1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast. 2 00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: All right, here we go. 3 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 1: Fifteen Conny twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five 4 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:15,600 Speaker 1: fifty and the. 5 00:00:15,720 --> 00:00:20,439 Speaker 3: Kick as black Look College Football World stunner. 6 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:29,040 Speaker 4: Oh my goodness, he stumbled the football. The lateral turn 7 00:00:29,240 --> 00:00:30,520 Speaker 4: counter on the job. 8 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:32,519 Speaker 5: Can't you the lad. 9 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:40,879 Speaker 4: Table off the field to night. It's not the sage 10 00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:44,600 Speaker 4: the game anything. It's the sage of the fight in 11 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:50,879 Speaker 4: the roll. Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast 12 00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:52,919 Speaker 4: presented by Bett MGM. This is the Group of five 13 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 4: deep dive. We are going to be tackling the American 14 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 4: Athletic Conference today. I am joined by Stuckey and Mike Ianello. 15 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:00,720 Speaker 4: We're going to get into wind total odds to win 16 00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 4: the conference as well as the new juicy market odds 17 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:06,759 Speaker 4: to make the twelve team College Football Playoff, snapping up 18 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:09,880 Speaker 4: that automatic G five bid for the top team in 19 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:12,320 Speaker 4: the group of five stuck. What are your thoughts on 20 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:15,679 Speaker 4: the AAC this year as they enter with a new 21 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 4: member in Army. 22 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:21,959 Speaker 2: It's conference that's dominated by coaching continuity outside of Tulane. 23 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:24,640 Speaker 2: So you had a big shift with Tulane with Willie 24 00:01:24,680 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 2: Fritz leaving John Summrall coming in from Troy and outside 25 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:32,880 Speaker 2: of what usf rice in Memphis, a lot of roster turnover. 26 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 2: So I think I had eight or nine teams outside 27 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:39,560 Speaker 2: the top ninety and returning production. So coaching consistency, but 28 00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 2: a lot of roster turnover, which makes this roster pretty 29 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:46,680 Speaker 2: interesting to break down. And yes, the big news is 30 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 2: Army is now in the AAC going to a new offense, 31 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:54,120 Speaker 2: which I'll talk about, Navy going to a new offense 32 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:57,040 Speaker 2: which I'll talk about, and i have two service academies 33 00:01:57,040 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 2: to talk about. So I'm excited. 34 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 4: I Knowlo, what are your thought? Are there a few 35 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 4: teams right away that you're excited to discuss? 36 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 6: Yeah, for sure, I'm very, very excited about this conference. 37 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:08,680 Speaker 6: I think the American is typically viewed as the best 38 00:02:08,720 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 6: G five conference. That's why we continually see their top 39 00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 6: teams get picked off. 40 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 4: It's very top heavy. 41 00:02:14,000 --> 00:02:16,600 Speaker 6: I think the bottom is maybe worse than it's been 42 00:02:16,639 --> 00:02:18,080 Speaker 6: in a few years, but I think the top is 43 00:02:18,160 --> 00:02:20,359 Speaker 6: very good and I'm very curious to see four or 44 00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 6: five teams. You can make a legitimate college football playoff 45 00:02:23,760 --> 00:02:26,840 Speaker 6: argument for can one of them separate or where they 46 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 6: cannibalize each other. 47 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:29,720 Speaker 4: All right, let's hop into one of the teams that 48 00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 4: you're talking about having an opportunity to grab that automatic 49 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 4: bid gets the twelve team college Football Playoff. Let's start 50 00:02:36,480 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 4: with Memphis ten and three last year, six and two 51 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 4: in the conference. Their win total coming into twenty twenty 52 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:43,640 Speaker 4: four set at nine and a half to odds to 53 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 4: win the AAC plus two ten odds to make the 54 00:02:46,400 --> 00:02:49,800 Speaker 4: College Football Playoff eleven to two. This offense, if everything 55 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 4: goes right, they'll threadn forty points a game every time out. 56 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 4: They bring back senior passer Seth Hennigan. They rank twenty 57 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:59,080 Speaker 4: ninth in returning production offensively, Rock Taylor, Demir blank Comsi 58 00:02:59,320 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 4: combined for a hund eighty five targets and thirty three 59 00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:05,600 Speaker 4: percent of their teams receiving touchdowns last year, so they 60 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 4: clearly have a quarterback receiver connection to lean on. The 61 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 4: offensive line is where things get interesting, but I think 62 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:13,680 Speaker 4: in a good way. They only return two starters, but 63 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 4: they have a few key transfers, most notably Jalen Nichols 64 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:19,959 Speaker 4: at left tackle from South Carolina. Speaking of South Carolina, 65 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:22,520 Speaker 4: they also bring in the game Cox Mario Anderson, who 66 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:25,120 Speaker 4: arrives at fill in for the departed Blake Watson at 67 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:27,920 Speaker 4: running back. So right away, I'm going to kick this 68 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:30,919 Speaker 4: to you, I know, before I finished my full right 69 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 4: up here on the Tigers, is this a Texas State 70 00:03:34,600 --> 00:03:37,480 Speaker 4: situation where they have a super dynamic offense and then 71 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:39,920 Speaker 4: it's a question of their defense or do you think 72 00:03:39,960 --> 00:03:41,480 Speaker 4: there's going to be enough on the defensive side of 73 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 4: the ball, Because in a four week stretch from October 74 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:46,680 Speaker 4: twenty eighth to November eighteenth last year, they give up 75 00:03:46,680 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 4: forty two to North Texas, fifty to South Florida, thirty 76 00:03:49,400 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 4: eight to Charlotte, and thirty eight to SMU Are you 77 00:03:52,080 --> 00:03:54,280 Speaker 4: bullish on them putting it together on that side of 78 00:03:54,280 --> 00:03:56,880 Speaker 4: the ball here this fall? I am, and I'm buying 79 00:03:56,920 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 4: the upside with Memphis. 80 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:01,120 Speaker 6: I think I trust their offense more I trust Texas States, 81 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 6: and I do think the defense has room to take 82 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 6: a step forward, and I'm bullsh enough that they will 83 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:07,360 Speaker 6: be able to do that, which is why I am 84 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 6: buying the upside with Memphis and taking them plus seven 85 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 6: hundred to make the college football Playoff. As I mentioned 86 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 6: on the Conference USA podcast that we did with Connin Wilson, 87 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:19,800 Speaker 6: that should already be out. If you guys listen to that. 88 00:04:19,880 --> 00:04:22,719 Speaker 6: I said, my kind of way to fade Liberty was 89 00:04:22,839 --> 00:04:26,240 Speaker 6: pick two other G five teams. Whether you want to 90 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:30,040 Speaker 6: go Boise app State stuck he wants JMU. I'm taking 91 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 6: Boise State and Memphis to make the playoffs. And that's 92 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:35,440 Speaker 6: my way of fading Liberty. You mentioned it. They bring 93 00:04:35,480 --> 00:04:38,040 Speaker 6: back Seth Henigan. You know, he might be one of 94 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:40,039 Speaker 6: the best quarterbacks in the G five or he's probably 95 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:42,360 Speaker 6: the best quarterback in G five. Four season as a starter, 96 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:45,839 Speaker 6: he's throwing for over ten thousand yards, seventy nine touchdowns, 97 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:49,000 Speaker 6: twenty five interceptions, top two. The new receivers are back. 98 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:51,680 Speaker 6: You mentioned they bringing Mario Williams from South Carolina. When 99 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:53,960 Speaker 6: we do these pods, we talk about, you know, all 100 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:56,719 Speaker 6: these Power five drop downs a lot of the times, 101 00:04:56,720 --> 00:04:58,279 Speaker 6: and you're banking on the talent. 102 00:04:58,440 --> 00:04:58,600 Speaker 4: No. 103 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:01,240 Speaker 6: No, he was the game Cocks starting running back. He 104 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:04,960 Speaker 6: was their leading rusher, and now he's coming to Memphis 105 00:05:05,240 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 6: vetteran offensive line. The offense is gonna hum. They're already 106 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:11,080 Speaker 6: six in the country. They'll probably be even better this year. Yes, 107 00:05:11,160 --> 00:05:13,160 Speaker 6: the defense has to get better. They have to take 108 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:16,160 Speaker 6: a step forward. Chandler Martin back at linebacker. He's gonna 109 00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:18,400 Speaker 6: he led the team and tackle sax fumbles. He does 110 00:05:18,440 --> 00:05:21,080 Speaker 6: it all. They need to get a better pass rush 111 00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:23,480 Speaker 6: that'll help out the secondary. That's the key to this 112 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:26,599 Speaker 6: team to me is can they find some way to 113 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 6: generate a pass rush, because if the defense is just average, 114 00:05:31,320 --> 00:05:32,440 Speaker 6: they're gonna. 115 00:05:32,160 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 4: Win the event. 116 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:34,840 Speaker 6: They should win the American which is why I'm betting 117 00:05:34,880 --> 00:05:37,000 Speaker 6: on the upside where if the defense takes a step forward, 118 00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:39,600 Speaker 6: I think they cruise. I like them plus seven hundred 119 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:40,720 Speaker 6: gim Memphis to make the playoff. 120 00:05:41,320 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 4: One hundred and twenty fourth in past defense last year 121 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:46,680 Speaker 4: one hundred and thirty first and tackling per Pro Football Focus. 122 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:49,880 Speaker 4: And my major issue here in terms of their upside 123 00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:51,920 Speaker 4: to win double digit games to get to the playoff 124 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:54,360 Speaker 4: is they have a bunch of offenses that could expose 125 00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:57,039 Speaker 4: them that they have to go to Rody's of Florida, State, 126 00:05:57,160 --> 00:06:00,640 Speaker 4: South Florida, UTSA, and Tulane. Let me bring you in here, Stuck. 127 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:03,320 Speaker 4: What are your thoughts overall on the Tigers to break 128 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 4: through and to be the class of the CHI five. 129 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, they have a really high floor because they should 130 00:06:09,560 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 2: go seven and O at home. But then, as you mentioned, 131 00:06:12,040 --> 00:06:14,360 Speaker 2: they have utsa USF two lane at home in addition 132 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:17,360 Speaker 2: to Florida State. There is some potential regression that I'm 133 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 2: worried about, just close game regression. Last year. If you look, 134 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:21,600 Speaker 2: they went four and two one per games, it was 135 00:06:21,640 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 2: really four and out. They scored garbage touchdowns against Missouri 136 00:06:25,400 --> 00:06:28,240 Speaker 2: and SMU to make those one score games five of 137 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:30,479 Speaker 2: their wins last year. So they beat the Fune Cookman 138 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:33,440 Speaker 2: Arc State week two when Butch Jones was still crying 139 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:37,360 Speaker 2: UAB and Temple who cares their other five wins last year, 140 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 2: maybe by four, maybe had a chance to win that game, 141 00:06:40,160 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 2: and maybe was dreadful. Last year Boise by three. They 142 00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:44,719 Speaker 2: had a block field goal to take the lead in 143 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 2: that game. Boise should have won North Texas by three. 144 00:06:47,880 --> 00:06:50,120 Speaker 2: Score a touchdown with nine seconds left to win that 145 00:06:50,200 --> 00:06:54,040 Speaker 2: game from the thirty six yard line. USF by nine, 146 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 2: fifty nine to fifty, and then Charlotte by six in 147 00:06:57,279 --> 00:07:00,120 Speaker 2: overtime they trailed by ten late. They won all all 148 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 2: five of those games. There were minus fifty total net 149 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 2: yards and they went five to zero. So yeah, it 150 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:07,360 Speaker 2: all comes down to the defense. Now, what do they 151 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 2: have this year and what will they have going forward? 152 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:19,520 Speaker 2: That makes them an extremely intriguing group of five team money. 153 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:23,119 Speaker 2: They got all the money to two hundred and twenty 154 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 2: million dollar stadium renovation coming. By the way, it's going 155 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:27,840 Speaker 2: to look ugly during this year. I think he'll be 156 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:30,040 Speaker 2: ready by twenty twenty six. And then they got they 157 00:07:30,080 --> 00:07:32,800 Speaker 2: got the FedEx money twenty five million over five years. 158 00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:36,160 Speaker 2: That's huge. So what does that lead to? Brought in 159 00:07:36,560 --> 00:07:40,520 Speaker 2: twenty nine transfers, eleven of which started last year at 160 00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:43,480 Speaker 2: the FBS level. So you know, you bring in a 161 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:45,720 Speaker 2: guy like Herring who started at Tennessee at linebacker. That's 162 00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 2: the strength of the defense. So I think that in 163 00:07:47,840 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 2: this new scheme that they're gonna running the're a little 164 00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:53,880 Speaker 2: more reliant on the linebacker position. I know mentioned Martin 165 00:07:53,960 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 2: Martin Herring at linebacker. That's a really good foundation. You 166 00:07:57,440 --> 00:07:59,840 Speaker 2: bring in Grimes from Oklahoma, you bring in a couple 167 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:03,480 Speaker 2: power four defensive back So I think that there is 168 00:08:03,560 --> 00:08:05,400 Speaker 2: upside for this unit to get a bit better, and 169 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:08,560 Speaker 2: they're going to need to be just in order to 170 00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:10,320 Speaker 2: get through that road. Goblin, if you're talking about the 171 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:13,360 Speaker 2: upside of making the college football Playoff, because the offense 172 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:17,520 Speaker 2: should be awesome assuming Hennigan stays healthy. There's no quarterback 173 00:08:17,560 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 2: depth here. I I do want to watch the offense line. 174 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:23,760 Speaker 2: It's something I want to watch early because there's gonna 175 00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:26,640 Speaker 2: there's likely going to be five new guys in five 176 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:30,840 Speaker 2: new spots this year. So I project eight point nine 177 00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 2: win totals about over nine and a half juice. Yeah, 178 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 2: it's nine and a half a due to the under 179 00:08:36,520 --> 00:08:39,320 Speaker 2: so I'm pretty close. But they are my pick win 180 00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 2: the league. 181 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:44,000 Speaker 4: If you're not going with Memphis, then perhaps we can 182 00:08:44,040 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 4: talk a few listeners into Tulane eleven and three last year, 183 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:48,720 Speaker 4: eight and zero in the AAC. Their win total at 184 00:08:48,760 --> 00:08:50,520 Speaker 4: seven and a half or eight out of the market 185 00:08:50,640 --> 00:08:53,160 Speaker 4: plus three seventy to win the conference eleven to one 186 00:08:53,200 --> 00:08:55,720 Speaker 4: to make the College to Wall playoff. Willie Fritz went 187 00:08:55,800 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 4: fifteen to one in his last sixteen regular season AAC games. 188 00:08:59,400 --> 00:09:02,319 Speaker 4: He departs an absolute legend. He's replaced by a rising 189 00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:04,480 Speaker 4: star in John Sumral, who went twenty three and four 190 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:07,280 Speaker 4: in two years at Troy. It's a reunion of sorts 191 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:09,440 Speaker 4: for some Roll, who is a co DC at Tulane 192 00:09:09,440 --> 00:09:12,120 Speaker 4: from twenty twelve to twenty fourteen. With the Green Wave. 193 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 4: All right, let's get into personnel here. Michael Pratt gone. 194 00:09:15,280 --> 00:09:18,160 Speaker 4: But what's interesting is, you know, because of injuries and 195 00:09:18,280 --> 00:09:21,320 Speaker 4: some play calling issues, he was just really good, not 196 00:09:21,480 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 4: elite last year. They didn't need him to be. He 197 00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:26,720 Speaker 4: didn't have the same performances he did in route to 198 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:29,560 Speaker 4: that Cotton Bowl victory over USC. You know who was 199 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:32,400 Speaker 4: elite last year though, Makai Hughes, who is back, gave 200 00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:35,160 Speaker 4: close to fourteen hundred rushing yards last season. Plus they 201 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:37,880 Speaker 4: returned three starters on the offensive line. They welcome in 202 00:09:38,280 --> 00:09:41,720 Speaker 4: a blue chip quarterback in ty Thompson, and if their 203 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:44,679 Speaker 4: offensive coordinator Joe Kratick had turned Gunner Watson into a 204 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:47,560 Speaker 4: great Chief five quarterback, I believe wholeheartedly he can do it. 205 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:51,160 Speaker 4: With Thompson, Mario Williams from USC, Chez Preston from Alabama 206 00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:53,320 Speaker 4: really help them on the perimeter at wide receiver. They 207 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:55,280 Speaker 4: get them both out of the portal lots of like 208 00:09:55,400 --> 00:09:58,760 Speaker 4: on offense. Defense is where things get a little bit interesting. 209 00:09:58,760 --> 00:10:00,760 Speaker 4: But they had building blocks with Pat Jenkins on the 210 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 4: line and Tyler Grubb at linebacker. Hayesus Machado made a 211 00:10:03,800 --> 00:10:07,120 Speaker 4: big jump up last season at linebacker as well, so 212 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 4: I like what they can potentially do in the box. 213 00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:12,560 Speaker 4: The secondary is new with six transfers in the mix, 214 00:10:12,559 --> 00:10:14,320 Speaker 4: and I think this is where the season is really 215 00:10:14,320 --> 00:10:16,680 Speaker 4: going to flip one way or the other. Cal brand 216 00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 4: Saw from Troy, Jalen Geiger from Kentucky, and lou Tillery 217 00:10:20,440 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 4: from Louisiana Monroe all have a shot to start. We'll 218 00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:26,840 Speaker 4: see how good these guys actually are. Upside of this 219 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:29,959 Speaker 4: is that their schedule they have, you know, a couple 220 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:33,520 Speaker 4: opportunities for big statements if they get themselves into a 221 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:36,480 Speaker 4: debate for who gets that college football playoff spot. They 222 00:10:36,520 --> 00:10:39,560 Speaker 4: host kse State in Week two, at Oklahoma the following week, 223 00:10:39,760 --> 00:10:44,040 Speaker 4: then on the road at Louisiana, USF at home in September. 