WEBVTT - Meta Touts Metaverse’s Potential for Job Training

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Wait inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 1>global business finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's talk about a little some fun, a little bit

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<v Speaker 2>something new, and that is the meta verse. That's something

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<v Speaker 2>that we associate with Meta. The company the Facebook actually

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<v Speaker 2>changed their names Go Figure from Facebook to Meta, even

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<v Speaker 2>though Facebook is still ninety nine point nine percent of

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<v Speaker 2>the company's revenue.

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<v Speaker 1>But you go Figure.

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<v Speaker 2>A consultant got involved there at some point. I'm sure

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<v Speaker 2>Dana Brown joins us. He's a president of the America's

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<v Speaker 2>for HTC. He joined his life here on a Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 2>Interactive broker studio. Dan, you guys got got a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of experience in this a few years. Just kind of

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<v Speaker 2>the metaverse. What does the metaverse? And I'm speaking for

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<v Speaker 2>all metaverse shareholders here, and I own like lots of stock.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's say I'm a big institutional shareholder. I don't know

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<v Speaker 2>what my company's name means. What is the metaverse to you?

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<v Speaker 3>That's super interesting?

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<v Speaker 4>The metaverse is really this long term vision right, where

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<v Speaker 4>we interact in a digital space together, much like we

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<v Speaker 4>do with the Internet today. You will be able to

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<v Speaker 4>use this in the future with products and wearables and

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<v Speaker 4>glasses that do things like augmented reality, virtual reality.

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<v Speaker 3>All the same time.

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<v Speaker 4>We're in a space of the metaverse today that's very

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<v Speaker 4>applicable to enterprise businesses, applic real world application.

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<v Speaker 5>You're doing it already, that's right, idea, right, I mean,

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<v Speaker 5>Mark Zuckerberg, I think if I can speculate a little, Paul,

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<v Speaker 5>I'm gonna say they were in a period where they

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<v Speaker 5>just didn't want to be called Facebook anymore. It kind

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<v Speaker 5>of sucked to be Facebook at that time, so they

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<v Speaker 5>picked a new name, any name, and that's where they landed.

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<v Speaker 5>They're not really doing metaverse stuff yet, except for the

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<v Speaker 5>fact that they had bought Oculus Rift and they're spending guys,

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<v Speaker 5>and they're spending a ton of money on it. But Dan,

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<v Speaker 5>you guys at h TC are already doing things right.

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<v Speaker 5>You're allowing what pilots to practice fighter jets or brain

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<v Speaker 5>surgeons to practice messing around in your head.

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<v Speaker 6>With what headsets.

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<v Speaker 4>So we build virtual reality products, also mixed reality products,

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<v Speaker 4>which is a wearable glasses that much just like glasses

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<v Speaker 4>where you can actually interact with the real world objects

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<v Speaker 4>as well as digital objects. Right. But we have been

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<v Speaker 4>doing this for the last six plus years, and we

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<v Speaker 4>have been working in healthcare with doctors, nurses, training, simulation, healthcare,

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<v Speaker 4>with rehabilitation. We have made improvements in speed of training,

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<v Speaker 4>speed of learning. We have made significant improvements in just

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<v Speaker 4>overall performance human performance. And that's what our brand actually

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<v Speaker 4>stands for. It actually stands for innovation, technology and humanity,

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<v Speaker 4>and we want to bring value to a lot of

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<v Speaker 4>real world applications for immersive solutions.

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<v Speaker 5>So if we're going to compare what you're doing HTC

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<v Speaker 5>to another company, I wouldn't choose Meta, No, I would

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<v Speaker 5>choose Apple. And what I assume they're the direction. I

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<v Speaker 5>assume they're going to go with whatever product they come

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<v Speaker 5>out with. Whenever they do, you're looking to actually apply

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<v Speaker 5>it to human lives and the way we can use

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<v Speaker 5>them today, not like I can have a tail and

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<v Speaker 5>bounce around some fantasy land.

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<v Speaker 7>Right.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I think you know.

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<v Speaker 4>Initially too, there's there is that fun gaming and entertainment

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<v Speaker 4>side of it. But we have a lot of gaming

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<v Speaker 4>and entertainment products out there vuying for our attention, I think,

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<v Speaker 4>and also we assume our customers are using it to

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<v Speaker 4>benefit them.

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<v Speaker 3>They are not the product.

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<v Speaker 5>We're talking to Dan O'Brien, he's the president of the

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<v Speaker 5>Americas and he's talking to us about technology that his

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<v Speaker 5>company has developed and is using. We keep thinking of

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<v Speaker 5>the metaverse as the future, but this is where professionals

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<v Speaker 5>are participating in it now. Dan, what do you what

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<v Speaker 5>do you do with the actual product? Do you if

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<v Speaker 5>you want to say, help a brain surgeon practice surgery,

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<v Speaker 5>do you sell a box of these things to.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, yeah, like.

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<v Speaker 5>Or or a university, or do you have them coming

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<v Speaker 5>and work with you? How do you do it?

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<v Speaker 4>So we actually have multiple models, but we actually the

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<v Speaker 4>most popular model is when another company, uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>we have companies like mind VR, we have x R Health,

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<v Speaker 4>we have multiple surgical partners. Those companies are actually integrated

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<v Speaker 4>inside of these hospitals or integrated inside of you know,

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<v Speaker 4>we have surgical theater. They're integrated into what they write

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<v Speaker 4>the software for your hardware and then they will actually

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<v Speaker 4>integrate and actually put that solution inside of the hospital.

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<v Speaker 3>We will promote that solution.

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<v Speaker 4>It could be a very specific SKEW, or we could

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<v Speaker 4>actually put together a SKU that has a lot of

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<v Speaker 4>different types of training materials on it and simulations on

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<v Speaker 4>it that works across multiple areas of the company.

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<v Speaker 5>And I feel like I know what a SKEW is,

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<v Speaker 5>but I don't really.

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<v Speaker 3>Sorry, Well, that's.

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<v Speaker 4>Just a boxed version of the product. So when they

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<v Speaker 4>open that product, that's what it actually is.

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<v Speaker 2>It's in stock keeping units us in the day's retail.

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<v Speaker 2>So give us your sense of the future of the

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<v Speaker 2>VR headset. What's a look like now, what are its

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<v Speaker 2>capabilities now, and how do you see that evolving going forward?

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<v Speaker 3>So like even our latest x ray.

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<v Speaker 4>Elite headset that we just launched a few months ago,

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<v Speaker 4>this is a wearable headset that fits on the front

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<v Speaker 4>and the back of your head, and it's still larger

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<v Speaker 4>and a little bit bulky, but you can actually take

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<v Speaker 4>the back off and have it in glasses only mode.

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<v Speaker 4>It's about the same weight as an iPhone, so very comfortable.

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<v Speaker 3>Light it needsy to use.

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<v Speaker 4>In the future, where we are going is we're going

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<v Speaker 4>to integrate five G technology, just like a smartphone into

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<v Speaker 4>these wearable glasses, and you will have a connected product

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<v Speaker 4>that is actually connected to a private network. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>it could be Bloomberg's private network as well as you know.

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<v Speaker 3>A public network.

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<v Speaker 4>And I think then you will start to see what

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<v Speaker 4>we call that hockey sticks scale in terms of consumer adoption.

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<v Speaker 4>But right now we are very much in business professional

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<v Speaker 4>use case similar smartphones. I was one of the original

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<v Speaker 4>guys making smartphones, you know, well before iPhone and well

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<v Speaker 4>before Android phones, and I worked on the original Android phone.

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<v Speaker 3>Now like how that went in terms of adoption.

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<v Speaker 4>We started with professional, We started with those professional use cases.

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<v Speaker 4>We've brought value to those customers, efficiencies, cost savings, and

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<v Speaker 4>then we actually brought it into consumer. Once we actually

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<v Speaker 4>brought in the consumer.

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<v Speaker 2>Where we own that timeline, do you think for it

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<v Speaker 2>like a real consumer and will be a brand that

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<v Speaker 2>we know well.

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<v Speaker 4>I think Apple coming in is going to be a

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<v Speaker 4>great addition to the market, right that is, it's endorsing

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<v Speaker 4>to the market. But they're going to start with professional

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<v Speaker 4>as well. They're going to start with professional creatives as well.

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<v Speaker 6>I think, what are you going to compete with?

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<v Speaker 5>So is HTC going to compete with Apple and whatever

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<v Speaker 5>Oculus rift is now?

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<v Speaker 7>Oh?

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<v Speaker 4>Absolutely, I mean we consider all of us, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>very worthy rivals. We're all trying to remove hurdles from

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<v Speaker 4>the industry for that mass adoption, and we're all approaching

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<v Speaker 4>it differently, which is great.

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<v Speaker 5>I think I figured you're aimed at probably a different

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<v Speaker 5>customer segment then maybe Tim Cook.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, and I think you know, we're looking at customers

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<v Speaker 4>that this is a product that we can sell, that

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<v Speaker 4>they will bring in, that they will save money, they

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<v Speaker 4>will save time efficiency.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, we look at companies like Bell Helicopter.

