WEBVTT - Is nuclear power worth the risks?

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<v Speaker 1>A. Kelly. Do you guys have solar panels out on

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<v Speaker 1>the science farm yet? Yes, we do, but they don't

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<v Speaker 1>always help when you need them the most. What do

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<v Speaker 1>you mean what happened? Well, there was that snowstorm that

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<v Speaker 1>slammed the East Coast a few weeks back, and that

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<v Speaker 1>knocked out the whole electrical grid. It would have been

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<v Speaker 1>nice to have solar, but solar panels don't work super

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<v Speaker 1>great when it's snowing, and I guess they also don't

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<v Speaker 1>work that well when they're covered in snow. Right. I

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<v Speaker 1>never thought about that. Do people who live in snowy

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<v Speaker 1>places need to get like solar panel wipers like windshield

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<v Speaker 1>wipers for your car? Not quite? Uh? And ours are

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<v Speaker 1>up on a roof, so we can't just sort of, like,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, wipe it off with our hands or something.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think most people just wait for the snow

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<v Speaker 1>to milk. I don't know. Didn't you create like some

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<v Speaker 1>mini humans out there you could send up on your

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<v Speaker 1>roof to wipe them off? I assume you're talking about

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<v Speaker 1>my children were not so desperate for power that we're

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<v Speaker 1>willing to risk their lives for it. I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>when my kids iPads run out of charge. I am

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<v Speaker 1>very desperate for power. I can't parent without them anymore,

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<v Speaker 1>so I might even climb up there myself. I see

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<v Speaker 1>where you're coming from. We were. Fortunately we're able to

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<v Speaker 1>charge our iPads in the car, so we were okay. Hi,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Daniel. I'm a particle physicist and a professor at

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<v Speaker 1>U C Irvine, and I find myself needing more and

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<v Speaker 1>more energy every day. And I'm Kelly waen Or Smith.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm a parasitologist who's adjunct with Rice University, And I

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<v Speaker 1>also like power. Do you ever wish that you could

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<v Speaker 1>just plug yourself into solar power? Like? Why do we

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<v Speaker 1>still need to sleep? Why can't we just recharge the

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<v Speaker 1>way all of our devices do. Yeah? Right, that would

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<v Speaker 1>be like an upgrade of coffee. I like it electrified

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<v Speaker 1>coffee exactly. It just seems so much more reliable, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>those days you have, like insomnia or whatever you like.

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<v Speaker 1>I wish I could just plug in and charge up.

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<v Speaker 1>Today we did the coffee, and I'm feeling kind of jittery.

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<v Speaker 1>So if I could just plug into a solar panel

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<v Speaker 1>and get nice, steady power without overdoing it, that would

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<v Speaker 1>be pretty solid. Well maybe someday in the future. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>welcome to the podcast Daniel and Jorge explain the Universe,

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<v Speaker 1>in which we try to plug your brain into all

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<v Speaker 1>the crazy ideas of the universe. We like to explore

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<v Speaker 1>the deepest, darkest questions about black holes, the biggest, hottest

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<v Speaker 1>questions about neutron stars and what's going on inside the sun,

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<v Speaker 1>all the way down to the tiniest little particles that

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<v Speaker 1>make up me and you and your coffee. We explore

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<v Speaker 1>all of it. We don't shy away from any of it,

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<v Speaker 1>and we break it all down for you. My friend

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<v Speaker 1>and co host Orgy can't be with us today, so

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<v Speaker 1>we're very happy to be joined by one of our

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<v Speaker 1>regular co hosts Kelly. Thanks again for joining us today. Hey,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks for having me here. I love being on the

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<v Speaker 1>show and I am particularly excited about this topic. It's

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<v Speaker 1>a super fascinating interface between human behavior and technology, which

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<v Speaker 1>I just love. You wish that humans sometimes were easier

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<v Speaker 1>to predict and control like technology, Well, yeah, that would

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<v Speaker 1>be boring, but but but yes, it would be nice.

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<v Speaker 1>But one thing that we can rely on humans for

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<v Speaker 1>is that we seem to always need more and more

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<v Speaker 1>energy our lives. Have more and more devices in them.

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<v Speaker 1>We rely on expensive devices to do things for us.

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<v Speaker 1>It seems like the future of our civilization is one

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<v Speaker 1>that consumes more and more power. Yes, and people in

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<v Speaker 1>other countries would like to approach Western levels of energy usage,

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<v Speaker 1>and if that happens, we're going to be in a

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<v Speaker 1>bit of trouble. We're already in a good bit of trouble.

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<v Speaker 1>As we look around on this planet, we notice that

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<v Speaker 1>it can't really sustain our lifestyle at this level for

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<v Speaker 1>much longer. I was reading the UN Climate Change Report,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's pretty alarming stuff. That's not light reading. It's

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<v Speaker 1>not light reading exactly. According to that report, a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of the changes we've already seen in the climate are

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<v Speaker 1>unprecedented in the last thousands or a few hundreds of

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<v Speaker 1>thousands of years. So the Earth is heating up, the

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<v Speaker 1>sea levels are rising, things are going bonkers. We just

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<v Speaker 1>can't continue in this direct. Yeah. The more you watch

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<v Speaker 1>the news or pay attention to the weather channel, the

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<v Speaker 1>more depressing this stuff gets as time goes on. And

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<v Speaker 1>if we're going to slow it down, we're gonna have

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<v Speaker 1>to make some pretty big changes to our behavior. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>I think one goal is to keep the Earth from overheating.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, as we pump more c O two into

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<v Speaker 1>the atmosphere, it acts as this global blanket, keeping the

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<v Speaker 1>Sun's energy inside rather than letting the Earth radiated out

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<v Speaker 1>into space. So the more CEO two that we pump

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<v Speaker 1>into our atmosphere, the warmer the Earth gets. It's already

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<v Speaker 1>risen by almost a degree relative to historical levels as

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<v Speaker 1>of twenty twelve, and there was this prediction that if

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<v Speaker 1>we wanted to keep it from rising another degree up

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<v Speaker 1>to two degrees above typical levels, and there was a

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<v Speaker 1>certain amount of CEO two that we could afford to

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<v Speaker 1>pump into the atmosphere. Unfortunately, we've already pumped more than

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<v Speaker 1>half of that into the atmosphere. So we have this

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<v Speaker 1>like shrinking window to avoid basically total disaster. And I

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<v Speaker 1>wonder sometimes if we're going to be able to pull

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<v Speaker 1>it off, if we sort of as a species, are

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<v Speaker 1>going to be able to stand together and say like, hey,

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<v Speaker 1>let's solve this problem. Let's do something about it. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we're gonna have to do something drastic. And

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<v Speaker 1>the longer we wait, the more drastic that thing is

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<v Speaker 1>going to have to be. And so we got to

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<v Speaker 1>get moving on that. We definitely do have to get

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<v Speaker 1>moving on that. And of course science and technology seems

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<v Speaker 1>like an excellent direction, like we're developing new technologies, we're

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<v Speaker 1>pushing this kind of stuff. It's the kind of thing

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<v Speaker 1>that humans only seem to respond to when it's like

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<v Speaker 1>really in crisis. You know, I wish that we could

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<v Speaker 1>like look at these things further in advance and prioritize

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<v Speaker 1>these things before we're in crisis mode. But it's sort

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<v Speaker 1>of like the professor with a thousand things going off

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<v Speaker 1>at once. We only seem to have the attention span

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<v Speaker 1>for the most urgent crisis. Foresight seems to be a

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<v Speaker 1>pretty massive weak point for humanity as a whole, exactly.

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<v Speaker 1>And one crucial area, of course, is production of that energy.

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<v Speaker 1>We want to keep consuming this much energy to power

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<v Speaker 1>our iPads and our phones and to watch our screens,

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<v Speaker 1>and we need to figure out a way to generate

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<v Speaker 1>that energy that doesn't further heat up our planet, that

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't cause like wildfires and see ocean rises and all

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<v Speaker 1>this sort of stuff. And one of the great things

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<v Speaker 1>about the you know, possible solutions to this problem is

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<v Speaker 1>that there's technologies we already have that we could use,

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<v Speaker 1>so it doesn't even necessarily require some like world changing

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<v Speaker 1>fundamental new technology. We have some of the tools now,

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<v Speaker 1>we just need to commit to implementing them. Does that

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<v Speaker 1>make you more optimistic that we're going to solve this problem,

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<v Speaker 1>like because you can see the solutions ahead of us,

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<v Speaker 1>or less optimistic because now it's like a political question.

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<v Speaker 1>It's just a question of whether humans will stand together

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<v Speaker 1>and do this. I always find it hard to be

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<v Speaker 1>optimistic in the face of politics, but but I think

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<v Speaker 1>if you give up hope, then you really don't get anywhere.

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<v Speaker 1>So yes, I'm optimistic. We need to make better use

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<v Speaker 1>of these technologies. And a lot of the technologies you're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about have been ramping up quickly, things like wind

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<v Speaker 1>and solar, which are clean and renewable and excellent sources

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<v Speaker 1>of power. But there's another technology which has been around

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<v Speaker 1>for or decades, which produces reliable electricity and doesn't emit

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<v Speaker 1>any carbon, and for which there's huge amounts of fuel

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<v Speaker 1>readily available. But it's not one that people typically think

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<v Speaker 1>of when they think of like clean energy or green energy.

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<v Speaker 1>And of course I'm talking about nuclear power. And so

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<v Speaker 1>today on the podcast, we'll be tackling the question is

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<v Speaker 1>nuclear power worth the risks? Yeah, and it's a particularly

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<v Speaker 1>complicated form of energy. There are definitely environmental groups who,

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<v Speaker 1>despite the fact that it produces zero carbon, are still

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<v Speaker 1>completely against it because of some of the other side

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<v Speaker 1>effects like what do you do with the waste and

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<v Speaker 1>how is that going to contaminate the environment. So it's

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<v Speaker 1>a particularly complicated but promising technology. Yeah. I think it's

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<v Speaker 1>really fascinating how it's sort of splits the politics, like

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<v Speaker 1>if you are a pro environment are you against nuclear

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<v Speaker 1>because of the potential waste and risks or are you

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<v Speaker 1>pro nuclear because it is zero carbon. It's really fascinatingly

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<v Speaker 1>skewers all of these questions. And what's interesting is most people,

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<v Speaker 1>when you ask them, don't sort of kind of feel

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<v Speaker 1>one way or another. They feel very strongly pro or

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<v Speaker 1>very strongly against. It's a technology that doesn't have a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of people in the middle. Yeah, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>that the general sense out there is that nuclear power

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<v Speaker 1>is risky, that it's dangerous. People have seen Home or

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<v Speaker 1>Simpson operating that nuclear power plant on The Simpsons. It

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<v Speaker 1>seemed blinky the Three Eyed Fish. They just get the

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<v Speaker 1>sense that nuclear power is like out of our control.

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<v Speaker 1>It's something maybe humans shouldn't dabble with, and of course

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<v Speaker 1>it's connected with nuclear weapons, which you know, might end

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<v Speaker 1>humanity and ruin the planet. So in general, I guess

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<v Speaker 1>that people are uneasy with the idea of nuclear power.

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<v Speaker 1>And I've also concluded that The Simpsons are partly to

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<v Speaker 1>blame for our current climate change issues because so many

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<v Speaker 1>people are watching it on their screens. Well I did

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<v Speaker 1>when I was a kid. I guess I haven't recently,

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<v Speaker 1>But anyway, maybe we should talk to Matt Groening about

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<v Speaker 1>a PR overhaul, although maybe he's not in charge anymore. Yeah. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it's true that Monty Burns is not the most sympathetic

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<v Speaker 1>figure when it comes to running a power plant. But

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<v Speaker 1>I was wondering what our listeners thought about this question

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<v Speaker 1>about whether nuclear power is an excellent source of fuel

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<v Speaker 1>for the future because of its zero carbon output, or

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<v Speaker 1>whether it's something risky and dangerous that humans should shy

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<v Speaker 1>away from to avoid polluting our planet with radioactive waste

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<v Speaker 1>that would last for tens of thousands of years. So,

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<v Speaker 1>as usual, I ask people to volunteer to answer difficult

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<v Speaker 1>questions without any preparation. So thanks to everybody who volunteered,

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<v Speaker 1>and if you would like to participate for a future

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<v Speaker 1>episode of the podcast, please don't be shy. All you

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<v Speaker 1>have to do is write to us two questions at

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<v Speaker 1>Daniel and Jorge dot com. So think about it for

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<v Speaker 1>a moment before you hear these answers. Do you think

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<v Speaker 1>nuclear power is worth the risks? Here's what people had

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<v Speaker 1>to say, Well, we certainly are aware of several high

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<v Speaker 1>profile incidents that have happened with nuclear power stations, including

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<v Speaker 1>journal Bill, which caused the public to give pause in

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<v Speaker 1>supporting nuclear power. But I believe we can't rule it

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<v Speaker 1>out as a source of energy given the rising demand

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<v Speaker 1>for energy of humans and the increasing need for us

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<v Speaker 1>to stop using fossil fuel. It's too about climate change disaster.

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<v Speaker 1>Nuclear power is definitely worth the risk, especially fusion reactors

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<v Speaker 1>as they produce only neutrons in some gamma radiation. Nuclear

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<v Speaker 1>power has benefits of producing large amount of electricity, and

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<v Speaker 1>the risks are the safety hazards, which I think can

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<v Speaker 1>be taken care of as long as the party is

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<v Speaker 1>involved take the precautions, and the waste, the radioactive waste

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<v Speaker 1>is the reason why we need to be moving towards

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<v Speaker 1>more sustainable powers, but are the current limitations of resources

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<v Speaker 1>we cannot so I think it's what there is gonna

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<v Speaker 1>But if you're talking about nukes, no, I think nuclear

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<v Speaker 1>power is for sure worth the risk. I haven't it

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<v Speaker 1>into this much, but from what I've seen, I think

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<v Speaker 1>nuclear power is definitely worth the risk. It's clean as

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<v Speaker 1>far as I really just have to worry about waste. Definitely, Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>I am a big deliver in nuclear power because it's

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<v Speaker 1>a clean source of energy, and history shows that we

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<v Speaker 1>haven't figured out yet how to don't have accidents with that.

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<v Speaker 1>But we did that in aviation, for example. We have

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<v Speaker 1>a very safe commercial aviation and market. So I'm very

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<v Speaker 1>confident that we'll get there on the nuclear as well.

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<v Speaker 1>I think so because it's better than getting the planet

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<v Speaker 1>with fossil fuels. And I don't say there's a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of option to generate constant power without nuclear until fusion

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<v Speaker 1>takes hole. Anyway, I'd imagine that it certainly is worth

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<v Speaker 1>the risks. I mean if by risks you mean like

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<v Speaker 1>natural desa masters like earthquakes and tsunamis, then I don't

0:12:05.080 --> 0:12:09.160
<v Speaker 1>see those happening too frequently. Um, I think they could

0:12:09.160 --> 0:12:12.480
<v Speaker 1>be you know, I have some preventative measures put in

0:12:12.559 --> 0:12:16.080
<v Speaker 1>place for those, and I think it's definitely worth the risks.

0:12:16.480 --> 0:12:19.920
<v Speaker 1>So I actually found these responses to be pretty uplifting.

0:12:19.920 --> 0:12:21.760
<v Speaker 1>A lot of people seem like they were generally in

0:12:21.840 --> 0:12:24.680
<v Speaker 1>support of nuclear power, although maybe your audience is a

0:12:24.679 --> 0:12:27.640
<v Speaker 1>particular subset of the world, so maybe it's not the

0:12:27.679 --> 0:12:31.960
<v Speaker 1>representative of the general public. There was one in there.

0:12:32.760 --> 0:12:34.960
<v Speaker 1>There were a fair number of optimistic responses. There was

0:12:35.040 --> 0:12:39.800
<v Speaker 1>one person who said, especially fusion reactors, and so we

0:12:39.840 --> 0:12:42.800
<v Speaker 1>had meant vision, but let's go ahead and talk about

0:12:42.840 --> 0:12:44.360
<v Speaker 1>what is the difference between the two of those. What

0:12:44.440 --> 0:12:46.199
<v Speaker 1>kind of nuclear power is running a lot of the

0:12:46.240 --> 0:12:48.600
<v Speaker 1>power plants that are going today. Yeah, I was also

0:12:48.600 --> 0:12:51.080
<v Speaker 1>a little surprised that our listeners are so pro nuclear,

0:12:51.240 --> 0:12:53.880
<v Speaker 1>but maybe that comes from their faith in science and

0:12:53.880 --> 0:12:56.840
<v Speaker 1>their fascination with technology. But you're right, there's a huge

0:12:56.880 --> 0:13:01.160
<v Speaker 1>difference between fusion and vision. Specifically, fission is something we

0:13:01.200 --> 0:13:04.360
<v Speaker 1>can do today. It powers the world partly we're able

0:13:04.360 --> 0:13:07.040
<v Speaker 1>to harness this nuclear process and use it to pull

0:13:07.200 --> 0:13:10.720
<v Speaker 1>electricity out of the hearts of atoms. But fusion is

0:13:10.760 --> 0:13:13.160
<v Speaker 1>something in the future. Fusion is something we have not

0:13:13.280 --> 0:13:16.199
<v Speaker 1>yet tackled, and speaking of the core physics of it,

0:13:16.400 --> 0:13:19.480
<v Speaker 1>remember that fission is when you take a big, heavy,

0:13:19.640 --> 0:13:23.240
<v Speaker 1>unstable nucleus like a uranium, atom or plutonium, and you

0:13:23.360 --> 0:13:26.640
<v Speaker 1>split it apart into two smaller nuclei, and when you

0:13:26.679 --> 0:13:30.439
<v Speaker 1>do that, you release energy. Conversely, fusion is the opposite.

0:13:30.480 --> 0:13:33.680
<v Speaker 1>You take light nuclei like hydrogen or helium and you

0:13:33.840 --> 0:13:36.880
<v Speaker 1>push them together, and when they fuse together to make

0:13:36.920 --> 0:13:40.520
<v Speaker 1>something heavier, they also release energy. And that seems kind

0:13:40.520 --> 0:13:43.880
<v Speaker 1>of confusing because you might think, well, what releases energy?

0:13:43.960 --> 0:13:46.600
<v Speaker 1>Is it breaking things up or is it pushing things together?

0:13:46.760 --> 0:13:50.080
<v Speaker 1>The answer for complicated nuclear physics reasons is that it

0:13:50.120 --> 0:13:53.240
<v Speaker 1>depends on what you're pushing or what you're splitting. If

0:13:53.240 --> 0:13:56.439
<v Speaker 1>you're taking really light elements like hydrogen or helium, then

0:13:56.520 --> 0:14:00.360
<v Speaker 1>pushing them together fusing them releases energy. You're taking really

0:14:00.440 --> 0:14:04.280
<v Speaker 1>heavy elements anything heavier than iron, than splitting them up

0:14:04.400 --> 0:14:09.559
<v Speaker 1>releases energy. Funny story, I memorized those definitions in reverse

0:14:10.000 --> 0:14:12.880
<v Speaker 1>once and it took a lot of work to get

0:14:12.920 --> 0:14:15.760
<v Speaker 1>them straight in my head afterwards, which was really important

0:14:15.840 --> 0:14:19.520
<v Speaker 1>because soon Ish included chapters originally on both of these topics,

0:14:19.800 --> 0:14:22.240
<v Speaker 1>so I had to get it right before the interviews started.

0:14:22.280 --> 0:14:24.240
<v Speaker 1>So I'd walk around the house and Zach would be like,

0:14:24.520 --> 0:14:27.120
<v Speaker 1>fusion go, and I would define it, and then later

0:14:27.200 --> 0:14:29.520
<v Speaker 1>in the day he'd be like, fission go. And eventually

0:14:29.600 --> 0:14:32.480
<v Speaker 1>we got it right. But actually, to this day, I

0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:34.560
<v Speaker 1>try to avoid using those terms because I'm worried I'm

0:14:34.560 --> 0:14:37.840
<v Speaker 1>going to blow it again. But we all have our things. Yeah, well,

0:14:37.880 --> 0:14:41.000
<v Speaker 1>I actually worked on fusion research myself back in the

0:14:41.080 --> 0:14:44.200
<v Speaker 1>nineties when I was a young future scientist and I

0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:46.080
<v Speaker 1>was trying to figure out what kind of physics I

0:14:46.160 --> 0:14:50.000
<v Speaker 1>wanted to do with my life. I thought, fusion seems promising.

0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:52.680
<v Speaker 1>It's around the corner. It's going to save the world

0:14:52.720 --> 0:14:56.040
<v Speaker 1>by providing abundant energy so cheap you wouldn't even have

0:14:56.120 --> 0:14:58.240
<v Speaker 1>to charge for it. That was back in the nineties,

0:14:58.600 --> 0:15:01.320
<v Speaker 1>and you know, thirty year years later, so fusion is

0:15:01.360 --> 0:15:05.040
<v Speaker 1>sort of still around the corner. It's something that's been

0:15:05.080 --> 0:15:09.040
<v Speaker 1>promising and maybe been thirty years away for fifty years now.

0:15:09.200 --> 0:15:11.440
<v Speaker 1>So it's a little bit frustrating that we don't yet

0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:14.880
<v Speaker 1>have an ability to harness this incredible source of power,

0:15:15.040 --> 0:15:17.280
<v Speaker 1>the thing that fuels our sun and all the stars

0:15:17.360 --> 0:15:19.880
<v Speaker 1>out there. It would provide cheap energy. The fuel for

0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:24.400
<v Speaker 1>it is just water, produces almost no dangerous radioactive elements.

0:15:24.480 --> 0:15:26.760
<v Speaker 1>It would be wonderful, but unfortunately it's not something we

0:15:26.840 --> 0:15:29.240
<v Speaker 1>know yet how to get to work. And if you

0:15:29.280 --> 0:15:30.680
<v Speaker 1>want to hear more about it, we have a couple

0:15:30.680 --> 0:15:34.280
<v Speaker 1>of episodes about that, including ones about the huge reactor

0:15:34.320 --> 0:15:36.720
<v Speaker 1>in France eater I t e R that they are

0:15:36.720 --> 0:15:40.000
<v Speaker 1>currently building and they are hoping will provide energy. That

0:15:40.080 --> 0:15:45.240
<v Speaker 1>the thing costs about ten bajillion dollars. I think there

0:15:45.280 --> 0:15:47.680
<v Speaker 1>are some private companies that have recently made some pretty

0:15:47.680 --> 0:15:51.840
<v Speaker 1>exciting strides, also in far more compact and therefore more

0:15:51.880 --> 0:15:55.760
<v Speaker 1>affordable models. But but yeah, as as you suggested, it's

0:15:55.800 --> 0:16:00.440
<v Speaker 1>the technology of the future and may always be thus exactly,

0:16:00.440 --> 0:16:02.760
<v Speaker 1>And there's some companies here in southern California, some of

0:16:02.800 --> 0:16:06.200
<v Speaker 1>them who have spinoffs from U s I faculty who

0:16:06.200 --> 0:16:08.920
<v Speaker 1>has some really clever ideas that might make fusion work.

0:16:09.040 --> 0:16:11.440
<v Speaker 1>The problem we're facing with the environment, though, is that

0:16:11.480 --> 0:16:13.840
<v Speaker 1>we don't need a solution that's twenty years from now.

0:16:14.160 --> 0:16:17.240
<v Speaker 1>The crisis is so imminent that we really need something

0:16:17.480 --> 0:16:20.480
<v Speaker 1>very very soon to help us draw down our use

0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:24.640
<v Speaker 1>of energy sources which produce more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.

0:16:24.720 --> 0:16:26.480
<v Speaker 1>So really we need to focus on things that we

0:16:26.480 --> 0:16:29.800
<v Speaker 1>can turn on almost immediately, and fission, of course, is

0:16:29.840 --> 0:16:31.800
<v Speaker 1>something we know how to do. We've been doing it

0:16:31.880 --> 0:16:36.040
<v Speaker 1>for something like fifty years. The typical process, and most

0:16:36.080 --> 0:16:38.760
<v Speaker 1>of the reactors in the United States comes from fission

0:16:38.800 --> 0:16:42.840
<v Speaker 1>of uranium. Uranium is something which is like exists all

0:16:42.840 --> 0:16:45.720
<v Speaker 1>over the world. We had an episode recently about uranium.

0:16:45.800 --> 0:16:48.720
<v Speaker 1>Is it on Urineus? And we talked about how uranium

0:16:48.760 --> 0:16:50.960
<v Speaker 1>is actually all over the Solar System. It's one of

0:16:51.000 --> 0:16:54.200
<v Speaker 1>the more prevalent elements in our Solar system. It's in

0:16:54.240 --> 0:16:56.720
<v Speaker 1>the ground, it's in the water, it's in the moon,

0:16:56.880 --> 0:16:59.840
<v Speaker 1>it's in asteroids, and it's also on Urinus. And we

0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:04.800
<v Speaker 1>only giggled a little episode. We were so good. We

0:17:04.800 --> 0:17:07.159
<v Speaker 1>were very much like adults. But of course there are

0:17:07.240 --> 0:17:11.280
<v Speaker 1>challenges with fission. The uranium that we find in our planet,

0:17:11.320 --> 0:17:14.520
<v Speaker 1>the stuff that we dig up and purify is mostly uranium.

0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:18.160
<v Speaker 1>Two thirty eight. Two thirty eight there tells you how

0:17:18.160 --> 0:17:21.760
<v Speaker 1>many protons and neutrons together are in the nucleus, and

0:17:21.800 --> 0:17:24.200
<v Speaker 1>you two thirty eight is fine, but it's not really

0:17:24.240 --> 0:17:27.280
<v Speaker 1>great for fission. It doesn't really like to split apart

0:17:27.320 --> 0:17:30.080
<v Speaker 1>and release energy the way other versions of uranium do,

0:17:30.240 --> 0:17:34.560
<v Speaker 1>specifically uranium two thirty five, which has three fewer neutrons,

0:17:34.840 --> 0:17:37.040
<v Speaker 1>but of course the same number of protons, so it's

0:17:37.040 --> 0:17:40.280
<v Speaker 1>still uranium. You two thirty five is great for fission,

0:17:40.280 --> 0:17:44.280
<v Speaker 1>It splits apart nicely, produces more neutrons. It's excellent, but

0:17:44.400 --> 0:17:47.280
<v Speaker 1>it's like, less than one percent of the uranium you

0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:50.480
<v Speaker 1>find naturally is you two thirty five. And here in

0:17:50.640 --> 0:17:55.240
<v Speaker 1>lies in my mind, the biggest concern with this technology

0:17:55.280 --> 0:17:57.639
<v Speaker 1>is that enriching the uranium to get more of that

0:17:57.720 --> 0:18:00.960
<v Speaker 1>two thirty five. A little bit of a process gives

0:18:00.960 --> 0:18:04.560
<v Speaker 1>you great fuel for reactions. A lot of that process

0:18:04.760 --> 0:18:06.880
<v Speaker 1>gives you the stuff that you need for nuclear bomb

0:18:06.960 --> 0:18:09.120
<v Speaker 1>and it's hard to know if a country is doing

0:18:09.160 --> 0:18:11.520
<v Speaker 1>just a little bit of enrichment or a whole lot

0:18:11.560 --> 0:18:14.200
<v Speaker 1>of the enrichment. And that's one of the big problems

0:18:14.200 --> 0:18:17.040
<v Speaker 1>with nuclear power in my opinion, because you're not in

0:18:17.080 --> 0:18:19.240
<v Speaker 1>favor of every country out there getting nuclear bombs and

0:18:19.240 --> 0:18:21.000
<v Speaker 1>tossing them at each other. You know, it makes me

0:18:21.040 --> 0:18:24.919
<v Speaker 1>a little uncomfortable me as well. And you bring up

0:18:24.920 --> 0:18:27.000
<v Speaker 1>a really interesting point which I think we should dig into,

0:18:27.080 --> 0:18:30.080
<v Speaker 1>which is the difference between a nuclear reactor and a

0:18:30.200 --> 0:18:33.120
<v Speaker 1>nuclear bomb, or a nuclear reactor or a nuclear chain

0:18:33.200 --> 0:18:36.760
<v Speaker 1>reaction is when you have a uranium atom which splits,

0:18:36.880 --> 0:18:40.280
<v Speaker 1>sends off more neutrons, which then triggers other uranium atoms

0:18:40.359 --> 0:18:44.200
<v Speaker 1>nearby to split and produce more neutrons. And the crucial

0:18:44.240 --> 0:18:47.159
<v Speaker 1>thing there is nearby you need enough uranium in a

0:18:47.240 --> 0:18:49.560
<v Speaker 1>sort of a dense enough package, and when these neutrons

0:18:49.600 --> 0:18:52.560
<v Speaker 1>fly out, they hit more uranium and they can trigger

0:18:52.600 --> 0:18:55.520
<v Speaker 1>more reactions. So if you have enriched your fuel to

0:18:55.600 --> 0:18:58.520
<v Speaker 1>like five per cent uranium two thirty five, then you

0:18:58.560 --> 0:19:01.080
<v Speaker 1>could have this sort of self sustain Any nuclear reaction

0:19:01.280 --> 0:19:04.600
<v Speaker 1>that produces energy and keeps going is sort of like ignition,

0:19:04.960 --> 0:19:06.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, like when you start a fire and then

0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:08.840
<v Speaker 1>it's hot enough that it burns the wood next to it,

0:19:08.880 --> 0:19:10.680
<v Speaker 1>which is then hot enough to burn the wood next

0:19:10.680 --> 0:19:12.440
<v Speaker 1>to it. You don't have to keep starting the fire.

0:19:12.640 --> 0:19:15.440
<v Speaker 1>So that's the nice thing about a self sustaining nuclear reaction.

0:19:15.560 --> 0:19:18.879
<v Speaker 1>A nuclear bomb, however, is something much more dramatic. Yes,

0:19:18.960 --> 0:19:20.919
<v Speaker 1>so I think, with the way I understand it, if

0:19:21.000 --> 0:19:24.119
<v Speaker 1>everything goes wrong in your nuclear reaction at a power plant,

0:19:24.800 --> 0:19:27.560
<v Speaker 1>it might blow apart. And you'd get an explosion, but

0:19:27.680 --> 0:19:29.760
<v Speaker 1>very quickly that would end the reaction. But in a

0:19:29.880 --> 0:19:32.880
<v Speaker 1>nuclear bomb, you've got so much of the right kind

0:19:32.920 --> 0:19:36.200
<v Speaker 1>of fuel in such a compact area that it has

0:19:36.320 --> 0:19:40.080
<v Speaker 1>time to undergo a lot more reactions before it blows

0:19:40.160 --> 0:19:43.239
<v Speaker 1>far enough apart that it can't react anymore. And so

0:19:43.400 --> 0:19:46.359
<v Speaker 1>you can get like an explosion at a nuclear power plant,

0:19:46.440 --> 0:19:50.560
<v Speaker 1>but never anything like a nuclear bomb explosion. Is that

0:19:50.600 --> 0:19:52.920
<v Speaker 1>would that be fair to say, Yeah, exactly, you can't

0:19:52.920 --> 0:19:55.359
<v Speaker 1>really make a nuclear power plant blow up with like

0:19:55.400 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 1>a mushroom cloud. You can do a lot of damage,

0:19:57.680 --> 0:19:59.000
<v Speaker 1>and you can get a lot of people, and you

0:19:59.000 --> 0:20:01.320
<v Speaker 1>can spread radiation everywhere, but you're not going to get

0:20:01.320 --> 0:20:04.000
<v Speaker 1>an actual nuclear explosion the way we get them in

0:20:04.080 --> 0:20:05.959
<v Speaker 1>nuclear weapons. And you're right. In order to do that,

0:20:06.000 --> 0:20:08.520
<v Speaker 1>you have to enrich your fuel much much further, so

0:20:08.600 --> 0:20:11.840
<v Speaker 1>you get much more fission going on much more rapidly,

0:20:12.000 --> 0:20:14.320
<v Speaker 1>because that's really what an explosion is. It's a very

0:20:14.480 --> 0:20:17.960
<v Speaker 1>rapid release of energy, so rapid that the energy release

0:20:18.000 --> 0:20:20.160
<v Speaker 1>sort of takes over and you get these like supersonic

0:20:20.200 --> 0:20:22.720
<v Speaker 1>shock waves through the material. So that's how fission work.

0:20:22.800 --> 0:20:25.600
<v Speaker 1>We're harnessing the power of the atom. We're breaking it

0:20:25.640 --> 0:20:28.199
<v Speaker 1>apart and releasing some of the energy that's stored inside

0:20:28.200 --> 0:20:29.520
<v Speaker 1>of it. If you like, you can think of the

0:20:29.560 --> 0:20:32.440
<v Speaker 1>atom is sort of like held together by springs, and

0:20:32.560 --> 0:20:34.800
<v Speaker 1>what you're doing is like unhooking those springs, so then

0:20:34.800 --> 0:20:36.919
<v Speaker 1>the bits like fly off and have a lot of

0:20:37.040 --> 0:20:39.199
<v Speaker 1>energy when they come out. One of the problems with

0:20:39.280 --> 0:20:41.840
<v Speaker 1>uranium two thirty five, though, is that when the neutrons

0:20:41.880 --> 0:20:44.720
<v Speaker 1>fly out, they're going a little bit too fast. Like

0:20:44.840 --> 0:20:47.359
<v Speaker 1>uranium two thirty five likes to get split at half

0:20:47.400 --> 0:20:49.119
<v Speaker 1>by a neutron, but it likes to get split in

0:20:49.160 --> 0:20:51.719
<v Speaker 1>half by neutrons that are not going too fast. So

0:20:51.880 --> 0:20:54.800
<v Speaker 1>you need something to sort of slow down those neutrons

0:20:54.840 --> 0:20:57.520
<v Speaker 1>so they're going just the right speed that they trigger

0:20:57.600 --> 0:21:00.119
<v Speaker 1>more you two thirty five in order to split. So

0:21:00.160 --> 0:21:04.160
<v Speaker 1>that's called a moderator, something to slow down those neutrons.

0:21:04.200 --> 0:21:06.040
<v Speaker 1>And most of the reactors we have here in the

0:21:06.119 --> 0:21:08.080
<v Speaker 1>United States and most of the ones produced around the

0:21:08.080 --> 0:21:12.399
<v Speaker 1>world are things called light water thermal reactors because they

0:21:12.480 --> 0:21:15.520
<v Speaker 1>use water as a way to moderate these neutrons because

0:21:15.560 --> 0:21:18.480
<v Speaker 1>water is great like just taking a little bit of

0:21:18.560 --> 0:21:20.960
<v Speaker 1>energy out of those neutrons and letting them continue on

0:21:21.160 --> 0:21:24.159
<v Speaker 1>to trigger another U two thirty five. Fun fact, my

0:21:24.280 --> 0:21:28.280
<v Speaker 1>understanding is that the light water thermal reactors are common

0:21:28.520 --> 0:21:31.000
<v Speaker 1>because we got a lot of experience with them with

0:21:31.119 --> 0:21:34.080
<v Speaker 1>naval submarines, because it was just sort of a convenient

0:21:34.119 --> 0:21:36.320
<v Speaker 1>design to put on submarines when we were starting to

0:21:36.400 --> 0:21:38.800
<v Speaker 1>try to use nuclear power to run those, and there

0:21:38.800 --> 0:21:40.960
<v Speaker 1>were other designs that were being tested at the time,

0:21:40.960 --> 0:21:43.200
<v Speaker 1>but because we've got the most experience with that one

0:21:43.440 --> 0:21:47.040
<v Speaker 1>while making it compact for submarines, that historically is sort

0:21:47.040 --> 0:21:49.320
<v Speaker 1>of why we've explored this design more than some of

0:21:49.320 --> 0:21:51.640
<v Speaker 1>the other designs. Well, there's other designs that might work

0:21:51.640 --> 0:21:54.240
<v Speaker 1>well too. It turns out there's a really large variety

0:21:54.240 --> 0:21:56.919
<v Speaker 1>of ways that you could build a nuclear reactor, and

0:21:56.960 --> 0:21:59.360
<v Speaker 1>the ones that we have comfort sort of weird policy

0:21:59.440 --> 0:22:02.720
<v Speaker 1>decisions that date back to like the early ages of

0:22:02.760 --> 0:22:05.879
<v Speaker 1>the atomic era. As you say, one reason is that

0:22:05.920 --> 0:22:07.840
<v Speaker 1>people wanted to put them on submarine, so you wanted

0:22:07.840 --> 0:22:09.680
<v Speaker 1>to have a plentiful source of water and you could

0:22:09.800 --> 0:22:12.560
<v Speaker 1>use water as your moderator. Another reason we have these

0:22:12.560 --> 0:22:15.040
<v Speaker 1>reactors is something I would actually put in these sort

0:22:15.040 --> 0:22:17.879
<v Speaker 1>of negative column for these reactors, which is that the

0:22:17.920 --> 0:22:20.959
<v Speaker 1>you two thirty eight which is most of the fuel. Right,

0:22:21.000 --> 0:22:23.280
<v Speaker 1>even if you enrich your fuel so it's five percent

0:22:23.359 --> 0:22:25.080
<v Speaker 1>you two thirty five, you've got a lot of you

0:22:25.200 --> 0:22:28.200
<v Speaker 1>two thirty eight in your fuel rods. What happens to that, well,

0:22:28.240 --> 0:22:30.320
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't fish in. What happens is that it gets

0:22:30.400 --> 0:22:35.320
<v Speaker 1>transmuted into really dangerous radioactive elements that last for like

0:22:35.440 --> 0:22:38.679
<v Speaker 1>tens of thousands of years, so they don't produce anything useful,

0:22:38.720 --> 0:22:40.880
<v Speaker 1>but that you too thirty eight does get turned into

0:22:40.920 --> 0:22:44.280
<v Speaker 1>other really nasty stuff. And some of that nasty stuff,

0:22:44.359 --> 0:22:47.919
<v Speaker 1>like plutonium, is great for weapons. And so early on

0:22:47.960 --> 0:22:51.840
<v Speaker 1>the Department of Energy really liked this particular technology using

0:22:51.880 --> 0:22:55.480
<v Speaker 1>this very inefficient source of fuel because the other part

0:22:55.480 --> 0:22:58.480
<v Speaker 1>of the fuel could be turned into weapons grade fuel.

0:22:58.600 --> 0:23:01.000
<v Speaker 1>And so now we're sort of like up with this technology,

0:23:01.000 --> 0:23:02.919
<v Speaker 1>as you say, we do it because it's the one

0:23:02.960 --> 0:23:05.320
<v Speaker 1>we're most familiar with, even though the reason we chose

0:23:05.320 --> 0:23:07.560
<v Speaker 1>it is not really the reason we would choose today.

0:23:07.800 --> 0:23:10.960
<v Speaker 1>Stuff gets complicated, exactly. So, while nuclear power has great

0:23:10.960 --> 0:23:14.440
<v Speaker 1>benefits because they can produce this electricity from the heart

0:23:14.480 --> 0:23:17.040
<v Speaker 1>of the atom, and uranium is everywhere, we're unlikely to

0:23:17.160 --> 0:23:19.520
<v Speaker 1>run out of it very soon. There are of course

0:23:19.760 --> 0:23:22.720
<v Speaker 1>serious risks of nuclear power, and we've talked about weapons

0:23:22.720 --> 0:23:25.040
<v Speaker 1>as a potential risk, But of course another risk is

0:23:25.240 --> 0:23:27.440
<v Speaker 1>if something goes wrong with the power plant, you get

0:23:27.560 --> 0:23:31.040
<v Speaker 1>radioactive waste in that area. And this water design that

0:23:31.080 --> 0:23:33.879
<v Speaker 1>we've talked about has some benefits, it's got some negatives.

0:23:33.880 --> 0:23:36.159
<v Speaker 1>But a lot of the problems that we've had with

0:23:36.280 --> 0:23:39.800
<v Speaker 1>nuclear reactors have been about the water. Is that right?

0:23:39.840 --> 0:23:42.840
<v Speaker 1>Can you explain why water causes problem? Sometimes? Yeah, water

0:23:42.920 --> 0:23:45.560
<v Speaker 1>seems great, but the problem is that to keep water

0:23:45.640 --> 0:23:47.919
<v Speaker 1>a liquid, which is what you need to do in

0:23:48.040 --> 0:23:50.760
<v Speaker 1>order for it to moderate your reactions, you have to

0:23:50.800 --> 0:23:53.879
<v Speaker 1>have it at very very high pressures because the stuff

0:23:53.880 --> 0:23:55.600
<v Speaker 1>gets really hot and you don't want it to turn

0:23:55.680 --> 0:23:58.359
<v Speaker 1>into steam while it's still inside your reactor. Now you

0:23:58.400 --> 0:24:01.680
<v Speaker 1>have this very dangerous fuel and it's being moderated by

0:24:01.720 --> 0:24:04.320
<v Speaker 1>this very high pressure water. You have to build your

0:24:04.320 --> 0:24:07.280
<v Speaker 1>reactor with like very thick steel pipes to avoid this

0:24:07.359 --> 0:24:10.480
<v Speaker 1>thing exploding, and you have to actively pump the water through.

0:24:10.960 --> 0:24:14.240
<v Speaker 1>Like if your water pumps fail or the water jams

0:24:14.359 --> 0:24:16.880
<v Speaker 1>or the water leaks out or something, then you're not

0:24:17.040 --> 0:24:20.520
<v Speaker 1>moderating the reactor anymore. So it's a real critical safety

0:24:20.600 --> 0:24:25.439
<v Speaker 1>flaw if you're reactor requires active pumping, because then if

0:24:25.480 --> 0:24:28.560
<v Speaker 1>you lose power or something goes wrong, then things just

0:24:28.600 --> 0:24:31.679
<v Speaker 1>get worse rapidly, and that's the source of most of

0:24:31.720 --> 0:24:35.439
<v Speaker 1>the sort of more famous disasters in the nuclear power sector.

0:24:35.520 --> 0:24:38.439
<v Speaker 1>Three Mile Island was caused by jams in one of

0:24:38.440 --> 0:24:41.680
<v Speaker 1>the hatches that let the water flow. In Fukushima, of course,

0:24:41.760 --> 0:24:44.440
<v Speaker 1>there was a tsunami and it knocked out the water

0:24:44.520 --> 0:24:47.480
<v Speaker 1>pumps and so it couldn't cool down the reactor core.

0:24:47.560 --> 0:24:50.520
<v Speaker 1>In Chernobyl, of course, this water boiled and exploded, and

0:24:50.640 --> 0:24:53.240
<v Speaker 1>so all of these problems really are traced to having

0:24:53.320 --> 0:24:56.280
<v Speaker 1>water at very high pressures, which is very difficult to

0:24:56.320 --> 0:24:59.879
<v Speaker 1>maintain long term. But some of these problems have technological fixes.

0:25:00.119 --> 0:25:02.800
<v Speaker 1>Some of them don't, Like you could avoid a Fukushima

0:25:02.840 --> 0:25:05.880
<v Speaker 1>type accident by having a way to cool the reaction

0:25:05.920 --> 0:25:08.200
<v Speaker 1>down even if the power goes out, because those water

0:25:08.240 --> 0:25:10.879
<v Speaker 1>pumps that got knocked out depended on the electricity. And

0:25:10.880 --> 0:25:13.720
<v Speaker 1>now there's designs to cool the reaction down that don't

0:25:13.800 --> 0:25:17.679
<v Speaker 1>require electricity and would work passively. But something like Chernobyl,

0:25:17.760 --> 0:25:20.520
<v Speaker 1>like you had a technical problem, but the real problem

0:25:20.640 --> 0:25:23.800
<v Speaker 1>was the you know, autocratic government which didn't tell the

0:25:23.840 --> 0:25:27.040
<v Speaker 1>people that there was a major problem until Sweden detected

0:25:27.200 --> 0:25:29.800
<v Speaker 1>nuclear material in the air, at which point the USSR

0:25:29.920 --> 0:25:33.280
<v Speaker 1>had to say, oh, my bad. And so some of

0:25:33.280 --> 0:25:35.560
<v Speaker 1>these things technology can solve, and some of them are

0:25:35.640 --> 0:25:39.040
<v Speaker 1>just problems with humans, and those those problems are harder

0:25:39.080 --> 0:25:41.520
<v Speaker 1>to solve. I'd say they are harder to solve. And

0:25:41.560 --> 0:25:43.600
<v Speaker 1>if you imagine a future where we have like a

0:25:43.680 --> 0:25:47.480
<v Speaker 1>lot more nuclear power than those risks are multiplied. Because

0:25:47.560 --> 0:25:50.560
<v Speaker 1>humans make mistakes, they inevitably will. Yeah, and so we've

0:25:50.600 --> 0:25:54.520
<v Speaker 1>got these complicated cost benefit analyses that we need to do,

0:25:55.000 --> 0:25:57.400
<v Speaker 1>and so let's take a break and afterwards, let's talk

0:25:57.440 --> 0:25:59.800
<v Speaker 1>about whether or not we really need nuclear power. Do

0:25:59.840 --> 0:26:15.800
<v Speaker 1>we need to take these risks? Okay, so nuclear power

0:26:16.240 --> 0:26:18.320
<v Speaker 1>has this great ability to help us deal with the

0:26:18.320 --> 0:26:21.320
<v Speaker 1>climate change issue, but it has all of these problems

0:26:21.359 --> 0:26:23.760
<v Speaker 1>that we talked about, like risks of the creation of

0:26:23.840 --> 0:26:28.399
<v Speaker 1>nuclear weapons. Help us understand this cost benefit analysis better?

0:26:28.640 --> 0:26:32.200
<v Speaker 1>Do we really need this technology? We definitely need something, right,

0:26:32.320 --> 0:26:34.560
<v Speaker 1>We are currently burning a lot of coal and a

0:26:34.600 --> 0:26:37.680
<v Speaker 1>lot of natural gas to produce the energy that we use,

0:26:37.920 --> 0:26:40.199
<v Speaker 1>and that just can't go on much longer unless we

0:26:40.240 --> 0:26:42.160
<v Speaker 1>want to totally fry the planet. So there's a pretty

0:26:42.160 --> 0:26:44.760
<v Speaker 1>broad consensus that we need to move to a carbon

0:26:45.040 --> 0:26:48.920
<v Speaker 1>neutral production of energy and also our transportation sector. Those

0:26:48.960 --> 0:26:51.880
<v Speaker 1>are two things that are really driving climate change right now,

0:26:52.119 --> 0:26:55.440
<v Speaker 1>and so decarbonizing the world energy grid and the transportation

0:26:55.520 --> 0:26:57.879
<v Speaker 1>system is a huge priority. And the first question to

0:26:57.920 --> 0:27:00.719
<v Speaker 1>ask is like, well, do we need nuclear at all?

0:27:00.840 --> 0:27:03.439
<v Speaker 1>Can we just do it without nuclear? Can't we just

0:27:03.480 --> 0:27:07.160
<v Speaker 1>do it with like solar panels and with water power

0:27:07.240 --> 0:27:10.440
<v Speaker 1>and with wind power, And that's really attractive. It would

0:27:10.440 --> 0:27:13.000
<v Speaker 1>be awesome if we could write solar panels are getting

0:27:13.080 --> 0:27:15.560
<v Speaker 1>cheap and wind power is getting very efficient, and so

0:27:15.680 --> 0:27:17.760
<v Speaker 1>it's nice to imagine that you might just be able

0:27:17.800 --> 0:27:20.160
<v Speaker 1>to like put nuclear power on the shelf and say

0:27:20.280 --> 0:27:24.359
<v Speaker 1>we don't really need it. We can just rely on renewables,

0:27:24.359 --> 0:27:27.560
<v Speaker 1>on these things which are green, which don't produce any carbon,

0:27:27.960 --> 0:27:31.360
<v Speaker 1>which don't require any sort of external fuel source. That

0:27:31.440 --> 0:27:33.680
<v Speaker 1>would be a fantasy. And they're definitely picking up a

0:27:33.720 --> 0:27:35.280
<v Speaker 1>lot of the slack. You know, my husband and I

0:27:35.320 --> 0:27:37.400
<v Speaker 1>have wanted to get solar panels for a long time,

0:27:37.440 --> 0:27:39.600
<v Speaker 1>and for almost a decade because we've been together for

0:27:39.680 --> 0:27:42.679
<v Speaker 1>thirteen years, so for about thirteen years, every year we

0:27:42.760 --> 0:27:45.280
<v Speaker 1>checked the cost of solar panels and of course are

0:27:45.520 --> 0:27:48.119
<v Speaker 1>you know, income increased over those thirteen years as we

0:27:48.160 --> 0:27:50.680
<v Speaker 1>got out of grad school, But like recently we decided,

0:27:50.720 --> 0:27:53.040
<v Speaker 1>oh my gosh, it's dropped enough that we can afford it.

0:27:53.080 --> 0:27:55.480
<v Speaker 1>And solar and about the last decade has dropped by

0:27:55.480 --> 0:27:58.879
<v Speaker 1>like so it's becoming much more feasible, and wind has

0:27:58.960 --> 0:28:01.399
<v Speaker 1>dropped by like seven d percent. But you know, is

0:28:01.440 --> 0:28:02.960
<v Speaker 1>that going to be enough to pick up all of

0:28:03.000 --> 0:28:04.760
<v Speaker 1>the slack and to make up for all of these

0:28:04.840 --> 0:28:07.160
<v Speaker 1>nuclear power plants that are going offline and are being

0:28:07.200 --> 0:28:09.720
<v Speaker 1>replaced by coal. What do you think? So people are

0:28:09.720 --> 0:28:12.639
<v Speaker 1>doing a lot of studies about exactly that question, how

0:28:12.760 --> 0:28:15.440
<v Speaker 1>cheap can this get and can it really provide all

0:28:15.480 --> 0:28:18.439
<v Speaker 1>of the energy that we need? And what's clear is

0:28:18.440 --> 0:28:21.400
<v Speaker 1>that renewables will be the major chunk of it, Like

0:28:21.600 --> 0:28:25.239
<v Speaker 1>eight percent of our energy should come from wind and

0:28:25.320 --> 0:28:28.359
<v Speaker 1>solar and water power in the future. The problem, of

0:28:28.359 --> 0:28:31.280
<v Speaker 1>course with these technologies is that they're pretty variable. I mean,

0:28:31.320 --> 0:28:33.479
<v Speaker 1>they depend a little bit on the weather. You've got

0:28:33.520 --> 0:28:36.320
<v Speaker 1>a cloudy day, you're not getting solar power. The wind

0:28:36.359 --> 0:28:39.600
<v Speaker 1>just doesn't blow, you're not getting your wind power. So

0:28:39.640 --> 0:28:42.320
<v Speaker 1>they're not as steady as things like burning coal. Where

0:28:42.440 --> 0:28:44.200
<v Speaker 1>you've got a pile of it, you need some energy,

0:28:44.280 --> 0:28:47.120
<v Speaker 1>you just burn some coal. And that variability is important,

0:28:47.240 --> 0:28:50.080
<v Speaker 1>right because if you've got a snowstorm, that's exactly when

0:28:50.080 --> 0:28:52.680
<v Speaker 1>you need the energy, right when your solar panels aren't

0:28:52.720 --> 0:28:55.760
<v Speaker 1>producing it. Absolutely. But now I'm hearing the space advocates

0:28:55.760 --> 0:28:57.680
<v Speaker 1>in my ear yelling, well, what about if you put

0:28:57.720 --> 0:29:01.640
<v Speaker 1>the solar panels in space where there's safe from weather. Yeah,

0:29:01.800 --> 0:29:04.880
<v Speaker 1>we had a really fun episode about space based solar power,

0:29:05.200 --> 0:29:08.880
<v Speaker 1>which on one hand sounds ridiculous, like putting solar panels

0:29:08.920 --> 0:29:11.480
<v Speaker 1>in space and then beaming them down to the Earth,

0:29:11.600 --> 0:29:14.440
<v Speaker 1>And it's actually a lot less ridiculous than you might imagine.

0:29:14.720 --> 0:29:17.240
<v Speaker 1>Though people still disagree about whether it will ever be

0:29:17.320 --> 0:29:20.680
<v Speaker 1>economically feasible to have these satellites out in space. But

0:29:20.720 --> 0:29:23.840
<v Speaker 1>we heard from somebody who claims that within ten years

0:29:23.880 --> 0:29:26.880
<v Speaker 1>they would have a facility up in space providing all

0:29:26.920 --> 0:29:29.640
<v Speaker 1>the power that Australia needs we sail see. But there's

0:29:29.640 --> 0:29:33.120
<v Speaker 1>a lot of skepticism for those sort of very elaborate strategies,

0:29:33.240 --> 0:29:36.160
<v Speaker 1>and the issue is, of course economics, Like if you

0:29:36.200 --> 0:29:38.920
<v Speaker 1>had infinite money, then none of this would be a question.

0:29:39.160 --> 0:29:41.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you could provide all of the energy you

0:29:41.600 --> 0:29:46.160
<v Speaker 1>need using wind and solar if you just like massively overbuilt,

0:29:46.400 --> 0:29:49.160
<v Speaker 1>if you said, we're just gonna build ten times as

0:29:49.200 --> 0:29:51.920
<v Speaker 1>many solar panels as we need and ten times as

0:29:51.960 --> 0:29:54.800
<v Speaker 1>many wind farms as we need, so that even if

0:29:54.960 --> 0:29:56.920
<v Speaker 1>there's just a little bit of a gust of electricity

0:29:57.000 --> 0:29:59.360
<v Speaker 1>or just a few photons are creeping through, then we're

0:29:59.360 --> 0:30:01.880
<v Speaker 1>gonna be able to provide the energy. The issue, of course,

0:30:01.960 --> 0:30:04.800
<v Speaker 1>is the economics. If you really over build, then you're

0:30:04.800 --> 0:30:07.680
<v Speaker 1>paying a lot of money to produce electricity, and you're

0:30:07.680 --> 0:30:09.920
<v Speaker 1>also generating a lot more than you need. So this

0:30:10.240 --> 0:30:12.920
<v Speaker 1>problem of variability is a serious one, and we'll probably

0:30:12.920 --> 0:30:15.800
<v Speaker 1>limit these renewables from ever providing more than maybe eighty

0:30:15.920 --> 0:30:19.560
<v Speaker 1>percent of our needs. It's still pretty good though, but

0:30:19.560 --> 0:30:21.600
<v Speaker 1>but yeah, that's not getting us all the way. Is

0:30:21.640 --> 0:30:23.320
<v Speaker 1>not getting us all the way, and so the question

0:30:23.360 --> 0:30:25.720
<v Speaker 1>really is what do we do for that extra twenty

0:30:26.200 --> 0:30:28.160
<v Speaker 1>Actually this an interesting story here. There's a lot of

0:30:28.280 --> 0:30:31.000
<v Speaker 1>arguments about this kind of thing in literature, and I

0:30:31.080 --> 0:30:33.720
<v Speaker 1>was reading a paper from a professor at Stanford who

0:30:33.760 --> 0:30:37.560
<v Speaker 1>was claiming that you could get to a renewable power,

0:30:38.040 --> 0:30:40.920
<v Speaker 1>even with just like pretty simple battery technology that we

0:30:41.000 --> 0:30:43.720
<v Speaker 1>have today. And then I found another paper that like

0:30:44.080 --> 0:30:47.440
<v Speaker 1>totally demolished that paper. I was reading the paper and

0:30:47.440 --> 0:30:50.040
<v Speaker 1>I was cringing. I was like, ouch, I would never

0:30:50.160 --> 0:30:52.280
<v Speaker 1>want to read a paper like this taking apart one

0:30:52.280 --> 0:30:55.000
<v Speaker 1>of my own scientific results. It was painful. And then

0:30:55.000 --> 0:30:57.160
<v Speaker 1>I discovered that this whole thing ended up in court.

0:30:57.520 --> 0:30:59.920
<v Speaker 1>You know, often people in science just like disagree with

0:31:00.040 --> 0:31:02.600
<v Speaker 1>each other. But the Stanford guy who had his paper

0:31:02.680 --> 0:31:07.080
<v Speaker 1>like totally dismantled in public by another paper, he sued

0:31:07.120 --> 0:31:09.840
<v Speaker 1>the authors of that paper, claiming that they had defamed

0:31:09.920 --> 0:31:12.760
<v Speaker 1>him and ruined his reputation. WHOA, I feel like, if

0:31:12.760 --> 0:31:16.240
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna sue someone, you better be a hundred sure

0:31:16.320 --> 0:31:19.240
<v Speaker 1>that you were right. Did he win or did he lose? No?

0:31:19.400 --> 0:31:21.440
<v Speaker 1>He lost. It turns out he was just suing them

0:31:21.520 --> 0:31:23.960
<v Speaker 1>as it would like intimidate them, to try to shove

0:31:24.040 --> 0:31:26.880
<v Speaker 1>them up, and he ended up suing them and also

0:31:26.960 --> 0:31:30.440
<v Speaker 1>the National Academy of Science. It was totally crazy, and

0:31:30.480 --> 0:31:32.240
<v Speaker 1>he ended up having to pay like more than half

0:31:32.320 --> 0:31:35.800
<v Speaker 1>million dollars in their legal fees. So this stuff gets heated.

0:31:35.840 --> 0:31:37.920
<v Speaker 1>You know, people are talking about this stuff and they

0:31:38.000 --> 0:31:39.960
<v Speaker 1>get up in arms. But the question that he raises

0:31:40.040 --> 0:31:42.280
<v Speaker 1>is an interesting one, which is like, why can't we

0:31:42.360 --> 0:31:45.800
<v Speaker 1>just use batteries. Why can't we build enough wind and

0:31:45.880 --> 0:31:48.480
<v Speaker 1>solar so that we on average get the right amount

0:31:48.520 --> 0:31:50.120
<v Speaker 1>of energy, and then we just have a bunch of

0:31:50.120 --> 0:31:52.360
<v Speaker 1>batteries so that we bank it when we produce a

0:31:52.400 --> 0:31:54.600
<v Speaker 1>little bit too much because it's an extra sunny day,

0:31:54.640 --> 0:31:57.400
<v Speaker 1>we store it for those days when it's cold and dark.

0:31:57.480 --> 0:31:59.080
<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, Well, and you know, if we could make

0:31:59.120 --> 0:32:02.640
<v Speaker 1>this technology really dependable and get batteries to have incredibly

0:32:02.680 --> 0:32:04.920
<v Speaker 1>long lives, and we could also move to the moon,

0:32:05.400 --> 0:32:08.080
<v Speaker 1>and you find during those two week long nights where

0:32:08.120 --> 0:32:09.720
<v Speaker 1>it would be really nice to be able to store

0:32:09.760 --> 0:32:12.920
<v Speaker 1>up the solar power that you got near the equator. Anyway,

0:32:12.960 --> 0:32:14.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm not the one who's currently waiting for

0:32:14.800 --> 0:32:17.400
<v Speaker 1>the technology let me move to the moon. It's not

0:32:17.440 --> 0:32:19.960
<v Speaker 1>the way I listened to technology news. But that's good

0:32:19.960 --> 0:32:22.760
<v Speaker 1>to hear that that's an aspiration of yours counting. Well,

0:32:22.800 --> 0:32:25.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, the moon doesn't have any interesting parasites, so

0:32:25.080 --> 0:32:27.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm not going to be moving there either. But you know,

0:32:27.600 --> 0:32:29.400
<v Speaker 1>I know there are people who are excited about it,

0:32:29.440 --> 0:32:31.680
<v Speaker 1>So I'm rooting for good battery power for them. There

0:32:31.680 --> 0:32:33.520
<v Speaker 1>are tarte Grades on the moon though that that kind

0:32:33.560 --> 0:32:37.880
<v Speaker 1>of a parasite one no, and to they're probably dead,

0:32:38.160 --> 0:32:41.479
<v Speaker 1>I would guess I'm rooting for the Tartar Grade empire

0:32:41.560 --> 0:32:44.200
<v Speaker 1>living on the moon. But back to the question of batteries.

0:32:44.560 --> 0:32:46.280
<v Speaker 1>You know, it would be great if we had batteries

0:32:46.280 --> 0:32:48.520
<v Speaker 1>that could do that, and currently we have the kind

0:32:48.560 --> 0:32:51.080
<v Speaker 1>of battery technology that would let you store energy for

0:32:51.160 --> 0:32:54.480
<v Speaker 1>like one day or two days, but you know, sometimes

0:32:54.480 --> 0:32:57.520
<v Speaker 1>it goes dark or still for weeks, and so what

0:32:57.600 --> 0:33:00.200
<v Speaker 1>you really need if you're gonna like reliably produce use

0:33:00.320 --> 0:33:04.360
<v Speaker 1>energy using just renewables, is battery technology that can hold

0:33:04.480 --> 0:33:07.440
<v Speaker 1>week's worth of energies, and it's just not something that

0:33:07.480 --> 0:33:10.040
<v Speaker 1>we currently have. No. When when we got our solar panels,

0:33:10.080 --> 0:33:11.840
<v Speaker 1>we asked if we could get batteries to hold us

0:33:11.880 --> 0:33:14.200
<v Speaker 1>over through the storm rather than buying the generators, which

0:33:14.240 --> 0:33:16.960
<v Speaker 1>were estimated at fifteen thou dollars, and the solar panel

0:33:17.000 --> 0:33:19.760
<v Speaker 1>guy who would have been selling us the batteries was like, no,

0:33:20.360 --> 0:33:22.880
<v Speaker 1>it's way too expensive and you guys lose power for

0:33:22.920 --> 0:33:25.120
<v Speaker 1>six days at a time. There's no way your batteries

0:33:25.160 --> 0:33:27.280
<v Speaker 1>are going to cover that. Uh, And I was surprised

0:33:27.320 --> 0:33:30.280
<v Speaker 1>that the battery power wasn't even that good, which seems

0:33:30.320 --> 0:33:33.560
<v Speaker 1>like a pretty low bar. But anyway, hopefully we make

0:33:33.640 --> 0:33:36.600
<v Speaker 1>some progress there. Yeah, and again it's a question of economics,

0:33:36.640 --> 0:33:38.840
<v Speaker 1>like you could if you poured a huge amount of

0:33:38.840 --> 0:33:41.240
<v Speaker 1>money into it, but we just don't have the technology

0:33:41.280 --> 0:33:44.160
<v Speaker 1>to make this feasible at that scale. And I think

0:33:44.160 --> 0:33:47.040
<v Speaker 1>that's really fascinating because batteries are so important, not just

0:33:47.120 --> 0:33:49.720
<v Speaker 1>for cars but also for phones. So there's a huge

0:33:49.800 --> 0:33:54.400
<v Speaker 1>economic pressure to being able to produce longer lasting batteries

0:33:54.400 --> 0:33:58.040
<v Speaker 1>and more efficient batteries. But batteries are a difficult technology.

0:33:58.160 --> 0:34:00.440
<v Speaker 1>We record an episode last year about why we don't

0:34:00.480 --> 0:34:03.800
<v Speaker 1>have electric powered airplanes yet, and the answer is because

0:34:03.800 --> 0:34:07.800
<v Speaker 1>it's difficult to store all that energy in a lightweight form.

0:34:08.120 --> 0:34:10.719
<v Speaker 1>And battery technology is moving kind of slowly, but there

0:34:10.760 --> 0:34:14.040
<v Speaker 1>are promising directions people are exploring, you know, avoiding using

0:34:14.080 --> 0:34:17.279
<v Speaker 1>things like rare earth metals, using just iron and air

0:34:17.400 --> 0:34:20.160
<v Speaker 1>and water. A bunch of people trying to innovate in

0:34:20.200 --> 0:34:22.560
<v Speaker 1>this space. But again, you know, what we need is

0:34:22.640 --> 0:34:26.440
<v Speaker 1>something soon. It's possible that battery technology will be totally

0:34:26.480 --> 0:34:28.719
<v Speaker 1>transformed in six months when somebody comes up with a

0:34:28.719 --> 0:34:32.200
<v Speaker 1>great idea. But we can't really rely on somebody being

0:34:32.239 --> 0:34:34.759
<v Speaker 1>a genius six months from now. We need something like

0:34:34.840 --> 0:34:38.960
<v Speaker 1>tomorrow that we can use to reduce our CEO two emissions.

0:34:38.960 --> 0:34:41.520
<v Speaker 1>So what are some other right now options that we

0:34:41.520 --> 0:34:45.720
<v Speaker 1>could use. There are a few other carbon neutral, non

0:34:45.840 --> 0:34:48.600
<v Speaker 1>nuclear options that we could explore. You know. One of

0:34:48.640 --> 0:34:53.319
<v Speaker 1>them is producing hydrogen gas. Hyrogen doesn't have carbon in it, right.

0:34:53.440 --> 0:34:55.719
<v Speaker 1>You can think of producing hydrogen as sort of like

0:34:56.239 --> 0:34:59.440
<v Speaker 1>a chemical battery. You take the extra energy that you

0:34:59.520 --> 0:35:02.880
<v Speaker 1>have and you use it to split water, so electrolysis,

0:35:02.960 --> 0:35:05.719
<v Speaker 1>you split the hydrogen and the oxygen apart from each other,

0:35:06.080 --> 0:35:08.520
<v Speaker 1>and then you store this hydrogen. Hygen, of course, is

0:35:08.520 --> 0:35:11.200
<v Speaker 1>a great fuel. You can burn it, you can put

0:35:11.200 --> 0:35:14.279
<v Speaker 1>it into a fuel cell to generate electricity, sort of

0:35:14.320 --> 0:35:17.239
<v Speaker 1>like a longer lasting way to store your energy. Why

0:35:18.320 --> 0:35:20.920
<v Speaker 1>aren't we doing that? We are doing that. We have

0:35:21.000 --> 0:35:23.560
<v Speaker 1>some of that technology, but it's not ready to scale

0:35:23.600 --> 0:35:26.520
<v Speaker 1>up to like twenty percent of our energy grid. You know,

0:35:26.600 --> 0:35:29.879
<v Speaker 1>fuel cell technology is not really there, Like you don't

0:35:29.880 --> 0:35:32.120
<v Speaker 1>see a whole lot of fuel cell cars out there

0:35:32.160 --> 0:35:35.799
<v Speaker 1>on the road, and for a reason. Also, hydrogen very

0:35:35.920 --> 0:35:38.880
<v Speaker 1>very dangerous, right, Like we all remember the Hindenburg. You know,

0:35:38.960 --> 0:35:42.279
<v Speaker 1>hydrogen is extremely volatile, and ramping up our energy grid

0:35:42.320 --> 0:35:44.200
<v Speaker 1>to use a huge amount of it would of course

0:35:44.239 --> 0:35:46.920
<v Speaker 1>come with its own dangers. Yeah, okay, so what about

0:35:46.920 --> 0:35:50.240
<v Speaker 1>things like bio Biofuels are a really fascinating idea because

0:35:50.600 --> 0:35:54.280
<v Speaker 1>while they do emit CEO two, this this cool cycle.

0:35:54.800 --> 0:35:57.680
<v Speaker 1>Like when you grow corn in order to turn it

0:35:57.680 --> 0:36:02.000
<v Speaker 1>eventually into ethanol, your pull CEU two out of the atmosphere,

0:36:02.120 --> 0:36:04.640
<v Speaker 1>which is then released again when you burn the ethanol.

0:36:05.000 --> 0:36:08.040
<v Speaker 1>So while it's not reducing the CEO two in the atmosphere,

0:36:08.160 --> 0:36:10.839
<v Speaker 1>it isn't adding to it either, right, So it's a hydrocarbon,

0:36:10.960 --> 0:36:13.960
<v Speaker 1>but it's not a fossil fuel, right. You're not digging

0:36:14.040 --> 0:36:16.920
<v Speaker 1>up carbon from underground which has been sequestered for millions

0:36:16.920 --> 0:36:19.799
<v Speaker 1>of years and releasing it anew into the atmosphere, which

0:36:19.800 --> 0:36:22.440
<v Speaker 1>is what happens when you burn coal. So bio fuels

0:36:22.440 --> 0:36:24.360
<v Speaker 1>are cool because you're pulling CEU two out of the

0:36:24.400 --> 0:36:28.440
<v Speaker 1>atmosphere before releasing it again. That's an improvement. Sometimes I

0:36:28.480 --> 0:36:32.640
<v Speaker 1>feel like we've gone so far that nothing short of

0:36:32.680 --> 0:36:35.200
<v Speaker 1>removing some of the carbon dioxide that we put up

0:36:35.239 --> 0:36:37.759
<v Speaker 1>there already is going to do the trick. But it's

0:36:37.800 --> 0:36:39.480
<v Speaker 1>funny as an ecologist, and I feel like when you

0:36:39.520 --> 0:36:42.320
<v Speaker 1>suggest this, this is one of the suggestions that actually

0:36:42.360 --> 0:36:45.960
<v Speaker 1>makes people the most angry, so that the suggestion is

0:36:46.000 --> 0:36:48.440
<v Speaker 1>that we could capture that carbon that's already been put

0:36:48.480 --> 0:36:50.880
<v Speaker 1>in the atmosphere and store it. And the reason it

0:36:50.880 --> 0:36:52.960
<v Speaker 1>makes people angry is that it seems to remove the

0:36:53.000 --> 0:36:57.160
<v Speaker 1>responsibility of changing your behavior to things that are more responsible,

0:36:57.400 --> 0:36:59.680
<v Speaker 1>and so it makes people mad. But I sort of

0:36:59.719 --> 0:37:02.000
<v Speaker 1>feel like, maybe we need to do this in concert

0:37:02.120 --> 0:37:06.279
<v Speaker 1>with more responsible things like biofuels and maybe nuclear power.

0:37:06.360 --> 0:37:08.120
<v Speaker 1>But I'm actually not super up to date on the

0:37:08.160 --> 0:37:11.520
<v Speaker 1>different methods people are proposing for carbon capture and storage.

0:37:11.680 --> 0:37:13.719
<v Speaker 1>Are you up to date on the methods? Yeah, So

0:37:13.760 --> 0:37:15.799
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of different technology in both of those

0:37:15.840 --> 0:37:19.840
<v Speaker 1>areas biofuels and in carbon capture. For biofuels, you know,

0:37:19.920 --> 0:37:23.000
<v Speaker 1>one thing is just like produce ethanol from corn, and

0:37:23.080 --> 0:37:25.640
<v Speaker 1>that's all right, but it's not great because you're still

0:37:25.680 --> 0:37:29.920
<v Speaker 1>feeding it into a gas power transportation system, right, and

0:37:30.000 --> 0:37:33.440
<v Speaker 1>you can't run cars on a hundred percent biofuels, you know,

0:37:33.440 --> 0:37:36.319
<v Speaker 1>it just doesn't work. You need like ten, which means

0:37:36.360 --> 0:37:38.359
<v Speaker 1>the rest of it is still gasoline, so it sort

0:37:38.360 --> 0:37:42.080
<v Speaker 1>of prevents the electrification of the transportation grid. And people

0:37:42.120 --> 0:37:46.440
<v Speaker 1>also argue about whether biofuels really are carbon neutral. You know,

0:37:46.520 --> 0:37:49.000
<v Speaker 1>for example, if you're going to turn corn into biofuels

0:37:49.000 --> 0:37:52.240
<v Speaker 1>and you need to make more farmland to produce that corn,

0:37:52.320 --> 0:37:55.080
<v Speaker 1>which means you're chopping down forests to make more farmland,

0:37:55.080 --> 0:37:57.520
<v Speaker 1>which releases c O two. So there's a really complicated

0:37:57.520 --> 0:38:01.440
<v Speaker 1>calculation there about whether these biofuels really are carbon neutral.

0:38:01.719 --> 0:38:03.800
<v Speaker 1>And about ten years ago, there was a huge push

0:38:04.120 --> 0:38:08.879
<v Speaker 1>to do microalgae based biofuels, like to take algae, these

0:38:08.920 --> 0:38:12.840
<v Speaker 1>tiny little plants and genetically engineer them so they produced ethanol,

0:38:13.239 --> 0:38:16.080
<v Speaker 1>like insert into them the proteins they needed, so on

0:38:16.120 --> 0:38:19.360
<v Speaker 1>a biochemical level they could like fabricate fuel, which seemed

0:38:19.400 --> 0:38:22.280
<v Speaker 1>really awesome, and so many people got involved in startups.

0:38:22.280 --> 0:38:24.719
<v Speaker 1>People I knew in grad school like jumped onto this.

0:38:24.760 --> 0:38:26.319
<v Speaker 1>They thought it was the energy of the future. But

0:38:26.440 --> 0:38:29.160
<v Speaker 1>it hasn't really worked out because it's really difficult to

0:38:29.280 --> 0:38:31.960
<v Speaker 1>scale that up and to make it efficient such a

0:38:32.000 --> 0:38:33.839
<v Speaker 1>pain when you get them at high densities, they really

0:38:34.120 --> 0:38:36.719
<v Speaker 1>released toxins to fight with each other, and they just

0:38:36.760 --> 0:38:39.360
<v Speaker 1>don't cooperate the way you'd like them to. Carbon capture

0:38:39.400 --> 0:38:41.200
<v Speaker 1>is the same. It's exciting the idea that you could

0:38:41.239 --> 0:38:43.760
<v Speaker 1>like pull carbon out of the atmosphere, but it also

0:38:43.920 --> 0:38:47.440
<v Speaker 1>is really expensive. You know. One strategy is to try

0:38:47.480 --> 0:38:50.239
<v Speaker 1>to scrub emissions, Like you're at a coal plant and

0:38:50.280 --> 0:38:52.480
<v Speaker 1>you have something on the smoke stack which like pulls

0:38:52.560 --> 0:38:55.200
<v Speaker 1>the CEO two out of those emissions. The way it

0:38:55.239 --> 0:38:57.600
<v Speaker 1>does it by running it through this vessel that has

0:38:57.640 --> 0:39:00.160
<v Speaker 1>a liquid solvent that can absorb the CEO two, and

0:39:00.200 --> 0:39:02.279
<v Speaker 1>then you take that solvent, you release the CEO two

0:39:02.280 --> 0:39:04.920
<v Speaker 1>somewhere else in a safe way that you can capture,

0:39:05.040 --> 0:39:07.720
<v Speaker 1>and then you can just store it underground. But again,

0:39:07.760 --> 0:39:11.239
<v Speaker 1>that's like removing or reducing the CEO two from emissions.

0:39:11.280 --> 0:39:13.160
<v Speaker 1>What you'd really like to do is just like suck

0:39:13.239 --> 0:39:16.600
<v Speaker 1>the CEU two out of the atmosphere itself, right, sort

0:39:16.600 --> 0:39:19.000
<v Speaker 1>of make up for the mistakes that we've made so far.

0:39:19.280 --> 0:39:23.360
<v Speaker 1>That technology exists, but it's really expensive, and so until

0:39:23.440 --> 0:39:27.240
<v Speaker 1>somebody improves that or we have no other cheap option,

0:39:27.560 --> 0:39:29.319
<v Speaker 1>it's not going to be the option that we go

0:39:29.400 --> 0:39:33.240
<v Speaker 1>to and you might almost rather just like over build

0:39:33.280 --> 0:39:36.160
<v Speaker 1>your solar or wind farms than do a lot of

0:39:36.200 --> 0:39:39.239
<v Speaker 1>carbon capture. Yeah, one carbon capture also seems a little

0:39:39.280 --> 0:39:42.640
<v Speaker 1>scary because, like, do we understand what's happening well enough

0:39:42.680 --> 0:39:45.000
<v Speaker 1>to be able to like know what rate we should

0:39:45.040 --> 0:39:47.360
<v Speaker 1>be sucking it out of the atmosphere? Could things we

0:39:47.360 --> 0:39:50.319
<v Speaker 1>didn't predict happen? And I don't know. Whenever you're doing

0:39:50.400 --> 0:39:53.440
<v Speaker 1>large scale tinkering, things gets a little dicey. Maybe exactly

0:39:53.480 --> 0:39:55.920
<v Speaker 1>do you trust engineers with the fate of our planet?

0:39:56.040 --> 0:39:59.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure I really believe in their models. And

0:39:59.239 --> 0:40:02.640
<v Speaker 1>then another not nuclear carbon neutral option is hydro power.

0:40:02.920 --> 0:40:05.960
<v Speaker 1>And there's some countries like New Zealand and Norway that

0:40:06.080 --> 0:40:09.200
<v Speaker 1>have like beautiful fiords and lots of waterfalls that have

0:40:09.239 --> 0:40:12.440
<v Speaker 1>a significant fraction of their energy coming from hydro power.

0:40:12.560 --> 0:40:15.520
<v Speaker 1>And that's great, but you know, Iowa doesn't have a

0:40:15.520 --> 0:40:18.239
<v Speaker 1>whole lot of hydro power, and Kansas doesn't have a

0:40:18.239 --> 0:40:20.600
<v Speaker 1>whole lot of hydro power, so it's not like a

0:40:20.719 --> 0:40:23.200
<v Speaker 1>general solution for the whole grid. Well, and as an

0:40:23.200 --> 0:40:26.920
<v Speaker 1>aquatic ecologist, there are environmental implications to damning things up

0:40:26.920 --> 0:40:30.520
<v Speaker 1>as well, so it's not quite straightforward exactly, and then

0:40:30.520 --> 0:40:33.239
<v Speaker 1>in another direction, like a sort of horse strategy, is

0:40:33.280 --> 0:40:35.800
<v Speaker 1>just to say, hey, look, people, you just don't always

0:40:35.800 --> 0:40:38.279
<v Speaker 1>get energy when you want it, like when you go

0:40:38.280 --> 0:40:40.439
<v Speaker 1>at a hundred percent renewable, and it's going to be

0:40:40.600 --> 0:40:43.520
<v Speaker 1>not always reliable. And maybe that's just the way we

0:40:43.560 --> 0:40:46.160
<v Speaker 1>need to live. Maybe the issue is like us demanding

0:40:46.239 --> 0:40:49.000
<v Speaker 1>that we always have power whenever we need it. Maybe

0:40:49.080 --> 0:40:51.719
<v Speaker 1>that's just too much to ask. Well, you know, if

0:40:51.760 --> 0:40:54.560
<v Speaker 1>you lived in a place like Siberia, you'd probably be

0:40:54.640 --> 0:40:58.000
<v Speaker 1>pretty happy about having reliable energy. But I suppose people

0:40:58.040 --> 0:41:00.000
<v Speaker 1>can plan. You know, we know our power goes out

0:41:00.040 --> 0:41:02.440
<v Speaker 1>here pretty often, so we have a wood burning stove

0:41:02.680 --> 0:41:04.960
<v Speaker 1>for heat during those periods. So I suppose people could

0:41:05.000 --> 0:41:08.200
<v Speaker 1>plan for their power to get cut when renewables can't

0:41:08.640 --> 0:41:11.719
<v Speaker 1>keep up. But that's an inconvenience that I think many

0:41:11.760 --> 0:41:14.719
<v Speaker 1>countries would not be willing to absorb. Yeah, and you

0:41:14.800 --> 0:41:17.200
<v Speaker 1>need power not just your kids can play fruit ninja,

0:41:17.280 --> 0:41:21.440
<v Speaker 1>but also to do things like emergency surgeries. Right, it's important,

0:41:21.520 --> 0:41:25.080
<v Speaker 1>and so it's not something that modern societies are sort

0:41:25.120 --> 0:41:28.279
<v Speaker 1>of willing to stomach. We need like stable power when

0:41:28.320 --> 0:41:31.480
<v Speaker 1>we need it. Okay, so we've just talked about options

0:41:31.480 --> 0:41:34.760
<v Speaker 1>other than nuclear that might be helpful at some point

0:41:34.840 --> 0:41:52.000
<v Speaker 1>in the future. Let's return to nuclear after this break. Okay,

0:41:52.000 --> 0:41:54.640
<v Speaker 1>So one of the nice things about nuclear is it's

0:41:54.680 --> 0:42:00.040
<v Speaker 1>a no carbon emissions options that is reliable. How me

0:42:00.080 --> 0:42:02.400
<v Speaker 1>a bit about how many reactors we've got running and

0:42:02.400 --> 0:42:05.160
<v Speaker 1>how much power they're providing right now. Yeah, nuclear is

0:42:05.160 --> 0:42:07.840
<v Speaker 1>something that exists right now, you know, and it's a

0:42:07.920 --> 0:42:12.320
<v Speaker 1>significant fraction of our energy budget already around the world.

0:42:12.480 --> 0:42:15.120
<v Speaker 1>Is something between five and ten percent of worldwide energy

0:42:15.120 --> 0:42:17.160
<v Speaker 1>and it varies a lot country to country. In France,

0:42:17.160 --> 0:42:19.600
<v Speaker 1>for example, in Sweden, it's a huge fraction of their

0:42:19.680 --> 0:42:22.520
<v Speaker 1>energy output. Here in the US, it's about twenty percent

0:42:22.600 --> 0:42:25.239
<v Speaker 1>of the energy grid is provided by nuclear reactors and

0:42:25.239 --> 0:42:28.000
<v Speaker 1>that's from you know, something like fifty six reactors in

0:42:28.040 --> 0:42:31.200
<v Speaker 1>the US are producing a huge amount of power, and

0:42:31.239 --> 0:42:34.240
<v Speaker 1>it's very constant. You know, it runs rain or shine,

0:42:34.680 --> 0:42:38.920
<v Speaker 1>wind or not. It's a very stable source of energy

0:42:39.280 --> 0:42:41.600
<v Speaker 1>in the US, to be honest, that's more than I

0:42:41.600 --> 0:42:44.560
<v Speaker 1>would have guessed. Uh, And I saw recently France just

0:42:44.560 --> 0:42:46.880
<v Speaker 1>announced that they're going to be doing a lot more

0:42:47.080 --> 0:42:49.040
<v Speaker 1>nuclear reactors, are going to be building more as part

0:42:49.040 --> 0:42:51.799
<v Speaker 1>of their climate change mitigation strategy. What sort of like

0:42:52.480 --> 0:42:55.520
<v Speaker 1>predictions or projections are people working with, Like how much

0:42:55.520 --> 0:42:57.919
<v Speaker 1>do we need to increase nuclear power to be able

0:42:57.920 --> 0:42:59.799
<v Speaker 1>to make a dent in this problem? Well, when the

0:42:59.880 --> 0:43:02.239
<v Speaker 1>u WHEN makes its predictions for like how we can

0:43:02.280 --> 0:43:06.040
<v Speaker 1>avoid overheating the planet by more than one point five degrees,

0:43:06.080 --> 0:43:08.480
<v Speaker 1>that's the current target. They have a variety of different

0:43:08.520 --> 0:43:13.759
<v Speaker 1>strategies here, but every single strategy they describe includes increasing

0:43:13.880 --> 0:43:17.319
<v Speaker 1>nuclear power. The most conservative one increases nuclear power by

0:43:17.360 --> 0:43:19.800
<v Speaker 1>a hundred and fifty percent, and there are other scenarios

0:43:19.800 --> 0:43:22.440
<v Speaker 1>where it goes up to like fo increase. So the

0:43:22.520 --> 0:43:25.680
<v Speaker 1>u N is basically counting on us increasing our nuclear

0:43:25.719 --> 0:43:30.399
<v Speaker 1>production as a critical element to go into carbon neutral energy. So,

0:43:30.840 --> 0:43:32.520
<v Speaker 1>in my mind, if we're going to hit that goal,

0:43:32.680 --> 0:43:34.600
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be critical to get people to think

0:43:34.640 --> 0:43:38.080
<v Speaker 1>differently about nuclear power. And maybe part of getting them

0:43:38.080 --> 0:43:41.560
<v Speaker 1>to think differently is by convincing them we've figured out

0:43:41.600 --> 0:43:44.480
<v Speaker 1>some of the safety problems. I know there are some

0:43:44.560 --> 0:43:48.200
<v Speaker 1>advances in nuclear reactor safety. Can you tell us about

0:43:48.200 --> 0:43:49.680
<v Speaker 1>some of those. Yeah, A lot of the issues people

0:43:49.719 --> 0:43:53.800
<v Speaker 1>are familiar with about nuclear power, these explosions, having high

0:43:53.800 --> 0:43:57.319
<v Speaker 1>pressure water and producing these very dangerous elements which will

0:43:57.360 --> 0:44:00.520
<v Speaker 1>take tens of thousands of years to decay. Those are

0:44:00.560 --> 0:44:04.000
<v Speaker 1>not features of more modern designs of nuclear power plants.

0:44:04.000 --> 0:44:05.959
<v Speaker 1>So Johan I had an episode a few weeks ago

0:44:06.000 --> 0:44:10.720
<v Speaker 1>about molten salt reactors that can operate a much lower pressure,

0:44:10.760 --> 0:44:13.640
<v Speaker 1>like atmospheric pressures, so that they don't have this danger

0:44:13.680 --> 0:44:17.280
<v Speaker 1>of possibly exploding, and also they have a passive safety system.

0:44:17.480 --> 0:44:20.520
<v Speaker 1>You actually mix the fuel in with the molten salt,

0:44:20.719 --> 0:44:24.200
<v Speaker 1>and then if the thing overheats, it melts a frozen

0:44:24.239 --> 0:44:26.480
<v Speaker 1>salt plug and the whole thing just sort of drains

0:44:26.520 --> 0:44:29.560
<v Speaker 1>out and the reaction stops. So instead of needing active

0:44:29.600 --> 0:44:32.359
<v Speaker 1>power to cool your thing, you need power to keep

0:44:32.400 --> 0:44:35.520
<v Speaker 1>the thing going. And so if something fails, it's much

0:44:35.560 --> 0:44:37.759
<v Speaker 1>safer because the whole reaction just sort of screeches to

0:44:37.840 --> 0:44:41.080
<v Speaker 1>a halt. And you can also use different fuels than uranium.

0:44:41.120 --> 0:44:43.839
<v Speaker 1>If you start with thorium instead of uranium two thirty eight,

0:44:44.080 --> 0:44:47.520
<v Speaker 1>thorium decays and uranium two thirty three, which is excellent

0:44:47.520 --> 0:44:49.719
<v Speaker 1>for fission and much more efficient because you can like

0:44:50.080 --> 0:44:52.640
<v Speaker 1>use all of the fuel rather than having part of

0:44:52.680 --> 0:44:55.840
<v Speaker 1>it hang out and turn into these really terrible, long

0:44:55.960 --> 0:44:58.640
<v Speaker 1>lasting isotopes that will poison the earth for tens of

0:44:58.680 --> 0:45:01.200
<v Speaker 1>thousands of years. It's still not pretty. I mean, you're

0:45:01.239 --> 0:45:03.600
<v Speaker 1>producing things like c c M one thirty seven, which

0:45:03.640 --> 0:45:06.840
<v Speaker 1>is super deadly, but it's half life is like decades

0:45:06.920 --> 0:45:09.960
<v Speaker 1>instead of tens of thousands of years, so you don't

0:45:09.960 --> 0:45:12.720
<v Speaker 1>have to build facilities which will you know, survive any

0:45:12.760 --> 0:45:15.919
<v Speaker 1>earthquake in the next fifty years. Yeah, and you're reading

0:45:15.920 --> 0:45:20.440
<v Speaker 1>about some of these new technologies for making the reactors safer. Like,

0:45:20.680 --> 0:45:23.799
<v Speaker 1>to be honest, it's all pretty dry reading, but I

0:45:23.840 --> 0:45:26.440
<v Speaker 1>think it's some of the some of the most clever

0:45:26.800 --> 0:45:31.080
<v Speaker 1>engineering solutions I think I've ever heard about are being

0:45:31.080 --> 0:45:33.280
<v Speaker 1>employed in some of the are at least plans being

0:45:33.320 --> 0:45:35.880
<v Speaker 1>employed in some of these reactors, like the plug that

0:45:36.000 --> 0:45:39.080
<v Speaker 1>just melts away and drains even if there isn't power

0:45:39.200 --> 0:45:42.400
<v Speaker 1>to stop the reaction. Like, there's some really clever designs.

0:45:42.520 --> 0:45:44.640
<v Speaker 1>Hopefully we get a chance to try some of these out. Yeah,

0:45:44.680 --> 0:45:47.840
<v Speaker 1>and it's incredible variety in your book with Zach Soonish,

0:45:47.880 --> 0:45:49.800
<v Speaker 1>I know you guys had to cut this chapter of

0:45:50.080 --> 0:45:52.279
<v Speaker 1>nuclear power, but I encourage all of our listeners to

0:45:52.280 --> 0:45:54.080
<v Speaker 1>go and follow the link. Will include in the show

0:45:54.120 --> 0:45:57.400
<v Speaker 1>notes that has really fun and detailed dive into the

0:45:57.440 --> 0:46:00.759
<v Speaker 1>future of nuclear technologies and all these different varieties. So

0:46:00.840 --> 0:46:03.560
<v Speaker 1>the short version is that the kind of technology we're

0:46:03.640 --> 0:46:07.360
<v Speaker 1>using today, these light water reactors, has particular disadvantages, but

0:46:07.400 --> 0:46:10.479
<v Speaker 1>those advantages don't exist in every form of nuclear power.

0:46:10.560 --> 0:46:13.920
<v Speaker 1>So there are safer, more stable varieties of nuclear power.

0:46:13.960 --> 0:46:17.240
<v Speaker 1>And among nuclear engineers, they're pretty confident that we could

0:46:17.280 --> 0:46:20.360
<v Speaker 1>build nuclear reactors which are safe. Yeah, and you know,

0:46:20.400 --> 0:46:22.560
<v Speaker 1>some of the designs that that you just mentioned have

0:46:22.800 --> 0:46:25.799
<v Speaker 1>their own safety risks that have to be mitigated which

0:46:25.840 --> 0:46:27.799
<v Speaker 1>are a little bit different, But in general we are

0:46:27.880 --> 0:46:30.719
<v Speaker 1>moving towards designs that are safer and it's it's an

0:46:30.760 --> 0:46:33.239
<v Speaker 1>exciting time. But as we talked about, an issue is

0:46:33.239 --> 0:46:35.880
<v Speaker 1>that we need this stuff today, Like we can't just

0:46:35.960 --> 0:46:39.239
<v Speaker 1>wait fifteen twenty years for these new reactors to get

0:46:39.239 --> 0:46:41.560
<v Speaker 1>figured out and for the government to figure out how

0:46:41.600 --> 0:46:44.160
<v Speaker 1>to make them safe and to regulate them, etcetera. We

0:46:44.200 --> 0:46:47.240
<v Speaker 1>need this stuff very soon. And one problem with nuclear

0:46:47.280 --> 0:46:49.160
<v Speaker 1>power is that it's not quick. You can't be like

0:46:49.200 --> 0:46:51.120
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna build a nuclear power plant and then have

0:46:51.200 --> 0:46:54.400
<v Speaker 1>one running a year later. It takes ten years, sometimes

0:46:54.480 --> 0:46:57.640
<v Speaker 1>fifteen years because of all the regulations. Yeah, and I

0:46:57.680 --> 0:47:00.400
<v Speaker 1>don't think anybody wants to say we shouldn't be relating

0:47:00.480 --> 0:47:03.080
<v Speaker 1>nuclear power, but it does seem like getting nuclear power

0:47:03.120 --> 0:47:06.719
<v Speaker 1>plants online requires a lot more licensing that's a lot

0:47:06.760 --> 0:47:10.640
<v Speaker 1>more expensive than you know, what comfortable people would have

0:47:10.719 --> 0:47:12.440
<v Speaker 1>to do, or you know, like what what you'd have

0:47:12.480 --> 0:47:14.040
<v Speaker 1>to go through to set up a new coal powered

0:47:14.040 --> 0:47:16.720
<v Speaker 1>power plant. And that really does seem to be stopping

0:47:16.760 --> 0:47:19.520
<v Speaker 1>the implementation of a lot of these new technologies which

0:47:19.600 --> 0:47:23.160
<v Speaker 1>could make a big difference for climate change. They really could.

0:47:23.200 --> 0:47:25.880
<v Speaker 1>And something I didn't appreciate it until recently is that

0:47:25.920 --> 0:47:28.960
<v Speaker 1>there's a big variation from country to country. Like this

0:47:29.080 --> 0:47:32.240
<v Speaker 1>kind of regulatory overload is a feature of the United

0:47:32.280 --> 0:47:34.799
<v Speaker 1>States where basically every power plant is a one off

0:47:34.800 --> 0:47:38.160
<v Speaker 1>design specific to that location, and there hasn't been a

0:47:38.200 --> 0:47:42.320
<v Speaker 1>lot of like streamlining and modularization of these nuclear plans

0:47:42.360 --> 0:47:45.239
<v Speaker 1>in other countries, like in France, they basically build the

0:47:45.239 --> 0:47:47.759
<v Speaker 1>same power plant over and over again, and so they

0:47:47.760 --> 0:47:50.080
<v Speaker 1>get really good at it and it becomes cheaper. I

0:47:50.120 --> 0:47:53.759
<v Speaker 1>read this hilarious description where somebody said France has two

0:47:53.800 --> 0:47:56.840
<v Speaker 1>types of reactors and hundreds of types of cheese. In

0:47:56.840 --> 0:48:01.120
<v Speaker 1>the United States, it's the other way around, Like we

0:48:01.200 --> 0:48:03.480
<v Speaker 1>sort of lost out on the deal there, didn't we Yeah, No,

0:48:03.520 --> 0:48:06.120
<v Speaker 1>I'm definitely wishing I was French right now. But the

0:48:06.200 --> 0:48:08.759
<v Speaker 1>United States is trying to address that. There's companies, i

0:48:08.800 --> 0:48:11.080
<v Speaker 1>think it's called New Scale is working on these tiny

0:48:11.160 --> 0:48:15.320
<v Speaker 1>modular reactors that need to be less sort of made

0:48:15.320 --> 0:48:17.799
<v Speaker 1>specifically to the location that they're going to, and they

0:48:17.800 --> 0:48:20.080
<v Speaker 1>can just be sort of like plugged in and they're

0:48:20.120 --> 0:48:23.480
<v Speaker 1>small and cheaper, and as your town grows, you can

0:48:23.560 --> 0:48:25.440
<v Speaker 1>plug more of them in sort of like plugging in

0:48:25.520 --> 0:48:28.239
<v Speaker 1>new batteries, and so like recognized that this is a

0:48:28.239 --> 0:48:30.120
<v Speaker 1>problem and people are trying to deal with it. It's

0:48:30.160 --> 0:48:32.719
<v Speaker 1>just sort of slow getting there. Yeah, and it's gonna

0:48:32.760 --> 0:48:35.719
<v Speaker 1>take a while. It's not like something we can overhaul overnight,

0:48:35.800 --> 0:48:38.960
<v Speaker 1>and unfortunately we don't have a lot of time left. Meanwhile,

0:48:39.000 --> 0:48:42.840
<v Speaker 1>other countries like China and India and Korea are building

0:48:42.880 --> 0:48:46.200
<v Speaker 1>new plants, and they're also developing new styles of plants.

0:48:46.239 --> 0:48:48.120
<v Speaker 1>Like thorium is going to be a big deal in

0:48:48.239 --> 0:48:50.799
<v Speaker 1>China and in India. India has a huge fraction of

0:48:50.800 --> 0:48:54.359
<v Speaker 1>the world's thorium reserves and so it's investing in that

0:48:54.440 --> 0:48:56.920
<v Speaker 1>and a question is like can the US do that? Also,

0:48:57.040 --> 0:49:00.239
<v Speaker 1>can we pivot and build new plants, because in the

0:49:00.320 --> 0:49:03.480
<v Speaker 1>last ten years or so, we've just been retiring reactors

0:49:03.760 --> 0:49:06.279
<v Speaker 1>and when that happens, we end up replacing that with

0:49:06.320 --> 0:49:08.680
<v Speaker 1>fossil fuels. And I think part of why we do

0:49:08.719 --> 0:49:12.520
<v Speaker 1>that is because nuclear power has a horrible pr problem,

0:49:12.560 --> 0:49:15.480
<v Speaker 1>and that's because when something goes wrong, it goes wrong

0:49:15.520 --> 0:49:17.239
<v Speaker 1>in like a big way that all of us are

0:49:17.280 --> 0:49:19.759
<v Speaker 1>scared about because we watched Captain Planet as a kid,

0:49:20.160 --> 0:49:23.000
<v Speaker 1>and like, the accidents have names that we remember, like

0:49:23.080 --> 0:49:27.560
<v Speaker 1>Three Mile Island and Fukushima and Chernobyl, But actually, you know,

0:49:27.640 --> 0:49:31.680
<v Speaker 1>no deaths is ever the appropriate number of deaths for

0:49:31.719 --> 0:49:36.120
<v Speaker 1>any technology is zero ideally, but like the number for

0:49:36.400 --> 0:49:40.320
<v Speaker 1>nuclear reactor accidents, the number of deaths is actually way

0:49:40.360 --> 0:49:43.799
<v Speaker 1>lower than the global picture for coal. So like three

0:49:43.800 --> 0:49:47.400
<v Speaker 1>Mile Island, I think that was like zero deaths. Fukushima

0:49:47.560 --> 0:49:50.879
<v Speaker 1>had a serious impact on the community, but I don't

0:49:50.880 --> 0:49:53.920
<v Speaker 1>think it had a lot of deaths. Chernobyl had a

0:49:53.960 --> 0:49:57.359
<v Speaker 1>few thousand, again, way too many. But if you would

0:49:57.400 --> 0:49:59.359
<v Speaker 1>warnant people, they could have gotten out of there and

0:49:59.400 --> 0:50:01.759
<v Speaker 1>it you could have saved a lot of lives just

0:50:01.760 --> 0:50:04.600
<v Speaker 1>with advanced warning which was available but was just withheld

0:50:04.640 --> 0:50:08.360
<v Speaker 1>by the government. But cold deaths, you know, you get

0:50:08.400 --> 0:50:12.720
<v Speaker 1>all of these chemicals into the environment, you get arsenic, mercury, lead,

0:50:12.800 --> 0:50:16.320
<v Speaker 1>And whereas nuclear waste can easily get contained in buckets

0:50:16.360 --> 0:50:19.320
<v Speaker 1>and then stored far away from people with cold power plants,

0:50:19.320 --> 0:50:22.000
<v Speaker 1>we just spew the stuff into the atmosphere where we

0:50:22.040 --> 0:50:25.560
<v Speaker 1>can't really capture it easily. And oh, man, I can't

0:50:25.560 --> 0:50:28.680
<v Speaker 1>remember the figures for how many people have died or

0:50:28.800 --> 0:50:30.719
<v Speaker 1>estimated to have died from cold deaths. Do you happen

0:50:30.800 --> 0:50:33.160
<v Speaker 1>to know those numbers? It's something like the number of

0:50:33.200 --> 0:50:35.880
<v Speaker 1>people who have been killed in sixty years of nuclear

0:50:35.880 --> 0:50:39.759
<v Speaker 1>power are killed every month by the coal industry and

0:50:39.800 --> 0:50:42.359
<v Speaker 1>by natural gas. And you're right, like, every time there's

0:50:42.440 --> 0:50:45.120
<v Speaker 1>nuclear disaster, it's like an airplane crash, it's on the news,

0:50:45.239 --> 0:50:48.120
<v Speaker 1>people talk about it, whereas you know, they're like natural

0:50:48.160 --> 0:50:50.880
<v Speaker 1>gas explosions all the time. They killed dozens of people.

0:50:50.920 --> 0:50:53.480
<v Speaker 1>It just happened so often that we don't even talk

0:50:53.480 --> 0:50:56.600
<v Speaker 1>about it. It's like car crashes versus airplane travel. Cars

0:50:56.640 --> 0:50:59.040
<v Speaker 1>are much more dangerous than airplanes, but people are more

0:50:59.080 --> 0:51:01.840
<v Speaker 1>scared of traveling on the airplanes and so it's something

0:51:01.880 --> 0:51:04.279
<v Speaker 1>of an emotional question. And I think we were joking

0:51:04.320 --> 0:51:06.719
<v Speaker 1>about the Simpsons earlier. But that's really part of it,

0:51:06.760 --> 0:51:09.719
<v Speaker 1>is how it's been portrayed in the media. And I

0:51:09.760 --> 0:51:12.640
<v Speaker 1>think partly it's just been unlucky. Like the Three Mile

0:51:12.719 --> 0:51:15.280
<v Speaker 1>Island accident that happened in the US. It actually happened

0:51:15.400 --> 0:51:19.360
<v Speaker 1>twelve days after the release of a movie, The China Syndrome,

0:51:19.840 --> 0:51:23.000
<v Speaker 1>that portrays the meltdown at a fictional plant. And I

0:51:23.040 --> 0:51:27.000
<v Speaker 1>think because that movie introduced the idea in people's minds

0:51:27.000 --> 0:51:29.200
<v Speaker 1>and then made them scared, and then there was an

0:51:29.239 --> 0:51:32.319
<v Speaker 1>actual accident like two weeks later, it gave people the

0:51:32.320 --> 0:51:35.160
<v Speaker 1>impression like, wow, this dangerous thing I just heard about

0:51:35.320 --> 0:51:38.080
<v Speaker 1>can actually happen in poison the planet. And it sort

0:51:38.080 --> 0:51:40.839
<v Speaker 1>of sparked the anti nuclear movement. And that makes sense,

0:51:40.880 --> 0:51:42.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, in the depths that happened in response to

0:51:42.760 --> 0:51:45.520
<v Speaker 1>a problem with the nuclear power plant, like happened at

0:51:45.560 --> 0:51:48.120
<v Speaker 1>that plant at that moment, whereas cold deaths are like

0:51:48.200 --> 0:51:51.399
<v Speaker 1>way more disperse and harder to like, you know, get

0:51:51.480 --> 0:51:53.440
<v Speaker 1>wrap your mind around. But you know, if if you

0:51:53.480 --> 0:51:56.440
<v Speaker 1>think about coal powered power plants as contributing to global

0:51:56.440 --> 0:51:59.399
<v Speaker 1>climate change and you know, increasing the frequency of things

0:51:59.400 --> 0:52:02.879
<v Speaker 1>like tornados and wildfires and you know, all these other

0:52:02.920 --> 0:52:05.680
<v Speaker 1>things that also kill people. The number is hard to estimate,

0:52:05.680 --> 0:52:07.439
<v Speaker 1>but it but it's a pretty big number. And so

0:52:08.200 --> 0:52:10.040
<v Speaker 1>I feel like we need to have a big pr

0:52:10.120 --> 0:52:12.719
<v Speaker 1>push for nuclear power plans to sort of explain these

0:52:12.800 --> 0:52:15.399
<v Speaker 1>numbers and still let people make decisions, because there's still

0:52:15.440 --> 0:52:18.239
<v Speaker 1>complicated decisions that need to be made regarding you know,

0:52:18.360 --> 0:52:20.440
<v Speaker 1>weapons and stuff like that. But I do feel like

0:52:20.480 --> 0:52:24.279
<v Speaker 1>people don't recognize that that nuclear power has a much

0:52:24.320 --> 0:52:27.160
<v Speaker 1>better record in terms of you know, death toll than

0:52:27.200 --> 0:52:29.560
<v Speaker 1>things like cold power power plants. We've been talking about

0:52:29.560 --> 0:52:32.600
<v Speaker 1>the risks of nuclear versus other sources, but really it's

0:52:32.600 --> 0:52:36.319
<v Speaker 1>a question of like nuclear power versus climate change. Like

0:52:36.440 --> 0:52:39.480
<v Speaker 1>climate change is definitely going to kill thousands or millions

0:52:39.520 --> 0:52:42.680
<v Speaker 1>of people, and so in comparison, you know, how do

0:52:42.719 --> 0:52:45.840
<v Speaker 1>we balance the certain death of nuclear power versus certain

0:52:45.840 --> 0:52:48.560
<v Speaker 1>deaths from climate change. It's a difficult topic. It's really

0:52:48.600 --> 0:52:50.719
<v Speaker 1>difficult because you know, especially if if you factor in

0:52:50.840 --> 0:52:53.319
<v Speaker 1>governments that you don't trust getting accident or access to

0:52:53.400 --> 0:52:56.480
<v Speaker 1>nuclear weapons, that could up the death toll quite a bit.

0:52:56.680 --> 0:52:59.520
<v Speaker 1>You're going up against climate change, these are difficult decisions

0:52:59.560 --> 0:53:01.719
<v Speaker 1>that need to be so I reached out to an

0:53:01.760 --> 0:53:05.319
<v Speaker 1>expert in nuclear engineering and also in science communication to

0:53:05.480 --> 0:53:08.200
<v Speaker 1>ask her her opinion about how she thought we should

0:53:08.280 --> 0:53:11.880
<v Speaker 1>talk to people in communities about nuclear power. Here's what

0:53:12.000 --> 0:53:13.520
<v Speaker 1>she had to say. All right, well, then it's my

0:53:13.640 --> 0:53:17.040
<v Speaker 1>pleasure to introduce to the podcast Katie Muma, who is

0:53:17.080 --> 0:53:20.440
<v Speaker 1>a graduate student in nuclear engineering. Katie, thanks very much

0:53:20.440 --> 0:53:22.719
<v Speaker 1>for talking to us. Yeah, thanks for having me. So

0:53:22.840 --> 0:53:25.440
<v Speaker 1>my first question for you is about the future of

0:53:25.560 --> 0:53:28.880
<v Speaker 1>nuclear technology. In your opinion, what is the most promising

0:53:28.960 --> 0:53:33.040
<v Speaker 1>technology for safe, clean nuclear power. I get asked this

0:53:33.120 --> 0:53:36.719
<v Speaker 1>question a lot, and I think people aren't expecting me

0:53:36.840 --> 0:53:40.240
<v Speaker 1>to say that I don't have a favorite or most

0:53:40.520 --> 0:53:44.839
<v Speaker 1>likely to succeed. I think that there's a lot of

0:53:44.960 --> 0:53:48.960
<v Speaker 1>possibility for the future of nuclear energy, and really it

0:53:49.080 --> 0:53:53.080
<v Speaker 1>comes down to finding a good team of people who

0:53:53.120 --> 0:53:56.640
<v Speaker 1>can build a company or an organization, and how well

0:53:56.680 --> 0:54:01.320
<v Speaker 1>they can fit into the landscape of exist staying energy

0:54:01.400 --> 0:54:04.640
<v Speaker 1>production and in the US, how well they can fit

0:54:04.719 --> 0:54:09.400
<v Speaker 1>into the regulatory hurdles of getting a nuclear reactor licensed.

0:54:09.880 --> 0:54:14.200
<v Speaker 1>And honestly, I think a lot of different technologies could succeed,

0:54:14.960 --> 0:54:18.319
<v Speaker 1>and it's not going to be the technology alone that

0:54:18.400 --> 0:54:21.239
<v Speaker 1>determines whether or not they succeed. So then what are

0:54:21.320 --> 0:54:24.239
<v Speaker 1>the biggest hurdles to getting more nuclear plants up? Is

0:54:24.280 --> 0:54:28.759
<v Speaker 1>it the regulatory landscape. There's definitely challenges there, at least

0:54:28.800 --> 0:54:32.800
<v Speaker 1>in the United States, are regulatory system is not really

0:54:32.840 --> 0:54:37.480
<v Speaker 1>built for advanced nuclear technologies. It's really been spun up

0:54:37.520 --> 0:54:41.120
<v Speaker 1>to meet the existing reactors, which are one kind of

0:54:41.160 --> 0:54:44.319
<v Speaker 1>reactor that use um light water what we think of

0:54:44.440 --> 0:54:48.520
<v Speaker 1>is regular water as as a cooling technology. But that's

0:54:48.560 --> 0:54:52.080
<v Speaker 1>not the only thing there's There's lots of other challenges.

0:54:52.560 --> 0:54:55.000
<v Speaker 1>Cost is a big one too. It does take a

0:54:55.000 --> 0:54:59.239
<v Speaker 1>lot of money to design a nuclear reactor, to construct

0:54:59.280 --> 0:55:02.839
<v Speaker 1>a nuclear react actor, and the cost of capital can

0:55:02.920 --> 0:55:07.319
<v Speaker 1>be something that really holds reactors back. If you need

0:55:07.400 --> 0:55:10.920
<v Speaker 1>to spend billions of dollars up front and only start

0:55:10.960 --> 0:55:14.960
<v Speaker 1>generating money or return on your investment ten or fifteen

0:55:15.040 --> 0:55:17.279
<v Speaker 1>years later. You know, that's the kind of thing that

0:55:17.320 --> 0:55:20.719
<v Speaker 1>a small startup company can't necessarily do, so that's been

0:55:20.760 --> 0:55:23.879
<v Speaker 1>a big challenge. And also just whether or not these

0:55:23.920 --> 0:55:27.560
<v Speaker 1>technologies are valued by the countries or the states or

0:55:27.600 --> 0:55:31.560
<v Speaker 1>the localities that they're being proposed. In nuclear energy is

0:55:31.600 --> 0:55:35.879
<v Speaker 1>a low carbon technology, but sometimes it's not recognized as

0:55:35.960 --> 0:55:40.400
<v Speaker 1>having low carbon values. Sometimes it's not recognized for being

0:55:41.280 --> 0:55:45.279
<v Speaker 1>a baseload or or a high reliability source of electricity,

0:55:45.560 --> 0:55:49.600
<v Speaker 1>And so countries can sort of support it by by

0:55:49.640 --> 0:55:54.120
<v Speaker 1>giving you know, financial incentives, tax breaks. They're multiple ways

0:55:54.120 --> 0:55:57.280
<v Speaker 1>of going about it, um if they support those values

0:55:57.320 --> 0:55:59.799
<v Speaker 1>those attributes, or they can choose not to do that.

0:56:00.040 --> 0:56:02.160
<v Speaker 1>And in today's world, we see that it can be

0:56:02.200 --> 0:56:06.319
<v Speaker 1>tough for our existing reactors to compete, especially with low

0:56:06.560 --> 0:56:10.399
<v Speaker 1>cost natural gas. But that's a fossil fuel, So there's

0:56:10.400 --> 0:56:13.080
<v Speaker 1>a couple of different challenges, but cost regulation those are

0:56:13.200 --> 0:56:16.600
<v Speaker 1>some big ones, as well as community support. So given

0:56:16.640 --> 0:56:20.360
<v Speaker 1>the pressing issues of climate change, can we bring nuclear

0:56:20.360 --> 0:56:24.640
<v Speaker 1>power online fast enough to provide the complement we need

0:56:24.680 --> 0:56:27.720
<v Speaker 1>to renewables? Is there still time to build new nuclear

0:56:27.719 --> 0:56:30.279
<v Speaker 1>plans to fill in that gap? Yeah, So I think

0:56:30.280 --> 0:56:34.520
<v Speaker 1>there's some disagreements. Some people believe if we just dropped

0:56:34.560 --> 0:56:38.000
<v Speaker 1>everything and went full speed ahead on nuclear technology today,

0:56:38.160 --> 0:56:42.960
<v Speaker 1>then nuclear could be the bulk of our electricity um

0:56:43.239 --> 0:56:46.520
<v Speaker 1>going forward. I'm a little bit more of a pragmatist

0:56:46.640 --> 0:56:51.160
<v Speaker 1>and I like to say that nuclear energy is not

0:56:51.320 --> 0:56:55.720
<v Speaker 1>going to be spun up realistically in a significant amount

0:56:55.760 --> 0:57:01.120
<v Speaker 1>in the next five ten years, but it can have

0:57:01.600 --> 0:57:09.120
<v Speaker 1>a crucial role in that last third of decarbonization with electricity,

0:57:09.160 --> 0:57:14.840
<v Speaker 1>but also with energy. There's so much industrial need for energy,

0:57:15.000 --> 0:57:20.040
<v Speaker 1>transportation need for energy, you know, cargo shipping, where those

0:57:20.080 --> 0:57:24.400
<v Speaker 1>are going to be some of the biggest challenges to decarbonizing.

0:57:24.840 --> 0:57:29.200
<v Speaker 1>Getting all the way from low carbon to to a

0:57:29.320 --> 0:57:32.160
<v Speaker 1>hundred is a lot easier than going from zero to

0:57:32.640 --> 0:57:36.240
<v Speaker 1>five to fifty even And I think that's where nuclear

0:57:36.360 --> 0:57:40.880
<v Speaker 1>technology can really play a valuable role, But only if

0:57:40.960 --> 0:57:44.160
<v Speaker 1>we continue to support it and work on it now,

0:57:44.720 --> 0:57:48.520
<v Speaker 1>because this is a long runway, and if we don't

0:57:48.520 --> 0:57:51.720
<v Speaker 1>support it now, then it won't be ready in time

0:57:51.800 --> 0:57:55.000
<v Speaker 1>to help us with these long term challenges. I see

0:57:55.040 --> 0:57:58.560
<v Speaker 1>other countries China and India bringing nuclear plans up to

0:57:58.560 --> 0:58:01.040
<v Speaker 1>speed much more quickly, and seems like we can do

0:58:01.120 --> 0:58:03.240
<v Speaker 1>in the US. Is that a good role model for

0:58:03.280 --> 0:58:05.760
<v Speaker 1>the U S. Should we be streamlining our regulations to

0:58:05.800 --> 0:58:09.320
<v Speaker 1>follow China? Or is that like a potential hazard, something

0:58:09.320 --> 0:58:12.880
<v Speaker 1>that might lead to like another chernobyl things aren't managed actorately.

0:58:13.040 --> 0:58:15.320
<v Speaker 1>What's the better model? Well, I do think there are

0:58:15.360 --> 0:58:19.200
<v Speaker 1>just some differences that we're never going to square. We

0:58:19.280 --> 0:58:23.200
<v Speaker 1>don't have a state owned electricity system in the US,

0:58:23.280 --> 0:58:26.760
<v Speaker 1>and I don't think we're moving towards that. So I

0:58:26.800 --> 0:58:31.680
<v Speaker 1>don't think we could ever even be a reflection, a

0:58:31.720 --> 0:58:35.240
<v Speaker 1>one to one reflection of those kind of systems. But

0:58:35.520 --> 0:58:38.720
<v Speaker 1>certainly there are a lot of criticisms in the way

0:58:38.760 --> 0:58:43.880
<v Speaker 1>that the existing regulatory structure in the US really sort

0:58:43.880 --> 0:58:48.000
<v Speaker 1>of hampers innovation and makes it tough for these future

0:58:48.320 --> 0:58:53.120
<v Speaker 1>technologies to even see a pathway to getting licensed. Obviously,

0:58:53.400 --> 0:58:58.560
<v Speaker 1>regulations are super important, very pro regulation. You know, these

0:58:58.560 --> 0:59:01.880
<v Speaker 1>are technologies that have the potential to be dangerous, but

0:59:02.720 --> 0:59:05.520
<v Speaker 1>there needs to be a pathway for them to succeed,

0:59:05.920 --> 0:59:08.240
<v Speaker 1>and this is something that the US is working on.

0:59:08.720 --> 0:59:12.320
<v Speaker 1>The Nuclear Regulatory Commission is in the process of developing

0:59:12.760 --> 0:59:16.560
<v Speaker 1>a new set of regulations for these advanced reactors, but

0:59:17.000 --> 0:59:21.360
<v Speaker 1>that won't be ready until four at the absolute earliest.

0:59:22.000 --> 0:59:25.640
<v Speaker 1>So certainly a lot of us wish that there was

0:59:25.640 --> 0:59:27.960
<v Speaker 1>a way to speed this process up to give these

0:59:27.960 --> 0:59:32.160
<v Speaker 1>technologies a fair chance to succeed, because, like you said,

0:59:32.360 --> 0:59:35.120
<v Speaker 1>there is a chance that the US is too slow

0:59:36.040 --> 0:59:38.680
<v Speaker 1>in doing this, and maybe we'll build some of these

0:59:38.720 --> 0:59:40.840
<v Speaker 1>in the US, but maybe Russian China is going to

0:59:40.920 --> 0:59:43.840
<v Speaker 1>run ahead of US, and I don't think that's a

0:59:43.880 --> 0:59:46.680
<v Speaker 1>safety concern, you know, I don't want people to be afraid.

0:59:46.800 --> 0:59:49.240
<v Speaker 1>Oh no, a Russian reactor is going to be built

0:59:49.360 --> 0:59:51.520
<v Speaker 1>in ex country, or a Chinese reactor is going to

0:59:51.560 --> 0:59:54.600
<v Speaker 1>be built in Y country. I'm not considering that a

0:59:54.640 --> 0:59:57.840
<v Speaker 1>safety risk. But the US does like to see itself

0:59:57.880 --> 1:00:01.200
<v Speaker 1>as a leader in nuclear technology and a leader in

1:00:01.400 --> 1:00:05.520
<v Speaker 1>the you know, diplomatic benefits that come with sharing our

1:00:05.600 --> 1:00:08.840
<v Speaker 1>domestically produced technology. So certainly I would like to see

1:00:08.880 --> 1:00:12.200
<v Speaker 1>the US um continue to be a global player, but

1:00:12.280 --> 1:00:15.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm also excited to see that other countries are running

1:00:15.240 --> 1:00:18.520
<v Speaker 1>full steam ahead and exporting their own technology. Let's talk

1:00:18.560 --> 1:00:21.440
<v Speaker 1>about the risk. Then, you're an expert in nuclear engineering,

1:00:21.440 --> 1:00:23.920
<v Speaker 1>but you also have a lot of experience in science communication.

1:00:24.080 --> 1:00:26.080
<v Speaker 1>How do we talk about the risk with the general

1:00:26.120 --> 1:00:29.120
<v Speaker 1>public and policymakers who are not experts in a way

1:00:29.160 --> 1:00:32.480
<v Speaker 1>that's fair and balanced and lets people address it without

1:00:32.520 --> 1:00:35.640
<v Speaker 1>necessarily making them overreact to the scary side of it.

1:00:35.880 --> 1:00:39.320
<v Speaker 1>So one thing that I'm a huge advocate of is

1:00:39.400 --> 1:00:45.040
<v Speaker 1>the process of consent and even true participation from a community.

1:00:45.080 --> 1:00:49.520
<v Speaker 1>So historically in the us. There's been a lot of

1:00:50.400 --> 1:00:55.480
<v Speaker 1>decide announced defend type of building nuclear reactors, Like companies said,

1:00:55.480 --> 1:00:57.520
<v Speaker 1>we're going to build it here, and we're just going

1:00:57.600 --> 1:01:00.640
<v Speaker 1>to fight anyone who disagrees with us. We're going to

1:01:00.760 --> 1:01:04.440
<v Speaker 1>fight any activists and sometimes the nuclear company want and

1:01:04.520 --> 1:01:09.280
<v Speaker 1>sometimes the activists want. But pitting against each other like

1:01:09.400 --> 1:01:13.840
<v Speaker 1>that is not how you make people feel like they're heard,

1:01:14.240 --> 1:01:18.880
<v Speaker 1>like their concerns are valued, And it's a lot tougher,

1:01:19.000 --> 1:01:22.800
<v Speaker 1>it's a lot slower to actually try to work with

1:01:22.840 --> 1:01:27.160
<v Speaker 1>a community from the start. But we know from studying

1:01:27.320 --> 1:01:31.560
<v Speaker 1>how humans perceive risk that when people feel like there's

1:01:31.600 --> 1:01:34.080
<v Speaker 1>an outlet for their voice to be heard, when they

1:01:34.120 --> 1:01:38.920
<v Speaker 1>feel like they have the ability to ask their questions

1:01:39.080 --> 1:01:42.800
<v Speaker 1>and even provide feedback that may be taken into account

1:01:43.720 --> 1:01:47.320
<v Speaker 1>that they have some control over the process, that they

1:01:47.400 --> 1:01:51.920
<v Speaker 1>then turn around and feel more trust they feel more secure,

1:01:52.280 --> 1:01:57.320
<v Speaker 1>And so I think it's super important that anyone deciding

1:01:57.360 --> 1:02:01.760
<v Speaker 1>to build a nuclear technology really think their strategy of

1:02:01.880 --> 1:02:07.000
<v Speaker 1>working with the community and even incorporating their feedback as

1:02:07.040 --> 1:02:11.320
<v Speaker 1>a way to change the risk perception, which can be

1:02:11.400 --> 1:02:14.400
<v Speaker 1>so hard for scientists because I'm not making any you know,

1:02:14.800 --> 1:02:18.760
<v Speaker 1>the reactors are already safe. Nuclear engineers often say, well,

1:02:18.760 --> 1:02:22.440
<v Speaker 1>we just need to convince people it's safe, But really

1:02:22.560 --> 1:02:25.640
<v Speaker 1>working with the community and keeping them as partners is

1:02:25.680 --> 1:02:29.600
<v Speaker 1>going to be more effective in changing people's minds about

1:02:29.600 --> 1:02:35.200
<v Speaker 1>the risk than trying to teach them principles of risk

1:02:35.240 --> 1:02:38.800
<v Speaker 1>analysis or throwing a bunch of numbers at them and saying,

1:02:38.800 --> 1:02:41.640
<v Speaker 1>why won't you believe me? So you're saying it's more

1:02:41.680 --> 1:02:44.120
<v Speaker 1>of including them in the process and making them feel

1:02:44.120 --> 1:02:47.600
<v Speaker 1>comfortable than like an educational process where you want them

1:02:47.640 --> 1:02:49.720
<v Speaker 1>to come to the same decision on their own. Yeah,

1:02:49.720 --> 1:02:52.880
<v Speaker 1>I mean there is some education there, but one of

1:02:52.920 --> 1:02:56.520
<v Speaker 1>the real challenges is that oftentimes we view education as

1:02:56.520 --> 1:02:59.920
<v Speaker 1>a one way street. We have the answers. We understand

1:03:00.040 --> 1:03:03.320
<v Speaker 1>the science and you don't. We're gonna tell you what

1:03:03.640 --> 1:03:06.959
<v Speaker 1>you need to know, and that is not a way

1:03:06.960 --> 1:03:09.640
<v Speaker 1>that people's minds are changed. I think many of us

1:03:09.640 --> 1:03:11.800
<v Speaker 1>can think of a time where we felt that we

1:03:11.920 --> 1:03:14.920
<v Speaker 1>understood something better than our friend or family member, and

1:03:14.960 --> 1:03:18.680
<v Speaker 1>if we just told them what we knew that they

1:03:18.720 --> 1:03:23.720
<v Speaker 1>would change their minds. And it doesn't work like that

1:03:23.920 --> 1:03:27.640
<v Speaker 1>very often. And so if we rethink how we can

1:03:27.680 --> 1:03:30.800
<v Speaker 1>go from a one way flow of information to a

1:03:30.840 --> 1:03:34.120
<v Speaker 1>dialogue and actually recognize that people who have been living

1:03:34.160 --> 1:03:37.080
<v Speaker 1>in a community for years and perhaps their whole life

1:03:37.560 --> 1:03:41.920
<v Speaker 1>may actually have something to teach the nuclear company. They

1:03:41.920 --> 1:03:45.919
<v Speaker 1>may actually be able to provide useful input if we

1:03:46.120 --> 1:03:50.360
<v Speaker 1>open that flow back up and don't just collect public

1:03:50.400 --> 1:03:52.720
<v Speaker 1>comments and then throw them in a box, but actually

1:03:52.760 --> 1:03:55.920
<v Speaker 1>respond to them. That's that's what I'm saying. So there

1:03:56.000 --> 1:03:58.560
<v Speaker 1>is still education, but it's two way. I think it's

1:03:58.600 --> 1:04:00.960
<v Speaker 1>it's a real dialogue. That's a very cool way to

1:04:00.960 --> 1:04:03.000
<v Speaker 1>think about it. So then last question, let me ask

1:04:03.000 --> 1:04:05.960
<v Speaker 1>you to peer into your nuclear crystal ball. If you

1:04:06.000 --> 1:04:09.520
<v Speaker 1>had to predict what the energy mix would be in

1:04:09.520 --> 1:04:14.040
<v Speaker 1>the US in what do you think is the future.

1:04:14.160 --> 1:04:16.440
<v Speaker 1>We're going to have more nuclear, We're gonna have less nuclear.

1:04:16.560 --> 1:04:19.520
<v Speaker 1>The range of possibilities so large. I would really like

1:04:19.680 --> 1:04:27.680
<v Speaker 1>to see thirty two of our electricity mix being nuclear.

1:04:28.160 --> 1:04:31.240
<v Speaker 1>I think it's harder to predict with energy, and honestly,

1:04:31.240 --> 1:04:35.400
<v Speaker 1>I think the bounds are very large. I think that

1:04:35.480 --> 1:04:38.880
<v Speaker 1>the reality is we may stumble flat on our face

1:04:39.120 --> 1:04:41.680
<v Speaker 1>and that number could be close to zero. I also

1:04:41.840 --> 1:04:44.880
<v Speaker 1>think that if we hit the magic spark with some

1:04:44.960 --> 1:04:48.280
<v Speaker 1>of these technologies working right now, that we could see

1:04:48.280 --> 1:04:52.600
<v Speaker 1>that number closer to to France and see fifties sixty, seventy,

1:04:52.840 --> 1:04:55.240
<v Speaker 1>but I think both of those are less likely. And

1:04:55.640 --> 1:04:57.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to put myself in the middle of this

1:04:57.360 --> 1:05:01.360
<v Speaker 1>sort of thirty with the ball made up by by

1:05:01.400 --> 1:05:04.400
<v Speaker 1>renewable sources. I don't think we're on the pathway right

1:05:04.440 --> 1:05:08.600
<v Speaker 1>now to to fully decarbonize, even in that timeline. All right, great,

1:05:08.640 --> 1:05:10.880
<v Speaker 1>thanks very much for sharing your ideas and your thoughts.

1:05:10.880 --> 1:05:13.120
<v Speaker 1>Really appreciate it. Yeah, thanks for having me. All right,

1:05:13.120 --> 1:05:15.520
<v Speaker 1>what did you think about her comments, Kelly? I think

1:05:15.520 --> 1:05:17.240
<v Speaker 1>she made a lot of really great points. I think

1:05:17.320 --> 1:05:19.680
<v Speaker 1>nuclear power is something that you can't just sort of

1:05:19.720 --> 1:05:23.200
<v Speaker 1>push on people, or you can, but getting community buy

1:05:23.280 --> 1:05:26.680
<v Speaker 1>in is an important part of getting nuclear power in

1:05:26.840 --> 1:05:28.680
<v Speaker 1>a lot more cities. Maybe you can push it on

1:05:28.680 --> 1:05:30.800
<v Speaker 1>one city, but the pushback is probably going to make

1:05:30.800 --> 1:05:33.080
<v Speaker 1>you less likely to be able to put a nuclear

1:05:33.080 --> 1:05:35.400
<v Speaker 1>power plant, you know, in some other town. So I

1:05:35.400 --> 1:05:37.280
<v Speaker 1>think she had some really good points about the way

1:05:37.280 --> 1:05:39.000
<v Speaker 1>we need to move forward, and I think her prediction

1:05:39.000 --> 1:05:40.880
<v Speaker 1>for how many nuclear power plants we might end up

1:05:40.920 --> 1:05:43.680
<v Speaker 1>with we're super reasonable, which is a pretty rare thing

1:05:43.840 --> 1:05:47.120
<v Speaker 1>for a prediction these days. And so yeah, I think

1:05:47.160 --> 1:05:49.560
<v Speaker 1>she made some great points. Yeah, I agree, it's something

1:05:49.600 --> 1:05:51.680
<v Speaker 1>that seems like it has to be part of the mix.

1:05:51.760 --> 1:05:56.040
<v Speaker 1>It definitely has its disadvantages, but there are improvements in technology,

1:05:56.040 --> 1:05:58.560
<v Speaker 1>and a question is whether we can bring on a

1:05:58.640 --> 1:06:01.560
<v Speaker 1>new generation of new clear power plants fast enough to

1:06:01.760 --> 1:06:05.840
<v Speaker 1>solve these problems which are happening already today. It's already

1:06:05.840 --> 1:06:08.960
<v Speaker 1>sort of too late to be attacking these questions, and

1:06:09.000 --> 1:06:12.280
<v Speaker 1>so we need today's solutions to yesterday's problems rather than

1:06:12.360 --> 1:06:14.760
<v Speaker 1>tomorrow's ideas. So I think to wrap up, what we

1:06:14.800 --> 1:06:17.400
<v Speaker 1>know is that the future of energy production will be

1:06:17.720 --> 1:06:21.320
<v Speaker 1>mostly renewables. We're gonnaed like twenty percent to come from

1:06:21.400 --> 1:06:25.240
<v Speaker 1>something else, and so rather than burning coal, it seems

1:06:25.240 --> 1:06:28.320
<v Speaker 1>like nuclear power would be a better option, unless, of course,

1:06:28.320 --> 1:06:32.000
<v Speaker 1>there's dramatic innovation in battery technology or in carbon capture

1:06:32.320 --> 1:06:34.440
<v Speaker 1>or in one of these industries. So probably be a

1:06:34.480 --> 1:06:36.400
<v Speaker 1>big mix of all of these things, but I think

1:06:36.480 --> 1:06:39.680
<v Speaker 1>without some dramatic change in the landscape, nuclear power is

1:06:39.720 --> 1:06:41.520
<v Speaker 1>going to be part of it. I agree, it's at

1:06:41.600 --> 1:06:43.920
<v Speaker 1>least something we should be talking about a lot more

1:06:43.920 --> 1:06:46.360
<v Speaker 1>than we're talking about right now. Thanks everybody for joining

1:06:46.440 --> 1:06:48.880
<v Speaker 1>us in that deep dive into the risks and potential

1:06:48.920 --> 1:06:52.360
<v Speaker 1>benefits of nuclear power. And thanks Kelly for joining us today.

1:06:52.400 --> 1:06:53.760
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for having me. I had a lot of fun,

1:06:53.920 --> 1:06:55.400
<v Speaker 1>or as much fun as you can have when you're

1:06:55.440 --> 1:06:59.480
<v Speaker 1>talking about global catastrophes. Hey, we got some Simpsons references

1:06:59.480 --> 1:07:03.640
<v Speaker 1>in there, all right. Thanks everyone, tune in next time.

1:07:11.600 --> 1:07:14.400
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening, and remember that Daniel and Jorge Explain

1:07:14.480 --> 1:07:17.320
<v Speaker 1>the Universe is a production of I Heart Radio. For

1:07:17.480 --> 1:07:20.400
<v Speaker 1>more podcast for my heart Radio, visit the I heart

1:07:20.480 --> 1:07:24.080
<v Speaker 1>Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your

1:07:24.160 --> 1:07:30.640
<v Speaker 1>favorite shows. Yeah,