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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading in the corner. Ten

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Speaker 2: seconds of maining. He just goes strow under the basket.

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Speaker 2: Under the basket. It's the crow for the wind God.

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Speaker 2: A miracle.

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Speaker 1: I just stop the water.

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Speaker 2: Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 1: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast. This is the midweek college basketball betting preview.

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Speaker 1: I'm Stucky and joining me today. It's my fellow BBOC

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Speaker 1: co host Tane McGrath. Mike Calvary's dealing with some weather

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Speaker 1: and flu. Think a lot of us out there dealing

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Speaker 1: with some weather issues. I just got back from Aaruba

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Speaker 1: this morning. By the way, if you ever go down there,

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Speaker 1: I finally got to eat of this place called Oak

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Speaker 1: incredible worth. You gotta get the reservations weeks out worth getting.

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Speaker 1: But I just went from perfect weather to more snow

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Speaker 1: and flooding in Kentucky. It's a disaster.

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Speaker 2: And he lost power today too, right.

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Speaker 1: Yesterday. But I'm ready for I'm ready for the stretch run. Luckily,

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Speaker 1: I don't care about the weather until April. Now I'll

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Speaker 1: be locked in in the dungeon trying to find winners.

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Speaker 1: You're dealing with some weather too.

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Speaker 2: Yep, wife and I went skiing over the weekend and

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Speaker 2: when we came back there were six inches of snow

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Speaker 2: and then an ice storm freezing rain came over the top,

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Speaker 2: so it froze everything over and my pipes are frozen

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Speaker 2: and I have no water. So it's great. Everything's great.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's get to the week that was in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: I had some good and some bad, and then we'll

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Speaker 1: actually get in. We're going to talk a little tournament.

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Speaker 1: And the committee this weekend released its top sixteen seeds,

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Speaker 1: So we're just gonna high level look at what that

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Speaker 1: would look like and what our quick thoughts are and

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Speaker 1: how that would all play out. But let's start with

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Speaker 1: some good. I'm gonna highlight a couple of coaching changes

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Speaker 1: in college basketball. One might have gone way under the radar,

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Speaker 1: and it's your Dartmouth Boys. They hired so Dave McLaughlin's

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Speaker 1: their coach. He hired Rich Glesman as an assistant in

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Speaker 1: the offseason who was overseas and he coached some like

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Speaker 1: high flying offenses, up tempo and in the offseason. They

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Speaker 1: were one of the many teams and said, look, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna go up tempo, and but they're one of the

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Speaker 1: few that actually did. Last year they were three hundred

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Speaker 1: and eleventh and ad justin tempo. This year there thirty fifth.

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Speaker 1: They now sit in all alone in second place behind

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Speaker 1: Yale at six and three in the IVY. A great

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Speaker 1: story in Dartmouth Princeton with another dud that was a

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Speaker 1: loser I had on the weekend where they just got

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Speaker 1: destroyed by Yale. Had some great CLV that I'll spend

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Speaker 1: here and then I'm back in the States. In that game,

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Speaker 1: but Yale dominated them once again. Just an extraordinary difference

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Speaker 1: in two point efficiency. But shout to Dartmouth for modernizing

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Speaker 1: their offense. And then another team that this one has

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Speaker 1: been talked about a lot that's on fire of late

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Speaker 1: is Wisconsin and in the offseason, well, I should say

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Speaker 1: two years ago they brought on Kirk Penny and he

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Speaker 1: was to really revolutionize their and modernize their offense. He

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Speaker 1: played for Wisconsin on a team that went to the

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Speaker 1: Final four under Dick Bennett in I think like nineteen

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Speaker 1: ninety nine, two thousand and Dick Bennett. He ran the

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Speaker 1: blocker mover offense very strict blocker moover offense and which

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Speaker 1: had some like Bob Knight principles. But and then Penny

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Speaker 1: was there when Bo Ryan was hired. Bo Ryan with

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Speaker 1: his swing offense. Interestingly enough, Penny then went over he

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Speaker 1: played Overseas, he played He's he's a key we I

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Speaker 1: believe from New Zealand. He Tony Tony Bennett. After Virginia

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Speaker 1: lost to UNBC in the tournament, they won the national title.

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Speaker 1: Year after, he reached out to Penny and he ended

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Speaker 1: up Penny ended up being like an advisorer on the

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Speaker 1: Virginia staff to help, you know, add some juice and

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Speaker 1: some and modernize their offense, change their offense a bit,

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Speaker 1: which ended up leading to a national title. But things

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Speaker 1: come full circle with Wisconsin because Greg Gard, who took

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Speaker 1: over after Bo Ryan's retirement, was still running I don't

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Speaker 1: know what I would say is a pretty outdated offense

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Speaker 1: and incomes Penny with this, you know, continuity ball screen

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Speaker 1: offense with just it's not your traditional Hey, Wisconsin, We're

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Speaker 1: going to play through two bigs in the post. There's

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Speaker 1: a lot more spacing and this offense is electric and

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Speaker 1: you could see it from the very start of the year.

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Speaker 1: I remember they scored one hundred plus on Arizona at

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Speaker 1: home in like early November.

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Speaker 2: Over half their shots and big ten play have been

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Speaker 2: from three. They're all spacing and shooting.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's great. They still play and they can play

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Speaker 2: inside out though, because the two bigs can pass out.

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Speaker 2: But it's just the other spacing is a totally different

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Speaker 2: thing than last year. What did they ranked at?

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Speaker 1: But their biggs also can shoot, yeah, which is a

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Speaker 1: key to the their offense. I mean, I mean krowd

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Speaker 1: can step out and hit one occasionally, winter get hit

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Speaker 1: some threes. So they have, you know, shooters all over.

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Speaker 1: They have these big wings that are that are tough

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Speaker 1: to guard, and it's it's a whole new, whole new

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Speaker 1: offense for Wisconsin. And you're right there. I mean, like

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Speaker 1: if you go back to I don't know, let's go

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Speaker 1: back to twenty Let's just go back to twenty twenty one.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this team played three and twenty eighth in

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Speaker 1: adjusted tempo, so they play much faster now. It's much

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Speaker 1: better spacing and because of that, I think that they're

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Speaker 1: going to continue to be able to get these wings

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Speaker 1: in the portal that they need for this offense because

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Speaker 1: it's a much more appetizing, uh offense where players want

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Speaker 1: to come and play for. It's not your older brother's

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin team. So yeah, this, uh, this Wisconsin offense has

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Speaker 1: a ton of upside and for my money, from a

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Speaker 1: pure offensive perspective, and the defense is okay. I mean

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Speaker 1: the defense might end up.

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Speaker 2: You can move the digs around and like use like

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Speaker 2: d h O stuff to kind of spread them out

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Speaker 2: shoot over the top. I think they I think they.

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Speaker 1: Don't force any they don't force any turnovers by structure,

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Speaker 1: but uh drop so yeah, so their defense isn't great,

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Speaker 1: but their ceiling on offense is very high. And I'm

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Speaker 1: starting to come around on we Wisconsin having the highest

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Speaker 1: ceiling in the NCAA tournament. Maybe Maryland's right there. I

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Speaker 1: don't still have questions about Maryland's depth.

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Speaker 2: Illinois my good was going to be Maryland, I think

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Speaker 2: has the highest up side in March.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Maryland, Maryland's right there. I mean they're starting five

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Speaker 1: is excellent. Illinois still has that ceiling, but now you

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Speaker 1: have they're dealing with a key injury, and I assume

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Speaker 1: that Maurice Johnson he's out for the year. I mean

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Speaker 1: it's a broken risk. What is that usually like six

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Speaker 1: eight weeks?

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Speaker 2: Ya, six eight weeks and then that's big I.

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Speaker 1: Mean, and man, I mean that their offense just the

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Speaker 1: final eight minutes against Michigan State, they didn't score a

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Speaker 1: single point. But shout out to you know, just look

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Speaker 1: at Drake. Drake basically implemented with McCollum, a D two

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Speaker 1: school with a lot of their players and coach. And

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Speaker 1: I think that's what some of these teams need to do.

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Speaker 1: And there's a lot of parallels in it because the

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Speaker 1: college basketball game is changing, and there's a lot of

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Speaker 1: parallels with the betting markets. And you know, I've spent

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Speaker 1: the last month and a half redoing everything that I've

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Speaker 1: ever done in college basketball. That's like what I'm doing.

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Speaker 1: My volume is way down. I'm trying to rebuild everything.

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Speaker 1: And I college basketball is my bestport for fifteen plus years.

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Speaker 1: And the market is that the game is different, the

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Speaker 1: portals different, the landscape's different. The market is much more efficient.

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Speaker 1: Like all these spots that used to just be free money,

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Speaker 1: like they're just the tax on them is insane and

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Speaker 1: so and I used to not bet college football seriously,

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Speaker 1: Now I do. I spend so much my off season

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Speaker 1: doing that. In an NFL, I just haven't a time

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Speaker 1: to really overhaul everything I've done in college basketball, and

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Speaker 1: you just get used to what's works and that doesn't

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Speaker 1: work for And it's the same thing with college basketball.

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Speaker 1: If you're a coach, like some things that worked in

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Speaker 1: the past, you've had success doing it, it's hard to

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Speaker 1: say to yourself, you know what I have to change.

