WEBVTT - Khamenei Dead After Airstrikes on Iran, Three Service Members Killed in Action

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Welcome to the Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 3>Over the course of these last two days, we've been

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<v Speaker 3>reporting on these significant strikes on Iran, the fallout from

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<v Speaker 3>them in the region and yes here in the United States,

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<v Speaker 3>and again that latest headline crossing the Bloomberg terminal. Three

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<v Speaker 3>service members killed in action, five have been wounded in

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<v Speaker 3>On that note, I want to bring in Mark Warner,

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<v Speaker 3>the Senator from Virginia, the ranking member of the Senate

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<v Speaker 3>Intelligence Committee, whojoins us on this Sunday morning, and sir,

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<v Speaker 3>I have to start there. We heard the President warn

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<v Speaker 3>that this could be something that might happen as a

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<v Speaker 3>result of these strikes. Your reaction to this news on

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<v Speaker 3>this Sunday that there have been casualties as a result

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<v Speaker 3>of these strikes.

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<v Speaker 5>I'm heartbroken for the families.

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<v Speaker 6>I know our military will always perform exquisitely. The President

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<v Speaker 6>warned there would be these potential for casualties. This is

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<v Speaker 6>but it begs the bigger question, why did the President

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<v Speaker 6>choose to start this war?

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<v Speaker 5>And what are its goals?

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<v Speaker 6>I mean, a week ago we heard the administration talk

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<v Speaker 6>about stopping Iran's nuclear program, which, by the way, the

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<v Speaker 6>President claimed had been obliterated seven months ago. Then we

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<v Speaker 6>heard the president's people talk about Iran's ballistic missile capability,

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<v Speaker 6>ability to shoot missiles at our basis or into Israel,

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<v Speaker 6>and now it's.

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<v Speaker 5>Evolved into regime change.

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<v Speaker 6>So what I know as a member of the Gang

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<v Speaker 6>of Eight on the Intelligence Committee that there was no

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<v Speaker 6>imminent threat to America.

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<v Speaker 5>So what are his goals?

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<v Speaker 6>He owes it to not only the families as those three,

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<v Speaker 6>to cease service members, there will unfortunately probably be more.

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<v Speaker 6>He needs to make the case when you start a

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<v Speaker 6>war of choice, why it was so critical and is

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<v Speaker 6>the goal Around's nuclear capability? Is it's the ballistic missiles,

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<v Speaker 6>regime change, And let me acknowledge the fact that the

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<v Speaker 6>Iranian leadership, the Supreme Leader's taken out.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean that is good news. I mean, this regime

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<v Speaker 5>is awful.

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<v Speaker 6>But I can tell you from the intelligence standpoint, we

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<v Speaker 6>don't have great visibility about who or what comes next.

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<v Speaker 6>So there is a very high probability that you could

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<v Speaker 6>have and more violent Iranian leadership come in and replace

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<v Speaker 6>the current leaders. You could have somebody that's even more

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<v Speaker 6>brutal to the Iranian people. And now that the president

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<v Speaker 6>is called on the Iranian people to rise up, and

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<v Speaker 6>if they do rise up and they are suddenly butchered

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<v Speaker 6>by the Iranian regime, do we owe an obligation to

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<v Speaker 6>go in on the ground and protect the Iranian people.

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<v Speaker 6>This is why our system says before a president chooses

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<v Speaker 6>to go to war, you got to get a declaration,

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<v Speaker 6>You've got to get make the case of the American people.

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<v Speaker 6>You've got to ask Congress. None of that took place

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<v Speaker 6>as he chose to start this war Friday night.

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<v Speaker 2>So snat ward two that point, I mean, we did

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<v Speaker 2>hear the president use war in his speech, which is

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<v Speaker 2>a power of Congress, not of the presidency. In your opinion,

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<v Speaker 2>was this an illegal Act.

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<v Speaker 5>I will allow others to debate legality.

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<v Speaker 6>What I do know is that the Constitution is clear

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<v Speaker 6>that when you go to war, the president has to

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<v Speaker 6>come before Congress. We don't have We're not in a

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<v Speaker 6>country where there is a single monarchical leader. We are

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<v Speaker 6>a democracy with co equal branches of government, and the

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<v Speaker 6>people's representatives, which are the House and the Senate, need

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<v Speaker 6>to weigh in, particularly as we now have crossed the

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<v Speaker 6>line into American casualties. And again, our history of wars

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<v Speaker 6>in the Middle East, at least in the last fifty

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<v Speaker 6>years is.

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<v Speaker 5>Not great.

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<v Speaker 6>And again the president promised his supporters that he wouldn't

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<v Speaker 6>get into a bunch of wars. This president has taken

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<v Speaker 6>eight different military actions in his second term, and ironically

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<v Speaker 6>as well, just a quick point out that when the

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<v Speaker 6>Iranian people rose up in early January and there were

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<v Speaker 6>literally hundreds of thousands on the street, the president set

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<v Speaker 6>at that point he might want to back those people,

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<v Speaker 6>but he was unable to because the military assets that

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<v Speaker 6>should have been in the region were part of the

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<v Speaker 6>aircraft carry in particular, was off the coast of Venezuela

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<v Speaker 6>on another one of his military forays, and the European

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<v Speaker 6>allies that would normally be with US helping put pressure

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<v Speaker 6>on the Iranian regime were appropriately focused on the President's

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<v Speaker 6>I think crazy folly about trying to take over Greenland.

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<v Speaker 6>So the idea that America is going into this conflict

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<v Speaker 6>with potentially only Israel I know there are some indications

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<v Speaker 6>of other nations flying, but it sure as heck not

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<v Speaker 6>the coalition of the willing that could have been brought

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<v Speaker 6>to bear if the President had made the case of

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<v Speaker 6>why now and why this was inevitable.

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<v Speaker 3>The now late Supreme Leader warned in the run up

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<v Speaker 3>to all of this that if there were strikes, there

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<v Speaker 3>would be a regional war that would develop. You were

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<v Speaker 3>one of only a handful of lawmakers who have been

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<v Speaker 3>briefed by this administration.

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<v Speaker 5>You remember the so called Gang of Eight.

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<v Speaker 3>He received a briefing, as we understand it, on Tuesday

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<v Speaker 3>around the State of the Union from the Secretary of

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<v Speaker 3>State Marco Rubio. I'm very curious how what you were

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<v Speaker 3>briefed on forecasted what has come to pass here in

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<v Speaker 3>the days that have followed from what we've seen here,

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<v Speaker 3>the way that this is widened, the prospects of this

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<v Speaker 3>lasting not just days, but maybe weeks or longer. Was

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<v Speaker 3>something that the administration seemed to have weighed going into

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<v Speaker 3>that briefing, that you had a few this and.

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<v Speaker 2>Was that discussed in the briefing.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I can't go into what was discussed in the briefing.

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<v Speaker 6>I can't say that there were a series of options.

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<v Speaker 6>At that point the President had not made a decision.

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<v Speaker 5>I was Do you believe that, sir?

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<v Speaker 2>Do you believe the President had really not made a

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<v Speaker 2>decision at that point.

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<v Speaker 6>I will accept the word of Secretary Rubio. I was

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<v Speaker 6>recontacted on Friday, But the idea of what was driving

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<v Speaker 6>this was it our timeline was at Israel's timeline. You know,

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<v Speaker 6>I have a lot of questions about and there were

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<v Speaker 6>clear questions raised by many about what happens the day after,

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<v Speaker 6>the week after, the month after. I never got an

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<v Speaker 6>answer to any of those questions, and quite honestly, I

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<v Speaker 6>don't believe anyone, even in the administration knows the answer

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<v Speaker 6>to what happens next. We do not have that great

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<v Speaker 6>of visibility into Iran. This is again where the Israelis do.

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<v Speaker 6>But this is where if we had not burned so

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<v Speaker 6>many of our relationships with our European allies who do

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<v Speaker 6>have a diplomatic presence in Tehran, more people in country,

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<v Speaker 6>I think we might have had a better visibility about

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<v Speaker 6>what the opposition looks like. It appears to me that

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<v Speaker 6>the opposition, while widespread, is not organized in a classic sense.

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<v Speaker 6>So I'm not sure the president says rise up and

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<v Speaker 6>take over. I'm not sure who would rise The people

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<v Speaker 6>might rise up, but where is the leadership that takeover

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<v Speaker 6>when I think the more likely scenario may be that

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<v Speaker 6>you even get further hardliners that are going to be

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<v Speaker 6>even more brutal to the Iranian people and may then

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<v Speaker 6>take their proxies all across the region and strike at

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<v Speaker 6>American interest and just to go a.

