1 00:00:02,600 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:08,039 --> 00:00:10,959 Speaker 2: Berkley's Energy Investor Conference kicking off today in New York. 3 00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 2: Baker Hugh CEO Lorenzo similarly attending following a better than 4 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 2: expected earnings report earlier this summer, the company seeing high 5 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:21,320 Speaker 2: demand for its drilling services and equipment in international markets 6 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:23,080 Speaker 2: and places to say that. Joining us around the table 7 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:25,599 Speaker 2: is Lorenzo. Good morning, sir, great to be with you. 8 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 2: Let's talk about the outlook you raised the midpoint of 9 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 2: that outlook, competitors did not a similar story with competitors, though, 10 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:35,880 Speaker 2: was this better international bankdrop compared to say, what's happening domestically? 11 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:38,360 Speaker 2: What explains that divide does emergent right now? 12 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 3: I think, first of all, as you look at Baker Hughes, 13 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 3: the strength of our portfolio is much broader than just 14 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:48,199 Speaker 3: oil field services, and so as you look at the 15 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 3: results that we posted in second quarter and also the 16 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:54,280 Speaker 3: increase in guidance, it's really based on that total portfolio 17 00:00:54,440 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 3: capability that we have that extends into rotating equipment, compression 18 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:02,040 Speaker 3: and INDUS short sectors as well. As you look at 19 00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:06,440 Speaker 3: the international markets, again, they are going to continue to grow. 20 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:08,640 Speaker 3: And again we said at the beginning of the year 21 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:12,759 Speaker 3: we would see high single digit growth in the international markets. 22 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 3: We retain that view as we go into the second half, 23 00:01:15,800 --> 00:01:18,319 Speaker 3: and as we go into twenty twenty five, the growth 24 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 3: will still be there, it will decelerate, and it's really 25 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:24,679 Speaker 3: driven by the demand that you're seeing internationally. When you 26 00:01:24,720 --> 00:01:27,840 Speaker 3: look at the exports, for example, from Saudi Arabia, a 27 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 3: lot of that goes to other countries, very little comes 28 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 3: into North America or goes into the developed marketplace. It 29 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:39,319 Speaker 3: really is a developing market aspect, and the growing population 30 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 3: and demand for energy globally is increasing. 31 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:44,560 Speaker 2: Can you talk to us about the headwinds domestically and 32 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 2: where they're coming from. Is it off the back of 33 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 2: the consolidation we've seen, we see more careful spending. Is 34 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 2: it off the back and lower prices? What's driving it? 35 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:55,840 Speaker 3: There's definitely a lot of the aspects of consolidation that 36 00:01:55,880 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 3: have taken place. There's efficiency also that you're seeing within 37 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:04,160 Speaker 3: the puction which has enabled production to stay relatively flat 38 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 3: and increasing in some cases. And so domestically, I think 39 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 3: again we continue to see weakness as we look at 40 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:14,120 Speaker 3: the second half of twenty twenty four, and then also 41 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:16,800 Speaker 3: in twenty twenty five, really looking at North America to 42 00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 3: be flatish. The gas market may be increasing somewhat, but 43 00:02:20,919 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 3: North America is really the operators are being very pragmatic 44 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:28,320 Speaker 3: with their balance sheet, and again, capital discipline is the 45 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:28,960 Speaker 3: name of the game. 46 00:02:29,240 --> 00:02:31,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, you need a lot less capital now to produce 47 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:34,320 Speaker 1: even more oil than you had in the past. But 48 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:36,000 Speaker 1: you think it's going to be flat. Some of the 49 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:39,239 Speaker 1: numbers we've run actually see thirteen point nine million barrels 50 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 1: a day coming from North America and then fourteen in 51 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five. Do you think that's an accurate trajectory? 52 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 3: Again, if you look at between thirteen point nine and fourteen, 53 00:02:50,160 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 3: you're looking at a very slight difference, and again it's 54 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:56,480 Speaker 3: driven by the efficiency. It's very transactional in North America. 55 00:02:56,760 --> 00:02:58,680 Speaker 3: So I think it's early to call right now and 56 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:01,799 Speaker 3: will continue to monitor it. Baker Hughes is much more 57 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:05,520 Speaker 3: focused on the production side and also the chemical side, 58 00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:08,320 Speaker 3: and I think what we are seeing is really a 59 00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:13,679 Speaker 3: focus on existing wells and also improving recovery rates from 60 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:18,080 Speaker 3: existing wells, and that's where the mature assets solutions that 61 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 3: we provide actually have a huge opportunity and It's actually 62 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:27,000 Speaker 3: important to remember seventy percent of the world's production comes 63 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 3: from mature wells, and that's a well that's been in 64 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 3: operation for over twenty five years or has fifty percent 65 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:37,680 Speaker 3: of its reserve depleted. If you're able to increase the 66 00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:41,560 Speaker 3: reserve recovery by one percent, you're going to add two 67 00:03:41,560 --> 00:03:45,040 Speaker 3: to three years of the production required globally. So there's 68 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 3: a big focus on capital discipline and maximizing the recovery 69 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:52,280 Speaker 3: rates from the mature assets that are available. 