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Speaker 1: Ons up, guys, how are you? It is a Tuesday

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Speaker 1: morning for the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: Each and every morning we're here on Bettingpros dot com,

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Speaker 1: always being brought to you by bet MGM. You guys,

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Speaker 1: get the audio wherever you get your audio podcasts video

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Speaker 1: on the YouTube channel for Betting Pros. Ten dollars bet

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Speaker 1: gets you one hundred and fifty dollars at bet mgm

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Speaker 1: with the sign up bonus code of Juice one fifty. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So two and oh night. Last night, Creighton gets a

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Speaker 1: big first half lead coasts to a nice easy win

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Speaker 1: against Georgetown. Jay's miss five and a half.

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Speaker 2: That was easy.

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Speaker 1: Not so easy in the first half for Kansas, but

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Speaker 1: they get the job done in the second half. They

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Speaker 1: didn't score for like the last five minutes of that game.

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Speaker 1: It got a little bit sweaty there at the end,

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Speaker 1: but they covered the ten and a half. So a

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Speaker 1: two and o night for us. In college basketball, I've

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Speaker 1: got three plays for you guys coming up here today.

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Speaker 1: I like the number three. If there are three plays,

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Speaker 1: I like hop it on three because it's a win

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Speaker 1: or a loss guaranteed. I got two college basketball bets.

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Speaker 1: I've got one NHL bet that I want to get into,

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Speaker 1: and well, frankly, I think there's opportunities here maybe to

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Speaker 1: jump in with an NBA play, but I'm.

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Speaker 2: Not exactly positive.

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Speaker 1: There are two games I'm looking at that I've not

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Speaker 1: bet yet that I might bet, so I may put

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Speaker 1: it on the Discord channel. I am eyeballing Michigan State's

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Speaker 1: game tonight, and I am looking trying to figure out

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Speaker 1: like exactly, well, probably Michigan State might be the game

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Speaker 1: I'll jump into with Michigan State and their game, but

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Speaker 1: there are other games. It's a big college basketball night,

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Speaker 1: so I may have three plays in college basketball come

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Speaker 1: out up here tonight. Okay, let's start with Kentucky and

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Speaker 1: their game against Tennessee. Okay, so this, according to Kenpom,

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Speaker 1: is a one point win for Kentucky. Seventy one. Seventy

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Speaker 1: is the projection for ken Pomp. The current line is

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Speaker 1: Tennessee minus one Kentucky on the road. Now, this Kentucky

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Speaker 1: team is incredible on the glass, and the one thing,

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Speaker 1: it's kind of like a great defense going on the road.

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Speaker 1: If you have a team that can do great things

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Speaker 1: on the glass on the road, I think that's a

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Speaker 1: team I feel comfortable backing in a really hostile environment

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Speaker 1: because it's going to be rocking. Okay, Tennessee is going

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Speaker 1: to be just absolutely electrified for this game on a

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Speaker 1: Tuesday night. It's the game of the night in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: And frankly, Kentucky hasn't been great against the spread this year.

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Speaker 1: In fact, they have a losing record against the spread.

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Speaker 1: They're twelve and thirteen overall, four and six against the

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Speaker 1: number on the road, they're five and seven against against

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Speaker 1: teams in the SEC. But Tennessee, even though they're fourteen

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Speaker 1: and ten overall ats, they're seven and six at home,

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Speaker 1: and well, they've only covered two of the last four

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Speaker 1: times out. And I think in the first matchup they

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Speaker 1: lost by twenty eight points. Okay, they were catching four

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Speaker 1: and a half points on the road and they lost

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Speaker 1: by twenty eight. Now here is Kentucky on the road

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Speaker 1: again and they're catching a point. Seems like a little

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Speaker 1: bit of an over correction to me, a little bit.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is a Kentucky team right now that's

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Speaker 1: really really hot in terms of straight up wins. They've

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Speaker 1: won six games in a row. They have won ten

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Speaker 1: of eleven, and they have covered two of the last

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Speaker 1: four three of the last five. Not an outstanding number.

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Speaker 1: They're five and five over the last ten, three and

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Speaker 1: two over the last five. But they did winning cover

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Speaker 1: in their last game at home against Florida, laying ten points.

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Speaker 1: So last time on the road they were laying ten

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Speaker 1: and a half against South Carolina, they won by ten

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Speaker 1: on the road against Alabama, the last time they played

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Speaker 1: in their really big marquee road game was catching one

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Speaker 1: and a half points. They won by eleven. I think

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Speaker 1: the difference of this game is Kentucky on the glass,

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Speaker 1: and I think Kentucky wins this game. It is not

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Speaker 1: going to be easy. This is going to be an

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Speaker 1: absolute sweat.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: My tendency is to take the home team here. Okay,

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Speaker 1: my initial first read is take the home team. But

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Speaker 1: I think in terms of the rebounding discrepancy in what

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Speaker 1: we're gonna see, I think can I think that's why

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Speaker 1: Kentucky won by twenty eight points in the first game.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is the fifth best rebounding team in

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Speaker 1: the country in Kentucky. Some might say they're the best,

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Speaker 1: and frankly, Tennessee is not great. They're outside of the

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Speaker 1: top eighty five in overall rebounding. I mean offensive rebounding.