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Speaker 1: But especially got out coach John Calipari. Yeah, that's a

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Speaker 1: guy put in the betting markets. You got to adapt

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Speaker 1: or die. I was probably too slow to do it.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I get the game changes, markets change, so

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Speaker 1: you're seeing some hires and some willingness for coaches to change,

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Speaker 1: not just in those examples but across college basketball. Pay

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Speaker 1: dividends and you can't just rely on what worked in

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Speaker 1: the past forever otherwise you eventually will die. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: shout out to Wisconsin, who by the way, I mean

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Speaker 1: you have. The reason I bring those two teams up

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Speaker 1: is because Dartmouth and I know I'll get I'll let

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Speaker 1: you get some licks in on them because they've been

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Speaker 1: running good from three and I know they I think

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Speaker 1: they beat you over the weekend. But Dartmouth beat Columbia

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Speaker 1: by twenty two and then Cornell by thirty nine over

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Speaker 1: the weekend. I mean, they helped cord out a forty

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Speaker 1: nine points too, which is pretty impressive. But and then

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin with one of the most impressive offensive showings that

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Speaker 1: you'll ever see. And it was at Macki Arena. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin was They shot sixty one and a half percent

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Speaker 1: from the floor, at just three turnovers, averaged almost one

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Speaker 1: and a half points per possession. It's the first time

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Speaker 1: a D one team shot over sixty percent and at

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Speaker 1: three or fewer turnovers in a road game in fifteen years.

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Speaker 1: And they did it against Purdue and MAKI the twenty

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Speaker 1: to twenty two from inside the three point line. Oh good.

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Speaker 2: I've always persentage. I've always been a little sketchy about

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Speaker 2: produced defense, and I think that, like Wisconsin had all

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Speaker 2: the pieces to really exploit that, and they just fully did.

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Speaker 2: I'm I'm kind of out on that predue defense defense.

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Speaker 2: I'm really not a non believer in that team.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm I'm out on Purdue as well. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Purdue's effective field goal defense over the effectiveield percentage over

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Speaker 1: the past month three hundred and ninth.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they have some defense, yea last, they have some

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Speaker 2: death lasts for sure, But without Eadie, they've the interior

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Speaker 2: defense has fallen off a cliff.

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Speaker 1: YEP and h which is troubling because they're also giving

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Speaker 1: up like the highest one of the highest three point

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Speaker 1: rates yep in the country and they can't defend the

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Speaker 1: two the dead last the two points sixty one point

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Speaker 1: over the past month. So yeah, I mean, you know

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Speaker 1: who's gonna get whose offense is quietly even cooking though

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Speaker 1: that we I don't think many people are talking about

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Speaker 1: because they had that mid season swoon as UCLA in ten.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, but but also that's because they came back to

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Speaker 2: the West Coast, That's true. That's just like they get to.

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Speaker 1: Play in the west. Well, they get to play in

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Speaker 1: the West region.

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Speaker 2: Though, that's true, that's true.

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Speaker 1: Well, they're off the top top ten eighty eight and

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Speaker 1: one top ten offense over the past month, and yeah,

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Speaker 1: you're right, I mean that is coincided with them getting

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Speaker 1: back home to the friendly West Coast. But was good.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they shot forty five percent from three but still,

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Speaker 2: you know, yeah, do you want to get any licks

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Speaker 2: in on Dartmouth yeah, I'll start there. I mean, look,

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Speaker 2: I great coaching higher. I like that they've started going

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Speaker 2: up tempo. The scheme seems to fit the roster more stuck.

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Speaker 2: They're third in February. They're third nationally in adjust the

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Speaker 2: defensive efficiency. Why opponents have shot eighteen percent from three

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Speaker 2: during that same stretch, they've shot forty six percent, And like,

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Speaker 2: look like dark, that's just crazy, man, And like they

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Speaker 2: still have they don't force turnovers. They're they don't. They're

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Speaker 2: not a great ball handling team. They are okay on

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Speaker 2: the defensive glass, but I still think they're small and

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Speaker 2: can get bullied. Like I think they're not good from

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Speaker 2: a shot volume perspective, Like they cooked me over the

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Speaker 2: weekend because Columbia that was one of my favorite spots

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Speaker 2: of the year and they just got wrecked. But I

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Speaker 2: mean they're three points all making it.

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Speaker 1: By the way, I saw you got roasted on on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: That's when you know you made it.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I got some guy set up a Fade

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Speaker 2: Tanner Twitter account so everyone can go follow that if

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Speaker 2: they want.

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Speaker 1: Four to seven or something. It's with your picture. I've

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Speaker 1: had probably over one hundred accounts with variations of my

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Speaker 1: name picture over the years, So congrats.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, seminal moment. But anyways, I don't see that keeping up,

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Speaker 2: and I'm going to be fading Dartmouth in the near

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Speaker 2: future because that's true, is that they played on Friday.

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Speaker 2: Penn hasn't been that good though, have they. I mean

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Speaker 2: they've lost five straight, but they did play Yale twice. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I'll probably do it, and they get them at home.

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Speaker 2: Gonna be a home projected home dog. Yeah, that's that's

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Speaker 2: I think that's worth it. And you're a good three

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Speaker 2: point de nile defense too, and that's key against Dartmouth,

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Speaker 2: which just when they when they don't hit threes, they're terrible.

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Speaker 2: When they hit threes, they're they're the best team in

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Speaker 2: the nation.

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Speaker 1: But I might join you with Penn. Just don't call

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Speaker 1: it the game of the year never again. All right,

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Speaker 1: what else? What do you got for good?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll quickly touch on four teams, but I'll start

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Speaker 2: with Maryland, who I think actually is the best team,

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Speaker 2: like the best team set up to make a good

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Speaker 2: run in March. I like that their interior creation with

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Speaker 2: recent queen Jacoby Gillespie is just a ballscreen maestro. So

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Speaker 2: they have different ways to create offense and their defense.

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Speaker 2: Their drop coverage defense is much better and much more

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Speaker 2: versatile than Wisconsin is. I think they really only have

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Speaker 2: like one bad loss in the year against Washington, and

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Speaker 2: they've won I think nine of their last ten. I

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Speaker 2: really love this Maryland squad. I like all the pieces

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Speaker 2: that they have. Second one that I want to touch

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Speaker 2: on Chattanooga. The Mocks are all the way back. They

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Speaker 2: looked dreadful in the non con, but they've won nine

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Speaker 2: of ten in the SoCon. They're riding a seven game

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Speaker 2: win streak. The tough bottom Wiland backcourt is elite. They

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Speaker 2: are the mid major six best six best offense in February,

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Speaker 2: and they are back to rightfully being I would say

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Speaker 2: arguably the soocon's best team. Thirteen touch on Vermont my Catamounts.

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Speaker 2: Despite all the injury issues this year, including a potentially

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Speaker 2: massive one to Shmier Boges by the way, I keep

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Speaker 2: an eye on that. I've heard that he's gonna be okay.

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Speaker 2: But still Vermont's won six of eight, including four straight.

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Speaker 2: They're tied for second in the America East. John Becker,

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Speaker 2: as he's done so many times before, somehow turn this

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Speaker 2: all around and they're some of the league's best offensive

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Speaker 2: defense in February, they've been the nation's best defensive rebounding

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Speaker 2: team over the past month. And they fixed their turnover

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Speaker 2: issues too, and those were two things that really haunted

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Speaker 2: them in the non con And TJ. Hurley has been

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Speaker 2: a superstar top scoring option twenty per game nearly fifty

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Speaker 2: percent from three over his past six games. They're officially

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Speaker 2: a threat again. And they get Brian on Thursday at home,

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Speaker 2: so really going to be watching closely there. Finally you're

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Speaker 2: used to do what they get struck in the first round.

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Speaker 1: Whoever wins that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, there's no one really in the Ammies that I

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Speaker 2: like coming out of the first round, but still impressive

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Speaker 2: turnaround for my cats.

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Speaker 1: Also see Brian wins it. Who would you want them

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Speaker 1: to play to cover?

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Speaker 2: Oh god, I'd have to look someone they just did.

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Speaker 1: They need to play like an up and down with

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Speaker 1: someone that's gonna run with them.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and so maybe someone who's a little bit smaller

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Speaker 2: in the backcourt so they can really take advantage of that.

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Speaker 2: They need to play a rim like a like a

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Speaker 2: rim reliant offense where they can just swat and swat

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Speaker 2: and swat maybe Louisville. Louisville maybe because then they can

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Speaker 2: get bad three point variants.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Also, you see San Diego, your Tritons are Tritans officially

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Speaker 2: have overtaken San Jose State as the nation's best against

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Speaker 2: the spread team nineteen and five with a plus seven

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Speaker 2: point average cover margin and the two bid Big West

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Speaker 2: Streams survives. So that's my good from the weekend.

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Speaker 1: People, you're gonna be mad if there's not two Big

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Speaker 1: West teams. I'm just gonna be really.

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Speaker 2: Mad when when Irvine wins the tournament.

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Speaker 1: St is not in Yeah, because I I think you

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Speaker 1: see SD number one, they're much more fun to watch.

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Speaker 1: I think they have a better shot of pulling off

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Speaker 1: an upset. I mean since over the past month of

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Speaker 1: the season, since let's good January first, I mean, you

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Speaker 1: see San Diego's thirty six in the country.

