1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: A fifth illegal immigrant accused of attacking two New York 2 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:07,920 Speaker 1: City police officers over the weekend, showed no remorse or regrets. 3 00:00:08,039 --> 00:00:09,840 Speaker 2: Would you have done something differently? 4 00:00:10,000 --> 00:00:11,840 Speaker 3: There is not a thing that comes to mind. 5 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:14,120 Speaker 4: Totally eighteen percent, he said. 6 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:16,120 Speaker 5: The economy is in excellental good condition. 7 00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 6: US inflation has hit a new forty year high, increasing 8 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:22,400 Speaker 6: by nine point one percent over the financial years. 9 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:23,800 Speaker 7: That's already saying train day. 10 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 8: Aragua, which has been linked with more than one hundred 11 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:29,560 Speaker 8: criminal investigations here in the US, has now been found 12 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 8: operating its criminal enterprise in apartment complexes. 13 00:00:33,080 --> 00:00:34,360 Speaker 7: Are you the last person in the room? 14 00:00:34,600 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 3: Yes? 15 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 9: Do you believe it? 16 00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:40,920 Speaker 8: So? 17 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:44,160 Speaker 9: If you want to end this disaster, you must get 18 00:00:44,159 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 9: out and vote. We have to stop what's going on 19 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:48,960 Speaker 9: in We're not going to have a country anywhere. This 20 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:53,640 Speaker 9: will be Venezuela on steroids. We're pleased to be joined. 21 00:00:54,440 --> 00:00:59,560 Speaker 8: You're listening and watching in Kinston, North Carolina, Southeast Raleigh. 22 00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 8: President Trump's North Carolina rally North Caroline with the critical 23 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:05,759 Speaker 8: states for Tuesday were continued coverage and President Trump will 24 00:01:05,800 --> 00:01:07,680 Speaker 8: jump in with warm in a moment. 25 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:11,840 Speaker 9: Looky now than you were years ago prior to that 26 00:01:11,959 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 9: but I tell you are something. This man was. I 27 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:17,480 Speaker 9: went to visit him in the hospital and one thing 28 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 9: I found out his wife loves him. She was so devastated. 29 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:25,240 Speaker 9: I've been to areas where the wives didn't care that much, 30 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:30,679 Speaker 9: and this wife, he's got a great wife and she 31 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:33,920 Speaker 9: loves him. She was so devastated. She couldn't even think. 32 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 9: Steve Scully's stand up. Steve, Look, Greg Mason, he got 33 00:01:42,160 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 9: hit hard, Mike right, they got hit hard. He's a 34 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 9: great guy. 35 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 7: Thank you, Steve very much. 36 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 2: Hello to your wife and family. 37 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 9: Members of Congress, Greg Murphy and Dan Bishop, Thank you, fellas, 38 00:01:54,800 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 9: Thank you very much, Thank you very much. Real Champions. 39 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:03,840 Speaker 8: The day to go back, they're gonna do the uh, 40 00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:05,800 Speaker 8: They're gonna do the honor roll there of who's there. 41 00:02:05,920 --> 00:02:07,840 Speaker 8: President's going to talk about more things. We're gonna jump 42 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:10,760 Speaker 8: back in. I want to bring in and want to 43 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 8: thank Real America's Voice Parker and Rob Sigg for allowing 44 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:20,280 Speaker 8: us and giving us additional time here on a Sunday. 45 00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:23,639 Speaker 8: We're back obviously tomorrow morning ten to noon and then 46 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:26,640 Speaker 8: five to seven, and then we go on Tuesday show 47 00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 8: from the war and then shift the flag over to 48 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:33,840 Speaker 8: for our on our spectacular Washington coverage from the Imperial Capital, 49 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:38,240 Speaker 8: the heart of the Imperial Capital on Tuesday, Boil, you're 50 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:40,640 Speaker 8: gonna be in You're gonna be down in mar A Lago, 51 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:43,799 Speaker 8: sitting on the beach drinking my ties right on Tuesday. 52 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:45,880 Speaker 7: I'm gonna be at home. 53 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:48,600 Speaker 4: I'm in North Florida, and I'm gonna be manning my 54 00:02:48,639 --> 00:02:52,080 Speaker 4: own little war room here, going through going through numbers and. 55 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:55,440 Speaker 8: Not okay, fine, fine, okay, you answer the question. You're 56 00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:57,440 Speaker 8: gonna be working as you always do your best when 57 00:02:57,680 --> 00:03:01,280 Speaker 8: that command center You've got, Matt, you did what I 58 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 8: call the Mad Boyle Special. It was an amazing piece 59 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:08,400 Speaker 8: went up early this afternoon at Breitbart, and it's pure 60 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:11,920 Speaker 8: analytics of exactly where we stand through the eyes of 61 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:15,840 Speaker 8: a very smart guy who's the national political editor at Breitbart, 62 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 8: that would be you. Can you walk us through and 63 00:03:18,240 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 8: if Denver could put the article up, and if Grayson 64 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:23,040 Speaker 8: Moe can get it not only on the site, but 65 00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:24,800 Speaker 8: I want to push this out on social media, can 66 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 8: you walk us through it? Because I think it's the 67 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:30,640 Speaker 8: best way to end the weekend thinking about where we 68 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 8: are with the math, not with a bunch of guesswork. 69 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:36,000 Speaker 2: But really with the math, the floor is yours. 70 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 7: Yeah. 71 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:39,080 Speaker 4: So see what I did was I went through all 72 00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 4: the polls, all the early vote data. And you know, 73 00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:45,160 Speaker 4: this is what I'm doing constantly in an election, is 74 00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:46,760 Speaker 4: I'm trying to make sense of it. I'm going I'm 75 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:50,120 Speaker 4: listening to and reading all the top analysts, guys like 76 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 4: Nate Silver, Sean Trende, Nate Kohne, right like. And what 77 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 4: I'm trying to do is make sense or heads and 78 00:03:57,280 --> 00:03:59,480 Speaker 4: tails of what's going to happen. I don't want happy 79 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:02,480 Speaker 4: talk from either side. And the picture that I think 80 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:07,520 Speaker 4: emerges here is that all the fundamentals are there for 81 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:13,440 Speaker 4: a Donald Trump victory on Tuesday. The baseline stuff is 82 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:16,320 Speaker 4: there for the polls to be off. Now, by the way, 83 00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 4: if the polls are exactly right generally speaking, Trump might 84 00:04:20,440 --> 00:04:23,360 Speaker 4: win a squeaker victory right like what we're seeing across 85 00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:26,800 Speaker 4: the battleground states. But if the polling error, and if 86 00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:29,120 Speaker 4: there is a polling error, and if it's as profound 87 00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:32,239 Speaker 4: as we saw in both twenty sixteen and twenty twenty, 88 00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:34,919 Speaker 4: the only other two times we've seen Donald Trump on 89 00:04:34,960 --> 00:04:38,360 Speaker 4: the ballot, then that would suggest that Donald Trump's headed 90 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 4: for a landslide victory across the country, and there's a 91 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 4: lot of people that are really smart that are suggesting 92 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 4: that that might be the case. Again, guys like Sean 93 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 4: Trendey from Real Club Politics. Again not the most conservative 94 00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:55,520 Speaker 4: guy in the world. He's just an analyst, straight up 95 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:59,040 Speaker 4: trying to call it right, like people like jamc Analytics, 96 00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:02,680 Speaker 4: people like like I said Nate Cone at the New 97 00:05:02,760 --> 00:05:06,680 Speaker 4: York Times in the when releasing their final polls this weekend, 98 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 4: which were kind of a mixed bag. 99 00:05:08,520 --> 00:05:08,680 Speaker 7: Right. 100 00:05:08,720 --> 00:05:11,240 Speaker 4: They have Trump up in Arizona, they have Kamala up 101 00:05:11,279 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 4: in Nevada and North Carolina and Georgia and Wisconsin, and 102 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:19,040 Speaker 4: tie ballgame in Michigan and Pennsylvania. It just kind of 103 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 4: doesn't make much sense when you look at the big picture. 104 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 4: But then when you read Nate Cohnes article in the 105 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,240 Speaker 4: New York Times revealing their stuff, and this is a 106 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:29,440 Speaker 4: data guy, he knows his stuff. He says that there 107 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:36,560 Speaker 4: was a sixteen point response bias here where liberals were 108 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:39,479 Speaker 4: more likely to answer the polls than conservatives. So that 109 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:42,600 Speaker 4: suggests there might be a polling error here. When you 110 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:45,240 Speaker 4: read people like Nate Silver, same thing you see a 111 00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 4: similar picture. And then when you look at things like 112 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 4: you know that have come out. You know, the biggest 113 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:53,279 Speaker 4: thing that probably came out over the last twenty four 114 00:05:53,320 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 4: hours here is the Des Moines Register poll. And frankly, 115 00:05:57,080 --> 00:06:00,840 Speaker 4: an Seltzer is revered by the establishment media, right like, 116 00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:03,719 Speaker 4: so they they look at her as though she is 117 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:07,600 Speaker 4: the oracle of what will happen. That the best poster 118 00:06:07,720 --> 00:06:09,880 Speaker 4: in the country. You'll hear people say, they'll say it's 119 00:06:09,920 --> 00:06:12,680 Speaker 4: the gold standard, et cetera. And they put out this 120 00:06:12,720 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 4: to morn Register poll as Kamala up three in Iowa, 121 00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:18,480 Speaker 4: and that's a shocker, right like to a lot of people. 