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<v Speaker 4>It normally takes them five to seven years to prototype

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<v Speaker 4>and new helicopter they did it in six months and

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<v Speaker 4>so saved over one hundred million dollars. You know, we're

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<v Speaker 4>using it with architecture and construction firms. We're looking at

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<v Speaker 4>those different ways that we can actually bring massive value now.

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<v Speaker 4>And then we look at okay, great, let's integrate this

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<v Speaker 4>scaling technology like five G technology into these headsets. And

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<v Speaker 4>quite honestly, we're one of the only companies in the

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<v Speaker 4>world that can actually do that.

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<v Speaker 6>Awesome.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, great stuff, all right, we appreciate it. Dan O'Brien

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<v Speaker 2>coming into our live into our Bloombergame Actor Broker Studio.

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<v Speaker 2>Dan O'Brien, he's a president of the Americas for HTC

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<v Speaker 2>talking about meta and the metaverse.

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<v Speaker 1>More importantly, you're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>Catch us Live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern Listen.

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<v Speaker 8>On Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio app and Bloomberg Business app,

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<v Speaker 2>Wait, you can't be a good time to be a

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<v Speaker 2>central banker these days. You're raising rates everywhere. I don't

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<v Speaker 2>care if you're at the FED or the Bank of

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<v Speaker 2>England or the ECB. Nobody wants to talk to you.

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<v Speaker 2>Nobody's somebody the dinner parties. You know you're not getting

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<v Speaker 2>the Christmas cards because you're raising range and you're making

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<v Speaker 2>life tough for people. But nowhere it seems to some

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<v Speaker 2>more difficult to be a central banker than in Brazil.

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<v Speaker 2>So let's bring in the reporter on this story. Maria

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<v Speaker 2>and Luisa Caputum, a brazil economics reporter for Bloomberg News.

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<v Speaker 2>She joins us on zoom from our sal Paolo bureau.

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<v Speaker 2>And this is a big take story. And Matt and

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<v Speaker 2>I love the big take stories on the Bloomberg terminal

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<v Speaker 2>because they're so well researched and written so Maria, tell

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<v Speaker 2>us what's going on in Brazil. The president and the

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<v Speaker 2>head of the central bank there, they're not on the

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<v Speaker 2>same page, are they.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, Well, I'm coming from you, right from Brasilia, actually,

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<v Speaker 7>which is the war, the central banking space, the political

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<v Speaker 7>capital over Brazil.

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<v Speaker 9>So here in.

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<v Speaker 7>Brazil, interest rates are basically a six year high, close

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<v Speaker 7>to fourteen percent, and they have been steady since September.

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<v Speaker 7>We have to remember that Brasil was one of the

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<v Speaker 7>first central banks to hike rates in the midst of

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<v Speaker 7>the pandemic, and it's slowly working out because we are

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<v Speaker 7>seeing that inflation is ceasing from a twelve percent peak

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<v Speaker 7>last year to around four percent, but it's still very

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<v Speaker 7>much above a central bank's target. And you know, the

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<v Speaker 7>team led by Roberto Camposneto, who is the central bank

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<v Speaker 7>chief here, has given at this point no indication that

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<v Speaker 7>they plan to cut rates or haven't even discussed that.

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<v Speaker 7>And they're getting a political heat from back because President

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<v Speaker 7>and Lewis in as La Silva, who took over in January,

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<v Speaker 7>is not liking that scenario like at all.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, you have also a very colorful person in office,

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<v Speaker 5>as you tend to do in Brazil, but this guy

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<v Speaker 5>just got out of the big house, right. Lula spent

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<v Speaker 5>some time in prison for corruption and then was reelect

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<v Speaker 5>as president, which is an amazing story by itself. Now

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<v Speaker 5>he is really attacking Neto, the head of the central bank.

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<v Speaker 5>Is there any way that Neto just says, Okay, you

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<v Speaker 5>rather have inflation, I'll just cut rates again. I mean,

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<v Speaker 5>Lula would be in a horrible position if that happened

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<v Speaker 5>as well.

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<v Speaker 3>Wouldn't he.

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<v Speaker 7>Well, we have to remember that Lula is present now

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<v Speaker 7>for the third time, but it's the first time that

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<v Speaker 7>he's dealing with an.

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<v Speaker 9>Autonomous central bank.

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<v Speaker 7>To the law of the grants autonomy to the central

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<v Speaker 7>bank here in Brazil is relatively new. It was a

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<v Speaker 7>brilliant twenty twenty one. So this is the first time

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<v Speaker 7>that Lula comes into office with that, with that percent

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<v Speaker 7>of the.

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<v Speaker 9>Central bank that he didn't himself choose.

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<v Speaker 7>And the thing is that also Lula during his campaign,

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<v Speaker 7>he made a big point of promising to deliver prosperity.

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<v Speaker 9>Economic prosperity specifically.

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<v Speaker 7>And now we're seeing that most channelists are betting that

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<v Speaker 7>growth is going to be much lower than last year,

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<v Speaker 7>is going to be around one percent, and that is

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<v Speaker 7>you know, going straight into not what he promised, not

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<v Speaker 7>what Lula promise, which was you know where we were

0:11:16.600 --> 0:11:21.679
<v Speaker 7>all going to have beer and beef, you know, barely easy.

0:11:22.800 --> 0:11:25.040
<v Speaker 7>And I think the main thing that Lula is seeing

0:11:25.080 --> 0:11:28.439
<v Speaker 7>right now is that his obstacle is interest rates. Interest

0:11:28.520 --> 0:11:31.920
<v Speaker 7>rates at a really high level. But on the other side,

0:11:32.040 --> 0:11:35.240
<v Speaker 7>Tempus Mental has been arguing that there's reasons for them

0:11:35.360 --> 0:11:37.920
<v Speaker 7>to hold the rate steady, and it's resources that in

0:11:37.960 --> 0:11:40.600
<v Speaker 7>some cases I think are similar to our countries, especially

0:11:40.640 --> 0:11:44.480
<v Speaker 7>in advanced economies, because core measures, when you strip out

0:11:44.720 --> 0:11:47.520
<v Speaker 7>energy prices and some food items.

0:11:47.240 --> 0:11:48.840
<v Speaker 9>They are running pretty high.

0:11:49.240 --> 0:11:53.520
<v Speaker 7>And most analysts still believe that consumer price increases are

0:11:53.520 --> 0:11:57.080
<v Speaker 7>going to accelerate beyond the Central Banks goal even like

0:11:57.200 --> 0:12:00.360
<v Speaker 7>all through twenty twenty five. So they are not seeing

0:12:00.800 --> 0:12:04.400
<v Speaker 7>at this point a space to deliver an.

0:12:04.280 --> 0:12:07.160
<v Speaker 9>Easying cycle that is sustainable and that is credible.

0:12:08.080 --> 0:12:10.719
<v Speaker 2>So Maria and your story, I really like the part

0:12:10.760 --> 0:12:16.120
<v Speaker 2>about this meat packer. Minerva sa. It's tough to get

0:12:16.120 --> 0:12:19.320
<v Speaker 2>some financing in Brazil. I mean, these higher rates are

0:12:19.320 --> 0:12:22.079
<v Speaker 2>really impacticing, really impacting businesses. And so you've got a

0:12:22.120 --> 0:12:24.640
<v Speaker 2>story about this meat packing company. Tell us about that.

0:12:25.880 --> 0:12:29.040
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, And not only the meat packer will also talk

0:12:29.120 --> 0:12:35.240
<v Speaker 7>to a businessman who have a like toystore business there,

0:12:35.360 --> 0:12:38.000
<v Speaker 7>like for with four hundred employees, and it was getting

0:12:38.040 --> 0:12:39.079
<v Speaker 7>hired for him as well.

0:12:39.160 --> 0:12:40.880
<v Speaker 9>Like he actually told us that it.

0:12:40.920 --> 0:12:43.280
<v Speaker 7>Was easier for her for him in the society, was

0:12:43.360 --> 0:12:46.160
<v Speaker 7>cheaper for him to get a personal loan than a

0:12:46.200 --> 0:12:50.320
<v Speaker 7>business loan for his company. And the thing is that

0:12:50.400 --> 0:12:53.480
<v Speaker 7>in this political vialle that we're seeing between Lula and

0:12:53.520 --> 0:12:56.040
<v Speaker 7>the Central Bank chief, the people that are caught in

0:12:56.080 --> 0:13:01.160
<v Speaker 7>the middle are households. We're seeing from even like central

0:13:01.200 --> 0:13:05.199
<v Speaker 7>bank stops itself, levels of household dead that.

0:13:05.200 --> 0:13:06.720
<v Speaker 9>Are nearing record highs.

0:13:07.600 --> 0:13:11.240
<v Speaker 7>Interest rates rise in this country where I know you're

0:13:11.640 --> 0:13:13.679
<v Speaker 7>not gonna be leieve me, but this is the truth.

0:13:14.280 --> 0:13:17.880
<v Speaker 7>Like interest rates on credit cards are like four hundred percent,

0:13:19.559 --> 0:13:24.719
<v Speaker 7>so yeah, really really high. So we are seeing that

0:13:24.800 --> 0:13:27.920
<v Speaker 7>businesses are taking out all of these out of this.