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Speaker 2: They're a little more dynamic on offense.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, their top forty on offense, and you see Irvine

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Speaker 1: is but two hundred and twenty eighth in the just

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Speaker 1: offensive efficiency since January first. Their defense is elite as always,

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Speaker 1: but their defense.

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Speaker 2: Is a is weird though, and can confuse I think

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Speaker 2: you can confuse a lot of high major programs. Like

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Speaker 2: you mentioned UCSD against Memphis in the first round. I

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Speaker 2: think Irvine would legitimately beat Memphis. I don't think Penney

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Speaker 2: would be able to scheme against Irvine's defense.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you see San Diego's. Don't don't sleep

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Speaker 1: on their defense either, though, But yeah, Irvines is. I

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Speaker 1: mean you you see San Diego is. They're also despite

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Speaker 1: not being a great rebounding team, there's still a lead

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Speaker 1: from a shot Vine perspective.

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Speaker 2: They're more balanced. Irvine is a bit of a as.

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Speaker 1: You would trust the Airvine offense.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Irvine' a bit of a you would call like

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Speaker 2: a like a service academy at right, where they play

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Speaker 2: a weird scheme on defense and mess with teams. But uh,

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Speaker 2: UCSD can just be you straight up all right, that's

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Speaker 2: that's good of the bad. Remember this is a safe space.

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Speaker 2: You know what pisses me off most of all? Baby,

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Speaker 2: I'm ruan, why not? You've gotta let it out somehow.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna stay in the Big Ten because it's a

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Speaker 1: Big Ten centric show. I'm gonna say I'm out on

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Speaker 1: the first place team Michigan. All in the first place,

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Speaker 1: I lost I do o'hio a State of the weekend

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Speaker 1: me too, And unfortunately, I mean the big what was

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Speaker 1: huge in that game? Which will go file it under

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Speaker 1: the radars. Aaron Bradshall only played ten minutes and foul out.

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Speaker 1: They needed him in that game. They just needed his

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Speaker 1: size in the interior. But I mean Bruce Thorton the

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Speaker 1: air bolt up two footer to tie the game. He

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Speaker 1: makes that shot nine nin percent of the time. That's

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Speaker 1: the story with Michigan. I mean, here's their last seven

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Speaker 1: big ten wins. Four over Northwestern and overtime, four over

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Speaker 1: Penn State, three over Rutgers, four over Oregon, three over Indiana,

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Speaker 1: two over Purdue, three over Ohio State.

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Speaker 2: One and six against the spread in that stretch too.

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Speaker 1: I mean, and then you can go back to the

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Speaker 1: I will buy two at home they bet Wisconsin by three.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it goes on and on. Outside of that

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Speaker 1: West Coast trip where they blew everybody out, this team

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Speaker 1: has been getting soked. Now. Granted, I will say Dusty

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Speaker 1: May's a great coach. He draws up great stuff at

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Speaker 1: the end of games, so that matters in those games.

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Speaker 1: But and they are a matchup problem because they play

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Speaker 1: such a unique brand of basketball with you know, the

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Speaker 1: two bigs with Golden and Wolf, who's just very difficult corver.

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Speaker 1: But I'm out on this team. I think even though

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Speaker 1: they just keep winning, let's look, I mean, over the

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Speaker 1: past month, if you look at the Big Ten, so

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Speaker 1: let's go, since January fifteenth, Michigan per Torvik forty fourth

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Speaker 1: in the country. They're basically Nebraska, but there's you know,

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Speaker 1: they're just won all the close games. They're seven to two.

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Speaker 1: Illinois is getting all this shit is thirty fourth. They're

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Speaker 1: four and five over that span. Michigan they're I mean,

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Speaker 1: they're They're turnovers are a problem. They're almost three hundredth

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Speaker 1: since January of the past month, they're almost three hundreds

374
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Speaker 1: in the country in both offensive and defensive turn of

375
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Speaker 1: a rate. They're not a great rebounding team.

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Speaker 2: They grushed.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they're two point offense and defense is outside the

378
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Speaker 1: top one fifty. I don't trust their backcourt. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm looking to fade Michigan. I also will mention you

380
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Speaker 1: did mention Maryland, I'm I think I like this Marinon team.

381
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Speaker 1: I think we're probably at the peak of their market value,

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Speaker 1: and over the past month they shot over forty percent

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Speaker 1: from three and teams are at thirty percent. The problem

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Speaker 1: is their next games against USC, Who's right there. They've

385
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Speaker 1: shot almost forty percent from three of the best month,

386
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Speaker 1: and teams have shot twenty eight percent against them. So

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure that's the best candidate, especially given USC's

388
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Speaker 1: lack of interior size against Maryland. So I'm looking to

389
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Speaker 1: fade Maryland and Michigan coming up. I just don't know

390
00:22:48,600 --> 00:22:51,040
Speaker 1: when I mean Maryland. Maybe the problem is Penn State

391
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Speaker 1: keeps coming up with these with these spots, and I'm

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Speaker 1: not sure is Penn State at corpse or they did.

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Speaker 1: I might look at Penn State on Wednesday tomorrow. Guess

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Speaker 1: this will be out Wednesday against Nebraska.

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Speaker 2: I thought about that too.

396
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean they're not going to get killed on

397
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,920
Speaker 1: the boards for once against Nebraska. Nebraska has that big

398
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Speaker 1: comeback win against Northwestern pretty much locks them into the tournament.

399
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Speaker 1: I think they got Michigan on deck. They were out

400
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Speaker 1: in the West Coast recently, like it just seems like

401
00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:20,040
Speaker 1: a sleepy spot. I might get there with Penn State.

402
00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:25,080
Speaker 1: But yeah, so my bad is Princeton just the team

403
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 1: that I'm out on. I think is the ceiling of Michigan.

404
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:31,080
Speaker 1: Even though they keep winning, that's not going to last forever.

405
00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:34,480
Speaker 2: Agree, what do you got? I want to talk about

406
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Speaker 2: Georgia because I was on the Bulldogs against both Texas

407
00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,280
Speaker 2: A and m MI Zoo over the past week. They

408
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Speaker 2: led the Aggies thirty four to twenty three early in

409
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Speaker 2: the second half. They allowed a twenty two to nothing run.

410
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Speaker 2: In the other game against Zoo, they led the Tigers

411
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Speaker 2: by three at the half and lost thirty three to

412
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Speaker 2: thirteen in the first ten minutes of the second half.

413
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:58,480
Speaker 2: They're now firmly on the bubble, more likely out of

414
00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:01,399
Speaker 2: the bubble than in. And it's guys, two huge moments.

415
00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:06,280
Speaker 2: They just pissed all over themselves. I mean, uh, what

416
00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:09,320
Speaker 2: what happened at Asan Newell in the Texas A and

417
00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:13,439
Speaker 2: m game. He didn't play that much, trying to remember anyways,

418
00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:14,040
Speaker 2: it was terrible.

419
00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:16,879
Speaker 1: There was some foul trouble. But yeah, they just I

420
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Speaker 1: don't their backcourt isn't good enough and they they turned

421
00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:24,280
Speaker 1: the ball over too much that they're they're trending in

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00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:27,360
Speaker 1: the wrong direction. I mean they're at Auburn next, then

423
00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:29,720
Speaker 1: home against Florida, then at Texas.

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Speaker 2: No they needed these two wins. Yeah, and they and

425
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Speaker 2: they had lest.

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00:24:34,040 --> 00:24:37,840
Speaker 1: They steal they could if they steal Florida, they could

427
00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:40,040
Speaker 1: maybe get back on the right side of the bubble.

428
00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:42,560
Speaker 1: But if they lose the next three as there projected to,

429
00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:45,119
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna end up being out because then

430
00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:49,080
Speaker 1: you close that South Carolina and then home against Vandy.

431
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:51,239
Speaker 1: I mean, they're not going to move the needle if

432
00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 1: you're I mean they've they've already lost four ten there,

433
00:24:56,880 --> 00:25:01,840
Speaker 1: three more on there, two and eleven, and they're now

434
00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:06,080
Speaker 1: four and nine in the conference will be four and twelve. No,

435
00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:09,440
Speaker 1: like twelve best SEC teams would be enough. We don't

436
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:13,000
Speaker 1: need Georgia. And I'll throw Oklahoma in there. We don't

437
00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:14,399
Speaker 1: need Oklahoma.

438
00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:17,240
Speaker 2: I don't want to now. I'm so out on Oklahoma.

439
00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:23,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, and that should be Oklahoma. If you beat Florida tonight,

440
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:28,040
Speaker 1: I'll come. I'll be back in on you. But to

441
00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:31,720
Speaker 1: lose that LSU game at home, who were there up

442
00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:34,199
Speaker 1: like five or six with twenty seconds left, they give

443
00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:36,200
Speaker 1: up like a four point play, a three point play

444
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 1: that they turned it over, that should be their nail

445
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 1: in the coffin. We'll see if Arkansas can play their

446
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:45,280
Speaker 1: way in that I think should be the twelfth team.

447
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:48,639
Speaker 1: Twelve teams. Next is plenty. It's the best league. But

448
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:50,920
Speaker 1: we don't need fourteen. We don't need Georgia and Oklahoma

449
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:54,000
Speaker 1: in there taking UCSD's spot if need be.

450
00:25:54,760 --> 00:25:55,199
Speaker 2: I agree.

