WEBVTT - Related Group Chair, Founder, CEO Talks Florida Real Estate

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<v Speaker 1>To discuss this boom in Florida is billionaire real estate

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<v Speaker 1>developer George Perez. George, who's the founder, chairman and CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of the Related Group, has been at the forefront of

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<v Speaker 1>South Florida's evolution for over forty years. And George, let's

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<v Speaker 1>start right there. Let's start with the president elect. It's

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<v Speaker 1>not just the President elect. It's also the red wave

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<v Speaker 1>you're seeing. But certainly when you think about the Winter

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<v Speaker 1>White House over in mar A Lago, how much more

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<v Speaker 1>interest are you now seeing in Florida since the election?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, you know, President Trump is a Florida resident. I

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<v Speaker 2>think a lot of his friends, you know, are in Florida.

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<v Speaker 2>I think he's a real estate was a real estate developer,

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<v Speaker 2>his family still in the real estate development. I think

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<v Speaker 2>he understands what real estate in particular needs to be successful,

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<v Speaker 2>which is lower interest rates, lower inflation rates, so people.

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<v Speaker 3>Feel confident of buying.

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<v Speaker 2>The effect in Miami think is going to be positive,

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<v Speaker 2>but we go way beyond as opposed to other cities

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<v Speaker 2>or the national economy.

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<v Speaker 3>I just came back from London and Madrid and.

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<v Speaker 2>The desire for people to own a place in Miami

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<v Speaker 2>as a second home or actually moved thinking of moving

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<v Speaker 2>when they get to be a retirement age is immense.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, my two sons are in a trip to

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<v Speaker 2>South America, Argentina, Brazil and Mexico.

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<v Speaker 3>Who are the demand for real estate.

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<v Speaker 2>In South Florida is intense.

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<v Speaker 3>And as we know, and you mentioned in.

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<v Speaker 2>Cities like Chicago and New York, we're seeing we're still

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<v Speaker 2>seeing a huge demand for people not just wanting to

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<v Speaker 2>live here, but moving their businesses here, which is the

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<v Speaker 2>first time that has happened to South Florida. So instead

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<v Speaker 2>of just becoming sun and fun, we are becoming a

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<v Speaker 2>serious city.

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<v Speaker 1>Well more than a serious city. You think the business

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<v Speaker 1>aspect alone, and I'm going to ask you to speak

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<v Speaker 1>for the business community here for a moment. When you

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<v Speaker 1>think about the president elects policies, because some of them

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<v Speaker 1>could significantly impact different industries, even yours. You think about

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<v Speaker 1>the immigration policy, for example, a lot of the building

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<v Speaker 1>environment in the United States has relied on an immigrant workforce.

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<v Speaker 1>How do you think that policy in particular might impact

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<v Speaker 1>your business moving forward and others around you.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, look, it's a big concern, you know, it's a big,

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<v Speaker 2>big concern. You know, in Miami a lot of our

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<v Speaker 2>construction workers are I would say maybe eighty percent of

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<v Speaker 2>our constructional workers are Hispanic or more, and we don't

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<v Speaker 2>check to see if they are legal residents or not.

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<v Speaker 2>They're employed by our subcontractors. But I give you a

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<v Speaker 2>little fast anic thought. In Jacksonville, when the governor announced

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<v Speaker 2>that they were going to be checking on to see

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<v Speaker 2>if you legal, if immigrants were illegal or not. The

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<v Speaker 2>next day we went to the job and everybody had

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<v Speaker 2>disappeared for our construction job in Jacksonville and had gone

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<v Speaker 2>to I don't know if to South Georgia or someplace.

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<v Speaker 2>So we we very much depend on immigration to run

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<v Speaker 2>our industry.

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<v Speaker 3>I think that the stance that some of the more.

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<v Speaker 2>Fervent opponents to immigration is going to quiet down. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>the United States needs a continuous flow of these immigrants

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<v Speaker 2>to fill a lot of jobs. So do we need

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<v Speaker 2>to do it legally? The answer, of course is yes.

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<v Speaker 2>Do I think that we're going to take all the

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<v Speaker 2>illegal immigrants in the United States that have been here

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<v Speaker 2>for many years doing legal work, productive work? I think

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<v Speaker 2>the answers, of course, know you know that would that

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<v Speaker 2>would make that would make it into a police state

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<v Speaker 2>with people checking identifications. I can see myself, because of

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<v Speaker 2>the name Peres, to be stopped in the street asking

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<v Speaker 2>you for.

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<v Speaker 3>An identification card.

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<v Speaker 2>So I think we need to quiet down, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>this rhetoric and come to a understanding because immigration has

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<v Speaker 2>made this country and will continue to play a big

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<v Speaker 2>role in the development of this country.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>I just think it's fascinating George, because of course, at

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<v Speaker 4>the Republican National Convention, the most visible signs that his

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<v Speaker 4>supporters were holding up said mass deportation, and that's been

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<v Speaker 4>a part of his campaign pledge to the American people

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<v Speaker 4>who elected him. On the other hand, I mean, just

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<v Speaker 4>think about how much labor costs would soar if you

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<v Speaker 4>eliminated the what eleven million immigrants who are here illegally.

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<v Speaker 4>It would just be impossible for you to continue to

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<v Speaker 4>conduct business, I imagine.

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<v Speaker 2>So, and most people need to see that, right, we

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<v Speaker 2>have a place and ask, and I can tell you

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<v Speaker 2>that ninety five ninety eight percent of all the people

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<v Speaker 2>that are in the restaurant business and the hotel business,

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<v Speaker 2>the the in the construction business are immigrants.

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<v Speaker 3>I would say that a lot of those might not

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<v Speaker 3>be legal.

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<v Speaker 2>That are coming to this country for the opportunity. I

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<v Speaker 2>just cannot see what would happen. You know, if that

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<v Speaker 2>was stop. First, the salaries would have to be increased

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<v Speaker 2>tremendously because there's not enough to supply, you know, to

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<v Speaker 2>meet it. And then of course it would have repercussions

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<v Speaker 2>on inflation and so forth. So I think when quieter,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, smarter minds get together, I think they're going

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<v Speaker 2>to really understand this. I think the economy is the

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<v Speaker 2>most important thing, and I am hoping, you know.

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<v Speaker 3>Trump is now our present.

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<v Speaker 2>So I think, whether you agree or disagree, we need

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<v Speaker 2>to all gather behind them and try to do what's

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<v Speaker 2>for this country.

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<v Speaker 3>Have for this country.

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<v Speaker 2>We have been in a period that people don't talk

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<v Speaker 2>to each other, you know, extremes have become more popular.

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<v Speaker 2>We need to become much more heading down the middle,

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<v Speaker 2>listen to each others, to each other's ideas, and make

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<v Speaker 2>the best out of.

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<v Speaker 3>A better solution, you know, to do this.

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<v Speaker 2>And I think this goes not only for immigration, and

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<v Speaker 2>goes to health policy, environmental policy, and so forth. We

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<v Speaker 2>go seem to go from extreme to extreme, and I

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<v Speaker 2>am searching for that middle ground.

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<v Speaker 1>George, what about you know, speaking of the different policies

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<v Speaker 1>also trade policy, because it's pretty clear that the right

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<v Speaker 1>part of the Republican Party, the further right you go,

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<v Speaker 1>the more protectionist it gets as well. And are you

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<v Speaker 1>very concerned about what trade policies could look like, particularly

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to your business and business in Florida.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know a lot of people rely on

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<v Speaker 1>not just foreign workers, but importing material.

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<v Speaker 5>Well.

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<v Speaker 2>See, look you've seen what you know, what happens when

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<v Speaker 2>the supply chain is disrupted, particularly in my business during COVID,

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<v Speaker 2>for example, the the the supply chain was totally busted.

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<v Speaker 3>We couldn't get all the prime.

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<v Speaker 2>Materials that we wanted, and construction costs you know, exploded.

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<v Speaker 2>That has passed on to the consumer. You know, nobody

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<v Speaker 2>builds a building to lose money. So I am very

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<v Speaker 2>much anti isolations. I think in a in a free market,

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<v Speaker 2>in a fair free market, I think that there's some

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<v Speaker 2>things that we can't produce effectively that we need.

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<v Speaker 3>To purchase from abroad.