70 00:03:52,440 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 1: You also mentioned gas. Can we talk about liquefied natural 71 00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:58,120 Speaker 1: gas because yesterday we actually saw the Energy Department go 72 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 1: ahead with an export licen Since because the Biden mormonitorium 73 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 1: on the export license, the courts have pushed back. Is 74 00:04:07,200 --> 00:04:09,360 Speaker 1: that a sign that potentially we could see more LERG 75 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:10,200 Speaker 1: come online. 76 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 3: First of all, very pleased that the license was given 77 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:16,839 Speaker 3: and congratulations to the team there. I think as you 78 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:22,679 Speaker 3: look at the global expectations, it's that the monitorium actually 79 00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:25,359 Speaker 3: ceases in twenty twenty five. As you look at the 80 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 3: LNG demand is expected to increase. We've predicted that by 81 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:33,520 Speaker 3: twenty thirty we need an installed based capacity of eight 82 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 3: hundred million tons per annum and the US can contribute 83 00:04:37,320 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 3: to that. That being said, you know, you're never sure 84 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:43,880 Speaker 3: until it's done, and international projects are continuing to go 85 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 3: forward as well, so the LNG will be available and 86 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:51,200 Speaker 3: hopefully the United States also participates as it's got plenty 87 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 3: of gas that it can explore. A big focus on 88 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:55,839 Speaker 3: this program over the last I would say six months 89 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:58,039 Speaker 3: or so, I has been the burden that's going to 90 00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:00,279 Speaker 3: emerge on the energy grid in this country in the 91 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:03,279 Speaker 3: next several years. Every single day we talk about Nvidia 92 00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:07,480 Speaker 3: and Capex spend coming from some major tech players spending money, 93 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:11,040 Speaker 3: throwing money at data centers. Can you walk us through 94 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:13,920 Speaker 3: just the scale of demand you're expecting to see and 95 00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:16,719 Speaker 3: what you're hearing from some of these utility providers and 96 00:05:16,760 --> 00:05:19,159 Speaker 3: some of these companies, these tech firms and the need 97 00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:22,840 Speaker 3: for off grid solutions that you can provide. How big 98 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:26,040 Speaker 3: is that growth opportunity for you? It is a significant 99 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 3: growth opportunity. And I think you said earlier this isn't 100 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:33,200 Speaker 3: just about today. It is a long term trend. If 101 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:35,640 Speaker 3: you look at some of the statistics out there, generator 102 00:05:35,680 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 3: of AI, the consumption of electricity by data centers, it's 103 00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 3: expected to double by twenty twenty six. That's going from 104 00:05:43,800 --> 00:05:48,080 Speaker 3: two percent to four percent of the electricity usage. Think 105 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:51,120 Speaker 3: about that, that's the same amount of electricity that Japan 106 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:55,920 Speaker 3: uses on an annual basis. So from an installed capacity perspective, 107 00:05:56,320 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 3: it's a significant increase. What do we have as a 108 00:05:59,080 --> 00:06:04,760 Speaker 3: challenge grid stability and also I live in Houston today, 109 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:08,360 Speaker 3: I have power outages on a continuous basis and we 110 00:06:08,440 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 3: need off grid solutions and that's where distributed power comes in. 111 00:06:13,000 --> 00:06:18,039 Speaker 3: That's where opportunities for modular capabilities of gas turbines that 112 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:22,440 Speaker 3: are packaged, smaller off grid and they provide the stability 113 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:26,760 Speaker 3: to the data centers for ongoing operations. Because the other 114 00:06:26,800 --> 00:06:32,400 Speaker 3: important aspect is intermittency is important because a data center 115 00:06:32,480 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 3: can't go down, so you need to have that consistency 116 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:37,239 Speaker 3: of power generation. 117 00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:39,440 Speaker 2: What does growth look like in this area currently and 118 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:41,280 Speaker 2: what will growth look like in the years to come 119 00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 2: for you exclusively specifically for us. 120 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 3: If you look at the industrial gas turbines that we 121 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:50,800 Speaker 3: provide significant opportunity. Just look at the ratio of the 122 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 3: increase on the electricity utilization from two to four percent. 123 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:58,600 Speaker 3: So we're looking and working with the hyperscalers looking at 124 00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:02,239 Speaker 3: the ecosystem, we're looking at the opportunity of mini gas 125 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:04,039 Speaker 3: turbans being sold into this market. 126 00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 2: What's the overall contribution to your revenue mix do you 127 00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:09,080 Speaker 2: expect to come from that in the next, say several years. 128 00:07:09,120 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 2: The reason I asked that question is we've seen a 129 00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:13,680 Speaker 2: big rally in utility companies in line with the rally 130 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 2: we've seen in AI firms, and if we're to sit 131 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,520 Speaker 2: here today and think about the changing characteristics of your stock, 132 00:07:18,960 --> 00:07:21,720 Speaker 2: I need to know what the contribution from that area 133 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:23,680 Speaker 2: would be to the overall top and bottom line. What's 134 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:25,160 Speaker 2: that going to look like in years to come. 135 00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:27,600 Speaker 3: As we look at it, and again, this could be 136 00:07:27,640 --> 00:07:31,119 Speaker 3: from five hundred megawatts to one point five gig watts, 137 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:33,480 Speaker 3: and that's what we're looking at from a scaling perspective, 138 00:07:33,720 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 3: and again from a dollar perspective, it's going to range 139 00:07:37,160 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 3: based on five hundred million to potentially larger, and it's 140 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:42,280 Speaker 3: going to come over a series of years. As we 141 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:45,280 Speaker 3: go forward. We look at it as a major new 142 00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:49,320 Speaker 3: area that we can focus on. We've participated before and 143 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:52,640 Speaker 3: we've played in distributed power generation, and we look at 144 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:54,600 Speaker 3: this as a growth factor for Baker hues. 145 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 1: A big concern to the US energy industry has always 146 00:07:57,440 --> 00:08:00,680 Speaker 1: been the cyber attacks, whether it's colonial, it's really happened 147 00:08:00,720 --> 00:08:03,200 Speaker 1: with Halliburton. Have you seen any impact. 148 00:08:04,120 --> 00:08:08,400 Speaker 3: So we haven't seen any impact. Again, though we're very vigilant. Obviously, 149 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 3: cybersecurity is a big concern for everybody, and we're all 150 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:15,520 Speaker 3: taking the measures accordingly to put the controls in place 151 00:08:15,640 --> 00:08:18,240 Speaker 3: and very much vigilant on a daily basis. 152 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 1: What does that look like meaning being vigilant? Is it 153 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 1: having the proper systems in place? Is there a lot 154 00:08:23,840 --> 00:08:26,640 Speaker 1: of communication with the US government. 155 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:30,600 Speaker 3: There's definitely a communication that takes place across the sector, 156 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 3: and there's also trade associations that discuss it. From a 157 00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:37,960 Speaker 3: standpoint of vigilance, it means making sure that we're doing 158 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:41,160 Speaker 3: our own testing on our own systems, making sure that 159 00:08:41,200 --> 00:08:43,679 Speaker 3: we're putting in the controls, we're patching with the new 160 00:08:43,720 --> 00:08:47,920 Speaker 3: security that's available, and also doing our own fishing exercises. 161 00:08:48,280 --> 00:08:51,720 Speaker 3: And so we've got a team that continuously Red Team, 162 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:54,800 Speaker 3: Blue Team, and we test our own systems. But I 163 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:57,720 Speaker 3: also say you can never be too careful, and you've 164 00:08:57,720 --> 00:08:59,880 Speaker 3: got to stay vigilant, and you've got to be prepared. 165 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:01,520 Speaker 2: You've got a really busy day ahead of you. Before 166 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:03,760 Speaker 2: we let you go. This conversation's got to time arise 167 00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 2: in multiple decades the time horizing of this market. At 168 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:08,440 Speaker 2: the moments about five minutes, Can we just reflect on 169 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:11,760 Speaker 2: yesterday's price action? What's going on include energy markets at 170 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:14,320 Speaker 2: the moment. It's a real tangible concern from your side 171 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 2: around demand in China. What's it all about. 172 00:09:17,160 --> 00:09:19,360 Speaker 3: I think you're always going to have volatility on a 173 00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:21,600 Speaker 3: daily basis, and it's something we deal with in the 174 00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 3: business world. At the same time, leading a company, you've 175 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 3: got to focus on the fundamentals and the fundamentals of 176 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:31,960 Speaker 3: the long term tra directory and make the right investment decisions. 177 00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:34,200 Speaker 3: That's what we're doing at Baker Hughes. And if you 178 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:38,240 Speaker 3: look at the macro tailwinds, I think it's undeniable that 179 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:41,719 Speaker 3: energy demand is continuing to increase as you look at 180 00:09:41,720 --> 00:09:44,120 Speaker 3: the population and you look at the development of nations. 181 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:46,760 Speaker 3: You also look at developed nations that are now seeing 182 00:09:46,800 --> 00:09:49,440 Speaker 3: that they don't have enough energy as well, such as 183 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:51,720 Speaker 3: here in the United States. So we look at the 184 00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:55,200 Speaker 3: macro aspect and we're definitely seeing positive tailwinds. 185 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:57,400 Speaker 2: Do you feel like the attitude of fossil fuels has 186 00:09:57,440 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 2: shifted in the last twelve months. Do you think government's 187 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 2: particular in the West, have had a bit of a 188 00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:01,720 Speaker 2: reality check. 189 00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 3: I think there is an understanding that it's not just 190 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:10,199 Speaker 3: about an energy transition, it's also about an energy expansion, 191 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:14,199 Speaker 3: and it's not about the fuel type. It's about reducing emissions. 192 00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 3: And that's where gas plays a key role, because it 193 00:10:17,320 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 3: is abundant, it's available, and you need affordable, secure, reliable energy. 194 00:10:24,320 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 2: Lorenzo, appreciate it. You got a long down ahead of you. 195 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:29,120 Speaker 2: Thanks for your time. Thank you, Thank you, sir Lorenzo. Similarly, 196 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:31,120 Speaker 2: there the baker Hughes c EO