1 00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:04,720 Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock Vet. We 2 00:00:04,760 --> 00:00:09,239 Speaker 1: are part of the Volume podcast network and this is 3 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:11,560 Speaker 1: the show that makes the square sharper and makes the 4 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:12,840 Speaker 1: wise guys pay attention. 5 00:00:12,920 --> 00:00:13,720 Speaker 2: I am Chad Norman. 6 00:00:13,760 --> 00:00:18,800 Speaker 1: I am joined as always find my cripand. 7 00:00:17,520 --> 00:00:22,079 Speaker 2: IDFF professional better. Simon Hunter, Hello, Simon. 8 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,959 Speaker 3: Chad, What a day yesterday was for both of us. 9 00:00:26,600 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 1: Dude, I'm gobsmacked. This isn't what happens to the Bears. 10 00:00:33,400 --> 00:00:38,199 Speaker 1: We're the team that double doinks. We're the team that 11 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:41,879 Speaker 1: gets fourth and one from the two and snaps it 12 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:44,560 Speaker 1: over the head of our seventh round five foot five 13 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:49,560 Speaker 1: running back. We are not the team that comes from 14 00:00:49,680 --> 00:00:55,000 Speaker 1: ten down in the final two minutes, recovers an on 15 00:00:55,120 --> 00:00:59,400 Speaker 1: side kick and then throws a bomb where. 16 00:00:59,160 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 2: The quarterback is so casual about it. 17 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:04,399 Speaker 1: While the ball is in the air, he stuffs his 18 00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:09,280 Speaker 1: hands into his hand warmers because he knows he just 19 00:01:09,360 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 1: dropped it into the basket. We're the team that trades 20 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:18,320 Speaker 1: up to get Mitch Trubisky and passes over to Patrick Mahomes. 21 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:22,400 Speaker 2: This is just not this is not the Bears. 22 00:01:23,800 --> 00:01:26,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, but they had us for about three quarters there. 23 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 3: It was the same old Bears, and I know you're 24 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 3: in the same spot as me. I was just cursing 25 00:01:31,440 --> 00:01:34,319 Speaker 3: their name. I couldn't believe I walked into it, even 26 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 3: though I said a million times I wasn't going to. 27 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 3: But I just fell in love with this Bears team 28 00:01:38,520 --> 00:01:40,680 Speaker 3: all year because of what happened in that final two minutes. 29 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:43,400 Speaker 3: This whole year, every time I bet on this team, 30 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:45,960 Speaker 3: they leave me scratching my head for three quarters, and 31 00:01:45,959 --> 00:01:48,520 Speaker 3: all of a sudden, that fourth, magical fourth quarter comes around, 32 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:50,520 Speaker 3: and I think it's an NFL record. Right now, They've 33 00:01:50,560 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 3: won six games They've been trailing in the two minutes 34 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:57,080 Speaker 3: left in the game, They've won six of them. It's crazy, 35 00:01:57,080 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 3: It's a crazy identity. It's like we always talk all 36 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 3: the time in the NFL. There's the town level is 37 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 3: so high. Just the coaching can make the biggest difference 38 00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 3: and everything overall, and the biggest to me is just 39 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 3: the Ben Johnson belief. These guys consistently believe in themselves, 40 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 3: so can't believe it. On the other side, if you 41 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:19,919 Speaker 3: are Green Bay, talk about having horrible injury luck season 42 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 3: from hell, just everything rolling unto one. Green Bay totally 43 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 3: outplay hit the Bears for three quarters and you know, 44 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:29,040 Speaker 3: with their backup in there, and it just totally fell 45 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:31,080 Speaker 3: apart there by the seams. Their secondary is just so 46 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 3: banged up. You're waiting for Caleb to get away with 47 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 3: these deep ball throws and they just couldn't find it. 48 00:02:36,240 --> 00:02:38,680 Speaker 3: And eventually, like we said, the game kept going and 49 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:43,000 Speaker 3: that that throw in the overtime, like everyone keeps saying, 50 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 3: ice in his veins. It was incredible. It really was 51 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 3: like as someone just sitting there as a fan did 52 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:50,720 Speaker 3: not see that coming, really did think it was a handoff. 53 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:52,400 Speaker 3: I was just like the defense, I bid on it 54 00:02:52,800 --> 00:02:54,959 Speaker 3: and he had the perfect read right the safety bit 55 00:02:55,919 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 3: I think they said it was points six inches or 56 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:02,120 Speaker 3: feet maybe or something saying like that of separation between 57 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 3: DJ and the cornerback, like tight, tight window. Yeah, just 58 00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:09,799 Speaker 3: all time throw by Caleb. So yeah, everyone, even only 59 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 3: people weren't screaming, wre Green Bay fans. Any one that's 60 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 3: a football fan, You're going absolutely crazy. That was an 61 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:15,320 Speaker 3: all time moment. 62 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:18,240 Speaker 1: It also is just an indication of how much penalties 63 00:03:18,240 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 1: make a difference in this game. Don't forget Bears had 64 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:24,960 Speaker 1: a third and twenty and they were sacked and they 65 00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 1: weren't going to even be able to kick a field goal, 66 00:03:28,160 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 1: and Caleb the defensive lineman for the Packers, pulled on 67 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 1: his face Max as he was going down. And the 68 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 1: Bears get a first out and they kicked a field goal, 69 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:38,200 Speaker 1: and all of a sudden, there only down seven and 70 00:03:38,240 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 1: they get the outside kick. Like it just these these 71 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 1: penalties and it was not a penalty that shouldn't have 72 00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 1: been called. It just goes to show you how every 73 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:52,280 Speaker 1: single little mistake has a huge, huge impact on the 74 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 1: game and how it can swing momentum. What a crazy, 75 00:03:55,760 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 1: what a crazy forty eight hours of football from Thursday 76 00:03:59,680 --> 00:04:02,560 Speaker 1: Night Ball the Saturday Night Football. You and I were 77 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: reeling at the end of that Bears game because we 78 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 1: had been on the Commanders. 79 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:07,760 Speaker 2: That was a tough beat. 80 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 1: Just with Mariota going down, they looked like they were 81 00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:12,240 Speaker 1: going to be able to be competitive in that game. 82 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 1: Josh Johnson comes in no longer the case, but we 83 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 1: got to move on to Sunday. Brother, Let's get to it. 84 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 1: This is the semi stripped down in the room eavesdropping 85 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:23,920 Speaker 1: version of Sharper Square. We're going to make some regretful, 86 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:29,359 Speaker 1: utterly human decisions and get to our final five. You 87 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 1: can see the dynamic lines that Simon and I are 88 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:39,159 Speaker 1: playing at the free Sharper Square Pro football pickup contest. 89 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:42,880 Speaker 1: If you signed up to play in the contest that 90 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:47,240 Speaker 1: was Sharpersquare dot the Volume dot com. We are Chad 91 00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:49,599 Speaker 1: and Simon BFFs. We're six and four on the year 92 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:52,280 Speaker 1: in that contest since it started. Are you ready, brother? 93 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 3: I'm ready? All right. 94 00:04:54,279 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 1: So these are the games that we had zeroed in 95 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:59,800 Speaker 1: on the other day. I think we're still debating where 96 00:04:59,839 --> 00:05:02,440 Speaker 1: we're going to land first one up Tampa Bay at 97 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:06,000 Speaker 1: Carolina Carolina plus three and a half. I feel like 98 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 1: we've been waiting our entire lives together to bet Carolina 99 00:05:11,520 --> 00:05:15,000 Speaker 1: as an underdog with the hook at home with a 100 00:05:15,160 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 1: chance to play meaningful football. 101 00:05:18,880 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 2: Here we are. Are we sticking with it? 102 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:25,159 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, no doubt. This is a spot that's been 103 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 3: gonna do us all year back in Carolina, especially after 104 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:29,280 Speaker 3: a loss. Right, I think they're six and zero against 105 00:05:29,279 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 3: the spread, five and one straight up, So it's been 106 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 3: a team that tends to bounce back off season. On 107 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 3: the flip side of this Bucks team, even at their 108 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:39,240 Speaker 3: fully healthy height of their powers to start the year, 109 00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:42,359 Speaker 3: Baker playing out of his mind. They kept squeaking out wins. Right. 110 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:45,200 Speaker 3: Every time they'd win it, it would be by a handful 111 00:05:45,240 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 3: of points. They've had a couple blouts this year, but 112 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:49,920 Speaker 3: it's really been few and far in between. I gave 113 00:05:49,920 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 3: you that crazy stat. They're six straight weeks now they 114 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:55,120 Speaker 3: haven't covered. So seeing the professionals and the public a 115 00:05:55,160 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 3: light coming on the Bucks is not that surprising. Right, 116 00:05:57,520 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 3: they are due. They are. They did get all their 117 00:05:59,440 --> 00:06:01,800 Speaker 3: guys back there are healthy at this point. But we 118 00:06:01,880 --> 00:06:03,960 Speaker 3: keep talking about the Bryce Shong and this Panthers team. 119 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 3: They played possum right, they played dead the following week 120 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:09,040 Speaker 3: all of a sudden, bry Shong just can't miss guys 121 00:06:09,080 --> 00:06:11,320 Speaker 3: and their run games just out of their control. It's 122 00:06:11,760 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 3: it's just so up and down this team and the Bucks. 123 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 3: They've been a questionable defense all season. We've talked about that, 124 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:19,559 Speaker 3: like anytime they need a defense to get a stop, 125 00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 3: they cannot get a stop. And it reared it's ugly 126 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:24,160 Speaker 3: head last week. And I know they're trying to say 127 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 3: it's all good, they're working through stuff, and you know, 128 00:06:27,240 --> 00:06:29,200 Speaker 3: Mike Evans says, you know, I was just emotional at 129 00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:32,120 Speaker 3: the time, cooler has prevailed a guy like him walking 130 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 3: off the field yelling third and twenty eight multiple times 131 00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 3: as he walks through heads into the locker room. I 132 00:06:38,200 --> 00:06:39,839 Speaker 3: don't know if the vibes could be any worse for 133 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:42,320 Speaker 3: this Bucks team. They're just really in so many bad ways. 134 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:46,480 Speaker 3: So I know the Panthers' it's crazy, especially the hard 135 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 3: rock like they've moved off the three. There's tons of 136 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:50,800 Speaker 3: threes out there. I'm all on on the threes, and 137 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:52,600 Speaker 3: you know, if you're forced to take two and a half, 138 00:06:52,640 --> 00:06:54,960 Speaker 3: I wouldn't let it scare me off. But this just 139 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:57,080 Speaker 3: feels like such an a number spot for this Panthers 140 00:06:57,120 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 3: team where this should be a pick. But the general 141 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:02,159 Speaker 3: public just, you know, well we think it's just like 142 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:04,320 Speaker 3: this Bucks team or wait for them to be this 143 00:07:04,400 --> 00:07:06,480 Speaker 3: dominant playoff team they've been these last three years, and 144 00:07:06,480 --> 00:07:09,640 Speaker 3: they just have not been that team. So I'm interesting 145 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:11,680 Speaker 3: where this number ends up. Like you said, the contest, 146 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:13,440 Speaker 3: we have three and a half. I wonder if people 147 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:15,440 Speaker 3: can still play that now. I think this is gonna 148 00:07:15,480 --> 00:07:17,240 Speaker 3: keep heading to two and a half. So if you 149 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:18,440 Speaker 3: can't get a three and a half, I'd lock it 150 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:19,560 Speaker 3: in now. I think this will be two and a 151 00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 3: half by kickoff. 152 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:25,800 Speaker 1: Bryce Young the most fourth quarter overtime touchdowns since twenty 153 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:29,800 Speaker 1: comeback wins since twenty twenty three, and. 154 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 2: This is when he does it as an underdog. 155 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 1: The final minutes, Dave Canalys makes risky calls. Bryce Young 156 00:07:37,360 --> 00:07:40,680 Speaker 1: follows through. That's what we're betting on today with the 157 00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:45,920 Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers. They are in job Buffalo Bills minus ten 158 00:07:45,960 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 1: and a half at the Cleveland Browns. 159 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:51,280 Speaker 2: Simon, this is going to be. 160 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:54,200 Speaker 1: Our Rock in a Hard Place Bet of the Week 161 00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:55,480 Speaker 1: presented by Hard. 162 00:07:55,320 --> 00:07:57,239 Speaker 2: Rock Bet a Rock. 163 00:08:01,120 --> 00:08:04,240 Speaker 1: Surprise, Surprise. We're going against all of our instincts. We 164 00:08:04,280 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 1: are going against everything we have ever done. We are 165 00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:12,480 Speaker 1: doing something that is so anti this show. We are 166 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:16,120 Speaker 1: betting against the huge home underdog. We are betting against 167 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:19,480 Speaker 1: the dominant defense. We are betting against the dominant defense 168 00:08:19,880 --> 00:08:23,720 Speaker 1: at home with the generational Hall of Fame player who 169 00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:26,520 Speaker 1: is on pace to set a single season sack record, 170 00:08:26,960 --> 00:08:32,240 Speaker 1: Miles Garrett the Cleveland Browns. We are fading the dog pound, 171 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:38,040 Speaker 1: the energy, the will of the fans in Cleveland, or 172 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:41,640 Speaker 1: betting Josh Allen with the hook at ten and a 173 00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 1: half rocking. 174 00:08:43,320 --> 00:08:45,840 Speaker 3: Up, Yeah, I love this game. It's by far one 175 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:48,120 Speaker 3: of our more public players of the entire season. Doesn't 176 00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 3: get more publicness. Like you just said, it's a huge 177 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:53,440 Speaker 3: road favorite. Everyone you've talked to, they're all in on 178 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:55,959 Speaker 3: this Bills team. Right between the parlays, the money lines. 179 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:58,400 Speaker 3: Everyone's just piling on it. And it's for good reason. 180 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:00,520 Speaker 3: Like we've talked about, it's a unique spot, right, Josh 181 00:09:00,600 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 3: Allen tends to do really well against really dominant defenses. 182 00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:06,480 Speaker 3: And you know, to me, this feels like a price 183 00:09:06,559 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 3: from a month or two ago, right, This is feels 184 00:09:09,920 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 3: like the number they're giving this this Brown team is 185 00:09:11,920 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 3: their home field advantage from what we were betting, you know, 186 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:15,880 Speaker 3: a couple of months ago. That just has not been 187 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:18,320 Speaker 3: the same, especially this past month, where their run defense 188 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:22,480 Speaker 3: has been suspect and very very poor against great teams 189 00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 3: and you know, even bad teams, I should say, but 190 00:09:24,960 --> 00:09:27,040 Speaker 3: against really good teams like you saw with the Bears 191 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 3: last week. Teams that have good run schemes tend to 192 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:33,280 Speaker 3: dominate this Cleveland team lately. So trying not to rethink 193 00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 3: this one, right, I have it amount of thirteen. If 194 00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:38,679 Speaker 3: you're back in the Browns here, right, you really need 195 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:40,959 Speaker 3: to lean into the elements and all these things that 196 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,480 Speaker 3: bounce your away where I just can't see it. Right, 197 00:09:43,520 --> 00:09:46,160 Speaker 3: it's Josh Allen. This is he's used to playing this 198 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:47,720 Speaker 3: type of weather. He's not gonna be scared off by 199 00:09:47,760 --> 00:09:51,720 Speaker 3: Lake effect type of weather. And defensively, as many questions 200 00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:54,480 Speaker 3: we do have about this Bills team, ken't Schdoor Sanders 201 00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:56,280 Speaker 3: in that run game really take advantage of it. I 202 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:58,120 Speaker 3: don't know if they can. Right, It's it's gonna be 203 00:09:58,200 --> 00:10:01,800 Speaker 3: an interesting game. That's the matchup we're both being worried about. Right. 204 00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:04,920 Speaker 3: How does this Bill's defense too, because they've had games 205 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:07,280 Speaker 3: where they've just totally laid down and you know, even 206 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:08,960 Speaker 3: that Page's game and I want to say laid down, 207 00:10:08,960 --> 00:10:11,480 Speaker 3: but there was a there was a minute there. It's 208 00:10:11,520 --> 00:10:13,360 Speaker 3: just like, oh my god, they can't stop the pass 209 00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:15,520 Speaker 3: or the rush, Like what can they What can the 210 00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:17,720 Speaker 3: Bills take away from a team right now? So I'll 211 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:19,840 Speaker 3: be interesting how they bounce back here. But offensively, I 212 00:10:19,960 --> 00:10:22,560 Speaker 3: just this feels the exact game where Josh Allen, you know, 213 00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:25,960 Speaker 3: maybe first for one fifty, but their run game runs 214 00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:28,240 Speaker 3: for two hundred with him and Cook. So I love 215 00:10:28,280 --> 00:10:28,880 Speaker 3: this matchup. 216 00:10:29,000 --> 00:10:31,599 Speaker 1: Yeah, this is really a bet against Shador Sanders and 217 00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 1: this Browns offense being able to score enough points to 218 00:10:34,760 --> 00:10:37,760 Speaker 1: keep it close. We just haven't seen the evidence that 219 00:10:37,800 --> 00:10:41,280 Speaker 1: they can do that on a consistent basis. There's more 220 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:44,960 Speaker 1: games like what they did against the Bears than what 221 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:48,880 Speaker 1: they did in desperation against the Titans a few weeks 222 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:51,840 Speaker 1: ago at home. So we're going with the Buffalo Bills 223 00:10:51,920 --> 00:10:59,040 Speaker 1: the publicly, publicly publicly play the season for us. Jacksonville 224 00:10:59,080 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 1: plus three and a half at Denver. 225 00:11:03,000 --> 00:11:04,080 Speaker 2: We're on the Jags. 226 00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:08,040 Speaker 1: You and I were talking before we came on the air. 227 00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: There's a couple of games where this thing had been 228 00:11:11,720 --> 00:11:14,280 Speaker 1: sitting at three and now all of a sudden, we're 229 00:11:14,320 --> 00:11:17,800 Speaker 1: starting to see professional money move it to three. 230 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:18,160 Speaker 3: And a half. 231 00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:21,280 Speaker 1: And this is one of those games we're taking the 232 00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:26,080 Speaker 1: other side. We're betting Jacksonville. I can't believe we're betting 233 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:29,800 Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence. Like it's Bonnicks Trevor Lawrence. We don't like 234 00:11:29,840 --> 00:11:32,400 Speaker 1: either of them. So all of a sudden, we're taking 235 00:11:32,400 --> 00:11:35,439 Speaker 1: the hook with the quarterback that I guess we're. 236 00:11:35,240 --> 00:11:38,559 Speaker 2: Going to live with. Like are we betting on Jacoby 237 00:11:38,600 --> 00:11:39,320 Speaker 2: Myers here? 238 00:11:39,360 --> 00:11:39,440 Speaker 3: Like? 239 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:40,320 Speaker 2: What are we doing? 240 00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:43,160 Speaker 3: Yeah? We're really playing the number. And I think we've 241 00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:44,959 Speaker 3: seen a little bit of a theme here these last 242 00:11:45,240 --> 00:11:47,280 Speaker 3: you know, forty eight hours that we talked about, these 243 00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:51,520 Speaker 3: really good teams and playoff teams. When they play each 244 00:11:51,520 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 3: other this late in the season, there is no letdown 245 00:11:54,880 --> 00:11:57,080 Speaker 3: or give up in either side, and these teams play 246 00:11:57,160 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 3: to the final whistle. That's been incredibly close games. I 247 00:12:00,280 --> 00:12:02,920 Speaker 3: mean this, if the Bears had gone for two, which 248 00:12:02,920 --> 00:12:04,120 Speaker 3: I thought they were going to, that would have been 249 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:06,480 Speaker 3: another one point game, just like that Seahawks ring game. 250 00:12:06,600 --> 00:12:08,559 Speaker 3: So this is another game that I feel like is 251 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:11,360 Speaker 3: gonna be incredibly close. Could mean you get blown out 252 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:13,160 Speaker 3: here by the Broncos because they do have such a 253 00:12:13,200 --> 00:12:16,520 Speaker 3: dominant defense. Sure, but I don't know if they've they've 254 00:12:16,559 --> 00:12:18,760 Speaker 3: faced the type of offense where the Jags are running here, 255 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:20,959 Speaker 3: which you know, the Jacks have just been playing in 256 00:12:20,960 --> 00:12:23,080 Speaker 3: another level. You can say, well, they've had they've had 257 00:12:23,120 --> 00:12:26,960 Speaker 3: easy competition, yes, but they've put up over forty points 258 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:29,240 Speaker 3: in back to back weeks. They've been dominant and it's 259 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 3: been really impressive. And we've talked about it. This run 260 00:12:32,559 --> 00:12:34,920 Speaker 3: scheme they've had there, it's really opened up the pass 261 00:12:34,960 --> 00:12:38,280 Speaker 3: offense and your guy Myers who just got a big payday. 262 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:41,520 Speaker 3: He's changed the offense. He's what they thought Travis Hunter 263 00:12:41,520 --> 00:12:43,480 Speaker 3: would be for them on offense. Rady opens up the 264 00:12:43,520 --> 00:12:46,439 Speaker 3: doors for so many different players, and you know, you 265 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:49,960 Speaker 3: just look at this scheme wise, I just think this 266 00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:53,040 Speaker 3: Jaguars could be in this game competitively the entire way. 267 00:12:53,040 --> 00:12:56,000 Speaker 3: On the flip side, the Broncos, I know bon Nicks 268 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:57,840 Speaker 3: has been playing really well, but we've seen him have 269 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:00,360 Speaker 3: these up and down games and this feels like another spot. 270 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:03,280 Speaker 3: We could easily have a low game and a Jacks 271 00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:05,320 Speaker 3: team that, like I talked about, they haven't given up 272 00:13:05,320 --> 00:13:07,880 Speaker 3: more than seventy seventy five yards rushing this season. So 273 00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:10,480 Speaker 3: it's gonna be on bo Nicks. He's gonna have to 274 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:11,920 Speaker 3: beat them with his arm, and it's gonna be interesting 275 00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:13,440 Speaker 3: if he's gonna be able to do that back to 276 00:13:13,480 --> 00:13:16,320 Speaker 3: back weeks. Because last week he had a lot of throws. 277 00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:18,040 Speaker 3: I feel like he got away with it. And you 278 00:13:18,080 --> 00:13:20,240 Speaker 3: know that's what we said, we got bow Knicks last week. 279 00:13:20,559 --> 00:13:22,680 Speaker 3: We're doubling down. We're saying there's no way he's gonna 280 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:25,760 Speaker 3: do it to us again. So I really, really, it 281 00:13:25,800 --> 00:13:27,280 Speaker 3: is about the number. If this is two and a half, 282 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:29,400 Speaker 3: I wouldn't have really forced us to take this one 283 00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:31,920 Speaker 3: at three and a half. I can't avoid it. And 284 00:13:32,040 --> 00:13:34,400 Speaker 3: we've seen it move right every book we talked Thursday 285 00:13:34,520 --> 00:13:36,680 Speaker 3: was three. It's three and a half everywhere. So, like 286 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:38,560 Speaker 3: Chet said, the pros f come in, they've taken up 287 00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:41,280 Speaker 3: this on Denver. I think they're taking out a bad number. 288 00:13:41,280 --> 00:13:42,400 Speaker 3: I think they should be two and a half. 289 00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:47,120 Speaker 1: Two Pittsburgh get Detroit. We're taking Detroit minus six and 290 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:53,280 Speaker 1: a half. I like I know, we wanted to not 291 00:13:54,080 --> 00:13:58,160 Speaker 1: fade Mike Tomlin, and we feel sort of burned by 292 00:13:58,280 --> 00:14:01,440 Speaker 1: not having done it a couple of weeks ago against 293 00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:02,840 Speaker 1: the Ravens in that spot. 294 00:14:03,240 --> 00:14:04,079 Speaker 2: I think we've both. 295 00:14:03,880 --> 00:14:06,000 Speaker 1: Come to believe this is a little bit of a 296 00:14:06,040 --> 00:14:09,640 Speaker 1: different game and a different scenario for this Pittsburgh team, 297 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:13,880 Speaker 1: and that their defense just isn't playing as well as 298 00:14:13,920 --> 00:14:16,640 Speaker 1: it has been, and this is a good opportunity of 299 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:19,600 Speaker 1: Detroit is minus seven. By the way, at hard Rock 300 00:14:19,720 --> 00:14:21,400 Speaker 1: right now, it's six and a half in our contest, 301 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:24,280 Speaker 1: so anyone who's been playing it has been getting six 302 00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:28,680 Speaker 1: and a half. But the opportunity for the Lions to 303 00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:32,040 Speaker 1: dominate in the run game here, I think is what 304 00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:33,840 Speaker 1: we're really leaning into. 305 00:14:35,360 --> 00:14:37,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, they have been good for us, these Lions in 306 00:14:37,840 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 3: the bounce back spot this year, just like Carolina, and 307 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:42,720 Speaker 3: they have a little bit more history on their side 308 00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:44,760 Speaker 3: with this. In this exact spot read the Lions after 309 00:14:44,760 --> 00:14:46,880 Speaker 3: a loss. We know the numbers gamble is fourteen to 310 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:48,800 Speaker 3: one against the spread. Right, he usually gets his guys 311 00:14:48,880 --> 00:14:51,120 Speaker 3: up to bounce back. And this is another game where 312 00:14:51,160 --> 00:14:53,080 Speaker 3: I am honestly shocked it's not up to minus seven 313 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:54,880 Speaker 3: and seven and a half of this Lions team. 314 00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:56,960 Speaker 1: It is seven and a half in the contest. By 315 00:14:56,960 --> 00:15:00,040 Speaker 1: the way, it's just moved to seven and a half, which. 316 00:15:00,200 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 3: Just seems right right this morning, I expected a lot 317 00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:04,800 Speaker 3: of public money to be coming on this line steam 318 00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:08,240 Speaker 3: even though you know if someone's gonna tweet out, most 319 00:15:08,280 --> 00:15:10,760 Speaker 3: likely the number one bet on underdog this week is 320 00:15:10,800 --> 00:15:13,360 Speaker 3: the Steelers' money line. That to me makes sense, right, 321 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:14,760 Speaker 3: I know pros who are to take a position on 322 00:15:14,760 --> 00:15:17,080 Speaker 3: the Steelers' money line here because of what I just said. 323 00:15:17,120 --> 00:15:20,120 Speaker 3: Like Tomlin in these type of spots, he tends to 324 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:22,960 Speaker 3: have some voodoo type of tricks. But we've talked about 325 00:15:22,960 --> 00:15:24,720 Speaker 3: all the things for the Lions here, right, this is 326 00:15:24,720 --> 00:15:26,920 Speaker 3: an indoor game. They don't have the elements like the 327 00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:29,400 Speaker 3: Steelers kind of need. This is gonna be a track meet. 328 00:15:29,520 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 3: So can the Steelers offense give keep up? That's what 329 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:34,520 Speaker 3: it's gonna come down to me. It's like, can they 330 00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:38,160 Speaker 3: keep up with this line's offense, which this season, shockingly, 331 00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:40,640 Speaker 3: they're going to be the number two, number one team 332 00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:42,880 Speaker 3: for yards and points most likely end of the season. 333 00:15:42,920 --> 00:15:45,400 Speaker 3: They've just been on an absolute tear. It's just the 334 00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:48,360 Speaker 3: defense and injuries that let him down. So Ken Rodgers 335 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:51,200 Speaker 3: take advantage of it, perhaps, But me and Chad once again, 336 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 3: we have an amazing number, especially the minus six and 337 00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:55,480 Speaker 3: a half. And there is one very public book out 338 00:15:55,480 --> 00:15:56,920 Speaker 3: there still with the six and a half, which is 339 00:15:56,920 --> 00:16:00,800 Speaker 3: pretty interesting. But yeah, we know this. This Lion's team 340 00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:03,560 Speaker 3: the Bills probably gonna be the two most bet on 341 00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:06,560 Speaker 3: numbers and sides for the general public, so very public 342 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:08,160 Speaker 3: place here. But it really is all about the number 343 00:16:08,200 --> 00:16:10,840 Speaker 3: in Yeah, the six and a half. I just can't 344 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:12,200 Speaker 3: avoid it. I love the Lions here. 345 00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:14,000 Speaker 1: We're gonna have to make a call because if the 346 00:16:14,040 --> 00:16:15,880 Speaker 1: line is six and a half in the contest and 347 00:16:15,920 --> 00:16:19,280 Speaker 1: there's something that we want to be or seven and 348 00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:21,440 Speaker 1: a half in the contest. If there's something we want 349 00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:24,120 Speaker 1: to be playing, we might want to have to evaluate 350 00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:26,800 Speaker 1: because now it's seven and a half. I say that 351 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:29,800 Speaker 1: because we talked about New England and Baltimore this week. 352 00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:32,000 Speaker 1: New England was three and a half in the contest 353 00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:37,120 Speaker 1: and we like New England. This was Chad's choice and 354 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:40,880 Speaker 1: a lot of professional money coming in on the Ravens 355 00:16:41,240 --> 00:16:44,600 Speaker 1: in the past forty eight hours, So that's making me 356 00:16:44,720 --> 00:16:51,760 Speaker 1: a little bit nervous about sticking with the sticking with 357 00:16:51,800 --> 00:16:53,200 Speaker 1: the New England Patriots. 358 00:16:54,040 --> 00:16:56,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, and we kind of knew this though, Chad. This 359 00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:59,360 Speaker 3: is probably going to be the biggest public dog this week, right. 360 00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:02,880 Speaker 3: It's just I think the general public is just like us. 361 00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:05,880 Speaker 3: The Bills have not passed any type of eye test 362 00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:10,000 Speaker 3: this entire season, and it's just something that's off with Lamar. 363 00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:13,040 Speaker 3: I just there's questions for me with Lamar. And he 364 00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:15,240 Speaker 3: did use his legs more last week, but it really 365 00:17:15,240 --> 00:17:17,600 Speaker 3: felt like that was a Joe Burrow gave them that 366 00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:20,360 Speaker 3: game away, Like they were in that game in every way. 367 00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:23,960 Speaker 3: Their defense was getting stops and he just totally messed 368 00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:26,479 Speaker 3: up in multiple positions, kept getting the Lamar short fields 369 00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:29,879 Speaker 3: and eventually that run game took over the Patriots variable. 370 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:33,959 Speaker 3: They've been stout against the run. So I guess the 371 00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:37,240 Speaker 3: Patriots are due for a really bad letdown game this season. 372 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:40,080 Speaker 3: They haven't had it since what Week one against the Raiders. 373 00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:41,520 Speaker 3: Like it's just they. 374 00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:44,000 Speaker 1: Did have a letdown in the second half against the Bills. 375 00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:45,359 Speaker 1: I mean they completely That's who they. 376 00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:48,000 Speaker 3: Are, right, you gave them stats, Chad, you, I mean 377 00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:50,280 Speaker 3: that's who they are. They are a team that dominates 378 00:17:50,280 --> 00:17:54,199 Speaker 3: first halfs and totally get out played technically. What I 379 00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:57,240 Speaker 3: think the three of their four close losses this year 380 00:17:57,600 --> 00:17:59,359 Speaker 3: have common when they just have now played well at 381 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:02,320 Speaker 3: all in the second I got out paced. So you know, 382 00:18:03,240 --> 00:18:05,080 Speaker 3: it's what we talked about a living on Thursday. Though, 383 00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:06,919 Speaker 3: I think the pros are looking at this as Raven's 384 00:18:06,960 --> 00:18:09,320 Speaker 3: been there, done that proven team. I gave you that 385 00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:12,560 Speaker 3: seal Lamar. Yeah, never lost sixteen to oh in these 386 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:16,280 Speaker 3: two weeks Week fifteen and sixteen. It's crazy like that 387 00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:18,560 Speaker 3: really is one of the more impressive stats. Who can 388 00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:21,360 Speaker 3: give a guy for being that dominant the month of December? 389 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:23,920 Speaker 3: So you know, we'll go back to the well our 390 00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:26,920 Speaker 3: Vaybel well, I know it's the biggest public dog this week, 391 00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:29,040 Speaker 3: but I think the public's right on this reed like this, 392 00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:32,120 Speaker 3: the Ravens could win this game, but to me by 393 00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:33,600 Speaker 3: more than a field goal. They're going to need so 394 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:35,320 Speaker 3: many things to bounce their way, and so many things 395 00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:37,399 Speaker 3: go wrong for this team. So we know noone has 396 00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:40,560 Speaker 3: a ton of injuries, but Drake may playing from behind 397 00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:42,359 Speaker 3: in that run game. I think they're going to always 398 00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:44,320 Speaker 3: going to be in this game. So we'll take that 399 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:45,639 Speaker 3: hook with the plus three and a half. 400 00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:47,560 Speaker 1: Let's do a quick word from hard Rock, and then 401 00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:49,879 Speaker 1: we're going to finalize where we're at. 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Any day of the week, download 418 00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:46,240 Speaker 1: the hard Rock Bet app and make your first deposit today, 419 00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:49,399 Speaker 1: payable in bonus bets, not a cash offer offered by 420 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:53,240 Speaker 1: the Seminole Tribe of Florida. In Florida offered by Seminal 421 00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:56,399 Speaker 1: hard Rock Digital, LLC and all other states, must be 422 00:19:56,440 --> 00:20:02,160 Speaker 1: twenty one or over and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, 423 00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:05,240 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, and Virginia to play. Terms and 424 00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 1: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida, call one eight 425 00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:10,520 Speaker 1: three three playwise. 426 00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:11,480 Speaker 2: In Indiana. 427 00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 1: If you were something you know as a gambling problem 428 00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:16,000 Speaker 1: and wants help, call one eight hundred and nine with 429 00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:21,080 Speaker 1: it gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, 430 00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:26,040 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. All right, so the one 431 00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:28,840 Speaker 1: game we've loved all week. Simon says it was the 432 00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:33,479 Speaker 1: New York Giants plus three against the Minnesota Vikings. And 433 00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:36,520 Speaker 1: it's not in our contest play right now because in 434 00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:39,240 Speaker 1: the contest it's been two and a half. Do we 435 00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:43,240 Speaker 1: want to take anything out? Are we moving away from 436 00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:46,600 Speaker 1: the Patriots? Is that making us nervous? Is there a 437 00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:50,119 Speaker 1: Jacksonville play that would want us make us want to 438 00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:52,440 Speaker 1: take out? Is there a do we want to take 439 00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:56,080 Speaker 1: out Jacksonville and put in the Giants? We're not getting 440 00:20:56,080 --> 00:20:59,120 Speaker 1: as good of a number, But are we nervous about 441 00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:01,000 Speaker 1: any of these plays makes us want to put the 442 00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:01,480 Speaker 1: Giants in? 443 00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:05,520 Speaker 3: No, it's really it's really about the number. If it 444 00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:07,680 Speaker 3: was three and a half, honestly, I could be tucked 445 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:10,040 Speaker 3: into it because then we're really in business there. Just 446 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:11,719 Speaker 3: like a couple of other games where it's like, you know, 447 00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:15,000 Speaker 3: looking back, yeah, should we probably have switched New England out? 448 00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:16,440 Speaker 3: But I was never gonna get there like they got 449 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:18,280 Speaker 3: me with the Hook. It's just too good to be true. 450 00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:22,119 Speaker 3: So this one's so much more that. This is what 451 00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:23,680 Speaker 3: I talked on Tuesday. I knew this was gonna be 452 00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:25,600 Speaker 3: a pro spot, right The pro's gonna come in on this. 453 00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:29,160 Speaker 3: It's a unique team in Minnesota that you know, they're 454 00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:31,200 Speaker 3: not an outdoor team. They're not great in the elements. 455 00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:33,359 Speaker 3: It's not that bad. Honestly, here in Jersey. It's not 456 00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:34,920 Speaker 3: really like it's freezing cold. 457 00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:37,240 Speaker 2: It's fine. No, it's fine. 458 00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:39,439 Speaker 3: It honestly is. That's not something you really hang your 459 00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:42,159 Speaker 3: hat on. But it is a unique spot in the 460 00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:45,040 Speaker 3: fact that it is jj alten the elements in a 461 00:21:45,080 --> 00:21:46,560 Speaker 3: game that he's going to need to be passing in 462 00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:49,399 Speaker 3: the swirling wins of that field. And we've seen it 463 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:52,520 Speaker 3: this This Giants team identity is using their legs right, 464 00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:55,280 Speaker 3: either darts legs or the running backs. They don't really 465 00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:56,880 Speaker 3: want to be passing the ball too much downfield. They've 466 00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:58,840 Speaker 3: been that way since they lost the number one receivers. 467 00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:02,160 Speaker 3: So it's it's a game I do like, Chad, there 468 00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:04,240 Speaker 3: is one game we've not talked about that I do love, 469 00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:07,960 Speaker 3: and you know it's this Giants game. I thrown the 470 00:22:08,000 --> 00:22:10,000 Speaker 3: blunder of a bunch of games that I was hoping 471 00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:12,200 Speaker 3: you'd come in on, like I was hoping you come 472 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:13,680 Speaker 3: in and be like, well, Tennessee three and a half, 473 00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:15,359 Speaker 3: we have to take it that that's gone. It's two 474 00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:18,240 Speaker 3: and a half everywhere. I thought maybe you'd be on Dallas, 475 00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:20,399 Speaker 3: But now that Dallas has nothing to play for, I 476 00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:23,480 Speaker 3: can see you're probably not too excited to be betting 477 00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:25,439 Speaker 3: big money on a Dallas team that no one really 478 00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:27,560 Speaker 3: knows how they're going to play that game. So there's 479 00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:29,040 Speaker 3: a lot of games we did like that are kind 480 00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:31,960 Speaker 3: of falling by the wayside here. But the game we 481 00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,520 Speaker 3: have not talked much about that I think is probably 482 00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:37,000 Speaker 3: the sharpest line this week. It's got to be that 483 00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:40,360 Speaker 3: Colts forty nine Ers game Colts five and a half. 484 00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:42,280 Speaker 3: I know it's thrown a little wrench in the manetro 485 00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:47,760 Speaker 3: pidancy coming, but this is the definition of a rallying 486 00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:50,160 Speaker 3: spot for this Colts team. On the flip side, the Niners, 487 00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:52,320 Speaker 3: how do we not want to fade them? This is 488 00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:55,000 Speaker 3: a team that hasn't played a legit team in a month. 489 00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:57,239 Speaker 3: Like I mean, people probably forget the last thing they 490 00:22:57,280 --> 00:23:00,240 Speaker 3: played that was legit was LA. They lost four forty 491 00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:03,119 Speaker 3: two to twenty six. This is not Colts offense is 492 00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:05,879 Speaker 3: not going to anywhere close to LA's offense, but they 493 00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:08,119 Speaker 3: can run the ball, so they're basically coming off a 494 00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 3: four win streak of Arizona Carolina, which that Carolina game 495 00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:14,520 Speaker 3: was very flukey in my opinion, that Cleveland game, which 496 00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:16,560 Speaker 3: we always said that was a very special teams game. 497 00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:19,879 Speaker 3: And then they beat Tennessee Like this is to me 498 00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:22,720 Speaker 3: the peak of this Niners team. Like I think they're 499 00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:25,040 Speaker 3: gonna lose this game. I think the Bears are gonna 500 00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:25,320 Speaker 3: beat them. 501 00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:25,840 Speaker 2: Wow. 502 00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:27,640 Speaker 3: I know. I think it's all about the fall apart 503 00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:29,399 Speaker 3: for this Niners team. And it really comes back to 504 00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:31,960 Speaker 3: I've talked about these injuries to this defense. I have 505 00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 3: no doubt about the Niners offense. The defense. I think 506 00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:37,959 Speaker 3: they're dead last in sack and pressures this season, like 507 00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:40,160 Speaker 3: they can get away with it against these bad teams, 508 00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:43,120 Speaker 3: but against good teams like Colts, to me, are still 509 00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:45,680 Speaker 3: a good team. They've just had some really bad luck 510 00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 3: obviously with all these injuries. And I know Saals is 511 00:23:47,520 --> 00:23:49,840 Speaker 3: gonna play either that's a big deal. But I think 512 00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:51,760 Speaker 3: the Colts they have this scheme to keep this game 513 00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:54,280 Speaker 3: close and kind of keep the Niners off field, never 514 00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:56,760 Speaker 3: letting that offense get into the rhythm. And it's it 515 00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:59,639 Speaker 3: really comes back to that Jonathan Taylor's game. So you 516 00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:02,480 Speaker 3: know it's there's a bunch of stupid stats. If you 517 00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:03,879 Speaker 3: want to die, we don't have to die too much 518 00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:07,040 Speaker 3: anyw But this Colts team, they've actually owned this Niners 519 00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 3: team throughout the years. If you go back all the 520 00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:13,320 Speaker 3: way to was at twenty thirteen, they've won four straight 521 00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:16,159 Speaker 3: against the Niners. Doesn't matter whod and Iris coaches have been, 522 00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:19,160 Speaker 3: who the scheme has been, They've always kind of dominated 523 00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:20,920 Speaker 3: this matchup. And if you go back and look, I 524 00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:23,400 Speaker 3: think the last night I played was twenty one. I 525 00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:25,679 Speaker 3: love the way Shane Styke and his scheme is against 526 00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:27,520 Speaker 3: this type of solid defense, and you go back and 527 00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:30,520 Speaker 3: watch again, that wasn't that dominant team in twenty one. 528 00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:32,639 Speaker 3: It really is about the run game, and it's just 529 00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:34,639 Speaker 3: there's something this Colts team can do that gives Solads 530 00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:37,720 Speaker 3: defense this problem. So I know it's a tough sell. 531 00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:38,959 Speaker 3: I don't know if I'm gonna get us in there, 532 00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:40,720 Speaker 3: because we could have had six and a half earlier 533 00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:42,840 Speaker 3: in the week. But I want people to know, don't 534 00:24:42,920 --> 00:24:44,480 Speaker 3: let this five and a half scare you off. It 535 00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:46,680 Speaker 3: could get to six, but I think the pros will 536 00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:48,480 Speaker 3: keep hitting this one. This feels like a really bad 537 00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:50,120 Speaker 3: spot in the matchup for the Niners team. 538 00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:56,200 Speaker 1: So if we take something out because we've entered the contest, 539 00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:59,240 Speaker 1: I put my picks in, our picks in on Tuesday 540 00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:01,399 Speaker 1: because I want to get the best of the lines 541 00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:03,800 Speaker 1: on some numbers, and that included six and a half 542 00:25:03,800 --> 00:25:06,200 Speaker 1: on Detroit. So if we're going to go back in 543 00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:09,720 Speaker 1: and put this in for say New England, then we're 544 00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:11,600 Speaker 1: gonna have to go to seven and a half in Detroit. 545 00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 2: Is it worth it? Do we like three and a. 546 00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:19,680 Speaker 1: Half for New England better than five and a half 547 00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:21,479 Speaker 1: for Indy with Philip Rivers. 548 00:25:21,720 --> 00:25:24,000 Speaker 3: Like I said, Chad, I can't get talked out of 549 00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:25,920 Speaker 3: the New England one because it's just I think it's 550 00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:28,159 Speaker 3: such a good number and it's such a good Rabel spot. 551 00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:30,600 Speaker 3: But that's what I'm hoping. You're the clear mind here 552 00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:32,760 Speaker 3: and you'd be like, no, New One's got injuries, we 553 00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:35,280 Speaker 3: got to switch them out the culture. This is the spot. 554 00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:37,280 Speaker 3: But you know we got the six and a half 555 00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:39,640 Speaker 3: two on the lines. It's just I can't get there. 556 00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:40,879 Speaker 3: I feel like we should just leave it as this. 557 00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:43,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't want to put the Colts in and 558 00:25:43,320 --> 00:25:47,040 Speaker 1: Philip Rivers because maybe everything you're saying is right, and 559 00:25:47,520 --> 00:25:51,480 Speaker 1: it probably is. You may have turned me around. Maybe 560 00:25:51,520 --> 00:25:53,920 Speaker 1: I'll bet the Colts on Monday Night. 561 00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:55,600 Speaker 3: You gotta do it. 562 00:25:55,640 --> 00:26:01,520 Speaker 1: But I love Rabel. I'm insane. I'm betting on Ben Johnson. 563 00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:06,399 Speaker 1: I'm betting on Mike Rabel, especially betting on Mike Rabel 564 00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:09,880 Speaker 1: after to collapse like last week. They know what their 565 00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:12,720 Speaker 1: issues have been. They're smart enough to figure them out 566 00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:15,400 Speaker 1: in the second half. They've seen it all season. Now 567 00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:18,040 Speaker 1: they've got tangible evidence. They didn't get to sneak by 568 00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:20,680 Speaker 1: against a bad team like this is something they got 569 00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:21,040 Speaker 1: to fix. 570 00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:23,640 Speaker 2: I think they're going to do it. So let's leave 571 00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:24,680 Speaker 2: the Patriots in there. 572 00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:26,520 Speaker 3: Let's do it all right. 573 00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:30,639 Speaker 1: So then our final five is going to be Tampa 574 00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:34,159 Speaker 1: Bay at Carolina. We're going with Carolina plus three and 575 00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:37,800 Speaker 1: a half, Buffalo at Cleveland. We're going with Buffalo minus 576 00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:41,040 Speaker 1: ten and a half. Jacksonville at Denver. We're going with 577 00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:44,480 Speaker 1: Jacksonville three and a half. Pittsburgh get Detroit. We're going 578 00:26:44,560 --> 00:26:47,280 Speaker 1: with Detroit. It's seven and a half now, but we 579 00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:49,080 Speaker 1: got it at six and a half in the contest. 580 00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:53,000 Speaker 1: New England plus three and a half in the contest 581 00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:57,199 Speaker 1: at Baltimore that is it our last one's out. It 582 00:26:57,200 --> 00:26:59,479 Speaker 1: feels like our last ones out are going to be 583 00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:02,520 Speaker 1: really Minnesota. At the New York Giants plus two and 584 00:27:02,560 --> 00:27:05,719 Speaker 1: a half, we also had a couple conversations about Arizona, 585 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:07,400 Speaker 1: but it's a two and a half. In the contest 586 00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:11,440 Speaker 1: for the Raiders at fourteen and a half, we didn't 587 00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:13,880 Speaker 1: get to it. We're gonna be watching it at least 588 00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:16,359 Speaker 1: I am because I did bet the Raiders fourteen and 589 00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:20,399 Speaker 1: a half at Houston. Okay, this has been Sharper Square, 590 00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:23,199 Speaker 1: part of the Volume podcast network. We're going to be 591 00:27:23,240 --> 00:27:28,760 Speaker 1: back on Sharper Square YouTube tonight after the late afternoon games. 592 00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:32,280 Speaker 1: Tune in live. We'll answer your questions. We'll review all 593 00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:35,160 Speaker 1: the misery and heartache of the day. Watch or listen 594 00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:37,760 Speaker 1: on YouTube at sharper Square. Like the video, subscribe to 595 00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:40,280 Speaker 1: the channel, Download some Spotify, Apple Pods wherever you get 596 00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:43,720 Speaker 1: your pods, rate review, subscribe leab us five stars say. 597 00:27:43,520 --> 00:27:45,760 Speaker 2: Whatever you want. Feedback is the gift. Until next time. 598 00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:49,760 Speaker 2: Love you, Hi, Biby. 599 00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:53,800 Speaker 3: We're gonna be all day. We're gonna be all day vibe. 600 00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:57,119 Speaker 2: I like that kind of potty, I like that kind 601 00:27:57,160 --> 00:27:57,520 Speaker 2: of party.