1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:03,400 Speaker 1: Cable news is ripping us apart, dividing the nation, making 2 00:00:03,480 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: it impossible to function as a society and to know 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: what is true and what is false. The good news 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 1: is that they're failing and they know it. That is 5 00:00:10,840 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: why we're building something new. Be part of creating a new, better, healthier, 6 00:00:14,880 --> 00:00:17,960 Speaker 1: and more trustworthy mainstream by becoming a Breaking Points Premium 7 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: member today at breakingpoints dot com. Your hard earned money 8 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 1: is going to help us build for the midterms and 9 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 1: the upcoming presidential election so we can provide unparalleled coverage 10 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:28,640 Speaker 1: of what is sure to be one of the most 11 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 1: pivotal moments in American history. So what are you waiting for? 12 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 1: Go to Breakingpoints dot com to help us out. Good morning, everybody, 13 00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:55,960 Speaker 1: Happy Tuesday. We have an amazing show for everybody today. 14 00:00:55,960 --> 00:00:58,880 Speaker 1: What do we have Christal, indeed we do, folks. We 15 00:00:58,920 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 1: are getting close to the midterm elections, and so we 16 00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 1: decided we are going to dive all the way into 17 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:08,119 Speaker 1: the polling the candidate, the Democrats, the Republicans, the House, 18 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 1: the Senate. There's also new pollings in the New York 19 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 1: Times that we teased about a million times yesterday during 20 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:14,040 Speaker 1: the show that we were going to dig into as well, 21 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:16,959 Speaker 1: So the whole show is going to be election focused. 22 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:20,039 Speaker 1: Safe for our monologue, Soccer is looking at energy crisis, 23 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:23,080 Speaker 1: looking at the crisis in Sri Lanka that is spreading 24 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:25,560 Speaker 1: to a lot of other countries in the developing world. 25 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:28,520 Speaker 1: But to start with a couple of announcement. Two announcements 26 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:31,160 Speaker 1: housekeeping number one Live show. 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Yes, indeed, all right, 57 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:46,480 Speaker 1: So we wanted to start with that New York Times pulling, 58 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:51,079 Speaker 1: which is deeply, deeply revealing both about Biden, the Democratic Party, Trump, 59 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:53,679 Speaker 1: the Republican Party. All kinds of things to get into here, 60 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:57,560 Speaker 1: So let's start with the big picture, how the country 61 00:02:57,680 --> 00:03:00,760 Speaker 1: is feeling about the president and how Democrats are feeling 62 00:03:00,840 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 1: about President Biden. Right now, let's go ahead and put 63 00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:05,639 Speaker 1: this first part up on the screen. So this is 64 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:09,800 Speaker 1: the New York Times headline. They say most Democrats don't 65 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 1: want Biden in twenty twenty four. New Bowl shows with 66 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:15,840 Speaker 1: the country group by a pervasive sense of pessimism, the 67 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 1: president is hemorrhaging support. So here are the specifics on 68 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:23,799 Speaker 1: those numbers, and this is quite stunning for an incumbent 69 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:29,480 Speaker 1: president his own party. Sixty four percent of Democratic voters 70 00:03:29,560 --> 00:03:32,760 Speaker 1: say they would prefer a new standard bearer in the 71 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 1: twenty twenty four presidential campaign, and his approval rating among 72 00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 1: all voters is just as abysmal as it could possibly be, 73 00:03:42,240 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 1: only a thirty three percent job approval rating. When you 74 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:50,080 Speaker 1: dig into these numbers, you will not be surprised to 75 00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 1: learn that voters say the economy is extremely important to them. 76 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:56,880 Speaker 1: In fact, seventy five percent of voters say the economy 77 00:03:56,960 --> 00:04:01,480 Speaker 1: is extremely important to them, and yet only one percent 78 00:04:01,880 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 1: of all voters rate economic conditions as excellent. Among those 79 00:04:07,200 --> 00:04:10,320 Speaker 1: who are working age, only six percent said the economy 80 00:04:10,400 --> 00:04:14,360 Speaker 1: was either good or excellent. So voters are saying overwhelmingly 81 00:04:14,480 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 1: the economy is their number one issue, that it's extremely 82 00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 1: important to them, and that they think it is absolutely abysmal. 83 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:23,839 Speaker 1: One other piece on We're going to dig in a 84 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:26,320 Speaker 1: moment into the sort of age breakdown here, because the 85 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:31,359 Speaker 1: abandonment among young voters is particularly striking given that this 86 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:34,040 Speaker 1: was the demographic that was supposed to set Democrats up 87 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:38,640 Speaker 1: for permanent dominance within politics, and they are fleeing Joe Biden. 88 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:40,839 Speaker 1: Now that doesn't mean they're going to the Republicans, but 89 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:44,719 Speaker 1: they are deeply, deeply dissatisfied with this president and with 90 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:47,240 Speaker 1: the direction of the country. But another thing that I 91 00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:51,600 Speaker 1: thought was really notable within the numbers of the number 92 00:04:51,640 --> 00:04:55,120 Speaker 1: of Democratic voters saying they want a different candidate. Of course, 93 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:58,800 Speaker 1: Joe Biden. The reason he got the Democratic nomination overwhelmingly 94 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:02,239 Speaker 1: was because of his support among Black voters. You now 95 00:05:02,320 --> 00:05:06,440 Speaker 1: have more Black voters than not saying they want a 96 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:10,839 Speaker 1: different nominee. So forty seven percent of Black Democratic voters 97 00:05:11,040 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 1: say they would like to see someone other than Joe Biden, 98 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 1: as compared to forty four percent who say they want Biden. 99 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 1: Right now, let me just give you one quote from 100 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 1: one of those voters and how they're thinking about this. 101 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 1: Forty four year old Clifton Heard, a maintenance specialist in Alabama, 102 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:31,560 Speaker 1: says quote, anybody could be doing a better job than 103 00:05:31,560 --> 00:05:33,920 Speaker 1: what they're doing right now. He's an independent. He said 104 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:36,920 Speaker 1: he voted for Biden in twenty twenty, but his disillusion 105 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 1: over the state of the economy in the spiraling price 106 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:42,600 Speaker 1: of gas is now reconsidering Trump. He says, I understand 107 00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:45,880 Speaker 1: they've got a tough job of mister Biden's administration, but 108 00:05:45,960 --> 00:05:48,480 Speaker 1: he was not prepared to do the job. I also 109 00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 1: really loved this quote from a thirty eight year old. 110 00:05:50,800 --> 00:05:54,200 Speaker 1: She's a former factory worker in Greensburg, Indiana. She says 111 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 1: she's been currently sidelined by a back injury. She says, quote, 112 00:05:57,680 --> 00:05:59,479 Speaker 1: we used to spend two hundred dollars a week just 113 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:01,480 Speaker 1: going out to have fun, or going and buying extra 114 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 1: groceries if we needed it. Now we can't do that. 115 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:05,320 Speaker 1: We are barely able to buy what we need. And 116 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 1: I especially love this part. I feel like he hasn't 117 00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:10,040 Speaker 1: really spoken much about it. He hasn't done what I 118 00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:12,600 Speaker 1: think he's capable of doing as president to help the 119 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:15,520 Speaker 1: American people. As a Democrat, I figured he would really 120 00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:17,120 Speaker 1: be on our side and put us back on the 121 00:06:17,200 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 1: right track, and I just feel like he is not. 122 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 1: I mean, this speaks to something that we try and 123 00:06:22,200 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: highlight every single day. People are willing to give you 124 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:26,719 Speaker 1: the benefit of the doubt if they feel like you're 125 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 1: trying to do something about it, not even if you 126 00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:30,040 Speaker 1: are doing something about it, if you're trying to do 127 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:32,800 Speaker 1: something about it, and he is just simply not able 128 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:34,960 Speaker 1: to live up to that. So the decline of support 129 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:36,680 Speaker 1: in young people, which we're going to do an entire 130 00:06:36,720 --> 00:06:39,600 Speaker 1: thing on the decline of support amongst black voters. But 131 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:42,400 Speaker 1: also I think talking about age is important as well. 132 00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:45,360 Speaker 1: The number one reason that people say that they don't 133 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:48,480 Speaker 1: want him to run again if he's as Democrats is age. 134 00:06:48,520 --> 00:06:51,279 Speaker 1: And the crosstabs of that, as he pointed out Crystal, 135 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:54,640 Speaker 1: are really interesting. It's older Democrats who are like, yeah, 136 00:06:54,640 --> 00:06:56,560 Speaker 1: I think this guy is just too old. Yeah, And 137 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:58,880 Speaker 1: what they point to is or what you said yesterday. 138 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:01,480 Speaker 1: It's like young people will warmingly back to Bernie who 139 00:07:01,520 --> 00:07:04,320 Speaker 1: was older than Joe Biden. They don't care as much 140 00:07:04,560 --> 00:07:06,720 Speaker 1: about age. Yes, they want younger blood, and it kind 141 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:09,960 Speaker 1: of turns them off. But the sole determination of age 142 00:07:10,080 --> 00:07:13,000 Speaker 1: is actually amongst people. This kind of makes sense who 143 00:07:13,160 --> 00:07:16,240 Speaker 1: know better or who at least know people or deeply 144 00:07:16,280 --> 00:07:19,840 Speaker 1: familiar with what aging looks like. And I did my 145 00:07:19,880 --> 00:07:22,200 Speaker 1: own monologue on this yesterday. I played an interview with 146 00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:24,800 Speaker 1: Biden just ten years ago. You can't tell me that's 147 00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 1: the same guy, just not. I mean, command to the facts, 148 00:07:27,320 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 1: stature even looks better different, you know, more full in 149 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 1: the face, coagent, ability to engage, doesn't shuffle whenever he walks, 150 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:40,200 Speaker 1: doesn't stumble over his words. His gaffes were always they 151 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 1: were more like top of the mind saying which shouldn't 152 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:46,880 Speaker 1: be said, as opposed to I don't know, misreading mettella 153 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:52,600 Speaker 1: prompter or just being genuinely unintelligible when speaking. Yeah, that's 154 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 1: that's right. And I mean, the way I feel about 155 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 1: it personally is that it's not his age per se, 156 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:02,800 Speaker 1: it's his ideology. It's his inability to meet the moment 157 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:05,480 Speaker 1: and do the job. And that's kind of the numbers 158 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 1: that you get from young voters who say their number 159 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:10,520 Speaker 1: one issue with him is just his job performance. If 160 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 1: he was you know, ninety, but he was doing the 161 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 1: job well I wouldn't care. You know, you could be 162 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:16,480 Speaker 1: however old you want, if you're able to do the job. 163 00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:18,720 Speaker 1: The problem is that he seems unable to do the job. 164 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:20,840 Speaker 1: So that's the number one issue for young voters. Number 165 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:24,679 Speaker 1: two is not progressive enough. That's very different landscape from 166 00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 1: as you point out, the oldest voters. And I actually 167 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:30,400 Speaker 1: hear this and see this commented online and hear it 168 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:34,800 Speaker 1: even from my own parents. Of I can't imagine at 169 00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:37,320 Speaker 1: this age being able to do the job of the 170 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 1: presidency like I feel my own I feel what it 171 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:43,200 Speaker 1: is to start to slow down, and so to think 172 00:08:43,240 --> 00:08:46,280 Speaker 1: of him, who is not, you know, certainly at the 173 00:08:46,280 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 1: top of his game trying to handle this office is 174 00:08:50,200 --> 00:08:52,920 Speaker 1: hard to watch and hard to imagine how this is 175 00:08:52,960 --> 00:08:56,000 Speaker 1: working out. You know, I think it is really really 176 00:08:56,280 --> 00:08:59,600 Speaker 1: stunning and cannot be said enough how much of a 177 00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:02,080 Speaker 1: rebuke this is a Biden that his own party, a 178 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:06,440 Speaker 1: solid almost two thirds majority, says they want someone else. 179 00:09:06,840 --> 00:09:10,440 Speaker 1: And yet there was an article yesterday's CNN reporter who 180 00:09:10,520 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 1: reached out to all the sort of you know, elected 181 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:15,880 Speaker 1: Democrats who are being floated. Gavin Newsom is getting a 182 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:17,960 Speaker 1: lot of attention running ads in Florida and all of this, 183 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:19,840 Speaker 1: and people are thinking, oh, maybe he's setting himself up 184 00:09:19,880 --> 00:09:25,880 Speaker 1: for twenty twenty four. JB. Pritzker, Rocanna. They reached out 185 00:09:25,920 --> 00:09:27,839 Speaker 1: to all of these folks who have been floated as 186 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:30,080 Speaker 1: like maybe they're going to be the one to primary Biden, 187 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:32,959 Speaker 1: and every one of them was like, Nope, sitting by, 188 00:09:33,200 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 1: standing by, not going to do it. If Biden is 189 00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:37,640 Speaker 1: in the race, and he's in my view, he's one 190 00:09:37,720 --> 00:09:40,920 Speaker 1: hundred percent running if he's you know, able to that's 191 00:09:40,960 --> 00:09:43,319 Speaker 1: the only caveat is like if he literally doesn't make 192 00:09:43,320 --> 00:09:47,440 Speaker 1: it there. But we're talking about, you know, months before 193 00:09:47,840 --> 00:09:51,360 Speaker 1: the presidential race really kicks off. We're talking about I 194 00:09:51,360 --> 00:09:54,280 Speaker 1: think he'll probably announce post holidays, so we're talking about 195 00:09:54,320 --> 00:09:57,920 Speaker 1: early in next year, that's right, So it's very very 196 00:09:57,960 --> 00:10:00,839 Speaker 1: soon that it's coming. And you know, I don't think 197 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:04,640 Speaker 1: that he will have a lot in terms of numerical 198 00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:06,640 Speaker 1: challengers in the primary. I do think he will face 199 00:10:06,679 --> 00:10:09,559 Speaker 1: a challenger from the left. Cirtly. Maryan Williamson has been 200 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:11,480 Speaker 1: thinking about it and floating, and there may be others 201 00:10:11,480 --> 00:10:13,600 Speaker 1: out there as well who were thinking about it. Because 202 00:10:15,400 --> 00:10:20,400 Speaker 1: just as a historical matter, this is an incredibly weak 203 00:10:20,640 --> 00:10:24,920 Speaker 1: president within his own party. People want another option. The 204 00:10:24,920 --> 00:10:28,280 Speaker 1: thing I keep saying and keep thinking is Joe Biden 205 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:31,719 Speaker 1: was the consensus choice because people were persuaded this was 206 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:34,559 Speaker 1: the guy who could win, and he just doesn't have 207 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:36,559 Speaker 1: the numbers to back that up anymore. I mean, when 208 00:10:36,600 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 1: you look at gunput actually the next graphic up on 209 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:42,760 Speaker 1: the screen that has his approval rating or has the 210 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:46,520 Speaker 1: right track wrong track. I mean, you have massive numbers, 211 00:10:46,600 --> 00:10:49,920 Speaker 1: almost eighty percent of voter saying that we're headed in 212 00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:53,480 Speaker 1: the wrong direction. His overall approval rating in this poll 213 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:57,320 Speaker 1: is only thirty three percent, So it's hard to look 214 00:10:57,360 --> 00:10:59,400 Speaker 1: at those numbers and be like, oh, yeah, this is 215 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 1: the guy who's electable. This is the winner that you 216 00:11:01,559 --> 00:11:03,240 Speaker 1: really want to put on the field. So it very 217 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:06,760 Speaker 1: much undercuts the core argument that he made to the 218 00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:08,959 Speaker 1: Democratic primary base that got him in the slot to 219 00:11:09,000 --> 00:11:11,240 Speaker 1: begin with. I completely agree. I just think it's fascinating 220 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:14,040 Speaker 1: too that none of the Democrats are even opening the 221 00:11:14,080 --> 00:11:16,400 Speaker 1: door to it. I mean, at this time in the 222 00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:21,000 Speaker 1: nineteen seventies, so let's say we're roughly nineteen seventy eight, well, 223 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:23,280 Speaker 1: Ted Kennedy had very much top of mind. He's like, 224 00:11:23,320 --> 00:11:24,680 Speaker 1: I think I'm going to challenge this guy. He's like, 225 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:26,960 Speaker 1: this guy's not doing well. And the lackluster results of 226 00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:29,800 Speaker 1: the nineteen seventy eight midterm elections are really what gave 227 00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:32,280 Speaker 1: Kennedy the confidence to say, on top of the Iran 228 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:34,280 Speaker 1: contract crisis that this guy can't do the job. We 229 00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:36,080 Speaker 1: have to challenge him, we have to try and have 230 00:11:36,160 --> 00:11:38,880 Speaker 1: a new generation. Now. Look, Carter did beat him ultimately 231 00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:41,400 Speaker 1: in that primary, but it did certainly wound him going 232 00:11:41,440 --> 00:11:43,960 Speaker 1: into the general. But the theory of the case Kennedy 233 00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:45,680 Speaker 1: was a bad candidate for a variety of reasons, but 234 00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:48,360 Speaker 1: still the thinking at the time was like, there's just 235 00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 1: no way this guy can stand up to Ronald Reagan. 236 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:54,360 Speaker 1: They were right, they were right. That's actually such a 237 00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:57,440 Speaker 1: great point because oftentimes the lesson that Democrats learn and 238 00:11:57,480 --> 00:12:01,319 Speaker 1: you see this even in the response. I can't remember 239 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:03,840 Speaker 1: which one name checked this specifically, but this is the 240 00:12:03,880 --> 00:12:06,080 Speaker 1: ethos coming from these Democrats who were saying, no, if 241 00:12:06,160 --> 00:12:08,640 Speaker 1: Joe's running, like, we're out. I mean, Bernie Sanders obviously 242 00:12:08,679 --> 00:12:11,880 Speaker 1: already took himself out of contention too. If if Joe 243 00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:13,960 Speaker 1: was running, which I think we all should assume that 244 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:16,520 Speaker 1: he ultimately is the lesson they normally take is it 245 00:12:16,559 --> 00:12:19,360 Speaker 1: was a mistake for Kennedy to primary Carter because that 246 00:12:19,440 --> 00:12:21,520 Speaker 1: hurt Carter and that's what leads to him losing to 247 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:24,319 Speaker 1: Ronald Reagan. No, that is not what led to the 248 00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:28,320 Speaker 1: massive landslide defeat of Jimmy Carter. In fact, the lesson 249 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:31,000 Speaker 1: should have been, when you had that week president, you 250 00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:32,800 Speaker 1: actually should have switched towards us. Now, I don't know 251 00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:34,800 Speaker 1: that Ted Kennedy was the right dude for it, but 252 00:12:34,920 --> 00:12:37,959 Speaker 1: they actually did need to change who they were backing 253 00:12:38,000 --> 00:12:40,319 Speaker 1: to have a prayer of being able to stop that, 254 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:43,280 Speaker 1: you know, Reagan revolution coming into power, which has reset 255 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:46,960 Speaker 1: our politics now for for an entire generation, for my 256 00:12:47,160 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 1: entire life. So it's kind of the opposite lesson of 257 00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:52,640 Speaker 1: what they should have learned. They should look at that 258 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:55,600 Speaker 1: and go, you know, what Kennedy was on to something. 259 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 1: Carter was extremely weak and we were going to get 260 00:12:58,240 --> 00:13:00,560 Speaker 1: our butts handed to us, and we should have gone 261 00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:03,720 Speaker 1: behind another nominee. But that is not the lesson they learn. 262 00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:06,360 Speaker 1: And listen, I mean, they use the threat of Trump 263 00:13:06,640 --> 00:13:09,240 Speaker 1: right even though and we're going to get to this 264 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:11,959 Speaker 1: in a little bit, even as these numbers are super 265 00:13:12,040 --> 00:13:14,920 Speaker 1: dire for Joe Biden. In the head to head matchup 266 00:13:14,920 --> 00:13:18,160 Speaker 1: with Trump, he still edges him out, still beats him. 267 00:13:18,280 --> 00:13:22,120 Speaker 1: And you know, his numbers are better than the next 268 00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:25,240 Speaker 1: most likely person with just Kamala Harris. So they're really 269 00:13:25,520 --> 00:13:28,040 Speaker 1: they're really kind of stuck. And I keep thinking about 270 00:13:28,440 --> 00:13:33,320 Speaker 1: remember when in France Emanuel Macron wins pretty easily over 271 00:13:33,360 --> 00:13:35,440 Speaker 1: Marine La penn in spite of the fact that I 272 00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:37,600 Speaker 1: think his approval rating was in like the low to 273 00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:41,720 Speaker 1: mid thirties as well, very similar dynamic to Joe Biden 274 00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:46,000 Speaker 1: and Ron Klain, Biden's chief of staff, tweets out interesting 275 00:13:46,280 --> 00:13:48,880 Speaker 1: that Macron is able to easily win with this very 276 00:13:48,920 --> 00:13:52,360 Speaker 1: low approval rating. That's clearly the path that they think 277 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:55,160 Speaker 1: they're going to be able to walk, which is, listen, 278 00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:58,480 Speaker 1: you may be totally miserable under I mean, you may 279 00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:02,480 Speaker 1: despise what, you may be completely disappointed and disillusion but 280 00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:04,960 Speaker 1: you're still gonna like us better than that other guy. 281 00:14:04,960 --> 00:14:07,600 Speaker 1: And that's what they're ultimately betting on. That's their only prayer. Yeah, 282 00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:09,960 Speaker 1: it is, And like you said, they have data to 283 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:12,199 Speaker 1: point to. Yeah, Macron did win. You know, the poll 284 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:13,960 Speaker 1: does show him and I just you know, look, it 285 00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:16,360 Speaker 1: just shows what a messed up country we're in. There's 286 00:14:16,360 --> 00:14:18,120 Speaker 1: actually a poll literally just came out this morning that 287 00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:20,560 Speaker 1: relates to what you're saying. Should Trump run for president again? 288 00:14:20,600 --> 00:14:23,480 Speaker 1: This is Political Morning Console twenty twenty four Yes thirty 289 00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:26,040 Speaker 1: five percent, no sixty one percent. Should Biden run for 290 00:14:26,040 --> 00:14:29,360 Speaker 1: president again? No? Yes, twenty nine percent, no sixty four 291 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:31,040 Speaker 1: I mean, that's basically in the margin of area. You 292 00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 1: have two Thursday American people on both sides saying I 293 00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:35,600 Speaker 1: don't want either and no want these people almost certainly 294 00:14:36,000 --> 00:14:38,640 Speaker 1: to be the outcome. Crazy stuff could happen. I think 295 00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 1: if you're a Democrat, what you should plan on is 296 00:14:40,680 --> 00:14:43,640 Speaker 1: very likely contingency that Donald Trump may also be too 297 00:14:43,680 --> 00:14:45,400 Speaker 1: old to be able to run. He also could have 298 00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:48,080 Speaker 1: a health concern is not exactly the best health. You know, 299 00:14:48,400 --> 00:14:51,040 Speaker 1: he may not be able to run in twenty twenty four. 300 00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:52,880 Speaker 1: And if that's the case, I mean, Biden is dead. 301 00:14:52,920 --> 00:14:55,560 Speaker 1: There's no way he stands up against Ron Desanta or 302 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:59,840 Speaker 1: any any generic rep. I mean, I I yeah, today, 303 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,200 Speaker 1: I agree with you. It is a long time between 304 00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:04,280 Speaker 1: then and now, so I don't want to say, like 305 00:15:04,720 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 1: I think it's too early to make that assumption, but 306 00:15:08,160 --> 00:15:11,400 Speaker 1: I do think that Trump is the most beatable of 307 00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 1: the Republicans when it comes to Joe Biden. Let's get 308 00:15:14,920 --> 00:15:18,160 Speaker 1: into young voters and the Democratic Party, and I think 309 00:15:18,160 --> 00:15:21,400 Speaker 1: the context here is really important, which is that just 310 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:24,920 Speaker 1: a few years ago, Democrats were saying young voters are 311 00:15:24,960 --> 00:15:28,360 Speaker 1: this rising coalition. It's the most diverse generation. Millennials the 312 00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 1: most diverse generation in history. They're coming into their own 313 00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:33,760 Speaker 1: I mean, the oldest millennials are my age. They're forty 314 00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:37,040 Speaker 1: years old. So you have this large voting blood growing 315 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:40,920 Speaker 1: in power that is overwhelmingly progressive. Gen z is by 316 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:44,520 Speaker 1: most accounts, seems to be even more progressive than millennials. 317 00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 1: This is our ticket. We're going to have permanent political dominance. 318 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:49,880 Speaker 1: I think what it was like Carvel and somebody who 319 00:15:49,880 --> 00:15:52,120 Speaker 1: wrote the book that was like forty more years and 320 00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:55,560 Speaker 1: how Democrats are going to be in power forever. Well, 321 00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:59,520 Speaker 1: that isn't working out. We've covered extensively here and it's 322 00:15:59,560 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 1: reflected this poll too, how Latino voters are switching over 323 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:06,280 Speaker 1: increasingly to the Republicans. So the idea that you could 324 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:07,920 Speaker 1: just bank on them and you don't have to do 325 00:16:07,960 --> 00:16:11,320 Speaker 1: anything to actually you know, deliver for their material needs. 326 00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 1: That's flown out the window. But they also are facing 327 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:20,400 Speaker 1: a massive revolt among young voters, voters under the age 328 00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:23,560 Speaker 1: of thirty in particular. So let's go ahead and put 329 00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:26,840 Speaker 1: this first part up on the screen. So as bad 330 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 1: as Biden's overall approval rating stands at thirty three percent, 331 00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:34,880 Speaker 1: among the youngest demographic, those under thirty, he is at 332 00:16:35,520 --> 00:16:41,560 Speaker 1: nineteen percent approval rating, sixty nine percent of voters under 333 00:16:41,560 --> 00:16:47,840 Speaker 1: thirty disapprove. That is fifty points underwater. This individual describes 334 00:16:47,880 --> 00:16:51,400 Speaker 1: these numbers as apocalyptic. I saw a lot of cope 335 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:53,200 Speaker 1: in the comments that were like, ah, these people don't 336 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 1: vote anyway. Oh yeah, which, yeah, okay, all right. First 337 00:16:57,400 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 1: of all, youth turnout has searched in a number of legs, 338 00:17:00,000 --> 00:17:04,040 Speaker 1: which number one, number two. Again, this was the demographic 339 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:07,120 Speaker 1: that you all were counting on, that you all relionizing, 340 00:17:07,200 --> 00:17:09,560 Speaker 1: that you all were saying was the future of politics. 341 00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:12,119 Speaker 1: And now that they're like we're not happy with the 342 00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:14,320 Speaker 1: direction that you're going in, you're suddenly you're like, who 343 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:17,240 Speaker 1: cares about you anyway? You don't vote, go away, you suck. 344 00:17:17,640 --> 00:17:21,359 Speaker 1: So it is pretty pretty extraordinary. And by the way, 345 00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:24,920 Speaker 1: so overall, let's put this next piece up on the screen. 346 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:28,000 Speaker 1: So overall, you have sixty four percent of Democrats who 347 00:17:28,040 --> 00:17:31,520 Speaker 1: say we want someone other than Biden. Voters under thirty, 348 00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:38,200 Speaker 1: ninety four percent say they would prefer a different presidential nominee. 349 00:17:39,040 --> 00:17:43,040 Speaker 1: Ninety four percent of Democratic voters under the age of 350 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:46,520 Speaker 1: thirty say they want a different presidential nominee. I mean, 351 00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:51,359 Speaker 1: can you think of a more stunning Rebuke Zager? It 352 00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:56,040 Speaker 1: is just incredible, these numbers. And this just as a 353 00:17:56,080 --> 00:18:00,760 Speaker 1: reminder in the presidential election, in terms of aged demographics, 354 00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:04,040 Speaker 1: this was the group that went the most strongly for Biden, 355 00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:06,600 Speaker 1: had the highest numbers for Biden. At the beginning of 356 00:18:06,640 --> 00:18:09,960 Speaker 1: this presidency, he had his highest approval ratings among this 357 00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:16,040 Speaker 1: group was in the sixties. Now nineteen percent approval. That's horrific. 358 00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:18,000 Speaker 1: I mean, your next tweet, you actually did a great job. 359 00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:19,600 Speaker 1: Let's go and put this up there on the screen, 360 00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:23,000 Speaker 1: which is that zero percent of voters under thirty say 361 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:26,600 Speaker 1: the economy is excellent, one percent say it's good. Guess, 362 00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:30,040 Speaker 1: which might be why Biden's approval rating is just nineteen percent. 363 00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:32,679 Speaker 1: I often feel like we're taking crazy pills whenever we 364 00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:34,879 Speaker 1: do our show just because we see the world so 365 00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:37,400 Speaker 1: differently than the rest of the people here in Washington. 366 00:18:37,680 --> 00:18:40,360 Speaker 1: And I think it's because these are overwhelmingly our audience, 367 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:43,160 Speaker 1: Like we understand like what people are going through. I mean, personally, 368 00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:45,240 Speaker 1: I think the reason why the show even works is 369 00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:47,439 Speaker 1: because we speak to the types of problems and to 370 00:18:48,080 --> 00:18:50,600 Speaker 1: eat those in a mindset and a worldview which is 371 00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:53,879 Speaker 1: completely underrepresented and its exactly shows up here. People were 372 00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:55,320 Speaker 1: willing to give Biden a chance. I think both of 373 00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:57,120 Speaker 1: us were whenever he came in office. I personally thought 374 00:18:57,119 --> 00:18:59,080 Speaker 1: it'd be much easier for him in order to do 375 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:01,040 Speaker 1: his job. I didn't think you would be that difficult. 376 00:19:01,080 --> 00:19:03,679 Speaker 1: And yet you know, he's failed at every measure, and 377 00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:05,800 Speaker 1: younger voters are the ones who disproportionately are going to 378 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:07,879 Speaker 1: feel a lot of this. I mean, we're talking about 379 00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:11,080 Speaker 1: right now the very basics of growing up being a 380 00:19:11,119 --> 00:19:13,879 Speaker 1: young adult in America. Your first purchases by like a 381 00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:17,560 Speaker 1: car right now? Okay, good luck, Seriously, average car month 382 00:19:17,600 --> 00:19:20,280 Speaker 1: payment right now is seven hundred dollars, not even counting 383 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:23,639 Speaker 1: insurance and all that other stuff. Credit card debt is 384 00:19:23,760 --> 00:19:27,640 Speaker 1: sky high. Home not going to happen. Rental markets actually, 385 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:29,880 Speaker 1: one of the problems with the FED jacking interest rates 386 00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:32,119 Speaker 1: up is it's squeezing a lot of buyers out of 387 00:19:32,119 --> 00:19:34,639 Speaker 1: the buying market, which means that renting prizes are actually 388 00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:36,720 Speaker 1: going to go up even higher. So even though you're 389 00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:39,119 Speaker 1: a permanent renter, now your rent inflation is up by 390 00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:42,040 Speaker 1: twenty percent, your food is up dramatically, any of the 391 00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:45,480 Speaker 1: general quality of life, first vacations, first savings, all of 392 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:48,560 Speaker 1: that eroded. Your wages only up by two percent. The 393 00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:51,000 Speaker 1: bargaining power you thought that you had in twenty twenty one, 394 00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:55,160 Speaker 1: that's mostly gone as a result of the overall inflation 395 00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:59,040 Speaker 1: for cost of living. So you remember, life is materially worse. 396 00:19:59,040 --> 00:20:00,720 Speaker 1: I mean, the American dream was you're going to be 397 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:02,840 Speaker 1: better off than your parents, and I mean that hasn't 398 00:20:02,840 --> 00:20:05,040 Speaker 1: been the case for probably fifteen years now in the 399 00:20:05,080 --> 00:20:07,919 Speaker 1: United States, but it's especially not the case in twenty 400 00:20:07,960 --> 00:20:10,199 Speaker 1: twenty two. So I don't see how you could have 401 00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:13,080 Speaker 1: that and not look at what's happening in the country 402 00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:15,240 Speaker 1: and say this is just wrong, this is messed up. 403 00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:17,320 Speaker 1: Joe Biden's a president at the end of the day. 404 00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:20,520 Speaker 1: He may he may not be responsible for events, but 405 00:20:20,600 --> 00:20:23,440 Speaker 1: he is responsible for reacting to those events, and he's 406 00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:26,040 Speaker 1: failed at every turn. I think the level of contempt 407 00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,320 Speaker 1: that I'm starting to see from the party towards young 408 00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:31,400 Speaker 1: people is pretty astonishing too. And compare that to two 409 00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:34,280 Speaker 1: thousand and eight, when Obama wins and you have this, 410 00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:37,400 Speaker 1: You know, all these young voter college voters who are 411 00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:40,480 Speaker 1: organizing for him. They're super excited, and there are all 412 00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:44,359 Speaker 1: these articles louting this generation and wow, they're so incredible, 413 00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:46,720 Speaker 1: and this is the Democratic Party future, and this is 414 00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,800 Speaker 1: the future of the country. And now that they have 415 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:53,640 Speaker 1: any critique of the party, it's instantly like, screw you. 416 00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:57,000 Speaker 1: I mean the comment that we told you about yesterday 417 00:20:57,040 --> 00:21:01,320 Speaker 1: from Biden's communications director who was like, while we're not 418 00:21:01,400 --> 00:21:03,960 Speaker 1: just trying to please these activists who are out of 419 00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:05,919 Speaker 1: step with the mainstream of the Democratic Party, I mean 420 00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:10,879 Speaker 1: that is aimed directly at the young, youthful protesters who 421 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:13,200 Speaker 1: are out on the street, especially with the overturning of 422 00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:16,600 Speaker 1: Roe versus Wade. And one thing that was also unique 423 00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:21,120 Speaker 1: about this demographic we already mentioned that, you know, their 424 00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:24,760 Speaker 1: issue priorities are different, and their critique of this presidency 425 00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:27,480 Speaker 1: is also different. They're actually not that concerned about his age, 426 00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:30,720 Speaker 1: they're just concerned with his policy and his job performance. 427 00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:33,840 Speaker 1: They were the group that was most likely to say 428 00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:36,399 Speaker 1: that abortion was their number one issue. In fact, this 429 00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:40,119 Speaker 1: was the only age group where abortion tied with economic 430 00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:43,960 Speaker 1: issues in terms of an issue priority. So the failures 431 00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,879 Speaker 1: of the Biden administration to respond in any sort of 432 00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:51,600 Speaker 1: a timely or forceful manner has really really soured this 433 00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:54,240 Speaker 1: group of voters, where you know, this is a key 434 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:57,359 Speaker 1: priority and key concern. It makes sense their childbearing age, 435 00:21:57,400 --> 00:21:59,720 Speaker 1: this is like a really active live issue for them 436 00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:01,720 Speaker 1: in terms of how they're going to be able to 437 00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:04,960 Speaker 1: live their lives. So it's incredibly logical that that would 438 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,760 Speaker 1: be a concern. I also want to say this is 439 00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:10,600 Speaker 1: not just a problem for the Democratic Party. I think 440 00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:14,680 Speaker 1: the disillusionment of voters under thirty I would say millennials 441 00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:17,960 Speaker 1: and gen z this is a real issue for the 442 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:21,560 Speaker 1: country because when you ask them who would you vote for? 443 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:26,000 Speaker 1: You have thirty So in a hypothetical Biden Trump general election, 444 00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:29,080 Speaker 1: who would you vote for? Thirty eight percent say Biden, 445 00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:32,560 Speaker 1: which is dramatically lower than what he got last time. 446 00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:36,760 Speaker 1: Thirty percent say Trump, seven percent say someone else, and 447 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:40,000 Speaker 1: twenty two percent say we just tap out, we just 448 00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:44,520 Speaker 1: stay home. If you have that kind of disenchantment with 449 00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:48,400 Speaker 1: a political system where one in five voters is saying, 450 00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:52,560 Speaker 1: I don't care about either, I'm out, I'm not going 451 00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:57,439 Speaker 1: to bother. This is incredibly This is really damaging to 452 00:22:57,880 --> 00:22:59,919 Speaker 1: the country as a whole. And of course we all right, 453 00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:02,399 Speaker 1: you have a huge pool of non voters. If you 454 00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:05,000 Speaker 1: have these young voters from the jump saying there's nothing 455 00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:07,000 Speaker 1: in this for me, there's no reason for me to 456 00:23:07,040 --> 00:23:09,639 Speaker 1: bother to show up for either of these two buffoons, 457 00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:11,879 Speaker 1: that's a bad sign. Yeah, I completely agree. I mean, 458 00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:13,160 Speaker 1: why don't we go ahead and put that up there 459 00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:14,720 Speaker 1: then on the screen? I mean, I just think it's 460 00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:17,879 Speaker 1: completely crazy. Whenever we talk about Biden and Trump with 461 00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:20,840 Speaker 1: forty four to forty one, Biden is still beating him, Crystal, 462 00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:23,359 Speaker 1: Which is why this is the whole case for Biden. 463 00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:26,960 Speaker 1: I mean, Biden's advisors constantly are retweeting this saying, we're 464 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:31,320 Speaker 1: actually ron Klain and Jim Messina, who is Obama's campaign director, 465 00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:35,320 Speaker 1: Dan Pfeiffer, all of the so called podsave Bros. Their 466 00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:38,800 Speaker 1: only highlight out of this was, yeah, country doesn't like Biden, 467 00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:40,639 Speaker 1: but he's the only guy who beats Trump. I mean, 468 00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:43,639 Speaker 1: Trump is the ultimate boogeyman for them. It's just constant, 469 00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:45,440 Speaker 1: which is that as long as he beats Trump, they 470 00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:47,920 Speaker 1: don't care about anything else. Is that really enough? I mean, 471 00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:50,159 Speaker 1: I just don't understand how that can be enough for 472 00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,240 Speaker 1: these people. But as you said, the real issue is 473 00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:55,800 Speaker 1: going to be electability. And as long as they freeze 474 00:23:55,800 --> 00:23:59,800 Speaker 1: out any actually electable Democrat within the party, I mean, yeah, 475 00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:03,320 Speaker 1: he's more electable than Kamala, He's more electable than Pete. 476 00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:05,439 Speaker 1: So that's really all they have to go on. But 477 00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:08,120 Speaker 1: you know, compared to like we're going to talk about 478 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:12,200 Speaker 1: the Senate races and the very strong campaign that John 479 00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:14,560 Speaker 1: Fetterman is running right now, I mean compared to someone 480 00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:17,200 Speaker 1: like that, like that would there's no doubt in my mind, 481 00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:20,760 Speaker 1: John Fetterman, assuming he overcomes his health challenges as well, 482 00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:25,120 Speaker 1: would be a much stronger candidate because he's i mean 483 00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:29,800 Speaker 1: super quick, super like on top of the issues that 484 00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:33,440 Speaker 1: people care about, great sort of everyman vibe. I mean, 485 00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:37,240 Speaker 1: there are other alternatives out there who would be superior 486 00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:39,760 Speaker 1: to Joe Biden, But first of all, they'd be worried 487 00:24:39,800 --> 00:24:42,960 Speaker 1: Fetterman's too far alive. Remember that was there every establishment 488 00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:45,120 Speaker 1: figure back to the other dude in the primary, Connor 489 00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:47,120 Speaker 1: Lamb thinking that that, oh, this is the way to win. 490 00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:49,679 Speaker 1: This tells you how stupid they are about what actually 491 00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:53,240 Speaker 1: appeals to people. And number two, I mean, they're all 492 00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:55,520 Speaker 1: too afraid to buck the party because they don't want 493 00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:58,119 Speaker 1: to be blamed for if Trump gets re elected. They 494 00:24:58,119 --> 00:25:00,199 Speaker 1: don't want it to all be pinned on them. Oh, 495 00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:02,720 Speaker 1: you shouldn't have challenge Biden the primary. You're the reason 496 00:25:02,760 --> 00:25:05,320 Speaker 1: why he ultimately was defeated, which would be ridiculous. Let's 497 00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:06,879 Speaker 1: dig down into this thing that he found as well. 498 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:08,680 Speaker 1: Let's put this up there on the screen. Nate Cone 499 00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:10,800 Speaker 1: over from the New York Times talking about how when 500 00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:12,560 Speaker 1: he looks at this, he just feels like it's straight 501 00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:15,680 Speaker 1: out of twenty sixteen. People, not just young people, are 502 00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:18,280 Speaker 1: not happy at all. I mean forty three forty Joe 503 00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:22,199 Speaker 1: Biden and Trump is not enough. Seventeen percent are undecided, 504 00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:25,879 Speaker 1: mainly people who affirmatively volunteered quote, I wouldn't vote for 505 00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:28,439 Speaker 1: someone else, or I wouldn't vote, or I would vote 506 00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:31,600 Speaker 1: for someone else, even though that wasn't even an option, 507 00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:34,840 Speaker 1: as in they weren't even asked, and seventeen people said yeah, 508 00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:37,119 Speaker 1: they volunteered up and they said, yeah, I'm not going 509 00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:40,000 Speaker 1: to vote. Period. That's that's terrible for the political system. 510 00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:42,840 Speaker 1: I've talked before. I think the major issue right now 511 00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:46,280 Speaker 1: is that any generic r as right now could beat 512 00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:49,240 Speaker 1: Joe Biden, but no generic r can really beat Trump 513 00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:50,800 Speaker 1: in any sort of head to head or not even 514 00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:53,240 Speaker 1: head to head match up in an open Republican primary, 515 00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:55,200 Speaker 1: which very likely seems to be the case. Nikki Haley 516 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:57,359 Speaker 1: wants to run, Mike Pompeo wants to run, Tom Cotton, 517 00:25:57,640 --> 00:26:01,320 Speaker 1: all these other guy Ted Cruz, Ron Santis obviously, and 518 00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:03,720 Speaker 1: Trump still maintains. I mean, the latest poll I saw 519 00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:06,800 Speaker 1: shows to Trump at fifty percent in their GOP field. 520 00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:08,560 Speaker 1: That's crazy. I mean, he's got a lock on it. 521 00:26:08,600 --> 00:26:11,240 Speaker 1: That's even more so than he had in two thousand 522 00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:14,240 Speaker 1: and sixteen. Yeah, that's right, you consider it, and I 523 00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:17,000 Speaker 1: just I don't I see a big problem for anybody 524 00:26:17,000 --> 00:26:18,480 Speaker 1: who wants to try and shake that up, And it 525 00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:21,240 Speaker 1: almost seems they were certainly doomed. I did see what 526 00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:24,280 Speaker 1: you highlighted this morning though, about college voters and Trump. Yeah, 527 00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:26,480 Speaker 1: I'm just saying that was fascinating. Yeah, so this is 528 00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:28,920 Speaker 1: also this is the latest piece of the New York 529 00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:31,679 Speaker 1: Times polling, So this is like the Republican side of 530 00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:33,440 Speaker 1: the Ledger that they just have out. I think they 531 00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:35,800 Speaker 1: just put this out this morning and they did the 532 00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:40,160 Speaker 1: hypothetical primary matchup, and they've got Trump forty nine, Ron 533 00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:42,920 Speaker 1: de Santis twenty five, Ted Crew seven, Mike Penn six, 534 00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:48,240 Speaker 1: Haley six, Mike Pompeo two. Lol. But what really interested 535 00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:51,679 Speaker 1: me is that there was a huge education divide between 536 00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:54,679 Speaker 1: Trump and Desanti's voters. So DeSantis doing very well with 537 00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:58,080 Speaker 1: college educated voters. In fact, at the according to this poll, 538 00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:01,920 Speaker 1: he's narrowly actually ahead of Trump among college educated voters. 539 00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:06,120 Speaker 1: But Trump is still such a dominant figure among non 540 00:27:06,160 --> 00:27:11,000 Speaker 1: college educated voters, which has increasingly become the real backbone 541 00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:15,080 Speaker 1: of the Republican base, that that is almost insurmountable to overcome. 542 00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:20,560 Speaker 1: So among non college educated voters, Trump beats Desanti's fifty 543 00:27:20,560 --> 00:27:25,280 Speaker 1: eight twenty one. Among college educated, DeSantis beats Trump thirty 544 00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:28,680 Speaker 1: to twenty eight. It's pretty close, But I thought that 545 00:27:28,800 --> 00:27:32,400 Speaker 1: was I was not aware of what a huge education 546 00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:35,480 Speaker 1: divide there was in terms of these two candidates. So 547 00:27:35,560 --> 00:27:38,080 Speaker 1: I thought that that was really interesting. But you know, 548 00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:41,960 Speaker 1: to your point, there is the people who are moving 549 00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:45,760 Speaker 1: away from Trump in the Republican primary, which is still 550 00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:50,360 Speaker 1: the minority of Republican voters. A lot of them do 551 00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:54,960 Speaker 1: express concerns over January sixth. That seems to be actually, 552 00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,600 Speaker 1: in some ways, his biggest vulnerability. It's certainly his biggest 553 00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:01,119 Speaker 1: vulnerability with the general population in a general election. And 554 00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:04,040 Speaker 1: so to that end, I do actually think that the 555 00:28:04,119 --> 00:28:06,960 Speaker 1: January six hearings have been damaging to him, and he 556 00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:10,000 Speaker 1: certainly is reacting like they've been more damaging to him 557 00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:14,000 Speaker 1: than I think people ultimately expected. But within a Republican primary, 558 00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:17,600 Speaker 1: you're nowhere near a majority of voters who hold that 559 00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:21,520 Speaker 1: sentiment of concerns over what happened on January sixth. So yeah, 560 00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:24,320 Speaker 1: that may be his biggest vulnerability. There may be a 561 00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:27,520 Speaker 1: significant minority of Republican voters who are done with Trump 562 00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:31,440 Speaker 1: over that. But he has really won the narrative war 563 00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:35,040 Speaker 1: within the Republican base on stop the steal and rigged 564 00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:38,000 Speaker 1: elections and all of that stuff. So it's not like 565 00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:42,440 Speaker 1: any candidate, Desantas or anyone else could really lean into 566 00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:44,960 Speaker 1: that argument and have any prayer of winning a Republican 567 00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:47,640 Speaker 1: prime This is what I try to point to people like, sure, 568 00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:50,720 Speaker 1: half Republican voters would prefer that Trump not run. They 569 00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:52,800 Speaker 1: want to leave him behind. But guess what you know, 570 00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:56,560 Speaker 1: when you're winning sixty percent of non college educated voters, 571 00:28:56,600 --> 00:28:59,800 Speaker 1: you're going to win the nomination. Because we've talked about 572 00:28:59,840 --> 00:29:02,480 Speaker 1: this for the great proxy for whether you voted for 573 00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:04,920 Speaker 1: Democrat or Republican is whether you have a four year 574 00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:07,440 Speaker 1: college degree or not. If you're a four year college 575 00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:10,000 Speaker 1: degree GOP voter, you're in the minority in terms of 576 00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:13,200 Speaker 1: the people who voted in twenty twenty, and especially amongst 577 00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:16,160 Speaker 1: people who vote in the primary. Those people are overwhelmingly 578 00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:19,360 Speaker 1: more representative in conservative media, in the elite, you know, 579 00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:21,400 Speaker 1: they have a different affect in the way that they 580 00:29:21,520 --> 00:29:24,920 Speaker 1: view politics. But sixty percent versus twenty one, and then 581 00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:28,600 Speaker 1: even the fact that DeSantis, yeah, he's beating Trump amongst 582 00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:30,920 Speaker 1: people with a bachelor's degree or higher at thirty two 583 00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:33,760 Speaker 1: to twenty eight, he's only barely edging amount that it's 584 00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:36,200 Speaker 1: basically within the margin of error. So if you're effectively 585 00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:40,760 Speaker 1: tied in the minority, and then you're losing dramatically amongst 586 00:29:40,760 --> 00:29:42,600 Speaker 1: people who don't have a bachelor's degree. I mean, I 587 00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:44,680 Speaker 1: just don't see how that could possibly be. Yeah. Well, 588 00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:47,440 Speaker 1: and this kind of goes to what I was thinking 589 00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:50,720 Speaker 1: in terms of the case for DeSantis is like he's 590 00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:53,320 Speaker 1: sort of like highbrow Trump, right, like Trump without the 591 00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:56,800 Speaker 1: uncouth this and then the obnoxious behavior and the annoying 592 00:29:56,840 --> 00:29:59,720 Speaker 1: tweets and whatever. Well, you've got a good chunk of 593 00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:02,840 Speaker 1: the base. That's my favorite thing about Trump, I mean, 594 00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:05,120 Speaker 1: and I can understand that that is the best thing 595 00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:08,000 Speaker 1: about Trump is how he drives people that you hate crazy. 596 00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:11,880 Speaker 1: That is very satisfying to watch. So I think I 597 00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:15,120 Speaker 1: still continue to think the case for Ronda Santis is 598 00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:18,080 Speaker 1: very difficult. Now, Listen, it's early. Things can change. Wild 599 00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:20,760 Speaker 1: things happen in American politics all the time, especially when 600 00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:22,960 Speaker 1: you're dealing with two dudes who you know, in Biden 601 00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:25,240 Speaker 1: and Trump, who are super old and super unhealthy. So 602 00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:28,400 Speaker 1: that's the ultimate wild card of all wild cards in 603 00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:31,160 Speaker 1: all of this. Uh So, we'll see where it goes. 604 00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:35,120 Speaker 1: But you know, today and I never see the mainstream 605 00:30:35,240 --> 00:30:39,239 Speaker 1: press portray it this way. There's always discussion of if 606 00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,360 Speaker 1: Trump's vulnerable in the primary, and how's his hacends and 607 00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,280 Speaker 1: there's a new pool in New Hampshire and he's doing 608 00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:47,480 Speaker 1: well here and there. I never see that same level 609 00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:51,120 Speaker 1: of questioning of Biden's position in the Democratic Party, even 610 00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:54,280 Speaker 1: though the numbers for him are actually in certain ways 611 00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:59,640 Speaker 1: worse are because Trump still has that rock solid, super 612 00:30:59,680 --> 00:31:04,240 Speaker 1: commit level of support and Biden doesn't. I mean, again, 613 00:31:04,800 --> 00:31:09,080 Speaker 1: among his key base of voters that gave him the nomination, 614 00:31:09,240 --> 00:31:12,720 Speaker 1: Black voters, you now have in the Democratic primary forty 615 00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:17,040 Speaker 1: seven percent saying they prefer someone else too. So his 616 00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:21,280 Speaker 1: standing is severely eroded, and he really is vulnerable to 617 00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:24,840 Speaker 1: a challenge if the right candidate steps up and does it. 618 00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:28,840 Speaker 1: And I think can persuade Democrats that the problem is 619 00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:31,440 Speaker 1: the electability, because you are going to You're not going 620 00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:34,320 Speaker 1: to dethrone Joe Biden from the head of the Democratic 621 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:36,920 Speaker 1: Party unless you were able to persuade Democratic based voters 622 00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:41,240 Speaker 1: that someone else would be the right candidate to take 623 00:31:41,280 --> 00:31:44,360 Speaker 1: on Trump. But you know, going back to Nate Cone's 624 00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:47,600 Speaker 1: point about how this is twenty sixteen vibes all over again, 625 00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:50,200 Speaker 1: I think that is really well said. You have two 626 00:31:50,320 --> 00:31:53,520 Speaker 1: candidates in Biden and Trump that so much of the 627 00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:58,400 Speaker 1: population is dissatisfied with, disgusted with. They don't want them 628 00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:01,080 Speaker 1: to be the nominee. They don't don't want them to 629 00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:04,160 Speaker 1: be the next president. And yet that is very likely 630 00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:06,680 Speaker 1: the scenario that we're facing. And once again I think 631 00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:09,760 Speaker 1: that that is a sign of a truly broken political 632 00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:14,240 Speaker 1: system of a nation in decline, that somehow this system 633 00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:17,600 Speaker 1: that we've created churns out two candidates that no one 634 00:32:17,720 --> 00:32:20,560 Speaker 1: is Virginiarly, there are a few people are excited about Trump, 635 00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:23,720 Speaker 1: but the broad population is not happy with this set 636 00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:26,200 Speaker 1: of affairs. And if you had a different system where 637 00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:29,440 Speaker 1: there was a possibility of third party candidates really gathering steam, 638 00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:31,239 Speaker 1: I think that this might be a year where that 639 00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:34,240 Speaker 1: could happen. But we all know how difficult it just 640 00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:36,720 Speaker 1: to get on the ballot. It's like insurmountable. I mean, 641 00:32:36,880 --> 00:32:39,320 Speaker 1: think about that story we covered down in North Carolina 642 00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:40,960 Speaker 1: with Matthew Hoe, who is trying to run as a 643 00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:44,719 Speaker 1: Green Party candidate, and they just outright fraudulently kicked him 644 00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:48,400 Speaker 1: off the ballot, lied about you know, called voters get there, 645 00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:50,760 Speaker 1: them to pull their names off petitions, lied about who 646 00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:52,720 Speaker 1: they were, and then the deck at the Board of 647 00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:55,240 Speaker 1: Elections with stack because it's three Democrats and two Republicans. 648 00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:57,600 Speaker 1: You don't have a third party representative there, you don't 649 00:32:57,600 --> 00:32:59,400 Speaker 1: get a say in the process. So the deck is 650 00:32:59,800 --> 00:33:02,320 Speaker 1: it's just it's a completely rigged system in terms of 651 00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:06,200 Speaker 1: any significant third party threat. But if that wasn't the case, 652 00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:07,760 Speaker 1: this would be a year where you could see that 653 00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:11,480 Speaker 1: making a significant, significant headway. I completely agree. And speaking 654 00:33:11,520 --> 00:33:14,440 Speaker 1: of bad candidates and what exactly is going on there, 655 00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:17,080 Speaker 1: it's time. So today is the breaking Points Midterms special. 656 00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:19,560 Speaker 1: We've got a special little graphic for everybody. Throw that 657 00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:22,600 Speaker 1: up there on the screen. Please, this is our version 658 00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:25,720 Speaker 1: of the mid terms twenty twenty two. What do we 659 00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:30,360 Speaker 1: got special coverage? The Road to Nowhere? Yes, we Krystal 660 00:33:30,400 --> 00:33:32,400 Speaker 1: came up with that one. I love it. It really 661 00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:35,880 Speaker 1: does just encompass Look, yeah, we're going somewhere, probably nowhere. 662 00:33:35,880 --> 00:33:38,840 Speaker 1: I think anyone, no matter who they're planning on voting 663 00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:43,160 Speaker 1: for this year, really imagines that, like, if Democrats keep control, 664 00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:44,960 Speaker 1: that's going to be a game changer in terms of 665 00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:47,800 Speaker 1: the direction of the country, or Republicans take control, that's 666 00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:50,920 Speaker 1: really going to solve the problems that we're facing either. 667 00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:53,400 Speaker 1: So that's that was the inspiration all right, let's start 668 00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:55,560 Speaker 1: with Herschel Walker. Let's put this up there on the screen. 669 00:33:55,640 --> 00:33:59,040 Speaker 1: Herschel Oh Man, I mean, I can't. This guy has 670 00:33:59,120 --> 00:34:04,600 Speaker 1: scandals every upway about him. This is a particularly amazing story. 671 00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:09,719 Speaker 1: He lied about his secret kids to his own campaign. 672 00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:14,000 Speaker 1: His campaign aids approached him this winter to discuss the 673 00:34:14,160 --> 00:34:18,359 Speaker 1: rumors that Walker had a secret child. Walker's aides were 674 00:34:18,680 --> 00:34:22,240 Speaker 1: shocked whenever he told them it was completely false. Why 675 00:34:22,560 --> 00:34:26,680 Speaker 1: because they had already obtained the documents in advance that 676 00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:31,120 Speaker 1: verified that Walker did indeed have a secret child. The 677 00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:33,319 Speaker 1: hand of the documents to him, and after some more 678 00:34:33,360 --> 00:34:36,120 Speaker 1: back and forth, he finally admitted it was true and 679 00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:38,560 Speaker 1: it's a's asked if there were any other children that 680 00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:41,319 Speaker 1: they needed to know about. He insisted that was it, 681 00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:45,000 Speaker 1: But then they learned about another child that also existed, which, 682 00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:47,480 Speaker 1: of course he said that he had denied. It's just 683 00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:49,880 Speaker 1: what it shows to me, is I think it was 684 00:34:50,520 --> 00:34:54,479 Speaker 1: the next day the next child emerged to They asked 685 00:34:54,480 --> 00:34:57,080 Speaker 1: there like, hey, what about this undisclosed child who's a 686 00:34:57,120 --> 00:35:00,600 Speaker 1: thirteen year old, and again the campaign to him, he 687 00:35:00,600 --> 00:35:02,200 Speaker 1: said it was wrong, and then the very next day 688 00:35:02,239 --> 00:35:04,120 Speaker 1: he was like, yeah, actually the child is my now, listen, 689 00:35:04,160 --> 00:35:05,800 Speaker 1: you know what he does is his personal life whatever. 690 00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:07,960 Speaker 1: But it's more of a fact that number one, he's 691 00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:10,480 Speaker 1: lying to his own campaign. Number two, his campaign is 692 00:35:10,640 --> 00:35:13,080 Speaker 1: so burned that they're literally leaking about him to the 693 00:35:13,160 --> 00:35:16,239 Speaker 1: Daily bas what's going on with that? I just look, 694 00:35:16,480 --> 00:35:18,680 Speaker 1: the problem with herschel Walker is is chaos. Which is 695 00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:21,520 Speaker 1: sure Trump loves him and he's a fantastic football player, 696 00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:24,960 Speaker 1: but that doesn't always translate to political success. And herschel 697 00:35:24,960 --> 00:35:27,880 Speaker 1: Walker has just really lacked sheer political talent. To me, 698 00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:31,040 Speaker 1: he stumbles every which way in the debates whenever he's 699 00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:34,680 Speaker 1: on the stage. We have a clip shortly which will 700 00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:38,400 Speaker 1: show you. But overall he's a bad candidate because he 701 00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:41,759 Speaker 1: doesn't lack any sort of actual message. Whenever he's on 702 00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:44,919 Speaker 1: the stump, he doesn't have any unifying presence, and pole 703 00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:47,600 Speaker 1: after pole so far shows him at the very least 704 00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:50,880 Speaker 1: tide and in some cases actually Warnock beating him in 705 00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:53,120 Speaker 1: it head to head. Warnock was seen as a dead 706 00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:56,120 Speaker 1: man walking and then he really has been blessed with 707 00:35:56,120 --> 00:35:59,240 Speaker 1: herschel Walker as a candidate. Let that not be better 708 00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:02,760 Speaker 1: evidence than it happened yesterday. Whenever herschel Walker was speaking 709 00:36:02,760 --> 00:36:06,000 Speaker 1: about climate change and green energy. I probably agree with 710 00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,600 Speaker 1: him in terms of the sentiment that he's trying to express. 711 00:36:08,640 --> 00:36:11,040 Speaker 1: But here's what you tell, what sentiments trying to I 712 00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:13,680 Speaker 1: honestly can't see if you guys should get it. So 713 00:36:13,880 --> 00:36:16,880 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, China India ain't putting nothing is 714 00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:21,160 Speaker 1: there cleaning that situation there, So with all that bad airs, 715 00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:25,399 Speaker 1: But since we don't control the air, I was good air, 716 00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:30,400 Speaker 1: decided to float over to China. So with China, I 717 00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:34,640 Speaker 1: was good air, their bad air gotta move, so it 718 00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:38,879 Speaker 1: moves over too good air space. And now we got 719 00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:41,120 Speaker 1: to cleaning that back up. I don't even know what 720 00:36:41,120 --> 00:36:44,240 Speaker 1: he's getting at there. We don't control our good air. 721 00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:47,960 Speaker 1: China has bad air. If we'll listen to whatever, I mean, 722 00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:49,840 Speaker 1: I think what he's trying to get at, I'm not 723 00:36:49,920 --> 00:36:53,040 Speaker 1: even gonna trying to. His campaign manager came out with 724 00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:56,680 Speaker 1: some like studies, Actually, Chinese pollution does blow it. Listen, dude, 725 00:36:56,840 --> 00:36:59,120 Speaker 1: I don't think that's what was here. Okay, I got here, Well, 726 00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:01,040 Speaker 1: hold on, I got another one. I licked this one 727 00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:02,920 Speaker 1: up this morning because it's not I don't want you 728 00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:06,040 Speaker 1: to think we're cherry picking here. This is just a 729 00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:10,560 Speaker 1: standard typical day in the life of the herschel Walker campaign. 730 00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:14,719 Speaker 1: Another thing he said recently about apparently he's a creationist. 731 00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:17,960 Speaker 1: This is what he said about evolution. At one time 732 00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:21,520 Speaker 1: science said man came from apes? Did it not? If 733 00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:24,759 Speaker 1: that's true, why are there still apes? Think about it? 734 00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:28,480 Speaker 1: Another one? O one like that when the guy pointing 735 00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:31,279 Speaker 1: to his head and yeah, think about it. I mean. 736 00:37:31,320 --> 00:37:34,960 Speaker 1: His own campaign told again The Daily Beast that he 737 00:37:35,080 --> 00:37:38,600 Speaker 1: spouts falsehoods like he's breathing so much that his own 738 00:37:38,600 --> 00:37:41,359 Speaker 1: campaign stopped leaving him long ago. He's lied so much, 739 00:37:41,440 --> 00:37:43,960 Speaker 1: we don't know what's true. They said they have zero 740 00:37:44,080 --> 00:37:47,200 Speaker 1: trust in the candidate, and that he and three people 741 00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:51,360 Speaker 1: interviewed for the article independently called him a pathological liar. 742 00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:55,799 Speaker 1: And it goes beyond the secret children, which it is. 743 00:37:55,920 --> 00:38:00,919 Speaker 1: It is hypocritical because he's also through out his sort 744 00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:03,160 Speaker 1: of public career, he talks a lot about you got 745 00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:05,160 Speaker 1: to be a good father, and you gotta stay and 746 00:38:05,200 --> 00:38:07,720 Speaker 1: you can't leave the mom with the kids, and especially 747 00:38:07,800 --> 00:38:10,839 Speaker 1: sort of castigating the black community for leaving all these 748 00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:12,960 Speaker 1: single moms. So the fact that he himself had to 749 00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:15,759 Speaker 1: be sued for child support of at least one of 750 00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:19,960 Speaker 1: these kids is incredibly hypocritical and telling. But he also 751 00:38:20,080 --> 00:38:22,680 Speaker 1: routinely lied about his bio cit he graduate from college. 752 00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:24,640 Speaker 1: He didn't, he said yet it was like the largest 753 00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:28,920 Speaker 1: black owned chicken something and he wasn't, like chicken factory 754 00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:31,040 Speaker 1: owner or something, and he wasn't. I mean, it's just 755 00:38:31,080 --> 00:38:34,279 Speaker 1: like every single thing he said about his bio more 756 00:38:34,360 --> 00:38:37,200 Speaker 1: or less turned out to be a fabrication. So the 757 00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:40,080 Speaker 1: dishonesty is a big problem. The fact he's not even 758 00:38:40,200 --> 00:38:42,319 Speaker 1: upfront with his own campaign staff, which means they can't 759 00:38:42,360 --> 00:38:44,600 Speaker 1: help him through any of this, is a problem. And 760 00:38:44,640 --> 00:38:49,160 Speaker 1: then they're clearly extremely fearful of putting him out in 761 00:38:49,280 --> 00:38:52,839 Speaker 1: any kind of contentious interview situation because even when it's 762 00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:57,680 Speaker 1: softball interviews, he gets extremely tangled up and says things 763 00:38:57,680 --> 00:38:59,920 Speaker 1: that are like, what are you even talking about? They 764 00:39:00,200 --> 00:39:05,280 Speaker 1: talked to a local radio host, conservative local conservative radio 765 00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:07,560 Speaker 1: host in Georgia who was like, I wanted to have 766 00:39:07,640 --> 00:39:09,560 Speaker 1: him on and give him an hour, and they said 767 00:39:09,600 --> 00:39:12,399 Speaker 1: they did not want him free form for an hour 768 00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:14,480 Speaker 1: because they're afraid of what's going to come out of 769 00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:15,920 Speaker 1: his mouth. I was pulling that up, you know, the 770 00:39:16,040 --> 00:39:19,200 Speaker 1: radio even In that brief radio interview that he eventually did, 771 00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:21,439 Speaker 1: it was a total disaster. He started talking about Cain 772 00:39:21,520 --> 00:39:24,359 Speaker 1: and Abel. Whenever it was about gun violence, it went 773 00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:27,719 Speaker 1: viral because what are you talking about? Literally what I mean? Yeah, 774 00:39:27,760 --> 00:39:30,600 Speaker 1: whenever you look at what's happening with herschel Walker. The 775 00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:33,880 Speaker 1: real issue is that the Georgia GOP is hamstrung because 776 00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:35,480 Speaker 1: they hate him. They did not want him to be 777 00:39:35,560 --> 00:39:37,960 Speaker 1: the nominee. Period. They had all sorts of others they 778 00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:39,440 Speaker 1: wanted to run, and look, I don't know how that 779 00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:41,720 Speaker 1: would have worked out. But the problem is that because 780 00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:45,080 Speaker 1: Trump so heavily backed him during the campaign, they feel 781 00:39:45,120 --> 00:39:47,839 Speaker 1: completely hamstrung. And now they're like, listen, we're sticking by 782 00:39:47,920 --> 00:39:50,920 Speaker 1: him one hundred percent. We have no questions about herschel Walker. 783 00:39:50,960 --> 00:39:54,360 Speaker 1: He's our nominee against Warnock. And the real issue is 784 00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:58,520 Speaker 1: that right now what they have is a situation where 785 00:39:58,640 --> 00:40:01,120 Speaker 1: it should be again, Fleet layup. This is going to 786 00:40:01,160 --> 00:40:03,480 Speaker 1: be a consistent theme across the next couple of blocks. 787 00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:07,000 Speaker 1: And yet because Trump is so heavily behind herschel Walker, 788 00:40:07,200 --> 00:40:09,480 Speaker 1: they can't be seen to be crossing him, and every 789 00:40:09,520 --> 00:40:12,279 Speaker 1: one of his missteps they have to defend herschel Walker 790 00:40:12,320 --> 00:40:14,640 Speaker 1: is not nearly as talented as Donald Trump. And you know, 791 00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:17,080 Speaker 1: to the extent that he has riffs and all this stuff, 792 00:40:17,160 --> 00:40:20,160 Speaker 1: it doesn't connect in any broader theme in the way 793 00:40:20,160 --> 00:40:22,640 Speaker 1: that Trump did at all. So this really is a 794 00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:25,759 Speaker 1: really it's a disaster. I mean, right now, all of 795 00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:28,440 Speaker 1: the polling right now has Warnock within at least two 796 00:40:28,520 --> 00:40:32,720 Speaker 1: points of herschel Walker. He's gotten bad press all across 797 00:40:32,760 --> 00:40:35,520 Speaker 1: the state. Also, it's not like GOP voters in the 798 00:40:35,560 --> 00:40:37,839 Speaker 1: state are all that enthused about him. They gave him 799 00:40:37,840 --> 00:40:40,520 Speaker 1: a shot because Trump said to give him a shot, 800 00:40:40,560 --> 00:40:43,000 Speaker 1: but he doesn't have his own organic base in the 801 00:40:43,040 --> 00:40:45,879 Speaker 1: way that you know, Brian Kemp and Brad Raffensberger were 802 00:40:45,920 --> 00:40:48,640 Speaker 1: able to really pull GOP voters and say, hey, listen, 803 00:40:48,640 --> 00:40:50,719 Speaker 1: we're still with you even if Trump doesn't like us 804 00:40:50,719 --> 00:40:53,839 Speaker 1: on this or that. So he's got a real issue, yes, 805 00:40:54,640 --> 00:40:59,360 Speaker 1: And this is one of a number of Republican Senate 806 00:40:59,640 --> 00:41:05,319 Speaker 1: nomine Ease two are just incredibly weak candidates. And you know, 807 00:41:06,280 --> 00:41:09,520 Speaker 1: usually at the House level, candidate quality it just doesn't 808 00:41:09,520 --> 00:41:12,080 Speaker 1: matter that much. It's much more determined by what are 809 00:41:12,080 --> 00:41:16,280 Speaker 1: the national wins. Unless something really crazy happens with a candidate, 810 00:41:16,360 --> 00:41:19,560 Speaker 1: it's mostly just how is the president pulling in the district, 811 00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:22,120 Speaker 1: what's the national mood, and that's kind of how things 812 00:41:22,120 --> 00:41:24,879 Speaker 1: shake down, and so later we're going to break down 813 00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:27,839 Speaker 1: how the House is looking a totally different picture. I mean, 814 00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:31,640 Speaker 1: Republicans are feeling incredibly bullish. They're thinking they got a 815 00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:35,240 Speaker 1: shot at winning districts that Biden won by double digits. 816 00:41:35,600 --> 00:41:38,680 Speaker 1: So you contrast that with the fact that in Georgia 817 00:41:38,800 --> 00:41:41,760 Speaker 1: right now, according to the Real Clear Politics average Walker 818 00:41:41,880 --> 00:41:45,960 Speaker 1: is down by about two points on Rafael Warnock. That 819 00:41:46,120 --> 00:41:49,279 Speaker 1: shows you that him being such a poor candidate. I mean, 820 00:41:49,320 --> 00:41:53,319 Speaker 1: that's a drag of like fifteen points in terms of 821 00:41:53,360 --> 00:41:56,480 Speaker 1: his performance right now. I just looked it up. The 822 00:41:56,600 --> 00:42:00,720 Speaker 1: latest Biden approval rating in Georgia is thirty three percent. 823 00:42:01,320 --> 00:42:04,359 Speaker 1: Thirty three percent. This should be a seat, like you said, 824 00:42:04,480 --> 00:42:07,760 Speaker 1: Rafael Warnock, for Democrats should have been dead man walking, 825 00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:11,040 Speaker 1: and instead they got a real shot. And so at 826 00:42:11,080 --> 00:42:15,200 Speaker 1: the House level, overwhelmingly Republicans are favored to take it 827 00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:19,160 Speaker 1: and have essentially historic games the Senate all the you know, 828 00:42:19,200 --> 00:42:21,880 Speaker 1: whether it's five thirty eight or the other ratings groups 829 00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:24,600 Speaker 1: basically have it as a fifty to fifty toss up 830 00:42:24,719 --> 00:42:29,080 Speaker 1: and it is one hundred percent because of nominating extraordinarily 831 00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:32,440 Speaker 1: weak or extraordinarily you know candidates who have really fringe 832 00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:36,160 Speaker 1: and out their views, people like herschel Walker. You see 833 00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:38,239 Speaker 1: this at the gubernatorial level as well. There are a 834 00:42:38,320 --> 00:42:42,000 Speaker 1: number of Mastriano and Pennsylvania perfect example where that should 835 00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:44,239 Speaker 1: have been and give me for Republicans as well, and 836 00:42:44,440 --> 00:42:46,879 Speaker 1: instead Democrats are are somewhat favored there. There are other 837 00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:48,680 Speaker 1: states in the country that are like that too, but 838 00:42:49,560 --> 00:42:53,040 Speaker 1: this is a particularly stunning example where because Trump said 839 00:42:53,080 --> 00:42:55,520 Speaker 1: this is the guy, this is who Republicans went with, 840 00:42:55,680 --> 00:43:00,399 Speaker 1: and it has definitely put the seat in jeopardy for them. Well, 841 00:43:00,440 --> 00:43:03,839 Speaker 1: speaking of Pennsylvania, look, I got to eat some crow here. 842 00:43:03,920 --> 00:43:07,200 Speaker 1: Doctor Oz is not doing something in that I thought 843 00:43:07,239 --> 00:43:08,920 Speaker 1: he'd be great. I'll be honest with you. I thought 844 00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:10,799 Speaker 1: that he was good on TV. Yeah I did too. 845 00:43:11,239 --> 00:43:13,799 Speaker 1: I'm actually a little surprised by how poor he's been 846 00:43:13,840 --> 00:43:16,200 Speaker 1: so far. It's still early a man. Oz is just 847 00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:20,560 Speaker 1: terrible so far. Fetterman, despite the fact that recent reporting 848 00:43:20,600 --> 00:43:23,600 Speaker 1: shows that he can't even properly speak and may never 849 00:43:23,680 --> 00:43:28,520 Speaker 1: even get that skill back, is destroying him whenever it 850 00:43:28,560 --> 00:43:31,560 Speaker 1: comes to painting him as an outsider, which, to be fair, 851 00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:33,160 Speaker 1: he has a mansion in New Jersey, and he's got 852 00:43:33,160 --> 00:43:35,880 Speaker 1: a more recent ad, which is slamming doctor Oz. Has 853 00:43:35,880 --> 00:43:39,200 Speaker 1: gone extraordinarily viral, resonating in the state, painting Oz as 854 00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:42,080 Speaker 1: an outsider who doesn't even belong in Pennsylvania. Let's take 855 00:43:42,080 --> 00:43:52,799 Speaker 1: a listen, hey, Taple magazine, Welcome to our home. Come 856 00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:55,279 Speaker 1: on in the original owner had gotten it from King 857 00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:58,080 Speaker 1: George the third. Come on, now we hit the basketball 858 00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:09,840 Speaker 1: court around the corner they plot in Pennsylvania. Tell me 859 00:44:09,880 --> 00:44:12,200 Speaker 1: they can't go on vacation this summer. Folks you mentioned 860 00:44:12,200 --> 00:44:15,800 Speaker 1: are going off to these beautiful houses, they third, second 861 00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:18,000 Speaker 1: or third houses. They've got to hang it up. That's 862 00:44:18,040 --> 00:44:32,920 Speaker 1: not what's going on with many people in Pennsylvania. For 863 00:44:33,000 --> 00:44:36,000 Speaker 1: those of you who are just happening, it's the whole lifestyle, 864 00:44:36,080 --> 00:44:38,960 Speaker 1: the rich and famous knockoff. It starts with them actually 865 00:44:39,080 --> 00:44:42,480 Speaker 1: like you know, doing this people magazine, Welcome to our mansion, 866 00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:45,360 Speaker 1: showing them around the basketball court, and then it lists 867 00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:48,319 Speaker 1: all of the properties that he owns and shows some 868 00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:53,840 Speaker 1: of them. He owns nine different mansions around the world. 869 00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:56,680 Speaker 1: And the kicker there at the end, they say number nine, 870 00:44:57,040 --> 00:44:59,760 Speaker 1: he finally bought a house in Pennsylvania. And what's craziest, 871 00:45:00,040 --> 00:45:01,759 Speaker 1: I don't know what the hell doctor Oz is doing 872 00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:03,799 Speaker 1: put this up there on the screen. He's had no 873 00:45:04,000 --> 00:45:07,919 Speaker 1: television ads since he actually won the primary. He's completely dark. 874 00:45:08,120 --> 00:45:11,200 Speaker 1: Fetterman is destroying him on the airwaves, pointing himself out 875 00:45:11,239 --> 00:45:15,280 Speaker 1: as an outsider. And Oz doesn't have any affirmative political vision. 876 00:45:15,320 --> 00:45:17,200 Speaker 1: I mean he was actually, frankly, he was doing better 877 00:45:17,239 --> 00:45:20,759 Speaker 1: on the campaign trail, going after David McCormick and really 878 00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:23,359 Speaker 1: running against Biden. And he hasn't been on the air 879 00:45:23,600 --> 00:45:27,560 Speaker 1: since May twenty first, even though John Fetterman is destroying 880 00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:31,359 Speaker 1: him day after day after day as a carpetbagger from 881 00:45:31,480 --> 00:45:35,840 Speaker 1: New Jersey. That's not what the expectation on Oz was whatsoever. 882 00:45:36,040 --> 00:45:37,920 Speaker 1: On the one hand, yeah, he's worth hundreds of millions 883 00:45:37,920 --> 00:45:40,400 Speaker 1: of dollars personally, has the money in order to do 884 00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:42,560 Speaker 1: anything that he would need to to go up on 885 00:45:42,560 --> 00:45:44,680 Speaker 1: the air. But two, he's got a big bank account, 886 00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:47,759 Speaker 1: a big war chest. His issue right now is that 887 00:45:47,800 --> 00:45:51,880 Speaker 1: Pennsylvania GOP voters don't trust him after a brutal campaign 888 00:45:52,719 --> 00:45:54,200 Speaker 1: to the extent that people went with him. It was 889 00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:57,839 Speaker 1: really only because Trump really dragged him across the finish line. 890 00:45:57,840 --> 00:46:00,360 Speaker 1: He should have been up the day after, both targeting 891 00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:03,680 Speaker 1: the GOP because unfavorables are so high, and two going 892 00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:06,480 Speaker 1: after John Fetterman. I mean, it's crazy that John Fetterman 893 00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:08,640 Speaker 1: is beating him right now literally from his hospital. Like 894 00:46:08,719 --> 00:46:11,080 Speaker 1: Fetterman has not been on the campaign trail for two 895 00:46:11,120 --> 00:46:13,800 Speaker 1: months since he suffered a stroke. As I said, reporting 896 00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:17,080 Speaker 1: indicates it was way more serious than Fetterman ever let on. 897 00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:19,840 Speaker 1: We finally told to everybody the truth after the doctors 898 00:46:20,040 --> 00:46:23,560 Speaker 1: openly were like, yeah, this wasn't some mild stroke. And 899 00:46:23,600 --> 00:46:26,040 Speaker 1: the campaign videos that have come out recently show him 900 00:46:26,040 --> 00:46:29,040 Speaker 1: have lost an extraordinary amount of weight from his own 901 00:46:29,080 --> 00:46:33,480 Speaker 1: personal from his own personal health. There's reporting, like I said, 902 00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:37,360 Speaker 1: there indicate he may never fully retain his ability to speak, 903 00:46:37,640 --> 00:46:41,600 Speaker 1: and yet Oz is losing outside the margin of error 904 00:46:41,960 --> 00:46:44,800 Speaker 1: in the head to head poles against. It's a disaster 905 00:46:45,480 --> 00:46:48,120 Speaker 1: what's happening to him. The latest pull USA today Suffolk 906 00:46:48,120 --> 00:46:50,640 Speaker 1: has Fetterman on by nine. Yeah, and it's crazy. What's 907 00:46:50,680 --> 00:46:54,080 Speaker 1: remarkable too, is that this shows you how, you know, 908 00:46:54,320 --> 00:46:56,879 Speaker 1: a lot of times policy doesn't matter whether we would 909 00:46:56,920 --> 00:47:00,439 Speaker 1: like it, to or not. In the gubernatorial race, where 910 00:47:00,480 --> 00:47:03,600 Speaker 1: you have you know, Shapiro, who is a well known 911 00:47:03,640 --> 00:47:05,560 Speaker 1: figure in the state of the Democratic side. He's done 912 00:47:05,600 --> 00:47:08,960 Speaker 1: a few good things. There's nothing like objectionable really about him. 913 00:47:09,200 --> 00:47:11,840 Speaker 1: And then you have Mastriano, who's like was there on January. 914 00:47:11,880 --> 00:47:14,480 Speaker 1: I mean, this guy was intimately involved in the January 915 00:47:14,480 --> 00:47:18,759 Speaker 1: sixth election insanity. He's completely extreme on abortion, and he 916 00:47:18,840 --> 00:47:21,520 Speaker 1: has these views that are very much out of step 917 00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:25,320 Speaker 1: with the mainstream politics. That race is closer than actually 918 00:47:25,440 --> 00:47:28,400 Speaker 1: Fetterman and Oz, which is really interesting in a testament 919 00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:32,360 Speaker 1: I think to what a smart campaign John Fetterman is running. Frankly, 920 00:47:33,000 --> 00:47:37,160 Speaker 1: this is the type of thing that Republicans normally do well, 921 00:47:37,520 --> 00:47:40,680 Speaker 1: where they're like, you know what, we understand our economic 922 00:47:40,719 --> 00:47:43,360 Speaker 1: policy in particular is really unpopular. So we're not going 923 00:47:43,440 --> 00:47:46,560 Speaker 1: to talk about that. We're going to use cultural touchstones 924 00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:49,280 Speaker 1: and vibes to show you that we are the ones 925 00:47:49,440 --> 00:47:51,799 Speaker 1: that get your concerns and we are the ones who 926 00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:53,560 Speaker 1: are going to fight for you and that you can 927 00:47:53,600 --> 00:47:56,759 Speaker 1: relate to. And in this matchup, I mean, this is 928 00:47:56,800 --> 00:48:00,560 Speaker 1: a perfect matchup ultimately for Fetterman, because Fetterman and does 929 00:48:00,719 --> 00:48:03,200 Speaker 1: he is Pennsylvania thrown through is the mayor of a 930 00:48:03,200 --> 00:48:06,320 Speaker 1: steel town. He you know, where's the basketball? Jim shorts 931 00:48:06,360 --> 00:48:09,080 Speaker 1: everywhere he goes, and it feels very natural. He's got 932 00:48:09,280 --> 00:48:11,600 Speaker 1: you know, he's very comfortable in his skin. He's not 933 00:48:11,640 --> 00:48:14,200 Speaker 1: one of these Democrats that, like, you know, they've never 934 00:48:14,280 --> 00:48:16,920 Speaker 1: worn jeans and a flannel shirt before they filmed the 935 00:48:16,960 --> 00:48:19,560 Speaker 1: campaign at which is like ninety percent of the candidates. 936 00:48:19,600 --> 00:48:23,359 Speaker 1: Democrats love to run Republicancy that sometimes too, but this 937 00:48:23,480 --> 00:48:26,800 Speaker 1: matchup where Fetterman clearly saw, Oh, I know the contrast 938 00:48:26,880 --> 00:48:29,160 Speaker 1: to make here, I know how to I know how 939 00:48:29,160 --> 00:48:31,400 Speaker 1: to pull this off. I'm not sure that I would 940 00:48:31,440 --> 00:48:34,600 Speaker 1: have predicted that this would be as damning and as 941 00:48:34,640 --> 00:48:39,640 Speaker 1: devastating as it is so far, but it really, it 942 00:48:39,640 --> 00:48:42,879 Speaker 1: has been very savvy and very clever, and I think 943 00:48:42,920 --> 00:48:44,880 Speaker 1: it has hurt Oz a lot, especially as he is 944 00:48:44,880 --> 00:48:48,279 Speaker 1: completely silent and he's running. Oz is running this completely 945 00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:54,160 Speaker 1: cookie cutter, standard Republican talking point line of attack against Fetterman. 946 00:48:54,520 --> 00:48:58,719 Speaker 1: His most recent tweet was when the most extreme liberals 947 00:48:58,800 --> 00:49:01,319 Speaker 1: endorsed John Fetterman and tells you everything you need to 948 00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:03,000 Speaker 1: know about what kind of center do you be? It's 949 00:49:03,040 --> 00:49:05,920 Speaker 1: all just like Oh, he's he's left, he's Bernie Sanders, 950 00:49:05,920 --> 00:49:09,840 Speaker 1: he's a socialist. All just completely cookie cutter talking points 951 00:49:09,840 --> 00:49:12,560 Speaker 1: that you see in every single Republican race, and people 952 00:49:12,600 --> 00:49:16,120 Speaker 1: are not impressed. Also extreme liberals like what that's what 953 00:49:16,200 --> 00:49:19,680 Speaker 1: Kelly Laff. Remember this is Kelly Laff against Warnock. You'd 954 00:49:19,680 --> 00:49:22,200 Speaker 1: be like radical socialist Raphael Warnock. Well, how did that 955 00:49:22,200 --> 00:49:24,239 Speaker 1: work out for you? Kelly? I mean, you know how 956 00:49:24,239 --> 00:49:26,440 Speaker 1: you run against John Ftterman. Don't talk about him at all, 957 00:49:26,480 --> 00:49:28,839 Speaker 1: talk about Joe Biden, and by Biden, Biden, Biden, there's 958 00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:30,920 Speaker 1: gonna be a Biden stooge. Just run against Biden. Run 959 00:49:30,960 --> 00:49:33,640 Speaker 1: against the National Democrats. That's the easiest thing. You don't 960 00:49:33,640 --> 00:49:35,360 Speaker 1: even have to tie to them. It's making into a 961 00:49:35,400 --> 00:49:37,279 Speaker 1: national reference. I'm going to say, hey, if you want 962 00:49:37,320 --> 00:49:39,160 Speaker 1: somebody to go up and stand up against Joe Biden 963 00:49:39,200 --> 00:49:40,839 Speaker 1: and lawyer gas Price and vote for me, I mean, 964 00:49:40,960 --> 00:49:43,839 Speaker 1: is that so difficult? I just I truly don't get it. 965 00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:47,400 Speaker 1: Because the problem that Oz has right now is Fetterman 966 00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:49,920 Speaker 1: is destroying him as the carpetbagger, and he needs to 967 00:49:50,000 --> 00:49:52,720 Speaker 1: at the very least be on the airwaves reminding people 968 00:49:52,920 --> 00:49:56,120 Speaker 1: that he lives in Pennsylvania, now, be a good listen. 969 00:49:56,160 --> 00:49:58,359 Speaker 1: I mean, look, there's a long history of carpet bagging. 970 00:49:58,440 --> 00:50:00,480 Speaker 1: Ask Hillary Clinton and Bobby Kennedy. I think they were 971 00:50:00,480 --> 00:50:02,440 Speaker 1: from New York. All right, So throw this up there 972 00:50:02,480 --> 00:50:06,319 Speaker 1: on the screen. Fetterman is running and flying planes over 973 00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:09,760 Speaker 1: the Jersey shore to troll doctor Oz. He's selling bumper 974 00:50:09,760 --> 00:50:13,480 Speaker 1: stickers to say doctor Oz for New Jersey. And it's 975 00:50:13,600 --> 00:50:17,080 Speaker 1: really resonating with a lot of people. And like I said, 976 00:50:17,120 --> 00:50:19,000 Speaker 1: the issue with Oz is not like he has a 977 00:50:19,000 --> 00:50:22,399 Speaker 1: tremendous amount of support within the GOP base because they 978 00:50:22,400 --> 00:50:26,160 Speaker 1: don't trust him after the brutal campaign David McCormick and 979 00:50:26,200 --> 00:50:28,799 Speaker 1: all of that. And look, even if Trump comes to 980 00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:31,640 Speaker 1: Pennsylvania and tries to drag him across the finish line 981 00:50:31,640 --> 00:50:34,160 Speaker 1: for the general election, it's still going to be a 982 00:50:34,239 --> 00:50:37,400 Speaker 1: very uphill battle. Fetterman is again a testament, just like 983 00:50:37,440 --> 00:50:40,040 Speaker 1: we were talking about with herschel Walker, where candidate quality 984 00:50:40,320 --> 00:50:42,680 Speaker 1: doesn't always matter, but when it does, it can matter 985 00:50:42,760 --> 00:50:44,680 Speaker 1: a lot, and it can matter just enough in other 986 00:50:44,719 --> 00:50:47,280 Speaker 1: points in order to drag you across the finish line. 987 00:50:47,400 --> 00:50:50,320 Speaker 1: And with the current campaign, as long as it remains 988 00:50:50,360 --> 00:50:52,920 Speaker 1: where it is now and Oz seems totally frozen and 989 00:50:53,000 --> 00:50:55,400 Speaker 1: inability to really not even define Fetterman but have a 990 00:50:55,440 --> 00:50:57,440 Speaker 1: reason to vote for him, which again I think is 991 00:50:57,760 --> 00:50:59,920 Speaker 1: extremely easy, just you know, vote for me in order 992 00:50:59,920 --> 00:51:02,560 Speaker 1: to stand up to Joe Biden. I don't see the 993 00:51:02,719 --> 00:51:04,440 Speaker 1: I don't see a way where he can pull himself 994 00:51:04,440 --> 00:51:07,160 Speaker 1: out of this. Now. Look, it's still early. He could 995 00:51:07,520 --> 00:51:10,839 Speaker 1: shift strategy, he could do exactly what I'm saying. You know, look, 996 00:51:10,840 --> 00:51:15,000 Speaker 1: he's still a multi He's a multimillionaire celebrity. He didn't 997 00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:17,920 Speaker 1: get there by no reason. He's very politically talented when 998 00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:20,399 Speaker 1: he wants to be. I just think that he's very 999 00:51:20,440 --> 00:51:22,680 Speaker 1: frozen right now and doesn't seem to know what to 1000 00:51:22,719 --> 00:51:25,560 Speaker 1: do well whenever he's backed into a corner. It really does. 1001 00:51:25,680 --> 00:51:28,200 Speaker 1: The Feederman strategy here really does remind me of what 1002 00:51:28,239 --> 00:51:31,120 Speaker 1: Obama and his team did to met rob Yeah, that's right. 1003 00:51:31,160 --> 00:51:33,480 Speaker 1: It really does look like a very similar playbook. I 1004 00:51:33,480 --> 00:51:35,399 Speaker 1: don't know if you guys remember those ads, but they 1005 00:51:35,480 --> 00:51:38,640 Speaker 1: were excellent and they were savage, and I mean remember 1006 00:51:38,760 --> 00:51:41,839 Speaker 1: the guy this like, you know, white working class guy 1007 00:51:41,880 --> 00:51:45,080 Speaker 1: I think at Ohio saying that they made him build 1008 00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:48,319 Speaker 1: the stage where the executives then announced that they're all 1009 00:51:48,360 --> 00:51:50,200 Speaker 1: getting fired, and he's like, it was like I was 1010 00:51:50,239 --> 00:51:53,800 Speaker 1: building my own coffin. They went up on the air early, 1011 00:51:54,040 --> 00:51:56,600 Speaker 1: and that actually goes against a lot of sort of 1012 00:51:56,640 --> 00:51:59,839 Speaker 1: conventional wisdom in politics, as you wait till the end 1013 00:51:59,880 --> 00:52:02,080 Speaker 1: and then you you know, dump millions of dollars of 1014 00:52:02,080 --> 00:52:04,200 Speaker 1: ads on the airwaves because that's when voters are finally 1015 00:52:04,239 --> 00:52:07,480 Speaker 1: paying attention. Well, the Obama team said, no, we are 1016 00:52:07,480 --> 00:52:10,560 Speaker 1: going to define Mitt Romney early, before they have a 1017 00:52:10,640 --> 00:52:13,160 Speaker 1: chance to find themselves, and we are going to paint 1018 00:52:13,239 --> 00:52:20,000 Speaker 1: him as this cartoonishly villainous like monopoly man character, rapacious capitalists, 1019 00:52:20,120 --> 00:52:24,200 Speaker 1: private equity ghoul. And it was very effective, and I 1020 00:52:24,239 --> 00:52:28,480 Speaker 1: mean he's really never overcome that image of himself that 1021 00:52:28,640 --> 00:52:32,080 Speaker 1: was very carefully crafted by the Obama team. And the 1022 00:52:32,120 --> 00:52:34,440 Speaker 1: reason that it landed and it worked is because there 1023 00:52:34,520 --> 00:52:36,560 Speaker 1: was some there there and because Mitt Romney's is very 1024 00:52:36,600 --> 00:52:39,360 Speaker 1: awkward character anyway, and you would say weird things, you know, 1025 00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:40,799 Speaker 1: the trees are the right height and all this sort 1026 00:52:40,800 --> 00:52:43,759 Speaker 1: of Stuffhere, You're like, You're not a real normal human being, 1027 00:52:43,840 --> 00:52:47,080 Speaker 1: are you. And I think that Fetterman is running a 1028 00:52:47,239 --> 00:52:50,280 Speaker 1: very similar playbook of I'm going to go up early. 1029 00:52:50,400 --> 00:52:52,759 Speaker 1: I'm going to define this guy before he has a 1030 00:52:52,880 --> 00:52:57,239 Speaker 1: chance to define himself to Pennsylvania voters. And once that 1031 00:52:57,320 --> 00:53:01,799 Speaker 1: caricature lands in stiff And again with Oz, there's enough 1032 00:53:01,840 --> 00:53:04,640 Speaker 1: there there that it seems to be really sticking. It 1033 00:53:04,719 --> 00:53:07,920 Speaker 1: can be very hard to overcome, especially when you have 1034 00:53:08,200 --> 00:53:11,280 Speaker 1: in contrast Fetterman, who is a sort of great political 1035 00:53:11,400 --> 00:53:14,279 Speaker 1: character and you know, has this great everyman vibe. I 1036 00:53:14,320 --> 00:53:17,959 Speaker 1: think it's Look, it should have been an extraordinarily winnable race. 1037 00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:20,359 Speaker 1: If he does lose it, it's entirely his fault for 1038 00:53:20,680 --> 00:53:22,799 Speaker 1: doing that, for allowing himself to get defined. I mean, look, 1039 00:53:22,800 --> 00:53:24,919 Speaker 1: we have a long history of electing super rich people. Listen, 1040 00:53:25,000 --> 00:53:26,640 Speaker 1: I'm not saying it's a good thing. But it's not 1041 00:53:26,719 --> 00:53:28,760 Speaker 1: like Mark Warner and all these other people haven't faced 1042 00:53:28,920 --> 00:53:31,319 Speaker 1: similar attacks. Martin Moore is worth actually probably I think 1043 00:53:31,320 --> 00:53:33,920 Speaker 1: he's richer than doctor Ossy. It was always John Carrey. 1044 00:53:34,000 --> 00:53:36,279 Speaker 1: But guess what, they all got elected, So it's not 1045 00:53:36,360 --> 00:53:38,640 Speaker 1: like it can't be done. And if it's not like 1046 00:53:38,640 --> 00:53:41,200 Speaker 1: they didn't face the attacks, just like that, he could 1047 00:53:41,280 --> 00:53:44,760 Speaker 1: very easily parry it with a modicum of political talent. Personally, 1048 00:53:44,800 --> 00:53:46,760 Speaker 1: I thought he would it's not that hard to translate 1049 00:53:47,040 --> 00:53:49,840 Speaker 1: from the screen in the modern era. But he's flailing. 1050 00:53:49,920 --> 00:53:52,000 Speaker 1: He clearly is out of his death. If I had 1051 00:53:52,000 --> 00:53:53,480 Speaker 1: to guess, I don't think he's used to be intact. 1052 00:53:53,520 --> 00:53:54,759 Speaker 1: I think that a lot of these people are so 1053 00:53:54,920 --> 00:53:58,680 Speaker 1: used to being in the public spotlight, celebrity kind of bubble. 1054 00:53:58,760 --> 00:54:00,600 Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, I mean, you're just not used to dealing 1055 00:54:00,680 --> 00:54:02,600 Speaker 1: in any sort of substances. He's probably on the back 1056 00:54:02,640 --> 00:54:04,319 Speaker 1: foot for the first time in his entire life. Is 1057 00:54:04,400 --> 00:54:06,600 Speaker 1: super rich, got nine mansions, you know, it was a 1058 00:54:06,600 --> 00:54:09,200 Speaker 1: massive celebrity. He had a very high Q score in 1059 00:54:09,280 --> 00:54:11,759 Speaker 1: terms of his favorability ratings. Took some hits over the 1060 00:54:11,840 --> 00:54:14,200 Speaker 1: years for hawking, diet pills and all that stuff. But 1061 00:54:14,560 --> 00:54:16,680 Speaker 1: he's just not used to being in the arena. And 1062 00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:20,120 Speaker 1: I mean Fetterman to his credit, he's an actual politician, 1063 00:54:20,400 --> 00:54:24,320 Speaker 1: came up through that world, ran a great campaign against 1064 00:54:24,360 --> 00:54:26,480 Speaker 1: Connor Lamb, and is using the same playbook even though 1065 00:54:26,520 --> 00:54:29,040 Speaker 1: the guy is literally in the hospital. So it's humiliating 1066 00:54:29,040 --> 00:54:30,680 Speaker 1: for doctor Oz. He needs to step it up and 1067 00:54:31,640 --> 00:54:33,560 Speaker 1: for right now, in terms of how he's responded to this, 1068 00:54:33,840 --> 00:54:36,200 Speaker 1: it doesn't look good. At the same time, what are 1069 00:54:36,239 --> 00:54:39,200 Speaker 1: all the caveats. National wins are almost determined. You know, 1070 00:54:39,320 --> 00:54:41,520 Speaker 1: things are probably only going to get worse for Joe Biden. 1071 00:54:41,800 --> 00:54:43,360 Speaker 1: It doesn't take a genius to figure out that you 1072 00:54:43,360 --> 00:54:45,480 Speaker 1: should just run against him and os coould still win 1073 00:54:45,520 --> 00:54:48,279 Speaker 1: this thing. Yeah, some Republican consultant is going to come 1074 00:54:48,280 --> 00:54:51,120 Speaker 1: in and be like, here's how we're going to do things. 1075 00:54:51,440 --> 00:54:53,080 Speaker 1: You just sit back and let us take it. Mitch 1076 00:54:53,120 --> 00:54:56,279 Speaker 1: McConnell is not going to let whatever. He's not going 1077 00:54:56,320 --> 00:54:58,319 Speaker 1: to let doctor Oz just sink to the bottom so 1078 00:54:58,400 --> 00:55:01,239 Speaker 1: quickly in Pennsylvania. He needs that seat, he needs to 1079 00:55:01,320 --> 00:55:03,640 Speaker 1: keep it. They are going to throw everything they possibly 1080 00:55:03,680 --> 00:55:06,640 Speaker 1: can into this thing, and so don't count anything out 1081 00:55:06,719 --> 00:55:08,879 Speaker 1: right now. Well it's curly and that's where things stand 1082 00:55:08,960 --> 00:55:12,000 Speaker 1: well because remember this is one of the few pickup 1083 00:55:12,160 --> 00:55:16,400 Speaker 1: opportunities for Democrats. So if Democrats win this seat, they 1084 00:55:16,400 --> 00:55:19,080 Speaker 1: can afford to lose one of the others that they 1085 00:55:19,120 --> 00:55:22,880 Speaker 1: have and still maintain control. So this is a rare 1086 00:55:23,200 --> 00:55:25,640 Speaker 1: situation in this year for Democrats where they have an 1087 00:55:25,640 --> 00:55:29,520 Speaker 1: opportunity for a pickup, and that would that would very much, 1088 00:55:29,560 --> 00:55:33,839 Speaker 1: That would really hurt Republican chances, especially when you have 1089 00:55:33,960 --> 00:55:38,280 Speaker 1: you know, other less than amazing candidates and other situations 1090 00:55:38,280 --> 00:55:41,440 Speaker 1: across the country. Okay, speaking of less than amazing candidate, 1091 00:55:41,520 --> 00:55:45,479 Speaker 1: I love our all of our transitions. Today, let's throw 1092 00:55:45,480 --> 00:55:49,520 Speaker 1: this up there on the screen. Missouri. Trump seems eminently 1093 00:55:49,560 --> 00:55:52,880 Speaker 1: determined to nominate the worst possible person in the state 1094 00:55:52,960 --> 00:55:56,359 Speaker 1: of Missouri, Vicky Hartzler, who had actually recently been doing 1095 00:55:56,400 --> 00:56:00,120 Speaker 1: pretty well in the polls. She was endorsed by Josh Holly. 1096 00:56:00,200 --> 00:56:04,240 Speaker 1: She's really been endorsed by the establishment quote unquote within Missouri, 1097 00:56:04,440 --> 00:56:06,640 Speaker 1: who view her as the alternative to Eric Britons, the 1098 00:56:06,640 --> 00:56:09,440 Speaker 1: former governor resigned in disgrace. Obviously, he's been accused, you know, 1099 00:56:09,440 --> 00:56:13,160 Speaker 1: by his wife of assaulting her, his child, all this 1100 00:56:13,239 --> 00:56:17,680 Speaker 1: other stuff. Well, Vicky Hartzler recently called Trump for his endorsement, 1101 00:56:17,880 --> 00:56:21,440 Speaker 1: and he put out a truth. He truthed. You can 1102 00:56:21,520 --> 00:56:24,040 Speaker 1: forget about Vicky Hertzler for Senate from the great state 1103 00:56:24,080 --> 00:56:27,040 Speaker 1: of Missouri. She called me this morning asking for my endorsement, 1104 00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:29,360 Speaker 1: much as she has on many other occasions. I was 1105 00:56:29,440 --> 00:56:31,680 Speaker 1: anything but positive in that I don't think she has 1106 00:56:31,719 --> 00:56:34,360 Speaker 1: what it takes to take on the radical left Democrats, 1107 00:56:34,360 --> 00:56:36,800 Speaker 1: together with their partner in the discruction of our country, 1108 00:56:36,960 --> 00:56:39,759 Speaker 1: the fake news media, and of course the deceptive and 1109 00:56:39,840 --> 00:56:43,080 Speaker 1: foolish Rhinos. So my guess would be the reason for 1110 00:56:43,120 --> 00:56:46,600 Speaker 1: coming out against her is that he simply hates the establishment. 1111 00:56:46,640 --> 00:56:49,399 Speaker 1: He knows that Mitch McConnell wants Vicky Hartzler and Josh 1112 00:56:49,480 --> 00:56:53,040 Speaker 1: Holly no others, doesn't want Eric Britons. And look, Eric 1113 00:56:53,040 --> 00:56:56,239 Speaker 1: Britons has been favorably received as of recently at mar 1114 00:56:56,239 --> 00:56:59,160 Speaker 1: A Lago, and now there's only two people who are 1115 00:56:59,239 --> 00:57:01,840 Speaker 1: left in the race, Eric Schmidt and Gritons, and Griton's 1116 00:57:01,880 --> 00:57:05,239 Speaker 1: frankly is doing pretty well in the primary. But more importantly, 1117 00:57:05,280 --> 00:57:08,440 Speaker 1: I think for Trump's purposes, Gritons has defined himself entirely 1118 00:57:08,480 --> 00:57:11,000 Speaker 1: on stop the Steal. Outside of that ridiculous ad that 1119 00:57:11,239 --> 00:57:14,400 Speaker 1: we played here about rhino hunting, he has positioned himself 1120 00:57:14,440 --> 00:57:17,640 Speaker 1: perfectly to get the Trump endorsement. By he was on 1121 00:57:17,680 --> 00:57:20,840 Speaker 1: the ground in Arizona filming these insane videos about we're 1122 00:57:20,840 --> 00:57:22,880 Speaker 1: going to audit the elections. He's been all over Steve 1123 00:57:22,920 --> 00:57:26,240 Speaker 1: Bannon's war room. He's been cultivating the online kind of 1124 00:57:26,280 --> 00:57:29,280 Speaker 1: maga bas despite the fact that his wife is like, hey, 1125 00:57:29,280 --> 00:57:31,720 Speaker 1: he's crazy, and he literally beat me and my son 1126 00:57:32,080 --> 00:57:35,200 Speaker 1: and it doesn't seem to matter for a lot of 1127 00:57:35,240 --> 00:57:40,440 Speaker 1: these folks. And him positioning himself that way and professing legitimate, 1128 00:57:40,520 --> 00:57:44,080 Speaker 1: undying loyalty to Trump in a really sociopathic and transparent 1129 00:57:44,080 --> 00:57:47,240 Speaker 1: way is just very clearly appealing to Trump. And I 1130 00:57:47,280 --> 00:57:49,480 Speaker 1: think he's probably going to endorse him. I just don't 1131 00:57:49,520 --> 00:57:52,560 Speaker 1: see a way that he doesn't, given where the polling is, 1132 00:57:52,720 --> 00:57:54,400 Speaker 1: and given the fact that he's willing to rule out 1133 00:57:54,600 --> 00:57:56,880 Speaker 1: Vicky Harser, who was the establishment in Canada pitched by 1134 00:57:56,880 --> 00:58:00,840 Speaker 1: Mitch McConnell. Briton's very expertly positioned himself the top by saying, 1135 00:58:01,480 --> 00:58:04,640 Speaker 1: I'm Mitch McCall's worst nightmare. I'm Mitch McCall's worst nightmare. Yes, 1136 00:58:04,640 --> 00:58:07,280 Speaker 1: that's exactly what Trump wants. It's not only that, though, 1137 00:58:07,360 --> 00:58:11,000 Speaker 1: it's also if you read this article, it is so 1138 00:58:11,360 --> 00:58:15,840 Speaker 1: embarrassing and gross how they try to get Trump's endorsement. 1139 00:58:16,400 --> 00:58:24,080 Speaker 1: So Griton's has has hired Kimberly Guilfoil. Oh yeah, as 1140 00:58:24,080 --> 00:58:29,280 Speaker 1: his campaign Coachair surprise, surprise, Don Junior then decides to 1141 00:58:29,360 --> 00:58:32,520 Speaker 1: endorse him. So, and you see this on a lot 1142 00:58:32,560 --> 00:58:34,720 Speaker 1: of these campaigns. There's another dude in this race who 1143 00:58:34,720 --> 00:58:37,080 Speaker 1: I think is trailing in fourth Place's name's Billy Long, 1144 00:58:37,440 --> 00:58:41,240 Speaker 1: who hired Kelly Anne Conway. He's given he has paid 1145 00:58:41,240 --> 00:58:44,680 Speaker 1: more than one hundred thousand dollars in campaign consulting fees 1146 00:58:44,720 --> 00:58:47,960 Speaker 1: to Kelly and Conway, hoping that she may be the 1147 00:58:47,960 --> 00:58:50,160 Speaker 1: one to get him the into Trump. And that's how 1148 00:58:50,200 --> 00:58:51,760 Speaker 1: all these people are selling these starts. I mean, at 1149 00:58:51,840 --> 00:58:55,720 Speaker 1: least Kelly Anne has some like campaigning and bona fide. 1150 00:58:55,800 --> 00:59:00,160 Speaker 1: Is Kimberly guilfoil. You're literally just that's literally just pay 1151 00:59:00,200 --> 00:59:03,680 Speaker 1: to play. I mean, you're just and this is just happening. 1152 00:59:03,720 --> 00:59:06,000 Speaker 1: This is happening in races across the country where it's 1153 00:59:06,000 --> 00:59:08,600 Speaker 1: all about let me pay the right Trump world figure 1154 00:59:08,920 --> 00:59:11,320 Speaker 1: to be on my side to try to score that 1155 00:59:11,360 --> 00:59:14,920 Speaker 1: Trump endorsement. They also say that Billy Long dude. They 1156 00:59:14,960 --> 00:59:17,800 Speaker 1: say he can be often be found handing out fake 1157 00:59:18,000 --> 00:59:21,280 Speaker 1: forty five dollars bills with Trump's face on them at 1158 00:59:21,360 --> 00:59:24,040 Speaker 1: the US Capitol and has overtly said that the Trump 1159 00:59:24,120 --> 00:59:27,520 Speaker 1: endorsement is his essentially only path to winning the Senate race. 1160 00:59:27,760 --> 00:59:31,840 Speaker 1: The level of shamelessness and groveling and just outright grift 1161 00:59:31,880 --> 00:59:39,040 Speaker 1: and corruption going into this endorsement process is also extraordinarily disgusting. Gritons. 1162 00:59:39,440 --> 00:59:42,040 Speaker 1: You know we've covered here his He had to resign 1163 00:59:42,520 --> 00:59:45,760 Speaker 1: from being governor of Missouri in disgrace under pressure from 1164 00:59:45,760 --> 00:59:48,360 Speaker 1: his own party, not only over the fact that he 1165 00:59:48,480 --> 00:59:53,320 Speaker 1: was very credibly accused of blackmailing his mistress by tying 1166 00:59:53,320 --> 00:59:56,320 Speaker 1: her up naked and taking photographs of her and telling 1167 00:59:56,360 --> 00:59:58,720 Speaker 1: her that if she ever said anything about her the 1168 00:59:58,760 --> 01:00:01,680 Speaker 1: affair that he would release the So that happened. He 1169 01:00:01,720 --> 01:00:06,040 Speaker 1: also was under investigation for campaign finance fraud and corruption, 1170 01:00:06,240 --> 01:00:09,440 Speaker 1: and so he steps down to avoid a fullsome investigation 1171 01:00:09,680 --> 01:00:13,240 Speaker 1: into that those allegations of corruption. Now we have the 1172 01:00:13,280 --> 01:00:15,840 Speaker 1: new allegations from his ex wife, which had been filed 1173 01:00:15,840 --> 01:00:20,280 Speaker 1: in court about alleged domestic violence against her and against 1174 01:00:20,320 --> 01:00:24,880 Speaker 1: their son, and also insane like psychological manipulation and abuse. 1175 01:00:25,360 --> 01:00:27,520 Speaker 1: But the other thing you should know about this dude 1176 01:00:27,600 --> 01:00:30,760 Speaker 1: is he literally believes nothing. I mean this, He is 1177 01:00:30,800 --> 01:00:33,520 Speaker 1: a total shape shifter. A close friend of mine who's 1178 01:00:33,520 --> 01:00:36,480 Speaker 1: Missouri politico Jeff Smith, who was in the state Senate 1179 01:00:36,600 --> 01:00:40,520 Speaker 1: and has lived in Missouri's whole life and actually grew 1180 01:00:40,600 --> 01:00:43,160 Speaker 1: up with Gritons, played soccer with him. They did boys 1181 01:00:43,200 --> 01:00:46,680 Speaker 1: state together. They went to college in similar places. They 1182 01:00:46,720 --> 01:00:50,360 Speaker 1: taught at the same university. Back in two thousand and eight, 1183 01:00:50,840 --> 01:00:55,760 Speaker 1: Britons was an Obama stand personally drove to the DNC 1184 01:00:55,960 --> 01:00:59,520 Speaker 1: to see his historic nomination, and then the minute that 1185 01:00:59,560 --> 01:01:02,640 Speaker 1: the political wins in Missouri are clearly shifting towards the 1186 01:01:02,680 --> 01:01:05,800 Speaker 1: Republican Party, he changes on the dime. He is a 1187 01:01:05,840 --> 01:01:08,200 Speaker 1: tea party dude. And then the minute the wind shift 1188 01:01:08,240 --> 01:01:11,680 Speaker 1: again in the MAGA direction, Well, now he's all in there. 1189 01:01:11,760 --> 01:01:14,880 Speaker 1: So this is someone who cares about nothing, believes nothing, 1190 01:01:14,920 --> 01:01:17,600 Speaker 1: and will do and say whatever it takes that he 1191 01:01:17,680 --> 01:01:19,640 Speaker 1: thinks will serve his own Amay. What' hilarious to me 1192 01:01:19,720 --> 01:01:22,880 Speaker 1: is I knew Eric Britons whenever he was a beloved 1193 01:01:22,920 --> 01:01:26,120 Speaker 1: by the neo kon billionaires. It was common story here 1194 01:01:26,120 --> 01:01:28,200 Speaker 1: and why they're like, oh, we love Eric Britons down 1195 01:01:28,240 --> 01:01:31,720 Speaker 1: there like they they loved him. He sought all of 1196 01:01:31,760 --> 01:01:34,479 Speaker 1: their endorsements and then turns on a dime and then look, 1197 01:01:34,520 --> 01:01:39,640 Speaker 1: he saw political resurrection and just debasing himself completely. From 1198 01:01:39,640 --> 01:01:42,320 Speaker 1: what I've heard, he's hated in the seal community, he's 1199 01:01:42,360 --> 01:01:45,000 Speaker 1: hated in the special operations community. He was hated by 1200 01:01:45,000 --> 01:01:47,800 Speaker 1: his turncoats in the Tea Party movement, and now he's 1201 01:01:47,800 --> 01:01:49,720 Speaker 1: got all in on MAGA and they're willing to take 1202 01:01:49,760 --> 01:01:52,480 Speaker 1: him because they'll take anybody really who spouts enough of 1203 01:01:52,480 --> 01:01:54,439 Speaker 1: this crap. But they listen, it could work, and let's 1204 01:01:54,480 --> 01:01:56,160 Speaker 1: be honest, you know, if he gets the nomination, he's 1205 01:01:56,160 --> 01:01:59,320 Speaker 1: probably gonna win. I mean, that's generally how it works. Yeah, 1206 01:01:59,360 --> 01:02:03,160 Speaker 1: So I asked Jeff what he thought. And on the 1207 01:02:03,200 --> 01:02:05,600 Speaker 1: Democratic side there's a primary as well. We've had Lucas 1208 01:02:05,680 --> 01:02:08,040 Speaker 1: Kuhns on this show, who is a veteran. He was 1209 01:02:08,120 --> 01:02:11,000 Speaker 1: fantastic talking about Afghanistan and the corruption that he saw 1210 01:02:11,240 --> 01:02:13,560 Speaker 1: on the ground there. He's also, you know, been really 1211 01:02:13,600 --> 01:02:17,480 Speaker 1: thoughtful on China. He worked on anti monopoly. He's really 1212 01:02:17,600 --> 01:02:22,760 Speaker 1: running a full throat, is full throated populist left campaign 1213 01:02:23,000 --> 01:02:25,280 Speaker 1: in the bottle of sort of like the progressive populist 1214 01:02:25,320 --> 01:02:28,640 Speaker 1: of the Midwest. And he's up against of course, Democrats 1215 01:02:28,640 --> 01:02:32,200 Speaker 1: would put up this like beer heiress, and it's a 1216 01:02:32,200 --> 01:02:34,040 Speaker 1: close primary. It's hard to say who's going to come 1217 01:02:34,120 --> 01:02:36,520 Speaker 1: out of that ultimately. But I was asking Jeff what 1218 01:02:36,560 --> 01:02:41,040 Speaker 1: he thought about the Democrats' chances if Brighton's ends up 1219 01:02:41,040 --> 01:02:43,600 Speaker 1: as the nominees. There do they have any shot, given 1220 01:02:43,680 --> 01:02:46,360 Speaker 1: how far to the right Missouri has gone. This chance 1221 01:02:46,400 --> 01:02:48,160 Speaker 1: and you know he thought there was like a one 1222 01:02:48,200 --> 01:02:51,720 Speaker 1: in five chance. It's still very long odds, very likely. 1223 01:02:51,760 --> 01:02:54,560 Speaker 1: Whoever comes out of the Republican primary is going to 1224 01:02:54,560 --> 01:02:58,000 Speaker 1: be the next Senator from Missouri, but the only one 1225 01:02:58,680 --> 01:03:01,480 Speaker 1: that you know, they're trying to nominate, the one guy 1226 01:03:01,520 --> 01:03:05,080 Speaker 1: who even has a shot at losing. And right now 1227 01:03:05,720 --> 01:03:08,560 Speaker 1: I think we have this real clear politics. He's in 1228 01:03:08,600 --> 01:03:11,800 Speaker 1: the average of polls, Grightens is up by two. The 1229 01:03:11,880 --> 01:03:15,600 Speaker 1: latest polling from Trafalgar has him up by one, so 1230 01:03:15,720 --> 01:03:18,200 Speaker 1: margin of air. The ones before that had him up 1231 01:03:18,200 --> 01:03:20,960 Speaker 1: by six, up by nine. The one before that did 1232 01:03:21,000 --> 01:03:23,440 Speaker 1: have Schmidt up there for a minute, but overall the 1233 01:03:24,200 --> 01:03:27,320 Speaker 1: averages look like they are in Brighton's favor. And let 1234 01:03:27,320 --> 01:03:29,840 Speaker 1: me tell you, if Trump comes in and endorses, it's 1235 01:03:29,840 --> 01:03:32,000 Speaker 1: going to steal the deal. Yeah, I think you're right. 1236 01:03:32,080 --> 01:03:34,920 Speaker 1: And look, it'll be fun, I guess to watch, and 1237 01:03:35,000 --> 01:03:37,640 Speaker 1: if he wins, it'll just be a great commentary on 1238 01:03:37,680 --> 01:03:41,320 Speaker 1: the American political system. Yeah. So the Republicans are doing 1239 01:03:41,360 --> 01:03:46,120 Speaker 1: their damnedest to try to keep the Senate in Democratic control. 1240 01:03:46,520 --> 01:03:49,000 Speaker 1: And I do think that what's happening in the House 1241 01:03:49,280 --> 01:03:52,000 Speaker 1: is another sort of stunning indictment of the poor quality 1242 01:03:52,040 --> 01:03:54,000 Speaker 1: of some of these candidates. Because in the House, where 1243 01:03:54,000 --> 01:03:56,680 Speaker 1: it's just the national wins, Republicans are poised to completely 1244 01:03:56,680 --> 01:03:58,160 Speaker 1: clean up. Let's go ahead and put this up on 1245 01:03:58,200 --> 01:04:01,920 Speaker 1: the screen. So here's this is a tweet that says 1246 01:04:02,200 --> 01:04:05,400 Speaker 1: new Biden's anemic approval rating is weakening House Deems map 1247 01:04:05,480 --> 01:04:07,640 Speaker 1: even more than you thought Dems were on defense in 1248 01:04:07,640 --> 01:04:11,160 Speaker 1: at least thirty districts. Now Republicans are preparing to seriously 1249 01:04:11,160 --> 01:04:15,800 Speaker 1: contest a dozen more. Many of those districts are Biden 1250 01:04:16,000 --> 01:04:20,640 Speaker 1: plus nine or higher, meaning that Biden won these districts, 1251 01:04:20,640 --> 01:04:25,400 Speaker 1: oftentimes by double digits. They go into some of the 1252 01:04:25,480 --> 01:04:29,680 Speaker 1: polling here, which is just shows you how bad of 1253 01:04:29,720 --> 01:04:33,160 Speaker 1: a landscape this is for Democrats overall, and how in 1254 01:04:33,200 --> 01:04:35,680 Speaker 1: the House, where again it's much less about the individual 1255 01:04:35,680 --> 01:04:38,000 Speaker 1: candidates and much more about just how do people feel 1256 01:04:38,000 --> 01:04:39,920 Speaker 1: about the state of the country, And the answer is terrible, 1257 01:04:40,000 --> 01:04:43,360 Speaker 1: not good. How bad things look for the Democrats. So 1258 01:04:44,080 --> 01:04:47,520 Speaker 1: they say Biden is down fifteen points in a pro 1259 01:04:47,720 --> 01:04:50,840 Speaker 1: Democrats group's polling of a now open Oregon seat that 1260 01:04:50,880 --> 01:04:53,840 Speaker 1: he won by nine points in twenty twenty, he's down 1261 01:04:53,960 --> 01:04:57,880 Speaker 1: sixteen points in a New Hampshire district that he had 1262 01:04:57,920 --> 01:05:01,680 Speaker 1: won by nine points. He's down seventeen points in a 1263 01:05:01,720 --> 01:05:04,720 Speaker 1: recent Republican survey of a Minnesota seat that he carried 1264 01:05:04,760 --> 01:05:09,720 Speaker 1: by seven points four years ago. So you're talking about massive, 1265 01:05:09,920 --> 01:05:14,680 Speaker 1: like thirty point shifts towards Republicans that are putting seats 1266 01:05:14,720 --> 01:05:17,960 Speaker 1: into play that in their wildest dreams they wouldn't have 1267 01:05:18,000 --> 01:05:21,480 Speaker 1: thought would be feasible for them to win in this climate. 1268 01:05:21,760 --> 01:05:24,360 Speaker 1: So it really is starting to be a story of 1269 01:05:24,680 --> 01:05:26,960 Speaker 1: two houses. Now. Listen, I think you would still say 1270 01:05:27,120 --> 01:05:31,040 Speaker 1: Republicans are narrowly favored to win the Senate as well. Ultimately, 1271 01:05:31,440 --> 01:05:34,040 Speaker 1: you know, this polling is still early. Things could shake 1272 01:05:34,080 --> 01:05:36,320 Speaker 1: out just based on the national mood. You would still 1273 01:05:36,400 --> 01:05:39,080 Speaker 1: rather be a Republican running for Senate as well, But 1274 01:05:39,160 --> 01:05:42,320 Speaker 1: the House picture is really clear and Democrats are in 1275 01:05:42,400 --> 01:05:44,920 Speaker 1: for a very ugly nob. Yeah. I likely you put it, 1276 01:05:44,920 --> 01:05:46,280 Speaker 1: which is that the House is just much more of 1277 01:05:46,280 --> 01:05:48,880 Speaker 1: a referendum on the national mood. You know, House races 1278 01:05:48,920 --> 01:05:51,280 Speaker 1: never get the amount of interest that these Senate races are, 1279 01:05:51,320 --> 01:05:55,200 Speaker 1: and they're more dynamic, is more expensive, your candidate quality 1280 01:05:55,240 --> 01:05:57,240 Speaker 1: probably matters the most at the Senate level of any 1281 01:05:57,280 --> 01:06:01,640 Speaker 1: of the national elections, so gubernatorial and House guber and troyal, 1282 01:06:01,680 --> 01:06:03,360 Speaker 1: you know, more so like the Senate, but House is 1283 01:06:03,440 --> 01:06:05,919 Speaker 1: just complete wins. And with this, I mean the fact 1284 01:06:05,920 --> 01:06:09,120 Speaker 1: that they're contesting in Biden plus nine districts. At the 1285 01:06:09,160 --> 01:06:11,840 Speaker 1: same time, I think we should just be careful because 1286 01:06:11,840 --> 01:06:13,920 Speaker 1: what we've been talking about are these wild swings in 1287 01:06:13,920 --> 01:06:16,920 Speaker 1: the Democrat generic ballot, like what we saw after Row 1288 01:06:17,000 --> 01:06:19,400 Speaker 1: versus way to the extent that the House Dems have 1289 01:06:19,600 --> 01:06:22,280 Speaker 1: any chance, it's in those states trying to run on that, 1290 01:06:22,600 --> 01:06:26,000 Speaker 1: trying to activate some sort of committed base in order 1291 01:06:26,040 --> 01:06:29,600 Speaker 1: to actually overcome the enthusiasm gap, because that's just where 1292 01:06:29,840 --> 01:06:32,680 Speaker 1: the Republicans are cleaning up, not just on the generic ballot, 1293 01:06:32,680 --> 01:06:34,880 Speaker 1: but their base is ready to come out and vote 1294 01:06:34,920 --> 01:06:38,440 Speaker 1: against Biden. Independence are fed up, disgusted with Biden, disgusted 1295 01:06:38,440 --> 01:06:40,760 Speaker 1: with the lack of action. They have to be able 1296 01:06:40,800 --> 01:06:43,080 Speaker 1: to make some sort of affirmative case the way they 1297 01:06:43,080 --> 01:06:45,600 Speaker 1: were in twenty eighteen. Soburban women, you know, the people 1298 01:06:45,600 --> 01:06:48,240 Speaker 1: who had showed up in the past, who hated Donald Trump. 1299 01:06:48,440 --> 01:06:51,040 Speaker 1: They'd have to try and make the same sort of referendum, 1300 01:06:51,040 --> 01:06:52,720 Speaker 1: but it's just not working for them, and and the 1301 01:06:52,840 --> 01:06:55,400 Speaker 1: Hispanic areas in particular what they point to. I mean, 1302 01:06:55,440 --> 01:06:57,280 Speaker 1: actually the New York Times poll even show this, yeah, 1303 01:06:57,360 --> 01:07:00,960 Speaker 1: effective tie between Hispanics between Joe Biden and imagine that. 1304 01:07:00,840 --> 01:07:02,600 Speaker 1: That's crazy. And if you look at men, it's actually 1305 01:07:02,600 --> 01:07:05,880 Speaker 1: probably higher even for Trump, which they're able to do 1306 01:07:05,960 --> 01:07:08,080 Speaker 1: and if they can capitalize on that. We'll talk about 1307 01:07:08,160 --> 01:07:13,000 Speaker 1: Jill Biden later on this week, but her comparing Hispanics 1308 01:07:13,040 --> 01:07:16,720 Speaker 1: to breakfast tacos as unique as breakfast tacos and not 1309 01:07:16,800 --> 01:07:20,200 Speaker 1: being able to pronounce bodega, which is crazy. I mean, 1310 01:07:20,240 --> 01:07:22,000 Speaker 1: I you've never been in New York City before, Bogada, 1311 01:07:22,160 --> 01:07:25,680 Speaker 1: Like what is happening? Listen. We could spend all day 1312 01:07:26,160 --> 01:07:29,920 Speaker 1: on that clip. But it's a big problem going into 1313 01:07:30,200 --> 01:07:32,840 Speaker 1: the House and Pelosi's day, I mean, she already knows 1314 01:07:32,840 --> 01:07:35,000 Speaker 1: her days are numbers. I really don't know how they're 1315 01:07:35,040 --> 01:07:38,240 Speaker 1: going to handle them leadership next year, because they're going 1316 01:07:38,280 --> 01:07:40,720 Speaker 1: to have to have a real Democratic leader who needs 1317 01:07:40,720 --> 01:07:42,360 Speaker 1: to make a case for why they should be speaker. 1318 01:07:42,760 --> 01:07:44,560 Speaker 1: I don't know how that's going to work. I'm sure 1319 01:07:44,600 --> 01:07:46,120 Speaker 1: they're going to rig it, but it could be total 1320 01:07:46,200 --> 01:07:48,840 Speaker 1: chaos and actual election for it. I mean, it seems 1321 01:07:48,840 --> 01:07:52,440 Speaker 1: like she's setting up Hakeem Jeffries as her successor. That 1322 01:07:52,560 --> 01:07:55,440 Speaker 1: seems like everybody's more or less like planning on that's 1323 01:07:55,480 --> 01:07:57,080 Speaker 1: the direction that they are going to go in, And 1324 01:07:57,120 --> 01:07:59,080 Speaker 1: I can't see anybody on the left really rocking the 1325 01:07:59,120 --> 01:08:03,240 Speaker 1: boat there. They should, they should. Won't hold my bread there. 1326 01:08:04,200 --> 01:08:06,760 Speaker 1: I think some of your warnings, though, are well said 1327 01:08:06,920 --> 01:08:11,440 Speaker 1: in terms of not over interpreting Biden's low approval in 1328 01:08:11,480 --> 01:08:14,000 Speaker 1: some of these districts, because keep in mind, part of 1329 01:08:14,040 --> 01:08:17,400 Speaker 1: why Biden's numbers are so low is because of his 1330 01:08:17,479 --> 01:08:19,960 Speaker 1: erosion among the Democratic base. Those are not people who 1331 01:08:20,000 --> 01:08:21,720 Speaker 1: are going to come in and then vote for a Republican. 1332 01:08:21,920 --> 01:08:26,639 Speaker 1: Most likely, those are people who are incredibly dissatisfied with Biden, 1333 01:08:26,880 --> 01:08:30,479 Speaker 1: but they're still Democrats, and they may be exercised over abortion, 1334 01:08:30,720 --> 01:08:34,960 Speaker 1: they may be exercised over any number of issues. You know, Actually, 1335 01:08:35,040 --> 01:08:37,719 Speaker 1: gun rights has been a Gun control has been another 1336 01:08:37,760 --> 01:08:39,760 Speaker 1: issue that has been in some poles even higher than 1337 01:08:40,040 --> 01:08:44,519 Speaker 1: abortion rights in terms of democratic based sentiment and what 1338 01:08:44,560 --> 01:08:47,479 Speaker 1: they care about. So the fact that Biden has a 1339 01:08:47,600 --> 01:08:51,080 Speaker 1: super low approval rating and a district doesn't necessarily mean 1340 01:08:51,160 --> 01:08:53,559 Speaker 1: that all of the people who are unhappy with him 1341 01:08:53,800 --> 01:08:56,080 Speaker 1: are flipping to the Republican Party. So that's a word 1342 01:08:56,080 --> 01:08:59,519 Speaker 1: of caution, But I do still think overall, I mean, 1343 01:08:59,560 --> 01:09:02,519 Speaker 1: this is this is a really ugly portrait for Americans. 1344 01:09:02,680 --> 01:09:05,680 Speaker 1: You just can't have it be the case, going back 1345 01:09:05,720 --> 01:09:08,439 Speaker 1: to the original polling that we were looking at here 1346 01:09:08,720 --> 01:09:11,840 Speaker 1: that only thirteen percent of the country says we're on 1347 01:09:11,880 --> 01:09:14,840 Speaker 1: the right track and they return the party in power, 1348 01:09:15,240 --> 01:09:18,439 Speaker 1: you know, back into power. I just that's not a 1349 01:09:18,560 --> 01:09:21,640 Speaker 1: universe that is likely to occur. That is an extraordinarily 1350 01:09:21,720 --> 01:09:25,400 Speaker 1: unlikely state of affairs. So I think it is. I 1351 01:09:25,439 --> 01:09:28,680 Speaker 1: think it is a real commentary on some of the 1352 01:09:29,040 --> 01:09:31,760 Speaker 1: extraordinary weakness of the Republican Canadas that any of these 1353 01:09:31,800 --> 01:09:34,800 Speaker 1: Senate seats are even in play. And I think the 1354 01:09:34,840 --> 01:09:37,320 Speaker 1: size of the gap at the House level really shows 1355 01:09:37,360 --> 01:09:41,560 Speaker 1: you just you know, how poorly they're doing by comparison 1356 01:09:41,640 --> 01:09:43,920 Speaker 1: at the Senate level, because I do think, you know, 1357 01:09:44,439 --> 01:09:47,920 Speaker 1: Republicans are in position to have it actually historic year 1358 01:09:48,120 --> 01:09:51,160 Speaker 1: in terms of winning seats at the House level if 1359 01:09:51,320 --> 01:09:54,599 Speaker 1: things do not shift. Yeah, agreed, Okay, let's talk about Hunter. 1360 01:09:55,320 --> 01:09:57,679 Speaker 1: Lot's been made on this online. So let's go ahead 1361 01:09:57,680 --> 01:10:01,479 Speaker 1: and put this up there on the screen, graduating in 1362 01:10:01,560 --> 01:10:04,960 Speaker 1: its news importance every day. It seem says that they 1363 01:10:05,000 --> 01:10:10,400 Speaker 1: have appeared to have cracked the iCloud of Hunter Biden. 1364 01:10:10,520 --> 01:10:13,640 Speaker 1: So here's the details. A user on four Chan who 1365 01:10:13,720 --> 01:10:16,760 Speaker 1: was immediately banned but did post screenshots of the website's 1366 01:10:16,920 --> 01:10:20,200 Speaker 1: political forum. This was all happening on Saturday night, which 1367 01:10:20,240 --> 01:10:23,000 Speaker 1: they claim to have been leaks from the Hunter Biden 1368 01:10:23,240 --> 01:10:26,839 Speaker 1: laptop and specific not just this laptop, specifically his iPhone, 1369 01:10:26,880 --> 01:10:29,800 Speaker 1: which has led to the release of numerous amounts of 1370 01:10:30,280 --> 01:10:33,559 Speaker 1: videos and others. This is basically combining with a lot 1371 01:10:33,600 --> 01:10:37,000 Speaker 1: of Hunter's personal details, text messages and others to father 1372 01:10:37,360 --> 01:10:40,280 Speaker 1: that's coming out now. What they show here and what 1373 01:10:40,320 --> 01:10:43,960 Speaker 1: they claim is that a former Secret Service agent who 1374 01:10:44,040 --> 01:10:48,360 Speaker 1: turned cyber forensic expert had apparently located the password to 1375 01:10:48,400 --> 01:10:52,000 Speaker 1: the iPhone backup and that was during the examination of 1376 01:10:52,040 --> 01:10:54,679 Speaker 1: the hard drive itself, which obviously has been out there 1377 01:10:54,840 --> 01:10:58,000 Speaker 1: for a while. And they say that the examination of 1378 01:10:58,040 --> 01:11:01,000 Speaker 1: the data says that the password protect did iPhone back 1379 01:11:01,200 --> 01:11:03,759 Speaker 1: up is likely authentic, and given some of the stuff 1380 01:11:03,880 --> 01:11:06,000 Speaker 1: which has come out, it does appear to be that 1381 01:11:06,040 --> 01:11:08,320 Speaker 1: way now in terms of the specifics. Look, I think 1382 01:11:08,680 --> 01:11:11,439 Speaker 1: this is We've been wrestling with this. It's difficult. Yes, 1383 01:11:11,479 --> 01:11:14,360 Speaker 1: he's the president's son, so to the extent anything is newsworthy, 1384 01:11:14,360 --> 01:11:16,760 Speaker 1: it's when it involves the president. People are pointing to 1385 01:11:16,800 --> 01:11:18,719 Speaker 1: the way that he talks about his father and whether 1386 01:11:18,760 --> 01:11:21,160 Speaker 1: he labels it anyway. I'm not going to get too 1387 01:11:21,240 --> 01:11:24,479 Speaker 1: much into it, but I have found it disturbing really 1388 01:11:24,520 --> 01:11:26,600 Speaker 1: and just the passing around of a lot of his 1389 01:11:26,720 --> 01:11:30,840 Speaker 1: personal videos, because look, Hunter is a crack addict, and 1390 01:11:30,960 --> 01:11:34,080 Speaker 1: I think that's obvious, and he behaves like a crack addict, 1391 01:11:34,120 --> 01:11:38,560 Speaker 1: and watching some of these videos is deeply, deeply disturbing. 1392 01:11:38,760 --> 01:11:42,519 Speaker 1: The takeaway to me is that when it involves Biden 1393 01:11:42,800 --> 01:11:45,519 Speaker 1: it is newsworthy, but posting videos of him cavorting with 1394 01:11:45,600 --> 01:11:50,160 Speaker 1: Russian prostitutes is both deeply disturbing and not particularly relevant. 1395 01:11:50,240 --> 01:11:52,479 Speaker 1: To the extent that it's relevant, it's how did he 1396 01:11:52,520 --> 01:11:53,880 Speaker 1: get away with this in the first place. So let's 1397 01:11:53,880 --> 01:11:55,400 Speaker 1: flow this up there from Glenn, I thought he made 1398 01:11:55,400 --> 01:11:57,360 Speaker 1: an excellent point, which is or sorry, this is from 1399 01:11:57,400 --> 01:11:59,120 Speaker 1: the Secret Service. They say that they're aware of the 1400 01:11:59,280 --> 01:12:01,679 Speaker 1: iCloud backup, not in a position to make public comments 1401 01:12:01,800 --> 01:12:04,120 Speaker 1: on potential investigative claims. Throw the next one up there 1402 01:12:04,120 --> 01:12:06,479 Speaker 1: from Glenn Greenwald, because I think that this was important, 1403 01:12:06,520 --> 01:12:10,360 Speaker 1: which is that what he says is that, sorry, apparently 1404 01:12:10,400 --> 01:12:12,880 Speaker 1: we didn't cut that. What Glenn says is that to 1405 01:12:12,920 --> 01:12:15,360 Speaker 1: the extent that any of this is relevant, it is 1406 01:12:15,439 --> 01:12:20,719 Speaker 1: when the Hunter Biden laptop story revealed corruption involving Hunter's 1407 01:12:20,800 --> 01:12:23,880 Speaker 1: business dealings with foreign governments, and what did Joe Biden 1408 01:12:23,920 --> 01:12:26,960 Speaker 1: know about it? And when that's it To the extent 1409 01:12:27,040 --> 01:12:29,040 Speaker 1: that it's about drugs and his sex life and all that, 1410 01:12:29,400 --> 01:12:32,520 Speaker 1: it should not be relevant to the broader public conversation, 1411 01:12:32,840 --> 01:12:35,120 Speaker 1: and if it is, we should only talk about it 1412 01:12:35,160 --> 01:12:36,720 Speaker 1: in the way then I think you've always pointed to 1413 01:12:37,160 --> 01:12:39,200 Speaker 1: Hunter got away with this because his dad was a 1414 01:12:39,240 --> 01:12:42,000 Speaker 1: former vice president, and he avoided jail time and was 1415 01:12:42,040 --> 01:12:44,559 Speaker 1: able to fund all of this because he was grifting 1416 01:12:44,560 --> 01:12:47,240 Speaker 1: off of his president, the president's name, the current president, 1417 01:12:47,280 --> 01:12:49,880 Speaker 1: then the vice president, and using his business connections in 1418 01:12:49,920 --> 01:12:53,000 Speaker 1: others in order to fund this lifestyle and avoid jail time, 1419 01:12:53,280 --> 01:12:56,600 Speaker 1: which no person who has a similar addiction would have 1420 01:12:56,600 --> 01:12:58,200 Speaker 1: been able to do. And I think that that is 1421 01:12:58,240 --> 01:12:59,960 Speaker 1: a way that we should be able to talk about 1422 01:13:00,040 --> 01:13:02,040 Speaker 1: it with all this because it's very uncomfortable and to 1423 01:13:02,080 --> 01:13:03,439 Speaker 1: look at this and it's the end of that he 1424 01:13:03,479 --> 01:13:06,200 Speaker 1: is a semi priva citizen ultimately profoundly sad. Yeah, I 1425 01:13:06,200 --> 01:13:09,920 Speaker 1: mean that's the honestly, that's the biggest takeaway for me 1426 01:13:10,000 --> 01:13:14,000 Speaker 1: looking at these materials is just how incredibly sad the 1427 01:13:14,000 --> 01:13:17,320 Speaker 1: whole situation is. And yeah, I would like for everyone 1428 01:13:17,720 --> 01:13:20,800 Speaker 1: who is struggling with addiction to receive the same like 1429 01:13:21,320 --> 01:13:24,160 Speaker 1: support and care and second chances it's Hunter Biden. That's 1430 01:13:24,200 --> 01:13:26,840 Speaker 1: what I would like to see. And so any Republicans 1431 01:13:26,840 --> 01:13:29,200 Speaker 1: are out there sharing this stuff around thinking that this 1432 01:13:29,240 --> 01:13:31,800 Speaker 1: is going to be like a really effective political hit, 1433 01:13:31,960 --> 01:13:34,200 Speaker 1: I just don't think so, because ultimately, I think most 1434 01:13:34,240 --> 01:13:36,160 Speaker 1: people have the reaction that I had, which is like, 1435 01:13:36,680 --> 01:13:39,000 Speaker 1: you just actually feel bad for this man who was 1436 01:13:39,080 --> 01:13:46,320 Speaker 1: clearly in the throes of numerous addictions and is just really, 1437 01:13:46,720 --> 01:13:50,840 Speaker 1: really in a bad place. So I one hundred percent 1438 01:13:50,880 --> 01:13:55,400 Speaker 1: agree when it comes to business deals, corrupt shady dealings, 1439 01:13:55,600 --> 01:14:00,280 Speaker 1: anything certainly that intersects with Biden that could impact, you know, 1440 01:14:00,320 --> 01:14:03,160 Speaker 1: what his foreign policy is, any of that stuff, one 1441 01:14:03,240 --> 01:14:05,880 Speaker 1: hundred percent fair game should not be off the table 1442 01:14:05,920 --> 01:14:08,519 Speaker 1: at all. Reporters shouldn't be afraid of digging into that stuff. 1443 01:14:08,520 --> 01:14:10,760 Speaker 1: They shouldn't be afraid of reporting on it. Certainly social 1444 01:14:10,760 --> 01:14:12,880 Speaker 1: media company shouldn't be censoring it, which is what we 1445 01:14:12,920 --> 01:14:15,759 Speaker 1: saw in the run up to the twenty twenty election, 1446 01:14:16,280 --> 01:14:20,120 Speaker 1: the personal shit. Leave it alone. Yeah, especially the video irrelevant. 1447 01:14:20,120 --> 01:14:22,280 Speaker 1: The videos have nothing to do with Biden, like circuit 1448 01:14:22,400 --> 01:14:24,120 Speaker 1: and look, people could circulate whatever they want. I don't 1449 01:14:24,120 --> 01:14:26,439 Speaker 1: believe in censorship. So if you want to share it, fine, 1450 01:14:26,479 --> 01:14:28,719 Speaker 1: yesterday was trending at like four hundred thousand tweets. Okay, 1451 01:14:28,760 --> 01:14:31,800 Speaker 1: you know whatever. To the extent that we should discuss it. 1452 01:14:31,880 --> 01:14:34,760 Speaker 1: I think it should not be off the table to say, okay, well, 1453 01:14:34,760 --> 01:14:36,840 Speaker 1: what was Biden doing? Was he helping fund this stuff? 1454 01:14:36,880 --> 01:14:38,360 Speaker 1: If so, where was he getting the money? Was he 1455 01:14:38,400 --> 01:14:40,640 Speaker 1: aware that his money was being used by Hunter in 1456 01:14:40,760 --> 01:14:43,080 Speaker 1: order to go about this? But more importantly is how 1457 01:14:43,120 --> 01:14:45,719 Speaker 1: is Hunter funding this on his side in the first place? 1458 01:14:45,760 --> 01:14:48,519 Speaker 1: Was he using his father's connections and others. If there 1459 01:14:48,600 --> 01:14:50,800 Speaker 1: is evidence to that effect, as there was during the 1460 01:14:50,880 --> 01:14:54,439 Speaker 1: Hunter Biden laptop story and Tony Bobolinski and all that, 1461 01:14:54,560 --> 01:14:57,719 Speaker 1: and the dealings with Ukraine and Barisma and those payments, 1462 01:14:57,760 --> 01:15:01,160 Speaker 1: there still has yet to be any real answer Bisma. Still, 1463 01:15:01,200 --> 01:15:03,960 Speaker 1: whenever it comes to the Chinese Communist Party linked private 1464 01:15:03,960 --> 01:15:06,800 Speaker 1: equity fund which Hunter retains a ten percent stake in, 1465 01:15:07,200 --> 01:15:10,080 Speaker 1: and the various investments that were made on his behalf, 1466 01:15:10,080 --> 01:15:12,759 Speaker 1: the hundreds of millions or hundreds of thousands of dollars 1467 01:15:12,840 --> 01:15:15,720 Speaker 1: that he collected and consulting fees. It's also very clear 1468 01:15:15,920 --> 01:15:18,320 Speaker 1: Gepigger in the fact that he's currently under FBI investigation 1469 01:15:18,600 --> 01:15:22,160 Speaker 1: these undoubtedly almost certainly working as an unregistered foreign agent 1470 01:15:22,360 --> 01:15:25,519 Speaker 1: and taking all this foreign cash is specifically also and 1471 01:15:25,560 --> 01:15:27,720 Speaker 1: behave in order to behave in the manner that he 1472 01:15:27,800 --> 01:15:30,080 Speaker 1: was behaving. So that's the man. That's the way that 1473 01:15:30,120 --> 01:15:33,120 Speaker 1: we should go down about this and how we should 1474 01:15:33,120 --> 01:15:35,920 Speaker 1: handle this. I also think this is a commentary also 1475 01:15:35,960 --> 01:15:40,160 Speaker 1: on the mainstream media, because there's no mainstream media stories 1476 01:15:40,200 --> 01:15:42,400 Speaker 1: about this at all, But to the extent that they are, 1477 01:15:42,479 --> 01:15:44,640 Speaker 1: they're like, it's been hacked. People are aware of it, 1478 01:15:44,680 --> 01:15:47,440 Speaker 1: and it's like, look, I agree, it can seem uncomfortable 1479 01:15:47,479 --> 01:15:49,720 Speaker 1: and weird in order to discuss somebody who's in the 1480 01:15:49,760 --> 01:15:52,160 Speaker 1: midst of crack addiction and all this, But also there's 1481 01:15:52,160 --> 01:15:54,719 Speaker 1: a trove of information which come through it and find 1482 01:15:54,720 --> 01:15:56,920 Speaker 1: what is legitimated and what is not. Yeah, so far 1483 01:15:57,000 --> 01:15:59,720 Speaker 1: though there hasn't a best rostrove, there has not been 1484 01:15:59,720 --> 01:16:04,200 Speaker 1: any that's history worthwhile, So I mean itself, I don't know. 1485 01:16:04,320 --> 01:16:07,120 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't see that there's been anything worth 1486 01:16:07,120 --> 01:16:10,599 Speaker 1: them reporting on out of this except that this exists, 1487 01:16:10,680 --> 01:16:13,880 Speaker 1: and the Secret Service, you know, is sort of acknowledging 1488 01:16:13,920 --> 01:16:17,600 Speaker 1: that this is a situation that is unfolding. But absence 1489 01:16:17,640 --> 01:16:22,120 Speaker 1: some other specifics that are relevant to corruption, business dealings, 1490 01:16:22,160 --> 01:16:25,240 Speaker 1: all of those things, there's not really anything to report 1491 01:16:25,320 --> 01:16:27,360 Speaker 1: that I think is actually in the public interest. Yeah, 1492 01:16:27,479 --> 01:16:29,320 Speaker 1: I think that's fair. So let me just put it 1493 01:16:29,320 --> 01:16:31,200 Speaker 1: in that way, which is that they should at least 1494 01:16:31,600 --> 01:16:35,040 Speaker 1: they're either ignoring it completely, which I think is fine. However, 1495 01:16:35,240 --> 01:16:37,120 Speaker 1: I think that given the level of public interest, they 1496 01:16:37,120 --> 01:16:39,000 Speaker 1: should didn't come out and just say what we said. Look, 1497 01:16:39,040 --> 01:16:40,920 Speaker 1: you know, we look from what we can see so 1498 01:16:41,040 --> 01:16:43,000 Speaker 1: far having looked through it, there doesn't seem to be 1499 01:16:43,040 --> 01:16:45,280 Speaker 1: anything that lies to the general interest. Secret Service is 1500 01:16:45,320 --> 01:16:47,559 Speaker 1: aware of it. That's all I've really been able to 1501 01:16:47,560 --> 01:16:50,519 Speaker 1: tell outside of fringe kind of conservative websites which have 1502 01:16:50,600 --> 01:16:52,720 Speaker 1: been running with this stuff. And then obviously it's just 1503 01:16:52,800 --> 01:16:55,559 Speaker 1: all over social media. I think it bears some level 1504 01:16:55,680 --> 01:16:58,800 Speaker 1: of acknowledgment from the press and from others and cool. 1505 01:16:58,800 --> 01:17:01,320 Speaker 1: The White House posture is also ridiculous. They're like their 1506 01:17:01,360 --> 01:17:03,599 Speaker 1: current post on the laptop, not even on the iCloud 1507 01:17:03,840 --> 01:17:05,880 Speaker 1: is we're not going to comment ever on what's in 1508 01:17:05,920 --> 01:17:07,840 Speaker 1: the laptop. It's like, Okay, well, we know that the 1509 01:17:07,920 --> 01:17:11,040 Speaker 1: laptop has emails and others that do concern the current 1510 01:17:11,040 --> 01:17:13,920 Speaker 1: president of the United States. How can you possibly have 1511 01:17:14,000 --> 01:17:18,000 Speaker 1: that posture towards obviously relevant information? And look, you're going 1512 01:17:18,040 --> 01:17:20,200 Speaker 1: to be hearing about this, whether you like it or not, 1513 01:17:20,240 --> 01:17:22,840 Speaker 1: because if the GOP does take control of a Senate 1514 01:17:23,080 --> 01:17:25,799 Speaker 1: or of the House, there's obviously going to be hearings 1515 01:17:25,840 --> 01:17:27,680 Speaker 1: that are going to be looking into this. So you 1516 01:17:27,760 --> 01:17:29,600 Speaker 1: better get ready, you know, whether you like it or not, 1517 01:17:29,720 --> 01:17:31,600 Speaker 1: and be aware that this is out there and that 1518 01:17:31,640 --> 01:17:34,400 Speaker 1: this is information. So I think that's it. Yeah, indeed, 1519 01:17:36,760 --> 01:17:38,559 Speaker 1: all right, sach, what are you looking at? Well, we 1520 01:17:38,600 --> 01:17:40,960 Speaker 1: are in the midst of a genuine energy crisis. I 1521 01:17:41,000 --> 01:17:43,160 Speaker 1: know we're all vaguely aware of it. But the reason 1522 01:17:43,160 --> 01:17:45,160 Speaker 1: that we keep coming back to it is because we're 1523 01:17:45,200 --> 01:17:49,120 Speaker 1: learning in real time how much energy belies the entire economy. 1524 01:17:49,280 --> 01:17:51,639 Speaker 1: When the price goes up, if there's a supply shock 1525 01:17:51,760 --> 01:17:55,840 Speaker 1: or a problem, it affects everything. It leads to genuine 1526 01:17:55,880 --> 01:17:59,000 Speaker 1: misery in the West and causes potential mass death in 1527 01:17:59,000 --> 01:18:01,920 Speaker 1: the developing world. Last week I warned about how Germany 1528 01:18:02,000 --> 01:18:04,800 Speaker 1: is on the precipice of igniting a global crisis, and 1529 01:18:04,840 --> 01:18:07,000 Speaker 1: sadly the events of the last ninety six hours have 1530 01:18:07,160 --> 01:18:09,880 Speaker 1: likely vindicated that. They show us the perilous next few 1531 01:18:09,920 --> 01:18:12,040 Speaker 1: months that we're going to face. They also show us 1532 01:18:12,040 --> 01:18:14,800 Speaker 1: the culmination of green idiocy in the West, which has 1533 01:18:14,840 --> 01:18:18,240 Speaker 1: shunned nuclear power and has left the world dramatically more vulnerable. 1534 01:18:18,439 --> 01:18:21,280 Speaker 1: Let's start with the immediate crisis in Germany. To recap, 1535 01:18:21,439 --> 01:18:24,839 Speaker 1: Germany is heavily dependent on Russian natural gas. That pipeline 1536 01:18:24,840 --> 01:18:26,880 Speaker 1: has been tapering off for the last few months as 1537 01:18:26,960 --> 01:18:30,960 Speaker 1: Russian retaliation against Germany for Western sanctions. It culminated in 1538 01:18:31,000 --> 01:18:34,320 Speaker 1: a total shutdown of the pipeline yesterday. Russia claims the 1539 01:18:34,320 --> 01:18:36,639 Speaker 1: pipeline will only be shut down for the next ten days, 1540 01:18:36,880 --> 01:18:40,120 Speaker 1: but new indications say they may cut it off completely. 1541 01:18:40,439 --> 01:18:43,160 Speaker 1: France's Ministry of Energy has also which also relies on 1542 01:18:43,240 --> 01:18:46,200 Speaker 1: Russian Gas said yesterday that the day of the shutdown, 1543 01:18:46,400 --> 01:18:49,559 Speaker 1: the most likely event is a total and complete shutdown 1544 01:18:49,600 --> 01:18:52,920 Speaker 1: of the Nord Stream pipeline, effectively freezing Germany off from 1545 01:18:53,000 --> 01:18:56,480 Speaker 1: its major source of power, a move which will skyrocket 1546 01:18:56,520 --> 01:19:00,240 Speaker 1: the global price of natural gas, which powers forty percent 1547 01:19:00,280 --> 01:19:02,280 Speaker 1: of power here in the United States just last year, 1548 01:19:02,479 --> 01:19:06,200 Speaker 1: twenty five percent of the world's power last year as well. Furthermore, 1549 01:19:06,280 --> 01:19:10,600 Speaker 1: this leaves the Germans and the rest of Europe extraordinarily vulnerable. 1550 01:19:10,840 --> 01:19:14,520 Speaker 1: It shows us the holes in any European strategy against Russia. 1551 01:19:14,560 --> 01:19:16,640 Speaker 1: On the one hand, NATO and Biden say that we 1552 01:19:16,680 --> 01:19:19,200 Speaker 1: will endure high gas prizes as long as it takes 1553 01:19:19,240 --> 01:19:22,360 Speaker 1: to defeat Putin, and yet the moment that Germany was 1554 01:19:22,400 --> 01:19:25,080 Speaker 1: faced with a real shutoff as a major consumer power, 1555 01:19:25,200 --> 01:19:28,879 Speaker 1: they immediately got Canada to lift its sanctions on Russia 1556 01:19:29,160 --> 01:19:31,960 Speaker 1: for a key piece of equipment for the pipeline. Russia 1557 01:19:32,000 --> 01:19:34,720 Speaker 1: blamed the slowdown in gas to Europe on the inability 1558 01:19:34,720 --> 01:19:37,840 Speaker 1: to replace its gas turbines, and that new equipment shows 1559 01:19:38,000 --> 01:19:41,400 Speaker 1: that Germany far more values Russian gas than it does 1560 01:19:41,439 --> 01:19:44,080 Speaker 1: the war in Ukraine. So let's think about this. At 1561 01:19:44,120 --> 01:19:46,479 Speaker 1: the same time that they say high gas prizes must 1562 01:19:46,520 --> 01:19:48,800 Speaker 1: be endured for as long as it lasts. Then they 1563 01:19:48,800 --> 01:19:51,639 Speaker 1: are also lifting sanctions on Russia so they can pay 1564 01:19:51,840 --> 01:19:55,559 Speaker 1: hundreds of billions of euros a year to Russia. That 1565 01:19:55,720 --> 01:19:58,360 Speaker 1: means that the West is funding the Russian war in 1566 01:19:58,479 --> 01:20:02,040 Speaker 1: Ukraine on both sides the conflict, guaranteeing it will go 1567 01:20:02,160 --> 01:20:05,120 Speaker 1: on forever. No matter which side of the conflict you're on. 1568 01:20:05,360 --> 01:20:08,280 Speaker 1: You have to admit that doesn't make any goddamn sense. 1569 01:20:08,520 --> 01:20:11,439 Speaker 1: You either cut them off completely or you don't. But 1570 01:20:11,479 --> 01:20:14,679 Speaker 1: in the meantime, beyond exposing the hypocrisy of the Western 1571 01:20:14,680 --> 01:20:18,280 Speaker 1: stance towards the Ukrainian conflict, it also highlights the idiocy 1572 01:20:18,400 --> 01:20:22,120 Speaker 1: of the modern green movement. Three days before the gas 1573 01:20:22,120 --> 01:20:25,559 Speaker 1: pipeline was shut off, the ruling coalition in Germany, which 1574 01:20:25,560 --> 01:20:28,600 Speaker 1: includes the Green Party, one a vote in Parliament to 1575 01:20:28,760 --> 01:20:33,040 Speaker 1: back more coal fired power plants to replace three remaining 1576 01:20:33,160 --> 01:20:37,479 Speaker 1: nuclear plants that they have planned to decommission. Yes, you 1577 01:20:37,560 --> 01:20:42,160 Speaker 1: heard me correctly, the Green coalition is backing expanding the 1578 01:20:42,320 --> 01:20:46,040 Speaker 1: filthiest source of energy on the planet outside of literally 1579 01:20:46,120 --> 01:20:50,880 Speaker 1: burning trash, in favor of ditching high capacity and low 1580 01:20:51,040 --> 01:20:54,679 Speaker 1: carbon dioxide sources of power. If that's not bad enough. 1581 01:20:54,840 --> 01:20:57,439 Speaker 1: The promises of the green movement are not coming true. 1582 01:20:57,640 --> 01:20:59,960 Speaker 1: Wind power, which is supposed to back up the grid 1583 01:21:00,080 --> 01:21:03,639 Speaker 1: and is supposedly super green, isn't working right now in Germany. 1584 01:21:03,920 --> 01:21:07,120 Speaker 1: Why because the wind is not blowing so at the 1585 01:21:07,200 --> 01:21:10,320 Speaker 1: time when they need renewable power the most, it's not working. 1586 01:21:10,640 --> 01:21:13,360 Speaker 1: German power prices doubled in a single day upon the 1587 01:21:13,360 --> 01:21:15,760 Speaker 1: news of the gas shut off. Combined with the lack 1588 01:21:15,880 --> 01:21:19,360 Speaker 1: of wind, all of this is having an insane effect 1589 01:21:19,400 --> 01:21:23,960 Speaker 1: on German consumers. Germany, the fourth largest economy on Earth, 1590 01:21:24,280 --> 01:21:27,879 Speaker 1: is now dimming street lights and rationing hot water across 1591 01:21:27,880 --> 01:21:31,680 Speaker 1: the country, along with ceasing air conditioning and encouraging voluntary 1592 01:21:31,720 --> 01:21:34,640 Speaker 1: cuts and power at the household level. Rationing straight up 1593 01:21:34,680 --> 01:21:36,880 Speaker 1: power is next if the gas doesn't turn back on. 1594 01:21:37,360 --> 01:21:39,560 Speaker 1: I don't weep too much for the Germans. This is 1595 01:21:39,600 --> 01:21:42,439 Speaker 1: a problem entirely of their own making. But the bad news, 1596 01:21:42,520 --> 01:21:44,840 Speaker 1: as I always try to reiterate, is that it will 1597 01:21:44,920 --> 01:21:48,559 Speaker 1: undoubtedly spill over into the US economy and spike inflation 1598 01:21:48,720 --> 01:21:51,200 Speaker 1: here at home and all across the globe. You may 1599 01:21:51,200 --> 01:21:53,439 Speaker 1: have noticed if you live in the Southwest, we are 1600 01:21:53,479 --> 01:21:56,200 Speaker 1: in the middle of a massive heat wave fifty million 1601 01:21:56,200 --> 01:21:58,599 Speaker 1: Americans are under heat advisories in the last few days. 1602 01:21:58,800 --> 01:22:02,040 Speaker 1: Texas has already worn about potential rolling blackouts as a 1603 01:22:02,040 --> 01:22:05,000 Speaker 1: result of massive demand for power. Dig a little bit 1604 01:22:05,040 --> 01:22:07,479 Speaker 1: deeper the details show this part of the reason the 1605 01:22:07,520 --> 01:22:10,280 Speaker 1: Texas grid is so screwed right now. Same as Germany, 1606 01:22:10,600 --> 01:22:13,080 Speaker 1: low wind generation across Texas in the middle of a 1607 01:22:13,120 --> 01:22:16,200 Speaker 1: heat wave. It's reducing the amount of renewable power available 1608 01:22:16,320 --> 01:22:18,960 Speaker 1: while natural gas and coal are stretched to the max. 1609 01:22:19,280 --> 01:22:23,320 Speaker 1: Don't forget, just avoiding blackout is not a victory. Natural 1610 01:22:23,320 --> 01:22:25,840 Speaker 1: gas is the major source of power for the Texas grid. 1611 01:22:26,080 --> 01:22:29,160 Speaker 1: Right now, prices remain much higher than previous energy crunches. 1612 01:22:29,439 --> 01:22:32,639 Speaker 1: As soon as LNG export facilities in Texas are fixed 1613 01:22:32,680 --> 01:22:35,600 Speaker 1: up and ready to export gas, prices are expected to 1614 01:22:35,760 --> 01:22:39,080 Speaker 1: double and go higher. If that happens in August, well, 1615 01:22:39,200 --> 01:22:41,759 Speaker 1: news flash, it's still hot as hell in Texas. People 1616 01:22:41,880 --> 01:22:46,040 Speaker 1: there will be paying astronomical prices for power even if 1617 01:22:46,040 --> 01:22:48,799 Speaker 1: the lights stay on. This is not just happening in Texas. 1618 01:22:49,000 --> 01:22:53,680 Speaker 1: The North American Electric Reliability Corporation is already warning the 1619 01:22:53,800 --> 01:22:56,559 Speaker 1: US has a quote high risk of failure for its 1620 01:22:56,600 --> 01:23:00,000 Speaker 1: power grid this summer as a result of energy disruptions 1621 01:23:00,200 --> 01:23:04,200 Speaker 1: from Europe and increased temperatures across the country. We are 1622 01:23:04,240 --> 01:23:07,200 Speaker 1: being smacked in the face by reality. We are being 1623 01:23:07,240 --> 01:23:10,280 Speaker 1: made substantially poorer as a result of our Russia policy 1624 01:23:10,560 --> 01:23:15,000 Speaker 1: and now more vulnerable. We need to surge reliable nuclear 1625 01:23:15,040 --> 01:23:18,160 Speaker 1: power now, it is obvious, and yet our so called 1626 01:23:18,160 --> 01:23:21,120 Speaker 1: German allies are doing the opposite, and in turn our 1627 01:23:21,200 --> 01:23:24,720 Speaker 1: spiking prices for us here at home. All of this 1628 01:23:24,880 --> 01:23:26,880 Speaker 1: needs to be a wake up call. For too long, 1629 01:23:27,000 --> 01:23:29,920 Speaker 1: the modern green movement has captured the political system to 1630 01:23:29,960 --> 01:23:33,719 Speaker 1: push a true program of idiocy, while fossil fuel interests 1631 01:23:33,720 --> 01:23:36,559 Speaker 1: have captured the dissenters to push their own failed scheme. 1632 01:23:36,960 --> 01:23:41,760 Speaker 1: Both are failing on an industrial scale, with tremendous consequences 1633 01:23:41,920 --> 01:23:44,519 Speaker 1: for the globe. Can you imagine the fourth largest economy 1634 01:23:44,520 --> 01:23:46,880 Speaker 1: on Earth rationing power? And if you want to hear 1635 01:23:47,120 --> 01:23:50,679 Speaker 1: my reaction to Sager's monologue, become a premium subscriber today 1636 01:23:50,720 --> 01:23:55,160 Speaker 1: at Breakingpoints dot com. Chris, what do you take a 1637 01:23:55,200 --> 01:23:58,080 Speaker 1: look at? Well, guys, we're saying stunning images over the 1638 01:23:58,080 --> 01:24:01,080 Speaker 1: weekend from the South Asian island nation of Sri Lanka, 1639 01:24:01,120 --> 01:24:05,120 Speaker 1: where enraged protesters stormed the presidential palace and forced that 1640 01:24:05,240 --> 01:24:07,960 Speaker 1: nation's leader to flee. Now, I want to show you 1641 01:24:08,000 --> 01:24:10,240 Speaker 1: some of these images because while today it is protesters 1642 01:24:10,280 --> 01:24:13,479 Speaker 1: demanding the resignation of the Sri Lankan government, this country 1643 01:24:13,520 --> 01:24:16,120 Speaker 1: is far from alone and suffering with high fuel and 1644 01:24:16,240 --> 01:24:18,920 Speaker 1: high food prices. And in Sri Lanka, it was this 1645 01:24:19,120 --> 01:24:22,639 Speaker 1: last one more crisis which led to an absolute breaking 1646 01:24:22,680 --> 01:24:25,200 Speaker 1: point for this nation's people. All right. So you can 1647 01:24:25,240 --> 01:24:30,519 Speaker 1: see here massive crowd tens of thousands of protesters gathered 1648 01:24:30,520 --> 01:24:33,599 Speaker 1: outside the presidential palace that is in the capital city 1649 01:24:33,600 --> 01:24:38,120 Speaker 1: of Colombo, and ultimately storming through the gates and taking 1650 01:24:38,120 --> 01:24:42,120 Speaker 1: it over completely. All right. Now here you can see 1651 01:24:42,160 --> 01:24:46,280 Speaker 1: some of those protesters inside the palace, inside the presidential 1652 01:24:46,360 --> 01:24:49,120 Speaker 1: kitchen there helping themselves to food and drink. Many of 1653 01:24:49,160 --> 01:24:51,639 Speaker 1: them have probably been hungry for quite a whiless. Food 1654 01:24:51,680 --> 01:24:55,160 Speaker 1: scarcity and prices are a major issue. Now you've got 1655 01:24:55,400 --> 01:24:59,040 Speaker 1: protesters also making themselves at home, wandering around, putting their 1656 01:24:59,080 --> 01:25:03,480 Speaker 1: feet up, taking selfies, enjoying, you know, the rare experience 1657 01:25:03,520 --> 01:25:06,160 Speaker 1: there in the lap of luxury of the presidential palace. 1658 01:25:06,520 --> 01:25:10,760 Speaker 1: And this allegedly is the current president fleeing for his 1659 01:25:10,840 --> 01:25:15,839 Speaker 1: life boarding a military ship as protesters relax in his palace. 1660 01:25:16,120 --> 01:25:20,280 Speaker 1: So what happens now? Now protesters are demanding the resignation 1661 01:25:20,479 --> 01:25:22,559 Speaker 1: of top officials. Looks like they're going to get their way. 1662 01:25:22,600 --> 01:25:25,680 Speaker 1: The Prime Minister has already tweeted his resignation. President is 1663 01:25:25,720 --> 01:25:29,639 Speaker 1: expected to resign on Wednesday. But the factors that led 1664 01:25:29,640 --> 01:25:32,640 Speaker 1: to this nation being in complete chaos which life is 1665 01:25:32,720 --> 01:25:36,599 Speaker 1: a daily struggle for survival, are not going away anytime soon. 1666 01:25:37,040 --> 01:25:39,400 Speaker 1: So how did they get to this point? Well, some 1667 01:25:39,479 --> 01:25:42,479 Speaker 1: of the factors are super specific to this nation. The 1668 01:25:42,520 --> 01:25:45,000 Speaker 1: downward spiral actually really start in twenty nineteen. There was 1669 01:25:45,040 --> 01:25:48,240 Speaker 1: a major ISIS attack on three churches and critically on 1670 01:25:48,320 --> 01:25:51,840 Speaker 1: three luxury hotels, which killed two hundred and sixty nine people, 1671 01:25:51,880 --> 01:25:55,839 Speaker 1: including scores of foreign nationals. That attack put a massive 1672 01:25:55,880 --> 01:25:58,680 Speaker 1: chill on the country's burgeoning tourism industry that is, of 1673 01:25:58,720 --> 01:26:02,240 Speaker 1: course a key source of furies exchange. Next came COVID, 1674 01:26:02,360 --> 01:26:05,880 Speaker 1: which of course further destroyed the nation's tourism industry, and 1675 01:26:05,960 --> 01:26:10,400 Speaker 1: in crisis, the government made several completely disastrous decisions. So, 1676 01:26:10,560 --> 01:26:13,559 Speaker 1: in a wrongheaded attempt to reverse the flow of currency 1677 01:26:13,600 --> 01:26:16,920 Speaker 1: out of the nation, Sri Lanka banned all import and 1678 01:26:17,040 --> 01:26:21,919 Speaker 1: use of fertilizer that in turn devastated their story tea industry. 1679 01:26:22,000 --> 01:26:24,560 Speaker 1: Is productivity plummeted, and also made it so for the 1680 01:26:24,600 --> 01:26:27,680 Speaker 1: first time in history, Sri Lanka could not feed itself, 1681 01:26:28,040 --> 01:26:31,240 Speaker 1: leading to the need to import food and further exacerbating 1682 01:26:31,280 --> 01:26:36,000 Speaker 1: that foreign exchange crisis. In another completely disastrous move, the 1683 01:26:36,040 --> 01:26:39,519 Speaker 1: government also passed a massive tax cut in an attempt 1684 01:26:39,520 --> 01:26:43,519 Speaker 1: to stimulate growth. Predictably, it did not stimulate growth. Instead, 1685 01:26:43,840 --> 01:26:47,120 Speaker 1: it just robbed government coffers of funds that they desperately 1686 01:26:47,160 --> 01:26:50,719 Speaker 1: needed to stay current on their debt payments. Next came 1687 01:26:50,920 --> 01:26:53,280 Speaker 1: the war in Russia, which had a triple whammy effect 1688 01:26:53,280 --> 01:26:55,080 Speaker 1: on Sri Lanka. Not only are they suffering with the 1689 01:26:55,160 --> 01:26:58,040 Speaker 1: high gas prices the high food prices that have all 1690 01:26:58,080 --> 01:27:01,559 Speaker 1: been accelerated by the war. Russians and Ukrainians were actually 1691 01:27:01,600 --> 01:27:05,559 Speaker 1: disproportionate contributors to Sri Lankan tourism, so the loss of 1692 01:27:05,560 --> 01:27:08,880 Speaker 1: those travelers has been a further disaster for the nation. 1693 01:27:09,439 --> 01:27:12,240 Speaker 1: The international community then downgraded Sri Lankan debt, making it 1694 01:27:12,240 --> 01:27:15,639 Speaker 1: impossible for them to borrow for importing food and importing fuel. 1695 01:27:15,840 --> 01:27:17,920 Speaker 1: They were unable to make their debt payments leading to 1696 01:27:17,960 --> 01:27:21,080 Speaker 1: an official default as the government went bankrupt. And all 1697 01:27:21,120 --> 01:27:24,120 Speaker 1: of this together means that daily life has just become 1698 01:27:24,160 --> 01:27:27,439 Speaker 1: an absolute misery for almost everyone. Lines for gas can 1699 01:27:27,520 --> 01:27:31,120 Speaker 1: last for two days. Hospitals have run out of life 1700 01:27:31,120 --> 01:27:33,800 Speaker 1: saving medicines, leading to a health crisis that experts say 1701 01:27:34,000 --> 01:27:37,320 Speaker 1: might be more deadly for them than COVID was. Food 1702 01:27:37,360 --> 01:27:41,519 Speaker 1: inflation skyrocketed to eighty percent last month, and nearly everyone 1703 01:27:41,560 --> 01:27:43,759 Speaker 1: has been forced to reduce what they eat as prices 1704 01:27:43,800 --> 01:27:49,040 Speaker 1: spike and food scarcity grows. Blackouts in the sweltering heat 1705 01:27:49,400 --> 01:27:53,280 Speaker 1: have become a normal part of daily life. But unfortunately 1706 01:27:53,520 --> 01:27:57,160 Speaker 1: Sri Lanka's problems they increasingly find echoes in nations around 1707 01:27:57,160 --> 01:27:59,120 Speaker 1: the world. Now. I recently told you about a general 1708 01:27:59,160 --> 01:28:01,759 Speaker 1: strike in Ecuador led by indigenous farmers who are demanding 1709 01:28:01,800 --> 01:28:04,720 Speaker 1: debt relief and price relief. The Wall Street Journal name 1710 01:28:04,800 --> 01:28:08,240 Speaker 1: checks Zombia, Lebanon, Laos, and Pakistan as countries that are 1711 01:28:08,280 --> 01:28:11,559 Speaker 1: facing similar conditions to Sri Lanka, with high debt loads, 1712 01:28:11,640 --> 01:28:16,680 Speaker 1: high inflation, and increasingly desperate populations. Bloomberg is reporting that, 1713 01:28:16,760 --> 01:28:20,200 Speaker 1: in addition to Pakistan, El Salvador, Ghana, Egypt, and Tunisia 1714 01:28:20,240 --> 01:28:23,839 Speaker 1: are also struggling with debt payments and in danger of default. 1715 01:28:24,240 --> 01:28:26,519 Speaker 1: In fact, the number of poor nations with sovereign debt 1716 01:28:26,560 --> 01:28:30,519 Speaker 1: trading at distress levels that has doubled in just six 1717 01:28:30,600 --> 01:28:32,960 Speaker 1: months now. One thing you may not know is our 1718 01:28:33,000 --> 01:28:36,080 Speaker 1: own federal reserve policy is actually making life even more 1719 01:28:36,080 --> 01:28:39,479 Speaker 1: difficult for the nineteen nations that now have distress debt. 1720 01:28:40,040 --> 01:28:43,439 Speaker 1: As we increase our interest rates, that means the value 1721 01:28:43,479 --> 01:28:46,439 Speaker 1: of the dollar surges, making it more difficult for countries 1722 01:28:46,479 --> 01:28:51,040 Speaker 1: to service their dollar denominated sovereign debt. Contagion also a 1723 01:28:51,120 --> 01:28:53,599 Speaker 1: real danger here as well. As nations like Sri Lanka 1724 01:28:53,600 --> 01:28:55,720 Speaker 1: start to default, it can lead to a sort of 1725 01:28:55,840 --> 01:28:59,559 Speaker 1: investor run on developing world bonds, triggering a domino effect 1726 01:28:59,600 --> 01:29:03,320 Speaker 1: of default. There are already indications that this process is 1727 01:29:03,400 --> 01:29:07,080 Speaker 1: underway now. Some of these countries are already experiencing growing protests. 1728 01:29:07,120 --> 01:29:11,200 Speaker 1: There are now effectively bridbryans in countries from Argentinas Argentinas 1729 01:29:11,240 --> 01:29:14,800 Speaker 1: to Albania, Kenya, Panama and Ghana. This, of course, is 1730 01:29:14,920 --> 01:29:18,880 Speaker 1: exactly what we have been warning about here. After COVID disruptions, 1731 01:29:19,200 --> 01:29:23,760 Speaker 1: lockdowns and illness, things were already precarious for how many 1732 01:29:23,840 --> 01:29:26,680 Speaker 1: nations will the war in Ukraine be the straw that 1733 01:29:26,720 --> 01:29:29,680 Speaker 1: broke the camel's back, the war in Ukraine, which is 1734 01:29:29,720 --> 01:29:32,639 Speaker 1: contributing to spikes in food and fuel prices and macing 1735 01:29:32,680 --> 01:29:37,040 Speaker 1: it difficult to acquire essential fertilizer. This is why it 1736 01:29:37,120 --> 01:29:39,800 Speaker 1: is so important to remember that the Ukraine War, while 1737 01:29:39,800 --> 01:29:42,479 Speaker 1: of course most devastating for the people in that nation, 1738 01:29:43,200 --> 01:29:46,719 Speaker 1: it is pretty damn devastating for a lot of people 1739 01:29:46,800 --> 01:29:50,599 Speaker 1: around the world. And that is why overwhelmingly our number 1740 01:29:50,600 --> 01:29:53,320 Speaker 1: one priority for this war should be to do what 1741 01:29:53,400 --> 01:29:57,520 Speaker 1: we can to end it, because there are literally hundreds 1742 01:29:57,520 --> 01:30:00,000 Speaker 1: of millions of people around the world who are already 1743 01:30:00,120 --> 01:30:02,720 Speaker 1: at the brink, and the knock on effects of this 1744 01:30:02,800 --> 01:30:06,320 Speaker 1: war are pushing them right over the edge. No nation 1745 01:30:06,600 --> 01:30:10,760 Speaker 1: will be spared from this catastrophe. And listen again some 1746 01:30:10,800 --> 01:30:12,960 Speaker 1: of the kid conditions in Sri Lanka, and if you 1747 01:30:12,960 --> 01:30:15,720 Speaker 1: want to hear my reaction to Crystal's monologue, become a 1748 01:30:15,760 --> 01:30:21,559 Speaker 1: premium subscriber today at Breakingpoints dot com. Okay, guys, thank 1749 01:30:21,560 --> 01:30:23,240 Speaker 1: you so much for watching. We really appreciate it. I 1750 01:30:23,240 --> 01:30:25,800 Speaker 1: hope you enjoyed our mid terms special. That's what we 1751 01:30:25,840 --> 01:30:27,519 Speaker 1: had for everybody. It was a lot of fun in 1752 01:30:27,640 --> 01:30:30,839 Speaker 1: order to do this, and premium subscribers, we deeply appreciate 1753 01:30:30,880 --> 01:30:33,160 Speaker 1: you all. As I mentioned, if you guys the monthly ones, 1754 01:30:33,200 --> 01:30:35,400 Speaker 1: if you're able to upgrade, it would deeply appreciate it. 1755 01:30:35,400 --> 01:30:38,120 Speaker 1: We've offering a twenty percent discount there on the yearly 1756 01:30:38,240 --> 01:30:40,080 Speaker 1: for all time for you guys who are already existing 1757 01:30:40,360 --> 01:30:42,960 Speaker 1: monthly premium members, so of course that's very helpful if 1758 01:30:42,960 --> 01:30:44,880 Speaker 1: you want to join in particular, just to help us out. 1759 01:30:45,200 --> 01:30:47,280 Speaker 1: Very much appreciated at this time. I know if times 1760 01:30:47,320 --> 01:30:49,599 Speaker 1: are tough for everybody, so I got again. If you're 1761 01:30:49,600 --> 01:30:52,360 Speaker 1: not able to wear a business though after all, and 1762 01:30:52,960 --> 01:30:56,040 Speaker 1: look just in general, we love doing the show. It's 1763 01:30:56,080 --> 01:30:57,800 Speaker 1: a lot of fun. I think about it all the time. 1764 01:30:57,840 --> 01:30:59,640 Speaker 1: Whenever we're off, I'm like, God, I wish we were 1765 01:30:59,680 --> 01:31:02,040 Speaker 1: here right now. So I love I love doing this 1766 01:31:02,080 --> 01:31:04,479 Speaker 1: and I love being able to cover these elections and everything. 1767 01:31:04,560 --> 01:31:06,280 Speaker 1: And we'll see you all on Thursday. Love you guys, 1768 01:31:06,320 --> 01:31:17,520 Speaker 1: see you here on Thursday.