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Speaker 1: This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the

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Speaker 1: inspiring true story about Anthony Roebliss, who defined every expectation

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Speaker 1: thrilling wrestling matches. Unstoppable features an all star ensemble cast

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Speaker 1: Bobby Canavali. Watch Unstoppable now exclusively on Amazon Prime Video.

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Speaker 2: Welcome in What's Drive in the Great Episode two eighty three,

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Speaker 2: Week fourteen Gambling show pains me that were this deep

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Speaker 2: into the NBA NFL season. It does not pain me

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Speaker 2: demands that we are profitable on the season on this show,

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Speaker 2: it has been a long tough slog to profitability. While

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Speaker 2: the the TV show picks have been killing. Because I

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Speaker 2: pick my three favorite I do five picks every week

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Speaker 2: on this show. I pick my three favorite ones on

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Speaker 2: Friday with an extra you know, twenty eight hours of

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Speaker 2: injury news added to it from Thursday morning to Friday afternoon.

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Speaker 2: So We're sixty one percent against the spread on TV.

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Speaker 2: We are right now fifty three point one percent against

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Speaker 2: the spread on this show after another four and one week. Demond,

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Speaker 2: of course, crushed one of the easiest teasers ever. I

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Speaker 2: think he covered them both by twenty points or something,

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Speaker 2: so we'll discuss that later. Demonse, how are you this morning?

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Speaker 3: I'm doing pretty good.

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Speaker 4: How you doing, Pops, I'm doing well.

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Speaker 2: We have a special guest on today's show, which means briefly,

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Speaker 2: demands will be bounced, but then he will be back

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Speaker 2: to give America his teaser.

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Speaker 4: But we don't really.

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Speaker 2: Do guests, and I'm just gonna tell you this now

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Speaker 2: before the person gets here. Uninvited guest, just person just

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Speaker 2: announced I want to come on the pod Thursday. I'm

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Speaker 2: inviting myself on. And I was like, not really, how

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Speaker 2: we do things around here and America demands, you know,

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Speaker 2: the synergy of Demons and I during the gambling segment,

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Speaker 2: but I decided, you know, you got to pick your

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Speaker 2: battles in this world. So uninvited guest about a half

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Speaker 2: hour from now. But first let's get today today's actual

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Speaker 2: shows or actual topics before we get to the picks.

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Speaker 2: Here's what missed the cut. Joe Burrow buys the Batmobile

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Speaker 2: in NBA Cup Knockout Round set and Spotify raps. I

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Speaker 2: just want to drop with a batmobile for a second.

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Speaker 2: If the price tag really was demans three million dollars,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go ahead and say irresponsible purchase by Joe Burrow.

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Speaker 2: Joe Burrow is a rich man. I don't think he

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Speaker 2: is quite rich enough to spend three million dollars responsibly

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Speaker 2: on something that is just like you can't use.

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Speaker 4: Now.

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Speaker 2: Maybe the argument is it's like a piece of art,

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Speaker 2: it's going to appreciate in value, but I don't know

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Speaker 2: that I think that is accurate. Joe Burrow right now,

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Speaker 2: career earnings through this season one hundred and forty million dollars.

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Speaker 2: Obviously he's done well for himself. But so your that

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Speaker 2: means two percent of your career earnings a little bit

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Speaker 2: more or on this batmobile. I think it's a little

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Speaker 2: a little pricey. I gotta tell you. I think I

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Speaker 2: mean it's that seems like the type of purchase for

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Speaker 2: a billionaire, not a multi hunter, you know, millionaire. But

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Speaker 2: maybe I'm wrong, and maybe it goes, Maybe he sells

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Speaker 2: it for four million, and it's a great investment. You

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Speaker 2: can buy a lot of stuff. And listen, people buy

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Speaker 2: art all the time. They just hang it on a wall.

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Speaker 2: It's not like it has functional but usually the assumption

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Speaker 2: there is that it's going to, you know, go up

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Speaker 2: in value, or you're gonna do some insurance scam.

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Speaker 4: Who knows.

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Speaker 2: Also, why is it not street legal? That's the now.

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Speaker 2: If it we're street legal, He's like, hey, I'm just

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Speaker 2: gonna be driving this around. Well, I mean, I mean,

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Speaker 2: the guns obviously aren't functional. The rest of it. That

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Speaker 2: thing's got a great turning radius, seems I mean, maybe

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Speaker 2: it's too if you get in a wreck, you're gonna

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Speaker 2: mess the other person up.

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Speaker 4: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: All right, to Mons, let's get to the actual topics

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Speaker 2: of the show, because I have a little rant that

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Speaker 2: I need to get to all the top here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, so we had a really fun Cowboys topic here,

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Speaker 3: but we took it out, or I guess you took

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Speaker 3: it out because you have a problem with the seventeen

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Speaker 3: playoff format. So could you please explain to us what

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Speaker 3: your gripe is with that?

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Speaker 2: So I think the NFL has made a lot of

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Speaker 2: smart decisions over the last decade in making the game

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Speaker 2: more consumer friendly, protecting the quarterbacks, I think is a

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Speaker 2: smart business decision, recognizing it's an entertainment product. There's a

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Speaker 2: lot of smart things they've done. I we are now

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Speaker 2: five years into it, and I'm officially ready to declare

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Speaker 2: the playoff expansion was something they didn't need to do

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Speaker 2: and they shouldn't have done. And for you know, my

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Speaker 2: basically my whole life, the way the NFL playoffs worked

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Speaker 2: was six teams per conference buys to the one and

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Speaker 2: the two seed go. During the COVID year, they expanded

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Speaker 2: it to seven teams per conference just won by and

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Speaker 2: I think this year is a great example of why

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Speaker 2: that was a mistake. So first, the history of it,

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Speaker 2: we have never seen one of those seven seeds that

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Speaker 2: otherwise wouldn't have gotten in go on a playoff run.

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Speaker 2: Last year was the first year the seventh seed ever

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Speaker 2: in either conference even won a game. But what the

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Speaker 2: seven seeds have provided us are the following the first

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Speaker 2: year of it, we got old man Philip Rivers playing

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Speaker 2: for the Colts in the playoffs. They lost to Buffalo,

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Speaker 2: and you got I think it was Mitch Trubisky and

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Speaker 2: the Bears making the playoffs, they got cracked by New Orleans.

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Speaker 2: The next year, the seventh seed was Jail and her

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Speaker 2: It's his first year as a starter, looking wholly unprepared

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Speaker 2: against Tom Brady and Tampa Bay. They got blown out,

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Speaker 2: and then the better than a bye Pittsburgh Steelers and

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Speaker 2: Ben Roethlisberger in his farewell tour saying, oh, we're out

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Speaker 2: of here, Twoggs doing high fives to the crowd after

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Speaker 2: Week sixteen, thinking their season was over somehow getting into

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Speaker 2: the playoffs and losing by twenty one to the Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: The next year, the seventh seed gave us Skyler Thompson

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Speaker 2: and the Miami Dolphins losing to the Bills and Seattle

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Speaker 2: getting absolutely annihilated by the Niners. Last year, the seventh

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Speaker 2: seed gave us once again, Pittsburgh making the playoffs, this

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Speaker 2: time with Mason Rudolph. And then the one good seven

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Speaker 2: seed event we ever had, Green Bay beating Dallas in

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Speaker 2: that game kind of you know, spurred Green Bay to

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Speaker 2: wear So we're one for eight on the seventh seed,

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Speaker 2: providing anything an zero for eight on the seventh seed

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Speaker 2: winning more than one playoff game. But here's the real reason.

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Speaker 2: I don't like it this season. In particular, there's no

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Speaker 2: playoff race. If we had the old format demonse in

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Speaker 2: the AFC, Chargers eight and four, Ravens eight and five,

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Speaker 2: Denver eight and five, one of them is missing the playoffs,

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Speaker 2: you have super high leverage important. That Ravens Eagles game

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Speaker 2: this past weekend would have been massive for Baltimore. Oh

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Speaker 2: my god, we are tied for the final playoff spot. Instead,

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Speaker 2: like at Denver, getting that win against the Browns would

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Speaker 2: have felt so huge and then that's just the AFC

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Speaker 2: right now. Instead we look at it and it's like, oh,

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Speaker 2: we know who the seven playoff teams in the AFC are.

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Speaker 2: We don't know the order, but it would take a

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Speaker 2: true collapse for Indie or Miami to end up catching Chargers, Ravens, Broncos. Otherwise,

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Speaker 2: like the Chargers are playing a game this week in

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Speaker 2: Sunday Night Football demonse against the Chiefs, that kind of

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Speaker 2: means nothing for them. They're not catching Kansas City for

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Speaker 2: the division and they're not falling out of the playoffs.

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Speaker 4: If it were.

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Speaker 2: Six playoff team format, they would feel like, oh my god,

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Speaker 2: if we don't win this game, we are tied for

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Speaker 2: the final playoff spot and then go to the NFC.

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Speaker 2: The same thing's happening.

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Speaker 4: Now.

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Speaker 2: You can say the NFC has real playoff races, but

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Speaker 2: the NFC's playoff races are ones that would exist in

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Speaker 2: any format because they're only divisional races. The who's gonna

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Speaker 2: win the NFC West, Who's gonna win the NFC South?

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Speaker 2: But as far as who's going to be in the

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Speaker 2: playoffs from a wildcard perspective, we know who it is.

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Speaker 2: Two NFC what North teams and Washington. If we had

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Speaker 2: the old playoff format demons, the Packers would be like,

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Speaker 2: holy crap, if we win tonight, we might actually somehow

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Speaker 2: be able to win the division. But if we lose tonight,

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Speaker 2: we're a game out of missing the playoffs entirely. Washington's

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Speaker 2: three games skid from a few weeks ago would have

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Speaker 2: felt crippling, you would. And instead we're just locked into

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Speaker 2: these teams. And so for the NFL and where we

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Speaker 2: really want to feel like every game has a high level,

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Speaker 2: real importance. I don't love that if you're a good team,

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Speaker 2: you really.

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Speaker 4: Can't miss the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: Now, in years past, it was like, man, that was

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Speaker 2: a good team that didn't get into the postseason like

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Speaker 2: it would have been for Green Bay last year.

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Speaker 4: Green Bay last year is like, man, they were red hot.

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Speaker 4: They know this stuff.

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Speaker 2: Sorry, every game matters, and so I just don't love it.

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Speaker 2: I also don't love the fact that Kansas City or

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Speaker 2: Buffalo this year could finish fifteen and two and not

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Speaker 2: get a bye, like the fact that I think the

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Speaker 2: Chiefs are gonna get the one seed, so it actually

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Speaker 2: is advantageous for Kansas City. But if the Bills, say,

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Speaker 2: the Bills lose this week into the Rams and then

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Speaker 2: beat the Lions, then take care of Patriots, Jets, Patriots,

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Speaker 2: they is fourteen and three and their reward is they

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Speaker 2: get Lamar Jackson in the Ravens in Round one. Like that,

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Speaker 2: I don't love that either. So I just people are

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Speaker 2: wondering why we don't have as many huge games as

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Speaker 2: it feels like we had in years past late in

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Speaker 2: the season, and it's because at least this year, there's

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Speaker 2: no playoff races. The only playoff races are divisional races.

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Speaker 2: We know who the seven AFC playoff teams are. We

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Speaker 2: know five well, no, yeah, we know five of the

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Speaker 2: seven NFC playoff teams already, and The only ones we

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Speaker 2: don't know are the two division winners, which those races

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Speaker 2: would be going on either way. So that's my little rant.

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Speaker 2: I think the NFL has done a lot of really

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Speaker 2: smart things, even things they've been criticized for. This is

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Speaker 2: one I don't love, and I see the train coming

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Speaker 2: down the tracks of the NFL considering at some point saying, well,

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Speaker 2: seven's kind of.

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Speaker 4: A weird number.

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Speaker 2: Why don't we just go to eight, have it be

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Speaker 2: a true half the league makes the playoffs and remove

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Speaker 2: the buys entirely, which I would absolutely hate, And I

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Speaker 2: think that would be legitimately bad for the league because

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Speaker 2: then the regular season, there's no incentive to try to

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Speaker 2: be great in the regular season. All right, So there's

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Speaker 2: my ten minutes on that. Now we can get to

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Speaker 2: the actual stories you guys had and they're oh you

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Speaker 2: uh so, let's just go on to Green Bay and

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Speaker 2: Detroit and get to the actual stories.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, So tonight, Jordan Love, they go up against the Lions.

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Speaker 3: The Lions have obviously been rolling this year, but they've

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Speaker 3: got a bunch of injuries sacked up against them right now.

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Speaker 4: Yep.

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Speaker 3: So with all those injuries, if they end up beating

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Speaker 3: this feisty Green Bay team. Do you think it will

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Speaker 3: start to feel like they're more of a team of

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Speaker 3: destiny or this is their year.

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Speaker 2: Well, listen, lines have been great and this should be

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Speaker 2: demands one of the best Thursday night games ever, not

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Speaker 2: only because it's two excellent teams. But here's the other thing.

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Speaker 2: Two excellent teams neither on short rest. We rarely get

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Speaker 2: this where I guess we get it somewhat regularly on

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Speaker 2: this exact Thursday, Thursday after Thanksgiving, but they both played

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Speaker 2: on Thanksgiving, so they're both on regular rest for the week,

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Speaker 2: So you're not gonna have as much kind of disjointed

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Speaker 2: football as probably as many injuries as we tend to

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Speaker 2: see on these short week Thursday games. And the upside

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Speaker 2: for the Packers here is just massive. Like we are

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Speaker 2: We've talked about the Packers all year as Okay, they're

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Speaker 2: a good team, but you know they're they're not the

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Speaker 2: clearly the class of the NFC. If they win this game,

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Speaker 2: they're a game out of first place in the conference.

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Speaker 2: If they win this game, they're a game out of

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Speaker 2: first place in their division. Now it'd be hard for

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Speaker 2: them to catch Philly because they played Philly in Week

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Speaker 2: one and loss, so they would actually need you know

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Speaker 2: what I mean, to have a full game past Philadelphia.

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Speaker 2: But Packers right now are They're not fraudulent, but they

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Speaker 2: have questions. And the reason I say that is they

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Speaker 2: have played three games against the three teams in the

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Speaker 2: conference that have a better record than them Philly, Minnesota, Detroit.