122 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:21,040 Speaker 4: But then you on the same side, you've got another 123 00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:24,960 Speaker 4: poll that came out from Emerson College that shows Donald 124 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:27,760 Speaker 4: Trump up double digits and doing better than his numbers 125 00:06:27,760 --> 00:06:31,719 Speaker 4: in twenty twenties. So both things really can't be true 126 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:35,280 Speaker 4: unless you're at the extreme ends of both margin of error, 127 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:38,800 Speaker 4: and that you know, there's a little crossover there at 128 00:06:38,800 --> 00:06:41,440 Speaker 4: the extreme ends of both polls if that ends up 129 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:45,000 Speaker 4: being the case, But the question really becomes, you know, 130 00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:47,440 Speaker 4: this gets down to the picture of what we've been 131 00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:51,000 Speaker 4: talking about here, which is that the early vote numbers 132 00:06:51,080 --> 00:06:54,719 Speaker 4: suggest across the board that this is all going to 133 00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:58,919 Speaker 4: be a game day operation on Tuesday, and Donald Trump 134 00:06:58,960 --> 00:07:01,120 Speaker 4: is in a position to win. And if his supporters 135 00:07:01,160 --> 00:07:04,360 Speaker 4: come out on Mass, if men vote on Mass, if 136 00:07:04,400 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 4: white working class voters vote on Moss, and if Latinos 137 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:10,960 Speaker 4: and black voters break a little bit more for Trump 138 00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 4: than we've seen in the past, as everything is suggesting, 139 00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:18,320 Speaker 4: then you know things are looking good for him. Right Like, so, 140 00:07:19,880 --> 00:07:24,120 Speaker 4: we see leeds by Republicans in early voting in Nevada 141 00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:28,440 Speaker 4: and North Carolina and Arizona. In Georgia, we don't have 142 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:31,880 Speaker 4: partisan breakdown, but the numbers across the board in Georgia 143 00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:37,840 Speaker 4: look strong. In Pennsylvania, we are seeing significant, significant drop 144 00:07:37,880 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 4: off and turnout in the blackest precincts in the areas 145 00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:46,120 Speaker 4: like Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. We're seeing a similar drop in 146 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:50,720 Speaker 4: black turnout in North Carolina, Georgia and other places around 147 00:07:50,760 --> 00:07:53,320 Speaker 4: the country. There are a lot of smart data guys 148 00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:58,360 Speaker 4: like Patrick Raffini from Echelon Insights who have been flagging 149 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:02,680 Speaker 4: this stuff. Jmclax, John Cuvian he has been flagging it 150 00:08:02,720 --> 00:08:05,680 Speaker 4: as well. So these are smart people that are going 151 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:07,520 Speaker 4: through the data and so what I tried to do 152 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:11,000 Speaker 4: here is pull together a picture of where we're at. 153 00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:13,720 Speaker 4: And by the way, there's tons and tons more if 154 00:08:13,760 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 4: you notice at the end of the article. And I 155 00:08:15,760 --> 00:08:18,160 Speaker 4: did this in a first person. I generally don't rate 156 00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 4: in the first person because I try I try to 157 00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 4: keep it to just the news, but I tried to, 158 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 4: you know, And I don't make a formal prediction on 159 00:08:25,400 --> 00:08:27,560 Speaker 4: what's going to happen in the election. I make that 160 00:08:27,640 --> 00:08:30,120 Speaker 4: clear up front, but I do kind of lay out 161 00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:33,200 Speaker 4: throughout the story that all the fundamentals are there for 162 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 4: a Trump victory and that people wouldn't be shocked if 163 00:08:35,800 --> 00:08:38,120 Speaker 4: and when it happens. And you know, the smart people 164 00:08:38,160 --> 00:08:41,480 Speaker 4: across the media have been saying this and warning their 165 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:44,079 Speaker 4: side about it for some time. But at the same time, 166 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 4: Trump voters shouldn't rest on their laurels here going into 167 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 4: Tuesday either. They need to turn out like their lives 168 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:55,440 Speaker 4: depend on it, because frankly they do. And the idea 169 00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 4: that this is in the bag, it's not Kamala Harris 170 00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:01,840 Speaker 4: can win this election. If Kamala Harris holds the blue wall, 171 00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 4: she wins. 172 00:09:05,400 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 8: Yeah, I want to go to that. Now, let's take 173 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:12,560 Speaker 8: the Southern States for Well, let me go back. You 174 00:09:12,600 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 8: said something that if you take the numbers as they are, 175 00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:19,520 Speaker 8: in reviewing the numbers that you know people have put 176 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 8: out that and not question whether there's been response by 177 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:27,960 Speaker 8: us or there's this traditional Trump underpolling, because I think 178 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:31,079 Speaker 8: you get into dangerous territory there, particularly given Hey, it 179 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:34,560 Speaker 8: happened in sixteen. You and I know that because we 180 00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:36,440 Speaker 8: were very confident we were going to win and we 181 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:38,280 Speaker 8: did win, or we were down I think three and 182 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:41,760 Speaker 8: a half the night before, the same thing with Biden. 183 00:09:43,320 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 2: Wonderful, But if you just. 184 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:51,000 Speaker 8: Keep the numbers there, you are why walk us through 185 00:09:51,200 --> 00:09:54,120 Speaker 8: why that is a squeaker victory and what is the 186 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 8: path of that victory if the numbers are exactly like 187 00:09:57,400 --> 00:09:58,040 Speaker 8: they say they are. 188 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:01,040 Speaker 4: So the place I would look for is the Atlas 189 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:04,640 Speaker 4: Intel polls. Atlas Intel is the most accurate poster in 190 00:10:04,679 --> 00:10:07,600 Speaker 4: the twenty twenty election, and they have Donald Trump currently 191 00:10:07,679 --> 00:10:11,920 Speaker 4: leading every single battle round state. But these are tight leads, 192 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:14,599 Speaker 4: right Like, So, I don't have the numbers exactly in 193 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:16,439 Speaker 4: front of me, but I mean we're talking less than 194 00:10:16,440 --> 00:10:23,280 Speaker 4: two or three points in North Carolina, at Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, 195 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:27,120 Speaker 4: Michigan and Pennsylvania. But Donald Trump leads all seven according 196 00:10:27,160 --> 00:10:29,760 Speaker 4: to the final polling from Alice Intel that came out 197 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 4: last night. So that poll would be you know, that 198 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:37,280 Speaker 4: would suggest that. In addition to that, we see an 199 00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 4: NBC News poll today, which is a national poll that 200 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:45,080 Speaker 4: has Donald Trump leading by one in a crowded field, 201 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:47,400 Speaker 4: right like, if you include all the third party candidates 202 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:51,559 Speaker 4: and tied straight up with Kamala Harris. But the thing 203 00:10:51,600 --> 00:10:53,599 Speaker 4: that I would call and if Donald Trump wins the 204 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 4: national popular vote by one percent, He's going to win 205 00:10:56,400 --> 00:10:59,840 Speaker 4: the electoral college. I mean, it's hard to see him 206 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:02,800 Speaker 4: winning the electoral college if that's the case, right like, So, 207 00:11:02,880 --> 00:11:05,520 Speaker 4: that is a big deal. And I think that a 208 00:11:05,640 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 4: national popular vote victory for Trump would go a very 209 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:13,440 Speaker 4: long way to solidifying his position if he were to 210 00:11:13,480 --> 00:11:17,360 Speaker 4: win the election on Tuesday. Now, on the flip side 211 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 4: of the coin, there are a lot of cautionary tales 212 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:22,079 Speaker 4: out there, right like, so you don't want to pick 213 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:25,160 Speaker 4: and choose and just believe the polls that you like, 214 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:29,120 Speaker 4: right like, So, there's also an ABC News poll today 215 00:11:29,160 --> 00:11:32,320 Speaker 4: that has Kamala Harris up three nationally. That's a dangerous 216 00:11:32,400 --> 00:11:36,400 Speaker 4: territory for Trump. And so again it depends on which 217 00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:41,560 Speaker 4: ones you believe, right, It depends on which polls you trust, 218 00:11:41,640 --> 00:11:46,040 Speaker 4: and which data you look at that you know to 219 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:46,800 Speaker 4: inform the picture. 220 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:47,200 Speaker 7: You've got. 221 00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:50,200 Speaker 4: The easiest path for Donald Trump to the two hundred 222 00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:53,800 Speaker 4: and seventy electoral votes is he holds together everything he 223 00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:58,480 Speaker 4: had in twenty twenty, including Maine second district in North Carolina. 224 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:00,800 Speaker 4: North Carolina is the only battle on state in there 225 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:02,800 Speaker 4: of the seven that we talk about that Trump won 226 00:12:02,880 --> 00:12:03,640 Speaker 4: in twenty twenty. 227 00:12:04,160 --> 00:12:07,000 Speaker 7: He flips back Georgia and he flips Pennsylvania. 228 00:12:07,000 --> 00:12:10,200 Speaker 4: If he does that, Donald Trump gets to exactly two 229 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:12,960 Speaker 4: hundred and seventy votes without anything else, right, like without 230 00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:16,840 Speaker 4: talking about Arizona or Nevada, or Wisconsin or Michigan. But 231 00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 4: there are other pathways for Trump. So in addition to 232 00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:24,040 Speaker 4: that pathway, if Trump holds everything hinges here on hindri 233 00:12:24,280 --> 00:12:27,560 Speaker 4: holding North Carolina, and so that's really important. In the 234 00:12:27,559 --> 00:12:30,719 Speaker 4: early vote data in North Carolina is the most promising 235 00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:32,800 Speaker 4: of any of the states, I would say, but because 236 00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:34,960 Speaker 4: we get the most data, there's been more than four 237 00:12:34,960 --> 00:12:37,840 Speaker 4: point four million people that have voted in North Carolina 238 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 4: already and the Republicans finished early voting. Early voting ended yesterday. 239 00:12:42,720 --> 00:12:47,920 Speaker 4: Republicans finished early voting in second place behind unaffiliated voters. 240 00:12:48,120 --> 00:12:53,720 Speaker 4: An affiliated surged at the end, but the Democrats finished 241 00:12:53,760 --> 00:12:56,800 Speaker 4: in third place for the first time ever. We've never 242 00:12:56,840 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 4: seen that. And that's a drop in enthusiasm for the Democrats. 243 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:02,560 Speaker 4: And a big part of that seems to be a 244 00:13:02,640 --> 00:13:06,400 Speaker 4: drop off in black voters in a significant way, uh 245 00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:09,880 Speaker 4: in in big numbers. And we're talking to many people 246 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:12,679 Speaker 4: who have been studying these North Carolina numbers that that 247 00:13:12,760 --> 00:13:15,600 Speaker 4: go into detail with that stuff. So and there's been 248 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:17,200 Speaker 4: a lot of signs that that's the case. And I 249 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:19,959 Speaker 4: know you saw President Trump there in North Carolina. I 250 00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:21,760 Speaker 4: think he's trying to finish strong, and I think he 251 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:25,480 Speaker 4: enjoys doing rallies in North Carolina. But frankly, I think 252 00:13:25,480 --> 00:13:27,920 Speaker 4: North Carolina has been trending his way for quite some 253 00:13:28,040 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 4: time with the early vote numbers. 254 00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:33,400 Speaker 7: And you know. 255 00:13:33,360 --> 00:13:36,040 Speaker 4: That's the that's the most important piece here, right, He's 256 00:13:36,040 --> 00:13:38,880 Speaker 4: got to hold North Carolina. He holds North Carolina, and 257 00:13:38,880 --> 00:13:42,960 Speaker 4: then he flips Georgia back. Then if you know you're 258 00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:46,679 Speaker 4: you're you're talking about the not getting Pennsylvania. You need 259 00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 4: then need Arizona plus Wisconsin, or Arizona plus Michigan, or 260 00:13:53,080 --> 00:13:56,000 Speaker 4: you could do it with Nevada plus Michigan. Right, But 261 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:59,080 Speaker 4: there are plenty of different pathways that Donald Trump has 262 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:03,280 Speaker 4: to the two and seventy electoral votes. Arizona looks like 263 00:14:03,440 --> 00:14:05,440 Speaker 4: it is going to go for Trump, right Like, So 264 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:08,480 Speaker 4: based off of what we're seeing in the early vote data, 265 00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:11,280 Speaker 4: are the guys like Charlie Kirk and Turning Point Action 266 00:14:11,679 --> 00:14:13,880 Speaker 4: have done what they said they were going to do. 267 00:14:14,040 --> 00:14:17,280 Speaker 4: They went out and they turned out these low propensity voters. 268 00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:19,200 Speaker 4: That's what the data shows at this point. 269 00:14:20,280 --> 00:14:24,920 Speaker 8: And go ahead, Yeah, just hanging her for one second. 270 00:14:24,920 --> 00:14:26,240 Speaker 8: We're gonna pick a short commercial break. 271 00:14:26,280 --> 00:14:30,600 Speaker 2: Matt Bowles with us walking through various scenarios. 272 00:14:30,640 --> 00:14:33,880 Speaker 8: We're going to talk about she has been limited from 273 00:14:34,280 --> 00:14:35,440 Speaker 8: the mini pans. 274 00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:38,280 Speaker 2: Now basically through the blue wall, but we talk about 275 00:14:38,480 --> 00:14:41,240 Speaker 2: a little bit about North Carolina. Short commercial break. 276 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:46,920 Speaker 8: National political editor at Breitbart, Matt Boyle joins US major 277 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:49,400 Speaker 8: piece out today, we're pushing out as we're back in 278 00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:50,920 Speaker 8: the war room just a moment. 279 00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:03,000 Speaker 7: Don't know, here's your host, Stephen k Back. 280 00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:08,080 Speaker 8: Okay, Matt Boyle joins, US, I want to thank Real 281 00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:13,240 Speaker 8: America's voices. Is extra bonus coverage on mass mobilization weekend. 282 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:16,640 Speaker 8: Folks have been out canvassing all day throughout the country. 283 00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:18,120 Speaker 8: We're gonna check in with some of those folks. I 284 00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:22,400 Speaker 8: wanted Matt to come on, Matt, North Carolina. You know 285 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:25,840 Speaker 8: a lot of talk, and I've kind of been saying, hey, 286 00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:28,920 Speaker 8: if you look at these numbers, they didn't build a 287 00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:32,000 Speaker 8: firewall anywhere, particularly in Pennsylvania. But there are no firewalls, 288 00:15:32,360 --> 00:15:35,160 Speaker 8: and so if you look at North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, 289 00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:38,400 Speaker 8: it really she's got to be focused on holding the 290 00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 8: blue wall or she's done. And that's where she's spending 291 00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:44,280 Speaker 8: her time now. A lot of operatives, Democratic operators, and 292 00:15:44,320 --> 00:15:46,440 Speaker 8: they're going, oh, they just have to have an above 293 00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:50,360 Speaker 8: average game day turnout on Tuesday and they can win 294 00:15:50,440 --> 00:15:54,600 Speaker 8: North Carolina. It seems to me, and you're dialed into 295 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 8: a lot of the Democrats behind the scenes, it seems 296 00:15:58,080 --> 00:16:00,960 Speaker 8: to me that they no one and the Democrat Party 297 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:04,280 Speaker 8: wants to address the elephant in the room, and that 298 00:16:04,520 --> 00:16:09,640 Speaker 8: is they've they are in free fall with black men 299 00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:13,320 Speaker 8: as far as coming out to vote for them in Pennsylvania, 300 00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:17,000 Speaker 8: it's shocking in Philadelphia, it's shocking in North Carolina's shocking. 301 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 8: And guess what, Kamala Harris understands that that's why I 302 00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:24,880 Speaker 8: Matt on the day before election. She's going back to Philadelphia. 303 00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:26,840 Speaker 8: Where if you got to go back to some place 304 00:16:26,880 --> 00:16:29,720 Speaker 8: that should be your base, you got a big problem. 305 00:16:29,800 --> 00:16:33,200 Speaker 4: Your thoughts are, yeah, well, it's similar to Hillary, right, Like, 306 00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:35,160 Speaker 4: I remember Hillary at the very end of the twenty 307 00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:38,400 Speaker 4: sixteen campaign, and so the panics setting in. 308 00:16:38,480 --> 00:16:40,840 Speaker 7: You know who gets it is Barack Obama. That's why 309 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:41,680 Speaker 7: weeks ago. 310 00:16:41,520 --> 00:16:43,880 Speaker 4: He was out there lecturing black men, right like, telling 311 00:16:43,920 --> 00:16:45,440 Speaker 4: them they had to go out and vote for and 312 00:16:45,480 --> 00:16:47,920 Speaker 4: that they were racist and sexist if they did it right. 313 00:16:48,280 --> 00:16:51,760 Speaker 4: And so the but the fact is is that we're 314 00:16:51,800 --> 00:16:55,680 Speaker 4: seeing it's not just in Philadelphia, right the phenomenon you described. 315 00:16:56,400 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 4: The data bears it out that it's playing out in Milwaukee, 316 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:03,640 Speaker 4: it's playing out in Charlotte, is playing out and all 317 00:17:03,840 --> 00:17:06,760 Speaker 4: it's playing out in Atlanta, right like, And this may 318 00:17:06,840 --> 00:17:09,120 Speaker 4: be a big story. And frankly, one of the things 319 00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:12,520 Speaker 4: I cite in this story is again JMC Analytics, Jean Couvian. 320 00:17:12,600 --> 00:17:14,600 Speaker 4: He's one of the better data guys in the country. 321 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:18,800 Speaker 4: Tends to be a Republican poster. But but what he did, 322 00:17:18,920 --> 00:17:22,000 Speaker 4: he's based in New Orleans. He says it's happening there too. Now, 323 00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:24,959 Speaker 4: let me be frank here, Donald Trump is gonna win 324 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:27,560 Speaker 4: the state of Louisiana. That's not even close to in 325 00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:31,760 Speaker 4: question here. But what you can glean from other states 326 00:17:31,880 --> 00:17:35,040 Speaker 4: like Louisiana with their early vote numbers is some of 327 00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:37,159 Speaker 4: the national trends, right, Like, so when you see a 328 00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:41,240 Speaker 4: massive drop in black vote in Louisiana, that's a major 329 00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:44,160 Speaker 4: problem for the Democrats nationally because it's a trend that's 330 00:17:44,160 --> 00:17:47,520 Speaker 4: happening across the across the country, coast to ghast. Now, 331 00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:49,960 Speaker 4: I'm not spiking the football in the back of the 332 00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:52,400 Speaker 4: end zone yet, Okay, Like we're not doing the Lambeau 333 00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:55,719 Speaker 4: leap here, right, Like, it's it's time to like we 334 00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:58,919 Speaker 4: need to actually see this actually through and see it 335 00:17:58,960 --> 00:18:02,040 Speaker 4: play out. Believe me, I've seen this movie a million 336 00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:04,560 Speaker 4: times before, where everybody's saying the black Volte's not calling, 337 00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:06,359 Speaker 4: the black Folt's not coming, and then the black vote 338 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:09,439 Speaker 4: comes on election day, right, a perfect example reminds me 339 00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:11,920 Speaker 4: a lot of his Alabama Center race in twenty seventeen 340 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:15,719 Speaker 4: the special election there, right, like, that's what everybody thought. 