0:13:28.280 --> 0:13:31.920
<v Speaker 7>But at the same time, that's how manage our policy works, right,

0:13:31.960 --> 0:13:35.640
<v Speaker 7>it tries to slow down to the economy mainly through

0:13:35.679 --> 0:13:40.680
<v Speaker 7>the credit channel. So we're seeing the impacts of that.

0:13:41.640 --> 0:13:45.319
<v Speaker 5>Wow, don't put anything on your credit card right exactly,

0:13:45.679 --> 0:13:46.920
<v Speaker 5>or if you do pay it off.

0:13:46.800 --> 0:13:50.160
<v Speaker 9>On I pay my credit bills sometimes, so I'm fine.

0:13:50.240 --> 0:13:50.960
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:13:51.320 --> 0:13:55.400
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, that the toy maker story was great, well bad

0:13:55.520 --> 0:14:00.360
<v Speaker 5>in that the toymaker got stiffed by Marissa Loja. What

0:14:00.480 --> 0:14:02.800
<v Speaker 5>is that like a department store? Right, and so a

0:14:02.800 --> 0:14:05.160
<v Speaker 5>lot of these people he had to take a personal loan.

0:14:05.160 --> 0:14:11.160
<v Speaker 5>The meat packers supplying its suppliers with cash right now

0:14:11.200 --> 0:14:12.880
<v Speaker 5>giving them loans.

0:14:13.000 --> 0:14:14.439
<v Speaker 6>How long is this going to last?

0:14:14.520 --> 0:14:17.760
<v Speaker 5>How long does compost Nettos say he's going to have

0:14:17.800 --> 0:14:20.920
<v Speaker 5>to keep rates high before he brings inflation down, which.

0:14:20.760 --> 0:14:23.320
<v Speaker 6>We should point out isn't that high? Right?

0:14:23.400 --> 0:14:27.120
<v Speaker 5>It was twelve percent, which is unbearably high. It's now

0:14:27.240 --> 0:14:30.640
<v Speaker 5>like four percent, which is getting closer and closer to normal.

0:14:32.120 --> 0:14:35.920
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, but their goal is three percent, and the infision

0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:40.440
<v Speaker 7>expectations are still pointing that infission is going to pick

0:14:40.560 --> 0:14:44.200
<v Speaker 7>up to around six percent by the end of this year.

0:14:44.960 --> 0:14:48.160
<v Speaker 7>They're going to run above the targets through twenty twenty five.

0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:52.360
<v Speaker 7>So at this point we don't have from thees Central

0:14:52.440 --> 0:14:55.480
<v Speaker 7>Bank communication any clear signal.

0:14:55.280 --> 0:14:57.000
<v Speaker 9>That they have discussed rycots.

0:14:57.400 --> 0:15:01.720
<v Speaker 7>What we have is from in ester some markets expectations.

0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:05.560
<v Speaker 7>You know, most people are batting that the first rayga

0:15:05.720 --> 0:15:09.800
<v Speaker 7>is going to come in August September something like that.

0:15:10.560 --> 0:15:15.000
<v Speaker 7>The governmental design of La Sila is working to create

0:15:15.080 --> 0:15:19.280
<v Speaker 7>that space as well for the central bank two lower rates.

0:15:19.360 --> 0:15:22.520
<v Speaker 9>They're just discussing a bill to.

0:15:22.560 --> 0:15:27.040
<v Speaker 7>Show up public finances that if it is finally approved

0:15:27.080 --> 0:15:31.520
<v Speaker 7>in Congress, could also open the space for reigas. But

0:15:32.680 --> 0:15:36.960
<v Speaker 7>nowhere near you know, like the last months of the year,

0:15:37.080 --> 0:15:41.440
<v Speaker 7>so we're thinking second half of the year possibly.

0:15:41.280 --> 0:15:44.240
<v Speaker 2>Right, So, Maria, how are these economic challenges Are they

0:15:44.240 --> 0:15:47.960
<v Speaker 2>impacting the standing of President Lula at all? Is it's

0:15:48.000 --> 0:15:50.640
<v Speaker 2>becoming something, yes, to get really worried about.

0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:54.440
<v Speaker 7>Well, he is worried in the sense that, you know,

0:15:54.520 --> 0:15:57.920
<v Speaker 7>one of his main promises in the campaign was that,

0:15:58.000 --> 0:16:01.680
<v Speaker 7>you know, economic prosperity, and the fact that he won

0:16:01.840 --> 0:16:06.800
<v Speaker 7>an election for a very thin margin, I think it's

0:16:06.840 --> 0:16:09.840
<v Speaker 7>putting more pressure on him to the liver on some

0:16:09.880 --> 0:16:12.960
<v Speaker 7>of his promises. So we are seeing, yes, like in

0:16:13.040 --> 0:16:16.480
<v Speaker 7>the in the side of the government, this push, this

0:16:17.960 --> 0:16:22.240
<v Speaker 7>hastiness to the liver on this economic prosperity and other

0:16:22.320 --> 0:16:24.760
<v Speaker 7>promises that they did on the campaign.

0:16:26.360 --> 0:16:30.200
<v Speaker 9>We are seeing as well in analysts.

0:16:29.480 --> 0:16:33.600
<v Speaker 7>You know, in in on the back of better agriculture numbers,

0:16:33.880 --> 0:16:38.080
<v Speaker 7>revised up the estimates for economic growth this year, but

0:16:38.280 --> 0:16:43.320
<v Speaker 7>still like relatively you know, like slowly slowly that it

0:16:43.400 --> 0:16:45.560
<v Speaker 7>is going that it was like last year. You know,

0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:48.440
<v Speaker 7>they're revising up to iran one point five percent and

0:16:48.560 --> 0:16:50.800
<v Speaker 7>last year it was close to three percent, so we're

0:16:50.840 --> 0:16:52.040
<v Speaker 7>still very far away from that.

0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:54.920
<v Speaker 5>All right, Maria, thanks so much for joining us.

0:16:55.240 --> 0:16:55.600
<v Speaker 6>Maria.

0:16:55.680 --> 0:17:00.640
<v Speaker 5>Eloiso Capuro Aloisa Kapuro there talking to us from Brazilia

0:17:01.480 --> 0:17:04.480
<v Speaker 5>about what's going on in terms of you know, their

0:17:04.640 --> 0:17:09.320
<v Speaker 5>president attacking their central bank leader. It's a situation you

0:17:09.320 --> 0:17:13.520
<v Speaker 5>could imagine in a number of regions. I don't think

0:17:13.600 --> 0:17:15.960
<v Speaker 5>president we had several years back, we had it with

0:17:16.200 --> 0:17:19.040
<v Speaker 5>President Trump, President Biden. I don't think we would do

0:17:19.080 --> 0:17:23.439
<v Speaker 5>it so publicly, but we have had senators do it.

0:17:23.520 --> 0:17:23.639
<v Speaker 4>Right.

0:17:23.680 --> 0:17:28.320
<v Speaker 5>Elizabeth Warren is pretty, is pretty Lula da Silva in

0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:30.720
<v Speaker 5>the way she attacks Jerome.

0:17:30.440 --> 0:17:31.280
<v Speaker 6>Powell and our fed.

0:17:31.480 --> 0:17:33.479
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's interesting, so we'll have to see it. The're supposed

0:17:33.480 --> 0:17:35.640
<v Speaker 2>to be independent. But this is the Big Take story,

0:17:35.640 --> 0:17:37.119
<v Speaker 2>and you can check that out on the terminal on

0:17:37.119 --> 0:17:38.880
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg dot com slash Big Take.

0:17:39.760 --> 0:17:43.320
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:17:43.359 --> 0:17:47.399
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Easter on Bloomberg Radio,

0:17:47.560 --> 0:17:50.840
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business app, and YouTube. You can also listen

0:17:50.960 --> 0:17:54.080
<v Speaker 1>live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station,

0:17:54.520 --> 0:17:57.560
<v Speaker 1>Just Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:18:00.760 --> 0:18:08.160
<v Speaker 3>K Yes.

0:18:08.880 --> 0:18:11.040
<v Speaker 5>And it's the last year to see that as well.

0:18:11.160 --> 0:18:14.640
<v Speaker 5>I mean in this form right. The Grateful Dead has

0:18:14.760 --> 0:18:17.000
<v Speaker 5>sort of morphed into debt in company with John Mayer

0:18:17.040 --> 0:18:21.639
<v Speaker 5>on lead guitar. They've got a new drummer, uh from Primis.

0:18:21.680 --> 0:18:23.640
<v Speaker 5>I believe he comes from Primus, and so they kind

0:18:23.640 --> 0:18:24.960
<v Speaker 5>of picked up the pace a little bit when they

0:18:25.000 --> 0:18:27.000
<v Speaker 5>played in Cornell a couple weeks ago. And I'm excited

0:18:27.000 --> 0:18:29.760
<v Speaker 5>to see the shows this summer, but that's not the point.

0:18:29.760 --> 0:18:34.320
<v Speaker 5>We're talking about trucks, and Paul, you were saying, you know,

0:18:34.400 --> 0:18:36.640
<v Speaker 5>when you think about mid sized trucks, there's really only

0:18:36.680 --> 0:18:39.240
<v Speaker 5>one name that comes to mind, but there's so much

0:18:39.400 --> 0:18:44.360
<v Speaker 5>new competition, Chevy most notably, I think with the Colorado

0:18:44.560 --> 0:18:49.000
<v Speaker 5>and the Canyon from GMC before. It is bringing the

0:18:49.600 --> 0:18:51.639
<v Speaker 5>Ranger back. It's brought the Ranger back, but it's bringing

0:18:51.640 --> 0:18:54.560
<v Speaker 5>a new Ranger. And I actually talked to the guy

0:18:54.600 --> 0:18:58.040
<v Speaker 5>who runs production of the mid size pickup program at

0:18:58.040 --> 0:18:59.600
<v Speaker 5>for Jim boundback last week.

0:18:59.800 --> 0:19:00.800
<v Speaker 6>Let's know what he had to say.

0:19:00.880 --> 0:19:04.360
<v Speaker 10>We're expecting a really strong response from our customers. As

0:19:04.359 --> 0:19:08.400
<v Speaker 10>I mentioned, since the original launch of Ranger Raptor, there's

0:19:08.440 --> 0:19:11.920
<v Speaker 10>been incredible customer sentiment and push to get it here

0:19:11.920 --> 0:19:14.359
<v Speaker 10>to the US. So certainly right out of the gates,

0:19:14.359 --> 0:19:17.639
<v Speaker 10>we expect very very strong demand and we expect that

0:19:17.720 --> 0:19:22.600
<v Speaker 10>to continue based on our experience with the other Ranger products,

0:19:22.600 --> 0:19:26.119
<v Speaker 10>but also the other Raptor products across the portfolio. You know,

0:19:26.480 --> 0:19:29.920
<v Speaker 10>it's something like a Raptor that really speaks to what

0:19:30.080 --> 0:19:33.159
<v Speaker 10>customers love. And these are the types of products and

0:19:33.200 --> 0:19:35.879
<v Speaker 10>the types of derivatives that customers love and they just

0:19:35.920 --> 0:19:36.639
<v Speaker 10>can't live without.

0:19:37.480 --> 0:19:41.440
<v Speaker 5>All Right, So Ranger, the new Ranger is coming to America.

0:19:41.480 --> 0:19:43.840
<v Speaker 5>There's going to be a Raptor version. Now, there's a

0:19:43.920 --> 0:19:47.760
<v Speaker 5>Raptor version of the F one fifty of the Ranger,

0:19:48.359 --> 0:19:51.240
<v Speaker 5>of the Bronco. It's like more off road capable. Rumored

0:19:51.240 --> 0:19:53.639
<v Speaker 5>to be a Raptor version of the Mustang coming up.

0:19:53.640 --> 0:19:55.480
<v Speaker 5>But the reason we're talking about this is because Keith

0:19:55.520 --> 0:19:58.840
<v Speaker 5>Notughton wrote a story for Bloomberg BusinessWeek Toyota, Ford and

0:19:58.920 --> 0:20:01.520
<v Speaker 5>GM fight for mid side truck dominance. We've got Joel

0:20:01.520 --> 0:20:04.040
<v Speaker 5>Weber here in the studio, editor in chief. So Joel

0:20:04.240 --> 0:20:04.960
<v Speaker 5>tell us about the.

0:20:04.920 --> 0:20:09.119
<v Speaker 11>Story America loves trucks, So I hear like full Stop

0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:13.679
<v Speaker 11>and the Ford F series We've written about before that

0:20:14.240 --> 0:20:18.440
<v Speaker 11>the revenue that that F one fifty makes is just unbelievable,

0:20:19.320 --> 0:20:22.000
<v Speaker 11>and keeps written about that. What really stuck out to

0:20:22.000 --> 0:20:25.240
<v Speaker 11>me here, though, is this mid size category has almost

0:20:25.280 --> 0:20:28.320
<v Speaker 11>been forgotten and Toyota has just had it on lockdown.

0:20:29.520 --> 0:20:33.719
<v Speaker 11>The Taco Paul you mentioned earlier that Tacoma is probably

0:20:33.760 --> 0:20:38.879
<v Speaker 11>the favorite of this category. Blows anything anybody else has

0:20:38.960 --> 0:20:43.320
<v Speaker 11>out and everybody is coming for a piece of Toyota, right, Keith, that.

0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:46.520
<v Speaker 12>Is absolutely right. I mean, you know F series, the

0:20:46.640 --> 0:20:49.000
<v Speaker 12>F one fifty you talked about, Joel, has been the

0:20:49.040 --> 0:20:53.200
<v Speaker 12>top selling full sized pickup truck for forty six years. Well,

0:20:53.320 --> 0:20:57.240
<v Speaker 12>in the mid size category, Toyota outsells Ford four to one.

0:20:57.880 --> 0:21:01.160
<v Speaker 12>They outsell Chevy two to one. I mean, the Tacoma

0:21:01.200 --> 0:21:03.520
<v Speaker 12>has just owned the mid size market. Part of that

0:21:03.640 --> 0:21:07.919
<v Speaker 12>is because Ford and General Motors both abandoned that market

0:21:08.000 --> 0:21:10.320
<v Speaker 12>in the early part of the century when sales started

0:21:10.320 --> 0:21:14.920
<v Speaker 12>heading south. So Toyota stayed there and they consolidated everything

0:21:14.960 --> 0:21:18.480
<v Speaker 12>that was left behind, and now it's this juggernut of

0:21:18.480 --> 0:21:22.080
<v Speaker 12>a market. Between twenty ten and twenty twenty, the mid

0:21:22.119 --> 0:21:25.520
<v Speaker 12>sized truck market doubled in sales and there's still more

0:21:25.560 --> 0:21:28.840
<v Speaker 12>growth to come, but it's slowing. So what's happening is

0:21:28.880 --> 0:21:31.960
<v Speaker 12>everybody is redesigning their trucks. The Tacoma is getting its

0:21:31.960 --> 0:21:37.320
<v Speaker 12>first full redesign in eight years. And so yeah, and

0:21:37.359 --> 0:21:39.200
<v Speaker 12>we have a new ranger, as match just said, and

0:21:39.600 --> 0:21:42.480
<v Speaker 12>GM came out with new mid sized trucks earlier this year.

0:21:42.520 --> 0:21:45.440
<v Speaker 12>So you have all this fresh product, all going after

0:21:45.480 --> 0:21:49.040
<v Speaker 12>this market segment that has huge profit margins and you know,

0:21:49.119 --> 0:21:50.800
<v Speaker 12>a growing owner base.

0:21:50.760 --> 0:21:52.480
<v Speaker 6>And it don't cost a million dollars.

0:21:52.600 --> 0:21:52.800
<v Speaker 3>Right.

0:21:52.920 --> 0:21:55.119
<v Speaker 5>This is the thing about the F series. I know

0:21:55.160 --> 0:21:57.520
<v Speaker 5>it's fantastic, and if you take them all together, then

0:21:57.560 --> 0:21:59.040
<v Speaker 5>the best selling vehicle.

0:21:59.119 --> 0:22:01.480
<v Speaker 6>But that's I think cheating a little. Isn't fit in

0:22:01.520 --> 0:22:02.280
<v Speaker 6>a garage though.

0:22:02.400 --> 0:22:07.800
<v Speaker 5>The F one fifty that I was testing last week,

0:22:07.840 --> 0:22:10.760
<v Speaker 5>I was driving the Raptor R and it was amazing

0:22:11.440 --> 0:22:14.120
<v Speaker 5>because it's a super charged V eight. There's no way

0:22:14.200 --> 0:22:15.280
<v Speaker 5>in hell it would fit.

0:22:15.119 --> 0:22:16.000
<v Speaker 6>In my garage.

0:22:16.200 --> 0:22:19.359
<v Speaker 5>You know, and I have a pretty big garage, but

0:22:18.960 --> 0:22:19.920
<v Speaker 5>but you can't.

0:22:19.920 --> 0:22:22.440
<v Speaker 12>That's the attraction of these mid sized trucks is that

0:22:22.760 --> 0:22:25.080
<v Speaker 12>you know they can still tow a bunch. You can

0:22:25.119 --> 0:22:29.120
<v Speaker 12>still throw your bikes or your kayaks or your surfboards

0:22:29.160 --> 0:22:31.800
<v Speaker 12>in the bed and go off in an adventure or.

0:22:31.760 --> 0:22:34.200
<v Speaker 6>Go to Starbucks, which is what people really do with trucks.

0:22:34.440 --> 0:22:37.639
<v Speaker 12>Yes, but they're very appealing to guys, and it's it

0:22:37.760 --> 0:22:40.919
<v Speaker 12>is mostly a male market for these trucks who like

0:22:41.040 --> 0:22:44.480
<v Speaker 12>to go on weekend adventures or home depot or do

0:22:44.560 --> 0:22:47.639
<v Speaker 12>it yourself projects or whatever. And and that's just a

0:22:47.640 --> 0:22:50.480
<v Speaker 12>booming market. And you can fit the thing in your garage.

0:22:50.600 --> 0:22:51.360
<v Speaker 12>That's huge.

0:22:52.240 --> 0:22:55.480
<v Speaker 5>So the one thing that I've noticed about the Taco

0:22:56.080 --> 0:22:59.200
<v Speaker 5>and people I talk to who buy it, they sell

0:22:59.240 --> 0:23:02.080
<v Speaker 5>it with a sixpe. Even the new one's gonna come

0:23:02.080 --> 0:23:04.840
<v Speaker 5>with a six speed. Our own Greg Jarrett bought one

0:23:04.920 --> 0:23:07.080
<v Speaker 5>because he said it was the only one he could

0:23:07.119 --> 0:23:08.679
<v Speaker 5>find on the market with a six speed.

0:23:09.640 --> 0:23:12.400
<v Speaker 6>I'm pretty sure a six speed manual with manual.

0:23:12.920 --> 0:23:18.359
<v Speaker 5>Yes, I'm pretty sure that the Colorado had a stick

0:23:18.400 --> 0:23:21.120
<v Speaker 5>shift option as well, but I know that Ranger doesn't.

0:23:21.480 --> 0:23:23.600
<v Speaker 5>And I was with Keith in Detroit a couple of

0:23:23.680 --> 0:23:24.960
<v Speaker 5>days ago, and I was.

0:23:24.880 --> 0:23:25.440
<v Speaker 6>Talking to.

0:23:27.560 --> 0:23:31.080
<v Speaker 5>Kumarka Haltra, who runs the ic business Reford, and he said,

0:23:31.080 --> 0:23:33.600
<v Speaker 5>there's just no take rate. People don't buy the stick shift,

0:23:34.040 --> 0:23:37.600
<v Speaker 5>but it's still It's like, even if I buy the automatic,

0:23:37.680 --> 0:23:41.160
<v Speaker 5>I'm proud that my vehicle could have been purchased in manual.

0:23:41.240 --> 0:23:43.160
<v Speaker 5>There's like a cool factor that I think they miss

0:23:43.200 --> 0:23:43.600
<v Speaker 5>out on.

0:23:44.440 --> 0:23:46.919
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, well, but you mentioned price, and price is a

0:23:47.000 --> 0:23:50.160
<v Speaker 12>huge issue. This has always been an affordable market. That's

0:23:50.240 --> 0:23:52.880
<v Speaker 12>part of the success of the Tacoma, which is why

0:23:52.920 --> 0:23:54.960
<v Speaker 12>they're still going to offer a stick shift version because

0:23:54.960 --> 0:23:58.280
<v Speaker 12>that's going to be a lower priced version. But all

0:23:58.280 --> 0:24:01.439
<v Speaker 12>these new entrants coming in are testing the upper levels

0:24:01.480 --> 0:24:04.560
<v Speaker 12>of the price band for mid sized trucks. That Ranger

0:24:04.640 --> 0:24:07.560
<v Speaker 12>Raptor that you're so excited about, matt that starts at

0:24:07.600 --> 0:24:13.040
<v Speaker 12>fifty seven thousand dollars, that's luxury price. So the Tacoma currently,

0:24:13.040 --> 0:24:15.080
<v Speaker 12>they haven't given us the new ones pricing yet, but

0:24:15.119 --> 0:24:18.199
<v Speaker 12>it currently starts at twenty eight grand. Well Ford is

0:24:18.240 --> 0:24:20.760
<v Speaker 12>moving away from the twenty eight grand Ranger. They're going

0:24:20.840 --> 0:24:22.800
<v Speaker 12>to start at thirty four grand because they now they

0:24:22.840 --> 0:24:25.640
<v Speaker 12>have that little Maverick pickup truck, and they don't want

0:24:25.640 --> 0:24:28.200
<v Speaker 12>the two stepping on each other. So you know the

0:24:28.600 --> 0:24:31.159
<v Speaker 12>thing about the mid sized trucks is they used to

0:24:31.200 --> 0:24:33.640
<v Speaker 12>be this affordable way to get a you know, sort

0:24:33.640 --> 0:24:37.160
<v Speaker 12>of a burly pickup truck. They're getting more expensive.

0:24:37.280 --> 0:24:40.879
<v Speaker 11>Okay, but one thing that's still missing is the plug in.

0:24:42.040 --> 0:24:43.080
<v Speaker 11>That's right, what's up with that?

0:24:44.119 --> 0:24:47.320
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, So you know what the people who drive these

0:24:47.359 --> 0:24:49.359
<v Speaker 12>trucks like to do is they like to toast stuff

0:24:49.359 --> 0:24:53.040
<v Speaker 12>and they like to go off road. And that's making

0:24:53.080 --> 0:24:56.720
<v Speaker 12>this one of the last categories to electrify because big,

0:24:56.760 --> 0:25:00.800
<v Speaker 12>heavy batteries underneath your truck make it hard to tow.

0:25:01.200 --> 0:25:04.080
<v Speaker 12>The range really reduces when you're towing with the battery,

0:25:04.560 --> 0:25:06.520
<v Speaker 12>and it also makes it tough to go off road

0:25:06.560 --> 0:25:09.880
<v Speaker 12>because you're slamming into the ground and you don't want

0:25:09.880 --> 0:25:12.480
<v Speaker 12>to hurt that battery. So you know, you have to

0:25:12.520 --> 0:25:14.920
<v Speaker 12>add all this. That's what the F one fifty lightning does.

0:25:14.960 --> 0:25:19.320
<v Speaker 12>It adds all this, you know, protective cage around the

0:25:19.320 --> 0:25:26.160
<v Speaker 12>battery so it doesn't get damaged when you're going or that,

0:25:26.359 --> 0:25:30.199
<v Speaker 12>and that adds weight. So so weight and cost or

0:25:30.240 --> 0:25:33.560
<v Speaker 12>the things that that I'm told are keeping the mid

0:25:33.600 --> 0:25:35.920
<v Speaker 12>sized truck from getting electrified.

0:25:35.960 --> 0:25:38.040
<v Speaker 5>If you want to jump in your truck, Paul and

0:25:38.119 --> 0:25:40.480
<v Speaker 5>drive out to Joshua Tree for three or four days

0:25:40.480 --> 0:25:43.120
<v Speaker 5>of mushrooms, right, yeah, there's nowhere to charge it there.

0:25:43.600 --> 0:25:44.560
<v Speaker 6>So that's the problem.

0:25:44.720 --> 0:25:47.680
<v Speaker 2>Put a solar pad on the top, So Keith.

0:25:47.720 --> 0:25:49.399
<v Speaker 11>There's got to be there's got to be a station

0:25:49.480 --> 0:25:54.240
<v Speaker 11>out there somewhere. You find it when you're on mushrooms.

0:25:54.280 --> 0:25:57.240
<v Speaker 2>But so Keith, again, you point out your story that

0:25:57.280 --> 0:25:59.800
<v Speaker 2>Toyota and the Tacoma really owned this space for a

0:25:59.840 --> 0:26:03.479
<v Speaker 2>while here. What is their response. What's their competitive response,

0:26:03.480 --> 0:26:05.840
<v Speaker 2>because it seems like they've got some competition now, or

0:26:05.840 --> 0:26:06.840
<v Speaker 2>maybe they didn't so much.

0:26:07.720 --> 0:26:10.119
<v Speaker 12>That's right, Oh, well, they're absolutely responding. You know, they

0:26:10.200 --> 0:26:13.159
<v Speaker 12>let this truck go for eight years without really updating it.

0:26:13.160 --> 0:26:15.760
<v Speaker 12>It was really getting old school. It didn't have you know,

0:26:15.840 --> 0:26:19.320
<v Speaker 12>the digital dashboard that everybody has, the touch screens that

0:26:19.359 --> 0:26:23.280
<v Speaker 12>have become standard features in every automobile. Well now that

0:26:23.359 --> 0:26:26.240
<v Speaker 12>Tacoma does and it has you know, it's going to

0:26:26.320 --> 0:26:29.600
<v Speaker 12>have the rugged off road ones. There's a trail one,

0:26:29.960 --> 0:26:32.439
<v Speaker 12>you know, there's a high performance one. So they're going

0:26:32.480 --> 0:26:35.639
<v Speaker 12>to go the full spectrum and offer new technology. The

0:26:35.760 --> 0:26:38.720
<v Speaker 12>technology on the Tacoma had been getting a little long

0:26:38.760 --> 0:26:41.159
<v Speaker 12>in the tooth, but with all this new competition coming in,

0:26:41.560 --> 0:26:42.800
<v Speaker 12>they need to protect their flank.

0:26:43.240 --> 0:26:45.640
<v Speaker 11>Okay, so the other thing about Toyota not exactly known

0:26:45.960 --> 0:26:51.000
<v Speaker 11>for electric, but they are for hybrids. And so I'm curious,

0:26:51.560 --> 0:26:54.919
<v Speaker 11>how what's this strategy really look like. It seems like

0:26:54.960 --> 0:26:57.720
<v Speaker 11>you could basically double down on hybrid while everything else

0:26:57.760 --> 0:27:01.840
<v Speaker 11>starts to go electric and just keeping that the Tacoma

0:27:02.600 --> 0:27:04.080
<v Speaker 11>for another eight years maybe, right.

0:27:04.200 --> 0:27:07.680
<v Speaker 12>Right, right, that's a really important point. This new Tacoma

0:27:07.760 --> 0:27:09.920
<v Speaker 12>will have a hybrid. It'll be the only hybrid in

0:27:09.960 --> 0:27:12.960
<v Speaker 12>the mid sized truck category. So Toyota is going to

0:27:13.000 --> 0:27:16.720
<v Speaker 12>be the first to semi electrify a mid size pickup truck.

0:27:16.920 --> 0:27:19.800
<v Speaker 12>And I talked to a very loyal Tacoma owner who

0:27:19.880 --> 0:27:22.680
<v Speaker 12>drives at twenty sixteen and he can't wait to get

0:27:22.680 --> 0:27:25.960
<v Speaker 12>into that hybrid. He just thinks that sounds perfect. He

0:27:26.000 --> 0:27:29.320
<v Speaker 12>lives in northern California. He's a camper hiker. You know,

0:27:30.040 --> 0:27:31.159
<v Speaker 12>he wants that truck.

0:27:31.440 --> 0:27:34.159
<v Speaker 11>And so he know it's where the judging station is

0:27:34.200 --> 0:27:37.399
<v Speaker 11>that you're.

0:27:37.000 --> 0:27:40.160
<v Speaker 5>It's you know, it's interesting to me across a range

0:27:40.160 --> 0:27:43.480
<v Speaker 5>of products. Keith that these companies don't put out hybrid

0:27:43.560 --> 0:27:47.439
<v Speaker 5>or electric versions when they introduced him, you know, like

0:27:47.520 --> 0:27:48.800
<v Speaker 5>Bronco for example.

0:27:49.440 --> 0:27:51.640
<v Speaker 6>Why on earth did they not do it?

0:27:51.680 --> 0:27:54.359
<v Speaker 5>Is it just because it takes so long to develop

0:27:54.359 --> 0:27:57.440
<v Speaker 5>a product that you know, they started seven or eight

0:27:57.560 --> 0:28:00.840
<v Speaker 5>years ago, and whoever was in charge then didn't think

0:28:00.880 --> 0:28:03.000
<v Speaker 5>as it was important as we realize it is now.

0:28:03.920 --> 0:28:04.120
<v Speaker 10>Yeah.

0:28:04.160 --> 0:28:08.840
<v Speaker 12>Well, I also you can't undersell the whole off road aspect.

0:28:09.240 --> 0:28:13.040
<v Speaker 12>They wanted the Bronco to have excellent off road credentials

0:28:13.040 --> 0:28:15.880
<v Speaker 12>that were better than the Wranglers, and if you put

0:28:15.920 --> 0:28:19.400
<v Speaker 12>a heavy battery underneath the vehicle, it hurts its ability

0:28:19.440 --> 0:28:22.440
<v Speaker 12>to go off road, so that's what they did. But

0:28:22.920 --> 0:28:25.800
<v Speaker 12>all of these things are going to get electrified eventually.

0:28:25.840 --> 0:28:29.520
<v Speaker 12>The mid size pickup truck market, according to LMC Automotive,

0:28:29.560 --> 0:28:32.040
<v Speaker 12>we'll go electric in about twenty six twenty seven, with

0:28:32.119 --> 0:28:36.080
<v Speaker 12>Toyota and Rivian and Tesla coming with their own mid size.

0:28:36.080 --> 0:28:38.440
<v Speaker 12>We're not talking about the cyber truck. We're talking about

0:28:38.720 --> 0:28:41.560
<v Speaker 12>some other Tesla pickup truck that is smaller in size,

0:28:41.640 --> 0:28:42.120
<v Speaker 12>and we're.

0:28:41.960 --> 0:28:44.320
<v Speaker 5>Not talking about Taco. Is the Taco Does that mean

0:28:44.360 --> 0:28:47.040
<v Speaker 5>they could introduce an electric version at a later date.

0:28:47.080 --> 0:28:50.000
<v Speaker 13>I mean the electricoco itself just for the rest true,

0:28:52.160 --> 0:28:56.520
<v Speaker 13>but yes, there will be an electric Taco mid decade,

0:28:56.560 --> 0:28:58.280
<v Speaker 13>according to MC Automotive.

0:28:58.600 --> 0:29:01.360
<v Speaker 2>All right, here's dumb question day, because I'm not a

0:29:01.360 --> 0:29:05.400
<v Speaker 2>car guy. Do these car companies do they sell trucks

0:29:05.560 --> 0:29:08.600
<v Speaker 2>outside of the US? The people outside of the US

0:29:08.600 --> 0:29:09.200
<v Speaker 2>buy trucks.

0:29:10.160 --> 0:29:13.320
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, that's a that's actually a great question specific to

0:29:13.400 --> 0:29:17.160
<v Speaker 12>this category. People outside the United States do not buy

0:29:17.280 --> 0:29:21.160
<v Speaker 12>big F series trucks, the big trucks, the Ram, you know,

0:29:21.240 --> 0:29:25.280
<v Speaker 12>the Silverado, those are North American vehicles. But what people

0:29:25.320 --> 0:29:29.680
<v Speaker 12>outside of the US do buy are these medium sized trucks.

0:29:29.680 --> 0:29:32.760
<v Speaker 12>The Ranger is a global vehicle. The Tacoma is a

0:29:32.800 --> 0:29:36.920
<v Speaker 12>global vehicle. It's actually the sun of the high lux truck, which.

0:29:37.880 --> 0:29:41.080
<v Speaker 2>The indestructible pickup truck right global.

0:29:41.240 --> 0:29:44.840
<v Speaker 12>Latoya's global pickup trucks, so these things. You know, Thailand

0:29:44.960 --> 0:29:48.600
<v Speaker 12>is the biggest pickup truck market in the world because

0:29:48.600 --> 0:29:52.960
<v Speaker 12>they all drive around in these medium sized pickup truce everywhere.

0:29:53.600 --> 0:29:56.120
<v Speaker 12>Everywhere else in the world there are pickups. They're just

0:29:56.200 --> 0:29:58.080
<v Speaker 12>not as crazy big as they hear, I.

0:29:58.120 --> 0:30:00.320
<v Speaker 2>Can't imagine like trying to park a pick up truck

0:30:00.360 --> 0:30:03.120
<v Speaker 2>in some of these European cities where that's parking on

0:30:03.160 --> 0:30:04.040
<v Speaker 2>the curves.

0:30:04.880 --> 0:30:06.120
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, that's why the midsize work.

0:30:06.120 --> 0:30:08.440
<v Speaker 5>Okay, all right, I got it now, all right, So

0:30:09.480 --> 0:30:10.800
<v Speaker 5>very interesting stuff, Keith.

0:30:10.840 --> 0:30:11.880
<v Speaker 6>It's a great story.

0:30:12.160 --> 0:30:15.960
<v Speaker 5>It's coming out in uh BusinessWeek what it's in the

0:30:15.960 --> 0:30:21.040
<v Speaker 5>current issue or the forthcoming issue, So it'll be on Thursday,

0:30:21.240 --> 0:30:23.040
<v Speaker 5>hits the newstands on Thursday, and you can see it

0:30:23.040 --> 0:30:26.320
<v Speaker 5>on Bloomberg dot com slash BusinessWeek as well.

0:30:27.200 --> 0:30:29.200
<v Speaker 11>You know what I love about this this Raptor photo

0:30:29.320 --> 0:30:30.160
<v Speaker 11>that's in the story.

0:30:30.280 --> 0:30:31.000
<v Speaker 8>A little bit of air?

0:30:31.360 --> 0:30:32.280
<v Speaker 7>Did you do that?

0:30:32.520 --> 0:30:35.000
<v Speaker 6>Was that you driving that? Matt Novo? You know what

0:30:35.160 --> 0:30:37.480
<v Speaker 6>I was trying to figure out on the on the Raptor.

0:30:38.000 --> 0:30:38.320
<v Speaker 8>Uh.

0:30:38.400 --> 0:30:40.360
<v Speaker 5>You know, they charge a lot more for the Raptor

0:30:40.440 --> 0:30:44.200
<v Speaker 5>version of anything on the Bronco, for example, the Raptor

0:30:44.600 --> 0:30:48.640
<v Speaker 5>version costs more than twenty thousand dollars more than the

0:30:48.680 --> 0:30:51.400
<v Speaker 5>wild track. But I looked and saw that they have

0:30:51.760 --> 0:30:56.360
<v Speaker 5>different shocks, they have forged control arms, they have an

0:30:56.480 --> 0:31:00.560
<v Speaker 5>entirely different frame, so it's not just about badging in

0:31:00.600 --> 0:31:01.120
<v Speaker 5>that case.

0:31:01.360 --> 0:31:02.040
<v Speaker 6>What do you think, Keith?

0:31:02.840 --> 0:31:07.600
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, Well, the Bronco Raptor starts at eighty five thousand dollars.

0:31:07.160 --> 0:31:10.000
<v Speaker 8>So that's pretty rare starts at But it's.

0:31:09.800 --> 0:31:12.800
<v Speaker 11>Amazing that you can just slap a raptor on it

0:31:12.840 --> 0:31:16.200
<v Speaker 11>and it's like across the line. Just to upgrade up,

0:31:16.200 --> 0:31:16.640
<v Speaker 11>I mean is.

0:31:16.600 --> 0:31:18.400
<v Speaker 5>They have to do a lot of other stuff. So

0:31:18.440 --> 0:31:21.120
<v Speaker 5>they kind of created a new truck for the Bronco raptor.

0:31:21.560 --> 0:31:24.200
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, I guess, but the margins are magnificent, which is

0:31:24.240 --> 0:31:26.320
<v Speaker 12>why Ford is raptorizing everything.

0:31:26.480 --> 0:31:27.200
<v Speaker 6>What do you think, what do you.

0:31:27.200 --> 0:31:28.920
<v Speaker 11>Think the Bloomberg terminal raptor would do?

0:31:29.160 --> 0:31:30.160
<v Speaker 6>That would be awesome.

0:31:31.000 --> 0:31:32.240
<v Speaker 3>You can bring your terminal with.

0:31:32.200 --> 0:31:35.360
<v Speaker 2>You to Joshua Tree exactly, all right, guys. Joe Weber,

0:31:35.480 --> 0:31:38.920
<v Speaker 2>Editor Bloomberg BusinessWeek. Here in our bloomberga interactor broker studio.

0:31:39.000 --> 0:31:41.360
<v Speaker 2>Keith Morton the author of this cool story. Keith On,

0:31:41.600 --> 0:31:45.080
<v Speaker 2>auto reporter for Bloomberg News on zoom from Detroit, and

0:31:45.120 --> 0:31:47.120
<v Speaker 2>as Matt was saying, you can key story will be

0:31:47.120 --> 0:31:50.160
<v Speaker 2>featured in the forthcoming issue of BusinessWeek magazine. You can

0:31:50.200 --> 0:31:53.080
<v Speaker 2>read it now on the Bloomberg or at Bloomberg dot

0:31:53.080 --> 0:31:56.080
<v Speaker 2>com slash BusinessWeek so or you.

0:31:56.000 --> 0:31:57.520
<v Speaker 6>Can just type BusinessWeek dot com.

0:31:57.560 --> 0:32:00.960
<v Speaker 5>I've discovered Oh okay, because then you're just automatically pushed

0:32:01.000 --> 0:32:05.000
<v Speaker 5>by some Internet god, Internet God to Bloomberg dot Com, Slash, Business.

0:32:04.720 --> 0:32:10.080
<v Speaker 3>Week, Bromarco.

0:32:10.800 --> 0:32:13.280
<v Speaker 1>Journal. How about you let me drive?

0:32:13.800 --> 0:32:20.800
<v Speaker 2>No, no, no, no, honey, please, I want to drive.

0:32:20.800 --> 0:32:23.960
<v Speaker 10>It's a good question.

0:32:27.760 --> 0:32:32.200
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the clothes. Do well, young

0:32:32.360 --> 0:32:34.200
<v Speaker 1>don on Bloomberg Radio.

0:32:36.680 --> 0:32:38.560
<v Speaker 6>All right, this is the drive to clothes.

0:32:38.560 --> 0:32:41.440
<v Speaker 5>I'm Matt Miller in for Tim Stenemac Paul Swenyan for

0:32:41.520 --> 0:32:44.000
<v Speaker 5>Carol Masser, and we want to welcome in Eric Clark,

0:32:44.040 --> 0:32:48.120
<v Speaker 5>he's a portfolio manager at Rational Dynamic Brands fund on

0:32:48.240 --> 0:32:50.520
<v Speaker 5>Zoom from San Diego to talk to us about the

0:32:50.560 --> 0:32:53.000
<v Speaker 5>market action and his expectations.

0:32:53.080 --> 0:32:54.680
<v Speaker 2>It's j Yeah.

0:32:55.000 --> 0:32:56.440
<v Speaker 6>Can people live in San Diego?

0:32:56.640 --> 0:32:58.000
<v Speaker 2>Just visit? Visit Sandiego?

0:32:58.040 --> 0:32:59.920
<v Speaker 6>Wait can't you? Don't you have to be like Nae

0:33:00.360 --> 0:33:02.960
<v Speaker 6>enable aviator to live there. Do they have other industry?

0:33:03.080 --> 0:33:06.680
<v Speaker 14>Eric, that was a former life. Yeah, there's a lot

0:33:06.680 --> 0:33:09.600
<v Speaker 14>of biotech. That's about it, though, a lot of surfing.

0:33:09.960 --> 0:33:12.400
<v Speaker 5>The luckiest lot of world live in San Diego.

0:33:12.440 --> 0:33:15.200
<v Speaker 6>All right, So that sounds awesome.

0:33:15.760 --> 0:33:18.760
<v Speaker 5>But the situation that we're in here on the East Coast,

0:33:18.800 --> 0:33:21.800
<v Speaker 5>specifically in Washington, d c is not so great. What's

0:33:21.840 --> 0:33:23.600
<v Speaker 5>your take on the debt ceiling standoff?

0:33:25.440 --> 0:33:28.600
<v Speaker 14>Well, they are very predictable, aren't they. They love to

0:33:28.640 --> 0:33:31.120
<v Speaker 14>wait until the last minute and keep kicking the can

0:33:31.200 --> 0:33:33.680
<v Speaker 14>down the road, and all of us have to be

0:33:34.720 --> 0:33:37.360
<v Speaker 14>held hostage by all of their crazy actions.

0:33:38.280 --> 0:33:40.680
<v Speaker 2>All right, let's say we get to the other side

0:33:40.720 --> 0:33:44.000
<v Speaker 2>of this. Do I want to be offensive or defensive?

0:33:44.000 --> 0:33:46.000
<v Speaker 2>Because I have a lot of strategist saying there's still

0:33:46.040 --> 0:33:49.000
<v Speaker 2>a lot of unknowns out there. You want to stay defensive.

0:33:49.000 --> 0:33:52.160
<v Speaker 2>Maybe some big cat names, some dividend playing names, some

0:33:52.200 --> 0:33:54.560
<v Speaker 2>fortress balance sheets. How do you think about it?

0:33:55.480 --> 0:33:59.880
<v Speaker 14>I mean, we're brands and consumer investors. So the nature

0:33:59.920 --> 0:34:02.480
<v Speaker 14>of being a mega brand is that they tend to

0:34:02.520 --> 0:34:06.280
<v Speaker 14>be very high quality companies anyway, So we're we're pretty

0:34:06.320 --> 0:34:09.799
<v Speaker 14>balanced by kind of offense and defense currently, So we

0:34:09.880 --> 0:34:13.560
<v Speaker 14>have some good staples and and healthcare exposure, but we

0:34:13.680 --> 0:34:17.800
<v Speaker 14>also have some good exposure to traditional consumer spending brands

0:34:17.800 --> 0:34:20.759
<v Speaker 14>that are a little more offense, growth oriented, a little

0:34:20.840 --> 0:34:23.200
<v Speaker 14>higher beta. So I like the balance for now.

0:34:24.000 --> 0:34:31.080
<v Speaker 5>All right, So your brands oriented rational, dynamic brands? Fun

0:34:31.160 --> 0:34:33.319
<v Speaker 5>we have the clue there, What are the what are

0:34:33.360 --> 0:34:36.560
<v Speaker 5>the mega brands? That you like, what are the mega

0:34:36.600 --> 0:34:38.880
<v Speaker 5>brands that we that that we should be paying the

0:34:38.880 --> 0:34:39.560
<v Speaker 5>most attention to.

0:34:40.680 --> 0:34:42.560
<v Speaker 14>Well, I mean, you know, it depends on what part

0:34:42.600 --> 0:34:45.279
<v Speaker 14>of consumption we're talking about, but I mean across tech,

0:34:45.360 --> 0:34:46.799
<v Speaker 14>you know, Apple and.

0:34:49.440 --> 0:34:54.520
<v Speaker 5>Well, uh, he froze or he's taking a pause to

0:34:54.560 --> 0:34:56.239
<v Speaker 5>collect his thoughts.

0:34:56.800 --> 0:34:58.080
<v Speaker 6>No, he looks still frozen.

0:34:58.080 --> 0:35:01.040
<v Speaker 2>To me, he's frozen completely. I see what you're looking.

0:35:01.040 --> 0:35:02.680
<v Speaker 2>You're looking at the zoom thing. Yeah, I can see

0:35:02.719 --> 0:35:05.160
<v Speaker 2>he's got like the pine tree ocean.

0:35:05.400 --> 0:35:07.160
<v Speaker 6>I think that's probably just a barrier.

0:35:07.280 --> 0:35:10.040
<v Speaker 5>We got you, We got you back, Okay, we lost

0:35:10.080 --> 0:35:11.840
<v Speaker 5>you for a second. You were talking about the big

0:35:12.160 --> 0:35:14.839
<v Speaker 5>tech mega trends. Uh, you said Apple, and I think

0:35:14.840 --> 0:35:16.759
<v Speaker 5>you were about to say Amazon. Then you froze up.

0:35:17.560 --> 0:35:20.400
<v Speaker 14>Oh, Apple, Amazon, Meta, the old Facebook and then the

0:35:20.440 --> 0:35:24.120
<v Speaker 14>traditional Microsoft Google, those kinds in the tech world. But

0:35:24.160 --> 0:35:27.680
<v Speaker 14>then there's great brands and consumer you know, uh, with

0:35:27.880 --> 0:35:30.600
<v Speaker 14>Costco or Nike or Lulu, and many of those are

0:35:30.640 --> 0:35:31.839
<v Speaker 14>on sale currently too.

0:35:32.680 --> 0:35:32.839
<v Speaker 12>Eric.

0:35:32.880 --> 0:35:34.600
<v Speaker 2>I just before we went on, I was just telling

0:35:34.640 --> 0:35:37.640
<v Speaker 2>Matt I just downloaded to my phone the the movie

0:35:37.719 --> 0:35:41.040
<v Speaker 2>Air about Nike and the Air Jordans. So I'm looking

0:35:41.040 --> 0:35:43.600
<v Speaker 2>forward to being watching that on my long commute back

0:35:43.600 --> 0:35:45.920
<v Speaker 2>to the Jersey Shore tonight, which I'll stack up against

0:35:45.920 --> 0:35:51.360
<v Speaker 2>San Diego anytime, by the way, So you get the winter, dude,

0:35:50.640 --> 0:35:54.600
<v Speaker 2>You've got Nike on your list for very good reason.

0:35:54.719 --> 0:35:57.640
<v Speaker 2>Arguably one of the greatest brands out there. What's the

0:35:57.800 --> 0:36:01.280
<v Speaker 2>risk to a company that's so you know, so dependent

0:36:01.360 --> 0:36:03.759
<v Speaker 2>upon a brand? But boy, you got to protect that

0:36:03.800 --> 0:36:06.040
<v Speaker 2>If something goes wrong, Oh boy, I don't know how

0:36:06.040 --> 0:36:08.359
<v Speaker 2>you recover. So how do you guys think about that risk,

0:36:08.560 --> 0:36:09.720
<v Speaker 2>the risks to a brand?

0:36:10.719 --> 0:36:12.960
<v Speaker 14>Well, I think you know, one of the things we

0:36:13.040 --> 0:36:15.920
<v Speaker 14>monitor and measure, you know, as much as possible is

0:36:15.960 --> 0:36:20.879
<v Speaker 14>brand relevancy, and we kick out things that are becoming irrelevant.

0:36:21.080 --> 0:36:25.400
<v Speaker 14>Let's think of under armor, and let's keep focusing on

0:36:25.440 --> 0:36:28.640
<v Speaker 14>the things that are just in the top of consumer's mind.

0:36:28.719 --> 0:36:32.080
<v Speaker 14>And you look at revenue, you look at free cash bill,

0:36:32.160 --> 0:36:34.520
<v Speaker 14>you look at market share. You know, all that kind

0:36:34.560 --> 0:36:38.360
<v Speaker 14>of data speaks to which brands are still staying relevant.

0:36:38.840 --> 0:36:41.400
<v Speaker 14>And the good news is if you're still relevant and

0:36:41.440 --> 0:36:45.759
<v Speaker 14>you're still an important consumer spending category, then even when

0:36:45.800 --> 0:36:48.840
<v Speaker 14>the stocks are on sale, you know that eventually consumers

0:36:48.880 --> 0:36:51.560
<v Speaker 14>will start spending there. And so Nike is clearly the

0:36:51.600 --> 0:36:56.080
<v Speaker 14>most relevant brand across all sectors. I mean, it's just

0:36:56.120 --> 0:37:00.080
<v Speaker 14>so dominant that they were able to focus more on

0:37:00.080 --> 0:37:03.040
<v Speaker 14>on direct to consumer because the brand's so powerful, I

0:37:03.040 --> 0:37:05.279
<v Speaker 14>don't necessarily need to go to foot Locker, which is

0:37:05.360 --> 0:37:06.799
<v Speaker 14>rapidly becoming irrelevant.

0:37:08.160 --> 0:37:11.080
<v Speaker 2>So I'm more of a Walmart guy Eric. But of

0:37:11.120 --> 0:37:14.160
<v Speaker 2>course Matt's all about the luxury brands. He's very comfable

0:37:14.160 --> 0:37:16.920
<v Speaker 2>down you know, Madison Avenue, Fifth Avenue. How I see

0:37:17.040 --> 0:37:20.839
<v Speaker 2>LVMH is on your list there, and I would think

0:37:20.920 --> 0:37:24.400
<v Speaker 2>luxury just generally speaking, would be a really good China

0:37:24.440 --> 0:37:28.200
<v Speaker 2>reopening play. Is that kind of how you're looking at it?

0:37:28.320 --> 0:37:30.799
<v Speaker 14>Well, it is, but you know it's just more of

0:37:30.840 --> 0:37:36.680
<v Speaker 14>a it's an upper income, wealthy consumers. As consumers start

0:37:36.680 --> 0:37:40.080
<v Speaker 14>to make more money, there's these aspirational brands that people love,

0:37:40.160 --> 0:37:43.000
<v Speaker 14>and there mes and a lot of the brands under

0:37:43.000 --> 0:37:47.120
<v Speaker 14>Louis Vuitton. You know, I put you know, Lulu into

0:37:47.200 --> 0:37:50.520
<v Speaker 14>kind of the mass market aspirational brand, but you know

0:37:50.560 --> 0:37:52.839
<v Speaker 14>that would be up there like a Ferrari as well.

0:37:52.920 --> 0:37:57.280
<v Speaker 14>So there's you know, we tend to focus on lower income.

0:37:57.440 --> 0:37:59.799
<v Speaker 14>What are they using from a needs perspective? I would

0:37:59.800 --> 0:38:03.160
<v Speaker 14>put Walmart into that category, and then you know, in

0:38:03.200 --> 0:38:06.160
<v Speaker 14>the middle income group, and then the upper income group,

0:38:06.160 --> 0:38:07.719
<v Speaker 14>and then all the way up to the wealthy. And

0:38:07.760 --> 0:38:10.799
<v Speaker 14>so when you can extract great brands from each one

0:38:10.840 --> 0:38:13.920
<v Speaker 14>of those different income brackets, that tends to be a

0:38:13.960 --> 0:38:15.440
<v Speaker 14>pretty good portfolio overall.

0:38:16.960 --> 0:38:18.960
<v Speaker 6>Is there a segment of the consumer that you're worried about?

0:38:18.960 --> 0:38:21.160
<v Speaker 5>I mean, someone who's buying a Ferrari, I'm not worried

0:38:21.160 --> 0:38:23.759
<v Speaker 5>about no matter what kind of recession we have, But

0:38:24.960 --> 0:38:29.759
<v Speaker 5>you know, someone who now could afford Lululemon may not

0:38:29.840 --> 0:38:31.640
<v Speaker 5>be able to in five or six months.

0:38:33.360 --> 0:38:37.040
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, it's possible. I mean within the portfolio. I would

0:38:37.040 --> 0:38:40.600
<v Speaker 14>say that we're not nearly as broad as we normally

0:38:40.680 --> 0:38:45.560
<v Speaker 14>are across spending categories because consumers, we've all been overspending

0:38:45.600 --> 0:38:48.839
<v Speaker 14>for the last eighteen months, and eventually, one we get

0:38:48.880 --> 0:38:50.960
<v Speaker 14>tired of it, and two we can't keep doing it.

0:38:51.360 --> 0:38:53.600
<v Speaker 14>So then we have to separate our what do I

0:38:53.640 --> 0:38:58.719
<v Speaker 14>absolutely have to have usually groceries, general merchandise, food, you know,

0:38:58.800 --> 0:39:01.279
<v Speaker 14>and then what do I want to do that I'm

0:39:01.320 --> 0:39:05.040
<v Speaker 14>willing to spend my money on here, And then let's

0:39:05.080 --> 0:39:08.480
<v Speaker 14>avoid the things that we're deferring, like maybe more. You know,

0:39:08.560 --> 0:39:11.080
<v Speaker 14>even in home improvement, lows and home people have struggled

0:39:11.080 --> 0:39:15.120
<v Speaker 14>the last couple of quarters. Furniture, you know, electronics, things

0:39:15.160 --> 0:39:18.040
<v Speaker 14>like that. So we're you know, with with better prices.

0:39:19.000 --> 0:39:22.360
<v Speaker 14>Then I'll be get getting more broadly exposed to some

0:39:22.440 --> 0:39:25.600
<v Speaker 14>of those categories again. But for now, we're really focused

0:39:25.640 --> 0:39:29.560
<v Speaker 14>on things that have resilience, that are discretionary and that

0:39:29.600 --> 0:39:31.920
<v Speaker 14>we absolutely have to have, like we're going to a

0:39:31.960 --> 0:39:34.959
<v Speaker 14>concert that we love, and then things we need via

0:39:35.480 --> 0:39:37.920
<v Speaker 14>you know, going out to restaurants and doing some summer

0:39:38.000 --> 0:39:40.160
<v Speaker 14>vacation and the staples of life.

0:39:40.200 --> 0:39:42.839
<v Speaker 2>If you will, all right, Eric, thank you so much.

0:39:42.840 --> 0:39:43.560
<v Speaker 6>We appreciate it.

0:39:43.680 --> 0:39:47.360
<v Speaker 2>Eric Clark, he's a portfolio manager at Rational Dynamic Brands.

0:39:47.440 --> 0:39:50.040
<v Speaker 2>Fun that's a really cool strategy. You're focusing on big brands.

0:39:50.360 --> 0:39:53.280
<v Speaker 2>He joined us on zoom from Sunny San Diego.

0:39:53.800 --> 0:39:58.680
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