WEBVTT - Happy Holidays for Amazon Sales, Remembering Charlie Munger

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<v Speaker 2>It was really kind of hard to keep up with

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<v Speaker 2>stories about Amazon today because they just kept coming and coming.

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<v Speaker 2>Amazon out of course today talking about Black Friday and

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<v Speaker 2>Cyber Monday, saying that customers around the world purchased over

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<v Speaker 2>one billion billion items on Amazon and that shopping event,

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<v Speaker 2>that extended event, if you will, breaking records.

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<v Speaker 4>Tim.

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<v Speaker 1>They also today Aws Amazon Web Services, and in Nvidia

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<v Speaker 1>announcing an expansion of their strategic collaboration. And then Carol, there's.

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<v Speaker 2>This Amazon dot Com joining that chep Race announcing Amazon

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<v Speaker 2>Q their own digital assistant for corporate customers to do

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<v Speaker 2>lots of things like search for info, RTE, code review,

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<v Speaker 2>business metrics.

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<v Speaker 5>So much.

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<v Speaker 1>How smart is it?

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know, So let's ask somebody who is super

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<v Speaker 2>smart on all things Amazon. Bloomberg News Senior Executive editor

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<v Speaker 2>of Global Tech Bradstone is in the house. He's written

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<v Speaker 2>several books, including two on Amazon, The Everything's Store and

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<v Speaker 2>also Amazon Unbound. And while he's based in San Francisca,

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<v Speaker 2>as we said, he's here in New York. Hello, Hello, Hello.

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<v Speaker 2>It's kind of crazy the amount of stories. Where to

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<v Speaker 2>start when you think about this company. I don't know.

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<v Speaker 2>We have a flurry of headlines like this, like what

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<v Speaker 2>I'm sad at you?

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<v Speaker 6>Well, today's a reminder of the breath and extent of

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<v Speaker 6>Amazon's businesses and how it covers a lot of territory

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<v Speaker 6>and it's you know, in large part succeeding in a

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<v Speaker 6>lot of different ways. I mean, the e commerce information

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<v Speaker 6>that they released is characteristically useless. You know, they throw

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<v Speaker 6>out numbers that are foggy at best. But Adobe does

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<v Speaker 6>a pretty good job of telling us what's happening in

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<v Speaker 6>cyberscope in the US and in cybersecurity in the US overall.

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<v Speaker 6>And cyber Monday was up like nine point six percent

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<v Speaker 6>over last year, Cyber Week seven point eight percent. And look,

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<v Speaker 6>that's in an environment where we thought consumers were going

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<v Speaker 6>to be really reluctant to spend one bright spot somewhat

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<v Speaker 6>sort of ironically. We know Americans love credit. Is this

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<v Speaker 6>whole buy now, pay later scheme? Yeah, and that's up

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<v Speaker 6>like forty five percent over last year. And you look

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<v Speaker 6>at the stock of a company like a firm, which

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<v Speaker 6>jumped i think like fifteen percent yesterday, and so.

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<v Speaker 1>You know that's kind of scary.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, maybe a little bit.

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<v Speaker 6>But consumers are discovering it and they're taking advantage of

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<v Speaker 6>the deals. And it's not just a day or two days,

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<v Speaker 6>it's the whole week. Like even Thanksgiving sales were up

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<v Speaker 6>five or six percent.

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<v Speaker 2>That's amazing, right, We really thought, Okay, it is the

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<v Speaker 2>consumer slowing down, No signs of it.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we often talk about ecosystems, and we talk

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<v Speaker 1>about Apple and Google and Microsoft and the way these

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<v Speaker 1>companies sort of own parts of your digital life. But

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<v Speaker 1>I was actually thinking over the weekend brat about Amazon's ecosystem.

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<v Speaker 1>I said this earlier, but I just reupped my membership

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<v Speaker 1>at one Medical and instead of doing it through one

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<v Speaker 1>Medical this year, I did it through Amazon Prime. I

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<v Speaker 1>saved one hundred bucks. We got a ring doorbell and

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<v Speaker 1>like we're getting the ring security year they got you. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's owned you know, Amazon bought that company.

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<v Speaker 2>So like, these are two companies enchanting Amazon the story.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's also and look seriously, we have Amazon like

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<v Speaker 1>groceries being delivered Tonight's kind of.

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<v Speaker 2>Apple model, Like you're in the system.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's not books and it's not like, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>just knick knacks that we're buying on Amazon. These are

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<v Speaker 1>totally different businesses for Amazon. Not to mention Aws here,

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<v Speaker 1>just talk about how you think about the Amazon and

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<v Speaker 1>ecosystem in twenty twenty.

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<v Speaker 6>Things, because is ecosystem even the right word? I mean,

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<v Speaker 6>when we think about iOS and Apple, all the different

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<v Speaker 6>pieces and parts nurture each other. If you have an iPhone,

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<v Speaker 6>you're more likely to get an Apple Watch or to

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<v Speaker 6>use Apple software. Amazon's got a lot of these disword businesses.

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<v Speaker 6>And you know this week they have their annual Reinvent

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<v Speaker 6>conference in Las Vegas. Their big aws show Amazon is

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<v Speaker 6>the leader in cloud computing. But you know, one year

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<v Speaker 6>ago Thursday was the introduction of chat GPT, and ever since,

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<v Speaker 6>you know, there has been a narrative that Amazon is

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<v Speaker 6>behind in generative AI, that it doesn't.

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<v Speaker 4>Have quite the story. And so today, as.

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<v Speaker 6>You guys mentioned, they were released this qu workplace chatbot.

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<v Speaker 6>If you're gonna name it Q, you have to assume

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<v Speaker 6>that's gonna be able to espouse conspiracy theories, I guess.

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<v Speaker 6>But it's their bid to compete with chat GPT in

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<v Speaker 6>the enterprise, and I think it's interesting.

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<v Speaker 4>We'll have to see how good it is. But it

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<v Speaker 4>has nothing to do.

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<v Speaker 6>With one medical or the ring doorbell or so this

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<v Speaker 6>is a company I mean, I remember, I remember one

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<v Speaker 6>of the last quotes from Bezos in my first book,

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<v Speaker 6>The Everything Store, was as him saying, we don't have

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<v Speaker 6>a lot of advantages, so we have to weave a

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<v Speaker 6>rope of smaller advantages like that. In some ways, back

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<v Speaker 6>then that book was published in twenty thirteen, it was

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<v Speaker 6>all connected. I don't think that's true anymore.

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<v Speaker 1>Meaning they don't have the iOS ecosystem or the Android

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<v Speaker 1>operating systems.

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<v Speaker 4>They tried and fair or something.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, and there are a lot of these dissert businesses,

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<v Speaker 6>and the extent that there are connections, they're very light.

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<v Speaker 6>And maybe that's to the company's credit. It certainly would

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<v Speaker 6>make will make it easier to break the parts, to

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<v Speaker 6>break the pieces apart, if they have to do that

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<v Speaker 6>one day, Hello Lena Khan.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, and it's also interesting, so they also did the

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<v Speaker 2>announcement about making or an update to their own ships

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<v Speaker 2>that they are making. At the same time, they are

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<v Speaker 2>kind of extending their collaboration with Nvidia, like it does

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<v Speaker 2>feel like they just kind of are everywhere.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, and that's something Google is doing as well. Keep

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<v Speaker 6>your friends close and your enemies closer. And all these

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<v Speaker 6>companies are totally dependent on Nvidia for these graphic processors

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<v Speaker 6>that are so important to Center of AI, and yet

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<v Speaker 6>the prices are extremely high and Nvidia can't supply the

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<v Speaker 6>volume of chips that companies need to meet the demand.

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<v Speaker 6>And so with Graviton four and the announcement Amazon made

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<v Speaker 6>this week, it's this more long term project of competing

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<v Speaker 6>with Nvidia and putting its own chips and its data

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<v Speaker 6>centers to meet customer demand.

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<v Speaker 2>How do you think about Amazon for the future, Like,

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know what your next book is on this company,

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<v Speaker 2>But having said that, is it going to be? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>these businesses, but yeah, so much more?

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<v Speaker 6>Still, well, look, I mean it's it's there. They're very

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<v Speaker 6>kind of strategically positioned in businesses that seem to show.

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<v Speaker 4>No signs of slowing down.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I mean the Great e commerce revolution. We're twenty

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<v Speaker 6>five years into it and as we just said, it's

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<v Speaker 6>still growing ten percent every year.

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<v Speaker 2>Over oversight my default when I buy something.

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<v Speaker 6>They're finding great ways to get us to I mean

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<v Speaker 6>Friday night football and the kinds of ads that they

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<v Speaker 6>had and the experimentation they're doing with advertising that leads

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<v Speaker 6>to purchases.

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<v Speaker 4>Is this is all like a green field for Amazon.

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<v Speaker 6>And then on the cloud side, we're in the very

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<v Speaker 6>earliest days of companies moving their operations to the cloud

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<v Speaker 6>bringing using these AI tools. We have no idea how

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<v Speaker 6>it's going to go. We might look back and think

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<v Speaker 6>all this was very over hyped one day. But certainly, Amazon,

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<v Speaker 6>like a lot of the other big tech companies, are

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<v Speaker 6>positioning themselves for another phase of growth.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think the fact is is increasingly people are

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<v Speaker 1>finding increasing shares of their dollar are going to Amazon,

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<v Speaker 1>whether it's for groceries, whether it's for medical care, security, whatever,

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<v Speaker 1>or just you know sort of AWS stuff that they

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<v Speaker 1>don't even know that they're using. I was joking about

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<v Speaker 1>Lena Conn earlier, but from a regulatory perspective, and you

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<v Speaker 1>were talking about potentially breaking this stuff up in the future.

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<v Speaker 1>What should be on Amazon's radar when it comes to regulators.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, I mean there, I think the FTC and this

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<v Speaker 6>case that has been filed, and they're fighting battles on

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<v Speaker 6>multiple fronts, state ags, the European Union. It's almost an

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<v Speaker 6>existential battle for Amazon, right They're they're having to explain,

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<v Speaker 6>you know, what they do, how they do things for

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<v Speaker 6>a company that's been incredibly cryptic and secretive over the

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<v Speaker 6>span of its life, and then also maybe proving and

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<v Speaker 6>it's increasingly hard that they're not a monopoly.

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<v Speaker 4>Now they can point to these.

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<v Speaker 6>Cyber week shopping numbers and say, look, this was not

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<v Speaker 6>just Amazon, but Shopify had a great week.

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<v Speaker 4>Walmart dot com had a great week.

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<v Speaker 6>We yesterday heard news of Shean, this Chinese retailer quietly

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<v Speaker 6>filing to go public. The Shean stories this incredible story

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<v Speaker 6>of a retailer that has come out of nowhere over

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<v Speaker 6>the past few years to compete in fast fashion in

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<v Speaker 6>the West. So there are a lot of competitors. So

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<v Speaker 6>I think first and foremost for Amazon is proving that

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<v Speaker 6>while it is a wildly successful story, that it is

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<v Speaker 6>not the only game in town.

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<v Speaker 2>Andy Jesse's really just taken the baton and run with it.

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<v Speaker 2>How do you well?

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<v Speaker 4>Ways he was, Yeah, in some way he was.

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<v Speaker 6>He had to fix some of the problems of Bezos's

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<v Speaker 6>final tenure where he may have taken his eye off

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<v Speaker 6>the ball a little bit and hired too many people

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<v Speaker 6>and created too many experiments, And I think Jesse did

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<v Speaker 6>a good job of really narrowing it down and making

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<v Speaker 6>the company more efficient, and then placing a couple of

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<v Speaker 6>strategic bets healthcare is one, keeping the emphasis on the

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<v Speaker 6>cloud and not doing all the crazy things that Jeff really,

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<v Speaker 6>you know, initiated when he had an idea that Amazon

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<v Speaker 6>could be everything to everyone and compete in every single industry.

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<v Speaker 2>Just really quickly ten seconds. Is Jeff still very involved

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<v Speaker 2>as a.

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<v Speaker 4>Board member that as an operator? Interesting?

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<v Speaker 2>Good stuff. Thank you. I know you're busy and you

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<v Speaker 2>found time for us. Bradstone, we love, we love, Senior

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<v Speaker 2>Executive editor of Global Technology here at Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>Check out his books. He wrote the best books on

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<v Speaker 1>Amazon to go check them out and more books.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch

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<v Speaker 3>us live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern Listen

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<v Speaker 3>on Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio app and the Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 2>All right, everybody, Carol Master Tim Stenevik live here on

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Business Week. We're going to stay with what is

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<v Speaker 2>certainly our top story, and as we've mentioned, we are

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<v Speaker 2>talking about Charlie Munger, who, as many would say, new

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<v Speaker 2>Nobo Hier writing in a Bloomberg story, the alter ego

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<v Speaker 2>sidekick and foyle to Warren Buffett for almost sixty years

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<v Speaker 2>as they transform Bert Berkshire Hathaway from a failing textile

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<v Speaker 2>maker into an empire. Has died. He was ninety nine.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's talk a little bit more about it.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, an incredible life led. For more, we go to

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence Property and Casualty Insurance senior analyst Matthew Palazola,

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<v Speaker 1>who joins us this afternoon. Matthew, good to have you

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<v Speaker 1>with us. What was your first reaction, your first thought

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<v Speaker 1>when you saw this news that Charlie Monker died at

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<v Speaker 1>ninety nine.

0:10:51.440 --> 0:10:55.320
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean, obviously very sad day. I was at

0:10:55.360 --> 0:11:00.200
<v Speaker 7>the annual meeting this year. He's still incredibly sharp, you know,

0:11:00.360 --> 0:11:03.480
<v Speaker 7>very much with it. You know, I have to look

0:11:03.480 --> 0:11:07.960
<v Speaker 7>at it from the operations of Berkshire Hathaway, and clearly

0:11:08.520 --> 0:11:12.839
<v Speaker 7>he has taken a reduced role over time. So my

0:11:12.920 --> 0:11:15.840
<v Speaker 7>thought is, you know, very sad day. But for the

0:11:16.040 --> 0:11:19.240
<v Speaker 7>company that they've built, you know, they talked about it

0:11:19.240 --> 0:11:22.839
<v Speaker 7>actually being quote easy, you know, which is I guess

0:11:22.840 --> 0:11:26.960
<v Speaker 7>a very humble understatement. But I think they buy good companies,

0:11:27.200 --> 0:11:29.679
<v Speaker 7>they let them run, and you know, this machine they've

0:11:29.679 --> 0:11:33.679
<v Speaker 7>built will will go on for you know, all time.

0:11:33.440 --> 0:11:36.240
<v Speaker 2>Really, and yet they've allowed it to be tweaked with

0:11:36.320 --> 0:11:39.760
<v Speaker 2>bringing in the next generation of investors and also listening

0:11:39.800 --> 0:11:41.600
<v Speaker 2>to what they have to say. And it says something

0:11:41.640 --> 0:11:47.040
<v Speaker 2>about their relationship. Monger and Warren Buffett's together to kind

0:11:47.080 --> 0:11:50.079
<v Speaker 2>of maintain their core in terms of their investment strategy,

0:11:50.080 --> 0:11:53.000
<v Speaker 2>but also be open to listening to kind of what's

0:11:53.080 --> 0:11:54.800
<v Speaker 2>what's out there and how the world is changing.

0:11:55.679 --> 0:11:59.440
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I think you know they've they've always been hands

0:11:59.440 --> 0:12:01.800
<v Speaker 7>off with the company means they buy and you know,

0:12:01.840 --> 0:12:04.440
<v Speaker 7>they've brought in investment managers. They've seeded a lot of

0:12:04.520 --> 0:12:08.920
<v Speaker 7>power to Greg Abel and A G. Jane over time,

0:12:08.960 --> 0:12:12.480
<v Speaker 7>which is just prudent. And you know, if if anything

0:12:12.480 --> 0:12:15.280
<v Speaker 7>you could say is that they've been very prudent managers

0:12:15.320 --> 0:12:17.120
<v Speaker 7>of Berkshire Hathaway's Capital over time.

0:12:17.679 --> 0:12:20.520
<v Speaker 1>Talk to me about this partnership between Munger and Buffett.

0:12:20.679 --> 0:12:23.320
<v Speaker 1>What were the I haditate to call them characters, but

0:12:23.720 --> 0:12:27.400
<v Speaker 1>you know they were certainly larger than life and h

0:12:27.600 --> 0:12:30.920
<v Speaker 1>and they have been, I should say, talk to me about,

0:12:30.960 --> 0:12:34.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, their interactions at the annual meeting and and

0:12:34.200 --> 0:12:36.880
<v Speaker 1>sort of their partnership and how it was on display.

0:12:37.080 --> 0:12:39.480
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean it's it was. It was really fun

0:12:39.760 --> 0:12:42.160
<v Speaker 7>to watch. I mean they'd be sitting up there eating

0:12:42.200 --> 0:12:44.800
<v Speaker 7>seas candy and drinking Coca Cola at the same time,

0:12:45.240 --> 0:12:47.520
<v Speaker 7>you know, which which I find kind of crazy. But

0:12:48.520 --> 0:12:53.000
<v Speaker 7>you know, they're they're doing that, and they're recalling individual

0:12:53.040 --> 0:12:56.680
<v Speaker 7>meetings that they had, you know, forty fifty years ago,

0:12:56.800 --> 0:12:59.840
<v Speaker 7>and Buffett is forgetting a couple of things, and Mongers

0:12:59.880 --> 0:13:02.440
<v Speaker 7>were minding him of, well, this guy said that, and

0:13:02.480 --> 0:13:04.720
<v Speaker 7>we said this, and we made this much money in

0:13:04.800 --> 0:13:07.719
<v Speaker 7>these meetings. I mean, it was, you know, truly a

0:13:07.760 --> 0:13:11.319
<v Speaker 7>partnership for all of that time, and their interactions was

0:13:11.360 --> 0:13:14.800
<v Speaker 7>just amazing. They would finish each other sentences. You know,

0:13:14.960 --> 0:13:17.719
<v Speaker 7>it's it's just it's really sad to see that kind

0:13:17.720 --> 0:13:19.640
<v Speaker 7>of broken up. But you know, on the other hand,

0:13:19.679 --> 0:13:22.320
<v Speaker 7>when we go to these meetings, you know, it was

0:13:22.360 --> 0:13:25.960
<v Speaker 7>the feeling like, you know, they're very old, maybe they'll retire,

0:13:26.080 --> 0:13:28.080
<v Speaker 7>or maybe this would be the last time they'd be together.

0:13:28.240 --> 0:13:31.920
<v Speaker 7>So you know, it wasn't obviously something completely unexpected.

0:13:32.040 --> 0:13:34.640
<v Speaker 2>Well for sixty years though they worked together side by side.

0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:37.199
<v Speaker 2>I want to bring in Katcha Kolinsky. She's Bloomberg News

0:13:37.240 --> 0:13:40.880
<v Speaker 2>real estate team leader now, but she covered Berkshire, Hathaway

0:13:40.920 --> 0:13:43.640
<v Speaker 2>and Warren Buffett went to the meetings, would report on it.

0:13:43.679 --> 0:13:45.800
<v Speaker 2>We'd have her on for a long time and.

0:13:45.880 --> 0:13:48.600
<v Speaker 1>A lot of saturdays working on these earnings.

0:13:48.679 --> 0:13:51.679
<v Speaker 2>Kat So, how are you, how are you thinking about

0:13:51.720 --> 0:13:52.240
<v Speaker 2>this today.

0:13:52.320 --> 0:13:54.480
<v Speaker 8>You know, it's really an end of an error. I mean,

0:13:54.679 --> 0:13:57.640
<v Speaker 8>Munger was the foiled buffet for so many years, and

0:13:57.679 --> 0:13:59.920
<v Speaker 8>it was a it was a funny partnership, you know.

0:14:00.080 --> 0:14:03.160
<v Speaker 8>I think they really kind of drew out different ideas

0:14:03.160 --> 0:14:04.720
<v Speaker 8>in each other and pushed each other.

0:14:04.840 --> 0:14:05.040
<v Speaker 4>You know.

0:14:05.679 --> 0:14:08.320
<v Speaker 2>Why do you say funny, Well, because they I mean

0:14:08.360 --> 0:14:09.439
<v Speaker 2>they really had a good time.

0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:12.480
<v Speaker 8>Like if you know, going to those annual meetings you

0:14:12.520 --> 0:14:14.120
<v Speaker 8>were like it was it was kind of a comedy

0:14:14.160 --> 0:14:16.000
<v Speaker 8>show between the two of them. Like, yes, they'd offer

0:14:16.040 --> 0:14:19.480
<v Speaker 8>investment and advice, but they really bantered back and forth

0:14:19.520 --> 0:14:21.840
<v Speaker 8>and it was it was it was fun to cover

0:14:21.960 --> 0:14:22.520
<v Speaker 8>for a long time.

0:14:22.840 --> 0:14:26.880
<v Speaker 1>Kat, Who is Warren Buffett without Charlie Monger, you know,

0:14:27.040 --> 0:14:28.040
<v Speaker 1>Like I think.

0:14:28.160 --> 0:14:30.640
<v Speaker 8>I think Charlie pushed him on a lot of things.

0:14:30.680 --> 0:14:33.480
<v Speaker 8>Like I think, you know, for example, in our obituary

0:14:33.600 --> 0:14:37.000
<v Speaker 8>we talk a lot about Charlie was really interested in

0:14:37.000 --> 0:14:42.480
<v Speaker 8>investing in China, and I think some of that mental flexibility,

0:14:42.520 --> 0:14:46.000
<v Speaker 8>that sort of a desire to push Buffett into maybe

0:14:46.040 --> 0:14:48.760
<v Speaker 8>maybe areas he'd be a little more skeptical to get into.

0:14:48.920 --> 0:14:51.200
<v Speaker 8>I think that was a large part of Charlie.

0:14:51.440 --> 0:14:53.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, he's a little bit older, right, just a few

0:14:53.520 --> 0:14:54.040
<v Speaker 2>years older.

0:14:54.120 --> 0:14:56.680
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, he's just shy of his one hundredth birthday.

0:14:56.360 --> 0:14:59.640
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, now, but I was thinking older than Buffett, right,

0:14:59.720 --> 0:15:02.840
<v Speaker 2>just years older. Now, talk to us a little bit

0:15:02.880 --> 0:15:05.040
<v Speaker 2>about in terms of your coverage. I mean, like, as

0:15:05.040 --> 0:15:08.880
<v Speaker 2>you said, they were funny together, but the company did evolve,

0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:11.000
<v Speaker 2>right in terms of their investments. There's some things that

0:15:11.200 --> 0:15:13.680
<v Speaker 2>I feel like they've they've held on to forever, but

0:15:13.760 --> 0:15:16.000
<v Speaker 2>they also then kind of moved into some of we

0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:18.920
<v Speaker 2>talked about Apple as an investment, and that was you know,

0:15:18.960 --> 0:15:20.680
<v Speaker 2>indicative of I guess some of the new folks that

0:15:20.680 --> 0:15:21.600
<v Speaker 2>they brought in as well.

0:15:22.000 --> 0:15:25.200
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, it has evolved like it was mostly for the

0:15:25.240 --> 0:15:27.840
<v Speaker 8>longest time Buffetted and Charlie kind of leading it, and

0:15:28.960 --> 0:15:31.040
<v Speaker 8>it still remained that way until the very last day.

0:15:31.080 --> 0:15:33.640
<v Speaker 8>But you know, they did bring in new people. Ted

0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:36.320
<v Speaker 8>and Todd are key on their investments, and I think,

0:15:36.800 --> 0:15:39.200
<v Speaker 8>you know, there was a moment a couple of years

0:15:39.200 --> 0:15:42.360
<v Speaker 8>ago when Agit Jane and Greg Abil were both promoted

0:15:42.360 --> 0:15:44.600
<v Speaker 8>to vice chairman alongside Charlie, and I think that was

0:15:44.640 --> 0:15:47.840
<v Speaker 8>a really big sign that they were preparing the future

0:15:47.880 --> 0:15:51.960
<v Speaker 8>generation of this company. But I think Buffett and Munger

0:15:52.000 --> 0:15:53.760
<v Speaker 8>had such a good time running it that they didn't

0:15:53.760 --> 0:15:56.920
<v Speaker 8>want to stop until they sort of until the very end.

0:15:56.960 --> 0:15:59.560
<v Speaker 2>And they've always been the face of the company, no

0:15:59.560 --> 0:16:00.000
<v Speaker 2>doubt about it.

0:16:00.320 --> 0:16:00.560
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:16:00.600 --> 0:16:02.760
<v Speaker 8>And I think they were a huge draw for investors

0:16:02.760 --> 0:16:05.280
<v Speaker 8>for so many years because you're not only getting a big,

0:16:06.000 --> 0:16:08.760
<v Speaker 8>you know, industrial behemoth with insurance companies and all these

0:16:08.760 --> 0:16:12.800
<v Speaker 8>different businesses, but are also getting this huge stock portfolio

0:16:12.960 --> 0:16:14.560
<v Speaker 8>that they can bet on Apple, they can bet on

0:16:14.600 --> 0:16:15.760
<v Speaker 8>all these different companies with.

0:16:15.880 --> 0:16:17.840
<v Speaker 2>So, you know, I pulled up the list of companies

0:16:17.840 --> 0:16:20.920
<v Speaker 2>like these candies. We always talk about what we talk

0:16:21.160 --> 0:16:24.080
<v Speaker 2>We used to talk about Brooks as sneakers. Of course,

0:16:24.120 --> 0:16:27.480
<v Speaker 2>Geico looking at the Brown shoe company. There's Dime, you know,

0:16:27.600 --> 0:16:30.840
<v Speaker 2>jewelry like he just they were in so many different things.

0:16:30.960 --> 0:16:33.560
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, and I think I think the way Berkshire got

0:16:33.560 --> 0:16:37.120
<v Speaker 8>built up was really part of that partnership is them

0:16:37.480 --> 0:16:40.000
<v Speaker 8>pushing each other to try different companies, to look at

0:16:40.000 --> 0:16:42.320
<v Speaker 8>different industries, to say, hey, what do you think about

0:16:42.320 --> 0:16:44.520
<v Speaker 8>this business and how it works? And they would talk

0:16:44.600 --> 0:16:46.680
<v Speaker 8>a lot, you know, even though Charlie was often in

0:16:46.760 --> 0:16:50.160
<v Speaker 8>California and Buffett lived in Omaha. You know, I think

0:16:50.240 --> 0:16:52.920
<v Speaker 8>sort of the weird mixture of Berkshire is things in

0:16:53.000 --> 0:16:54.040
<v Speaker 8>part a lot to Monger.

0:16:54.240 --> 0:16:58.000
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and Matthew Palozola from Bloomberg Intelligence, come on back

0:16:58.040 --> 0:16:59.600
<v Speaker 1>in here and talk a little bit about what this

0:16:59.680 --> 0:17:02.600
<v Speaker 1>means for Berkshire Hathaway without a Charlie Munger there.

0:17:03.480 --> 0:17:06.880
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean, like I said, I mean, I do

0:17:06.920 --> 0:17:09.640
<v Speaker 7>think his role was clearly it's taken a step back.

0:17:10.600 --> 0:17:13.600
<v Speaker 7>They have seeded a lot of power. I don't I

0:17:13.640 --> 0:17:15.359
<v Speaker 7>hate to say I don't. I don't think it's a

0:17:15.680 --> 0:17:20.600
<v Speaker 7>huge deficiency on the operations going forward. I mean, many

0:17:20.640 --> 0:17:23.280
<v Speaker 7>of these businesses that they have, I call it kind

0:17:23.320 --> 0:17:26.720
<v Speaker 7>of an all weather portfolio. The earnings power of the

0:17:26.800 --> 0:17:29.840
<v Speaker 7>company is I think, you know, going to be totally intact.

0:17:30.600 --> 0:17:32.160
<v Speaker 7>You know, they've been on the hunt for a big

0:17:32.200 --> 0:17:36.480
<v Speaker 7>deal for a while and Buffett's really they've been really

0:17:36.480 --> 0:17:39.960
<v Speaker 7>shy on valuations, so you know, I don't think I

0:17:40.000 --> 0:17:43.919
<v Speaker 7>don't think it really much changes from the operations of

0:17:44.040 --> 0:17:49.720
<v Speaker 7>the company. I probably think they don't maybe pull Buffett

0:17:49.720 --> 0:17:53.520
<v Speaker 7>doesn't pull that trigger on a big deal anytime soon,

0:17:53.520 --> 0:17:55.040
<v Speaker 7>and if he does, it's probably gonna be something we

0:17:55.119 --> 0:17:55.600
<v Speaker 7>never heard of.

0:17:55.680 --> 0:17:58.560
<v Speaker 2>Honestly, Cat Saved twenty seconds for your last thoughts here.

0:17:59.000 --> 0:18:01.080
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean I think it's it's really a huge

0:18:01.119 --> 0:18:05.159
<v Speaker 8>loss today. I think Charlie Munger was an interesting individual

0:18:05.240 --> 0:18:08.760
<v Speaker 8>who made us laugh, but also you know, taught us

0:18:08.760 --> 0:18:10.840
<v Speaker 8>a lot about different investments, and you know, I think

0:18:10.840 --> 0:18:12.640
<v Speaker 8>it's really, yeah, the end of an era for.

0:18:13.000 --> 0:18:17.040
<v Speaker 2>Berkshire, absolutely right in terms of companies, the investment world,

0:18:17.040 --> 0:18:19.560
<v Speaker 2>and just kind of someone there to kind of write

0:18:19.560 --> 0:18:21.640
<v Speaker 2>the ship like when there was crisis or so on,

0:18:21.920 --> 0:18:25.080
<v Speaker 2>the two of them together. Keatchiklinski, thank you so much.

0:18:25.400 --> 0:18:29.080
<v Speaker 2>Matthew Palizola, thank you as well. You're listening to Bloomberg Radio.

0:18:31.400 --> 0:18:35.000
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0:18:35.040 --> 0:18:39.040
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0:18:39.240 --> 0:18:42.520
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0:18:42.640 --> 0:18:45.720
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0:18:46.160 --> 0:18:48.960
<v Speaker 3>Just Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:18:50.640 --> 0:18:54.080
<v Speaker 2>As you know, Charlie Munger, who has worked side by

0:18:54.119 --> 0:18:57.359
<v Speaker 2>side with Warren Buffett to build out Berkshire Hathaway for

0:18:57.400 --> 0:19:00.480
<v Speaker 2>the past sixty years, has passed away at the age

0:19:00.520 --> 0:19:03.960
<v Speaker 2>of ninety nine. Berkshire Hathaway could not have been built

0:19:04.119 --> 0:19:07.720
<v Speaker 2>to its present status without Charlie's inspiration, wisdom and participation.

0:19:07.840 --> 0:19:12.119
<v Speaker 2>This is coming from Warren Buffett on that news. We

0:19:12.160 --> 0:19:14.280
<v Speaker 2>want to talk a little bit about this a little

0:19:14.280 --> 0:19:17.120
<v Speaker 2>bit more. Bloomberg News reporter No Bouhier is with us

0:19:17.119 --> 0:19:20.200
<v Speaker 2>in Seattle, and Bill Smeed, chief investment officer of SMEE

0:19:20.320 --> 0:19:22.679
<v Speaker 2>Capital Manager, back with us, was on with us prior

0:19:22.760 --> 0:19:28.000
<v Speaker 2>to this news. You mentioned Warren Buffett in our discussion earlier.

0:19:28.040 --> 0:19:30.600
<v Speaker 2>This is someone that you have followed very closely for

0:19:30.640 --> 0:19:32.359
<v Speaker 2>a long time. First of all, I'm sorry because I

0:19:32.400 --> 0:19:38.240
<v Speaker 2>know you know these individuals, Charlie, Charlie Munger and Warren

0:19:38.240 --> 0:19:41.800
<v Speaker 2>Buffett just together built something so iconic in the investment world.

0:19:42.240 --> 0:19:46.880
<v Speaker 5>I wrote a letter to Buffett probably five years ago,

0:19:47.200 --> 0:19:51.840
<v Speaker 5>just thanking him for how incredibly generous that him and

0:19:52.080 --> 0:19:54.080
<v Speaker 5>Munger have been with all of us. I mean, it

0:19:54.240 --> 0:19:56.480
<v Speaker 5>literally changed our lives.

0:19:56.480 --> 0:19:57.199
<v Speaker 1>What do you mean by that?

0:19:57.320 --> 0:19:57.560
<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

0:19:57.640 --> 0:20:03.920
<v Speaker 5>Oh, by communicating the discipline that they practiced. They shared

0:20:05.119 --> 0:20:07.919
<v Speaker 5>why they were doing what they're doing all these years

0:20:07.720 --> 0:20:10.800
<v Speaker 5>in the writing, in the annual meetings, sitting there and

0:20:10.840 --> 0:20:14.280
<v Speaker 5>taking questions for six hours, all the way up way

0:20:14.320 --> 0:20:18.840
<v Speaker 5>up into their nineties it's like a gold mine of wisdom.

0:20:19.520 --> 0:20:22.880
<v Speaker 5>I used to get irritated because I kind of wish

0:20:22.920 --> 0:20:25.960
<v Speaker 5>they would restrict the questions to better questions, because as

0:20:25.960 --> 0:20:27.919
<v Speaker 5>the years went by, there were a lot of goofy

0:20:28.440 --> 0:20:29.600
<v Speaker 5>questions that came up.

0:20:29.640 --> 0:20:32.119
<v Speaker 1>Because sometimes they got some goofy answers, which were fun.

0:20:32.240 --> 0:20:39.520
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, but here was this incredible resource, right Charlie Munger

0:20:39.960 --> 0:20:43.520
<v Speaker 5>was the Solomon of our era. He was the wisest

0:20:43.600 --> 0:20:45.320
<v Speaker 5>man in the investment business.

0:20:45.720 --> 0:20:47.040
<v Speaker 4>He was the what he was.

0:20:47.040 --> 0:20:50.640
<v Speaker 5>A cal Tech grad, Harvard law educated, started a law

0:20:50.680 --> 0:20:54.760
<v Speaker 5>firm in Los Angeles, had a successful career in real estate,

0:20:54.880 --> 0:21:00.440
<v Speaker 5>successful career in making common stock choices, and a right

0:21:00.440 --> 0:21:04.119
<v Speaker 5>hand guide to the most successful investment selector and asset

0:21:04.160 --> 0:21:08.240
<v Speaker 5>allocator of all time. I mean he is, he is.

0:21:10.280 --> 0:21:12.800
<v Speaker 5>You know, we just admired him so much. And then,

0:21:12.840 --> 0:21:16.240
<v Speaker 5>of course we admired him immensely because he'd say exactly

0:21:16.280 --> 0:21:18.360
<v Speaker 5>what he was thinking and didn't really care very much

0:21:18.400 --> 0:21:20.040
<v Speaker 5>bill who he might offended the process.

0:21:20.119 --> 0:21:22.919
<v Speaker 1>You mentioned that you've been doing this for over forty years.

0:21:23.160 --> 0:21:26.760
<v Speaker 1>What are some lessons that you've incorporated from Charlie Munger

0:21:27.040 --> 0:21:30.240
<v Speaker 1>over these decades into the way that you manage portfolios

0:21:30.280 --> 0:21:32.320
<v Speaker 1>and you allocate assets.

0:21:32.560 --> 0:21:35.000
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, we when we're talking to people. I'm here in

0:21:35.000 --> 0:21:38.720
<v Speaker 5>New York talking to some possible new customers, and we

0:21:39.119 --> 0:21:41.840
<v Speaker 5>tell them when it comes to value people, we hold

0:21:41.880 --> 0:21:46.440
<v Speaker 5>our winners to a fault because compounding is the eighth

0:21:46.480 --> 0:21:49.720
<v Speaker 5>wonder of the world. So if you can find a business,

0:21:49.920 --> 0:21:52.400
<v Speaker 5>let's just right off the top of our head, pick

0:21:52.840 --> 0:21:57.080
<v Speaker 5>Occidental Petroleum, who Munger and Buffett started buying in the

0:21:57.200 --> 0:22:00.399
<v Speaker 5>last year and a half or two years there entering

0:22:00.440 --> 0:22:03.280
<v Speaker 5>massive free cash flow. They're paying down debt with it,

0:22:03.320 --> 0:22:05.960
<v Speaker 5>but then they're also buying backstock. So, like Buffett says,

0:22:06.320 --> 0:22:09.320
<v Speaker 5>over the years, if it's a company generating high returns

0:22:09.320 --> 0:22:12.439
<v Speaker 5>on equity, high free cash flow buying back their stock,

0:22:12.920 --> 0:22:16.480
<v Speaker 5>he ends up owning a larger and larger and larger

0:22:16.520 --> 0:22:19.040
<v Speaker 5>part of the business as the years go by. That's

0:22:19.040 --> 0:22:20.800
<v Speaker 5>what he did with Coke, That's what he did in

0:22:20.840 --> 0:22:23.520
<v Speaker 5>the Iraq Express, That's you know what he did with

0:22:23.560 --> 0:22:26.320
<v Speaker 5>a lot of different companies. And holding your winners the

0:22:26.400 --> 0:22:31.000
<v Speaker 5>fault is a key component of alpha. As I explain

0:22:31.080 --> 0:22:33.200
<v Speaker 5>to people, you buy a stock at thirty and pay cash,

0:22:33.440 --> 0:22:35.720
<v Speaker 5>the worst thing happen is it goes to zero. You

0:22:35.800 --> 0:22:38.680
<v Speaker 5>lose thirty points of alpha. If you buy a stock

0:22:38.720 --> 0:22:40.840
<v Speaker 5>at thirty and it goes to ninety, and you sell

0:22:40.880 --> 0:22:43.240
<v Speaker 5>it and goes to two ten, you lose one hundred

0:22:43.240 --> 0:22:46.560
<v Speaker 5>and twenty points. And Buffett Monger taught that to people

0:22:47.320 --> 0:22:50.160
<v Speaker 5>as a powerful thing. It's it's much better to get

0:22:50.200 --> 0:22:54.560
<v Speaker 5>a less spectacular company that you can hold all the

0:22:54.560 --> 0:22:57.440
<v Speaker 5>way through a ten or fifteen times your money than

0:22:57.480 --> 0:23:00.440
<v Speaker 5>it is a spectacular company that you might make five

0:23:00.480 --> 0:23:02.359
<v Speaker 5>times in five years. But you've got to be smart

0:23:02.440 --> 0:23:04.160
<v Speaker 5>enough to sell it and go to another project.

0:23:04.240 --> 0:23:06.359
<v Speaker 2>Well, and you're you're you know something. I want to

0:23:06.480 --> 0:23:08.280
<v Speaker 2>ask you a little bit more too, about what what

0:23:08.400 --> 0:23:11.320
<v Speaker 2>Charlie Munger was to Warren Buffett, what what he brought out?

0:23:11.320 --> 0:23:12.960
<v Speaker 2>And Warren Buffett having said that, I want to bring

0:23:13.000 --> 0:23:15.639
<v Speaker 2>Noah Bouhier into this because you know, Noah, it's one

0:23:15.680 --> 0:23:18.120
<v Speaker 2>of those things where you think, as we're hearing from Bill,

0:23:18.320 --> 0:23:22.199
<v Speaker 2>you know, these are both brilliant men, successful men, and

0:23:22.240 --> 0:23:24.400
<v Speaker 2>would have been on their own, but something about them

0:23:24.400 --> 0:23:27.399
<v Speaker 2>together brought out even so much more.

0:23:28.640 --> 0:23:31.040
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I think that's a that's a critical point here.

0:23:31.440 --> 0:23:35.160
<v Speaker 9>Is there the combination of talents that they they they

0:23:35.200 --> 0:23:39.320
<v Speaker 9>brought to bear really was was deeply important in the

0:23:39.320 --> 0:23:42.760
<v Speaker 9>evolution of Berkshire. The other thing, just just speaking as

0:23:42.800 --> 0:23:47.960
<v Speaker 9>a journalist. The thing that I always found so incredibly

0:23:48.280 --> 0:23:51.880
<v Speaker 9>amazing about Charlie Munger was his directness and his willingness

0:23:51.920 --> 0:23:57.400
<v Speaker 9>to speak his mind, even if his opinion wasn't necessarily

0:23:57.440 --> 0:24:00.760
<v Speaker 9>a popular one. You know, as a as a as

0:24:00.800 --> 0:24:07.560
<v Speaker 9>a business reporter and someone writing about investing, you always

0:24:07.640 --> 0:24:09.399
<v Speaker 9>knew that Charlie was not just going to give you

0:24:09.440 --> 0:24:12.440
<v Speaker 9>the piffy quote, but something that actually had some real

0:24:12.480 --> 0:24:16.080
<v Speaker 9>substance behind it. And I think that's, you know, in

0:24:16.160 --> 0:24:18.800
<v Speaker 9>large part what has resonated with a lot of investors

0:24:18.800 --> 0:24:21.760
<v Speaker 9>over time. I mean, people would go One of the

0:24:21.800 --> 0:24:27.080
<v Speaker 9>things that's underappreciated about Charlie Munger is is that deep

0:24:27.119 --> 0:24:31.080
<v Speaker 9>into his nineties, people would go to Los Angeles to

0:24:31.160 --> 0:24:34.119
<v Speaker 9>hear him speak at the annual meeting of a small

0:24:34.119 --> 0:24:38.520
<v Speaker 9>publishing company called The Daily Journal. This was Buffett had

0:24:38.560 --> 0:24:41.000
<v Speaker 9>nothing to do with this thing. They would just go

0:24:41.200 --> 0:24:45.840
<v Speaker 9>to hear Munger alone. And I remember the first time

0:24:45.880 --> 0:24:47.840
<v Speaker 9>I went to this thing, that were maybe one hundred

0:24:47.920 --> 0:24:50.680
<v Speaker 9>or two hundred people, and you know, three or four

0:24:50.760 --> 0:24:53.400
<v Speaker 9>years later, word had gotten out and a couple thousand

0:24:53.520 --> 0:24:57.800
<v Speaker 9>were going. I mean, you have to understand Charlie Munger

0:24:58.160 --> 0:25:01.159
<v Speaker 9>was respected in his own right. It wasn't you know.

0:25:01.240 --> 0:25:05.520
<v Speaker 9>He's often known for his affiliation with Buffett, but he

0:25:05.560 --> 0:25:07.240
<v Speaker 9>really did have his own loyal following.

0:25:07.640 --> 0:25:09.760
<v Speaker 5>To back up Noah on that, one of our favorite

0:25:09.800 --> 0:25:14.160
<v Speaker 5>things is when it comes to climate change, he just said,

0:25:14.520 --> 0:25:16.200
<v Speaker 5>why don't we just build a sea wall?

0:25:18.320 --> 0:25:18.480
<v Speaker 4>Right?

0:25:18.560 --> 0:25:21.560
<v Speaker 5>That was his opinion. It's like, Okay, if it's real,

0:25:22.320 --> 0:25:24.200
<v Speaker 5>let's do what they did in Amsterdam and just build

0:25:24.200 --> 0:25:28.720
<v Speaker 5>a sea wall in California and New York. And that's

0:25:28.800 --> 0:25:33.359
<v Speaker 5>so simple and logical and less expensive. But that's Charlie Munger.

0:25:33.440 --> 0:25:37.760
<v Speaker 5>It was always common sense always won. The difference between

0:25:37.840 --> 0:25:43.240
<v Speaker 5>the two men is Warren. Warren wants to die without

0:25:43.240 --> 0:25:47.160
<v Speaker 5>any enemies. He has more of an urge to be liked.

0:25:47.280 --> 0:25:50.200
<v Speaker 5>It's a wonderful man and he wants to be liked,

0:25:50.760 --> 0:25:54.879
<v Speaker 5>whereas Charlie could care less if he's liked, right, He

0:25:55.480 --> 0:25:59.000
<v Speaker 5>just he wants to share wisdom, share truth.

0:25:59.480 --> 0:26:02.000
<v Speaker 2>What was it like from the different meetings you went

0:26:02.040 --> 0:26:03.919
<v Speaker 2>to and just kind of seeing them up on stage,

0:26:03.960 --> 0:26:05.520
<v Speaker 2>things that kind of stood out.

0:26:05.400 --> 0:26:09.720
<v Speaker 5>For you, Well, there's hardly any better comedy routine that's

0:26:09.760 --> 0:26:14.439
<v Speaker 5>ever been done, the back and forth. Of course, Munger

0:26:14.440 --> 0:26:17.119
<v Speaker 5>had lots of the singers, but Buffett had plenty himself.

0:26:17.600 --> 0:26:21.959
<v Speaker 5>And yeah, they played off fantastically. It was I had

0:26:22.000 --> 0:26:24.040
<v Speaker 5>a next door neighbor that was four years ahead of

0:26:24.080 --> 0:26:27.880
<v Speaker 5>me in school, and I had no brothers, three sisters,

0:26:27.880 --> 0:26:30.000
<v Speaker 5>and he was one of four brothers. And here and

0:26:30.080 --> 0:26:32.359
<v Speaker 5>I are extremely close friends. But he's four years older

0:26:32.359 --> 0:26:35.800
<v Speaker 5>than me in the same way that Munger was six

0:26:35.880 --> 0:26:38.560
<v Speaker 5>or seven years older than six years older than Warren.

0:26:39.040 --> 0:26:42.800
<v Speaker 5>But yet, you know, we met and we were finishing

0:26:42.840 --> 0:26:45.480
<v Speaker 5>each other sentences. And that's the way these guys were.

0:26:45.880 --> 0:26:48.400
<v Speaker 5>They were finishing each other sentences. They'd say the first

0:26:48.400 --> 0:26:49.760
<v Speaker 5>part of the sentence and they didn't have to continue

0:26:49.800 --> 0:26:51.440
<v Speaker 5>because the other guy already knew what the rest of

0:26:51.440 --> 0:26:52.359
<v Speaker 5>the sentence was going to be.

0:26:52.440 --> 0:26:54.040
<v Speaker 2>It's just that kind of relationship we knew.

0:26:54.040 --> 0:26:56.120
<v Speaker 1>A boohire, I'm so glad you're with us because we've

0:26:56.160 --> 0:26:59.600
<v Speaker 1>been reading from your obituary NonStop for the last hour. Here,

0:27:00.280 --> 0:27:03.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, to to Bill's point about this this idea

0:27:03.280 --> 0:27:06.720
<v Speaker 1>of common sense and not you know, not always needing

0:27:06.760 --> 0:27:10.960
<v Speaker 1>to be liked, you mentioned this some of his donations,

0:27:10.960 --> 0:27:13.440
<v Speaker 1>and this one's this one's at the top of mind

0:27:13.440 --> 0:27:16.920
<v Speaker 1>from him because it's it's relatively recent, forty five hundred

0:27:16.920 --> 0:27:21.000
<v Speaker 1>person dorm on UCSB's campus, which actually got a lot

0:27:21.000 --> 0:27:24.800
<v Speaker 1>of people interested in dormitory architecture who didn't think that

0:27:25.000 --> 0:27:27.919
<v Speaker 1>they would actually be interested in dormitory architecture. But you know,

0:27:27.960 --> 0:27:31.000
<v Speaker 1>here Munger is trying to solve this problem of student housing,

0:27:31.400 --> 0:27:33.320
<v Speaker 1>and he got a lot of blowback to this idea,

0:27:33.359 --> 0:27:34.919
<v Speaker 1>and ultimately they canceled it.

0:27:35.160 --> 0:27:40.240
<v Speaker 9>What happened, Yeah, I mean, look, in his later years,

0:27:41.359 --> 0:27:44.240
<v Speaker 9>Munger used these donations that he gave the universities to

0:27:44.880 --> 0:27:48.920
<v Speaker 9>play architect I mean, he was deeply, deeply interested in architecture,

0:27:49.080 --> 0:27:55.760
<v Speaker 9>and you know, he had some pretty unconventional ideas that

0:27:56.840 --> 0:28:00.439
<v Speaker 9>I think really bothered people, and it became its own,

0:28:00.680 --> 0:28:03.679
<v Speaker 9>you know, subplot, it's own right. But like you have

0:28:03.800 --> 0:28:10.440
<v Speaker 9>to understand, for Munger, he was a incredibly wide, widely

0:28:10.480 --> 0:28:16.200
<v Speaker 9>read person. He wasn't as narrowly interested in investing and

0:28:16.960 --> 0:28:18.960
<v Speaker 9>you know, how to make money. Obviously he spent a

0:28:19.000 --> 0:28:21.439
<v Speaker 9>lot of time doing that, but he had an interest

0:28:21.480 --> 0:28:24.119
<v Speaker 9>outside of it. The other thing I wanted to add,

0:28:24.160 --> 0:28:25.960
<v Speaker 9>and the stakes was in a slightly different action. But

0:28:26.160 --> 0:28:29.480
<v Speaker 9>like you know, for all that Munger would you know,

0:28:29.600 --> 0:28:31.919
<v Speaker 9>sit up on stage and sort of act as the

0:28:31.960 --> 0:28:36.879
<v Speaker 9>skold and the curmudgeon next to Buffet. He he did

0:28:36.960 --> 0:28:40.360
<v Speaker 9>have a you know, a generous heart and you know,

0:28:40.360 --> 0:28:44.080
<v Speaker 9>when you talk to people who spent time with Charlie,

0:28:44.240 --> 0:28:48.600
<v Speaker 9>you know he was he was a deeply nice and

0:28:48.680 --> 0:28:51.800
<v Speaker 9>caring person and you know, on some level this sort

0:28:51.840 --> 0:28:56.120
<v Speaker 9>of heurmudgeon stance he would take on stage and in

0:28:56.120 --> 0:28:58.240
<v Speaker 9>public sometimes was was a bit of an act, but

0:28:58.560 --> 0:29:01.520
<v Speaker 9>like you know, it to help them make his points.

0:29:02.360 --> 0:29:05.600
<v Speaker 2>So, Bill, how do you think about you know, Berkshire

0:29:05.600 --> 0:29:09.360
<v Speaker 2>Hathaway going forward. They've obviously thought about succession and there's

0:29:09.400 --> 0:29:13.400
<v Speaker 2>aug Jane and Greg Gable, But I do think about

0:29:13.520 --> 0:29:16.120
<v Speaker 2>you know, Warren without Charlie, yes, and what the impact

0:29:16.280 --> 0:29:16.840
<v Speaker 2>that might be.

0:29:17.480 --> 0:29:26.800
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, So Charlie and Warren have set a team together

0:29:28.520 --> 0:29:31.360
<v Speaker 5>to to kind of come in. They've got two talented

0:29:31.360 --> 0:29:35.600
<v Speaker 5>stock pickers in the wings. I'm guessing that this will

0:29:35.600 --> 0:29:39.000
<v Speaker 5>be when when they begin to emerge at the annual meeting.

0:29:40.000 --> 0:29:43.720
<v Speaker 5>Greg Abel runs the operating businesses and Todd Combs and

0:29:43.760 --> 0:29:48.400
<v Speaker 5>Ted Westlers are running about thirty billion dollars other important

0:29:48.560 --> 0:29:51.600
<v Speaker 5>that's who we think bought the home builders, for example,

0:29:51.720 --> 0:29:56.040
<v Speaker 5>because it was smaller quantities than buff advice, and so

0:29:56.120 --> 0:30:01.640
<v Speaker 5>that will cause their emergence. But Charlie's cerbic, common sense

0:30:02.280 --> 0:30:07.040
<v Speaker 5>and sensibility, there's just not going to be any replacing

0:30:07.200 --> 0:30:14.760
<v Speaker 5>that talent. He was a genius in that his he

0:30:14.760 --> 0:30:21.200
<v Speaker 5>he he would look at the situation and hit it

0:30:21.520 --> 0:30:26.760
<v Speaker 5>only with the best logic right, each situation, regardless of

0:30:26.920 --> 0:30:29.320
<v Speaker 5>who might be offended by the logic of it. So

0:30:29.760 --> 0:30:35.480
<v Speaker 5>he'd quote scripture and and then he'd support abortion rights right.

0:30:35.840 --> 0:30:39.960
<v Speaker 5>So but logically, you know, he was trying to solve

0:30:40.080 --> 0:30:45.080
<v Speaker 5>a problem with money. And the architecture thing just brings

0:30:45.120 --> 0:30:48.640
<v Speaker 5>back to mind that he graduated from Harvard Law School

0:30:48.960 --> 0:30:54.840
<v Speaker 5>and cal Tech and was an architect and and he

0:30:55.400 --> 0:30:59.560
<v Speaker 5>was the most he was the renaissance.

0:30:59.000 --> 0:31:00.280
<v Speaker 1>Man, kind of different sides.

0:31:00.320 --> 0:31:07.120
<v Speaker 5>The brain. Oh, just unbelievable mixture of mental model talent,

0:31:07.520 --> 0:31:09.480
<v Speaker 5>just amazing.

0:31:09.840 --> 0:31:09.959
<v Speaker 8>Uh.

0:31:10.280 --> 0:31:13.880
<v Speaker 5>He his family called him a book of with legs

0:31:13.880 --> 0:31:17.160
<v Speaker 5>because he's always reading. Our podcast is called a book

0:31:17.160 --> 0:31:20.000
<v Speaker 5>with legs because my son Cole is a gigantic Charlie

0:31:20.080 --> 0:31:23.360
<v Speaker 5>Munger fan. And that's what that's what we call the

0:31:23.400 --> 0:31:26.280
<v Speaker 5>podcast we interview authors of books, so we call it

0:31:26.320 --> 0:31:27.200
<v Speaker 5>a book with legs.

0:31:27.360 --> 0:31:31.440
<v Speaker 2>And he's quoted in Noah's story Noah, we'll obviously be

0:31:31.480 --> 0:31:36.800
<v Speaker 2>talking this all week and then some another thought. You know,

0:31:36.840 --> 0:31:41.080
<v Speaker 2>as you were putting together Charlie's story, you know, for

0:31:41.080 --> 0:31:44.160
<v Speaker 2>for Bloomberg, what jumps out for you here?

0:31:45.920 --> 0:31:48.120
<v Speaker 9>Well, I think you know, to your point of what's

0:31:48.200 --> 0:31:52.480
<v Speaker 9>next for berkshirret the fundamentally bigger, different place than you

0:31:52.520 --> 0:31:56.480
<v Speaker 9>know where he and Buffett started. So while you know,

0:31:56.520 --> 0:32:01.160
<v Speaker 9>a mini levels manger is not replaceable, there are a

0:32:01.200 --> 0:32:05.000
<v Speaker 9>lot of things that he and Buffett pioneered together that

0:32:06.040 --> 0:32:08.040
<v Speaker 9>you know, there's a lot of there's a lot of

0:32:08.240 --> 0:32:11.280
<v Speaker 9>that's been written, there's a lot that has been passed

0:32:11.280 --> 0:32:14.680
<v Speaker 9>on based in the way that these guys did thing.

0:32:15.360 --> 0:32:20.440
<v Speaker 9>And you know, again Berkshire is a huge company now

0:32:20.480 --> 0:32:27.080
<v Speaker 9>with different needs. But a lot of the ways that

0:32:27.200 --> 0:32:30.680
<v Speaker 9>Munger and Buffett think about the company are you know,

0:32:30.760 --> 0:32:32.520
<v Speaker 9>certainly going to live.

0:32:32.400 --> 0:32:35.880
<v Speaker 5>On right exactly that Munger said in late twenty twenty

0:32:35.920 --> 0:32:40.000
<v Speaker 5>one that this was the largest financial euphori episode in

0:32:40.040 --> 0:32:43.480
<v Speaker 5>his career, which was seventy five years and then at

0:32:43.520 --> 0:32:47.320
<v Speaker 5>the annual meeting this year. He said, I really don't

0:32:47.360 --> 0:32:49.240
<v Speaker 5>think stocks are going to do very well the next

0:32:49.240 --> 0:32:52.800
<v Speaker 5>ten years. And then Buffett, I love this. Buffett chimes in,

0:32:52.840 --> 0:32:55.520
<v Speaker 5>He goes, well, if I was running smaller amounts of money,

0:32:55.520 --> 0:32:57.360
<v Speaker 5>I think I still think I could do really well,

0:32:58.920 --> 0:33:04.200
<v Speaker 5>which was heartening to us because our five billion dollars

0:33:04.240 --> 0:33:07.640
<v Speaker 5>is smaller amounts of money. So you're like, okay, okay,

0:33:07.680 --> 0:33:08.520
<v Speaker 5>we got a chance.

0:33:09.720 --> 0:33:12.280
<v Speaker 2>Priceless and thank you for coming back. Bill Smead. We've

0:33:12.280 --> 0:33:14.560
<v Speaker 2>talked to you over the years. We've heard you talk

0:33:14.600 --> 0:33:17.640
<v Speaker 2>about Berkshire, Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger. So great to

0:33:17.640 --> 0:33:19.640
<v Speaker 2>get you Towagh and be well. Bill Smeaed of Smee

0:33:19.720 --> 0:33:22.880
<v Speaker 2>Cappel Investment and of course our no Boo Hire. Read

0:33:22.960 --> 0:33:25.600
<v Speaker 2>his story on Charlie Munger. It's on the terminal and

0:33:25.640 --> 0:33:28.040
<v Speaker 2>at Bloomberg dot com. Noah, thank you so much at

0:33:28.040 --> 0:33:30.120
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg News. This is Bloomberg Radio.

0:33:32.360 --> 0:33:35.400
<v Speaker 5>Um bromuco.

0:33:35.920 --> 0:33:36.640
<v Speaker 4>A journal.

0:33:37.640 --> 0:33:38.640
<v Speaker 2>How about you let me drive?

0:33:38.880 --> 0:33:40.880
<v Speaker 5>Oh no, no, no, no, who's going to drive?

0:33:41.160 --> 0:33:42.280
<v Speaker 1>Honey?

0:33:42.480 --> 0:33:44.960
<v Speaker 3>Please?

0:33:42.920 --> 0:33:46.160
<v Speaker 2>I want to drive.

0:33:46.160 --> 0:33:49.320
<v Speaker 9>It's good question.

0:33:53.120 --> 0:33:56.840
<v Speaker 3>This is the drive to the Globe. Think well by

0:33:56.880 --> 0:33:59.480
<v Speaker 3>Around Feldn on Bloomberg Radio.

0:33:59.560 --> 0:34:01.360
<v Speaker 2>All right, it's been in just about eighteen minutes left

0:34:01.400 --> 0:34:03.560
<v Speaker 2>in today's trading session. Time for the drive to the

0:34:03.600 --> 0:34:05.600
<v Speaker 2>closed bill. Smeed is in the house. He's founder in

0:34:05.680 --> 0:34:09.560
<v Speaker 2>CIO at SMED Capital Management Speed Value Fund. They've got

0:34:09.680 --> 0:34:12.120
<v Speaker 2>roughly four and a half billion in assets under management.

0:34:12.440 --> 0:34:14.719
<v Speaker 2>Continues to be a top performer in the ninety fourth

0:34:14.800 --> 0:34:17.600
<v Speaker 2>percentile based on Bloomberg data over the past five years,

0:34:17.640 --> 0:34:20.520
<v Speaker 2>with an average annual return of nearly twelve percent. The

0:34:20.760 --> 0:34:22.880
<v Speaker 2>fun just a reminder, invests in some twenty five to

0:34:23.000 --> 0:34:24.920
<v Speaker 2>thirty large cap US companies.

0:34:25.000 --> 0:34:25.160
<v Speaker 4>Hello.

0:34:25.280 --> 0:34:27.840
<v Speaker 2>Hello, how are you terrific? Well, it's good to have

0:34:28.000 --> 0:34:32.040
<v Speaker 2>you here. Tell us about you know, I don't always

0:34:32.040 --> 0:34:33.480
<v Speaker 2>love to talk macro with you because I like to

0:34:33.520 --> 0:34:34.319
<v Speaker 2>get to your whole life.

0:34:34.640 --> 0:34:38.000
<v Speaker 1>Hold on, He's leaving warm weather in Arizona to come

0:34:38.080 --> 0:34:39.080
<v Speaker 1>to this here in New York.

0:34:39.120 --> 0:34:39.880
<v Speaker 2>Why are you doing that?

0:34:39.960 --> 0:34:40.879
<v Speaker 1>What are you doing here?

0:34:41.440 --> 0:34:41.640
<v Speaker 3>Well?

0:34:42.239 --> 0:34:44.600
<v Speaker 5>New York is the center of the investment industry, okay,

0:34:45.120 --> 0:34:47.560
<v Speaker 5>and we need to come about once every ninety days.

0:34:47.920 --> 0:34:50.719
<v Speaker 2>Well, the people that you talk to your clients, investors,

0:34:50.920 --> 0:34:52.600
<v Speaker 2>what's their tone right now? What are they interested? What

0:34:52.880 --> 0:34:54.399
<v Speaker 2>do they want to know about? And are they ready

0:34:54.440 --> 0:34:55.879
<v Speaker 2>to put more money to work.

0:34:56.200 --> 0:34:58.279
<v Speaker 5>You know, I'm forty three years in the business, and

0:34:58.400 --> 0:35:02.040
<v Speaker 5>this is one of the most bizarre chairs. We believe

0:35:02.640 --> 0:35:06.120
<v Speaker 5>that we've entered the third major commodity supercycle of my

0:35:06.640 --> 0:35:10.080
<v Speaker 5>time on Earth, the first one being seventy one to

0:35:10.200 --> 0:35:13.600
<v Speaker 5>eighty one, the second one being the brick trade ninety

0:35:13.680 --> 0:35:16.480
<v Speaker 5>nine through twenty eleven, and this is the third one.

0:35:17.280 --> 0:35:21.600
<v Speaker 5>Too many people baby boomers forming households in the sixties

0:35:21.640 --> 0:35:28.319
<v Speaker 5>and seventies, with too much Vietnam War and Johnson's Great Society, indebtedness,

0:35:28.640 --> 0:35:33.360
<v Speaker 5>monetized chasing too few goods, one point two billion Chinese

0:35:33.400 --> 0:35:37.319
<v Speaker 5>people who had never practiced capitalism chasing too few goods.

0:35:37.520 --> 0:35:40.960
<v Speaker 5>It's the brick trade. And this is now ninety two

0:35:41.000 --> 0:35:43.279
<v Speaker 5>million millennials and one hundred and eighty million people under

0:35:43.400 --> 0:35:48.200
<v Speaker 5>forty with eleven trillion dollars in monetized debt, chasing too

0:35:48.239 --> 0:35:49.040
<v Speaker 5>few goods.

0:35:48.920 --> 0:35:51.200
<v Speaker 1>Or apart from houses that are too few and far between,

0:35:51.280 --> 0:35:52.560
<v Speaker 1>what are we chasing as millennials.

0:35:52.760 --> 0:35:58.759
<v Speaker 5>Well, they just reported that house prices up again. Car

0:35:58.920 --> 0:36:00.360
<v Speaker 5>prices have on up.

0:36:01.000 --> 0:36:03.600
<v Speaker 2>Our story yesterday from Reid Picker right that talked about

0:36:03.640 --> 0:36:07.319
<v Speaker 2>specifically why basically Americans hate the US economy is that yep.

0:36:07.360 --> 0:36:09.719
<v Speaker 2>Inflation's down over the past year, but prices are still

0:36:09.760 --> 0:36:11.400
<v Speaker 2>higher than their pre pandemic levels.

0:36:12.320 --> 0:36:14.799
<v Speaker 5>In my chart deck right now, I've got the chart

0:36:14.880 --> 0:36:20.359
<v Speaker 5>of inflation from nineteen sixty to nineteen eighty two. There

0:36:20.400 --> 0:36:26.160
<v Speaker 5>were two big pullbacks in inflation, from six percent in

0:36:26.320 --> 0:36:30.320
<v Speaker 5>nineteen seventy down to three in a recession and bear market,

0:36:30.800 --> 0:36:33.320
<v Speaker 5>and then it went to like twelve and then it

0:36:33.400 --> 0:36:35.719
<v Speaker 5>pulled back to five. And both of those times that

0:36:35.800 --> 0:36:37.840
<v Speaker 5>it pulled back, they thought they had it licked, and

0:36:37.920 --> 0:36:41.680
<v Speaker 5>then it went to fourteen before they ultimately just completely

0:36:41.760 --> 0:36:42.840
<v Speaker 5>clobbered the economy.

0:36:43.719 --> 0:36:45.960
<v Speaker 1>So inflation, is it licked now?

0:36:46.480 --> 0:36:50.400
<v Speaker 5>No, it's a temper, it's a timeout. It's a resting

0:36:50.480 --> 0:36:55.239
<v Speaker 5>period in between the next thank very conjuring in view. No,

0:36:55.920 --> 0:36:58.520
<v Speaker 5>it's too many people with too much money chasing too

0:36:58.560 --> 0:37:00.920
<v Speaker 5>few goods. More people got married last year and this

0:37:01.080 --> 0:37:03.560
<v Speaker 5>year than any single year for the prior ten. You

0:37:03.680 --> 0:37:07.399
<v Speaker 5>get wedding invitations all the time, the babies will start rolling,

0:37:07.600 --> 0:37:11.120
<v Speaker 5>and it's necessity spending. That's what drives inflation, is too

0:37:11.160 --> 0:37:14.040
<v Speaker 5>many people with too many necessities to buy, chasing too

0:37:14.080 --> 0:37:17.880
<v Speaker 5>few goods. And I've been here for a couple of

0:37:17.960 --> 0:37:21.640
<v Speaker 5>days in New York, I went to Roxy's Delhi. They

0:37:21.680 --> 0:37:25.400
<v Speaker 5>had one waiter waiting on twenty five people because they

0:37:25.440 --> 0:37:27.960
<v Speaker 5>can't find people. The hire at twenty bucks an hour

0:37:28.800 --> 0:37:32.560
<v Speaker 5>for unskilled labor. And that is a sign that we're

0:37:32.640 --> 0:37:35.240
<v Speaker 5>not out of this yet. It's just it ebbs and flows.

0:37:35.360 --> 0:37:38.560
<v Speaker 5>Everything ebbs and flows in the investment business. And so

0:37:38.680 --> 0:37:42.040
<v Speaker 5>the oil and gas industry, which is our heaviest exposure,

0:37:42.600 --> 0:37:45.480
<v Speaker 5>is ebbing right now after a nice run on the

0:37:45.560 --> 0:37:49.080
<v Speaker 5>first leg. But we matched it up with the two

0:37:49.160 --> 0:37:52.160
<v Speaker 5>prior supercycles and we're tracking almost exactly.

0:37:52.480 --> 0:37:54.080
<v Speaker 2>So talk to U about your holdings. I mean, I

0:37:54.120 --> 0:37:55.880
<v Speaker 2>feel like you know, we've talked to you for a

0:37:56.000 --> 0:37:59.839
<v Speaker 2>few years now to say, and a lot of names

0:38:00.040 --> 0:38:03.480
<v Speaker 2>stay in the portfolio. I mean, Occidental is in the petroleum, right.

0:38:04.040 --> 0:38:05.680
<v Speaker 2>Is that you're thinking because of it in terms of

0:38:05.680 --> 0:38:06.439
<v Speaker 2>the energy trade.

0:38:06.560 --> 0:38:10.759
<v Speaker 5>Yeah. I'm a huge Buffet fan, and for years I

0:38:10.920 --> 0:38:17.080
<v Speaker 5>was following him around and stuff like American Express divorced

0:38:17.280 --> 0:38:20.840
<v Speaker 5>Costco as the branded Costco credit card and the stock plummeted.

0:38:20.880 --> 0:38:23.319
<v Speaker 5>That's when we bought American Express and that was that's

0:38:23.320 --> 0:38:25.239
<v Speaker 5>one of his holdings. So I've been following him around

0:38:25.320 --> 0:38:29.040
<v Speaker 5>for three decades, and in the last two or three

0:38:29.120 --> 0:38:34.200
<v Speaker 5>years his underlings have bought the three home builders we own, Horton, Lenar,

0:38:34.560 --> 0:38:37.200
<v Speaker 5>and MVR. You've loved home building, and he's followed us

0:38:37.239 --> 0:38:39.520
<v Speaker 5>into Oxy'.

0:38:38.600 --> 0:38:40.279
<v Speaker 1>You're gonna get mad at me, Carroll, because I'm gonna

0:38:40.280 --> 0:38:44.120
<v Speaker 1>just ask about the FED real quick. Okay, Well go ahead.

0:38:43.920 --> 0:38:45.640
<v Speaker 2>Well what's your top holding first?

0:38:46.000 --> 0:38:46.360
<v Speaker 5>Oxy?

0:38:47.000 --> 0:38:50.520
<v Speaker 2>Okay, So tell me about the Northern Institutional Treasury portfolio?

0:38:50.640 --> 0:38:51.000
<v Speaker 9>What is that?

0:38:51.320 --> 0:38:52.960
<v Speaker 5>That's just our money market fund.

0:38:52.920 --> 0:38:54.719
<v Speaker 2>Just your money market fund. How much is in there?

0:38:55.000 --> 0:38:56.440
<v Speaker 5>About three point two?

0:38:56.719 --> 0:38:58.239
<v Speaker 2>So not much? Or is that normal?

0:38:58.320 --> 0:39:00.560
<v Speaker 5>Let higher than two to three is normal? It always

0:39:00.640 --> 0:39:02.440
<v Speaker 5>keep enough that we can start a position.

0:39:02.680 --> 0:39:05.400
<v Speaker 1>Meaning more percentage of your overall portfolios in cash right

0:39:05.440 --> 0:39:09.279
<v Speaker 1>now three point two. So the question that I have

0:39:09.480 --> 0:39:12.279
<v Speaker 1>is if indeed inflation is not under control, now, does

0:39:12.280 --> 0:39:13.759
<v Speaker 1>that mean the FED is not cutting next year and

0:39:13.760 --> 0:39:15.719
<v Speaker 1>they're gonna actually have to raise more because if you

0:39:15.840 --> 0:39:17.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean, if you listen to FED speakers right now

0:39:17.480 --> 0:39:19.560
<v Speaker 1>in the conversation, I mean convention wisdom right now, Hey,

0:39:19.640 --> 0:39:21.160
<v Speaker 1>the FED read hikes are behind.

0:39:21.040 --> 0:39:24.880
<v Speaker 5>US market's pricing in four rate No, that's that's what

0:39:25.080 --> 0:39:27.240
<v Speaker 5>happened in this That's exactly what happened in the seventies.

0:39:27.840 --> 0:39:32.200
<v Speaker 5>The two Fed governors before Paul Volker both thought they

0:39:32.280 --> 0:39:34.520
<v Speaker 5>had it licked when they got in a recession in

0:39:35.080 --> 0:39:37.480
<v Speaker 5>nineteen seventy seventy one and it dropped back to three.

0:39:37.560 --> 0:39:39.520
<v Speaker 5>They thought they had it locked. And then as soon

0:39:39.560 --> 0:39:41.160
<v Speaker 5>as they let their foot off the neck of it,

0:39:41.280 --> 0:39:45.840
<v Speaker 5>it spiked again. And then they tightened again and it

0:39:45.960 --> 0:39:48.359
<v Speaker 5>went down to five, and they couldn't get any lower

0:39:48.400 --> 0:39:51.160
<v Speaker 5>than that, and then it spiked because all this time

0:39:52.120 --> 0:39:56.160
<v Speaker 5>labor is going to demand more money. We're only at

0:39:56.200 --> 0:39:59.799
<v Speaker 5>the beginning of labor asserting itself. See in the world

0:40:00.160 --> 0:40:04.320
<v Speaker 5>tech stocks success and the economy of the last twenty

0:40:04.440 --> 0:40:08.920
<v Speaker 5>twenty five years, it's been a nightmare for labor. Labor

0:40:09.080 --> 0:40:14.600
<v Speaker 5>was a loser in that, and now things are going

0:40:14.640 --> 0:40:17.640
<v Speaker 5>to get reversed in an inflationary environment. There's two ways

0:40:17.680 --> 0:40:20.360
<v Speaker 5>the average households can defend themselves. They can own a

0:40:20.480 --> 0:40:26.759
<v Speaker 5>home which locks in their rent, and they they can

0:40:26.840 --> 0:40:31.360
<v Speaker 5>negotiate for better pay. And you're starting to see unions

0:40:31.400 --> 0:40:33.960
<v Speaker 5>assert themselves. And that's typical what happened in the seventies.

0:40:34.000 --> 0:40:36.680
<v Speaker 2>Also, So having said that, for publicly held companies. That

0:40:36.760 --> 0:40:39.680
<v Speaker 2>sounds like it's going to be problematic, especially in terms

0:40:39.719 --> 0:40:40.800
<v Speaker 2>of if you're paying more wages.

0:40:40.960 --> 0:40:44.040
<v Speaker 5>Yes, we believe that the S and P five hundred

0:40:44.320 --> 0:40:47.680
<v Speaker 5>will not make money nominally over the next ten years.

0:40:48.320 --> 0:40:51.160
<v Speaker 2>Wow, So why do you want equity exposure?

0:40:51.200 --> 0:40:54.799
<v Speaker 5>Then? Oh, because during the seventies, oil and gas did great,

0:40:54.920 --> 0:40:58.359
<v Speaker 5>and lots of real estate did great because if you're

0:40:58.360 --> 0:41:04.759
<v Speaker 5>appreciating with inflation, right, and so home builders did great

0:41:04.880 --> 0:41:07.279
<v Speaker 5>because baby boomers needed a home, and now we've got

0:41:07.360 --> 0:41:10.640
<v Speaker 5>millennials that need a home, and the existing home stock

0:41:10.680 --> 0:41:12.480
<v Speaker 5>won't move because if you've got a three percent mortgage,

0:41:12.480 --> 0:41:14.719
<v Speaker 5>you're not going anywhere. And the homes are old now,

0:41:14.800 --> 0:41:17.480
<v Speaker 5>they're way over forty five years old on average. And

0:41:17.719 --> 0:41:19.319
<v Speaker 5>we own home depot because you got to take care

0:41:19.360 --> 0:41:23.920
<v Speaker 5>of them along the way. So it we're dealing with

0:41:24.560 --> 0:41:31.560
<v Speaker 5>very simple economic positive forces in our portfolio while everybody

0:41:31.640 --> 0:41:35.880
<v Speaker 5>else has to get Dreamland to continue. And when the

0:41:36.000 --> 0:41:39.319
<v Speaker 5>history books are written, they will talk about this era

0:41:39.480 --> 0:41:40.960
<v Speaker 5>that we've been going through the last four or five

0:41:41.040 --> 0:41:46.440
<v Speaker 5>years as the combination of two financial euphori episodes basedly Tulips.

0:41:46.080 --> 0:41:49.040
<v Speaker 2>And the other we got to run Bill speed Wow,

0:41:49.360 --> 0:41:51.440
<v Speaker 2>Sobert Bill smeaed here in studio.

0:41:53.239 --> 0:41:57.840
<v Speaker 3>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Podcast. I'll a Apple, Spotify,

0:41:58.040 --> 0:42:01.200
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0:42:01.320 --> 0:42:05.200
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0:42:05.400 --> 0:42:08.680
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0:42:08.800 --> 0:42:11.719
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0:42:11.960 --> 0:42:13.840
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