224 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:47,440 Speaker 4: All this in September. It's a gauntlet. So even though 225 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:49,960 Speaker 4: I really like what they have offensively, I like what 226 00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:51,800 Speaker 4: they have in their coaching staff they did. You know, 227 00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:53,480 Speaker 4: you can argue this is one of the best hires 228 00:10:53,559 --> 00:10:55,960 Speaker 4: in the entire country to be able to replace one 229 00:10:56,160 --> 00:10:59,880 Speaker 4: rising star with another. They close the season on Thanksgiving 230 00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 4: at home against Memphis, so the schedule sets up brutal 231 00:11:03,040 --> 00:11:05,839 Speaker 4: early on and then game of the year vibes there 232 00:11:05,880 --> 00:11:08,440 Speaker 4: at the end against Memphis. I know, I'll ask you 233 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:10,720 Speaker 4: here first, as a two lane team, I think you 234 00:11:10,800 --> 00:11:13,360 Speaker 4: personally been beating the drum on for years. You bought 235 00:11:13,360 --> 00:11:15,840 Speaker 4: them early in terms of their upside. They clearly get 236 00:11:15,840 --> 00:11:18,040 Speaker 4: over the hump win a New Year six Bowl game, 237 00:11:18,160 --> 00:11:19,800 Speaker 4: and then last year they kept it going, you know, 238 00:11:19,880 --> 00:11:22,920 Speaker 4: to go undefeated in conference play. Are you that bullish 239 00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:26,320 Speaker 4: with a new regime here in the big easy? I 240 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:26,959 Speaker 4: am bullish. 241 00:11:27,040 --> 00:11:28,800 Speaker 6: I think you know you kind of to me summed 242 00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:30,960 Speaker 6: it up perfectly, and I'm sure this would be the 243 00:11:30,960 --> 00:11:34,000 Speaker 6: theme for the next you know, fifteen minutes. Is just 244 00:11:34,800 --> 00:11:37,960 Speaker 6: that these top four teams to me, are so hard 245 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:41,480 Speaker 6: to dissect, and you're nitpicking and kind of guessing to 246 00:11:41,520 --> 00:11:43,680 Speaker 6: a degree, And it's kind of like they all have flaws, 247 00:11:43,720 --> 00:11:46,400 Speaker 6: they all have strings, They all have high floors. It 248 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 6: who has the highest ceiling? Who can reach that ceiling? Look, 249 00:11:49,520 --> 00:11:52,200 Speaker 6: if you said to me you love Tulane, I would 250 00:11:52,280 --> 00:11:53,000 Speaker 6: not fall yet all. 251 00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:54,000 Speaker 4: I will not be. 252 00:11:54,040 --> 00:11:56,840 Speaker 6: Surprised in the slightest if this team wins the conference. 253 00:11:57,120 --> 00:11:59,160 Speaker 6: You mentioned some are all just not only the back 254 00:11:59,160 --> 00:12:02,319 Speaker 6: to back some about title he was Tulaye's defensive coordinated 255 00:12:02,360 --> 00:12:05,240 Speaker 6: for three years. He's familiar with the program. You know, 256 00:12:05,320 --> 00:12:08,840 Speaker 6: Ty Thompson. You know, we're not really sure what he is. 257 00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 6: Five star recruit but didn't really play much, but he 258 00:12:11,559 --> 00:12:13,439 Speaker 6: got three years to learn in a really good system. 259 00:12:13,800 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 6: You mentioned Hughes at running back, Mario Williams coming in 260 00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:19,080 Speaker 6: at receiver. I love the offense. Defense has turnover. They 261 00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:22,800 Speaker 6: only bring by four their top twelve tacklers. But Summer 262 00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 6: always had great defenses at Troy, so it's not like 263 00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:27,320 Speaker 6: that's something I'm super worried. I'm passing on the seven 264 00:12:27,320 --> 00:12:30,360 Speaker 6: and a half personally, just because you kind of got 265 00:12:30,360 --> 00:12:32,960 Speaker 6: to pick your favorite of these four, and I'm bullish 266 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:35,240 Speaker 6: on Memphis. And there's another team I like that I'll 267 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:37,439 Speaker 6: talk about, but I won't. 268 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:37,800 Speaker 4: Be surprised at all. 269 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:39,360 Speaker 6: But you mentioned I mean they could start one and 270 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:42,840 Speaker 6: four with Kansas State, Oklahoma, Louisiana, South Florida all in 271 00:12:42,840 --> 00:12:45,720 Speaker 6: the first month. So with a new coach, new QB, 272 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:48,440 Speaker 6: ton of turnover on the defense, it's a pass for me. 273 00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:52,800 Speaker 6: But I mean, I wouldn't be at all surprised if 274 00:12:52,800 --> 00:12:53,840 Speaker 6: they win the conference. 275 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:56,440 Speaker 4: I'll put to see this way stuck in terms of 276 00:12:56,520 --> 00:12:59,360 Speaker 4: k State Oklahoma. Are you interested in backing the Green 277 00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:01,160 Speaker 4: Wave and those spots early? 278 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:05,120 Speaker 2: Probably, I mean, obviously always just depends on the number. 279 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:08,480 Speaker 2: But I can't. I don't think this team has upside 280 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:11,680 Speaker 2: like Memphis. I don't think they have College Football Playoff upside. 281 00:13:12,240 --> 00:13:15,080 Speaker 2: And then that tough early part of the schedule is 282 00:13:15,080 --> 00:13:17,240 Speaker 2: more difficult because of all the roster to and arrive. 283 00:13:17,320 --> 00:13:19,680 Speaker 2: I'm outside the top ninety in both offensive and defensive 284 00:13:19,720 --> 00:13:22,880 Speaker 2: returning production. They did bring in two transfers in the 285 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 2: offensive line that have started to replace their two first 286 00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:28,080 Speaker 2: team All AAC guys, but I think that there's a 287 00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:31,920 Speaker 2: slight step back there quarterback competition between Horton and Thompson. 288 00:13:32,080 --> 00:13:35,120 Speaker 2: We'll see what happens there wide receiver when they lose everybody. 289 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:40,160 Speaker 2: But I like who they brought in. You know Mary Williams, 290 00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:43,040 Speaker 2: by the way, Mary Williams from USC. He was the 291 00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:45,360 Speaker 2: guy who muffed the punt against Tulane in the bowl 292 00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:47,880 Speaker 2: game that allowed for Tulane to win that game. Now 293 00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:50,720 Speaker 2: he's at two lane. Interestingly enough, the defense is what 294 00:13:50,760 --> 00:13:53,240 Speaker 2: I'm worried about here. I think summer eventually we'll have 295 00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:56,480 Speaker 2: it fixed. But you know, they lose their Jenkins is 296 00:13:56,480 --> 00:13:59,320 Speaker 2: a stud and at defensive tackle he's a monster, But 297 00:13:59,360 --> 00:14:01,439 Speaker 2: they lose their top three sack guys at defensive end. 298 00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:05,319 Speaker 2: They lose almost everybody on the back end of the defense. 299 00:14:05,320 --> 00:14:07,360 Speaker 2: So I'm really worried about the past day, especially if 300 00:14:07,760 --> 00:14:11,400 Speaker 2: pressure drops off Ransof from Troy. He's a future pro, 301 00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:14,160 Speaker 2: so he's a stud. He'll start probably the nickel spear position. 302 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:16,720 Speaker 2: But other than that, I do have a lot of 303 00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:19,760 Speaker 2: questions just the talent level on how it all comes together. 304 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 2: So I yeah, they're the only team in the AAC 305 00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 2: with a new head coach, offensive coordinator, defensive coordinator, and quarterback. 306 00:14:26,920 --> 00:14:29,640 Speaker 2: Mentioned it a lot of coaching stability elsewhere. I love 307 00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 2: the summer all higher, but there might be some struggles 308 00:14:31,920 --> 00:14:35,640 Speaker 2: early on. I project them seven point five on the dot. 309 00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:39,240 Speaker 2: The good news is they host USF in Memphis, they 310 00:14:39,280 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 2: avoid UTSA, and they've been dominant at home at least 311 00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:45,040 Speaker 2: they were under Willie Fritz, especially from it against the 312 00:14:45,040 --> 00:14:49,160 Speaker 2: spread perspective, so they'll definitely have their shots. You mentioned 313 00:14:49,160 --> 00:14:52,960 Speaker 2: Memphis is late in the year. USF fifth game you 314 00:14:53,040 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 2: kind of hopefully work out some kinks against Kansas State 315 00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:59,120 Speaker 2: and Oklahoma and Louisiana. It's a very tough non conference schedule, 316 00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:03,360 Speaker 2: so they're going to have their chance to take care 317 00:15:03,400 --> 00:15:06,920 Speaker 2: of business and get to the conference championship game. Think 318 00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:08,520 Speaker 2: the goal, if you're a two lane fan or two 319 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:11,280 Speaker 2: lane backer is just figure some things out under summer 320 00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:15,280 Speaker 2: and have that Memphis game in the regular season finale. 321 00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:20,080 Speaker 2: Have that be to decide who goes to the AC Championship. 322 00:15:21,080 --> 00:15:24,120 Speaker 2: But I lean slight, lean under, but I project seven 323 00:15:24,160 --> 00:15:26,720 Speaker 2: point five. It's seven and a half. Juice today over 324 00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:28,000 Speaker 2: two things A pass for me. 325 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 4: UTSA. The Roadrunners nine to four last year, seven and 326 00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:35,480 Speaker 4: one in conference play. Their win sowed a little bit 327 00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:37,240 Speaker 4: higher than to lane set of eight or eight and 328 00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:40,040 Speaker 4: a half to win the American plus five hundred to 329 00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:44,360 Speaker 4: make the College Fool playoff thirteen to one. Maybe listen, 330 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:47,080 Speaker 4: Jeff Trailer went from high school coaching legend to G 331 00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:50,480 Speaker 4: five legend. He's twenty seven and four in conference play 332 00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:53,640 Speaker 4: since taking over at UTSA in twenty twenty, two conference 333 00:15:53,680 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 4: titles under his belt there now. This year's team is 334 00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:58,880 Speaker 4: short on those familiar faces that we grew accustomed to 335 00:15:59,080 --> 00:16:03,160 Speaker 4: with hashtag MEEP, namely doctor Frank Harris gone at quarterback. 336 00:16:03,280 --> 00:16:05,840 Speaker 4: They're negative eight in the net tarp, which is the 337 00:16:05,960 --> 00:16:08,880 Speaker 4: worst in the AAC. The question here right out of 338 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:11,480 Speaker 4: the gate, will it be Ellen McCown or Demetrius Davis 339 00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:14,400 Speaker 4: from Alabama State? Know that name? He is my guy. 340 00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:18,200 Speaker 4: I can't resist picking guys in potential quarterback battles. But 341 00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:20,640 Speaker 4: the former four star recruit out of Texas. He started 342 00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:23,960 Speaker 4: at Auburn with Gus Malzon. He won not one, but 343 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,440 Speaker 4: two six A Texas high school titles. He got injured 344 00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:29,160 Speaker 4: last year at Alabama State with a tornmniscus, so I 345 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:31,880 Speaker 4: think he's clearly flying under the radar. But he is 346 00:16:31,880 --> 00:16:35,400 Speaker 4: an electric playmaker. He's a scrambler. He can throw outside 347 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:38,240 Speaker 4: the pocket off platform. If he wins this job, this 348 00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:40,240 Speaker 4: offense could be really exciting because there's a lot of 349 00:16:40,240 --> 00:16:43,560 Speaker 4: stability in the running back room. Cavorian Barnes, Rocko Griffin, 350 00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:46,480 Speaker 4: Robert Henry behind an experience line. They should all ead 351 00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:50,600 Speaker 4: to Corey and Clark and Oscar card demas backet wide 352 00:16:50,600 --> 00:16:53,440 Speaker 4: receiver and tight ends. The secondary could be really good. 353 00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:55,720 Speaker 4: They added Denver Harris, a blue chip recruit out of 354 00:16:55,760 --> 00:16:58,600 Speaker 4: the SEC. But this schedule, once again, I think this 355 00:16:58,640 --> 00:17:01,920 Speaker 4: is a team that people could sell on seeing some 356 00:17:02,040 --> 00:17:04,639 Speaker 4: losses pile up early. But at Texas State, they go 357 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 4: to Texas. If they split there, I think, you know, 358 00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:09,760 Speaker 4: the upside of the season remains on the table all 359 00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:11,880 Speaker 4: the way up to the College Football Playoff. They get 360 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:14,760 Speaker 4: a November second game at home against Memphis. That's going 361 00:17:14,840 --> 00:17:16,960 Speaker 4: to be a wild kind of like G five Game 362 00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:19,240 Speaker 4: of the year kind of vibe. At some point, though, 363 00:17:19,280 --> 00:17:22,280 Speaker 4: I just trust elite G five coaches. Trailer is someone 364 00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:24,720 Speaker 4: that until he proves to me that he can't coach 365 00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:26,800 Speaker 4: up his guys, I'm just not going to get off 366 00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:29,120 Speaker 4: of this this bandwagon. So I'm going to go over eight, 367 00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:32,320 Speaker 4: and I think there's, you know, a chance for momentum 368 00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:34,720 Speaker 4: when you look at some of their schedule. They got 369 00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:38,639 Speaker 4: at ECU, at Rice FAU, at Sulsa, then they host Memphis, 370 00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 4: so I feel like they could get four wins in 371 00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:43,199 Speaker 4: a row then go into that Memphis game. So it 372 00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:45,080 Speaker 4: really just comes down to quarterback play for me. I 373 00:17:45,480 --> 00:17:47,920 Speaker 4: sawm Account in the bowl game. I think he provides 374 00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:51,520 Speaker 4: a solid floor of B minus quarterback play. But I 375 00:17:51,520 --> 00:17:53,199 Speaker 4: would rather roll the dice and see if you can 376 00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,760 Speaker 4: get another Conference Player of the year kind of quarterback, 377 00:17:55,880 --> 00:17:58,000 Speaker 4: so we'll see what it takes. He was a late 378 00:17:58,040 --> 00:18:00,159 Speaker 4: in role league. He didn't play in spring ball. We'll 379 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:02,000 Speaker 4: see if Davis is somebody who can win the job 380 00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:04,120 Speaker 4: in fall camp. I don't think he would have come 381 00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:06,360 Speaker 4: here if he didn't have an opportunity or at least 382 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:08,880 Speaker 4: was promised verbally by this coaching staff. So I'll start 383 00:18:08,880 --> 00:18:11,960 Speaker 4: with you stuck when it comes to UTSA. Obviously, Frank 384 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:14,040 Speaker 4: Harris had played so many games for him, but he 385 00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:16,080 Speaker 4: was banged up at times last year, so I don't 386 00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:18,960 Speaker 4: think it's going to be a complete culture shock game 387 00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:20,560 Speaker 4: one without Harris at QB. 388 00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:25,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, the Eddie lead Marburger just disrespectful, not even mentioning 389 00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:29,880 Speaker 2: him in the quarterbacks Eddie doesn't even get to mention. 390 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:32,680 Speaker 2: I think he Cown's gonna end up winning the job. 391 00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:37,119 Speaker 2: But but yeah, there is some upside if you do 392 00:18:37,240 --> 00:18:40,520 Speaker 2: go with Davis. I'm I'm a bit worried about this 393 00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:44,239 Speaker 2: team and it's mainly on the defensive end, and then 394 00:18:44,280 --> 00:18:48,320 Speaker 2: what's going on off the field. So obviously you lose 395 00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:51,879 Speaker 2: Trey Moore to Texas. He was the defensive player of 396 00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:53,960 Speaker 2: the Year in the Conference last year, coming off the 397 00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:58,399 Speaker 2: edge that's a big loss. And then you know, I'm 398 00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:01,359 Speaker 2: also worried about defensive back. There's some key losses there. 399 00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:03,680 Speaker 2: But then I look and you know, over the past 400 00:19:03,680 --> 00:19:06,840 Speaker 2: two months, you had your project other projected defensive end, 401 00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 2: Booker Brown, he was kicked off the team. I believe 402 00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:14,680 Speaker 2: he was over a PlayStation five in the college football game. 403 00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:17,640 Speaker 2: He thought someone stole his and he had a gun 404 00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:19,600 Speaker 2: and went into their car and tried to get his 405 00:19:19,640 --> 00:19:23,879 Speaker 2: PlayStation five back. And then there's projected starting middle linebacker 406 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:28,000 Speaker 2: Artavius French. He was just suspended indefinitely. Yeah, I believe 407 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:32,880 Speaker 2: last night. So yeah, that's you already lost more. Those 408 00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:34,720 Speaker 2: are two more you already. Now you've lost one of 409 00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:37,320 Speaker 2: your other defensive ends to being kicked off the team. 410 00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:40,160 Speaker 2: Your middle linebacker now is suspended indefinitely. I'm worried about 411 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:43,040 Speaker 2: the secondary, so the defense could take a big step back. 412 00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:44,800 Speaker 2: And then if your quarterback play also is en up 413 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:48,560 Speaker 2: the bar, I'm a bit worried about UTSA. You know, 414 00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:52,600 Speaker 2: it's a team that's that doesn't bring a ton back. 415 00:19:53,280 --> 00:19:56,080 Speaker 2: The wide receiver room isn't isn't as sexy as Clark 416 00:19:56,080 --> 00:19:58,720 Speaker 2: going to be healthy. That's huge. I don't know. That's 417 00:19:58,760 --> 00:20:01,600 Speaker 2: a I think the quarterback play and then if Clark 418 00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:02,359 Speaker 2: can stay healthy. 419 00:20:02,960 --> 00:20:04,800 Speaker 4: I'm very serious when I'm pooping. 420 00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:05,359 Speaker 1: Thank you. 421 00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 2: What happens to this team. The good news is that 422 00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:12,520 Speaker 2: the schedule is really works out for them. They get 423 00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:14,760 Speaker 2: Memphis at home, as you mentioned, and it's later in 424 00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:19,359 Speaker 2: the season. They avoid USF, they avoid two lane. They 425 00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:23,160 Speaker 2: do have a sure fire loss at Texas, but they 426 00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:25,359 Speaker 2: should be fave I mean, just based on my numbers 427 00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:28,760 Speaker 2: right now, favorites of seven plus seven times four coin 428 00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:32,000 Speaker 2: flips and the loss at Texas. Theoretically, depending on how 429 00:20:32,040 --> 00:20:35,159 Speaker 2: things go with the quarterback position and this defense, they 430 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:38,840 Speaker 2: could be favored in eleven games. I project eight point three. 431 00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:43,240 Speaker 2: Stay away from me. I do like the point that 432 00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:45,040 Speaker 2: you brought up with Davis and the upside there if 433 00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:48,199 Speaker 2: he ends up winning the job. There's also some downside 434 00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:53,240 Speaker 2: there additionally. But yeah, some of the things, just on defense, 435 00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:55,320 Speaker 2: some of the off the field things worry me a 436 00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:57,200 Speaker 2: bit about the road Runners and meet Meat. 437 00:20:57,840 --> 00:21:00,760 Speaker 6: Maybe yeah, I'm gonna stay way too, you know you 438 00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:03,679 Speaker 6: mentioned it first of all. Just massive shout out to 439 00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:06,800 Speaker 6: doctor Frank Harris after you know, just a wonderful decade 440 00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:09,240 Speaker 6: in San Antonio. He will be missed for sure. I 441 00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:11,159 Speaker 6: don't know who this quarterback will be. I agree with 442 00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:14,639 Speaker 6: Stucky with the the Eddie Lee mar Mar Burger slander 443 00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:15,720 Speaker 6: is unacceptable here. 444 00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:17,520 Speaker 4: But whoever does win the. 445 00:21:17,520 --> 00:21:20,040 Speaker 6: Job should have three running backs. You know, I expect 446 00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:22,439 Speaker 6: them to lean on the run early. You mentioned if 447 00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:25,479 Speaker 6: Clark's healthier, No, that would obviously be huge. Cardinas at 448 00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:26,120 Speaker 6: tight end. 449 00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:27,760 Speaker 4: You guys you know Stuck. 