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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Sunday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perelt. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials in whoa Boy? Did I get smoked yesterday?

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Speaker 1: Like smoked like a bong at a high school party? Bad?

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Speaker 1: Bad bad? Oh and five? Now, if you were with

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Speaker 1: us on the Discord channel chat, you know that I

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Speaker 1: didn't go oh and five personally the whole day, but

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Speaker 1: officially I went oh and five. I wound up going

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Speaker 1: four and eight, which is not much better. Okay, I'm

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Speaker 1: not saying that oh and five versus four and eight,

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Speaker 1: there's not I mean okay. I was down a little

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Speaker 1: bit better than what the official plays were, but not

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Speaker 1: much like, not much better in terms of what we did. Oklahoma.

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Speaker 1: I don't know why John Matteer did it played. I

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Speaker 1: think he heard Oklahoma by playing. Actually in that football game,

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Speaker 1: the over was the play U and LV wins, but

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Speaker 1: they don't cover. They won by three. Michigan couldn't score

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Speaker 1: and once they lost their starting running back, that was

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Speaker 1: a bad break because they couldn't do anything. You know,

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Speaker 1: USC did their part. Oregon lost outright. That was the

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Speaker 1: bad bet of the day and the Auburn game. I mean, look,

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Speaker 1: I am not a conspiracy theorist. I do not believe

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Speaker 1: that sports are fixed. I do not believe that there

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Speaker 1: is some caboul somewhere running and pulling strings and making

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Speaker 1: sure everything goes the way that the books want and

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Speaker 1: pick the phone up and make a phone call. Right, No,

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Speaker 1: I don't believe that. However, the incompetence that was shown

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Speaker 1: by the referees in that football game for Auburn and

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Speaker 1: Georgia was of epic proportions. That was a seventeen to

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Speaker 1: nothing football game. Auburn scored. I'm sorry, Auburn scored a touchdown.

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Speaker 1: I have no idea. I agree with Sean McDonough. I

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Speaker 1: agree with the rules analyst on ABC. That's touchdown, seventeen nothing.

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Speaker 1: Kirby Smart was seen running down the sidelines to call

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Speaker 1: time out, and then he was able to convince a clueless,

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Speaker 1: ridiculously ill prepared referee that he was clapping. He was

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Speaker 1: telling them to clap it to snap the football, not

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Speaker 1: calling time out, which he was clearly and they let

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Speaker 1: him get away with it. There were targeting calls, they

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Speaker 1: were missed holding calls, they were missed off sides, they

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Speaker 1: were missed false starts. In every referee call just happened

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Speaker 1: to go against Auburn in most cases, not every time,

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Speaker 1: but in most cases. Again, I don't think the game

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Speaker 1: was fixed. I just think in competence leads people to

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Speaker 1: ask questions. That is not good. And then what in

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Speaker 1: the heck was that at the end of the game.

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Speaker 1: Why would you score that touchdown there? Why would Gunner

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Speaker 1: Stockton score that touchdown? At least the coaches ripped him

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Speaker 1: a new one for doing that. That was stupid. They

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Speaker 1: could have ended the football game. Slide at the two

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Speaker 1: yard line, take three knees, the game's over. You win

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Speaker 1: the game by three. The only way you lose that

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Speaker 1: game is by allowing Auburn had the football back, which

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Speaker 1: would have cast our plus four. I thought we'd go

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Speaker 1: one in four. No, just one of those days, just

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Speaker 1: a bad day at the office. We recalibrate, and we

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Speaker 1: get rolling once again. Now I've told you guys this before.

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Speaker 1: I don't win every day, I don't win every week,

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Speaker 1: and I don't win every month. We're due for a

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Speaker 1: losing month. October is off to a really bad start,

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Speaker 1: and we're due to have a bad month. I mean,

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Speaker 1: look at, we won in June, we won in July. Sorry, no,

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Speaker 1: we lost in June. We won in July, we won

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Speaker 1: in August, we won in September. No, do we win

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Speaker 1: in June. I gotta go back and to protect that.

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Speaker 1: I know we didn't win in May. I know May

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Speaker 1: we lost. We had back to back losing months. I think, right,

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Speaker 1: I don't know we're up still big, long story short

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Speaker 1: that we're still up over thirty units for the for

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Speaker 1: the year. It's just I know I've had a three month.

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Speaker 1: I haven't had a losing month in a while. I

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Speaker 1: know that in October is off to a bad start,

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Speaker 1: so we'll probably have a losing month in October. I mean,

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Speaker 1: we have time to dig out of this heat and

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Speaker 1: look at, if the Brewers win the World Series, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna be on easy Street for the month. That saves

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Speaker 1: the month. If the Brewers win the World Series, or

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Speaker 1: at least get into it where I can hedge dramatically

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Speaker 1: and have a huge position. I'm we have that twenty

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Speaker 1: six to one ticket on them. So just you know,

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Speaker 1: we've given a unit back with the Padres, a unit

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Speaker 1: back with the UH with the Cubs. So it's twenty

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Speaker 1: five to one ticket now on the Brewers against the Dodgers.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what I'm doing yet, so just hold on.

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Speaker 1: I got to ask some people. I got to figure out.

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Speaker 1: Do I want to let that series play out? It's

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Speaker 1: very possible. I'm gonna let that series play out a

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Speaker 1: bit before I get involved. Minus two point fifty on

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers is not a great price to get into.

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Speaker 1: I'd rather see if the Brewers can win game one.

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Speaker 1: They are six and oh you know this season against

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers, so let's see what they can do here

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Speaker 1: at home. They have home field, and they're going to

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Speaker 1: be confident as holy heck, and their pitching is going

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Speaker 1: to be lined up the Dodgers as well. But the

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Speaker 1: Dodgers are not a good road team. They've been great

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Speaker 1: at home. They've been not great, even though they won

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Speaker 1: two games against the Phillies and the DS series on

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Speaker 1: the road. I've been great on the road this year,

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Speaker 1: so I'm inclined to let that play out a little

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Speaker 1: bit to see how that seven game series is going

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Speaker 1: to go before we get involved. To hedge off of

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Speaker 1: our position with the Brewers to win the World Series.

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Speaker 1: So more to come on that. I've got four plays

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Speaker 1: for us, and I tell you right here, after a

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Speaker 1: day like yesterday, I am not going to get hooked. Okay.

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Speaker 1: I have bought the half a point on three bets,

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Speaker 1: I'm paying the juice. Will it burn me? Maybe? Okay maybe,

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Speaker 1: But I'm willing to risk it here because I do

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Speaker 1: think it's the right way. It's the right play rather

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Speaker 1: than getting ourselves in trouble because we might need that

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Speaker 1: hook at the end. It may give us a push

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Speaker 1: versus giving us a loss on the Hulk, and I

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Speaker 1: don't I don't think my mental capacity can handle losing

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Speaker 1: games on the hook. Today on a Sunday, a reminder

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Speaker 1: that we have the live stream with Terrell Ferman and myself.

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Speaker 1: Terrell's going to step in here with me for one

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Speaker 1: hour from noon to one Eastern time on the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel. You're watching it right now or you're

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Speaker 1: listening to it, but come on over to the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel. We'll break down every game, give you picks, plays,

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Speaker 1: more bets, props, and other things. Maybe a long teaser

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Speaker 1: if it makes sense for us coming up here during

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Speaker 1: the live stream with Charell Ferman and myself coming up

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Speaker 1: at twelve noon, nine am Pacific time on the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel. Let me remind you about our friends

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Speaker 1: at hard Rock Bet. Today's show is being brought to

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Speaker 1: Gap gives you so much info before you place your bets.

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Speaker 1: Crazy stats. Check out all these streaks that we're alive

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Speaker 1: entering the games on Sunday. Casey is one twelve in

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Speaker 1: a row at home as a favorite. Can they make

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Speaker 1: it thirteen in a row? If you want to go

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Speaker 1: against the public, you can. Month is two and a half.

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Speaker 1: Devon Ahhane has scored a touchdown in seven straight games,

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Speaker 1: The Seahawks have won eight in a row on the road.

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Speaker 1: George Pickens has reached the end zone in five consecutive

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Speaker 1: Sunday games, and Cleveland has not covered a spread on

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Speaker 1: the road in seven games. But anything can happen in

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Speaker 1: divisional games. If you haven't tried your first bet at

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Speaker 1: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida, call one eight

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Speaker 1: eight play wise in Indiana, or if you know you

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Speaker 1: or somebody you know has a gambling problem and wants help,

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Speaker 1: call one hundred and nine with it gambling problem called

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Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: and for Virginia. Okay, let's talk about the Patriots the

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Speaker 1: Land three and a half. I've bought it down to

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Speaker 1: three up against the Saints. This is a Mike Vrabel

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Speaker 1: bet Okay, I'm betting on Mike Vrabel. I'm betting on

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Speaker 1: Mike Vrabel to have his guys after the win against

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Speaker 1: Buffalo focused and not to overlook the Saints team that

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Speaker 1: is not very good. A couple of interesting stats here

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Speaker 1: about road trips since twenty eighteen. Teams in the middle

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Speaker 1: of a road trip, and the Patriots are playing Buffalo

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Speaker 1: on the road, Tennessee on the road, sorry, Buffalo on

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Speaker 1: the road, New Orleans on the road, and then Tennessee

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Speaker 1: on the road three weeks in a row in the

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Speaker 1: middle game, in the middle game of the three game

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Speaker 1: road trip, those teams are twenty nine and twelve straight

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Speaker 1: up and eight in thirteen against the spread when you're favored,

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Speaker 1: so it can be a raw, raw moment. For those

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Speaker 1: teams on the road who are favored, who cover and

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Speaker 1: win the games outright in the middle, it can be

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Speaker 1: a bonding opportunity. Spencer Ratler got his first career win

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Speaker 1: last week. Of the five other quarterbacks to go oh

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Speaker 1: in ten straight up or worse, three never actually end

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Speaker 1: up winning a game again, one never started another game,

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Speaker 1: and then Derek Carr, who lost fifty two to nothing

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Speaker 1: in his last in his start after getting his first

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Speaker 1: win after opening up oh and ten. Drake may four

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Speaker 1: outright wins so far in a Spacher's career. He hasn't

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Speaker 1: been great in the first half afterwards, just going one

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Speaker 1: in three against the spread. But I like Mike vrable

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Speaker 1: to have his guys focused here Patriots minus three for

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Speaker 1: one point two? What did I lay one point two?

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Speaker 1: Hold on, let me see one point two five units

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Speaker 1: for the Patriots buying that half a point down Pat's

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Speaker 1: minus three. Okay, let's talk about the Bucks and this

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Speaker 1: is going to be a very interesting game. Kyle Shanahan

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Speaker 1: is only fifteen ten and one on a short rest week. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's pretty good, but not great. On extended rest. Shanahan's

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Speaker 1: is not great eighteen and nineteen ats five and ten

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Speaker 1: when Brock Purdy was in this spot thirteen and nine

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Speaker 1: ats with all other quarterbacks, namely Mac Jones. This is

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Speaker 1: the thing about Baker Mayfield. Baker as a dog is awesome. Okay, awesome.

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Speaker 1: We love Baker as a dog. Sixteen and eight against

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Speaker 1: the spread as a dog, right, He's twenty five and

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Speaker 1: seventeen overall with the Bucks. He's nine and nine against

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Speaker 1: the number. However, if you want to tease him. When

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Speaker 1: he's a dog, he's tremendous. But when he's favored coming

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Speaker 1: off of a straight up win, Baker Mayfield is two

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Speaker 1: and nine ats in his last eleven starts as a favorite.

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Speaker 1: Not great, but the number tells me the story. We're

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Speaker 1: at three or three and a half. We opened at

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Speaker 1: one and a half. The bucks are getting healthy er,

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Speaker 1: and the bucks at Baker Mayfield. Okay, Baker Mayfield is

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Speaker 1: someone I want to back. Okay, I want to back

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Speaker 1: them at home, and I just don't trust Mac Jones

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Speaker 1: and this forty nine er team to keep this magic

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Speaker 1: going alive on the road across the country. Just not great. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I don't like this spot at all. Again, I don't

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Speaker 1: love laying points with Baker, but I think Baker at

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Speaker 1: home they've been doing it with magic. I don't want

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Speaker 1: to get burned. It's three and a half. I bought

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Speaker 1: it down to three. I don't want to be playing

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Speaker 1: around here. Most books are at three and a half,

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Speaker 1: but some books are at three. I like the bucks.

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Speaker 1: I like Baker Mayfield. I'll lay the mist one twenty

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Speaker 1: for one point two units on the bucks minus the

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Speaker 1: three at home here up against the forty nine ers,

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Speaker 1: who continue to be so banged up going across the country.

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Speaker 1: I think this is a really tough spot here for

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Speaker 1: Mac Jones and company. The final straight play. I'm coming

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Speaker 1: here to the Raiders and you may hate this bet,

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Speaker 1: but I like this bet, Okay, I do. The Raiders

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Speaker 1: are laying four and a half against the Titans. This

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Speaker 1: is a wild stat that I've been giving out and

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Speaker 1: it's from the Action Network, and I think it's really

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Speaker 1: a great stat that they uncovered about quarterbacks with eighteen

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Speaker 1: plus point wins as rookies. So cam Ward became the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarterback to have an eight team plus point win

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Speaker 1: in their rookie season come from behind win in their

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Speaker 1: rookie season. All three rookie teams in the next game

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Speaker 1: following that victory lost by a combined one seventeen to

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Speaker 1: thirty eight. All three lost by over twenty one points.

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Speaker 1: They got killed the next game. The Raiders are desperate

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Speaker 1: for a win here. The Raiders are playing the Chiefs

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Speaker 1: next week. Since twenty twenty, when the Raiders were set

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Speaker 1: to play the Chiefs in the week prior they get

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Speaker 1: locked in, they're sixty one thirty eight and one against

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Speaker 1: the spread. Okay, sixty one thirty eight and one the

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Speaker 1: week before they play the Chiefs. So good trend for

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs. So for the Raiders. Awful trend here for

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Speaker 1: the Titans, they got their first win of the year.

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Speaker 1: It's their second game of a road trip on the

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Speaker 1: road back out west. There's not going to be any

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Speaker 1: Titan fans here in Vegas, really, okay, there's not some

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Speaker 1: big Titan fan base that's coming in here. It's gonna

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Speaker 1: be primarily Raider fans coming in here. And Pete Carroll

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Speaker 1: needs to win. They need to win. They got to

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Speaker 1: calm some people down here. I bought the four and

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Speaker 1: a half down to four. It was not expensive to

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Speaker 1: do so at all. Here it was minus one point

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Speaker 1: fifteen to get off that Raiders minus four for one

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Speaker 1: point one five units. A twenty four to twenty win

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Speaker 1: saves us there. But I don't know how many points

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Speaker 1: the Titans are going to score. I don't mind the

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Speaker 1: over in the game too. By the way, I don't

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Speaker 1: mind playing over there either. Now, the big news of

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Speaker 1: the day is the fact that we do not have

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Speaker 1: Kyler Murray playing for the Colts. So what are we

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Speaker 1: doing well. I'll tell you about that here in just

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Speaker 1: one second, But first let me tell you about the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros app. Have you gone and downloaded the Betting

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00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:20,400
Speaker 1: Pros app yet? You guys should? It's for free with sportsbooks.

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00:14:20,400 --> 00:14:23,000
Speaker 1: Sink automatically track your bets across all major sportsbooks in

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00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:26,760
Speaker 1: one spot. Easily monitor your bet performance by sport and

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00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:30,040
Speaker 1: bet type, including game picks, props and parlays. Custom create

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Speaker 1: custom betting systems to find winning trends and profitable opportunities.

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00:14:33,360 --> 00:14:35,720
Speaker 1: We have a special offer for Betting Pros Premium six

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Speaker 1: months for free. To claim the offer, just go to

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com slash Premium and make a deposit at

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00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:44,120
Speaker 1: a partner sportsbook and place your wager and you will

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Speaker 1: get six months free of Betting Pros Premium. Colts minus

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Speaker 1: nine now after Jacoby Brissett is now playing quarterback as

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals will rest their starting quarterback Kyler Murray and

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Speaker 1: it's injured foot. That is not good here for the

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Speaker 1: car Cardinals because the Colts have been arguably the best

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Speaker 1: team in football. They're the number one seed as of

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Speaker 1: right now in the AFC, which is crazy to stop

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Speaker 1: and think about but they absolutely are. They have been

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Speaker 1: rolling through opponents and they may not need dust to

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Speaker 1: tease it down. They may just straight up blow the

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Speaker 1: doors off of the Cardinals. Their defense has been okay,

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Speaker 1: but I mean this Daniel Jones start is remarkable. He's

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Speaker 1: three and oh against the number as a favorite this season,

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Speaker 1: which matches his career high for ATS wins as a

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Speaker 1: favorite in a single season. Three was the most he

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Speaker 1: ever had. He's three and oh. It's incredible. Only two

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Speaker 1: quarterbacks are three and oh against the spread or better

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Speaker 1: as a favorite this year. Jared Goff and Daniel Jones.

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Speaker 1: That's it. That's it. I think teams that blow big

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Speaker 1: leads have a tough time rebounding. Teams after blowing a

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Speaker 1: lead more than one possession entering the fourth quarter at

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Speaker 1: home are just twelve and twenty two straight up the

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Speaker 1: following week over the last ten years, he's down to three.

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Speaker 1: We're going to three Colts minus three. What are we

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Speaker 1: doing on the other side? The Cowboys and the Panthers.

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Speaker 1: The pros are all over the Panthers. They're all over

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Speaker 1: the Panthers, and the Cowboys need this. They win this game.

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Speaker 1: After the Eagles loss huge three to two to one.

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Speaker 1: They're only going to be a game behind for half

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Speaker 1: a game behind the Eagles. Huge Panthers had a huge

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Speaker 1: comeback against the Dolphins last week in the fourth quarter, unreal.

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Speaker 1: Bryce Young is five and one ats on on this

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Speaker 1: during a home stand second on the second game of

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Speaker 1: a homestand which is what he is. The total has

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Speaker 1: my attention, however, because we know what Bryce Young does

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Speaker 1: at home, he scores. We also know that Dak Prescott

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Speaker 1: has an offense that can score on pretty much anybody.

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Speaker 1: Dak Prescott against bad teams in consecutive games, the second

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Speaker 1: leg of a roadie fourteen to eight and one. They

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Speaker 1: beat the Jets badly last week, and now they've got

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Speaker 1: a shot here to beat up on the on the

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Speaker 1: Panthers with a fourteen to eight and one against the

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Speaker 1: spread record. Bryce Young has won eight games total as

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Speaker 1: a starter in the NFL. He's when he's faced a

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Speaker 1: struggling pass defense. Teams have allowed two hundred of the

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Speaker 1: yards passing per game, or more like the Cowboys, He's

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Speaker 1: oh in eight straight up three and five against the number. Though.

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Speaker 1: I need Cowboys to win, but I'd rather get involved

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Speaker 1: with the total and pull the total down to forty

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Speaker 1: one and go over. I like the Colts minus three

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Speaker 1: and the over forty one for Dallas and the Panthers

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Speaker 1: at minus one twenty five for one point two five units,

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Speaker 1: so four plays officially for US. Here for me going

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Speaker 1: into Sunday, Patriots minus three, Raiders minus four, Bucks, minus three,

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Speaker 1: Colts minus three, teas with the Cowboys over forty one.