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Speaker 1: This team for Kentucky just is incredibly I mean they

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Speaker 1: crashed the glass as well as anybody in the country.

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Speaker 1: They averaged eleven point five offensive rebounds a game, that's

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Speaker 1: tenth best in the country. They're really difficult. And then

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Speaker 1: defensive rebounding Tennessee twenty two point eight. That's one hundred

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Speaker 1: and thirty fourth in the country. I mean that to

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Speaker 1: me is a monster discrepancy. Kentucky's also really good on

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Speaker 1: the defensive glass, top fifteen rebounding in the defensive glass

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Speaker 1: and offensive rebounding for Tennessee they're two hundred and third,

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Speaker 1: you know, alright, sorry, sorry, they're twenty fourth, but their

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Speaker 1: defensive rebounding the game is two hundred and third, so's

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Speaker 1: it's just not great. I don't think defensive rebounding, offensive

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Speaker 1: rebounding on the glass in general, Kentucky with a big advantage.

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Speaker 1: That's where the game is won. If I'm catching one point,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to take the team that can rebound better,

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Speaker 1: team that's more physical. Kentucky plus one for a half

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Speaker 1: a unit second bet in college basketball tonight, and man

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Speaker 1: is this going against all of my tendencies. When I

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Speaker 1: went to break down Villanova on the road at Providence,

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Speaker 1: my first gut was bet Providence plus four and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 1: started to do some research, started to look around, and really,

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Speaker 1: this is coming down to the fact that Villanova is

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Speaker 1: twelve and three in conference and Providence is eleven and one.

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Speaker 1: Providence also is fourteen and zero at home. I haven't

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Speaker 1: lost yet. On the road. Nova is seven and four.

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Speaker 1: Providence has won eight games in a row. Nova has

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Speaker 1: won three games in a row. Ken Palm has this

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Speaker 1: as a three point win for Villanova.

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Speaker 2: It's four and a half the number.

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Speaker 1: This is why I'm taking Villanova, and it goes against

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Speaker 1: everything in my power. It goes against everything in my mind.

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Speaker 1: Home dog that's won this many games in a row,

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Speaker 1: home dog that hasn't lost at home yet. But I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna buck all those trends in everyone. I feel like

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Speaker 1: everyone's going to be on Providence tonight. I could be wrong.

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Speaker 1: Maybe everyone comes in on Nova because of the experience,

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Speaker 1: but I think in February this is where Jay Roi

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Speaker 1: eight does an incredible job with mismatches and finding where

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Speaker 1: his team can take advantage of the other teams. I

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Speaker 1: think in terms of a matchup, I think Providence may

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Speaker 1: have a difficult time here keeping track of the basketball,

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Speaker 1: and I think Nova's ability to turn the team over

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Speaker 1: is going to be significant. This is a team that

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Speaker 1: turns the ball over a lot. For Providence, they're one

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Speaker 1: hundred and forty second in the country in turnovers, eighteenth

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Speaker 1: in turnover percentage here for Villanova, they do a really

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Speaker 1: good job of protecting the basketball. They get after their opponent,

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Speaker 1: they try to turn their opponent over, and I think

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Speaker 1: it's a difficult situation when you have an experienced pressing team.

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Speaker 1: And frankly, Providence can win the Big East and kill

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Speaker 1: two bets or two units that I've got on this.

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Speaker 1: I was hell bent on Nova winning it all in

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Speaker 1: the Big East regular season title. They lose this pretty

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Speaker 1: much that lights out, and I think when you put

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Speaker 1: Villanova in their backs against the wall, I think they

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Speaker 1: win this game. The question is can they cover four

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Speaker 1: and a half. And I'm gonna hope for like free

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Speaker 1: throws late that they get fouls, and this is one

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Speaker 1: of those games where they're up by three late misshot foul.

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Speaker 1: We got a couple of free throws, they win the

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Speaker 1: game by five or six points. This is not gonna

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Speaker 1: be a runaway. Okay, this is not I don't see

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Speaker 1: Nova winning this game by fifteen twenty points. Providence is

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Speaker 1: going to be right there. They're really physical, they're always

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Speaker 1: really good, and they might be the best team in

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Speaker 1: the Big East. We're gonna find out tonight if they

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Speaker 1: can beat Villanova. This is the first time these teams

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Speaker 1: will play in twenty twenty two. Okay, they will play twice.

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Speaker 1: They play let's see that they play tonight, and then

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Speaker 1: they play on the on March first in Nova. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so on the road. Really tough place to play. But

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Speaker 1: this is two top ten teams going up against each other.

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Speaker 1: I think Jay Wright's team's more experienced, and I think

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Speaker 1: that they know if they lose this game, they're in

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Speaker 1: deep trouble. Nova will wind up playing on the road

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Speaker 1: at Providence, at home against Georgetown, which is a win,

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Speaker 1: then on the road at Yukon, tough place to play,

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Speaker 1: and then home for Villa and Nova. Really tough place

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Speaker 1: to play. They beat Seaton Hall in their last game

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Speaker 1: at home, tough game. They won by six. Maybe looking

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Speaker 1: ahead to this Providence game, just a little bit. But

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Speaker 1: this is a game. If Novah is gonna win the

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Speaker 1: Big East regular season crown, they gotta beat Providence twice.

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Speaker 2: That simple.

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Speaker 1: It's all in front of them. A regular season crown

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Speaker 1: is right there. I'm gonna take Nova to win. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go against everything that's screaming home dog hot team.

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Speaker 1: Take Providence. I like Nova better, I liked them better

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Speaker 1: in the regular season. I'm gonna take and lay the

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Speaker 1: four and a half points with a road favorite, ugly, difficult,

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Speaker 1: tough game. Don't blame you if you're like Matt, I'm

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Speaker 1: fading this, not mad about it at all. Okay, I'm

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Speaker 1: just taking Nova because I've liked Nova all year and

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Speaker 1: it is it's excuse my language, but it's not cut

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Speaker 1: in time here for Villanova. Do or die, put up

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Speaker 1: or shut up time to win on the road, and

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Speaker 1: I think if they win, they cover. I'll lay the

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Speaker 1: four and a half points, even though it's two possessions

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Speaker 1: and it's ugly and.

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Speaker 2: Scary and we may need help.

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Speaker 1: With free throws and blah blah blah, Nova mas four

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Speaker 1: and a half for a half a unit, all right,

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Speaker 1: one hockey play to get into and this number is moving,

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Speaker 1: so I hope you guys can get this. The New

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Speaker 1: Jersey Devils have been an over machine, and so have

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Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Lightning over the last six games. Offensively,

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Speaker 1: we've seen the Lightning with three or more goals in

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Speaker 1: for their last six games. The Devils have given up

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Speaker 1: twenty seven goals in their last six home games. Okay,

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Speaker 1: the Devils in the first period are one of the

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Speaker 1: best teams to go over. They are hitting at about

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Speaker 1: an eighty five ninety percent chance or clip brother to

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Speaker 1: the over. On the year, it's over sixty percent to

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Speaker 1: the first period over. Don't mind if you want to

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Speaker 1: bet that the one of the best teams, if not

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Speaker 1: the best team in the hockey in hockey is Tampa Bay.

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Speaker 1: Third period overs over two three, two three goals almost

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Speaker 1: every single time Tampa's out there. The Devils do not

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Speaker 1: score all that much, but they might be able to

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Speaker 1: get a couple in garbage time here. Devils aren't great offensively.

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Speaker 1: I don't mind if you want to take Tampa laying

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Speaker 1: a goal and a half on the puck line, but

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Speaker 1: I got six and six gives me a really good

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Speaker 1: push potential from a total, and it also gives me

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Speaker 1: a chance to.

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Speaker 2: Maybe hedge a little bit.

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Speaker 1: If the game gets off to a slower start, we

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Speaker 1: potentially could kind of, you know, maybe come up with

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Speaker 1: a win on both. If it gets off to a

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Speaker 1: really slow start, drops down to four, game falls five,

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Speaker 1: we can middle it potentially and save the over bet

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Speaker 1: hedge a little bit, if you will. Six is a

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Speaker 1: good good number in my opinion, because we haven't bet

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Speaker 1: many totals of six, but this is a total that

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Speaker 1: I do like.

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Speaker 2: Six and a half. I don't really love, but I

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Speaker 2: like six.

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Speaker 1: So it gives us a real good chance to get

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Speaker 1: a push, maybe an open net goal to get there

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Speaker 1: for three, you know, five to two somewhere in that

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Speaker 1: range to get.

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Speaker 2: A w here on this.

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Speaker 1: But I'm going to go ahead and say over six

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Speaker 1: goals Tampa Bay at New Jersey this game at seven

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Speaker 1: o five Eastern time. Take the over six goals at

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Speaker 1: minus one twenty five for a half a unit. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so three bets half a unit each going here tonight.

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Speaker 1: We're going to take Nova on the road minus four

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Speaker 1: and a half, Kentucky on the road plus one at Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: and the over six goals at minus one twenty five

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Speaker 1: for Tampa and New Jersey. Tonights here in the na

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Speaker 1: Hill minus Matt Parolt. Follow me on Twitter at sports

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Speaker 1: Doc Matt. Each and every morning, it's Dale Juice Podcast,

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Speaker 1: always being brought to you by bet mgm do