1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:02,440 Speaker 1: Welcome to the newest edition of the Giant Subtle Podcast. 2 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:05,280 Speaker 1: My name is John Schmilk. He's been a consistent guest 3 00:00:05,320 --> 00:00:07,280 Speaker 1: for us the last few years. He is Warren Sharp. 4 00:00:07,320 --> 00:00:11,560 Speaker 1: He's the author of Sharp's Football's two Football Preview and 5 00:00:11,600 --> 00:00:13,520 Speaker 1: if you like numbers, you like going inside the game, 6 00:00:13,560 --> 00:00:15,960 Speaker 1: he's your guy. Go check out the book. Warren, how 7 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 1: are you, man? It's good to say. I'm doing great. 8 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:20,279 Speaker 1: Great to see you too. I'm happy to talk to 9 00:00:20,280 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 1: you under what I believe is better circumstances onward and 10 00:00:23,480 --> 00:00:26,439 Speaker 1: upward for you know, the Giants program, and you know 11 00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 1: I'm looking forward to breaking down some of the expectations 12 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:32,600 Speaker 1: for this team in two and beyond. We've had warn 13 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:34,559 Speaker 1: on before and and he's been critical and by the way, 14 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:36,360 Speaker 1: if you look at the results rightfully so in terms 15 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:38,800 Speaker 1: of what the Giants offensive approaches has been the last 16 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 1: couple of years. But Warren, as you mentioned, and I 17 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: know you're a big fan of Brian Dable, why are 18 00:00:43,000 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 1: you so confident that his new approach will be able 19 00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:50,360 Speaker 1: to help turn things around here? Legitimately? Well, we got 20 00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:53,080 Speaker 1: two aspects to this, right, You've got the general manager 21 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 1: change and you've got the coaching change, and both of 22 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:59,040 Speaker 1: those have changed for good reason. I think you've got 23 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 1: upgrades in both positions. In terms of day Ball himself, though, 24 00:01:04,360 --> 00:01:07,280 Speaker 1: like I look back at what this team was trying 25 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:09,760 Speaker 1: to do with Jason Garrett and what this team was 26 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 1: trying to do offensively, and it's easy to see. I 27 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 1: knew it at the time, but it should be easy 28 00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:19,399 Speaker 1: for any fan to see currently just how flawed the 29 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:24,479 Speaker 1: entire process was. Like their objectives on offense did not 30 00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:28,120 Speaker 1: jive and compute with what we know wins games in 31 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 1: modern football. And you know, we'll dig into I'm sure 32 00:01:32,160 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 1: some of the details of that, but just at a 33 00:01:34,360 --> 00:01:38,000 Speaker 1: very top level, they were not. They did not have 34 00:01:38,040 --> 00:01:42,160 Speaker 1: the right goals offensively to bring in success. And Brian 35 00:01:42,240 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 1: day Ball has shown that in Buffalo. He understands the 36 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: right way to win games. He understands what win game, 37 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:53,120 Speaker 1: what wins games in modern football with the current rules 38 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:55,520 Speaker 1: construct and I think that you guys are going to 39 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 1: see that um in terms of efficiency across the board. Yeah, 40 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:01,680 Speaker 1: were doubt about it, and we're gonna dig into the 41 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 1: offense for sure. Let's take one bigger picture perspective things first, 42 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 1: how long do you think this rebuilding process is going 43 00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:12,600 Speaker 1: to take this retooling so you can get Brian Dable 44 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 1: the roster, Joe Shane can make the moves he needs 45 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 1: to make, so Dabil can have the roster that can 46 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:20,800 Speaker 1: hopefully eventually compete for a Super Bowl. Look, it's not 47 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 1: going to be easy and it is going to take 48 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 1: some time, and I hope that the Giants fan base 49 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:29,320 Speaker 1: is understanding of that. I mean, you guys, in my opinion, 50 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:31,919 Speaker 1: and this is just my opinion, are pointed in a 51 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:36,240 Speaker 1: vastly different direction than what you were previously. You obviously 52 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:38,400 Speaker 1: right now are trying to figure out do we even 53 00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 1: have a quarterback of the future, do we have a 54 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 1: running back that we want to keep because both of 55 00:02:42,919 --> 00:02:46,840 Speaker 1: these players were premium players that the prior g M 56 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:50,639 Speaker 1: Dave Gettleman, drafted inside the top ten. Used a lot 57 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:53,680 Speaker 1: of draft commodity on these guys and they're not even 58 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:57,079 Speaker 1: signed beyond this season, and so you know, those two 59 00:02:57,120 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 1: players alone are going to help drive the tragedy rectory 60 00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:02,959 Speaker 1: of this team moving forward to terms of do you 61 00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:04,520 Speaker 1: have a quarterback, do you want to sign him? Or 62 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 1: do you need to go after a quarterback in the draft. 63 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:11,840 Speaker 1: But even beyond those two key positions. This roster is 64 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:16,919 Speaker 1: in difficult shape. This roster is very tight. We talked 65 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:21,000 Speaker 1: earlier about the lack of cap space, and this general 66 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 1: manager has you know, he is trying to operate with 67 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 1: one arm tied behind his back due to what the 68 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:29,720 Speaker 1: prior regime left him with. So it's going to take time, 69 00:03:29,760 --> 00:03:33,200 Speaker 1: and by time, I mean probably more than two years 70 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:35,440 Speaker 1: for you guys to get into the right direction that 71 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:38,000 Speaker 1: I think you want to be in. But I have 72 00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 1: confidence in what I have seen and what I know 73 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:43,640 Speaker 1: about the staff that they currently have in place. I mean, 74 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:47,800 Speaker 1: obviously everybody out there should know how highly I regard 75 00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 1: Brian Dayball, Mike Cafca another guy who I think is 76 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:54,440 Speaker 1: absolutely incredible, and it's really going to get great things 77 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:58,200 Speaker 1: out of this quarterback position. Um ultimately when they realize 78 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 1: and find who the quarterback is going to be. So 79 00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 1: you know, just my my advice is you're in the 80 00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 1: right direction. Deal with the process as it as it 81 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 1: unfolds here over the next couple of years. It's normal 82 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 1: to want to see great football being played day one. 83 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:18,359 Speaker 1: It's normal for fans to have really high expectations and 84 00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:21,120 Speaker 1: hold this coaching staff and this team to high standards. 85 00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 1: But you're in the right direction. Let's see how quickly 86 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:27,560 Speaker 1: they can get it there. But but I'm happy for 87 00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:29,800 Speaker 1: the fans of New York because for the first time 88 00:04:29,839 --> 00:04:32,120 Speaker 1: in a while, I think that you guys are are 89 00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:34,719 Speaker 1: pointing in the right direction with the coaching staff and 90 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 1: with the general manager. Now, the key is, you know 91 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:40,520 Speaker 1: what we know wins games in modern football. Do you 92 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 1: have a quarterback? You need to find the quarterback. And 93 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:46,159 Speaker 1: that's what's going to be incumbent upon. You know, the 94 00:04:46,200 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 1: general manager and the head coach is to evaluate and 95 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:52,240 Speaker 1: then go out there and get the right guy. You know, Warreen, 96 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:53,839 Speaker 1: And you're right. If you don't have a quarterback, you 97 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:56,000 Speaker 1: don't really have a direction in a lot of ways, right, 98 00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:58,360 Speaker 1: you know, so much of the modern NFL is based 99 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:00,840 Speaker 1: around that. And you know, John Marison to this office, 100 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:03,680 Speaker 1: we've done everything we can to to screw this kid up. 101 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 1: When when it comes to Daniel Jones, what have you 102 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:10,239 Speaker 1: seen from him that makes you think under better circumstances 103 00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:13,560 Speaker 1: with Brian David, with Mike Kafka, improved offensive line, maybe 104 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:15,599 Speaker 1: maybe the weapons from last year are healthier on the 105 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 1: outside that he can show them. Maybe he can be 106 00:05:18,880 --> 00:05:21,279 Speaker 1: the guy long terms. I know some of his metrics, 107 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 1: like when he's in the pocket, not under pressure, those 108 00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:27,680 Speaker 1: have been okay from year to year. So from your metrics, 109 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:29,160 Speaker 1: what are some of the things that make you think, yeah, 110 00:05:29,400 --> 00:05:32,240 Speaker 1: under better circumstances, Daniel Jones could be the guy. Or 111 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 1: do you think it's more likely they'll be looking for 112 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:38,040 Speaker 1: a new quarterback next year? I mean, this stretch here 113 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:41,000 Speaker 1: digs down deep. John. I'll just tell you, like, there's 114 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 1: a lot to share on this particular topic. First and foremost, 115 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:48,559 Speaker 1: you've got a coach, a head coach, and a play caller. 116 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:51,559 Speaker 1: Their primary job is to put a quarterback into good 117 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 1: situations to see success. And we know that you're going 118 00:05:55,600 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 1: to have more success when you're throwing the ball out 119 00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:00,440 Speaker 1: of a clean pocket, as you alluded to, when you're 120 00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 1: not under pressure. And what the prior staff was doing 121 00:06:03,640 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 1: too much of is a lack of prioritizing of early 122 00:06:08,120 --> 00:06:11,480 Speaker 1: down efficiency, which forced this team into far too many 123 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:14,400 Speaker 1: third downs. And when you're in third down, that is 124 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:16,919 Speaker 1: when you're predictable for the defense. That is when the 125 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:20,640 Speaker 1: defense knows based upon the distance, especially anything more than 126 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:23,880 Speaker 1: three yards. This is a pass play coming up here, 127 00:06:24,000 --> 00:06:27,600 Speaker 1: and so that changes the their philosophy ahead of time. 128 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:30,000 Speaker 1: Whereas on the first and tent you could run, you 129 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:32,360 Speaker 1: could pass, you could do a variety of things. This 130 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:35,240 Speaker 1: is when we want to be emphasizing passing the football 131 00:06:35,760 --> 00:06:39,800 Speaker 1: far too often. This prior regime couldn't care less about that. 132 00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 1: I believe that their goal was to just get down 133 00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:45,680 Speaker 1: into third and manage will make this. Don't don't get 134 00:06:45,720 --> 00:06:48,440 Speaker 1: too behind the sticks. Let's get down into third and manageable, 135 00:06:48,440 --> 00:06:50,080 Speaker 1: and we'll figure it out then, and let's try to 136 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 1: convert on third down. That's completely the wrong way to 137 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:56,440 Speaker 1: play football. In two it was the wrong way to 138 00:06:56,480 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 1: play in as well. The passing rules came into into 139 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:06,359 Speaker 1: play in eleven seasons where they made a lot of 140 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:10,360 Speaker 1: changes on hit rules, on contact and illegal contact, on 141 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:13,520 Speaker 1: what you could do to receivers going over the middle, 142 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 1: of what you could do to quarterbacks, and we saw 143 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 1: passing efficiency begin to increase substantially at that point in time, 144 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:24,680 Speaker 1: and it's only continued that trajectory. But if you look 145 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:27,280 Speaker 1: at you know, like some of the Giants, they ranked 146 00:07:27,600 --> 00:07:31,720 Speaker 1: number thirty one in third down avoidance the last two years. 147 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:34,760 Speaker 1: The Buffalo Bills obviously they have Josh Allen, they have 148 00:07:34,800 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 1: a better UH offense in place around Josh Allen as well. 149 00:07:39,320 --> 00:07:42,520 Speaker 1: But the Buffalo Bills were the third best team out 150 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:46,040 Speaker 1: avoiding third downs. And to me, there is no way 151 00:07:46,080 --> 00:07:51,160 Speaker 1: that you can just happenstance become over two years span, 152 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 1: the second worst team in the league at avoiding third downs. 153 00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:57,080 Speaker 1: That to me is like, you have a bad offense, 154 00:07:57,520 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 1: but you also don't prioritize this element of the game. 155 00:08:01,040 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 1: You don't prioritize avoiding it because you could have a 156 00:08:03,320 --> 00:08:08,720 Speaker 1: bad offense and still finish tenth worst, eighth worst, seventh worst. 157 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:11,440 Speaker 1: But but where they were finishing shows that they had 158 00:08:11,720 --> 00:08:15,560 Speaker 1: a lack of priority to avoiding third downs in general. 159 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 1: And so you know, it's a lot of that I 160 00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:21,680 Speaker 1: think Davel and Half are going to do is emphasizing 161 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:24,000 Speaker 1: what Daniel Jones does well. I mean, I think a 162 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 1: lot of Giants fans will be shocked to hear this, 163 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:29,680 Speaker 1: but I want to say it's over since over the 164 00:08:29,720 --> 00:08:34,760 Speaker 1: last two years on passes thrown plus yards downfield, Daniel 165 00:08:34,840 --> 00:08:37,840 Speaker 1: Jones leads the NFL in e p a per pass 166 00:08:37,920 --> 00:08:40,560 Speaker 1: at him. He has been very successful pushing the ball 167 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:44,040 Speaker 1: down the field, but this coaching staff hasn't really emphasized that. 168 00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:46,800 Speaker 1: And we'll talk momentarily, you know, in terms of some 169 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:48,920 Speaker 1: of the specific changes I think we're going to get 170 00:08:48,920 --> 00:08:53,600 Speaker 1: here about explosive plays and the importance of those. UM. 171 00:08:53,640 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 1: I just think that the prior regime was not putting 172 00:08:56,720 --> 00:09:00,360 Speaker 1: Daniel Jones into the most optimal situations. And the last 173 00:09:00,360 --> 00:09:03,560 Speaker 1: thing I'll say on this topic, John, is that you 174 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 1: look at a quarterback like Patrick Mahomes and a coach 175 00:09:07,080 --> 00:09:09,520 Speaker 1: like Andy Reid, one of the best quarterbacks in terms 176 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:11,880 Speaker 1: of pure talent in the NFL, one of the best 177 00:09:11,880 --> 00:09:14,319 Speaker 1: head coaches and play callers in the NFL has been 178 00:09:14,360 --> 00:09:18,199 Speaker 1: that way for for decades now. They make life easy 179 00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:21,679 Speaker 1: on Patrick Mahomes, a lot of short passes underneath, prioritizing 180 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 1: yards after the catch, trying to figure out a way 181 00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:28,439 Speaker 1: to make life easier on a stud soon to be 182 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:31,679 Speaker 1: probably you know, Hall of Fame quarterback. He's on that 183 00:09:31,720 --> 00:09:34,760 Speaker 1: path to being so UM And that's for Patrick Mahomes. 184 00:09:34,800 --> 00:09:37,200 Speaker 1: So don't we need to do even more of that 185 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:40,560 Speaker 1: for a quarterback like Daniel Jones, who we know has limitations, 186 00:09:40,559 --> 00:09:43,120 Speaker 1: who we know struggles in certain situations, who we know 187 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:46,240 Speaker 1: is far from perfect. We need to prioritize that even more. 188 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 1: And that's where I think Kafka and Dave are really 189 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:51,720 Speaker 1: going to um, you know, take advantage of that, and 190 00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:53,800 Speaker 1: it's gonna look so much different than what it looked 191 00:09:53,840 --> 00:09:56,959 Speaker 1: like in the past because the coaching staff wasn't doing 192 00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:58,920 Speaker 1: enough of that, and this staff is really going to 193 00:09:58,920 --> 00:10:02,560 Speaker 1: prioritize that. Still does not mean that Daniel Jones is 194 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:04,800 Speaker 1: going to be the QB of the future for the 195 00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:07,280 Speaker 1: New York Giants. It just means that the version we're 196 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:10,160 Speaker 1: gonna see in two, in my opinion, is going to 197 00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:12,880 Speaker 1: look a lot better than the version that we saw before. Also, 198 00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:16,480 Speaker 1: some of the things I've seen in preseason involved tucking 199 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:19,240 Speaker 1: the ball down and running with that football um and 200 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:22,080 Speaker 1: we were not seeing that enough. We saw it at 201 00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:24,840 Speaker 1: times with the prior regime, but I think we're going 202 00:10:24,880 --> 00:10:29,120 Speaker 1: to see that more under Dable. The most efficient offensive 203 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 1: play in the NFL, john of any type of play, 204 00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:36,200 Speaker 1: is when a quarterback drops back to pass in season 205 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:39,160 Speaker 1: open run line and takes it. The average yards and 206 00:10:39,200 --> 00:10:41,960 Speaker 1: the average EPA that these plays generate are better than 207 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:45,800 Speaker 1: the average pass of any type of design quarterback ron 208 00:10:45,880 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 1: of any type, so you know, a lot of times 209 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:51,600 Speaker 1: we see coaches try to tell their quarterbacks, look, we 210 00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:54,760 Speaker 1: want you to read the field, don't take off, don't 211 00:10:54,880 --> 00:10:58,240 Speaker 1: you know, go go through your progressions. But the reality is, 212 00:10:58,400 --> 00:11:01,120 Speaker 1: if we're trying to win football games, you know, you 213 00:11:01,160 --> 00:11:04,480 Speaker 1: want your quarterback to be patient in the pocket, be poised, 214 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:06,959 Speaker 1: go through his progressions. But if there's a run lane 215 00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:09,760 Speaker 1: that opens up, on average, you're gonna gain like nine 216 00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 1: to ten yards on that run play, you need to 217 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:15,600 Speaker 1: take off and run with the football because that's better 218 00:11:15,640 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 1: than the average passing play, even if it were to 219 00:11:17,920 --> 00:11:20,719 Speaker 1: be completed. So, um, I think we're gonna see a 220 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:23,319 Speaker 1: lot more running of the football from Daniel Jones as well, 221 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:25,400 Speaker 1: which is going to keep that offense on the field 222 00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:27,880 Speaker 1: more and going to keep them in better situations. And then, 223 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:31,720 Speaker 1: of course that ultimately leads to we are now playing 224 00:11:31,760 --> 00:11:33,800 Speaker 1: in the second half with a lead. If we were 225 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:36,960 Speaker 1: efficient enough on early downs and bypass third downs in 226 00:11:37,000 --> 00:11:39,240 Speaker 1: the first half, we're going to score points. And when 227 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:42,480 Speaker 1: we're scoring points, we're going to have a better likelihood 228 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:45,000 Speaker 1: of leading games late. And when we're leading games late, 229 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 1: then the playbook is completely open to us. We don't 230 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:50,000 Speaker 1: have to be playing in the third fourth quarters with 231 00:11:50,080 --> 00:11:54,240 Speaker 1: a deficit, being predictable offensively throwing the ball on every 232 00:11:54,280 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 1: down because the other defense knows that we're going to 233 00:11:57,960 --> 00:12:00,720 Speaker 1: have to do that because we're trailing by double digits. 234 00:12:00,760 --> 00:12:03,200 Speaker 1: When we are leading in the second half, a lot 235 00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:06,280 Speaker 1: more can happen and that makes life very difficult on 236 00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:09,199 Speaker 1: that defense. And it's gonna make the quarterback look even better. 237 00:12:09,320 --> 00:12:12,080 Speaker 1: So you know, all these different factors you're gonna play into. 238 00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 1: I think Daniel Jones is gonna look better this season. Yeah. 239 00:12:14,679 --> 00:12:16,679 Speaker 1: I want to get to your explosive play analysis war 240 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:18,720 Speaker 1: and in the Giants chapter because I thought it was fantastic. 241 00:12:18,720 --> 00:12:19,839 Speaker 1: But I want to dig in a little bit on 242 00:12:19,880 --> 00:12:22,320 Speaker 1: the early down stuff because I have a never geting 243 00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:25,000 Speaker 1: debate with a lot of old school Giant fans that 244 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:27,320 Speaker 1: you know, eighties, nineties you win a different way than 245 00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:29,760 Speaker 1: you do now, and I've tried to kind of stress 246 00:12:30,320 --> 00:12:33,240 Speaker 1: how important it is to throw on early downs because 247 00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:35,960 Speaker 1: that's when the other team is expecting you to run. Right, 248 00:12:36,000 --> 00:12:39,040 Speaker 1: You're gonna say more base personnel, you run out, maybe 249 00:12:39,040 --> 00:12:41,440 Speaker 1: twelve personality. They're in their basin in a four three 250 00:12:41,520 --> 00:12:44,760 Speaker 1: or three four. You run play action It's kind of 251 00:12:44,760 --> 00:12:47,439 Speaker 1: a numbers game, right, So can you just talk about 252 00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:50,199 Speaker 1: just the basics of why passing on early downs was 253 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:53,760 Speaker 1: more advantageous based on personnel, based on numbers, based on 254 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:56,400 Speaker 1: what the opponent is is thinking about and throwing the 255 00:12:56,440 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 1: offensive mine impact two. But you talked about game flow, 256 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:00,720 Speaker 1: right when you're down in the second half, the other 257 00:13:00,760 --> 00:13:02,600 Speaker 1: team knows you're passing well, they can then attack your 258 00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:04,800 Speaker 1: offensive line in different ways. It looks worse you're in 259 00:13:04,800 --> 00:13:06,880 Speaker 1: the third and long they know you're passing. You can 260 00:13:06,880 --> 00:13:09,559 Speaker 1: attack your offensive line in different ways. But on early 261 00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:11,520 Speaker 1: downs you can use other things like r p O 262 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:14,160 Speaker 1: s like play action that might hide some of the 263 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 1: weaknesses in your past protections. Can you kind of just 264 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 1: bring all that together for giant fans add to to 265 00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:22,559 Speaker 1: explain how passing on early downs really helps your quarterback 266 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:25,400 Speaker 1: and it makes your game more efficient. I think you've 267 00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:28,160 Speaker 1: done a great job right there yourself. The bottom line 268 00:13:28,200 --> 00:13:31,319 Speaker 1: here is that with the current rules in the NFL, 269 00:13:32,559 --> 00:13:36,040 Speaker 1: offenses are massively favored over defenses. They have a headstart, 270 00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:39,480 Speaker 1: they have the advantaged. Rules are written to allow scoring. 271 00:13:39,559 --> 00:13:42,040 Speaker 1: Why do we think that that has occurred? Well, we 272 00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:46,000 Speaker 1: know that scoring points has led to more fan engagement 273 00:13:46,040 --> 00:13:49,320 Speaker 1: with the game and fantasy football and and betting and 274 00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:52,920 Speaker 1: all these other factors are what is growing the overall 275 00:13:53,360 --> 00:13:57,000 Speaker 1: you know, revenue share of the league itself. More eyeballs 276 00:13:57,040 --> 00:13:59,839 Speaker 1: on TVs are creating more dollars for the league to 277 00:13:59,880 --> 00:14:02,160 Speaker 1: be able to play around with. UM and you're going 278 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 1: to get that when you're seeing exciting games. If you're 279 00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 1: seeing six to three type final scores frequently, you're not 280 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:12,000 Speaker 1: going to see that. So they change the rules in 281 00:14:12,000 --> 00:14:14,920 Speaker 1: in in under the guys of player safety. We've seen 282 00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 1: them do this before though, and then they just forget, oh, yeah, 283 00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:19,080 Speaker 1: this is lowering the helmet that that's going to be 284 00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:21,080 Speaker 1: an emphasis here this year, and then we kind of 285 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:23,560 Speaker 1: have forgotten about that even a year or two years 286 00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:26,360 Speaker 1: after the fact. UM. So they could have forgotten about 287 00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:28,680 Speaker 1: some of these players safe things, but they haven't, and 288 00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:33,240 Speaker 1: they they haven't because it's emphasizing offense and quarterback success 289 00:14:33,240 --> 00:14:35,920 Speaker 1: and efficiency, and the quarterbacks are the stars and they 290 00:14:35,960 --> 00:14:39,080 Speaker 1: sell jerseys and those types of things and receivers, et cetera. 291 00:14:39,480 --> 00:14:43,320 Speaker 1: So with the rules being favor into the offenses so much, 292 00:14:43,400 --> 00:14:46,600 Speaker 1: the only way that you can kind of give some 293 00:14:46,680 --> 00:14:49,080 Speaker 1: chips back to the dealer, so to speak, or or 294 00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:53,680 Speaker 1: uh create a less advantageous situation for yourself is by 295 00:14:53,680 --> 00:14:57,120 Speaker 1: being predictable. If you are predictable on offense, that's when 296 00:14:57,160 --> 00:14:59,280 Speaker 1: the defense, you know, the scales can sort of tilt 297 00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:01,760 Speaker 1: in their favor are a little bit more. If you 298 00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:05,160 Speaker 1: have the ability to be unpredictable, then it's very difficult 299 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 1: for defenses to keep up with you. When you are 300 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:10,800 Speaker 1: passing the ball on first down, you are less predictable 301 00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:13,280 Speaker 1: than if you are in third and six as you mentioned, 302 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 1: and the defense knows is you're gonna have to pass 303 00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:17,680 Speaker 1: the ball. So it starts with just like the simple 304 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:21,480 Speaker 1: factor of like what is the situation here down in distance? 305 00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:24,520 Speaker 1: That's what the defense knows. From a personnel perspective, who 306 00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:26,840 Speaker 1: to put on the field, That's what they know what 307 00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:29,880 Speaker 1: to expect from your offense. Um, when you can bring 308 00:15:29,920 --> 00:15:33,520 Speaker 1: on personnel groupings as you mentioned, that can be more multiple. 309 00:15:33,640 --> 00:15:35,560 Speaker 1: You can bring in a little bit of a heavier 310 00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:38,480 Speaker 1: grouping on an early down to really give that disguise 311 00:15:38,560 --> 00:15:41,880 Speaker 1: of the run. We know the quarterbacks a lot of 312 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:44,040 Speaker 1: them perform much better. Think of a guy like Baker 313 00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 1: Mayfield when he when they're in twelve personnel or twenty 314 00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:50,000 Speaker 1: one personnel with two backs or two tight ends on 315 00:15:50,040 --> 00:15:52,720 Speaker 1: the field, and the defense is now in a more 316 00:15:52,760 --> 00:15:55,800 Speaker 1: of a base personnel grouping look and they've got more 317 00:15:55,840 --> 00:15:57,960 Speaker 1: men in the box. This is when it's easier to 318 00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:00,640 Speaker 1: throw the ball against these guys, and pre that motion 319 00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 1: helps the quarterback distinguish what the deep, what type of 320 00:16:04,040 --> 00:16:06,760 Speaker 1: coverage is coming, and then you've got your play action, 321 00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:09,240 Speaker 1: which is like your post snap motion after the fact. 322 00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:11,200 Speaker 1: We want to be using a lot of motions. We 323 00:16:11,240 --> 00:16:13,640 Speaker 1: want a lot of motion either is before the snap 324 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:17,400 Speaker 1: or after the snap, and we want varying personnel groupings 325 00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:19,880 Speaker 1: and the ability to throw the ball on early downs. 326 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:23,160 Speaker 1: I mean, you can look at the numbers themselves. It's 327 00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:25,640 Speaker 1: not hard to go to any website out there that 328 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:29,280 Speaker 1: tracks things and allows you to uh dissect things by 329 00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:33,480 Speaker 1: down first down passes, they've had a higher completion rate 330 00:16:33,640 --> 00:16:38,000 Speaker 1: every almost every year since and the yards per attempt 331 00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:40,920 Speaker 1: have increased as well. These passes are easier to throw, 332 00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 1: and coaches are designing offense now that favors teams that 333 00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:48,280 Speaker 1: the favors the quarterback and getting the ball out two 334 00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 1: receivers so that we are gaining six seven yards on 335 00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:55,440 Speaker 1: first down instead of three yards with running the football 336 00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:58,000 Speaker 1: three to four yards. And as a result, that's where 337 00:16:58,040 --> 00:17:00,080 Speaker 1: I see a lot of teams this year that have 338 00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:02,800 Speaker 1: been these hard nosed run teams in the past with 339 00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:06,080 Speaker 1: defensive minded coaches. I'm thinking of like the Minnesota Vikings 340 00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:09,360 Speaker 1: with Mike zimmer Uh that have now switched to offensive 341 00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:12,239 Speaker 1: minded coaches. And I think these types of teams are 342 00:17:12,280 --> 00:17:15,000 Speaker 1: going to flourish and see their offenses do a lot 343 00:17:15,080 --> 00:17:18,280 Speaker 1: more this season because they're they're gonna pass the ball 344 00:17:18,320 --> 00:17:21,120 Speaker 1: more on first down and second down, you're gonna stay 345 00:17:21,119 --> 00:17:24,359 Speaker 1: out of more third down situations, they're gonna score points earlier, 346 00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:27,280 Speaker 1: and so the whole thing, the bottom line, the bottom 347 00:17:27,280 --> 00:17:30,680 Speaker 1: line for your viewers is just how do we avoid 348 00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:34,880 Speaker 1: being predictable. Whatever we can do to be efficient that 349 00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:37,920 Speaker 1: will avoid predictability in the game, that's what we want 350 00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:40,080 Speaker 1: to do. And so if you were like a dent 351 00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:42,480 Speaker 1: pass on first down, you probably wouldn't want that. That's 352 00:17:42,720 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 1: completely too predictable. You don't want to be run on 353 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:48,960 Speaker 1: first down either, but we know that you want to 354 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:51,960 Speaker 1: avoid third downs because based upon that down in distance, 355 00:17:52,440 --> 00:17:55,600 Speaker 1: you will give the defense too much information ahead of 356 00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:58,439 Speaker 1: time as to what you're going to be doing. Hey, 357 00:17:58,520 --> 00:18:00,480 Speaker 1: johnant van Jihnant seems to take us on downe now 358 00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:03,639 Speaker 1: for two. In addition to ticket savings, membership benefits include 359 00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:06,679 Speaker 1: access to exclusive events, experiences, pre sales and more, locking 360 00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:09,200 Speaker 1: your seat staring you're just one hundred bucks called n 361 00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:13,120 Speaker 1: y g or giants dot com slash tickets for more information. 362 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:16,560 Speaker 1: We're drawn by Warren Sharp. Check out his two football 363 00:18:16,600 --> 00:18:20,800 Speaker 1: preview from Sharp Football. Warren, your explosive play numbers were 364 00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:23,280 Speaker 1: fantastic in this Giant chapter. I'm gonna throw a couple 365 00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:26,040 Speaker 1: of basic ones to fans. For drives in the league 366 00:18:26,119 --> 00:18:29,359 Speaker 1: last year that did not have a play of fifteen 367 00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:33,920 Speaker 1: or more yards, four percent four point three specifically resulted 368 00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:37,520 Speaker 1: in a touchdown. When drives I had exactly one play 369 00:18:37,520 --> 00:18:41,160 Speaker 1: of fifteen or more yards, just under forty one cent 370 00:18:41,840 --> 00:18:45,400 Speaker 1: ended in a touchdown, and for drives that had two 371 00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:49,000 Speaker 1: or more plays of fifteen plus yards, sixty eight percent 372 00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:53,399 Speaker 1: ended in a touchdown. You talked about the rules. It 373 00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:55,919 Speaker 1: has really put an emphasis on explosive plays, and if 374 00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:57,600 Speaker 1: you don't get him, it's really hard to score, now, 375 00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:00,960 Speaker 1: isn't it. It really is. I mean, it's shocking whether 376 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:04,720 Speaker 1: you look at and I did that analysis when drives 377 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:07,560 Speaker 1: began inside the team's own thirty yard line. So we're 378 00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:09,600 Speaker 1: not cheating, We're not looking at you know, drives that 379 00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:14,159 Speaker 1: have we're taken out from the analysis, drives that started 380 00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:17,159 Speaker 1: in really good field position, just drives it started inside 381 00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:20,320 Speaker 1: your own thirty We know touchback rules twenty five yard 382 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 1: line on kickoffs and and twenty yard line after that 383 00:19:22,680 --> 00:19:25,960 Speaker 1: on on punts, and so we were factoring mostly these 384 00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:28,560 Speaker 1: types of drives where you're starting in standard field position. 385 00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:32,000 Speaker 1: If you don't have an explosive play, if your offense 386 00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:36,119 Speaker 1: can't generate explosive place, it is very difficult. And they 387 00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:38,280 Speaker 1: came to city Chief showed us that last year at 388 00:19:38,280 --> 00:19:41,399 Speaker 1: some points early on in the season to dink and 389 00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:44,800 Speaker 1: dunk and slowly matriculate the ball down the field, converting 390 00:19:44,840 --> 00:19:47,720 Speaker 1: on some third downs along the way. And why is 391 00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:50,200 Speaker 1: that because you get the defense just so many opportunities 392 00:19:50,280 --> 00:19:53,280 Speaker 1: one one good play for the defense, one offensive holding, 393 00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 1: one sack taken. You know, if you if you have 394 00:19:56,040 --> 00:19:59,080 Speaker 1: a sack, there's data out there it shows how less 395 00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:01,240 Speaker 1: likely you are to score a touch on the score 396 00:20:01,320 --> 00:20:05,080 Speaker 1: point of any nature. When just one sack has incurred 397 00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 1: on a drive. I mean, so having negative plays do happen. 398 00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:12,960 Speaker 1: Sacks will happen when you're throwing the football. Offensive holding 399 00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:15,520 Speaker 1: um actually is a little bit more likely to occur 400 00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:17,720 Speaker 1: when you're running the football. This is why passing is 401 00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:20,879 Speaker 1: even more advantageous. But you still have instances, especially with 402 00:20:20,920 --> 00:20:24,400 Speaker 1: the struggling line like you mentioned, that will have offensive 403 00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:26,640 Speaker 1: holding place. And that's why you want to avoid third 404 00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:29,080 Speaker 1: downs because there you know the defense is gonna send 405 00:20:29,080 --> 00:20:31,720 Speaker 1: guys most likely and they're going to be able to 406 00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:34,800 Speaker 1: cause confusion with some games upfront that would force an 407 00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:36,720 Speaker 1: offensive lineman to stick out their hand and grab or 408 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:38,760 Speaker 1: try to give their quarterback a little bit extra time. 409 00:20:38,760 --> 00:20:40,720 Speaker 1: Why is that because he has to throw the ball 410 00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:43,200 Speaker 1: further down the field because it's third and eight, Whereas 411 00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:45,200 Speaker 1: on a first down play you could throw the ball 412 00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:47,840 Speaker 1: shorter if you want to, and the offensive line won't 413 00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:50,520 Speaker 1: have to pass protect for nearly as long. So, I mean, 414 00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:53,000 Speaker 1: the the explosive play analysis that I did, this was 415 00:20:53,040 --> 00:20:55,840 Speaker 1: actually one of the first seasons that I ran this analysis. 416 00:20:56,480 --> 00:20:59,120 Speaker 1: It really was eye opening even to myself in terms 417 00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:02,680 Speaker 1: of how much just one explosive play, what that difference 418 00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,359 Speaker 1: makes on a drive and as a result, you know, 419 00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:07,679 Speaker 1: it's a it's a tight rope that you have to 420 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:11,520 Speaker 1: walk with. You desire to be very efficient on early 421 00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:15,960 Speaker 1: downs to bypass third down, with also the desire to 422 00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:18,760 Speaker 1: take some risks and sprinkle some things in there so 423 00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:21,720 Speaker 1: that you can go down the field. In both instances, 424 00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:25,520 Speaker 1: we're not really talking about emphasizing running backs and running 425 00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:27,480 Speaker 1: the ball a lot. We're trying to figure out a 426 00:21:27,560 --> 00:21:30,800 Speaker 1: balance between how do we get by without having a 427 00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:33,320 Speaker 1: third down on this series and how do we also 428 00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:35,560 Speaker 1: have a percentage of time that we're going to try 429 00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:39,520 Speaker 1: to go down the field and get an explosive game. Yeah, 430 00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:42,520 Speaker 1: and it's funny you really pinpointed fifteen plus yards. You know, 431 00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:45,040 Speaker 1: usually in the past it's twenty and more plays of 432 00:21:45,040 --> 00:21:48,359 Speaker 1: twenty and more plays of forty or more. Profittball focus 433 00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:51,360 Speaker 1: has also had been a fifteen plus yrd guy with 434 00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:54,719 Speaker 1: with your analysis, why is it the fifteen yard plays 435 00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:57,680 Speaker 1: more important to track than say twenty plus yr plays 436 00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:00,200 Speaker 1: or ten plus your place, fifteen plus yr play is 437 00:22:00,320 --> 00:22:03,800 Speaker 1: to me represent more of the desire to try to 438 00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:06,000 Speaker 1: work the ball down the field. I don't feel like 439 00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:09,200 Speaker 1: you need to go as far as twenty plus yards. 440 00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:12,000 Speaker 1: Those plays happened far less frequently, and I wanted to 441 00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:15,520 Speaker 1: show that even a fifteen yard play made a world 442 00:22:15,560 --> 00:22:17,920 Speaker 1: of difference, and you didn't need of course, if you're 443 00:22:18,119 --> 00:22:20,960 Speaker 1: you know, starting from a thirty yard line, let's say, 444 00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:23,440 Speaker 1: on a drive, and you have a thirty yard game 445 00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:26,399 Speaker 1: right like, you're already in scoring position, it's going to 446 00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:29,320 Speaker 1: be much easier. But even a fifteen yard play still 447 00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:33,239 Speaker 1: put you on your own side of midfield that you 448 00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:35,480 Speaker 1: still have to go aways to score a touchdown on 449 00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:37,600 Speaker 1: that drive. And so I wanted to try to find 450 00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:41,280 Speaker 1: something that was short enough, but also something that's more 451 00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:43,639 Speaker 1: than ten yards. You know, first and ten every single 452 00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:46,200 Speaker 1: play you're trying to gain a first down there. So 453 00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 1: I wanted to go a little bit longer than a 454 00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:50,800 Speaker 1: ten yard play. But I think in general that this 455 00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:55,600 Speaker 1: is a great opportunity for the Giants. Again, we don't 456 00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:58,520 Speaker 1: need although Daniel Jones number one in e p A 457 00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:02,280 Speaker 1: on twenty five plus yard past plays, all we're looking 458 00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:05,880 Speaker 1: for is fifteen plus r place here. And the interesting 459 00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:10,640 Speaker 1: element is that this isn't a fifteen plus yard completion 460 00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:14,720 Speaker 1: down the field. This is just any play that generates 461 00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:17,520 Speaker 1: a gain of fifteen plus yard. So it does incorporate 462 00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:20,560 Speaker 1: an explosive run play. It could incorporate Daniel Jones run 463 00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:23,320 Speaker 1: and say Kwan Barkley run, any type of play that 464 00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:27,480 Speaker 1: can gain fifteen plus yards. Uh, that does count into 465 00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:30,840 Speaker 1: this analysis, you know, more than the blast part that 466 00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:33,400 Speaker 1: you mentioned in terms of focuses of areas and froment 467 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:35,920 Speaker 1: for the Giants offenses red zone efficiency, where do you 468 00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:39,720 Speaker 1: think they can make some jumps there? Massive, massive jumps 469 00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:41,920 Speaker 1: in the red zone and that's because they're one of 470 00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:43,720 Speaker 1: the least efficient teams. Are gonna pull up some of 471 00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:47,280 Speaker 1: my numbers, but uh, total place called inside the red zone, 472 00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:50,040 Speaker 1: they were thirty first in the league, so they weren't 473 00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:52,080 Speaker 1: getting down into the red zone nearly enough. You know 474 00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:54,240 Speaker 1: who was the best offense in the league in terms 475 00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:58,920 Speaker 1: of total number of plays inside the red zone Bills team. 476 00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:01,640 Speaker 1: So the Giant need to get down there more. They 477 00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:04,359 Speaker 1: will when they're more efficient on early downs and when 478 00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:06,399 Speaker 1: they're trying to hit explosive place So now we need 479 00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:08,560 Speaker 1: to get them to capitalize. And why weren't they capitalizing 480 00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:10,000 Speaker 1: last year? Will Firs, Let's look at some of the 481 00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:15,560 Speaker 1: numbers they were Uh, thirty second in red zone e 482 00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,760 Speaker 1: p A on their pass attempts. They were the league's 483 00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:22,200 Speaker 1: worst team, And in fact, this number I thought was shocking. 484 00:24:23,000 --> 00:24:26,440 Speaker 1: No team the last four years had a lower completion 485 00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:30,160 Speaker 1: percentage inside of the red zone than the Giants last year. 486 00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:33,560 Speaker 1: I mean this team offensively from a passing perspective. No, 487 00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:36,600 Speaker 1: their passes weren't efficient, but they weren't even completing them. 488 00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,840 Speaker 1: They weren't even throwing the football efficiently. And I dug 489 00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:42,919 Speaker 1: down a little bit deeper into like a weird phenomenon 490 00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:45,040 Speaker 1: that I was seeing where they were throwing the ball 491 00:24:45,520 --> 00:24:47,880 Speaker 1: deeper in the red zone than they were over most 492 00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:49,800 Speaker 1: other areas of the field, like they were trying to 493 00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:52,280 Speaker 1: push the ball have a higher air yards when they 494 00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:54,720 Speaker 1: were inside the red zone than elsewhere on the field. 495 00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:57,320 Speaker 1: And those are obviously we want explosive plays, but when 496 00:24:57,320 --> 00:24:59,160 Speaker 1: you're in the red zone, we want to score touchdowns. 497 00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:02,280 Speaker 1: Those deeper path is are harder to complete, hence a 498 00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:05,200 Speaker 1: lower completion percentage um and a lower e p A 499 00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:09,240 Speaker 1: per attempt. So I think that the philosophy that the 500 00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:12,000 Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills are gonna have, sorry that the Giants are 501 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:14,040 Speaker 1: gonna have, that some of the things that they ball 502 00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:16,399 Speaker 1: was using in Buffalo. And also I mean think of 503 00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,960 Speaker 1: think of Andy Reid and how creative that red zone 504 00:25:20,000 --> 00:25:24,560 Speaker 1: offense was with Patrick Mahomes um when Mike Kafka was 505 00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:26,560 Speaker 1: down there, and of course and you reads calling a 506 00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:28,640 Speaker 1: lot of this stuff, but Mike Halfca is there, He's 507 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:31,680 Speaker 1: absorbing it, He's adding some input along the way as well. 508 00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:36,320 Speaker 1: I mean this, this red zone offense may be substantially 509 00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:40,080 Speaker 1: more creative in two then I think Giants fans are 510 00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:43,919 Speaker 1: even prepared to see, uh, and hopefully it works out right, Like, 511 00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:46,760 Speaker 1: hopefully some of the trick things and the sneaky things 512 00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:49,399 Speaker 1: that they're trying to work on um end up having 513 00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:51,960 Speaker 1: success and end up being executed well. Right, It's very 514 00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,760 Speaker 1: different Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen doing these things than 515 00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:57,320 Speaker 1: it might be for Daniel Jones. But I think they're 516 00:25:57,320 --> 00:25:59,240 Speaker 1: going to have the right idea, in the right mindset 517 00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:02,360 Speaker 1: when they're inside the red zone, calling better plays, putting 518 00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:05,399 Speaker 1: your quarterback into more advantageous situations, and it's going to 519 00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:08,800 Speaker 1: be nearly impossible to do any worse than what the 520 00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:12,280 Speaker 1: Giants were last season. Thus, you know, I think the 521 00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:15,239 Speaker 1: the trajectory is in the right direction with what this 522 00:26:15,280 --> 00:26:17,359 Speaker 1: team is going to generate down inside of the red 523 00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:19,720 Speaker 1: zone this year. You know, Warren, it's funny. I think 524 00:26:19,760 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 1: one reason for Giant fans to be optimistic, you know, 525 00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:23,720 Speaker 1: in addition to stuff you talked about. And I want 526 00:26:23,720 --> 00:26:25,399 Speaker 1: to get to the defense in a second, but if 527 00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:27,360 Speaker 1: you just look at the schedule, you know, last year 528 00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:29,640 Speaker 1: the Giants actually had a really tough schedule, and then 529 00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:31,520 Speaker 1: you you have a lot of great numbers. I'll let 530 00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:33,320 Speaker 1: you get into, but I'm just gonna give it from 531 00:26:33,320 --> 00:26:36,400 Speaker 1: a layman's perspective. You know, they play four straight games 532 00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:39,000 Speaker 1: in the middle of the year against the Jaguars, Seahawks, Texans, 533 00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:41,239 Speaker 1: and Lions. Three of those teams are picking in the 534 00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:43,520 Speaker 1: top five in the draft and the other one was 535 00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:47,040 Speaker 1: taking in the top ten. So it's a much easier 536 00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:49,920 Speaker 1: schedule here for the Giants on both sides of the ball, 537 00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:53,000 Speaker 1: right it is, for sure. Um. I look at two 538 00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:55,600 Speaker 1: different ways to evaluate the schedule. I look at who 539 00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:58,320 Speaker 1: are you playing? And I also look at how are 540 00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:00,480 Speaker 1: you playing these teams? Like when are you playing them? 541 00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:04,840 Speaker 1: In terms of rest, and the Giants have an advantageous situation, 542 00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:09,080 Speaker 1: whether it's pure rest advantage or their prep time in 543 00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:12,240 Speaker 1: terms of not having too many games where their opponent 544 00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:15,000 Speaker 1: has more time to prep, or not having too many 545 00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:17,400 Speaker 1: situations where they're playing on short weeks and they don't 546 00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:19,879 Speaker 1: have as much time to prep. So from arrest and 547 00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:23,040 Speaker 1: prep perspective, the Giants are in a good situation. Not 548 00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:25,639 Speaker 1: the best in the league by far, but still above 549 00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:29,119 Speaker 1: average situation. But then when we talk about who you 550 00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:31,760 Speaker 1: are playing specifically, this is where it does get a 551 00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:34,639 Speaker 1: little bit exciting. Because last season, you guys played the 552 00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,760 Speaker 1: number two most difficult schedule of opponents in the NFL. 553 00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:42,200 Speaker 1: You played the number eight most difficult schedule of defenses 554 00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:45,919 Speaker 1: against the past, making life much more difficult on a 555 00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:48,879 Speaker 1: quarterback in a bad offense to go out there and 556 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:52,680 Speaker 1: try to execute. This year, I predict that number eight 557 00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:55,960 Speaker 1: most difficult will move down to number twenty nine most difficult. 558 00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:59,560 Speaker 1: So now that's the fourth easiest schedule of past defenses 559 00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:02,080 Speaker 1: that Jay you know Jones will face this year. It's 560 00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:05,240 Speaker 1: gonna make life much easier on him. The ability to 561 00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:07,880 Speaker 1: read out these defenses that might struggle a lot more 562 00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:10,680 Speaker 1: against the past than he was facing last season should 563 00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:14,080 Speaker 1: make him alone look a lot better as compared to 564 00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:15,960 Speaker 1: what he was looking last year, and then you throw 565 00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:18,960 Speaker 1: in the advantages that this offense is going to provide 566 00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:22,160 Speaker 1: to him. Hopefully we get more health along the way 567 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:24,560 Speaker 1: as well. But the bottom line here is from a 568 00:28:24,600 --> 00:28:28,480 Speaker 1: scheduled perspective, the Giants are in a very good situation 569 00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:31,440 Speaker 1: and they have if you look at overall most difficult schedule, 570 00:28:31,520 --> 00:28:34,359 Speaker 1: I'll pull up my UM current ranking. What I do 571 00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:39,560 Speaker 1: is I look at opponent win UH forecast for this season. 572 00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:41,120 Speaker 1: A lot of people look at strength the schedule and 573 00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:44,840 Speaker 1: say what was this team? What who do you play 574 00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:48,320 Speaker 1: this year? And what was their win percentage last year? 575 00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:50,600 Speaker 1: And you just do the math added up and then 576 00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:54,479 Speaker 1: you say, okay, we have the eighteenth most difficult schedule 577 00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:56,560 Speaker 1: this season. But the reality is you want to be 578 00:28:56,560 --> 00:29:00,240 Speaker 1: looking at Vegas projections for these teams this season. What's 579 00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:02,800 Speaker 1: your dynamics set by the betting market and they move 580 00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:05,600 Speaker 1: and change and and and based upon how the money's 581 00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:09,160 Speaker 1: coming in, and that obviously is going to define the 582 00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:11,680 Speaker 1: better picture as to who you're playing this year, and 583 00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:14,320 Speaker 1: by that metric, at one point in this offseason, the 584 00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:17,120 Speaker 1: Giants had the number one easiest schedule in the NFL. 585 00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:19,960 Speaker 1: Right now, it's down to number two easiest. But think 586 00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:23,760 Speaker 1: about that. I said, what three minutes ago, the Giants 587 00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:26,640 Speaker 1: last year played the number two most difficult schedule in 588 00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:29,800 Speaker 1: the league. This year, I'm forecasting them, based upon the 589 00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:32,440 Speaker 1: Vegas win tots, to play the number two easiest schedule 590 00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:35,719 Speaker 1: in the league. So just overall team strength moving from 591 00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:39,640 Speaker 1: second hardest to second easiest massive. From Daniel Jones's perspective, 592 00:29:39,840 --> 00:29:42,400 Speaker 1: moving from the eighth most difficult to the fourth thesist 593 00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:45,880 Speaker 1: also massive. So this good reason to feel optimism based 594 00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:48,600 Speaker 1: upon the schedule. All right, let's talk about the defense. 595 00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:50,640 Speaker 1: Uh quick here one before you kind of go around 596 00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,960 Speaker 1: the league, just real quick, before say goodbye, um, Wing Barndale. 597 00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:58,080 Speaker 1: You know he runs a very unique defense. Probably maybe 598 00:29:58,160 --> 00:30:00,720 Speaker 1: you know Todd Bowles is similar and to of pressure 599 00:30:00,720 --> 00:30:03,400 Speaker 1: and man Deman rates and stuff like that. So how 600 00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:06,960 Speaker 1: does a system like Wing Marndale affected defense? Someone put 601 00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:09,320 Speaker 1: it to me, uh really well is talking to a 602 00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:12,520 Speaker 1: data scientist over at at PFF, and they said, the 603 00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:16,720 Speaker 1: way that the Wink plays defenses exacerbates the difference in town. Right, 604 00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:18,640 Speaker 1: So if you're really good and you play that type 605 00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:20,920 Speaker 1: of style, you're gonna dominate. But if your talent is 606 00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:23,280 Speaker 1: not as good. You play that type of style, sometimes 607 00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:25,680 Speaker 1: you can have some issues. Look at the Ravens versus 608 00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:28,000 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow last year when all their corners are heard right, 609 00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:30,440 Speaker 1: it got really ugly. So when you look at your 610 00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:32,760 Speaker 1: numbers and you do your analysis, how does running that 611 00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:35,080 Speaker 1: type of defensive system maybe impact what giant fans are 612 00:30:35,080 --> 00:30:39,200 Speaker 1: gonna see this year with m with Wink Martindale. Yeah, 613 00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:43,080 Speaker 1: definitely Wink already. We've seen it in the preseason. We 614 00:30:43,200 --> 00:30:45,800 Speaker 1: pulled up the numbers from week one. I mean, the 615 00:30:45,840 --> 00:30:50,200 Speaker 1: blitz rate is incredible in the first preseason games. Crazy. 616 00:30:50,760 --> 00:30:54,719 Speaker 1: It's it's absurd how often he wants to send extra 617 00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:58,000 Speaker 1: rushers to try to confuse the quarterback. I think you 618 00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:01,160 Speaker 1: used the term discombobulate them um on the other side 619 00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:03,760 Speaker 1: of the ball. It's one of the reasons though that 620 00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:07,200 Speaker 1: this team for years, obviously when he was in Baltimore 621 00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:13,600 Speaker 1: struggled against Patrick Mahomes because it became too predictable. And 622 00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:17,440 Speaker 1: when a good quarterback, a quarterback who is very good 623 00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:20,280 Speaker 1: to begin with and is also very good against the blitz, 624 00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:23,280 Speaker 1: goes up against you and he knows that you're gonna 625 00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:27,440 Speaker 1: be blitzing a ton that's obviously very problematic for defense, 626 00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:29,320 Speaker 1: and it's one of the reasons why it's like Lamar 627 00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:32,240 Speaker 1: Jackson wanted to try to beat Why can't Lamar beat 628 00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:34,640 Speaker 1: the Chiefs for several years? Well, because the Chiefs are 629 00:31:34,640 --> 00:31:37,360 Speaker 1: scoring thirty five points every single game. So I mean, yes, 630 00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:40,360 Speaker 1: Lamar can is capable of scoring more than thirty five points, 631 00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:43,440 Speaker 1: but it's not an easy task when your defense is 632 00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:45,600 Speaker 1: giving up so much. UM. When I look at the 633 00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:48,240 Speaker 1: numbers from last year, out of forty two quarterbacks in 634 00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:51,840 Speaker 1: the league, e p A per passe attempt, Dak Prescott 635 00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:55,600 Speaker 1: ranks fourteenth against the Blitz, Jalen Hurts ranked eighteenth against 636 00:31:55,680 --> 00:31:59,600 Speaker 1: the Blitz, and Carson Wentz ranked twenty one against the Blitz. UM. 637 00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:02,680 Speaker 1: Think of out last year, just to put this in perspective, 638 00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:06,760 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow when the Ravens played Joe Burrow. You know, 639 00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:09,560 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow was torching this team last season, like the 640 00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:12,719 Speaker 1: scores weren't close, and a lot of that was because 641 00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:15,160 Speaker 1: he was performing really well against Blitz. Joe Burrow is 642 00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:17,840 Speaker 1: one of the best quarterbacks in the league against the Blitz. 643 00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:20,800 Speaker 1: These other three quarterbacks that I mentioned are top ten, 644 00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:23,280 Speaker 1: but they're also not bottom ten either. Out of forty 645 00:32:23,280 --> 00:32:26,240 Speaker 1: two quarterbacks, Carson Wentz was twenty one. So it is 646 00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:29,200 Speaker 1: going to be challenging playing the style of defense. If 647 00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:32,640 Speaker 1: you can't actually get to the quarterback um sending these 648 00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:35,680 Speaker 1: extra rushers for offenses that are able to protect long 649 00:32:35,760 --> 00:32:39,320 Speaker 1: enough and diagnose the defense, that could be problematic. Now 650 00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:43,520 Speaker 1: it's good that Carson Wentz stinks when he is discombobulated. 651 00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:45,400 Speaker 1: He's one of the worst in the NFL. His sack 652 00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:49,960 Speaker 1: plut his his rate of saxon interceptions when he's pressured 653 00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:52,360 Speaker 1: is one of the highest in the NFL. So again, 654 00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:56,240 Speaker 1: the difference between sending blitzers and actually getting pressure. But 655 00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:58,360 Speaker 1: if you're able to get pressure on Carson Wentz, you 656 00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:01,160 Speaker 1: know he may struggle there. Jalen hurts, You're gonna have 657 00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:03,520 Speaker 1: to worry about his legs and getting outside the pocket, 658 00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:06,320 Speaker 1: and the same thing with Dak Prescott. So it's going 659 00:33:06,360 --> 00:33:08,960 Speaker 1: to be a challenge. I mean, I personally kind of 660 00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:12,480 Speaker 1: wish that your prior defense coordinator would have stuck around that, 661 00:33:12,680 --> 00:33:15,120 Speaker 1: Like I was kind of rooting for that in terms 662 00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:17,360 Speaker 1: of like who do I think would be the best 663 00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:21,040 Speaker 1: staff to have with the new York Giants. Um, because 664 00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:23,600 Speaker 1: I tried, I know, you try to add like some 665 00:33:23,640 --> 00:33:25,280 Speaker 1: of the things that he was doing. So I wish 666 00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:29,000 Speaker 1: that it worked out. Um, I just don't love the 667 00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:33,880 Speaker 1: predictability from Wink, But if he is able to be 668 00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:37,680 Speaker 1: a little bit less predictable, then I think, you know, 669 00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:39,800 Speaker 1: we're just gonna have to get the personnel there. And 670 00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:41,040 Speaker 1: that's one of the things we talked about at the 671 00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:43,520 Speaker 1: very beginning of this is, Uh, we're working with a 672 00:33:43,520 --> 00:33:46,280 Speaker 1: lot of the groceries that somebody else bought for this team, 673 00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:50,280 Speaker 1: and uh, we're gonna it's gonna take some time for 674 00:33:50,320 --> 00:33:52,960 Speaker 1: the general manager and the head coach to be able 675 00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:54,680 Speaker 1: to go out and get the types of players that 676 00:33:54,760 --> 00:33:58,080 Speaker 1: they want to fit the style of offense and defense 677 00:33:58,080 --> 00:34:01,880 Speaker 1: that they're looking to build from an on field product. Um, 678 00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:04,200 Speaker 1: the one thing I will say is this, if you 679 00:34:04,320 --> 00:34:07,720 Speaker 1: are playing with a lead, then we know that that 680 00:34:07,840 --> 00:34:09,560 Speaker 1: other team is going to have to throw the ball 681 00:34:09,600 --> 00:34:12,520 Speaker 1: a lot, which makes a lot easier to be able 682 00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:14,840 Speaker 1: to send pressure and to do some things to confuse 683 00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:17,000 Speaker 1: them because you know, at a higher rate, okay, this 684 00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:19,279 Speaker 1: this type of play is coming, they're probably gonna have 685 00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:22,560 Speaker 1: to throw you know, this target depth because they're in 686 00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:25,680 Speaker 1: this yards to go um. If you're playing at a 687 00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:28,759 Speaker 1: deficit all of a sudden, sending blitzes all the time 688 00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:31,840 Speaker 1: is not really going to be the most ideal situation. 689 00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:35,080 Speaker 1: So it's gonna be interesting to see how he's able 690 00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:38,880 Speaker 1: to do from a play calling perspective if this offense 691 00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:41,600 Speaker 1: isn't playing with a lead like it was in Baltimore 692 00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:44,399 Speaker 1: for so many years when Lamar Jackson was running the 693 00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:47,000 Speaker 1: show and this team you know, was constantly producing double 694 00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:50,200 Speaker 1: digit win seasons and making the postseason. Uh, the Giants 695 00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:53,359 Speaker 1: may not be in that situation for two and it's 696 00:34:53,360 --> 00:34:56,040 Speaker 1: gonna make it, like make life more difficult on Winks 697 00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:58,440 Speaker 1: defense to try to figure out when to dial up 698 00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:00,440 Speaker 1: these blitzes. You know what, I think that talent does 699 00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:02,440 Speaker 1: match up in some spots. Right. You have Leonard Williams 700 00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:04,960 Speaker 1: and Dexter Lawrence who are good defensive tackles against the run. 701 00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:07,040 Speaker 1: They can get the pressure on the quarterback to you 702 00:35:07,080 --> 00:35:09,320 Speaker 1: mentioned I know in your Giants chapter that Dexter Lawrence 703 00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:11,040 Speaker 1: kind of broke out a little bit last yearn without 704 00:35:11,040 --> 00:35:12,959 Speaker 1: the sack numbers, he was much better rushing to pass. 705 00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:15,080 Speaker 1: There you have two young edge guys and and Thibodeaux 706 00:35:15,080 --> 00:35:17,880 Speaker 1: in the zulari uh two smart safeties and Julian Love 707 00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:20,400 Speaker 1: is Avian McKinney. But at the corners right because you're 708 00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:22,839 Speaker 1: gonna have to cover man to man. You were pretty 709 00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:26,480 Speaker 1: happy with Lottador Jackson did last year. Darnay Holmes, you're 710 00:35:26,480 --> 00:35:28,920 Speaker 1: happy with his production, and then the third corners kind 711 00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:31,120 Speaker 1: of a question, So how do you see and I 712 00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:33,160 Speaker 1: Robinson right now has been the starter, didn't have a 713 00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:34,759 Speaker 1: lot of you know, playtime last year to get a 714 00:35:34,760 --> 00:35:36,759 Speaker 1: real feel for him. How do you feel about how 715 00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:38,719 Speaker 1: that talent matches up with what Winks trying to do, 716 00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:41,200 Speaker 1: especially in the back end where he really puts a 717 00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:42,759 Speaker 1: lot of pressure on his guys having to play a 718 00:35:42,760 --> 00:35:45,520 Speaker 1: lot of that man to man, a lot of zero coverage. Yeah, 719 00:35:45,560 --> 00:35:48,040 Speaker 1: it's gonna be It's definitely gonna be a challenge. Um. 720 00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:54,280 Speaker 1: The good news is defenses are far less um uh. 721 00:35:54,680 --> 00:35:56,880 Speaker 1: They don't stand on their own nearly as much as 722 00:35:56,920 --> 00:36:00,320 Speaker 1: people think. They very much so are and even bigger 723 00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:03,600 Speaker 1: product of who you play. And last year you played 724 00:36:03,600 --> 00:36:06,640 Speaker 1: the eighth most difficult schedule of opposing offenses, including the 725 00:36:06,680 --> 00:36:10,279 Speaker 1: sixth most difficult schedule of opposing pass offenses this year. 726 00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:12,239 Speaker 1: My projection is that you're going to play the tenth 727 00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:17,320 Speaker 1: easiest schedule of opposing offenses and the eighth easiest schedule 728 00:36:17,400 --> 00:36:20,520 Speaker 1: of opposing pass offenses. That alone is gonna make a 729 00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:22,920 Speaker 1: world of difference in terms of how your defense looks. 730 00:36:22,960 --> 00:36:26,120 Speaker 1: But in terms of wink and a system fitting the personnel, 731 00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:28,160 Speaker 1: you're right, I mean that was one of the emphasis 732 00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:32,240 Speaker 1: is of of Baltimore was on these corners and having 733 00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:35,160 Speaker 1: strong corners out there, and we saw how much of 734 00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:37,960 Speaker 1: a factor it was. You know, when their number one 735 00:36:38,040 --> 00:36:41,520 Speaker 1: corner would go out he was frequently injured, and when 736 00:36:41,560 --> 00:36:44,200 Speaker 1: he went out for the season, or you know, for 737 00:36:44,239 --> 00:36:47,560 Speaker 1: several weeks at a time, I mean, defensive offenses were 738 00:36:47,600 --> 00:36:50,320 Speaker 1: scoring points on that defense. So you don't have the 739 00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:52,360 Speaker 1: level of talent. You don't have the level of skill 740 00:36:52,640 --> 00:36:56,720 Speaker 1: at the dB position. UM, And we know how hand 741 00:36:56,760 --> 00:37:01,279 Speaker 1: in hand coverage and pass rush works, UM and the 742 00:37:01,360 --> 00:37:05,160 Speaker 1: emphasis of coverage has become more of a factor in 743 00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:08,759 Speaker 1: terms of what actually drives solid output. But the path 744 00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:10,560 Speaker 1: rush is what you guys are gonna have to lean 745 00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:13,200 Speaker 1: on in my opinion here, because you don't have that 746 00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:16,160 Speaker 1: corner play as strong as what Wink was accustomed to 747 00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:18,160 Speaker 1: when he was in Baltimore. Don't miss it on your 748 00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:21,839 Speaker 1: chance to experience in hospitality, experience watching Giant games, world 749 00:37:21,840 --> 00:37:24,520 Speaker 1: class concerts as a Giant Sweet partner Giants dot com 750 00:37:24,560 --> 00:37:27,960 Speaker 1: slash Sweets or eight eight n y but for full 751 00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:31,200 Speaker 1: season locations, or you can play the deposit for individual games. Warren, 752 00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:33,120 Speaker 1: you mentioned the division in your last answer, the three 753 00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:38,120 Speaker 1: quarterbacks Whence Prescott and Jalen Hurts the way we've been 754 00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:39,920 Speaker 1: kind of talking about it here with the division. We 755 00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:42,960 Speaker 1: think the Eagles probably have the best roster in the division, 756 00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:45,719 Speaker 1: but the Cowboys have the best quarterback and they're not 757 00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:48,279 Speaker 1: probably too far below in terms of roster strength. How 758 00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:50,279 Speaker 1: do you see the NFC East plane out this year? 759 00:37:51,160 --> 00:37:53,640 Speaker 1: I took some flyers on the Eagles to have some 760 00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:56,000 Speaker 1: success in this division. I think that they've got a 761 00:37:56,000 --> 00:38:00,400 Speaker 1: really good shot at unseating the Dallas Cowboys here. Um, 762 00:38:00,480 --> 00:38:03,080 Speaker 1: so much of what Dallas was able to do last 763 00:38:03,120 --> 00:38:07,400 Speaker 1: season was on the shoulders of a defense that set records. 764 00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:10,520 Speaker 1: I mean, we hadn't seen the number of takeaways for Dallas. 765 00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:14,239 Speaker 1: Uh their their takeaways in thirty four years. They had 766 00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:16,839 Speaker 1: thirty four takeaways last year. They hadn't produced that many 767 00:38:16,840 --> 00:38:19,920 Speaker 1: takeaways until thirty four years prior to that, back in 768 00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:23,240 Speaker 1: the eighties. I mean, this team really produced historic numbers 769 00:38:23,280 --> 00:38:26,319 Speaker 1: for themselves on the takeaway margin. And when you look 770 00:38:26,320 --> 00:38:28,799 Speaker 1: at the e p A the expected points added that 771 00:38:28,840 --> 00:38:31,520 Speaker 1: they generated on these takeaways, it was like the highest 772 00:38:31,560 --> 00:38:33,960 Speaker 1: that the NFL has seen in close to a decade. 773 00:38:34,080 --> 00:38:37,120 Speaker 1: And so these types of things do tend to regress 774 00:38:37,480 --> 00:38:40,680 Speaker 1: um and if that defense isn't getting those takeaways quite 775 00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:43,200 Speaker 1: frequently last year, they were getting burned. So they were 776 00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:46,440 Speaker 1: a high risk, higher reward type defense that was getting 777 00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:48,440 Speaker 1: some of these and taking them to the house. But 778 00:38:48,680 --> 00:38:52,319 Speaker 1: if that wasn't happening, they were struggling, especially in their 779 00:38:52,360 --> 00:38:55,279 Speaker 1: secondary um. And I looked at a team in the 780 00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:59,120 Speaker 1: Cowboys that slightly weaker along the offensive line, definitely weaker 781 00:38:59,120 --> 00:39:01,680 Speaker 1: at the receiver position and not as deep. They're gonna 782 00:39:01,680 --> 00:39:04,160 Speaker 1: need some of those guys to step up, and then 783 00:39:04,200 --> 00:39:08,120 Speaker 1: they're relying a lot on Ezekiel Elliott still and we 784 00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:11,040 Speaker 1: know that their other running back is substantially more efficient 785 00:39:11,280 --> 00:39:14,319 Speaker 1: when we talk about Pollard. So I believe that the 786 00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:17,160 Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys do take a slight step back, but the one. 787 00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:19,880 Speaker 1: The biggest problem for the Eagles this season is going 788 00:39:19,960 --> 00:39:22,319 Speaker 1: to be that head to head, they have not fared 789 00:39:22,440 --> 00:39:24,560 Speaker 1: very well against the Dallas Cowbos, So the Eagles are 790 00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:26,800 Speaker 1: gonna have to steal some of those games head to 791 00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:29,200 Speaker 1: head to be in a position to win the division. 792 00:39:29,200 --> 00:39:31,319 Speaker 1: But I think the rest of their schedule lines up 793 00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:33,200 Speaker 1: really well to put the Eagles in a great position 794 00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:35,480 Speaker 1: to win that. The vision wouldn't surprise me if these 795 00:39:35,480 --> 00:39:37,480 Speaker 1: two teams finished within the game of each other in 796 00:39:37,520 --> 00:39:40,680 Speaker 1: the division, and if the Eagles can do better head 797 00:39:40,719 --> 00:39:44,120 Speaker 1: to head, they will obviously win that division. Um And 798 00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:47,000 Speaker 1: and I think that from top to bottom, the Eagles roster, 799 00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:50,480 Speaker 1: as you alluded to, the most talented in this division. 800 00:39:50,520 --> 00:39:52,759 Speaker 1: So I think the Eagles ultimately are going to come 801 00:39:52,760 --> 00:39:54,880 Speaker 1: out on top here. One. Have you figured out a 802 00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:57,280 Speaker 1: rhyme of reason the turnovers and being able to predict 803 00:39:57,320 --> 00:39:59,359 Speaker 1: what teams are gonna be where in any given year 804 00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:01,719 Speaker 1: or is that just a really random thing you here 805 00:40:01,760 --> 00:40:03,440 Speaker 1: that has a lot more to do with luck than 806 00:40:03,480 --> 00:40:05,400 Speaker 1: it has to do with scheme and practice and all 807 00:40:05,400 --> 00:40:09,880 Speaker 1: that other stuff. Well, it's extremely random. Number one for starters. 808 00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:12,280 Speaker 1: If if I could figure out ahead of time who's 809 00:40:12,320 --> 00:40:14,440 Speaker 1: going to have more turnovers in the game. You know, 810 00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:17,120 Speaker 1: we wouldn't be having this podcast right now. Both of 811 00:40:17,200 --> 00:40:19,320 Speaker 1: us would be you know, filthy rich right now, because 812 00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:24,600 Speaker 1: no no factor is more uh determined to what who 813 00:40:24,600 --> 00:40:27,239 Speaker 1: wins a game? The turnover marking eighty percent of time 814 00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:29,040 Speaker 1: that you win the turnover margin, you're going to win 815 00:40:29,080 --> 00:40:31,279 Speaker 1: the game. And so you know that that's just a 816 00:40:31,280 --> 00:40:34,480 Speaker 1: big factor. But the other element here, of course, it 817 00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:38,319 Speaker 1: all gets back to that. There's it's a very complicated 818 00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:41,960 Speaker 1: game and so much moves on every single play. But 819 00:40:42,080 --> 00:40:45,560 Speaker 1: the reality is it's also very simple and and and 820 00:40:45,719 --> 00:40:51,680 Speaker 1: that is being efficient. Getting a lead helps everything around you. 821 00:40:52,160 --> 00:40:55,120 Speaker 1: And the teams that are going to be able to 822 00:40:55,200 --> 00:40:58,680 Speaker 1: get more takeaways, generally speaking, are the teams that are 823 00:40:58,719 --> 00:41:03,840 Speaker 1: forcing their opposing offense into past place on obvious passing situations. 824 00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:05,840 Speaker 1: And so you saw a team like the Cowboys with 825 00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:09,279 Speaker 1: their double digit wins last season, the opposing teams were 826 00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:12,759 Speaker 1: dropping back to throw the football in the predictable past situations. 827 00:41:12,800 --> 00:41:15,800 Speaker 1: So you would have pressure from the pass rush. You 828 00:41:15,840 --> 00:41:18,040 Speaker 1: would because they knew that the team was going to 829 00:41:18,080 --> 00:41:20,560 Speaker 1: be passing the ball. And then you have coverage guys 830 00:41:20,600 --> 00:41:22,520 Speaker 1: who know that the pass is coming and they can 831 00:41:22,560 --> 00:41:25,960 Speaker 1: sit on some of these things. That's what helps defenses 832 00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:30,360 Speaker 1: get takeaways, sack fumbles as well as interceptions and so UM, 833 00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:32,480 Speaker 1: it's it all comes down to how are we going 834 00:41:32,520 --> 00:41:34,360 Speaker 1: to figure out how to build a lead. The longer 835 00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:37,120 Speaker 1: we hold a lead, the more likely this other offense 836 00:41:37,239 --> 00:41:39,960 Speaker 1: is going to fall into that category of being very predictable. 837 00:41:40,520 --> 00:41:42,960 Speaker 1: Who's your team that you think everyone's overrating this year? 838 00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:48,040 Speaker 1: And who's your team you think everyone's underrating this year? Well, um, 839 00:41:48,080 --> 00:41:52,279 Speaker 1: that's a good question. I think overrating. I actually liked 840 00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:54,680 Speaker 1: the under on the Dallas Cowboys. I went under ten 841 00:41:54,719 --> 00:41:57,120 Speaker 1: and a half wins for the Dallas Cowboys. I think 842 00:41:57,120 --> 00:41:59,720 Speaker 1: that they're gonna fall back. I also have massive concerns 843 00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:03,160 Speaker 1: about the New England Patriots and their offense in general, 844 00:42:03,560 --> 00:42:06,640 Speaker 1: and so I took the Patriots to miss the playoffs 845 00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:09,279 Speaker 1: this year. UM as another wager because I think that 846 00:42:09,320 --> 00:42:12,359 Speaker 1: the Patriots are definitely going to UM struggle. So those 847 00:42:12,360 --> 00:42:16,400 Speaker 1: are two teams that more so the Dallas Cowboys. UM. 848 00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:18,239 Speaker 1: I like talking about teams I think are going to 849 00:42:18,320 --> 00:42:21,040 Speaker 1: fail to meet expectations more than they like soccer call 850 00:42:21,080 --> 00:42:23,239 Speaker 1: teams I think are going to overachieve just because there's 851 00:42:23,280 --> 00:42:26,040 Speaker 1: more value in the marketplace. There another team that I 852 00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:28,760 Speaker 1: was on early that those numbers aren't there any longer, 853 00:42:28,920 --> 00:42:30,560 Speaker 1: which is why I'm saving them for the end. But 854 00:42:30,600 --> 00:42:32,880 Speaker 1: this is the strongest team I was kind of fading. 855 00:42:33,120 --> 00:42:35,960 Speaker 1: That was the Arizona Cardinals. I mean the Arizona Cardinals 856 00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:39,120 Speaker 1: last year. This number is ludicrous, John, But on third 857 00:42:39,160 --> 00:42:41,560 Speaker 1: and seven plus yards to go, when this team was 858 00:42:41,680 --> 00:42:45,040 Speaker 1: passing the football, they converted first downs fifty two percent 859 00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:48,040 Speaker 1: of the time last season any team has ever done 860 00:42:48,080 --> 00:42:51,680 Speaker 1: in NFL history. That is not going to happen again 861 00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:53,799 Speaker 1: this season. The prior year they were down at like 862 00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:57,759 Speaker 1: twenty two percent. The NFL averages that like thirty percent, 863 00:42:57,880 --> 00:43:00,480 Speaker 1: somewhere in that range. They were at fifty percent, like 864 00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:03,680 Speaker 1: setting records. They're gonna struggle more on those situations. And 865 00:43:03,680 --> 00:43:06,239 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna struggle more on short yard of 866 00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:09,080 Speaker 1: situations because they were converting these things at a way 867 00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:12,360 Speaker 1: above average rate. They're dealing with the absence of DeAndre 868 00:43:12,440 --> 00:43:15,760 Speaker 1: Hopkins over those first six weeks when this team usually 869 00:43:15,840 --> 00:43:18,560 Speaker 1: is racking up wins because later on in the season, 870 00:43:18,600 --> 00:43:21,399 Speaker 1: that's when opposing teams generally figure out what they're doing 871 00:43:21,440 --> 00:43:24,680 Speaker 1: and catch up to them. You also have Kyler Murray, who, 872 00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:27,920 Speaker 1: though he doesn't miss many games due to injury, always 873 00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:30,799 Speaker 1: seems to get banged up and plays through injury. And 874 00:43:30,880 --> 00:43:34,160 Speaker 1: anytime he's dealing with like a lower uh leg injury, 875 00:43:34,200 --> 00:43:36,720 Speaker 1: whether it's like a hamstring or a calf or something 876 00:43:36,760 --> 00:43:39,480 Speaker 1: with this foot, like, he's just not the same. He 877 00:43:39,560 --> 00:43:42,839 Speaker 1: has to be because of his size, so much more 878 00:43:42,920 --> 00:43:45,440 Speaker 1: mobile than most other quarterbacks and the ability to move 879 00:43:45,480 --> 00:43:47,640 Speaker 1: around back there and then scramble. And when he is 880 00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:51,040 Speaker 1: limited in any way, that takes a big chunk of 881 00:43:51,080 --> 00:43:53,840 Speaker 1: efficiency out of this passing attack. And I also have 882 00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:56,480 Speaker 1: concerns about their defense. So this is a team I 883 00:43:56,600 --> 00:43:58,719 Speaker 1: was really down on the market for, very bullish on 884 00:43:58,760 --> 00:44:01,799 Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals this offseason because of the rest of 885 00:44:01,800 --> 00:44:04,840 Speaker 1: that NFC West. You look at like the Seattle Seahawks, 886 00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:06,920 Speaker 1: They're definitely gonna be taking a step back. Are the 887 00:44:07,000 --> 00:44:09,680 Speaker 1: Rams gonna be quite as good this year? Maybe not 888 00:44:09,800 --> 00:44:12,640 Speaker 1: quite as good this season? Um? And then you look 889 00:44:12,640 --> 00:44:15,280 Speaker 1: at the forty Niners making that transition away from Jimmy 890 00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:18,399 Speaker 1: g How efficient is Trey Lane is actually going to be? Um? 891 00:44:18,440 --> 00:44:22,120 Speaker 1: And so by By de facto. You know, the Arizona 892 00:44:22,160 --> 00:44:24,000 Speaker 1: Cardinals were getting moved up there, and I just think 893 00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:27,000 Speaker 1: the Cardinals, they're good team. I'm not expecting to win 894 00:44:27,120 --> 00:44:29,640 Speaker 1: only like five six games, but I just felt like 895 00:44:29,640 --> 00:44:32,399 Speaker 1: that they may not hit that double digit win total. Um. 896 00:44:32,440 --> 00:44:35,440 Speaker 1: In terms of one team that I think might exceed 897 00:44:35,560 --> 00:44:38,759 Speaker 1: expectations this year. Uh, it's the Minnesota Vikings that sort 898 00:44:38,800 --> 00:44:41,080 Speaker 1: of already alluded to the fact that they're getting rid 899 00:44:41,120 --> 00:44:45,280 Speaker 1: of Mike Zimmer is place is a much more offensive 900 00:44:45,320 --> 00:44:47,799 Speaker 1: minded head coach. He's going to be calling plays, who's 901 00:44:47,800 --> 00:44:51,000 Speaker 1: going to be directing this offense using a lot more 902 00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:53,160 Speaker 1: early down passing, which I think is definitely going to 903 00:44:53,239 --> 00:44:55,759 Speaker 1: benefit this team as well. Um, And I think, you know, 904 00:44:55,840 --> 00:45:00,560 Speaker 1: Mike Zimmer approached things defensively with the mindset of how 905 00:45:00,600 --> 00:45:02,520 Speaker 1: do I make my defense look good? That's the side 906 00:45:02,520 --> 00:45:04,200 Speaker 1: of the ball that I'm responsible for. How do I 907 00:45:04,200 --> 00:45:06,240 Speaker 1: make them look good? I want them well rested throughout 908 00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:08,600 Speaker 1: the game. Let's run the ball, let's control the clock, 909 00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:10,239 Speaker 1: you know, let's do a lot of these things that 910 00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:13,399 Speaker 1: keeps my defense rested on the sidelines. The reality, though, 911 00:45:13,560 --> 00:45:15,600 Speaker 1: is the way that the defense is gonna look their 912 00:45:15,640 --> 00:45:17,640 Speaker 1: best look no further than a team like the Dallas 913 00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:20,719 Speaker 1: Cowboys or historically the New England Patriots. It's when they're 914 00:45:20,719 --> 00:45:22,879 Speaker 1: playing with these leads in the second half and then 915 00:45:22,880 --> 00:45:24,799 Speaker 1: they can pin their ears back and do all types 916 00:45:24,840 --> 00:45:27,840 Speaker 1: of crazy things and get pressure and create turnovers and 917 00:45:27,920 --> 00:45:30,640 Speaker 1: return touchdowns, and so you're not gonna be able to 918 00:45:30,640 --> 00:45:32,840 Speaker 1: play in those situations when the game is close and 919 00:45:32,880 --> 00:45:34,520 Speaker 1: your opponent doesn't need to air it out in the 920 00:45:34,560 --> 00:45:38,000 Speaker 1: second half. Um. That's why getting a lead quickly in 921 00:45:38,040 --> 00:45:40,800 Speaker 1: the first half becomes so much more of the priority. 922 00:45:40,840 --> 00:45:43,040 Speaker 1: And I think Minnesota is gonna be on their way 923 00:45:43,040 --> 00:45:45,279 Speaker 1: to being able to do that, which is why even 924 00:45:45,280 --> 00:45:47,920 Speaker 1: though Mike Zimmer's gone, this defense might look better because 925 00:45:47,960 --> 00:45:51,440 Speaker 1: they're being put into more advantageous situations. All Right, two 926 00:45:51,480 --> 00:45:54,160 Speaker 1: more quickies. Warn a f C West is fascinating to me. 927 00:45:54,680 --> 00:45:56,719 Speaker 1: How do you see that thing? You know, is one 928 00:45:56,719 --> 00:45:59,520 Speaker 1: of those teams gonna you know, end up being bad? 929 00:46:00,000 --> 00:46:02,360 Speaker 1: Are they all gonna be between like seven and ten wins? 930 00:46:03,160 --> 00:46:05,080 Speaker 1: How do you see that a f C West playing out? 931 00:46:05,080 --> 00:46:06,840 Speaker 1: Because that is an arms race, and those teams I 932 00:46:06,840 --> 00:46:09,759 Speaker 1: think would probably win six of the eight divisions in 933 00:46:09,800 --> 00:46:12,200 Speaker 1: the league if they were spread out. Yeah, I I 934 00:46:12,560 --> 00:46:14,920 Speaker 1: don't know that any team is going to be really bad. 935 00:46:15,080 --> 00:46:19,239 Speaker 1: I think the Raiders definitely will struggle. I like what 936 00:46:19,280 --> 00:46:21,239 Speaker 1: I've seen in the preseason. I will say that its 937 00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:24,600 Speaker 1: succeeded my expectations a little bit. But um, I think 938 00:46:24,640 --> 00:46:26,839 Speaker 1: their offensive line isn't going to be quite good enough 939 00:46:27,040 --> 00:46:28,600 Speaker 1: to do what they need to do through the air. 940 00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:31,400 Speaker 1: They've got a star studied cast of receivers there, but 941 00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:34,200 Speaker 1: I have questions on defense. I have questions on um 942 00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:37,759 Speaker 1: the offensive line there. I think that ultimately that the 943 00:46:37,880 --> 00:46:41,520 Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs, although everybody's fading them and saying, oh, 944 00:46:41,560 --> 00:46:43,080 Speaker 1: this team is going to take a step back, it's 945 00:46:43,120 --> 00:46:46,280 Speaker 1: not their time. And I don't want to sell Patrick 946 00:46:46,280 --> 00:46:49,399 Speaker 1: Mahomes and Andy Reid at all, but I will say 947 00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:52,040 Speaker 1: that I think a team that is in the best 948 00:46:52,040 --> 00:46:54,920 Speaker 1: situation from a personnel perspective to make the a f 949 00:46:55,000 --> 00:46:57,399 Speaker 1: C Championship and come out of the f C West 950 00:46:57,840 --> 00:47:00,200 Speaker 1: is the l A Chargers. The only two things things 951 00:47:00,200 --> 00:47:03,680 Speaker 1: that are going to hold them back injuries and offensive 952 00:47:03,680 --> 00:47:06,600 Speaker 1: play calling. In my opinion, UM, I have concerns about 953 00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:08,480 Speaker 1: the way that they called plays for a quarterback like 954 00:47:08,560 --> 00:47:10,760 Speaker 1: Justin Herbert, who can throw the ball all over the field. 955 00:47:11,040 --> 00:47:14,200 Speaker 1: Let's use that talent. Let's not use this short aid dot, 956 00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:17,839 Speaker 1: which is what Joe Lombardi was doing last season with him. Um, 957 00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:20,920 Speaker 1: and if they aired out, justin Herbert Cook, so to speak, 958 00:47:21,160 --> 00:47:23,319 Speaker 1: I think that this offense is going to do enough, 959 00:47:23,360 --> 00:47:25,879 Speaker 1: and this roster is talented enough, but there are still 960 00:47:25,960 --> 00:47:29,560 Speaker 1: question marks with them, um, you know, defensively, special teams, wise, 961 00:47:29,800 --> 00:47:32,879 Speaker 1: et cetera. So I I think that they're gonna come 962 00:47:32,920 --> 00:47:35,160 Speaker 1: out of this thing. Um. But I'm not writing off 963 00:47:35,200 --> 00:47:36,880 Speaker 1: the Kansas City Chiefs and of course the team that 964 00:47:36,920 --> 00:47:40,480 Speaker 1: I didn't even talk about, the Denver Broncos. Um. I 965 00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:43,560 Speaker 1: am really big on Courtland Sutton this year. So from 966 00:47:43,560 --> 00:47:46,520 Speaker 1: like a fantasy perspective or a props perspective, I'm absolutely 967 00:47:46,560 --> 00:47:49,560 Speaker 1: in love with Courtland Sutton this season. But um, I 968 00:47:49,600 --> 00:47:52,200 Speaker 1: think Russ is absolutely gonna make a massive difference. If 969 00:47:52,239 --> 00:47:54,279 Speaker 1: you look at I tweeted auto graphic the other day 970 00:47:54,640 --> 00:47:58,080 Speaker 1: of quarterback efficiency on deep balls. It was similar to 971 00:47:58,120 --> 00:48:00,440 Speaker 1: the one I was tweeting out about Daniel Jones. But great, 972 00:48:00,520 --> 00:48:02,400 Speaker 1: he was throwing the football down the field when he 973 00:48:02,400 --> 00:48:05,439 Speaker 1: actually was allowed to do so. And you know, we 974 00:48:05,440 --> 00:48:08,040 Speaker 1: were talking about two of the worst quarterbacks in league, 975 00:48:08,040 --> 00:48:11,000 Speaker 1: specifically Drew Lock throwing the ball down the field, and 976 00:48:11,080 --> 00:48:13,479 Speaker 1: now they got Russell Wilson, who was one of the best. 977 00:48:13,480 --> 00:48:15,839 Speaker 1: I mean, you're going massive night and day, and now 978 00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:18,719 Speaker 1: he's playing at elevation there in Denver. I can't wait 979 00:48:18,760 --> 00:48:20,520 Speaker 1: to see what that offense is able to cook up. 980 00:48:20,560 --> 00:48:22,279 Speaker 1: But I think their defense takes a little bit of 981 00:48:22,280 --> 00:48:25,120 Speaker 1: a step back. Yeah, obviously not having not having Vic Fangio, 982 00:48:25,120 --> 00:48:27,000 Speaker 1: one of the best defensive minds in the legal heart. 983 00:48:27,120 --> 00:48:28,400 Speaker 1: I give me a Super Bowl predition. This is there 984 00:48:28,400 --> 00:48:30,719 Speaker 1: in about a week before the season starts, Warren have 985 00:48:30,840 --> 00:48:32,800 Speaker 1: some funny here. I'm not holding you to it. Who's 986 00:48:32,800 --> 00:48:35,480 Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl? Who wins it. I've taken a 987 00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:39,319 Speaker 1: few of these long shots, super long shot matchups, and 988 00:48:39,480 --> 00:48:42,840 Speaker 1: I think in the a f C, I'm putting most 989 00:48:42,880 --> 00:48:45,840 Speaker 1: of my chips on the l A Chargers, but I 990 00:48:45,880 --> 00:48:49,440 Speaker 1: do have some outside shots on the Baltimore Ravens. And 991 00:48:49,440 --> 00:48:52,360 Speaker 1: then in the NFC, this is where I'm willing to 992 00:48:52,400 --> 00:48:54,640 Speaker 1: take more long shots because I think the Bucks take 993 00:48:54,640 --> 00:48:57,520 Speaker 1: a slight step back. I don't want to be backing 994 00:48:57,600 --> 00:48:59,759 Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers. Although I'm not fading them. I 995 00:48:59,840 --> 00:49:02,400 Speaker 1: just don't want to be on them. So in the NFC, 996 00:49:02,520 --> 00:49:04,560 Speaker 1: that's where I'm willing to take a few more risks. 997 00:49:04,680 --> 00:49:07,280 Speaker 1: I was looking at the Minnesota Vikings as a team, 998 00:49:07,480 --> 00:49:10,840 Speaker 1: potentially the San Francisco forty Niners as a team um 999 00:49:10,920 --> 00:49:14,520 Speaker 1: that could exceed some expectations on some really long shot things. 1000 00:49:14,600 --> 00:49:17,400 Speaker 1: But if I have to pick one champ, I'm sticking 1001 00:49:17,400 --> 00:49:18,840 Speaker 1: with the l A Chargers. I think it is going 1002 00:49:18,880 --> 00:49:20,800 Speaker 1: to come from a team from the a f C 1003 00:49:21,000 --> 00:49:23,320 Speaker 1: this season, and I think the Chargers are going to 1004 00:49:23,400 --> 00:49:25,920 Speaker 1: emerge victorious. All right, warrant tell the folks with it 1005 00:49:25,960 --> 00:49:29,360 Speaker 1: can find your book. Head over to Sharp Football analysis 1006 00:49:29,400 --> 00:49:33,520 Speaker 1: dot com. You know, don't be don't be too intimidated 1007 00:49:33,560 --> 00:49:37,280 Speaker 1: by five sixty four pages chapters on every single team 1008 00:49:37,280 --> 00:49:39,839 Speaker 1: inside that book, and it's really gonna teach you a lot, 1009 00:49:39,920 --> 00:49:42,400 Speaker 1: not only about the Giants and what to expect this season, 1010 00:49:42,680 --> 00:49:45,240 Speaker 1: but also what to expect about all the other thirty 1011 00:49:45,239 --> 00:49:48,680 Speaker 1: one teams in terms of predictions for this year, understanding 1012 00:49:48,680 --> 00:49:51,680 Speaker 1: why the teams didn't meet their goals from last season, 1013 00:49:52,040 --> 00:49:53,719 Speaker 1: and what I think they're going to do this year. 1014 00:49:54,160 --> 00:49:56,440 Speaker 1: A lot of colorful charge guys like you can see it, 1015 00:49:56,440 --> 00:50:00,359 Speaker 1: it's color coded numbers, a lot of tech. I mean, 1016 00:50:00,360 --> 00:50:02,920 Speaker 1: there's a lot of easy ways to digest this information. 1017 00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:05,440 Speaker 1: Warren does a fantastic job and it's always kind enough 1018 00:50:05,440 --> 00:50:07,160 Speaker 1: to join us every year. Warren, thank you so much. 1019 00:50:07,400 --> 00:50:09,680 Speaker 1: Enjoyed the season. We'll talk to you down the road. 1020 00:50:09,920 --> 00:50:12,440 Speaker 1: Best of luck. Thanks for having me, John, Good luck 1021 00:50:12,480 --> 00:50:14,040 Speaker 1: to the Giants this year. M