451
00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:58,320
Speaker 1: Let's get to the top sixteen reveal. So the committee

452
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:03,040
Speaker 1: released their initial top sixteen seats. We'll start in the

453
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:07,320
Speaker 1: South Auburn, A and M, Wisconsin and Texas Tech. That

454
00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:08,560
Speaker 1: wouldn't be good for me because I have A and

455
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:13,359
Speaker 1: M in Texas Tech features I have four final four futures.

456
00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 1: I assume they'll all find a way to be in

457
00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:19,600
Speaker 1: the same region as usual. But does Auburn. Let's just

458
00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:22,520
Speaker 1: pretend this to the bracket. Who beat How do you

459
00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:27,400
Speaker 1: beat Auburn? So is it there's two schools of thought

460
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:31,399
Speaker 1: to this. Is it the Wisconsin or Texas Tech in

461
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:34,439
Speaker 1: a shootout? Because you need to hit threes against Auburn,

462
00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:37,320
Speaker 1: right like we saw Alabama trying to score at the rim.

463
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:40,200
Speaker 1: You're not going to do that. You need to be

464
00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:42,040
Speaker 1: able to move the ball and you need to hit threes,

465
00:26:43,400 --> 00:26:46,240
Speaker 1: and Wisconsin and Texas Tech can certainly do that.

466
00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:48,840
Speaker 2: Or is it A and M.

467
00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:52,840
Speaker 1: Augily is this how you want to beat Auburn because

468
00:26:52,840 --> 00:26:54,920
Speaker 1: they're so talented. Do you want to ugly up the

469
00:26:55,000 --> 00:26:59,119
Speaker 1: game as much as possible and then you can get

470
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:03,320
Speaker 1: offensive rebounds against Auburn and then you just ugly up

471
00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:06,399
Speaker 1: hope to win a lower scoring game or does it

472
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:09,320
Speaker 1: not even matter? But what is the type of game

473
00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:13,000
Speaker 1: that you think Auburn is most vulnerable in? Is it

474
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:17,200
Speaker 1: like eighty eight eighty three or sixty nine sixty five?

475
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:20,159
Speaker 2: No, it's it's the Texas A and mscript because they

476
00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:22,920
Speaker 2: struggle to rebound the ball and they foul too much.

477
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:24,639
Speaker 2: And the problem with trying to spread it out and

478
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,800
Speaker 2: beating them over the top is they're actually they play

479
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:30,200
Speaker 2: a lot of like drop elite catch and shoot to

480
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:33,119
Speaker 2: nile drop defense. Especially when Broom is in, you can

481
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:35,200
Speaker 2: more beat him over the top. If Broom is ouc

482
00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:37,520
Speaker 2: then they switch the hedge and recover and it's a

483
00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:38,160
Speaker 2: whole different thing.

484
00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:40,159
Speaker 1: But if you look at they're still a good three

485
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:43,280
Speaker 1: point defuts. But yeah, I just think that that's the

486
00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:47,720
Speaker 1: like you their their offense is also so good that

487
00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 1: I think that the only way you're gonna have to

488
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:55,720
Speaker 1: beat them unless you're just an elite bruising, offensive, rebounding team. Yeah,

489
00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:56,960
Speaker 1: but you're gonna have to you have to get you

490
00:27:57,080 --> 00:27:58,720
Speaker 1: got to eat your threes, Like, you're gonna have to

491
00:27:58,760 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 1: have some threes.

492
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:02,239
Speaker 2: We've had a few games where they were vulnerable here, right,

493
00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:04,399
Speaker 2: and obviously there were some injury issues. But like, if

494
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:06,960
Speaker 2: you think about it, the Tennessee game one by two,

495
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:11,720
Speaker 2: fifty three, fifty one, the South Carolina game was I

496
00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:13,399
Speaker 2: think that was no Broom, but still like win on

497
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:16,520
Speaker 2: the road sixty three. Like, I think that's the game

498
00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:19,320
Speaker 2: script that can get Auburn in trouble because if you

499
00:28:19,440 --> 00:28:23,280
Speaker 2: try to go shot for shot, you know, tit for

500
00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:26,280
Speaker 2: tat with one of the best offenses in the last

501
00:28:26,320 --> 00:28:28,879
Speaker 2: twenty years of college basketball, I don't think you're going

502
00:28:28,920 --> 00:28:30,760
Speaker 2: to be able to do it because this offense, like

503
00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 2: when when it's cooking and you know they really are

504
00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:37,920
Speaker 2: working through Broom to Kelly, it's tough. It's really it's

505
00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:41,200
Speaker 2: almost near impossible to stop. I'm all in on Auburn

506
00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:43,720
Speaker 2: this year. I know you're still a little hesitant, but

507
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 2: I really think they're going to win it all.

508
00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:48,040
Speaker 1: I mean, no, I think that they're the best team.

509
00:28:48,080 --> 00:28:50,600
Speaker 1: I'm not hesitant. I just love Texas, A and IT.

510
00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:55,760
Speaker 1: I So, yeah, it's it's not great that A and

511
00:28:55,800 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 1: M would end up in the same region as Auburn,

512
00:28:59,280 --> 00:29:02,280
Speaker 1: But yeah, I would probably pick Auburn to come out

513
00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:06,760
Speaker 1: of that region as well. Midwest you have Alabama, Purdue,

514
00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:10,040
Speaker 1: Iowa State in Kansas. I don't think Kansas is gonna

515
00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:11,560
Speaker 1: end up in the top sixteen seed.

516
00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:14,280
Speaker 2: That's what I was gonna say. I thought I was thinking, like,

517
00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:17,040
Speaker 2: all right, overseeded teams here, it's got to be Kansas.

518
00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:19,360
Speaker 2: You know, five and seven in Quad one they've lost

519
00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:21,880
Speaker 2: four of their last seven, just lost a Utah. This

520
00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:23,880
Speaker 2: came out before the Utah lost though, right.

521
00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:29,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, it's not going to be Kansas. It's

522
00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:35,560
Speaker 1: like that that that's probably like, uh, Maryland missing up here, Maryland,

523
00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:40,160
Speaker 1: Missouri were missing anyone else? Yeah, Maryland or Missouri I

524
00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:44,080
Speaker 1: think would make sense here. Ye, So I'm out, I

525
00:29:44,120 --> 00:29:45,719
Speaker 1: mean Kansas. I'm out in Kansas.

526
00:29:46,320 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 2: I've been out on Kansas since the preseason. I just

527
00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:50,880
Speaker 2: I don't like how the roster is built, especially on

528
00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:52,640
Speaker 2: the offensive end of the floor. Not enough space.

529
00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:56,719
Speaker 1: Also, yeah, I out on everything about Kansas.

530
00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:58,200
Speaker 2: Yep, I'm out on Purdue.

531
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:03,280
Speaker 1: Talked about this already. Yes, yes, they're also way too

532
00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:07,520
Speaker 1: reliant on like three guys, and that's hard to to

533
00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:11,080
Speaker 1: do in a tournament setting when you just aren't getting

534
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:13,640
Speaker 1: any help and then the game plans are so uber

535
00:30:13,720 --> 00:30:19,720
Speaker 1: focused on you know, your your star players. So I mean, right, Smith,

536
00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 1: probably the best point guard in the country that's Coffin

537
00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 1: Red is amazing, But the Lawyer is going to hit

538
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:27,760
Speaker 1: some threes. But that you can't have no help whatsoever.

539
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:29,840
Speaker 2: I feel like they could have. I'm surprised that they

540
00:30:29,920 --> 00:30:32,480
Speaker 2: got on the two line altogether. I feel like you

541
00:30:32,520 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 2: could have put him on the three. I was surprised

542
00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:35,080
Speaker 2: that they put him over Houston.

543
00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:38,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I think that they'll end up falling

544
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:38,840
Speaker 1: a little bit more.

545
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:41,200
Speaker 2: But yeah, I think just comes down.

546
00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:44,080
Speaker 1: To Iowa State. This comes down to Iowa State Alabama

547
00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:50,720
Speaker 1: for me, which if I mean, hm hmm, I'm probably

548
00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:53,280
Speaker 1: gonna said with Iowa State, I'm biased my futures, but

549
00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:55,120
Speaker 1: it probably comes down to just Alabama hit their threes.

550
00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:58,000
Speaker 1: A lot of people have fallen in love with Alabama lately.

551
00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:01,960
Speaker 1: Well guess what it's because they've hit Over the past month,

552
00:31:01,960 --> 00:31:04,440
Speaker 1: They've hit thirty eight thirty nine percent of their threes,

553
00:31:05,040 --> 00:31:08,800
Speaker 1: and then I still don't trust their defense, and their

554
00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 1: defense is better. You got to give Oats credit, you know,

555
00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:14,640
Speaker 1: that's one of the reasons they went out and got amourier.

556
00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:17,040
Speaker 1: But their defense still isn't great. But you know, they

557
00:31:17,080 --> 00:31:19,440
Speaker 1: played Auburn and went five of twenty six from three

558
00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:26,720
Speaker 1: and they by nine. Iowa State's offense, I think is

559
00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:32,040
Speaker 1: much better with Mandchovic back, They have a great backcourt,

560
00:31:32,120 --> 00:31:36,640
Speaker 1: great coach, Their defense is obviously outstanding. Who would you

561
00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:38,360
Speaker 1: take to come out of there, I Was State or Alabama?

