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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast. You know me

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Speaker 1: by now Hi, I'm Matt Perrault. You can follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at sports doc Matt. This podcast is on YouTube.

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Speaker 1: This podcast is on every platform you can imagine, and

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Speaker 1: you can always get it on bettingpros dot com as well.

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Speaker 1: All right, so we did not have a good night.

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Speaker 1: It wasn't bad in terms of like the record, but

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Speaker 1: the money was bad. The full unit bet on the

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Speaker 1: Vegas gold Knights does not hit. Now. Vegas did not

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Speaker 1: play well at all in that game. I still like

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Speaker 1: Vegas and six, but give Montreal credit. They came out

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Speaker 1: and they were the harder team. They were the faster team,

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Speaker 1: they were the hungrier team in the first two periods.

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Speaker 1: Vegas woke up with the goal at the end of

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Speaker 1: the second period and then we're buzzing and could not

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Speaker 1: get anything else in there. We got the prop bet

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Speaker 1: right where both teams to score two goals, so that

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Speaker 1: was nice to get that. So what the game wasn't

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Speaker 1: a total loss for us. That was kind of a

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Speaker 1: hedge I talked about last night. I was right three

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Speaker 1: to two final under but three two Vegas is what

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Speaker 1: I predicted. Wound up being three to two for the

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Speaker 1: Montreal Canadian. So the overall of the game not a

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Speaker 1: total loss, but not a good day. Not a good day,

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Speaker 1: you know, basically down point seventy five units on that game.

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Speaker 1: And then we unfortunately lost the prop because we missed

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Speaker 1: that NBA prop by two points. So again, these NBA

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Speaker 1: player props are really sharp right now. It's really difficult

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Speaker 1: to you know, the books are really on there with

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Speaker 1: a lot of data and a lot of you know,

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Speaker 1: they know what's going to happen a lot of times

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Speaker 1: in these numbers. So we got that wrong. And then

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Speaker 1: we split down the middle on the Utah Jazz. So

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Speaker 1: here's the one thing that I always tell you guys,

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Speaker 1: I like fading the public. Okay, It's just something I

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Speaker 1: generally look to do. And so I bet last night.

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Speaker 1: I bet at minus two and a half and I

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Speaker 1: was kind of holding my nose and cringing a bit, going,

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Speaker 1: I don't know, Utah with Mitchell, he doesn't look right,

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Speaker 1: but I'm just going to ride with the team that

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Speaker 1: got me there, right. So we get up this morning

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Speaker 1: and all hell broke loose. I mean my radio show

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Speaker 1: was like drinking out of a fire hose. It was

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Speaker 1: ridiculous how many different news stories were coming out with

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Speaker 1: just you know, Chris Paul's got COVID and coaches getting

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Speaker 1: fired and GM's resigning, and then you know the knee

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Speaker 1: injury for Kawhi Leonard. So the number goes from two

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Speaker 1: and a half, and I said during the discord channel,

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Speaker 1: if it hit eight and a half, I was going

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Speaker 1: to try to middle this and I was going to

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Speaker 1: come back with a half a unit officially to try

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Speaker 1: to middle it. And I did good thing I did

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Speaker 1: because it essentially punted me out of that out of

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Speaker 1: that bet because the Clippers winning game outright, there was

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Speaker 1: about eighty five percent of the money coming in all

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Speaker 1: one side action on the clip on the on the

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Speaker 1: Utah Jazz, and it really scared me. And that was

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Speaker 1: another and why I kind of wanted to punt out

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Speaker 1: of it and try to middle it and say, Okay,

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Speaker 1: maybe we hit them both, it'll be great, but maybe

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Speaker 1: I'm wrong here about Utah and we're going to get

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Speaker 1: out of the bet with a you know, a punt.

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Speaker 1: That's what we did. So we punted. So that game

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Speaker 1: just kind of a wash and Utah is in real trouble, man,

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Speaker 1: real trouble. They need Mike Comedy back immediately in game

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Speaker 1: six or that series is over. Clippers are very deep.

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Speaker 1: We knew that, but man, they hit big shots of

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Speaker 1: big shots. Paul George was phenomenal. They looked better without Kawhi.

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Speaker 1: Is it crazy to say that. I don't know. They

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Speaker 1: looked better, looked better defensively. Maybe they all just rose

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Speaker 1: up and elevated their game because Kawhi was hurt. But

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Speaker 1: they played really, really well. And that's a dangerous team

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Speaker 1: right now. And I don't know. If Utah doesn't doesn't

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Speaker 1: have Mike Comedy back for game six, I think that

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Speaker 1: series is over. So I'm going to watch tonight with

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Speaker 1: the Milwaukee Bucks and the Nets. The number six. I

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Speaker 1: could have gotten five and a half, it rose to six.

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Speaker 1: I honestly don't know what to do with this game.

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Speaker 1: My first gut is bet under. But I've been betting unders,

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Speaker 1: and I've been getting killed doing that and betting unders,

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Speaker 1: So like I just I'm going to take a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a break here. I've got four bets for

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Speaker 1: you here with the US Open. Okay, I'm breaking up

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Speaker 1: into four top ten wagers at a quarter unit all

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Speaker 1: plus money. Okay, So I'm gonna give us something to

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Speaker 1: watch if you want to jump in, if you want

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Speaker 1: to fade these or I I mean at Circa in Vegas,

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Speaker 1: we can do yes no bets and this is where

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Speaker 1: I bet them they're yes no, So four bets there.

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Speaker 1: I've got two yes runs in the first inning bets

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Speaker 1: at a quarter unit to go. Essentially, these are the

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Speaker 1: player prop for today. Are going to be the yes

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Speaker 1: runs in the first inning bets. And then I've got

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Speaker 1: one baseball bet and then I've got one hockey bet

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Speaker 1: tonight to give you guys. So it's kind of a

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Speaker 1: full card, but a lot of sprinkling around. Nothing really

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Speaker 1: all that heavy, no full unit stuff like that. So

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Speaker 1: you guys know about the bet MGM offer. It is

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Speaker 1: right above me here BETMGM twenty bucks one hundred bucks

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Speaker 1: to win one hundred dollars any event. Use that promo

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Speaker 1: co juice one hundred. When you sign up for a

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Speaker 1: new account at bet MGM in DC, you have a

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Speaker 1: risk free up to a six hundred dollars wager waiting

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Speaker 1: for you as well. If you got a new account

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Speaker 1: in DC, promo cod Juice one hundred coming up for that.

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Speaker 1: I learned, by the way today, I'm forty four years old.

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Speaker 1: I learned today that when you fill out a zip

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Speaker 1: code in Canada, or a postal code as they call

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Speaker 1: it in Canada, they use letters. So the guy who

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Speaker 1: won the Shack jersey, that's on its way, by the way,

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Speaker 1: and I hope you enjoy it, and I hope it

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Speaker 1: gets through customs because they were a little concerned about

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Speaker 1: it getting through customs due to the COVID stuff going

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Speaker 1: on with the mail in Canada. I've never mailed anything

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Speaker 1: from to Canada before. I learned that today too. I've

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Speaker 1: never done that. So hopefully that Shack journey doesn't get

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Speaker 1: caught up in customs, and hopefully it arrives in Ontario

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Speaker 1: to the Daily Juice listener, who should be very happy

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Speaker 1: to get that jersey because a lot of people wanted

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Speaker 1: that jersey. Remember the Yannics basketball up for grabs this month.

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Speaker 1: If you did not win the jersey in want to

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Speaker 1: keep winning or try to win, you can do that

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Speaker 1: with a review on Apple or Stitcher. By doing that

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Speaker 1: right now. Bettingpros dot com slash Juice to fill up

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Speaker 1: the form and you're in. Okay, so let's start with

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Speaker 1: the US Open. I'm not going to go in depth here.

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to go crazy because here's what happens.

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Speaker 1: And you guys know this. I stink at golf betting stink.

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Speaker 1: But I go and I ask my guy, and I

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Speaker 1: got a golf guy, and I say, okay, give me

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Speaker 1: the bets. What are you thinking? And he gives me

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Speaker 1: what he thinks. And these are four bets here that

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Speaker 1: are all plus money. That are yes. No wagers to

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Speaker 1: be finishing in the top ten, ties included. When I

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Speaker 1: stress ties included. You must know your book's rules. The

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Speaker 1: dead heat rules are horrific. Make sure you BETMGM by

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Speaker 1: the way, he doesn't have this. But make sure your

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Speaker 1: book does not redo the odds for ties. My books

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Speaker 1: do not. Hopefully yours books. Your books don't either, Okay.

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Speaker 1: Xander Schaffee yes in the top ten at plus one fifty.

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Speaker 1: He is from the area, he grew up playing Tory Pines.

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Speaker 1: He's very good on this golf course. Okay. I know

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Speaker 1: people who like him to win, but I'm just going

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Speaker 1: to go top ten plus one fifty quarter unit. Xander

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Speaker 1: Schoffeli top ten. Yes all four rounds Tony Finow, top ten.

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Speaker 1: This dude is a constant machine of top ten. Top ten,

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Speaker 1: top ten is just what he does. Never wins, always

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Speaker 1: top ten for Tony Finow. Plus one ninety for Tony

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Speaker 1: finw in the top ten quarter unit. Little bit of

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Speaker 1: a longer shot, Colin Morikawa plus two thirty five. Yes

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Speaker 1: to come in the top ten for Colin Morrikawa at

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Speaker 1: plus two thirty five and the odds on favorite. I'm

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Speaker 1: going shock here that John Rahm's going to play well,

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Speaker 1: that John ram is angry at what happened with COVID,

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Speaker 1: and John Ram is here. I don't mind, by the way,

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Speaker 1: if I couldn't find our top ten. Yes for Rory,

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Speaker 1: but I talk to someone today that they think Rory's

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Speaker 1: gonna play really well. He's rededicated himself. He had some

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Speaker 1: controversial comments about the Green Books that he wanted the

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Speaker 1: green Books gone. Now the green Book's going to be gone.

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Speaker 1: He wants to go out there and play and play

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Speaker 1: well here at the US Open. Couldn't find Rory, but

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Speaker 1: I don't hate Rory, but I'm going John Rahm. It's

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty. It's still plus money for John Ram,

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Speaker 1: who is the odds on favorite to win the event.

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Speaker 1: For John Rom to come in the top ten. So

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Speaker 1: as long as it been fall in his face, John

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Speaker 1: Ram top ten, yest plus one twenty. Okay, So four

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Speaker 1: bets one unit all on the US Open, four rounds

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Speaker 1: to come in the top ten. Clearly, all four of

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Speaker 1: these guys have got to make the cut to be

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Speaker 1: able to come in the top ten. So we're probably

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Speaker 1: gonna lose one or two of these guys, you know,

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Speaker 1: hopefully not more than two for the cut because it's

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Speaker 1: the US Open, very very tough, very very tough golf course.

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Speaker 1: But Xanderschoffley top ten yes plus one fifty, Tony fen

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Speaker 1: Now top ten, yes plus one ninety, Colin Morikawa yes,

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Speaker 1: top ten plus two thirty five, John Rahm, Yes, top

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Speaker 1: ten plus one twenty. Ties are included. Extremely important. I

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Speaker 1: cannot stress that enough. Make sure your book knows that

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Speaker 1: ties are included for these wagers. If they do not

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Speaker 1: include ties, do not bet it, okay, don't bet top ten,

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Speaker 1: don't bet top five, take flyer bets, go head to head,

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Speaker 1: go a different route. If you only have one bet

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Speaker 1: one book in your jurisdiction and they have the dead

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Speaker 1: heat rule. Uh huh, don't do it. Okay, I cannot

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Speaker 1: stress that enough. Do not do it. It's like horse racing.

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Speaker 1: You end up losing money on the wager, like what

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Speaker 1: happened to us when we used a different book for

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Speaker 1: a different golf tournament earlier in twenty twenty one. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So that's where we are with that, all right, So

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Speaker 1: let's go to hockey here before we get to baseball.

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Speaker 1: The total is five tonight for Tampa Bay and the

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Speaker 1: New York Islanders. I got minus one point thirty. The

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Speaker 1: numbers are all over the place. I got it as

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Speaker 1: low as min one thirty, and I took five over

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Speaker 1: five mius one thirty. I saw it as high as

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Speaker 1: one fifty five. Okay, all over the place if you're

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Speaker 1: at five. I also have seen under five and a

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Speaker 1: half as high as mius one sixty. So this is again,

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Speaker 1: I'm taking five, and I'm jumping on the five because

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Speaker 1: of the push potential, and I'm gonna take my own advice.

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Speaker 1: I got kind of away from it from my own

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Speaker 1: advice for a little while and started to get kind

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Speaker 1: of cute, and I bet under five and a half

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Speaker 1: in the last game here with this series and I lost.

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Speaker 1: You know, watch this be a two to one win

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Speaker 1: again for the Islanders and just burn me again. But

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Speaker 1: you know, I'm I'm gonna take five and I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: keep going because five has been profitable. We're still way

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Speaker 1: up betting over five, and I'm just gonna keep on

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Speaker 1: doing it. When the line goes to five, I'm betting

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Speaker 1: over Mius one thirty here for half a unit for

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Speaker 1: the Islanders and the Tampa Bay Lightning, and hopefully we

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Speaker 1: see a lot of offense early. This is probably gonna

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Speaker 1: be a sweat. It's probably gonna be in need of

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Speaker 1: an open net and something crazy to happen. But let's

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Speaker 1: go over five Islanders and the Tampa Bay Lightning here tonight.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's start talking baseball here for a second,

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Speaker 1: and let's talk about the Diamondbacks and the Giants. Right now.

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Speaker 1: The Diamondbacks are about to lose their twenty second Oh,

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Speaker 1: they lost their twenty second consecutive road game. They have

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Speaker 1: lost insane. All right. I can't jump on this entirely

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Speaker 1: because I've been so late to the party on this.

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Speaker 1: Diamondbacks are nine to twenty nine, okay, But Kevin Gosman

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Speaker 1: is outstanding for the San Francisco Giants. He's seven and

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Speaker 1: one with a one point four to three ERA. He

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Speaker 1: just faced these Diamondbacks a little while ago, and he

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Speaker 1: has been one of the best pitchers. He actually will

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Speaker 1: probably start the All Star Game right now if he were,

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Speaker 1: just if he was gonna come up and play, come

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Speaker 1: up and pitch here, just given how how well he

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Speaker 1: has pitched. Now. He didn't pitch great last time out

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Speaker 1: against Washington, which doesn't scare me all that much. Four innings,

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Speaker 1: three hits, two earned runs, not horrific, it was a

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Speaker 1: seven inning game, but he got the loss. Against the Cubs,

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Speaker 1: he pitched one inning sorry sorry, seven innings, two hits,

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Speaker 1: two earned runs ten. Case against the Dodgers, six innings,

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Speaker 1: two hits, no runs, seven case against the Diamondbacks he

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Speaker 1: pitched five innings, five hits, no earn runs. Nine case. Okay,

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Speaker 1: He's facing these same Diamondbacks, this time on the at

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Speaker 1: home instead of on the road, and he is just tremendous,

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Speaker 1: just absolutely tremendous. He's going up against Zach Galen, who's

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Speaker 1: pretty good. Zak Galen one one with three point zero

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Speaker 1: four ERA, not a slouch. Okay, not a horrible pitcher,

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Speaker 1: but still not a great one either. He's, you know,

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Speaker 1: last time out he lost to the Mets. Game before

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Speaker 1: that he lost, he pitched in the first game of

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Speaker 1: a doubleheader. He fit six innings, gave it four hits,

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Speaker 1: two earned runs, got the loss in a five to

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Speaker 1: four loss. He had an awful outing against the Rockies

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Speaker 1: at home where he pitched four innings, get up six hits,

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Speaker 1: four earned run, seven k's, and that one got the loss.

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Speaker 1: And he's just been sort of an up and down pitcher. He's,

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Speaker 1: you know, he's a guy coming back from If I'm injuries,

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Speaker 1: he'll start coming up here for the Arizona Diamondbacks, who

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Speaker 1: have been awful. Right, there's a three way bet kind

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Speaker 1: of like going with soccer here, but you get better

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Speaker 1: odds by doing it. If it's tied after five, we lose. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So that's a little bit of the dicey area here.

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Speaker 1: But the Giants to be leading after five with Kevin

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Speaker 1: Gosman on the mound, leading after five for minus one

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Speaker 1: thirty for a half a unit. Okay, So Giants leading

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Speaker 1: after five with their offense, they've been just so dominant,

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Speaker 1: I mean just incredibly dominant tonight. They give up two

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Speaker 1: runs in the first inning, then scored four runs in

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Speaker 1: the first, Then they scored four runs in the fourth,

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Speaker 1: five runs in the fifth. So after five Tonight's they

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Speaker 1: were leading fourteen to two. Okay, it was just after five.

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Speaker 1: They were just killing the Diamondbacks. I mean Diamondbacks two

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Speaker 1: nights ago, had a lead and then MICUs Skremsky is

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Speaker 1: from my hometown of Andover, mass hit a grand Slam

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Speaker 1: to give the win for the Giants. I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: just been a house of horrors here. This is their

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Speaker 1: last game in the Bay Area. You assume that the Diamonbacks

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Speaker 1: went to get the heck out of here. It's a

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Speaker 1: day game and they're facing the ace for the Giants.

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Speaker 1: Not really a recipe for the Diamondbacks to come up

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Speaker 1: and have a huge game here today. So we're taking

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Speaker 1: first five mice one thirty. It's a three way bet,

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Speaker 1: so if they're tied, we lose. Okay, that's why we're

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Speaker 1: getting to MIAs one thirty because the numbers. It's miss

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Speaker 1: one ninety on the money line, and it's you can

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Speaker 1: just play a straight first five, but you're probably gonna

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Speaker 1: pay one sixty one seventy juice on. It's maybe even

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Speaker 1: more than that given who the pitchers are. So that's

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Speaker 1: sort of an opportunity there to jump in here with

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Speaker 1: the kind of an alternative run situation from an inning

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Speaker 1: inning situation, you know, And and there are money line

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Speaker 1: bets out there you guys can jump into if you want,

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Speaker 1: but you know, I just think it's an opportunity to

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Speaker 1: you know, potentially get yourself a uh yeah, it's it's

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Speaker 1: like my it's minus one ninety five drafting test this.

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Speaker 1: If you want to bet the money line first five innings,

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Speaker 1: it's mis one ninety five. Okay, that's just too steep. Okay,

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Speaker 1: if you do the three way bet, it's minus the

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Speaker 1: include the tie ties a loss for US Giants have

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Speaker 1: to be winning, so it's not a push potential. You

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Speaker 1: gotta win MAUS one thirty for this bet for half

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Speaker 1: a unit. So that's what I'm jumping on here for

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Speaker 1: the Giants and Diamondbacks. And then two games to talk

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Speaker 1: about in terms of yes runs Saint Louis in Atlanta,

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Speaker 1: the Orioles in the Indians. There are some really interesting numbers. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about scoring Atlanta and Saint Louis are number

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Speaker 1: two and number three for percentage of runs scored in

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Speaker 1: the first inning first inning scores percentage. Atlanta scores thirty

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Speaker 1: five percent of the time. Saint Louis scores thirty four

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Speaker 1: percent of the time in the first inning. Okay, these

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Speaker 1: offenses get off to pretty quick starts, and that's good

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Speaker 1: news for us obviously when it comes to a first

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Speaker 1: five bet and you're looking at you know these offenses,

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Speaker 1: Saint Louis and Atlanta, I mean, Boston just scored a

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Speaker 1: bunch of runs. It was a ten eight final last

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Speaker 1: night for Atlanta. Get lost it. They're now having to

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Speaker 1: go up against Saint Louis, who are coming into town.

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Speaker 1: It's a four to twenty Pacific time, seven twenty Eastern

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Speaker 1: time start. John Gant versus Charlie Morton. Here and Gantz

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Speaker 1: had some decent outings this season, but his last two

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Speaker 1: starts have been bad and he only went one in

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Speaker 1: two thirds against the Cubs, gave up five earned runs,

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Speaker 1: walked five and against the Reds the pitch time before

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Speaker 1: that four innings, seven earned runs, seven hits and three

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Speaker 1: walks his last two starts. So this dude right now

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Speaker 1: is kind of like a walking pinata. He has not

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Speaker 1: pitched well at all for the Cardinals, and he's going

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Speaker 1: up against Charlie Morton, who's been okay, but Charlie Morton's

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Speaker 1: not been outstanding. He lost his last start by giving

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Speaker 1: up four in four innings, gave up four hits in

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Speaker 1: four earned runs against the Dodgers. He gave up five sorry,

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Speaker 1: four earned runs in five innings, walked one against the

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Speaker 1: Against Washington, he had five innings, six hits, three earned runs.

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Speaker 1: So you start looking at it just just where he

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Speaker 1: has been and like how much he gave up a

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Speaker 1: run in the first inning and his last outing against

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Speaker 1: the Marlins. So we just need one run between one

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Speaker 1: of these two guys, Morton or Gant to give up

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Speaker 1: one run. It's minus one p fifteen here for Saint

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Speaker 1: Louis and Atlanta, and then we go to the Orioles

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Speaker 1: and the Indians, and again it's right back to scoring.

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Speaker 1: The Indians are number one, scoring thirty six percent of

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Speaker 1: the time in the first inning. Right now in Baltimore's

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Speaker 1: number nine scoring thirty one point eight. It's thirty two

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Speaker 1: percent of the time. Baltimore's number ninth nine in imjor

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Speaker 1: League Baseball who were coming in and scoring in the

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Speaker 1: first inning as well, So two offenses. Cleveland's been kind

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Speaker 1: of a machine when it comes to scoring. And this

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Speaker 1: is an early start time. Okay, this is a one

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Speaker 1: to ten Eastern time start time ten ten Pacific time

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Speaker 1: start here, so it's early game and you've got Jorge

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Speaker 1: Lopez against Eli Morgan. Eli Morgan is a young pitcher

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Speaker 1: who was only pitched one inning or sorry, one game

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Speaker 1: so far against Toronto. He went two and two thirds,

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Speaker 1: gave up eight hits and six earned runs. Dude, got

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Speaker 1: just crushed. What's what's really kind of funny. He didn't

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Speaker 1: give up a run in the first inning. He didn't

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Speaker 1: give up a run. He gave up a ton of

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Speaker 1: runs afterwards, but he didn't give up a run in

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Speaker 1: the first inning. But Cleveland scored two runs in the

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Speaker 1: bottom of the first inning kind of for him, gave

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Speaker 1: him a two to nothing lead, and then he threw

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Speaker 1: up all over himself. And his era currently is twenty legitimate,

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Speaker 1: it's twenty point twenty five. And Jorge Lopez for the

364
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Speaker 1: Orioles is not that good either. In his last start,

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Speaker 1: he lost it, gave went four and two thirds, give

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Speaker 1: up eight hits and five earned runs in that one,

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Speaker 1: and he gave up three runs in the first inning,

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Speaker 1: so we hopefully will see another one that also is

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Speaker 1: MISUS one fifteen. Yes runs to be scored for the

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Speaker 1: Orioles and the Indians in the first inning. Both those

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Speaker 1: are quarter units. Both those are essentially the prop bets

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Speaker 1: for the day today. I don't have any prop bits

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Speaker 1: for you guys with basketball here coming up today, so

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Speaker 1: these are the plays to run through them all here

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Speaker 1: for a Thursday kind of a lengthy podcast. Zanders Schoffeli

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Speaker 1: top ten Yes plus one fifty, Tony Fenw top ten

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Speaker 1: yes plus one, ninety Calin Morikawa Yes plus two thirty five,

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Speaker 1: and John Rahm Yes, top ten plus one twenty four

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Speaker 1: bets us open three bets in baseball Giants MIAs one

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Speaker 1: thirty to lead after five three way bet. If they're tied,

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Speaker 1: we lose. Saint Louis Atlanta, Yes run in the first inning,

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Speaker 1: quarter unit Orioles Indians, Yes run in the first inning.

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Speaker 1: Both those bets are at one at MIAs one fifteen,

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Speaker 1: and we're taking the over five for Tampa and the

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Speaker 1: New York Islanders over five goals at minus one thirty

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Speaker 1: for a half of unit's Okay, those are the bets

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Speaker 1: coming up here for a Thursday's Daily Juice podcast. My

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Speaker 1: name is Matt Peroltz. We are back each and every

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Speaker 1: single morning right here on bettingpros dot com. Always be

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Speaker 1: brought to you by BEDAMGM