1 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news, single, best idea and 2 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 1: thank you for listening. We try to keep this short 3 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:20,800 Speaker 1: six minutes Longer podcast twenty minutes, Good Girls, Girls Podcast, 4 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 1: The Big Take, it's like three hours long. I'm kidding. 5 00:00:23,880 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 1: It's a wonderful produced twenty minutes and David Gurra there 6 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 1: with this important discussion of his conversation with Janet Yellen 7 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 1: over the weekend in Texas. We do a shorter thing 8 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,960 Speaker 1: you can slip in among your other podcasts listening. We 9 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:41,520 Speaker 1: try to find it's always difficult any given three hours 10 00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:45,880 Speaker 1: of Bloomberg Surveillance on YouTube, Apple car Play, Android Auto 11 00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:50,400 Speaker 1: on our terrestrial radio, Good Morning Boston ninety two nine FM, 12 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 1: Washington ninety nine one FM. It's just all the different 13 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 1: we're on Bloomberg originals. I didn't know this until the 14 00:00:57,000 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 1: other day, all the distribution opportunities. There's a lot of 15 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 1: good conversations. One of them today was William Speed. You 16 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:07,960 Speaker 1: probably don't know the name. Bill Smead is iconic out 17 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 1: of Washington State, Seattle, now in Phoenix, and when you 18 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:14,759 Speaker 1: look it is three year and five year track record 19 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 1: of investing, it gives pause. He's a value investor. He 20 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:23,319 Speaker 1: buys straw hats in winter. As mister Baruch said, in 21 00:01:23,360 --> 00:01:27,920 Speaker 1: the last year, he's been buried. But he struggled with 22 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:31,400 Speaker 1: growthiness because he doesn't own Apple, he doesn't own Nvidia. 23 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:37,119 Speaker 1: He owns stuff out of favor. Bill smeaed on patience 24 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:38,120 Speaker 1: in investing. 25 00:01:38,520 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 2: We were arguing that interest rates would normalize at some 26 00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:44,760 Speaker 2: point in time, and people would say, Bill, when's that 27 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 2: going to happen? And I'd say, well, you can't hold 28 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 2: your breath till then. Well, the same thing happens on 29 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:56,680 Speaker 2: the euphoric side in common stocks. It might be six months, 30 00:01:56,720 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 2: it might be a year, but when it hits it's 31 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 2: so quick. I mean, remember how fast the Fed raised rates. 32 00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 2: They went from a quarter to five and a quarter 33 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 2: in a year. It was the biggest interest rate increase 34 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:11,359 Speaker 2: in a year. And if you weren't ready for it, 35 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 2: you know, you got caught by it. Well, the same 36 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:16,919 Speaker 2: thing will happen in the equity market. In other words, 37 00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 2: Buffett used to talk about it being like Cinderella at 38 00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:24,360 Speaker 2: the ball. You've been told that at midnight the clock 39 00:02:24,400 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 2: of strategy. 40 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:27,840 Speaker 1: Well, Bill Smeede with us, there a smed capital in 41 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 1: Phoenix value investor very much in energy stocks right now. 42 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 1: Every once in a while, someone dereks the door. I 43 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:40,280 Speaker 1: think a Betsy Stevens said at ann Arbor, who absolutely 44 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:45,920 Speaker 1: owns the thinking carefully about the economics and finance and 45 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 1: policy of divorce. Betsy's last conversation with us was absolutely 46 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: riveting about childcare. Someone else that owns a high ground 47 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:59,840 Speaker 1: here is Jennifer Lawless. She's at the University of Virginia, 48 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:05,400 Speaker 1: and she's made an absolute cottage industry out of studying 49 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:09,440 Speaker 1: women in American politics. And you know, you ask her 50 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 1: the usual question why we had a female president like 51 00:03:12,680 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 1: in other countries, sort of just understood and her core theme, 52 00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:21,799 Speaker 1: this is really important. Her core theme is the ambition 53 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 1: to get into politics to begin with. She's focused much 54 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 1: more not a way I should say, she's focused much 55 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 1: more away from presidential decision making and much more to 56 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:41,680 Speaker 1: state and local community politics. Jennifer Lawless, University of Virginia. 57 00:03:41,840 --> 00:03:44,840 Speaker 3: The real answer is that there just haven't been enough 58 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:47,120 Speaker 3: female candidates to do it. So, first of all, it 59 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:50,480 Speaker 3: is important to remember that Hillary Clinton received more popular 60 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:53,880 Speaker 3: votes than Donald Trump did, so it's not that Americans 61 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 3: aren't willing to vote for a woman. Now, obviously we 62 00:03:56,760 --> 00:03:59,040 Speaker 3: left our president through the electoral college, so winning the 63 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:02,680 Speaker 3: popular vote didn't, but public opinion was on her side. 64 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:05,600 Speaker 3: But that's really been the only opportunity that the American 65 00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 3: people have had until heading into election day this year 66 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:11,280 Speaker 3: to cast a ballot for a female president. When it 67 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 3: comes to Congress, when it comes to state legislatures, gubernatorial elections, 68 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:18,039 Speaker 3: women do just as well as men. The key is 69 00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:19,479 Speaker 3: that they need to run in the first place. 70 00:04:19,720 --> 00:04:23,440 Speaker 1: Course of debate tonight, Balance of Power, Joe Matthew, Katie Lyones, 71 00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:27,120 Speaker 1: David Girl are really focused on Philadelphia. You'll see that 72 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:29,599 Speaker 1: over the next twenty four or even forty eight hours. 73 00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:32,719 Speaker 1: Is well, we're out on ample CarPlay and Android auto 74 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:34,919 Speaker 1: and YouTube. The best thing you can do for me 75 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:39,320 Speaker 1: subscribe to Bloomberg podcasts out on YouTube and just as 76 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:42,640 Speaker 1: in aside, I can't say enough about YouTube premium. You 77 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 1: have to pay for that, I pay for it, but 78 00:04:45,120 --> 00:04:49,359 Speaker 1: YouTube premium is really clean and simple as well on 79 00:04:49,480 --> 00:05:01,680 Speaker 1: ample podcasts. This is single best idea I know many 80 00:05:02,360 --> 00:05:03,240 Speaker 1: of us