562
00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:43,600
Speaker 2: Iowa State? I think Iowa State, like I always talked

563
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:45,440
Speaker 2: about with Iowa State, if you have a really good defense,

564
00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:47,520
Speaker 2: really good ball screen blitz defense, and then a good

565
00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:49,800
Speaker 2: point guard in Lipsie, you've got a really high floor,

566
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:52,520
Speaker 2: and then they've got two solid scoring options off the wings.

567
00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:55,560
Speaker 2: I think Iowa State as the higher floor than Alabama

568
00:31:55,960 --> 00:31:58,160
Speaker 2: and would trust them more in a tournament setting.

569
00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:02,720
Speaker 1: Now, you do need to hit threes against Iowa State.

570
00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:08,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, you got you gotta create efficiently on the secondary actions. Yeah.

571
00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:10,160
Speaker 1: So if Alabama just has their day where they go

572
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:14,000
Speaker 1: fifteen to thirty, they're probably gonna win. But yeah, I

573
00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:17,080
Speaker 1: think I would have obviously coming out as well East Duke, Tennessee,

574
00:32:17,360 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 1: Arizona and Saint John's. I can't buy into this Tennessee offense.

575
00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:26,240
Speaker 2: Frauds and isn't Rick barn Rick Barnes of the tournament.

576
00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:29,880
Speaker 2: I think it's like two and nineties left eleven games

577
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:30,520
Speaker 2: against the spread.

578
00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:35,680
Speaker 1: Yes, uh, never been to the final four. Arizona, I

579
00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 1: don't know something that I know that they're They're getting better,

580
00:32:39,320 --> 00:32:41,520
Speaker 1: and a lot of it it's their their young pieces

581
00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:44,200
Speaker 1: starting to get incorporated. I still don't know if I

582
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:45,080
Speaker 1: trust their backcourt.

583
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:48,720
Speaker 2: I thought that they were maybe potentially overseeded, over ranked

584
00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 2: in this one. They're now ninth in the net, but

585
00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:52,920
Speaker 2: they're also what they're ten and eight in Quad one.

586
00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 2: Quad two lost two of their last three. They had

587
00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:57,720
Speaker 2: a brutal non con. I mean they lost to Oklahoma,

588
00:32:57,760 --> 00:32:59,920
Speaker 2: who we both hate. I think you could have I

589
00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:03,240
Speaker 2: think you could have put Tech over them on the

590
00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:05,080
Speaker 2: three line. I think that's what I would have done.

591
00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:07,800
Speaker 2: I think Tech has stronger predictive metrics, and seven and

592
00:33:07,840 --> 00:33:10,040
Speaker 2: three in Quad won games. So yeah, I'm a little

593
00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:10,960
Speaker 2: lower in Arizona two.

594
00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:15,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, and this was before Arizona loss to Houston and

595
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:20,520
Speaker 1: Tech just destroyed Oklahoma State, so these might flip. I

596
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:23,360
Speaker 1: think tex Tex and eventually going to get a three

597
00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:26,080
Speaker 1: or maybe two, see maybe a one. I mean, Effextec

598
00:33:26,120 --> 00:33:27,760
Speaker 1: wins out. I think they get a one. They that

599
00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:32,880
Speaker 1: includes winning the Big twelve tournament because they also get

600
00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:35,840
Speaker 1: Houston at home. But so I think this comes down

601
00:33:35,840 --> 00:33:38,720
Speaker 1: to Duke or Saint John's and which would be an

602
00:33:38,800 --> 00:33:47,600
Speaker 1: incredible defensive game is the difference that, man? I mean

603
00:33:47,960 --> 00:33:51,640
Speaker 1: Duke Saint John's that game that would be like fifty

604
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:52,520
Speaker 1: two to fifty.

605
00:33:53,000 --> 00:33:56,080
Speaker 2: I would definitely I assume the Johnnies would be dogs,

606
00:33:56,120 --> 00:33:57,480
Speaker 2: and I would I would take the points.

607
00:33:58,720 --> 00:34:00,840
Speaker 1: Does this just come down to that, like Johnny's are

608
00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:04,840
Speaker 1: going to go through scoring drafts and flags not going

609
00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:08,520
Speaker 1: to let Duke go through too many. Man, that game

610
00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:11,759
Speaker 1: would be that that would just be a brawl. Yeah,

611
00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:16,600
Speaker 1: I think I would look to take the points too. Yeah.

612
00:34:16,640 --> 00:34:20,200
Speaker 2: I mean the question is if if Duke hits their triples,

613
00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:23,840
Speaker 2: because Patino's scheme is going to overload the dribble, and

614
00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:26,359
Speaker 2: then Duke has all those off ball shooters that they

615
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:30,480
Speaker 2: could get to. But I don't I still don't trust

616
00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:33,960
Speaker 2: Duke's offense. And this would be by far the best

617
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:36,880
Speaker 2: defense they had faced since the non conference and probably

618
00:34:36,920 --> 00:34:38,319
Speaker 2: the best defense they will have faced all year.

619
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:41,480
Speaker 1: Malik Brown isn't Malik Brown out now?

620
00:34:41,680 --> 00:34:45,360
Speaker 2: For Yeah? He did he get hurt yesterday?

621
00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:48,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, we don't know anything. We don't know anything. He

622
00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 1: had a dis located left shoulder last night. So he's

623
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:54,879
Speaker 1: gonna get an MRI. Could be a couple of days,

624
00:34:54,920 --> 00:34:57,759
Speaker 1: or it could be season ending. Their defense is better

625
00:34:57,840 --> 00:35:01,160
Speaker 1: with him, like just no questions asked. So that's something

626
00:35:01,160 --> 00:35:03,560
Speaker 1: to keep an eye on. Yeah, I might have Saint

627
00:35:03,640 --> 00:35:04,399
Speaker 1: John's coming out.

628
00:35:04,640 --> 00:35:11,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, Auburn ugly offense in the mid range, but they

629
00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:11,680
Speaker 2: can do it.

630
00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:19,239
Speaker 1: Auburn, Iowa State, Saint John's and then the West Florida, Houston, Kentucky, Michigan.

631
00:35:21,200 --> 00:35:25,839
Speaker 1: I can't trust Michigan. We just went over this. I'm

632
00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:31,080
Speaker 1: not buying Michigan. Can't trust my cat's defense and are

633
00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:34,040
Speaker 1: they even going to be healthy? So this is the

634
00:35:34,360 --> 00:35:36,440
Speaker 1: chalkiest one where I think it would be one verse

635
00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:38,880
Speaker 1: two Houston, Florida.

636
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:43,760
Speaker 2: Who's going to rebound better? That's the question between Houston

637
00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:44,280
Speaker 2: and Florida.

638
00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:46,520
Speaker 1: Man, I don't know.

639
00:35:46,960 --> 00:35:50,440
Speaker 2: Florida. Florida just got Mica back though, which is interesting.

640
00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:52,919
Speaker 1: And when's Condon coming back?

641
00:35:53,320 --> 00:35:53,719
Speaker 2: I don't know.

642
00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:57,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, because he's he's a crazy rebounder.

643
00:35:59,040 --> 00:36:02,279
Speaker 2: They have plenty though Condon is day to day with

644
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:03,240
Speaker 2: an ankle injury.

645
00:36:04,280 --> 00:36:06,480
Speaker 1: I think, I don't. I don't think I'll play tonight.

646
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:10,200
Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean he should be fine for the tournament. Yeah,

647
00:36:10,239 --> 00:36:12,960
Speaker 1: I mean when they're man, they're they're there. They got

648
00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:16,800
Speaker 1: a lot of depth. Now Florida, I'll take Florida over Houston,

649
00:36:16,800 --> 00:36:18,040
Speaker 1: although it would be an incredible game.

650
00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:23,040
Speaker 2: So Florida. Florida's been one of the like I feel,

651
00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:27,080
Speaker 2: the least talked about elite elite teams. Just some of

652
00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:29,880
Speaker 2: the wins they've had recently over you know, Auburn and

653
00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:34,920
Speaker 2: played close to Tennessee but dominated Tennessee in the first matchup.

654
00:36:35,600 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 1: They're well coached, they have an amazing guard who can

655
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:42,600
Speaker 1: take over games, and Walter Clayton. They have tons of size.

656
00:36:43,360 --> 00:36:47,239
Speaker 1: I mean, they are ridiculous on the offensive glass, they

657
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:49,919
Speaker 1: can shoot. Yeah, I mean this this seems really good.

658
00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:51,720
Speaker 2: I would also take Florida over Houston.

659
00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:53,480
Speaker 1: All right, so we kind of on the same page

660
00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:57,640
Speaker 1: we go as of right now, Florida Saint John's Iowa

661
00:36:57,719 --> 00:37:01,120
Speaker 1: State and Auburn YEP, and then Alburn will be East

662
00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 1: Big twelve two SEC. That's fun. I can't wait for

663
00:37:04,280 --> 00:37:06,400
Speaker 1: the bracket. I can't wait for the conference tournament brackets.

664
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:09,840
Speaker 1: And I can't wait for the NCAA turn The.

665
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:11,880
Speaker 2: First one starts in like two weeks. Yeah, I know

666
00:37:12,400 --> 00:37:12,879
Speaker 2: already there.

