 2: just got word from Saint coach to Sala that in

828
00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:54,759
Speaker 2: all likelihood it's no go for Michael Thomas the rest

829
00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:55,280
Speaker 2: of the season.

830
00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:57,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, due to do injury.

831
00:38:57,880 --> 00:39:00,560
Speaker 4: He's been out in a few weeks games.

832
00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:03,120
Speaker 2: Hey, Jill, before we go real quick, I would imagine

833
00:39:03,200 --> 00:39:06,080
Speaker 2: with the trade of Claypool, it could be maybe Pickett

834
00:39:06,160 --> 00:39:07,279
Speaker 2: picking season going on.

835
00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:09,719
Speaker 3: There so many touchdown score situations.

836
00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:12,640
Speaker 5: Absolutely, I think the it's the odds that you have

837
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:15,399
Speaker 5: to monitor because generally where he was in the pecking order,

838
00:39:15,440 --> 00:39:17,480
Speaker 5: he was third, so he would probably getting like plus

839
00:39:17,560 --> 00:39:20,439
Speaker 5: three hundred to plus three fifty odds. Now moving into

840
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:23,160
Speaker 5: wide receiver two spots, you're probably not going to see

841
00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:25,680
Speaker 5: him better than plus two hundred. And it may be

842
00:39:25,960 --> 00:39:28,680
Speaker 5: more if Canny Pickett struggle, like in that game against

843
00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:31,280
Speaker 5: New Orleans where we're just maybe not getting any offensive production,

844
00:39:31,440 --> 00:39:34,799
Speaker 5: but he's so talented now and being able to get

845
00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:37,840
Speaker 5: the you know, the cornerback to more likely because Deontay

846
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:40,200
Speaker 5: Johnson is going to be facing off in that matchup,

847
00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:43,600
Speaker 5: likely he could go off in that game, especially if

848
00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:44,840
Speaker 5: Marshall Latimore.

849
00:39:44,520 --> 00:39:44,960
Speaker 4: Is still out.

850
00:39:45,760 --> 00:39:49,560
Speaker 2: Maybe some Steven Stims, Miles Boyke in love Ford, some

851
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:50,520
Speaker 2: longer shots.

852
00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:53,600
Speaker 3: We will see. That's why we do this every week. Everybody,

853
00:39:53,719 --> 00:39:55,120
Speaker 3: Thanks so much for tuning.

854
00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:59,680
Speaker 2: In to our NFL Week nine Best Bets episode recap.

855
00:39:59,719 --> 00:39:59,920
Speaker 1: The pick.

856
00:40:00,840 --> 00:40:05,640
Speaker 2: Brandon Anderson is on Seahawks Island, what a surprise plus

857
00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:09,120
Speaker 2: two against the Cardinals on the road. He loves Green

858
00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:11,960
Speaker 2: Bay minus three and a half against Detroit, and he's

859
00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:13,919
Speaker 2: on the Bears plus four and a half a home

860
00:40:14,040 --> 00:40:18,120
Speaker 2: dog against the Dolphins. Je likes the Vegas Raiders minus

861
00:40:18,160 --> 00:40:22,160
Speaker 2: one and a half against Jacksonville. He's on the Minnesota

862
00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:25,080
Speaker 2: Washington over forty three and a half points, and he

863
00:40:25,200 --> 00:40:27,800
Speaker 2: likes the Patriots to cover against Indy at home minus

864
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:28,359
Speaker 2: four and a half.

865
00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:32,240
Speaker 3: Anthony Dbunda's debut picks, He's on the Lions.

866
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,400
Speaker 2: He's going to Brandon on the Lions plus three and

867
00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:38,319
Speaker 2: a half against Green Bay, case Tennessee under forty six

868
00:40:38,400 --> 00:40:41,480
Speaker 2: and a half, and he's on New England indye, except

869
00:40:41,520 --> 00:40:44,560
Speaker 2: he likes the Inder forty and a half points.

870
00:40:45,200 --> 00:40:45,840
Speaker 3: That's gonna do it.

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Speaker 2: For the Action Network Podcast for our NFL Week nine

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Speaker 2: Best Bets episode, we are presented by Fandels to Brandon Anderson,

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Speaker 2: Joe Gallant.

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Speaker 3: Anthony Dbundo. Thanks for sliding in this week for Vegas Refund.

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Speaker 2: I'm your host, Brendan glas Sheen. Best of bluck with

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Speaker 2: all of you ets this weekend. We will see you

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Speaker 2: again Monday morning for the recap show right here on

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Speaker 2: the Action Network Podcast