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Speaker 2: Those are their three losses. So they lose tonight and

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Speaker 2: all of a sudden, it's like, all right, you're zero

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Speaker 2: to four against the four teams ahead of you, nine

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Speaker 2: to oher against everyone else. How seriously can we believe

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Speaker 2: that come the playoffs, you're gonna be able to beat

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Speaker 2: all of those teams or at least two of those

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Speaker 2: three teams that have owned you. So there's a huge

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Speaker 2: game for the Packers. It is also a massive game

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Speaker 2: for Detroit because Detroit wins tonight give themselves, you know,

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Speaker 2: keeps Minnesota Bay and puts Green Bay to bed from

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Speaker 2: the division and stays the one seed. Detroit loses tonight

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Speaker 2: and they could find themselves come Sunday evening in a

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Speaker 2: three way tie for first in the conference, a two

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Speaker 2: way tie for first in the division, and Detroit, which

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Speaker 2: we've been talking about them, oh Ford Field, never go outside,

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Speaker 2: have the one seed beat, have the buye to where

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Speaker 2: they could be a loss to the Bills a week

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Speaker 2: from now away from being the five seed. And what

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Speaker 2: I'm telling you, what you don't want if you're Detroit

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Speaker 2: is to be smooth sailing all year long. They have

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Speaker 2: played one game outdoors? Right what I'm sorry? No, how

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Speaker 2: many games outdoors have they played? I'm gonna pull it up.

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Speaker 2: I think up to this point in the season they've

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Speaker 2: played one outdoor game. Yes, that's right, because they're at

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Speaker 2: the Packers the only time they've been outdoors, and the

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Speaker 2: rest of the way they only have two more outdoor

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Speaker 2: games at Chicago and then at the Niners later in

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Speaker 2: the year. What you don't want, Demon's a is your

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Speaker 2: smooth sailing all year and then all of a sudden

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Speaker 2: a ten day hiccup. Minnesota stays hot. You're the five seed,

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Speaker 2: and your playoff path is okay, no problem. Go to

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Speaker 2: Tampa in Week one of the playoffs, go to Philly.

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Speaker 4: In week you know what I mean?

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Speaker 2: Them coming off of bye in week two of the playoffs,

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Speaker 2: like you gotta so, there is real stake for Detroit.

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Speaker 2: I do think Detroit's an excellent team. There's absolutely no

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Speaker 2: denying they're an excellent team. I do worry about the

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Speaker 2: clustering of injuries on defense and if that is going

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Speaker 2: to force them into shootouts.

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Speaker 4: In the postseason. And I don't listen. We know who the.

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Speaker 2: Lions want to be. They want to run the ball,

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Speaker 2: have Jared Goff throw, you know, in advantageous down in

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Speaker 2: distance positions, and he has been great. There's no denying

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Speaker 2: that Jared Goff's been great. But playing with a lead

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Speaker 2: indoors versus being in a dog fight outdoors feels like

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Speaker 2: very different scenarios for the Lions. So I'm not here.

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Speaker 2: I'm not acting like the Lions are frauds. I'm not

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Speaker 2: acting like the Lions aren't one of the four best

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Speaker 2: teams in football.

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Speaker 4: They clearly are. There are clearly.

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Speaker 2: Four teams in football that have separated themselves, the Eagles,

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Speaker 2: the Lions, the Bills, and the Chiefs, and we can

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Speaker 2: argue about the order of it. I don't buy the

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Speaker 2: idea that the Lions, because of their margin of victory,

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Speaker 2: are head and shoulders better than everybody. I don't buy that.

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Speaker 2: I do think that a win tonight puts them in

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Speaker 2: a great position to be the one seed in the NFC,

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Speaker 2: and a loss tonight makes all of a sudden that

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Speaker 2: game next Sunday against Buffalo damn near a must win

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Speaker 2: for them. So while the bottom part of the playoff

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Speaker 2: race is not all that intriguing, the very top part

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Speaker 2: in both conferences Detroit trying to hold off Philly and

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Speaker 2: Minnesota the Chiefs trying to hold off Buffalo are super intriguing.

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Speaker 3: All right, next, Ah, yeah, so the Chiefs have got

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Speaker 3: some real dogs up in the Chargers. So the Chargers

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Speaker 3: are eight and four, justin Herbert has been up and

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Speaker 3: down throughout the season. But with that said, how much

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Speaker 3: are Herbert and the Chargers a threat to your Chiefs?

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Speaker 2: Well, I mean, I down the road, they could be

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Speaker 2: a real threat. They have a great coach, They're building

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Speaker 2: the team smartly this year. They are not a threat.

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Speaker 2: And I actually really like this matchup for Kansas City.

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Speaker 2: I don't know how many people watched the Chargers this

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Speaker 2: past week, Demonse, you and I were watching together. We

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Speaker 2: had a bunch of games on. But they I mean,

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Speaker 2: how I'm gonna look it up right now.

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Speaker 4: They had one.

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Speaker 2: Hundred and eighty seven total yards of offense against the

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Speaker 2: Atlanta Falcons. The only reason the Falcons didn't run away

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Speaker 2: with that game is Kirk could not stop throwing picks.

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Speaker 2: Threw a pick six through a pick in the end zone.

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Speaker 2: And Herbert's having a weird year because he has thirteen touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: which is not great through twelve games, one interception which

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Speaker 2: is unbelievable through twelve games, but his yardage is way down.

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Speaker 2: He's like two hundred yards per game passing, and this

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Speaker 2: past week was another example of it. Sixteen of twenty three,

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Speaker 2: one forty seven no touchdowns, like not an overwhelming performance.

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Speaker 2: Here is why I like this spot for Kansas City

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Speaker 2: so much. The Chargers as of late seem to have

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Speaker 2: one way to move the football. Lad mcconkeye in the slot.

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Speaker 2: Rookie wide receiver Trent McDuffie, the best slot corner in

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Speaker 2: the league who has been forced to play on the

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Speaker 2: outside a lot this year, plays for the Chiefs, and

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Speaker 2: I would imagine will just be on Ladd the vast

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Speaker 2: majority of the game. You take Ladd McConkie away, I

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Speaker 2: don't see how the Chargers score enough points. If you

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Speaker 2: remember this last matchup Chargers Chiefs, this is the game

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Speaker 2: that early on Mahomes throws that pick that Rashi Rice.

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Speaker 2: Is this the Rashie Rice game? I think it is?

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Speaker 2: Do I have that wrong? I thought Mahomes throws a pick.

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Speaker 2: You guys can fact check.

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Speaker 3: McConkie's not even playing in the game, right, say it again.

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Speaker 3: McConkie's not even playing. Is he this Sunday?

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Speaker 4: Is lad? Is? Why would Laddin McConkie be out? Is

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Speaker 4: he out? And I didn't know he's a.

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Speaker 3: Little bit that would be participant in practice?

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Speaker 2: Okay, so I just yesterday.

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Speaker 3: I mean he might be playing.

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Speaker 2: I think he's gonna be. Yeah, well, if he's out,

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Speaker 2: they can't move the ball. But I think he's gonna

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Speaker 2: I I thought that. Let me check the charge or

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Speaker 2: now I'm throwing a bunch of stuff off, guys, check

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Speaker 2: quick for me on if this was the game where

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Speaker 2: she Rice got hurt in I thought it was the

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Speaker 2: first time they played.

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Speaker 4: So lad McConkie. All right.

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Speaker 2: So here's a good way to read NFL injury reports.

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Speaker 2: If if a guy is limited on Wednesday, usually he'll

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Speaker 2: be able to play Sunday. If there are two indicators

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Speaker 2: to me. Typically on injury reports, limited Wednesday is a

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Speaker 2: good sign does not practice Friday is a disastrous sign. Now, Listen,

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Speaker 2: sometimes guys are limited all week and they don't play.

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Speaker 2: But as long as he wasn't a DNP did not

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Speaker 2: practice Wednesday, I usually think the guy's gonna play. But

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Speaker 2: the point that I was winging for this first matchup,

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Speaker 2: Mahomes throws that pick, tries to make the tackle. Rashi

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Speaker 2: Rice's knee gets blown out when Mahome's trying to blow

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Speaker 2: the tackle. The charge get up ten to nothing immediately,

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Speaker 2: and the Chiefs reel off seventeen straight points and win

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Speaker 2: the game. So the Chiefs are gonna have their new

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Speaker 2: left tackle, DJ Humphries, I would imagine starting in this game. TJ.

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Speaker 2: Humphries has been a league average left tackle each of

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Speaker 2: the last three seasons. His four years ago, he was

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Speaker 2: one of the best in the league, but the last

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Speaker 2: three years has been league average. That wouldn't sound like

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Speaker 2: such an upgrade except for the fact the Chiefs have

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Speaker 2: had literally the worst left tackle situation in football. The

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Speaker 2: two guys they have played tackle this year left tackle

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Speaker 2: for them this year. PFF has rated as the seventh

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Speaker 2: worst out of seventy three qualifying tackles left or right

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Speaker 2: and Jania Morris and Kingsley. There have been one hundred

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Speaker 2: and forty tackles play as many snaps as Kingsley. He's

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Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty seventh, So just getting average tackle

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Speaker 2: play opens things up massively for Kansas City. They are

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Speaker 2: on some extra rest having played Friday. This is their

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Speaker 2: last like, well, it's not their last extra rest spot,

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Speaker 2: but after this it's weird. They play Sunday, then they

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Speaker 2: play Saturday, then they play Wednesday, then they play the

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Speaker 2: following Sunday. So I like the Chiefs in this spot.

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Speaker 2: I like what the Chargers are building, but I do

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Speaker 2: think the Chargers right now are a bit demand's a

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Speaker 2: of a product of their schedule. So their four losses

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Speaker 2: have come against the four of the five playoff adjacent

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Speaker 2: teams or playoff teams they've played, Steelers, Chiefs, Cardinals, Ravens.

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Speaker 2: Their best win of the year is against the Broncos

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Speaker 2: early in bo Nix's career. Their other wins have come

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Speaker 2: against the following teams Raiders, Panthers, Saints, Browns, Titans, Falcons,

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Speaker 2: So they have they have proven their ability to beat

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Speaker 2: the bad teams and they're yet to prove anything against

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Speaker 2: the good teams. I'm not saying this is going to

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Speaker 2: be a blowout because the Chiefs don't play those style

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Speaker 2: of games. But I like the Chiefs a lot.

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Speaker 3: Do you think the Chargers of the Packers of the

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Speaker 3: of the AFC in a way.

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Speaker 2: Well, I mean kind of, except the Packers have the

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Speaker 2: Backers do have. They have a lot of law. They

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Speaker 2: have three losses against the best teams they've played, but

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Speaker 2: they've also beaten the Rams. They annihilated the Cardinals. Uh,

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Speaker 2: they beat the Texans, so those you.

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Speaker 3: Know, the Cowboys have been before this year like last year.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a good example. It beat up the bad teams,

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Speaker 2: lose to the good teams.

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Speaker 4: Uh.

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Speaker 2: I think that's a good comp all right. Uh, rap

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Speaker 2: sheets said, it's up in the air. If McConkie plays.

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Speaker 2: If McConkie doesn't play, the Chargers are cooked.

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Speaker 4: But even if he does.

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Speaker 2: Play, I just think you put Trent McDuffie on him

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Speaker 2: and erase him. All right, let's go to the last

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Speaker 2: topic here.

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Speaker 3: So the moment, Seattle and Atlanta lead their divisions, and

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Speaker 3: Cardinals are the second in the West, and the tiers

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Speaker 3: you have the Rams and Bucks had all those teams though,

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Speaker 3: So since I'm not gonna be doing the gambling show today,

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Speaker 3: I want to go ahead and get this in. Let's

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Speaker 3: get it. So would you parlay LA and Tampa Bay

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Speaker 3: to win their divisions at seven to twenty plus seven twenty?

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00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,560
Speaker 4: Yeah? I would. I do think that's what's gonna happen.

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Speaker 2: I think the Rams are gonna run down the Seahawks.

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Speaker 4: And I know earlier in the year I said.

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Speaker 2: Niners Cardinals could be the Sunday Night Football Week eighteen.

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Speaker 4: Game winning you're in.

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Speaker 2: I now amend that, so I think it might be

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Speaker 2: Rams Seahawks Sunday Night Football Week eighteen game winning You're in.

434
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:10,840
Speaker 2: So I think that ten wins can take that division.

435
00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:15,080
Speaker 2: And listen, the Rams schedule the rest of the way

436
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:19,040
Speaker 2: is not easy, but after this week you get a

437
00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:22,080
Speaker 2: bit of a respit. They are home for the Bills,

438
00:28:22,520 --> 00:28:26,400
Speaker 2: then at the Niners, at the Jets, home for the Cardinals,

439
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 2: home for the Seahawks, and the Rams can go four

440
00:28:29,320 --> 00:28:33,800
Speaker 2: to one in that stretch the they have. To my eye,

441
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:37,760
Speaker 2: they've only had one really bad game the last six

442
00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:40,280
Speaker 2: weeks of seven weeks, and that was the Dolphins game.

443
00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:42,920
Speaker 2: I know they got cracked by the Eagles with Eagles

444
00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:46,120
Speaker 2: are an excellent team, and as far as Tampa goes,

445
00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:53,160
Speaker 2: Tampa's schedule is as good as it gets. As far

446
00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:56,600
Speaker 2: as going on a run home for the Raiders, at

447
00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:59,720
Speaker 2: the Chargers tough, then at the Cowboys home for the

448
00:28:59,760 --> 00:29:02,760
Speaker 2: pay Anther's home for the Saints. We all know Atlanta's

449
00:29:02,800 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 2: going in the wrong direction now, Tampa, because they're zero

450
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:09,840
Speaker 2: to two against Atlanta, has to finish with a better

451
00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:12,680
Speaker 2: record than them, but I think they will. So at

452
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:17,280
Speaker 2: plus seven twenty tamp in the Rams to win their divisions. Yeah,

453
00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:19,840
Speaker 2: go ahead and mark me down for that because I

454
00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:23,840
Speaker 2: like that a lot right now, getting seven to one

455
00:29:24,360 --> 00:29:27,280
Speaker 2: when I think that is what's gonna happen. All right,

456
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:30,360
Speaker 2: So here's what we're gonna do. We're gonna take a

457
00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:34,560
Speaker 2: quick break, come back. We have a special guest for

458
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:38,440
Speaker 2: the Gambling Show demands then will be back in to

459
00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:41,080
Speaker 2: do his teaser and to discuss the offer and things

460
00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:41,440
Speaker 2: like that.