667
00:37:13,840 --> 00:37:16,000
Speaker 1: So there's two different kinds of fun. I love going

668
00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:18,920
Speaker 1: through the different bracket structures and trying to find long

669
00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:22,360
Speaker 1: shots for the conference tournaments, and then there's nothing like

670
00:37:22,400 --> 00:37:24,520
Speaker 1: the NCAA tournament, so just one of the wet ever

671
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672
00:37:28,400 --> 00:37:30,840
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703
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709
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710
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:30,960
Speaker 1: some weekday looks. I already mentioned Penn State. I might

711
00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:34,040
Speaker 1: get there myself soon. They'll be a one point favorite.

712
00:39:34,360 --> 00:39:36,600
Speaker 1: Recording this before lines are out. My my favorite one,

713
00:39:36,680 --> 00:39:41,040
Speaker 1: I don't love the card on on Wednesday Thursday, I

714
00:39:41,160 --> 00:39:45,320
Speaker 1: definitely will be on Cincinnati against West Virginia. I'm a

715
00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:48,719
Speaker 1: believer in the Cincinnati turnaround. My rant should have been

716
00:39:49,040 --> 00:39:50,880
Speaker 1: my rent would have been if Cincinnati didn't cover against

717
00:39:50,920 --> 00:39:52,200
Speaker 1: Iowa State, it would have been one of the most

718
00:39:53,080 --> 00:39:57,800
Speaker 1: criminal non covers I've ever They got absolutely dropped in

719
00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:00,440
Speaker 1: that game. From an official standpoint, it's the team that

720
00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:02,960
Speaker 1: doesn't foul, and I think they're top ten in the

721
00:40:03,040 --> 00:40:07,799
Speaker 1: nation in foules per game they had. I mean, Jill

722
00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:12,520
Speaker 1: Mitchell filed out on some questionable calls. He's really important

723
00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:16,040
Speaker 1: for their defense. Gigsel James filed out on a ridiculous call,

724
00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:21,360
Speaker 1: and I mean Iowa State shot thirty free throws, Cincinnati

725
00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:25,800
Speaker 1: shot eleven. It was just a criminal, criminal and they covered.

726
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:30,480
Speaker 1: There was also like three technicals call. They blew a call.

727
00:40:30,960 --> 00:40:32,960
Speaker 1: He got hit in the face, blew the call and

728
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:37,279
Speaker 1: then teed up Miller. They teed It was ridiculous, but

729
00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:39,080
Speaker 1: Cincinnati was right there in that game. I think they

730
00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:41,320
Speaker 1: got a better whistle. They could have easily won. In Ames.

731
00:40:41,960 --> 00:40:45,880
Speaker 1: They've definitely turned around their offense, and it starts with

732
00:40:46,920 --> 00:40:49,920
Speaker 1: Gisel James, who's on fire right now. The rest of

733
00:40:49,960 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 1: their offense. They switched up their rotation. You know, you

734
00:40:52,040 --> 00:40:54,600
Speaker 1: got Dana Thomas starting. But James is just playing with

735
00:40:54,640 --> 00:40:57,719
Speaker 1: a ton of confidence. And it really started after that

736
00:40:57,800 --> 00:40:59,839
Speaker 1: West Virginia game. I'm sure he's at this one circle.

737
00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:02,520
Speaker 1: We lost sixty three to fifty. James had one of

738
00:41:02,520 --> 00:41:05,480
Speaker 1: the worst games you ever see me. He had was

739
00:41:05,560 --> 00:41:08,680
Speaker 1: zero for seven, finished zero points, which is a real turnovers.

740
00:41:09,120 --> 00:41:10,960
Speaker 2: This should be a pretty good matchup for him. Against

741
00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:14,160
Speaker 2: the West Virginia drop definitely better. I agree in the

742
00:41:14,200 --> 00:41:15,200
Speaker 2: Iowa state structure.

743
00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:17,160
Speaker 1: I mean, I agree, he was just in this like

744
00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:23,320
Speaker 1: little mini slump like confidence wise, but he's found the

745
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:26,359
Speaker 1: de late. I mean, he's gone for twenty four, twenty five,

746
00:41:26,520 --> 00:41:29,200
Speaker 1: twenty five the last three games. But they even have

747
00:41:29,360 --> 00:41:32,359
Speaker 1: some of their other players are playing better as well.

748
00:41:32,440 --> 00:41:35,520
Speaker 1: Josh Reed is starting to play better, He's playing more confident.

749
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:38,680
Speaker 1: The offense just needed some confidence. And this West Virginia team,

750
00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:42,400
Speaker 1: I think they're just starting to finally feel the effects

751
00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:44,799
Speaker 1: of not having degrees, especially on offense. I mean, they're

752
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:48,600
Speaker 1: three and seven of their past ten games. The offense

753
00:41:48,640 --> 00:41:51,920
Speaker 1: has been ugly over the past month. Cincinnati has been

754
00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:54,600
Speaker 1: the better team. They're going to be the more desperate

755
00:41:54,640 --> 00:41:57,359
Speaker 1: team here a little revenge. This will be a lower

756
00:41:57,400 --> 00:42:00,839
Speaker 1: scoring game points at a premium. I think you get

757
00:42:00,840 --> 00:42:02,359
Speaker 1: a max S effort year from Cincy. I'm a believer

758
00:42:02,360 --> 00:42:04,759
Speaker 1: in the offensive turnaround. The defense is already there, and

759
00:42:04,960 --> 00:42:07,200
Speaker 1: their defense the past months also being unlucky like teams

760
00:42:07,200 --> 00:42:09,200
Speaker 1: to shooting like thirty nine percent from three against them.

761
00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:13,759
Speaker 1: So yeah, I think it's an Eddie wins this game

762
00:42:14,480 --> 00:42:16,960
Speaker 1: in Morgantown, so I'll be looking at the Bearcats.

763
00:42:17,120 --> 00:42:20,000
Speaker 2: What do you got like that too? Yeah, Wednesday was

764
00:42:20,000 --> 00:42:22,719
Speaker 2: a weird card for me as well. I was I

765
00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:26,160
Speaker 2: was looking at East Tennessee State, maybe catching points at

766
00:42:26,200 --> 00:42:29,560
Speaker 2: home against UNC Greensboro. I was looking at Miami plus

767
00:42:29,640 --> 00:42:31,640
Speaker 2: ten and it's Florida State kind of like that. But

768
00:42:31,800 --> 00:42:33,560
Speaker 2: I settled on my favorite one is going to be

769
00:42:34,400 --> 00:42:40,160
Speaker 2: Illinois State hopefully plus one hosting Bradley any dog price. Really,

770
00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:42,400
Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be a good lockdown spot for

771
00:42:42,680 --> 00:42:46,600
Speaker 2: the Braves after that massive win over Drake on Sunday,

772
00:42:47,560 --> 00:42:50,040
Speaker 2: gutted out a two point physical road win by shooting

773
00:42:50,040 --> 00:42:53,359
Speaker 2: forty one percent from three and something to watch. Duke Dean,

774
00:42:54,360 --> 00:42:56,680
Speaker 2: their point guard, one of the best players in the valley,

775
00:42:57,040 --> 00:42:59,759
Speaker 2: fell pretty hard on his wrist. Checked in two minutes later.

776
00:43:00,120 --> 00:43:03,040
Speaker 2: It's fine, he had it wrapped up, but it's something

777
00:43:03,080 --> 00:43:06,480
Speaker 2: I'm going to monitor there. Same in a similar vein

778
00:43:06,560 --> 00:43:09,640
Speaker 2: good bounce back spot for Illinois State here after three

779
00:43:09,719 --> 00:43:13,600
Speaker 2: straight losses. There are five Missouri Valley teams right now

780
00:43:13,640 --> 00:43:15,799
Speaker 2: with a seven and nine conference record, so we're talking

781
00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:18,000
Speaker 2: about a potential difference between like a six seed and

782
00:43:18,080 --> 00:43:20,160
Speaker 2: a ten seed in Saint Louis. I think it's going

783
00:43:20,200 --> 00:43:22,520
Speaker 2: to be pretty important for the Redbirds to pick up

784
00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:26,680
Speaker 2: wins down the stretch. Bradley won the first head to

785
00:43:26,719 --> 00:43:29,759
Speaker 2: head matchup between these two at home by four, but

786
00:43:29,840 --> 00:43:32,359
Speaker 2: shot Quality graded it as a nine point expected win

787
00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:36,360
Speaker 2: for Illinois State because they hoisted up thirty four triples

788
00:43:36,360 --> 00:43:38,800
Speaker 2: and they only made ten of them. That's under thirty percent.

789
00:43:39,160 --> 00:43:42,960
Speaker 2: And this is a super duper legit four round one

790
00:43:43,040 --> 00:43:47,759
Speaker 2: motion offense. Chase Walker is an elite post bucket getter

791
00:43:47,960 --> 00:43:50,000
Speaker 2: and a very willing passer that you can work through

792
00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:51,960
Speaker 2: as a hub, and the Redbirds just surround him with

793
00:43:52,040 --> 00:43:54,640
Speaker 2: like four lights out shooters. They work inside out as

794
00:43:54,680 --> 00:43:57,080
Speaker 2: well as anyone. They're elite at catch and shoot creation.

