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Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network. Today

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Speaker 1: is our week eleven Tuesday NFL episode. I am Chad Melman,

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Speaker 1: Chief Content.

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Speaker 2: Officer of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: We are coming off of a three and two week

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Speaker 1: in our contest.

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Speaker 2: We reviewed most of our.

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Speaker 1: Day extensively in our Sunday Night recap episode, but since

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Speaker 1: we had contest plays on The Jets on Sunday Night

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Speaker 1: and The Broncos on Monday Night for posterity, we went

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Speaker 1: one in one in those plays. We're going to dig

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Speaker 1: in a little bit for a minute on that. As

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Speaker 1: we said on the show on Sunday, a lot of

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Speaker 1: the lines we liked have already moved, which is why

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Speaker 1: you need to listen to the Sunday show if you

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Speaker 1: want to get the best of the number.

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Speaker 2: Today.

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Speaker 1: Hey, we will get to our Simon says and our

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Speaker 1: exec decision. And by the way, don't forget me and

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Speaker 1: Simon going live in Hoboken, New Jersey, December third. The

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Speaker 1: Sunday Night episode Shepherd and the Knucklehead in Hoboken. Free

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Speaker 1: to get in, free drinks, free chance to bet with

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Speaker 1: me and Simon to troll. Me and Simon will be

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Speaker 1: there for the afternoon games betting along with our friends

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Speaker 1: at bet three sixty five. You must rsvp. You must

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Speaker 1: check out the link in the description on the YouTube

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Speaker 1: page for this show and in the podcast page. Also

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Speaker 1: go to event bright dot com search the Favorites podcast

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Speaker 1: for more info and to rsvp this episode, we're going

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Speaker 1: to look the entire board as we begin narrowing down

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Speaker 1: the five picks we'll enter in the Favorites Podcast. One

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Speaker 1: hundred thousand dollars Pro Football Pick Them contests still open

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Speaker 1: for sign ups, still free to play, still awarding weekly

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Speaker 1: in season long cash prizes go to Favorites dot Actionnetwork

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Speaker 1: dot com. Heading into week eleven, Simon and I are

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Speaker 1: in the top one hundred in the contest no joke,

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Speaker 1: five words behind the number one spot. Out of eleven

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Speaker 1: six hundred entries. We're inside the top one percent. I

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Speaker 1: expect it, yet it's still exciting. Everyone expects it of us, Simon,

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Speaker 1: because that's what happens when you're freaking professionals.

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Speaker 2: The entire leaderboard going to.

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Speaker 1: Get a shake up after the Thanksgiving week games. Everyone's

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Speaker 1: two lowest scores will get dropped. The leaderboard will re calibrate.

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Speaker 1: Let's bring in my co host, my bff, my companion,

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Speaker 1: mikem Padre, professional better Simon Hunter. Simon, Hello, Hello Simon.

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Speaker 1: Here's the cold, hard truth about last week with so

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Speaker 1: much drama. We had a late night call from Hawaii

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Speaker 1: to Copenhagen because we had intel coming in. We made

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Speaker 1: big changes in the moment. We pulled two games out

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Speaker 1: of our original picks. We put two different games in

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Speaker 1: after all that, if we had done nothing, it would

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Speaker 1: have been exactly the same. We would have ended up

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Speaker 1: three and two, which shows you a how freaking hard

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Speaker 1: all of this is and how thin the margins are

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Speaker 1: for success and failure. I was watching that game last

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Speaker 1: night when we had the game going, I'm like, it

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter what happens. Nothing we did over the weekend

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Speaker 1: would have changed from what we decided on Thursday. Isn't

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Speaker 1: that amazing?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? And it's also it just shows that this is

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Speaker 3: just a grind, like we always joke about it, but

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Speaker 3: that's what it is. End of the day where it's like,

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Speaker 3: I know everyone wishes we could go five and oh

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Speaker 3: or four and one every week, but that's just not

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Speaker 3: real life. Real life is you are the sharpest guy

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Speaker 3: in the room if you can go sixty percent. Me

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Speaker 3: and Chad talk about that all the time, and our

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Speaker 3: goal is always three in two and I have to

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Speaker 3: work really really hard to suck just enough to go

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Speaker 3: three and two every week. Like people don't know how

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Speaker 3: hard I work just to get that three on that

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Speaker 3: board every week. So felt good, especially after that Jets game,

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Speaker 3: a really hard week last week, and this week. I mean,

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Speaker 3: I hate the Jinxes, but I love these lines. I

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Speaker 3: love these lines this week.

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Speaker 2: No no, no, no, no no no. I didn't hear what

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Speaker 2: you said.

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Speaker 1: I was yelling and nobody heard what you said because

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Speaker 1: we're not saying it.

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Speaker 2: We're just not going to say it.

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Speaker 1: As a reminder, The Favorites podcast is presented by Bet

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Speaker 1: three six five. Bet three six five doesn't do ordinary.

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Speaker 1: never ordinary at Bet three sixty five. Must be twenty

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Speaker 1: one or old and present in Colorado, Iowa, New Jersey, Ohio,

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Speaker 1: or Virginia, or eighteen and older in Kentucky. Gambling problem

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Speaker 1: called one eight hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets

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Speaker 1: off in Iowa terms. Conditions restrictions apply. As a reminder,

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Speaker 1: catch every episode of the Favorites live on YouTube. For

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Speaker 1: those enjoying on YouTube, don't forget to give us a like.

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Speaker 1: Subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page.

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Speaker 2: Here we go. Tough week in the contest.

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Speaker 1: Like we said, Week ten saw only forty eight entries

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Speaker 1: finish five and oh just one percent of entries. Congrats

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Speaker 1: to our first place winner, mo Key Bra enjoy the cash.

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Speaker 1: This week's Producer's Cup award goes to JR Head thirteen

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Speaker 1: for finishing dead fucking last in the Week ten contest

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Speaker 1: going on five, missing the tiebreaker by two hundred and

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Speaker 1: eighty four yards.

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Speaker 2: Jr.

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Speaker 1: Please email producer Matt Mitchell at podcast at actionnetwork dot

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Speaker 1: com to claim your non cash prize.

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Speaker 2: Thanks for planning.

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Speaker 1: Contest is now live. The tiebreaker total rushing yard on

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Speaker 1: Monday night football, good lock all right, Week eleven. I mean,

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Speaker 1: we're in the double digits. Teams are becoming what we

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Speaker 1: think they are. They're not in a place where you're like, oh,

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Speaker 1: this team could be different. These teams are what they are.

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati is visiting Baltimore. Baltimore's favored by three and a half.

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Speaker 1: It's a Thursday night game, the first of seven divisional matchups.

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Speaker 1: And divisional matchups have been a key driver of success

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Speaker 1: for us this year. We tend to like the dogs.

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Speaker 1: I'll say this stat a lot today. Home teams in

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Speaker 1: the division since twenty fifteen are covering it just a

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Speaker 1: forty seven percent spread.

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Speaker 2: That includes Baltimore.

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Speaker 1: Home favorites in the division since twenty fifteen, just a

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Speaker 1: forty five percent spread. Harball is a favorite of three

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Speaker 1: and a half for more under five hundred against the spread.

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Speaker 2: Lamar is a.

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Speaker 1: Favorite of three and a half for more under five

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Speaker 1: hundred against the spread. And yeah, and yet, Simon, we

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Speaker 1: don't love the Bengals here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't have crazy value on this line. I

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Speaker 3: make it number four. It's three and a half. I'm

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Speaker 3: on the Ravens then, so it's nothing crazy. I mean,

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Speaker 3: don't have to think too much into it. It's a

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Speaker 3: simple fact of it's a short week. You know, the

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Speaker 3: Bengals just played a really hard game. Now they're coming

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Speaker 3: on the road to play a team that they're coming

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Speaker 3: off their own bad loss, so just just a bat.

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Speaker 3: It feels like a bad spot for the Bengals, and

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Speaker 3: you know, if you want to back them until they

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Speaker 3: get it, you're catching three and a half forward a

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Speaker 3: lot of books. You feel pretty good back in Joe

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Speaker 3: Burrow at that number. But keep in mind, I have

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Speaker 3: this stat here from Evan Abrams. The Bengals are one

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Speaker 3: in twenty three in their last twenty four road night games,

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Speaker 3: so you know their last win came back in twenty twelve.

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Speaker 3: That's a big deal. It's a team that at home,

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Speaker 3: Joe Burrow has done well in these night games, right,

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Speaker 3: Even me and Chat took them earlier this year against

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Speaker 3: the Bills at home. I believe they won by six.

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Speaker 3: They you know, they're just a different team, it seems

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Speaker 3: like at home than they are on the road, especially

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Speaker 3: in this spot, like going into play that Ravens team.

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Speaker 3: We know how crazy and loud that fan base can

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Speaker 3: be for the Ravens, and you know the fact this

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Speaker 3: is a standalone game, divisional game. Again, I can't fault

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Speaker 3: you for taking it chat to shit you with all

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Speaker 3: those stats. I just I don't like it that it's

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Speaker 3: a short week this late in the season. To me,

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Speaker 3: that's a big deal, and that gives a huge advantage

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Speaker 3: to this Ravens team, especially a team that you know

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Speaker 3: they're they're much better than that they played against the

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Speaker 3: Browns team.

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Speaker 4: Right.

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Speaker 3: I think I saw a crazy stat. I'm almost positive

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Speaker 3: Watson went fourteen for fourteen passing in the second half

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Speaker 3: against that Ravens team. You don't think they know that, Like,

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Speaker 3: that's gonna be bolton board material. That's embarrassing. That's embarrassing

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Speaker 3: to let that happen to you at home and blow

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Speaker 3: a fourteen point lead. So I'm gonna trust the Ravens

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Speaker 3: here to bounce back in this spot. And we talked

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Speaker 3: coming in the season, this Bengals team, not that I

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Speaker 3: knew they're gonna have a season from hell, but I

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Speaker 3: said it to you. They'd won their division two years

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Speaker 3: on a like winning the North two years in a

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Speaker 3: row is basically a death sentence, just because you had

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Speaker 3: to have gotten so lucky for things to break right

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Speaker 3: for you to win in this tough division two years

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Speaker 3: in a row, and last year things broke right that

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Speaker 3: Lamar got hurt and they tailed off the Ravens and

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Speaker 3: the Bengals were able to catch up. This year, they

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Speaker 3: don't have that luck like these These quarterbacks have not

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Speaker 3: gotten hurt. Watson was the only one that's gone down

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Speaker 3: with an injury, and the Browns still won games with PJ.

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Speaker 3: Walker in there, Like the Bengals haven't had the luck

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Speaker 3: they've had in prior season. I mean even the Steelers, right,

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Speaker 3: the luckiest team in all football in their division. It

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Speaker 3: just hasn't broken right for this Bengals team. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: if you're betting like me on this Ravens team, you

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Speaker 3: might as well bet on the Bengals to miss the

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Speaker 3: playoffs as well, because if they don't win this game,

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Speaker 3: it feels like that's kind of it, right, They're gonna

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Speaker 3: miss the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: God, that's a great idea.

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Speaker 1: The only thing I can think of for this. I

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Speaker 1: keep watching Joe Burrow just be lip quivering devastated after

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Speaker 1: that loss to the Texans, to see how much it

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Speaker 1: means to him and sort of the pain. I'm not

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Speaker 1: saying that's why they can come back and win this game.

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Speaker 1: But I actually just find it to be an incredibly

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Speaker 1: human moment about how much these guys put into each

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Speaker 1: week of preparation and their competitive spirit.

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Speaker 3: So I felt watching Josh Allen last night, it's like

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Speaker 3: you literally just saw a man die on the field,

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Speaker 3: like you saw the life get sucked out of them

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Speaker 3: when they said the twelfth man was on the field,

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Speaker 3: And it's like, these guys are so highly competitive, like

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Speaker 3: you just said, So I agree, but you got to

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Speaker 3: go look, Lamar is feeling the same way, right. Lamar's

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Speaker 3: got to own that pick six and he's got to

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Speaker 3: wear this loss he just had against Cleveland. So I'm

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Speaker 3: right there with you.

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Speaker 1: I also was thinking about, you know, we were so

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Speaker 1: all in on the Bengals before we got off of them,

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Speaker 1: before we got off of them last week. And I

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Speaker 1: do wonder if last week, like did we think we

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Speaker 1: kind of overlooked it. It might have been a trap

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Speaker 1: game because they were looking ahead to this week.

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Speaker 2: Potentially.

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Speaker 3: I justin I'm still in all of everything CJ did,

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Speaker 3: even when I went back and watch the tape. I

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Speaker 3: just can't believe how bad that Bengals defense, which we

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Speaker 3: talked about played like they gave up over one hundred

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Speaker 3: and fifty on the ground to a backup running back,

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Speaker 3: like another running back that left the Bills and went

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Speaker 3: somewhere else and now is getting one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 3: and you know, letting a rookie throw for over three

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Speaker 3: dred yards or whatever it was three fifty against you. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: just total total embarrassment by that Bengals defense.

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Speaker 1: Tennessee at Jacksonville. Jacksonville's at six and a half. It

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Speaker 1: opened at six. We talked about it on Sunday. I

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Speaker 1: really wanted to bite because of Rabel. You walked it

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Speaker 1: back in the moment, because of Levis, you thought it

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Speaker 1: might go up to six and a half. The flip

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Speaker 1: side is the Jacks coming off a bad loss, which

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Speaker 1: is historically when you want to play a team. And

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Speaker 1: then there's all the stats that I just read. It's

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Speaker 1: going to be redundant today. But all the stats I

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Speaker 1: just read about home teams, home favorites, road dogs, yeah all.

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Speaker 2: Applies to this game.

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Speaker 1: I think I care less about Will Levis being the

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Speaker 1: quarterback than you do. To me, I feel like I'm

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Speaker 1: playing the spot and the coach not necessarily being afraid

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Speaker 1: of the quarterback.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm waiting on this one still. I still think

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Speaker 3: it has room to go up. I just believe everyone's

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Speaker 3: gonna come in with their teasers, their money line parlays

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Speaker 3: the public Will I'm hoping they'll keep driving this up

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Speaker 3: to seven. And that's what I'll come in with you, Chad.

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Speaker 3: So I'm with you, like, I'm not gonna make it

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Speaker 3: the biggest deal.

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Speaker 4: I just.

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Speaker 3: I said, all the time, we make these draft grades

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Speaker 3: and then you know not that it's like, oh, look,

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Speaker 3: how right I am. But it's like there's a reason

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Speaker 3: a lot of people had a second round grade on

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Speaker 3: Will Levis, Like you see the flashes of the things

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Speaker 3: he does great and then the things he does really bad,

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Speaker 3: and you know that's that's a problem. So I'm right

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Speaker 3: there with you where it's like, do I think the

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Speaker 3: kick and make one or two big plays for us?

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Speaker 3: I do, honestly, Like I've seen him make some throws

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Speaker 3: that are really impressive, and you know that combo with

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Speaker 3: him and Hopkins that's a real thing. So I can't

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Speaker 3: fall off you chat. I'm just my advice. Would we

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Speaker 3: just keep waiting, Like I think this could go up

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Speaker 3: to seven? So I'll keep waiting. Hopefully it goes up

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Speaker 3: to seven.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so far, I haven't bet it. I've been holding off.

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Speaker 1: I actually feel like last week was a weird week

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Speaker 1: because I was traveling in Copenhagen and I left on Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: I made so many more bets earlier in the week

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Speaker 1: than I.

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Speaker 3: Normally would right before you left, right before I.

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Speaker 1: Left, and then I made too many bets on Sunday

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Speaker 1: and ended up not having a great week because I

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Speaker 1: made stupid bets on Sunday because I was trying to

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Speaker 1: catch up to things. And so this week I'm being

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Speaker 1: I'm trying to be very thoughtful. Also, I think it's

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Speaker 1: a little bit as you said or tried to say,

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Speaker 1: but I won't let you say.

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Speaker 2: Sp it's a.

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Speaker 1: Little bit easier this week. I've made like four or

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Speaker 1: five bets, but I haven't. That's not one of them yet. Also,

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Speaker 1: not one of them is the Chargers minus three at

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Speaker 1: Green Bay Lines moved down by half a point. I've

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Speaker 1: got a theory on bad quarterbacks. Okay, tell me what

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Speaker 1: you think of this.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, when it's time to bet them, there are the

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Speaker 4: backup quarterbacks who are catching a spot which we have

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Speaker 4: not been uncomfortable doing that in the past years.

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Speaker 2: PJ.

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Speaker 1: Walker is an example of that, right, Gardner Minshew has

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Speaker 1: been an example of that. Then there are the serviceable

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Speaker 1: qbs who can keep the back door open in the

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Speaker 1: right spot, Taylor Heineke, Josh Bobbs, like they're sort of.

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Speaker 2: In that realm.

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Speaker 1: Then you get to the qbs who cannot execute and

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Speaker 1: their lack of skill overpowers the spot. Mac Jones is

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Speaker 1: one of those guys, Okay, Zach Wilson is kind of

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Speaker 1: becoming one of those guys. Is Jordan Love one of

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Speaker 1: those guys?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? I don't know to deal with it though, because

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Speaker 3: I went back and watched that tape from that Pittsburgh game,

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Speaker 3: and you know, not that it's his best game he

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Speaker 3: ever played, right, and maybe that's still the Week one

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Speaker 3: against the Bears where it's like he threw for three

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Speaker 3: touchdowns and it was all wide open guys and really

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Speaker 3: simple reads. But in that Pittsburgh game, you know, he

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Speaker 3: was finally thrown to guys who weren't wide open like

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Speaker 3: he was throwing to like trusting his receivers, thrown into coverage,

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Speaker 3: not holding onto the ball for so long. But then

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Speaker 3: the second half he kind of reverted back to that

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Speaker 3: where he's like holding on to the ball for he's indecisive.

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Speaker 3: You can just tell he's nervous and he's not comfortable.

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Speaker 3: And you know, maybe it does come down that missed

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Speaker 3: extra point, right, because if they just needed a field goal,

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Speaker 3: he had the team in the position to kick a

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Speaker 3: field goal right to go to overtime, but they needed

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Speaker 3: a touchdown. And it's like, I think even Green Bay

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Speaker 3: fans felt that. It's like you had no real faith

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Speaker 3: that that guy was going to drive the field and

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Speaker 3: score a touchdown there. And that's what's so tough here.

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Speaker 3: It's like, if we're going off this number of stinks

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Speaker 3: and we should be taking a side, it's green Bay, right,

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Speaker 3: Like the Chargers are a better team. They have a

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Speaker 3: much better quarterback, much better offense. You know, green Bay's

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Speaker 3: defense stops nobody really, especially good offenses. So weird number.

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Speaker 3: But I'll just I'll stay away because I want to

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Speaker 3: take Green Bay. But Chad's right, we already missed the

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Speaker 3: three and a half. I'm not taking the three here,

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Speaker 3: like forget that. I'll wait and hope it gets back

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Speaker 3: to three and a half, or I just won't bet

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Speaker 3: this game because I hate it, to be honest.

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Speaker 1: Yep, dude, I think we're going to line up nicely

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Speaker 1: this week. I don't know if there's going to be

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Speaker 1: any crazy midnight calls to change everything to get us

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Speaker 1: through a place which is essentially the same as we

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Speaker 1: would be if we didn't change anything. But I like

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Speaker 1: the way we're trending right now because I don't like

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Speaker 1: that game either. All right, another one of our games.

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Speaker 1: We got not only seven divisional games, we've got five

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Speaker 1: double digit underdogs this week. The New York Giants plus

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Speaker 1: ten at Washington is one of them. Remember that soliloquy

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Speaker 1: I just gave about bad quarterbacks? Yeah, forget it, because

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Speaker 1: how was this not a prime Giant spot. There's so

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Speaker 1: much there's so much inflation. The Commanders are not the Cowboys, okay.

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Speaker 1: And then Brandon Anderson, who you know, we got to

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Speaker 1: give him his flowers because he had the Texans to

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Speaker 1: win the division in one of our preseason pods. But

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Speaker 1: he's also been nailing these hot reads that he does

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Speaker 1: in his Sunday night wrap up segment on the Action Pod.

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Speaker 1: Everyone should go download it with Joe Golan and our

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Speaker 1: very own Evan Abrams they review every game from Sunday

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Speaker 1: to a little bit of a preview for Monday, and

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Speaker 1: Brandon Anderson will do a segment in which he looks

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Speaker 1: ahead at the lines for this week, always picks a

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Speaker 1: couple of games. He went in on the Giants plus

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Speaker 1: ten at Washington. And here's a stat, okay, going back

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Speaker 1: about twenty years, underdogs with a margin of loss essentially

361
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Speaker 1: of fourteen or worse from week five forward sixty six

362
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Speaker 1: percent against the spread, seventy three percent if they're on

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Speaker 1: the road. So the Giants like, not only is it

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Speaker 1: all those divisional stats, but then they have sort of

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Speaker 1: a another stat that supports it. It's not my favorite

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Speaker 1: double digit dog of the week, it's not my second

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Speaker 1: favorite double digit dog of the week, but it is

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Speaker 1: a double digit dog of the week that is interesting

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Speaker 1: to me.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know. Even the stats can't convince me.

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Speaker 3: I'm all Washington. I just the Giants are. They're dead.

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Speaker 3: They're dead. They got nothing, they got nothing at the

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Speaker 3: quarterback position. I already talked about this guy. He's part

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Speaker 3: of the new NFL. Right, you bring in a third

375
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Speaker 3: stringer out of college, you're paying ten bucks an hour.

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Speaker 3: Let him sit on the back of the bench.

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Speaker 1: With his mom, eat some chicken cutlets.

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Speaker 3: Bring us, bring us Starbucks in the morning, to the

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Speaker 3: quarterback room. That was this kid's life. And then their

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Speaker 3: quarterback went down. Then Tyrod Taylor went down. It's like

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Speaker 3: they're playing a true third stringer. This kid, he's horrible

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Speaker 3: passing the ball, but I mean he found it where

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Speaker 3: he figured out, oh, I can run, like I can

384
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Speaker 3: run the ball. He is going to survive maybe two

385
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Speaker 3: more weeks. This guy is going to get caught eventually.

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Speaker 3: So he's gonna run and a linebacker is going to

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Speaker 3: get a clean hit on him, and that's the end

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Speaker 3: of the Vito Like, that's just the end of the story.

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Speaker 3: So I want to be there with Chad, like I

390
00:19:38,320 --> 00:19:42,439
Speaker 3: think Washington just keeps covering like they I mean, yeah,

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Speaker 3: like every it feels like every week this team somehow covers,

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Speaker 3: and I just I keep believing in this offense like

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Speaker 3: being of me. I love him. I love this offense

394
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Speaker 3: so much. I love his schemes. Like everything he said

395
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Speaker 3: is so true that he was not getting his due

396
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Speaker 3: process just because everyone thought I was any reading Patrick

397
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Speaker 3: w homes in Kansas City and now look at them

398
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Speaker 3: since he's left. Look at that offense and how different

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Speaker 3: it is this year compared to the previous seasons, and

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Speaker 3: I love him. I love Washington's offensive schemes so much

401
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Speaker 3: like fire Ron Rivera. Make this man your a head coach.

402
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Speaker 3: He is the future. Like this guy, He's just so

403
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Speaker 3: offensively gifted. And I don't see the Giants. Yeah, they

404
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Speaker 3: have some guys on their defense that can get some stops,

405
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Speaker 3: but I don't know how they can keep up with

406
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Speaker 3: an offense here in Washington. So I do love some

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Speaker 3: double digit dogs and I'm with chatting a couple of them.

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Speaker 3: This is not one I like Washington here.

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Speaker 1: For the record, I haven't pulled the trigger in the

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Speaker 1: Giants yet either, because I don't know how they're gonna.

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Speaker 3: I didn't bet this game either. I just know I

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Speaker 3: won't be on Giants.

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Speaker 4: Ye.

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Speaker 1: Sam Howell, who, by the way, you highlighted in one

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Speaker 1: of our YouTube exclusive Favorite Film Room sessions which we

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Speaker 1: will post another one tomorrow. You highly lighted Sam Howell

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Speaker 1: leading the league in passing yards right now?

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Speaker 3: Is he really?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

420
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Speaker 3: That is insane. If they can get some offensive linemen,

421
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Speaker 3: this dude could be the guy, Like we don't know

422
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Speaker 3: and Stroud's number two, says Evan. That's crazy. If someone

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Speaker 3: had told you this back in August, holy shit. I

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Speaker 3: love football. Yeah, this year is everything I love about football.

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Speaker 3: It's just everyone's just crazy. It's just craziness.

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Speaker 2: Las Vegas at Miami. Huge move.

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Speaker 1: Miami is a twelve point favorite right now. Huge mood

428
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Speaker 1: of the past twenty four hours. It was as low

429
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Speaker 1: as nine, now it's up to twelve. There was a

430
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Speaker 1: little bit of buyback on the Raiders yesterday and then

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Speaker 1: it popped back again today to twelve.

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Speaker 2: At that three six five. You know how, there have

433
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Speaker 2: been a couple of times this year where.

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Speaker 1: We've leaned towards big favorites, which is completely outside of

435
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Speaker 1: our comfort zone. This feels like a spot where we

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Speaker 1: should be leaning towards Miami. This is when they beat

437
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Speaker 1: people up twelve and five against bad teams in the

438
00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:56,800
Speaker 1: start of the season. The Raiders should not have won

439
00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:02,720
Speaker 1: on Sunday night. I'm a in sort of Antonio Pears

440
00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:08,480
Speaker 1: and Aidan O'Connell like they should destroy the Raiders. We

441
00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:11,080
Speaker 1: like Miami at minus twelve. We're not afraid of this number.

442
00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:12,560
Speaker 4: Now.

443
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:15,520
Speaker 3: I was gonna saying, Hi, it's me I'm the problem.

444
00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:17,679
Speaker 3: It's me. I'm the one that bet this up. Like

445
00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:21,560
Speaker 3: when this number did below ten, I was all over Miami, like,

446
00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:26,119
Speaker 3: what what is this? This Raiders love? It's Miami at

447
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:27,960
Speaker 3: home against the bad team. Me and Chad have already

448
00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:30,840
Speaker 3: talked about this. It's just I'm happy to fade Miami

449
00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:33,320
Speaker 3: in different spots against good teams. On the road, it's

450
00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:36,960
Speaker 3: all different. There is no doubt like this Miami team.

451
00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:39,000
Speaker 3: Maybe we won't cover this one, but I'm telling you,

452
00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:41,640
Speaker 3: over our lifespan and we keep taking TUA at home

453
00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 3: against bad teams, it's gonna pay us out. And this

454
00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 3: feels like one of those spots. So it's still below thirteen,

455
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:49,720
Speaker 3: a key number, people, I have no problem with you

456
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:52,760
Speaker 3: grabbing the twelve. Fuck should I make this? Simon says,

457
00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:56,560
Speaker 3: all right, go for it, call it. I just feel

458
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:59,040
Speaker 3: I'm like feeling guilty just because of what happened last

459
00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:03,640
Speaker 3: week with the bank. I'm looking at Miami's injury reporting.

460
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:06,840
Speaker 3: I'm not seeing Tyreek or Waddell. Yes, I know it's

461
00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:09,320
Speaker 3: early in the week, people, but I'm grab grab Miami

462
00:23:09,320 --> 00:23:12,680
Speaker 3: now that it's under thirteen. Simon says, Miami minus twelve

463
00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:17,200
Speaker 3: when Simon says, do it, we do what science says.

464
00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:22,639
Speaker 1: Wow, we are going with a big, big favorite. Honest

465
00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:25,280
Speaker 1: to god, we've never got We barely gone with favorites,

466
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:27,480
Speaker 1: let alone two weeks in a row, let alone a favorite.

467
00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:30,520
Speaker 3: I know minus twelve it's such a key number.

468
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:33,199
Speaker 1: This is what I mean, though, Simon, I feel like

469
00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:35,840
Speaker 1: you and I are in a mind meld because all

470
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:38,440
Speaker 1: these games are games that we agree on.

471
00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:41,920
Speaker 2: This could only lead to disaster. Two is nine.

472
00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:43,240
Speaker 3: Those are our best weeks.

473
00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:45,679
Speaker 1: Two is nine or oh, straight up seven and two

474
00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:49,640
Speaker 1: against the spread as a favorite of over four. It's

475
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:52,960
Speaker 1: like the Cowboys lead from the front. They're playing at home.

476
00:23:53,560 --> 00:23:55,600
Speaker 1: They tend to cover those games. They tend to cover

477
00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 1: those big spreads, Arizona to Houston. This game when we

478
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:02,000
Speaker 1: talk about it on Sunday night was five and a half.

479
00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:05,160
Speaker 1: You were hoping it might get to six. It has

480
00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:08,439
Speaker 1: since gone down to four three and a half in

481
00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:11,919
Speaker 1: some places. To me, from what I'm seeing, and I

482
00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,560
Speaker 1: want you to sort of tell the narrative here. I've

483
00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:18,040
Speaker 1: seen the public come in big on the Cardinals, and

484
00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 1: I want to know what you've seen that would make

485
00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:23,720
Speaker 1: this line move the way it has.

486
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:26,960
Speaker 3: Well it's pros just like me. I think I think

487
00:24:27,080 --> 00:24:30,199
Speaker 3: almost all the professionals. Even last week, I felt like

488
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:32,240
Speaker 3: only the pros were on the Cardinals on the over

489
00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:35,159
Speaker 3: and it's just because everyone felt like in the public

490
00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:38,320
Speaker 3: sphere kind of turned Kyler Murray into a joke, right,

491
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:42,760
Speaker 3: like he became a punchline. And I don't know, maybe

492
00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:44,480
Speaker 3: it was because they thought it'd be rusty or just

493
00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:49,440
Speaker 3: whatever it was, but we saw I mean, everyone's seen

494
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:52,520
Speaker 3: that overhead shot of Kyler scrambling for thirty yards. It's like,

495
00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:55,480
Speaker 3: it's what makes him so special. He's one of the

496
00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:58,200
Speaker 3: best athletes to ever play the game. Like the only

497
00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:00,880
Speaker 3: thing holding him back is his height. But in an

498
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,280
Speaker 3: offense where you're gettinghim outside the pocket and you're running

499
00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:07,719
Speaker 3: these you know RPO plays with him, He's dynamic like

500
00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:11,080
Speaker 3: him and Connor in that backfield together looked so impressive

501
00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:15,200
Speaker 3: last week. And yeah, I know it's the Atlanta Falcons,

502
00:25:15,280 --> 00:25:19,840
Speaker 3: but we're really crowning Houston Texans here in week eleven,

503
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:23,320
Speaker 3: Week twelve, Like it's it's too much love. So I'm

504
00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:25,879
Speaker 3: pissed the pros came in and they bet this down

505
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:29,080
Speaker 3: so much. But yeah, grabbed the four grabbed the three

506
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:30,560
Speaker 3: and a half, Like, if this is three and a

507
00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:32,680
Speaker 3: half or four four and a half in our contest,

508
00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:35,159
Speaker 3: it's a guarantee. It's a guarantee this will be in

509
00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 3: And it's no slight against Houston. It's just at some

510
00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:44,760
Speaker 3: point CAJ has to come back down to earth. There's

511
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:46,879
Speaker 3: a reason we've never seen anything like this, Like you

512
00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:51,199
Speaker 3: don't see rookies performed like this. And the last one

513
00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:53,240
Speaker 3: I can really think of is Dak, Like I remember

514
00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:58,280
Speaker 3: Dak with that Cowboys offense, was Zeke fl Like Zeke

515
00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:01,159
Speaker 3: and Dak were both in the conversation for MVP at

516
00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:03,159
Speaker 3: one point, like they were just that good that year,

517
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:07,400
Speaker 3: the rookie season together. You know, it's crazy how good

518
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:10,840
Speaker 3: this Houston team is. But you know Arizona's a different

519
00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:13,440
Speaker 3: team with Kyler, Like you just saw too after the game,

520
00:26:13,520 --> 00:26:16,160
Speaker 3: Like the belief of all the players, everybody just believes

521
00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:19,680
Speaker 3: in the sky. So maybe I'm stepping in it, right, Chad,

522
00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:22,720
Speaker 3: That's always the fear here where it's like I'm backing

523
00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:25,160
Speaker 3: an Arizona team that just had a huge emotional win.

524
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:28,760
Speaker 3: But I could say the same exact thing about Houston.

525
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:30,520
Speaker 3: It's like they just won a game that shouldn't have

526
00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:33,719
Speaker 3: won on the road. It's not just because boy dropped

527
00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:35,080
Speaker 3: that ball, right. I know a lot of people want

528
00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:36,680
Speaker 3: to throw it to like boy dropped the touchdown that

529
00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:40,400
Speaker 3: shouldn't have been what it was. CJ is that guy man.

530
00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:42,720
Speaker 3: CJ is the one making these drives, throwing the ball

531
00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:45,239
Speaker 3: coming down the field. So who knows if this will

532
00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:47,040
Speaker 3: end up in our round robin. Maybe it will, but

533
00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:48,919
Speaker 3: I am that scared to CJ. But I have to

534
00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:52,200
Speaker 3: take these points. Like go through CJ's history, he tends

535
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 3: to play really close games. So look, looking at this number,

536
00:26:55,800 --> 00:26:58,600
Speaker 3: it feels like this is the spot to take. And

537
00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:01,120
Speaker 3: you know, again, I feel I'm so lucky last week

538
00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:03,720
Speaker 3: that we dodged getting the Bengals out, and I feel

539
00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:05,639
Speaker 3: bad for everyone that listened to us and back. But

540
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:09,440
Speaker 3: trust me, this week, please like you're getting a good

541
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:12,280
Speaker 3: number here. You want to take the three and a

542
00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:14,639
Speaker 3: half the four while you still can. So.

543
00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:16,399
Speaker 2: CJ.

544
00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 1: Shroud has won five games this season. Historically, Ohio State

545
00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:23,840
Speaker 1: quarterbacks not very good in the NFL. Here's a stat

546
00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:27,480
Speaker 1: that proves it. The five wins tied for the most

547
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:32,359
Speaker 1: single season NFL wins for any Ohio State quarterback. Ever,

548
00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:38,000
Speaker 1: sadly that includes Justin Fields, the only Ohio State quarterback

549
00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:43,400
Speaker 1: to get five wins. Oh my god, nineteen nineties icon

550
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:48,320
Speaker 1: Kent Graham, who I have a very special feeling for

551
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:52,680
Speaker 1: because Kent Graham, who's older than I am, was an

552
00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:56,840
Speaker 1: All American quarterback from the suburbs of Chicago who was

553
00:27:56,880 --> 00:28:00,280
Speaker 1: the most highly recruited player in his class and then

554
00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:03,320
Speaker 1: went to Notre Dame and then transferred to Ohio State,

555
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:05,639
Speaker 1: and everybody in the north shore of Chicago, in the

556
00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:10,080
Speaker 1: northern suburbs was like, oh my god, someone we actually

557
00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:13,000
Speaker 1: could see play a football field in high school is

558
00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:15,280
Speaker 1: considered the best high school football player in the country.

559
00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,960
Speaker 1: He's the only other guy from Ohio State who won

560
00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:20,480
Speaker 1: five games in a season in the NFL.

561
00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:23,200
Speaker 3: That's an incredible stat. You just think of the thinking about

562
00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:26,719
Speaker 3: all these incredible athletes have come out of there. I mean,

563
00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 3: we'rell prior all these guys. I can't believe none of

564
00:28:29,320 --> 00:28:30,879
Speaker 3: them ever got the five wins. Wow.

565
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:33,720
Speaker 1: Also, here's here's another stat to back up what you

566
00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:36,560
Speaker 1: love and why there's there's a little bit of inflation

567
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:39,520
Speaker 1: on Houston, not just because of CJ teams coming off

568
00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:41,680
Speaker 1: of five hundred plus yards of offense playing at home

569
00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:46,520
Speaker 1: in their next game, seventy one ninety two against the

570
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:46,920
Speaker 1: spread the.

571
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:50,800
Speaker 2: Last twenty years like that. Only two teams.

572
00:28:50,560 --> 00:28:53,840
Speaker 1: Fit that bill this week, and we just talked about

573
00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:55,840
Speaker 1: one of them, and we just talked about fading one

574
00:28:55,840 --> 00:29:00,320
Speaker 1: of them, the Houston Texans. The other team the game

575
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:03,120
Speaker 1: we're going to talk about next, Chicago Bears at the

576
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:08,920
Speaker 1: Detroit Lions. The Bears are ten point underdogs. I love

577
00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:12,800
Speaker 1: this game. Yep, love this game. Love this game. I'm

578
00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:15,080
Speaker 1: debating between this game and one other game is my

579
00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:19,120
Speaker 1: exec decision. I raised this one on Sunday night when

580
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:19,720
Speaker 1: it was nine.

581
00:29:21,040 --> 00:29:22,200
Speaker 2: I like the Bears another game.

582
00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:22,920
Speaker 3: I told you to wait.

583
00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:25,280
Speaker 1: I was just going to say that. I was going

584
00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:28,040
Speaker 1: to I like the Bears. You're like, hold your horses,

585
00:29:28,480 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 1: don't be crazy. You thought, well, just wait.

586
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:33,480
Speaker 3: The public loves the Lions, right.

587
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:34,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, you're you were totally right.

588
00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:35,200
Speaker 4: Yeah.

589
00:29:35,520 --> 00:29:37,640
Speaker 1: It got to ten and a half on Monday. There's

590
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:39,320
Speaker 1: a little bit of buy back. It settled to ten.

591
00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 1: It's still a ten. I bet this game We're going

592
00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:45,080
Speaker 1: to be one of our biggest luck matchups of the week.

593
00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:49,720
Speaker 1: Oh really, another signal to bet the Bears. All those

594
00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 1: division stats right, all the division stats that I've mentioned

595
00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:59,480
Speaker 1: it Bears repeating in this game the where are we

596
00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:02,280
Speaker 1: home teams in the division since twenty fifteen? So the

597
00:30:02,320 --> 00:30:06,120
Speaker 1: Lions in the spot covering in forty seven percent, home

598
00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:09,240
Speaker 1: favorites in the divisions in twenty fifteen covering it forty

599
00:30:09,280 --> 00:30:14,920
Speaker 1: five percent. This is the spot, you bet the Bears

600
00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:17,440
Speaker 1: just saying it gotta do it.

601
00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:20,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm right there with you. Love love the Bears

602
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:23,640
Speaker 3: of this number. Another crazy stat from our guy, Evan

603
00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 3: Golf has covered eleven straight games against NFC North teams.

604
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:32,800
Speaker 3: Pretty pretty insane run by this Lions team right now.

605
00:30:32,840 --> 00:30:36,000
Speaker 3: In this division, we got.

606
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:37,960
Speaker 2: Inflation on the Lions.

607
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:42,600
Speaker 1: We got Justin Fields potentially coming back. I did, I

608
00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:45,680
Speaker 1: may or may not, Simon, Maybe I did, maybe I didn't,

609
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 1: and no one can judge me if I did.

610
00:30:47,760 --> 00:30:48,520
Speaker 2: I may or may not.

611
00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 1: Watched practice video from the Bears yesterday, may or may

612
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:56,440
Speaker 1: not have seen Justin Fields taking snaps, dropping back and

613
00:30:56,440 --> 00:30:59,280
Speaker 1: then getting hit on his thumb with those little foam

614
00:30:59,320 --> 00:30:59,960
Speaker 1: tackle things.

615
00:31:01,120 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 2: So clearly he's ready. I'm kidding.

616
00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:06,080
Speaker 1: Don't take that as betting advice that he's gonna be playing,

617
00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 1: but we like the Bears either way.

618
00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:11,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, and if it does, if it is not him,

619
00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:14,320
Speaker 3: I'm okay by not my position, Like I'm not gonna

620
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:16,000
Speaker 3: have a ton of money on this one. Chat already said,

621
00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:18,000
Speaker 3: I already missed the ten and a half, like the

622
00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:20,440
Speaker 3: pros that got that. I gotta be feeling great. I'll

623
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:22,240
Speaker 3: grab the ten where I can. But now my hope

624
00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:23,720
Speaker 3: is just that it does go back up at ten

625
00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:27,520
Speaker 3: and a half. But yeah, if it's no fields, probably

626
00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:30,360
Speaker 3: go up another three points, right, probably gets up to twelve,

627
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:31,200
Speaker 3: maybe thirteen.

628
00:31:32,120 --> 00:31:33,880
Speaker 2: So I would still take the Bears.

629
00:31:34,280 --> 00:31:34,960
Speaker 3: You would.

630
00:31:35,320 --> 00:31:40,880
Speaker 2: It's the spot, This is yeah, this is what we're like.

631
00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:46,040
Speaker 1: Look these division games, they're so unpredictable. There's so much familiarity,

632
00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 1: there's so much more intention in the way the teams play.

633
00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:53,600
Speaker 1: Winning a game in the division, which for the Bears

634
00:31:53,600 --> 00:31:56,440
Speaker 1: won't matter, but for the Lions will. It's like winning

635
00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:59,560
Speaker 1: a game and a half, and so there's a lot

636
00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:03,080
Speaker 1: more time, a lot more opportunity to make mistakes. Everything

637
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:07,000
Speaker 1: is amplified a little bit, like this is the spot

638
00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:08,040
Speaker 1: you take the underdog.

639
00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:11,800
Speaker 3: Yeah it's fair, it's fair, But yeah, I would just

640
00:32:11,800 --> 00:32:13,920
Speaker 3: that's just my voice to people, it's like grab the ten.

641
00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:16,920
Speaker 3: But yeah, the hope for us everyone is that this

642
00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:18,120
Speaker 3: gets back to ten and a half.

643
00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:22,560
Speaker 1: You know what, No, I can't do it yet. There

644
00:32:22,600 --> 00:32:25,560
Speaker 1: you go, I can't do it yet because I really

645
00:32:25,560 --> 00:32:29,840
Speaker 1: want to know about justin fields. Exec decision time. Pittsburgh

646
00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:33,800
Speaker 1: Steelers plus four at the Cleveland Browns.

647
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:38,000
Speaker 3: The choice between the unthinkable and the impossible? Are you

648
00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:42,000
Speaker 3: have your owners text to executive decision.

649
00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 1: We bet the Steelers when it was four and a half.

650
00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:48,160
Speaker 1: We bet the Steelers last week against Green Bay. Did

651
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:48,800
Speaker 1: we get lucky?

652
00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:51,800
Speaker 2: Maybe? Is this the way this team plays?

653
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:55,560
Speaker 1: Probably? But from a football point of view, one of

654
00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:59,320
Speaker 1: the reasons I liked Cleveland against Baltimore last week, and

655
00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:02,000
Speaker 1: why when there were all those injuries and stuff going on,

656
00:33:02,160 --> 00:33:05,680
Speaker 1: I never backed out of my position. I Cleveland plus five,

657
00:33:05,760 --> 00:33:08,719
Speaker 1: Cleveland plus six didn't change anything. Didn't bet on Baltimore

658
00:33:09,320 --> 00:33:11,520
Speaker 1: isn't because of their offense. It's because of their playmakers

659
00:33:11,520 --> 00:33:13,840
Speaker 1: on defense. They just have more of them on the

660
00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:17,560
Speaker 1: d line who can rush the passer, and that mattered

661
00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:21,120
Speaker 1: against Baltimore in the second half, especially Miles Garrett was dominant,

662
00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:27,560
Speaker 1: and that advantage that the Browns have is neutralized this

663
00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:33,120
Speaker 1: week because the Steelers have three pass rushers grading out

664
00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:36,520
Speaker 1: as top twenty in the NFL according to Pro Football Focus.

665
00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:38,080
Speaker 1: That is the most in the NFL. It's more than

666
00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:41,400
Speaker 1: the Browns. To me, we've seen it every single week.

667
00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:44,760
Speaker 1: As bad as Kenny Pickett is, you see someone on

668
00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:47,480
Speaker 1: the Steelers defensive line or in as one of their

669
00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:51,120
Speaker 1: linebackers making a big play as a pass rusher that

670
00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:53,080
Speaker 1: keeps them in the game. So we have all that,

671
00:33:53,560 --> 00:33:57,600
Speaker 1: plus we have the division stats, massive, massive game for

672
00:33:57,640 --> 00:33:58,280
Speaker 1: both teams.

673
00:33:59,160 --> 00:33:59,880
Speaker 2: Exect decision.

674
00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:07,000
Speaker 3: I gotta bet my Tom and catch it full o

675
00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:14,040
Speaker 3: A loss it home. YA couldn't ask for now, A

676
00:34:14,080 --> 00:34:19,120
Speaker 3: big strong drink. I'm gonna for a way We're gonna

677
00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:24,120
Speaker 3: sort because I gotta bet Mike tomline catches for.

678
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:29,400
Speaker 2: Did I overwhelm you?

679
00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:32,280
Speaker 3: I don't know to say it. I love you, Chatty

680
00:34:32,400 --> 00:34:34,640
Speaker 3: the best. I have to take Pittsburgh. I have no choice.

681
00:34:34,880 --> 00:34:36,880
Speaker 3: This is like everything we preach, we talk about all

682
00:34:36,920 --> 00:34:40,640
Speaker 3: the time. We'll be on Pittsburgh and they'll be There'll

683
00:34:40,680 --> 00:34:42,480
Speaker 3: be in our money line around Robin like this is

684
00:34:42,560 --> 00:34:45,200
Speaker 3: just this is how this stupid division works, and this

685
00:34:45,320 --> 00:34:47,560
Speaker 3: is what we do with this division, maybe we'll get

686
00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:49,799
Speaker 3: burned here, Right, if if Watson did find something that

687
00:34:49,880 --> 00:34:52,759
Speaker 3: second half and he is what he was his old self,

688
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:54,359
Speaker 3: which is exactly what he looked like in that game.

689
00:34:54,400 --> 00:34:58,080
Speaker 3: I mean, he was making off balanced, one footed throws

690
00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:01,440
Speaker 3: across his body right on to the money across the field,

691
00:35:01,520 --> 00:35:04,320
Speaker 3: like he was really in his bag in that second half.

692
00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:07,200
Speaker 3: And if he found something there, this bets toast me

693
00:35:07,200 --> 00:35:09,480
Speaker 3: and me and Chat are dead on arrival, like if

694
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:13,879
Speaker 3: they're still shootout. Pittsburgh is not built being a shootout, right.

695
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:18,280
Speaker 3: They are the worst offensively challenged teams we've ever seen.

696
00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:21,279
Speaker 3: And I mean everyone's going to see the stat It's

697
00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:24,040
Speaker 3: like they've been outgained every week. You have you heard

698
00:35:24,080 --> 00:35:27,080
Speaker 3: this stat Chat every every week they've been outgained, Like

699
00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:29,759
Speaker 3: do these people don't understand that yards really are irrelevant.

700
00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:31,520
Speaker 3: Yards don't matter in football. You can get all the

701
00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:35,040
Speaker 3: yards in the world. If you can't score, it's all fugazy,

702
00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:38,560
Speaker 3: Like if you're kicking threes instead of again sevens, you lose.

703
00:35:38,760 --> 00:35:40,840
Speaker 3: And as much shit as you want to give the

704
00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:44,600
Speaker 3: Pittsburgh in these games, they get the sevens when they

705
00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:46,479
Speaker 3: need it, and that's why they've been winning these really

706
00:35:46,520 --> 00:35:48,680
Speaker 3: close games. I mean the Ravens is a great example,

707
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:51,440
Speaker 3: Like they just stayed in the game, right, They stayed

708
00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:53,399
Speaker 3: in it. They held the Ravens to a field goal.

709
00:35:53,400 --> 00:35:55,080
Speaker 3: I think it was ten to three at one point,

710
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:57,600
Speaker 3: they get their own touchdown, they get their own two pointers,

711
00:35:57,600 --> 00:35:59,200
Speaker 3: then they get another takeaway, and then they get their

712
00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:01,840
Speaker 3: own touchdown again and it's like bam, you're up seventeen

713
00:36:01,840 --> 00:36:05,479
Speaker 3: to ten. That game's over. Right, So this Pittsburgh team,

714
00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:08,719
Speaker 3: they just win ugly and we can again we said it,

715
00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:10,719
Speaker 3: we could get burned here. But how do you if

716
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:12,359
Speaker 3: you love this show and you love what we do,

717
00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:14,080
Speaker 3: you have to take this game with us. This is

718
00:36:14,160 --> 00:36:16,680
Speaker 3: just what this show is all about. We take an

719
00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:20,000
Speaker 3: ugly number here on a divisional dog and not shocking

720
00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:22,040
Speaker 3: anyone I'm looking at right now in the app the

721
00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:25,239
Speaker 3: money of the bets coming on the Browns. But what

722
00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:28,480
Speaker 3: the numbers come down. That's sharp movement, that's that's real

723
00:36:28,520 --> 00:36:31,480
Speaker 3: professional money. So wouldn't be shocked to see this get

724
00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:33,360
Speaker 3: down to three and a half. But uh yeah, you

725
00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:35,000
Speaker 3: got to be happy to grab the four like Chad's

726
00:36:35,000 --> 00:36:37,240
Speaker 3: making this exact decision. Grab the four.

727
00:36:37,080 --> 00:36:40,479
Speaker 1: Now reverse line move that's what that one is called.

728
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:44,000
Speaker 1: Here's another stat. Here's another stat from evan Division dogs

729
00:36:44,040 --> 00:36:47,520
Speaker 1: the last twenty years on the road. Ninety games over

730
00:36:47,600 --> 00:36:53,880
Speaker 1: five hundred Division Dogs on the road since twenty nineteen,

731
00:36:55,040 --> 00:36:56,480
Speaker 1: fifty against the spread.

732
00:36:56,920 --> 00:36:57,759
Speaker 3: So love it.

733
00:36:58,160 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 1: Everything's lining up for us there, It's all going our way.

734
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:10,279
Speaker 1: Simon Dallas at Carolina, Yes, please give me Carolina. Of

735
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:13,160
Speaker 1: all the double dog, double digit dogs this week, this

736
00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:17,080
Speaker 1: one feels like most traditionally, like the one we would

737
00:37:17,080 --> 00:37:20,200
Speaker 1: play double digit dog at home, a team that is

738
00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:23,200
Speaker 1: massively inflated. The look aheadline was six and a half,

739
00:37:24,120 --> 00:37:26,400
Speaker 1: only one win this year.

740
00:37:29,080 --> 00:37:31,040
Speaker 2: On the road. I think, did you did you give

741
00:37:31,080 --> 00:37:31,640
Speaker 2: me that stat?

742
00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:32,280
Speaker 3: Yeah?

743
00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:33,120
Speaker 4: We go through it.

744
00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:37,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, and like it's it's a huge pros Joe's game.

745
00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:40,720
Speaker 1: The bets are on the Cowboys, money on Carolina, and I'm.

746
00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:44,200
Speaker 3: Looking at the one of the most public books out there,

747
00:37:45,800 --> 00:37:48,959
Speaker 3: the bets ninety the money right now in Dallas. Again,

748
00:37:49,040 --> 00:37:51,040
Speaker 3: I said, this is an easy week. Half the time,

749
00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:52,359
Speaker 3: I don't even need to do the work. I wish

750
00:37:52,400 --> 00:37:55,680
Speaker 3: I didn't spend three hours breaking down the freaking Panthers

751
00:37:55,719 --> 00:37:57,560
Speaker 3: film the tray to convince myself. I just could have

752
00:37:57,600 --> 00:37:59,600
Speaker 3: done nothing, And I should have known I was gonna

753
00:37:59,600 --> 00:38:01,319
Speaker 3: be on the pant but I needed to really see

754
00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:04,160
Speaker 3: it to believe it. Dallas this year week when they

755
00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:06,040
Speaker 3: were on the road against the Giants, we all remember

756
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:08,759
Speaker 3: they beat them forty zhing. Everything went wrong for the

757
00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:11,480
Speaker 3: Giants in that game. The next road game they played

758
00:38:11,520 --> 00:38:14,080
Speaker 3: was at Arizona. They lost sixteen to twenty eight. Their

759
00:38:14,120 --> 00:38:16,080
Speaker 3: next road game after that was at the forty nine Ers,

760
00:38:16,080 --> 00:38:19,200
Speaker 3: they lost forty two to ten. After that, they're on

761
00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:21,640
Speaker 3: the road against the Chargers they won twenty to seventeen,

762
00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:24,239
Speaker 3: and then after that they're on the road against Philadelphia

763
00:38:24,280 --> 00:38:27,360
Speaker 3: they lost twenty eight to twenty three. So we've seen

764
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:32,200
Speaker 3: Cowboys this year dominant, incredible defense. Everything clicks at home.

765
00:38:32,800 --> 00:38:35,319
Speaker 3: On the road, you can clearly say it's different and

766
00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:38,360
Speaker 3: they face some challenges. Now go look at the Panthers

767
00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:40,279
Speaker 3: how they play at home compared to on the road.

768
00:38:40,760 --> 00:38:43,520
Speaker 3: Much better team at home, Like they're clearly comfortable there,

769
00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:46,279
Speaker 3: their defense plays better. It should be shocked to knowing

770
00:38:46,400 --> 00:38:49,080
Speaker 3: right the public is going to hammer this number. I

771
00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:51,600
Speaker 3: can't believe I'm gonna say this. I'll throw a little

772
00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:53,840
Speaker 3: on the Panthers' money line, like this might end up

773
00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:55,719
Speaker 3: in our round robin. Of all the big dogs here,

774
00:38:56,200 --> 00:38:58,759
Speaker 3: this is the one I could see somehow pulling.

775
00:38:58,520 --> 00:39:02,280
Speaker 2: Off the upset with you on the money line.

776
00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:05,000
Speaker 3: The cow was are the number three, number four team

777
00:39:05,040 --> 00:39:07,960
Speaker 3: in off NFC. But teams lay stinkers. We seen it

778
00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:10,080
Speaker 3: all the time. This is a bad spot. It's it's

779
00:39:10,080 --> 00:39:13,879
Speaker 3: smushing between two divisional games and it's on the road. Yeah,

780
00:39:13,960 --> 00:39:15,600
Speaker 3: Chad said, you got to hold your nose and throw

781
00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:18,080
Speaker 3: a little bet on that money line.

782
00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:20,720
Speaker 2: Just a dash, just a sprinkle, Simon.

783
00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:25,920
Speaker 1: I had such a headache before this podcast began, rare,

784
00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:32,120
Speaker 1: not one thousand percent enthusiasm bay for me, and you've

785
00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:36,120
Speaker 1: turned it around. You've made me happier. Just talking about

786
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:38,400
Speaker 1: this has made my headache go away.

787
00:39:38,960 --> 00:39:39,640
Speaker 3: That's why I'm here.

788
00:39:39,719 --> 00:39:43,839
Speaker 1: Chad Seattle at the Los Angeles Rams, another divisional game

789
00:39:44,800 --> 00:39:47,080
Speaker 1: we talked about on a Sunday night. We were wondering

790
00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:49,600
Speaker 1: who would play quarterback for the Rams. We now know

791
00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:52,080
Speaker 1: it's going to be Matthew Stafford. As soon as that

792
00:39:52,120 --> 00:39:53,879
Speaker 1: news hit, the line moved from two and a half

793
00:39:54,000 --> 00:39:56,920
Speaker 1: down to one. I don't have a huge read on

794
00:39:56,960 --> 00:40:01,480
Speaker 1: this game. I feel like the Rams are in good spots,

795
00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:04,399
Speaker 1: but Seattle, because Seattle's been underperforming.

796
00:40:04,960 --> 00:40:05,880
Speaker 2: I can't. I can't.

797
00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:10,480
Speaker 1: I can't find the reporting. If you like to approach

798
00:40:10,520 --> 00:40:12,200
Speaker 1: this from one way and I approach from another way,

799
00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:14,840
Speaker 1: I can't find the reporting to make me feel strongly

800
00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:15,560
Speaker 1: one way or the other.

801
00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:18,319
Speaker 3: Now I'm right there with you, Like I want to

802
00:40:18,360 --> 00:40:20,840
Speaker 3: take I told people want to show like if it

803
00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:22,200
Speaker 3: was going to be Seattle, I thought you were getting

804
00:40:22,200 --> 00:40:23,880
Speaker 3: a good number if it wasn't going to be Stafford,

805
00:40:23,880 --> 00:40:25,120
Speaker 3: because if we didn't know who the hell of Rams

806
00:40:25,200 --> 00:40:27,200
Speaker 3: quarter wreck was going to be, and it totally went

807
00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:29,239
Speaker 3: the other way. And they are saying that it is

808
00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:30,839
Speaker 3: going to be Stafford and that's why this numbers move

809
00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:33,680
Speaker 3: so much, and I don't know what to deal with it.

810
00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:35,600
Speaker 3: Like I want to take the Rams too, but I

811
00:40:35,640 --> 00:40:38,719
Speaker 3: hate the number, Like it feels like the values kind

812
00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:40,520
Speaker 3: of shifted towards the Seahawks. But I don't really want

813
00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:43,279
Speaker 3: to be taking the Seahawks. So yeah, no play on

814
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:45,200
Speaker 3: this one for me right now, dude.

815
00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:49,960
Speaker 1: We're not connected by a string right now. We're connected

816
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:57,040
Speaker 1: by like reinforced steel bars the New York Jets at

817
00:40:57,040 --> 00:41:01,279
Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills. This line is seven. Why does this

818
00:41:01,360 --> 00:41:02,200
Speaker 1: keep happening to us.

819
00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:03,600
Speaker 3: You don't have to do it. We're not doing it.

820
00:41:03,640 --> 00:41:05,800
Speaker 3: I'm not doing it to the fans. They can't I

821
00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:07,800
Speaker 3: can't take it. I'm not doing it to them. Dude.

822
00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:10,000
Speaker 1: I know you didn't look in the script because it

823
00:41:10,120 --> 00:41:14,000
Speaker 1: says we have to bag Zach Wilson in this spot,

824
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:16,279
Speaker 1: and we can't do it. It's a perfect we can't

825
00:41:16,280 --> 00:41:19,319
Speaker 1: do it. It's a pros Joe's game. All the bets

826
00:41:19,360 --> 00:41:21,160
Speaker 1: are on the Bills, all the money is on the Jets,

827
00:41:22,200 --> 00:41:27,200
Speaker 1: but Zach Wilson is officially in that category of doesn't matter.

828
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:29,440
Speaker 1: The spot cannot execute for me.

829
00:41:30,200 --> 00:41:32,560
Speaker 3: I'll be on the Jets, but I'm not the zero

830
00:41:32,719 --> 00:41:35,880
Speaker 3: chances will be one of our five. I am so

831
00:41:36,040 --> 00:41:38,920
Speaker 3: bitter about everything in that game went with the Jets,

832
00:41:39,160 --> 00:41:41,600
Speaker 3: and I want to blend the coach. I feel like

833
00:41:41,640 --> 00:41:42,600
Speaker 3: he's a fucking idiot.

834
00:41:42,600 --> 00:41:42,839
Speaker 2: Man.

835
00:41:43,080 --> 00:41:45,920
Speaker 3: It's like you have a game that's all being dictated

836
00:41:46,640 --> 00:41:49,880
Speaker 3: by punting. That entire game was dictated by the punters.

837
00:41:50,040 --> 00:41:53,799
Speaker 3: Like that. The Raiders punter did his job. He kept

838
00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:56,520
Speaker 3: pinning them back, kept letting them get the ball back.

839
00:41:56,560 --> 00:41:58,719
Speaker 3: They'd run three plays with their running back and then

840
00:41:58,760 --> 00:42:00,880
Speaker 3: kick a field goal. And that's how they and the

841
00:42:00,920 --> 00:42:03,520
Speaker 3: Jets thing pissed me off so much as this. How

842
00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:05,160
Speaker 3: do you not have someone on the sideline telling you

843
00:42:05,200 --> 00:42:07,560
Speaker 3: the math where It's like, as soon as they got

844
00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:11,120
Speaker 3: into field goal range on that possession, they should have

845
00:42:11,160 --> 00:42:13,480
Speaker 3: kicked the field goal. Then they kick the ball back,

846
00:42:13,600 --> 00:42:16,960
Speaker 3: use their three timeouts, get the ball back at say midfield,

847
00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:19,480
Speaker 3: like they would have or at their own forty have

848
00:42:19,640 --> 00:42:21,520
Speaker 3: Zach Wilson once again get you in a field goal,

849
00:42:21,560 --> 00:42:22,799
Speaker 3: ran and kick another field on and you would have

850
00:42:22,800 --> 00:42:25,640
Speaker 3: won that game. And you know, they were like, you

851
00:42:25,680 --> 00:42:28,200
Speaker 3: know what, I'm gonna trust Zach Wilson to get us

852
00:42:28,239 --> 00:42:30,960
Speaker 3: a touchdown here. And that was their first mistake, was

853
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:33,040
Speaker 3: believing a guy who hasn't scored a touchdown for them

854
00:42:33,040 --> 00:42:35,799
Speaker 3: in thirty quarters was gonna come in at the end

855
00:42:35,800 --> 00:42:37,600
Speaker 3: of the game and drive the field and get another touchdown.

856
00:42:37,719 --> 00:42:40,840
Speaker 3: So I'm with the fans. I am so bitter and

857
00:42:40,920 --> 00:42:43,560
Speaker 3: angry at this Jets team right now. I cannot make

858
00:42:43,560 --> 00:42:46,520
Speaker 3: it one of my five. But unfortunately Chad just said

859
00:42:46,520 --> 00:42:48,560
Speaker 3: it like I have to take the seven, I have

860
00:42:48,640 --> 00:42:53,200
Speaker 3: to bet the spot. I can't can't stand this fucking

861
00:42:53,280 --> 00:42:55,840
Speaker 3: team because they have so much talent on the defense,

862
00:42:56,400 --> 00:42:59,279
Speaker 3: such talent at the offensive weapons, and they just have

863
00:42:59,400 --> 00:43:02,680
Speaker 3: an absolutely dud at quarterback. Like again, they didn't go

864
00:43:02,680 --> 00:43:05,279
Speaker 3: get Dobbs. Dobbs went first seventh round pick. I mean,

865
00:43:05,360 --> 00:43:09,160
Speaker 3: just fire everyone, Like the owner has to be beside

866
00:43:09,239 --> 00:43:13,399
Speaker 3: himself watching this Vikings team, that offense. It's like this

867
00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:16,480
Speaker 3: guy was available for a seventh round pick, Like, what

868
00:43:16,520 --> 00:43:17,640
Speaker 3: the what are we doing?

869
00:43:18,160 --> 00:43:18,239
Speaker 4: What?

870
00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:21,040
Speaker 3: Because Zach Wilson drove the field against the Giants and

871
00:43:21,160 --> 00:43:24,000
Speaker 3: was able to get the luckiest ever overtime game I've

872
00:43:24,000 --> 00:43:26,560
Speaker 3: ever seen in my life. Like it's just crazy that

873
00:43:26,560 --> 00:43:29,280
Speaker 3: the Jets cupt convinced themselves to believe in Zach Wilson

874
00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:32,520
Speaker 3: and just a total waste of the season for this

875
00:43:32,640 --> 00:43:34,880
Speaker 3: Jets team and that you know, what can you do?

876
00:43:35,200 --> 00:43:37,720
Speaker 3: They got Rogers, he got injured, and you were stuck

877
00:43:37,719 --> 00:43:41,200
Speaker 3: again with your your just completely out of the league.

878
00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:43,000
Speaker 3: Second pick overall on Zach Wilson.

879
00:43:43,200 --> 00:43:45,400
Speaker 1: This will be a really interesting game for the Bills,

880
00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:48,600
Speaker 1: And I feel terrible for Matt Mitchell that he's living

881
00:43:48,640 --> 00:43:53,760
Speaker 1: through this agony. But this is the kind of spot

882
00:43:53,840 --> 00:43:58,080
Speaker 1: where in the past Josh Allen not just wins but

883
00:43:58,160 --> 00:44:04,320
Speaker 1: covers pretty easily, right, And so to me, this is

884
00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:08,200
Speaker 1: an indication of how how much do the Bills have

885
00:44:08,360 --> 00:44:10,919
Speaker 1: left in the tank for the year.

886
00:44:11,400 --> 00:44:13,920
Speaker 2: Can they recover? Can they turn things around?

887
00:44:14,760 --> 00:44:17,719
Speaker 1: The AFC East is topsy turvy, like they are not

888
00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:18,960
Speaker 1: out of it by any means.

889
00:44:19,040 --> 00:44:19,279
Speaker 3: Right.

890
00:44:19,680 --> 00:44:22,560
Speaker 1: The Dolphins cannot be good teams. The Jets and the

891
00:44:22,560 --> 00:44:25,359
Speaker 1: Patriots are the Jets and the Patriots, So they don't

892
00:44:25,440 --> 00:44:27,319
Speaker 1: have to be the best team in the af CE

893
00:44:27,680 --> 00:44:28,920
Speaker 1: in the AFC with the record.

894
00:44:29,120 --> 00:44:30,640
Speaker 2: They just got to win the division and get into

895
00:44:30,640 --> 00:44:31,200
Speaker 2: the playoffs.

896
00:44:31,560 --> 00:44:35,080
Speaker 1: So and they can do that, but it starts with

897
00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:36,920
Speaker 1: this game, and it starts with showing how healthy they

898
00:44:36,920 --> 00:44:45,520
Speaker 1: are mentally. I love Game Time, Simon.

899
00:44:45,680 --> 00:44:47,160
Speaker 2: I know you know that.

900
00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:53,240
Speaker 1: It is the fastest growing ticketing app in the United States.

901
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:55,640
Speaker 1: I love it for two reasons. One, they sponsor this show.

902
00:44:56,080 --> 00:45:00,400
Speaker 1: Number two, I actually use Game Time to buy tickets.

903
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:04,440
Speaker 1: They've got amazing last minute deals on all sorts of tickets,

904
00:45:04,560 --> 00:45:09,279
Speaker 1: including pro and college football games. I'm actually going to

905
00:45:09,320 --> 00:45:13,040
Speaker 1: Game Time right now tonight in Brooklyn, New York. I

906
00:45:13,040 --> 00:45:16,600
Speaker 1: can get in to see the Brooklyn Nets NBA basketball

907
00:45:16,680 --> 00:45:21,680
Speaker 1: in an amazing facility for less than twenty five bucks

908
00:45:21,960 --> 00:45:23,960
Speaker 1: no matter where you live, download the game Time app,

909
00:45:23,960 --> 00:45:26,160
Speaker 1: get out and have some fun this week. Go sweat

910
00:45:26,239 --> 00:45:29,279
Speaker 1: your bets live and in person. You can redeem code

911
00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:33,200
Speaker 1: favorites for twenty dollars off your first purchase. Terms apply again.

912
00:45:33,320 --> 00:45:35,360
Speaker 1: Just download the app and her code favorites for twenty

913
00:45:35,400 --> 00:45:38,960
Speaker 1: dollars off. Last minute tickets, lowest price guaranteed.

914
00:45:39,000 --> 00:45:39,359
Speaker 3: All right.

915
00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:46,040
Speaker 1: Minnesota's visiting Denver last night. I was looking at lines

916
00:45:46,440 --> 00:45:50,000
Speaker 1: before the game began. Denver was a one and a

917
00:45:50,040 --> 00:45:53,480
Speaker 1: half point favorite, and I thought to myself, I think

918
00:45:53,520 --> 00:45:55,680
Speaker 1: Denver can win the game tonight. I think this line

919
00:45:55,760 --> 00:45:57,840
Speaker 1: might go up to three. If they do, I should

920
00:45:57,840 --> 00:46:00,919
Speaker 1: bet it now. And then sometime between like thinking that

921
00:46:01,719 --> 00:46:05,360
Speaker 1: and turning on the game, I completely forgot until half halftime,

922
00:46:05,360 --> 00:46:08,279
Speaker 1: and I'm like, oh shit, I didn't bet the gate,

923
00:46:09,200 --> 00:46:11,080
Speaker 1: so it only went up to two.

924
00:46:11,560 --> 00:46:12,440
Speaker 2: I'm surprised by that.

925
00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:18,239
Speaker 3: Means the Vikings are the hottest team of football. Everyone

926
00:46:18,320 --> 00:46:20,359
Speaker 3: loves them, The public loves them. I know a lot

927
00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:23,680
Speaker 3: of professionals love them. You know they be getting fat

928
00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:29,080
Speaker 3: and rich off this team. It's it's crazy, but I

929
00:46:29,160 --> 00:46:31,640
Speaker 3: gotta do it. How do we not take Denver at

930
00:46:31,640 --> 00:46:32,520
Speaker 3: home in this spot.

931
00:46:32,800 --> 00:46:33,480
Speaker 2: That's what I think.

932
00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:37,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, so like this was gonna be my assignment, says

933
00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:40,520
Speaker 3: about Chad just said it where It's like I thought

934
00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:42,920
Speaker 3: this numb would be higher, and I don't know if

935
00:46:42,920 --> 00:46:44,560
Speaker 3: it is going to get higher because I don't know,

936
00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:46,680
Speaker 3: Like I need to talk to see what the boys

937
00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:49,120
Speaker 3: are doing. But a couple of pros I talk to

938
00:46:49,280 --> 00:46:51,760
Speaker 3: right now, they like the Vikings and they like this number,

939
00:46:51,800 --> 00:46:55,120
Speaker 3: and they're like thinking themselves. His running style is going

940
00:46:55,160 --> 00:46:56,960
Speaker 3: to give a lot of problems, especially to teams like

941
00:46:57,040 --> 00:46:59,239
Speaker 3: Denver that aren't the best tackling teams right. I mean,

942
00:46:59,239 --> 00:47:03,839
Speaker 3: how many tackles they blow last night? That's just that's

943
00:47:03,840 --> 00:47:09,280
Speaker 3: just what Denver is. Uh. But man, like I'm looking

944
00:47:09,280 --> 00:47:11,720
Speaker 3: at three different books right now, and all the bets,

945
00:47:11,960 --> 00:47:15,040
Speaker 3: all all the tickets, all the money are on the Vikings.

946
00:47:15,160 --> 00:47:19,320
Speaker 3: A road dog, not not a good not a good spot.

947
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:21,480
Speaker 3: Like if you're if you're, if you're a backer, and

948
00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:25,719
Speaker 3: you know these numbers road dogs that are highly publicly

949
00:47:25,760 --> 00:47:29,400
Speaker 3: bet let alone over eighty percent. That's that's dead on arrival.

950
00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:33,920
Speaker 3: That is a dead dog. So don't know what to

951
00:47:33,920 --> 00:47:36,719
Speaker 3: do this one. Like I'm betting Denver, I bet it

952
00:47:38,840 --> 00:47:42,640
Speaker 3: im I'm with you. Like I felt, I felt really good,

953
00:47:43,120 --> 00:47:45,320
Speaker 3: uh after last night. I feel like I should be

954
00:47:45,320 --> 00:47:48,200
Speaker 3: feeling even better. But I'm just a little nervous about it,

955
00:47:48,640 --> 00:47:52,000
Speaker 3: a little nervous about just because I'm like the books,

956
00:47:52,000 --> 00:47:53,719
Speaker 3: I don't know how to great dobs. I don't know

957
00:47:54,160 --> 00:47:56,680
Speaker 3: what he what his value is right now to the spread,

958
00:47:57,480 --> 00:47:59,480
Speaker 3: and I don't know what the fuck I'm watching. Like

959
00:47:59,520 --> 00:48:01,360
Speaker 3: even when I go back and watch the film, it's like,

960
00:48:02,640 --> 00:48:06,040
Speaker 3: you would never know. This dude is a journeyman that's

961
00:48:06,080 --> 00:48:09,400
Speaker 3: been on four teams in the last whatever it is,

962
00:48:09,440 --> 00:48:13,960
Speaker 3: eleven months or ten months. Like he looks he looks

963
00:48:14,000 --> 00:48:17,680
Speaker 3: like the guy, and it is crazy, but here we

964
00:48:17,760 --> 00:48:20,440
Speaker 3: go another staff from my guy Evan. He's still a

965
00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:22,760
Speaker 3: guy that's two and nine straight up as a starter,

966
00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:25,279
Speaker 3: And like I got to keep reminding myself that where

967
00:48:25,280 --> 00:48:27,920
Speaker 3: it's like he's just high right now and it's all clicking,

968
00:48:28,200 --> 00:48:31,120
Speaker 3: and he had two back to back wins, and it's like,

969
00:48:32,040 --> 00:48:34,080
Speaker 3: did he win that game against Atlanta or did Atlanta

970
00:48:34,200 --> 00:48:36,760
Speaker 3: really lose that game? Did he really dominate the Saints

971
00:48:37,480 --> 00:48:39,080
Speaker 3: or did the Saints just totally late? Eck? I mean

972
00:48:39,080 --> 00:48:42,479
Speaker 3: that was the first game the Saints defense. I believe

973
00:48:42,520 --> 00:48:44,520
Speaker 3: a game up over two hundred and fifty yards passing

974
00:48:44,560 --> 00:48:47,480
Speaker 3: to a starter in like over two seasons or something

975
00:48:47,480 --> 00:48:52,520
Speaker 3: crazy like that, like total letdown games. So I'm scared.

976
00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:54,040
Speaker 3: You can hear you can hear me trying to talk

977
00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:56,560
Speaker 3: myself into this. I'm clearly scared of this guy, Dobbs,

978
00:48:56,640 --> 00:48:59,960
Speaker 3: but I gotta believe in this number, and I eventually

979
00:49:00,440 --> 00:49:02,479
Speaker 3: he's gonna come back down to earth. So I'm gonna

980
00:49:02,480 --> 00:49:04,000
Speaker 3: go with Denver here in this home spot chat.

981
00:49:04,560 --> 00:49:06,480
Speaker 1: What do you have it rated at right now?

982
00:49:06,520 --> 00:49:08,680
Speaker 3: Three? I'm right there with you, like I making three,

983
00:49:09,040 --> 00:49:10,520
Speaker 3: but I have no idea what to make the number

984
00:49:10,560 --> 00:49:12,120
Speaker 3: because I don't know what to do with Dobs Like I

985
00:49:12,160 --> 00:49:14,239
Speaker 3: could totally be underrated this guy, and there's probably should

986
00:49:14,239 --> 00:49:17,560
Speaker 3: be a pick. But what I have him grated at

987
00:49:17,680 --> 00:49:19,520
Speaker 3: right now, it's like I'm not over adjusting, I'm just

988
00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:21,680
Speaker 3: keeping him grated exactly what I have, which is like,

989
00:49:22,560 --> 00:49:27,160
Speaker 3: he's a bottom twenty, bottom twenty five quarterback in this league.

990
00:49:27,160 --> 00:49:29,399
Speaker 3: And it's like, would I take him over the Zach

991
00:49:29,440 --> 00:49:32,880
Speaker 3: Wilson's of the world, of course, no brainer. Would I

992
00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:35,600
Speaker 3: take him over Baker? No? Which is crazy to say.

993
00:49:35,640 --> 00:49:38,160
Speaker 3: I know people are like disagreeing with that, but that's

994
00:49:38,200 --> 00:49:40,279
Speaker 3: just how I have it rated right now. So I

995
00:49:40,280 --> 00:49:41,640
Speaker 3: don't know what to do with him. He's a total

996
00:49:41,680 --> 00:49:44,520
Speaker 3: in mystery man right now. But don't be shocked if

997
00:49:44,520 --> 00:49:46,320
Speaker 3: you see this as one of our fives come Sunday.

998
00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:51,760
Speaker 1: By the way, I apologize, you said Baker. And before

999
00:49:51,800 --> 00:49:54,920
Speaker 1: we get to the final game, I realized I skipped

1000
00:49:54,960 --> 00:49:59,080
Speaker 1: over you did the Niners in Bucks game because I

1001
00:49:59,239 --> 00:50:01,440
Speaker 1: just in my screen I have one note on it.

1002
00:50:01,440 --> 00:50:04,360
Speaker 1: The Niners are favored by eleven and a half. My

1003
00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:07,800
Speaker 1: read was I have no read on this one yet,

1004
00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:09,200
Speaker 1: I have nothing to say.

1005
00:50:10,160 --> 00:50:12,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, I want to I want to take Bucks, but

1006
00:50:12,719 --> 00:50:15,239
Speaker 3: I think Chad's right, Like, it's hard for me to

1007
00:50:15,280 --> 00:50:18,200
Speaker 3: want to back this Buccaneers team after a home rent

1008
00:50:18,360 --> 00:50:20,359
Speaker 3: home win, going on the road against a team that

1009
00:50:21,040 --> 00:50:23,879
Speaker 3: they're fully healthy now, like they got all their dogs back.

1010
00:50:24,280 --> 00:50:27,120
Speaker 3: Clearly Prety got over the concussions, right, he looked like

1011
00:50:27,200 --> 00:50:32,239
Speaker 3: his old self. I don't Yeah, he had three touchdowns.

1012
00:50:32,280 --> 00:50:35,160
Speaker 3: He just looked much like the pretty we were used

1013
00:50:35,200 --> 00:50:37,000
Speaker 3: to seeing in the beginning of the season, which is like,

1014
00:50:37,640 --> 00:50:40,279
Speaker 3: this guy is perfect for the Shanahan system. He's a

1015
00:50:40,280 --> 00:50:44,440
Speaker 3: good thrower. He's very accurate, and he knows he's got Debo.

1016
00:50:44,920 --> 00:50:48,720
Speaker 3: If he's got McCaffrey, he's got Kittle. Like these big

1017
00:50:48,760 --> 00:50:52,000
Speaker 3: time weapons, don't overthink it. Just get get the ball

1018
00:50:52,080 --> 00:50:53,719
Speaker 3: to which one of them is open on that play,

1019
00:50:53,760 --> 00:50:56,960
Speaker 3: and they'll make the magic happen. So I want to

1020
00:50:57,000 --> 00:50:59,440
Speaker 3: take Tampa, but I'm with Chad. I just can't get there.

1021
00:50:59,440 --> 00:51:01,160
Speaker 3: So I'll probably of not playing this or maybe just

1022
00:51:01,200 --> 00:51:03,200
Speaker 3: teasing the forty nine ers.

1023
00:51:03,280 --> 00:51:07,080
Speaker 1: The going back to the Broncos for a second. Remember

1024
00:51:07,400 --> 00:51:09,759
Speaker 1: one of our favorite bets from the beginning of the

1025
00:51:09,760 --> 00:51:13,000
Speaker 1: season was the Broncos. I think over.

1026
00:51:13,800 --> 00:51:15,120
Speaker 2: Eight and a half wins.

1027
00:51:15,480 --> 00:51:19,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think I said this on Green Dot

1028
00:51:19,920 --> 00:51:24,480
Speaker 1: Daily two weeks ago. I'm not ripping that ticket up.

1029
00:51:25,760 --> 00:51:31,360
Speaker 1: They've got a very winnable schedule. Yeah, to go five

1030
00:51:31,480 --> 00:51:34,440
Speaker 1: and three the rest of the year. Beating the Bills

1031
00:51:35,040 --> 00:51:37,960
Speaker 1: was like one of the two games they have to win.

1032
00:51:39,239 --> 00:51:41,000
Speaker 3: But the rest of the and the Chiefs like that.

1033
00:51:41,200 --> 00:51:43,880
Speaker 3: That completely flips. Yes, their whole rating.

1034
00:51:43,680 --> 00:51:45,600
Speaker 1: The beating the Bills and the Chiefs, the rest of

1035
00:51:45,640 --> 00:51:47,880
Speaker 1: the teams they're playing the way they're playing right now,

1036
00:51:49,040 --> 00:51:51,920
Speaker 1: they're better than the teams they're playing through the rest

1037
00:51:51,960 --> 00:51:54,600
Speaker 1: of the year. So I don't hate having the Broncos

1038
00:51:54,640 --> 00:51:56,600
Speaker 1: at over eight and a half right now.

1039
00:51:57,840 --> 00:52:00,239
Speaker 3: No, I mean, I honestly felt like the I guess

1040
00:52:00,280 --> 00:52:02,440
Speaker 3: aiding the word, I was like, he's just thinking back

1041
00:52:02,480 --> 00:52:05,800
Speaker 3: to our summer shows. It's like, what the fuck was

1042
00:52:05,840 --> 00:52:08,040
Speaker 3: I think? And so thank god they're not making us

1043
00:52:08,040 --> 00:52:09,080
Speaker 3: look like total idiots.

1044
00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:12,040
Speaker 1: I know, I know what an incredible coaching job by

1045
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:15,840
Speaker 1: Sean Payton, by Bench Joseph, what they've done with Russell Wilson,

1046
00:52:15,840 --> 00:52:17,040
Speaker 1: what they've done with that defense.

1047
00:52:17,719 --> 00:52:19,120
Speaker 2: It's impressive, all right.

1048
00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:22,160
Speaker 1: Last game on the board, Monday Night Football, biggest game

1049
00:52:22,160 --> 00:52:26,239
Speaker 1: of the week, Philadelphia Kansas City. Kansas City is a

1050
00:52:26,239 --> 00:52:29,680
Speaker 1: three point favorite right now. We liked it on Sunday

1051
00:52:29,680 --> 00:52:31,279
Speaker 1: at two and a half. We batted at two and

1052
00:52:31,320 --> 00:52:33,640
Speaker 1: a half. I'm kind of surprised it went to three.

1053
00:52:33,920 --> 00:52:37,080
Speaker 1: I thought like the money was coming in on Philly.

1054
00:52:37,080 --> 00:52:38,880
Speaker 1: I'm surprised that this number moved.

1055
00:52:40,440 --> 00:52:42,319
Speaker 3: And this might just not being one of our five

1056
00:52:42,480 --> 00:52:45,239
Speaker 3: just because it's so split between all the professionals I

1057
00:52:45,360 --> 00:52:49,120
Speaker 3: talked to, and before the show, I asked Evan, it

1058
00:52:49,239 --> 00:52:52,319
Speaker 3: give us all the red trends just because everyone knows

1059
00:52:52,360 --> 00:52:54,439
Speaker 3: all these trends about any Reid after a bye week.

1060
00:52:54,520 --> 00:52:57,920
Speaker 3: So let's read it off. Jed any Reid last twenty

1061
00:52:57,960 --> 00:53:02,440
Speaker 3: years on eight days rest, twenty six straight up, forty

1062
00:53:02,480 --> 00:53:06,479
Speaker 3: seven thirty six and one ATS on twelve plus days

1063
00:53:06,520 --> 00:53:09,000
Speaker 3: of rest, which is a bye Andy Reid is twenty

1064
00:53:09,040 --> 00:53:11,760
Speaker 3: five and six straight up in the last twenty years.

1065
00:53:11,840 --> 00:53:16,240
Speaker 3: And the Mahome stat which means Chad love Mahomes minus

1066
00:53:16,280 --> 00:53:20,680
Speaker 3: three or less or a dog twenty six and one ATS,

1067
00:53:20,719 --> 00:53:24,439
Speaker 3: so kills me. Kills me. So it's like, I want

1068
00:53:24,440 --> 00:53:25,799
Speaker 3: to be on the Eagles. I feel like the Eagles

1069
00:53:25,840 --> 00:53:29,640
Speaker 3: are a better team. The Chiefs have looked lost offensively,

1070
00:53:29,920 --> 00:53:31,839
Speaker 3: and you know they might put together one or two

1071
00:53:31,840 --> 00:53:34,880
Speaker 3: good quarters and then it doesn't look good the next ones.

1072
00:53:36,360 --> 00:53:39,279
Speaker 3: You know, Travis Kelce is getting all this shit from

1073
00:53:39,280 --> 00:53:41,799
Speaker 3: people because he went to go see his girlfriend, the

1074
00:53:41,840 --> 00:53:44,600
Speaker 3: most famous musician in the world in Argentina on his

1075
00:53:44,680 --> 00:53:47,280
Speaker 3: bye week. You're a loser if you care what Travis

1076
00:53:47,320 --> 00:53:49,440
Speaker 3: Kelsey is doing on his bye week. A guy who's

1077
00:53:49,480 --> 00:53:51,799
Speaker 3: got two super Bowl champions it's the top three all

1078
00:53:51,880 --> 00:53:54,640
Speaker 3: time tight end is going to make out with his

1079
00:53:54,800 --> 00:53:58,600
Speaker 3: smoking hot girlfriend who's singing to thousands of people. You

1080
00:53:58,640 --> 00:54:03,440
Speaker 3: were a fucking thousands. Yeah, your way to loseer. I

1081
00:54:03,480 --> 00:54:05,520
Speaker 3: want to be on the Eagles, but I can't. I

1082
00:54:05,560 --> 00:54:07,120
Speaker 3: can't do it to you guys. I'm not going to

1083
00:54:07,160 --> 00:54:09,239
Speaker 3: force it onto us. I don't know how this ends

1084
00:54:09,320 --> 00:54:12,480
Speaker 3: up as one of our fives just because of Evan's trends.

1085
00:54:12,520 --> 00:54:15,040
Speaker 3: Like Evan gives us these numbers and they break my

1086
00:54:15,080 --> 00:54:17,200
Speaker 3: heart and they pissed me off, but they're right, like

1087
00:54:17,239 --> 00:54:19,719
Speaker 3: those Saints numbers he gave us. How the fuck was

1088
00:54:19,760 --> 00:54:22,040
Speaker 3: I on the Saints as a road favorite last week?

1089
00:54:22,040 --> 00:54:25,000
Speaker 3: I'm kicking myself about it. So Evan gave me these stats.

1090
00:54:25,000 --> 00:54:27,880
Speaker 3: A on Amy Reid, the twenty five and six straight

1091
00:54:27,960 --> 00:54:30,680
Speaker 3: up is insane. But if this gets a three and

1092
00:54:30,719 --> 00:54:33,680
Speaker 3: a half, things changed, Mahomes at three and a half

1093
00:54:33,680 --> 00:54:37,839
Speaker 3: are higher. Yeah, thirty five and forty ets. So don't

1094
00:54:37,880 --> 00:54:39,759
Speaker 3: don't kill us if we change on Sunday that this

1095
00:54:39,800 --> 00:54:41,360
Speaker 3: gets up to three and a half in the contest.

1096
00:54:41,400 --> 00:54:43,400
Speaker 3: But I'm telling you right now, at two and a half,

1097
00:54:43,640 --> 00:54:45,279
Speaker 3: I cannot fault you at all. If you want to

1098
00:54:45,280 --> 00:54:46,520
Speaker 3: put the Chiefs in at two and a half in

1099
00:54:46,560 --> 00:54:47,640
Speaker 3: your contest.

1100
00:54:47,600 --> 00:54:50,600
Speaker 1: Mahomes is thirty and one straight thirty and one straight

1101
00:54:50,719 --> 00:54:54,120
Speaker 1: up in November December, in the last thirty one games. Wow,

1102
00:54:54,440 --> 00:54:57,000
Speaker 1: thirty six and five straight up November December. In his

1103
00:54:57,040 --> 00:55:00,360
Speaker 1: career forty eight and eight straight up November December.

1104
00:55:00,880 --> 00:55:01,680
Speaker 3: Oh my god.

1105
00:55:01,920 --> 00:55:05,120
Speaker 1: The guy does not freaking lose once we get into

1106
00:55:05,120 --> 00:55:06,759
Speaker 1: the second half of the season, which is why he's

1107
00:55:06,760 --> 00:55:09,680
Speaker 1: got so many freaking Super Bowls MVPs records, and why

1108
00:55:09,680 --> 00:55:11,799
Speaker 1: it's going to go down as the greatest quarterback who's

1109
00:55:11,840 --> 00:55:15,239
Speaker 1: ever played. And yet here we are putting our money

1110
00:55:15,239 --> 00:55:18,080
Speaker 1: on the Eagles. We start off the show thinking, oh

1111
00:55:18,120 --> 00:55:21,000
Speaker 1: my god, there's so many games we love, and right now,

1112
00:55:21,040 --> 00:55:24,319
Speaker 1: if I look at it, there are six games I

1113
00:55:24,360 --> 00:55:31,239
Speaker 1: can say we'll be debating on Thursday, Miami, Cards, Bears, Steelers, Carolina,

1114
00:55:31,560 --> 00:55:34,279
Speaker 1: and then we've got Denver on the outside looking in.

1115
00:55:34,880 --> 00:55:37,359
Speaker 1: I'm going to put Philly at plus two and a half,

1116
00:55:37,440 --> 00:55:38,799
Speaker 1: just so we've got a little bit more to talk

1117
00:55:38,800 --> 00:55:42,520
Speaker 1: about on Thursday, maybe Tennessee Jacksonville. Of that numbers move,

1118
00:55:42,560 --> 00:55:44,879
Speaker 1: but it might be such an easy week that there's

1119
00:55:44,920 --> 00:55:48,960
Speaker 1: only five games that we feel amazing about. Fast sometimes

1120
00:55:49,000 --> 00:55:52,040
Speaker 1: there's eight or nine that we like and it's only Tuesday.

1121
00:55:52,080 --> 00:55:54,160
Speaker 3: But yeah, like I just as soon as I saw

1122
00:55:54,160 --> 00:55:55,640
Speaker 3: a lot of these numbers, that's all I mean. I

1123
00:55:55,680 --> 00:55:58,400
Speaker 3: just loved these numbers. And the only other week I

1124
00:55:58,480 --> 00:56:01,040
Speaker 3: loved for us we want And oh so I'm filing

1125
00:56:01,040 --> 00:56:03,879
Speaker 3: pretty good here. I'm always fearful when it feels this easy, Chad,

1126
00:56:03,920 --> 00:56:06,799
Speaker 3: like you said, don't say it, but it's like sometimes

1127
00:56:06,840 --> 00:56:09,000
Speaker 3: it just the week's break right where it's just you

1128
00:56:09,040 --> 00:56:12,120
Speaker 3: get so much overreaction, you just get so much line value.

1129
00:56:12,719 --> 00:56:14,520
Speaker 3: The work tends to do it do itself for you.

1130
00:56:14,800 --> 00:56:17,040
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1142
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Speaker 1: Don't forget Simon or I doing a live show. You're

1145
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Speaker 1: all in. We want you all to be there. Nothing

1146
00:57:03,360 --> 00:57:07,360
Speaker 1: could be more fun, more exciting for us than to

1147
00:57:07,400 --> 00:57:10,640
Speaker 1: be able to connect with everybody who listens to the show.

1148
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1149
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Speaker 1: Come bet with us, Come listen. December third, Hoboken, New Jersey.

1150
00:57:23,680 --> 00:57:29,960
Speaker 1: Doors open at four o'clock. I think entry is free,

1151
00:57:30,560 --> 00:57:32,040
Speaker 1: drinks are free.

1152
00:57:32,560 --> 00:57:33,480
Speaker 2: All you have to.

1153
00:57:33,440 --> 00:57:37,920
Speaker 1: Do is RSVP. The place is called The Shepherd and

1154
00:57:37,960 --> 00:57:43,120
Speaker 1: the Knucklehead in Hoboken, New Jersey. You can RSVP by

1155
00:57:43,240 --> 00:57:47,360
Speaker 1: checking out the link in the description here, on the

1156
00:57:47,400 --> 00:57:51,520
Speaker 1: YouTube page and in the podcast episode page. Go to

1157
00:57:51,560 --> 00:57:56,120
Speaker 1: eventbrit dot com search the Favorite podcast for more info

1158
00:57:56,480 --> 00:58:01,560
Speaker 1: to RSVP. The Shepherd and the Knucklehead. December third, live

1159
00:58:01,600 --> 00:58:05,680
Speaker 1: show Sunday night, the seven thirty episode. Doors open at

1160
00:58:05,680 --> 00:58:10,040
Speaker 1: for free entry, free drinks RSVP. Also, don't forget to

1161
00:58:10,080 --> 00:58:14,680
Speaker 1: catch us on YouTube. The next episode of the Favorite

1162
00:58:14,760 --> 00:58:18,400
Speaker 1: is live Thursday at eleven am Eastern. Download us from Spotify,

1163
00:58:18,960 --> 00:58:21,960
Speaker 1: Apple Podcast, wherever you get your pods, Rate, review, subscribe,

1164
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:22,800
Speaker 1: and use five stars.

1165
00:58:22,800 --> 00:58:23,600
Speaker 2: Say whatever you want.

1166
00:58:24,120 --> 00:58:26,800
Speaker 1: Feedback is a gift until eleven am Thursday.

1167
00:58:27,040 --> 00:58:27,480
Speaker 3: Love You.

1168
00:58:33,120 --> 00:58:36,600
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1169
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