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Speaker 1: Hey everybody, Welcome back to the Betting Pros Podcast, brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris.

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Speaker 1: Find me on Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. It is

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Speaker 1: time to talk about our best bets if we can,

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Speaker 1: given everything that's going on in week fifteen here in

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Speaker 1: the NFL season. Great guest today to do that with

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Speaker 1: me it is Read Wallach, senior editor over at bets Sided.

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Speaker 1: Find him on Twitter at his name at read Wallak.

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Speaker 1: By the way, did I pronounce her last? I didn't

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Speaker 1: even ask? Is that how you pronounce her?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? All natural? That was great?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, beautiful? No, no prap? What's that's w A L

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Speaker 3: l A h? Just you know on Twitter?

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Speaker 1: Read Thank you for joining me today in what I

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Speaker 1: admit is probably the most difficult like Thursday show to

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Speaker 1: talk about our weekend best bets because the COVID outbreak.

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Speaker 3: But I mean that's why I brought you on. I

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Speaker 3: want the best, you know.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, No, this is this is when we thrive.

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Speaker 4: Adversity guy is getting ruled out left and right, spreads

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Speaker 4: up in arms from the openers. This is when you know,

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Speaker 4: the going gets tough, the tough get going.

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Speaker 1: This is gonna be I think we can be honest

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Speaker 1: about it. Okay, we're gonna recommend some bets, but obviously

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Speaker 1: COVID maytime. One of the bets that I'm going to

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Speaker 1: recommend already has been moving because of COVID news. They

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Speaker 1: can just before we start a quick so everybody listening,

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Speaker 1: you don't have to run and bet these right now.

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Speaker 3: Take your time, like see how things develop.

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Speaker 1: But as of right now, this is where we're going

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Speaker 1: to land on some stuff, and we'll do our best

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Speaker 1: to give some caveats.

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Speaker 3: All right, we're going to get into it.

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Speaker 1: This again is our three best bets of the weekend, spread, money, line, total,

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Speaker 1: whatever we want to do, and a couple of housekeeping

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Speaker 1: items before we do. Subscribe to our YouTube channel YouTube

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Speaker 1: dot com slash Betting Pros later today might be probably

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Speaker 1: after or before you listen this. Who knows, I'm doing

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Speaker 1: a props betting live stream, or I'm just gonna come out,

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Speaker 1: use our Betting Pros cheat sheet and go through some

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Speaker 1: of my favorite player props for the Thursday night game.

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Speaker 1: I'll do the same on Saturday. To do that and

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Speaker 1: our latest offer from bet MGM new customers when you

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Speaker 1: use the code juice one hundred. Can bet ten dollars

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Speaker 1: on any NFL team to win their game, win two

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Speaker 1: hundred dollars in free bets if that team scores a

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Speaker 1: touchdown again New Customers Cojuice one hundred that is available

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Speaker 1: in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, West Virginia, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virginia, Iowa, Washington, DC, Arizona,

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Speaker 1: and Wyoming. All right, quick, let's run through last week.

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Speaker 1: Our guest Pat Fitzmorris went one and two with his

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Speaker 1: best bets. He hit on Jacksonville and Tennessee under forty

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Speaker 1: three and a half. He missed on the Jets getting

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Speaker 1: five and a half from the Saints and the Bengals

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Speaker 1: getting one from the forty nine ers.

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Speaker 3: I went two and one.

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Speaker 1: As everybody knows, I took the other side of that game.

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Speaker 1: Don't really know if that turn was the actual right side,

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Speaker 1: but it was a winner in that one. Another game

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Speaker 1: that was probably the wrong side but was also a

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Speaker 1: winner for me was the Ravens getting two and a

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Speaker 1: half in that game. I did miss on the Falcons

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Speaker 1: and the Panthers under forty two and a half, So

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Speaker 1: I'm now twenty one and twenty one on the year.

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Speaker 1: Let's do better. We'll start today. Read you are our

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Speaker 1: guest to get the first pick.

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Speaker 3: What do you got?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, So I'm going to go with the Patriots plus

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Speaker 4: two and a half against the Colts. I think that's

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Speaker 4: pretty much the market number as of this record, and

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Speaker 4: the three picks I made are as of now not

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Speaker 4: COVID effected, so hopefully that holds up.

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Speaker 2: But this one in particular really caught my eye.

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Speaker 4: These are two teams coming off of a buy in

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Speaker 4: Indianapolis and New England, and this was a pick them

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Speaker 4: in the look ahead market. So I find it fascinating

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Speaker 4: that this line has shifted two and a half points

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Speaker 4: towards the Colts.

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Speaker 2: This was a spot I was looking at back Indianapolis.

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Speaker 4: Actually, I think New England's a little overvalued in the market,

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Speaker 4: but now it feels like everyone feels that way because

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Speaker 4: now the line's gotten the other way.

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Speaker 2: So again, I make this a pick. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: play New England.

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Speaker 4: And really, you know Colts linebacker saying we want Mac

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Speaker 4: Jones to beat us after you know he only threw

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Speaker 4: three attempts against Buffalo, Well that might actually be a

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Speaker 4: problem because the Colts do have a good run defense.

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Speaker 2: But they're actually sixteenth in EPA per pass.

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Speaker 4: So I think mac Jones is going to have some

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Speaker 4: success through the air on the fast Track at Lucas

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Speaker 4: Oil Stadium, and listen, mac Jones. He doesn't make mistakes.

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Speaker 4: He's gonna go through the reads, He's going to go

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Speaker 4: through the progressions, make the easy pass, Carson Wentz. You

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Speaker 4: know that he's gonna make some turnover, He's going to

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Speaker 4: make some crazy passes. He's gonna give New England a

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Speaker 4: So I like New England as an underdog, and also

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Speaker 4: I think this is an amazing teaser. Spot got that

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Speaker 4: over a touchdown at eight and a half, So yeah,

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Speaker 4: give me New England.

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Speaker 2: I think that they're the better team and this should

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Speaker 2: be a pick them.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I love it as a teaser for sure. With two

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Speaker 1: and a half, you get it to eight and a half.

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Speaker 1: I do love that. I have a lot of trouble

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Speaker 1: with this game.

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Speaker 3: Read.

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Speaker 1: First of all, I've had a lot of trouble with

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Speaker 1: the paths the whole year, right because I've sort of

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Speaker 1: been on the whole Pats are overrated, then, like this

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Speaker 1: is just what it is.

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Speaker 3: They're not.

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Speaker 1: You know, if you have to make Macdones beat you.

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Speaker 1: I think Macdones is a fine rookie quarterback, but I

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Speaker 1: don't trust him to be able to carry the load

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Speaker 1: necessarily if you can't run the ball. But it is

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Speaker 1: interesting to me that this line is two and a half, Like,

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Speaker 1: you're right, this struck me as a pick them game,

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Speaker 1: so there must be money coming in though right on

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Speaker 1: the cults, I assume that sharp betters are backing the Colts,

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Speaker 1: which I don't fully understand. Like if you're getting to

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Speaker 1: do you think this gets to three? By the way

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Speaker 1: it's been sitting out there two.

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Speaker 3: And a half.

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Speaker 4: I feel like this is if this goes to three,

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Speaker 4: everyone starts immediately betting New England, and then it goes

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Speaker 4: back to two and a half. I feel like this

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Speaker 4: closes two and a half. Maybe it comes down a

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Speaker 4: little bit again. I just what happened over the bye

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Speaker 4: week that is changing this market to and half once.

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Speaker 4: I agree New England is overvalued in the macro of

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Speaker 4: the NFL, but in this particular spot, give me Bill Belichick.

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Speaker 2: As an underdog.

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Speaker 4: You know, I think mac Jones is able to keep

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Speaker 4: this game close enough where New England's a chance to

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Speaker 4: win at the end.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and by the way, I mean, Buffalo had a

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Speaker 1: perfectly fine run defense and New England they knew they

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Speaker 1: were going to run. They ran the same play and

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Speaker 1: they just ran down their throats. So as good as

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Speaker 1: the Cults are, I mean, we saw again Leonard Fournette

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Speaker 1: have no trouble running the ball in the starly against

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Speaker 1: them as well. So yeah, man, it is weird, right

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Speaker 1: because both teams are off a bye, so you would

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Speaker 1: think what has changed suddenly to make this spread sort

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Speaker 1: of start to move and again now it's been hanging

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Speaker 1: at it two and a half for a little bit,

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Speaker 1: but you're right. Early on it was, you know, one

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Speaker 1: point or something like that.

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Speaker 3: It was very interesting.

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Speaker 1: I look, if I have to go away, I'm certainly

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Speaker 1: taking the Pats with the points for sure. If I

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Speaker 1: have to go away, I'm probably staying away from it

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Speaker 1: because man, I don't I just I don't know. I

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Speaker 1: don't have a good read on the Patriots team yet

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Speaker 1: or though or the Colts. By the way, the Colts

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Speaker 1: sometimes come out there and you're like, oh, you're the

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Speaker 1: best team in the NFL. I get it now, But

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Speaker 1: they also come out there and Carson Wentz is about

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Speaker 1: to throw a ball left handed, you know, right to

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Speaker 1: the linebacker and have it run back for a pick Sixugh,

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Speaker 1: the worst, the worst. So I'm I leaned towards their way,

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Speaker 1: but I agree with you. It's one of my favorite

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Speaker 1: teaser pieces to get the Pats definitely up to eight

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Speaker 1: and a half.

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Speaker 3: So all right, I like it there. I'm gonna be honest.

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Speaker 1: I don't love a lot of games this weekend like

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Speaker 1: I did, Like I liked the Eagles, which were laying

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Speaker 1: four and a half against Washington before it moved to

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Speaker 1: seven because of all the COVID news, I'm sure, and

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Speaker 1: all the injuries stuff like that. So I will be

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Speaker 1: honest that a lot of my picks are a little lukewarm,

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Speaker 1: but we make picks. We're fine. I'm going to go

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Speaker 1: with the Packers laying five and a half to the Ravens.

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Speaker 1: It was four and a half when I looked at

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Speaker 1: it when it opened. It's a dead number. It's a

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Speaker 1: weird sort of number. But I think the bottom line

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Speaker 1: is I don't love what I hear out of the

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Speaker 1: Ravens camp about Lamar. I really don't. And even earlier

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Speaker 1: today it just said he's going to be like they're

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Speaker 1: going to take it right up until game time to

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Speaker 1: know whether or not he's going to go, So even

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Speaker 1: if he goes, he's going to be limited, Like this.

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Speaker 3: Is just what we're going to see.

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Speaker 1: And I think the fact that they signed Josh Johnson

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Speaker 1: sort of suggests, Okay, we are really concerned whether or

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Speaker 1: not he's going to be able to go. But if

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Speaker 1: he does go, if he doesn't go, as much as

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Speaker 1: this game is important to him, every game is important

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Speaker 1: to them, Like they're probably going to win this division

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Speaker 1: as much as every team is right there, and the

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Speaker 1: same sort of thing. I think in the end, they'll

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Speaker 1: probably be able to pull it out. You attack the

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Speaker 1: Packers for the most part on the ground, and I

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Speaker 1: think a big part of their ground game is the

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Speaker 1: fact that Lamar Jackson is so mobile. So if he

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Speaker 1: does play and his mobility is compromised, as I would expect,

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Speaker 1: that is going to affect it. And if not, like

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Speaker 1: you know, kudos to Huntley, but not sort of the same.

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Speaker 1: And really I just don't know how they expect to

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Speaker 1: stop the Packers. I know Aaron Rodgers had a quote

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Speaker 1: setback with the toe and everything like that, but what

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Speaker 1: you have is last week, I like the Ravens because

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Speaker 1: I said, you know what, all their injuries to the secondary,

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Speaker 1: which is totally decimated by injuries, that's not as big

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Speaker 1: a deal against team like the Browns, who doesn't really

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Speaker 1: have that prototypical number one or number two receiver, number

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Speaker 1: three receiver, that's not how they.

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Speaker 3: Run their offense.

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Speaker 1: But here you've got DeVante Adams and you've got the

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Speaker 1: number two pass offense in terms of DVOA against the

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Speaker 1: twenty sixth defensive DVOA against the pass team in the Ravens.

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Speaker 1: So with their injuries with Lamar Jackson, this just strikes

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Speaker 1: me as a game here that the Packers, even in Baltimore,

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Speaker 1: are gonna roll. It's uncomfortable, right because it's on the road.

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Speaker 1: It's five and a half. That's just a dead number.

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Speaker 1: If Lamar Jackson was at full health, I would feel

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Speaker 1: less comfortable with it. But he's gonna if he plays,

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Speaker 1: is gonna be limited, not gonna be able to run

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Speaker 1: as much. The passing game is not really working. And

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Speaker 1: if it's Huntley, like, good job coming back against the

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Speaker 1: Browns thankfully and covering that spread for me, But I

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Speaker 1: have no faith that he's gonna be able to really

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Speaker 1: attack this offense. So for now I like him at

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Speaker 1: five and a half. But I'm interested to hear your

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Speaker 1: thoughts on that.

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Speaker 4: I don't hate to play at all, and what you

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Speaker 4: mentioned about the Raven's decimated secondary that against Aaron Rodgers,

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Speaker 4: I mean, you know, whatever tow is messed up, I mean,

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Speaker 4: he's gonna be able to get his you know, I

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Speaker 4: think that this number I think is sitting there. It's

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Speaker 4: kind of like a middle number where it's if Lamar plays,

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Speaker 4: is gonna tick down to maybe four. Ifdley plays, maybe

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Speaker 4: this goes up to seven, because like you said, five

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Speaker 4: and a half is kind of that dead zone where

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Speaker 4: it's an insignificant number.

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Speaker 2: So I don't hate the play.

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Speaker 4: I'm kind of feeling if Huntley plays, what about the

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Speaker 4: over Yeah yeah, maybe you got like I mean we

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Speaker 4: saw Miles Garrett that scoop and score. You know, maybe

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Speaker 4: Huntley makes a mistake, whereas if it's Lamar, maybe even

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Speaker 4: almost lower scoring, they go even closer to the best

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Speaker 4: less mistakes. So that's kind of how I'm looking to

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Speaker 4: attack it. If Huntley's ended up, if he ends up playing,

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna look probably towards the over because I think

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Speaker 4: you're right.

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Speaker 2: The Packers are gonna get whatever they want on offense.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's forty three and a half, that's not you know,

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Speaker 1: you don't need any sort of crew that's low.

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Speaker 3: I mean, there are a lot of low totals.

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Speaker 1: This week, by the way, So I'm totally good with

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Speaker 1: that play. And yeah, I agree with you. I mean, man,

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Speaker 1: I'd almost rather Lamar play in this game because only

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Speaker 1: because I right, because I think that realistically, if he plays,

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Speaker 1: and you know, I love Lamar Jackson, but first of all,

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Speaker 1: he has not played well in several weeks, whether it

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Speaker 1: was the illness that he's been down, whatever that is

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Speaker 1: that he was on the injury report in the almost

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Speaker 1: three separate weeks, but his ankles just you know, it's

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Speaker 1: not gonna be one hundred percent. There's no way which

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Speaker 1: will limit them, and it's almost better than having Huntley's

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Speaker 1: additional mobility.

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Speaker 3: But either way, at five and a half, that's the point.

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Speaker 1: If Lamar plays and the spread goes to I'm still

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Speaker 1: fine laying five and a half even assuming that Lamar

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Speaker 1: suits up, given that he there's no way he's going

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Speaker 1: to be one hundred percent For a guy who relies

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Speaker 1: on his legs so much.

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Speaker 3: All right, number two, pick? What do you got?

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Speaker 4: Okay, I'm gonna go with the Steelers. I think this

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Speaker 4: number is ticking down. I had plus two that I

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Speaker 4: wrote down, but anything above pick, I'm on Pittsburgh in

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Speaker 4: this game.

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Speaker 2: This is a classic Mike Tomlin spine.

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Speaker 4: It's almost like we're beating a dead horse because you know,

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Speaker 4: the Steers keep being plays as underdogs. But Tomlin, he's

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Speaker 4: covering sixty six percent of his games as a dog

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Speaker 4: as a Steelers head coach. Make that over eighty percent

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Speaker 4: as a home underdog. And this Tennessee team, it's a

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Speaker 4: team I like to back as Underdog's not his favorite.

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Speaker 4: So this is kind of a spot where I like

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Speaker 4: to fade Mike Rabel. He is fourteen nineteen to one

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Speaker 4: as a favorite since taking over in Tennessee. So there

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Speaker 4: are some trends going in the Steelers favor. And also

285
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Speaker 4: just this is more of an eye test thing. I've

286
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Speaker 4: been fading the Steelers. I didn't believe in them earlier

287
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Speaker 4: in the year. It almost seems like Ben Roethlisberger's having

288
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Speaker 4: like this is the last stand. You know, he's trying

289
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Speaker 4: to will the team home Gunslinger mentality really just he

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Speaker 4: knows this as his last year. He's leaving it all

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Speaker 4: out there. So I kind of like that motivation for

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Speaker 4: the Steelers. They had some extra time to prep and

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Speaker 4: this Tennessee offense without Derrick Henry, who have they beaten

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Speaker 4: of late? They lost to the Texans, they got blown

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Speaker 4: out by the Patriots. They get to buy and beat

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Speaker 4: a dead Jaguars team, So I'm not.

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Speaker 2: Impressed with the Titans.

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Speaker 4: They're twenty third in EPA per play since Derrick Henry

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Speaker 4: went down. So again, this is not a team I'm

300
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Speaker 4: looking to back as a favorite on the road against

301
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Speaker 4: the Steelers, team that is facing their season right here.

302
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Speaker 4: If they lose this game, that's probably it for them

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Speaker 4: in the playoff race. So again, Roethlisberger's last stand, Tomlin

304
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Speaker 4: as a dog, all these things are putting me towards

305
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Speaker 4: the Steelers. Again, this is still in that one and

306
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Speaker 4: a half two range, great teaser spot, but I like

307
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Speaker 4: the Steelers at anything above a pick. I think that

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Speaker 4: they win this game.

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Speaker 1: So our consensus line at Betting Bros. Is one, but

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Speaker 1: there are twos out there still at bet MGM, for example,

311
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Speaker 1: there's two I'll give it to you two, because we've

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Speaker 1: got some twos out there as well. Yeah, you're welcome,

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Speaker 1: take the money a lot. It doesn't matter, whatever, it

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Speaker 1: does matter. Yeah, So I think, first of all, I

315
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Speaker 1: mean I'm full on the I back Mike Tomlin in

316
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Speaker 1: the spot of you're an underdog, you know, get your

317
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Speaker 1: backs against the wall. When he's a favorite, run run

318
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Speaker 1: as far away as you possibly can, because that's what

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Speaker 1: does It's interesting here because I do think that this

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Speaker 1: is a game that does favor the Steelers in a

321
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Speaker 1: couple of ways. Number One, it's obviously like their defense

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Speaker 1: has just been getting you know, whether it's been injury

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Speaker 1: or not, like they've been getting torched. The Titans cannot

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Speaker 1: do that at this point, right, That is not how

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Speaker 1: they are winning games at this point. They're playing very conservatively.

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Speaker 1: But it's different when you're running back that you have

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Speaker 1: is you know, Deonta Foreman instead of Derrick Henry. They're

328
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Speaker 1: obviously down a j Brown Leo Jones just came back,

329
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Speaker 1: but they were not pushing the ball down field. They

330
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Speaker 1: have no interest in sort of having an explosive style

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Speaker 1: game which can exploit.

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Speaker 3: Whatever the Steelers deficiencies are on offense.

333
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Speaker 1: And on defense, and hopefully they get a little healthier

334
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Speaker 1: by the way, because they've obviously, you know, hopefully Watt's

335
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Speaker 1: able to play Hayden and you're right about like whether

336
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Speaker 1: it is just like hey man, Ben's out after this year.

337
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Speaker 3: Let's just go, you know, to the wall and do

338
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Speaker 3: what we can.

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Speaker 1: They are really just basically saying, like, you know what,

340
00:13:26,960 --> 00:13:28,800
Speaker 1: our offense seems to work better a little bit when

341
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Speaker 1: we go no huddle, when we hurry it up, when

342
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Speaker 1: we move it and just let Ben sort of find

343
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Speaker 1: what it is, and it does like they are able

344
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Speaker 1: to put up points here. And the Titans defense is good,

345
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Speaker 1: but they have been sort of punching above their weight

346
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Speaker 1: class a little bit in that it's been fluky. Like

347
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Speaker 1: we mentioned when they beat the Rams, right, it was like,

348
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Speaker 1: oh wow, you know they went and be the Red.

349
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Speaker 3: Like that was very fluky.

350
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Speaker 1: They had to pick six right, their defense sort of play.

351
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Speaker 1: That's how they've been getting away with this. When you

352
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Speaker 1: just look at how is our offense playing, how's their

353
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Speaker 1: defense playing, it's not that impressive of late, right, So yeah,

354
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Speaker 1: I don't hate it, like I have been on the

355
00:14:01,679 --> 00:14:04,120
Speaker 1: wrong side like the Steelers against the Bengals in that

356
00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:05,400
Speaker 1: game where they went in there and I was like,

357
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Speaker 1: this is Mike toWin spot and they're gonna be pissed

358
00:14:07,679 --> 00:14:10,000
Speaker 1: off every getting and they've just got the doors.

359
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Speaker 3: Blown off them. I've been gun chat a little bit

360
00:14:11,840 --> 00:14:12,360
Speaker 3: with them. Go ahead.

361
00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:15,160
Speaker 4: Sorry, No, the Titans seem like a team. Again, I

362
00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:17,839
Speaker 4: don't like backing them as favorites. I like back in

363
00:14:17,840 --> 00:14:19,920
Speaker 4: those underdogs because they punch up and down to their

364
00:14:19,920 --> 00:14:22,440
Speaker 4: weight class. And again, I'm not saying the Steelers are

365
00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:23,960
Speaker 4: a good team. I don't think that they're doing anything

366
00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:26,000
Speaker 4: come playoff time or if they even make the playoffs,

367
00:14:26,040 --> 00:14:29,680
Speaker 4: but they can whire. The Titans should be laying points here,

368
00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:32,120
Speaker 4: Like what have the Titans done? They had three point

369
00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:34,120
Speaker 4: eight yards per play against the Jags. I get that

370
00:14:34,160 --> 00:14:37,120
Speaker 4: game was over the second started, but it's not like

371
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Speaker 4: the Titans have been some world beating nine to fourteen.

372
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Speaker 4: This is a different team than what started the year.

373
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Speaker 4: So I'm not rushing to back this offense right now,

374
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Speaker 4: going on the road to a hostile Hinz Field in

375
00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:53,160
Speaker 4: a must win situation.

376
00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:55,960
Speaker 2: This is a clear spots back with Steelers.

377
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Speaker 3: I don't disagree with what you're saying.

378
00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:00,920
Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm gonna be on it because

379
00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:03,560
Speaker 1: I'm terrified, but I agree especially and again another thing

380
00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:04,840
Speaker 1: where they're getting too not a.

381
00:15:04,760 --> 00:15:06,920
Speaker 3: Bad teaser piece as well, if you can tease them

382
00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:08,720
Speaker 3: up past that touchdown. All right.

383
00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:12,160
Speaker 1: So originally in the week I was gonna, I mean,

384
00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:15,160
Speaker 1: it's all gross right now, I was gonna go with

385
00:15:15,440 --> 00:15:19,480
Speaker 1: the Texans against the Jaguars because I feel like the

386
00:15:19,640 --> 00:15:21,600
Speaker 1: quote sharp side and when you look at the teams

387
00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:23,480
Speaker 1: like the Jaguars, I understood why they were at the

388
00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:25,920
Speaker 1: time three point favorites. But I was not going to

389
00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:27,640
Speaker 1: back an Urban Meyer team. And I think that he

390
00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:30,240
Speaker 1: sort of is the model buster in terms of terrible

391
00:15:30,880 --> 00:15:33,320
Speaker 1: teams that fire their coach, like especially this, like you

392
00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:36,320
Speaker 1: could definitely see a rally around the flag type of

393
00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:38,920
Speaker 1: effort from the Jaguars. So I went with an equally

394
00:15:39,040 --> 00:15:41,480
Speaker 1: ugly sort of dog that I've gone with, and it's

395
00:15:41,520 --> 00:15:43,040
Speaker 1: the Jets. And now when I took the Jets, and

396
00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:44,720
Speaker 1: when I logged it again in our betting pros app

397
00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:48,120
Speaker 1: they were getting ten. Right after that, right when I

398
00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:49,560
Speaker 1: decided I was gonna do it, we got the Jaalen

399
00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:51,840
Speaker 1: Waddell news that he is on the reserve COVID list

400
00:15:51,920 --> 00:15:53,360
Speaker 1: now ready. I don't know if you've seen anything. I

401
00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:55,560
Speaker 1: didn't see that he actually tested positive. I don't know

402
00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:58,120
Speaker 1: if he was just a close contact. But either way,

403
00:15:58,400 --> 00:16:01,320
Speaker 1: if you're put on the list on a Thursday, I

404
00:16:01,520 --> 00:16:03,120
Speaker 1: it does not sound like you're gonna be able to play.

405
00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:03,240
Speaker 2: Like.

406
00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:05,000
Speaker 1: He hasn't been ruled out as far as I right,

407
00:16:05,400 --> 00:16:07,600
Speaker 1: I didn't see he was ruled out, but.

408
00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:12,160
Speaker 4: You have to think probably out for this weekend. And listen,

409
00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:13,480
Speaker 4: he's a huge part of their offense.

410
00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:16,120
Speaker 3: He oh my god, he's uh to a his binky.

411
00:16:16,320 --> 00:16:18,920
Speaker 2: You know, he is his go to receiver. Not downfield.

412
00:16:18,960 --> 00:16:22,040
Speaker 4: He average is like four yards of catch, but he's

413
00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:25,800
Speaker 4: his go to guys. This really makes it a difficult

414
00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:29,000
Speaker 4: passing attack for this Dolphins team. I wonder how they're

415
00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:30,960
Speaker 4: going to adjust. Especially they're coming off of buy so

416
00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:32,560
Speaker 4: they were prepping for this game. They're trying to get

417
00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:36,000
Speaker 4: the playoff race. So yeah, no, continue with your handicap.

418
00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:39,960
Speaker 1: I mean, so no, it's fine. So I headed at ten.

419
00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:42,800
Speaker 1: It's now the consensus line is nine and a half.

420
00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:45,080
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna stick with it because it doesn't really matter. Also,

421
00:16:45,160 --> 00:16:46,760
Speaker 1: I think there are a couple things. They've obviously got

422
00:16:46,800 --> 00:16:49,120
Speaker 1: COVID issues on that team. Every running back right now

423
00:16:49,640 --> 00:16:52,040
Speaker 1: it tested positive for COVID. They may be off. I'm

424
00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:55,000
Speaker 1: actually expecting Miles Gaskin to come off, maybe Savan Akhmed,

425
00:16:55,520 --> 00:16:58,240
Speaker 1: you know, who knows. They maybe they'll get Malcolm brown back,

426
00:16:58,280 --> 00:17:01,360
Speaker 1: who knows. But they've got a COVID ish on that team, which,

427
00:17:01,400 --> 00:17:03,240
Speaker 1: by the way, suggests this is a game which I

428
00:17:03,320 --> 00:17:06,080
Speaker 1: might be fine to take now because I do think

429
00:17:06,119 --> 00:17:09,680
Speaker 1: look of Wattle tested positive, If DeVante Parker test positive,

430
00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:12,639
Speaker 1: if Mike a SICKI test, like, you've got issues there

431
00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:15,840
Speaker 1: going on with that team. And either way, I mean, look,

432
00:17:15,920 --> 00:17:18,119
Speaker 1: a receiver being out generally, it's not something that's going

433
00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:20,080
Speaker 1: to move this spread very much, right, Like that's the thing.

434
00:17:20,080 --> 00:17:23,160
Speaker 1: It's half a point, and I assume that's why. But regardless,

435
00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:26,000
Speaker 1: Wattle certainly is the biggest part of that offense where

436
00:17:26,040 --> 00:17:29,040
Speaker 1: it is. And the Dolphins, man, I don't know, man,

437
00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:31,960
Speaker 1: I'm interested your thoughts on them generally because when I

438
00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:34,200
Speaker 1: look at them, I knew they were better than this

439
00:17:34,240 --> 00:17:36,359
Speaker 1: team to start out one and so like they weren't

440
00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:38,720
Speaker 1: one of the worst teams in the NFL, and they're

441
00:17:38,800 --> 00:17:43,000
Speaker 1: rolling right now. But other than that, Ravens Win, Panthers, Texans, Jets, Giants.

442
00:17:43,000 --> 00:17:45,080
Speaker 1: It's not like they're world beaters or anything like that.

443
00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:47,520
Speaker 1: The Jets are terrible, and they're terrible this year against

444
00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:49,240
Speaker 1: the spread, right, they're three and ten, like so, the

445
00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:50,720
Speaker 1: Jets are not a team that you want to back.

446
00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:52,480
Speaker 1: And I made fun of Pat last week, who took

447
00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:54,560
Speaker 1: them against the Saints. I was like, there's no way

448
00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:57,040
Speaker 1: I'm taking a bet. But regardless, and they've gotten Elijah

449
00:17:57,080 --> 00:17:58,880
Speaker 1: More but they are going to get Michael Carter back,

450
00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:01,840
Speaker 1: which I do think is you know, something that's at

451
00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:04,240
Speaker 1: least gonna make a difference because he's incredibly talented. He's

452
00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:06,280
Speaker 1: a big part of their offense going in. We don't

453
00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:09,000
Speaker 1: know again, what this Dolphins offense gonna look like. Who's

454
00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:10,800
Speaker 1: gonna be playing running back, if Wild's out, if they

455
00:18:10,800 --> 00:18:13,960
Speaker 1: have more COVID cases. And when it was eight and

456
00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:15,920
Speaker 1: a half, I leaned the Jets when I saw that,

457
00:18:15,960 --> 00:18:19,760
Speaker 1: because again, these two teams have played before. The Dolphins

458
00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:23,080
Speaker 1: won by seven points. They do not strike me as

459
00:18:23,080 --> 00:18:25,480
Speaker 1: a team who should be double digit favorites over anyone

460
00:18:25,520 --> 00:18:27,240
Speaker 1: in the NFL. Now, again, this is nine and a half.

461
00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:30,439
Speaker 1: So whatever, But basically, this just doesn't seem like that

462
00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:34,399
Speaker 1: the Jets are a terrible football team, but they don't

463
00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:37,040
Speaker 1: like they don't mail it in right like Sala has

464
00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:39,200
Speaker 1: them playing still hard, they just don't have the personnel

465
00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:43,480
Speaker 1: and they randomly put up like spirited efforts here to

466
00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:45,480
Speaker 1: put up a game. I think this is the type

467
00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:47,520
Speaker 1: of game that even if the Dolphins sort of jump

468
00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:49,119
Speaker 1: out to a lead and get there, they don't have

469
00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:50,760
Speaker 1: the type of offense I think that's gonna be able

470
00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:52,520
Speaker 1: to put away apps in the defensive score.

471
00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:55,000
Speaker 3: I could see the Jets having a backdoor cover here.

472
00:18:55,040 --> 00:18:58,080
Speaker 1: So it's a second divisional game, right Like those games

473
00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:00,840
Speaker 1: are always just a little tighter than you think they

474
00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:04,359
Speaker 1: should be in this one. So it's disgusting, and I

475
00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:06,199
Speaker 1: hate backing the Jets, and I'm a Jets fan as

476
00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:08,800
Speaker 1: most people listen, No unfortunately, I was raised in Queens,

477
00:19:08,840 --> 00:19:09,960
Speaker 1: no choice.

478
00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:12,440
Speaker 3: But I don't. I'm not like a backer of them.

479
00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:13,800
Speaker 3: I never back them, but.

480
00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:16,239
Speaker 1: This week, with it being ugly and especially at ten,

481
00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:17,920
Speaker 1: if it gets back to ten, great, but even in

482
00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:19,720
Speaker 1: nine and a half, given the COVID issues that the

483
00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:22,840
Speaker 1: Dolphins are dealing with, read I'm inclined to agree with them.

484
00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:26,040
Speaker 3: How do you see this Dolphins team? Generally? Like, is

485
00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:26,520
Speaker 3: this for real?

486
00:19:26,520 --> 00:19:28,119
Speaker 1: They're six and seven, They're on the precipice of the

487
00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:30,040
Speaker 1: playoff race, that got a schedule they can exploit.

488
00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:32,760
Speaker 4: Now I agree with you on hundred. I think the

489
00:19:32,760 --> 00:19:37,960
Speaker 4: Dolphins are incredibly overrated. I faded them unfortunately with my

490
00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:40,919
Speaker 4: Giants two weeks ago before the buye they were not

491
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:43,719
Speaker 4: able to cover. Just this isn't a Dolphins team that

492
00:19:44,040 --> 00:19:47,760
Speaker 4: is beating Again, obviously we agree. I think we all

493
00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:50,359
Speaker 4: know the Jets are not a talented team. But again,

494
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,040
Speaker 4: are the Dolphins a team you're rushing to back laying

495
00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:53,760
Speaker 4: ten points?

496
00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:56,560
Speaker 2: I know? And again, the Jets aren't the type of

497
00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:57,880
Speaker 2: team that take.

498
00:19:57,720 --> 00:19:59,879
Speaker 4: Me as a quick factor team such as I know

499
00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:02,280
Speaker 4: urban Meyer was just fired, but urban Meyer Jags.

500
00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:04,120
Speaker 2: That's like a quick team as a team that's gonna

501
00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:05,040
Speaker 2: come out and just lay an egg.

502
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:07,520
Speaker 4: The Jets have a first year head coach is starting

503
00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:09,160
Speaker 4: to build a program. They have a rookie quarterback that's

504
00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:12,080
Speaker 4: going to at least give an honest effort. So this

505
00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:14,600
Speaker 4: isn't a Dolphins team that's gonna typically pull away. They

506
00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:17,359
Speaker 4: haven't really beat up on lesser competition. I think that

507
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:19,600
Speaker 4: the spread is too high. I think that the Jets,

508
00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:22,560
Speaker 4: like you said, division second time around, I think that

509
00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:24,480
Speaker 4: the Jets get up of this game. And also it's

510
00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:27,520
Speaker 4: in Miami. Dolphins don't have much of a home field.

511
00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:31,240
Speaker 4: This is not a maybe Miami nightlife beats the Jets.

512
00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:33,760
Speaker 4: But it's not like the Jets are going into a

513
00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:36,560
Speaker 4: hostile Miami like we're about to make a playoff push crowd.

514
00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:39,639
Speaker 4: This is gonna be probably more Jets fans that you know,

515
00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:42,720
Speaker 4: all the New Yorkers going down to Florida for you know,

516
00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:43,120
Speaker 4: the winter.

517
00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:45,680
Speaker 2: Yea, there's probably be more Jet fans than Dolphins fans.

518
00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:48,600
Speaker 4: So yeah, at eight and a half, I was thinking

519
00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:50,600
Speaker 4: maybe tease Miami inside of three.

520
00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:53,159
Speaker 2: But now, all right, this is a no touch for me.

521
00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:55,320
Speaker 2: This line has gone way too high in my opinion.

522
00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:58,240
Speaker 4: I know the Jets are banged up, but again nine

523
00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:01,040
Speaker 4: and a half ten, I lean forwards New York staying

524
00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:01,960
Speaker 4: within this big number.

525
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:04,320
Speaker 3: If they get If it goes back to ten, I

526
00:21:04,320 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 3: I'd like it.

527
00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:07,040
Speaker 1: And again that's that's how I I originally said, all right,

528
00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:08,800
Speaker 1: I'll take this when it got even at nine and

529
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:11,320
Speaker 1: a half though I still think, Man, I still think

530
00:21:11,359 --> 00:21:13,159
Speaker 1: it's there, and I bet it now because you know

531
00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:16,040
Speaker 1: this is again one like be very careful about betting

532
00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:16,920
Speaker 1: early and.

533
00:21:16,760 --> 00:21:19,639
Speaker 3: So especially especially right now, especially right now.

534
00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:22,240
Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying, well right generally speaking, like, I

535
00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:23,760
Speaker 1: don't have a problem if you want to make a

536
00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:26,159
Speaker 1: bet on Thursday, but for right now, goodness gracious, but

537
00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:28,040
Speaker 1: I do think if there is a game that you

538
00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:30,080
Speaker 1: feel comfortable with that you want to bet now, this

539
00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:30,760
Speaker 1: probably is one.

540
00:21:30,760 --> 00:21:31,680
Speaker 3: Because we know the.

541
00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:33,920
Speaker 1: Dolphins have a COVID issue going on right now, because

542
00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:36,919
Speaker 1: we've known it forever. So I think the likelihood of

543
00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:40,800
Speaker 1: COVID affecting that team is higher than it is any

544
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:43,280
Speaker 1: other team almost except for the Browns right in the

545
00:21:43,359 --> 00:21:45,320
Speaker 1: Rams and stuff like that. So I'd be okay if

546
00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:46,800
Speaker 1: you're on the Jets side right now, because I do

547
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:49,080
Speaker 1: think if anything, this is just going to hurt.

548
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:51,280
Speaker 3: Probably the Dolphins. Coke from all right, read third bet?

549
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:51,840
Speaker 3: What do you got?

550
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:52,440
Speaker 2: Yeah?

551
00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:56,240
Speaker 4: I'm going with another underdog Bengals. This I got two

552
00:21:56,280 --> 00:21:56,560
Speaker 4: and a half.

553
00:21:56,680 --> 00:21:57,360
Speaker 2: Is that still work?

554
00:21:57,600 --> 00:21:58,640
Speaker 3: It is two and a half?

555
00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:01,520
Speaker 4: Two and a half another game that I can't really

556
00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:05,320
Speaker 4: understand what this line is, So last week in the

557
00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:06,199
Speaker 4: look ahead market.

558
00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:08,280
Speaker 2: And again this isn't like the end all be all.

559
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:11,000
Speaker 4: It's sometimes a little arbitrary, but the look ahead market

560
00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:14,160
Speaker 4: for this game was Bengals minus three, so that's now

561
00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:15,520
Speaker 4: they're getting nearly three.

562
00:22:15,560 --> 00:22:17,119
Speaker 2: So we're getting a full on switch.

563
00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:20,320
Speaker 4: Let's just what happened in that time spam. They were

564
00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:23,280
Speaker 4: Joe Burrow finger issues. He ended up slinging all over

565
00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:25,879
Speaker 4: the Broncos. He threw for over three hundred yard, slinging

566
00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:28,040
Speaker 4: all over the forty nine ers over three hundred yards

567
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 4: almost one in overtime. The Broncos be a lion team

568
00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:33,480
Speaker 4: that almost couldn't feel the full roster because.

569
00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:35,639
Speaker 2: Of flu issues, and that was an easy win. They

570
00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:36,600
Speaker 2: were double died your favorites.

571
00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:39,680
Speaker 4: So why is this line flipping from Bengals minus three

572
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,280
Speaker 4: to Broncos minus two and a half? I just I

573
00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:44,920
Speaker 4: can't get there with this number. I make the Bengals

574
00:22:44,960 --> 00:22:47,800
Speaker 4: one point favorites here. So I actually played the Bengals

575
00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:49,320
Speaker 4: on the money line earlier in the week and the

576
00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:52,399
Speaker 4: number keeps going against me, which maybe I'm missing something,

577
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:55,520
Speaker 4: but here are just a few numbers that make me

578
00:22:55,680 --> 00:23:00,240
Speaker 4: stick by my Bengals piece Bengals are number two in

579
00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:03,440
Speaker 4: defensive rushing success rate this year. This is a Broncos

580
00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:05,560
Speaker 4: offense that's gonna lean on the likes of Javonte Williams

581
00:23:05,600 --> 00:23:07,359
Speaker 4: to kind of establish the run to set up Teddy

582
00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:11,120
Speaker 4: Bridgewater two pass the Broncos in that stat they're thirtieth.

583
00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:13,720
Speaker 2: So if Joe Mixon is able to.

584
00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:15,720
Speaker 4: You know, I know that he's kind of been on

585
00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:17,800
Speaker 4: the injury report, but if he's healthy enough to play,

586
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:20,359
Speaker 4: he's gonna find success against this Broncos defense that is

587
00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:23,160
Speaker 4: going to get the likes of Jamar Chase open downfield,

588
00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:26,440
Speaker 4: t Higgins get Burrow going. So again, the Bengals have

589
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:29,080
Speaker 4: a higher rated defense and pretty much all metrics. The

590
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:31,719
Speaker 4: Broncos have a really concerning special teams metric and they

591
00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:34,360
Speaker 4: have a Denver boost with that they're outside the top

592
00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:38,440
Speaker 4: twenty five and special team special teams DVOA. So there's

593
00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:41,159
Speaker 4: a lot of metrics going towards Cincinnati. For me, maybe

594
00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:42,960
Speaker 4: I'm dead wrong, Dan, maybe you can help me out here,

595
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:45,879
Speaker 4: but I bet the Bengals again another teaser piece. I

596
00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:50,040
Speaker 4: love give me the better quarterback with Joe Burrow. I

597
00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:52,879
Speaker 4: just think that this is a complete overreaction. I'm in

598
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:53,800
Speaker 4: complete agreement with you.

599
00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:55,800
Speaker 1: And what's great about this read is that I have

600
00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:59,160
Speaker 1: faded the Bengals all year because I think that they

601
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:00,399
Speaker 1: have been an overrated team.

602
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:02,879
Speaker 3: And you know, you just look at DVA It's almost so.

603
00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:04,679
Speaker 1: Even last week. That was one of the reasons why

604
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:05,840
Speaker 1: I looked at it. I was like, look, the forty

605
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:07,560
Speaker 1: nine ers are like ninth in DVOA. You know that

606
00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:09,800
Speaker 1: the Bengals are always like, Oh, the Bengals are a

607
00:24:09,800 --> 00:24:11,960
Speaker 1: good team, and they're like eighteenth or nineteenth or wherever

608
00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:13,959
Speaker 1: they are. I think they have been overrated. And I

609
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:18,480
Speaker 1: was specifically worried about Joe Burrow's finger. He looked fantastic, Yeah, zero,

610
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:21,440
Speaker 1: zero issues from it, zero, which I was so impressed.

611
00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:23,639
Speaker 1: I've been so impressed with Burrow the whole year. I

612
00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:25,800
Speaker 1: expected him to struggle early in the year as he

613
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:27,440
Speaker 1: mentally sort of got.

614
00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:29,120
Speaker 2: Over the hurdle of the injury.

615
00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:32,520
Speaker 1: He's been fantastic, basically the most impressed player like with

616
00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:34,639
Speaker 1: him this year. But I completely agree with you, and

617
00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:36,159
Speaker 1: I said about this on Monday. We do like an

618
00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:38,640
Speaker 1: early look aheadline show where we're like, oh, what's your

619
00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:41,360
Speaker 1: instant reaction to this and again, I'm a guy who

620
00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:43,520
Speaker 1: basically has faded the Bengals, and even I think at

621
00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:45,520
Speaker 1: that point it might have been a pick em. Maybe

622
00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:48,359
Speaker 1: they were plus one or something. I was like, oh God,

623
00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:50,280
Speaker 1: give me them his dough like any day of the

624
00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:52,399
Speaker 1: week here. They are a much better team than the

625
00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:55,119
Speaker 1: Broncos in my opinion at this point, coming in like

626
00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:58,080
Speaker 1: regardless of anything, the fact that they're getting almost a

627
00:24:58,080 --> 00:24:59,920
Speaker 1: field goal, I love it as a teaser pieces we

628
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:01,840
Speaker 1: I'll like get it to eight and a half, because

629
00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:04,480
Speaker 1: you saw last week, right they were on the verge.

630
00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:06,280
Speaker 3: It looked like the forty nine ers were gonna run.

631
00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:07,919
Speaker 1: With that because of flukey players by the way, like

632
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:09,440
Speaker 1: punt funnels and stuff like that.

633
00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:12,320
Speaker 3: They just came right back. You know, they are able

634
00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:13,359
Speaker 3: to if they have to.

635
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:16,080
Speaker 1: They can move the ball because of their three wide receivers,

636
00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:18,680
Speaker 1: because of Burrow, because of mixing, they can move the ball.

637
00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 1: I think they win this game, out right, I really do.

638
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:23,240
Speaker 1: I think they go into Denver. I don't get the money.

639
00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:25,040
Speaker 1: I mean when a line moves like this read out

640
00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:27,480
Speaker 1: of curiosity, like do you think that's because there are

641
00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:30,800
Speaker 1: a ton of like quote big you know, sharp betters

642
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:32,280
Speaker 1: coming in and betting the Broncos.

643
00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:33,359
Speaker 3: Is that why it's moving like this?

644
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:36,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, I feel like every situation is kind of its

645
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:40,119
Speaker 4: own thing. And look, maybe there's an underlying COVID issue

646
00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:42,119
Speaker 4: coming like at this point, like you know, I'm almost

647
00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:43,639
Speaker 4: like scared of my own shadow when it comes to

648
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 4: like you know, it hasn't hit a key number of

649
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:50,680
Speaker 4: three yet, so if it hits three, that's when I'm like, Okay,

650
00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:52,879
Speaker 4: maybe I'm missing something. But like to me, two and

651
00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:54,960
Speaker 4: a half, one and a half, maybe it's just money

652
00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:57,600
Speaker 4: coming in on the Broncos. Maybe it's a bigger better

653
00:25:57,680 --> 00:26:00,560
Speaker 4: really signing with the Broncos. But to me, I make

654
00:26:00,600 --> 00:26:04,440
Speaker 4: my own numbers. I trust my instincts here. I've watched

655
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 4: this game and again, if we're looking at last week,

656
00:26:07,760 --> 00:26:10,320
Speaker 4: for example, the Bengals closed this home underdogs there and

657
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:12,520
Speaker 4: limited the Niners to twenty points in regulation. I know

658
00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:14,520
Speaker 4: they let up a touchdown overtime, but I'm gonna call

659
00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:15,240
Speaker 4: it twenty points.

660
00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:16,680
Speaker 2: They live.

661
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:18,760
Speaker 4: They shut down that Niners offense in the second half.

662
00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:21,280
Speaker 4: They got back in that game because their defense could play.

663
00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:23,880
Speaker 4: And Trey Hendrickson he's on track to play this weekend.

664
00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:26,320
Speaker 4: I just I can't get to this number with the

665
00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:29,520
Speaker 4: Broncos based off of them blowing out the Lions. I

666
00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:31,440
Speaker 4: know they beat the Charges of the week before, two

667
00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:34,080
Speaker 4: weeks before that, but we saw them play a tougher

668
00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:37,080
Speaker 4: defense in the Chiefs and the Bengals defense is really

669
00:26:37,080 --> 00:26:38,760
Speaker 4: good this year. They are one of the most underrated

670
00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:40,840
Speaker 4: units in the league, and that's what I think actually

671
00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:42,359
Speaker 4: gives them the edge in this game. I think that

672
00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:45,520
Speaker 4: their defense is gonna hold off enough to get Burrow

673
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:47,360
Speaker 4: his opportunities to take takeover.

674
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:49,919
Speaker 2: So yeah, listen, I'm all over the Bengals in this one.

675
00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:52,240
Speaker 1: I'm with you, and I will say, there are threes

676
00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:54,800
Speaker 1: out there, man at points Bet at Fox Bet it's

677
00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:55,399
Speaker 1: three right.

678
00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:57,639
Speaker 4: Maybe I'm missing something and maybe I'm just dead wrong,

679
00:26:57,760 --> 00:27:00,720
Speaker 4: but again, give me Joe Burrow over Cheddy Bridgewater.

680
00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:02,720
Speaker 3: If that's what it really comes down to, you may

681
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:07,080
Speaker 3: be dead. But I assume with everybody.

682
00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:09,240
Speaker 1: But I will say this like I don't have a

683
00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:12,080
Speaker 1: problem saying and I hope you don't either. When I

684
00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:13,840
Speaker 1: disagree with the bet like I have disagree I mean

685
00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:16,080
Speaker 1: Pat and I were on opposite sides. That was like

686
00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:18,080
Speaker 1: I don't usually do that. I don't usually say, okay, well,

687
00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:19,760
Speaker 1: I'm actually going to take the opposite side.

688
00:27:19,800 --> 00:27:20,320
Speaker 3: And we were.

689
00:27:20,280 --> 00:27:22,600
Speaker 1: Joking because of the fact that, like that game wound

690
00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:24,720
Speaker 1: up going into overtime, so of course neither one of

691
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:25,919
Speaker 1: us could really hang our hat.

692
00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:27,600
Speaker 3: But I am with you on this bet.

693
00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:29,639
Speaker 1: Like this is not one where I'm like, yeah, I

694
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:31,359
Speaker 1: could see that, or I'm not gonna bet it. Like

695
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:33,280
Speaker 1: I like it, especially like it as a teaser piece,

696
00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:35,800
Speaker 1: but I don't understand it either. Didn't understand it on Monday,

697
00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:38,280
Speaker 1: don't right now. And that is coming from maybe the

698
00:27:38,320 --> 00:27:42,359
Speaker 1: world's foremost Bengals fader. So I really do like it.

699
00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:44,000
Speaker 1: I'm going to go for my last one to a

700
00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:48,240
Speaker 1: total finding spreads this week. We're really tough. This one's

701
00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:50,640
Speaker 1: going to be and again, this one, I hope absolutly

702
00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:53,639
Speaker 1: a huge defensive sort of you know, COVID thing is

703
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:55,320
Speaker 1: not really going to be affected by COVID, and it

704
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:58,600
Speaker 1: is the Bills and the Panthers under Actually I'm going

705
00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:00,000
Speaker 1: to double check to make sure I have they're right.

706
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,199
Speaker 1: It's forty four and a half last time I checked it.

707
00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna double check it right now. It's still

708
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 1: forty four and a half.

709
00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:07,000
Speaker 3: Very good. Okay, So I don't know.

710
00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:09,119
Speaker 1: Man to me, this strikes with his game where the

711
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:12,800
Speaker 1: Bills are number one still in defensive DVOA. Like just overall,

712
00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:17,040
Speaker 1: Carolina's offense is horrific, right Like, I don't know is

713
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:17,960
Speaker 1: are they gonna.

714
00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:19,600
Speaker 3: Split again Cam Newton and PJ.

715
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:20,040
Speaker 2: Walker?

716
00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:22,440
Speaker 1: And I know Sam Darnold was designated to return from

717
00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:24,280
Speaker 1: injury reserve. I don't expect him to play, but even

718
00:28:24,320 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 1: if he does, I don't really care. That offense is

719
00:28:26,840 --> 00:28:30,399
Speaker 1: terrible without Christian McCaffrey. DJ Moore is a hamstring issue.

720
00:28:30,600 --> 00:28:33,280
Speaker 1: He's gonna play, but again that's a little scary. They've

721
00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 1: got no running game whatsoever right now going on. And

722
00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:39,040
Speaker 1: for the Bills, I mean their they obviously need to

723
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:41,680
Speaker 1: win this game. Their offense is not in sync right now.

724
00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:44,560
Speaker 1: Everything that's going on is just bad. Josh Allen has

725
00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:46,600
Speaker 1: this foot sprain and he's gonna play, of course.

726
00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:47,240
Speaker 3: And he's amazing.

727
00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:51,120
Speaker 1: But I do think that this is the type of

728
00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:54,960
Speaker 1: game where you can basically put like the Panthers will

729
00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:58,240
Speaker 1: put Gilmore Han Stefan Diggs and they'll give him some

730
00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:00,520
Speaker 1: help over the top. And I think, I think this

731
00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:02,680
Speaker 1: is just a game with the Patriots up next week,

732
00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:04,320
Speaker 1: which is a game the Bills are going to have

733
00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:06,800
Speaker 1: to win to have any sort of semblance right of

734
00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:09,440
Speaker 1: possibly taking the division, depending on what happens here on

735
00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:11,959
Speaker 1: Saturday night, of course, but they're gonna have to win.

736
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:14,240
Speaker 1: They're gonna want to play this. They know they can

737
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:16,560
Speaker 1: beat the Panthers. They're gonna want to play conservatively. I

738
00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:18,840
Speaker 1: think you're gonna Seean McDermott say, like, we've got to

739
00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:21,000
Speaker 1: get some sort of semblance of a run game going

740
00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:23,720
Speaker 1: because our passing game right now is not working. To

741
00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:27,240
Speaker 1: try to get Devin Singletary, who again every team abandons

742
00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:30,400
Speaker 1: like doesn't even try to run the ball against the box. Like,

743
00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 1: I get it, but they haven't had a run game

744
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:35,240
Speaker 1: all year. They need something, like they need to sort

745
00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:37,160
Speaker 1: of have some sort of balance. I think they try

746
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:39,280
Speaker 1: to get it here, and I think that that's really

747
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:40,840
Speaker 1: what we're going to get. So I think this is

748
00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:42,800
Speaker 1: a game again where the Bills kind of play it

749
00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:46,680
Speaker 1: tight and conservative, no faith whatsoever in the Panthers' ability

750
00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:47,400
Speaker 1: to put up points.

751
00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:49,120
Speaker 3: I was burned on the Panthers under last week.

752
00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:50,640
Speaker 1: I get it because I had the falcon, But I

753
00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:52,120
Speaker 1: do think that the Bills are not going to go

754
00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:53,960
Speaker 1: explosive here and try that. I think they're going to

755
00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:58,120
Speaker 1: get back to conservative game plan, keep everyone healthy, understand

756
00:29:58,120 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 1: that they can win this game without doing too much

757
00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:02,200
Speaker 1: rely on their defense. And I'll take the under here

758
00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:03,640
Speaker 1: forty four and a half, which, by the way, it's

759
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:05,920
Speaker 1: like one of the higher totals of the week in

760
00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:09,520
Speaker 1: what is just a ridiculously low total here, So aileen under,

761
00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:11,440
Speaker 1: which always gets me a little nervous, even though I

762
00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:14,040
Speaker 1: like unders because, as our friend Chris Raybaund says, it's

763
00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:15,880
Speaker 1: like you're winning the game as soon as it starts

764
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:17,960
Speaker 1: like automatically, and I know people hate it. So I'll

765
00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:19,160
Speaker 1: go under there and the Bills.

766
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:20,120
Speaker 3: And the Panthers.

767
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:21,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I'm totally with you.

768
00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:23,440
Speaker 4: This was actually a game I was like, I have

769
00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:25,320
Speaker 4: like circle, I have like my little post it that

770
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:27,800
Speaker 4: I like write down the bets I'm really looking to make,

771
00:30:27,840 --> 00:30:29,800
Speaker 4: like you know, certain numbers and stuff. This is a

772
00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:31,880
Speaker 4: bet that circled right there I was looking at especially

773
00:30:31,880 --> 00:30:32,320
Speaker 4: this morning.

774
00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:34,120
Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna ride this with you.

775
00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:36,120
Speaker 4: I mean, it's supposed to be freezing in Buffalo and

776
00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:38,200
Speaker 4: right we're talking, we're talking quick teams.

777
00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:42,080
Speaker 2: You know where we were talking about. Yeah, last segment.

778
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:44,880
Speaker 4: The Panthers are a quick team. They fire their offensive

779
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:47,840
Speaker 4: coordinator Joe Brady. The Cam Newton on back luster has

780
00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 4: already came off. So I'm totally with you here. And

781
00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:52,600
Speaker 4: like you said, they play the Pats next week, maybe

782
00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:54,880
Speaker 4: you know, pull the plug a little early. Really go

783
00:30:54,920 --> 00:30:56,480
Speaker 4: ground and pound, try and just get out of this

784
00:30:56,520 --> 00:30:59,640
Speaker 4: with a win. You know, something like twenty eight to

785
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 4: three really sounds like like this sounds like a buffalo suffocating.

786
00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:08,400
Speaker 4: Just workman like, win and move on. So I'm totally

787
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:09,440
Speaker 4: with you here with this total.

788
00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:11,479
Speaker 1: That's exactly right. That's how I see it. Like they

789
00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:12,920
Speaker 1: know they're gonna win this game, they have to win

790
00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:14,680
Speaker 1: this game. They also almost can use this to like

791
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:16,280
Speaker 1: work on some stuff and be like, all right, let's

792
00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:17,840
Speaker 1: not take any chances or go crazy.

793
00:31:18,080 --> 00:31:22,520
Speaker 3: Let's just get here. So let's recap very quickly, and.

794
00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:27,120
Speaker 1: Then I will also go through the remaining spreads and

795
00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:29,080
Speaker 1: we'll just give our very quick takes on it. You

796
00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:32,160
Speaker 1: are taking the Steelers, let's call it plus two, the

797
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:35,120
Speaker 1: Bengals plus two and a half, and the Patriots plus

798
00:31:35,120 --> 00:31:36,880
Speaker 1: two and a half. Here against the Colts, I'm going

799
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:39,600
Speaker 1: to take the Pack laying five and a half against

800
00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:42,000
Speaker 1: the Ravens the Jets. I'll call it nine and a

801
00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:43,440
Speaker 1: half right now, even though if it gets to ten,

802
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:45,960
Speaker 1: wait on it, I'll get honorable man. Yes, this will

803
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:48,200
Speaker 1: give me a reason to continue to watch my poor

804
00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:50,760
Speaker 1: football team getting nine and a half. I'll call it

805
00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:52,520
Speaker 1: from the Dolphins and the Bills in the Panther's under

806
00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:53,280
Speaker 1: forty four and a half.

807
00:31:53,320 --> 00:31:54,280
Speaker 3: So read, if you're.

808
00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:56,200
Speaker 1: Cool, let's just run through the remaining spreads and see

809
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:57,920
Speaker 1: where we're at. If you have any lean Saturday night.

810
00:31:58,000 --> 00:31:59,680
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know what you do with the

811
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:02,000
Speaker 1: Raiders at this point, because forget about tonight.

812
00:32:02,280 --> 00:32:04,680
Speaker 3: Oh you do, guy? Right now, the spread is the

813
00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:06,640
Speaker 3: Raiders laying one. What are you doing doing?

814
00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:08,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna bet the Browns.

815
00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:10,320
Speaker 4: I'm gonna wait a little bit, but I'm gonna be

816
00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:14,600
Speaker 4: on the Browns in some capacity. I mean, I doubt

817
00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:16,520
Speaker 4: it gets me again, this is like kind of a

818
00:32:16,560 --> 00:32:20,880
Speaker 4: COVID steam thought. There's no point in betting right now

819
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:24,120
Speaker 4: on the Browns because it's only There's probably gonna be

820
00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:27,240
Speaker 4: more positives throughout the week. So what's the rush, Especially

821
00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:28,560
Speaker 4: it's sitting on wonderright now if I have to bet

822
00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:32,120
Speaker 4: the Browns minus one. Sure, but this just seems like

823
00:32:32,120 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 4: an overreaction and Raiders possible quick team Browns playing for

824
00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:37,280
Speaker 4: their lives, and everyone talks about.

825
00:32:37,040 --> 00:32:38,160
Speaker 2: How bad Baker Mayfield is.

826
00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:40,160
Speaker 4: I get all the weapons are gone, he's playing with

827
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:43,040
Speaker 4: basically a practice squad. But if case Keenum is really

828
00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 4: not that big of a downgrade from Baker Mayfield, then

829
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:49,440
Speaker 4: this line is a complete overreaction. So I'll be on

830
00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:51,640
Speaker 4: the Browns in some sort of capacity. Probably just can't

831
00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:54,000
Speaker 4: take the money long. Yeah, I mean it is one

832
00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:56,640
Speaker 4: and a half. You know at my book, you know DraftKings,

833
00:32:56,680 --> 00:32:59,120
Speaker 4: and you're in Jersey, are you? I'm in New York,

834
00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:02,360
Speaker 4: but I I'm from Jersey, so I'm typically going back

835
00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 4: and forth.

836
00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:03,320
Speaker 3: Got it?

837
00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:05,240
Speaker 1: So you should have Fandel at least, right, and oh

838
00:33:05,320 --> 00:33:07,440
Speaker 1: you do have probably yeah whatever you probably.

839
00:33:07,120 --> 00:33:09,880
Speaker 2: I go all over the place. Oh I shove.

840
00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:11,600
Speaker 3: It a yeah, all right, Well I'm from New York too.

841
00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:12,160
Speaker 3: We'll talk later.

842
00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:14,320
Speaker 1: But yeah, So it's one and a half at FanDuel

843
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:16,920
Speaker 1: and it's one off at DraftKings, so I might have

844
00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:18,800
Speaker 1: a fun, just to have some Saturday fun. I might

845
00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:20,400
Speaker 1: do a teaser where I get the Browns up to

846
00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:22,320
Speaker 1: seven and a half and the Pats up to eight

847
00:33:22,360 --> 00:33:24,680
Speaker 1: and a half and then just hopefully have a relaxed night.

848
00:33:24,840 --> 00:33:26,440
Speaker 1: We already talked about the Pats and the Colt, so

849
00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:28,320
Speaker 1: we know where you are there. The Texans and the

850
00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:31,240
Speaker 1: Jacks are now at five, like it's all over the place.

851
00:33:31,280 --> 00:33:33,560
Speaker 1: Actually it's three and a half for me. The Texans

852
00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:35,880
Speaker 1: getting three and a half from Jaguars at DraftKings. It

853
00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:39,080
Speaker 1: is four at bet MGM, it is five at Fandle.

854
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:41,080
Speaker 1: So this is all over the place. I guess with

855
00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:43,480
Speaker 1: the Meyer unless I miss something from this morning, I

856
00:33:43,520 --> 00:33:45,560
Speaker 1: guess is what the Urban Meyer news. So let's call

857
00:33:45,600 --> 00:33:47,280
Speaker 1: it five at this point, what do you think about

858
00:33:47,320 --> 00:33:48,880
Speaker 1: the Jags laying five to the Texans?

859
00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:52,800
Speaker 4: So I kind of lean Jacksonville before this news at three,

860
00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:54,640
Speaker 4: I was leaning there. I probably wasn't gonna bet it

861
00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:56,520
Speaker 4: just because I want to know part of the team.

862
00:33:56,560 --> 00:33:58,000
Speaker 4: I just thought they were dead. Now this like dead

863
00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:01,920
Speaker 4: cat bounce from Jacksonville. I actually made the Jags four

864
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:04,440
Speaker 4: and a half point favorites, just like just my number,

865
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:06,200
Speaker 4: pure number, Urban Meyer.

866
00:34:06,760 --> 00:34:08,040
Speaker 2: You can only downgrade them so much.

867
00:34:08,080 --> 00:34:10,000
Speaker 4: So like I think the Texans are really really bad,

868
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 4: So I lean Jacksonville.

869
00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:15,200
Speaker 2: This morning, I woke up and saw the Urban Myer News.

870
00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:18,320
Speaker 4: I put them in a moneyline parlay with the Niners

871
00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:22,279
Speaker 4: at minus one fourteen, so like basically around even odd

872
00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:24,680
Speaker 4: just to get the Jacks in there. Because I like Jacksonville.

873
00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:27,120
Speaker 4: I really think you're gonna see a spirited effort from them.

874
00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:28,400
Speaker 4: So I lean Jacksonville.

875
00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:31,600
Speaker 1: It's a big number, but I still I think the

876
00:34:31,640 --> 00:34:34,799
Speaker 1: Texans are that bad. I mean, it's really tough for

877
00:34:34,840 --> 00:34:37,840
Speaker 1: me again because with Meyer there there is no spread

878
00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:39,960
Speaker 1: and there is nothing that would make me back to Jacks,

879
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:42,279
Speaker 1: just because I would not feel comfortable regardless of what

880
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:44,799
Speaker 1: the numbers say. I think there are certain coaches and

881
00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:48,240
Speaker 1: are certain teams where they kind of bust your models

882
00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:51,080
Speaker 1: because they're bad. Now, yeah, I don't know, man. I

883
00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:53,319
Speaker 1: lean towards the Jaguars, but I'm staying away from it

884
00:34:53,360 --> 00:34:54,600
Speaker 1: for me. How about the Eagles now?

885
00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:56,400
Speaker 3: Again, dude, when I looked at it four and a

886
00:34:56,440 --> 00:34:57,920
Speaker 3: half on Monday, liked it.

887
00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:00,879
Speaker 1: There bet it, you know. And again I didn't anticipate

888
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:03,279
Speaker 1: all of this sort of stuff. And now it's seven.

889
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:05,960
Speaker 1: Obviously Washington has a mess. I think they put twenty

890
00:35:06,040 --> 00:35:08,680
Speaker 1: one players as of this morning on the COVID list. Yeah,

891
00:35:08,680 --> 00:35:10,560
Speaker 1: Heineg's not on it, by the way, but he is

892
00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:13,160
Speaker 1: battling the knee injury. We don't know if Terry mclaurin's

893
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:15,040
Speaker 1: even gonna be able to play here with a concussion.

894
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:17,280
Speaker 3: But it's seven. What do you think?

895
00:35:17,880 --> 00:35:18,080
Speaker 2: Uh?

896
00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:20,480
Speaker 4: This was another one. I tease the Eagles. This is

897
00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:23,080
Speaker 4: yesterday again, I bet pretty early in the week. I

898
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:24,880
Speaker 4: tried to at least, so some of these things are

899
00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:27,719
Speaker 4: already in. But I tease the Eagles with the Bengals

900
00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:31,640
Speaker 4: actually last night. I mean, look, seven and a half.

901
00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:33,919
Speaker 4: It's tough to lay in a division game this number.

902
00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:38,000
Speaker 4: But what like, just don't bet this game, Yeah, because

903
00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:39,919
Speaker 4: you don't know who's gonna be out, who's gonna play.

904
00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:42,840
Speaker 4: I mean, last week we saw the football team's defensive

905
00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:46,640
Speaker 4: line just get absolutely gashed on the ground. The offensive

906
00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:49,799
Speaker 4: line is banged up. I just what are this football team?

907
00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:52,560
Speaker 2: You're gonna get a bare bones roster Eagles off a bye.

908
00:35:53,320 --> 00:35:56,000
Speaker 4: Hurts even has a sprained ankles, so we don't really

909
00:35:56,040 --> 00:35:59,560
Speaker 4: know what that's gonna be like, Eagles in the playoff race.

910
00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:01,600
Speaker 2: This just seems like a whole mess of a game.

911
00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:03,880
Speaker 4: Right now that you know there are other games to

912
00:36:03,880 --> 00:36:05,759
Speaker 4: bet on, I would stay away from this one, but

913
00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:07,359
Speaker 4: again I tease the Eagles down.

914
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:08,880
Speaker 2: Get that basically as a money line.

915
00:36:09,320 --> 00:36:11,920
Speaker 3: How about the Cowboys laying ten and a half to

916
00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:13,160
Speaker 3: your Giants? Apparently?

917
00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:17,560
Speaker 2: Yes, I'm a Giants fan. I don't have much to

918
00:36:17,560 --> 00:36:18,359
Speaker 2: say about this one.

919
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:21,840
Speaker 4: But the Giants are quickly just becoming a just a

920
00:36:21,880 --> 00:36:22,560
Speaker 4: dumpster fire?

921
00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:25,080
Speaker 2: Again? Is this a quick team?

922
00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:27,400
Speaker 4: Mike Lennon out there. I don't think Daniel Jones is

923
00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:29,120
Speaker 4: gonna play again. I don't think he's been ruled out,

924
00:36:29,160 --> 00:36:33,680
Speaker 4: but it seems like his season's probably over. Cowboys, But

925
00:36:33,760 --> 00:36:35,680
Speaker 4: what kind of eff you're gonna get out of the Cowboys?

926
00:36:36,480 --> 00:36:39,719
Speaker 4: This division's pretty much over? Do they go on cruise control?

927
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:42,239
Speaker 4: Eileen Dallas?

928
00:36:42,400 --> 00:36:43,440
Speaker 2: No real play here?

929
00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:45,400
Speaker 4: You know, if you have any thoughts, you know you

930
00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:47,560
Speaker 4: might have more of a Yeah, this just seems like

931
00:36:47,600 --> 00:36:48,800
Speaker 4: a complete stay.

932
00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:51,319
Speaker 1: Away, complete stay away for me as well. Yeah, now,

933
00:36:51,520 --> 00:36:53,480
Speaker 1: not something I want to go anywhere near. I'm glad

934
00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:55,560
Speaker 1: you feel the same. What about the Cardinals here that

935
00:36:55,560 --> 00:36:58,440
Speaker 1: obviously just lost Andre Hopkins, don't know about James Connor.

936
00:36:58,600 --> 00:37:02,279
Speaker 1: They're still laying thirteen points on the road in Detroit. Right, Yeah,

937
00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:05,800
Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet Detroit. It's pretty gross.

938
00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:08,200
Speaker 4: But I guess they should be getting guys back off

939
00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:11,360
Speaker 4: their flu list, not COVID list, that flu list. But

940
00:37:11,920 --> 00:37:14,759
Speaker 4: if you look at Arizona, first of all, I think

941
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:17,160
Speaker 4: they really dropped the ball on Monday night. That was

942
00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:20,160
Speaker 4: pretty you know, I love the Cardinals last year and they

943
00:37:20,120 --> 00:37:22,080
Speaker 4: burned me, and then this year I started feeding them

944
00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:24,040
Speaker 4: because I didn't think they were as elite as their

945
00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:25,319
Speaker 4: record and they were burning me.

946
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:26,600
Speaker 2: So I just can't seem to get them right.

947
00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:28,920
Speaker 4: But that was a real opportunity to announce yourself as

948
00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:31,160
Speaker 4: an NFC contender because no one's really talking about you,

949
00:37:31,320 --> 00:37:34,560
Speaker 4: and I thought it was a pretty concerning performance against Listen,

950
00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:36,040
Speaker 4: the Rams are good, but so you're at home, you

951
00:37:36,040 --> 00:37:39,440
Speaker 4: have an opportunity to close this division, really establish yourself

952
00:37:39,440 --> 00:37:42,160
Speaker 4: as the one seed. And Kyle, so maybe a letdown

953
00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:44,560
Speaker 4: here on a short week, and they also finished with

954
00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:48,839
Speaker 4: a difficult schedule. I believe it's Dallas and then Seattle

955
00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 4: or Dallas and another division opponent.

956
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:52,840
Speaker 2: So is this a looking at spot?

957
00:37:53,040 --> 00:37:55,400
Speaker 4: Are they really gonna get pumped up to go to

958
00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:58,560
Speaker 4: Detroit and play the lowly Lions. And Arizona's one bad

959
00:37:58,600 --> 00:38:00,479
Speaker 4: spot on their defense is their rush to I believe

960
00:38:00,480 --> 00:38:03,720
Speaker 4: they're twenty ninth in defensive rush success rate. So lines,

961
00:38:04,040 --> 00:38:06,160
Speaker 4: they like to get that ball out of Jared Goff's hands.

962
00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:08,920
Speaker 4: Just run the ball. So give me the lines at

963
00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:10,719
Speaker 4: this huge number. I'm probably gonna wait and see if

964
00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:12,839
Speaker 4: this goes back to fourteen. I doubt it gets there.

965
00:38:13,120 --> 00:38:15,840
Speaker 4: I'd play this down to I'll say twelve.

966
00:38:15,680 --> 00:38:18,840
Speaker 1: And a half. Yeah they do. They get Indy and

967
00:38:18,880 --> 00:38:21,120
Speaker 1: then Dallas and then Seattle to close out the season

968
00:38:21,160 --> 00:38:24,920
Speaker 1: here four hours. So yeah, no, I agree, I I like,

969
00:38:25,040 --> 00:38:26,960
Speaker 1: I think the number is too high, but I agree.

970
00:38:26,960 --> 00:38:29,160
Speaker 1: I'd wait on it. Hopefully it gets up, but yeah,

971
00:38:29,200 --> 00:38:32,440
Speaker 1: it's too high for me. We talked about the total,

972
00:38:32,520 --> 00:38:35,160
Speaker 1: but what about the spread here in the Bills laying

973
00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:37,439
Speaker 1: ten and a half at home against Patanthers.

974
00:38:37,640 --> 00:38:39,480
Speaker 2: I like the Bills. I like we said.

975
00:38:39,520 --> 00:38:41,640
Speaker 4: I think that this just sets up for a workman like,

976
00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:44,880
Speaker 4: just like kind of blowout. Like we've seen the Bills

977
00:38:44,880 --> 00:38:47,319
Speaker 4: beat up on bad teams too. You know, they cover

978
00:38:47,440 --> 00:38:49,560
Speaker 4: these big spreads when they're a better team. They really

979
00:38:49,600 --> 00:38:51,920
Speaker 4: make sure everyone knows they're the better team, So I

980
00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:54,959
Speaker 4: lean Bills, even if it's mister Bitsky if he gets time.

981
00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:56,600
Speaker 4: I don't know what they're gonna do with Josh Allen.

982
00:38:57,320 --> 00:38:59,600
Speaker 4: I still like the Bills at pretty much any number.

983
00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:01,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I don't I if I have to

984
00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:03,719
Speaker 1: go one way, I'll go with the Bills for sure,

985
00:39:03,719 --> 00:39:06,160
Speaker 1: because I can't see the Panthers sticking in this game.

986
00:39:06,880 --> 00:39:09,440
Speaker 3: Falcons getting nine and a half in San Francisco.

987
00:39:10,080 --> 00:39:12,520
Speaker 1: You mentioned already sort of doing the money line parlay

988
00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:13,680
Speaker 1: there right with San Francisco.

989
00:39:13,760 --> 00:39:15,160
Speaker 3: So what do you think about this with the spread through?

990
00:39:15,760 --> 00:39:20,080
Speaker 4: I lean San Francisco even at this big number. I think,

991
00:39:20,160 --> 00:39:23,880
Speaker 4: I really think Atlanta's bad, and I just and it

992
00:39:23,880 --> 00:39:26,480
Speaker 4: seems like Atlanta they again, it's they beat up on

993
00:39:26,680 --> 00:39:29,480
Speaker 4: their inferior opponents and then they lose to you know,

994
00:39:29,560 --> 00:39:33,360
Speaker 4: the better closer to elite performance are elite perform elite teams.

995
00:39:33,600 --> 00:39:35,600
Speaker 4: I don't know if San Francisco is there yet, but

996
00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:38,480
Speaker 4: this feels like a game where San Francisco continues to

997
00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:41,240
Speaker 4: get a little momentum here down the stretch. Everyone's talking

998
00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:43,000
Speaker 4: about them as like kind of that trendy. No one

999
00:39:43,000 --> 00:39:44,399
Speaker 4: wants to see us team.

1000
00:39:44,800 --> 00:39:45,600
Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm.

1001
00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:48,800
Speaker 4: There yet, just because Jimmy Garoppolo, But yeah, it feels

1002
00:39:48,800 --> 00:39:50,919
Speaker 4: like this is a real spot where San Francisco kind

1003
00:39:50,920 --> 00:39:53,800
Speaker 4: of beats up on an inferior opponent like Atlanta. So

1004
00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:57,160
Speaker 4: again I took the money line. Anything under ten. I

1005
00:39:57,160 --> 00:39:59,160
Speaker 4: think this is still pretty good. I don't hate the

1006
00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:01,719
Speaker 4: over either. I could see San Francisco really putting up

1007
00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:02,720
Speaker 4: some big points on Atlanta.

1008
00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:05,960
Speaker 3: All Right, the total, let me just pull it up

1009
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:07,520
Speaker 3: so I can get it. Whatever it is.

1010
00:40:07,600 --> 00:40:11,879
Speaker 1: The consensus total is forty six, so all right, it's

1011
00:40:11,960 --> 00:40:12,439
Speaker 1: over there.

1012
00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:13,839
Speaker 3: Okay, very good.

1013
00:40:14,040 --> 00:40:16,359
Speaker 1: How about the Rams hosting the Seahawks. It's now down

1014
00:40:16,400 --> 00:40:17,960
Speaker 1: to four and a half. It opened it. I looked

1015
00:40:17,960 --> 00:40:20,120
Speaker 1: at it on Monday with seven. So obviously the COVID

1016
00:40:20,200 --> 00:40:23,200
Speaker 1: issues sort of, you know, I'm sure at least affecting that.

1017
00:40:23,239 --> 00:40:24,600
Speaker 3: So what do you think here at four and a half.

1018
00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:26,160
Speaker 2: I kind of like Seattle.

1019
00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:29,120
Speaker 4: I think that maybe Russ is starting to round it

1020
00:40:29,200 --> 00:40:33,000
Speaker 4: to form one last playoff push short week for LA.

1021
00:40:33,120 --> 00:40:34,959
Speaker 4: Of course, the COVID issues, you don't really know who's

1022
00:40:34,960 --> 00:40:38,279
Speaker 4: gonna shoot off. I'm I'm probably not gonna end up

1023
00:40:38,280 --> 00:40:40,880
Speaker 4: betting this game, just because of all the uncertainty around it.

1024
00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:44,239
Speaker 4: But I do lean with Seattle catching four and a

1025
00:40:44,280 --> 00:40:46,560
Speaker 4: half and again getting Russ as a dog is kind

1026
00:40:46,600 --> 00:40:49,360
Speaker 4: of a almost an auto bet situation.

1027
00:40:49,600 --> 00:40:50,439
Speaker 2: You know, do you have a play?

1028
00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:52,520
Speaker 4: I mean, I again, I'm kind of steering clear of

1029
00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:54,040
Speaker 4: this one, just because of all the uncertainty.

1030
00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:56,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like them early in the week, and I

1031
00:40:56,440 --> 00:40:58,880
Speaker 1: bet it briefly at seven because it was Yeah, it

1032
00:40:58,880 --> 00:41:00,239
Speaker 1: was six and a half where I was in got

1033
00:41:00,239 --> 00:41:01,839
Speaker 1: the seven I went there. Now it's four and a half.

1034
00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:03,719
Speaker 1: I still I'm with you, though, I lean to them

1035
00:41:03,719 --> 00:41:06,359
Speaker 1: at four and a half because Russ to me looked

1036
00:41:06,360 --> 00:41:09,359
Speaker 1: appreciably different when I in this most recent game, I think,

1037
00:41:09,400 --> 00:41:11,000
Speaker 1: than what he had looked like. Other than that, since

1038
00:41:11,040 --> 00:41:13,399
Speaker 1: he came back like he looks strong. The Rams are,

1039
00:41:13,520 --> 00:41:15,640
Speaker 1: you know, good effort here, but they're obviously beat up.

1040
00:41:15,640 --> 00:41:18,080
Speaker 1: They'll probably be without Beckham. Who knows what other COVID

1041
00:41:18,120 --> 00:41:19,880
Speaker 1: issues they're gonna be dealing with. So I do like

1042
00:41:19,920 --> 00:41:23,080
Speaker 1: getting the Seahawks here at four and a half. How

1043
00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:26,600
Speaker 1: about the Saints visiting the box on Sunday night?

1044
00:41:26,719 --> 00:41:28,239
Speaker 3: Eleven? Is the spread here?

1045
00:41:28,960 --> 00:41:31,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I lean towards the Saints.

1046
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:35,000
Speaker 4: I don't have a play on it just yet. It

1047
00:41:35,200 --> 00:41:37,840
Speaker 4: just Sean Payton's great as a dog. He's great in division.

1048
00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:39,480
Speaker 4: I don't have the numbers up in front of me.

1049
00:41:39,560 --> 00:41:41,720
Speaker 4: I'm pretty sure he's nineteen and ten straight up against

1050
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:44,319
Speaker 4: the Bucks. Not that they're gonna win this game, but

1051
00:41:44,320 --> 00:41:47,560
Speaker 4: we saw earlier this year the Saints defense that is

1052
00:41:47,560 --> 00:41:51,120
Speaker 4: getting healthier gave Tom Brady a ton of issues. I

1053
00:41:51,120 --> 00:41:53,120
Speaker 4: think Tampa Bay is rolling though. I really think that

1054
00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:54,920
Speaker 4: they are the best team in the NFL. I don't

1055
00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:58,040
Speaker 4: think there's much debate there, and Tom Brady is gonna

1056
00:41:58,200 --> 00:42:00,600
Speaker 4: probably win. End up warning MVP, but this is a

1057
00:42:00,600 --> 00:42:04,520
Speaker 4: big number, primetime game. I think the Saints are gonna

1058
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:05,960
Speaker 4: hang around in this one, and.

1059
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:07,480
Speaker 2: I lean Saints.

1060
00:42:07,800 --> 00:42:09,319
Speaker 4: I don't know if I'm gonna play yet though, And

1061
00:42:09,640 --> 00:42:11,279
Speaker 4: I tweet out all my plays. I have a bet

1062
00:42:11,280 --> 00:42:14,000
Speaker 4: stamp on my time to my profile, so when I

1063
00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:16,680
Speaker 4: say I lean away, you could find these plays when

1064
00:42:16,680 --> 00:42:18,560
Speaker 4: I tweet them in real time very good.

1065
00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:18,960
Speaker 3: I like that.

1066
00:42:19,120 --> 00:42:21,080
Speaker 1: I'm in agreement with you by the way that I

1067
00:42:21,160 --> 00:42:23,319
Speaker 1: leaned towards the Saints. They just always you know, they're

1068
00:42:23,320 --> 00:42:25,239
Speaker 1: gonna play them tough. They played them obviously, they won

1069
00:42:25,320 --> 00:42:28,280
Speaker 1: the last game that they played, So this just strikes

1070
00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:30,279
Speaker 1: me as a game that's gonna be single.

1071
00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:32,920
Speaker 3: Digits, however it ends up with the Bucks. But yeah, it's.

1072
00:42:32,800 --> 00:42:35,080
Speaker 1: Also one that I'm not running to bet. I'm taking

1073
00:42:35,080 --> 00:42:36,880
Speaker 1: my time on it, and I'm gonna see last one

1074
00:42:36,880 --> 00:42:39,320
Speaker 1: Monday Night football. The Bears are getting three and a

1075
00:42:39,360 --> 00:42:41,759
Speaker 1: half at home against the Vikings. I did just come

1076
00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:42,960
Speaker 1: across that. I guess Bill.

1077
00:42:42,880 --> 00:42:46,440
Speaker 3: Laser was placed in COVID protocol.

1078
00:42:46,560 --> 00:42:48,200
Speaker 1: Don't know whether or not Laser is gonna be there,

1079
00:42:48,280 --> 00:42:49,880
Speaker 1: not sure that matters to whatsoever, but three and a

1080
00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:51,080
Speaker 1: half here getting it at home.

1081
00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:55,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think I've retired from betting Vikings games this year,

1082
00:42:55,280 --> 00:42:57,760
Speaker 4: just for like my heart. Like, you know, it's college

1083
00:42:57,840 --> 00:42:59,600
Speaker 4: I bet a lot of college basketball. That's enough heartache

1084
00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:01,480
Speaker 4: for me. Vikings might be a little too much for me.

1085
00:43:02,239 --> 00:43:05,840
Speaker 2: Road favorite. I mean, they need the game, do the

1086
00:43:05,880 --> 00:43:06,399
Speaker 2: Bears care?

1087
00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:08,560
Speaker 4: I feel like maybe last Sunday Night was kind of

1088
00:43:08,600 --> 00:43:11,480
Speaker 4: a last ditch, like let's really go for it. This

1089
00:43:11,480 --> 00:43:15,600
Speaker 4: could easy be a game where they roll over. I

1090
00:43:15,640 --> 00:43:17,919
Speaker 4: guess I lean Minnesota. Though, if I had to play

1091
00:43:17,960 --> 00:43:19,439
Speaker 4: the side, like in a pick the pool, I'll probably

1092
00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:23,480
Speaker 4: be on Minnesota because I made them bigger favorites. Maybe

1093
00:43:23,520 --> 00:43:26,240
Speaker 4: the over just because it seems like the Bears offense

1094
00:43:26,320 --> 00:43:28,800
Speaker 4: with fields kind of got a shot of life, maybe

1095
00:43:28,800 --> 00:43:30,960
Speaker 4: some speed. Maybe they kind of just like throw the

1096
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,239
Speaker 4: book out and just say that, like, let's just go

1097
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:35,040
Speaker 4: for it. Let's like start going for all fourth down,

1098
00:43:35,040 --> 00:43:37,880
Speaker 4: maybe get a little crazy Vikings offense. We know, and listen,

1099
00:43:37,880 --> 00:43:39,319
Speaker 4: this game will probably go down to the wire because

1100
00:43:39,360 --> 00:43:40,200
Speaker 4: it's a Vikings game.

1101
00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:42,520
Speaker 2: So I lean Vikings, I lean over.

1102
00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:46,200
Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna stay away from it though, Yeah, unless

1103
00:43:46,200 --> 00:43:47,960
Speaker 1: I'm just desperate to have a little something.

1104
00:43:48,040 --> 00:43:50,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, on Monday night, I'm running away. I'm running away

1105
00:43:50,640 --> 00:43:52,920
Speaker 3: from it. I I just like, there's no way the Vikings.

1106
00:43:53,040 --> 00:43:55,960
Speaker 1: I mean, if that game against the Steelers didn't just

1107
00:43:56,040 --> 00:43:59,840
Speaker 1: tell you can't bet on the Vikings no matter what, nothing,

1108
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:03,440
Speaker 1: because they just they have no killer instinct, nobility to

1109
00:44:03,440 --> 00:44:06,200
Speaker 1: put away games. So that's where I Matt read. I'm

1110
00:44:06,200 --> 00:44:08,480
Speaker 1: so glad to finally have you on the podcast. I

1111
00:44:08,520 --> 00:44:10,560
Speaker 1: really appreciate it. Just remind everybody where they can check

1112
00:44:10,640 --> 00:44:13,319
Speaker 1: you out and your work. Yeah, check us out over

1113
00:44:13,360 --> 00:44:16,640
Speaker 1: at betsided. That'sfanside dot com. Backslash betsided.

1114
00:44:16,680 --> 00:44:19,239
Speaker 4: Make sure check out our podcast Bed and Breakfast, which

1115
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:21,839
Speaker 4: is live on Mondays and Thursday mornings, and you can

1116
00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:23,440
Speaker 4: follow me on Twitter at read Wallach.

1117
00:44:24,200 --> 00:44:27,520
Speaker 1: All Right, we'll be back on Monday breaking down the

1118
00:44:27,640 --> 00:44:31,200
Speaker 1: early look at the week sixteen NFL lines. Goodness, gracious,

1119
00:44:31,280 --> 00:44:35,440
Speaker 1: enjoy your betting, everybody for this weekend