795
00:43:57,320 --> 00:44:00,840
Speaker 2: They're spacing and shot making is elite. And Bradley is

796
00:44:00,880 --> 00:44:03,799
Speaker 2: a very lengthy squad that is pretty good at their closeouts,

797
00:44:04,600 --> 00:44:07,440
Speaker 2: but they overload on ball screen creation and so that's

798
00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:09,480
Speaker 2: super vulnerable to the type of sort of inside out

799
00:44:09,840 --> 00:44:12,880
Speaker 2: paint to perimeter touching that Illinois State creates. And so

800
00:44:13,080 --> 00:44:15,839
Speaker 2: basically I don't expect the red Birds to shoot under

801
00:44:15,880 --> 00:44:18,040
Speaker 2: thirty percent, you know, make just ten of thirty four

802
00:44:18,080 --> 00:44:20,759
Speaker 2: triples at home in the rematch, they are the league

803
00:44:20,920 --> 00:44:21,319
Speaker 2: You're going to.

804
00:44:21,320 --> 00:44:24,680
Speaker 1: Get threes against Bradley and yeah, exactly, Yeah you can shoot.

805
00:44:24,680 --> 00:44:26,200
Speaker 1: The problem is the Illinois States defense though.

806
00:44:26,600 --> 00:44:28,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, you're right. I don't trust their defense one bit

807
00:44:28,360 --> 00:44:29,759
Speaker 2: and I don't like this matchup for them at all.

808
00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:31,560
Speaker 2: I think they're lifeless and ball screens. They pack it

809
00:44:31,640 --> 00:44:34,360
Speaker 2: in relentlessly with no defense. But they're also they're the

810
00:44:34,400 --> 00:44:37,560
Speaker 2: league's most efficient home offense. They're shooting a legit forty

811
00:44:37,600 --> 00:44:39,840
Speaker 2: percent from three at home on high value, also shooting

812
00:44:39,840 --> 00:44:42,759
Speaker 2: over sixty two percent inside the arc. I just think that,

813
00:44:42,960 --> 00:44:45,359
Speaker 2: you know, Illinois State goes ballistic and scores it well

814
00:44:45,440 --> 00:44:48,480
Speaker 2: in a fantastic situational spot at home and guts out

815
00:44:48,520 --> 00:44:49,480
Speaker 2: this win over Bradley.

816
00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:51,440
Speaker 1: No, I agree with you. I had it set it

817
00:44:51,480 --> 00:44:57,719
Speaker 1: as well. But their their defense definitely is approssiable, to

818
00:44:57,840 --> 00:45:00,480
Speaker 1: say the least. And people are still say they want

819
00:45:00,560 --> 00:45:04,000
Speaker 1: Drake in the tournament. I love the Drake story, but

820
00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:07,839
Speaker 1: I don't think that they're getting that large. Now. They

821
00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:10,440
Speaker 1: have to win the valley just so.

822
00:45:11,160 --> 00:45:13,440
Speaker 2: Would you prefer Bradley out of the valley.

823
00:45:15,000 --> 00:45:16,799
Speaker 1: No, I'm saying as it not large if they don't

824
00:45:16,800 --> 00:45:18,279
Speaker 1: win the Valley.

825
00:45:18,440 --> 00:45:20,279
Speaker 2: People are saying that it'll be tough people.

826
00:45:20,320 --> 00:45:22,319
Speaker 1: I saw a lot of people saying that they hope

827
00:45:22,360 --> 00:45:24,560
Speaker 1: that that loss doesn't cost Drake a spot.

828
00:45:25,680 --> 00:45:29,880
Speaker 2: I don't think they have a chance now. That is

829
00:45:29,920 --> 00:45:31,320
Speaker 2: looking better and better though.

830
00:45:31,600 --> 00:45:34,400
Speaker 1: But now Kansas State is kind of faded a bit.

831
00:45:34,560 --> 00:45:36,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's true the past.

832
00:45:37,120 --> 00:45:40,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't. I mean I would say, let's let's

833
00:45:40,440 --> 00:45:44,640
Speaker 1: see what what is Torvick have when his turning cast. Yeah,

834
00:45:44,680 --> 00:45:47,799
Speaker 1: he's at like four percent. Not large. I was gonna

835
00:45:47,800 --> 00:45:53,120
Speaker 1: say a ten percent. So yeah, Drake, incredible story, incredible offense,

836
00:45:54,040 --> 00:45:56,920
Speaker 1: and they they would be a team that they get in,

837
00:45:57,760 --> 00:45:59,279
Speaker 1: you could look at as a dog in a game.

838
00:46:00,000 --> 00:46:03,360
Speaker 1: They're going to grind the game down, grind every possession,

839
00:46:03,600 --> 00:46:06,799
Speaker 1: find the best shot. But I just think they need

840
00:46:06,840 --> 00:46:09,520
Speaker 1: to win the Valley to get in now. But I

841
00:46:09,600 --> 00:46:10,920
Speaker 1: agree with you on that spot. You got anything for

842
00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:12,800
Speaker 1: for Thursday?

843
00:46:13,920 --> 00:46:17,879
Speaker 2: Yeah? One a East, No East for me this week.

844
00:46:19,120 --> 00:46:21,520
Speaker 2: I gotta look into the matchups a little bit more.

845
00:46:21,520 --> 00:46:24,840
Speaker 2: I gotta look at that Vermont Brian won. That'll be

846
00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:28,920
Speaker 2: a huge, huge game Thursday. I'm gonna go back to

847
00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:32,080
Speaker 2: the Big West, our favorite league, and look at UC

848
00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:37,239
Speaker 2: Davis minus three hosting Bakersville. I like the spot for

849
00:46:37,280 --> 00:46:41,080
Speaker 2: the Aggies, good bounce back spot coming home after getting

850
00:46:41,080 --> 00:46:44,080
Speaker 2: their doors blown off by the elite elite San UC

851
00:46:44,200 --> 00:46:48,040
Speaker 2: San Diego Tritons, and Davis has been quietly a very

852
00:46:48,080 --> 00:46:49,800
Speaker 2: good home team, now six at one at home in

853
00:46:49,840 --> 00:46:53,120
Speaker 2: Big West Play. Meanwhile, Bakersfield won in six on the

854
00:46:53,239 --> 00:46:56,040
Speaker 2: road in Big West Play minus thirteen net rating. They

855
00:46:56,080 --> 00:46:58,360
Speaker 2: rank three hundred and fortieth nationally and has the metrics

856
00:46:58,400 --> 00:47:01,160
Speaker 2: away from home metric. They're a big problem in this

857
00:47:01,239 --> 00:47:04,240
Speaker 2: matchup for me is twofold. They're a ball screen centric

858
00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:08,040
Speaker 2: offense running into UC Davis's elite ball screen coverage, and

859
00:47:08,160 --> 00:47:10,080
Speaker 2: they turned the ball over twenty three percent of the

860
00:47:10,120 --> 00:47:12,040
Speaker 2: time on the road in conference play, which won't be

861
00:47:12,040 --> 00:47:14,160
Speaker 2: good against a Davis team that really feeds off turnovers

862
00:47:14,200 --> 00:47:18,680
Speaker 2: on defense. And conversely Bakersfield blows in ball screen coverage.

863
00:47:18,680 --> 00:47:21,120
Speaker 2: They're one of the worst in the conference. I think

864
00:47:21,120 --> 00:47:23,840
Speaker 2: they're bottom ten percentile nationally, which should allow one of

865
00:47:23,880 --> 00:47:26,680
Speaker 2: my favorite mid major point guards, t Y Johnson, to

866
00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:29,399
Speaker 2: eat here. He scored twenty six in the first head

867
00:47:29,400 --> 00:47:32,920
Speaker 2: to head matchup, which more on that first head to

868
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:36,600
Speaker 2: head matchup. Bakersfield won by eleven at home, which isn't

869
00:47:36,600 --> 00:47:39,480
Speaker 2: surprising to me given they've been the best the league's

870
00:47:39,520 --> 00:47:43,719
Speaker 2: best offense at home. But as expected, the Aggies were

871
00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:46,600
Speaker 2: actually more efficient in ballscreen creation, which is huge considering

872
00:47:46,640 --> 00:47:48,880
Speaker 2: how pick and roll relyant these two offenses are. And

873
00:47:49,000 --> 00:47:52,680
Speaker 2: you know, Bakersfield shot just thirty six percent from inside

874
00:47:52,719 --> 00:47:55,000
Speaker 2: the arc. They're a super mid range for lied offense.

875
00:47:55,040 --> 00:47:57,560
Speaker 2: I just don't trust how they run their stuff. And

876
00:47:57,800 --> 00:47:59,560
Speaker 2: you know, the Aggies, on the other hand, they shot

877
00:47:59,600 --> 00:48:02,040
Speaker 2: four for twenty one from three nineteen percent. They're not

878
00:48:02,120 --> 00:48:05,520
Speaker 2: a great shooting team, but they're better than that. They

879
00:48:05,640 --> 00:48:09,000
Speaker 2: generated eleven unguard catch and shoot opportunities in that game

880
00:48:09,080 --> 00:48:11,520
Speaker 2: and hit one of them. I could see results flipping

881
00:48:11,880 --> 00:48:14,440
Speaker 2: with home court obviously. The big key here for me

882
00:48:15,520 --> 00:48:18,160
Speaker 2: offensive rebounds. The road Runners are a top twenty five

883
00:48:18,239 --> 00:48:21,160
Speaker 2: offensive rebounding squad, while the ig struggled to clean the glass.

884
00:48:21,480 --> 00:48:25,080
Speaker 2: Bakersfield grabbed nineteen in the first matchup, scored fifteen second

885
00:48:25,160 --> 00:48:28,520
Speaker 2: chance points, and that is easy to travel on the road.

886
00:48:29,000 --> 00:48:30,920
Speaker 2: Davis needs to fight better on the boards better in

887
00:48:30,960 --> 00:48:33,120
Speaker 2: the rematch, but if they do that, I think everything

888
00:48:33,160 --> 00:48:36,120
Speaker 2: else here points towards a convincing Aggie's home victory.

889
00:48:36,800 --> 00:48:39,080
Speaker 1: Don't mind it, by the way, one last thing for

890
00:48:39,200 --> 00:48:42,120
Speaker 1: you here, did you? I don't know if you mentioned it.

891
00:48:42,160 --> 00:48:44,280
Speaker 1: Maybe it's just on the notes to the river Hawks.

892
00:48:44,920 --> 00:48:45,800
Speaker 1: Are they the corpse?

893
00:48:46,600 --> 00:48:51,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, so I am legitimately wondering if they're like point

894
00:48:51,880 --> 00:48:54,080
Speaker 2: shaving at this point. I mean talk about U mess

895
00:48:54,120 --> 00:48:55,920
Speaker 2: low by the way for yeah, yeah, yeah, I know, yeah,

896
00:48:56,840 --> 00:48:58,880
Speaker 2: they were, They're They're my favorite. They were the favorite

897
00:48:58,880 --> 00:49:00,840
Speaker 2: in the Ammy's Conference before the season. Again, They're now

898
00:49:00,880 --> 00:49:03,440
Speaker 2: four and seven after this past weekend's results where they

899
00:49:03,520 --> 00:49:06,280
Speaker 2: led Albany by six with one minute relating in overtime

900
00:49:06,640 --> 00:49:09,000
Speaker 2: and went and missed three front ends and turned it

901
00:49:09,080 --> 00:49:11,400
Speaker 2: over twice in the final sixty seconds. They allowed an

902
00:49:11,440 --> 00:49:14,360
Speaker 2: eight in New Hampshire by one. They led New Hampshire

903
00:49:14,400 --> 00:49:17,400
Speaker 2: by fifteen with under eight minutes and Sammy Pieceis went

904
00:49:17,520 --> 00:49:20,320
Speaker 2: nuts and then hit a step back buzzer beating game winner.

905
00:49:20,440 --> 00:49:22,680
Speaker 2: They allowed a twenty seven to eleven run over the

906
00:49:22,719 --> 00:49:25,400
Speaker 2: final seven minutes. I mean they had a similar disaster

907
00:49:25,440 --> 00:49:28,480
Speaker 2: against Maine earlier, this in overtime. The rumors coming out

908
00:49:28,480 --> 00:49:31,560
Speaker 2: of there, you know, to Kets lost the locker room,

909
00:49:31,680 --> 00:49:33,840
Speaker 2: nobody likes each other. It's just a complete mess. The

910
00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:37,560
Speaker 2: effort from that team is so shocking on rebounds, fifty

911
00:49:37,560 --> 00:49:40,799
Speaker 2: to fifty balls, stuff like that, closing out games. It's

912
00:49:40,840 --> 00:49:44,319
Speaker 2: been just a disaster season in Lowell. The worst I've

913
00:49:44,320 --> 00:49:46,560
Speaker 2: seen for an Amy's team in a long time relative

914
00:49:46,600 --> 00:49:47,279
Speaker 2: to so they.

915
00:49:47,239 --> 00:49:49,239
Speaker 1: Have been unlucky. But then I'm like, are they just

916
00:49:49,320 --> 00:49:50,960
Speaker 1: the corpse now at this point or are they a

917
00:49:51,040 --> 00:49:54,640
Speaker 1: team we potentially look like as a reset team.

918
00:49:55,040 --> 00:49:58,279
Speaker 2: In the conference tournament for the tournament? Yeah, yeah, I

919
00:49:58,320 --> 00:50:01,640
Speaker 2: think so. I'm really to see some life down the stretch. Yeah,

920
00:50:01,800 --> 00:50:04,440
Speaker 2: I just some So. I thought they rebounded really well

921
00:50:04,440 --> 00:50:06,040
Speaker 2: against New Hampshire in the first half of the game,

922
00:50:06,080 --> 00:50:08,920
Speaker 2: but then they just let go. It's you know what

923
00:50:09,000 --> 00:50:12,040
Speaker 2: I mean, It's like consistent forty minute effort, like mental headspace.

924
00:50:12,360 --> 00:50:14,480
Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, they have all the offensive firepower

925
00:50:14,520 --> 00:50:16,719
Speaker 2: to you know, to roast anyone in the league if

926
00:50:16,760 --> 00:50:20,560
Speaker 2: they just focused for ten seconds and if Kaled Murphy

927
00:50:20,920 --> 00:50:24,400
Speaker 2: stinks the defense is awful and once again they can't rebound.

928
00:50:24,440 --> 00:50:26,440
Speaker 2: But also if Kle Murphy can get in there a

929
00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:28,840
Speaker 2: point guard over Quincy Clark, yeah, they could be a

930
00:50:28,880 --> 00:50:30,759
Speaker 2: team that that could definitely be a by low in

931
00:50:30,840 --> 00:50:33,000
Speaker 2: the AMIS tournament. I don't know who else I would

932
00:50:33,000 --> 00:50:33,920
Speaker 2: buy as a long shot.

933
00:50:34,239 --> 00:50:35,480
Speaker 1: Who do they miss so much?

934
00:50:37,120 --> 00:50:41,000
Speaker 2: Was it? There was Kola Bali and uh yeah, Keem

935
00:50:41,160 --> 00:50:41,680
Speaker 2: both left.

936
00:50:42,880 --> 00:50:45,000
Speaker 1: They missed from their defense because their defense was like

937
00:50:45,239 --> 00:50:46,040
Speaker 1: good last year.

938
00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:51,640
Speaker 2: Uh Koli Bali was big as as the second frontline

939
00:50:51,680 --> 00:50:55,879
Speaker 2: guy by Max Brooks, and then once he left because

940
00:50:55,880 --> 00:50:57,680
Speaker 2: he got hurt and then didn't really come back, the

941
00:50:57,840 --> 00:51:00,239
Speaker 2: interior defense did kind of fall off, but they still

942
00:51:00,239 --> 00:51:02,279
Speaker 2: had really good on ball pressure with a Keem who

943
00:51:02,360 --> 00:51:05,880
Speaker 2: now is gone, and Quincy Clark is awful and Summerville

944
00:51:06,000 --> 00:51:09,120
Speaker 2: is a small frosh guard. So everything really just fell

945
00:51:09,200 --> 00:51:12,320
Speaker 2: off for them in the most catastrophic of ways.

946
00:51:12,960 --> 00:51:15,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean yeah, and East is very down the

947
00:51:15,800 --> 00:51:18,200
Speaker 1: way that they would like. I think Brian is the

948
00:51:18,280 --> 00:51:23,880
Speaker 1: best team, but they would they could beat Brian a

949
00:51:23,960 --> 00:51:27,239
Speaker 1: game that's like eighty six eighty five or something, right, yep,

950
00:51:28,840 --> 00:51:31,800
Speaker 1: So all right, you'll have your ammy S minute on

951
00:51:31,920 --> 00:51:35,480
Speaker 1: our Thursday episode. I'll be back with Mike if he's

952
00:51:35,520 --> 00:51:38,800
Speaker 1: feeling better, and Greg on Thursday will preview the weekend

953
00:51:38,880 --> 00:51:42,759
Speaker 1: guard at a future to the portfolio Tanner will talk

954
00:51:42,880 --> 00:51:46,000
Speaker 1: some aam East. Good luck with your plumbing and pipes.

955
00:51:46,400 --> 00:51:49,200
Speaker 1: Everyone out there dealing with whether stay safe. Thanks to

956
00:51:49,239 --> 00:51:51,160
Speaker 1: Tanner for joining me. If you feel better, Mike, Thanks

957
00:51:51,200 --> 00:51:53,680
Speaker 1: to our producer David on the back end. Mostptly thanks

958
00:51:53,680 --> 00:51:55,720
Speaker 1: to all be for tuning in. Make sure subscribe on subscribed, subscribe,

959
00:51:55,719 --> 00:51:58,040
Speaker 1: tell friends one enemy, maybe a five star of you

960
00:51:58,160 --> 00:51:59,960
Speaker 1: really helps. South Shot the hedge Boost make sure you

961
00:52:00,120 --> 00:52:03,520
Speaker 1: check that out as well. Home Stretch March will the

962
00:52:03,560 --> 00:52:05,680
Speaker 1: year before we know it. Let's get hot and have

963
00:52:05,760 --> 00:52:07,760
Speaker 1: a big March. We lock on all of your wagers.

964
00:52:08,120 --> 00:52:10,080
Speaker 1: We'll see you Thursday night. Cheers.

965
00:52:24,160 --> 00:52:28,640
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

966
00:52:28,719 --> 00:52:31,480
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

967
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Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler