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Speaker 1: Hey, fish Bites listeners, settle in for a brand new episode,

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Speaker 1: our first one since the full Major League Baseball offseason

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Speaker 1: took effect. The Washington Nationals are World Series champs, the

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Speaker 1: only pro baseball being played is outside the United States,

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Speaker 1: and all of the free agents are truly free. At

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Speaker 1: fish Stripes fishstripes dot Com the website, and at fish

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Speaker 1: Stripes on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook, we will guide you

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Speaker 1: through all of it as usual. I am Eli Sussman,

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Speaker 1: the managing editor at fish Stripes. I greatly appreciate your company.

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Speaker 1: It is essential that the Marlins performed better at the

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Speaker 1: major league level in twenty twenty than they did this

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Speaker 1: past season. It ought to be a pretty significant improvement too.

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Speaker 1: We've now had back to back years where the team

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Speaker 1: was in a distant last place in the National League Geese,

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Speaker 1: not really competitive, and that was sort of to be

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Speaker 1: expected once they torn down all the established core pieces

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Speaker 1: that they had reset all their payroll commitments started building

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Speaker 1: up through the farm system. I mean, all that was

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Speaker 1: somewhat to be expected to a certain degree. But there's

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Speaker 1: only so much patience that this fan base is going

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Speaker 1: to have, now sixteen years removed from being in the postseason,

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Speaker 1: and in all likelihood, whatever happens in twenty twenty, I

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Speaker 1: don't think there's a realistic path to them ending that

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Speaker 1: postseason drought. So all of a sudden, you're gonna be

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Speaker 1: closing in on two decades where Marlins fans have not

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Speaker 1: even made it into October, and in most of those

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Speaker 1: years not even come close to making it into October.

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Speaker 1: They just completed an entire decade without even reaching the

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Speaker 1: five hundred mark in any single season. So it's been

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Speaker 1: a tough grind. Some fans have endured through most of it,

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Speaker 1: a lot of them have checked out in frustration. And

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Speaker 1: this is a pretty critical year to show progress and

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Speaker 1: to make a significant leap from having a fifty seven

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Speaker 1: and one hundred and five record to being more competitive.

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Speaker 1: Would it be Probably the very best case scenario is

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Speaker 1: to find a way at a last place in the division.

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Speaker 1: But even if that's not in the cards, you have

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Speaker 1: all these four other teams right in the middle of

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Speaker 1: their competitive windows, the Braves, the Nationals, the Phillies and Mets.

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Speaker 1: So that's understandable. You're not trying to go head to

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Speaker 1: head with them right away, but you need to take

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Speaker 1: a step forward. You need to have a team that yeah,

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Speaker 1: is competitive night tonight, that has some consistent hot stretches

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Speaker 1: where they tie together series win after series win, and

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Speaker 1: more importantly, avoid the really free fall slumps that they've

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Speaker 1: had these past two years, especially in twenty nineteen. We've

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Speaker 1: mentioned some of these prospects before, from six to Sanchez,

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Speaker 1: Monte Harrison, Jesus Sanchez, George Guzman. Those are just four guys,

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Speaker 1: Nick Knighter. To add to that, all those guys projected

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Speaker 1: debuts coming up in twenty twenty, and all of them

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Speaker 1: have significantly higher ceilings than some of the placeholders on

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Speaker 1: the current roster. Outside of that, you're going to have

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Speaker 1: to invest. They'll have to invest in some established talent.

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Speaker 1: As intriguing as some of these prospects are, you want

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Speaker 1: to have players that have some real name recognition that

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Speaker 1: will get fans excited and have them believing that ownership

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Speaker 1: is committed to building out a good team. You have

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Speaker 1: some of their bad contracts that are now slipping off

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Speaker 1: of the payroll, with Martine Prado entering free agency, Neil Walker,

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Speaker 1: Curtis Grinderson coming off the payroll as well, Way and

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Speaker 1: Chan finally entering the last year of that disastrous contract.

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Speaker 1: A few days ago, the Marlins made it official that

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Speaker 1: they were buying out the last year of Starlind Castro's

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Speaker 1: deal as well. You have so much flexibility now, and

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Speaker 1: although the prospects they have internally will represent some improvement

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Speaker 1: over those departures, it needs to be a big step

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Speaker 1: forward coming year, and the most rush path to doing

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Speaker 1: that is by spending money on players that are productive

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Speaker 1: and still relatively close to their peak potential so that

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Speaker 1: you can trust them to be good when you bring

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Speaker 1: them in. The focus of this Fish Bites episode is

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Speaker 1: to present my perfect Marlin's offseason plan, one that puts

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Speaker 1: the Marlins in position to win about fifteen more games

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Speaker 1: than they did a year ago, somewhere in that seventy

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Speaker 1: one seventy two seventy three win range. It requires a

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Speaker 1: handful of free agent investments, a few interesting trades, and

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Speaker 1: some tough decisions on fan favorites and former top prospects,

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Speaker 1: as well as simply promoting from within to feast on

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Speaker 1: this great talent that you've acquired during this rebuild and

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Speaker 1: via the draft, and maximizing all that I'm gonna walk

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Speaker 1: you through all these moves one by one it's in

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Speaker 1: roughly chronological order, broke broken up into the moves that

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Speaker 1: will be made in this month of November. Others you'll

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Speaker 1: expect right around the winter meetings, and a few finishing

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Speaker 1: touches that they'll be making after the switch of the

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Speaker 1: new year, but before spring training. So it's giving you

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Speaker 1: an idea of what the team will look like entering

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Speaker 1: the twenty twenty spring training, laying out a plan that

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Speaker 1: makes this team a lot more interesting to the casual

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Speaker 1: fan and makes it more complete. It should prevent them

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Speaker 1: from experiencing some of the long droughts that turn fans

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Speaker 1: away in twenty nineteen, and it does it all without

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Speaker 1: really absorbing all that much risk or depleting the farm system. Again,

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Speaker 1: we're trying to walk that careful line between making the

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Speaker 1: team a lot better and of course putting them in

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Speaker 1: position to make an additional leap in twenty twenty one,

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty two, and beyond. Entering Monday, November fourth, the

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Speaker 1: Marlins have thirty five spaces filled on their forty man roster,

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Speaker 1: which will be a very important consideration for us in

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Speaker 1: this exercise. Quite simply, he can't acquire major league players

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Speaker 1: during the offseason unless you have space for them on

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Speaker 1: the forty man roster, unless there's a corresponding move that

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Speaker 1: opens up space. If you do have all the spots filled,

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Speaker 1: there is no injured list for you to hide anybody

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Speaker 1: on during the heart of the offseason. You need to

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Speaker 1: have that flexibility, and when you feel like you can't

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Speaker 1: fit a certain player or someone is expendable, then that's

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Speaker 1: when you see moves made. A lot of moves are

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Speaker 1: inspired by the needs and availability that you have on

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Speaker 1: your forty man roster. Thirty five space is filled right

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Speaker 1: now five openings, and the Marlins are going to need

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Speaker 1: more than five to protect key prospects. At the Winter

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Speaker 1: meetings every year, there is a Rule five draft, which

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Speaker 1: means that qualified minor league players who haven't yet had

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Speaker 1: an opportunity to play in the major leagues are eligible

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Speaker 1: to be selected by other teams. It depends on their

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Speaker 1: minor league service time, whether it's four years removed from

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Speaker 1: being drafted at a college or five years removed from

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Speaker 1: being signs internationally or drafted out of high school. There's

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Speaker 1: only so much time that a team can reserve the

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Speaker 1: rights for a player until they're eligible for the Rule

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Speaker 1: five and the Marlins have a lot of key players

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Speaker 1: that are eligible this year. The five obvious ones are

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Speaker 1: in no particular order, six Dos Sanchez, Jazz Chisholm, Edward Cabrera,

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Speaker 1: Nick knightder Lewin Diaz. You recognize all three of those pitchers, Kniert, Cabrera,

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Speaker 1: and Sanchez as being some of the best pitching prospects

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Speaker 1: in the organization. Chisholm and Daz shortstop and first basement respectively.

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Speaker 1: They were acquired at the trade deadline this past year,

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Speaker 1: and both of them were fairly impressive after the trade deadline.

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Speaker 1: Both still in their early twenties. There are no brainers

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Speaker 1: to be protected, because if they're left unprotected, being that

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Speaker 1: they've already been experienced at double A, other teams will

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Speaker 1: draft those guys, give them a shot in the majors,

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Speaker 1: and hold on to their rights for the foreseeable future.

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Speaker 1: The Marlins do not want to lose those They give

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Speaker 1: up a lot to acquire those guys in trades, and

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Speaker 1: they want to let it play out within their own organization.

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Speaker 2: Daniel Brown faced the minimum in the sixth thanks to

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Speaker 2: a double play, trying to do it again in the seventh.

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Speaker 2: His pitch and It's Chisholm swings away Hammers this ball

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Speaker 2: at step out and right center field, Dylan Thomas to

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Speaker 2: the wall and it's gone. What a night for Jazz Chisholm.

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Speaker 2: He's now three for four with a homer, triple as

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Speaker 2: single and he's given the jumbo shrimp before nothing lead

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Speaker 2: on his nineteenth combined home run of the season.

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Speaker 1: But there's so much left on the to do list

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Speaker 1: in this Marlins offseason, and there are a couple other

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Speaker 1: guys that I want to protect. Two other pitchers, Umberto

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Speaker 1: Mahea and Will Stewart. Both of them finished the year

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Speaker 1: at high A Jupiter. Mahia had by far the better

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Speaker 1: statistical year of the two that started in Low A

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Speaker 1: Clinton and continued once he got promoted. Originally signed at

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Speaker 1: A Panama twenty two years old. He's just a really

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Speaker 1: well rounded pitcher. And although he is relatively inexperienced based

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Speaker 1: on the high levels of competition, and he's no sure

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Speaker 1: bet to be selected in the Rule five, the Marlins

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Speaker 1: need to air on the side of caution because he

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Speaker 1: has the potential to be a major league starting pitcher.

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Speaker 1: Some of the same goes with Stuart He did not

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Speaker 1: have as good a statistical year with Jupiter, it was inconsistent.

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Speaker 1: At his best, he was threatening to throw no hitters.

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Speaker 1: At his worst, he was beat around in the early endings,

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Speaker 1: so the performance was disappointing. Acquired with six to zero

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Speaker 1: in that JT. Real Muto trade, but still in his

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Speaker 1: early twenties, a really cerebral pitcher. He has a change

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Speaker 1: up that is a big difference maker whether he's eventually

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Speaker 1: going to be a starter or reliever. The Marlins have

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Speaker 1: to play this one out with him at least a

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Speaker 1: few months longer into the twenty twenty season and protect him.

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Speaker 1: So now that the roster is it's over the limit

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Speaker 1: to find space for Mahea and Stuart, there will need

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Speaker 1: to be corresponding moves to open up for them, and

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Speaker 1: those moves will need to happen in these next few

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Speaker 1: weeks because the deadline is in mid November for the

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Speaker 1: Marlins to set that forty man roster prior to the

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Speaker 1: Rule five to make room. In my mind, it's fairly

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Speaker 1: easy decisions here, and there's actually more than two guys

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Speaker 1: that are expendable on the roster at the moment. The

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Speaker 1: no brainer to me is way in Chin entering the

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Speaker 1: final year of his contract, coming off a very bad

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Speaker 1: year trying to transition to a relief role. He never

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Speaker 1: profiled as a guy that'd be effective coming out of

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Speaker 1: the pen. There was no bump in the quality of

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Speaker 1: the stuff, and it seemed that Don Mattingly was indecisive

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Speaker 1: with the kind of role that Chen would have. He

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Speaker 1: worked almost entirely in garbage time, mop up, in a

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Speaker 1: mop up role and a regular usage, especially down the

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Speaker 1: stretch once they had that expanded roster. The team doesn't

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Speaker 1: want him, and I'm sure he wants a fair shot

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Speaker 1: at reviving his career elsewhere. The money is already a

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Speaker 1: sunk cost twenty two million dollars owed to him this year.

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Speaker 1: You're not going to find any trade interest with him whatsoever.

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Speaker 1: He's a liability, so if you were to trade him,

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Speaker 1: you'd be giving up other young talent to make him

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Speaker 1: at all intriguing to another team. It makes no sense

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Speaker 1: to trade him, so he just cut ties. He doesn't

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Speaker 1: mean much to this fan base. He doesn't have a

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Speaker 1: clear role on the pitching staff, and it's pretty simple

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Speaker 1: opening up. They need that roster spot more than they

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Speaker 1: need Chen to eat innings in garbage rolls and that

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Speaker 1: makes a no brainer in my opinion. We'll just see

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Speaker 1: if the Marlins have the intestinal fortitude to cut ties

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Speaker 1: with the guy knowing how much money he is owed.

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Speaker 1: And the second move I'd make at that same moment

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Speaker 1: here in November is just find a taker for JT. Riddle.

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Speaker 1: His trade value obviously a little bit higher than Chen's.

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Speaker 1: He doesn't have a big contract attached to him, but

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Speaker 1: he will be arbitration eligible for the first time in

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty. Do a little bit of a raise over

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Speaker 1: what he's earned the past few years as a major leaguer,

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Speaker 1: but still less than a million dollars in all likelihood

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Speaker 1: because he had what's called a poor platform year. This

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Speaker 1: past year in twenty nineteen was his first one prior

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Speaker 1: to arbitration, and he had a disastrous year an ops

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Speaker 1: in of six h one, and a lot of that

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Speaker 1: was boosted early in the season, so it was even

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Speaker 1: uglier as things went on. Ended the season on the

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Speaker 1: injury list with a forearm strain. Just doesn't know how

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Speaker 1: to get on base at the major league level. I

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Speaker 1: love his defense at shortstop, but he's not going to

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Speaker 1: be playing shortstop for the Marlins much going forward. With

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Speaker 1: Miguil Rojas under contract, and with prospects like Chisholm and

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Speaker 1: Jose Devers in the pipeline. I don't know what the

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Speaker 1: role would be for him on this team because he's

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Speaker 1: not getting on base, and although he volunteered transitioned to

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Speaker 1: center field midway through last year, it was not overwhelmingly impressive.

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Speaker 1: So he's kind of getting squeezed out of the team

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Speaker 1: that drafted him way back in twenty thirteen. If he

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Speaker 1: can't be a trustee platoon BA, if the only position

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Speaker 1: that he's most comfortable in is one that he won't

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Speaker 1: be playing in the first place, I think you test

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Speaker 1: the market, try to find a taker for him, even

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Speaker 1: if the compensation in return is very minimal. It would

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Speaker 1: probably be a nondescript organizational fielder prospect that might not

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Speaker 1: ever turn out into anything. But you get what you

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Speaker 1: can for Riddle because he's twenty eight years old and

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Speaker 1: to this point he hasn't shown that he's a really

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Speaker 1: effective major league player. I think the leash has been

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Speaker 1: long enough. He's going to be out of options to

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Speaker 1: the Marlins. No team exactly is going to be clamoring

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Speaker 1: for him, so don't get your hopes up, but get

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Speaker 1: something is better than nothing for all parties involved, it

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Speaker 1: makes sense to give him a change of scenery. Before

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Speaker 1: taking our plan into the meat of the offseason, we'll

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Speaker 1: need to make a couple more forty man roster moves

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Speaker 1: because the Marlins, as things currently stands, are a terrible

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Speaker 1: team and they have these intriguing prospects in their system

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Speaker 1: that you expect to break through within the next year,

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Speaker 1: but as of opening day, most or all of them

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Speaker 1: won't quite be ready, and that means they have holes

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Speaker 1: to fill that you'll need to reach outside the organization,

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Speaker 1: especially on the position player side and in the bullpen.

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Speaker 1: They need to acquire guys with track record, with some gravtas,

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Speaker 1: who fans can believe in and get excited about. And

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Speaker 1: that means spending money, and that means more importantly, just

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Speaker 1: having roster spaces to use on these guys to bring

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Speaker 1: them in in the first place. In my case, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna open up two more spots. Currently as it is,

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Speaker 1: it's a full forty men roster. We're gonna bring that

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Speaker 1: down to thirty eight before heading into free agency, trades, etc.

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Speaker 1: The first of those moves is fairly cut and dry.

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Speaker 1: It would be getting Brian Moran off of that roster.

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Speaker 1: The sidewinding left hander Great Story called up in September

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Speaker 1: for his major league debut. He had been bouncing around

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Speaker 1: so many organizations over the past decade and never got

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Speaker 1: that opportunity at the highest level. He faced his brother,

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Speaker 1: he struck out his brother, and in his handful of appearances, overall,

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Speaker 1: he was an adequate pitcher. That being said, he is

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Speaker 1: thirty one years old. On a good day, his fastball

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Speaker 1: gets up into the mid eighties. It's not the type

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Speaker 1: of stuff that's going to miss very many bats once

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Speaker 1: hitters get a good look at you, So they have

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Speaker 1: to be realistic with what his role is and what

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Speaker 1: his value is. If he is placed on waivers, it's

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Speaker 1: very likely that he would make it all the way

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Speaker 1: through waivers, and at that point the Marlins could outright

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Speaker 1: him to the minor leagues. He does have minor league

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Speaker 1: options remaining. It doesn't close the book on him totally.

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Speaker 1: He could get an invite to spring training, get an

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Speaker 1: opportunity to earn his way back on in the major leagues.

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Speaker 1: If he does have something special in that breaking ball

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Speaker 1: and in that release point that is effective as he

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Speaker 1: showed in the Triple A this past year. Then the

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Speaker 1: Marlins can give him another shot on the roster and

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Speaker 1: handle it then. But for the time being, that roster

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Speaker 1: spot is very important for the offseason and Moran simply

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Speaker 1: does not need it. The second opening we're gonna make

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Speaker 1: is a little bit more controversial. It's finding a trade

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Speaker 1: partner for Austin Dean. Dean a longtime organizational player for

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Speaker 1: the Marlins and finally had his breakout in twenty eighteen.

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Speaker 1: In both twenty eighteen and twenty nineteen, just amazing offensive

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Speaker 1: results in the high miners, and that's why he's gotten

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Speaker 1: a few cups of coffee in the majors. Yet that

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Speaker 1: big bat that he's shown in the miners just has

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Speaker 1: not translated at all. A slash line of two twenty three,

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Speaker 1: two sixty eight, three eighty eight. It's not that much

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Speaker 1: better than JT. Riddle, And at least with Riddle you

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Speaker 1: have that defensive value in versatility. With Dean, he finally

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Speaker 1: got some opportunities down the stretch to play first base,

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Speaker 1: and in a very very small sample he looked comfortable

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Speaker 1: out there. Primary position throughout his entire pro career has

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Speaker 1: been in the outfield, specifically in left field. As it

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Speaker 1: turns out, he just cannot give you a competitive left

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Speaker 1: field effort out there. His arm, his range, his instincts,

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Speaker 1: all those are bad. There's no way to sugarcoated that

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Speaker 1: he is a bad first player, and that type of

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Speaker 1: player is ideally put in an American League team where

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Speaker 1: he could see a lot of reps as a designated hitter.

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Speaker 1: In the National League, he's more of a pinch hitter

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Speaker 1: in first baseman. It's hard to justify carrying that kind

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Speaker 1: of guy on the roster if you don't really see

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Speaker 1: the upside in it. Again, the results have not been

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Speaker 1: good at the major league level. He had a nice

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Speaker 1: spurt in September, but we always know to keep September results.

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Speaker 1: Look at it with a grain of salt. There are

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Speaker 1: so many variables that make it difficult to evaluate players

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Speaker 1: that time of year. So if the only upside to

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Speaker 1: his major league career thus far as what he did

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Speaker 1: in September, then you need to wait that appropriately and

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Speaker 1: realize that the fit just isn't very clean here with

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Speaker 1: the team. If first base is going to be his

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Speaker 1: main position moving forward, well, the Marlins they have Garrett Cooper,

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Speaker 1: and they have Leywan Diaz, and they have a bunch

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Speaker 1: of outfielders in their system. At least one of them

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Speaker 1: may transition the first base along the way. It's just

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Speaker 1: it seems like his time is up with this Marlins team.

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Speaker 1: He doesn't specifically fit the needs of the organization, and frankly,

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Speaker 1: he's such a good guy you root for him to

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Speaker 1: get a good look with a different franchise. Just the

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Speaker 1: writing on the wall is pretty clear with Gene in

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Speaker 1: his fit with the team. So this is a move

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Speaker 1: that I think is a necessary one for all parties involved.

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Speaker 1: Thank you for your patience. We finally made it to

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Speaker 1: the fun part of the exercise, spending Bruce Sherman and

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Speaker 1: Derek Jeter's money to make this roster better, more marketable,

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Speaker 1: and one that should translate into more wins in twenty twenty.

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Speaker 1: The first is going to be real Union and its

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Speaker 1: re signing right hander Sergio Romo for two years seven

339
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Speaker 1: point five million dollars. Last year, he was coming off

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Speaker 1: an uneven season with Tampa Bay when the Marlins scooped

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Speaker 1: him up all the way in spring training. His stuff

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Speaker 1: had continued to deteriorate a little bit with age, and

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Speaker 1: he was more hitable than he had been through most

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Speaker 1: of his career. His consistency wasn't quite there, and for

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Speaker 1: that reason they were able to pick him up again

346
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Speaker 1: late in the off season for just one year and

347
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Speaker 1: two point five million dollars. His stuff didn't improve during

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Speaker 1: the year necessarily, but the results in the consistency absolutely did.

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Speaker 1: Combined between the Marlins and the Twins, who he was

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Speaker 1: traded to in July, put up a three point four

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Speaker 1: to three ERA three point six y eight fielder independent pitching,

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Speaker 1: adding one full win above replacement according to Fangrafts in

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Speaker 1: sixteen to third nings pitched. He was also on the

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Speaker 1: Twins postseason roster, and through no fault of his on,

355
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Speaker 1: the Twins were swept out of that by the Yankees.

356
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Speaker 1: So he's on the market again. He'll be entering his

357
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Speaker 1: age thirty seventh season, which would give you pause at

358
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Speaker 1: almost any other position or type of player, but because

359
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Speaker 1: Romo is someone that does not rely on velocity whatsoever,

360
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Speaker 1: throwing just as soft as someone like Brian rand does.

361
00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:22,919
Speaker 1: But he has that filthy frisbee slider that continues to

362
00:20:23,040 --> 00:20:27,160
Speaker 1: have great tilt to it and a few different angles

363
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,919
Speaker 1: to it. Where he can really play around with that

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Speaker 1: pitch depending on the handedness of the batter or the count,

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Speaker 1: and make it effective. He continues to miss some bats

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Speaker 1: with it and keep balls in the ballpark at a

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Speaker 1: competitive rate. He's still a really viable pitcher who's comfortable

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Speaker 1: in late ending situations and even more importantly, comfortable in

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Speaker 1: a variety of roles. Two guaranteed years is what I

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Speaker 1: think it would take to separate himself, to separate the

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Speaker 1: Marlins from other bidders. There are going to be so

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Speaker 1: many bidders for Romo, not at a big dopmunt, but

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Speaker 1: just at a certain contract amount, because he is someone

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Speaker 1: that improves almost any bullpen, and he certainly improves any

375
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Speaker 1: clubhouse with what he brings as a fun loving guy

376
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:16,840
Speaker 1: and as a humanitarian someone that gets along great with

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Speaker 1: young fans. It's such a good value for what they

378
00:21:21,280 --> 00:21:23,920
Speaker 1: had him last year, and even at this amount two year,

379
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Speaker 1: seven point five million, I think it's extremely reasonable, and

380
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Speaker 1: that would make him already the most highest paid new

381
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Speaker 1: acquisition under Marlins ownership, whether through the drafts or free agency.

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Speaker 1: The Marlins have not committed seven point five million dollars

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Speaker 1: to any one player. I think Romo is worth it.

384
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Speaker 1: Following the signing of Romo, the Marlins forty man roster

385
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Speaker 1: would be at thirty nine, and this next trade with

386
00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:51,520
Speaker 1: the Colorado Rockies would keep that roster at thirty nine.

387
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Speaker 1: It involves acquiring veteran hitter Daniel Murphy and infield prospect

388
00:21:56,600 --> 00:22:00,480
Speaker 1: Ryan Valaide in exchange for right hander Kyle Keller and

389
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Speaker 1: infielder Bryce and Brigman Murphy. The veteran hitter is obviously

390
00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:07,159
Speaker 1: on the Rockies forty man roster. Keller is on the

391
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Speaker 1: forty man of the Marlins, so swapping those two it

392
00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:14,040
Speaker 1: keeps the roster intact for Murphy. In twenty nineteen, he

393
00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:17,080
Speaker 1: had four hundred and seventy eight played appearances, so not

394
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Speaker 1: quite a full season. He actually suffered an injury playing

395
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Speaker 1: against the Marlins that cost him a lot of time.

396
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Speaker 1: He slashed two seventy nine three twenty eight with a

397
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Speaker 1: four fifty two slugging percentage thirteen home runs, but when

398
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Speaker 1: you adjust for corus field and all the games he

399
00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:35,440
Speaker 1: played in the high altitude, it's only an eighty six

400
00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:38,800
Speaker 1: weighted runs CRADD plus where league average is one hundred.

401
00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:42,080
Speaker 1: He was significantly below league average as a hitter in

402
00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:45,879
Speaker 1: below replacement level as an overall player according to Fangrafts,

403
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Speaker 1: his worst year in a long time, and by far

404
00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:51,680
Speaker 1: a big drop off from where he was just a

405
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Speaker 1: few years ago as a fringe MVP candidate and a

406
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Speaker 1: steady All Star. Even so, he still has good bats

407
00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:02,080
Speaker 1: ball skills by any stared, and he has lots to

408
00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:05,520
Speaker 1: teach in the art of hitting that earned him a

409
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:08,040
Speaker 1: big contract in the first place, first with the Nationals

410
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,960
Speaker 1: and more recently with the Rockies. I like his fit

411
00:23:11,080 --> 00:23:14,000
Speaker 1: a lot on this team because he's recently played a

412
00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:16,679
Speaker 1: lot of first base, and going back further, he was

413
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:20,199
Speaker 1: a steady second baseman. The Marlins, of course, have Isan

414
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Speaker 1: Diez prepared to enter the year as their second baseman,

415
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:25,320
Speaker 1: but a lot could go wrong with that. He did

416
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:28,000
Speaker 1: struggle in his first taste of the big leagues with

417
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Speaker 1: the Marlins, and there are some things that give you

418
00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:35,159
Speaker 1: pause about his defense and his bats ball skills. So

419
00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:37,359
Speaker 1: Murphy is a good insurance policy in case of that.

420
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:39,919
Speaker 1: But I see him more so even playing first base

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00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:43,879
Speaker 1: for this Marlins team, filling that role that Martine Prado

422
00:23:43,920 --> 00:23:47,119
Speaker 1: and Neil Walker kind of combined to fill in twenty

423
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Speaker 1: nineteen Murphy. I think it's reasonable to expect a bit

424
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:53,439
Speaker 1: of a bounce back from him, even though he is

425
00:23:53,520 --> 00:23:56,080
Speaker 1: deep into his thirties and coming off that bad year.

426
00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 1: He has such natural hitting skills, and he's going to

427
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:03,119
Speaker 1: get to work with new hitting offensive coordinator and bench

428
00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:07,120
Speaker 1: coach James Rowson, So maybe there's something of that relationship

429
00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:10,560
Speaker 1: that could bring him back to younger days. Simply being

430
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:13,359
Speaker 1: healthy should go a long way to getting him to

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Speaker 1: be more productive. The key to all this working is

432
00:24:17,280 --> 00:24:21,440
Speaker 1: that in acquiring Ryan Valaide, who's a very legit prospect,

433
00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:24,160
Speaker 1: is that the Marlins would be absorbing all the guaranteed

434
00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:26,840
Speaker 1: money that is owed to Daniel Murphy. The Rockies are

435
00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:29,880
Speaker 1: in a situation where they have a lot of big

436
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:33,800
Speaker 1: payroll commitments and a very unbalanced roster, so to balance

437
00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:36,720
Speaker 1: that out, they're gonna need to dump some money, and

438
00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:38,880
Speaker 1: the Marlins should take advantage of that in this kind

439
00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:42,320
Speaker 1: of trade, absorbing the eight million dollars salary for Murphy,

440
00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:45,920
Speaker 1: which also has a six million dollar buyout to his

441
00:24:46,040 --> 00:24:49,000
Speaker 1: mutual option next year. That's how much he's guaranteed in

442
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:52,080
Speaker 1: twenty twenty one. If they don't agree to a mutual

443
00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:55,720
Speaker 1: option that year with Ryan Valaid. He had a massive

444
00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 1: year at the high A level with a three h

445
00:24:58,119 --> 00:25:01,000
Speaker 1: three batting average three sixty seven on the four sixty

446
00:25:01,040 --> 00:25:04,280
Speaker 1: six lugging. It's worth noting that Vlaide had some very

447
00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:08,200
Speaker 1: extreme home road splits. He was great at home nine

448
00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:11,160
Speaker 1: eighty ops and he was very mediocre on the road

449
00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:14,960
Speaker 1: six point eighty five. That's not all that unusual for

450
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:17,560
Speaker 1: a player, but something they would give you pause because

451
00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:20,920
Speaker 1: he did play in a very hitter friendly home ballpark.

452
00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:24,840
Speaker 1: MLB Pipeline has this brief scouting report on him quote

453
00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:27,760
Speaker 1: he has a tremendous feel to hit, with excellent bat

454
00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:29,480
Speaker 1: speed and a quick swing from the right side of

455
00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:32,000
Speaker 1: the plate. There's a lot of raw power to type

456
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:34,840
Speaker 1: into with the chance for Vlaide to eventually have plus

457
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:38,840
Speaker 1: pop that he'll get to thanks to his approach. He is,

458
00:25:39,920 --> 00:25:41,840
Speaker 1: depending on where you look, either a shortstop or a

459
00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:45,040
Speaker 1: third base prospect, but because of his size and his movements,

460
00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:48,280
Speaker 1: more likely to shift over to third base, which addresses

461
00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:51,600
Speaker 1: a big need in the Marlins farm system. Behind Brian Anderson,

462
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:55,440
Speaker 1: they is such a void of other third base options.

463
00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:58,360
Speaker 1: If Anderson was to have an injury, or if there

464
00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:00,960
Speaker 1: was a major league need for him to shift back

465
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,600
Speaker 1: to right field, that would create a big void where

466
00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:07,680
Speaker 1: they wouldn't get production. It's important to have insurance, and

467
00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:10,800
Speaker 1: Ryan Valaide is still close enough to the draft that

468
00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:14,000
Speaker 1: he doesn't need forty man roster protection, and he put

469
00:26:14,080 --> 00:26:16,480
Speaker 1: those big numbers this past year at the age of twenty.

470
00:26:16,800 --> 00:26:19,600
Speaker 1: He's gonna be age twenty one next year, likely playing

471
00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:21,960
Speaker 1: at Double A. It's just such a good fit with

472
00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:27,000
Speaker 1: the needs of the Marlins organization, and even if there's

473
00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:31,080
Speaker 1: no immediate role for him, it's just another great asset

474
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:34,000
Speaker 1: at the very least for them to acquire and add

475
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:36,400
Speaker 1: some depth. As for what the Marlins would be giving

476
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:40,400
Speaker 1: up Kyle Keller, He'll be entering his age twenty seven

477
00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:44,159
Speaker 1: season next year and he has only a very brief

478
00:26:44,600 --> 00:26:48,000
Speaker 1: MLB track record to show for it, with mixed results.

479
00:26:48,000 --> 00:26:51,320
Speaker 1: Someone that put up elite strikeout rates at every level

480
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:55,720
Speaker 1: of competition throughout his pro career, and I'm just not

481
00:26:55,800 --> 00:26:58,040
Speaker 1: as convinced that's gonna translate to the major league level

482
00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:01,679
Speaker 1: or if he's gonna throw enough consistent strikes to be successful.

483
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:05,560
Speaker 1: He's strictly a relief only player at this point. I

484
00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:08,200
Speaker 1: guess he's still technically a prospect because of lack of

485
00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:12,160
Speaker 1: service time, he doesn't necessarily have a role on a

486
00:27:12,160 --> 00:27:14,680
Speaker 1: good major league bullpen, which the Marlins hope to build

487
00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:17,840
Speaker 1: within the next couple of years. He just seems really

488
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:20,840
Speaker 1: expendable to me, someone that still has this chance to

489
00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:24,680
Speaker 1: be successful in the majors with his fastball curveball combination

490
00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:27,920
Speaker 1: if he's able to locate it. There's also a big

491
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:30,919
Speaker 1: case that he's a high likelihood that he's just a

492
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:34,960
Speaker 1: you know, a journeyman, a journeyman mop up, a guy

493
00:27:35,560 --> 00:27:38,440
Speaker 1: that never quite puts it all together. So with the

494
00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:41,680
Speaker 1: caliber of pitching staff of the Marlins are expected to build,

495
00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:46,040
Speaker 1: I just he just feels really expendable when you have

496
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:50,040
Speaker 1: this opportunity to acquire two key infielders in this trade,

497
00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:54,080
Speaker 1: and Bryson Brigman is an interesting one where the timing

498
00:27:54,080 --> 00:27:56,639
Speaker 1: of this trade is important because I can see a

499
00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:59,200
Speaker 1: situation where he is taken from the Marlins in the

500
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:01,680
Speaker 1: Rule five draft. He's going to be eligible. He's had

501
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:05,040
Speaker 1: really consistent on base skills in his pro career, but

502
00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:10,640
Speaker 1: the actual quality of his contact has been inconsistent. Put

503
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:13,679
Speaker 1: up really good swings throughout most of the twenty eighteen season.

504
00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,000
Speaker 1: They've started with the Mariners and then was traded to

505
00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:18,800
Speaker 1: the Marlins mid season. But then he took a big

506
00:28:18,840 --> 00:28:21,880
Speaker 1: step back this past year, which included a demotion from

507
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:26,520
Speaker 1: DOUBLEA to Hi A. At one point, the versatility is nice.

508
00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:29,960
Speaker 1: He can play both middle infield spots, but as we

509
00:28:30,040 --> 00:28:34,679
Speaker 1: mentioned with someone like JT. Riddle, that you're just not

510
00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:38,400
Speaker 1: seeing a clear paths to him playing much middle infield

511
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:40,720
Speaker 1: for the Marlins at the major league level, So might

512
00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:42,720
Speaker 1: as well send him to a place where he'll be

513
00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:47,760
Speaker 1: better appreciated. Fast forward to the MLB Winter meetings. The

514
00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:52,600
Speaker 1: Marlins under this plan, in this universe, already have Sergio

515
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:55,880
Speaker 1: Romo in the fold, Daniel Murphy reinforcing the right side

516
00:28:55,880 --> 00:29:00,120
Speaker 1: of their infield. Ryan valaide as interesting prospect depth. Need

517
00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:03,120
Speaker 1: a lot more, and they have the resources to do it.

518
00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:05,720
Speaker 1: The most obvious need at this point would be in

519
00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:08,720
Speaker 1: the outfield, which has been a pit of despair for

520
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:11,400
Speaker 1: them the last couple of years. A bunch of options

521
00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 1: they've cycled through, who can't hit, who can't really defend,

522
00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:18,200
Speaker 1: and they're gonna take the dice, roll the dice on

523
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:20,440
Speaker 1: someone whose stock is down a little bit by making

524
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:24,720
Speaker 1: a trade acquiring Albert Almira Junior from the Cubs in

525
00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:28,720
Speaker 1: exchange for right hander Jordan Holloway. The Cubs, I feel,

526
00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:31,760
Speaker 1: would be interested in making this trade because Almorra will

527
00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:34,760
Speaker 1: be arbitration eligible for the first time in twenty twenty,

528
00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 1: and he's coming off a disappointing year for them the

529
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:41,640
Speaker 1: previous year where the Cubs missed the playoffs and al

530
00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:45,040
Speaker 1: Mora's offense and defense boll took a step back in

531
00:29:45,080 --> 00:29:47,920
Speaker 1: three hundred and sixty three played appearances, a two thirty

532
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:51,120
Speaker 1: six batting average, two seventy one on base percentage, three

533
00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:54,000
Speaker 1: to eighty one slugging percentage. He set a career high

534
00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:58,320
Speaker 1: with twelve home runs, but only a sixty four weighted

535
00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:03,120
Speaker 1: runs created plus hundred disleague average, and he was performing

536
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:07,720
Speaker 1: below replacement level. Overall. MLB trade rumors projects him to

537
00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:10,680
Speaker 1: make a one point eight million dollar salary and arbitration,

538
00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:14,120
Speaker 1: and to me, that is such a low risk, highroared

539
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:17,080
Speaker 1: gamble because Amora is only a couple of years removed

540
00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:22,200
Speaker 1: from being a perfectly good everyday outfielder for the Cubs.

541
00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:40,440
Speaker 2: Three two deep blocks two one a riser off the

542
00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:42,160
Speaker 2: back with Albert al.

543
00:30:42,080 --> 00:30:48,400
Speaker 1: Moro, good contact skills, not much of a factor as

544
00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:51,640
Speaker 1: a base stealer, but a good base runner overall, and

545
00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:55,520
Speaker 1: a really versatile defender who can handle center field, which

546
00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:58,480
Speaker 1: the Marlins in particular was a mess last year. That

547
00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:00,800
Speaker 1: was the one position where they couldn't find it insistent answer,

548
00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:03,800
Speaker 1: and he would be a great placeholder for them. I

549
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:06,160
Speaker 1: think at the start of twenty twenty, at the very least,

550
00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:08,800
Speaker 1: he's a placeholder, and at the most he could be

551
00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:12,080
Speaker 1: a long term outfielder for them who's under control for

552
00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:14,680
Speaker 1: the next few years. He doesn't have the skill set

553
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:17,880
Speaker 1: that gets highly paid in arbitration, as that projection already

554
00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:20,520
Speaker 1: spells out, so to me, it's a very low risk.

555
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:23,920
Speaker 1: What they are trading is Jordan Holloway, who was in

556
00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:26,800
Speaker 1: his first year back from Tommy John in twenty nineteen.

557
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:28,960
Speaker 1: The Marlins had to protect him on the forty men

558
00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:32,200
Speaker 1: roster because there's so much intrigue about his raw stuff.

559
00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:34,920
Speaker 1: He has a high nineties fastball and he has a

560
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:39,400
Speaker 1: beautiful twelve to six curveball as well. Not a whole

561
00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:43,200
Speaker 1: lot else, and his performance in this first year back

562
00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:47,400
Speaker 1: from Tommy John was peak inconsistency. It was hard to

563
00:31:48,120 --> 00:31:52,200
Speaker 1: draw of the scenario where a player is more unpredictable

564
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:55,680
Speaker 1: one game to the next early in the year, virtually

565
00:31:55,800 --> 00:31:59,280
Speaker 1: unhittable those first month month and a half at HIGHA Jupiter,

566
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:01,720
Speaker 1: and he also had this stretch in the middle of

567
00:32:01,720 --> 00:32:04,320
Speaker 1: the summer where he couldn't throw strikes at all, more

568
00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:10,120
Speaker 1: walks than strikes. Throughout June and July. He got pretty

569
00:32:10,240 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 1: ugly where he was constantly missing up with his fastball

570
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:15,840
Speaker 1: and not getting himself in the kind of counts for

571
00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 1: opponents to chase at his secondary stuff. Holloway will be

572
00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:23,240
Speaker 1: twenty four for most of the twenty twenty season, so

573
00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:26,200
Speaker 1: still young, but at this point he's now five and

574
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:28,960
Speaker 1: a half years removed from the draft, and he could

575
00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:31,520
Speaker 1: point to the injuries, but bottom line is he hasn't

576
00:32:31,520 --> 00:32:34,280
Speaker 1: pitched above High A five and a half years into

577
00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:37,880
Speaker 1: pro ball. The track record of those guys being impactful

578
00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:41,720
Speaker 1: major leaguers is not very good. Before and after the injury,

579
00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:46,080
Speaker 1: he had this issue throwing strikes. There's still a perfectly

580
00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:49,200
Speaker 1: reasonable scenario where he is a middle reliever at the

581
00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:52,800
Speaker 1: major league level and one with good strikeout stuff, But

582
00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:57,440
Speaker 1: any scenario about him sticking in the rotation or even

583
00:32:57,520 --> 00:33:01,560
Speaker 1: being like a lights out reliever. It's very optimistic, and

584
00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:03,760
Speaker 1: I don't think that's the scenario that the Marlins should

585
00:33:03,800 --> 00:33:08,000
Speaker 1: bet on. There is naturally going to be some prospect hugging.

586
00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:10,440
Speaker 1: Now that the Marlins have put together this great farm system,

587
00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:14,480
Speaker 1: there's going to be a natural reaction to want to

588
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:16,480
Speaker 1: hold on to as much of them as possible and

589
00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:21,080
Speaker 1: build this team entirely homegrown. That's just not the way

590
00:33:21,080 --> 00:33:23,480
Speaker 1: that things get done. You need to roll the dice

591
00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:26,560
Speaker 1: in some situations to get players that you've already seen

592
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:29,640
Speaker 1: perform at the major league level, like al Mora has.

593
00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:33,920
Speaker 1: Al Mora is highly a native who born and raised

594
00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:35,960
Speaker 1: down here before he was a first round pick of

595
00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:39,880
Speaker 1: the Cubs. He might benefit a lot from the change

596
00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:41,960
Speaker 1: of scenery and the fact that he'll have a consistent role.

597
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:44,800
Speaker 1: That was one issue last year with the Cubs is

598
00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:47,080
Speaker 1: he never really made it through a single week of

599
00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:50,520
Speaker 1: the season as an everyday outfielder. But this just seems

600
00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:52,280
Speaker 1: to be a nice fit between the two teams, with

601
00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:56,280
Speaker 1: the Cubs reviving their farm system a little bit and

602
00:33:56,320 --> 00:33:59,360
Speaker 1: the Marlins getting a very valuable placeholder who can turn

603
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:01,840
Speaker 1: out to be so much more than that if everything

604
00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:05,600
Speaker 1: clicks for him. Also at the winter meetings, I'd like

605
00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:08,160
Speaker 1: to see the Marlins continue with their free agent spending,

606
00:34:08,360 --> 00:34:12,400
Speaker 1: even surpassing what they already reserved for Sergio Romo. The

607
00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:15,400
Speaker 1: single biggest contract for them to hand out would be

608
00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:19,360
Speaker 1: versatile infielder brock Holt for two years in nine point

609
00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:23,479
Speaker 1: five million dollars in twenty nineteen. He played about half

610
00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:26,359
Speaker 1: the time for the Red Sox, and he was really good,

611
00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:30,759
Speaker 1: especially offensively two ninety seven batting average, three sixty nine

612
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:34,480
Speaker 1: on base four h two, slugging only three home runs,

613
00:34:34,520 --> 00:34:37,680
Speaker 1: but because of that great on bass ability an above

614
00:34:37,680 --> 00:34:41,279
Speaker 1: average hitter, one h three weighted runs created plus and

615
00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:45,440
Speaker 1: according to Fangrafts, one point three wins above replacement for Holt.

616
00:34:45,640 --> 00:34:48,400
Speaker 1: He's been in this league for a while, with the

617
00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:50,840
Speaker 1: Red Sox the last handful of years, including their World

618
00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 1: Series championship, only one year where he's had a qualified

619
00:34:54,600 --> 00:34:57,719
Speaker 1: season as close to an everyday player, so he's accustomed

620
00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:01,040
Speaker 1: to moving around the infield, someone that carries every single

621
00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:05,400
Speaker 1: glove possible in his Duffel bag, all the infield positions,

622
00:35:05,680 --> 00:35:08,880
Speaker 1: even the corner outfield positions. If you absolutely had to,

623
00:35:08,960 --> 00:35:11,160
Speaker 1: I imagine he's the guy that would volunteer to pitch

624
00:35:11,680 --> 00:35:16,280
Speaker 1: in certain situations too. Really well regarded as a clubhouse

625
00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:20,719
Speaker 1: guy and someone in the community. So he's a great

626
00:35:20,840 --> 00:35:24,399
Speaker 1: veteran presence for this team who has that championship pedigree

627
00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 1: and some unselfishness to his game. He's been really steady

628
00:35:28,920 --> 00:35:32,200
Speaker 1: getting on base through the years. Battled some scary concussion

629
00:35:32,280 --> 00:35:36,200
Speaker 1: situation not that long ago, so that would give you

630
00:35:36,239 --> 00:35:39,520
Speaker 1: some concern about how much playing time you can expect him,

631
00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:41,839
Speaker 1: and the whole idea would be rolling into this year

632
00:35:41,880 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 1: without any particular reserved spot for him on an everyday basis.

633
00:35:47,120 --> 00:35:50,200
Speaker 1: He's someone that fills the holes as needed and as

634
00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:53,200
Speaker 1: really comfortable with that and has shown that Unlike someone

635
00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:56,080
Speaker 1: like al Mora who had difficulty adjusting to a part

636
00:35:56,080 --> 00:35:59,640
Speaker 1: time role, Holt is the opposite where he seems to

637
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 1: be really embracing that situation for the Marlins. I would

638
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:06,960
Speaker 1: see you have Murphy already signed up for a lot

639
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:10,120
Speaker 1: of first base and second base. With Holt, it would

640
00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:12,879
Speaker 1: also be some second base and third base, as well

641
00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:15,520
Speaker 1: as left field depending on how these options play out.

642
00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:18,319
Speaker 1: He's someone that could move around to all three of

643
00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 1: those spots. Without him affecting his bat too much. And

644
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:25,839
Speaker 1: in the first place, See is never a great power hitter,

645
00:36:26,160 --> 00:36:28,200
Speaker 1: so he understands how to be a productive player without

646
00:36:28,239 --> 00:36:30,640
Speaker 1: hitting it over the wall. I don't think the transition

647
00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:35,120
Speaker 1: from Fenway Park to Marlins Park would really adversely affect

648
00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:37,640
Speaker 1: his game all that much. He's immune to that, so

649
00:36:37,719 --> 00:36:41,800
Speaker 1: he seems like a nice, safe acquisition. The last handful

650
00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:44,720
Speaker 1: of years, the Marlins have not invested much in these

651
00:36:45,239 --> 00:36:49,040
Speaker 1: utility guys, and they've gotten burned pretty frequently when these

652
00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:53,759
Speaker 1: guys don't hit as promised or aren't as great defensively.

653
00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:57,400
Speaker 1: You need to sometimes actually put up real, guaranteed multi

654
00:36:57,480 --> 00:37:00,839
Speaker 1: year money for people that are proved in this role

655
00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 1: in the way that brock Holt is. With the signing

656
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:07,279
Speaker 1: of Holt that puts the Marlins forty man roster at

657
00:37:07,400 --> 00:37:10,440
Speaker 1: forty you're all filled up right now, which would mean

658
00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:13,759
Speaker 1: that any additional acquisitions would have to have a corresponding

659
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:17,360
Speaker 1: move in order to make it work. And I'm perfectly

660
00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:19,440
Speaker 1: fine with that because of things, Sam, you still have

661
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:24,200
Speaker 1: dispendable pitchers on this forty man roster that I think

662
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:27,760
Speaker 1: you can upgrade on in free agency. Two more signings

663
00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:31,239
Speaker 1: that I'm looking at not quite as expensive as Holt

664
00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:34,719
Speaker 1: would be left hander Jake Diekman for one year four

665
00:37:34,719 --> 00:37:38,000
Speaker 1: million guaranteed, also include a club option on that for

666
00:37:38,040 --> 00:37:40,840
Speaker 1: twenty twenty one that would pay him four million dollars

667
00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:45,280
Speaker 1: as well. He was recently sent into free agency when

668
00:37:45,480 --> 00:37:49,200
Speaker 1: the Oakland A's declined his contract option, which was five

669
00:37:49,239 --> 00:37:52,840
Speaker 1: point seventy five million, which shows that they believe his

670
00:37:52,920 --> 00:37:55,759
Speaker 1: market value was less than five point seventy five. I

671
00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:58,880
Speaker 1: think four million is just about right for him. It

672
00:37:58,960 --> 00:38:01,240
Speaker 1: might go a little higher than that, and at again

673
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:04,040
Speaker 1: we're calling this the perfect Marlins offseason plan, getting these

674
00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:07,920
Speaker 1: guys at these particular prices that I feel are realistically

675
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:11,680
Speaker 1: I feel are realistic, but may err on the side

676
00:38:11,680 --> 00:38:14,279
Speaker 1: of being a little team friendly. So we'll see how

677
00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:16,480
Speaker 1: it plays out. But they should be prepared to pay

678
00:38:16,560 --> 00:38:20,080
Speaker 1: him whatever is necessary on that one year deal and

679
00:38:20,120 --> 00:38:23,400
Speaker 1: set up that option for him. In twenty nineteen with

680
00:38:23,480 --> 00:38:25,279
Speaker 1: the Royals and the A's, he put up a four

681
00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:28,040
Speaker 1: point sixty five ERA three point five to five to

682
00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:31,800
Speaker 1: fip one point zero wins above a replacement in sixty

683
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:35,239
Speaker 1: two innings, so very similar to Sergio Romo, but a

684
00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:40,160
Speaker 1: dramatically different style, obviously, being left hander, a much taller pitcher,

685
00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:43,280
Speaker 1: and a harder thrower. He's pretty deep into his thirties,

686
00:38:43,280 --> 00:38:46,520
Speaker 1: but he's been able to maintain that velocity. What draws

687
00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:47,840
Speaker 1: me to him in the first place is that he

688
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:51,000
Speaker 1: keeps the ball in the ballpark. In twenty nineteen, the

689
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:54,759
Speaker 1: Marlins set an unfortunate franchise record, allowing more home runs

690
00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:58,080
Speaker 1: than ever before, and Deemon would not be part of

691
00:38:58,120 --> 00:39:02,000
Speaker 1: that issue. He has had some inconsistency throwing strikes, especially

692
00:39:02,080 --> 00:39:05,600
Speaker 1: this past year, and had some bad luck in twenty

693
00:39:05,680 --> 00:39:08,000
Speaker 1: nineteen with those base runners coming around to score and

694
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:11,640
Speaker 1: not being able to strand them. That being said, with

695
00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:14,600
Speaker 1: the way that baseball is being played right now, the

696
00:39:14,640 --> 00:39:17,360
Speaker 1: ball being used and more importantly the approached hitters have

697
00:39:18,280 --> 00:39:21,200
Speaker 1: the most valuable skill that a pitcher can possess is

698
00:39:22,360 --> 00:39:25,080
Speaker 1: being able to keep the ball in the ballpark, and

699
00:39:25,120 --> 00:39:28,160
Speaker 1: Deacman's been able to do that, never allowed more than

700
00:39:28,200 --> 00:39:31,200
Speaker 1: five home runs in any single season of his career.

701
00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:35,240
Speaker 1: All of a sudden, you update what this bullpen projects

702
00:39:35,239 --> 00:39:39,880
Speaker 1: to be, and you have Sergerio Romo and Deakman, Ryan Stanik,

703
00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:45,240
Speaker 1: Harlan Garcia, Jeff Brigham, who was sneaky effective Tyler Kinley.

704
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:49,960
Speaker 1: Maybe some of these top prospects really take to relieving immediately,

705
00:39:50,040 --> 00:39:55,240
Speaker 1: like George Guzman, and it's a really competent group. After

706
00:39:55,280 --> 00:39:57,680
Speaker 1: a year where they had maybe the worst bullpen in

707
00:39:57,719 --> 00:40:00,719
Speaker 1: franchise history, you could take the leap to competence just

708
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:04,919
Speaker 1: by making some of these modest expenditures. The one name

709
00:40:04,960 --> 00:40:08,360
Speaker 1: that I didn't include in that group is Tyrone Guerrero.

710
00:40:08,719 --> 00:40:12,440
Speaker 1: We love his fastball velocity and his energy, but he

711
00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:15,759
Speaker 1: was terrible in twenty nineteen with both an ERA and

712
00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:19,759
Speaker 1: a FIP above six. He was affected, no doubt by

713
00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:24,000
Speaker 1: some injuries to his fingernails. It was a fingernail and

714
00:40:24,480 --> 00:40:28,040
Speaker 1: also a finger, a couple separate stints on the injured list,

715
00:40:28,480 --> 00:40:30,880
Speaker 1: and he's making up for those innings right now during

716
00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:34,600
Speaker 1: the Dominican Winter League. But he's laid into his twenties

717
00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:37,440
Speaker 1: and he has not had any consistent success as a

718
00:40:37,480 --> 00:40:42,000
Speaker 1: major league reliever. A decent strikeout rate but an unacceptably

719
00:40:42,080 --> 00:40:45,600
Speaker 1: high walk rate in the major leagues. If he doesn't

720
00:40:45,640 --> 00:40:48,759
Speaker 1: have much trust in his slider and he doesn't have

721
00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:52,080
Speaker 1: consistent control of his fastball, he's just not going to

722
00:40:52,160 --> 00:40:56,560
Speaker 1: get out consistently. Especially in any high leverage situations. I

723
00:40:56,600 --> 00:40:59,560
Speaker 1: believe the Marlins can get away with designating him for

724
00:40:59,600 --> 00:41:03,520
Speaker 1: a sign, having him passed through waivers, and outriding him

725
00:41:03,640 --> 00:41:06,319
Speaker 1: to the miners, getting him off the forty man in

726
00:41:06,400 --> 00:41:10,040
Speaker 1: order to fit Deecman into the equation. I guess you

727
00:41:10,080 --> 00:41:13,120
Speaker 1: still like Garro's potential a little bit just because of

728
00:41:13,160 --> 00:41:17,319
Speaker 1: that triple digit fastball velocity. It's just unreasonable to have

729
00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:20,600
Speaker 1: him on the forty man when other teams don't value

730
00:41:20,640 --> 00:41:24,080
Speaker 1: him that much for the final stage of the offseason.

731
00:41:24,360 --> 00:41:26,920
Speaker 1: This comes after you've addressed the bullpen, added a couple

732
00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:30,920
Speaker 1: veteran bats, and in all likelihood sent out minor league

733
00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:33,120
Speaker 1: non roster invites. Every team, does it, you know, with

734
00:41:33,160 --> 00:41:37,279
Speaker 1: about a dozen or more players at various positions, Particularly

735
00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:39,439
Speaker 1: with the Marlins, it's going to be a catcher where

736
00:41:39,480 --> 00:41:42,200
Speaker 1: they'll need to bring in a couple guys just to

737
00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:45,960
Speaker 1: work with their pitchers early in camp and potentially fill

738
00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:48,440
Speaker 1: out the high miners. But in my mind, they do

739
00:41:48,520 --> 00:41:52,240
Speaker 1: need to make one significant investment in a major league catcher.

740
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:55,719
Speaker 1: Now that Brian Holliday is in free agency coming off

741
00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:59,160
Speaker 1: a kind of uneven defensive year and he hit well

742
00:41:59,200 --> 00:42:02,400
Speaker 1: in twenty nineteen, but didn't really give you much confidence

743
00:42:02,440 --> 00:42:06,040
Speaker 1: in that continuing moving forward, and Chad Wallach coming off

744
00:42:06,080 --> 00:42:09,720
Speaker 1: concussion injuries. You know the way that Jorge al Faro plays,

745
00:42:10,080 --> 00:42:14,400
Speaker 1: where he had a decent first year with the Marlins,

746
00:42:14,480 --> 00:42:17,680
Speaker 1: some very high highs, but a lot of inconsistency and

747
00:42:17,840 --> 00:42:20,799
Speaker 1: the kind of effort that he plays with. While it's

748
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:23,640
Speaker 1: really encouraging to see it, does you would think leave

749
00:42:23,680 --> 00:42:27,319
Speaker 1: them more susceptible to injuries moving forward. All that being said,

750
00:42:27,520 --> 00:42:30,719
Speaker 1: the Marlins should have a very strong backup option in

751
00:42:30,800 --> 00:42:34,560
Speaker 1: place in case things go poorly with al Farrow or

752
00:42:34,920 --> 00:42:38,319
Speaker 1: in simply to be guy in the clubhouse and in

753
00:42:38,360 --> 00:42:41,239
Speaker 1: the dugout that can offer valuable advice to the young

754
00:42:41,360 --> 00:42:44,160
Speaker 1: core of this team. My pick for that would be

755
00:42:44,320 --> 00:42:47,640
Speaker 1: Jason Castro for a one year, three point five million

756
00:42:47,680 --> 00:42:52,480
Speaker 1: dollars guarantee, and this would probably be have some additional

757
00:42:52,480 --> 00:42:56,560
Speaker 1: considerations in the contract aside from that guaranteed salary. Have

758
00:42:56,640 --> 00:43:00,120
Speaker 1: a million dollars in incentives based on him staying healthy,

759
00:43:00,520 --> 00:43:03,040
Speaker 1: and an extra million dollars based on how often he's

760
00:43:03,080 --> 00:43:05,640
Speaker 1: actually in the lineup. Give him a kind of deal

761
00:43:05,719 --> 00:43:09,280
Speaker 1: that would max out at five point five million dollars.

762
00:43:09,520 --> 00:43:11,800
Speaker 1: That seems pretty steep at first glance for a backup,

763
00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:13,600
Speaker 1: but this is a guy that was signed to the

764
00:43:13,640 --> 00:43:15,799
Speaker 1: Twins in the first place a few years ago to

765
00:43:15,840 --> 00:43:18,920
Speaker 1: be their starter at a salary of what seven or

766
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:21,799
Speaker 1: eight million dollars a year. For those three years, he

767
00:43:21,920 --> 00:43:25,120
Speaker 1: missed almost all of the twenty eighteen season, and he

768
00:43:25,160 --> 00:43:28,200
Speaker 1: missed a big chunk of twenty nineteen as well, But

769
00:43:28,600 --> 00:43:32,400
Speaker 1: when he was healthy enough to hit, he was really productive.

770
00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:35,960
Speaker 1: Two hundred and seventy five played appearances last season, two

771
00:43:36,000 --> 00:43:39,560
Speaker 1: thirty two, batting average three thirty two, on base four

772
00:43:39,760 --> 00:43:43,960
Speaker 1: thirty five, slugging thirteen home runs, and an above average

773
00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:48,120
Speaker 1: hitter overall at one three WRC plus one and a

774
00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:51,160
Speaker 1: half wins above replacement as a guy that did not

775
00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:54,839
Speaker 1: play every single day on that crowded Twins team. I

776
00:43:54,880 --> 00:43:58,600
Speaker 1: love the connection with James rows and Rowson his time

777
00:43:58,760 --> 00:44:01,880
Speaker 1: with the Twins coincide perfectly with Castro. They spent the

778
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:05,600
Speaker 1: same three seasons in Minnesota, and even now that Castro

779
00:44:05,680 --> 00:44:08,919
Speaker 1: is in his thirties, he had this pretty productive year

780
00:44:09,000 --> 00:44:11,719
Speaker 1: when he was in the lineup that I imagine to

781
00:44:11,760 --> 00:44:14,040
Speaker 1: at least some small extent, had to do with working

782
00:44:14,120 --> 00:44:18,560
Speaker 1: with Rosen reuniting those guys works well. I don't like

783
00:44:18,600 --> 00:44:20,719
Speaker 1: it for that to dictate all of the offseason moves,

784
00:44:20,920 --> 00:44:23,080
Speaker 1: but he can bring a guy that's local to South

785
00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:25,720
Speaker 1: Florida home, as they did with Albert dl More junior,

786
00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:28,120
Speaker 1: and now you bring a guy to work with a

787
00:44:28,239 --> 00:44:32,040
Speaker 1: coach that he's already very familiar with in Castro. I

788
00:44:32,080 --> 00:44:35,600
Speaker 1: think that stuff matters and can maximize the performance that

789
00:44:35,640 --> 00:44:39,240
Speaker 1: those guys have. Now, is this the most realistic option?

790
00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:44,160
Speaker 1: Would Castro be looking to start consistently with another team?

791
00:44:44,239 --> 00:44:47,120
Speaker 1: Maybe because he's used to that, and we know that

792
00:44:47,360 --> 00:44:49,960
Speaker 1: in the current Major League Baseball environment, a lot of

793
00:44:50,000 --> 00:44:53,840
Speaker 1: teams need catchers or at least very interested in upgrading

794
00:44:53,840 --> 00:44:57,200
Speaker 1: at that position. So perhaps there is a situation where

795
00:44:57,480 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 1: there's another team that offers more money or a bigger rule,

796
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:04,560
Speaker 1: something in particular that Castro values more than to reunite

797
00:45:04,600 --> 00:45:08,000
Speaker 1: with James Rowson. If not, I think this is the

798
00:45:08,000 --> 00:45:11,160
Speaker 1: perfect fit for all the reasons I've already mentioned, and

799
00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:14,440
Speaker 1: even more so because of Castro's pitch framing. If you

800
00:45:14,560 --> 00:45:17,480
Speaker 1: rewind a few years when he was with the Astros,

801
00:45:17,840 --> 00:45:20,600
Speaker 1: he was among the most valuable pitch framers in all

802
00:45:20,600 --> 00:45:25,960
Speaker 1: of baseball. It's an unscientific skill to have that Ratings

803
00:45:26,040 --> 00:45:29,760
Speaker 1: vary a little bit from site to site, but across

804
00:45:30,600 --> 00:45:37,120
Speaker 1: Baseball Savant's baseball perspectives, Castro was unanimously regarded as an

805
00:45:37,160 --> 00:45:40,320
Speaker 1: above average pitch framer, and that's something that al Faro

806
00:45:40,520 --> 00:45:43,239
Speaker 1: in particular needs to improve upon. Last year he was

807
00:45:43,360 --> 00:45:47,200
Speaker 1: very ordinary, middle of the road in that skill. And

808
00:45:47,480 --> 00:45:50,040
Speaker 1: if you're working with a lot of young pitchers, and

809
00:45:50,040 --> 00:45:53,080
Speaker 1: that's how I envisioned this team going together, is keeping

810
00:45:53,120 --> 00:45:56,839
Speaker 1: all these young, controllable starting pitchers intact, then you want

811
00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:59,400
Speaker 1: to put them in the best opportunity to steal strikes,

812
00:45:59,560 --> 00:46:02,480
Speaker 1: to have a that has worked with those skills before,

813
00:46:03,040 --> 00:46:06,440
Speaker 1: and Castro in particular, for that reason, I love the

814
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:10,680
Speaker 1: fit as a high profile backup to Alfaro once again.

815
00:46:10,760 --> 00:46:13,000
Speaker 1: With a full forty man roster, the Marlins would need

816
00:46:13,000 --> 00:46:15,520
Speaker 1: to make a corresponding move to bring Castro in in

817
00:46:15,560 --> 00:46:18,320
Speaker 1: the first place. And this decision isn't as clear cut

818
00:46:18,320 --> 00:46:22,040
Speaker 1: as some of the previous ones, because you've already made

819
00:46:22,080 --> 00:46:24,360
Speaker 1: decisions on a lot of the worst performers from the

820
00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:29,160
Speaker 1: previous year, either deafaying them or trading them away. So

821
00:46:29,360 --> 00:46:31,160
Speaker 1: the decision is not as easy this time. There's a

822
00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:34,040
Speaker 1: few different directions you could go, and in any case

823
00:46:34,080 --> 00:46:37,400
Speaker 1: you might feel some regret about it. There would be

824
00:46:37,520 --> 00:46:41,000
Speaker 1: a case, certainly to cut ties with Lewis Brinson, who,

825
00:46:41,080 --> 00:46:44,520
Speaker 1: as I've mentioned previously on the website and on the podcast,

826
00:46:44,560 --> 00:46:48,120
Speaker 1: he is the worst hitting outfielder through his age twenty

827
00:46:48,160 --> 00:46:52,840
Speaker 1: five season that we have on record in recent memory.

828
00:46:52,960 --> 00:46:55,000
Speaker 1: There's a lot of reasons to believe that Brinson is

829
00:46:55,360 --> 00:46:59,080
Speaker 1: never going to tap into it. But being that the

830
00:46:59,080 --> 00:47:01,319
Speaker 1: coaching staff has made it changes for the better and

831
00:47:01,360 --> 00:47:04,399
Speaker 1: that the Marlins had some outfield reps to use early

832
00:47:04,440 --> 00:47:07,480
Speaker 1: in the season, I think he deserves one more chance

833
00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:10,440
Speaker 1: at least to come into spring training, and I wouldn't

834
00:47:10,440 --> 00:47:13,840
Speaker 1: be comfortable cutting with ties with him at this juncture

835
00:47:14,000 --> 00:47:17,960
Speaker 1: and risk him being cleaned by another team instead. The

836
00:47:18,000 --> 00:47:20,799
Speaker 1: most expendable guy left on the forty man would be

837
00:47:20,960 --> 00:47:24,960
Speaker 1: left hander Josei Kihata, who made his rookie debut in

838
00:47:25,040 --> 00:47:29,000
Speaker 1: twenty nineteen. Showed good fastball velocity from the left side

839
00:47:29,400 --> 00:47:33,240
Speaker 1: and this zero control whatsoever. Even compared to someone like Guerrero,

840
00:47:34,280 --> 00:47:39,440
Speaker 1: Kiato was even more volatile and straight up bad in

841
00:47:39,840 --> 00:47:44,160
Speaker 1: locating his pitches. He had a lot of really explosive

842
00:47:44,480 --> 00:47:48,800
Speaker 1: rallies that brought upon himself by getting into bad counts

843
00:47:48,800 --> 00:47:54,000
Speaker 1: and putting free runners on base. I think his fielder

844
00:47:54,040 --> 00:47:57,680
Speaker 1: independent pitching was even higher than Guerrero's was this past year,

845
00:47:58,440 --> 00:48:02,200
Speaker 1: option back and forth between New Orleans and the Marlins

846
00:48:02,200 --> 00:48:06,520
Speaker 1: several different times. He's younger than Guerrero, is just twenty

847
00:48:06,520 --> 00:48:10,600
Speaker 1: four years old, but he's missing that really critical element

848
00:48:10,640 --> 00:48:12,799
Speaker 1: of pitching, which is knowing where your pitches are going.

849
00:48:14,239 --> 00:48:16,480
Speaker 1: He was actually regarded as a top thirty prospect in

850
00:48:16,520 --> 00:48:19,520
Speaker 1: the Marlins system entering last year, but I think that

851
00:48:19,600 --> 00:48:22,359
Speaker 1: speaks to more towards the lack of depth that they

852
00:48:22,400 --> 00:48:26,160
Speaker 1: had in that organization at that moment. To me, I

853
00:48:26,200 --> 00:48:28,839
Speaker 1: think you take the chance that he's claimed elsewhere. With

854
00:48:28,880 --> 00:48:32,120
Speaker 1: what the moves they've made in this situation to improve

855
00:48:32,200 --> 00:48:35,239
Speaker 1: the bullpen, he wouldn't necessarily have a spot in that

856
00:48:35,280 --> 00:48:40,319
Speaker 1: bullpen anyway. So to me, this is the kind of

857
00:48:40,320 --> 00:48:42,320
Speaker 1: a situation you get in when you improve the roster.

858
00:48:42,920 --> 00:48:47,560
Speaker 1: It means feeling comfortable with the chance to lose some

859
00:48:47,600 --> 00:48:51,800
Speaker 1: of your former good prospects. And maybe Kahata puts it together,

860
00:48:52,360 --> 00:48:54,719
Speaker 1: I think there is a very realistic situation that he

861
00:48:54,760 --> 00:48:57,120
Speaker 1: goes unclaimed and the Marlins would be able to keep

862
00:48:57,200 --> 00:48:59,919
Speaker 1: him in the organization as with some of the other

863
00:49:00,040 --> 00:49:04,319
Speaker 1: previous relievers. If not, I think that's a calculated risk

864
00:49:04,520 --> 00:49:12,000
Speaker 1: that they should take. Executing this offseason plan, the Marlins

865
00:49:12,040 --> 00:49:17,359
Speaker 1: wind up with a deeper, more talented, and more inviting team,

866
00:49:17,880 --> 00:49:20,600
Speaker 1: one that, particularly in the bullpen, goes from being one

867
00:49:20,600 --> 00:49:23,200
Speaker 1: of the worst in baseball to firmly in the middle

868
00:49:23,239 --> 00:49:26,000
Speaker 1: of the pack with some significant upside on the position

869
00:49:26,040 --> 00:49:29,560
Speaker 1: player side. They have defensive pieces that make more sense

870
00:49:29,600 --> 00:49:34,839
Speaker 1: alongside each other, and lineup that put together doesn't have

871
00:49:34,880 --> 00:49:37,279
Speaker 1: as many obvious holes in it. Just to give you

872
00:49:37,320 --> 00:49:40,680
Speaker 1: a taste, this would be my projected opening day lineup

873
00:49:40,719 --> 00:49:43,040
Speaker 1: with all these moves made and making it through spring

874
00:49:43,080 --> 00:49:46,600
Speaker 1: training in good health. You have Miguel Rojas leading off

875
00:49:46,800 --> 00:49:50,640
Speaker 1: as the starting shortstop, Brian Anderson batting second at third base,

876
00:49:51,120 --> 00:49:56,280
Speaker 1: Garrett Cooper in left field, at batting third, Daniel Murphy

877
00:49:56,440 --> 00:49:59,839
Speaker 1: starting at first base and batting cleanup, Jorge al far

878
00:50:00,520 --> 00:50:04,480
Speaker 1: in the five spot, catching Is san Diez playing second

879
00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:08,359
Speaker 1: base and batting sixth. Albert Almira Junior in the seventh spot,

880
00:50:08,440 --> 00:50:12,760
Speaker 1: starting at center field, Magnari Sierra starting in right, batting

881
00:50:12,840 --> 00:50:16,680
Speaker 1: eighth and getting the start, and at the end of

882
00:50:16,680 --> 00:50:21,200
Speaker 1: the lineup you have starting pitcher Sandy Alcantra. The major

883
00:50:21,280 --> 00:50:24,680
Speaker 1: league payroll for this team is really similar to what

884
00:50:24,719 --> 00:50:27,840
Speaker 1: they had in twenty nineteen, except I think the results

885
00:50:27,840 --> 00:50:31,080
Speaker 1: would be a lot different. Very comfortable projecting this team

886
00:50:31,080 --> 00:50:34,120
Speaker 1: to win seventy games and maybe a couple even more

887
00:50:34,160 --> 00:50:38,719
Speaker 1: than that, assuming reasonable health and that the top prospects

888
00:50:38,760 --> 00:50:42,440
Speaker 1: breaking through get acclimated relatively cluickly. That's a big question

889
00:50:42,520 --> 00:50:45,080
Speaker 1: mark with this team, considering how some of their other

890
00:50:45,160 --> 00:50:49,040
Speaker 1: young players have not had that smooth transition. But assuming

891
00:50:49,080 --> 00:50:52,239
Speaker 1: that the coaches that they want already in place and

892
00:50:52,360 --> 00:50:55,480
Speaker 1: these players stay healthy and stay true to themselves, this

893
00:50:55,560 --> 00:50:57,480
Speaker 1: is the kind of big lead forward that would get

894
00:50:57,480 --> 00:51:01,200
Speaker 1: the Marlins excited and get this team moving in the

895
00:51:01,280 --> 00:51:04,480
Speaker 1: right direction. So I'm interested to hear what you think

896
00:51:04,560 --> 00:51:07,560
Speaker 1: before we get too deep into the off season. Make

897
00:51:07,600 --> 00:51:10,239
Speaker 1: sure to comment on this article, reach out to us

898
00:51:10,239 --> 00:51:13,600
Speaker 1: on social media, give us the details of what kind

899
00:51:13,640 --> 00:51:16,279
Speaker 1: of plan you want the team to execute. Keep it

900
00:51:16,320 --> 00:51:19,799
Speaker 1: within reason, as I was definitely tempted to hand out

901
00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:24,000
Speaker 1: some bigger contracts to Cel pligue or Nicholas Costiano's and

902
00:51:24,040 --> 00:51:25,840
Speaker 1: maybe you believe that's the right move at this time.

903
00:51:26,960 --> 00:51:29,560
Speaker 1: I believe that tinkering on the margins in all these

904
00:51:29,600 --> 00:51:34,200
Speaker 1: different ways would be more effective and less risky long term.

905
00:51:34,280 --> 00:51:39,640
Speaker 1: But always encouraging people to have conflicting perspectives from my own,

906
00:51:39,880 --> 00:51:43,120
Speaker 1: and that's how you get the best solutions overall to

907
00:51:43,200 --> 00:51:45,439
Speaker 1: what the team should be doing moving forward. Is when

908
00:51:45,480 --> 00:51:48,000
Speaker 1: you use the wisdom of the crowd to put it

909
00:51:48,040 --> 00:51:51,960
Speaker 1: all together. Make sure to subscribe to the Fish Stripes podcast.

910
00:51:52,280 --> 00:51:55,840
Speaker 1: Check with us always on the website and on social media.

911
00:51:56,360 --> 00:51:58,560
Speaker 1: I'm Elis Susman. Go Fish

912
00:52:07,680 --> 00:52:08,000
Speaker 2: Huge.