341 00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:18,200 Speaker 4: But the difference between that and now is that then 342 00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:20,480 Speaker 4: we were basing this on polls, and yes, we've seen 343 00:18:20,520 --> 00:18:23,520 Speaker 4: polling data throughout the course of this year where everybody 344 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:25,399 Speaker 4: has been warning about this. In fact, one of the 345 00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:28,320 Speaker 4: things I cite in that big story is Harry Enton 346 00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:30,920 Speaker 4: from CNN, another one of these data guys who knows 347 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:34,760 Speaker 4: what he's talking about, who said that this stuff has 348 00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:36,960 Speaker 4: all the warning signs have been there all along if 349 00:18:37,000 --> 00:18:39,560 Speaker 4: Donald Trump ends up winning this thing. Now, he also 350 00:18:39,600 --> 00:18:41,639 Speaker 4: did a similar segment saying the warning signs would be 351 00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:44,639 Speaker 4: there all along if Kamala wins this thing. And again, 352 00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:46,560 Speaker 4: I'm not calling the election right now, and I'm not 353 00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:49,119 Speaker 4: making a prediction, but what I am saying is is 354 00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:53,640 Speaker 4: that the fundamentals are there for Trump if this demographic 355 00:18:53,720 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 4: shift seems to hold, and it looks like it is 356 00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:57,920 Speaker 4: based off of the early stuff that we're seeing now, 357 00:18:57,960 --> 00:18:59,960 Speaker 4: they still have until Tuesday night when the polls close, 358 00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:02,800 Speaker 4: to be able to deliver these votes. So you know, 359 00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:04,719 Speaker 4: we'll see if they can get it done. Maybe they can, 360 00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:07,639 Speaker 4: right like, you know, we'll see if the Harry Researchine 361 00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:09,240 Speaker 4: kicks into gear at Nevada. 362 00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:09,760 Speaker 7: I don't know. 363 00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:16,800 Speaker 8: Yeah, let's okay. They had banked in twenty twenty by 364 00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:20,439 Speaker 8: this date one point one million mail in votes. Okay, 365 00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:22,480 Speaker 8: Now they've got four in one thousand. They have a 366 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:27,400 Speaker 8: seven hundred thousand vote gap. Given your analysis of how 367 00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:30,800 Speaker 8: they've done on game day, they're running around now. The 368 00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:33,919 Speaker 8: social media is being flooded, as you know, sir, in 369 00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:38,719 Speaker 8: the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, about how amazing her ground game is, 370 00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:42,520 Speaker 8: how amazing her canvassers are, how Elon Musk got ripped off, 371 00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:45,040 Speaker 8: how people not really on top of it, the Trump 372 00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:48,080 Speaker 8: ground game operations, since they farmed it out to the 373 00:19:48,119 --> 00:19:50,359 Speaker 8: outside groups and to people like the war room posse 374 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:54,080 Speaker 8: peple like this. It's not controlled by the campaign. It's 375 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:56,879 Speaker 8: very dysfunctional. It's good in some places, not existent in 376 00:19:56,960 --> 00:20:00,119 Speaker 8: others where she's going to knock on a million doors today, 377 00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:00,840 Speaker 8: et cetera. 378 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:03,879 Speaker 2: Do you buy that? Do you buy that they they can. 379 00:20:03,800 --> 00:20:06,920 Speaker 8: Represent given that they haven't been they haven't been as 380 00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:11,399 Speaker 8: tough on election days as they are earlier, because they 381 00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:13,560 Speaker 8: now they kind of they're the first group to really 382 00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:16,760 Speaker 8: look at this as election month, Sir, well. 383 00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:20,080 Speaker 4: It's it's as if expecting a rookie quarterback is going 384 00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:22,080 Speaker 4: to come into the football game and put up Tom 385 00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 4: Brady performance, right, like in leader to the game winning 386 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:25,439 Speaker 4: drive or something like that. 387 00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:26,960 Speaker 7: I just watched my New England. 388 00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 4: Patriots, you know, almost get there, right, they got the 389 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:30,840 Speaker 4: tying touchdown. 390 00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:32,280 Speaker 7: They didn't, They didn't win the game. 391 00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:35,080 Speaker 4: But uh, you know, the kids got a lot to 392 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:37,280 Speaker 4: learn in the In the case of Kamala Harris, she 393 00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:40,680 Speaker 4: is not Barack Obama, okay, Like, it is abundantly clear 394 00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:44,679 Speaker 4: that that she does not have the influence in the 395 00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:47,399 Speaker 4: sway over their base, and they're there, their folks are 396 00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:50,960 Speaker 4: not as fired up as that. Now, again, never discount 397 00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:53,800 Speaker 4: the ability of Democrats to actually turn it around and 398 00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:55,080 Speaker 4: possibly pull it off, right. 399 00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:57,480 Speaker 7: So that's the word of caution here, But there is 400 00:20:57,520 --> 00:20:58,040 Speaker 7: a lot. 401 00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:00,920 Speaker 4: Of a lot to be optimistic about it into Tuesday. 402 00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:02,080 Speaker 7: So I do think. 403 00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:07,560 Speaker 4: That it is unlikely that the Democrats all of a sudden, 404 00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:10,479 Speaker 4: for the first time ever developed the best ever election 405 00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:13,960 Speaker 4: day turnout operation that we've never seen before out of them, 406 00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:17,600 Speaker 4: at least in the modern era. And I do think 407 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:20,080 Speaker 4: that on the Republican side, we are going to see 408 00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:22,480 Speaker 4: very strong numbers. I think it's safe to say that 409 00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:27,120 Speaker 4: Donald Trump is going to perform at or possibly even 410 00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:32,000 Speaker 4: above his twenty twenty performance in many respects, and that 411 00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:33,840 Speaker 4: I think that Kamala Harris is going to have a 412 00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:36,639 Speaker 4: real trouble putting up Joe Biden numbers, right like. 413 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:38,440 Speaker 7: And so we'll see. 414 00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:42,280 Speaker 4: But as for all of these different groups, it's a new, 415 00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:44,960 Speaker 4: novel way of doing things, so it's hard to judge 416 00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:47,679 Speaker 4: at this point. I tend to, you know, cast a 417 00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:51,320 Speaker 4: lot of doubt on these establishment media reports, ripping Elon 418 00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:53,560 Speaker 4: Musk's groups and Charlie Kirk's group. 419 00:21:53,359 --> 00:21:54,240 Speaker 7: And all the other ones. 420 00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:57,000 Speaker 4: You know, we'll see, we'll see how it goes, right like. 421 00:21:57,040 --> 00:21:59,199 Speaker 4: We'll know on Tuesday night if it worked or not, 422 00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:02,440 Speaker 4: right like, and so, but all indications are and I'm 423 00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:03,960 Speaker 4: talking to a lot of people with all of these 424 00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:07,840 Speaker 4: different groups on the right, and everything I'm hearing back 425 00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:10,800 Speaker 4: is that they what they have done has worked, right like, 426 00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:12,440 Speaker 4: So we'll see. 427 00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:16,520 Speaker 8: What are you going to look for in the next 428 00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:19,040 Speaker 8: twenty four hours? What are the things that Matt Boyle's 429 00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:22,920 Speaker 8: looking for tonight and tomorrow up to the eve of 430 00:22:24,080 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 8: game day? 431 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:28,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, So John Rawlston in Nevada from the Nevada Independent 432 00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:31,160 Speaker 4: is supposed to make a prediction this evening or tomorrow 433 00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:33,560 Speaker 4: about what he thinks is going to happen in Nevada. 434 00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:37,840 Speaker 4: If he predicts that Donald Trump will win Nevada based 435 00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,479 Speaker 4: off the numbers, because what we've seen is the in 436 00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:44,240 Speaker 4: person vote ended in Nevada and Kamala Harris or the 437 00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:46,800 Speaker 4: Democrats kind of caught up a little bit. It's not 438 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:50,040 Speaker 4: technically by the candidates, by the party, but the Democrats 439 00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:51,600 Speaker 4: kind of caught up a little bit in the first 440 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:54,360 Speaker 4: little bit batch of mail afterwards. With the Republican lead 441 00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:57,959 Speaker 4: there in Nevada is very strong. So if his prediction starts, 442 00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:01,240 Speaker 4: you know, comes down with Trump prediction or a Trump 443 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:04,119 Speaker 4: likely prediction or something like that, that I think would 444 00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:06,880 Speaker 4: be a bad sign for Kamala Harris. Now, Nevada doesn't 445 00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:11,600 Speaker 4: really fit into too many tight paths to two seventy, 446 00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:14,520 Speaker 4: but it is the furthest left of the battleground states, 447 00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:17,720 Speaker 4: at least traditionally, it's the one battleground state that Trump 448 00:23:17,800 --> 00:23:20,119 Speaker 4: has never won, right Like, Trump did not win Nevada 449 00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:24,480 Speaker 4: in twenty sixteen or twenty twenty, and he has won 450 00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:27,040 Speaker 4: each of these other states at least once, right, and 451 00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:28,840 Speaker 4: he's been on the ballot twice as is his third 452 00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:31,800 Speaker 4: time on the ballot as a presidential candidate. So I 453 00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:35,640 Speaker 4: will be very much watching Nevada for that reason. I'm 454 00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:40,800 Speaker 4: also keeping close eyes on Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin obviously, any 455 00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:43,240 Speaker 4: sign that we can get out of those places about 456 00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:45,280 Speaker 4: where things are going to go. But the early vill 457 00:23:45,320 --> 00:23:47,600 Speaker 4: it's over in North Carolina and we have a pretty 458 00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:50,719 Speaker 4: clear picture there. Things are looking dire for the Democrats 459 00:23:50,760 --> 00:23:55,800 Speaker 4: there in Georgia, it's looking pretty bad for them. Arizona's 460 00:23:55,800 --> 00:23:57,880 Speaker 4: looking pretty bad for them. So we'll see if Nevada 461 00:23:57,920 --> 00:24:00,600 Speaker 4: can join the rest of the sun Belts. Dates and 462 00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:03,760 Speaker 4: kind of moving out of reach for Kamala Harris. 463 00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:08,040 Speaker 8: And then finish did they finished the They finished the vote. 464 00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:10,880 Speaker 8: But don't they have a big drop? Loy'll come tomorrow morning? 465 00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:12,639 Speaker 8: Aren't they holding back? And takes a while to go 466 00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:14,760 Speaker 8: through it. I thought I understood that there'd be a 467 00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:17,240 Speaker 8: drop either late tonight or early tomorrow morning. You're saying 468 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:19,480 Speaker 8: that the drop is already done and we now know 469 00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:21,360 Speaker 8: those numbers that we're up forty eight. 470 00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:24,840 Speaker 4: Yeah, and the other states are done right, like so 471 00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:28,639 Speaker 4: North Carolina is done, but the Nomada is they still 472 00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:30,919 Speaker 4: have little bits of mail. But the problem is is 473 00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:33,840 Speaker 4: that the Democrats aren't catching up in these enough in 474 00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:38,000 Speaker 4: these mail things in terms of cutting into the Republican lead. 475 00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:42,120 Speaker 4: So the question is is what's that Republican lead look 476 00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:45,160 Speaker 4: like going into election day? If it's north of thirty thousand, 477 00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:47,320 Speaker 4: right now, it's north of forty thousand, it's like forty two. 478 00:24:47,840 --> 00:24:51,240 Speaker 4: But if it's north of thirty thousand going into election day, 479 00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:53,800 Speaker 4: it's real bad for the Democrats. Kamala Harris all out 480 00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:57,200 Speaker 4: probably have to win Independence by double digits or close 481 00:24:57,280 --> 00:24:59,840 Speaker 4: to it in that scenario, and that seems on the 482 00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:03,399 Speaker 4: likely right, Like, so I can't see Independence breaking double 483 00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:07,000 Speaker 4: digits either way for either candidate. And it's similar situation 484 00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:09,639 Speaker 4: in North Carolina. Bat Line, Yeah, she would need to 485 00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:11,240 Speaker 4: win North Carolina. 486 00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:13,879 Speaker 2: Yeah, real quickly. 487 00:25:14,000 --> 00:25:17,119 Speaker 8: Wisconsin, because I think what's on the blue wall, Wisconsin 488 00:25:17,200 --> 00:25:21,240 Speaker 8: may be the one that comes our way over Pennsylvania. 489 00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:24,080 Speaker 8: Your thoughts on Wisconsin, Yeah, the. 490 00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:26,120 Speaker 7: Data in Wisconsin show that. 491 00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:30,040 Speaker 4: It's a lot easier to make up the difference from 492 00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:34,160 Speaker 4: the twenty twenty margin with low propensity voters. The guys 493 00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:37,800 Speaker 4: a Turning Point zoned in on this very early this year, 494 00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:40,680 Speaker 4: and then I know they have their ballot chasing operation 495 00:25:40,760 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 4: in full time staffers on the ground in Wisconsin. It's 496 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:45,960 Speaker 4: tough to tell with Wisconsin because you don't have the 497 00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:50,440 Speaker 4: partisan data coming out with regard to the early vote numbers. 498 00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:54,199 Speaker 4: But what we are seeing are anecdotal data from you know, 499 00:25:54,320 --> 00:25:57,040 Speaker 4: rural areas that are Trump heavy that looks strong. 500 00:25:57,680 --> 00:25:59,160 Speaker 7: In the cities are looking low. 501 00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:01,440 Speaker 4: In fact, that that trend that we were talking about 502 00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:05,480 Speaker 4: with the black vote Milwaukee City, it seems very low 503 00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:07,680 Speaker 4: in terms of the turnout in the early votes. So 504 00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:10,680 Speaker 4: a lot of good signs out of Wisconsin for Trump. 505 00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:16,840 Speaker 2: Boil social media, Breitbart where they go, Yeah. 506 00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:20,680 Speaker 4: Just Enboil one on Twitter or x and true social 507 00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:21,920 Speaker 4: at real map Oil. 508 00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:24,760 Speaker 7: And just go to Breitbart dot com. Our teen's going 509 00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:26,160 Speaker 7: to be working around the clock called the Way. 510 00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:30,080 Speaker 2: It's a big analytical piece. Get a cup of a 511 00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:31,440 Speaker 2: cup of coffee, curl. 512 00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:33,359 Speaker 8: Up with it and drill down. And So Matt Boyle 513 00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:35,679 Speaker 8: special met, thank you, honored to have you on here. 514 00:26:35,840 --> 00:26:42,879 Speaker 8: Talk to you tomorrow, sir, sure commercial break, We're going 515 00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:45,600 Speaker 8: to talk to a federal and we're going to talk 516 00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:50,840 Speaker 8: to an FBC professional, I think commercially about this. The 517 00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:56,200 Speaker 8: FCC K next about Saturday Night Live. 518 00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 7: Gosh, I wish I. 519 00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:03,919 Speaker 10: Could talk to someone who's been in my shoes, you know, 520 00:27:04,600 --> 00:27:07,120 Speaker 10: a black South Asian woman. 521 00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:37,040 Speaker 11: Running for president, preferably from the Bay Area. 522 00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:41,160 Speaker 2: You and me both sister. 523 00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:45,399 Speaker 11: It is nice to see you, Kamala. It is nice 524 00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:46,560 Speaker 11: to see you, Kamala. 525 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:50,000 Speaker 3: And I'm just here to remind you you got. 526 00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:53,840 Speaker 10: This because you can do something your opponent cannot do. 527 00:27:54,000 --> 00:28:02,919 Speaker 3: You can open doors I do today they like to 528 00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:10,480 Speaker 3: a garbage truck, right. I don't really laugh like. 529 00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:12,400 Speaker 7: That, do I? 530 00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:13,440 Speaker 2: A little bit? 531 00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:18,880 Speaker 1: Now, Kamala, take my Pamela. 532 00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:23,800 Speaker 10: The American people want to stop the chaos and end 533 00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:29,720 Speaker 10: the dramala with a cool new step. Mamala, get backing 534 00:28:29,760 --> 00:28:34,840 Speaker 10: our pajamala's and watch a rum Kamala. 535 00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:39,520 Speaker 11: Like legally Blondola, and start decorating for Christmas. 536 00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:45,880 Speaker 1: Follow lalaala, because what do we always say, keep kamala 537 00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:55,360 Speaker 1: and carry on alah. 538 00:28:55,560 --> 00:28:58,240 Speaker 11: We know each other so well we even finish each 539 00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:00,800 Speaker 11: other's belief in the promise of America. 540 00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:05,440 Speaker 7: N a month, let's bring it in. 541 00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:19,840 Speaker 10: I gotta tell myself something over here, come here. I'm 542 00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:20,880 Speaker 10: going to vote for us. 543 00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:22,280 Speaker 7: That's great. 544 00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:23,880 Speaker 1: Any chance you are. 545 00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:25,800 Speaker 3: Registered in Pennsylvania. 546 00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:30,520 Speaker 11: No, I I'm not well, I was ready shot add him. 547 00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:37,920 Speaker 2: I'm from New York. Okay, welcome back to the war room. 548 00:29:38,240 --> 00:29:41,880 Speaker 8: Let's leave the cringe element of that aside for a second, 549 00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:45,800 Speaker 8: the lack of humor and also the lack of gravitas. 550 00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,240 Speaker 8: I want to bring in Nathan Simonton now he's a 551 00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:50,880 Speaker 8: commissioner with the Federal Communications Commission. 552 00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:53,800 Speaker 2: Nathan, walk me through what I just saw. 553 00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:56,520 Speaker 8: I could because Lauren Roberts came out I think a 554 00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:59,360 Speaker 8: couple of months ago and said he was not going 555 00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:01,560 Speaker 8: to have their candidate on because I have one, you 556 00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:02,360 Speaker 8: had to have the other. 557 00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:06,080 Speaker 2: He just wasn't going to do that. What do we 558 00:30:06,120 --> 00:30:07,520 Speaker 2: see last night? Was that legal? 559 00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:12,600 Speaker 6: You know that's this is an area that that's been 560 00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:15,960 Speaker 6: explored sort recently. As you say, laur Michael said that 561 00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:19,760 Speaker 6: you shouldn't bring the people who are running on because 562 00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:22,400 Speaker 6: of election laws and equal time provisions, because after all, 563 00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:25,040 Speaker 6: if you have the main candidates, equal time says you 564 00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:26,840 Speaker 6: have to have all the candidates. There are lots of 565 00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:30,160 Speaker 6: minor candidates. I think he gave the example of three states, 566 00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:33,800 Speaker 6: it becomes complicated quickly, so NBC, I think clearly recognized 567 00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:37,320 Speaker 6: there was a potential problem. And the last time that 568 00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,200 Speaker 6: this was an issue was in twenty fifteen, when NBC 569 00:30:40,360 --> 00:30:44,000 Speaker 6: did in fact provide airtime to Republican primary candidates after 570 00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:47,520 Speaker 6: an SNL episode hosted by then candidate now President Trump. 571 00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:51,040 Speaker 6: NBC recognized that this was a legitimate request and granted 572 00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:54,400 Speaker 6: airtime to those candidates on broadcast affiliates in swing states. 573 00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:57,240 Speaker 6: So I guess I would say that the doctrine is 574 00:30:57,280 --> 00:31:00,320 Speaker 6: pretty straightforward. If you read the Communications Act, it's in 575 00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:03,840 Speaker 6: section three point fifteen. It says that broadcasters have to 576 00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:07,000 Speaker 6: provide equal time, and that means in terms of minutes 577 00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:11,200 Speaker 6: of access to their broadcast signal to legally qualified candidates 578 00:31:11,200 --> 00:31:13,440 Speaker 6: for public office on their airwaves. 579 00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:15,080 Speaker 7: I think, you. 580 00:31:15,040 --> 00:31:18,480 Speaker 6: Know, I think President Trump is pretty much the classic 581 00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:22,280 Speaker 6: case of a legally qualified candidate for public office. The 582 00:31:22,280 --> 00:31:24,320 Speaker 6: only exception to this is what's called a bona fide 583 00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:28,880 Speaker 6: news exception, and I don't think SNL has such an exception. 584 00:31:29,080 --> 00:31:31,520 Speaker 6: So I think, you know, when Commissioner carsh started identifying 585 00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:33,560 Speaker 6: the legal issue here, he was in the right to 586 00:31:33,600 --> 00:31:34,600 Speaker 6: identify it and bring it. 587 00:31:34,560 --> 00:31:40,720 Speaker 8: Forward, So it's only what twenty four to forty eight 588 00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:42,840 Speaker 8: hours before election day? 589 00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:44,400 Speaker 2: What can be done? 590 00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:48,560 Speaker 8: Are you saying that, given your interpretation of the way 591 00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:52,520 Speaker 8: Equal Time is, Donald Trump ought to get on NBC 592 00:31:52,840 --> 00:31:54,760 Speaker 8: affiliates equal Time. 593 00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,040 Speaker 2: I think that was two minutes, two and a half minutes. 594 00:31:57,280 --> 00:32:00,320 Speaker 8: Are you saying that that's what should happen and happen 595 00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:04,160 Speaker 8: tomorrow because the election days Tuesday. 596 00:32:04,560 --> 00:32:08,120 Speaker 6: I mean, that would certainly be one way for NBC 597 00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:13,240 Speaker 6: to ensure that there wasn't any potential issue. On the 598 00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:15,760 Speaker 6: other hand, is the FCC going to make an order 599 00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:18,680 Speaker 6: that they do that within the next thirty hours or show? 600 00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:20,240 Speaker 2: I don't, I don't. 601 00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:22,960 Speaker 6: I just don't see that happening. I just I just 602 00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:25,720 Speaker 6: don't see a road to the Commission. Well, first of all, 603 00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:28,400 Speaker 6: to the current commission leadership making the decision to make 604 00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:31,080 Speaker 6: that request of NBC, and then NBC would have to 605 00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:32,760 Speaker 6: do it, and then President Trump would have to agree 606 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:35,120 Speaker 6: to it and shoot the spot and et cetera, et cetera. 607 00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:39,120 Speaker 6: It doesn't seem like in a practical sense, that's what's 608 00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:41,840 Speaker 6: likely to happen. So I'm not sure where this leaves us. 609 00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:46,160 Speaker 6: I'm frankly not sure why we're in a position to 610 00:32:46,200 --> 00:32:48,320 Speaker 6: have to be having to be asking this question at 611 00:32:48,320 --> 00:32:51,880 Speaker 6: this point, Well, it. 612 00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:54,040 Speaker 8: Is because they wanted They're desperate. They got to get 613 00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:58,000 Speaker 8: They had to get her out by and be seen 614 00:32:58,040 --> 00:33:00,400 Speaker 8: by many people as possible. That's what they took the risk. 615 00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:04,800 Speaker 8: There's nothing there's no emergency committee meeting that the FCC 616 00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:07,600 Speaker 8: can have and issue some Edif President Trump doesn't have 617 00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:09,160 Speaker 8: to cut a spot, they could just go to the 618 00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:13,440 Speaker 8: broadcast affiliates. They just go to the broadcast affiliates and 619 00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:14,000 Speaker 8: put them on. 620 00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:14,480 Speaker 2: Could they not? 621 00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:18,080 Speaker 8: I mean, if it's equal time, I think my producer, 622 00:33:18,120 --> 00:33:20,160 Speaker 8: I think I think this was a two minute cold 623 00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:23,400 Speaker 8: open for Saturday Night Live. It was so short, and 624 00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:26,080 Speaker 8: I heard that Kamala Harris had to go and show 625 00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:30,160 Speaker 8: up all day to practice for that, which looked pretty simple. 626 00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:31,760 Speaker 2: But it's two minutes. 627 00:33:31,800 --> 00:33:34,080 Speaker 8: Couldn't you just get the broadcast their their own and 628 00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:37,480 Speaker 8: operated stations, which are the biggest stations in the biggest 629 00:33:37,480 --> 00:33:40,560 Speaker 8: markets in the country, just have Trump on Skype or 630 00:33:40,600 --> 00:33:43,120 Speaker 8: have Trump in a studio and lame lame do a 631 00:33:43,120 --> 00:33:43,920 Speaker 8: two minute riff. 632 00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:47,040 Speaker 6: I mean, after all, we saw on The Rogan Show 633 00:33:47,080 --> 00:33:49,080 Speaker 6: that that doing a two minute riff would not be 634 00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:52,000 Speaker 6: a huge challenge for President Trump. So you know, I 635 00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:53,880 Speaker 6: agree with your analysis about how easy it would be 636 00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:57,480 Speaker 6: to remedy this in the closing closing hours of the campaign. 637 00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:02,360 Speaker 6: I want to point out that that Commissioner Carr conjectured 638 00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:05,440 Speaker 6: in his statement on this that the SNL appearance was 639 00:34:05,480 --> 00:34:09,080 Speaker 6: designed to deprive the Trump campaign of the opportunity to 640 00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:11,480 Speaker 6: make a legitimate request for equal time. And now I'm 641 00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:13,840 Speaker 6: not sure what the campaign is doing internally, but it 642 00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:15,879 Speaker 6: would certainly send a signal if they were to make 643 00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:18,520 Speaker 6: such a request, and such requests were not to be granted. 644 00:34:18,520 --> 00:34:20,680 Speaker 6: As you point out, it would be something that President 645 00:34:20,680 --> 00:34:22,560 Speaker 6: Trump is demonstrably. 646 00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:23,240 Speaker 2: Able to fulfill. 647 00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:29,360 Speaker 6: Now, one of my advisors commented that the appearance on 648 00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:33,800 Speaker 6: SNL by the Democratic candidate was so wouldn't and unfunny 649 00:34:33,800 --> 00:34:37,280 Speaker 6: that maybe NBC should actually deduct time from the Trump campaign. 650 00:34:37,480 --> 00:34:40,319 Speaker 6: Somehow I found that sort of amusing. But if you know, 651 00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:44,239 Speaker 6: setting that to one side, I guess the point is 652 00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:47,080 Speaker 6: that if the Trump campaign doesn't have time to get 653 00:34:47,120 --> 00:34:51,319 Speaker 6: this done for whatever reason, that's hardly their fault, and 654 00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:53,200 Speaker 6: it's hardly their fault that they've been put in a 655 00:34:53,239 --> 00:34:55,520 Speaker 6: position to have to deal with this at the last moment, 656 00:34:55,560 --> 00:34:57,839 Speaker 6: when you know President Trump's schedule has no doubt been 657 00:34:57,840 --> 00:34:59,840 Speaker 6: booked down to the second for months in a VA. 658 00:35:02,560 --> 00:35:03,400 Speaker 2: I guess what I. 659 00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:06,360 Speaker 6: Would say is it just seems like an unforced error 660 00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:10,400 Speaker 6: on the parts of of people who should be aware 661 00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:13,200 Speaker 6: that there are equal time requirements. 662 00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:15,640 Speaker 8: On Ho ho ho ho ho ho yo yo, bro. 663 00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:19,239 Speaker 8: It's not an unforced error. Nothing's right now, nothing's going 664 00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:21,880 Speaker 8: to happen. That's their advantage. The unforced error is on 665 00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:25,959 Speaker 8: the FCC. I'm not part of the fingers with you guys, 666 00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:27,960 Speaker 8: but they thought this through. They thought this through, They 667 00:35:28,000 --> 00:35:30,280 Speaker 8: knew later on a Saturday night you have a Sunday 668 00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:33,400 Speaker 8: with Trump running around, uh you guys out, you know, 669 00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:36,320 Speaker 8: not in the office, and then Monday and then it's done. 670 00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:39,000 Speaker 8: So it's not an unforced error. It's very well thought 671 00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:41,280 Speaker 8: through and it's kind of in your grill. My question 672 00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:44,120 Speaker 8: is the laws the law? Are you going to let 673 00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:48,040 Speaker 8: NBC game the system or is the FCC going to 674 00:35:48,080 --> 00:35:49,880 Speaker 8: sit there and go, no, hey, you're going to give 675 00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:51,920 Speaker 8: them two minutes and then throw it back to the 676 00:35:51,920 --> 00:35:54,800 Speaker 8: Trump campaign. If the Trump campaign doesn't use the two minutes, 677 00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:58,560 Speaker 8: that's on the Trump campaign. You're not You're not responsible 678 00:35:58,560 --> 00:36:02,200 Speaker 8: for what they do, but the FCC is definitely responsible 679 00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:06,320 Speaker 8: for not letting the demons that at NBC and Lauren 680 00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:09,800 Speaker 8: Michaels and these guys perfectly get they gained the system. 681 00:36:10,239 --> 00:36:14,200 Speaker 8: So if they're not held accountable, so I go ahead. 682 00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:15,880 Speaker 2: And No, you make a great point there. 683 00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:19,360 Speaker 6: The requirement is that equal time be provided, and it's 684 00:36:19,520 --> 00:36:22,239 Speaker 6: you know, there's there's no there's no proviso in there 685 00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:24,319 Speaker 6: that you know, if logistics don't make it possible. No, 686 00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:26,560 Speaker 6: you make a I think a really good point that 687 00:36:26,640 --> 00:36:29,520 Speaker 6: this is in fact a challenge to the FCC to 688 00:36:29,560 --> 00:36:33,640 Speaker 6: see whether we're serious about broadcast regulation issues that were 689 00:36:33,640 --> 00:36:36,880 Speaker 6: thought to be none controversial, including by NBC and SNL 690 00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:40,800 Speaker 6: leadership until you know, until five minutes ago or whenever 691 00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:45,760 Speaker 6: this clip initially aired. As far as what the FCC 692 00:36:45,880 --> 00:36:49,319 Speaker 6: can do in practical terms, our governance doesn't give me 693 00:36:49,440 --> 00:36:53,839 Speaker 6: a way to unilaterally act on this. Unfortunately, the Chair 694 00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:58,160 Speaker 6: could initiate action, and the Chair could could call up 695 00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:00,880 Speaker 6: staff and request that action be initial. As far as 696 00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:04,680 Speaker 6: I'm aware, that's not happening, and and there's there's no 697 00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:08,200 Speaker 6: way for me or for the Republican minority on the 698 00:37:08,200 --> 00:37:11,879 Speaker 6: Commission to force a vote on this. Unfortunately, we can 699 00:37:12,640 --> 00:37:15,239 Speaker 6: protest strongly for all the good it'll do, but but 700 00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:17,200 Speaker 6: there's no way we can force a vote. There's no 701 00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:20,640 Speaker 6: mechanism that we can use to compel the staff to 702 00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:21,120 Speaker 6: act on this. 703 00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:27,759 Speaker 8: So, because the Commission is controlled by Democrats, and that's 704 00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:31,560 Speaker 8: traditional when Republicans there, it's controlled by Republicans, they can 705 00:37:31,600 --> 00:37:35,320 Speaker 8: gain the system, essentially break the law and and just 706 00:37:35,360 --> 00:37:37,400 Speaker 8: get away with it. That's so, it's just it's just 707 00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:39,239 Speaker 8: the rule of These are the guys that believe in 708 00:37:39,280 --> 00:37:41,359 Speaker 8: democracy so much, they believe in the rule of law. 709 00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:43,960 Speaker 8: We get lectured about that every day. We just have 710 00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:48,760 Speaker 8: to suck on it. Is that essentially your point, Well. 711 00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:49,640 Speaker 7: Put it this way. 712 00:37:49,760 --> 00:37:52,520 Speaker 6: If if we were to if we were to see 713 00:37:52,520 --> 00:37:56,520 Speaker 6: an in kind contribution or free airtime in some way 714 00:37:56,560 --> 00:38:01,120 Speaker 6: provided to humanize and make President Trump relatable on for example, 715 00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:04,080 Speaker 6: Fosh broadcast, I have a hard time believing that that 716 00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:08,280 Speaker 6: that would that that it would be politically acceptable for 717 00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:12,200 Speaker 6: Democratic Commission leadership to let that pass without comment. And 718 00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:13,839 Speaker 6: so you're asking now that the shoes on the other 719 00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:18,000 Speaker 6: foot are we are we left without a remedy, and 720 00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:19,719 Speaker 6: I would say that we probably are left without a 721 00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:26,360 Speaker 6: remedy before election day unless and less unless the commission 722 00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:30,080 Speaker 6: Chair decides to act on this. Obviously, you know, I've 723 00:38:30,080 --> 00:38:31,960 Speaker 6: got a point of view on this. Commissioner Car's got 724 00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:33,759 Speaker 6: a point of view on this. I would say that 725 00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:36,520 Speaker 6: it's just enough in the cracks and crevices as far 726 00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:40,200 Speaker 6: as whether or not this constitutes violation of the equal 727 00:38:40,239 --> 00:38:43,840 Speaker 6: time rule that it's possible for the chair to punt 728 00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:45,640 Speaker 6: and to say, well, maybe it does, maybe it doesn't. 729 00:38:45,719 --> 00:38:48,800 Speaker 6: Let's convene, uh, let's convene a group to consider the issue. 730 00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:50,319 Speaker 6: Other than that, I don't know, don't know what the 731 00:38:50,360 --> 00:38:53,759 Speaker 6: remedy is on this short notice now. As for as 732 00:38:53,760 --> 00:38:56,560 Speaker 6: for post factor remedies such as you know, such as 733 00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:59,120 Speaker 6: a lawsuit or other process, obviously those still remain on 734 00:38:59,160 --> 00:39:01,040 Speaker 6: the table. How Whoever, I think your point is that 735 00:39:01,080 --> 00:39:04,400 Speaker 6: the election may obviate the opportunity to reach those remedies. 736 00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:09,759 Speaker 8: Yeah, Nathan, how do people track you down on social media? 737 00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:10,520 Speaker 2: How do they follow you? 738 00:39:11,680 --> 00:39:15,040 Speaker 6: Well, I'm signing at simonton fcc on X formerly known 739 00:39:15,040 --> 00:39:18,640 Speaker 6: as Twitter. That's the main way. I'm not typically all 740 00:39:18,640 --> 00:39:21,040 Speaker 6: that active on social media. I'm more behind the scenes 741 00:39:21,080 --> 00:39:26,120 Speaker 6: technical type, but lately with media regulation, I've had to 742 00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:29,200 Speaker 6: get a little bit more active, and you know, and 743 00:39:29,200 --> 00:39:32,120 Speaker 6: and of course apart from that, I really do answer 744 00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:35,120 Speaker 6: my email and my staff answer their emails as well. 745 00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:38,160 Speaker 6: We were publiics Shrivens, and we take this, take this seriously. 746 00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:41,319 Speaker 6: Just last week we had in someone, for example, who 747 00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:43,520 Speaker 6: had sent us a cold email about being kicked out 748 00:39:43,520 --> 00:39:48,319 Speaker 6: of the ARDORFF Rural broad Bound program. So it's your 749 00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:50,640 Speaker 6: audience should absolutely feel free to reach out to their 750 00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:53,760 Speaker 6: public servants if they want information about how the complaint 751 00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:56,160 Speaker 6: mechanism works at the Commission, that's obviously something that we'd 752 00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:58,960 Speaker 6: be happy to provide as well as support through the process. 753 00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:01,080 Speaker 6: So you know, reach out to touch us. 754 00:40:03,040 --> 00:40:05,000 Speaker 8: Nathan, thank you so much for coming on and talking 755 00:40:05,040 --> 00:40:06,279 Speaker 8: to us on a Sunday evening. 756 00:40:06,280 --> 00:40:09,879 Speaker 6: Appreciate your It's my pleasure, Steve, good to have you back. 757 00:40:13,160 --> 00:40:16,840 Speaker 2: You know, you knew it does. You don't need to 758 00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:18,440 Speaker 2: talk about the bias of certain any life. 759 00:40:18,440 --> 00:40:21,360 Speaker 8: It's pritten very obvious for you know, decades and decades 760 00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:24,759 Speaker 8: and decades. It's just the the blatant Lauren Roberts saying, 761 00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:26,320 Speaker 8: I'm not going to do this, and then at the 762 00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:29,160 Speaker 8: last second they slipped it in. Here's the good news. 763 00:40:29,840 --> 00:40:33,600 Speaker 8: It was so cringe. I actually think it hurt her 764 00:40:33,680 --> 00:40:38,359 Speaker 8: even with that crowd. She's so talentless. It's it's just 765 00:40:38,440 --> 00:40:41,319 Speaker 8: it just jumps off the screen. Okay, shar commercial break. 766 00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:47,840 Speaker 8: Somebody is not talentless. Is Sister Chatta out in Nevada? 767 00:40:48,520 --> 00:40:50,680 Speaker 8: And we got great news out there. But I got 768 00:40:50,680 --> 00:40:54,040 Speaker 8: to tell you, is it a wave of the Culinary 769 00:40:54,120 --> 00:40:56,840 Speaker 8: Institute of the Culinary Union. 770 00:40:57,480 --> 00:40:59,960 Speaker 2: The vote's gonna come in. We're going to talk to her, but. 771 00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:03,680 Speaker 9: Wait, where is my chief strategy Steve Bennan. 772 00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:06,440 Speaker 7: I can't start without Steve Bennen. 773 00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:16,879 Speaker 5: He's walking in right now. 774 00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:22,120 Speaker 7: Sorry, it's okay, Steve. 775 00:41:22,239 --> 00:41:26,560 Speaker 2: You look great a lot from New York and shine. 776 00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:33,160 Speaker 8: Now that's humor. That's a cold open right there. Yours 777 00:41:33,160 --> 00:41:36,160 Speaker 8: truly as the Grim Reaper back when starting in life 778 00:41:36,160 --> 00:41:39,759 Speaker 8: had some humor. Sister Chatta joins us from Nevada. You 779 00:41:39,800 --> 00:41:43,800 Speaker 8: guys have absolutely crushed it. Here's my fear. Walk people 780 00:41:43,800 --> 00:41:46,200 Speaker 8: through the math of this early voting man all of it. 781 00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:50,160 Speaker 8: Where we stand, but the Culinary Union has not totally 782 00:41:50,200 --> 00:41:55,960 Speaker 8: represented yet. Aren't we still anticipating some more surprise drops over. Now, 783 00:41:55,960 --> 00:41:59,200 Speaker 8: I know Ralston's out there, Rawston, who used to be 784 00:41:59,200 --> 00:42:00,640 Speaker 8: at the paper out there. I think he has his 785 00:42:00,640 --> 00:42:04,160 Speaker 8: own deal now he's kind of the guru for for Nevada. 786 00:42:04,200 --> 00:42:06,239 Speaker 2: He's going to give his thoughts tonight who's going to win? 787 00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:10,719 Speaker 8: But on the raw numbers themselves, Segal, have we seen 788 00:42:10,760 --> 00:42:12,840 Speaker 8: the last of the last of the drops? 789 00:42:14,280 --> 00:42:14,520 Speaker 9: Uh? 790 00:42:15,120 --> 00:42:19,480 Speaker 12: Not for today? And you know, Ralston is definitely a 791 00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:24,880 Speaker 12: very liberal, you know, news guy, So I don't know 792 00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:29,239 Speaker 12: that I necessarily believe his numbers, but but there is 793 00:42:29,280 --> 00:42:32,799 Speaker 12: a level of certainty that we have not seen the 794 00:42:32,840 --> 00:42:37,759 Speaker 12: best of culinary and the Democrats. You know, there's there's 795 00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:41,960 Speaker 12: a woman here named Rebecca Lamb, and she literally is 796 00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:45,600 Speaker 12: the godmother of the Democrat Party. She was Harry Reid's 797 00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:49,400 Speaker 12: right hand and she is the one that has kept 798 00:42:49,440 --> 00:42:54,120 Speaker 12: that Terry Reid machine alive. So probably one of the 799 00:42:54,160 --> 00:42:56,479 Speaker 12: smartest political operatives in the nation. 800 00:42:56,640 --> 00:42:59,080 Speaker 7: She's very behind the scenes. But for those of us. 801 00:42:59,000 --> 00:43:02,120 Speaker 12: Who know no with the power of Rebecca Lamb here 802 00:43:02,160 --> 00:43:06,120 Speaker 12: in Nevada, and I have to tell you that in 803 00:43:06,160 --> 00:43:10,160 Speaker 12: the past two weeks we have crushed them. During early voting, 804 00:43:11,239 --> 00:43:15,120 Speaker 12: we have definitely poked the bear, and I know that 805 00:43:15,200 --> 00:43:21,520 Speaker 12: they have been cannibalizing UNLV all weekend, and for whatever 806 00:43:21,560 --> 00:43:24,560 Speaker 12: that's worth, remember Kamala said that the eighteen to twenty 807 00:43:24,640 --> 00:43:29,680 Speaker 12: four year olds they're the dumbest voting sector. So hopefully 808 00:43:30,040 --> 00:43:34,279 Speaker 12: you know, they plan on eating edibles all weekend and 809 00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:37,080 Speaker 12: not rolling out of bed to vote Monday and Tuesday. 810 00:43:37,360 --> 00:43:38,360 Speaker 7: That's my prayer. 811 00:43:40,200 --> 00:43:42,880 Speaker 8: So tell the audience, what do you mean cannibalizing you 812 00:43:43,040 --> 00:43:47,520 Speaker 8: in LV? What is the status of your belief that 813 00:43:47,560 --> 00:43:52,320 Speaker 8: we got more low propensity voters and are not cannibalizing Tuesday, 814 00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:57,080 Speaker 8: whereas the Democrats may have been, particularly at the University 815 00:43:57,080 --> 00:43:59,600 Speaker 8: of Nevada Las Vegas, just cannibalizing people who are going 816 00:43:59,640 --> 00:44:00,840 Speaker 8: to vote Tuesday anyway. 817 00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:04,680 Speaker 12: Yeah, So basically what you've seen the Republicans do, and 818 00:44:04,760 --> 00:44:08,080 Speaker 12: this is again you know, it's it's the orchestration of 819 00:44:08,200 --> 00:44:15,480 Speaker 12: organizations like Turning Point and American Majority and obviously Trump 820 00:44:15,480 --> 00:44:19,200 Speaker 12: fors forty seven. What they've been spending the past year 821 00:44:19,520 --> 00:44:23,680 Speaker 12: is registering people that had not voted. Remember in twenty 822 00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:27,319 Speaker 12: twenty two, we had one hundred forty thousand Republicans that 823 00:44:27,480 --> 00:44:31,839 Speaker 12: did not vote. Those voters we've resurrected them. And those 824 00:44:31,880 --> 00:44:34,759 Speaker 12: are the voters, you know, the zero, one, one out 825 00:44:34,760 --> 00:44:37,560 Speaker 12: of four. Those are the wants that we got out 826 00:44:37,560 --> 00:44:41,320 Speaker 12: to vote during early voting. We're still pushing those guys 827 00:44:41,360 --> 00:44:43,640 Speaker 12: because there's still a large group. 828 00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:45,920 Speaker 7: That sat at home, you know. 829 00:44:46,080 --> 00:44:50,120 Speaker 12: So those are the guys that all these organizations were 830 00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:57,600 Speaker 12: trying to resurrect. Now culinary, they have been out cannibalizing. 831 00:44:57,640 --> 00:45:00,960 Speaker 12: You know, v is a university with forty five thousand students. 832 00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:05,239 Speaker 12: That's no laughing number, and it's something that we absolutely 833 00:45:05,640 --> 00:45:09,840 Speaker 12: have to take as something very serious. Look, forty five 834 00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:13,440 Speaker 12: thousand votes in Clark County can make or break the 835 00:45:13,520 --> 00:45:17,440 Speaker 12: election period, end of story, and everybody. 836 00:45:17,040 --> 00:45:17,840 Speaker 7: Will agree with that. 837 00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:24,359 Speaker 12: Right now, we are at forty two thousand statewide. We 838 00:45:25,080 --> 00:45:27,839 Speaker 12: watched a little bit of our lead get eaten up 839 00:45:27,840 --> 00:45:31,280 Speaker 12: by mail in ballots that were dropped. We are anticipating 840 00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:36,160 Speaker 12: a massive, massive mail drop Monday and Tuesday, we will 841 00:45:36,200 --> 00:45:39,560 Speaker 12: have those numbers. And what we got to remember is 842 00:45:39,600 --> 00:45:43,400 Speaker 12: that even if the Dems beat us in the mail drop, 843 00:45:43,840 --> 00:45:46,640 Speaker 12: we could still make it up with in person voting 844 00:45:46,680 --> 00:45:50,560 Speaker 12: on election day and across the seventeen counties, especially in 845 00:45:50,600 --> 00:45:55,440 Speaker 12: the rurals, Our rurald turnouts are fantastic, Our clerk turnouts fantastic. 846 00:45:55,760 --> 00:45:56,719 Speaker 7: But we have to push. 847 00:45:56,840 --> 00:45:59,080 Speaker 12: We never stop pushing, and we always run like we're 848 00:45:59,120 --> 00:45:59,880 Speaker 12: ten points behind. 849 00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:03,440 Speaker 2: Okay, but this is the point I want to get to. 850 00:46:05,120 --> 00:46:08,719 Speaker 8: Traditionally, they have built they build up a kind of 851 00:46:08,760 --> 00:46:12,240 Speaker 8: a mini firewall on the mail in the in the early, 852 00:46:12,280 --> 00:46:15,480 Speaker 8: in the early voting. Uh, and we always do better 853 00:46:15,560 --> 00:46:19,520 Speaker 8: on election day. Right now, when you say massive mail 854 00:46:19,560 --> 00:46:22,239 Speaker 8: drop tomorrow, this is what I keep talking about. What 855 00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:24,880 Speaker 8: do you anticipate Is we're up forty thousand? Do you 856 00:46:24,880 --> 00:46:27,560 Speaker 8: think we'll be up twenty five thousand? What are they 857 00:46:27,600 --> 00:46:30,880 Speaker 8: going to cut into with this massive mail drop? And 858 00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:32,640 Speaker 8: are we going to go into if we go into 859 00:46:32,719 --> 00:46:36,320 Speaker 8: election day and correct me if I'm wrong with twenty 860 00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:39,680 Speaker 8: five thousand votes up, how can we possibly lose? 861 00:46:40,760 --> 00:46:40,920 Speaker 12: Oh? 862 00:46:40,960 --> 00:46:42,200 Speaker 7: We win, we win. 863 00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:44,680 Speaker 12: But don't forget Steve. Here's the thing that we have 864 00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:45,400 Speaker 12: to remember. 865 00:46:45,719 --> 00:46:46,440 Speaker 7: In Nevada. 866 00:46:46,680 --> 00:46:52,040 Speaker 12: We don't stop counting ballots until ballots received Friday, which 867 00:46:52,080 --> 00:46:56,040 Speaker 12: means we will go into the following Monday and still 868 00:46:56,120 --> 00:46:59,680 Speaker 12: have ballots that need to be counted. Okay, So it's 869 00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:03,200 Speaker 12: not like we stop counting ballots Tuesday night or even 870 00:47:03,239 --> 00:47:09,680 Speaker 12: Wednesday morning, because under the legislature that we have three 871 00:47:09,920 --> 00:47:14,719 Speaker 12: days after election day which ballots can still come in, 872 00:47:15,080 --> 00:47:19,799 Speaker 12: and even if they're not postmarked, remember the presumption is 873 00:47:19,840 --> 00:47:20,680 Speaker 12: that they were. 874 00:47:20,719 --> 00:47:22,239 Speaker 7: Cast on Tuesday. 875 00:47:22,760 --> 00:47:26,640 Speaker 12: So what I anticipate is that you will even have 876 00:47:26,719 --> 00:47:29,440 Speaker 12: people Wednesday morning dropping off ballots. 877 00:47:30,239 --> 00:47:36,800 Speaker 2: Okay, unbelievable. Just hang on for a second. This is Nevada. 878 00:47:37,600 --> 00:47:39,960 Speaker 8: It's one that we should have won in sixteen, we 879 00:47:40,080 --> 00:47:42,399 Speaker 8: should have won in twenty We're gonna win in twenty 880 00:47:42,440 --> 00:47:42,719 Speaker 8: four and. 881 00:47:42,760 --> 00:47:45,719 Speaker 2: Rot today exactly how them do it? So golf Chat 882 00:47:45,800 --> 00:47:46,960 Speaker 2: up from Nevada. 883 00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:50,439 Speaker 8: We're also gonna get Caroline Wren with Carrie Lake out 884 00:47:50,480 --> 00:47:51,160 Speaker 8: in Arizona. 885 00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:53,800 Speaker 2: Big news out of there. We're going around the country. 886 00:47:53,840 --> 00:47:58,520 Speaker 8: Seat exactly where we stand, finishing the weekend with now 887 00:47:58,800 --> 00:48:01,719 Speaker 8: heading into what Death thirty six hours until the game 888 00:48:01,840 --> 00:48:05,960 Speaker 8: gets on underway on Tuesday morning. Here in the War Room, 889 00:48:06,239 --> 00:48:10,880 Speaker 8: special expanded coverage by Real America's Voice the War Room. 890 00:48:10,960 --> 00:48:13,719 Speaker 8: Want to thank Robin Parker, SIG, want to thank our sponsors, 891 00:48:13,760 --> 00:48:18,120 Speaker 8: Birch gold dot com, slash abandon end of the dollar Empire, 892 00:48:18,160 --> 00:48:20,080 Speaker 8: but go talk to Philip Patrickan's theme. 893 00:48:20,360 --> 00:48:23,439 Speaker 2: Why gold is near all time highs. 894 00:48:23,080 --> 00:48:24,800 Speaker 8: One of the stock markets at an all time on 895 00:48:25,560 --> 00:48:26,880 Speaker 8: Philip Patrick and walking. 896 00:48:26,680 --> 00:48:30,120 Speaker 2: Food the analysis and you can see its gold as 897 00:48:30,160 --> 00:48:30,640 Speaker 2: a cage. 898 00:48:30,800 --> 00:48:34,799 Speaker 8: It's like short commercial break Nevada and Arizona. 899 00:48:34,960 --> 00:48:35,680 Speaker 7: Next in the. 900 00:48:35,600 --> 00:48:44,080 Speaker 3: War room, it's OK, and. 901 00:48:46,120 --> 00:48:48,000 Speaker 4: It's in the gold tree. 902 00:48:49,280 --> 00:48:52,240 Speaker 9: The virgins as 903 00:48:59,280 --> 00:49:00,360 Speaker 11: It's all fuddy