461
00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:43,280
Speaker 4: But very quick break.

462
00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:47,200
Speaker 2: Right back as the red Hot Gambling Show eight and two,

463
00:29:47,360 --> 00:29:50,920
Speaker 2: the last two weeks two and zero and teasers just crushing.

464
00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:52,400
Speaker 4: Do that next, What's Right?

465
00:29:57,240 --> 00:29:59,720
Speaker 2: Welcome in What's Right with Nick Right? Episode two eighty

466
00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:07,040
Speaker 2: three and let's just be honest, an uninvited guest. Yeah,

467
00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:11,760
Speaker 2: I mean, here is the full list of guests. If

468
00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:14,000
Speaker 2: people are listening, by the way, and not watching, it's

469
00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:18,120
Speaker 2: Danny Parkins from Breakfast Ball. Full list of guests in

470
00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:24,600
Speaker 2: What's Right History that are not blood relatives or or

471
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:29,000
Speaker 2: you know, through marriage relatives of mine, Lil Wayne once,

472
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:36,560
Speaker 2: that's right, Danny Parkins and Andrew Philippony also uninvited once

473
00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:41,600
Speaker 2: and now Danny Parkins again uninvited for a second time.

474
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:43,680
Speaker 4: I mean, we may as well be family.

475
00:30:43,800 --> 00:30:47,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, but I mean correct you are. You know, it's

476
00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:50,000
Speaker 2: funny you say that, Oh, this is is a much

477
00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:54,800
Speaker 2: like I tell the producers live on the air when

478
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:58,480
Speaker 2: we're gonna take shows off, I'll tell you something live

479
00:30:58,560 --> 00:30:59,080
Speaker 2: on the air.

480
00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:01,520
Speaker 4: Right now, you said, might as well be family.

481
00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:07,440
Speaker 2: I had to do some like a state planning life insurance,

482
00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:10,480
Speaker 2: like the if something were to happen to me, what

483
00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:13,440
Speaker 2: happens or whatever. Yeah, and I put you down as

484
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:16,160
Speaker 2: like you're the executor, just so you know.

485
00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 4: Oh, I don't get I don't get a percentage.

486
00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:22,560
Speaker 2: Well, so here's a funny thing about that. You So

487
00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:29,040
Speaker 2: we actually had to determine can you pay yourself hourly

488
00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:32,000
Speaker 2: or is it a flat rate because the executor is

489
00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:34,760
Speaker 2: entitled to if you don't do that, a percentage of

490
00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 2: what obviously will be a massive estate.

491
00:31:38,040 --> 00:31:38,760
Speaker 4: Yeah.

492
00:31:38,800 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 2: But here is the part of it that is I

493
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:46,640
Speaker 2: think going to either annoy you or make you.

494
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:48,880
Speaker 4: Laugh, probably both.

495
00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:54,880
Speaker 2: Are the second in command executor. You are the executor.

496
00:31:55,040 --> 00:31:58,640
Speaker 2: If something happens to the initial executor, who do you

497
00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 2: think the executor would be in this circumstance?

498
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:07,840
Speaker 4: The person? Is it Deanna if she's over eighteen.

499
00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:10,200
Speaker 2: Can't be any of the kids. It can't be anything

500
00:32:10,240 --> 00:32:12,640
Speaker 2: like that. I'm just gonna tell you right now. It's

501
00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 2: Nicole that annoys Danielle, annoys Danielle's best friend. Wait a minute, Nicole,

502
00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:23,400
Speaker 2: who goes on all our trips with us and Danny's

503
00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:25,360
Speaker 2: yet to be invited on one of these trips, is

504
00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:28,440
Speaker 2: actually the executor. You are the the.

505
00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:31,520
Speaker 4: So if something happens to you and Nicole, yeah, then

506
00:32:31,560 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 4: you're in well so here you're in sneaky Yeah, like

507
00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:38,720
Speaker 4: spin zone for me. If something happens to you, there's

508
00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:41,360
Speaker 4: a decent chance it also happens to Nicole, because she'll

509
00:32:41,400 --> 00:32:44,040
Speaker 4: she'll be with Yeah, exactly, right, that's exactly right.

510
00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:51,120
Speaker 2: But so Danny's here in part because sports media, the

511
00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:55,600
Speaker 2: sports media world has refused to give Danny Parkins his

512
00:32:55,720 --> 00:33:01,360
Speaker 2: flowers for what is objectively year over year, by the way,

513
00:33:02,160 --> 00:33:06,880
Speaker 2: red hot gambling picks. So last season, let's just go

514
00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:10,600
Speaker 2: to last year doing radio on the score in Chicago.

515
00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:16,280
Speaker 4: I started fifteen and oh, he started documented on the

516
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 4: air fifteen and oh against the spread. Yeah, it got

517
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:23,959
Speaker 4: no coverage. It got no coverage, And it was partly

518
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:26,560
Speaker 4: my fault because when I made our social media team

519
00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:29,040
Speaker 4: like string the five week thing together to show it

520
00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:30,680
Speaker 4: to go fifteen and oh, I picked three games a

521
00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:33,680
Speaker 4: week against the spread, I promptly went oh to six

522
00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:36,320
Speaker 4: the over, and over the next two weeks when I

523
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:38,200
Speaker 4: like tried to get a bunch of coverage for it,

524
00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:40,320
Speaker 4: still still finished at like sixty one percent for this.

525
00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:44,479
Speaker 2: So sixty one percent last year, which is exactly where

526
00:33:45,080 --> 00:33:48,080
Speaker 2: my TV picks are this year. So a little more

527
00:33:48,120 --> 00:33:52,520
Speaker 2: background here. Every year I'd been on TV, we were

528
00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:57,239
Speaker 2: profitable against the spread until last year. Last year we

529
00:33:57,280 --> 00:34:00,719
Speaker 2: had our first losing record. This year we're back at

530
00:34:00,760 --> 00:34:04,040
Speaker 2: sixty one percent, which again, the people who listen who

531
00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:08,040
Speaker 2: bet understand this. Anything above fifty two and a half

532
00:34:08,080 --> 00:34:11,360
Speaker 2: percent against the spread is great, you're making money. Anything

533
00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:15,280
Speaker 2: above fifty seven percent, you're among the best in the country.

534
00:34:15,680 --> 00:34:20,440
Speaker 2: Anything above sixty percent is unprecedented the wrong word, but

535
00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:26,719
Speaker 2: it is historically impossible to sustain every year. No one's

536
00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:30,200
Speaker 2: ever done that in the NFL. Danny, what are you this.

537
00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:34,200
Speaker 4: Season twenty seven and fifteen against the spread, which.

538
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:36,240
Speaker 2: Is sixty seven sixty eight percent?

539
00:34:37,320 --> 00:34:39,319
Speaker 4: You bet you're better at mane, I mean twenty seven

540
00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:40,239
Speaker 4: forty two.

541
00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:43,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, so sixty I'm gonna say sixty Producers say my

542
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:44,359
Speaker 2: ear what it is.

543
00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:45,160
Speaker 4: I'm going to go with.

544
00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:48,840
Speaker 2: Sixty seven point three percent is what it is, right,

545
00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 2: But regardless, twenty seven over forty two is only sixty

546
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:53,760
Speaker 2: four percent.

547
00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:56,279
Speaker 4: Oh wow, I wish Oh yeah, of course, yeah, because.

548
00:34:56,040 --> 00:34:59,359
Speaker 2: Twenty eight over twenty eight and fourteen would have been sixty.

549
00:34:59,120 --> 00:35:01,160
Speaker 4: Six point seven. That's right. I did it the other way.

550
00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:04,880
Speaker 4: I gave you sixty nine and fourteen. Regardless, it's great,

551
00:35:05,080 --> 00:35:05,480
Speaker 4: Thank you.

552
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:10,520
Speaker 2: So you wanted to come on here? Are we gonna

553
00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:13,240
Speaker 2: get your picks? Before TV?

554
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:14,759
Speaker 4: Like? How are you doing?

555
00:35:15,360 --> 00:35:15,480
Speaker 2: Well?

556
00:35:15,520 --> 00:35:17,960
Speaker 4: It's your show and I invited myself on. So if

557
00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:19,920
Speaker 4: you want me to give you some picks. I will

558
00:35:20,760 --> 00:35:23,560
Speaker 4: I did not give this one on TV Today. Parkins

559
00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:26,319
Speaker 4: picks nine thirty Fridays on Breakfast Ball. Got a very

560
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 4: special thing planned for the picks tomorrow, so I don't

561
00:35:28,680 --> 00:35:30,719
Speaker 4: want to give all of them away, but I will

562
00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:33,400
Speaker 4: say this. I didn't make it an official pick on

563
00:35:33,560 --> 00:35:37,880
Speaker 4: the air, but I have bet it Green Bay tonight,

564
00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:40,680
Speaker 4: so that I like Green Bay Tonight a lot.

565
00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:44,400
Speaker 2: So we're gonna discuss that in just a moment. Okay, First,

566
00:35:44,760 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 2: let me just quickly for the audience recap last week,

567
00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:51,280
Speaker 2: because on this show we do five last week, four

568
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:55,879
Speaker 2: and one a one horrible miss, the others pretty care free.

569
00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:57,480
Speaker 2: I don't know if we can put up the graphic

570
00:35:57,600 --> 00:36:00,000
Speaker 2: or not. If not, I'll just tell it to you.

571
00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:03,640
Speaker 2: Chicago getting nine and a half against Detroit. That wasn't

572
00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:06,160
Speaker 2: care free in the first half. It ended up being carefree.

573
00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:10,160
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh getting three against Cincinnati. They went out right the

574
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:15,280
Speaker 2: Chargers minus won against the Falcons that actually, to be honest,

575
00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:18,480
Speaker 2: was probably the worst pick of them all. The Chargers

576
00:36:18,480 --> 00:36:22,160
Speaker 2: had no business winning that game, but Kirk Cousins was

577
00:36:22,320 --> 00:36:25,319
Speaker 2: just dead set on the Falcons losing that game. The

578
00:36:25,480 --> 00:36:28,560
Speaker 2: Rams minus two and a half against New Orleans. I

579
00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:30,480
Speaker 2: gotta tell you, I don't remember any part of that

580
00:36:30,520 --> 00:36:33,759
Speaker 2: football game, but I know it covered. And then Tennessee

581
00:36:34,239 --> 00:36:38,560
Speaker 2: plus six against Washington. They were promptly down twenty eight

582
00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:40,960
Speaker 2: to nothing, and that pick was dead. But four and

583
00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:44,280
Speaker 2: one on the year gets us on this show thirty

584
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:47,920
Speaker 2: four to thirty and one overall. All right, my first

585
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:51,600
Speaker 2: pick of the week is green Bay getting three and

586
00:36:51,600 --> 00:36:52,600
Speaker 2: a half of Detroit.

587
00:36:52,680 --> 00:36:54,520
Speaker 4: Okay, we did not talk about this ahead of time,

588
00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:55,240
Speaker 4: so go ahead.

589
00:36:55,480 --> 00:37:01,360
Speaker 2: My rationale is multi layered. One is I said this earlier.

590
00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:02,919
Speaker 2: I don't know if you guys talked on the show

591
00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:05,880
Speaker 2: this morning. This should be one of the best Thursday

592
00:37:05,960 --> 00:37:09,680
Speaker 2: night games ever because not only is it two excellent

593
00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:14,480
Speaker 2: teams with real stakes, both on full rest. Usually Thursday

594
00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:17,800
Speaker 2: night games, you know, teams are more banged up than usual,

595
00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:22,920
Speaker 2: or get more banged up. With that said, the previous Thursday,

596
00:37:22,960 --> 00:37:26,880
Speaker 2: Detroit got all banged up, and I think the cluster

597
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:30,760
Speaker 2: of injuries along the defensive line. I also think Green

598
00:37:30,840 --> 00:37:36,040
Speaker 2: Bay understands kind of a rubber meets the road moment.

599
00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:39,560
Speaker 2: They are zero to three against the three teams ahead

600
00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:43,000
Speaker 2: of them in the Conference, Minnesota, Philly and Detroit. This

601
00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:45,800
Speaker 2: is you know, they'll get one more shot against Minnesota

602
00:37:45,840 --> 00:37:49,600
Speaker 2: and obviously this shot against Detroit. If they win tonight, Danny,

603
00:37:50,360 --> 00:37:54,359
Speaker 2: they are definitively alive for the division. I don't think

604
00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:58,280
Speaker 2: it's likely, but if they win the Detroit and Minnesota

605
00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:00,359
Speaker 2: at two losses, they'll be at three and they have

606
00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:03,680
Speaker 2: would have split with Detroit. They have Minnesota again later

607
00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:10,480
Speaker 2: in the year. I think that Detroit has looked shakier

608
00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:14,120
Speaker 2: the last few weeks. I still think they're an excellent team,

609
00:38:14,440 --> 00:38:16,399
Speaker 2: but it's hard to win ten in a row. It's

610
00:38:16,400 --> 00:38:18,200
Speaker 2: hard to win eleven in a row in this league.

611
00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:22,640
Speaker 2: I certainly like getting three and the hook. So we're

612
00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:24,560
Speaker 2: on the same page of this game. You go ahead

613
00:38:24,560 --> 00:38:25,759
Speaker 2: on your rationale on it.

614
00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 4: So first of all, when they played in Week nine,

615
00:38:29,840 --> 00:38:33,080
Speaker 4: the game was a lot closer than the score indicated.

616
00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:35,880
Speaker 4: Green Bay had over four hundred yards of offense. Detroit

617
00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:36,759
Speaker 4: had less than three.

618
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:40,480
Speaker 2: This is the other thing people don't know about. Danny

619
00:38:40,560 --> 00:38:45,080
Speaker 2: doesn't love things about the NFL. Danny doesn't trust.

620
00:38:45,480 --> 00:38:48,760
Speaker 4: Your record or or I watch the games.

621
00:38:49,080 --> 00:38:53,920
Speaker 2: Even within a game, who won or lost, who had

622
00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:55,719
Speaker 2: more yards per play.

623
00:38:55,600 --> 00:38:58,280
Speaker 4: I've seen the NFL very clearly. I watched the games,

624
00:38:58,680 --> 00:39:00,399
Speaker 4: and that was a game. It was a game in

625
00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:04,840
Speaker 4: the rain. Weird things happened. Jordan Love threw a terrible

626
00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:07,479
Speaker 4: pick six, and you'd say, well, Jordan Love throws interceptions. Fine,

627
00:39:07,520 --> 00:39:11,319
Speaker 4: that was a gift wrapped pick six to Detroit. Could

628
00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:13,920
Speaker 4: not have made it any easier for him. Then wis

629
00:39:14,640 --> 00:39:17,439
Speaker 4: wide open in the end zone, nine yard pass, puts

630
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:20,160
Speaker 4: it right on his hands, he drops it, fourth and one.

631
00:39:20,200 --> 00:39:21,880
Speaker 4: They then go for it instead of kicking a field

632
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:24,520
Speaker 4: goal because they had been down by multiple scores, end

633
00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:27,600
Speaker 4: up coming out of that possession with zero points. I

634
00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:30,600
Speaker 4: thought that Green Bay absolutely not, maybe not could have

635
00:39:30,640 --> 00:39:32,759
Speaker 4: won the game, but should have played that game a

636
00:39:32,760 --> 00:39:34,239
Speaker 4: lot closer than they did.

637
00:39:34,400 --> 00:39:36,800
Speaker 2: If people don't remember the game. Just to be clear,

638
00:39:37,080 --> 00:39:40,400
Speaker 2: I'm glad Danny didn't say they could have won down

639
00:39:40,520 --> 00:39:42,919
Speaker 2: twenty four to three, I know, with a minute left

640
00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:45,279
Speaker 2: in the third, but I actually understand. And the pick

641
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:47,839
Speaker 2: six before the half. The game was seven to three

642
00:39:47,960 --> 00:39:50,240
Speaker 2: with a minute left in the first half. Correct Detroit

643
00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:53,120
Speaker 2: field goal, then pick six at seventeen to three, off

644
00:39:53,120 --> 00:39:53,440
Speaker 2: to the race.

645
00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:57,760
Speaker 4: It escalated and also out of that game. The Packers

646
00:39:57,760 --> 00:40:01,520
Speaker 4: have leaned in more to Josh Jacobs. He's second in

647
00:40:01,520 --> 00:40:05,560
Speaker 4: the NFL in touches since that game, only behind Saquon Barkley.

648
00:40:05,880 --> 00:40:09,280
Speaker 4: He's got five touchdowns in the last three games since then.

649
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:11,960
Speaker 4: Jordan Love has no turnovers in the last two games.

650
00:40:12,320 --> 00:40:16,680
Speaker 4: And you mentioned Detroit's injuries they now have. I believe

651
00:40:16,680 --> 00:40:21,680
Speaker 4: it's thirteen defensive players on IR and just from the

652
00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:25,440
Speaker 4: game against the Bears last week, two more defensive linemen

653
00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:28,279
Speaker 4: out not on IR, but they've been ruled out for

654
00:40:28,719 --> 00:40:32,520
Speaker 4: tonight's game, so it's just Detroit. I look at this

655
00:40:32,520 --> 00:40:34,359
Speaker 4: as kind of like a San Francisco thing. I think

656
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:37,040
Speaker 4: that they've just reached a breaking point with their defense.

657
00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:39,799
Speaker 4: It'll be in a dome. Their offense is amazing. They're

658
00:40:39,800 --> 00:40:41,600
Speaker 4: gonna score a lot of points. This will be way more.

659
00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:42,960
Speaker 4: I think there'll be way more points to the night

660
00:40:43,040 --> 00:40:45,439
Speaker 4: than twenty four to fourteen. But you give me three

661
00:40:45,480 --> 00:40:47,920
Speaker 4: in the hook and how green Bay has relied on

662
00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:50,239
Speaker 4: the running game and what Detroit now doesn't have in

663
00:40:50,280 --> 00:40:53,719
Speaker 4: their front seven, I think the matchup absolutely gives this

664
00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:54,759
Speaker 4: one to green Bay.

665
00:40:54,880 --> 00:40:57,880
Speaker 2: So I agree with the vast majority that I also

666
00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:00,359
Speaker 2: like green Bay was a little distracted by what are

667
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:01,919
Speaker 2: you doing with your thumbs and your shirt?

668
00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:04,640
Speaker 4: I don't know. I gotta I thought it was.

669
00:41:04,960 --> 00:41:06,799
Speaker 2: I gotta tell you. At first, I was like, wait,

670
00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:10,880
Speaker 2: because some shirts have a little like situation. Yeah, but

671
00:41:10,880 --> 00:41:12,160
Speaker 2: that's not what the shirt's made for.

672
00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:12,840
Speaker 4: I just saw it.

673
00:41:12,880 --> 00:41:15,160
Speaker 2: I saw I was gonna wear that jacket.

674
00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:17,239
Speaker 4: I didn't want to. I didn't want to match it.

675
00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:18,440
Speaker 4: I'm sorry.

676
00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:23,760
Speaker 2: I'm gonna give you you what are your first weeks

677
00:41:23,800 --> 00:41:26,520
Speaker 2: on the air. You gave a pick. I don't remember

678
00:41:26,560 --> 00:41:29,640
Speaker 2: what it was. And Craig said something super funny that

679
00:41:29,719 --> 00:41:31,520
Speaker 2: made me smile, where he's.

680
00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:34,879
Speaker 4: Like, you love these grimy games? Oh yeah?

681
00:41:35,040 --> 00:41:40,080
Speaker 2: And that you where you are better than me is

682
00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:44,400
Speaker 2: sometimes I'm like, man, I have a feel in this game,

683
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:47,200
Speaker 2: but I don't want to watch a second of it.

684
00:41:47,640 --> 00:41:49,439
Speaker 2: So I don't want to bet it because I don't

685
00:41:49,440 --> 00:41:54,400
Speaker 2: want to be invested in this game checks those boxes.

686
00:41:54,840 --> 00:41:57,280
Speaker 2: But it's a local game, so I'll have no choice

687
00:41:57,320 --> 00:41:59,360
Speaker 2: but to have it on one of the TVs, so

688
00:41:59,440 --> 00:42:04,680
Speaker 2: I don't mind. I love the Giants getting four and

689
00:42:04,719 --> 00:42:07,760
Speaker 2: a half at home against New Orleans.

690
00:42:07,920 --> 00:42:11,799
Speaker 4: So go ahead.

691
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:15,440
Speaker 2: The Saints without Taysom Hill can't move the football.

692
00:42:16,600 --> 00:42:18,719
Speaker 4: What what are you laughing about? You were like the

693
00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:21,120
Speaker 4: biggest anti Taysom Hill guy in the world, and now

694
00:42:21,160 --> 00:42:24,160
Speaker 4: he's like a oh no, no, go ahead.

695
00:42:24,320 --> 00:42:30,120
Speaker 2: I much like many of my seemingly controversial opinions, upon

696
00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:34,600
Speaker 2: a level deeper inspection, realize, oh, not only was that

697
00:42:34,719 --> 00:42:38,439
Speaker 2: not controversial, it was one hundred percent correct. Taysom Hill

698
00:42:38,880 --> 00:42:42,960
Speaker 2: as a gadget guy is awesome. Taysom Hill.

699
00:42:43,000 --> 00:42:44,040
Speaker 4: When Sean Payton was.

700
00:42:43,960 --> 00:42:47,319
Speaker 2: Like, he is our next quarterback and we're gonna pay

701
00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:52,840
Speaker 2: him eighteen million dollars a year was an absurdity. But

702
00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:57,400
Speaker 2: for the Saints this year weren't using him like that.

703
00:42:57,719 --> 00:43:00,960
Speaker 2: They were using him as a running back, widers, h back,

704
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:04,600
Speaker 2: tight end his destiny and by the way, his career

705
00:43:04,680 --> 00:43:10,440
Speaker 2: might be over. He's yeah, it's he's thirty five coming out.

706
00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:12,160
Speaker 2: He's older than people think.

707
00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:14,719
Speaker 4: What quarterback are you comfortable betting on here in this game?

708
00:43:14,920 --> 00:43:17,240
Speaker 2: I don't I don't even know who's playing for the Giants.

709
00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:21,480
Speaker 4: I assume it's thru Lot, but I don't care.

710
00:43:21,480 --> 00:43:26,000
Speaker 2: I'm getting four and a half points. Derek Carr has

711
00:43:26,040 --> 00:43:29,759
Speaker 2: played sixteen games in his career as a road favorite.

712
00:43:30,040 --> 00:43:32,359
Speaker 2: What do you think his record against the spread.

713
00:43:32,120 --> 00:43:38,759
Speaker 4: Is oh, it'sday sixteen games three and thirteen, one, fourteen

714
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:39,600
Speaker 4: and one. Wow.

715
00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:44,560
Speaker 2: The only win was indoor back indoors in a dome.

716
00:43:45,200 --> 00:43:49,960
Speaker 2: This game's obviously in New York in December. Derek Carrs

717
00:43:50,040 --> 00:43:53,080
Speaker 2: thirty six percent against spread is a favorite for his career.

718
00:43:53,120 --> 00:43:56,040
Speaker 2: That's the worst of any quarterback the last twenty years.

719
00:43:56,440 --> 00:43:59,160
Speaker 4: Uh, and I.

720
00:43:58,960 --> 00:44:01,839
Speaker 2: The Giants arenw the Giants have. I know you don't

721
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:05,160
Speaker 2: like the trend stuff. I like, no, but you care

722
00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:08,000
Speaker 2: about like when it's tell me if I'm wrong. I

723
00:44:08,040 --> 00:44:10,520
Speaker 2: don't want to put words in your mouth. You really

724
00:44:10,560 --> 00:44:14,959
Speaker 2: don't like trends when it's like this team on this day.

725
00:44:15,120 --> 00:44:18,160
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, well that's complete nonsense, or even like this

726
00:44:18,360 --> 00:44:22,040
Speaker 2: team versus this team for the last twenty years. Also,

727
00:44:23,120 --> 00:44:27,279
Speaker 2: but when it's specific to a player Carr, I think

728
00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:28,719
Speaker 2: that is somewhat instructive.

729
00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:31,880
Speaker 4: I agree. You know, I'm interested in like the Dolphins

730
00:44:31,880 --> 00:44:34,800
Speaker 4: and the cold type of trends. I'm interested in Josh

731
00:44:34,840 --> 00:44:37,600
Speaker 4: Allen against the Dolphins. Yeah. Sure.

732
00:44:37,640 --> 00:44:41,760
Speaker 2: The Giants not only have lost their last seven games,

733
00:44:42,280 --> 00:44:45,600
Speaker 2: they have not covered their last seven. The reason I'm

734
00:44:45,640 --> 00:44:48,800
Speaker 2: saying that when I'm betting the Giants is I feel

735
00:44:48,840 --> 00:44:52,600
Speaker 2: like they are at some point like they're gonna get

736
00:44:52,640 --> 00:44:56,880
Speaker 2: extra points half point every week the market correct, market

737
00:44:56,920 --> 00:45:01,760
Speaker 2: over correction. So I just think the Giants, Honest to God,

738
00:45:03,480 --> 00:45:05,439
Speaker 2: when I was doing my own little in my head

739
00:45:05,520 --> 00:45:08,000
Speaker 2: guess the lines on this love it, I thought this

740
00:45:08,080 --> 00:45:09,839
Speaker 2: would be the Giants minus one.

741
00:45:11,000 --> 00:45:12,600
Speaker 4: Oh wow, Okay.

742
00:45:12,680 --> 00:45:16,000
Speaker 2: I think the Saints in this spot with no tastem

743
00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:22,400
Speaker 2: outdoors in New York are like the Saints should not

744
00:45:22,520 --> 00:45:25,239
Speaker 2: be a four and a half point road favored over anybody.

745
00:45:25,280 --> 00:45:29,040
Speaker 4: No, that that's totally fair. I this game is very,

746
00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:31,920
Speaker 4: very grimy. I the Giants have some quid in them

747
00:45:31,920 --> 00:45:34,640
Speaker 4: though they've they've had some quid in them.

748
00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:38,120
Speaker 2: They've dealt with their own injuries, That's what I'm saying.

749
00:45:38,160 --> 00:45:40,560
Speaker 4: So like they are to me, they are just blowout

750
00:45:40,560 --> 00:45:43,320
Speaker 4: potential every week, like if they if they get down

751
00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:47,640
Speaker 4: ten early, we were positive. This team's not just folding

752
00:45:47,760 --> 00:45:50,120
Speaker 4: up and going home and get and getting out of there.

753
00:45:50,280 --> 00:45:53,120
Speaker 4: So they to me there that's why it's scary to

754
00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:55,080
Speaker 4: love them in any spot. So that's fair.

755
00:45:55,280 --> 00:45:57,439
Speaker 2: I just think getting four and a half I got

756
00:45:57,480 --> 00:46:00,160
Speaker 2: you right now. I the is a spot. I like

757
00:46:00,160 --> 00:46:02,960
Speaker 2: what I so I'm gonna I'm gonna go through my

758
00:46:03,160 --> 00:46:07,640
Speaker 2: five and see if we have any overlapper object you know,

759
00:46:07,880 --> 00:46:10,640
Speaker 2: or counter, and then we can get into more of yours. Okay,

760
00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:12,759
Speaker 2: all right, this is.

761
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:13,759
Speaker 4: A Grimyer game.

762
00:46:15,719 --> 00:46:19,640
Speaker 2: Okay, there's one game on the slate, and I'm eating

763
00:46:19,680 --> 00:46:26,160
Speaker 2: the points. I'm laying three and a half points with

764
00:46:26,200 --> 00:46:28,200
Speaker 2: Will Levis and the Tennessee Titans.

765
00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:31,200
Speaker 4: You're going back to the well with Tennessee. Right, you

766
00:46:31,280 --> 00:46:34,960
Speaker 4: had last week was undeterred.

767
00:46:35,200 --> 00:46:38,480
Speaker 2: They are at home against a mac Jones led Jackson.

768
00:46:38,640 --> 00:46:41,439
Speaker 4: This is an anti mac Jones agenda for you, one

769
00:46:41,480 --> 00:46:44,759
Speaker 4: thousand percent. Okay, he looked, Okay, last week he did

770
00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:45,279
Speaker 4: he look.

771
00:46:45,560 --> 00:46:50,120
Speaker 2: So here's so I have a controversial theory.

772
00:46:52,239 --> 00:46:55,640
Speaker 4: Andy Reid off of Bye, Yeah, unbelievable. Right, yeah, of

773
00:46:55,719 --> 00:46:57,920
Speaker 4: course that's a trying I put wad into. Of course,

774
00:46:58,880 --> 00:46:59,640
Speaker 4: great coach.

775
00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:08,120
Speaker 2: More time, the worse you are, the better you are.

776
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:09,200
Speaker 4: We all agree.

777
00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:11,200
Speaker 2: The more time you have to prepare the better.

778
00:47:12,280 --> 00:47:14,440
Speaker 4: The worse you are the last time you have to

779
00:47:14,440 --> 00:47:17,640
Speaker 4: prepare the better. Right, So mac Jones didn't even think

780
00:47:17,680 --> 00:47:18,160
Speaker 4: it was playing.

781
00:47:20,239 --> 00:47:22,960
Speaker 2: Anybody gets thrown in the game, sure, and all of

782
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:27,239
Speaker 2: a sudden he's okay, all week. Mac Jones is like,

783
00:47:27,280 --> 00:47:29,680
Speaker 2: this is gonna be my this is my last chance

784
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:32,440
Speaker 2: to prove I can be a starting quarterback. Yeah, game

785
00:47:32,560 --> 00:47:36,800
Speaker 2: playing tailored for me. I'm playing the Titans. He's gonna

786
00:47:36,800 --> 00:47:39,360
Speaker 2: be horrible, just horrible.

787
00:47:40,040 --> 00:47:43,880
Speaker 4: And so you bet your own narratives a little bit

788
00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:44,520
Speaker 4: more than I do.

789
00:47:45,719 --> 00:47:51,120
Speaker 2: He's five and seventeen against the spread as an underdog

790
00:47:51,560 --> 00:47:56,960
Speaker 2: in his career, getting points five and seventeen against the spread.

791
00:47:57,320 --> 00:48:00,760
Speaker 2: I I think the Jags talk about it, that's gonna

792
00:48:00,760 --> 00:48:04,440
Speaker 2: have given up. The Titans had shown prior to that

793
00:48:04,600 --> 00:48:08,840
Speaker 2: Washington game. They had shown some fight lately, and even

794
00:48:08,920 --> 00:48:12,759
Speaker 2: in that Washington game, down twenty eight nothing, all of

795
00:48:12,760 --> 00:48:15,279
Speaker 2: a sudden it was like, oh they they didn't roll over.

796
00:48:15,360 --> 00:48:17,319
Speaker 2: It ended up forty two to nineteen. What did they

797
00:48:17,360 --> 00:48:19,840
Speaker 2: get it to? At one point they got it to

798
00:48:20,000 --> 00:48:22,480
Speaker 2: twenty eight to thirteen, So, I mean, not a huge thing,

799
00:48:22,520 --> 00:48:25,680
Speaker 2: but they but they didn't just flat out quit. I

800
00:48:25,719 --> 00:48:30,200
Speaker 2: ain't that Obviously, Levis is trying to prove who he is.

801
00:48:30,239 --> 00:48:32,520
Speaker 2: The coach is trying to prove who he is. Everyone

802
00:48:32,520 --> 00:48:34,120
Speaker 2: in Jacksonville knows it's over right.

803
00:48:34,160 --> 00:48:36,680
Speaker 4: You should not be quitting on a new coach in

804
00:48:37,120 --> 00:48:40,200
Speaker 4: year one in Tennessee. That that I completely agree with.

805
00:48:40,400 --> 00:48:44,240
Speaker 4: I'm just gonna ask you this, if we were gonna

806
00:48:44,239 --> 00:48:46,640
Speaker 4: do a montage of the ten worst plays in the

807
00:48:46,719 --> 00:48:48,359
Speaker 4: NFL this year, how many of them do you think

808
00:48:48,360 --> 00:48:52,080
Speaker 4: are populated by will Levis Sorrey? Okay, all right, there's

809
00:48:52,120 --> 00:48:52,880
Speaker 4: no doubt about it.

810
00:48:53,160 --> 00:48:57,680
Speaker 2: Uh, he hasn't had as many lately, a lot early,

811
00:48:57,800 --> 00:49:00,480
Speaker 2: that's true. And I don't like Levis, and they certainly

812
00:49:00,520 --> 00:49:05,040
Speaker 2: don't like laying three and a half. But I how

813
00:49:05,080 --> 00:49:08,800
Speaker 2: many more opportunities in our life are we going to

814
00:49:09,080 --> 00:49:13,319
Speaker 2: have a chance to bet against mac Jones and we're

815
00:49:13,400 --> 00:49:14,920
Speaker 2: laying less than a touchdown?

816
00:49:15,360 --> 00:49:17,560
Speaker 4: Not many? No, it's gonna be the last one. Yeah,

817
00:49:19,080 --> 00:49:20,160
Speaker 4: it's gonna be the last one.

818
00:49:20,480 --> 00:49:24,160
Speaker 2: All right, Now to two great games after those grimmy games.

819
00:49:24,200 --> 00:49:24,839
Speaker 4: Okay, here we go.

820
00:49:27,600 --> 00:49:30,680
Speaker 2: I think the Rams are gonna beat the Bills. I

821
00:49:30,920 --> 00:49:34,799
Speaker 2: certainly liked them getting four and a half. This is

822
00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:39,480
Speaker 2: such a massive spot for the Rams. Remember the last

823
00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:43,360
Speaker 2: time they played Buffalo, they were the defending Super Bowl champions.

824
00:49:43,360 --> 00:49:44,560
Speaker 4: It was Week one and.

825
00:49:44,480 --> 00:49:47,760
Speaker 2: Buffalo annihilated them in that game to kind of announce

826
00:49:47,840 --> 00:49:49,560
Speaker 2: themselves that season.

827
00:49:49,960 --> 00:49:50,920
Speaker 4: That was the Bills.

828
00:49:51,520 --> 00:49:54,719
Speaker 2: The first game after the thirteen seconds game. Yeah, and

829
00:49:54,800 --> 00:49:59,960
Speaker 2: it was the The Rams defense is better than people

830
00:50:00,440 --> 00:50:03,480
Speaker 2: think it is. That Jared Versu has been awesome. That

831
00:50:03,560 --> 00:50:06,799
Speaker 2: was one of my best preseason picks was Jared Verse

832
00:50:06,840 --> 00:50:08,080
Speaker 2: for Defensive Player of the Year.

833
00:50:10,600 --> 00:50:14,120
Speaker 4: This feels to me like a twenty seven.

834
00:50:13,880 --> 00:50:17,240
Speaker 2: To twenty four game in either direction. So I'm getting

835
00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:20,600
Speaker 2: four and a half points for a Rams team. They

836
00:50:20,640 --> 00:50:22,920
Speaker 2: don't have to have it, but if they lose it,

837
00:50:22,920 --> 00:50:24,960
Speaker 2: they do have to run the table. Like so the

838
00:50:25,080 --> 00:50:28,080
Speaker 2: Rams got five games left, They've got to go four

839
00:50:28,080 --> 00:50:34,400
Speaker 2: and one if they're gonna win that division. Buffalo needs

840
00:50:34,480 --> 00:50:38,160
Speaker 2: this game for one seed reasons. Yeah, doesn't need it

841
00:50:38,200 --> 00:50:42,439
Speaker 2: at all for any other reason. And Buffalo also has

842
00:50:42,640 --> 00:50:46,400
Speaker 2: Detroit the following week. So there's a bunch of factors

843
00:50:46,440 --> 00:50:52,160
Speaker 2: where I would just be surprised if the Bills, pardon me,

844
00:50:52,719 --> 00:50:53,960
Speaker 2: blow out the Rams.

845
00:50:54,440 --> 00:50:54,839
Speaker 4: I liked.

846
00:50:55,000 --> 00:50:57,680
Speaker 2: I think the Rams can win out right. I certainly

847
00:50:57,680 --> 00:50:59,320
Speaker 2: love them getting a full four and a half.

848
00:51:00,160 --> 00:51:02,880
Speaker 4: I did not lay the points in this spot. You know,

849
00:51:02,920 --> 00:51:05,240
Speaker 4: I think Josh Allen is the second best player in football,

850
00:51:05,239 --> 00:51:09,480
Speaker 4: and I picked him for MVP before the year. Did

851
00:51:09,520 --> 00:51:12,239
Speaker 4: you have versus defensive Rookie of the year Defensive Player

852
00:51:12,239 --> 00:51:15,080
Speaker 4: of the Year. Did I say said player, Yeah, no,

853
00:51:15,800 --> 00:51:17,600
Speaker 4: Rookie of the Year. I thought he's not going to

854
00:51:17,680 --> 00:51:21,319
Speaker 4: win defensive player. I was curious because there weren't that

855
00:51:21,360 --> 00:51:23,920
Speaker 4: many high defensive draft picks for rookie, so he was

856
00:51:23,920 --> 00:51:25,799
Speaker 4: one of the favorites. But yeah, he does look like

857
00:51:25,800 --> 00:51:29,879
Speaker 4: he's got star potential. Uh for the Rams. You guys

858
00:51:29,880 --> 00:51:30,440
Speaker 4: see what he did.

859
00:51:30,440 --> 00:51:32,040
Speaker 2: They're trying to just kind of throw a little water

860
00:51:32,120 --> 00:51:34,960
Speaker 2: on my defensive Rookie the Year. It wasn't You don't

861
00:51:34,960 --> 00:51:36,640
Speaker 2: have to be a high draft pick to win Defensive

862
00:51:36,680 --> 00:51:37,160
Speaker 2: Rookie of the Year.

863
00:51:37,360 --> 00:51:38,920
Speaker 4: Wasn't a second. I think he was the second year,

864
00:51:38,960 --> 00:51:40,279
Speaker 4: like one of my best picks. He was like the

865
00:51:40,280 --> 00:51:40,880
Speaker 4: second favorite.

866
00:51:40,880 --> 00:51:42,920
Speaker 2: I think he was probably like plus six hundred. I

867
00:51:42,960 --> 00:51:44,920
Speaker 2: think that's like a good bet. I think, you know what,

868
00:51:44,960 --> 00:51:46,440
Speaker 2: I think his.

869
00:51:46,520 --> 00:51:49,799
Speaker 4: Second favorite someone. I think six to one is a

870
00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:52,440
Speaker 4: is a good winning bet. Congratulations and all your success.

871
00:51:53,360 --> 00:51:56,960
Speaker 4: I think the Rams are good. I think Buffalo is

872
00:51:57,000 --> 00:52:00,520
Speaker 4: potentially great, and I don't buy at all game or

873
00:52:00,600 --> 00:52:03,560
Speaker 4: letdown spot because I do think they're playing for the

874
00:52:03,600 --> 00:52:07,759
Speaker 4: one seed and if they lose, Pittsburgh could jump them

875
00:52:07,800 --> 00:52:09,879
Speaker 4: for the two seed. I do think they would want

876
00:52:09,920 --> 00:52:14,640
Speaker 4: to avoid Baltimore, who blew them out earlier in the season, Buffalo, How.

877
00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:17,000
Speaker 2: What do you mean avoid Baltimore though in the playoffs?

878
00:52:17,080 --> 00:52:18,560
Speaker 4: For see, I guess I don't.

879
00:52:18,920 --> 00:52:26,360
Speaker 2: So here's so because there's not buy for this two seedy.

880
00:52:26,640 --> 00:52:29,920
Speaker 2: I don't think there's a huge difference between the two

881
00:52:30,000 --> 00:52:34,359
Speaker 2: and the three. And I would agree with you if

882
00:52:34,400 --> 00:52:38,640
Speaker 2: we knew, oh, this dog team is going to be

883
00:52:38,680 --> 00:52:42,720
Speaker 2: the seventh seed, you might get Baltimore if you're the two.

884
00:52:42,680 --> 00:52:44,600
Speaker 4: Or the three. Yeah, for sure.

885
00:52:44,800 --> 00:52:47,680
Speaker 2: I mean, like we have no way of Chargers, Ravens,

886
00:52:48,040 --> 00:52:52,640
Speaker 2: Broncos five six seven six five, Like we have no idea,

887
00:52:52,640 --> 00:52:53,480
Speaker 2: but go ahead.

888
00:52:53,800 --> 00:52:55,600
Speaker 4: How do you feel about the idea of like they're

889
00:52:55,600 --> 00:52:57,759
Speaker 4: gonna play for Josh Allen to be MVP, and a

890
00:52:57,760 --> 00:52:59,960
Speaker 4: big piece of that is if they get to fourteen

891
00:53:00,200 --> 00:53:04,080
Speaker 4: three or thirteen and four, that is massively significant for

892
00:53:04,200 --> 00:53:07,160
Speaker 4: him to win MVPA. Oh I listen, I just don't

893
00:53:07,160 --> 00:53:08,840
Speaker 4: expect letdown spots from this team.

894
00:53:09,640 --> 00:53:15,960
Speaker 2: I so I don't necessarily expect letdown spots.

895
00:53:15,920 --> 00:53:18,239
Speaker 4: Because I've seen that this week that like they were

896
00:53:18,239 --> 00:53:20,239
Speaker 4: it was the snow it was National TV against the

897
00:53:20,320 --> 00:53:22,319
Speaker 4: Niners and the next week is their game against the Lions,

898
00:53:22,320 --> 00:53:25,320
Speaker 4: which could be a Super Bowl preview flying across the country.

899
00:53:25,640 --> 00:53:27,160
Speaker 4: I just don't think that when you put the film

900
00:53:27,200 --> 00:53:30,440
Speaker 4: on and you see Matt Stafford, No, you letdown.

901
00:53:30,640 --> 00:53:33,239
Speaker 2: It's not so much a letdown spot as much as

902
00:53:34,320 --> 00:53:36,400
Speaker 2: it's hard to play excellent every week.

903
00:53:36,520 --> 00:53:37,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know what I like.

904
00:53:37,520 --> 00:53:40,920
Speaker 2: And the Bills have what They've won seven straight that

905
00:53:41,160 --> 00:53:44,959
Speaker 2: they play. They won their biggest game of the season.

906
00:53:44,640 --> 00:53:45,399
Speaker 4: Two weeks ago.

907
00:53:45,600 --> 00:53:48,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, they looked awesome and they you know, they are

908
00:53:48,320 --> 00:53:50,800
Speaker 2: the toast of the NFL town this week.

909
00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:54,160
Speaker 4: You love fading teams that become the toast of the

910
00:53:54,280 --> 00:53:56,800
Speaker 4: NFL whenever that team is not the Chiefs.

911
00:53:57,080 --> 00:53:59,680
Speaker 2: Well, but by the way, the Chiefs don't cover when

912
00:53:59,719 --> 00:54:00,239
Speaker 2: they're No.

913
00:54:00,200 --> 00:54:02,880
Speaker 4: I get it. I think I'm saying. I think it's informed.

914
00:54:03,000 --> 00:54:07,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I I just think that too often

915
00:54:08,280 --> 00:54:13,200
Speaker 2: little Chiefs conversation for a moment. And this is the penalty,

916
00:54:13,360 --> 00:54:17,480
Speaker 2: if you will, of being the dynasty. The Chiefs are

917
00:54:18,000 --> 00:54:24,920
Speaker 2: discussed under the context of their worst or their potential issues.

918
00:54:25,520 --> 00:54:28,400
Speaker 2: Every other team competing with them to be the best

919
00:54:29,239 --> 00:54:32,920
Speaker 2: is only discussed under the context of their what they

920
00:54:32,960 --> 00:54:33,399
Speaker 2: do well.

921
00:54:33,680 --> 00:54:35,640
Speaker 4: This was the thing with Baltimore.

922
00:54:36,000 --> 00:54:39,080
Speaker 2: Baltimore finally lost enough games people were like, Okay, maybe

923
00:54:39,080 --> 00:54:44,040
Speaker 2: they're not a juggernaut. The Lions, there wasn't a mumbling

924
00:54:44,080 --> 00:54:48,400
Speaker 2: word spent this week about they really almost blew that

925
00:54:48,480 --> 00:54:51,960
Speaker 2: Bears game, Like nobody has been like what happened to

926
00:54:52,000 --> 00:54:52,839
Speaker 2: the Lions.

927
00:54:52,480 --> 00:54:54,640
Speaker 4: In the second half of that game. It took such

928
00:54:54,640 --> 00:54:56,640
Speaker 4: a catastrophic collapse by the.

929
00:54:56,600 --> 00:55:00,719
Speaker 2: Other team that they had to fire their car oh

930
00:55:01,040 --> 00:55:04,800
Speaker 2: midseason for the first time ever. Yeah, and if that

931
00:55:04,920 --> 00:55:07,680
Speaker 2: were the Chiefs in that spot, the narrative would have been,

932
00:55:08,680 --> 00:55:11,960
Speaker 2: if Eberflus knows what he's doing, the Chiefs lose as

933
00:55:12,040 --> 00:55:14,520
Speaker 2: opposed to kick a field goal to force overtime. So

934
00:55:14,600 --> 00:55:18,359
Speaker 2: that's the So the Bills. The Bills are the team

935
00:55:18,400 --> 00:55:22,000
Speaker 2: to beat the Chiefs. They are also the team that

936
00:55:22,160 --> 00:55:25,000
Speaker 2: needed a sixty one yard field goal to beat the

937
00:55:25,040 --> 00:55:27,160
Speaker 2: Dolphins a few weeks ago, you know what I mean,

938
00:55:27,200 --> 00:55:30,800
Speaker 2: Like they are all So I just think I think

939
00:55:30,960 --> 00:55:36,680
Speaker 2: that if I were giving Madden ratings to teams, I

940
00:55:36,719 --> 00:55:41,320
Speaker 2: think that Buffalo is a ninety one and the Rams

941
00:55:41,360 --> 00:55:45,640
Speaker 2: are in eighty four. And when you then incorporate the

942
00:55:45,680 --> 00:55:50,600
Speaker 2: fact that this game is in Los Angeles, it means

943
00:55:50,719 --> 00:55:53,560
Speaker 2: certainly more to the Rams, even it means something for Buffalo,

944
00:55:54,000 --> 00:55:56,520
Speaker 2: and I'm getting four and a half points. I just

945
00:55:56,560 --> 00:55:57,240
Speaker 2: like the Rams.

946
00:55:57,280 --> 00:55:59,040
Speaker 4: So we have not been against each other yet, and

947
00:55:59,080 --> 00:56:00,640
Speaker 4: you haven't hit on a game that I think I'm

948
00:56:00,680 --> 00:56:02,759
Speaker 4: picking on the TV show tomorrow yet, So I'm kind

949
00:56:02,760 --> 00:56:04,880
Speaker 4: of just kind of playing the little Devil's advocate for

950
00:56:04,920 --> 00:56:05,719
Speaker 4: you on your picks here.

951
00:56:05,600 --> 00:56:08,080
Speaker 2: All right, So this one, I'm I'm certain we're not

952
00:56:08,120 --> 00:56:10,839
Speaker 2: going to be on the same side of I think

953
00:56:10,840 --> 00:56:14,920
Speaker 2: there's a chance we're Apoh, it has been a long

954
00:56:15,040 --> 00:56:20,439
Speaker 2: time since I bet the Chiefs. They are laying three

955
00:56:20,520 --> 00:56:24,400
Speaker 2: and a half. Yeah, against the guy Danny Parkins believes

956
00:56:24,520 --> 00:56:26,480
Speaker 2: is the third best player in the league.

957
00:56:26,680 --> 00:56:29,839
Speaker 4: That's right. It was a rough game last week though,

958
00:56:29,880 --> 00:56:31,160
Speaker 4: for that opinion, But go ahead.

959
00:56:31,360 --> 00:56:34,080
Speaker 2: It's been a rough season for that opinion. It's been

960
00:56:34,120 --> 00:56:37,399
Speaker 2: a rough season for the Justin Herberts the most. I mean,

961
00:56:37,560 --> 00:56:40,359
Speaker 2: he's got a great offensive line, a great coach. I mean,

962
00:56:40,840 --> 00:56:43,440
Speaker 2: he's averaging one touchdown in two hundred yards a game.

963
00:56:43,480 --> 00:56:45,960
Speaker 4: They're focused on the running gameme, they're establishing a culture

964
00:56:46,040 --> 00:56:48,520
Speaker 4: more than stats. They're winning more than last year. He's

965
00:56:48,560 --> 00:56:50,480
Speaker 4: the only player in the NFL through eleven weeks to

966
00:56:50,520 --> 00:56:52,279
Speaker 4: have a passer rating over ninety in every game.

967
00:56:52,320 --> 00:56:56,960
Speaker 2: Go ahead, So okay, so what's there. What's their yards

968
00:56:57,000 --> 00:56:59,239
Speaker 2: per play look like? With the Chargers, Well.

969
00:56:59,120 --> 00:57:02,160
Speaker 4: They're focusing on grimy runs. I'm worried that Harbaugh is

970
00:57:02,200 --> 00:57:04,279
Speaker 4: gonna just be too much. Him and Greg Roman are

971
00:57:04,320 --> 00:57:06,400
Speaker 4: gonna take the ball out of Herbert's hands. It just

972
00:57:06,400 --> 00:57:08,320
Speaker 4: focus on wins and stats for my guys. So my

973
00:57:08,320 --> 00:57:10,399
Speaker 4: guy's gonna win a little bit, then he'll get back

974
00:57:10,440 --> 00:57:12,799
Speaker 4: to the staff. So whatever, I want to be the

975
00:57:12,800 --> 00:57:15,400
Speaker 4: guy who inducts him into Canton and justin.

976
00:57:15,200 --> 00:57:18,720
Speaker 2: Herbert this year is eighteenth in the NFL and pass

977
00:57:18,720 --> 00:57:22,160
Speaker 2: attempts right, and eighteenth in passing yards.

978
00:57:22,640 --> 00:57:23,240
Speaker 4: That's not his.

979
00:57:23,240 --> 00:57:24,479
Speaker 2: Coach, No, no, no, no.

980
00:57:24,560 --> 00:57:27,000
Speaker 4: What I'm saying is he is.

981
00:57:28,400 --> 00:57:31,600
Speaker 2: He is doing. He is has exactly as many yards

982
00:57:31,600 --> 00:57:33,280
Speaker 2: as you would think he would have with that many

983
00:57:33,280 --> 00:57:36,720
Speaker 2: pass attempts. That doesn't scream to me other worldly talent.

984
00:57:37,080 --> 00:57:40,080
Speaker 2: But here's the listen, did you watch games with your

985
00:57:40,080 --> 00:57:40,600
Speaker 2: eyes closed?

986
00:57:40,640 --> 00:57:42,120
Speaker 4: But he tell you the guy is an other worldly

987
00:57:42,160 --> 00:57:43,440
Speaker 4: physical talent. He just is.

988
00:57:43,680 --> 00:57:46,080
Speaker 2: So here's the question I have for you and for

989
00:57:46,200 --> 00:57:52,400
Speaker 2: other people, how deep into your NFL career. Does your

990
00:57:52,560 --> 00:57:56,360
Speaker 2: NFL career outweigh your combined profile?

991
00:57:57,160 --> 00:58:00,160
Speaker 4: This isn't a combine thing. If every quarterback in the

992
00:58:00,320 --> 00:58:03,160
Speaker 4: NFL was a free agent and there was a draft

993
00:58:03,400 --> 00:58:07,480
Speaker 4: tomorrow of the GMS, what pick in the draft do

994
00:58:07,520 --> 00:58:08,840
Speaker 4: you think Justin Herbert is.

995
00:58:09,480 --> 00:58:11,720
Speaker 2: Probably seventh or eighth?

996
00:58:12,160 --> 00:58:14,920
Speaker 4: Okay, and I think he's probably fourth or fifth.

997
00:58:14,960 --> 00:58:18,440
Speaker 2: No, no, no, no, no, you always I would take

998
00:58:18,480 --> 00:58:19,320
Speaker 2: him third.

999
00:58:19,560 --> 00:58:22,000
Speaker 4: I would, I would take him third, But I think

1000
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:24,000
Speaker 4: that the league would take him fourth or fifth. And

1001
00:58:24,080 --> 00:58:25,120
Speaker 4: I'm just curious.

1002
00:58:25,680 --> 00:58:32,280
Speaker 2: The argument for Justin Herbert over Joe Burrow is Lamar Jackson. Now, oh, well, I.

1003
00:58:32,240 --> 00:58:35,160
Speaker 4: Don't think that Lamar Jackson wants that difficult Okay, well

1004
00:58:35,160 --> 00:58:38,160
Speaker 4: tell me. I don't think that Lamar like Lamar Jackson.

1005
00:58:39,160 --> 00:58:42,000
Speaker 4: So much of what he does and what makes him

1006
00:58:42,040 --> 00:58:46,120
Speaker 4: special is the mobility and the athleticism, which will be

1007
00:58:46,200 --> 00:58:50,320
Speaker 4: a declining, depreciating skill set over the course of his career.

1008
00:58:50,640 --> 00:58:52,640
Speaker 4: And so I believe that even though we are witnessing

1009
00:58:52,720 --> 00:58:55,680
Speaker 4: yet again another MVP caliber season, even though he will

1010
00:58:55,720 --> 00:58:58,120
Speaker 4: not win it from Lamar Jackson, and he helps the

1011
00:58:58,200 --> 00:59:01,200
Speaker 4: running game in a tremendous way, and Lamar Jackson is amazing.

1012
00:59:01,720 --> 00:59:03,480
Speaker 4: I do think that, Like, if I was going to

1013
00:59:03,560 --> 00:59:06,440
Speaker 4: bet on a guy's thirties, and now we see quarterbacks

1014
00:59:06,440 --> 00:59:08,920
Speaker 4: play into their late thirties or forties with a high

1015
00:59:09,000 --> 00:59:11,040
Speaker 4: degree of regularity. If I was going to bet on

1016
00:59:11,040 --> 00:59:13,680
Speaker 4: who is going to have the better thirties, Lamar Jackson

1017
00:59:13,760 --> 00:59:17,200
Speaker 4: or Justin Herbert, I would bet heavily on Justin Herbert.

1018
00:59:17,480 --> 00:59:20,920
Speaker 2: So the you you talked to, the things Lamar does great.

1019
00:59:21,720 --> 00:59:23,320
Speaker 2: Just remind me the thing just.

1020
00:59:24,520 --> 00:59:27,400
Speaker 4: Throws the ball, but so like and the the spiral,

1021
00:59:27,800 --> 00:59:31,360
Speaker 4: the arm talent where he puts the ball. Okay, man,

1022
00:59:31,440 --> 00:59:33,280
Speaker 4: this is situation.

1023
00:59:33,360 --> 00:59:35,800
Speaker 2: I've got one more thing that I.

1024
00:59:35,800 --> 00:59:39,040
Speaker 4: The Burrow argument is is tough to make because it

1025
00:59:39,080 --> 00:59:42,800
Speaker 4: can't be made better. Absolutely, if you gave me one

1026
00:59:42,840 --> 00:59:46,320
Speaker 4: head coach for Herbert's entire career, and you gave me

1027
00:59:46,400 --> 00:59:50,400
Speaker 4: Herbert and Jamar Chase and T Higgins, I would love

1028
00:59:50,520 --> 00:59:54,120
Speaker 4: to see what type of offensive success and Justin Herbert

1029
00:59:54,160 --> 00:59:57,080
Speaker 4: would have I do it. Became more physically talented than

1030
00:59:57,200 --> 00:59:59,560
Speaker 4: Joe Burrow, but Burrow has wanted a higher level with

1031
00:59:59,600 --> 01:00:00,600
Speaker 4: a better He's more.

1032
01:00:00,520 --> 01:00:04,480
Speaker 2: Accurate, and he has better numbers than all these better players.

1033
01:00:04,520 --> 01:00:07,480
Speaker 4: So the better players. Thing. I listened to you.

1034
01:00:10,440 --> 01:00:14,720
Speaker 2: Prior to this season multiple times, pick the Chargers to

1035
01:00:14,920 --> 01:00:16,720
Speaker 2: win or make the Super Bowl.

1036
01:00:16,560 --> 01:00:16,720
Speaker 3: And.

1037
01:00:18,600 --> 01:00:22,440
Speaker 2: You obviously thought they had good rosters. Here's the question

1038
01:00:22,480 --> 01:00:25,560
Speaker 2: I would have, and I don't know the answer to this.

1039
01:00:25,640 --> 01:00:28,600
Speaker 2: And then Bosa gets hurt, and then James gets hurt. Yes,

1040
01:00:28,680 --> 01:00:31,920
Speaker 2: injuries happened in the NFL. Here's the question I would have,

1041
01:00:31,960 --> 01:00:35,480
Speaker 2: and I don't have the answer to this. I'm gonna

1042
01:00:35,520 --> 01:00:38,440
Speaker 2: look it up today. Do you think the Chargers are

1043
01:00:38,440 --> 01:00:41,400
Speaker 2: gonna win a playoff game this year? Probably not?

1044
01:00:41,680 --> 01:00:43,320
Speaker 4: Probably not, probably not.

1045
01:00:44,680 --> 01:00:48,600
Speaker 2: I just want to know who the all time legendary

1046
01:00:48,720 --> 01:00:54,320
Speaker 2: quarterback is other than Matthew Stafford, who went the first

1047
01:00:54,560 --> 01:00:58,040
Speaker 2: five seasons of his career without a playoff win.

1048
01:00:59,080 --> 01:01:02,400
Speaker 4: I think Peyton man No, he won one.

1049
01:01:02,400 --> 01:01:05,440
Speaker 2: The Peyton. Uh so Peyton. Let me pull it up,

1050
01:01:05,760 --> 01:01:07,280
Speaker 2: the Peyton Manning.

1051
01:01:07,440 --> 01:01:09,640
Speaker 4: Because he because he didn't go to the AFC Championship

1052
01:01:09,640 --> 01:01:15,680
Speaker 4: game until year six. So Peyton came in because I'll

1053
01:01:15,720 --> 01:01:18,120
Speaker 4: pull it up right now. Yeah, take Peyton Manning.

1054
01:01:20,400 --> 01:01:23,640
Speaker 2: Won two playoff games in he came in the league

1055
01:01:23,640 --> 01:01:25,720
Speaker 2: in ninety eight, No. Three, ninety eight, ninety nine, two

1056
01:01:25,720 --> 01:01:28,480
Speaker 2: thousand and one to two Okay, so next year will

1057
01:01:28,480 --> 01:01:33,600
Speaker 2: be your Yeah, next year Manning, Peyton Manning, and year six,

1058
01:01:33,760 --> 01:01:35,840
Speaker 2: thank you, had a playoff game where he had a

1059
01:01:35,880 --> 01:01:39,040
Speaker 2: perfect passer rating, five touchdowns, three hundred and seventy seven yard.

1060
01:01:39,680 --> 01:01:42,920
Speaker 2: Then the no punt game against the Chiefs was that game?

1061
01:01:43,040 --> 01:01:46,280
Speaker 2: And then and then they lost in the AFC Championship game.

1062
01:01:46,600 --> 01:01:51,200
Speaker 2: I said Stafford. Stafford did win a playoff game with Detroit,

1063
01:01:51,520 --> 01:01:53,200
Speaker 2: so I want to make sure I didn't short change

1064
01:01:53,200 --> 01:01:55,200
Speaker 2: stat Oh no, he didn't. He went to the playoffs

1065
01:01:55,200 --> 01:01:57,080
Speaker 2: three times with Detroit, never won a playoff game. So

1066
01:01:57,120 --> 01:01:59,800
Speaker 2: Stafford be the guy. And again I don't dislike Herbert

1067
01:01:59,840 --> 01:02:01,240
Speaker 2: now sounds like no.

1068
01:02:01,320 --> 01:02:02,240
Speaker 4: I think that.

1069
01:02:04,040 --> 01:02:07,960
Speaker 2: Some accountability needs to fall on him. And he has

1070
01:02:08,080 --> 01:02:11,480
Speaker 2: not played at the level you thought he was going

1071
01:02:11,520 --> 01:02:12,720
Speaker 2: to play at this year.

1072
01:02:14,000 --> 01:02:19,480
Speaker 4: He is not. He has not. Okay, let the guy

1073
01:02:19,640 --> 01:02:25,240
Speaker 4: throw and so the bring tea against the Chargers next year.

1074
01:02:25,600 --> 01:02:27,400
Speaker 4: And then you know what I'm gonna do preseason next.

1075
01:02:27,360 --> 01:02:29,880
Speaker 2: Year, buddy, they spind you pick him to win the

1076
01:02:29,880 --> 01:02:31,160
Speaker 2: Super Bowl is what you're gonna do.

1077
01:02:31,160 --> 01:02:33,800
Speaker 4: Probably will probably, but listen.

1078
01:02:34,200 --> 01:02:37,000
Speaker 2: The short version of this is, I don't think the

1079
01:02:37,080 --> 01:02:39,080
Speaker 2: Chargers offense is gonna be able to move the ball

1080
01:02:39,120 --> 01:02:42,400
Speaker 2: because I think, uh, Trent mcduffy's gonna race Ladd McConkie,

1081
01:02:42,520 --> 01:02:47,280
Speaker 2: assuming lad plays and the Chiefs don't blow people out,

1082
01:02:47,280 --> 01:02:49,520
Speaker 2: but they can beat the Chargers by more than three

1083
01:02:49,560 --> 01:02:52,880
Speaker 2: and a half. And they especially with the Chargers or

1084
01:02:52,920 --> 01:02:55,640
Speaker 2: the Chiefs on extra rest for the first time in forever.

1085
01:02:56,040 --> 01:02:58,800
Speaker 2: So for all those reasons, my five picks green Bay

1086
01:02:58,800 --> 01:03:00,880
Speaker 2: plus three and a half, the Ions plus four and

1087
01:03:00,920 --> 01:03:03,120
Speaker 2: a half, the Titans minus three and a half, the

1088
01:03:03,200 --> 01:03:04,919
Speaker 2: Rams plus four and a half, and the Chiefs minus

1089
01:03:04,920 --> 01:03:05,439
Speaker 2: three and a half.

1090
01:03:05,680 --> 01:03:07,400
Speaker 4: You have green Bay plus three and a half.

1091
01:03:07,440 --> 01:03:10,600
Speaker 2: Do you want to reveal any of your TV picks

1092
01:03:10,640 --> 01:03:12,360
Speaker 2: for tomorrow? Is there one game?

1093
01:03:12,640 --> 01:03:14,680
Speaker 4: Is there any? How do you? How would I reveal

1094
01:03:14,720 --> 01:03:16,840
Speaker 4: one perfect? And then I have everyone else tune into

1095
01:03:16,880 --> 01:03:19,160
Speaker 4: parkts picks twenty seven and fifteen against the spread. I

1096
01:03:19,240 --> 01:03:22,000
Speaker 4: appreciate you letting me invite you myself on what's right

1097
01:03:22,120 --> 01:03:24,320
Speaker 4: to get a little bit of attention on how by

1098
01:03:24,320 --> 01:03:26,480
Speaker 4: the way, sometimes we go against each other and there's

1099
01:03:26,480 --> 01:03:29,480
Speaker 4: a little bit of an adversarial thing. We're one and two, buddy.

1100
01:03:29,600 --> 01:03:31,560
Speaker 4: I haven't seen a media member come out and say

1101
01:03:31,600 --> 01:03:33,960
Speaker 4: that they're picking so like because second to me is

1102
01:03:34,080 --> 01:03:36,960
Speaker 4: no Noah, and especially when I'm going to end up

1103
01:03:37,000 --> 01:03:37,560
Speaker 4: passing you.

1104
01:03:37,640 --> 01:03:41,320
Speaker 2: But that is correct. I do think Danny and I

1105
01:03:41,520 --> 01:03:46,160
Speaker 2: have the best and second best against the spread record

1106
01:03:46,480 --> 01:03:51,360
Speaker 2: for anybody that's picking games documented on TV every week.

1107
01:03:51,520 --> 01:03:56,640
Speaker 4: Okay, Atlanta plus five and a half against Minnesota.

1108
01:03:56,680 --> 01:03:59,240
Speaker 2: Wow, I almost made the Vikings one of my picks,

1109
01:03:59,240 --> 01:04:00,040
Speaker 2: So I'm interested in.

1110
01:04:00,240 --> 01:04:07,000
Speaker 4: Okay, So I think in general, we have a recency

1111
01:04:07,080 --> 01:04:10,440
Speaker 4: bias to a lot of things in life. And that

1112
01:04:10,480 --> 01:04:15,280
Speaker 4: game from Kirk Cousins was indefensible. It was atrocious. There

1113
01:04:15,360 --> 01:04:19,320
Speaker 4: is no defending how he played last week. But for

1114
01:04:19,440 --> 01:04:22,240
Speaker 4: a lot of this season, like he started very slow

1115
01:04:22,280 --> 01:04:23,640
Speaker 4: as he was working his way back. But then for

1116
01:04:23,680 --> 01:04:27,439
Speaker 4: a large chunk of the season, Atlanta was a top

1117
01:04:27,480 --> 01:04:33,480
Speaker 4: ten offense. And so I think that Minnesota their record

1118
01:04:34,440 --> 01:04:37,280
Speaker 4: got a ton of attention early and they deserved it

1119
01:04:37,520 --> 01:04:39,520
Speaker 4: because it was shocking. It was out of nowhere. Everyone

1120
01:04:39,560 --> 01:04:43,240
Speaker 4: picked them to be fourth in the NFC North and

1121
01:04:43,280 --> 01:04:46,160
Speaker 4: they beat good teams, so they deserved their all their

1122
01:04:46,200 --> 01:04:49,919
Speaker 4: hype at five and zero. But man, they have one

1123
01:04:50,120 --> 01:04:55,480
Speaker 4: score wins against the Jets, the Colts, the Cardinals, the Bears,

1124
01:04:55,560 --> 01:04:59,000
Speaker 4: and the Jags, and the Jags thank you, and I

1125
01:04:59,040 --> 01:05:02,960
Speaker 4: think that they were living on Brian Flores is blitzing.

1126
01:05:03,040 --> 01:05:04,960
Speaker 4: They blitz, they blitzed, they blitz, they blitzed, they blitz,

1127
01:05:05,000 --> 01:05:07,280
Speaker 4: and that allows for some feast or famine. And so

1128
01:05:07,320 --> 01:05:11,000
Speaker 4: the more that that gets put on film, the easier

1129
01:05:11,120 --> 01:05:13,600
Speaker 4: it is to game plan against. So when people were

1130
01:05:13,600 --> 01:05:16,760
Speaker 4: saying Penick should start this week, I immediately said, after the

1131
01:05:16,760 --> 01:05:19,160
Speaker 4: Foreig interception game, this isn't the spot to do that.

1132
01:05:19,600 --> 01:05:22,240
Speaker 4: Let Kirk Cousins go back to Minnesota. They're still a

1133
01:05:22,280 --> 01:05:24,240
Speaker 4: favorite to make the playoffs, they still could win the division,

1134
01:05:24,280 --> 01:05:26,600
Speaker 4: they still could have a home playoff game, And let

1135
01:05:26,640 --> 01:05:30,600
Speaker 4: the veteran quarterback who's seen every defense in the world

1136
01:05:31,040 --> 01:05:34,800
Speaker 4: play Brian Flores in his blitz scheme and see if

1137
01:05:34,840 --> 01:05:37,880
Speaker 4: he can go to Minnesota and pick that defense apart

1138
01:05:38,200 --> 01:05:40,880
Speaker 4: and recover from the Feig interception game. If he throws

1139
01:05:40,920 --> 01:05:44,200
Speaker 4: three picks gets sacked six times, then it's Michael Pennix

1140
01:05:44,240 --> 01:05:45,960
Speaker 4: and you move on. So I look at this as

1141
01:05:46,040 --> 01:05:49,120
Speaker 4: kind of a Kirk Cousins last stand, and five and

1142
01:05:49,120 --> 01:05:52,840
Speaker 4: a half points is too many for a team that

1143
01:05:53,000 --> 01:05:57,440
Speaker 4: is not at all winning in convincing fashion against bad teams.

1144
01:05:57,800 --> 01:06:01,840
Speaker 2: Listen, that's all sound that. The concern is that Kirk

1145
01:06:01,880 --> 01:06:04,720
Speaker 2: Cousins is cooked. Okay, he's going to get annihilated.

1146
01:06:04,880 --> 01:06:08,800
Speaker 4: That is that is definitely in play, and Atlanta has

1147
01:06:09,440 --> 01:06:12,440
Speaker 4: no pass rush of their own. So I think that

1148
01:06:12,480 --> 01:06:14,520
Speaker 4: both teams could score in that spot. But five and

1149
01:06:14,560 --> 01:06:17,120
Speaker 4: a half's a big number for Kirk Cousins in a

1150
01:06:17,120 --> 01:06:18,520
Speaker 4: Atlanta has no pass rush.

1151
01:06:18,680 --> 01:06:21,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, you would think the third most talented quarterback in

1152
01:06:21,000 --> 01:06:22,720
Speaker 2: the league might be able to carve him up last

1153
01:06:22,720 --> 01:06:26,040
Speaker 2: week instead of throwing for one sixty and zero touchdowns.

1154
01:06:26,040 --> 01:06:29,040
Speaker 4: Again, it was needing six, it was You would think

1155
01:06:29,040 --> 01:06:30,920
Speaker 4: it a great situation.

1156
01:06:30,960 --> 01:06:32,840
Speaker 2: You would think justin herber Wou'd be able to muster

1157
01:06:32,960 --> 01:06:36,400
Speaker 2: more than ten offensive points against that Falcon's past rush.

1158
01:06:36,800 --> 01:06:40,280
Speaker 4: Injuries, injuries, of course, the injuries. Injuries. All right.

1159
01:06:40,360 --> 01:06:43,680
Speaker 2: The only thing hotter than Danny's picks this year or

1160
01:06:43,720 --> 01:06:44,720
Speaker 2: Demands's teaser.

1161
01:06:44,840 --> 01:06:45,240
Speaker 4: That's true.

1162
01:06:45,320 --> 01:06:46,960
Speaker 2: He'll give his teaser and we'll.

1163
01:06:46,800 --> 01:06:47,520
Speaker 4: Do the offer.

1164
01:06:47,600 --> 01:06:49,120
Speaker 2: And this has been a long pot. Then we got

1165
01:06:49,160 --> 01:06:49,720
Speaker 2: to get out of here.

1166
01:06:49,720 --> 01:06:51,760
Speaker 4: That's next. Danny. Appreciate you, brother, Thanks sir.

1167
01:06:51,880 --> 01:06:54,040
Speaker 2: Check out breakfast Ball on FS one eight to ten

1168
01:06:54,080 --> 01:06:59,360
Speaker 2: am Eastern five to eight am Pacific. Very very quick break,

1169
01:06:59,760 --> 01:07:02,840
Speaker 2: come right, in fact, just stick around Danny fo Demonse's

1170
01:07:03,680 --> 01:07:06,880
Speaker 2: Demonse's teaser, and that way we don't have to recalibrate everything.

1171
01:07:07,080 --> 01:07:09,440
Speaker 4: Very quick break. Right back with Demanse, we'll track.

1172
01:07:13,600 --> 01:07:15,800
Speaker 2: All right, Welcome back in What's Right with Nick? Right,

1173
01:07:15,880 --> 01:07:19,800
Speaker 2: Danny PARKINSTI by the show, Demonse. Sorry kicking you off

1174
01:07:19,800 --> 01:07:22,880
Speaker 2: that segment, but appreciate you you left cause I could

1175
01:07:22,920 --> 01:07:26,040
Speaker 2: still see your the where you're at your monitor, and

1176
01:07:26,080 --> 01:07:27,640
Speaker 2: the chair was empty for a bit. I thought you

1177
01:07:27,720 --> 01:07:30,919
Speaker 2: might have just left, and like, this is ridiculous. I'm

1178
01:07:30,960 --> 01:07:33,760
Speaker 2: out of here right there. I was still listening to

1179
01:07:33,760 --> 01:07:37,040
Speaker 2: see you guys. All right, So last week your teaser

1180
01:07:38,240 --> 01:07:42,840
Speaker 2: covered by twenty points both legs, basically, right. You had

1181
01:07:42,880 --> 01:07:45,840
Speaker 2: the Raiders getting twenty, they lost by two, so that

1182
01:07:45,920 --> 01:07:49,040
Speaker 2: covered by eighteen. You had the Steelers getting ten, they

1183
01:07:49,120 --> 01:07:52,280
Speaker 2: won by ten, right, so that they won by six,

1184
01:07:52,680 --> 01:07:53,960
Speaker 2: so they covered by sixteen.

1185
01:07:54,440 --> 01:07:56,080
Speaker 4: All right, what do you have for us this week?

1186
01:07:57,080 --> 01:07:58,960
Speaker 3: This week is a two team seven and a half

1187
01:07:59,000 --> 01:08:02,520
Speaker 3: point teaser at a minus won sixty three. Again, we're

1188
01:08:02,560 --> 01:08:06,920
Speaker 3: teasing Carolina up to plus twenty against her at Philly.

1189
01:08:07,480 --> 01:08:10,480
Speaker 3: And I'm also gonna tease up Chicago to eleven at

1190
01:08:10,520 --> 01:08:15,200
Speaker 3: San Francisco. Yeah, I mean, Philly is obviously dominant, but

1191
01:08:15,280 --> 01:08:18,160
Speaker 3: I trust the Panthers and Bryce Young. I think that

1192
01:08:18,200 --> 01:08:21,040
Speaker 3: he's he's been showing some stuff and I think that

1193
01:08:21,160 --> 01:08:23,439
Speaker 3: he can cover a twenty point spread against the Eagles

1194
01:08:23,760 --> 01:08:26,360
Speaker 3: and then the Bears. I honestly could see them winning

1195
01:08:26,360 --> 01:08:28,920
Speaker 3: that winning that game out right, So I trust them

1196
01:08:28,920 --> 01:08:30,080
Speaker 3: with the eleven points.

1197
01:08:30,479 --> 01:08:35,120
Speaker 4: That's the I worry a little bit about Philly's offense

1198
01:08:35,160 --> 01:08:39,400
Speaker 4: against that Panthers defense, that that could that could get

1199
01:08:39,400 --> 01:08:43,479
Speaker 4: out of hand. Panthers worst rush defense in the league. Yeah,

1200
01:08:43,560 --> 01:08:47,519
Speaker 4: that's part. But Bryce Young, I like the logic. Bryce

1201
01:08:47,600 --> 01:08:49,640
Speaker 4: Young looks good since he's been benched.

1202
01:08:50,120 --> 01:08:51,840
Speaker 3: He's playing for his job next year. I mean he's

1203
01:08:51,840 --> 01:08:52,479
Speaker 3: probably already got.

1204
01:08:52,720 --> 01:08:55,600
Speaker 2: I love the Chicago leg of it, so because I

1205
01:08:55,680 --> 01:08:59,439
Speaker 2: don't think the Niners can blow anyone out the way

1206
01:08:59,439 --> 01:09:02,280
Speaker 2: they are right now, and the Bears maybe the fired

1207
01:09:02,320 --> 01:09:05,599
Speaker 2: coach bump. So I usually give these teasers grades, Danny,

1208
01:09:05,680 --> 01:09:07,479
Speaker 2: since you're hero, I'll let you give it a grade.

1209
01:09:08,040 --> 01:09:10,559
Speaker 4: You go like eight eight, eight yeah, yeah, yeah, okay,

1210
01:09:10,520 --> 01:09:15,800
Speaker 4: yeah great, that's how grades work. Uh yeah, So I'll

1211
01:09:15,840 --> 01:09:19,720
Speaker 4: say I'll say that's a that's a solid B plus.

1212
01:09:19,120 --> 01:09:22,600
Speaker 4: I like the Carolina and Chicago legs. Yeah, that's a

1213
01:09:22,640 --> 01:09:25,559
Speaker 4: B plus teaser. The eye seven and a half minus

1214
01:09:25,560 --> 01:09:27,639
Speaker 4: one sixty five is just a teaser that I would

1215
01:09:27,640 --> 01:09:28,080
Speaker 4: never make.

1216
01:09:28,520 --> 01:09:32,559
Speaker 2: But this has been his he's been doing the seven

1217
01:09:32,560 --> 01:09:33,599
Speaker 2: and a half's the whole year.

1218
01:09:33,720 --> 01:09:38,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, he was trying to team next year. We did

1219
01:09:38,160 --> 01:09:39,760
Speaker 3: like a five leg teaser last year.

1220
01:09:39,840 --> 01:09:42,200
Speaker 4: So I would I.

1221
01:09:42,200 --> 01:09:47,000
Speaker 2: Would recommend instead of adding a team, subtracting a point,

1222
01:09:47,160 --> 01:09:51,040
Speaker 2: there we go. Instead of going to UH three teamer,

1223
01:09:51,240 --> 01:09:53,760
Speaker 2: I would potentially go to a six and a half six,

1224
01:09:54,720 --> 01:09:55,920
Speaker 2: six and a half point teaser.

1225
01:09:56,160 --> 01:09:58,040
Speaker 4: All right, what's the offer this week? Demands?

1226
01:09:59,280 --> 01:10:00,920
Speaker 3: So, the offer that this week we're gonna go back

1227
01:10:00,920 --> 01:10:04,080
Speaker 3: to the touchdown Genie So and actually we're gonna start

1228
01:10:04,080 --> 01:10:06,200
Speaker 3: with tonight's game. Do you see anybody scoring?

1229
01:10:06,240 --> 01:10:06,400
Speaker 4: There?

1230
01:10:06,479 --> 01:10:08,479
Speaker 3: Is anybody you want to you want to pick up there?

1231
01:10:08,600 --> 01:10:08,840
Speaker 4: Yeah?

1232
01:10:08,880 --> 01:10:13,520
Speaker 2: So here, Danny, there are the odds the for anytime

1233
01:10:13,600 --> 01:10:14,439
Speaker 2: touchdown score.

1234
01:10:14,560 --> 01:10:18,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, I've already bet one. Josh Jacobs. Oh yeah, minus

1235
01:10:18,040 --> 01:10:20,439
Speaker 4: one fifty. I think I got minus one forty first

1236
01:10:20,439 --> 01:10:20,920
Speaker 4: thing this morning.

1237
01:10:20,960 --> 01:10:24,320
Speaker 2: But yeah, but so that's what I was I was thinking,

1238
01:10:24,439 --> 01:10:30,519
Speaker 2: Josh Jacobs anytime touchdown score minus one fifty. You don't

1239
01:10:30,560 --> 01:10:35,479
Speaker 2: love laying minus numbers obviously on touchdowns, but you got I.

1240
01:10:35,439 --> 01:10:38,080
Speaker 4: See, I don't. I don't mind that they're they're giving

1241
01:10:38,080 --> 01:10:40,800
Speaker 4: the guy twenty plus touches a game, like if if

1242
01:10:41,080 --> 01:10:43,439
Speaker 4: they get inside the five, you know he's gonna get

1243
01:10:43,560 --> 01:10:47,160
Speaker 4: multiple touches in that spot. So like I, I never

1244
01:10:47,280 --> 01:10:49,800
Speaker 4: fear laying a I mean, the guys he will score

1245
01:10:49,840 --> 01:10:51,880
Speaker 4: a touchdown to night. He will score a touchdown to night.

1246
01:10:51,960 --> 01:10:53,040
Speaker 4: So lay minus one fifty.

1247
01:10:53,040 --> 01:10:56,240
Speaker 2: That's fine, all right, We'll do minus one fifty, and

1248
01:10:56,280 --> 01:11:00,040
Speaker 2: then I'm gonna put little bonus just in honor of

1249
01:11:00,600 --> 01:11:03,760
Speaker 2: the tiny hands gimmick from this past from yesterday's show,

1250
01:11:04,720 --> 01:11:10,679
Speaker 2: a little tiny taste on Green Bay Defense Special Teams

1251
01:11:11,479 --> 01:11:15,400
Speaker 2: touchdown scorer at plus five point fifty and maybe an

1252
01:11:15,479 --> 01:11:20,080
Speaker 2: even smaller taste on Green Bay Defense Special Team's first

1253
01:11:20,160 --> 01:11:24,599
Speaker 2: touchdown scorer at thirty to one. So there it is, Danny,

1254
01:11:24,680 --> 01:11:27,479
Speaker 2: great job Banks. Now we'll get to some the save

1255
01:11:27,600 --> 01:11:29,200
Speaker 2: these some of these listener questions.

1256
01:11:29,320 --> 01:11:31,040
Speaker 4: We'll do them at the end of Tuesday show.

1257
01:11:31,280 --> 01:11:33,120
Speaker 2: We got a run. I'm gonna be late for TV

1258
01:11:33,760 --> 01:11:36,040
Speaker 2: check out breakfast Ball in the morning, we're gonna have

1259
01:11:36,080 --> 01:11:38,840
Speaker 2: Demonsy's gonna his teaser. I'm gonna have another four in

1260
01:11:38,920 --> 01:11:41,519
Speaker 2: one week. Danny's gonna go one and two on TV

1261
01:11:41,680 --> 01:11:43,720
Speaker 2: with the one being the one that he agreed with

1262
01:11:43,760 --> 01:11:46,080
Speaker 2: me on and I'm gonna pass him in the standings

1263
01:11:46,400 --> 01:11:52,040
Speaker 2: and again fair sports media awful announcing the puck the

1264
01:11:52,200 --> 01:11:56,320
Speaker 2: guys at the post. Anybody, somebody write an article about

1265
01:11:56,360 --> 01:12:01,280
Speaker 2: the two best football gambling pickers being two guys who

1266
01:12:01,320 --> 01:12:04,080
Speaker 2: have known each other for twenty years, went to college together,

1267
01:12:04,320 --> 01:12:07,439
Speaker 2: did radio together in Kansas City, now do TV together.

1268
01:12:07,479 --> 01:12:11,479
Speaker 2: At FS one, we're combined fifty thirty and one against

1269
01:12:11,479 --> 01:12:14,599
Speaker 2: the spread. We actually beat a D thirty and one

1270
01:12:14,640 --> 01:12:19,080
Speaker 2: against the spread. Where's the media covered? Hey, folks, steven

1271
01:12:19,160 --> 01:12:24,479
Speaker 2: A's contract, that beat is covered, like that ground has

1272
01:12:24,600 --> 01:12:27,760
Speaker 2: been covered. What you know, I'm just letting you know.

1273
01:12:28,320 --> 01:12:31,880
Speaker 2: And you know what's also been covered. Yeah, Dana Rolofsky's

1274
01:12:32,040 --> 01:12:35,000
Speaker 2: silly little VR tool. Everyone, it's the greatest thing I've

1275
01:12:35,040 --> 01:12:37,080
Speaker 2: ever seen in the media. Give me a break, Like

1276
01:12:37,560 --> 01:12:39,599
Speaker 2: somebody talk, we're making people money.

1277
01:12:39,800 --> 01:12:43,920
Speaker 4: See you guys on TV later. What's right? Hey? Thanks

1278
01:12:43,960 --> 01:12:44,519
Speaker 4: for watching?

1279
01:12:44,560 --> 01:12:46,960
Speaker 2: If you're still here, do me a favor. Hit the

1280
01:12:47,000 --> 01:12:49,519
Speaker 2: subscribe button, then hit the bell so you can be

1281
01:12:49,600 --> 01:12:53,120
Speaker 2: notified when we have new episodes. After you've done that,

1282
01:12:53,160 --> 01:12:55,960
Speaker 2: one more favor, go to your favorite audio platform of

1283
01:12:56,080 --> 01:13:00,240
Speaker 2: choice and subscribe there as well. Don't forget we're live

1284
01:13:00,280 --> 01:13:04,559
Speaker 2: every Tuesday and Thursday ten thirty am Eastern Ish ten

1285
01:13:04,640 --> 01:13:07,679
Speaker 2: thirty five, ten forty. It sometimes changes, but that's why

1286
01:13:07,720 --> 01:13:10,440
Speaker 2: you hit the bell. You hit the bell so you're notified.

1287
01:13:10,520 --> 01:13:14,400
Speaker 2: You subscribe so we can get to two hundred thousand followers.

1288
01:13:14,439 --> 01:13:16,760
Speaker 2: We're right around one hundred and fifty thousand. We'd love

1289
01:13:16,800 --> 01:13:19,480
Speaker 2: to get to two hundred thousand. Get to Monday, another plaque,

1290
01:13:19,520 --> 01:13:22,960
Speaker 2: so like, subscribe rate, send a rating to do all

1291
01:13:22,960 --> 01:13:23,599
Speaker 2: that cool stuff.

1292
01:13:23,640 --> 01:13:24,200
Speaker 4: Thanks guys,