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<v Speaker 2>And our technology and the things that we do better,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, because we have such an advanced you know, country,

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<v Speaker 2>are the things that we should be concentrated in. And

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<v Speaker 2>that all requires a free chain, a free change of product,

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<v Speaker 2>services and so forth between the most efficient producers of

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<v Speaker 2>whatever it is that you're producing. So, you know, televisions

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<v Speaker 2>today are coming from you know, many different parts today.

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<v Speaker 2>To build the whole television here would be you know,

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<v Speaker 2>impractical and extremely expensive. So you know, things like this,

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<v Speaker 2>I think are you know, everybody knows this, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>so I want sentiment, you know, to take a second

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<v Speaker 2>place to logic and see what we really need, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>to Expand you know, we are in such a position

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<v Speaker 2>both in and all in the United States, but particularly

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<v Speaker 2>in South Florida, that we really are attracting the whole world,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, to come to this. This means growth, This

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<v Speaker 2>means production, this means employment, you know, and we need

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<v Speaker 2>to take advantage of that opportunity, just like we're doing

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<v Speaker 2>in South Florida. Our market in South Florida, we're opening

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<v Speaker 2>more condominiums, both luxury and middle class.

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<v Speaker 3>Than ever before.

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<v Speaker 2>And they're all being consumed and they're being consumed by

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<v Speaker 2>both cities from you know, older cities, both from California

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<v Speaker 2>and the Northeast and from South America. We have a

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<v Speaker 2>huge South American market that wants to come here. And

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<v Speaker 2>now Europeans are starting to show, and we need to

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<v Speaker 2>tell show them that we are a stable economy, that

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<v Speaker 2>we're all going to be and gather for the President

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<v Speaker 2>of the United States that this is one country for all.

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<v Speaker 2>So I hope extremes disappears as much as possible.

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<v Speaker 4>And George, I want to ask about something less contentious,

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<v Speaker 4>although for us, you know, interest rates is usually all

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<v Speaker 4>we talk about.

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<v Speaker 1>It's plenty of content What do you.

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<v Speaker 4>Think about the raids market right now? I mean, the

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<v Speaker 4>Fed was on track to cut raids down to some

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<v Speaker 4>people thought three to three and a half percent, is

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<v Speaker 4>what John Paulson told Shanali a couple of weeks ago.

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<v Speaker 4>Now it looks like the market is expecting far less

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<v Speaker 4>aggressive cuts and maybe if these policies are inflationary, they'll

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<v Speaker 4>stop completely next year. How much does the real estate

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<v Speaker 4>industry need those cuts?

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<v Speaker 2>But we need those cuts badly, right, Remember, there's a

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<v Speaker 2>huge number of real estate that has been financed construction

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<v Speaker 2>and permanent at floating rates, and those floating rates of Now,

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<v Speaker 2>if you build a project and you bar at three

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<v Speaker 2>percent and now you're paying eight percent, I don't have

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<v Speaker 2>to tell you what impact that has, particularly if you've overpowered,

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<v Speaker 2>right so there's a lot of people hanging that are

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<v Speaker 2>waiting for, you know, interest rates to go down. I

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<v Speaker 2>think the Fed you know, make the right decision on

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<v Speaker 2>the fifty basis point. I thought we were going to

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<v Speaker 2>get another fifty bases points. I think they're looking very

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<v Speaker 2>closely at inflation. In my opinion, I think inflation has

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<v Speaker 2>being controlled. I expect further cuts.

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<v Speaker 3>Next year.

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<v Speaker 2>I never thought we were going to get three to

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<v Speaker 2>four percent cuts, so I think it's going to be

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<v Speaker 2>it's going to be less pronounced, but I.

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<v Speaker 5>Believe that we will continue to see cuts and will

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<v Speaker 5>continue to see an increase in demand based on people's

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<v Speaker 5>able to afford you know, more.

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<v Speaker 3>Re state because of the interest rate costs.

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<v Speaker 2>But I do not see you know, a two or

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<v Speaker 2>three percent interest rate cut anytime soon.

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<v Speaker 4>Hey George, we got to go because of the clock,

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<v Speaker 4>but I hope next time you're in New York can

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<v Speaker 4>get here in the studio. It's been great talking to you.

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<v Speaker 4>George Perez, there is the CEO of the Related Group.