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<v Speaker 5>Little bit even further.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, we have cash battel that the FBI distracted

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<v Speaker 6>flying around the country. We have the Director of National Intelligence,

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<v Speaker 6>Tolsey Gabbard, obsessed about reltigating.

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<v Speaker 5>The twenty twenty elections.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, what are we doing to make sure that

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<v Speaker 6>Iranian proxies potentially in our country or people inspired by

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<v Speaker 6>Iran or this war aren't going to take actions in

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<v Speaker 6>the home land.

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<v Speaker 5>I hope that was factored in as well.

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<v Speaker 3>You bring up Venezuela, and I think a lot of

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<v Speaker 3>people cautioned ust after that effort to remove the present

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<v Speaker 3>getting Madurou out of Venezuela, that it was not a

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<v Speaker 3>good analogy to look at what might happen in Iran.

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<v Speaker 3>But there is the kind of similar sense of vacuum here,

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<v Speaker 3>unwillingness of the administration, the Congress, the country to get

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<v Speaker 3>involved on the ground in a place like that. We

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<v Speaker 3>see how that's played out in Venezuela. Effectively, there's been

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<v Speaker 3>a shuffle of leadership, but a lot of the structure

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<v Speaker 3>remains in place. What do you make of the presidence

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<v Speaker 3>entreaty to Iranians that they should kind of make this

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<v Speaker 3>happen on their own. There have been these air strikes.

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<v Speaker 3>What are going to be or what could be the

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<v Speaker 3>forcing factors that do lead to some kind of leadership change.

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<v Speaker 3>They're barring having US forces or others there to encourage

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<v Speaker 3>that happening on the ground.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, my fear is that the president.

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<v Speaker 6>Because the military executed the Maduro operation so brilliantly and

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<v Speaker 6>the bombing of the Iranian nuclear facilities was carried off extraordinarily, well,

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<v Speaker 6>it obviously didn't obliterate their program since they were trying

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<v Speaker 6>to reconstitute. But again it was done in a relatively

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<v Speaker 6>painless way. My fear is that the President thought, well,

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<v Speaker 6>that was easy, let me do this again in Iran.

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<v Speaker 5>I think most of the intelligence.

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<v Speaker 6>Would overwhelmingly say that will not be as easy.

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<v Speaker 5>In Iran.

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<v Speaker 6>There's not an organized opposition the way there was in Venezuela,

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<v Speaker 6>the single strike against a single facility back in June,

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<v Speaker 6>our bombers took off. But the idea of calling on

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<v Speaker 6>the Iranian people to rise up, if they rise up

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<v Speaker 6>and they are brutally murdered by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard forces,

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<v Speaker 6>what obligations does America hold to those Iranians who are

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<v Speaker 6>responding to the President's call.

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<v Speaker 5>I don't think.

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<v Speaker 6>I don't know the answer to that, and I think

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<v Speaker 6>again it's incumbent upon the President to tell the American people.

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<v Speaker 3>On this morning, we learned that three service members have

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<v Speaker 3>been killed in action, five wounded. We have earstlive underline

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<v Speaker 3>of the European Commission warning that the risk of further

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<v Speaker 3>escalation is real. Great to spend some time here with

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<v Speaker 3>the ranking member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, Senator Mark

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<v Speaker 3>Warner of Virginia, Thank you very much for your time

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<v Speaker 3>and for joining us on Bloomberg this weekend. Stay with

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<v Speaker 3>us for more on Bloomberg this weekend. Right after this,

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<v Speaker 3>where do you hear from a pair of lawmakers now

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<v Speaker 3>members of the House of Representative.

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<v Speaker 7>You might not know this.

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<v Speaker 3>Christina born and raised in Colorado. I was born in Boulder.

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<v Speaker 3>We were insistent we get somebody from the centennial state

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<v Speaker 3>here as our guest this hour. Jason Crowe, of course,

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<v Speaker 3>Democratic congressman from Aurora and its surrounding environs, joins us.

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<v Speaker 3>Now he sits on the Armed Services and Intelligence committees.

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<v Speaker 3>Congressman crow great to have you with us here on

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<v Speaker 3>this Sunday morning. And I look at the statement that

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<v Speaker 3>you issued after these strikes became public. You said, the

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<v Speaker 3>administration owes Congress and Americans' answers. Have you gotten more

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<v Speaker 3>here over these last few hours? And we've seen reports

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<v Speaker 3>this morning if there's going to be a wider briefing

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<v Speaker 3>of lawmakers, including members of your committees in the hour

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<v Speaker 3>to come, can you confirm that? And what are you

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<v Speaker 3>hoping to hear from this administration?

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<v Speaker 8>Good to join fellow Colorado's and the answer is, we

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<v Speaker 8>haven't got any answers. And that's a problem, a huge

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<v Speaker 8>problem for me. This is about accountability. Right We spent

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<v Speaker 8>over twenty years of war in Iraq and Afghanistan. We

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<v Speaker 8>spent trillions of taxpayer dollars, thousands of American lives, tens

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<v Speaker 8>of thousands of others who bear the visible and invisible

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<v Speaker 8>scars and burdens of those wars. They ended poorly, and

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<v Speaker 8>that's I think because we stopped debating it. We financed

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<v Speaker 8>it with debt. There weren't votes, there wasn't an accountability loop,

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<v Speaker 8>and that continues today. We started that same cycle again

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<v Speaker 8>of conflict after conflict, without real debate and without a

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<v Speaker 8>real decision by the American people about whether or not

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<v Speaker 8>this is in their best interest. So we're going to

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<v Speaker 8>keep on pushing the Department of Defense and the Administration

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<v Speaker 8>for answers for engagement. My imediate question right now is

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<v Speaker 8>what are we doing to protect our troops, the tens

0:12:59.600 --> 0:13:02.400
<v Speaker 8>of thouss of Americans who are serving in that region,

0:13:02.400 --> 0:13:06.480
<v Speaker 8>who are coming under tremendous assault by missiles and drones,

0:13:07.520 --> 0:13:09.520
<v Speaker 8>and what are we doing to protect that force?

0:13:10.160 --> 0:13:12.240
<v Speaker 2>Congress from the other what are we doing question? I've

0:13:12.240 --> 0:13:14.480
<v Speaker 2>been getting a lot from folks in the last twenty

0:13:14.520 --> 0:13:17.480
<v Speaker 2>four hours, is what is Congress doing? And I know

0:13:17.559 --> 0:13:19.960
<v Speaker 2>there is an upcoming vote. I know Democrats are trying

0:13:19.960 --> 0:13:23.079
<v Speaker 2>to move it forward on the War Powers Act. Even

0:13:23.240 --> 0:13:28.080
<v Speaker 2>if that resolution is upheld, does Congress really realistically have

0:13:28.200 --> 0:13:32.000
<v Speaker 2>the power to stop this particular president from doing whatever

0:13:32.040 --> 0:13:33.480
<v Speaker 2>he wants to do militarily?

0:13:34.240 --> 0:13:36.800
<v Speaker 8>We do have the power. The question is, as you

0:13:36.840 --> 0:13:38.880
<v Speaker 8>point out, are you willing to take it right? We're

0:13:38.880 --> 0:13:42.480
<v Speaker 8>going to force a vote on Wednesday so that people

0:13:42.600 --> 0:13:46.040
<v Speaker 8>have to stand up and let their constituents know where

0:13:46.080 --> 0:13:49.839
<v Speaker 8>they stand on this issue. You know, thumbs up, thumbs down, right,

0:13:49.880 --> 0:13:52.559
<v Speaker 8>So we need to start taking a role, taking names,

0:13:52.960 --> 0:13:56.280
<v Speaker 8>and that's the beginning of that accountability process that I

0:13:56.320 --> 0:13:59.320
<v Speaker 8>was talking about. But Congress has all sorts of power

0:13:59.400 --> 0:14:03.160
<v Speaker 8>if it is willing to use it appropriations, pulling money,

0:14:03.200 --> 0:14:07.640
<v Speaker 8>pulling funding, putting guardrails on deployments. Congress actually can do

0:14:07.760 --> 0:14:10.360
<v Speaker 8>all of those things. The problem is not whether or

0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:12.920
<v Speaker 8>not it has the power. The problem has been in

0:14:12.920 --> 0:14:16.319
<v Speaker 8>my time in Congress, it's unwillingness to use it, which

0:14:16.360 --> 0:14:19.240
<v Speaker 8>is not just our responsibility, but it's actually our duty

0:14:19.520 --> 0:14:22.400
<v Speaker 8>to do that, to take that power back and to

0:14:22.440 --> 0:14:25.040
<v Speaker 8>put those guardrails in place. So in all of this,

0:14:25.440 --> 0:14:27.840
<v Speaker 8>the question is not whether or not the Iranian regime

0:14:27.920 --> 0:14:30.000
<v Speaker 8>was that it was a terror regime, it was awful.

0:14:30.280 --> 0:14:32.400
<v Speaker 8>All of those things are true, right, This was a

0:14:32.520 --> 0:14:37.960
<v Speaker 8>terrible rogue terrorists supporting regime, It killed American soldiers, destabilized

0:14:38.000 --> 0:14:40.560
<v Speaker 8>the entire Middle Eastern region. All of those things are true.

0:14:40.640 --> 0:14:43.200
<v Speaker 8>The question is whether or not this is the right response,

0:14:43.240 --> 0:14:45.280
<v Speaker 8>whether or not we should be spending tens of billions

0:14:45.520 --> 0:14:48.440
<v Speaker 8>of US dollars, whether or not regime change is something

0:14:48.440 --> 0:14:50.920
<v Speaker 8>we should be engaged in, and whether it's going to

0:14:50.920 --> 0:14:52.760
<v Speaker 8>actually turn out better for us in the end.

0:14:53.240 --> 0:14:55.360
<v Speaker 3>Earlier this morning, we spoke with Eric Watson, our colleague

0:14:55.360 --> 0:14:57.040
<v Speaker 3>wo covers the Capitol. In no doubt he's asked you

0:14:57.080 --> 0:15:00.160
<v Speaker 3>some pressing questions over the course of your career or

0:15:00.200 --> 0:15:04.080
<v Speaker 3>in Congress, and gazing into his crystal ball, he expressed

0:15:04.120 --> 0:15:06.720
<v Speaker 3>some He suggested that perhaps this war resolution isn't going

0:15:06.800 --> 0:15:09.360
<v Speaker 3>to pass, that Democrats are too divided on this issue.

0:15:09.440 --> 0:15:12.160
<v Speaker 3>I'm curious, when you look at your caucus, do you

0:15:12.400 --> 0:15:13.720
<v Speaker 3>think that it is going to be a piece of

0:15:13.800 --> 0:15:16.800
<v Speaker 3>legislation that gets the wide majority supportive Democrats in the House.

0:15:17.960 --> 0:15:19.200
<v Speaker 8>I do think we're going to get a lot of

0:15:19.200 --> 0:15:21.200
<v Speaker 8>support for it. I even think some Republicans are going

0:15:21.240 --> 0:15:22.960
<v Speaker 8>to vote for it. I don't think we're all that

0:15:23.040 --> 0:15:25.840
<v Speaker 8>divided on this issue. And people have different views on

0:15:26.200 --> 0:15:30.000
<v Speaker 8>regime change in Iran, but we are pretty united on

0:15:30.040 --> 0:15:34.320
<v Speaker 8>this issue of Congress retaking its war powers. Right, Because

0:15:34.320 --> 0:15:36.760
<v Speaker 8>regardless of what you think about any about any one

0:15:37.080 --> 0:15:44.560
<v Speaker 8>particular instance Venezuela, Sudan, Iran, Ukraine, what remains true is

0:15:44.600 --> 0:15:48.160
<v Speaker 8>that the American people, Americans really want there to be

0:15:48.240 --> 0:15:51.600
<v Speaker 8>checks and guardrails put in place. They're very tired of

0:15:52.120 --> 0:15:56.560
<v Speaker 8>no debate, no public discussion, no votes, no accountability on

0:15:56.640 --> 0:15:57.560
<v Speaker 8>all these conflicts.

0:15:57.640 --> 0:15:57.760
<v Speaker 5>Right.

0:15:57.800 --> 0:16:00.720
<v Speaker 8>They actually want us to be thinking about what we're

0:16:00.720 --> 0:16:02.440
<v Speaker 8>doing long term and whether or not it is in

0:16:02.520 --> 0:16:05.760
<v Speaker 8>their core interest. Is it making groceries cheaper? Is it

0:16:05.800 --> 0:16:08.320
<v Speaker 8>protecting them? Is it keeping their families safe? Is it

0:16:08.360 --> 0:16:10.640
<v Speaker 8>reducing the cost of health care? Is it helping them

0:16:10.640 --> 0:16:14.200
<v Speaker 8>afford homes? That is the discussion in the debate that

0:16:14.240 --> 0:16:17.040
<v Speaker 8>has not been happening, and that has to happen, and

0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:17.800
<v Speaker 8>that we're going to.

0:16:17.760 --> 0:16:20.600
<v Speaker 2>Force to pivot to exactly what you were talking about.

0:16:20.640 --> 0:16:22.400
<v Speaker 2>And that's because we do have a midterm coming up,

0:16:22.440 --> 0:16:25.520
<v Speaker 2>and all politics are local. Do you think this is

0:16:25.520 --> 0:16:29.000
<v Speaker 2>a liability for the president the longer this conflict continues,

0:16:29.080 --> 0:16:32.600
<v Speaker 2>because even in his world there is division about this

0:16:32.760 --> 0:16:35.720
<v Speaker 2>American expansion as in the Don Roa doctrine. Is this

0:16:35.800 --> 0:16:38.560
<v Speaker 2>something that Democrats are going to hit hard against their

0:16:38.600 --> 0:16:41.040
<v Speaker 2>Republican opponents come the midterms?

0:16:42.960 --> 0:16:46.000
<v Speaker 8>Absolutely? You know, I don't Trump realize something on the

0:16:46.040 --> 0:16:49.120
<v Speaker 8>campaign trail, something that I know deeply, and that is

0:16:49.200 --> 0:16:51.440
<v Speaker 8>there is a lot of anger and resentment in working

0:16:51.480 --> 0:16:55.080
<v Speaker 8>class America where I'm from, the people that I grew

0:16:55.160 --> 0:16:56.800
<v Speaker 8>up with and the people that I served with and

0:16:56.840 --> 0:16:58.840
<v Speaker 8>I fought with when I went to war in Iraq

0:16:58.840 --> 0:17:01.920
<v Speaker 8>and Afghanistan three times times. People are angry with this

0:17:02.040 --> 0:17:05.960
<v Speaker 8>lack of accountability by endless conflict and it not delivering

0:17:06.040 --> 0:17:09.199
<v Speaker 8>for them. So he actually campaigned as an isolationist. He

0:17:09.280 --> 0:17:13.240
<v Speaker 8>campaigned to end these wars and to end this constant

0:17:13.280 --> 0:17:16.440
<v Speaker 8>cycle of conflict, and now that he's in power, he's

0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:20.399
<v Speaker 8>just perpetuating the same thing. Right, seven countries bombed in

0:17:20.440 --> 0:17:24.600
<v Speaker 8>the first year alone, tens of billions of dollars spent

0:17:24.680 --> 0:17:26.840
<v Speaker 8>on these operations, where a lot of Americans are saying,

0:17:26.880 --> 0:17:29.159
<v Speaker 8>what are we doing. What are we accomplishing here? What

0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:30.120
<v Speaker 8>is the endgame?

0:17:30.440 --> 0:17:30.600
<v Speaker 5>Right?

0:17:30.640 --> 0:17:34.760
<v Speaker 8>Because Iraq and Afghanistan, Afghanistan was the same thing. Right,

0:17:35.160 --> 0:17:38.840
<v Speaker 8>we won. Here's an important point. We won every single

0:17:38.920 --> 0:17:42.400
<v Speaker 8>battle in the wars in Iraq in Afghanistan. We didn't

0:17:42.440 --> 0:17:44.840
<v Speaker 8>lose a single engagement, a single battle. We won all

0:17:44.920 --> 0:17:45.240
<v Speaker 8>of them.

0:17:45.520 --> 0:17:45.680
<v Speaker 6>Right.

0:17:45.680 --> 0:17:48.520
<v Speaker 8>But we lost the wars in the end, right, It's

0:17:48.560 --> 0:17:51.480
<v Speaker 8>because we didn't have a strategy, We didn't articulate what

0:17:51.520 --> 0:17:53.720
<v Speaker 8>our interests were and what we were doing, and we

0:17:53.760 --> 0:17:56.800
<v Speaker 8>didn't have an endgame. Right, And we're in the same

0:17:56.840 --> 0:17:59.679
<v Speaker 8>situation here now again, and people are pretty fed up

0:17:59.680 --> 0:17:59.879
<v Speaker 8>with it.

0:18:00.080 --> 0:18:00.240
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:18:00.240 --> 0:18:02.080
<v Speaker 8>I do believe this is going to blow back on

0:18:02.119 --> 0:18:05.720
<v Speaker 8>the President, and we're going to see who's willing to

0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:08.760
<v Speaker 8>stand up and try to end the cycle of madness

0:18:08.840 --> 0:18:10.359
<v Speaker 8>versus those who are going to perpetuate it.

0:18:10.520 --> 0:18:12.560
<v Speaker 3>Harkson Jason Crowe joining us on this Sunday head of

0:18:12.560 --> 0:18:15.359
<v Speaker 3>that briefing he's scheduled to get from the Administration and

0:18:15.400 --> 0:18:17.159
<v Speaker 3>that vote on war powers in the House later this

0:18:17.200 --> 0:18:17.840
<v Speaker 3>week Wednesday.

0:18:20.240 --> 0:18:22.800
<v Speaker 2>Stay with us for more on Bloomberg this weekend. Right

0:18:22.840 --> 0:18:37.320
<v Speaker 2>after this, we're going to turn now to the Great

0:18:37.359 --> 0:18:40.880
<v Speaker 2>State of Texas and Representative Mike McCall. He, of course,

0:18:40.920 --> 0:18:43.359
<v Speaker 2>serves on the Foreign Affairs and Homeland Security Committees and

0:18:43.520 --> 0:18:46.840
<v Speaker 2>is the Chairman Ameritus of Foreign Affairs. Congress than, thank

0:18:46.840 --> 0:18:48.400
<v Speaker 2>you so much for joining us. I know you're having

0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:51.120
<v Speaker 2>a busy day. I believe we are your inaugural zoom

0:18:51.400 --> 0:18:54.879
<v Speaker 2>interview on television. We are very very grateful for that,

0:18:55.520 --> 0:18:57.560
<v Speaker 2>and thank you to those who helped make this happen.

0:18:58.440 --> 0:19:02.000
<v Speaker 2>But I didn't know if you could here, Congressman Crow

0:19:02.520 --> 0:19:05.560
<v Speaker 2>his criticism towards the end, there is that in this

0:19:05.680 --> 0:19:10.040
<v Speaker 2>campaign there's no strategy and there's no endgame. What is

0:19:10.080 --> 0:19:13.240
<v Speaker 2>the president's strategy in Iran? Do you understand what it

0:19:13.320 --> 0:19:14.359
<v Speaker 2>is and do you support it?

0:19:15.280 --> 0:19:17.920
<v Speaker 7>Well, first, it's great to be on your inaugural Sunday show.

0:19:18.160 --> 0:19:23.320
<v Speaker 7>Thank you. You know, I think, look, the presidents trying

0:19:23.359 --> 0:19:27.560
<v Speaker 7>to negotiate, just like Maduro, the Iranians are very deceptive.

0:19:27.560 --> 0:19:30.800
<v Speaker 7>They're not good faith negotiators. I believe in his mind

0:19:30.800 --> 0:19:32.640
<v Speaker 7>he knew at the end of the day couldn't trust them,

0:19:33.320 --> 0:19:34.000
<v Speaker 7>and he went.

0:19:33.920 --> 0:19:34.800
<v Speaker 5>To Plan B.

0:19:35.240 --> 0:19:37.960
<v Speaker 7>This was what was interesting to me is the targets.

0:19:38.000 --> 0:19:42.679
<v Speaker 7>It was no longer about inviscerting the nuclear sites, but

0:19:42.800 --> 0:19:46.399
<v Speaker 7>rather going into regime change. I mean to see the

0:19:46.400 --> 0:19:50.960
<v Speaker 7>compound of the Isola just completely blown up. And we

0:19:51.080 --> 0:19:53.040
<v Speaker 7>know that not only was he taken out of his

0:19:53.160 --> 0:19:58.879
<v Speaker 7>top advisors and the IRGC, this was a significant event

0:19:58.960 --> 0:20:02.680
<v Speaker 7>and I don't want to diminish the sort of greatness

0:20:02.720 --> 0:20:06.160
<v Speaker 7>of this moment. Since in nineteen seventy nine, there's been

0:20:06.200 --> 0:20:10.479
<v Speaker 7>a dark veil that descended across the Middle East, and

0:20:10.560 --> 0:20:13.399
<v Speaker 7>that shroud has now been lifted and the people of

0:20:13.440 --> 0:20:16.240
<v Speaker 7>Iran now have a chance for freedom and a chance

0:20:16.280 --> 0:20:19.840
<v Speaker 7>to take back their country. And since nineteen seventy nine,

0:20:19.880 --> 0:20:22.640
<v Speaker 7>we've seen what Iran has done as the largest state

0:20:22.680 --> 0:20:27.080
<v Speaker 7>sponsor of terror. You know, they've had their proxies and

0:20:27.119 --> 0:20:31.000
<v Speaker 7>it's not just Israel. Everybody talks all about Israel. They

0:20:31.040 --> 0:20:37.320
<v Speaker 7>also send drones to kill Ukrainians. They also fuel China's

0:20:37.800 --> 0:20:41.760
<v Speaker 7>imperial war war machine. And you know what's interesting, lastly,

0:20:42.680 --> 0:20:46.679
<v Speaker 7>Christina is you know the typical allies here. They have

0:20:46.800 --> 0:20:50.920
<v Speaker 7>completely turned off the Gold States from them. I mean,

0:20:51.280 --> 0:20:56.080
<v Speaker 7>with this miscalculation of hitting not only our military bases

0:20:56.119 --> 0:21:00.400
<v Speaker 7>but hotels in the Gulf States surrounding Iran. They are

0:21:00.440 --> 0:21:04.359
<v Speaker 7>now aligned with the United States and Israel against Iran,

0:21:04.880 --> 0:21:08.159
<v Speaker 7>and where is China and Russia? They're nowhere to be found.

0:21:08.680 --> 0:21:14.680
<v Speaker 7>So I understand a veterans standpoint Iraq Afghanistan. I understand

0:21:14.720 --> 0:21:18.080
<v Speaker 7>all that. The difference is Iran is all alone now

0:21:18.440 --> 0:21:20.920
<v Speaker 7>and there's no one there to save them, and their

0:21:21.040 --> 0:21:27.920
<v Speaker 7>leadership is completely decapitated such that there's no serious governance

0:21:27.920 --> 0:21:30.240
<v Speaker 7>that can take place. I do think it's time for

0:21:30.280 --> 0:21:32.679
<v Speaker 7>the people rise up. I think the big question for

0:21:32.760 --> 0:21:35.840
<v Speaker 7>me is what do we have in place to help

0:21:35.960 --> 0:21:36.560
<v Speaker 7>these people?

0:21:37.160 --> 0:21:37.360
<v Speaker 5>Right?

0:21:37.400 --> 0:21:39.320
<v Speaker 7>So, what is Israel doing?

0:21:39.440 --> 0:21:40.960
<v Speaker 3>Let me go there if I could, because that's my

0:21:41.080 --> 0:21:43.640
<v Speaker 3>question of the morning, which is the government maybe out?

0:21:43.720 --> 0:21:46.080
<v Speaker 3>You have this vacuum. How does the US encourage that

0:21:46.119 --> 0:21:48.119
<v Speaker 3>to happen here without boots on the ground, which I think,

0:21:48.840 --> 0:21:50.520
<v Speaker 3>dare I say you and others in the Congress are

0:21:50.520 --> 0:21:52.760
<v Speaker 3>probably reluctant to have be the case going forward here?

0:21:52.800 --> 0:21:56.119
<v Speaker 3>How does the US and Israel encourage the growth of

0:21:56.160 --> 0:22:00.760
<v Speaker 3>a new administration, new government in Iran? Barring that?

0:22:00.760 --> 0:22:02.880
<v Speaker 7>That's a great question. I think it is the question

0:22:02.920 --> 0:22:05.000
<v Speaker 7>of the hour. I think we got us in trouble

0:22:05.040 --> 0:22:07.440
<v Speaker 7>in Iraq. If I can go back to Iraq, in Afghanistan,

0:22:08.040 --> 0:22:10.199
<v Speaker 7>we had a chance to kill Ben Laanen early on,

0:22:10.320 --> 0:22:14.280
<v Speaker 7>and we missed him. Here we did, we killed the Ayatola.

0:22:14.800 --> 0:22:19.240
<v Speaker 7>He has gone. Our presence there voked to the Jahadas.

0:22:19.240 --> 0:22:21.760
<v Speaker 7>So it was our boots on the ground in Iraq

0:22:21.800 --> 0:22:25.679
<v Speaker 7>and Afghanistian that drew like a magnet. The jahadis to us,

0:22:25.720 --> 0:22:28.280
<v Speaker 7>We're not going to see that in this case. And

0:22:28.359 --> 0:22:31.840
<v Speaker 7>I have to think that Israel is probably the one

0:22:32.160 --> 0:22:37.960
<v Speaker 7>in the best position to effectuate, you know, help with

0:22:38.280 --> 0:22:42.560
<v Speaker 7>not only communications but weapons and leadership, and those are

0:22:42.600 --> 0:22:45.080
<v Speaker 7>the three elements I talk about a lot. I don't

0:22:45.080 --> 0:22:47.520
<v Speaker 7>know who the next leader of Iran's going to be.

0:22:47.880 --> 0:22:51.719
<v Speaker 7>I don't see weapons right now, but that's possible. In

0:22:51.760 --> 0:22:55.200
<v Speaker 7>the communications, we got to get star Link in there.

0:22:55.520 --> 0:22:58.520
<v Speaker 7>I know they were trying to, but Iran was taking

0:22:58.520 --> 0:23:02.479
<v Speaker 7>out those you know, those terminals. I think that's going

0:23:02.520 --> 0:23:04.960
<v Speaker 7>to be a big change when Starling gets back up

0:23:05.160 --> 0:23:07.160
<v Speaker 7>and they can communicate amongst themselves.

0:23:07.600 --> 0:23:07.719
<v Speaker 1>Now.

0:23:07.720 --> 0:23:10.240
<v Speaker 7>I remember the last strike in the day or the

0:23:11.080 --> 0:23:13.800
<v Speaker 7>ten day War or whatever it was that, you know,

0:23:13.880 --> 0:23:16.720
<v Speaker 7>I was surprised at what the presence of the assets

0:23:17.320 --> 0:23:21.280
<v Speaker 7>Israel had on the ground in Ron to take out

0:23:21.320 --> 0:23:24.280
<v Speaker 7>these targets. Yeah, and I think everyone in the intelligence

0:23:24.280 --> 0:23:29.199
<v Speaker 7>community was equally surprised by the presence they had. So

0:23:29.240 --> 0:23:33.120
<v Speaker 7>I do think Israel's probably in the better position. If

0:23:33.119 --> 0:23:36.399
<v Speaker 7>it does need boots on the ground, certainly Israel's better.

0:23:36.720 --> 0:23:39.760
<v Speaker 7>I don't see this present putting American boots on the ground.

0:23:40.119 --> 0:23:40.439
<v Speaker 5>Chustin.

0:23:40.520 --> 0:23:42.480
<v Speaker 2>I want to ask you, there's been some reporting that

0:23:42.520 --> 0:23:45.240
<v Speaker 2>members of Congress are going to be getting some briefings,

0:23:45.960 --> 0:23:48.000
<v Speaker 2>maybe as soon as today or tomorrow. I'm wondering if

0:23:48.160 --> 0:23:51.200
<v Speaker 2>there's anything you can say about that. What briefings are

0:23:51.240 --> 0:23:53.560
<v Speaker 2>information you've received from the White House so far. And

0:23:53.640 --> 0:23:55.720
<v Speaker 2>then I also want to ask you about this War

0:23:55.920 --> 0:23:58.159
<v Speaker 2>Powers resolution that some of your colleagues are trying to

0:23:58.160 --> 0:24:00.440
<v Speaker 2>send to the floor, and whether or not you're supported.

0:24:02.040 --> 0:24:06.200
<v Speaker 7>Sure, so a couple of things, More Powers Act has

0:24:06.280 --> 0:24:11.919
<v Speaker 7>been invoked. This was a military the use of our

0:24:11.960 --> 0:24:19.000
<v Speaker 7>military in the foreign land in a strike situation. So

0:24:19.040 --> 0:24:22.280
<v Speaker 7>that prong has been fulfilled. Therefore, within forty eight hours

0:24:22.280 --> 0:24:26.720
<v Speaker 7>of notification has to come to the Congress notifying us

0:24:26.800 --> 0:24:31.080
<v Speaker 7>of the circumstances, the legal justification, and the extent and

0:24:31.160 --> 0:24:34.800
<v Speaker 7>duration of the conflict. If the conflict exceeds sixty days,

0:24:35.240 --> 0:24:38.680
<v Speaker 7>it needs authorization from Congress. Now Congress can do that

0:24:38.760 --> 0:24:42.520
<v Speaker 7>prior typically it has not in the past. We do

0:24:42.560 --> 0:24:48.040
<v Speaker 7>have briefings scheduled this week that will be classified briefings

0:24:48.080 --> 0:24:52.760
<v Speaker 7>in what's called the skiff, that's a classified briefing space.

0:24:52.920 --> 0:24:55.080
<v Speaker 2>Information will you be looking for in those briefings? What

0:24:55.160 --> 0:24:56.520
<v Speaker 2>questions do you have for the administration?

0:24:57.680 --> 0:25:02.200
<v Speaker 7>I think for me next steps? Look, this was once again,

0:25:02.880 --> 0:25:10.040
<v Speaker 7>like Venezuela, a masterful military executed plan, flawless, no Americans

0:25:10.240 --> 0:25:13.600
<v Speaker 7>that were killed. What I'm looking for is what's the

0:25:13.920 --> 0:25:18.119
<v Speaker 7>overall objective moving forward. It's clearly not just taking out

0:25:18.160 --> 0:25:23.280
<v Speaker 7>military sites now it's about regime change, and I would

0:25:23.359 --> 0:25:26.639
<v Speaker 7>like to know what objectives are in hand and what

0:25:27.200 --> 0:25:30.120
<v Speaker 7>is what are the next steps in place? And how

0:25:30.160 --> 0:25:34.160
<v Speaker 7>long we're all all involvement take place? If I can say,

0:25:34.160 --> 0:25:37.080
<v Speaker 7>as Chairman of Foreign Affairs Committee, I was trying to

0:25:37.200 --> 0:25:41.760
<v Speaker 7>update these old aumfs from the two thousand and one. Yeah,

0:25:41.920 --> 0:25:44.879
<v Speaker 7>Jason Crow is part of the thing. The sticking point,

0:25:46.240 --> 0:25:48.880
<v Speaker 7>Christina was I couldn't get the left or the right

0:25:48.920 --> 0:25:52.200
<v Speaker 7>to agree to add Iran and their proxies on to

0:25:52.280 --> 0:25:52.600
<v Speaker 7>the two.

0:25:52.520 --> 0:25:53.760
<v Speaker 5>Thousand Conerson, we got to go.

0:25:53.840 --> 0:25:56.040
<v Speaker 2>I'm so sorry, thank you so much for taking time

0:25:56.040 --> 0:25:57.240
<v Speaker 2>with us. We really appreciate it.

0:25:58.600 --> 0:26:02.280
<v Speaker 4>Stay with us for more on Bloomberg this weekend. Right

0:26:02.320 --> 0:26:15.280
<v Speaker 4>after this, we're talking.

0:26:15.040 --> 0:26:16.919
<v Speaker 3>A lot about politics, yes here in the US, the

0:26:16.920 --> 0:26:19.240
<v Speaker 3>fallout from these strikes over the weekend, of politics in

0:26:19.240 --> 0:26:21.240
<v Speaker 3>the region in Iran as well. And I want to

0:26:21.240 --> 0:26:23.440
<v Speaker 3>bring in to Garshimali, formerly of the US Mission to

0:26:23.480 --> 0:26:25.679
<v Speaker 3>the UN, now affiliated with the Atlantic Council and with

0:26:25.720 --> 0:26:27.679
<v Speaker 3>Columbia University. She's here on set with us along with

0:26:27.720 --> 0:26:30.520
<v Speaker 3>Joe Matthew, the anchor of Balance of Power on Jeff Mason,

0:26:30.560 --> 0:26:33.720
<v Speaker 3>our White House correspondent here at Bloomberg News regard, let me.

0:26:33.760 --> 0:26:34.119
<v Speaker 5>Turn to you.

0:26:34.119 --> 0:26:36.199
<v Speaker 3>We've talked a lot about the vacuum that's erupting here,

0:26:36.240 --> 0:26:39.200
<v Speaker 3>the Supreme Leader killed in these attacks and what might

0:26:39.240 --> 0:26:41.760
<v Speaker 3>happen next. The President of the United States encouraging Iranians

0:26:41.800 --> 0:26:44.720
<v Speaker 3>to step up and take advantage of this opportunity. How

0:26:44.720 --> 0:26:47.359
<v Speaker 3>are you watching and thinking through what's happening on the

0:26:47.359 --> 0:26:49.040
<v Speaker 3>ground now and what's going to film inn to perhaps

0:26:49.160 --> 0:26:52.600
<v Speaker 3>lead to some major changes here and iron going forward.

0:26:52.920 --> 0:26:55.840
<v Speaker 9>Sure, well, there are three things that I'd be looking for.

0:26:55.920 --> 0:26:58.960
<v Speaker 9>So first, is one for greater protests and are those

0:26:58.960 --> 0:27:00.800
<v Speaker 9>protests are going to They're going to grow. We've seen

0:27:00.800 --> 0:27:03.200
<v Speaker 9>a lot of Iranians celebrating in the streets. You've also

0:27:03.200 --> 0:27:06.600
<v Speaker 9>seen some Iranians going at the US embassy and protesting

0:27:06.600 --> 0:27:08.320
<v Speaker 9>the other way. But when when it comes to Iran,

0:27:08.359 --> 0:27:11.159
<v Speaker 9>it's hard to know when they express support for the regime,

0:27:11.400 --> 0:27:13.480
<v Speaker 9>if they're paid, if they're scared, or if you know

0:27:13.480 --> 0:27:15.600
<v Speaker 9>how genuine it is. So one thing we'll be looking

0:27:15.640 --> 0:27:19.280
<v Speaker 9>for is protests, celebrations, how big those become. Another thing

0:27:19.320 --> 0:27:22.359
<v Speaker 9>I'd be looking for is the direction of the IRGC.

0:27:22.560 --> 0:27:25.120
<v Speaker 5>So we're hearing some stories.

0:27:24.720 --> 0:27:27.400
<v Speaker 9>And I don't want to over emphasize these, but small

0:27:27.440 --> 0:27:31.879
<v Speaker 9>stories of low level defections, folks that won't fire on

0:27:32.320 --> 0:27:35.040
<v Speaker 9>people and such. When you have that, it's showing cracks

0:27:35.040 --> 0:27:37.600
<v Speaker 9>and fissures in the IRGC. You want to see more

0:27:37.680 --> 0:27:40.320
<v Speaker 9>of that to indicate that the regime is going to fall,

0:27:40.320 --> 0:27:42.920
<v Speaker 9>because a dictator is only as strong as the military

0:27:42.960 --> 0:27:45.560
<v Speaker 9>is loyal. Now there is no real dictator. There is

0:27:45.680 --> 0:27:50.600
<v Speaker 9>a new named newly named Ayatola. But that said, there's

0:27:51.160 --> 0:27:54.720
<v Speaker 9>the leadership has been decapitated. As Representative McCall said, so

0:27:55.440 --> 0:27:57.760
<v Speaker 9>hard to see what that really, what really happens there

0:27:57.760 --> 0:27:59.760
<v Speaker 9>so IRGC and then the third and this is a

0:27:59.800 --> 0:28:02.760
<v Speaker 9>really important one that I don't think receives enough attention

0:28:02.880 --> 0:28:07.000
<v Speaker 9>except on Bloomberg, which is the economic situation which has

0:28:07.040 --> 0:28:11.600
<v Speaker 9>been done yeah, super higher in Iran. In October, one

0:28:11.600 --> 0:28:15.480
<v Speaker 9>of their biggest banks, Bank Ayande Bank, collapsed. It's the

0:28:15.680 --> 0:28:19.960
<v Speaker 9>regime absorbed it into Bank Melli, a state run one

0:28:19.960 --> 0:28:24.320
<v Speaker 9>of the biggest lenders in Iran. They printed Rial's inflation skyrocketed.

0:28:24.480 --> 0:28:27.320
<v Speaker 9>That is what precipitated the protests. And there are about

0:28:27.359 --> 0:28:31.359
<v Speaker 9>five other banks that are about to face very similar situations.

0:28:31.440 --> 0:28:33.840
<v Speaker 9>So when you have an implosion like that, it means

0:28:33.840 --> 0:28:36.199
<v Speaker 9>the regime doesn't have an economic leg to stand on.

0:28:36.320 --> 0:28:38.520
<v Speaker 2>I want to ask you what we know about popular

0:28:38.560 --> 0:28:40.520
<v Speaker 2>sentiment in Iran. It's obviously not a place that we're

0:28:40.520 --> 0:28:42.920
<v Speaker 2>going to be getting very accurate or even possible pulling.

0:28:43.240 --> 0:28:44.760
<v Speaker 2>So we have these two camps, if you're mentioning, we

0:28:44.840 --> 0:28:48.080
<v Speaker 2>have people inside Iran who are hemmed in by not

0:28:48.120 --> 0:28:50.080
<v Speaker 2>being able to speak out openly in the regime. At

0:28:50.120 --> 0:28:52.440
<v Speaker 2>the moment, internet and phones I've been cut. I was

0:28:52.440 --> 0:28:54.080
<v Speaker 2>talking to a friend. She hasn't talked to her family

0:28:54.080 --> 0:28:55.240
<v Speaker 2>in twenty four hours. She doesn't know if they're in

0:28:55.280 --> 0:28:56.920
<v Speaker 2>the city. You just know if they're outside of the city.

0:28:57.000 --> 0:28:59.560
<v Speaker 2>And you have this very vocal XPAC community, many of

0:28:59.600 --> 0:29:02.920
<v Speaker 2>them in the including the Shaw's son, who has been

0:29:03.280 --> 0:29:06.280
<v Speaker 2>making videos and would very much like to sweep back

0:29:06.320 --> 0:29:09.080
<v Speaker 2>into power. Is that at all a possibility? Is there

0:29:09.560 --> 0:29:12.400
<v Speaker 2>a third player in addition to folks inside the regime

0:29:12.440 --> 0:29:16.360
<v Speaker 2>who would be naming themselves the new leader, former Shaw's son.

0:29:16.600 --> 0:29:18.960
<v Speaker 2>Is there a third player in there or is that yet.

0:29:18.880 --> 0:29:19.520
<v Speaker 5>To be determined?

0:29:19.800 --> 0:29:19.880
<v Speaker 6>Now?

0:29:19.960 --> 0:29:22.360
<v Speaker 9>This yet to be to be determined. I would say

0:29:22.840 --> 0:29:25.840
<v Speaker 9>so the Shaw's son, I would I'm personally loath to

0:29:26.960 --> 0:29:33.280
<v Speaker 9>endorse any one person, and in particular the we're for endorsements, right,

0:29:33.360 --> 0:29:35.760
<v Speaker 9>or the son of a former monarch too, right exactly.

0:29:35.800 --> 0:29:37.760
<v Speaker 2>I mean, this was not a flawless regime, and there

0:29:37.760 --> 0:29:39.800
<v Speaker 2>seems to be a little retrofitting of history going on

0:29:39.840 --> 0:29:41.200
<v Speaker 2>among his supporters, right.

0:29:41.040 --> 0:29:42.959
<v Speaker 9>And I could see that, you know. And I met

0:29:43.000 --> 0:29:45.520
<v Speaker 9>him actually at the Munich Security Conference, and he's very

0:29:45.520 --> 0:29:47.320
<v Speaker 9>well spoken, very smart. He's been in the United States

0:29:47.320 --> 0:29:49.160
<v Speaker 9>since he was literally seventeen years old.

0:29:49.200 --> 0:29:50.240
<v Speaker 5>And he seems to have a.

0:29:50.160 --> 0:29:54.440
<v Speaker 9>Great vision for how things could unfold now. So, but

0:29:54.640 --> 0:29:57.120
<v Speaker 9>I can't speak to I don't know if the majority

0:29:57.120 --> 0:29:59.320
<v Speaker 9>of the Iranian people support him. We do know that

0:29:59.360 --> 0:30:02.000
<v Speaker 9>he has some support, He has very strong support outside.

0:30:02.040 --> 0:30:04.240
<v Speaker 9>He does have some support inside. But that said, he

0:30:04.320 --> 0:30:07.240
<v Speaker 9>has talked about anyway that he would if if he

0:30:07.320 --> 0:30:10.080
<v Speaker 9>were the one to try and install a constitutional monarchy

0:30:10.120 --> 0:30:12.760
<v Speaker 9>and bring in democratic reforms, that he would bring in

0:30:12.760 --> 0:30:16.160
<v Speaker 9>a very diverse group, you know, representing the diverse elements

0:30:16.240 --> 0:30:18.800
<v Speaker 9>of Iran. So there's hope there. He has met with

0:30:19.040 --> 0:30:21.320
<v Speaker 9>the White House several times, but there also you can

0:30:21.360 --> 0:30:24.520
<v Speaker 9>see very loath to endorse any one person, in particular

0:30:24.720 --> 0:30:25.160
<v Speaker 9>Jeff Mason.

0:30:25.280 --> 0:30:26.720
<v Speaker 3>Let me ask you about what the president wants to

0:30:26.720 --> 0:30:28.360
<v Speaker 3>see happen here. I'm going to go out on a

0:30:28.360 --> 0:30:30.200
<v Speaker 3>limb and bet that he's been scrolling through social media

0:30:30.200 --> 0:30:32.240
<v Speaker 3>as we all haven't seen these videos pop up of

0:30:32.680 --> 0:30:34.960
<v Speaker 3>dubious legitimacy. Who knows if they're real or not. We

0:30:35.000 --> 0:30:37.360
<v Speaker 3>have verified all of them, some of the protests and

0:30:37.440 --> 0:30:39.800
<v Speaker 3>celebrations that Gar's talking about just a moment to go.

0:30:40.240 --> 0:30:42.080
<v Speaker 3>What does he want exactly? What does he want this

0:30:42.200 --> 0:30:43.520
<v Speaker 3>to lead to in Iran?

0:30:44.480 --> 0:30:46.200
<v Speaker 10>I don't have the answer to that, because I'm not

0:30:46.280 --> 0:30:48.040
<v Speaker 10>sure that he does I'm going to say, does he

0:30:48.120 --> 0:30:50.600
<v Speaker 10>have the answers exactly? I think that. I mean, it's

0:30:50.640 --> 0:30:53.120
<v Speaker 10>a good question. He indicated in one of the interviews

0:30:53.160 --> 0:30:56.000
<v Speaker 10>that he did that the US could sort of sweep in,

0:30:56.360 --> 0:30:59.480
<v Speaker 10>or the US could wait and watch how things happen

0:30:59.560 --> 0:31:01.280
<v Speaker 10>and come back back again in three years. I think

0:31:01.320 --> 0:31:04.560
<v Speaker 10>he said if Iran were to pursue nuclear weapons again.

0:31:04.840 --> 0:31:08.200
<v Speaker 10>So I think it's an ambiguous answer. I think it's

0:31:08.240 --> 0:31:11.840
<v Speaker 10>also interesting to compare what happened now and around versus

0:31:11.920 --> 0:31:15.200
<v Speaker 10>what the US did in Venezuela, taking out the leader

0:31:15.440 --> 0:31:18.640
<v Speaker 10>and then really having what seemed so far to be

0:31:18.680 --> 0:31:23.560
<v Speaker 10>a pretty decent relationship with his successor, despite the fact

0:31:23.560 --> 0:31:26.160
<v Speaker 10>that they went in and took out Maduro, which of

0:31:26.200 --> 0:31:30.280
<v Speaker 10>course the Maduro regime and the government there was not

0:31:30.360 --> 0:31:33.680
<v Speaker 10>happy about. So big contrast there, but also big question

0:31:33.800 --> 0:31:35.720
<v Speaker 10>marks in terms of what does happen next and what

0:31:35.800 --> 0:31:38.960
<v Speaker 10>implications does that have for the country, for the region,

0:31:39.120 --> 0:31:40.120
<v Speaker 10>and for the President Trump.

0:31:40.680 --> 0:31:43.000
<v Speaker 2>Jim Matthew, We had John Bolton on the show yesterday

0:31:43.120 --> 0:31:46.040
<v Speaker 2>and he said, this is the most consequential decision of

0:31:46.520 --> 0:31:48.120
<v Speaker 2>President Trump's presidency.

0:31:48.480 --> 0:31:49.080
<v Speaker 5>Do you agree with that?

0:31:49.680 --> 0:31:52.360
<v Speaker 11>Well, yes, we'll see how that goes in the next

0:31:52.400 --> 0:31:54.000
<v Speaker 11>couple of weeks. I mean, I guess there could be

0:31:54.200 --> 0:31:56.240
<v Speaker 11>a Venezuela version of this, but that seems to be

0:31:56.280 --> 0:31:58.160
<v Speaker 11>pretty unlikely, even if everybody packed.

0:31:58.000 --> 0:31:59.400
<v Speaker 5>Up their toys and went home.

0:31:59.480 --> 0:32:01.400
<v Speaker 11>Right now, Remember the president a couple of weeks ago

0:32:01.520 --> 0:32:04.320
<v Speaker 11>is really interesting following the capture of Maduro and the

0:32:04.440 --> 0:32:07.520
<v Speaker 11>questions about, well, why Delsi Rodriguez and he pointed the

0:32:07.600 --> 0:32:11.080
<v Speaker 11>debathification of Iraq. This is something I'd love to know

0:32:11.200 --> 0:32:13.120
<v Speaker 11>who it was he was talking to the night before

0:32:13.520 --> 0:32:16.160
<v Speaker 11>when that was implanted in his brain, because that was

0:32:16.200 --> 0:32:18.240
<v Speaker 11>the approach there, and I wonder how that will inform

0:32:18.280 --> 0:32:19.640
<v Speaker 11>what's about to happen next in Tehran?

0:32:19.760 --> 0:32:21.360
<v Speaker 2>Can you explain that to those of us who may

0:32:21.440 --> 0:32:23.719
<v Speaker 2>not be completely familiar with the debatification?

0:32:24.360 --> 0:32:26.040
<v Speaker 5>Is the argument there that they did it wrong?

0:32:26.560 --> 0:32:29.400
<v Speaker 11>And this is tu one was Yes, by removing everybody

0:32:29.480 --> 0:32:31.680
<v Speaker 11>that made our situation in Iraq worse. Why don't we

0:32:31.760 --> 0:32:34.160
<v Speaker 11>keep the people who are there who have institutional knowledge

0:32:34.200 --> 0:32:36.800
<v Speaker 11>and maybe we can have a relationship with them. But

0:32:37.080 --> 0:32:41.000
<v Speaker 11>to duplicate that in Iran might be frankly impossible.

0:32:41.200 --> 0:32:42.880
<v Speaker 3>Kart, Let me draw on your past experience at the

0:32:43.000 --> 0:32:44.600
<v Speaker 3>UN at the US mission to the UN, and we

0:32:44.640 --> 0:32:46.160
<v Speaker 3>did see the Iranians call for a meeting of the

0:32:46.160 --> 0:32:48.239
<v Speaker 3>Security Council yesterday that came to pass. We heard from

0:32:48.280 --> 0:32:51.720
<v Speaker 3>Mike Waltz, the current US Ambassador to the UN, making

0:32:51.760 --> 0:32:54.160
<v Speaker 3>the case they're in that body for what's happened here.

0:32:54.720 --> 0:32:57.240
<v Speaker 3>How do you think about the role of foreign leaders

0:32:57.320 --> 0:32:59.719
<v Speaker 3>and international diplomats at this moment in time, as all

0:32:59.800 --> 0:33:02.360
<v Speaker 3>this unfolding, and our focus is so squarely on because

0:33:02.360 --> 0:33:04.000
<v Speaker 3>of the immediate danger of it, the strikes that we're

0:33:04.000 --> 0:33:06.440
<v Speaker 3>seeing taking place yesterday and continuing today.

0:33:06.920 --> 0:33:09.320
<v Speaker 9>Well, but David, you're asking me at a unique moment, because,

0:33:09.720 --> 0:33:12.520
<v Speaker 9>on one hand, I feel we've never seen the UN

0:33:12.600 --> 0:33:15.600
<v Speaker 9>be more feckless. The Iranian ambassador went to the Unsecuity

0:33:15.640 --> 0:33:18.240
<v Speaker 9>Council blatantly lied through his teeth as they as the

0:33:18.280 --> 0:33:21.760
<v Speaker 9>regime often does. You saw the Secretary of General Antonio

0:33:21.800 --> 0:33:23.480
<v Speaker 9>Gutirez take a few hours. It took him a few

0:33:23.480 --> 0:33:25.800
<v Speaker 9>hours to come out and condemn these strikes, whereas it

0:33:25.840 --> 0:33:28.000
<v Speaker 9>took him over a week to come out and condemn

0:33:28.040 --> 0:33:31.840
<v Speaker 9>the regimes of mass force against their own people. And

0:33:32.000 --> 0:33:34.080
<v Speaker 9>so they're not exactly looking very credible at the moment.

0:33:34.560 --> 0:33:36.520
<v Speaker 9>You also had as soon as these strikes started, you

0:33:36.600 --> 0:33:40.040
<v Speaker 9>had European leaders that came out obviously against this, and

0:33:41.640 --> 0:33:44.320
<v Speaker 9>they've been largely ignored, ignored and even made fun of,

0:33:45.400 --> 0:33:47.880
<v Speaker 9>certainly on the internet, but by the administration as well.

0:33:47.920 --> 0:33:51.040
<v Speaker 9>And so what you're seeing there that's really all a

0:33:51.160 --> 0:33:55.080
<v Speaker 9>symptom of a larger situation of this, where is the

0:33:55.160 --> 0:33:57.600
<v Speaker 9>international world order going? It's you know, and I don't

0:33:57.600 --> 0:34:00.160
<v Speaker 9>want to get too nerdy here, but those rules are

0:34:00.200 --> 0:34:03.880
<v Speaker 9>not being respected by anybody, and so that's crumbling. You're

0:34:03.960 --> 0:34:07.320
<v Speaker 9>seeing leaders try and want to exercise some kind of

0:34:07.400 --> 0:34:11.440
<v Speaker 9>influence and frustrated that they can't. And so a lot

0:34:11.520 --> 0:34:15.160
<v Speaker 9>of these examples of Venezuela, Iran, you're seeing the United

0:34:15.200 --> 0:34:18.400
<v Speaker 9>States taking matters into their own hands because that system

0:34:18.480 --> 0:34:21.120
<v Speaker 9>is not working. And so when you see these other

0:34:21.200 --> 0:34:23.759
<v Speaker 9>more middle powers, if you can call them, they are

0:34:24.040 --> 0:34:26.920
<v Speaker 9>feeling irrelevant, and so they're trying and what you might

0:34:27.000 --> 0:34:30.000
<v Speaker 9>see is that they later might unite and carry forward

0:34:30.080 --> 0:34:33.120
<v Speaker 9>other practices of the international world order, But in the

0:34:33.200 --> 0:34:35.399
<v Speaker 9>meantime it's not going to weigh heavily. Where I would

0:34:35.440 --> 0:34:38.400
<v Speaker 9>keep my eye on as the golf, because the regime

0:34:38.520 --> 0:34:41.520
<v Speaker 9>is making a huge mistake is super dumb strategy to

0:34:41.600 --> 0:34:45.240
<v Speaker 9>be striking countries in the golf, countries that actually implored

0:34:45.320 --> 0:34:48.000
<v Speaker 9>the United States not to pursue strikes, and that's only

0:34:48.120 --> 0:34:51.080
<v Speaker 9>going to pivot the golf even further to double down

0:34:51.120 --> 0:34:51.920
<v Speaker 9>on the United States.

0:34:52.280 --> 0:34:54.360
<v Speaker 2>First of all, this is a safe space for nerdy,

0:34:54.440 --> 0:34:56.680
<v Speaker 2>so never apologize for that. But I think you do

0:34:56.800 --> 0:34:59.359
<v Speaker 2>make a good point, and that's about the international world order,

0:34:59.480 --> 0:35:02.040
<v Speaker 2>something that has almost been President Trump's nemesis for as

0:35:02.080 --> 0:35:03.680
<v Speaker 2>long as he's been in office, and now we see

0:35:03.760 --> 0:35:06.320
<v Speaker 2>him trying to build almost a parallel structure to the

0:35:06.400 --> 0:35:09.879
<v Speaker 2>United Nations with this peace or that bord of peace.

0:35:09.960 --> 0:35:11.680
<v Speaker 2>Thank you, it's so basically can't.

0:35:11.520 --> 0:35:13.400
<v Speaker 11>Remember the name of it, Jeff.

0:35:14.360 --> 0:35:16.600
<v Speaker 2>But the odd thing about this is at the same

0:35:16.719 --> 0:35:20.399
<v Speaker 2>time he abhors some of these multilateral uizations organizations. We've

0:35:20.400 --> 0:35:22.120
<v Speaker 2>seen the US POL out of the World Health Organization.

0:35:22.520 --> 0:35:24.160
<v Speaker 2>He almost never has anything nice to say about the

0:35:24.200 --> 0:35:27.480
<v Speaker 2>United Nations. Why does the president still seem to want

0:35:27.640 --> 0:35:31.200
<v Speaker 2>some form of legitimacy from the international community, things like

0:35:31.400 --> 0:35:34.959
<v Speaker 2>the Nobel Peace Prize, a good speaking slot, a seat

0:35:34.960 --> 0:35:35.480
<v Speaker 2>at the table.

0:35:35.920 --> 0:35:37.000
<v Speaker 5>Talk to us about that balance?

0:35:37.239 --> 0:35:39.600
<v Speaker 10>Well, I mean, President Trump is someone going back to

0:35:39.680 --> 0:35:41.759
<v Speaker 10>his real estate days in New York, who likes to

0:35:41.840 --> 0:35:45.879
<v Speaker 10>have validation, and I think that that applies to whether

0:35:46.560 --> 0:35:49.680
<v Speaker 10>he's working on his business career working in his political career.

0:35:49.960 --> 0:35:52.880
<v Speaker 10>That said, the sort of jekylin Hyde aspect of that

0:35:53.080 --> 0:35:55.640
<v Speaker 10>is he's not someone who waits for permission. He is

0:35:55.719 --> 0:35:59.560
<v Speaker 10>somebody who is absolutely taking control of the international order

0:35:59.800 --> 0:36:03.880
<v Speaker 10>and reframing the United States and the world in his vision.

0:36:04.440 --> 0:36:07.440
<v Speaker 10>And that is exemplified by this attack. It's exemplified by

0:36:07.480 --> 0:36:09.520
<v Speaker 10>how he's dealt with tariffs in terms of the economic

0:36:09.560 --> 0:36:13.160
<v Speaker 10>world order. It's exemplified by how he's dealing with universities,

0:36:13.280 --> 0:36:16.040
<v Speaker 10>law firms, the media on a domestic side in the

0:36:16.120 --> 0:36:18.600
<v Speaker 10>United States. So he does all of that, but you're

0:36:18.640 --> 0:36:20.560
<v Speaker 10>not wrong that he also wants to be padded on

0:36:20.600 --> 0:36:23.359
<v Speaker 10>the back. And that's just kind of his mo shoe.

0:36:23.400 --> 0:36:24.280
<v Speaker 2>We got about a minuteleft.

0:36:24.520 --> 0:36:27.440
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, It's just it's an ironic sort of split screen

0:36:27.520 --> 0:36:29.600
<v Speaker 11>that he talks about how many wars he has stopped

0:36:29.840 --> 0:36:32.799
<v Speaker 11>when you've got Congressman Crow on the year counting how

0:36:32.840 --> 0:36:36.640
<v Speaker 11>many countries he has shot lest So I'm not sure

0:36:36.680 --> 0:36:39.320
<v Speaker 11>that many people are keeping score in that regard, but

0:36:39.400 --> 0:36:42.720
<v Speaker 11>it is pretty remarkable. The extent to which hemispheric influence

0:36:42.840 --> 0:36:45.440
<v Speaker 11>and now I guess worldwide influence is awfully important to

0:36:45.560 --> 0:36:49.040
<v Speaker 11>this president who came into office elected on three big things. Right,

0:36:49.120 --> 0:36:52.040
<v Speaker 11>the economy, affordability has got an issue. There, immigration where

0:36:52.040 --> 0:36:54.320
<v Speaker 11>we're running into issues, and I'll remind everybody that we

0:36:54.400 --> 0:36:56.560
<v Speaker 11>have a partial government shut down still underway.

0:36:56.800 --> 0:36:58.240
<v Speaker 5>And then it was no New Wars.

0:36:58.680 --> 0:37:01.120
<v Speaker 3>Joe, of course, the acropouns power here on Bloomberg Television

0:37:01.120 --> 0:37:03.360
<v Speaker 3>and Radio. Jeff Mason, our White House correspondent with us

0:37:03.360 --> 0:37:05.000
<v Speaker 3>here in New York this weekend, which is a treat

0:37:05.120 --> 0:37:06.839
<v Speaker 3>at Garshmolly, thank you very much for coming in. She's

0:37:06.840 --> 0:37:09.560
<v Speaker 3>affiliated with the Atlanta Council with Columbia University. Of course,

0:37:09.719 --> 0:37:11.840
<v Speaker 3>before that was at the US Mission to the United Nations.

0:37:14.520 --> 0:37:17.400
<v Speaker 2>Thanks for joining us on today's Bloomberg This Weekend podcast.

0:37:17.600 --> 0:37:19.799
<v Speaker 2>Don't forget to tune in live for the show every

0:37:19.880 --> 0:37:22.480
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0:37:22.600 --> 0:37:25.560
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0:37:25.719 --> 0:37:29.160
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