450 00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:30,720 Speaker 6: You mentioned Trey morgro into Texas, which was which is 451 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:33,840 Speaker 6: a big loss from a talent perspective, but safety for 452 00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:36,359 Speaker 6: Shad Wisdom has been the heart and soul of this 453 00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:38,879 Speaker 6: team for at least the last four years. He was 454 00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:41,919 Speaker 6: basically the doctor Frank Harris of this defense, where I 455 00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:45,120 Speaker 6: think losing him at in that secondary is massive. He 456 00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:47,119 Speaker 6: was just he did everything. He was such a leader 457 00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:49,240 Speaker 6: for them on and off the field. So that's another 458 00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:51,520 Speaker 6: big loss. He just said to me, Mike, go through 459 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:54,720 Speaker 6: and pick every over under in this conference. Yeah, they 460 00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:57,040 Speaker 6: probably went nine games just given the schedule, so I 461 00:21:57,080 --> 00:21:58,919 Speaker 6: don't hate the over eight and a half. Look, but 462 00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:00,920 Speaker 6: I know a last year is dock. You made fun 463 00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:02,800 Speaker 6: of me for basically just taking the over of the 464 00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:05,000 Speaker 6: first six teams in the conference. So I'm trying not 465 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:06,720 Speaker 6: to do that this year. So I have to pick 466 00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:08,560 Speaker 6: my spots. I already did it with Memphis. I have 467 00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:10,359 Speaker 6: two more coming up, so I'm going to just pass 468 00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:12,560 Speaker 6: on the ETSA one. 469 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:15,919 Speaker 4: I have a feeling another one's coming up here. Us 470 00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:18,800 Speaker 4: f the Bulls seven and six last year, four and 471 00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:23,280 Speaker 4: four in conference. The win total sets at seven or 472 00:22:23,280 --> 00:22:24,960 Speaker 4: seven and a half, seven to one to win the 473 00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:27,920 Speaker 4: American twenty to one to make a college football playoff 474 00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:31,120 Speaker 4: veer and shoot to the rescue shows up. They go 475 00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:34,159 Speaker 4: from one to eleven in the Jeff Scott era to 476 00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:37,320 Speaker 4: turning it around winning their bowl game going away in 477 00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:40,800 Speaker 4: a shutout Overseer QS. And Byron Brown just absolutely blew 478 00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:43,400 Speaker 4: up in a shootout loss to Memphis on the road. 479 00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:46,200 Speaker 4: He had four hundred and fifty seven yards and five 480 00:22:46,280 --> 00:22:49,679 Speaker 4: touchdowns twelve tds in his final four games, and he 481 00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:52,040 Speaker 4: carved up as I mentioned QS in that bowl blowout. 482 00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:55,560 Speaker 4: He was the only I mean, let's put this in perspective. 483 00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:58,399 Speaker 4: Brown joined Heisman Trophy winner Jane Daniels as the only 484 00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:01,360 Speaker 4: player in college football last year to post three thousand 485 00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:04,080 Speaker 4: passing yards and over eight hundred rushing yards in the season. 486 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,080 Speaker 4: So now when you look at ken, this offense continue 487 00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:10,359 Speaker 4: to grow. USF ranks top ten nationally in returning production. 488 00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:13,720 Speaker 4: His wide receiver Sean Atkins is back nay kwan Wright 489 00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:16,520 Speaker 4: and Bowling Green transfer to Ron Keiths should split carries 490 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:19,159 Speaker 4: three or four starters on the line, depending on what 491 00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:21,719 Speaker 4: your threshold for starts are, So all of it is 492 00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:24,960 Speaker 4: there for it to pop. Defensively, they have experience on 493 00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:28,520 Speaker 4: all three levels. Tackle Rashad Cheney, linebacker DJ Gordon, the 494 00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:32,960 Speaker 4: fourth corners Amarius Brown and Tavi an Ward, all of them. 495 00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:35,280 Speaker 4: I mean, let's let's see if they can take even 496 00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:38,399 Speaker 4: a half step forward, because this offense, I think in 497 00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:40,920 Speaker 4: year two, this is really when I was expecting the 498 00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:44,600 Speaker 4: veer and shoot to blossom in this offense under goalish. 499 00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:47,000 Speaker 4: So we'll see if it matters enough for them to 500 00:23:47,080 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 4: be let's call it the eighty eighth defense in the country, 501 00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:53,160 Speaker 4: because if they can flirt with that ninetieth threshold, I think, 502 00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:56,560 Speaker 4: really really big things are possible. But we know the 503 00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:59,119 Speaker 4: defensive coordinator, Todd Orlando, He's going to go for broke, 504 00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:01,280 Speaker 4: He's going to blitz, he's going to hope for Havoc. 505 00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:03,719 Speaker 4: They cracked the top fifty, and HAVOC last year they 506 00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:06,119 Speaker 4: took it away twenty four times, which was thirteenth in 507 00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:09,480 Speaker 4: the country. They just need more of that. So when 508 00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:11,880 Speaker 4: I look at the schedule, for all that potential upside 509 00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:14,879 Speaker 4: at Alabama, that's loss. We'll call the game against Miami 510 00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:18,040 Speaker 4: Hurricanes loss at two lane. All before the end of September. 511 00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:21,480 Speaker 4: So selfishly, what I'm hoping is that they go over 512 00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:25,080 Speaker 4: in that three stretch and that the weekly against the 513 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:27,720 Speaker 4: spread numbers start to come down a little bit, and 514 00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:29,680 Speaker 4: then I can start hammering them when they get into 515 00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:31,919 Speaker 4: conference play in earnest, because then they got Memphis at 516 00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 4: home on October eleventh, but they could easily win their 517 00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:38,520 Speaker 4: final six games UAB at FAU, Navy attro at Tulsa, 518 00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:41,960 Speaker 4: at Rice. This happened last year with San Jose State, 519 00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:43,959 Speaker 4: where I was like, they're winning out in the regular season. 520 00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:47,679 Speaker 4: I smell something very similar cooking here. So, like I said, selfishly, 521 00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:49,840 Speaker 4: maybe a fade job on the Bulls early and then 522 00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:52,640 Speaker 4: just ride them roll those winnings over week to week, 523 00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:54,560 Speaker 4: because I think they're going to steamroll some of these 524 00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:56,920 Speaker 4: teams that have a lot of questions on the defensive 525 00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:58,600 Speaker 4: side of the ball, where the Bulls have every single 526 00:24:58,640 --> 00:24:59,480 Speaker 4: answer to the test. 527 00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:02,280 Speaker 6: What do you yeah, this is the other team. I'm 528 00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:04,439 Speaker 6: super Bowl Shawn. I love over seven and a half 529 00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:07,440 Speaker 6: and I mentioned I'm taking Memphis to make the playoff 530 00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:10,520 Speaker 6: at plus seven to fifty. I'm also betting South Florida 531 00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 6: to win the American at plus six fifty as kind 532 00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:15,679 Speaker 6: of a hedge opportunity for that Memphis if the defense 533 00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:17,800 Speaker 6: doesn't click and you're getting South Florida at a great 534 00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:20,359 Speaker 6: number at plus six fifty. You mentioned it, the offense 535 00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:22,159 Speaker 6: is gonna cook. Not only do you see what this 536 00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:25,119 Speaker 6: offense did when Alex Golish came over from Tennessee, we 537 00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:27,720 Speaker 6: also saw the Tennessee offense take a massive step back, 538 00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:30,400 Speaker 6: and I think, you know, sure that's whose Joe Milton stinks. 539 00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:33,240 Speaker 6: But they also lost their offensive coordinator. I was gonna 540 00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:35,080 Speaker 6: go by them Brown for the My Guy Award, but 541 00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:39,320 Speaker 6: instead I'm gonna go with his receiver, Shawn Adkins, who 542 00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:42,240 Speaker 6: you know, Brown was a little too obvious, but Shawn 543 00:25:42,240 --> 00:25:44,680 Speaker 6: Adkins was his leading receiver from last year. He should 544 00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,919 Speaker 6: have another monster year. He had ninety two catches, second 545 00:25:47,920 --> 00:25:51,200 Speaker 6: in the conference over one thousand yards seven touchdowns on 546 00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:54,680 Speaker 6: one hundred and twenty targets. He had just five drops 547 00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:57,919 Speaker 6: all season. He avers eleven point four yards per reception 548 00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:00,679 Speaker 6: as a slot receiver, and he led the conference in 549 00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:04,040 Speaker 6: missed tackles force. Oh and by the way, he's five 550 00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:06,800 Speaker 6: to ten one hundred and seventy pounds. Just this little 551 00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:08,879 Speaker 6: white dude five to ten might be generous when you 552 00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:12,560 Speaker 6: watch him play. He is tiny, tiny, tiny, He's awesome. 553 00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:14,200 Speaker 6: He has so much fun to watch. So I love 554 00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:17,760 Speaker 6: Atkins and Simmons four their five offensive liner back. This 555 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:20,399 Speaker 6: offense should roll out of bed and outscore eight of 556 00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:21,159 Speaker 6: its opponents. 557 00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:22,440 Speaker 4: And then you mentioned the schedule. 558 00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:24,600 Speaker 6: I mean they play Alabama, who they almost beat last 559 00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:27,720 Speaker 6: season and now doesn't have the next saban. They play Miami, 560 00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:32,159 Speaker 6: who absolutely loves getting upset by teams that they're better then, 561 00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:35,280 Speaker 6: so I'm not ruling that one out. And then yeah, two, 562 00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:37,000 Speaker 6: Lane and Memphis all in their first six games, So 563 00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:39,199 Speaker 6: you should know early if this BET's gonna cash or not, 564 00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:41,119 Speaker 6: because as you said, they're gonna they should win their 565 00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:44,080 Speaker 6: final six games, So you need to get two early 566 00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:46,240 Speaker 6: and then you'll know best case scenario for me. You 567 00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:49,720 Speaker 6: have Memphis for South Florida in the conference championship game. 568 00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:52,320 Speaker 6: We've been talking about how these tiers. There's four of 569 00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:54,159 Speaker 6: them in the tier. I think all four of these 570 00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:56,199 Speaker 6: teams have similar upsides. So give me the plus six 571 00:26:56,240 --> 00:26:56,920 Speaker 6: to fifty number. 572 00:26:57,400 --> 00:26:57,719 Speaker 2: All right? 573 00:26:57,760 --> 00:27:01,200 Speaker 4: The AAC Julian Edelman has I was Chili running hot. 574 00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:04,200 Speaker 4: Are you just as optimistic about this offense being super 575 00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:05,879 Speaker 4: elite by G five standards? Stucky? 576 00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:08,359 Speaker 2: It'll be very good. But I mean every year, this 577 00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:11,720 Speaker 2: I know is bullish from every AAC team. I guess 578 00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:12,680 Speaker 2: I didn't do it this year. 579 00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:13,520 Speaker 4: I only picked two. 580 00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:15,680 Speaker 2: So if so far you have two futures, were four 581 00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:18,040 Speaker 2: teams in. I think we're getting a little too ahead 582 00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:20,600 Speaker 2: of ourselves with USF Golish has the team headed in 583 00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:23,600 Speaker 2: the right direction. The offense is great, The recruiting is great. 584 00:27:23,760 --> 00:27:25,560 Speaker 2: The returning production for this year is also great, the 585 00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:29,479 Speaker 2: top twenty five both offensive and defensive returning production. Brown 586 00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:32,399 Speaker 2: was awesome last year. He does still have some deficiencies, 587 00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:34,200 Speaker 2: turned it over a bit too much, has to improve 588 00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:36,840 Speaker 2: his deep ball. But let's look at this team. You 589 00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:40,560 Speaker 2: just went through Miami. They might win Blabama. They were 590 00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:44,440 Speaker 2: close like all right. So last year they won six games. 591 00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:48,720 Speaker 2: Six regular season games. They beat Florida A and M. 592 00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:51,680 Speaker 2: They were out gained in that game. They beat Rice. 593 00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:56,359 Speaker 2: Daniels got hurt down in the third quarter down six. 594 00:27:56,720 --> 00:28:01,200 Speaker 2: In that game, Navy was rotating quarterbacks. Yukon. They played 595 00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:04,880 Speaker 2: the powerhouse of Yukon. They won by three. They took 596 00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:08,040 Speaker 2: the lead late in the fourth. Yukon lost fumbles on 597 00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:11,360 Speaker 2: back to back possessions down three in that game, Temple, 598 00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:18,240 Speaker 2: they beat Temple by four, four turnovers. Charlotte backup quarterback, 599 00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:20,159 Speaker 2: and those teams the five teams that they beat, They 600 00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 2: only beat five FBS teams last year. They finished twenty 601 00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:26,600 Speaker 2: and forty one. That was their wins last year. This defense, 602 00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:29,600 Speaker 2: it should be a little bit better. You know, Ben 603 00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:31,840 Speaker 2: Knox returns from injury. They add some you know, some 604 00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:34,360 Speaker 2: sec guys in the secondary. But they had a long 605 00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:37,240 Speaker 2: way to go. This defense was dreadful last year, you know, 606 00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:39,120 Speaker 2: and they had the number one group of five recruiting class. 607 00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:42,680 Speaker 2: Like I said, goalish is getting them there. But you 608 00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:45,720 Speaker 2: got to remember that before Week four of last year, 609 00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:48,840 Speaker 2: they had lost eighteen straight versus FBS teams. They had 610 00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:52,840 Speaker 2: lost twenty nine straight on the road before Week five 611 00:28:53,360 --> 00:28:57,240 Speaker 2: last year. So they're deeper, they're more athletic. They're getting there, 612 00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:01,280 Speaker 2: But I think we're getting a little bit too ahead 613 00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:04,840 Speaker 2: of ourselves. With usf I Project six point six lean Onunder. 614 00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:08,440 Speaker 3: This podcast is presented by bet mgm us bonus code 615 00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:10,720 Speaker 3: action when signing up to get up to fifteen hundred 616 00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:13,240 Speaker 3: dollars back in bonus bets if your first bet does 617 00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:20,720 Speaker 3: not win. For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, 618 00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:25,400 Speaker 3: New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, 619 00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:28,280 Speaker 3: and Wyoming. Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one 620 00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:31,440 Speaker 3: plus gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. 621 00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:36,880 Speaker 4: All right, let's do a palette cleanser here with a 622 00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:40,080 Speaker 4: team that I don't think anybody is projecting for eight, 623 00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:42,720 Speaker 4: nine ten wins. That's the ECU Pirates. They went two 624 00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:45,280 Speaker 4: and ten last year, one in seven in conference. Their 625 00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:48,520 Speaker 4: win total though interestingly set at six and a half. 626 00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:50,840 Speaker 4: So maybe I spoke too soon in terms of people 627 00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:53,000 Speaker 4: thinking they get the seven or eight wins fifteen to 628 00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:54,520 Speaker 4: one to win the American eighty to one to make 629 00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:56,680 Speaker 4: the college football Playoff. It's a make or break time 630 00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:58,960 Speaker 4: for Mike Houston. He gouys Mulligan after building up a 631 00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:02,160 Speaker 4: SETI program letdown year. They lose ten but let it 632 00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:05,120 Speaker 4: be known, two point loss to Tulsa. They held Navy 633 00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:08,000 Speaker 4: to ten in a loss they lost by three to two, 634 00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:11,480 Speaker 4: Lane three to Charlotte seven at Rice. You win two 635 00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:13,680 Speaker 4: of those. It's a normal down year, not like a 636 00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:16,320 Speaker 4: for sales sign in the coach's front yard kind of 637 00:30:16,360 --> 00:30:19,680 Speaker 4: down season. The defense could potentially carry them, especially against 638 00:30:19,680 --> 00:30:21,680 Speaker 4: the run. This is from Bill Conley over at ESPN. 639 00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:25,480 Speaker 4: The Pirate ranks second nationally in rushing success rate allowed. 640 00:30:25,760 --> 00:30:29,240 Speaker 4: Their DC, Blake Harrell gets almost entire his entire defensive lineback, 641 00:30:29,280 --> 00:30:33,200 Speaker 4: including tackles Deonta Johnson and Chad Stevens. They combined for 642 00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:36,680 Speaker 4: nineteen tackles for loss and twenty five run stops. Linebacker 643 00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:40,240 Speaker 4: returning Mike Edwards the third's excellent one of three transfers click. 644 00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:42,720 Speaker 4: I think in their front seven they're going to be fine. 645 00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:46,360 Speaker 4: The question though, at quarterback, can Jake Garcia or Michigan 646 00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:49,320 Speaker 4: State's Caiden Hauser be the guy whoever it is they 647 00:30:49,320 --> 00:30:51,160 Speaker 4: need to reverse what happened last year because it was 648 00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:53,560 Speaker 4: a future offense. They had no pop, they couldn't get 649 00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:57,000 Speaker 4: explosive plays, and that alvis obviously cost them in multiple 650 00:30:57,320 --> 00:31:00,480 Speaker 4: close losses because of their defense and because of the 651 00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:03,920 Speaker 4: question marks on offense. Just on a week to week 652 00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:06,240 Speaker 4: basis as a team that I'm always going to investigate 653 00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:09,000 Speaker 4: their total look to play them under. I also lean 654 00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:11,080 Speaker 4: under on six and a half. I do think that 655 00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:13,400 Speaker 4: this is a quality coaching staff led by a guy 656 00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:16,400 Speaker 4: who's won a lot of games for ECU, and last 657 00:31:16,440 --> 00:31:18,680 Speaker 4: year I think they just you know, they had a 658 00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:20,400 Speaker 4: bum rap. I think they were much closer to four 659 00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:22,720 Speaker 4: and eight team than a two to ten team. That 660 00:31:22,840 --> 00:31:24,800 Speaker 4: being said, six and a half I think is too 661 00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:27,560 Speaker 4: much on the bounce back given their question marks on offense. 662 00:31:27,560 --> 00:31:29,440 Speaker 4: I'll go to you first, stuck in terms of what 663 00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:30,280 Speaker 4: you're seeing. 664 00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:32,920 Speaker 2: Here, Yeah, I actually lean I lean over here. I 665 00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:35,800 Speaker 2: project six point nine. It said, much easier schedule than 666 00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:38,600 Speaker 2: last year. I want to see how the quarterback battle 667 00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:41,400 Speaker 2: plays out. You got a couple of powerful guys battling out. 668 00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:43,800 Speaker 4: Do you have a preference about who wins it? It 669 00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:45,400 Speaker 4: would have a potential higher ceiling. 670 00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:47,200 Speaker 2: I think. 671 00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:48,880 Speaker 4: No. 672 00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:50,760 Speaker 2: I mean, I'm pretty close on it, but I just 673 00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:53,040 Speaker 2: want to like read more about both, read out the 674 00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:58,800 Speaker 2: battle goes. I think I would prefer Houser just from 675 00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:02,000 Speaker 2: things that I've been here recently. But I thought going 676 00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:04,800 Speaker 2: in I was gonna want Garcia. So anyway, it's a 677 00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:07,760 Speaker 2: different Garcia. Last year it was flinning Garcia and neither 678 00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:11,800 Speaker 2: of them could complete a pass. Seven touchdowns, fourteen interceptions. 679 00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:15,360 Speaker 2: Last year, this offense was dreadful. They only averaged seventeen 680 00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:18,880 Speaker 2: points per game. Last year. You you mentioned it. They 681 00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:22,280 Speaker 2: lost three games where they didn't allow more than thirteen points. 682 00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:25,400 Speaker 2: So the D was good despite always being on the field. 683 00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:27,040 Speaker 2: So the offense can just get a little bit better, 684 00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:31,120 Speaker 2: then that'll help out the defense. The worst success rate 685 00:32:31,160 --> 00:32:34,200 Speaker 2: in FBS last year. So the D is gonna be 686 00:32:34,200 --> 00:32:36,760 Speaker 2: good against the run again, which is important against like 687 00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:39,160 Speaker 2: the bottom half of the league. You know, you're gonna 688 00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:42,120 Speaker 2: play Army, and you're gonna play some other teams that 689 00:32:42,120 --> 00:32:43,760 Speaker 2: want to run the ball. You also play Navy, you 690 00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:47,640 Speaker 2: play Charlotte. So I think that the you know, one 691 00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:49,640 Speaker 2: lockdown corner, I want to see what happens to the 692 00:32:49,680 --> 00:32:52,760 Speaker 2: other corner. Spot safety. Nash playing some cornerback in camp, 693 00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:55,480 Speaker 2: which worries me a bit. But they're gonna be making 694 00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:58,440 Speaker 2: a change on offense, going more fast paced. You know, 695 00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:00,400 Speaker 2: you have a guy from Ole Miss. It's going to 696 00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:02,800 Speaker 2: be more air rate ish. So it's a big jump 697 00:33:02,800 --> 00:33:05,440 Speaker 2: from where the offense looked last year. Got to find 698 00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:09,160 Speaker 2: a new quarterback, you know, So I lean over six 699 00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:10,680 Speaker 2: and a half. If you're going to take a flyer 700 00:33:10,720 --> 00:33:16,080 Speaker 2: in the AAC, it's I think it's with ECU, you know, 701 00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:18,600 Speaker 2: if you can find I would prefer like a twenty 702 00:33:18,600 --> 00:33:21,360 Speaker 2: to one. But the schedule sets up really well, and 703 00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:23,560 Speaker 2: then you're just buying that one of these power for 704 00:33:23,800 --> 00:33:27,600 Speaker 2: quarterbacks hits the defense. You know, you lose a couple 705 00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:31,960 Speaker 2: important starters, especially on the back end, but you know 706 00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:34,520 Speaker 2: it should still be they should still be pretty solid. 707 00:33:35,040 --> 00:33:38,320 Speaker 2: Can the offense get just any better? I mean, you 708 00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:41,160 Speaker 2: have a coordinator change the quarterback play, can't get any worse. 709 00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:46,440 Speaker 2: So I lean over, but probably staying away. They only 710 00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:49,560 Speaker 2: have one if you look at their schedule, they have 711 00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:55,400 Speaker 2: we would say one unwinnable game, which is at Liberty, 712 00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:59,640 Speaker 2: which it's not totally unwinnable. Their schedules super easy. But 713 00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:04,040 Speaker 2: in their final six games, I have them, you know, 714 00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:06,840 Speaker 2: three coin flips, favored by a touchdown, twice favored by 715 00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:09,919 Speaker 2: two touchdowns. So if they can hit the ground running, 716 00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:13,440 Speaker 2: it's Norfolk at ODU before that app State game. You know, 717 00:34:13,480 --> 00:34:16,680 Speaker 2: they host UTSA. The schedule is extremely easy. They play 718 00:34:16,840 --> 00:34:20,240 Speaker 2: the five worst in the league, they avoid Memphis, Tulane 719 00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:24,120 Speaker 2: and USF and they host UTSA from the top four. 720 00:34:24,520 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 2: Can't get much easier than that in the AAC. So 721 00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:30,399 Speaker 2: I'm a little bullish on ECU this year. Can they 722 00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:34,240 Speaker 2: just get anything on offense? I mean, just absolutely annak 723 00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:34,920 Speaker 2: last year. 724 00:34:35,760 --> 00:34:38,000 Speaker 4: I mentioned at the top that there's half teams littered 725 00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:39,880 Speaker 4: across this conference. This is one of the half teams 726 00:34:39,920 --> 00:34:42,880 Speaker 4: where clearly they bring in potentially a top three defense 727 00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:45,520 Speaker 4: in the entire conference that should be able to carry them. 728 00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:48,680 Speaker 4: I think Stuck makes a great point. You have time 729 00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:52,280 Speaker 4: for this offense to gel. There's schematic change, there's personnel 730 00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:56,319 Speaker 4: changes about who's leading it offensively at quarterback. Does this 731 00:34:56,400 --> 00:34:58,640 Speaker 4: team give you any interest or are you just gonna 732 00:34:58,680 --> 00:35:00,759 Speaker 4: sit back and wait to see you know what the 733 00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:03,360 Speaker 4: month of September looks like? I MLO, Yeah, I. 734 00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:05,560 Speaker 6: Mean I think this number is kind of crazy. They 735 00:35:05,600 --> 00:35:07,040 Speaker 6: were two and ten last year and now they have 736 00:35:07,080 --> 00:35:08,920 Speaker 6: a win total of six and a half. I look 737 00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:12,319 Speaker 6: through every team, this is the biggest expected from a 738 00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:15,359 Speaker 6: win total perspective. This is the biggest expected jump in 739 00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:18,200 Speaker 6: the country by far. I went through every wind total. 740 00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:20,560 Speaker 6: This is a four and a half win increase. I 741 00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:22,400 Speaker 6: couldn't even find a team that had a three and 742 00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:24,120 Speaker 6: a half win increase in the market. 743 00:35:24,600 --> 00:35:26,440 Speaker 4: So I get it. 744 00:35:26,480 --> 00:35:28,600 Speaker 6: The defense was great last year, but they returned just 745 00:35:28,640 --> 00:35:31,400 Speaker 6: four starters, so you know, well, they will they be 746 00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:31,879 Speaker 6: as good. 747 00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:34,719 Speaker 4: I'm not sure the offense was horrific. 748 00:35:34,840 --> 00:35:36,960 Speaker 6: They you know, Houser and Garcia is sure, I have 749 00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:40,040 Speaker 6: power five. I mean, Garcia is on his third team. 750 00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:42,120 Speaker 6: You guys even said, you're like, oh, well, I'm not 751 00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:43,560 Speaker 6: sure which one gets to job. It's not like they 752 00:35:43,600 --> 00:35:45,520 Speaker 6: have some transfer that's like, oh my god. They just 753 00:35:45,520 --> 00:35:49,480 Speaker 6: brought in a five win quarterback, John David Baker comes in. 754 00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:52,080 Speaker 4: He was the co cl miss. Yeah. I think the 755 00:35:52,080 --> 00:35:53,040 Speaker 4: offense will be better. 756 00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:53,839 Speaker 2: Yeah. 757 00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:56,640 Speaker 6: Honestly, the four and a half win increase basically only 758 00:35:56,640 --> 00:35:59,320 Speaker 6: comes down to the schedule. You guys said they played 759 00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:02,480 Speaker 6: five team that won at least nine games last year, 760 00:36:02,480 --> 00:36:05,960 Speaker 6: including Michigan. Now they avoid Memphis two lane in South Florida. 761 00:36:06,320 --> 00:36:09,359 Speaker 6: Their last seven games are against teams that missed the Bowl. 762 00:36:09,680 --> 00:36:13,480 Speaker 6: So like I understand the number, I get it. I 763 00:36:13,520 --> 00:36:15,960 Speaker 6: think it's a little crazy and I just can't get there. 764 00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:18,960 Speaker 6: So I actually lean under six and a half. I 765 00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:21,560 Speaker 6: don't necessarily want to play it. I'm wearing my ECU 766 00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:24,160 Speaker 6: shirt just to show the fans from Greenville that I 767 00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:28,360 Speaker 6: do love the Pirates, but I just cannot get to 768 00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:30,880 Speaker 6: this number. Yeah, I mean, I'm hoping they take a 769 00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:32,640 Speaker 6: big step forward to we used to have so much 770 00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:35,319 Speaker 6: fun with this this team under Hoan Aaylor. So I'll 771 00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:37,560 Speaker 6: I'm rooting for them, but I can't get this to 772 00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:38,480 Speaker 6: the six and a half. 773 00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:41,520 Speaker 2: By the way, we were talking about old players. The 774 00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:44,160 Speaker 2: ECU punter Luke Larson is thirty three. He's oldest player 775 00:36:44,200 --> 00:36:47,799 Speaker 2: and f but fbst to keep that in mind. 776 00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:50,479 Speaker 4: So let's talk about army. 777 00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:53,520 Speaker 2: You will not let, you will not pride, you will 778 00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:54,640 Speaker 2: learn by the numbers. 779 00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:57,520 Speaker 4: I will thank you. They went six and six last year, 780 00:36:57,760 --> 00:36:59,399 Speaker 4: their win total set at five and a half, twenty 781 00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:01,879 Speaker 4: five to one to the conference in year one, moving 782 00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:04,399 Speaker 4: up from the Independent ranks one hundred and fifty to 783 00:37:04,440 --> 00:37:07,520 Speaker 4: one to make the collegeo Ball Playoff. So for perspective, 784 00:37:07,560 --> 00:37:10,720 Speaker 4: that's six and six year. Last year they had Roady's 785 00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:14,560 Speaker 4: at UTSA, at Syracuse BC at home, Troy at LSU, 786 00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:17,440 Speaker 4: all by mid season, so no kidding, they got off 787 00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:20,600 Speaker 4: to an awful start, and then on top of everything else, 788 00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:23,960 Speaker 4: the gun option didn't work. Drew Thatcher and Matt Drinkle 789 00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:26,880 Speaker 4: are gone. Cody Worrel is the full time OC now, 790 00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:29,319 Speaker 4: so we're back to the traditional triple option look from 791 00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:32,400 Speaker 4: Army with the quarterback under center. The offensive line returns 792 00:37:32,440 --> 00:37:35,280 Speaker 4: five players who all had some degree of starting experience, 793 00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:38,000 Speaker 4: and Bryson Dally is back at quarterback as well as 794 00:37:38,080 --> 00:37:41,359 Speaker 4: Kanye Udo at fullback. Daly's a big boy. You look 795 00:37:41,400 --> 00:37:44,680 Speaker 4: at this guy. You're, you know, picturing quarterbacks with all 796 00:37:44,719 --> 00:37:46,880 Speaker 4: of their gear and their arm sleeves and their advisors 797 00:37:46,880 --> 00:37:49,480 Speaker 4: trying to look like Patrick Mahomes. Not this kid. He's 798 00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:51,880 Speaker 4: got no neck. He's two hundred and twenty pounds. He 799 00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:55,080 Speaker 4: is the right guy to get this Army offense running again, 800 00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:57,520 Speaker 4: and he was last year because they won their last 801 00:37:57,560 --> 00:37:59,799 Speaker 4: four games to finish the twenty twenty three season and 802 00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:02,399 Speaker 4: at one hundred and ten yards per game rushing in 803 00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:05,839 Speaker 4: that straight stretch. Now, Nate Woodi's defense was solid last 804 00:38:05,920 --> 00:38:08,160 Speaker 4: year because they didn't get gouged by big plays. They 805 00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:10,920 Speaker 4: finished top forty in red zone defense. That's their recipe. 806 00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:13,640 Speaker 4: The issue here is simple. They only return three players 807 00:38:13,640 --> 00:38:16,200 Speaker 4: who played over two hundred and fifty snaps last season. 808 00:38:16,560 --> 00:38:20,000 Speaker 4: But back to the optimism, the schedule sets up for 809 00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:24,080 Speaker 4: momentum Lehigh at FIU, Rice Temple at Tulsa to open 810 00:38:24,120 --> 00:38:27,040 Speaker 4: the season. No two lane, no Memphis. That could be 811 00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:29,400 Speaker 4: very easily a four and one start for a team 812 00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:32,919 Speaker 4: that if you dial back into October of last year, 813 00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:36,319 Speaker 4: it looked like everything was falling apart the offensive, you know, 814 00:38:36,560 --> 00:38:39,800 Speaker 4: rebuild was not working. So this year I am bullish 815 00:38:39,840 --> 00:38:41,279 Speaker 4: on Army. I'm going to go over. I think they 816 00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:43,160 Speaker 4: get to six or seven wins. I think they're back 817 00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:45,640 Speaker 4: in a bowl. I think they're running the way a 818 00:38:45,680 --> 00:38:48,160 Speaker 4: service academy should, and I like daily a lot of 819 00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:51,880 Speaker 4: quarterback stuck at Utiza at the beginning. Army Navy making 820 00:38:51,920 --> 00:38:54,279 Speaker 4: offensive changes Navy in a big way. We're going to 821 00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:56,200 Speaker 4: talk about soon in terms of the Delaware wing t 822 00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:59,600 Speaker 4: but let's talk about Army right now. What are your thoughts? Yea. 823 00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:04,839 Speaker 2: Also look out for this kid, Jake Rendina at full back, 824 00:39:05,239 --> 00:39:07,160 Speaker 2: who you know, because they lost a couple of bruisers 825 00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:12,480 Speaker 2: and he really impressed me in their spring game. So yeah, 826 00:39:12,719 --> 00:39:14,640 Speaker 2: last year, what they tried to do, they tried to 827 00:39:14,640 --> 00:39:18,680 Speaker 2: go to a more gun option. They were using zone 828 00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:22,760 Speaker 2: blocking schemes, they were using a mesh point, the wide 829 00:39:22,800 --> 00:39:25,719 Speaker 2: receivers were cracking back. It all didn't work. Mainly, you 830 00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:27,919 Speaker 2: can't run the mesh point. You can't have your wide 831 00:39:27,960 --> 00:39:30,719 Speaker 2: receivers cracking back if you can't throw the ball, and 832 00:39:30,880 --> 00:39:34,640 Speaker 2: defenses just didn't respect it. So what is that really doing? 833 00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:37,960 Speaker 2: So this year they're keeping the zone blocking seams, which 834 00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:40,480 Speaker 2: actually worked out well for them, and they're going back 835 00:39:40,520 --> 00:39:44,000 Speaker 2: to a more traditional under center running attack and it's 836 00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:46,560 Speaker 2: going to be what you're used to seeing at Army, 837 00:39:46,600 --> 00:39:51,200 Speaker 2: which I love. You know, if Daily can stay healthy, 838 00:39:51,719 --> 00:39:53,480 Speaker 2: they're going to ask a lot of him. I think 839 00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:56,759 Speaker 2: that this offense can give some of the defenses in 840 00:39:57,719 --> 00:40:01,680 Speaker 2: this conference trouble. I am very there's a couple of 841 00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:03,440 Speaker 2: things that really worry me about. So I don't I don't. 842 00:40:03,480 --> 00:40:05,600 Speaker 2: I never bet Service Academy win totals because I can 843 00:40:05,920 --> 00:40:08,239 Speaker 2: you know they're gonna play other Service academies. They also 844 00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:10,839 Speaker 2: can win or lose to anybody on their schedule, and 845 00:40:10,920 --> 00:40:12,360 Speaker 2: I just prefer to bet them on a game the 846 00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:16,239 Speaker 2: game basis, which historically I have been okay at now 847 00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:19,600 Speaker 2: I'm worried about the secondary. But I look like, do 848 00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:23,000 Speaker 2: they face I look at their schedule. I think Zeno 849 00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:25,640 Speaker 2: at ua B and by the way, Army should run 850 00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:28,040 Speaker 2: wild on UAB. But I think Zeno at UAV is 851 00:40:28,080 --> 00:40:30,719 Speaker 2: the only quarterback they face that was on that is, 852 00:40:31,280 --> 00:40:33,439 Speaker 2: you know, the same quarterback on his team from last year. 853 00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:36,360 Speaker 4: He'll just throw five yard hitches and you know he 854 00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:36,960 Speaker 4: lost Palmer. 855 00:40:37,000 --> 00:40:39,000 Speaker 2: He lost Palmer too, which is he was there. He 856 00:40:39,080 --> 00:40:41,279 Speaker 2: was like their only deep threat. But yeah, that's Dink 857 00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:43,680 Speaker 2: and Dunk City at UAB. Yeah, eleven of their twelve 858 00:40:43,719 --> 00:40:45,920 Speaker 2: opponents a new new quarterbacks. So yeah, I mean, now 859 00:40:46,000 --> 00:40:48,400 Speaker 2: I would lean over. I like what they're doing. They'd 860 00:40:48,400 --> 00:40:50,600 Speaker 2: lose a lot, but this is a team that always reloads, 861 00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:52,960 Speaker 2: like when you look at an Army. When you look 862 00:40:52,960 --> 00:40:54,719 Speaker 2: at the Service academies, heah, they don't have much learn 863 00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:58,840 Speaker 2: returning production, especially like on the offensive line. Usually they 864 00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:00,920 Speaker 2: have like upper classmen are ready to step in, so 865 00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:04,120 Speaker 2: the returning production numbers aren't as important as they are 866 00:41:04,200 --> 00:41:06,520 Speaker 2: for some other teams when you're talking about service academies. 867 00:41:06,760 --> 00:41:11,279 Speaker 2: And yeah, the schedule is easy, but I will say 868 00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:13,359 Speaker 2: it's definitely worth mentioning beuse I have them like seven 869 00:41:13,440 --> 00:41:16,440 Speaker 2: coin flip games their road league games or FAU Temple 870 00:41:16,520 --> 00:41:21,520 Speaker 2: Tulsa in North Texas. It's pretty easy, but significantly harder 871 00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:25,040 Speaker 2: than it has been. Right when they weren't in a league, 872 00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:27,839 Speaker 2: their schedule was very, very easy. And you're talking about 873 00:41:27,960 --> 00:41:30,960 Speaker 2: like a couple of games against Bucknell and UMass and 874 00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:34,719 Speaker 2: a couple other non FBS teams, So their schedule is 875 00:41:34,760 --> 00:41:36,880 Speaker 2: definitely harder than it has been. So how can they 876 00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:39,600 Speaker 2: hold up? Can daily hold up? You know, can their 877 00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:42,279 Speaker 2: offensive line stay healthy. That's some of the things that 878 00:41:42,880 --> 00:41:44,759 Speaker 2: do concern me a bit. And then the last thing 879 00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:47,440 Speaker 2: is the kicking game. It's probably I just said I 880 00:41:47,560 --> 00:41:50,400 Speaker 2: have seven coin flips. They can be to lose to anybody. 881 00:41:50,840 --> 00:41:55,000 Speaker 2: Their kicking in the spring game was an absolute abomination. 882 00:41:55,320 --> 00:41:57,680 Speaker 2: They couldn't. I mean, I think they want to of 883 00:41:57,719 --> 00:42:00,880 Speaker 2: eight or something and like missing from like thirty yards 884 00:42:00,920 --> 00:42:04,239 Speaker 2: and an absolute mess. It was a really good kicker 885 00:42:04,320 --> 00:42:07,880 Speaker 2: and punner. Excited for this Army traditional option to be 886 00:42:07,960 --> 00:42:11,960 Speaker 2: back with some more zone blocking and yeah, I'll be 887 00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:14,760 Speaker 2: looking forward to betting them many times throughout the season. 888 00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:15,759 Speaker 2: Pass for me. 889 00:42:16,280 --> 00:42:19,960 Speaker 4: I agree. The field goal kicking is a big problem stuck. 890 00:42:20,080 --> 00:42:21,839 Speaker 4: It is something that will keep me up at night 891 00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:25,320 Speaker 4: because they want to shrink games down. They want it 892 00:42:25,440 --> 00:42:27,840 Speaker 4: to be a one possession. They want to go ahead 893 00:42:27,880 --> 00:42:31,160 Speaker 4: and win close games, so to give away points, to 894 00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:33,879 Speaker 4: not feel confident at the end of games, to rely 895 00:42:34,040 --> 00:42:36,000 Speaker 4: on a kicker even inside of thirty five yards is 896 00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:38,319 Speaker 4: a problem. They turn every game into a coin flip, 897 00:42:38,360 --> 00:42:39,280 Speaker 4: so like it's impossible. 898 00:42:39,520 --> 00:42:42,600 Speaker 6: I've always just really struggled finding edges on Service academies 899 00:42:42,640 --> 00:42:44,840 Speaker 6: because they tend to eliminate the edges just but the 900 00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:47,359 Speaker 6: way they play. I'll say the same thing with Navy. 901 00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:49,239 Speaker 6: I just I really don't have a strong feel for 902 00:42:49,320 --> 00:42:52,120 Speaker 6: this team. They're hard to figure out. The switching on offense. 903 00:42:52,360 --> 00:42:54,080 Speaker 6: The books are kind of telling you that Army's going 904 00:42:54,120 --> 00:42:54,279 Speaker 6: to go. 905 00:42:54,280 --> 00:42:54,799 Speaker 2: Six and six. 906 00:42:54,960 --> 00:42:58,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's a pass for me too. I will now 907 00:42:58,719 --> 00:43:02,000 Speaker 4: turn to the Rice Els six and seven. Last year 908 00:43:02,080 --> 00:43:04,399 Speaker 4: four and four lost to Texas State in the first 909 00:43:04,440 --> 00:43:06,960 Speaker 4: responders Bowlder win total set six and a half or 910 00:43:07,040 --> 00:43:09,160 Speaker 4: seven in the market the odds to win the conference 911 00:43:09,200 --> 00:43:11,400 Speaker 4: eighteen to one, eighty to one to make the college 912 00:43:11,480 --> 00:43:15,279 Speaker 4: Football Playoff. Finally, after all these G five previews, continuity 913 00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:17,719 Speaker 4: plus five and a half at the netsar best in 914 00:43:17,800 --> 00:43:22,439 Speaker 4: the G five. Seventh year of Mike Bloomgren at head coach, 915 00:43:22,719 --> 00:43:26,040 Speaker 4: fourth year of the OC, Marcus Tuiyasa SOPO, Brian Smith 916 00:43:26,120 --> 00:43:28,920 Speaker 4: back as a defensive coordinator for the seventh year, back 917 00:43:29,000 --> 00:43:32,600 Speaker 4: to back Bowl games. Offense pops last year, nearly getting 918 00:43:32,640 --> 00:43:34,279 Speaker 4: too thirty points per game, but we say goodbye to 919 00:43:34,400 --> 00:43:36,600 Speaker 4: Luke McCaffrey at wide receiver as well as any real 920 00:43:36,680 --> 00:43:39,920 Speaker 4: skill position player with experience other than Dean Connors at 921 00:43:39,960 --> 00:43:42,040 Speaker 4: running backs. Some of these guys have snaps. They just 922 00:43:42,120 --> 00:43:46,399 Speaker 4: haven't been fully entrenched starters. The offensive line has three 923 00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:49,480 Speaker 4: coming back there, including both tackles the headline here for 924 00:43:49,600 --> 00:43:53,359 Speaker 4: the offense. EJ. Warner in at quarterback more than six 925 00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:55,879 Speaker 4: thousand career passing yards. He put Temple on his back. 926 00:43:56,160 --> 00:43:58,480 Speaker 4: He was all that they had offensively. Think about this. 927 00:43:58,600 --> 00:44:00,640 Speaker 4: In his last five starts at Temple, he averaged three 928 00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:04,120 Speaker 4: hundred and sixty two passing yards per game with sixteen touchdowns, 929 00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:07,080 Speaker 4: So he did everything for them. They do not need 930 00:44:07,200 --> 00:44:08,640 Speaker 4: him to be a one man show and to throw 931 00:44:08,640 --> 00:44:11,640 Speaker 4: at forty five times with this offensive line in Dean Conners. 932 00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:14,799 Speaker 4: The defense has seven starters back with experienced all three 933 00:44:14,880 --> 00:44:17,959 Speaker 4: levels of the defense, one of the top in terms 934 00:44:18,040 --> 00:44:20,560 Speaker 4: of G five experience returning on that side of the ball. 935 00:44:20,920 --> 00:44:23,400 Speaker 4: Totally reasonable to project them to be a top seventy 936 00:44:23,440 --> 00:44:26,120 Speaker 4: five defense if it all goes right and the schedules 937 00:44:26,160 --> 00:44:30,040 Speaker 4: workable without any pockets of surefire losses at Houston, a 938 00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:33,360 Speaker 4: month later at Tulane, three weeks after that at Memphis, 939 00:44:33,640 --> 00:44:36,879 Speaker 4: and they closed the year at home against USF. I'll 940 00:44:36,920 --> 00:44:39,560 Speaker 4: start here with you, Stuckey. In terms of the owls, 941 00:44:40,040 --> 00:44:43,240 Speaker 4: I know that what they did last year with Daniels, 942 00:44:43,440 --> 00:44:45,440 Speaker 4: I felt like they were close. He gets hurt in 943 00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:47,840 Speaker 4: some of those games. They don't quite get over the 944 00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:50,000 Speaker 4: hump in terms of getting to eight or nine wins 945 00:44:50,280 --> 00:44:53,279 Speaker 4: for a season that potentially had had that ridden all 946 00:44:53,320 --> 00:44:55,520 Speaker 4: over it. Maybe one of the best in rice football 947 00:44:55,560 --> 00:44:59,960 Speaker 4: since the Jared Dillar days. I've gone back and forth 948 00:45:00,080 --> 00:45:01,640 Speaker 4: on this, so I am going to need your help 949 00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:04,320 Speaker 4: in terms of where you have them slotted in your projection, 950 00:45:04,640 --> 00:45:07,960 Speaker 4: because with so much coming back, if EJ. Warner Pops, 951 00:45:08,160 --> 00:45:10,520 Speaker 4: shouldn't this be a sleeper to potentially get to the 952 00:45:10,600 --> 00:45:11,520 Speaker 4: AAC title game. 953 00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:14,279 Speaker 2: I don't see. I don't think they have the upside there. 954 00:45:14,600 --> 00:45:18,480 Speaker 2: They've been so predictable if you remove COVID since Bloomgen 955 00:45:18,560 --> 00:45:22,280 Speaker 2: got there, removed the COVID year, they've in seven consecutive 956 00:45:22,400 --> 00:45:27,000 Speaker 2: years they went for the last six they went one, two, three, 957 00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:31,520 Speaker 2: four five, and then last year won six games. One 958 00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:34,440 Speaker 2: win every single year, So that would lead you to 959 00:45:34,520 --> 00:45:37,200 Speaker 2: believe they this year they win seven, which the win 960 00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:40,080 Speaker 2: totals over six NAP chews to the over I project 961 00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:43,680 Speaker 2: six point nine. So I'm there. But in league play, 962 00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:46,040 Speaker 2: I think what limits their upside is they don't get 963 00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:48,120 Speaker 2: Tulsa or Temple and they face the top four in 964 00:45:48,160 --> 00:45:51,680 Speaker 2: the league. So I mean you mentioned at Memphis, I 965 00:45:51,680 --> 00:45:55,520 Speaker 2: don't think they're winning that game. They play Utsa as well, 966 00:45:55,719 --> 00:45:59,120 Speaker 2: then they're at Tulane after that, so I can't see them. 967 00:45:59,280 --> 00:46:01,640 Speaker 2: You know, there's USF. I think that their win total 968 00:46:01,680 --> 00:46:03,880 Speaker 2: probably comes down to their final two games at UEB 969 00:46:04,120 --> 00:46:06,480 Speaker 2: and home against USF which are close to coin flip 970 00:46:06,600 --> 00:46:10,720 Speaker 2: games in my opinion, and Ken like Connor stay healthy. 971 00:46:10,960 --> 00:46:13,320 Speaker 2: Ken like the defensive lines stay healthy because depth is 972 00:46:13,400 --> 00:46:17,240 Speaker 2: really questionable there. You know, Warner comes in, you lose Daniels. 973 00:46:17,239 --> 00:46:19,880 Speaker 2: Warner comes in. Liked Warner at Temple. He didn't have 974 00:46:20,000 --> 00:46:21,880 Speaker 2: much to work with. We'll get to the als in 975 00:46:21,960 --> 00:46:25,600 Speaker 2: a minute. But how do you you know, how do 976 00:46:25,680 --> 00:46:29,319 Speaker 2: you replace McCaffrey. He was absolutely massive. You need an 977 00:46:29,360 --> 00:46:31,840 Speaker 2: outfit to step up. He had six hundred more receiving 978 00:46:31,920 --> 00:46:35,719 Speaker 2: yards than the number two had thirteen touchdowns the rest 979 00:46:35,760 --> 00:46:40,080 Speaker 2: of the team at sixteen total. So yeah, I project 980 00:46:40,120 --> 00:46:42,920 Speaker 2: six point nine. So I'm pretty close to market here. 981 00:46:43,120 --> 00:46:45,000 Speaker 2: It's a lot of winnable games on this schedule. I 982 00:46:45,080 --> 00:46:48,040 Speaker 2: think they have a pretty low floor, or I should 983 00:46:48,040 --> 00:46:51,960 Speaker 2: say a pretty high floor. But yeah, I want to 984 00:46:52,000 --> 00:46:57,080 Speaker 2: see I left tackle, defensive tackle, alpha wide receiver, cornerback 985 00:46:57,160 --> 00:46:58,879 Speaker 2: number two. Some of the questions I after this team. 986 00:46:58,920 --> 00:47:02,600 Speaker 2: But yeah, I project six point nine. It's easy overall schedule, 987 00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:06,240 Speaker 2: but a tough AC slate as far as the ability 988 00:47:06,320 --> 00:47:08,640 Speaker 2: to make that leap as a Sleeperson to do face 989 00:47:08,680 --> 00:47:11,359 Speaker 2: the top four two lane of Memphis on the road 990 00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:13,640 Speaker 2: so pass for me on Rice. 991 00:47:15,520 --> 00:47:16,160 Speaker 4: I will take the. 992 00:47:16,200 --> 00:47:18,520 Speaker 2: Over over in the future, over in another future. 993 00:47:18,600 --> 00:47:21,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, no, not a futures and over. I just got 994 00:47:21,480 --> 00:47:22,719 Speaker 4: on the last stuck. 995 00:47:22,840 --> 00:47:24,560 Speaker 2: Everyone's going yeah, but I can't shit on you. 996 00:47:28,160 --> 00:47:28,960 Speaker 6: I really like EJ. 997 00:47:29,080 --> 00:47:29,360 Speaker 2: Warner. 998 00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:30,360 Speaker 4: I watched a lot of Temple. 999 00:47:30,440 --> 00:47:32,520 Speaker 6: My best friend gos to Temple, so I just tortured 1000 00:47:32,560 --> 00:47:33,959 Speaker 6: myself and watched a lot of their games. 1001 00:47:34,400 --> 00:47:35,920 Speaker 4: He's got a lot of zip. I like the way 1002 00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:37,600 Speaker 4: he throws the ball. And I think JT. 1003 00:47:37,800 --> 00:47:40,239 Speaker 6: Daniels just we saw it like seven different schools. I 1004 00:47:40,320 --> 00:47:42,040 Speaker 6: just don't think he was as good as everyone thought. 1005 00:47:42,120 --> 00:47:45,719 Speaker 6: He just never really replicated his freshman year. So I'm 1006 00:47:45,760 --> 00:47:47,239 Speaker 6: not even sure they're downgrading. 1007 00:47:47,280 --> 00:47:47,600 Speaker 4: They might. 1008 00:47:48,200 --> 00:47:50,040 Speaker 6: I would probably take Warn over Daniels at this point, 1009 00:47:50,120 --> 00:47:52,480 Speaker 6: So I'm really excited to see what he does outside 1010 00:47:52,480 --> 00:47:55,600 Speaker 6: of Temple. You mentioned losing McCaffrey is is brutal, Like 1011 00:47:55,719 --> 00:47:58,200 Speaker 6: they won't be able to replace him. They're gonna need 1012 00:47:58,239 --> 00:48:01,319 Speaker 6: a monster year from Dean Connors. But he showed he's 1013 00:48:01,360 --> 00:48:03,279 Speaker 6: dynamic in the run game. He's also really good out 1014 00:48:03,280 --> 00:48:05,320 Speaker 6: of the backfield as a receiver. He had a thousand 1015 00:48:05,400 --> 00:48:08,680 Speaker 6: yards from screwmans ten total touchdowns, So hopefully Connors gives 1016 00:48:08,719 --> 00:48:10,600 Speaker 6: them a room to kind of work in some more 1017 00:48:10,680 --> 00:48:14,319 Speaker 6: receivers and the defense returns a ton led by Josh 1018 00:48:14,360 --> 00:48:17,879 Speaker 6: Pearcy and Coleman Coco. The past defense was excellent last year. 1019 00:48:17,920 --> 00:48:19,560 Speaker 6: I think the past defense will be really good again, 1020 00:48:19,719 --> 00:48:21,640 Speaker 6: which is what you need in this conference. We've gone 1021 00:48:21,640 --> 00:48:24,319 Speaker 6: through these teams and kind of the focus on most 1022 00:48:24,320 --> 00:48:27,080 Speaker 6: of these teams this quarterback play, passing offense. So I 1023 00:48:27,160 --> 00:48:28,600 Speaker 6: definitely want that to be the strength if I'm in 1024 00:48:28,680 --> 00:48:31,200 Speaker 6: a better team. And you know, they just need to 1025 00:48:31,200 --> 00:48:33,680 Speaker 6: create more havoc and force more turnovers. And you guys 1026 00:48:33,800 --> 00:48:36,880 Speaker 6: mentioned the schedule you have, Yeah, at Houston, at Memphis 1027 00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:39,440 Speaker 6: and at Tulane are probably they're. 1028 00:48:39,080 --> 00:48:40,120 Speaker 4: More than likely losses. 1029 00:48:40,239 --> 00:48:42,399 Speaker 6: And to be fair, they did beat Houston last year. 1030 00:48:43,160 --> 00:48:46,440 Speaker 6: Then they should get Charlotte, Sam Houston, Texas, Southern Yukon 1031 00:48:46,520 --> 00:48:50,439 Speaker 6: and Navy. So they get South Florida and UTSA at home, 1032 00:48:51,040 --> 00:48:52,640 Speaker 6: and then if they can get one of those two 1033 00:48:52,719 --> 00:48:55,080 Speaker 6: home games against South Florida and UTSA, and then they 1034 00:48:55,120 --> 00:48:57,000 Speaker 6: can get one of the kind of coin flippy games 1035 00:48:57,000 --> 00:48:59,279 Speaker 6: against Army and UAB And you know we're down on 1036 00:48:59,400 --> 00:49:02,360 Speaker 6: UAB at on this podcast. So I mean to me 1037 00:49:02,480 --> 00:49:05,000 Speaker 6: that seven wins. If they get their their winnable games 1038 00:49:05,040 --> 00:49:06,920 Speaker 6: and then can get two of the four coin flips, 1039 00:49:06,960 --> 00:49:09,120 Speaker 6: that's seven. And I mean, Dock you mentioned the trend 1040 00:49:09,440 --> 00:49:11,200 Speaker 6: the way you can go and the mays you can 1041 00:49:11,239 --> 00:49:13,600 Speaker 6: book them for seven anyway, So I will take the 1042 00:49:13,640 --> 00:49:14,439 Speaker 6: over six and a half. 1043 00:49:14,480 --> 00:49:18,520 Speaker 4: Here. We turned to North Texas five and seven last 1044 00:49:18,560 --> 00:49:21,040 Speaker 4: year in the overall three and five in the AAC. 1045 00:49:21,239 --> 00:49:23,440 Speaker 4: Their win total at five and a half odds to 1046 00:49:23,480 --> 00:49:25,480 Speaker 4: win the American twenty five to one, one hundred and 1047 00:49:25,520 --> 00:49:28,120 Speaker 4: fifty to one to make the twelve team college football playoff. 1048 00:49:28,640 --> 00:49:30,520 Speaker 4: Last year, you bring in a new head coach, a 1049 00:49:30,600 --> 00:49:32,799 Speaker 4: new identity, and all they do is produce a three 1050 00:49:32,840 --> 00:49:35,280 Speaker 4: thousand yard passer, one thousand yard rusher, and a thousand 1051 00:49:35,320 --> 00:49:38,120 Speaker 4: yard receiver for the first time in school history. In 1052 00:49:38,160 --> 00:49:41,160 Speaker 4: the same season they finished sixth in total offense. The 1053 00:49:41,280 --> 00:49:43,680 Speaker 4: question now, they're probably going to go even faster. They 1054 00:49:43,680 --> 00:49:46,239 Speaker 4: were one of the fastest teams in a per play 1055 00:49:46,520 --> 00:49:48,719 Speaker 4: per game kind of basis last year. To go in 1056 00:49:48,800 --> 00:49:51,120 Speaker 4: with the radio communications and the helmet this year, does 1057 00:49:51,200 --> 00:49:53,480 Speaker 4: that mean three or four extra plays? Probably for a 1058 00:49:53,520 --> 00:49:56,120 Speaker 4: team like UNC. But can they keep the good times 1059 00:49:56,200 --> 00:49:59,600 Speaker 4: rolling with Chandler Morris at quarterback. He should fit given 1060 00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:02,800 Speaker 4: his air raid history, but lots of injuries and not 1061 00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:06,080 Speaker 4: meeting expectations in the past for him and Chandler Rodgers 1062 00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:07,920 Speaker 4: played at such a high level, it's a shame that 1063 00:50:07,960 --> 00:50:10,600 Speaker 4: they lose him. He had the offense something now. Defensively, 1064 00:50:11,239 --> 00:50:13,640 Speaker 4: I mentioned it before half teams all over the place 1065 00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:15,680 Speaker 4: in the AAC. This defense was as bad as their 1066 00:50:15,719 --> 00:50:18,239 Speaker 4: offense was good. Yes, six starters are back, but do 1067 00:50:18,360 --> 00:50:19,880 Speaker 4: I really care because they gave up four hunt and 1068 00:50:19,880 --> 00:50:23,000 Speaker 4: seventy six yards per game. They went heavy, heavy in 1069 00:50:23,080 --> 00:50:25,879 Speaker 4: the portal to address the secondary. Scored a few big names, 1070 00:50:25,960 --> 00:50:28,920 Speaker 4: including Ashim Young from Old Miss to play their star position. 1071 00:50:29,440 --> 00:50:32,200 Speaker 4: We talk a lot about not wasting home games on 1072 00:50:32,480 --> 00:50:35,440 Speaker 4: winnable spots, while this schedule kind of sets up in 1073 00:50:35,520 --> 00:50:37,960 Speaker 4: the right way for the Mean Green They're at SEXISTEC, 1074 00:50:38,000 --> 00:50:40,839 Speaker 4: They're at Memphis at UTSA. That's fine. You know they're 1075 00:50:40,880 --> 00:50:42,680 Speaker 4: going to save their home games for games that they 1076 00:50:42,719 --> 00:50:44,879 Speaker 4: can win. When you look at this, if you want 1077 00:50:44,960 --> 00:50:46,960 Speaker 4: to play you know, if they get that win early 1078 00:50:47,000 --> 00:50:49,000 Speaker 4: against South Alabama, which is when you want to play 1079 00:50:49,040 --> 00:50:52,040 Speaker 4: the Jags, here are there winnables against Steven f Austin, 1080 00:50:52,160 --> 00:50:56,279 Speaker 4: against Tulsa, against Army, against ECU and at Temple. But 1081 00:50:56,360 --> 00:50:58,120 Speaker 4: the win totals set at five and a half. I 1082 00:50:58,200 --> 00:51:00,879 Speaker 4: think that's just about on my number. If anything, maybe 1083 00:51:00,960 --> 00:51:03,920 Speaker 4: I lean a little bit towards the under because I'm 1084 00:51:04,000 --> 00:51:07,520 Speaker 4: not a huge believer in Morris at quarterback. So that's 1085 00:51:07,600 --> 00:51:09,960 Speaker 4: it for me when it comes to the Me and 1086 00:51:10,000 --> 00:51:12,520 Speaker 4: Green like this offense was a lot of fun. They're 1087 00:51:12,680 --> 00:51:15,359 Speaker 4: my kind of bad quote unquote bad G five team 1088 00:51:15,400 --> 00:51:16,920 Speaker 4: where it's like, if you're going to lose a lot 1089 00:51:16,960 --> 00:51:19,480 Speaker 4: of games, you may as well do it fast, exciting, 1090 00:51:19,640 --> 00:51:22,080 Speaker 4: lots of offense, up and down games. But I think 1091 00:51:22,120 --> 00:51:24,480 Speaker 4: they take a baby step backwards on offense and they're 1092 00:51:24,560 --> 00:51:26,640 Speaker 4: not taking a major step forward on defense, at least 1093 00:51:26,719 --> 00:51:29,080 Speaker 4: in my opinion. What do you think, Stuck, I. 1094 00:51:29,160 --> 00:51:32,080 Speaker 2: Show a tiny bit of value numerically on the under 1095 00:51:32,520 --> 00:51:34,200 Speaker 2: you mentioned They do face the top three in the league, 1096 00:51:34,239 --> 00:51:36,759 Speaker 2: two on the road and that Texas Tech. So if 1097 00:51:36,800 --> 00:51:39,720 Speaker 2: they lose those four games. So if you lose at Memphis, 1098 00:51:39,800 --> 00:51:42,200 Speaker 2: if you lose at utsa double digit dog, double je dog, 1099 00:51:42,239 --> 00:51:44,640 Speaker 2: at Texas Tech double digit dog, you say you lose 1100 00:51:44,680 --> 00:51:47,040 Speaker 2: a two lane, and then you're a touchdown dog at 1101 00:51:47,080 --> 00:51:50,520 Speaker 2: South Alabama. You lose those games. It was five games 1102 00:51:51,280 --> 00:51:53,160 Speaker 2: and you go six in one and the other seven 1103 00:51:53,360 --> 00:51:57,239 Speaker 2: with that defense, I don't know, that's a tough ask. Now, 1104 00:51:57,360 --> 00:52:00,239 Speaker 2: with their offense, they could pull off an upset. Even 1105 00:52:00,280 --> 00:52:02,919 Speaker 2: the country was in more one possession games with four 1106 00:52:02,960 --> 00:52:05,600 Speaker 2: minutes left in the game last year than North Texas. 1107 00:52:06,000 --> 00:52:07,719 Speaker 2: They were in a ton and they came up short 1108 00:52:07,760 --> 00:52:11,040 Speaker 2: more often than not. But they're outside the top one 1109 00:52:11,120 --> 00:52:14,359 Speaker 2: hundred overall returning production. It's the Rogers and Rogers. It's 1110 00:52:14,400 --> 00:52:16,879 Speaker 2: the excuse me, it's the Morris and Morris show. Now 1111 00:52:17,120 --> 00:52:19,120 Speaker 2: on offense, I do agree with you that he's a 1112 00:52:19,160 --> 00:52:21,759 Speaker 2: better fit for this offense in the Briles offense, but 1113 00:52:21,880 --> 00:52:24,520 Speaker 2: can you find a number one receiver you lost Macklin. 1114 00:52:24,880 --> 00:52:28,520 Speaker 2: The offensive line is still a concern to me because, look, 1115 00:52:28,560 --> 00:52:29,840 Speaker 2: it was the first time in program this year that 1116 00:52:29,880 --> 00:52:31,920 Speaker 2: a three thousand yard passer, a thousand yard receiver, thousand 1117 00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:34,560 Speaker 2: ard rusher, they're all gone. I do believe the secondary 1118 00:52:34,560 --> 00:52:37,000 Speaker 2: will be more talented. I'm not sure that's enough to 1119 00:52:37,080 --> 00:52:42,839 Speaker 2: solve all of their defensive issues. So yeah. I also 1120 00:52:42,880 --> 00:52:45,719 Speaker 2: the other thing is we just mentioned that we like 1121 00:52:45,800 --> 00:52:48,080 Speaker 2: the fit for Morris, but what has happened in the 1122 00:52:48,160 --> 00:52:50,440 Speaker 2: last two years, He's been hurt. Oh boy, if he 1123 00:52:50,560 --> 00:52:55,480 Speaker 2: gets hurt, it is ova lights out. Stone Jace Ruder 1124 00:52:55,600 --> 00:52:58,440 Speaker 2: was like the third string. He moved the linebacker. Stone 1125 00:52:58,480 --> 00:53:02,440 Speaker 2: Earl left the program. So your backup, I believe, is 1126 00:53:02,600 --> 00:53:05,880 Speaker 2: a kid, true freshman McCollum, who I think won a 1127 00:53:05,920 --> 00:53:07,840 Speaker 2: state championship. But I don't think he's ready to be 1128 00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:10,800 Speaker 2: the starting quarterback here. So you better hope that that 1129 00:53:10,880 --> 00:53:13,880 Speaker 2: offensive line comes together and more stays healthy, which he 1130 00:53:13,920 --> 00:53:15,880 Speaker 2: hasn't been able to the last couple of years because 1131 00:53:15,960 --> 00:53:17,279 Speaker 2: there's no backup option here. 1132 00:53:18,480 --> 00:53:21,239 Speaker 6: Yeah, we had, we had the Zion to Zion move 1133 00:53:21,320 --> 00:53:24,320 Speaker 6: at Jacksonville State and now we go Chandler Chandler at 1134 00:53:24,400 --> 00:53:27,799 Speaker 6: North Texas. I leen under here to you know, they 1135 00:53:27,880 --> 00:53:30,760 Speaker 6: lose Rogers, they lose the foreheaded running back monster. Finally, 1136 00:53:30,840 --> 00:53:32,719 Speaker 6: we talked about how they they keep all those guys 1137 00:53:32,760 --> 00:53:35,040 Speaker 6: and they lose them all at once. With Oscar Adaway 1138 00:53:35,040 --> 00:53:37,080 Speaker 6: off to South Carolina, AO a die he going to 1139 00:53:37,160 --> 00:53:40,080 Speaker 6: James Madison. They do bring in Zach Evans from Minnesota 1140 00:53:40,200 --> 00:53:42,040 Speaker 6: to kind of help fill that void, that running back, 1141 00:53:42,120 --> 00:53:45,800 Speaker 6: but they're not going to be able to replace Macklin 1142 00:53:45,880 --> 00:53:48,359 Speaker 6: a receiver. He's off to Kentucky. He was so good 1143 00:53:48,400 --> 00:53:52,720 Speaker 6: in this offense. Yeah, the defense will probably be probably 1144 00:53:52,880 --> 00:53:55,200 Speaker 6: be better in the second season, you know, running this 1145 00:53:55,280 --> 00:53:57,480 Speaker 6: three three five scheme, but they had like the worst 1146 00:53:57,520 --> 00:54:00,160 Speaker 6: offense in the conference. So even if they're a little better, 1147 00:54:00,239 --> 00:54:02,360 Speaker 6: they still have a really long way to go. And 1148 00:54:02,440 --> 00:54:04,320 Speaker 6: then yeah, you guys mentioned the schedule at you know, 1149 00:54:04,560 --> 00:54:07,880 Speaker 6: South Alabama, Texas, tach Wyoming, Memphis, Tulane at UTSA, Like, 1150 00:54:07,960 --> 00:54:11,759 Speaker 6: there's probably six losses right there, so they'd have to win. 1151 00:54:12,200 --> 00:54:14,400 Speaker 6: That's even before you get to the coin flips against 1152 00:54:14,520 --> 00:54:18,880 Speaker 6: FAU Army ECUs. So they have to basically win every 1153 00:54:19,080 --> 00:54:22,520 Speaker 6: coin flip flip game to go over this total. And 1154 00:54:23,320 --> 00:54:24,960 Speaker 6: their coin flips for reason, you're gonna win half them 1155 00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:27,799 Speaker 6: most likely, so to expect them to basically win every 1156 00:54:28,280 --> 00:54:31,640 Speaker 6: game they're not a touchdown underdog in is a big, 1157 00:54:31,800 --> 00:54:32,359 Speaker 6: big ask. 1158 00:54:32,520 --> 00:54:34,759 Speaker 4: So yeah, I lean under here with them. 1159 00:54:35,200 --> 00:54:37,520 Speaker 2: You lean under. I'm proud of you. It's a big 1160 00:54:37,640 --> 00:54:39,440 Speaker 2: moment on the AAC podcast history. 1161 00:54:39,680 --> 00:54:42,080 Speaker 4: I said the leakst top Heavy about just marking. 1162 00:54:41,880 --> 00:54:44,879 Speaker 2: The occasion of your first ever AAC under lean. Let's 1163 00:54:44,880 --> 00:54:46,360 Speaker 2: tell you want I'm very sorry. 1164 00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:49,000 Speaker 1: I'm not happy with Stuckey at all to saying that 1165 00:54:49,160 --> 00:54:49,759 Speaker 1: we're doing that. 1166 00:54:51,680 --> 00:54:54,360 Speaker 4: Let's talk about FAU, a team that went four and 1167 00:54:54,440 --> 00:54:57,719 Speaker 4: eight last year, the Owls, three and five in conference play. 1168 00:54:57,719 --> 00:55:00,360 Speaker 4: They win total six and a half. The American thirty 1169 00:55:00,400 --> 00:55:02,880 Speaker 4: to one to win. It's two hundred to one to 1170 00:55:02,920 --> 00:55:05,600 Speaker 4: make the College Football Playoff. This offense was supposed to 1171 00:55:05,600 --> 00:55:07,520 Speaker 4: take a flight last year for the Owls. The only 1172 00:55:07,560 --> 00:55:09,800 Speaker 4: thing that took flight was Lejonte Western to go to 1173 00:55:09,880 --> 00:55:13,160 Speaker 4: Colorado to play for coach Prime. Their starting center returns. 1174 00:55:13,880 --> 00:55:17,560 Speaker 4: That's it. Cam fancher in at quarterback. Never liked him 1175 00:55:17,600 --> 00:55:19,319 Speaker 4: at Marshall. We can talk about him if you want, 1176 00:55:19,400 --> 00:55:21,279 Speaker 4: but at least I pronounce his name right this year 1177 00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:24,320 Speaker 4: on the preseason episode. He is not somebody who I 1178 00:55:24,360 --> 00:55:25,720 Speaker 4: think is a plug and play option. 1179 00:55:25,880 --> 00:55:27,279 Speaker 2: What did you pronounce it as last year? 1180 00:55:27,440 --> 00:55:31,040 Speaker 4: I think Frencher or something like that. I accidentally add 1181 00:55:31,080 --> 00:55:33,840 Speaker 4: an extra R in there. They're defense stabilized in the 1182 00:55:33,920 --> 00:55:35,640 Speaker 4: last month of the season. I'll he'll put a tiny 1183 00:55:35,719 --> 00:55:38,000 Speaker 4: positive spin on it. But they have to replace nearly 1184 00:55:38,040 --> 00:55:41,720 Speaker 4: everybody in their secondary now. Schedule wise, they avoid Memphis 1185 00:55:42,040 --> 00:55:45,000 Speaker 4: and Tulane, and they have a stretch in Army FIU 1186 00:55:45,320 --> 00:55:48,320 Speaker 4: at Yukon Wagner in September. I think that's going to 1187 00:55:48,360 --> 00:55:50,440 Speaker 4: set up some fools gold. So I'm excited for them 1188 00:55:50,719 --> 00:55:53,000 Speaker 4: to maybe get three wins in the month of September 1189 00:55:53,239 --> 00:55:56,080 Speaker 4: and then for me to hammer against Fancher and company 1190 00:55:56,160 --> 00:56:00,239 Speaker 4: offensively in October. It's difficult for me because I like 1191 00:56:00,360 --> 00:56:02,560 Speaker 4: Herman as a head coach. I think he's just made 1192 00:56:02,840 --> 00:56:06,719 Speaker 4: you know. Unfortunately, we have collegeable free agency. Who you sign, 1193 00:56:07,040 --> 00:56:10,160 Speaker 4: particularly at the quarterback position makes such a difference, and 1194 00:56:10,239 --> 00:56:13,200 Speaker 4: if it doesn't hit, and if you don't stay healthy offensively, 1195 00:56:13,640 --> 00:56:15,840 Speaker 4: particularly in G five Land, it can be difficult to 1196 00:56:15,920 --> 00:56:18,640 Speaker 4: keep pace with some of these offenses that can really cook. 1197 00:56:18,960 --> 00:56:21,279 Speaker 4: We are not in a point in our program where 1198 00:56:21,360 --> 00:56:24,839 Speaker 4: we can not play our best and expect to win. 1199 00:56:25,480 --> 00:56:26,560 Speaker 2: It's not going to happen. 1200 00:56:27,120 --> 00:56:29,160 Speaker 4: I think they have issues, but I don't think we're 1201 00:56:29,160 --> 00:56:32,440 Speaker 4: going to see them until October. I know, is this 1202 00:56:32,480 --> 00:56:35,000 Speaker 4: an under team for you or is this a future 1203 00:56:35,120 --> 00:56:35,960 Speaker 4: here in the AAC. 1204 00:56:36,719 --> 00:56:38,600 Speaker 6: Now there's another under team for me. I think we 1205 00:56:38,680 --> 00:56:41,480 Speaker 6: saw last year. I think FAU had had a ton 1206 00:56:41,560 --> 00:56:43,360 Speaker 6: of hope going to the year with with Tom Herman, 1207 00:56:43,400 --> 00:56:45,239 Speaker 6: who I agreed here I like as a coach. We 1208 00:56:45,360 --> 00:56:47,880 Speaker 6: had Kathy Thompson coming in. Kasey Thompson ended up being 1209 00:56:47,920 --> 00:56:50,920 Speaker 6: a disaster. Him and Daniel Richardson are both gone. They 1210 00:56:51,000 --> 00:56:54,360 Speaker 6: turned to Cam Fancher, who his previous coach at Memphis 1211 00:56:54,480 --> 00:56:56,720 Speaker 6: called miserable after the season. 1212 00:56:57,239 --> 00:56:59,720 Speaker 4: So, I mean he was terrible. 1213 00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:03,399 Speaker 6: Twenty one touchdowns and two seasons at Marshall with seventeen interceptions. 1214 00:57:03,880 --> 00:57:06,759 Speaker 6: You mentioned the loss of the web Western. They brought 1215 00:57:06,800 --> 00:57:08,800 Speaker 6: in some you know, some depth pieces from the portal, 1216 00:57:08,920 --> 00:57:11,440 Speaker 6: but they don't have that stud guy on offense anymore, 1217 00:57:11,440 --> 00:57:13,239 Speaker 6: and I think losing him is huge. He bailed them 1218 00:57:13,280 --> 00:57:15,960 Speaker 6: out so many times last year. This offensive line is 1219 00:57:16,000 --> 00:57:18,400 Speaker 6: a major concern. I have big questions about the aligne 1220 00:57:19,120 --> 00:57:19,920 Speaker 6: and the defense. 1221 00:57:19,960 --> 00:57:20,280 Speaker 4: Same thing. 1222 00:57:20,360 --> 00:57:22,800 Speaker 6: The defense has a few solid pieces of returning, but 1223 00:57:22,880 --> 00:57:25,840 Speaker 6: I think they have depth issues kind of across the board. 1224 00:57:26,480 --> 00:57:28,160 Speaker 6: Like I said, I like Herman, but I think this 1225 00:57:28,280 --> 00:57:31,480 Speaker 6: is a rebuilding year. The schedules not terrible. You know, 1226 00:57:31,600 --> 00:57:35,200 Speaker 6: after Michigan State, they're mostly winnable games, But the problem 1227 00:57:35,320 --> 00:57:38,600 Speaker 6: is they're winnable games are all on the road. They 1228 00:57:38,680 --> 00:57:41,960 Speaker 6: go to Yukon to East Carolina to Temple to Tulsa. 1229 00:57:42,520 --> 00:57:45,520 Speaker 6: So you know, what should kind of be four wins 1230 00:57:45,640 --> 00:57:47,800 Speaker 6: are now all a little shakier because they're on the road. 1231 00:57:48,160 --> 00:57:50,000 Speaker 6: So that is enough to get me under six and 1232 00:57:50,040 --> 00:57:50,640 Speaker 6: a half on. 1233 00:57:50,680 --> 00:57:51,560 Speaker 4: This FA team. 1234 00:57:52,400 --> 00:57:53,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean you said the schedule is not bad. 1235 00:57:53,920 --> 00:57:55,040 Speaker 2: It see, I think I have it as easy as 1236 00:57:55,040 --> 00:57:58,840 Speaker 2: schedule in the country. It's a scheduled a joke. They 1237 00:57:58,960 --> 00:58:01,600 Speaker 2: replaced but last year they went to to Clemson in 1238 00:58:01,640 --> 00:58:03,920 Speaker 2: Illinois and they basically just go to Michigan State this year. 1239 00:58:04,080 --> 00:58:06,560 Speaker 2: So we'll say they lose at Michigan State and at Utsa. 1240 00:58:08,320 --> 00:58:09,920 Speaker 2: The rest of their schedule is a joke. Their home 1241 00:58:09,960 --> 00:58:15,760 Speaker 2: games against Army FI FIU, Wagner, North Texas, USF, and Charlotte. 1242 00:58:17,080 --> 00:58:18,480 Speaker 2: You know that is and then you know you still 1243 00:58:18,480 --> 00:58:22,200 Speaker 2: have road games against Yukon, Temple, Tulsa, and East tu 1244 00:58:23,000 --> 00:58:26,400 Speaker 2: schedule is a clown show. This team kind of embodies 1245 00:58:26,440 --> 00:58:29,240 Speaker 2: what the AC is this year. Coaching continuity, so Herman 1246 00:58:29,320 --> 00:58:34,200 Speaker 2: year two, every single coach is back except one on 1247 00:58:34,320 --> 00:58:36,680 Speaker 2: the defensive end. I think their defensive line coach. Everyone 1248 00:58:36,760 --> 00:58:39,920 Speaker 2: else is back, So there's some coach coaching Goingnay nothing 1249 00:58:40,000 --> 00:58:42,840 Speaker 2: on the roster. The wide receiver losses are huge. I 1250 00:58:43,160 --> 00:58:47,880 Speaker 2: mentioned the offensive line extremely inexperienced. It's a team that's 1251 00:58:48,280 --> 00:58:51,200 Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty third in returning production on offense, 1252 00:58:51,240 --> 00:58:53,800 Speaker 2: outside the top one hundred on defense. I expect their 1253 00:58:53,800 --> 00:58:56,320 Speaker 2: offense to try to run with more pace. But there's 1254 00:58:56,440 --> 00:58:58,640 Speaker 2: questions all over this roster. The schedule is easy, so 1255 00:58:58,720 --> 00:59:01,200 Speaker 2: I project them at six point four or it's a 1256 00:59:01,280 --> 00:59:04,440 Speaker 2: pass for me. But I hate Fancher, So if Fancher's 1257 00:59:04,480 --> 00:59:08,040 Speaker 2: the quarterback, then I don't mind this under But look 1258 00:59:08,080 --> 00:59:11,600 Speaker 2: out for the Tyreek Starks, the juco kid transferred from 1259 00:59:12,040 --> 00:59:14,520 Speaker 2: Independence Community College, been in the program, I think for 1260 00:59:14,560 --> 00:59:17,080 Speaker 2: a year or two. He flashed for me in the 1261 00:59:17,120 --> 00:59:21,040 Speaker 2: spring game, and their quarterback competition going on right now. 1262 00:59:21,400 --> 00:59:23,440 Speaker 2: I think if Starks wins that job, they have a 1263 00:59:23,480 --> 00:59:28,280 Speaker 2: little bit more upside. You know, dual threat can move 1264 00:59:28,400 --> 00:59:32,080 Speaker 2: to so But yeah, there's a lot of questions on 1265 00:59:32,160 --> 00:59:35,240 Speaker 2: this roster. But I project six point four mainly just 1266 00:59:35,320 --> 00:59:37,920 Speaker 2: because of the schedule, which is much easier than it 1267 00:59:38,040 --> 00:59:39,560 Speaker 2: was last year, but passed for me. 1268 00:59:40,280 --> 00:59:42,880 Speaker 4: The hard knocks behind the scenes with the New York 1269 00:59:42,920 --> 00:59:45,840 Speaker 4: Giants where they accidentally leaks their entire draft board and 1270 00:59:45,920 --> 00:59:48,479 Speaker 4: how they were grading out every single player. I would 1271 00:59:48,520 --> 00:59:50,760 Speaker 4: love to know how many quarterbacks they took a run 1272 00:59:50,840 --> 00:59:52,680 Speaker 4: at in the transfer portal before Fancher. 1273 00:59:53,040 --> 00:59:54,840 Speaker 2: Is it you're speaking of hard knocks? Did you watch 1274 00:59:54,880 --> 00:59:57,400 Speaker 2: the Marshall Hard Knocks? It's called hard knocks. I haven't 1275 00:59:57,440 --> 00:59:59,320 Speaker 2: watched yet. It's on my to do list, but it's like, 1276 00:59:59,360 --> 01:00:01,400 Speaker 2: apparently it's this year. It's like leading off to the 1277 01:00:01,440 --> 01:00:02,400 Speaker 2: season called hurd not. 1278 01:00:08,200 --> 01:00:10,080 Speaker 7: So it's time for the rubber to meet the road 1279 01:00:10,120 --> 01:00:13,000 Speaker 7: in our program. Living in reality. Now, you know you 1280 01:00:13,080 --> 01:00:15,200 Speaker 7: did or you didn't, and you're not a lot of 1281 01:00:15,280 --> 01:00:17,800 Speaker 7: patent on the back, not a lot of friendly Let's 1282 01:00:17,960 --> 01:00:20,320 Speaker 7: have a hug. It's cut through time for us. 1283 01:00:24,160 --> 01:00:28,120 Speaker 4: We turned to another service academy, Navy, not that baby. 1284 01:00:29,920 --> 01:00:32,280 Speaker 4: Five and seven last year, four and four in conference play, 1285 01:00:32,320 --> 01:00:34,080 Speaker 4: win total set at five and a half thirty to 1286 01:00:34,160 --> 01:00:35,720 Speaker 4: one to win the American two hundred and fifty to 1287 01:00:35,760 --> 01:00:37,680 Speaker 4: one to make the College Who All playoff. The big 1288 01:00:37,760 --> 01:00:41,120 Speaker 4: headline here is the hiring of Drew Chronic at offensive coordinator. 1289 01:00:41,520 --> 01:00:44,240 Speaker 4: He is the wing t expert across all of college football. 1290 01:00:44,240 --> 01:00:46,720 Speaker 4: He's saying, this is the modern wing t aka, the 1291 01:00:46,840 --> 01:00:49,080 Speaker 4: millennial version. I don't know what the hell that means. 1292 01:00:49,600 --> 01:00:52,080 Speaker 4: Way back in my day in the early two thousands 1293 01:00:52,120 --> 01:00:53,600 Speaker 4: when I was at high school, my high school ran 1294 01:00:53,640 --> 01:00:55,320 Speaker 4: this offense, so I can tell you what it's going 1295 01:00:55,360 --> 01:00:59,240 Speaker 4: to be about. It's predicated on misdirection in the running game. 1296 01:00:59,440 --> 01:01:01,360 Speaker 4: Here in a need verstalbacks who can hit the hole 1297 01:01:01,440 --> 01:01:04,560 Speaker 4: both inside and outside. They have that in Alex Tesca 1298 01:01:04,880 --> 01:01:07,920 Speaker 4: and Eli Heinreich. They can do that. The line is 1299 01:01:08,040 --> 01:01:11,640 Speaker 4: super experienced. So even though it's a slightly new system 1300 01:01:11,760 --> 01:01:13,880 Speaker 4: and there's going to be more polling and more misdirection, 1301 01:01:14,200 --> 01:01:16,600 Speaker 4: I think it's important to have guys who have multiple 1302 01:01:16,960 --> 01:01:19,520 Speaker 4: double digit starts in their career under their belt. The 1303 01:01:19,640 --> 01:01:21,680 Speaker 4: defense has a chance to take a step forward against 1304 01:01:21,720 --> 01:01:23,800 Speaker 4: the pass. With every starter back there in the secondary, 1305 01:01:24,000 --> 01:01:25,600 Speaker 4: we'll see if they can hold up against the run. 1306 01:01:25,720 --> 01:01:28,560 Speaker 4: I think that's the difference maker in this entire season. 1307 01:01:28,680 --> 01:01:33,640 Speaker 4: Noseguard Donald Bayard Junior is the key because if they 1308 01:01:33,720 --> 01:01:36,080 Speaker 4: don't fall off a cliff against the run. They finished 1309 01:01:36,120 --> 01:01:38,280 Speaker 4: thirty third there last year. By the way, this can 1310 01:01:38,360 --> 01:01:40,560 Speaker 4: be a top half defense in the AAC, which for 1311 01:01:40,640 --> 01:01:44,280 Speaker 4: a Service Academy is a big deal. Bucknell Temple at 1312 01:01:44,400 --> 01:01:46,840 Speaker 4: UAB at Air Force Charlotte. In the first half of 1313 01:01:46,880 --> 01:01:50,280 Speaker 4: the season. This is the kind of schedule to be 1314 01:01:50,320 --> 01:01:53,240 Speaker 4: able to get right critical. They get three or probably 1315 01:01:53,360 --> 01:01:55,320 Speaker 4: four wins there if you want to take them over 1316 01:01:55,360 --> 01:01:56,920 Speaker 4: the five and a half, because the back half of 1317 01:01:56,960 --> 01:01:59,280 Speaker 4: the schedule they got Notre Dame in the Meadowlands. They're 1318 01:01:59,280 --> 01:02:01,960 Speaker 4: at Rice at UCF, TU Lane at ECU before a 1319 01:02:02,040 --> 01:02:04,440 Speaker 4: trip to Maryland for the Army Navy game there at 1320 01:02:04,480 --> 01:02:07,600 Speaker 4: the end, I think I'm going to lean over here. 1321 01:02:07,800 --> 01:02:10,320 Speaker 4: I think both of the service academies they made the 1322 01:02:10,400 --> 01:02:12,520 Speaker 4: right choice. They went back, you know, Army went back 1323 01:02:12,520 --> 01:02:14,320 Speaker 4: to their bread and butter. I think this is the 1324 01:02:14,560 --> 01:02:17,520 Speaker 4: right kind of change in terms of scheme for a 1325 01:02:17,600 --> 01:02:20,240 Speaker 4: service academy. It's not as though they're going to a 1326 01:02:20,320 --> 01:02:23,200 Speaker 4: shotgun or a pistol, or they're trying to use pieces 1327 01:02:23,240 --> 01:02:25,120 Speaker 4: on the perimeter that are just not as talented as 1328 01:02:25,160 --> 01:02:27,520 Speaker 4: everyone else. I think there's an opportunity for them to 1329 01:02:27,600 --> 01:02:31,840 Speaker 4: hit big gash running plays, speed sweeps, counters, all kinds 1330 01:02:31,880 --> 01:02:33,720 Speaker 4: of things that you see more at the high school level. 1331 01:02:33,880 --> 01:02:37,680 Speaker 4: You're going to see that here, but executed absolutely perfectly 1332 01:02:37,800 --> 01:02:40,880 Speaker 4: in this offense. Because of that offensive line. So I 1333 01:02:41,040 --> 01:02:42,640 Speaker 4: think that they're going to get over five and a half. 1334 01:02:42,720 --> 01:02:45,120 Speaker 4: I'm going to make that an official play. In terms 1335 01:02:45,160 --> 01:02:46,960 Speaker 4: of the schedule, as I mentioned, I'm going to know 1336 01:02:47,200 --> 01:02:50,200 Speaker 4: by you know, the second week of October they got 1337 01:02:50,320 --> 01:02:52,280 Speaker 4: to get one of those wins at UAB or at 1338 01:02:52,320 --> 01:02:55,200 Speaker 4: air Force. Air Force obviously rebuilding with a new quarterback. 1339 01:02:55,320 --> 01:02:57,560 Speaker 4: They clearly weren't the same with that Larrier last year. 1340 01:02:57,760 --> 01:02:59,960 Speaker 4: So I think they can do it. I figure, you guys, 1341 01:03:00,000 --> 01:03:01,720 Speaker 4: they're probably gonna punt on this because it can be 1342 01:03:01,760 --> 01:03:04,160 Speaker 4: difficult in terms of win totals to break down Service 1343 01:03:04,160 --> 01:03:06,440 Speaker 4: Academy teams. But I'm gonna put my my stake in 1344 01:03:06,480 --> 01:03:07,920 Speaker 4: the santier and say that they go over what do 1345 01:03:07,960 --> 01:03:19,960 Speaker 4: you think stuck sales down? 1346 01:03:25,760 --> 01:03:28,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm really excited to watch this offense. The wing tea, 1347 01:03:28,880 --> 01:03:33,120 Speaker 2: which it's that you know Drew Chronic comes in from Mercer. 1348 01:03:33,720 --> 01:03:37,000 Speaker 2: He has run this offense forever. The the wing tea 1349 01:03:37,200 --> 01:03:40,560 Speaker 2: Delaware wing tea is the original. It actually started in Maine, 1350 01:03:40,960 --> 01:03:44,120 Speaker 2: but uh Delaware University of Delaware ren it for like 1351 01:03:44,200 --> 01:03:47,000 Speaker 2: fifty years. Then it was popularized. The more modern ones 1352 01:03:47,000 --> 01:03:49,040 Speaker 2: was popular was at Middle Tennessee State starting in like 1353 01:03:49,160 --> 01:03:51,800 Speaker 2: the late eighties nineties, and then Gus Malshan took the 1354 01:03:52,320 --> 01:03:56,160 Speaker 2: shotgun wing tea and kind of modernized it even more. 1355 01:03:56,640 --> 01:03:59,520 Speaker 2: So I'm really excited to see. You know, you have 1356 01:03:59,760 --> 01:04:02,560 Speaker 2: a lot of the complete football nerds out there. You 1357 01:04:02,640 --> 01:04:05,560 Speaker 2: have like your your belly series, your buck series, your 1358 01:04:05,600 --> 01:04:07,800 Speaker 2: down series. You're gonna have your QB waggle, which just 1359 01:04:07,880 --> 01:04:11,480 Speaker 2: means two guards pull with on a QB boot. So 1360 01:04:12,080 --> 01:04:14,120 Speaker 2: I'm so curiously how this all comes together, because it's 1361 01:04:14,160 --> 01:04:17,160 Speaker 2: gonna be your modern wing tea mixed with kind of 1362 01:04:17,240 --> 01:04:19,760 Speaker 2: some spread option. And then also, hey, look this is 1363 01:04:19,800 --> 01:04:21,480 Speaker 2: a team that knows the triple option. There's gonna be 1364 01:04:21,520 --> 01:04:23,760 Speaker 2: some triple options of midveer in there as well. So 1365 01:04:24,120 --> 01:04:28,360 Speaker 2: I'm curiously how it all comes together. Ken the most 1366 01:04:28,480 --> 01:04:32,000 Speaker 2: important pieces on an offense like this, Like you have 1367 01:04:32,080 --> 01:04:36,320 Speaker 2: a wing back and they're obviously really important. You got 1368 01:04:36,400 --> 01:04:38,000 Speaker 2: to get the it's good, there's good in his offense 1369 01:04:38,040 --> 01:04:40,320 Speaker 2: and chronics. There's a jet sweep element that's almost in 1370 01:04:40,400 --> 01:04:42,200 Speaker 2: every play. You got to get that right. But the 1371 01:04:42,320 --> 01:04:45,120 Speaker 2: guards are so important. The guards in the fullback. The 1372 01:04:45,200 --> 01:04:47,080 Speaker 2: fullback is gonna get most of the carries, but can 1373 01:04:48,080 --> 01:04:50,080 Speaker 2: Ken the guards they're gonna have to be moving a lot. 1374 01:04:50,200 --> 01:04:52,080 Speaker 2: The way that they're trapping and blocking. They have a 1375 01:04:52,160 --> 01:04:54,520 Speaker 2: lot on their plates. I'm not sure if they have 1376 01:04:54,680 --> 01:04:57,000 Speaker 2: the right guards. But this you have to be a 1377 01:04:57,040 --> 01:04:59,160 Speaker 2: hard in order to run this type of offense. You 1378 01:04:59,280 --> 01:05:02,560 Speaker 2: got to be a hard knows discipline team and that 1379 01:05:02,800 --> 01:05:04,920 Speaker 2: just wants to run into the wall and run into 1380 01:05:04,960 --> 01:05:07,280 Speaker 2: a wall in every play. That's a good thing for Navy. 1381 01:05:07,720 --> 01:05:09,920 Speaker 2: They have that. You got to be super well conditioned 1382 01:05:09,960 --> 01:05:14,360 Speaker 2: to they have that. So yeah, I'm very curious to 1383 01:05:14,360 --> 01:05:16,000 Speaker 2: see how this all comes together. And this is what 1384 01:05:16,160 --> 01:05:19,040 Speaker 2: Navy should be doing. You have, you know, the wing 1385 01:05:19,160 --> 01:05:23,160 Speaker 2: t's a super old school offense. Now you're bringing it 1386 01:05:23,240 --> 01:05:26,080 Speaker 2: with a more modern flavor. You're trying to create misdirection 1387 01:05:26,200 --> 01:05:29,160 Speaker 2: pre snap motion, try to stretch teams out horizontally and 1388 01:05:29,240 --> 01:05:32,200 Speaker 2: take advantage of where the mismatches are and where the 1389 01:05:32,240 --> 01:05:33,160 Speaker 2: space is to run. 1390 01:05:33,560 --> 01:05:34,560 Speaker 4: But it's a good thing because you. 1391 01:05:34,520 --> 01:05:36,880 Speaker 2: Don't have as much talent as other teams, and all 1392 01:05:36,920 --> 01:05:39,800 Speaker 2: these other teams are now built to stop the spread, 1393 01:05:40,040 --> 01:05:43,320 Speaker 2: to stop RPO and the spread action game. So hey, 1394 01:05:43,400 --> 01:05:45,240 Speaker 2: look we're gonna cople the more physical style that you're 1395 01:05:45,240 --> 01:05:47,520 Speaker 2: not used to seeing. It's unique, it's hard to prepare for. 1396 01:05:47,680 --> 01:05:49,840 Speaker 2: That's for your advantages. So this is what Navy should 1397 01:05:49,880 --> 01:05:52,240 Speaker 2: be doing. Army going back to what they should be doing. 1398 01:05:53,040 --> 01:05:55,040 Speaker 2: So I'm curious se how it all comes together. Obviously 1399 01:05:55,120 --> 01:05:57,080 Speaker 2: a ton of variants. How's it all going to work out? 1400 01:05:58,640 --> 01:06:00,640 Speaker 2: And you know they only had like twenty five percent 1401 01:06:00,680 --> 01:06:03,440 Speaker 2: of their offense installed in the spring. So I'm just 1402 01:06:03,520 --> 01:06:05,640 Speaker 2: excited to watch it again. Service Academy. I can pick 1403 01:06:05,640 --> 01:06:07,000 Speaker 2: out a couple of games and just bet them during 1404 01:06:07,040 --> 01:06:08,720 Speaker 2: the season, so it's passed for me. I project right 1405 01:06:08,720 --> 01:06:14,200 Speaker 2: around five. And yeah, schedule wise, they host Memphis Tulane. 1406 01:06:14,640 --> 01:06:16,360 Speaker 2: That wouldn't surprise me if they won one of those games. 1407 01:06:16,400 --> 01:06:18,200 Speaker 2: But the Winds an't lost anybody, and they could lose 1408 01:06:18,240 --> 01:06:21,160 Speaker 2: the Bucknell in the week one. And one of the 1409 01:06:21,200 --> 01:06:24,400 Speaker 2: things I do hate about their schedule is they faced 1410 01:06:24,400 --> 01:06:26,520 Speaker 2: Bucknell and Temple at home start the year, and there's 1411 01:06:26,520 --> 01:06:29,720 Speaker 2: an element of surprise about this offense. So Zach wasted there? 1412 01:06:29,800 --> 01:06:31,480 Speaker 2: Do they not show much? But they don't show much. 1413 01:06:31,480 --> 01:06:32,800 Speaker 2: They could lose either one of those teams. It's a 1414 01:06:32,800 --> 01:06:36,960 Speaker 2: Service Academy lose anybody. So yeah, and on defense, I 1415 01:06:37,040 --> 01:06:39,080 Speaker 2: am concerned about they lose two really good players in 1416 01:06:39,120 --> 01:06:42,920 Speaker 2: the interior, and their entire defense, which is a consistent 1417 01:06:43,120 --> 01:06:47,280 Speaker 2: under Newbery. There's not much change there this year is 1418 01:06:47,600 --> 01:06:50,400 Speaker 2: they need they fire gaps their stunts, and so they 1419 01:06:50,520 --> 01:06:53,240 Speaker 2: need those interior guys to take up and eat up 1420 01:06:53,320 --> 01:06:57,040 Speaker 2: blocks for their linebackers to shoot gaps. So I am 1421 01:06:57,280 --> 01:06:59,840 Speaker 2: a little bit concerned about the defensive line, but this 1422 01:07:00,160 --> 01:07:03,200 Speaker 2: really comes down to the execution on offense and the 1423 01:07:03,280 --> 01:07:05,480 Speaker 2: offensive line. It's just what I'm worried about. There's Look, 1424 01:07:05,480 --> 01:07:07,600 Speaker 2: there's five guys with five starts that come back. They're 1425 01:07:07,600 --> 01:07:10,040 Speaker 2: all upperclassmen. They've been working on it all summer, but 1426 01:07:10,080 --> 01:07:11,800 Speaker 2: there's just a lot of unknown and last year they 1427 01:07:11,840 --> 01:07:14,040 Speaker 2: allowed sixty sacks and ninety tackles. 1428 01:07:13,720 --> 01:07:14,160 Speaker 4: For the loss. 1429 01:07:14,600 --> 01:07:16,400 Speaker 2: Got to be better there. Guard's got to be great. 1430 01:07:16,720 --> 01:07:18,600 Speaker 2: I'm excited for this offense. We'll talk more about it. 1431 01:07:18,600 --> 01:07:20,439 Speaker 2: I could talk about it for days, so I'll shut 1432 01:07:20,520 --> 01:07:21,320 Speaker 2: up now. Pass for me. 1433 01:07:22,640 --> 01:07:24,960 Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm certainly excited to watch it and see what 1434 01:07:25,040 --> 01:07:27,200 Speaker 6: it looks like. I think my one kind of concern 1435 01:07:27,800 --> 01:07:30,640 Speaker 6: is just who's the quarterback. I know they have four 1436 01:07:30,680 --> 01:07:33,440 Speaker 6: options returning with experience, but none of them are really 1437 01:07:33,480 --> 01:07:35,480 Speaker 6: that good. One of them didn't even practice in the 1438 01:07:35,520 --> 01:07:38,280 Speaker 6: spring he was hurt. So you kind of have the 1439 01:07:38,400 --> 01:07:40,520 Speaker 6: question of how many reps are they getting on this 1440 01:07:40,640 --> 01:07:43,520 Speaker 6: new offense is a concern. I agree the defense probably 1441 01:07:43,560 --> 01:07:45,800 Speaker 6: be great again, but yeah, they needed to change something. 1442 01:07:45,840 --> 01:07:47,680 Speaker 6: I mean, the offense has been dreadful. I feel like 1443 01:07:47,720 --> 01:07:49,360 Speaker 6: it doesn't get talked about enough just because it is 1444 01:07:49,400 --> 01:07:51,840 Speaker 6: a service academy. But they were one hundred and twenty 1445 01:07:51,920 --> 01:07:54,800 Speaker 6: eighth in the country in success story last season. They 1446 01:07:54,840 --> 01:07:57,280 Speaker 6: were one hundred and sixteenth in rushing success. They've been 1447 01:07:57,320 --> 01:07:59,640 Speaker 6: outside the top one hundred in rushing success for the 1448 01:07:59,720 --> 01:08:00,920 Speaker 6: last like three years in a row. 1449 01:08:01,280 --> 01:08:03,640 Speaker 4: Six and six probably comes down to the Army game. 1450 01:08:03,840 --> 01:08:05,960 Speaker 6: So just watch him throughout the year, see what the 1451 01:08:06,000 --> 01:08:07,960 Speaker 6: offense looks like, and if you want to bet the over, 1452 01:08:08,280 --> 01:08:10,200 Speaker 6: pick a spot or two to do it, and you know, 1453 01:08:10,280 --> 01:08:12,360 Speaker 6: maybe just bet him against Army. Yeah. 1454 01:08:12,560 --> 01:08:14,360 Speaker 2: Another the other thing I'll mentioned it should be Horback 1455 01:08:14,360 --> 01:08:16,439 Speaker 2: should be the QB one from from less that I've 1456 01:08:16,479 --> 01:08:18,560 Speaker 2: read from last night. Woodson is more of like a 1457 01:08:18,640 --> 01:08:21,120 Speaker 2: shot chronic has run us in the past. You could run, 1458 01:08:21,160 --> 01:08:23,519 Speaker 2: you could run your sling tea as a as a 1459 01:08:23,880 --> 01:08:26,360 Speaker 2: from the shotgun, which he did the times at Mercer 1460 01:08:26,560 --> 01:08:29,200 Speaker 2: Woodson's more of like a shotgun wants to throw it more. 1461 01:08:29,560 --> 01:08:32,880 Speaker 2: But I assume as of right now Horbat is going 1462 01:08:32,960 --> 01:08:35,000 Speaker 2: to be QB one. Stay healthy, though. 1463 01:08:35,320 --> 01:08:36,800 Speaker 6: We gotta get a we got to get a doctor 1464 01:08:36,880 --> 01:08:40,400 Speaker 6: dre the chronic drop going if if he's got this tumbing. 1465 01:08:41,120 --> 01:08:44,679 Speaker 2: Yeah. Also, just like Army, keep this in mind because 1466 01:08:44,800 --> 01:08:47,080 Speaker 2: these teams won a shortened games. The Navy kicking game 1467 01:08:47,640 --> 01:08:50,640 Speaker 2: very very worried about, which could be a disaster. They 1468 01:08:50,680 --> 01:08:53,679 Speaker 2: had a really good kicker that has gone. Riley Reefman 1469 01:08:53,800 --> 01:08:56,000 Speaker 2: for Navy is one of the better punters in the country. 1470 01:08:57,320 --> 01:08:58,880 Speaker 2: So that's big for them. They could find a kicker 1471 01:08:58,880 --> 01:09:00,719 Speaker 2: because they have a real good punter. They want short games. 1472 01:09:01,600 --> 01:09:04,600 Speaker 2: He's literally my guy can't that serves got to mean 1473 01:09:04,640 --> 01:09:05,599 Speaker 2: a punter. I had to mention him. 1474 01:09:05,640 --> 01:09:10,519 Speaker 4: So we turned from a team that we're just brimming 1475 01:09:10,600 --> 01:09:12,599 Speaker 4: over with optimism all the way down to their punter 1476 01:09:12,680 --> 01:09:15,240 Speaker 4: to a team that we can't wait to just dump 1477 01:09:15,320 --> 01:09:18,400 Speaker 4: on UAB four and eight last year under their win total, 1478 01:09:18,479 --> 01:09:20,880 Speaker 4: they went three and five in the AAC. Their win 1479 01:09:20,960 --> 01:09:23,240 Speaker 4: total set at six and a half this year, thirty 1480 01:09:23,280 --> 01:09:25,120 Speaker 4: to one to win the AAC twhundred and fifty to 1481 01:09:25,280 --> 01:09:28,760 Speaker 4: one to make the college football playoff. Trent Hilfer came 1482 01:09:28,840 --> 01:09:32,799 Speaker 4: on in, talked a big game, talked about competing facing 1483 01:09:32,880 --> 01:09:35,960 Speaker 4: the Lion. If you watch his stupid press conferences, he 1484 01:09:36,080 --> 01:09:39,240 Speaker 4: says so many stupid cliche hackney crap. 1485 01:09:40,040 --> 01:09:42,360 Speaker 1: I married a smoke show and I have awesome kids, 1486 01:09:43,120 --> 01:09:45,559 Speaker 1: and she wasn't as hot, and my kids were annoying, 1487 01:09:46,160 --> 01:09:50,400 Speaker 1: and my food sucked. My wife knows, my kids know, like, 1488 01:09:51,600 --> 01:09:53,320 Speaker 1: this is not what we signed up for. That that 1489 01:09:53,520 --> 01:09:58,360 Speaker 1: is not a representation of anything I believe in anything 1490 01:09:58,439 --> 01:10:00,880 Speaker 1: that's been preached around here, and it's my job you 1491 01:10:00,920 --> 01:10:01,360 Speaker 1: get a fix. 1492 01:10:02,160 --> 01:10:03,880 Speaker 2: The other night, he said his offense, they asked him 1493 01:10:03,880 --> 01:10:07,360 Speaker 2: about his offensive line is going. He said, these guys 1494 01:10:07,400 --> 01:10:09,280 Speaker 2: need to start eating more nails for breakfast. 1495 01:10:09,960 --> 01:10:12,200 Speaker 1: I knew going in that there'd be a lot of challenges. 1496 01:10:12,200 --> 01:10:13,880 Speaker 1: I knew going in there'd be a lot of learns. 1497 01:10:14,760 --> 01:10:17,439 Speaker 1: I'd forgotten how painful it is get your brains beat in. 1498 01:10:18,120 --> 01:10:20,400 Speaker 4: I mean, listen. Delver says he wins wherever he goes. 1499 01:10:20,400 --> 01:10:23,519 Speaker 4: Apparently that didn't include Birmingham. Last year, they lost eight times. 1500 01:10:23,600 --> 01:10:26,360 Speaker 4: That included a win over Temple a three point win 1501 01:10:26,439 --> 01:10:28,720 Speaker 4: over FAU and a shootout, and a win over North 1502 01:10:28,760 --> 01:10:32,880 Speaker 4: Carolina A and C break out the band Trents, congratulations, 1503 01:10:33,479 --> 01:10:36,840 Speaker 4: your offense is all predicated on short completions. Jacob Zeno, 1504 01:10:36,960 --> 01:10:41,160 Speaker 4: aka the checkdown Merchant, completed seventy three point six percent 1505 01:10:41,200 --> 01:10:44,280 Speaker 4: of his attempts, the lowest a dot of any full 1506 01:10:44,360 --> 01:10:47,320 Speaker 4: time starter in the entire country. He made Drew Hour 1507 01:10:47,479 --> 01:10:50,200 Speaker 4: look like Kenny Stable or bombing the ball downfield. I 1508 01:10:50,439 --> 01:10:51,759 Speaker 4: hate this offense. 1509 01:10:51,840 --> 01:10:54,240 Speaker 1: Oh so a lot of lonely nights. You know, A 1510 01:10:54,360 --> 01:10:57,240 Speaker 1: losing style of football is honestly what we played. 1511 01:10:57,479 --> 01:11:00,400 Speaker 4: Because you know what happens. Everybody starts walking down into 1512 01:11:00,439 --> 01:11:02,559 Speaker 4: the box once they figure out what's going on. It's 1513 01:11:02,640 --> 01:11:04,840 Speaker 4: the reason why you can complete seventy four percent of 1514 01:11:04,880 --> 01:11:07,479 Speaker 4: your passes and still throw nine picks in one season. 1515 01:11:07,720 --> 01:11:10,240 Speaker 4: He also lost four fumbles. I'll say the one nice 1516 01:11:10,240 --> 01:11:12,360 Speaker 4: thing I'm gonna say about the Blazers the entire time. 1517 01:11:12,560 --> 01:11:15,200 Speaker 4: Amari Thomas, the wide receiver. That guy's a dog. He was, 1518 01:11:15,320 --> 01:11:16,960 Speaker 4: you know, in my opinion, should have been a freshman 1519 01:11:16,960 --> 01:11:20,120 Speaker 4: All American. He's back. He should be first team All AAC. 1520 01:11:20,720 --> 01:11:22,400 Speaker 4: Now on to the defense. This is where I'm going 1521 01:11:22,439 --> 01:11:24,719 Speaker 4: to get you know, direct to camera with Trent Tilford. 1522 01:11:24,960 --> 01:11:27,320 Speaker 4: He thinks he's such a goddamn genius that he didn't 1523 01:11:27,400 --> 01:11:31,120 Speaker 4: need to hire anybody with FBS or FCS or Division 1524 01:11:31,160 --> 01:11:34,960 Speaker 4: three or NAIA experience. Now he goes ahead and brings 1525 01:11:35,000 --> 01:11:38,959 Speaker 4: his buddy from Lipscumb his high school in Tennessee SIONI 1526 01:11:39,120 --> 01:11:42,160 Speaker 4: to FOA and here's the problem. They give up thirty 1527 01:11:42,200 --> 01:11:44,519 Speaker 4: seven points per game. So clearly, you know, he cleaned 1528 01:11:44,560 --> 01:11:46,639 Speaker 4: house and got himself a new defensive but no kept 1529 01:11:46,680 --> 01:11:48,920 Speaker 4: the same guy because he goes all the way back 1530 01:11:48,920 --> 01:11:51,080 Speaker 4: to his high school days in a lead eleven where 1531 01:11:51,200 --> 01:11:54,160 Speaker 4: you know they're trying to find champions of the mind 1532 01:11:54,240 --> 01:11:56,080 Speaker 4: and heart and all that crap that he was, you know, 1533 01:11:56,160 --> 01:11:57,160 Speaker 4: evangelizing about. 1534 01:11:57,479 --> 01:12:00,720 Speaker 1: Well Blazer Nation made it really clear there's no trust me. 1535 01:12:01,240 --> 01:12:05,400 Speaker 4: The problem defensively is that they couldn't stop basically anything. 1536 01:12:05,439 --> 01:12:07,680 Speaker 4: They couldn't get to the quarterback. They were awful on 1537 01:12:07,760 --> 01:12:09,519 Speaker 4: third downs one hundred and thirty first and third down 1538 01:12:09,600 --> 01:12:12,559 Speaker 4: defense one hundred and eleventh and red zone touchdown percentage 1539 01:12:12,600 --> 01:12:16,040 Speaker 4: allowed and one hundred and thirtieth in tackles for loss. Now, 1540 01:12:16,240 --> 01:12:18,800 Speaker 4: have they made some upgrades in the portal sure, but 1541 01:12:19,280 --> 01:12:21,320 Speaker 4: the same problem I have this year is the problem 1542 01:12:21,320 --> 01:12:23,240 Speaker 4: I had last year, which is the more time you 1543 01:12:23,280 --> 01:12:25,080 Speaker 4: spent with Trent dilferd, the less hard you want to 1544 01:12:25,120 --> 01:12:27,320 Speaker 4: play for Trent Dilford because he talks about you know, 1545 01:12:27,439 --> 01:12:28,960 Speaker 4: it's not about what you can get into the portal, 1546 01:12:29,000 --> 01:12:31,960 Speaker 4: It's about connections man to man. It's like, this is 1547 01:12:32,040 --> 01:12:35,040 Speaker 4: twenty twenty four. People are coming their mercenaries, particularly in 1548 01:12:35,120 --> 01:12:37,800 Speaker 4: the portal. They're coming for money, They're coming for playing opportunity. 1549 01:12:37,960 --> 01:12:40,000 Speaker 4: He is going to have some playing opportunity because all 1550 01:12:40,040 --> 01:12:42,559 Speaker 4: eleven spots on the defense should be up for drabs. 1551 01:12:43,040 --> 01:12:45,519 Speaker 4: Now let's talk schedule. Finally, we got six and a 1552 01:12:45,560 --> 01:12:47,880 Speaker 4: half for the win total. There's plenty of wins that 1553 01:12:47,920 --> 01:12:50,360 Speaker 4: I'm just going to chalk up as dubs alcorn State, 1554 01:12:50,520 --> 01:12:54,599 Speaker 4: sure at Louisiana, Monroe, Sure home against Yukon at Charlotte. 1555 01:12:54,640 --> 01:12:56,960 Speaker 4: Let's call those four wins. But there's also a bunch 1556 01:12:57,000 --> 01:12:59,760 Speaker 4: of losses. For sure in my opinion, at Arkansas to 1557 01:13:00,000 --> 01:13:03,439 Speaker 4: Ain't at home at South Florida, at Memphis. That means 1558 01:13:03,680 --> 01:13:06,320 Speaker 4: with four wins, he got these toss ups here, Navy 1559 01:13:06,400 --> 01:13:10,040 Speaker 4: at Army Tulsa and Rice. They can't stop the run, 1560 01:13:10,439 --> 01:13:12,880 Speaker 4: so like Army and Navy are absolutely on the table 1561 01:13:13,000 --> 01:13:13,760 Speaker 4: to beat this team. 1562 01:13:13,880 --> 01:13:16,320 Speaker 2: So I'm going under Charlotte. I I have Charlotte as 1563 01:13:16,320 --> 01:13:17,519 Speaker 2: a coin flip. I think that I think the win 1564 01:13:17,600 --> 01:13:18,280 Speaker 2: total could come down. 1565 01:13:18,360 --> 01:13:20,320 Speaker 4: Yeah, we will talk about Sharott. I'm just trying to 1566 01:13:20,400 --> 01:13:22,080 Speaker 4: be you know, is even handed because I hate the 1567 01:13:22,120 --> 01:13:23,840 Speaker 4: guy's guts and I think he should be fired and 1568 01:13:23,960 --> 01:13:25,280 Speaker 4: he should never have been a college coach in the 1569 01:13:25,320 --> 01:13:27,760 Speaker 4: first place. But trying to be even handed. Even if 1570 01:13:27,760 --> 01:13:30,120 Speaker 4: I give him those wins, I don't see them getting 1571 01:13:30,160 --> 01:13:33,040 Speaker 4: to seven. So my favorite play of the entire AAC 1572 01:13:33,240 --> 01:13:35,920 Speaker 4: is under six and a half wins for the Blazers, 1573 01:13:35,960 --> 01:13:37,360 Speaker 4: and I'm gonna lock it in. What do you think 1574 01:13:37,400 --> 01:13:40,720 Speaker 4: stuck about the Trent Dilfer experience two point zero here 1575 01:13:40,760 --> 01:13:41,760 Speaker 4: in the second season. 1576 01:13:42,439 --> 01:13:46,320 Speaker 1: Within learning comes reflecting pouring knowledge and wisdom into the 1577 01:13:46,400 --> 01:13:47,400 Speaker 1: cups of our leaders. 1578 01:13:48,000 --> 01:13:49,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't hate it. I project like five point six. 1579 01:13:50,120 --> 01:13:54,040 Speaker 2: The defense is I don't see it getting much better 1580 01:13:54,080 --> 01:13:58,240 Speaker 2: than McWilliams's losses are big. I'm worried about the secondary, 1581 01:13:58,280 --> 01:14:02,120 Speaker 2: in particular that both their stars and corners transferred. This 1582 01:14:02,200 --> 01:14:07,640 Speaker 2: team returning production wise top ten offense, bottom fifteen defense. 1583 01:14:08,600 --> 01:14:10,479 Speaker 2: The offensive line should be better. That's one of the 1584 01:14:10,520 --> 01:14:12,360 Speaker 2: things I do like. Like last year they had almost 1585 01:14:12,439 --> 01:14:16,320 Speaker 2: nothing returning experience wise, all five or back. Now you 1586 01:14:16,400 --> 01:14:19,040 Speaker 2: also had some transfers that could actually get run at tackle. 1587 01:14:19,640 --> 01:14:21,559 Speaker 2: But the defense is just really going to hold them back. 1588 01:14:22,680 --> 01:14:25,960 Speaker 2: I you know, they about forty plus in seven games 1589 01:14:26,040 --> 01:14:28,639 Speaker 2: last year. You know, seven and a half yards per catch. 1590 01:14:30,560 --> 01:14:30,720 Speaker 4: You know. 1591 01:14:31,360 --> 01:14:33,519 Speaker 2: Another good thing I can say about them is they're 1592 01:14:33,560 --> 01:14:35,519 Speaker 2: one of the only two teams with the same head coach, 1593 01:14:35,760 --> 01:14:39,320 Speaker 2: offense coordinator, defense coordinator, and quarterback. I think USF is 1594 01:14:39,360 --> 01:14:46,519 Speaker 2: the other. But yeah, this dink and dunk offense, it's 1595 01:14:46,560 --> 01:14:49,360 Speaker 2: not for me. I'm not a Dell for guy. I 1596 01:14:49,439 --> 01:14:51,960 Speaker 2: am a del for guy from Ravens days because he 1597 01:14:52,000 --> 01:14:54,040 Speaker 2: did win a Super Bowl for the Baltimore Ravens. But 1598 01:14:54,120 --> 01:14:56,639 Speaker 2: the schedule is easy, so like the ceiling, if everything 1599 01:14:56,680 --> 01:15:00,960 Speaker 2: goes right, is like eight because they get five of 1600 01:15:01,000 --> 01:15:02,720 Speaker 2: the worst six in legal though it does hurt that 1601 01:15:02,720 --> 01:15:06,080 Speaker 2: they don't get Temple plus alcorn Uel, Monroe and Yukon 1602 01:15:06,160 --> 01:15:09,479 Speaker 2: in the non con and by the way, they get Arkansas. 1603 01:15:09,720 --> 01:15:15,160 Speaker 2: Who knows Sam Pittman, he could lose any game, and well, 1604 01:15:15,360 --> 01:15:18,479 Speaker 2: while I'm throwing a dagger, Colonel, throw one at I know. 1605 01:15:18,680 --> 01:15:21,920 Speaker 2: If this season goes how I expect, maybe we see 1606 01:15:22,000 --> 01:15:24,080 Speaker 2: Drew Aller in Birmingham next year running that. 1607 01:15:25,360 --> 01:15:29,080 Speaker 6: Hey, that's what is with the ricochet shots from both 1608 01:15:29,120 --> 01:15:31,400 Speaker 6: of you. Hey, let's direct our anger at who it 1609 01:15:31,520 --> 01:15:33,960 Speaker 6: should be directed that leave me and Drew Aller out 1610 01:15:34,000 --> 01:15:36,519 Speaker 6: of this. We got a new offense anyway. But yeah, 1611 01:15:36,560 --> 01:15:38,600 Speaker 6: I'm with you, guys. I'm on the under obviously. This 1612 01:15:38,760 --> 01:15:42,760 Speaker 6: is a strictly hate trend deal for hate podcast. I mean, 1613 01:15:43,240 --> 01:15:45,000 Speaker 6: first of all, Jacob Zino, I feel like he's been 1614 01:15:45,040 --> 01:15:46,360 Speaker 6: in college for ten seasons. 1615 01:15:46,400 --> 01:15:46,960 Speaker 4: I looked it up. 1616 01:15:47,560 --> 01:15:51,719 Speaker 6: Jacob Zino played for Matt Ruhle at Baylor. His first 1617 01:15:51,840 --> 01:15:55,920 Speaker 6: college touchdown pass was against Jalen Hurts and Ceedee Lamb 1618 01:15:56,000 --> 01:15:59,880 Speaker 6: at Oklahoma. This dude has been in college forever. I 1619 01:16:00,080 --> 01:16:01,560 Speaker 6: was doing all my preps and I was reading like 1620 01:16:01,640 --> 01:16:03,760 Speaker 6: preview magazines and stopped the all the big ones, you know, 1621 01:16:04,320 --> 01:16:07,360 Speaker 6: one of them said Zeno was outstanding in his first year, Like, 1622 01:16:07,960 --> 01:16:10,040 Speaker 6: I mean he had twenty touchdowns and nine in receptions. 1623 01:16:10,080 --> 01:16:10,640 Speaker 4: Like, yeah, I get it. 1624 01:16:10,760 --> 01:16:13,200 Speaker 6: He had a good completion percentage. But because Calbary said, 1625 01:16:13,200 --> 01:16:15,719 Speaker 6: he's throwing screens all day. He was fifth in the conference, 1626 01:16:15,760 --> 01:16:18,920 Speaker 6: and yards eighth and touchdowns. I'm not sure he's outstanding. 1627 01:16:19,479 --> 01:16:21,599 Speaker 6: Losing Jermaine Brown at running back is a huge loss. 1628 01:16:21,600 --> 01:16:23,360 Speaker 6: He was such a big part of their offense. You 1629 01:16:23,439 --> 01:16:26,479 Speaker 6: mentioned the defense. It was a mess last year. They 1630 01:16:26,520 --> 01:16:28,759 Speaker 6: were one hundred and twenty seventh in the country, allowing 1631 01:16:28,840 --> 01:16:32,360 Speaker 6: thirty seven points per game, and their two starting cornerbacks 1632 01:16:32,479 --> 01:16:35,720 Speaker 6: both hit the portal after spring practice. So I think 1633 01:16:35,760 --> 01:16:39,320 Speaker 6: the defense is going to be a mess neck this year. Schedule, 1634 01:16:39,360 --> 01:16:41,479 Speaker 6: you guys said, you both said it. They have eight 1635 01:16:41,560 --> 01:16:44,240 Speaker 6: winnable games. You need him to win seven of them 1636 01:16:44,360 --> 01:16:46,920 Speaker 6: to go over this total. So I don't see it. 1637 01:16:47,080 --> 01:16:49,040 Speaker 6: I mean, we already talked about I'm high on Rice. 1638 01:16:49,320 --> 01:16:51,720 Speaker 6: I'm sure we'll talk about Charlotte obviously. I'm always high 1639 01:16:51,720 --> 01:16:53,200 Speaker 6: on Yukon. You're not just going to go into the 1640 01:16:53,240 --> 01:16:55,920 Speaker 6: rent and push Yukon around. So although that game actually 1641 01:16:56,360 --> 01:16:57,960 Speaker 6: that's heut, never mind, but you're not going to be 1642 01:16:58,040 --> 01:17:00,680 Speaker 6: Yukon anywhere. So I don't think they get seven of 1643 01:17:00,720 --> 01:17:02,760 Speaker 6: those eight. So I like the under here as well. 1644 01:17:05,280 --> 01:17:07,439 Speaker 4: All right, The Tulsa Golden Hurricane four to eight. Last 1645 01:17:07,520 --> 01:17:09,800 Speaker 4: year two and six in conference play, went till it's 1646 01:17:09,840 --> 01:17:12,000 Speaker 4: at four and a half oddsow in the American forty 1647 01:17:12,040 --> 01:17:15,120 Speaker 4: to one. This is when the books just get so stiny. 1648 01:17:15,200 --> 01:17:16,720 Speaker 4: Only three hundred to one to make the college for 1649 01:17:16,760 --> 01:17:19,160 Speaker 4: wole playoff, Come on, should be three thousand to one. 1650 01:17:19,560 --> 01:17:22,599 Speaker 4: Will be Cooper Lega or Kirk Francis at quarterback. Francis 1651 01:17:22,720 --> 01:17:25,600 Speaker 4: went from local high school walk On Legends, so he 1652 01:17:25,640 --> 01:17:27,960 Speaker 4: played pretty well last year, won them their regular season 1653 01:17:28,040 --> 01:17:31,360 Speaker 4: finale at ECU. Whoever wins, and you can say it's, 1654 01:17:31,439 --> 01:17:33,800 Speaker 4: you know, multiple quarterbacks in this room. Whoever wins, they're 1655 01:17:33,800 --> 01:17:36,120 Speaker 4: gonna have some help. They got Anthony Walkins at running back. 1656 01:17:36,120 --> 01:17:39,240 Speaker 4: They get Campden Benjamin wide receiver, safety Planket and Ethan 1657 01:17:39,280 --> 01:17:42,080 Speaker 4: Hall at tight ends. And you add in Braden Presley 1658 01:17:42,200 --> 01:17:45,400 Speaker 4: at five foot six, the speedster transferring in from the 1659 01:17:45,400 --> 01:17:47,840 Speaker 4: power for major upgrade for them in the offseason. Also 1660 01:17:48,000 --> 01:17:50,720 Speaker 4: one of the funnier offseason stories. He started playing better 1661 01:17:50,760 --> 01:17:53,600 Speaker 4: when he realized he couldn't see, so they got on 1662 01:17:53,680 --> 01:17:56,519 Speaker 4: some contact lenses and he's catching more passes. The line 1663 01:17:56,600 --> 01:17:58,760 Speaker 4: is being rebuilt, but they can gain experience early. They 1664 01:17:58,800 --> 01:18:00,720 Speaker 4: get Northwestern State in ARC and so I stayed early. 1665 01:18:00,840 --> 01:18:05,680 Speaker 4: So not defensive powerhouses coming out against them. The defense, absolutely, 1666 01:18:07,320 --> 01:18:09,479 Speaker 4: I'm gonna slander their defense. They're going to lose that game. 1667 01:18:09,520 --> 01:18:11,640 Speaker 4: I'm just saying they're not going to be living in 1668 01:18:11,680 --> 01:18:15,120 Speaker 4: Tulsa's backfield. Defense train recrests last season. The back end 1669 01:18:15,160 --> 01:18:17,360 Speaker 4: of the defense of the four two five is almost 1670 01:18:17,400 --> 01:18:22,880 Speaker 4: back fully intact. Home winners Northwestern State, maybe FAU, maybe 1671 01:18:22,960 --> 01:18:26,320 Speaker 4: ECU coin flip games, I'll say at LA Tech, at 1672 01:18:26,400 --> 01:18:30,200 Speaker 4: Temple Army, at home at UAB because of the Delfa experience. 1673 01:18:30,280 --> 01:18:34,120 Speaker 4: But it's hard to talk yourself into more than four wins. 1674 01:18:35,120 --> 01:18:37,040 Speaker 4: This is a team I was probably the least excited 1675 01:18:37,080 --> 01:18:39,800 Speaker 4: to talk about. This used to be, you know, back 1676 01:18:39,840 --> 01:18:43,120 Speaker 4: in the day when they poured the I Flying Briles 1677 01:18:43,320 --> 01:18:46,320 Speaker 4: Baylor offense up to Tulsa. This could be something you 1678 01:18:46,360 --> 01:18:48,240 Speaker 4: could rely on. Then they had those years with Zamon 1679 01:18:48,280 --> 01:18:51,800 Speaker 4: Collins where they had incredible defensive play. There's just nothing 1680 01:18:51,920 --> 01:18:54,640 Speaker 4: necessarily that's getting me all that excited. I think the quarterback, 1681 01:18:54,880 --> 01:18:58,040 Speaker 4: you know, race should be interesting, should be something to monitor. 1682 01:18:58,320 --> 01:19:00,559 Speaker 4: Maybe one of those guys pops a little and they 1683 01:19:00,640 --> 01:19:02,840 Speaker 4: become more middle class in the AAC but I think 1684 01:19:02,880 --> 01:19:05,320 Speaker 4: that's the absolute ceiling. I'll start with you here, Iell. 1685 01:19:05,439 --> 01:19:07,040 Speaker 4: You wanted to jump in and t off quarterbacks with 1686 01:19:07,080 --> 01:19:07,799 Speaker 4: the Golden Hurricane. 1687 01:19:08,680 --> 01:19:11,040 Speaker 6: Yeah, just you keep leaving out with key member of 1688 01:19:11,160 --> 01:19:13,320 Speaker 6: the quarterback battle. I want to give Cardio Williams some love. 1689 01:19:13,400 --> 01:19:15,519 Speaker 6: You know, him and Francis both started as fresh both 1690 01:19:15,520 --> 01:19:18,320 Speaker 6: played as freshmen. They combined for sixteen picks. I agree 1691 01:19:18,320 --> 01:19:20,720 Speaker 6: with you. I think Francis is more likely to win 1692 01:19:20,760 --> 01:19:22,720 Speaker 6: the job. He's a better passer. But Williams does at 1693 01:19:22,800 --> 01:19:26,080 Speaker 6: least give them a mobile option. He's dangerous with his legs. 1694 01:19:27,200 --> 01:19:30,360 Speaker 6: I tend to feel like bad teams actually tend to 1695 01:19:30,560 --> 01:19:32,280 Speaker 6: go with the guy who's more likely to make plays 1696 01:19:32,320 --> 01:19:34,200 Speaker 6: with his legs, just to give him an added element. 1697 01:19:34,280 --> 01:19:37,280 Speaker 6: But I think it'll be Francis to start. You mentioned Benjamin, 1698 01:19:37,320 --> 01:19:40,080 Speaker 6: a receiver who had really good chemistry with Francis, so 1699 01:19:40,680 --> 01:19:43,120 Speaker 6: I am excited to see about that. This is just 1700 01:19:43,160 --> 01:19:45,400 Speaker 6: a weird team that was all over the map last season. 1701 01:19:45,439 --> 01:19:47,320 Speaker 6: I mean, you look, they got they got their doors 1702 01:19:47,640 --> 01:19:50,679 Speaker 6: blown off by SMU, and then they almost beat too Lane, 1703 01:19:50,760 --> 01:19:53,160 Speaker 6: and then you know, when the defense was bad, it 1704 01:19:53,320 --> 01:19:55,360 Speaker 6: was horrific. But then there were games, it looked better, 1705 01:19:55,439 --> 01:19:58,000 Speaker 6: and so I think they're going to continue to improve 1706 01:19:58,120 --> 01:20:00,639 Speaker 6: under Wilson. But they still have a ton of questions. 1707 01:20:01,479 --> 01:20:03,559 Speaker 6: You know, they don't play Oklahoma and Washington again, they 1708 01:20:03,600 --> 01:20:07,400 Speaker 6: avoid Memphis in Tulane, but they do play Oklahoma State, UTSA, 1709 01:20:07,560 --> 01:20:09,519 Speaker 6: South Florida, and then just like a ton of coin 1710 01:20:09,560 --> 01:20:12,080 Speaker 6: flip games. So this is a hard one to me. 1711 01:20:12,200 --> 01:20:14,800 Speaker 6: I think it probably comes down to, you know, I 1712 01:20:14,840 --> 01:20:16,719 Speaker 6: think the wind Jar looks about right that they should 1713 01:20:16,720 --> 01:20:18,679 Speaker 6: have went about four or five of their coin flip games. 1714 01:20:18,760 --> 01:20:20,040 Speaker 4: So it's a pass for me. 1715 01:20:20,200 --> 01:20:24,200 Speaker 6: But I'm very intrigued by what they're doing and their team. 1716 01:20:24,280 --> 01:20:26,519 Speaker 6: I kind of want to have my eye on early 1717 01:20:26,640 --> 01:20:27,800 Speaker 6: just to see kind of what it looks like. 1718 01:20:28,800 --> 01:20:29,800 Speaker 4: What are your numbers telling you. 1719 01:20:29,840 --> 01:20:34,000 Speaker 2: Stuck, it's under or nothing here. Kevin Wilson day, he's 1720 01:20:34,040 --> 01:20:36,280 Speaker 2: just I think he's just a bad coach. He's first 1721 01:20:36,320 --> 01:20:40,040 Speaker 2: of all, he's a dinosaur. He's anti nil. So he 1722 01:20:40,080 --> 01:20:42,160 Speaker 2: said he had the number one transfer portal class in 1723 01:20:42,200 --> 01:20:47,360 Speaker 2: the country because he's it was players per nil dollars 1724 01:20:47,360 --> 01:20:51,760 Speaker 2: spend and they spent zero. Like you go back to Indiana. 1725 01:20:52,120 --> 01:20:55,200 Speaker 2: He got fired because there was player abuse allegations he 1726 01:20:55,320 --> 01:20:57,760 Speaker 2: basically just like he was at Oklahoma as the offensive corner. 1727 01:20:57,760 --> 01:20:59,080 Speaker 2: Can probably go all the way back to he was 1728 01:20:59,080 --> 01:21:01,880 Speaker 2: a high school coach and hometown. He went zero to 1729 01:21:02,040 --> 01:21:05,439 Speaker 2: ten and then he took a this guy's never won 1730 01:21:05,479 --> 01:21:06,160 Speaker 2: as a head coach. 1731 01:21:06,400 --> 01:21:07,040 Speaker 4: He lucked out. 1732 01:21:07,080 --> 01:21:09,400 Speaker 2: He had Sam Bradford as a Heisman winner, then got 1733 01:21:09,439 --> 01:21:12,759 Speaker 2: a job at Indiana, and then he had CJ. Stroud, 1734 01:21:12,880 --> 01:21:16,040 Speaker 2: and then got the head coaching job at as a 1735 01:21:16,080 --> 01:21:21,200 Speaker 2: coordinator again, and got the head coaching job at Tulsa. Yeah. Look, yeah, 1736 01:21:21,720 --> 01:21:24,720 Speaker 2: the off season narrative has been Presley got contacts. Their 1737 01:21:24,720 --> 01:21:27,600 Speaker 2: wide receivers are super small, which is very concerning. The 1738 01:21:27,720 --> 01:21:32,160 Speaker 2: offensive line is a major question the quarterback. Also, the 1739 01:21:32,280 --> 01:21:35,679 Speaker 2: defense lost everybody eight of their nine top tacklers, although 1740 01:21:35,680 --> 01:21:37,040 Speaker 2: I don't know if you can call them tacklers the 1741 01:21:37,080 --> 01:21:39,080 Speaker 2: way that they tackled last year, so maybe that's a 1742 01:21:39,120 --> 01:21:42,640 Speaker 2: good thing. But yeah, they avoid Memphis in Tulane and 1743 01:21:42,760 --> 01:21:46,920 Speaker 2: Brendan Presley got contacts, So there's it's a manageable non 1744 01:21:47,000 --> 01:21:49,200 Speaker 2: cons You got seven or eight winnable games. But I'm 1745 01:21:49,240 --> 01:21:52,160 Speaker 2: not a believer in Kevin Wilson the Dinosaur. I project 1746 01:21:52,200 --> 01:21:53,599 Speaker 2: four point two lean under. 1747 01:21:55,160 --> 01:21:56,599 Speaker 4: All right, let's turn to a scene that I'm sure 1748 01:21:56,640 --> 01:22:00,600 Speaker 4: you guys are gonna have some more maybe potentially optimistic 1749 01:22:00,640 --> 01:22:02,519 Speaker 4: takes on the Charlotte forty nine ers three and nine 1750 01:22:02,600 --> 01:22:04,800 Speaker 4: last year, two and six in the AAC. Their win 1751 01:22:04,880 --> 01:22:06,920 Speaker 4: total very manageable, three and a half fifty to one 1752 01:22:06,960 --> 01:22:08,559 Speaker 4: to win the conference, three hundred to one to make 1753 01:22:08,600 --> 01:22:11,719 Speaker 4: the playoff. Biff's trying it all, man, and our job. 1754 01:22:11,600 --> 01:22:15,200 Speaker 5: As I told the players yesterday, my job, my number 1755 01:22:15,240 --> 01:22:16,920 Speaker 5: one job is to love them. 1756 01:22:17,200 --> 01:22:17,360 Speaker 1: Yeah. 1757 01:22:17,479 --> 01:22:20,360 Speaker 4: Nineteen players leave in the portal brings twenty in through 1758 01:22:20,400 --> 01:22:22,960 Speaker 4: the portal. Max Brown is in from the Florida Gators, 1759 01:22:23,000 --> 01:22:26,200 Speaker 4: trying to revive at times a toothless offense from last year. 1760 01:22:26,520 --> 01:22:28,880 Speaker 4: Biff likes to run as quarterbacks. We know this Brown 1761 01:22:28,920 --> 01:22:31,680 Speaker 4: had twenty three hundred rushing yards and two seasons as 1762 01:22:31,720 --> 01:22:33,680 Speaker 4: a high school starter, so he's got the legs to 1763 01:22:33,720 --> 01:22:36,320 Speaker 4: be able to do that. Cartavius Nordon comes in. He's 1764 01:22:36,320 --> 01:22:39,320 Speaker 4: got powerful, experienced Iowa State could be a quality back. 1765 01:22:39,560 --> 01:22:41,519 Speaker 4: He certainly had a lot of the coaches buzzing in 1766 01:22:41,560 --> 01:22:45,160 Speaker 4: the spring. He Biff personally raved about this kid. Despite 1767 01:22:45,200 --> 01:22:48,720 Speaker 4: returning experience. They hammered the portal four receivers. They got 1768 01:22:48,760 --> 01:22:51,960 Speaker 4: some from South Carolina, Middle Tennessee the JUCO ranks, so 1769 01:22:52,200 --> 01:22:54,320 Speaker 4: all in, all of the skill positions in the quarterback room, 1770 01:22:54,360 --> 01:22:56,320 Speaker 4: the should be an upgrade over last year. For the 1771 01:22:56,400 --> 01:22:59,200 Speaker 4: forty nine ers. Offensive line has really good size, but 1772 01:22:59,280 --> 01:23:01,519 Speaker 4: they're light on experience. We'll see if they can gel. 1773 01:23:01,840 --> 01:23:04,439 Speaker 4: The defense had moments of quality last year, but they 1774 01:23:04,520 --> 01:23:07,760 Speaker 4: did lose eight starters. Cornerback at Dante Balfour and Prince 1775 01:23:07,880 --> 01:23:11,840 Speaker 4: Bema could challenge for all AAC honors. Who can they beat? 1776 01:23:11,920 --> 01:23:13,800 Speaker 4: Let's just get right down to brass tacks Gardner, web 1777 01:23:13,960 --> 01:23:17,599 Speaker 4: ecu uab all come to Jerry Richardson Stadium, Roady's at Rice, 1778 01:23:17,880 --> 01:23:21,639 Speaker 4: Navy FAU. That's six games right there that they potentially 1779 01:23:21,680 --> 01:23:24,400 Speaker 4: could win. Could they go four and two in that stretch? 1780 01:23:24,520 --> 01:23:26,640 Speaker 4: I'll go to you first, stuck. What do you think my. 1781 01:23:26,720 --> 01:23:30,759 Speaker 2: Llame's Biff Pogie. I expect those to be a national power. 1782 01:23:31,160 --> 01:23:33,479 Speaker 2: I wish that they would move on from their offensive coordinator. 1783 01:23:33,520 --> 01:23:37,080 Speaker 2: I'm not I'm not a fan, especially after watching last year. 1784 01:23:37,640 --> 01:23:39,400 Speaker 2: I liked that they went added size and the portal 1785 01:23:39,439 --> 01:23:41,400 Speaker 2: wide receiver because you got mac back in the slot 1786 01:23:41,479 --> 01:23:43,200 Speaker 2: and then you needed size so that's something that they 1787 01:23:43,240 --> 01:23:45,080 Speaker 2: did at dress. Offensive line is still a question. 1788 01:23:45,880 --> 01:23:49,200 Speaker 5: I am a glass ten as full guy. I like 1789 01:23:49,320 --> 01:23:50,160 Speaker 5: it running over. 1790 01:23:50,920 --> 01:23:53,320 Speaker 2: They only threw for over two hundred yards twice last year, 1791 01:23:53,880 --> 01:23:56,120 Speaker 2: twenty four percent on third downs, like they need. They 1792 01:23:56,240 --> 01:23:57,920 Speaker 2: need to be able to throw the ball some more. 1793 01:23:58,479 --> 01:24:00,600 Speaker 2: And you know, if you're looking for upside, they do 1794 01:24:00,720 --> 01:24:04,040 Speaker 2: lead the AAC in power for scholarship players former power 1795 01:24:04,080 --> 01:24:07,080 Speaker 2: for scholarship players, So you know, diff has brought in 1796 01:24:07,200 --> 01:24:10,280 Speaker 2: some talent. I expect the offense to try to throw 1797 01:24:10,320 --> 01:24:13,840 Speaker 2: a deep more this year. Max Brown is definitely an upgrade. 1798 01:24:13,840 --> 01:24:15,679 Speaker 2: I mean less of they used five quarterbacks. It can't 1799 01:24:15,680 --> 01:24:18,759 Speaker 2: get much worse than it was last year. The defense 1800 01:24:19,280 --> 01:24:20,840 Speaker 2: loses a time, which does where I mean they had 1801 01:24:20,880 --> 01:24:23,280 Speaker 2: two really good linebackers. They lost the power four teams 1802 01:24:24,280 --> 01:24:28,400 Speaker 2: in Knight and hill Green. That worries me. Defensive backfield 1803 01:24:28,479 --> 01:24:31,280 Speaker 2: worries me. And it's a tough schedule for Charlotte. You 1804 01:24:31,320 --> 01:24:33,679 Speaker 2: don't get to face Temple or Kevin Wilson and Tulsa, 1805 01:24:34,800 --> 01:24:37,720 Speaker 2: and you have a tough non con James Madison at 1806 01:24:37,840 --> 01:24:40,479 Speaker 2: UNC at Indiana, and then you face two lane Memphis 1807 01:24:40,560 --> 01:24:43,200 Speaker 2: in USF SO I project three point eighty five, which 1808 01:24:43,240 --> 01:24:46,600 Speaker 2: is kind of close to market, but ultimately it's a 1809 01:24:46,680 --> 01:24:49,040 Speaker 2: pass for me. Clean up the penalties. It's got to 1810 01:24:49,040 --> 01:24:52,120 Speaker 2: clean up the penalties. There were some discipline problems which 1811 01:24:52,439 --> 01:24:54,200 Speaker 2: I expect better. Vif come on, get it together. 1812 01:24:55,120 --> 01:24:58,439 Speaker 5: Our goal is very simple. Win the AAC. Win it 1813 01:24:58,520 --> 01:25:03,040 Speaker 5: repeatedly yet to the college football playoff, and that's what 1814 01:25:03,160 --> 01:25:07,760 Speaker 5: I'm expecting to do here. And my timetable is now. 1815 01:25:08,360 --> 01:25:11,000 Speaker 6: Yeah, Biff Spacey doing the opposite of Wilson, where he's 1816 01:25:11,040 --> 01:25:13,160 Speaker 6: just throwing nil bags. You know, he's he comes from 1817 01:25:13,439 --> 01:25:16,559 Speaker 6: finance background. I think he's like a millionaire independently of coaching, 1818 01:25:16,640 --> 01:25:19,120 Speaker 6: so he's just he's just throwing money at people. 1819 01:25:19,240 --> 01:25:19,680 Speaker 4: You mentioned it. 1820 01:25:19,760 --> 01:25:22,080 Speaker 6: Max Brown, I think is a big, big upgrade over 1821 01:25:22,800 --> 01:25:26,040 Speaker 6: Ivy and Jones and all these other guys. Really solid 1822 01:25:26,120 --> 01:25:27,880 Speaker 6: dual threat option gives them. He's you know, he's a 1823 01:25:27,920 --> 01:25:30,280 Speaker 6: better passor and a better runner. So they really upgraded 1824 01:25:30,280 --> 01:25:33,000 Speaker 6: there with him. You mentioned the wide receiver transfers. They 1825 01:25:33,040 --> 01:25:36,559 Speaker 6: also added tackles from Texas, A and m Florida and Clemson. 1826 01:25:36,640 --> 01:25:39,599 Speaker 6: They bring in a guard from Tennessee, a running back 1827 01:25:39,640 --> 01:25:42,479 Speaker 6: from Iowa State and Michigan on defense they had they had, 1828 01:25:42,720 --> 01:25:44,840 Speaker 6: you know, they definitely had losses. But they bring back 1829 01:25:44,880 --> 01:25:48,839 Speaker 6: Bema and Balfour. They had corners from Boston College, Cincinnati 1830 01:25:48,880 --> 01:25:51,519 Speaker 6: and Virginia Tech. Safeties from Iowa State and Louisville. So 1831 01:25:51,600 --> 01:25:53,800 Speaker 6: they brought I mean, defensive lineman from South Carolina, Miami. 1832 01:25:53,920 --> 01:25:56,920 Speaker 6: So they brought in a ton of talent. And you 1833 01:25:57,080 --> 01:25:59,519 Speaker 6: have to think, you know, the new bodies, rebuilding the 1834 01:25:59,560 --> 01:26:02,720 Speaker 6: offensive defense and defensive lines should be better than they 1835 01:26:02,800 --> 01:26:06,240 Speaker 6: were last year. So the defense honestly wasn't terrible last year. 1836 01:26:06,280 --> 01:26:09,080 Speaker 6: The defense played well in games. So you look, they 1837 01:26:09,120 --> 01:26:11,920 Speaker 6: won three games last year, and I think they did 1838 01:26:11,960 --> 01:26:14,719 Speaker 6: a lot to upgrade this this roster. I'm pretty bullish 1839 01:26:14,760 --> 01:26:17,000 Speaker 6: on Brown. I like the pieces they brought in on 1840 01:26:17,080 --> 01:26:20,000 Speaker 6: the O line and D line, and yeah, not getting 1841 01:26:20,120 --> 01:26:23,760 Speaker 6: Temple sucks, but do they get Gardner, Webb, e c 1842 01:26:23,920 --> 01:26:26,120 Speaker 6: U and ue B at home. You mentioned the trips 1843 01:26:26,160 --> 01:26:29,519 Speaker 6: to Rice, Navy, FAU, who you know, I'm I'm down 1844 01:26:29,560 --> 01:26:32,320 Speaker 6: on FAU and Navy, and obviously we're down in UA B. 1845 01:26:32,560 --> 01:26:36,040 Speaker 6: So you mentioned they have six or seven winnable games, 1846 01:26:36,080 --> 01:26:37,960 Speaker 6: and I just think it's this talent clicks. 1847 01:26:38,240 --> 01:26:40,960 Speaker 4: So I actually lean over with with Charlotte. 1848 01:26:41,439 --> 01:26:43,439 Speaker 6: I kind of just believe what Biff's doing, and I 1849 01:26:43,520 --> 01:26:45,880 Speaker 6: think I think the talent's gonna gonna help. I think 1850 01:26:45,880 --> 01:26:47,839 Speaker 6: they have more talent than all those teams we just mentioned. 1851 01:26:47,920 --> 01:26:50,960 Speaker 6: So I'll take a shot with the upside here if. 1852 01:26:50,880 --> 01:26:52,800 Speaker 2: I know, If I Know closes this podcast with a 1853 01:26:52,960 --> 01:26:55,320 Speaker 2: Charlotte and Temple over, I have to talking about the 1854 01:26:55,600 --> 01:26:57,360 Speaker 2: top heaviness of the conference. I'm leaving. 1855 01:26:59,320 --> 01:27:01,840 Speaker 4: We won't leave the audience in suspense. We'll get right 1856 01:27:01,880 --> 01:27:04,040 Speaker 4: to the Temple Aus three and nine last year, one 1857 01:27:04,120 --> 01:27:06,360 Speaker 4: and seven in conference. And when totals set it two 1858 01:27:06,400 --> 01:27:08,600 Speaker 4: and a half, the American one hundred and eighty to 1859 01:27:08,680 --> 01:27:11,240 Speaker 4: one to win it, three hundred to one, Come on, Vegas, 1860 01:27:11,680 --> 01:27:13,400 Speaker 4: make that a million to one to make the college 1861 01:27:13,400 --> 01:27:15,640 Speaker 4: football playoff. I'm gonna put this out here because we 1862 01:27:15,680 --> 01:27:18,320 Speaker 4: cover every single G five team we cover the Independence 1863 01:27:18,320 --> 01:27:20,680 Speaker 4: outside of Notre Dame. This could be the one that 1864 01:27:20,760 --> 01:27:23,519 Speaker 4: loses every game on their schedule. They're winnables this year. 1865 01:27:23,800 --> 01:27:26,880 Speaker 4: You TOAs State, FAU North Texas all at home. The 1866 01:27:27,040 --> 01:27:29,559 Speaker 4: last two are in mid to late November, so has 1867 01:27:29,640 --> 01:27:31,880 Speaker 4: the team quit at that point? This could be the 1868 01:27:31,920 --> 01:27:34,320 Speaker 4: worst defense in America and they lose their quarterback one 1869 01:27:34,360 --> 01:27:36,800 Speaker 4: hundred and thirtieth in returning Production Warner. As I mentioned 1870 01:27:36,840 --> 01:27:40,519 Speaker 4: off to Rice Victor Staffel, they're left tackle arguably their 1871 01:27:40,560 --> 01:27:43,680 Speaker 4: best player. Off to cal three headed quarterback battle. I'll 1872 01:27:43,720 --> 01:27:46,160 Speaker 4: say the one nice thing their receiving room is pretty decent. 1873 01:27:46,240 --> 01:27:48,920 Speaker 4: Dante Wright Zabines aren't bad. Aren't a bad duo to 1874 01:27:49,000 --> 01:27:51,840 Speaker 4: throw too. There are so many Jucos though on this 1875 01:27:51,960 --> 01:27:54,360 Speaker 4: defensive two D but you can't really feel good about that. 1876 01:27:54,960 --> 01:27:57,800 Speaker 4: And they're going to face three vastly different offenses early 1877 01:27:57,880 --> 01:27:59,360 Speaker 4: in the season that I think is really going to 1878 01:27:59,600 --> 01:28:02,280 Speaker 4: just rip out their will to play football. Oklahoma's run 1879 01:28:02,400 --> 01:28:04,400 Speaker 4: raid under Seth Latrell is going to spread them out 1880 01:28:04,400 --> 01:28:07,920 Speaker 4: and run against light boxes. Navies totally going to flip 1881 01:28:07,960 --> 01:28:10,800 Speaker 4: in terms of their formations. They're discipline what they're doing 1882 01:28:10,960 --> 01:28:12,960 Speaker 4: with the wing tea, and then they get coastal in 1883 01:28:13,000 --> 01:28:15,040 Speaker 4: week three with their quick game and their RPO stuff. 1884 01:28:15,720 --> 01:28:17,880 Speaker 4: Bottom line is this program needs new juice to get 1885 01:28:17,920 --> 01:28:20,000 Speaker 4: back on track. Their defense is going to be too 1886 01:28:20,120 --> 01:28:22,519 Speaker 4: bad to overcome. I think if you can find a market, 1887 01:28:22,600 --> 01:28:24,080 Speaker 4: I haven't seen one yet, if you can find a 1888 01:28:24,160 --> 01:28:26,240 Speaker 4: market for a team to go winless. I think it's 1889 01:28:26,280 --> 01:28:28,840 Speaker 4: the Temple owls this year, so I'm down on them. 1890 01:28:29,040 --> 01:28:30,920 Speaker 4: One of my best bets here in the AC under 1891 01:28:30,920 --> 01:28:33,360 Speaker 4: two and a half wins. This defense, I think is 1892 01:28:33,439 --> 01:28:37,040 Speaker 4: going to prevent them from really winning more than one 1893 01:28:37,120 --> 01:28:40,200 Speaker 4: game the entire season. Stuck. What do you think about 1894 01:28:40,400 --> 01:28:42,679 Speaker 4: Temple rough times there in North Philly? 1895 01:28:43,680 --> 01:28:49,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, before paints the Rosie picture on the Also, who 1896 01:28:49,560 --> 01:28:52,200 Speaker 2: will you fucking owl? By the way, this program might 1897 01:28:52,240 --> 01:28:54,280 Speaker 2: not be here. They're preducing President Hinton that they might 1898 01:28:54,360 --> 01:28:57,000 Speaker 2: get rid of this program soon. He was talking about 1899 01:28:57,000 --> 01:28:58,960 Speaker 2: how like Dreux doesn't worry about a football program. So 1900 01:29:00,080 --> 01:29:03,840 Speaker 2: great for Temple, which was once proud program not too 1901 01:29:03,880 --> 01:29:06,479 Speaker 2: long under matt rule. But yeah, this seems a mess. 1902 01:29:07,000 --> 01:29:09,000 Speaker 2: They added forty two players the roster, like you mentioned 1903 01:29:09,000 --> 01:29:12,519 Speaker 2: a lot of it as two co's, and they're at 1904 01:29:12,560 --> 01:29:15,000 Speaker 2: the bottom of the barrel returning production on both sides 1905 01:29:15,000 --> 01:29:19,280 Speaker 2: of the ball. Quarterback battle between the you know Brock 1906 01:29:19,400 --> 01:29:21,040 Speaker 2: last year was that. I think he's the leader right 1907 01:29:21,080 --> 01:29:23,000 Speaker 2: now in the clubhouse. So the Nevin Simon who's transferred 1908 01:29:23,040 --> 01:29:23,559 Speaker 2: Hi from Rutgers. 1909 01:29:23,600 --> 01:29:24,160 Speaker 4: It's terrible. 1910 01:29:24,520 --> 01:29:26,400 Speaker 2: The offensive line in the spring game, they gave up 1911 01:29:26,439 --> 01:29:30,200 Speaker 2: what I think thirteen sacks. It was a disaster. The 1912 01:29:30,320 --> 01:29:32,680 Speaker 2: defense is installing a four to three. Last year they 1913 01:29:32,680 --> 01:29:35,320 Speaker 2: said they didn't have enough time to install a new defense, 1914 01:29:35,439 --> 01:29:38,080 Speaker 2: so maybe they'll be better against the run. That's the 1915 01:29:38,160 --> 01:29:41,240 Speaker 2: goal here. Last year they beat they won three games. 1916 01:29:41,280 --> 01:29:45,679 Speaker 2: They beat Akron, Norfolk and Navy. The reason I can't 1917 01:29:45,720 --> 01:29:49,080 Speaker 2: go under here I project what will I project? I 1918 01:29:49,160 --> 01:29:51,599 Speaker 2: project two point four. The reason I can't go under 1919 01:29:51,720 --> 01:29:54,960 Speaker 2: they played Tulsa at home. Anybody can beat Tulsa. I 1920 01:29:55,080 --> 01:29:57,519 Speaker 2: just told you that. And then they play Army and Navy, 1921 01:29:58,160 --> 01:30:00,160 Speaker 2: so like Army and Navy can lose to anybody. They 1922 01:30:00,240 --> 01:30:01,920 Speaker 2: beat Navy last year. I think they beat them by 1923 01:30:01,920 --> 01:30:06,080 Speaker 2: like two touchdowns, so you know, and then you still 1924 01:30:06,120 --> 01:30:09,240 Speaker 2: have on your you know, you have like North Texas. 1925 01:30:09,600 --> 01:30:12,680 Speaker 2: We'll see how they're going to be. You have your 1926 01:30:13,080 --> 01:30:18,759 Speaker 2: road game at Yukon. So there's other well, Utah State 1927 01:30:19,280 --> 01:30:22,160 Speaker 2: at home. It's not totally lost, So I don't know. 1928 01:30:22,200 --> 01:30:23,960 Speaker 2: There's a couple winnable games that I had a bet 1929 01:30:24,120 --> 01:30:28,360 Speaker 2: out debt under, but having two service academies on your 1930 01:30:28,800 --> 01:30:31,479 Speaker 2: schedule really throws a wrench into it to go under 1931 01:30:31,520 --> 01:30:34,320 Speaker 2: the superlow. So I'm hoping they beat Tulsa from my 1932 01:30:34,439 --> 01:30:39,000 Speaker 2: Tulsa under at home week seven. Let's get it done, Drayton, 1933 01:30:40,080 --> 01:30:42,880 Speaker 2: but this seems a mess. Just yeah, don't put your 1934 01:30:42,880 --> 01:30:46,240 Speaker 2: money on them many times. Don't bet them plus forty 1935 01:30:46,320 --> 01:30:49,200 Speaker 2: two and week one against Wait till they give up 1936 01:30:49,200 --> 01:30:50,800 Speaker 2: a touchdown the first play, then just bet them live 1937 01:30:50,800 --> 01:30:52,120 Speaker 2: at a better number if you like Temple. 1938 01:30:53,600 --> 01:30:54,639 Speaker 4: Yeah, what a shock. 1939 01:30:54,760 --> 01:30:57,360 Speaker 6: Stuckey Switzerland over here with another pass. Have you given 1940 01:30:57,360 --> 01:30:59,080 Speaker 6: out a bet on this whole show? Yeah, And I'm 1941 01:30:59,120 --> 01:31:05,519 Speaker 6: most Kolsa under, ECU over and USF under and now. 1942 01:31:05,760 --> 01:31:07,840 Speaker 4: I'm gonna put you two in an Oklahoma drill before 1943 01:31:07,920 --> 01:31:08,840 Speaker 4: this episode is over. 1944 01:31:08,880 --> 01:31:11,000 Speaker 6: I'm giving on more unders here than Stucky. Yeah, obviously 1945 01:31:11,040 --> 01:31:14,080 Speaker 6: it's Temple's gonna be horrific. They you mentioned the three 1946 01:31:14,160 --> 01:31:16,479 Speaker 6: quarterback battle. I believe it's only two now because Clifton 1947 01:31:16,560 --> 01:31:19,640 Speaker 6: McDowell transferred in from Montana, said no thank you and 1948 01:31:19,720 --> 01:31:21,479 Speaker 6: turned around and got right back in the portal at 1949 01:31:21,479 --> 01:31:23,679 Speaker 6: the end of spring. So now it's down to Forrest 1950 01:31:23,720 --> 01:31:28,320 Speaker 6: Brock and Evans Simone Simon from Rutgers. So yeah, they're 1951 01:31:28,400 --> 01:31:30,840 Speaker 6: they're going to be terrible that they return their running 1952 01:31:30,880 --> 01:31:34,520 Speaker 6: backs and receivers who all stank, the defense was atrocious. 1953 01:31:35,360 --> 01:31:37,400 Speaker 6: They don't get an FCS team, So yeah, I'm not 1954 01:31:37,479 --> 01:31:39,920 Speaker 6: sure where these wins are coming. You know, you can 1955 01:31:40,400 --> 01:31:43,800 Speaker 6: point winnable game games, but by winnable, I think that 1956 01:31:43,920 --> 01:31:48,080 Speaker 6: kind of just means they'll be less than double digit dogs. 1957 01:31:48,240 --> 01:31:51,040 Speaker 6: But I find it hard to believe that they're gonna 1958 01:31:51,040 --> 01:31:54,000 Speaker 6: win three games. I'd be hard pressed to find three 1959 01:31:54,080 --> 01:31:56,240 Speaker 6: winnable games, so to expect them to get all three 1960 01:31:56,320 --> 01:31:59,680 Speaker 6: of them is in a crazy ass. So I'm with 1961 01:32:00,120 --> 01:32:02,400 Speaker 6: with Calbreys where I certainly like it under two and 1962 01:32:02,439 --> 01:32:04,920 Speaker 6: a half. And I I mean if they I mean 1963 01:32:04,960 --> 01:32:07,280 Speaker 6: they crushed Navy last year, so maybe they get that one. 1964 01:32:07,400 --> 01:32:09,960 Speaker 6: But I find it hard to believe they win a 1965 01:32:10,120 --> 01:32:11,679 Speaker 6: game and certainly not three. 1966 01:32:12,600 --> 01:32:13,960 Speaker 4: All Right, we're going to close this out with the 1967 01:32:14,040 --> 01:32:17,080 Speaker 4: lightning rounds. Who is in your AAC title game? Who 1968 01:32:17,080 --> 01:32:19,840 Speaker 4: do you have winning it? I'm allowed because this is 1969 01:32:20,160 --> 01:32:22,679 Speaker 4: we're recording this on August second. To hedge a tiny 1970 01:32:22,760 --> 01:32:26,280 Speaker 4: bit here, if Demetrius Davis wins the quarterback job in 1971 01:32:26,320 --> 01:32:29,479 Speaker 4: San Antonio and as QB one for UTSA, I have 1972 01:32:29,600 --> 01:32:32,439 Speaker 4: them losing to Memphis in the title game if it 1973 01:32:32,560 --> 01:32:35,160 Speaker 4: is not him, if it is you know Eddie Lee 1974 01:32:35,680 --> 01:32:39,080 Speaker 4: starting quarterback or McCown. I'm going to go with South 1975 01:32:39,120 --> 01:32:42,040 Speaker 4: Florida making it to play against Memphis, and in that case, 1976 01:32:42,040 --> 01:32:44,360 Speaker 4: I still have Memphis winning it. Those are my title 1977 01:32:44,400 --> 01:32:47,280 Speaker 4: game matchups. How about you? I know, yeah, I'm with you. 1978 01:32:47,479 --> 01:32:49,679 Speaker 4: I'm going to go Memphis over South Florida. 1979 01:32:50,600 --> 01:32:54,160 Speaker 2: Let's go Memphis spiced up a little bit, Memphis over ECU. 1980 01:32:55,040 --> 01:32:57,639 Speaker 4: Oh wow? All right? So yeah, that is certainly spicy. 1981 01:32:57,720 --> 01:32:58,080 Speaker 5: I like that. 1982 01:32:58,280 --> 01:33:01,600 Speaker 4: Shout out to the Pirates no quarter for their opponents 1983 01:33:01,680 --> 01:33:05,760 Speaker 4: this season. And a special reminder, BBOC has its own 1984 01:33:05,800 --> 01:33:07,559 Speaker 4: YouTube channel now where you're gonna be able to get 1985 01:33:07,600 --> 01:33:10,040 Speaker 4: these episodes thirty six to forty eight hours before. So 1986 01:33:10,080 --> 01:33:12,240 Speaker 4: if you're listening via podcast right now and you're thinking 1987 01:33:12,280 --> 01:33:13,920 Speaker 4: to yourself, man, I wish I had heard this a 1988 01:33:14,000 --> 01:33:17,559 Speaker 4: day or two ago, go ahead and subscribe BBOC. Type 1989 01:33:17,600 --> 01:33:20,560 Speaker 4: it in BBOC Sports Betting. It'll take your right to it. 1990 01:33:20,880 --> 01:33:23,120 Speaker 4: Make sure to like subscribe, Tell friend, tell an enemy, 1991 01:33:23,240 --> 01:33:26,240 Speaker 4: you know how we do here on the podcast, you're 1992 01:33:26,240 --> 01:33:28,360 Speaker 4: stucking in Mike I Andelo on Mike Calbery's This has 1993 01:33:28,360 --> 01:33:30,760 Speaker 4: been the Big Bets on Campus podcast presented by Bett 1994 01:33:30,880 --> 01:33:33,560 Speaker 4: MGM and the Group of five Deep Dive preview of 1995 01:33:33,640 --> 01:33:36,360 Speaker 4: the AAC. Now in the books, we're one step close 1996 01:33:36,400 --> 01:33:39,080 Speaker 4: to two week zero and actual pads popping and bets 1997 01:33:39,120 --> 01:33:42,120 Speaker 4: being placed on college football looking forward to it. Lego 1998 01:33:49,520 --> 01:33:54,000 Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 1999 01:33:54,080 --> 01:33:56,840 Speaker 4: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 2000 01:33:56,880 --> 01:33:59,920 Speaker 4: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler