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Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by Bett three

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Speaker 1: six five, part of the Action Network. I am chadmill

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Speaker 1: and the Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. We

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Speaker 1: are continuing our division previews as we have been doing

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Speaker 1: for the past couple of weeks. Today we are doing

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Speaker 1: the most inconsequential division in all of football, the one

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Speaker 1: division where I say, every single season, does anybody outside

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Speaker 1: of the city or the region care about these teams?

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Speaker 1: But you know what, they're in the NFL. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: bet them. We're gonna make ugly bets on a lot

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Speaker 1: of these teams. You guys know what I'm talking about.

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Speaker 1: We are talking about the AFC South. I am joined

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Speaker 1: as I am in every episode by my bff, my companion,

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Speaker 1: my compadre professional better mister Simon Hunter.

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Speaker 2: Hell oh so waymen, Hello Utch, what a weekend look

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Speaker 2: at us starting the season both one and on our.

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Speaker 3: Picks just gi Yeah, so that was that was nice.

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Speaker 2: Then I had I don't know if you saw the

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Speaker 2: whole trade Turner thing in Philadelphia.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, what's going on there? He's like taking out billboards

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Speaker 1: to apologize or something.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, basically, we gave him three hundred million and then

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Speaker 2: he hit two thirty four US for about the first

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Speaker 2: couple months of the season. So the Phillies fans tried

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Speaker 2: to do the opposite of being our scumback selves. We

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Speaker 2: tried to give him a standing ovation right to motivate him,

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Speaker 2: and a little trade turner that could came came in

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Speaker 2: hit an RBI. I think double our single his first day,

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Speaker 2: and the next game you hit a go ahead home run.

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Speaker 2: So I would say this is pretty shocking. Maybe the

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Speaker 2: times are change in Philadelphia. I know we're one of

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Speaker 2: those fan bases where you can win MVP like drawel

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Speaker 2: EMBIID and we'll boo the hell out of you. But

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Speaker 2: if we give you three hundred million you can't hit

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Speaker 2: a ball, we'll cheer for you. That's true. That's trade

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Speaker 2: turner right now. So pretty wild times. I have my

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Speaker 2: good friend Chad here told me he was a little

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Speaker 2: underwhelmed by our NFC West podcast, the subpodcast, in which

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Speaker 2: I gave out three win totals and attend to one underdog.

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Speaker 2: So it's all happening right now, Chad. I'm in mid

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Speaker 2: season form of I'm fighting Chad right now. I'm hating

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Speaker 2: the Phillies and I just love August. It's the best

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Speaker 2: time of year right now, Simon.

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Speaker 1: For this podcast, the stakes have never been higher. If

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Speaker 1: we're talking about a division in which it's kind of underwhelming,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna say it out loud, Okay, I'm not going

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Speaker 1: to be afraid to tell the people what I'm feeling.

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Speaker 1: I'm all about the feels like. For example, I feel

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Speaker 1: people should like this video. I feel people should subscribe

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Speaker 1: to the Action Network on YouTube. I feel that we

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Speaker 1: are sponsored, proudly sponsor by BET three sixty five, the

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Speaker 1: world's favorite sportsbook brand. Sign up with promo code Action

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Speaker 1: to get BET three six y fives exclusive sign up offer.

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Speaker 1: Bet one dollar on any game and get two hundred

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Speaker 1: dollars in bonus bets. You must be twenty one or older.

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Speaker 1: Offer is available in Colorado, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia, and Iowa.

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Speaker 1: Gambling problem call or text one eight hundred Gambler. I

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Speaker 1: also feel, Simon, you know what time of year it

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Speaker 1: is right now, in August. This might be why the

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Speaker 1: why the Phillies are doing what they're doing, and why

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Speaker 1: you feel so good about what we're talking about. It's

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Speaker 1: optimism season, all right, dude. I get an alert every

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Speaker 1: day when I you know, as you know, back in

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Speaker 1: the day, I was the ed in chief of ESPN

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Speaker 1: the magazine, I was the tern chief of ESPN dot Com,

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Speaker 1: and I would set alerts for the teams that I

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Speaker 1: knew my bosses loved, so that way I would get

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Speaker 1: an alert when we had news or a new story

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Speaker 1: or a new video about the team that they loved.

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Speaker 1: So I couldn't get in text or an email from

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Speaker 1: them that said, hey, this just happened. Why didn't we

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Speaker 1: get an alert about it? Right? So I had alerts

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Speaker 1: for Stanford and South Carolina and the Patriots and the Cowboys,

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Speaker 1: all these teams that I really don't care about. I

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Speaker 1: still get some Patriots alerts. I forgot to disable it.

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Speaker 1: Every day there's an alert Patriots high on this, Patriots

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Speaker 1: high on that. It's always the same thing, like every

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Speaker 1: single person. They just signed Trey Flowers. Trey Flowers is

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Speaker 1: back with the team that he started with and he

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Speaker 1: played for three years and nobody cared. But he's back, right.

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Speaker 1: So this week's optimism season best line of the week.

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Speaker 1: I read it yesterday. The Panthers are not concerned about

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Speaker 1: all the interceptions that Bryce Young has been throwing because

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Speaker 1: it's part of their plan for the early part of

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Speaker 1: the preseason.

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Speaker 2: My favorite I saw was Green Bay had their their

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Speaker 2: first like open practice in their stadium. And this is

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Speaker 2: a true quote by a Beat writer. He said, the

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Speaker 2: Green Bay Packers have the fastest wide receiver tight.

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Speaker 3: End combination in all football. Most irrelevant thing I've ever

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Speaker 3: heard in my entire life.

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Speaker 1: Yet that's almost as that's almost as hyperbolic as someone saying, uh,

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Speaker 1: the Seattle Seahawks have the greatest combination of trio of

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Speaker 1: wide receivers in NFL history.

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Speaker 3: You missed a mite, I said, might that big deal.

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Speaker 1: We might have to play it back because I don't

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Speaker 1: remember anyone.

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Speaker 3: I don't remember. Yeah, I don't remember a mite. There's

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Speaker 3: an M in there.

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Speaker 1: No no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no no no.

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Speaker 1: This is the beauty of podcasting and youtubeing. It. Well,

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Speaker 1: I know for a fact there was no might. There

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Speaker 1: was no qualifier, because if there was, I would have

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Speaker 1: been like, Okay, I can live with it. It wouldn't

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Speaker 1: have even registered. But there was nothing. It was just

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Speaker 1: three guys, one of them named Lockett, one of them

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Speaker 1: who's a rookie that we haven't seen play. Yet they

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Speaker 1: might be two thirds of the greatest receiving core in

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Speaker 1: NFL history.

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Speaker 3: You just put them might in there. I definitely put

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Speaker 3: a light in there. Ah.

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Speaker 1: Unfortunately I just listened back. He did include the phrase arguably,

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Speaker 1: which makes us a lot less fun. My brain couldn't

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Speaker 1: even say it without including a qualifier exactly.

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Speaker 3: So, I mean, it was five in the morning, all right.

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Speaker 1: We're talking about the AFC South. As we've discussed, like,

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Speaker 1: this is a division, it's really hard to care about it,

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Speaker 1: which which makes betting on it all the more important

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Speaker 1: because it's the only reason to really want to watch

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Speaker 1: any of these teams. Obviously, we loved the Jags last year.

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Speaker 1: We heavily invested in the Jags in every way and

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Speaker 1: it paid off for us. We also love Mike Vrabel.

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Speaker 1: Those coaches that consistently covers as an underdog out coaches people.

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Speaker 1: We're huge fans. You loved Anthony Richardson. You thought he

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Speaker 1: was one of the best players in the draft. You

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Speaker 1: were super excited at the Colts drafted him, and then

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Speaker 1: you got the Texans, and then you got the Texans

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Speaker 1: and you know they got C. J. Stroud and uh,

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Speaker 1: they're bringing up the rear.

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Speaker 2: So and you got to mention, for the rest of

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Speaker 2: our lives, you have to mention CJ. Strout and Will

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Speaker 2: Anderson together because who knows what they're thinking giving up

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Speaker 2: an extra first round pick for this kid will understand,

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Speaker 2: but they literally need this kid to be Nick Bosa.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I have Will Anderson listed in my UH my

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Speaker 1: defensive notes for the UH for the Houston Texans. Let's

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Speaker 1: start at the stop. Start at the top here. Jags

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Speaker 1: minus one sixty, no, thank you to win the division.

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Speaker 3: I have a lot of opinions on the Jaguars.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to try not to be such a homer

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Speaker 2: with these picks just because I think fans of the

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Speaker 2: show last year. No, I have a very special place

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Speaker 2: in my heart for this Daguars team. Not only did

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Speaker 2: they cover this division for US CHAT that came all

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Speaker 2: the way back.

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Speaker 3: They were left for dead.

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Speaker 2: I was losing tons and tons of money on them

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Speaker 2: through the middle of the season and they completely flipped it.

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Speaker 2: They went to and oh covering in the playoffs. They

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Speaker 2: covered their first game against the Chargers, and they covered

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Speaker 2: against the Chiefs, which you can look it up. Doug Peterson,

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Speaker 2: I believe is six and zero now, or maybe it's

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Speaker 2: seven and zero against the spread in the playoffs. It's

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Speaker 2: something crazy like that. It's a team I love, and

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna lie to each other. I'm gonna betting

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Speaker 2: on them to take that next step. Like it's it's

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Speaker 2: all there. The big weakness for them right now is

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Speaker 2: their offensive line. They still have some question on their defense.

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Speaker 2: But offensively, they have the running back, they have the

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Speaker 2: wide receivers, and they have the quarterback, and they have

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Speaker 2: that coach. So this is a team that I will

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Speaker 2: be thrown a little bit on them to be the

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Speaker 2: number one record in the NFL, which most books you

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Speaker 2: can get at thirty five to one, thirty one, twenty

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Speaker 2: five to one. I believe they are twenty eight to

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Speaker 2: one for Super Bowl. Don't really love that value. I

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Speaker 2: feel like it should be a little higher, just because

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Speaker 2: we talked about the AFC is just it's it's literally

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Speaker 2: a juggernaut, Like it's the greatest group of quarterbacks we've

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Speaker 2: ever seen on one conference in the history of the NFL.

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Speaker 2: So I was hoping to get a little better odds,

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Speaker 2: but I think the pros bet that down, so it

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Speaker 2: makes sense it's at twenty eight to one right now.

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Speaker 2: But it's like Chad nale it there, We're we're not

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Speaker 2: gonna take these guys divisionally like a team coming up.

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Speaker 2: Chad knows exactly we're going to take division wise. But

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Speaker 2: right now as we sit here, I've made probably a

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Speaker 2: handful of little bets on the Jaguars to win this division.

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Speaker 3: But it's all these parlays.

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Speaker 2: Right If I think them and the Bills are going

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Speaker 2: to both win their division, I won't just bet them

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Speaker 2: straight up. I'll probably throw a little parlay at them

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Speaker 2: to get That's how I like to do it with

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Speaker 2: these these these teams are favorite to win their divisions.

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Speaker 2: But for me, my biggest Cheguars better now is them

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Speaker 2: to be the number one seed and have the best

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Speaker 2: record of football. I just think that's where the value

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Speaker 2: is when you're.

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Speaker 3: In a division.

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Speaker 2: There's two rookie quarterbacks and a team in Tennessee that

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Speaker 2: just a month ago we thought they were rebuilding, and

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Speaker 2: then they went out and got Hopkins and they haven't

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Speaker 2: traded at Tannehill and it seems like, Okay, they're gonna

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Speaker 2: try and make another run with this this core group

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Speaker 2: they have in Tennessee. You know that that makes me

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Speaker 2: one of adjustings, but not so much that I still

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Speaker 2: don't think they could be the one seed. Just when

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Speaker 2: we look at all these other divisions, Chad, there is

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Speaker 2: a clear drop off in this division compared to the

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Speaker 2: other ones. So to me, the Jaguars, if they can't

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Speaker 2: run away this division, if they can't hit this over, right, think,

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Speaker 2: what is a nine and a half win?

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Speaker 1: Told the nine and a half minus one?

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Speaker 2: That's I think that's one of the most bet overs

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Speaker 2: right now all the sports books.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna take it.

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Speaker 2: I got them at ten point seven, so it means

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Speaker 2: I'm an over ten and a half wins, So I'll

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Speaker 2: take the over of nine and a half.

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Speaker 3: It's just there's not crazy value there. Everyone.

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Speaker 2: The secret's out right, Chad. Everyone knows about this Jaguars team.

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Speaker 2: Everyone's been talking about Calvin Ridley. So we'll take our

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Speaker 2: scraps here. We'll take what we can. But yeah, I

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Speaker 2: think you nailed off the top saying we're not betting

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Speaker 2: these guys on this divisions.

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Speaker 3: Just there's no value there.

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Speaker 1: Well, look, when it comes to Trevor Lawrence, I was

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Speaker 1: talking about Bill Barnwell had this story EDDIESPN on ESPN

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Speaker 1: dot Com today ranking players he thinks can make the

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Speaker 1: leap from pro bowler to superstar from you know, startered

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Speaker 1: a pro bowler, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. He's

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Speaker 1: got three players in that highest level. One of them

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Speaker 1: is Trevor Lawrence, and so we all expect big things

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Speaker 1: out of Trevor Lawrence. We thought, we thought it would

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Speaker 1: happen last year's remember, well, we also bet. I think

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Speaker 1: we bet Trevor Lawrence to lead the league in touchdown passes,

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Speaker 1: and at least I did. And the one thing that

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Speaker 1: he needed you tighten up was his accuracy in the

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Speaker 1: red zone. He missed so many open receivers, made so

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Speaker 1: many bad throws on easy, easy touchdowns early in the year.

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Speaker 1: So I would expect that is something that since he

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Speaker 1: did get better at that over the course of the year,

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Speaker 1: he will be locked in on that you already mentioned. Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: that's the next one up. By the way, the Jacks

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Speaker 1: have the Cordner Sean Kerner the ninth easy schedule in

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Speaker 1: the NFL. Obviously, it's correlated to the fact that you

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Speaker 1: know in their division are the Titans, the Colts, and

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Speaker 1: the Texans. Trevor Lawrence is in Kerner's number three tier

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Speaker 1: for quarterbacks.

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Speaker 3: There.

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Speaker 1: And what's interesting is their OLINE ranking and their D

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Speaker 1: line ranking according to Pro Football Focus relatively low, like

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Speaker 1: their O line ranking is twenty six. They washed Jawan

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Speaker 1: Taylor to Kansas City and he was their best offensive

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Speaker 1: lineman last year, and look like they have three rushers

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Speaker 1: in PFF's top fifty, but only Josh Allen comes back,

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Speaker 1: and so there's a lot of question marks about where

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Speaker 1: they're going to get a pass rush. So when we're

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Speaker 1: thinking about them at nine and a half over and

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Speaker 1: over nine and a half, we're really playing against the

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Speaker 1: schedule and the fact that they have so little competition

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Speaker 1: in their division. Tennessee gets interesting to me. Tennessee is

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Speaker 1: at seven and a half to minus one ten over

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Speaker 1: and under plus three twenty. Nobody wants to bet on Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: Everyone thinks Ryan Tannehill not the guy. I think Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: It's a team. Like if we're talking about the division

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Speaker 1: bet that we want to make, I'm betting on Mike

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Speaker 1: Rabel in the Tennessee Titans.

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Speaker 2: Yep, it's the only bet. There's no other bet to make.

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Speaker 2: And it's one of those where the only reason I'm

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Speaker 2: not loading up and firing away on it is my

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Speaker 2: fear of them. Do they do trade Tannehill. That's my

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Speaker 2: biggest fear right now is that they are going to

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Speaker 2: move him at some point because you can't not look

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Speaker 2: at the draft equity they've put out in the quarterback position.

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Speaker 2: They use a third round pick and a second round

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Speaker 2: pick the last two years on two different quarterbacks. And

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Speaker 2: you know, I know for a fact they tried moving

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Speaker 2: Tannehill during the draft during this offseason. It didn't work out,

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Speaker 2: And on paper it looks like they're supporting him bringing

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Speaker 2: in Hopkins. Isn't that also something you would do with

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Speaker 2: a young quarterback, you'd bring in a veteran receiver like Hopkins.

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Speaker 2: So it is tough to read this whole scenario because

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Speaker 2: the number is weird. Plus three twenty chat, it feels

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Speaker 2: like that's a gift, Like why is this plus two hundred?

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Speaker 3: Like if you look at the odds from last.

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Speaker 2: Year, it was Tennessee and the Colts were both I

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Speaker 2: think minus won ten to win this division and the

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Speaker 2: Jags were eight to one. Now, Jack just gave you

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Speaker 2: what's going on the Jaguars. They lost their best offensive Lineman.

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Speaker 2: They did gain a Calvin Ridley, right, and they and

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Speaker 2: some experience, they should be better. But is Tennessee that

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Speaker 2: much worse than they were last year?

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Speaker 3: Not at all.

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Speaker 2: So that's what really pops out to me is we're

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Speaker 2: getting a really good value right now on Tennessee. My

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Speaker 2: worry is, you know, again going back to this Falcons thing,

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Speaker 2: this kid riddler plays the preseason, he can't connect anything.

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Speaker 2: I just would be shocked if they didn't make a

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Speaker 2: move for a Tannehill type. If a quarterback goes down

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Speaker 2: on some team, Tannhill is available, someone might trade for

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Speaker 2: him just because he is still good, Like I think

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Speaker 2: Chack talked about, he's still like a quarterback. Where is

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Speaker 2: he ever gonna be top ten? No, that ship is

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Speaker 2: totally sailed on this guy's career. But can he be

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Speaker 2: a top twenty, top fifteen when everything's going right and

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Speaker 2: he has weapons around him? Yeah, we've seen that from

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Speaker 2: Tannhill before. So this is one of those where I

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Speaker 2: wish I'd come in here and chat and be like,

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Speaker 2: bet this division right now, bet them win total over

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Speaker 2: right now. I think you can wait. I honestly think

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Speaker 2: you can wait a little bit here and see what

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Speaker 2: goes on in this preseason. So this is one of

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Speaker 2: those bets where I know I'm going to make I know,

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Speaker 2: I mean, are going to be on them week one

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Speaker 2: as well if they're plus three plus three and a

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Speaker 2: half against the Saints. But as we sit here right now, chat,

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Speaker 2: I just I don't want to put my money on

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Speaker 2: a team. I just don't know what their future is

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Speaker 2: going to happen the next couple weeks.

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Speaker 1: There's so many factors with this team that are interesting,

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Speaker 1: right because we have Mike Vrabel, who is one of

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Speaker 1: those coaches we've talked about this. You could say Vrabel, Belichick, Harbaugh,

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Speaker 1: Sean Payton being back, Mike Tomlin, who you are going

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Speaker 1: to automatically give that team a little bit extra credit,

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Speaker 1: And I don't think that gets accounted for by bookmakers,

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Speaker 1: you know, in any significant way. Right, They're not giving

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Speaker 1: Mike Rabel coach teams and extra half a point because

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Speaker 1: he's such a good decision maker and he's so good

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Speaker 1: at coaching up his team. So you if you are

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Speaker 1: thinking about Vrabel, you always get a little bit of

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Speaker 1: an advantage because he is so much better than other coaches,

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Speaker 1: especially when he's an underdog. Think about Tannehill when he

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Speaker 1: had aj Brown, when he had Derek Henry at full strength,

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Speaker 1: very serviceable quarterback. It's when you were putting the ball

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Speaker 1: in his hand. And you saw that in the playoffs

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Speaker 1: a couple of years ago when the Titans had had

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Speaker 1: the best record in the in the AFC, but they

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Speaker 1: couldn't advance to the Plauffs because the ball was in

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Speaker 1: Tannehill's hands to win a game. He can't do. That

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Speaker 1: doesn't mean he's not a good quarterback. To your point,

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Speaker 1: their defense is underrated, like they've got a top ten defense,

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Speaker 1: and so to me, it's what you just said. And

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Speaker 1: there's one other factor worst worst number thirty two offensive

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Speaker 1: line in the NFL per Pro Football Focus. So that's fair,

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Speaker 1: you know, that's I think that's one of the bigger issues.

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Speaker 1: And you and I both liked a grade. That's why

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Speaker 1: I'm including these offensive line of defensive line grades when

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Speaker 1: we're talking about these teams, because their offense line is terrible.

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Speaker 1: Obviously didn't improve from last year. Couldn't have been much worse,

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Speaker 1: So yeah, they didn't. They didn't get much worse. But

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Speaker 1: the things that are bad are things that are concerning, but.

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Speaker 2: Once again, they can get away with that in this division,

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Speaker 2: like the best, the best defensive player right now this

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Speaker 2: division might be a rookie and Will Anderson like that

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Speaker 2: might be the best the end they face this season.

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Speaker 2: And inside their own division where the Colts, yeah, the

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Speaker 2: Colts have players and you know the Tennessee team chat,

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Speaker 2: I think you nailed it where I didn't mention it enough,

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Speaker 2: where you know their their D line is good, their

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Speaker 2: defense is going to be much better than people realized

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Speaker 2: from last year. And they have Birks on the outside,

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Speaker 2: Hopkins on the outside, and they have Derek Hennery in

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Speaker 2: the backfield. Like that's a really good offensive unit right there.

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Speaker 3: Weapons So every point you just said is very fair.

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Speaker 2: But that offensive line thing is definitely a glaring issue

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Speaker 2: where if they're behind, you need Tannehill to drop back

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Speaker 2: and pass, and playing against a team that just has

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Speaker 2: two good pass rushers, it's over, they're not going to

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Speaker 2: be coming.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, definitely a team that needs a lead to

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Speaker 3: win games.

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Speaker 1: It's actually interesting because that whole division, there's no O

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Speaker 1: line that is good graded out very high, and there's

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Speaker 1: no D line other than THEIRS that is grading out

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Speaker 1: very high, so fascinating, fascinating division of mediocrity and irrelevance.

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Speaker 1: As I've been saying, oh forever about any team in

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Speaker 1: the AFC South. That brings us to the Indianapolis Colts,

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Speaker 1: who are plus six hundred to win the division. They

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Speaker 1: are at six and a half wins, minus one twenty

371
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Speaker 1: five to the over. Your favorite player in the NFL,

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Speaker 1: Anthony Richardson. You think he will end up being the

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Speaker 1: best player out of this draft class. You're enamored by

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Speaker 1: his athleticism. I will tell you that Sean Kerner already

375
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Speaker 1: has Anthony Richardson. We're talking about fantasy tears in tier five,

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Speaker 1: he says, Sean Crooner, and you can read this at

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Speaker 1: Action network dot com. He has top ten upside as

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Speaker 1: soon as he becomes a starter, yep, which kind of

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Speaker 1: goes with what you've been saying.

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Speaker 3: And if you listen to it.

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Speaker 2: We had on Chris and Sean, well was it a

382
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Speaker 2: couple a month ago talking fantasy. He was being drafted

383
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Speaker 2: at QB fifteen at that time Anthony Richardson and I

384
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Speaker 2: said I would take him well above that just because

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Speaker 2: his upside was so high. Now, if you look most

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Speaker 2: drafts he's going top.

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Speaker 3: Ten, So yep.

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Speaker 2: This this past offseason was the first time ever did

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Speaker 2: consulting work for an NFL team. Chad knows this, and

390
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Speaker 2: I basically when I went in there in January and

391
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Speaker 2: I said this was my guy, my number one QB

392
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Speaker 2: to draft, I basically could hear a pin drop. Chad

393
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Speaker 2: not laughed out of the room. It was more like,

394
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Speaker 2: who the hell is this guy? Why are we paying him?

395
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Speaker 2: And why is he telling us to draft this kid

396
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Speaker 2: who most teams had a second round great on him,

397
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Speaker 2: So that this is one of these moments where I

398
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Speaker 2: really enjoyed doing consulting work, Like working for these NFL

399
00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:07,440
Speaker 2: teams was cool as shit. So I'm hoping this kid

400
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Speaker 2: pans out because I really am tied to him now.

401
00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:11,640
Speaker 2: Like if he is good and the team I worked

402
00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:15,080
Speaker 2: for the QBA drafted is not good, that's really good

403
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Speaker 2: for me because I was so big on this kid

404
00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:20,359
Speaker 2: and no one else there was like, literally, these people

405
00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:22,240
Speaker 2: look at mick Il was crazy when I mentioned his name.

406
00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:26,119
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna be biased about Anthony Richardson. I can

407
00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:31,119
Speaker 2: already tell everything he's done in this preseason. Chad is

408
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:35,320
Speaker 2: what I envisioned a big body, big strong arm, great athlete.

409
00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:38,639
Speaker 2: Everything about him just remind me of a smarter, faster

410
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Speaker 2: version of Cam Newton. And it's looking that way right now.

411
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Speaker 2: So if you remember Cam Newton's rookie year, it was historical.

412
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Speaker 2: Now do I think he's gonna do that? Most likely not.

413
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Speaker 2: We've never seen anything like that. I think Cam through

414
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Speaker 2: for four thousand yards. The big reason was came at

415
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Speaker 2: Steve Smith, Like, if you're going to bring in a

416
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Speaker 2: rookie quarterback and have a Hall of Famer wide receiver

417
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Speaker 2: with him, Steve Smith was the guy to do it with.

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Speaker 2: Right that that was a perfect one to two for

419
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Speaker 2: Cam Newton. Anthony Richardson, Man, I am beyond hyped about

420
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Speaker 2: this kid. Like I think someone put up his numbers

421
00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:13,480
Speaker 2: the other day. He's six ' four and he wants

422
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Speaker 2: to play at two fifty. Six ' four playing at

423
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Speaker 2: two fifty and he can run a sub four four forty.

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Speaker 2: It's it's crazy. I can't believe he wasn't the first

425
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Speaker 2: or second quarterback drafted.

426
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Speaker 3: But it's irrelevant now. It's the deed is done.

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Speaker 2: He's on the Colts, and you know the Colts head

428
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Speaker 2: coach he did wonders with Jalen Hurts and now he's

429
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:37,920
Speaker 2: getting Anthony Richardson, an even bigger, better athlete. Now it's

430
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Speaker 2: a to me, it's a three year playing Anthony Richardson.

431
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Speaker 2: Do I think he's a come out this year? And

432
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:44,439
Speaker 2: I major make major mistakes? Of course, this kid is

433
00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:47,120
Speaker 2: just raw. He is a raw ball of town. So

434
00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:50,359
Speaker 2: I've been on them to win the division. I won't

435
00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 2: waste money there. Me and chat Alreid talked about it's

436
00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:54,120
Speaker 2: gonna either be Tennessee or nothing for me in this division.

437
00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:58,639
Speaker 2: But with the Colts six and a half over over underwins,

438
00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:02,040
Speaker 2: I like the value towards the over. To me, this

439
00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:03,639
Speaker 2: is a team that could easily get the seven to

440
00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:06,840
Speaker 2: eight wins this upcoming season, just because we talked about

441
00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:09,160
Speaker 2: this division has a lot of holes in it, and

442
00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 2: Chad knows we bet the Jaguars last year.

443
00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:13,320
Speaker 3: The Jaguars have not performed well on the road.

444
00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:15,720
Speaker 2: That's just not something they did well these last couple

445
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:18,040
Speaker 2: of years. They start the season on the road against

446
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 2: the Colts. That is a huge deal in a division

447
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:23,280
Speaker 2: like this, where if the Colts can just steal that

448
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:27,240
Speaker 2: one that first game, Chad, I love their odds to shift.

449
00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,200
Speaker 3: For them to go on the over to this win total.

450
00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:32,840
Speaker 2: So when it first opened, I thought six and a

451
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,000
Speaker 2: half was really high. The more I looked into it,

452
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:37,160
Speaker 2: the more Even Chad just talked about this this division,

453
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:40,080
Speaker 2: all the weaknesses these different teams have, I could easily

454
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:43,520
Speaker 2: see the Colts squeaking out seven wins. So to me,

455
00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:46,320
Speaker 2: if my favorite win total bet right now is this

456
00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:50,280
Speaker 2: one for this division, just because there's so much upside

457
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,040
Speaker 2: in a team that last year was just a down year.

458
00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:55,080
Speaker 2: And I know people are worried about what's going on

459
00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:56,760
Speaker 2: right now with the running back and tailor. As you

460
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:59,879
Speaker 2: can be back, you would be shocked to know this

461
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 2: the team actually performs better without Taylor on the field.

462
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:04,199
Speaker 2: Who knows if that would be different this year now

463
00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:07,280
Speaker 2: with another running quarterback. But I think Athey Richard is

464
00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:08,720
Speaker 2: going to make up for a lot of weaknesses they

465
00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:11,840
Speaker 2: had last year on this offense. So yeah, you can

466
00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:15,000
Speaker 2: tell chat I'm excited about this kid. So if you

467
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:16,520
Speaker 2: want to bet Rookie of the Year with him with

468
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:18,520
Speaker 2: me offensive Rookie the Year, I also love that bet

469
00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:20,440
Speaker 2: as well. I just think this kid has the highest

470
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,080
Speaker 2: upside of any of these other quarterbacks. But as you

471
00:24:23,080 --> 00:24:25,800
Speaker 2: say here right now, I just I can't bet them divisionalize.

472
00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:28,280
Speaker 2: I just the gap between them Tennessee and the Jaguars

473
00:24:28,359 --> 00:24:30,600
Speaker 2: is still pretty big. So I still think those two

474
00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 2: are much much higher up. If they gave any ten

475
00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:36,640
Speaker 2: to one, I would think about it. But yeah, at

476
00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:39,439
Speaker 2: the current six to one odds for them to win

477
00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:43,360
Speaker 2: this division, that's not fair. Give give us better odds, sportsbooks.

478
00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:49,040
Speaker 1: I want to quickly remind people that you've heard us

479
00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:53,440
Speaker 1: talk a lot about game Time all off season long.

480
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:57,120
Speaker 1: It's the fastest growing ticketing app in the United States.

481
00:24:57,520 --> 00:24:59,840
Speaker 1: I love game Time, honestly, I use it all the time.

482
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:02,320
Speaker 1: And if you're looking to get out to a pro

483
00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:05,160
Speaker 1: college game this week or even in a concert, game

484
00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:10,959
Speaker 1: Time has amazing. I emphasize amazing last minute deals on

485
00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:14,360
Speaker 1: tickets to all of these. I'm actually opening the game

486
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,280
Speaker 1: Time app right now from my house. And why do

487
00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 1: I emphasize amazing Because you can go see Pete Alonso

488
00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:30,560
Speaker 1: and the amazing New York Mets for six dollars tonight,

489
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:35,680
Speaker 1: get in price six dollars, come on Pete Alonso jacket Homers.

490
00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:38,440
Speaker 1: No matter where you live, download the game Time app,

491
00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:40,960
Speaker 1: get out and have some fun this week. You deserve

492
00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:44,640
Speaker 1: it and you can redeem code favorites for twenty dollars

493
00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:47,800
Speaker 1: off your first purchase. Terms apply again. Just download the

494
00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:49,840
Speaker 1: app and hear your code favorites for twenty dollars off.

495
00:25:49,960 --> 00:25:52,879
Speaker 1: Download Game Time Today, last minute tickets, lowest price guaranteed,

496
00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:56,080
Speaker 1: no joke. You guys know how much I love Game Time.

497
00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:59,600
Speaker 1: I have two more things to say about the Indianapolis cults.

498
00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:03,280
Speaker 1: Number One, you hit the nail on the head about

499
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:07,359
Speaker 1: Week one. How many years we've been doing this together?

500
00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:12,679
Speaker 1: Three four years? Every year do we not identify the

501
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:15,880
Speaker 1: Week one value bet that makes everyone sick to their

502
00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:20,080
Speaker 1: stomach that nobody wants to bet because you are taking

503
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:24,240
Speaker 1: You are fading the over hyped team for the team

504
00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:28,679
Speaker 1: that you're afraid might not win any games. Normally, that

505
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:32,560
Speaker 1: game is the Jags as huge underdogs against the Colts.

506
00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:36,119
Speaker 1: This year it could be the Colts as underdogs against

507
00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:38,080
Speaker 1: the Jacks. And then you know what will immediately do.

508
00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:43,280
Speaker 1: We will immediately see how divisional lodge change or anything

509
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:46,359
Speaker 1: else changes for the Jacksonville Jaguars and see if we

510
00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:49,600
Speaker 1: can get any value right, because they will have lost

511
00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:51,399
Speaker 1: a game. And that's what you start to do. You

512
00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:54,000
Speaker 1: start to plan ahead, you think about the investment opportunity,

513
00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:56,040
Speaker 1: you got to be considering that.

514
00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:59,080
Speaker 2: That's what thinks though, is the books have gotten smarter,

515
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:01,920
Speaker 2: where just four or five years ago this line would

516
00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:04,399
Speaker 2: have been seven seven and a half. Like the books

517
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:06,879
Speaker 2: would have happily put up this seven to seven and

518
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:09,040
Speaker 2: a half. The public has still been all over the Jaguars.

519
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:09,560
Speaker 3: They would have the.

520
00:27:09,560 --> 00:27:12,440
Speaker 2: Jaguars and all their teasers, but they're just smart now,

521
00:27:12,520 --> 00:27:13,400
Speaker 2: I mean three and a half.

522
00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:16,600
Speaker 3: Three, Yeah, Chad just nailed it.

523
00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:19,080
Speaker 2: Everyone in their grandma's be betting on the Jaguars, and

524
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:20,760
Speaker 2: me and Chad are gonna hold our nose and just

525
00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:23,120
Speaker 2: take the Colts. And I hate taking a rookie head

526
00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:25,480
Speaker 2: coach on a rookie QB in Week one, but this

527
00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:28,280
Speaker 2: is just prime example of you just gotta hold your

528
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:31,080
Speaker 2: nose and take this team divisional home dog week one.

529
00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:34,639
Speaker 2: I believe it hits at over six percent rate historically,

530
00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:37,040
Speaker 2: So again, we'll have more trends as to be closer

531
00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 2: a Week one, but this is just one of those

532
00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:41,080
Speaker 2: plays we don't have a choice, Like me and Chad

533
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:43,840
Speaker 2: will make bets all season where there's no we had

534
00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:46,120
Speaker 2: no other option to take set said side.

535
00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:47,199
Speaker 3: This is one of them.

536
00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:50,120
Speaker 2: You're getting a Colts team at the lowest value point

537
00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:52,159
Speaker 2: of the season, Jaguars team at the peak value of

538
00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:53,920
Speaker 2: the season, even though the season just started.

539
00:27:54,280 --> 00:27:56,640
Speaker 3: This is like literally peak value of the Jaguars team.

540
00:27:57,160 --> 00:28:02,240
Speaker 1: Betting means doing ugly things ever too early to remind

541
00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:04,160
Speaker 1: people of that they're going to be doing with us

542
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,040
Speaker 1: all season long. The other thing I'll say about the Colts,

543
00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:11,240
Speaker 1: so their online according to PFF, is tenth best in

544
00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:16,320
Speaker 1: the NFL, and Quentin Nilson is still considered their best

545
00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:20,080
Speaker 1: offensive lineman, but he was dominant for three years and

546
00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:23,360
Speaker 1: has been subpar for the past two years. I want

547
00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:25,080
Speaker 1: to make it. I want to make I want to

548
00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:26,840
Speaker 1: I want to say one thing. I want to say

549
00:28:26,840 --> 00:28:29,920
Speaker 1: one thing. I want to make sure that we don't

550
00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:33,560
Speaker 1: start to think of Quentin Nilson as Jeremy Shockey. Remember

551
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:36,760
Speaker 1: Shocky and he came into the league and in those

552
00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:39,560
Speaker 1: preseason games he had a couple of beatdowns of players

553
00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:44,000
Speaker 1: where he just steamrolled them, and because it happened, and

554
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:47,960
Speaker 1: you know, for the time went what we consider to

555
00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:51,480
Speaker 1: be viral, and so he became a player that everyone

556
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:53,160
Speaker 1: thought was going to be the next great tight end.

557
00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:59,560
Speaker 1: Are Quentin Nelson's expectations so much higher because he had

558
00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:03,320
Speaker 1: those videos for the first two or three years of

559
00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:06,960
Speaker 1: his career and he's since been injured, and now the

560
00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:10,160
Speaker 1: expectation is he's not as good as he was, or

561
00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:13,440
Speaker 1: he maybe he was never as good as he portrayed

562
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:16,880
Speaker 1: as he was portrayed because of the combination of how

563
00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:20,720
Speaker 1: well he was playing early on and those videos.

564
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:23,400
Speaker 2: I just rememberhen he first came in the league. I'm

565
00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:25,360
Speaker 2: almost spoused of his rookie year. The Eagles played against

566
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:28,080
Speaker 2: him and he blocked up Fletcher Cox one on one

567
00:29:28,600 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 2: and I was like, holy shit, who is this rookie

568
00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:34,000
Speaker 2: right now for this Colts team? But I love your

569
00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:36,160
Speaker 2: shocky point. I feel like the Shaki thing is a classic.

570
00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:39,160
Speaker 2: If you're a white guy with tattoos and long hair

571
00:29:39,240 --> 00:29:41,040
Speaker 2: and you had a great name, you're.

572
00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:41,600
Speaker 3: Going to be successful.

573
00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 2: In the early two thousands, people are going to be

574
00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:45,240
Speaker 2: about it. And you know, he put it the U

575
00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:48,320
Speaker 2: and he just had a great name. Shocky was literally

576
00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:50,120
Speaker 2: the best name. I don't know why it doesn't even

577
00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:51,760
Speaker 2: sound that cool now that keeps saying it, But at

578
00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:54,920
Speaker 2: the time, I remember thinking, this guy is cool as shit, shocky,

579
00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:56,360
Speaker 2: he was cool.

580
00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:58,480
Speaker 1: We put him on the cover of ESPN the magazine,

581
00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:01,360
Speaker 1: and when it was over, when it was over, I'm like,

582
00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:03,760
Speaker 1: I think we just put a guy in the cover

583
00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:07,760
Speaker 1: for having a good preseason game. Yeah, you know, yeah,

584
00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:11,480
Speaker 1: that was basically it. All right, onto the Houston Texans

585
00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:15,120
Speaker 1: and you make a good point there plus eight hundred.

586
00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:17,600
Speaker 1: Their season win total is five and a half, which

587
00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:20,040
Speaker 1: good for the Texans. It's actually higher than it's been

588
00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:23,200
Speaker 1: in the past couple of years, and we were still

589
00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:25,840
Speaker 1: betting the under four and a half.

590
00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:27,640
Speaker 3: C J.

591
00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:32,280
Speaker 1: Stroud, like, I was a huge c J. Stroud fan.

592
00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:35,880
Speaker 1: I think I think it's very possible he will end

593
00:30:35,920 --> 00:30:39,360
Speaker 1: up grading out as a better NFL player than Bryce Young.

594
00:30:40,440 --> 00:30:42,360
Speaker 1: I just like his body type and I like his

595
00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:44,920
Speaker 1: game better. I think there's more opportunity for him to

596
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:48,200
Speaker 1: last longer. Here's what's really interesting to me about the

597
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:53,200
Speaker 1: Houston Texans. They may have the best lineman in the

598
00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:56,560
Speaker 1: NFL in Laramie Tunsel. And if you had said to

599
00:30:56,600 --> 00:31:03,240
Speaker 1: me on draft night of whatever year Army Tonsil was drafted, yeah,

600
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:05,800
Speaker 1: that he was going to grade out as one of

601
00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:08,960
Speaker 1: the best linemen in the NFL, and get massive deals

602
00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:10,720
Speaker 1: and be a guy that people are thinking about trading

603
00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:13,680
Speaker 1: for giving up first round picks for I would have

604
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:14,360
Speaker 1: lost that bet.

605
00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:16,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, those are the days when when people are scared

606
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 2: of football players smoking weed.

607
00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:20,200
Speaker 3: Those are those are the days, Chad.

608
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:23,520
Speaker 1: Well, they were scared of football players smoking weed in

609
00:31:23,600 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 1: what looked like a combination of alien bain masks. It

610
00:31:29,840 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 1: wasn't the weed so much as it was like the

611
00:31:32,840 --> 00:31:36,600
Speaker 1: full on mask effect that I think really got people anxious.

612
00:31:36,880 --> 00:31:40,040
Speaker 3: You never did the gas mask yet, no.

613
00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:43,000
Speaker 1: Signon I didn't do the fucking gas mask.

614
00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:44,760
Speaker 3: Uh. Yeah.

615
00:31:44,760 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 2: It was definitely one of those where that was like

616
00:31:46,600 --> 00:31:48,960
Speaker 2: just a hilarious thing to do. The fact that he

617
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:51,400
Speaker 2: took a video of himself, sent it to people and

618
00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:53,360
Speaker 2: then was shocked. That's when we released it on the

619
00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:56,239
Speaker 2: night he got was about supposed to get drafted. Not

620
00:31:56,320 --> 00:31:59,080
Speaker 2: at all, but yeah, I'll do I'll go quick on Houston.

621
00:32:00,600 --> 00:32:03,280
Speaker 2: They gave up their next year's first round pick to

622
00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:08,640
Speaker 2: take a d end. Not good, not a good smart move. Now,

623
00:32:08,680 --> 00:32:11,000
Speaker 2: when you're saying if he works out right, if he

624
00:32:11,120 --> 00:32:15,000
Speaker 2: is Nick Bosa, okay, maybe we will forgive them down

625
00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:16,800
Speaker 2: the road. But as you say here right now, it

626
00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:18,840
Speaker 2: just it just won't make sense to me that they

627
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:21,320
Speaker 2: gave up that for a d end like you got

628
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:22,600
Speaker 2: your franchise quarterback.

629
00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:24,960
Speaker 3: I know for a fact that Gym was.

630
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:27,480
Speaker 2: Pissed off and made that move because he goes, fine,

631
00:32:27,520 --> 00:32:29,240
Speaker 2: if I'm making this move for the owner, I want

632
00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 2: to make my own move and make my own stamp

633
00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:34,840
Speaker 2: on this team. So yeah, CJ, we were in lockstep

634
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:36,280
Speaker 2: with that chat. I think you had him measure number

635
00:32:36,280 --> 00:32:39,240
Speaker 2: one quarterback in this draft. Only first round grades I

636
00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:41,320
Speaker 2: had graded out was on him and Anthony Richardson. I

637
00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:45,600
Speaker 2: had a second round grade on you know, Will Levis.

638
00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:47,200
Speaker 2: Say what you want about him. He did go in

639
00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:48,960
Speaker 2: the second round. I think Tennessee said they would have

640
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 2: traded up and Bryce Young. I'm on an island there. Clearly,

641
00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:54,200
Speaker 2: most most guys, most scouts I talked to about a

642
00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:56,560
Speaker 2: first round grade on him, I just couldn't get past

643
00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:58,360
Speaker 2: his height and his weight. To me, that's just not

644
00:32:59,080 --> 00:33:02,400
Speaker 2: It's not built for longevity in this league. So if

645
00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 2: Houston wants to Crosses five and a half, they need

646
00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:08,160
Speaker 2: CJ to have a really, really good first year there.

647
00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:12,040
Speaker 2: And I just don't think they have the pieces around

648
00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:15,440
Speaker 2: them right now, Like his best weapon of offense. Is

649
00:33:15,440 --> 00:33:17,320
Speaker 2: why receiver Widse might be a kid named Tank who

650
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:19,040
Speaker 2: they took and I think the third or fourth round

651
00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:21,040
Speaker 2: that's not really great for.

652
00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 1: A think is not a name. Tank is what you do.

653
00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:27,400
Speaker 3: Tank tn T A NK.

654
00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:29,560
Speaker 1: Get it. Tank is what you do.

655
00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:32,640
Speaker 3: I was like, yeah, had me there for a second.

656
00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:36,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just one hundred and seventy five to one

657
00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:37,880
Speaker 2: for them. Do win the super Bowl is all you

658
00:33:37,920 --> 00:33:40,320
Speaker 2: need to know about this team. So won't be touching

659
00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:43,640
Speaker 2: any of the super Bowl Futures Division odds. Again, they're

660
00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:45,760
Speaker 2: only eight to one. That's the same odds we had

661
00:33:45,800 --> 00:33:48,880
Speaker 2: in late August on that Jaguars team last year. I

662
00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:50,800
Speaker 2: don't get why this is in fifteen to one, sixteen

663
00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:53,480
Speaker 2: to one. It's just it's a weird, weird number of

664
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:55,960
Speaker 2: the books hanging here with this this team. So no

665
00:33:56,040 --> 00:33:58,640
Speaker 2: value there either, just value on the under. This This

666
00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:01,760
Speaker 2: is a team that I just don't see them getting

667
00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:03,960
Speaker 2: to four or five wins. They feel like another three

668
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:06,960
Speaker 2: win season for them, and I think next year's a

669
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:08,000
Speaker 2: year they'll make the jump.

670
00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:08,279
Speaker 3: Right.

671
00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:09,880
Speaker 2: They have a lot of young talent on this team.

672
00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:13,600
Speaker 2: They have a new rookie head coach. Next year is

673
00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:16,440
Speaker 2: the year Houston. So this is another low total. I'm

674
00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:17,440
Speaker 2: gonna be taking the underwrun.

675
00:34:19,040 --> 00:34:23,719
Speaker 1: Yeah. I love Demiko Ryans. I'm a huge fan. I

676
00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:26,360
Speaker 1: feel like he's gonna do great things with this team.

677
00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:31,000
Speaker 1: I want Will Anderson to do so well. I have

678
00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:39,640
Speaker 1: so much enthusiasm and I like everybody, I'm rooting for him. Yeah,

679
00:34:39,680 --> 00:34:41,920
Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet him. I'm gonna bet him every week

680
00:34:42,080 --> 00:34:46,239
Speaker 1: because every week they're gonna be big, big underdogs. And

681
00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:48,960
Speaker 1: last year they you know, they did the right thing.

682
00:34:49,680 --> 00:34:52,279
Speaker 1: They tried to win, They did the right thing. The

683
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:55,160
Speaker 1: Bear's got the number one overall pick. Good for them.

684
00:34:55,840 --> 00:35:02,359
Speaker 1: Reappreciate it. Crazy, Yeah, I know, I know totally. As

685
00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:06,960
Speaker 1: a reminder, the Favorites Podcast is proudly presented by Bet

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Speaker 1: All right, let's recap here for a second. So in

693
00:35:33,280 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 1: the AFC South, we like the Titans at plus three twenty.

694
00:35:38,600 --> 00:35:42,040
Speaker 1: We like the Jags over nine and a half wins,

695
00:35:42,040 --> 00:35:45,239
Speaker 1: but no value in terms of the pricing because the

696
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:48,359
Speaker 1: over is right now minus one forty. Again, all these

697
00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:53,120
Speaker 1: numbers are from BET three six five, and we probably

698
00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:57,719
Speaker 1: like Houston under five and a half wins. Also a

699
00:35:57,760 --> 00:35:59,440
Speaker 1: lot of juice at minus one sixty.

700
00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:02,879
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I would say my favorite, my favorite bet

701
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:05,880
Speaker 3: right now is the Cults over win total. But right,

702
00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:10,080
Speaker 3: I also love Anthony Richardson Rookie of the Year.

703
00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:12,279
Speaker 2: I just I just think if he can flash and

704
00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:14,120
Speaker 2: he can really show out, he is the best best

705
00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:16,920
Speaker 2: chance of really just taking the world by storm.

706
00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:20,280
Speaker 3: Like people, we love the athletic fun to watch quarterback.

707
00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:21,920
Speaker 2: I mean Justin Field's rough top of the head is

708
00:36:21,960 --> 00:36:23,759
Speaker 2: that kind of guy, Like I can't stop watching Justin

709
00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:26,800
Speaker 2: field highlights thinking about the same effect here with Anthony Richardson.

710
00:36:27,560 --> 00:36:32,120
Speaker 1: This has been the AFC South Divisional preview from the

711
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:35,359
Speaker 1: Favorites podcast presented by BET three six five. We are

712
00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:38,560
Speaker 1: part of the Action Network. I am Chad Millman. He

713
00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:43,440
Speaker 1: is Simon Hunter. Download the podcast from Apple Podcasts from Spotify,

714
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Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts, rate reviews, subscribe, leave us

715
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Speaker 1: five stars, say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift.

716
00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:59,120
Speaker 1: Until next time. I Love you. Action Network reminds you

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