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Speaker 1: This is a dangerous card, I'm gonna tell you right now.

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Speaker 1: After going zero to five, having four favorites on the

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Speaker 1: card is not great. Okay, that is not a great

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Speaker 1: idea in the NFL. But I'm gonna go ahead and

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Speaker 1: say that this is a week for favorites, and then

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Speaker 1: home teams, which I've dominated in the NFL, are going

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Speaker 1: to have a rough week and road team's rain here

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Speaker 1: coming up in Week six of the NFL. Now, do

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Speaker 1: you want to be on the side of the pros, Well,

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Speaker 1: here's how you do it. Take the Jets plus seven

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Speaker 1: and a half. Okay, if it goes to eight, even better.

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Speaker 1: But the Jets plus seven and a half in London,

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Speaker 1: first game of the day, six thirty am Pacific time

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Speaker 1: kick nine to thirty am Eastern timekick. Jets up against

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Speaker 1: the up against the Broncos plus seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: Second bet if you want to be on the pros,

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Speaker 1: go ahead and take the Browns at plus five and

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Speaker 1: a half or plus six Dylan Gabriel Divisional game up

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Speaker 1: again Mike Tomlin, who sucks as a favorite. And you've

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Speaker 1: got a Steeler team whose rabbit foot may have been

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Speaker 1: left overseas because they have gotten pretty lucky over the

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Speaker 1: last couple of weeks to start this season with the

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Speaker 1: games they have won. Not in love here with this

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Speaker 1: Steelers team still, and I think the Browns might, with

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Speaker 1: Dylan Gabriel, might have something here. They traded away Joe Flacco.

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Speaker 1: It's Dylan Gabriel's team. Watch out for the Browns. Professionals

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Speaker 1: are all over the Browns and they're all over the Jets.

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Speaker 1: They are equally all over the Chiefs, laying two and

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Speaker 1: a half. If you want to be on the pros,

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Speaker 1: the three bets you make today and we'll see we'll

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Speaker 1: recap this coming up on Monday's show. You're going to

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Speaker 1: go plus seven and a half Jets, plus five and

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Speaker 1: a half Browns and lay the two and a half

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Speaker 1: points with the Chiefs at home. If you want to

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Speaker 1: be on the side of the professionals. There's your pro money. Look,

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Speaker 1: if that's what you guys are interested in doing. If

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Speaker 1: you like hearing about that stuff, and if you like

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Speaker 1: to know more about it, you could always watch my

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Speaker 1: other show, The Bostonian Versus the Book Monday through Friday.

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Speaker 1: You guys have often asked about like where can I

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Speaker 1: email you? You can email me here, ask THEBVB at

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Speaker 1: gmail dot com. If you have questions about The Bostonian

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Speaker 1: Versus the Book, you can jump on in. I do

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00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:21,240
Speaker 1: full recaps. I preview every NFL game. I gave you

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00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:24,439
Speaker 1: stats and props and picks and plays, and we'll recap

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Speaker 1: the entire weekend coming up on Monday at one pm

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00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:31,480
Speaker 1: Eastern Time on the Bostonian Versus the Book YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: To find it, it's at Boston Versus the Book, or

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Speaker 1: you could ask the BVB at gmail dot com. I

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Speaker 1: will talk to you guys at noon Eastern at nine

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Speaker 1: am Pacific time for our week six preview show live

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Speaker 1: stream on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Myself Interroal Firman.

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Speaker 1: Looking forward to seeing you guys, coming up here later today.

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Speaker 1: More picks and props to give you guys, coming up

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Speaker 1: here today MI as Matt Parol, you guys and following

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00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:56,200
Speaker 1: Micross all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever,

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Speaker 1: you guys, get your socials, get your socials, get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice.