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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Pros PJA podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris.

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Speaker 1: You're with Beau mcbrair. Great to be back with you

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Speaker 1: after a one week absence. My thanks to Seth Willcock

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Speaker 1: for filling in last week while I spent time in

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Speaker 1: that most wholesome of American cities, Las Vegas, Nevada. Now

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Speaker 1: the PGA tour heads south of the border this week

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Speaker 1: for the Mexico Open at Danta World. On today's show,

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Speaker 1: we'll start with a quick recap of the Genesis Invitational.

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Speaker 1: We'll give you a full betting preview of the Mexican Open.

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Speaker 1: Mexico Open. Pardon me. We'll share our early betting cards

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Speaker 1: with you, and then we'll make our one and done

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Speaker 1: picks at the end of the show. Bet three sixty

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Speaker 1: called one eight hundred gambler or if you live in Iowa,

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Speaker 1: I missed seeing the pros play Riviera Country Club, one

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Speaker 1: of my favorite venues on the PGA Tour, but ultimately

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Speaker 1: I had no complaints about the Genesis Invitational being played

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Speaker 1: at Tory Pines rather than Riviera. Tory Pines South gave

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Speaker 1: us a really compelling tournaments. Conditions were tough a few

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Speaker 1: weeks ago when Tory Pines hosted the Farmers Insurance Open

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Speaker 1: that was more of a test of survival. The weather

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Speaker 1: at La Jolla, California was much more cooperative this time around.

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Speaker 1: It made for some really exciting golf. Twenty five year

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Speaker 1: old Swede Ludwig Oberg got his second career. Winberg's struggled

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Speaker 1: with illness during the first part of the tours, California Swing,

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Speaker 1: but the young star was healthy totally on top of

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Speaker 1: his game this past weekend. He opened with the seventy four,

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Speaker 1: but then put together rounds of sixty six, seventy and

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Speaker 1: sixty six to finish with the winning score of twelve

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Speaker 1: under par. Oberg really grabbed the tournament by the throat

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Speaker 1: down the stretch, burning four of his last six holes.

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Speaker 1: Came to the final hole tied with Maverick McNeely, whose

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Speaker 1: red hot putting had propelled him into the lead on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: Mcneelly shot a final round sixty four just went nuclear.

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Speaker 1: He had thirteen pots over his first eleven holes, and

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Speaker 1: at that point I think he'd rolled in something like

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Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty feet worth of potts. But Oberg

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Speaker 1: hit the back of the eighteenth green with his second shot.

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Speaker 1: The eighteenth of Torry Pines is, of course, that famous

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Speaker 1: par five that requires an approach shot over a pond,

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Speaker 1: and as a green that slopes severely from back to front,

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Speaker 1: Oberg faced a really treacherous sixty eight foot downhill. Pott

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Speaker 1: needed to get down in two for the win outright

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Speaker 1: to avoid a playoff. Lagged his first putt to six

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Speaker 1: feet nine inches, then calmly it rolled in his second

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Speaker 1: putt for the win, his second on tour. Oberg was

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Speaker 1: just so good on Sunday, so was McNeely, who's now

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Speaker 1: recorded two straight top tens. Scotti Scheffler tried to make

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Speaker 1: a charge on Sunday with a sixty six, but he

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Speaker 1: was tripped up by a sloppy seventy six. On Saturday,

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Speaker 1: Scheffler finished three shots back, so did Patrick Rogers, who

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Speaker 1: had taken a one shot lead into the final round.

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Speaker 1: Patrick Cantley, justin Thomas Danny McCarthy also contended. Rory McElroy

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Speaker 1: was lurking around for a while, but he was undone

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Speaker 1: by some abysmal putting. Quite a show at Torry Pines.

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Speaker 1: I didn't bet this one bow. I took the week off,

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Speaker 1: but I was having a conversation with our business manager

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Speaker 1: Jimmy on Wednesday night in Las Vegas. He's an avid

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Speaker 1: golf better. We were talking about Oberg as a potential

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Speaker 1: value bet, a guy with longer odds than he should

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Speaker 1: have had, mainly due to those poor illness relation performances

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Speaker 1: a few weeks ago. But I did not bet Olberg.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully Jimmy did. But what we were takeaways from the Genesis.

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Speaker 2: It is a really good tournament, lots of talent at

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Speaker 2: the top of the board. It was obviously a signature event,

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Speaker 2: lots of money on the line. Oberg was just he's

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Speaker 2: the best golfer for that golf course, and three weeks

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Speaker 2: ago I was willing to bet him in a weaker field.

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Speaker 3: At nine to one.

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Speaker 2: I put all of my chips in and was looking

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Speaker 2: really good after Thursdays or Wednesday's round that week, and

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Speaker 2: then he got sick and ended up finishing pretty much

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Speaker 2: at the bottom of the field out of all the

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Speaker 2: people that made the cut. And this week I was

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Speaker 2: often for some reason, even though he's number four in

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Speaker 2: my model, and I'm kicking myself in a lot of

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Speaker 2: golf betters are because we wanted to see it from Oberg.

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Speaker 3: But we should have known that.

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Speaker 2: We were going to see it this last week at

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Speaker 2: La Jolla Tory Pines is a picture perfect golf course

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Speaker 2: for Ludwig Olberg's game, and that bore out in the

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Speaker 2: results is this should have been a slam dunk for

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Speaker 2: pretty much all of us to hammer the books. I'm

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Speaker 2: a little disappointed in you that you were in Las Vegas,

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Speaker 2: of all places, and then decided to take the week

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Speaker 2: off betting. That doesn't make any sense, Pat, I expect

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Speaker 2: better from you on that one.

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Speaker 1: Well, I wasn't. I wasn't gonna be around Sunday to

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Speaker 1: collect if I bet at these sports books and the

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Speaker 1: online betting apps I have do not work in Nevada unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: so that kind of deterred me a little bit. I

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Speaker 1: just had to lose money playing video pokers.

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Speaker 3: I've done that before too. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Overall, really good tournament and we're kind of gonna get

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Speaker 2: a little loll week here, but the Florida Swing looming.

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Speaker 2: This is another tournament kind of in between where we

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Speaker 2: get to talk about guys who are next, who we

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Speaker 2: might be seeing in those signature events very soon that

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Speaker 2: we're not seeing yet. So where a lot of people

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Speaker 2: are like, oh, it's kind of a bummer that this

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Speaker 2: week is in Mexico.

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Speaker 3: I'm excited.

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Speaker 2: I love tournament going back to last year where we

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Speaker 2: want a lot of money with this one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's exactly it, bo. I mean, I am anxious

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Speaker 1: to dig into the Mexico Open with you because this

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Speaker 1: was the event that jump started us last year. Like

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Speaker 1: we were off to kind of a sluggish start over

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Speaker 1: the first month and a half, and then you Bau

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Speaker 1: McBrayer pinpointed Jake Nap as a compelling long shot. Nap

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Speaker 1: wound up winning. So yeah, let's dig in and try

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Speaker 1: to find it this year's winner. And you framed it well.

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Speaker 1: Mexico is a stepping stone between the California Swing and

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Speaker 1: the Florida Swing, and so a lot of the top

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Speaker 1: players are going to skip this event. This is not

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Speaker 1: a star studded field. Most of the big name guys

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Speaker 1: on tour are sitting this one out.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: The Mexico Open will be played at Vedanta World formerly

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Speaker 1: known as Vedanta Vaarda. It's a par seventy one, measuring

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Speaker 1: four and thirty six yards. It's a long course, especially

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Speaker 1: when you consider that there are five par threes along

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Speaker 1: with the driveable par four. Four part fours here measuring

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Speaker 1: four hundred and seventy five yards are longer. Two of

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Speaker 1: the par fives are longer than six hundred yards and

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Speaker 1: another one is five eighty five. Par threes are all

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Speaker 1: pretty long wide fair ways. Though course is relatively flat,

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Speaker 1: the rough isn't all that difficult to deal with. The

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Speaker 1: greens might be a little bit of a challenge for

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Speaker 1: the field. However, the putting surfaces at Vedanta World are

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Speaker 1: past polumn. We spent some time talking about these pass

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Speaker 1: polm greens on last year's show. They tend to be

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Speaker 1: slow and sticky, not really what the pros are used

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Speaker 1: to dealing with. I think we're looking for big hitters

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Speaker 1: this week. Bo like driving distance really matters. Jake Knapp

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Speaker 1: is a bomber, which worked to his advantage last year.

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Speaker 1: Long iron play is also key consideration. A lot of

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Speaker 1: the approach outs are going to be around two hundred yards.

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Speaker 1: It can get breezy at this course since it's located

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Speaker 1: alongside the Pacific Ocean, but as of now, the forecast

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Speaker 1: is calling for light winds of five to ten miles

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Speaker 1: an hour all four days and no rain, Temperatures in

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Speaker 1: the low to mid eighties every day of the tournament.

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Speaker 1: Pretty nice forecast, especially if you're like me here in

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Speaker 1: the upper Midwest or the Northeast, where the weather's been brutal.

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Speaker 1: So this will be the fourth time the Mexico Open

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Speaker 1: has been played at this course. Past winners include the

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Speaker 1: aforementioned Jake Knapp, who was nineteen under power last year,

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Speaker 1: two shots better than Sammy Vallamaki. Tony Fena won here

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four at twenty four under par, and

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Speaker 1: John ram one here in twenty twenty three with a

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Speaker 1: score of seventeen under par. Boe your thoughts on the

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Speaker 1: Danta world and the types of players who might farewell here.

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Speaker 3: It's a pretty good mix.

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Speaker 2: I think driving distance does carry a real advantage here

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Speaker 2: because there's really no penalty for missing fairways. The rough

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Speaker 2: is very light, it's sparse, there's not a lot of

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Speaker 2: terrain grade here, it's pretty flat. The only defense for

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Speaker 2: this golf course has been the wind. That doesn't look

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Speaker 2: like it's going to be a factor this week, so

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Speaker 2: let it rip. This is the one course on tour

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Speaker 2: that absolutely has a bomber's advantage, So let's get some

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Speaker 2: big boppers in there again, and hopefully a big There's

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Speaker 2: quite a few big hitters in this field who are

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Speaker 2: also playing outstanding golf lately, which also plays into it.

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Speaker 2: I'm looking at recent form, especially from tee to green.

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Speaker 2: Those long approach shots do come in handy here, but

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Speaker 2: putting on slower surfaces is huge here, and guys who

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Speaker 2: toot not necessarily long hitters, but some guys just play

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Speaker 2: better on longer courses or courses like this that play

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Speaker 2: really long compared to the yardage of total. There's a

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Speaker 2: lot of long holes here that are going to demand

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Speaker 2: driving the ball off the tee very well. Strokes gained

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Speaker 2: off the tee, good drives gain and of course the

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Speaker 2: most important thing here birdy or better percentage. Convert those

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Speaker 2: scoring opportunities, young men, let's go.

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Speaker 1: We will get to the odds in just a moment,

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Speaker 1: but first.

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Speaker 2: Download the free Betting Pros app for i aos and Android.

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Speaker 2: the upgrade screen.

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Speaker 1: Now for the Mexico Open odds. All odds are courtesy

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Speaker 1: of DraftKings. As of Monday morning, Akshay Battia is the

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Speaker 1: favorite at fourteen to one. He is coming off a

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Speaker 1: top ten finish at the Genesis. Rasmus Hoyguard is twenty

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Speaker 1: to one. Sam Stevens, Patrick Rodgers and Kurt Kittiyama are

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Speaker 1: twenty two to one. Michael Kim is twenty five to one.

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Speaker 1: He'd a Night showing at the Genesis. Harry Hall is

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Speaker 1: twenty eight to one, and at thirty to one are

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Speaker 1: Taylor Moore, Steven Jaeger, Bo Hostler, and Aaron Raye. Who

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Speaker 1: do you like from among the favorites? Bawl right off

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Speaker 1: the top here.

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Speaker 2: I have Akhebatia pretty high on this list, but it's

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Speaker 2: also a little bit lower than I expected Akshay to

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Speaker 2: be for the favorite here.

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Speaker 3: He is not as good on longer golf courses.

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Speaker 2: And even though his short game is really good, he's

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Speaker 2: off the tea game has not been good. His approach

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Speaker 2: game has also not been great, especially on that two

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Speaker 2: hundred plus yard buckets. As the ninety first longest hitter

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Speaker 2: in this field, I think that fourteen to one number

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Speaker 2: on ac Shay is really really short. So I'm going

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Speaker 2: to start my card at kind of twenty to one

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Speaker 2: area with the Rasmus Holyguard. Even though Sam Stevens is

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Speaker 2: number one in my stat model and he's playing great golf.

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Speaker 2: I don't know that he has the firepower to win

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Speaker 2: this tournament. Birdie are better gained. He's thirty seventh in

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Speaker 2: this field and he's sixty ninth and putting on slow greens.

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Speaker 2: He's top ten in a lot of categories here, especially

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Speaker 2: number one in Stokes game te to green. But I'm

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Speaker 2: a big fan of Rasmus Hoilyguard's game right now. Twenty

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Speaker 2: to one. His brother is getting longer odds. But right now,

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Speaker 2: compared to last year, I was saying Nikolai was the

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Speaker 2: hotter golfer. Right now, it's obviously Rasmus light Yard that's

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Speaker 2: playing the best form right now.

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Speaker 3: So twenty to.

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Speaker 2: One for him, and I'm gonna throw in Kurt Kittiyama

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Speaker 2: twenty five to one.

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Speaker 3: He has one appearance.

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Speaker 2: Here, he played great, and he's just got the perfect

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Speaker 2: match for game. I don't know if his form has

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Speaker 2: been great results wise, but his stats look outstanding, So

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Speaker 2: I'll definitely be putting in a wager on my guy

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Speaker 2: from NorCal.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you mentioned it with kitty Yama twenty two to one,

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Speaker 1: I think it's a fair price. Like as you said,

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Speaker 1: big hitter good with the long iron seems like a

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Speaker 1: perfect fit. Only play this event once before and finished second.

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Speaker 1: That was the year John Ramwan, he was right behind

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Speaker 1: rom only issue. Like you said, Baul has not been

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Speaker 1: in great form this year. I'm intrigued by Stam Stevens

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Speaker 1: definitely like he missed the cut here last year, but

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Speaker 1: he's been playing really well lately. Second at the Farmer's

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Speaker 1: Insurance Open, top twenty at Pebble Beach. Pretty big hitter.

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Speaker 1: Who else in this group? I mean, you've got Patrick

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Speaker 1: Rodgers coming off the fourth place finish at the Genesis,

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Speaker 1: and he's finished top ten at the Mexico Open in

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Speaker 1: each of the last three years. I do think he

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Speaker 1: might be a popular pick. I just I don't know

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Speaker 1: if I love the price bo especially you know what

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Speaker 1: kind of scar tissue does Rogers have after taking the

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Speaker 1: lead into Sunday and not really being in the haunts

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Speaker 1: on the back nine. So one other guy, I'll mention

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Speaker 1: Steven Jaeger, a bomber, A guy I think we were

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Speaker 1: both also kind of on here last year, finished third

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Speaker 1: here and was top twenty at the Mexico Open in

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Speaker 1: both twenty twenty two and twenty twenty three. Now, before

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Speaker 1: we get some more player odds.

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Speaker 2: Help shape the Betting Pros podcast. Take our quick, easy

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Speaker 2: survey at bettingpros dot com slash survey and share your

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Speaker 2: feedback to help us improve. All it takes is just

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Speaker 2: a minute or two at bettingpros dot com slash survey.

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Speaker 1: Let's look at the mid range options. Ben Griffin and

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Speaker 1: Kevin You are thirty five to one. Horborn Olison, Alex

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Speaker 1: Smalley and Nicholas Norgard are forty to one. Ct Pan

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Speaker 1: and defending Champ Jake Knapp are forty five to one

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Speaker 1: Ryan Fox, Nikolai Holguard, Matt Wallace, Justin Loewer and Grayson

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Speaker 1: Sigg are fifty to one. Michael Thorby, Jornsen Mac Meisner

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Speaker 1: those two are fifty five to one, and it's sixty

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Speaker 1: to one Carson Young, Andrew Puttnam, Adam Spence and Patrick Fishburn,

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Speaker 1: Kevin roy and Eric Van Royan, anyone you like from

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Speaker 1: this group.

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Speaker 2: I want to make you repeat all of those Norwegian

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Speaker 2: and Swedish names. The Scandinavian names, just it's so much

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Speaker 2: fun for the hear you try to pronounce those.

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Speaker 1: Because I'm struggling, I'm gonna do a shot of malort

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Speaker 1: before I try those.

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Speaker 2: No thanks, That's the Chicago thing I could never endorse.

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Speaker 2: I like Torby arn Olsen. He's a really really good

285
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Speaker 2: player here. Excellent short game, not the longest hitter, but

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Speaker 2: he's got decent distance. I like his approach game. Twenty

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Speaker 2: fourth in this field on general approach and number eight

288
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Speaker 2: in tee to green, number twelve in sand saves, which

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Speaker 2: we didn't mention, but that is going to be an

290
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Speaker 2: important part with the only real defense without the wind

291
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Speaker 2: here is the number of bunkers that are kind of

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Speaker 2: scattered around the golf course. Not that they're challenging, but

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Speaker 2: it kind of offers the only real teeth to this course.

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Speaker 2: Olison is a really strong candidate here. The one guy

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Speaker 2: that I will hold above him in this tier though,

296
00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:30,520
Speaker 2: is Justin Lower, number two in my model, number one

297
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Speaker 2: in this field, and Birdie's are better game that pops

298
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Speaker 2: you to the very top of my list with this

299
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Speaker 2: the way I haven't filtered, he's also top ten and

300
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Speaker 2: short game, top ten on approach, and top twenty on

301
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Speaker 2: putting on slow greens. Justin Lower is going out at

302
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Speaker 2: fifty to one. I'm going to be laddering him with

303
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Speaker 2: a top ten and top twenty finish as well, because

304
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Speaker 2: I think that's a misprice with the form that he's

305
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Speaker 2: showed at these types of events.

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Speaker 3: Is maybe he's not a.

307
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Speaker 2: Top half tier golfer for those big events, but when

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Speaker 2: you get a feel like this, he seems to rise

309
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Speaker 2: to the top pretty often.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to add justin lower to my car.

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Speaker 1: Do you make a strong argument, Paul? Is it hard

312
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Speaker 1: not to be at least a little interested in Jake

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Speaker 1: Knapp at forty five to one. I mean, he hits

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Speaker 1: it a freaking mile. You won here last year. He's

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Speaker 1: coming off at top twenty at Torrey Pines, or do

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Speaker 1: we not want about on lightning striking twice in the

317
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Speaker 1: same place.

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Speaker 2: I think he'll be up towards the top. I don't

319
00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:26,440
Speaker 2: think he'll miss the cut or fizzle out or anything.

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Speaker 2: I just don't know that he's gonna win this event

321
00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:32,120
Speaker 2: twice in a row, especially with shorter odds than we

322
00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:34,720
Speaker 2: got on last year. The appeal last year was that

323
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Speaker 2: he was number one in my model by such a

324
00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:40,840
Speaker 2: long shot last year that the fifty five or sixty

325
00:16:40,840 --> 00:16:42,360
Speaker 2: to one that we got him at was just a

326
00:16:42,440 --> 00:16:45,440
Speaker 2: crazy bargain because it was just a perfect fit. A

327
00:16:45,480 --> 00:16:48,880
Speaker 2: lot of guys were on him as well, and this

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Speaker 2: year his form up until last week was pretty abysmal.

329
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Speaker 2: And yes he hits the ball of mile, but that's

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Speaker 2: most of his game.

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Speaker 3: His short game is non existent.

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Speaker 2: He actually struggles incredibly with par Thre's and there's five

333
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Speaker 2: of them on this golf course.

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Speaker 3: I do worry.

335
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Speaker 2: About his ability to avoid the snowball type of hole

336
00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:11,520
Speaker 2: that almost killed him last year in the final round

337
00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:13,359
Speaker 2: where he got really squarely off the tee, but he

338
00:17:13,440 --> 00:17:16,800
Speaker 2: kind of held on. That's kind of played out with

339
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Speaker 2: Jake Napp since that win, where we got a little

340
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Speaker 2: bit of a prelude to the Mexico Open last year

341
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Speaker 2: when he performed well at Riviera. This year it's kind

342
00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:31,240
Speaker 2: of the same, but a lot less of a green

343
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Speaker 2: flag blinking light for Jake.

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Speaker 1: Napp to be bet on. I don't like the number, agreed.

345
00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:38,879
Speaker 1: I don't think it's the time to double up on

346
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Speaker 1: Jake Nap. Some of the guys I kind of like

347
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Speaker 1: in this range. Alex Smalley has three top twenty five

348
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Speaker 1: finishes in his last four events. He has missed the

349
00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:50,040
Speaker 1: cut at the Mexico Open the last two years, but

350
00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:52,919
Speaker 1: finished sixth here in twenty twenty two. Hits it a

351
00:17:52,920 --> 00:17:56,600
Speaker 1: long way and is solid with the long irons. All right,

352
00:17:56,680 --> 00:17:59,000
Speaker 1: shot him a lord coming here, Baul. I think Nikolai

353
00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:02,880
Speaker 1: Hoigar might be a nice fit for this course. Big

354
00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:06,919
Speaker 1: hitter ranked first on tour last year in proximity on

355
00:18:06,960 --> 00:18:09,160
Speaker 1: approaches from one hundred and seventy five to two hundred

356
00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:11,960
Speaker 1: yards and fifty to one is a pretty good price

357
00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:18,040
Speaker 1: for a talented ascendant player, and Michael Thorbiornsen is off

358
00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:20,200
Speaker 1: to a slow start this year. Paramis cuts in a

359
00:18:20,280 --> 00:18:23,760
Speaker 1: seventy fourth. But this is another talented young player who's

360
00:18:23,800 --> 00:18:28,120
Speaker 1: had three well last year, three top tens in eleven

361
00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:31,800
Speaker 1: Tour events. He's a bomber, he's good with the long irons.

362
00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:35,040
Speaker 1: I'm very intrigued by him at his price. What about

363
00:18:35,080 --> 00:18:38,080
Speaker 1: long shots? Anyone with odds of sixty five to one

364
00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:40,200
Speaker 1: or longer who stands out for you?

365
00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:43,240
Speaker 2: So as much as I like a lot of guys

366
00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:46,320
Speaker 2: in this kind of later tier, I really only want

367
00:18:46,320 --> 00:18:48,440
Speaker 2: to bet on two guys. One of them is kind

368
00:18:48,480 --> 00:18:50,719
Speaker 2: of a mid range to long shot. One is a

369
00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:53,639
Speaker 2: super long shot that you're going to love because how

370
00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:56,560
Speaker 2: deep do you really want to go at the Mexico Open. Well,

371
00:18:56,560 --> 00:18:59,920
Speaker 2: I'm going as deep as anybody in this whole sphere

372
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Speaker 2: of golf betting. My eighty to one pick is Lonto Griffin,

373
00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:09,840
Speaker 2: another norcl product, great great player from Tea Green, playing

374
00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:13,560
Speaker 2: really well right now. I think he's simply a miss price.

375
00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:16,640
Speaker 2: Lonto comes in at number three in my model top

376
00:19:16,720 --> 00:19:20,120
Speaker 2: ten and Birdie's are better gained on approach par three

377
00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:24,479
Speaker 2: scoring good drives gained and strokes gained on par five's.

378
00:19:25,240 --> 00:19:28,200
Speaker 2: This guy's only weakness tends to be kind of scrambling

379
00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:29,920
Speaker 2: a short game that's not really going to come into

380
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:35,119
Speaker 2: play this week. Lonto Griffin, despite being a medium long hitter,

381
00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:38,400
Speaker 2: I don't think that he's gonna be overwhelmed at all here.

382
00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:41,000
Speaker 2: Eighty one is a great number for a guy of

383
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:44,960
Speaker 2: his talent, and I'm gonna go super duper deep with

384
00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:50,520
Speaker 2: Norman jong x Io n G three hundred and fifty

385
00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:56,040
Speaker 2: to one. Bomber hits the ball, he's eighth in this

386
00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:59,600
Speaker 2: field and driving distance, he's actually got the seventh best

387
00:19:59,640 --> 00:20:03,000
Speaker 2: short and he's the best scorer on par five's in

388
00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:06,720
Speaker 2: this entire field. Number seven on proximity at two hundred

389
00:20:06,720 --> 00:20:10,000
Speaker 2: plus yards, number thirteen and putting and number eighteen and

390
00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:13,200
Speaker 2: birdies are better gained. I'm gonna take a couple bucks

391
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:15,800
Speaker 2: and throw an outright on Norman Jeong. I'm also gonna

392
00:20:15,800 --> 00:20:17,760
Speaker 2: be hitting the hell out of a top twenty line

393
00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:20,400
Speaker 2: made cut line whenever I get my hands on Norman Jong,

394
00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:22,640
Speaker 2: is gonna get some of my skin in the game

395
00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:25,640
Speaker 2: this week. That's a crazy odds for a guy who

396
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:29,800
Speaker 2: has just been a corn Ferry tour stalwart. And I

397
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:32,040
Speaker 2: think that he's kind of the guy that we see

398
00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:35,800
Speaker 2: Jake Knapp being this year, where maybe he has a

399
00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:39,840
Speaker 2: couple splashes this year to get him full time status

400
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:42,600
Speaker 2: on tour. But I believe you're gonna hear a lot

401
00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:45,399
Speaker 2: more of the name Norman Jeong as a result of

402
00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:46,360
Speaker 2: this week's tournament.

403
00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:49,320
Speaker 1: I am intrigued. He does sort of fit that Jake

404
00:20:49,480 --> 00:20:54,960
Speaker 1: nap Riohisatsuni archetype that served us so well last year.

405
00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:59,720
Speaker 1: Bo I like aldriche potkeater. Yeah, at seventy to one,

406
00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:05,080
Speaker 1: South African, Yes, young South African too, about twenty years old,

407
00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:08,080
Speaker 1: fifteenth at the Farmer's Insurance Open a few weeks ago.

408
00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:11,760
Speaker 1: In another long course tory Pines currently number one in

409
00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:15,000
Speaker 1: driving distance and number two in strokes gained off the tee.

410
00:21:15,119 --> 00:21:18,120
Speaker 1: So Potkeater at seventy to one definitely has my interest.

411
00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:21,080
Speaker 1: Kind of intrigued by Maddy Schmidt on a course that

412
00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:23,280
Speaker 1: favors big hitters, but I don't love the eighty to

413
00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:25,960
Speaker 1: one odds. I would want one hundred to one or longer.

414
00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:28,480
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the early betting cards. Who

415
00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:29,800
Speaker 1: do you have as of now bow?

416
00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:33,040
Speaker 2: I have Rasmus Hoyguard twenty to one, Kirk Kitty, I'm

417
00:21:33,080 --> 00:21:37,320
Speaker 2: a twenty five to one justin lower fifty and Lonto

418
00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:39,720
Speaker 2: Griffin eighty and I'm gonna sprinkle a whole lot of

419
00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:42,520
Speaker 2: money on Norman's Jeong at three hundred and fifty to

420
00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:43,920
Speaker 2: one at the Mexico Open.

421
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:45,160
Speaker 3: Can you believe that.

422
00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 1: I like it? Right now? I've got an outright on

423
00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:52,879
Speaker 1: Sam Stevens at twenty two to one, and outright on

424
00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:57,560
Speaker 1: Alex Smalley at forty to one, got outrights on Nikolai Hoyguard,

425
00:21:57,840 --> 00:22:02,760
Speaker 1: Michael thorbe Jornson and Elder pot Geater at fifty to one,

426
00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:05,040
Speaker 1: fifty five to one, and seventy to one, respectively. And

427
00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:07,399
Speaker 1: I've got top five kickers on all of those guys.

428
00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:12,399
Speaker 1: I'm going to add James Lauer and Norman Jong Bo

429
00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:14,320
Speaker 1: because you made such strong cances for.

430
00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:16,359
Speaker 3: Those No, that's the name of this game is.

431
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:22,600
Speaker 2: I obviously was interested in Stevens and both Hoyguards, and

432
00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:25,760
Speaker 2: so I probably will end up throwing some skin on

433
00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:28,240
Speaker 2: Sam Stevens at twenty two because he's number one in

434
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:30,320
Speaker 2: my model. Why would I leave that guy off my

435
00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:30,960
Speaker 2: betting slip?

436
00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:31,760
Speaker 3: So thank you for that.

437
00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:34,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, yes, sir, All right, let's get to the one

438
00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:38,520
Speaker 1: and done competition. Bo had will Zlaturus last week tied

439
00:22:38,560 --> 00:22:41,159
Speaker 1: for twenty fourth, solid showing good for one hundred and

440
00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:46,119
Speaker 1: sixty and fifty eight dollars. I took Septstraka the big

441
00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:48,480
Speaker 1: man whift hard for me last week at Tory Pines.

442
00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:52,040
Speaker 1: Missing the cut just terrible. Those two days before.

443
00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:54,440
Speaker 3: One of half a dozen guys who missed the cut.

444
00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:57,879
Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, I know he he got an early

445
00:22:58,000 --> 00:23:02,040
Speaker 1: flight home. Rare off week for Stepstraca. I'm up first

446
00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:05,920
Speaker 1: in Mexico. I'm gonna take Sam Stevens. What about you, Bol,

447
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:09,919
Speaker 1: I'm going to take Sam Stevens.

448
00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:13,399
Speaker 2: I kind of knew you're going to pick here, but

449
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:16,200
Speaker 2: I also want to be strategic about this.

450
00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:19,680
Speaker 3: I'm going to take Rasmus Hoyguard Rasmus Hoyguard.

451
00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:22,560
Speaker 1: I like it. And that is all for this week's

452
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:26,199
Speaker 1: Betting PROSPGA podcast. We will be back next week with

453
00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:29,919
Speaker 1: a preview of the Cognizant Classic as the PGA Tour's

454
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:33,120
Speaker 1: Florida Swing gets underway. Until then, so.

455
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:37,240
Speaker 4: Long everyone, thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

456
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:39,800
Speaker 4: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

457
00:23:39,880 --> 00:23:42,760
Speaker 4: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

458
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:45,879
Speaker 4: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting

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00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:49,720
Speaker 4: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

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00:23:49,760 --> 00:24:02,200
Speaker 4: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros