WEBVTT - Free Agent Mania! 0:00:00.960 --> 0:00:04.680 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio. 0:00:06.800 --> 0:00:11.039 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly 0:00:11.119 --> 0:00:15.080 source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and 0:00:15.160 --> 0:00:18.520 whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:18.560 --> 0:00:20.160 here's your host, Paul Archi. 0:00:22.040 --> 0:00:27.360 Everybody, it is a wild week of free agency trading, 0:00:27.600 --> 0:00:30.480 so many things to talk about. My co host today 0:00:30.520 --> 0:00:34.440 after a long layoff, Matt Harrison back, Hey buddy. 0:00:34.200 --> 0:00:36.960 Hey charch Last time we talked, it was right ahead 0:00:36.960 --> 0:00:39.920 of the Super Bowl, and now that we're talking again, 0:00:40.000 --> 0:00:44.519 it's the super Bowl of free agent movement and just 0:00:44.560 --> 0:00:47.280 a frenzy of action this week maybe maybe one of 0:00:47.280 --> 0:00:49.080 the busiest weeks in the NFL ever. 0:00:49.240 --> 0:00:52.360 Yeah, for sure. There's a temptation to say it every 0:00:52.440 --> 0:00:56.000 every year, like, wow, there's so much, so many things happening. No, 0:00:56.120 --> 0:01:02.160 but this is, I swear this is different, way more big. Definitely, Yeah, 0:01:02.440 --> 0:01:07.120 it really does. We're gonna highlight twenty plus guys that 0:01:07.200 --> 0:01:10.600 have moved and we'll talk through all the new spots 0:01:10.640 --> 0:01:12.720 now because we're doing twenty this is not gonna be 0:01:12.760 --> 0:01:14.760 the deepest dive you're gonna get on every one of 0:01:14.760 --> 0:01:17.600 these guys. But Matt that my challenge to you with 0:01:17.640 --> 0:01:20.600 each guy is tell me if you think this person's 0:01:20.640 --> 0:01:26.479 situation represents an upgrade or a down grade from last year. 0:01:27.959 --> 0:01:29.479 All right, I can do that. 0:01:29.640 --> 0:01:32.240 I think we can do it. Let's start the quarterback position. 0:01:32.280 --> 0:01:34.039 We got five guys that I want to that I 0:01:34.080 --> 0:01:36.120 want to touch on that are all potential starters for 0:01:36.160 --> 0:01:39.000 this year, beginning with the big name, of course, Kirk 0:01:39.040 --> 0:01:44.959 Cousins now in Atlanta obviously no Justin Jefferson, and I 0:01:45.000 --> 0:01:47.400 think on that basis alone, you could consider this a 0:01:47.720 --> 0:01:50.480 downgrade for Cousins. But it's not like he doesn't have 0:01:50.480 --> 0:01:53.240 to he doesn't have weapons. You get Drake London, Kyle Pitts, 0:01:53.280 --> 0:01:56.320 b John Robinson. Give me your thoughts on Kirk Cousins 0:01:56.360 --> 0:01:58.160 and whether or not you feel this is an upgrade 0:01:58.240 --> 0:01:59.680 or downgrade versus last year. 0:02:00.520 --> 0:02:02.880 Well, I took a look at the way too early 0:02:03.000 --> 0:02:06.680 ADP's on Fantasy Pros right now, and Cousins was going 0:02:06.760 --> 0:02:12.240 number nineteen among quarterbacks. What wow, Okay, crazy. 0:02:12.320 --> 0:02:15.320 He hasn't finished that low in about six seven years. 0:02:15.960 --> 0:02:16.960 That's that's wild. 0:02:17.639 --> 0:02:21.160 Well. I so with this move, I think people are 0:02:21.160 --> 0:02:24.120 going to be all over this from a fantasy community aspect, 0:02:24.200 --> 0:02:27.240 because I think that everybody thinks that because it's Pits 0:02:27.320 --> 0:02:31.840 and London and Bijon Robinson, that because those guys were 0:02:31.840 --> 0:02:35.320 all top ten picks, automatically Cousins is in a better spot. 0:02:35.360 --> 0:02:37.919 So I think the fantasy community is gonna think he's 0:02:37.960 --> 0:02:40.280 in a better spot. I'm kind of with you. I 0:02:40.320 --> 0:02:42.640 think it's I think it's kind of a wash for 0:02:42.720 --> 0:02:46.919 a spot. But I expect him to rise in ADP 0:02:47.280 --> 0:02:50.160 to I think he's going to be about eleventh when 0:02:50.200 --> 0:02:53.000 it all is said and done in August. I think 0:02:53.040 --> 0:02:54.919 he'll leap the guys in front of him right now 0:02:54.960 --> 0:02:57.560 that I was like, he'll jump over all these guys. 0:02:58.000 --> 0:03:03.000 It was Rogers stat effort, golf to uh, Trevor Lawrence, 0:03:03.240 --> 0:03:06.440 Justin Fields and Kyler Murray. And I think he jumps 0:03:06.520 --> 0:03:07.360 all of those guys. 0:03:07.440 --> 0:03:09.320 Yeah, I think that's I think that's probably a fair 0:03:09.360 --> 0:03:11.840 assessment that ADP of nineteen had to be a lot 0:03:11.880 --> 0:03:14.000 of that's got to be pre draft. You know, we're 0:03:14.040 --> 0:03:16.400 pre trade, you know, baked in, but you didn't know 0:03:16.400 --> 0:03:18.360 where Kirk was going to end up, and you know, 0:03:18.400 --> 0:03:20.960 it could have been a much worse situation in Atlanta 0:03:21.000 --> 0:03:25.000 feels like an offense that's kind of ready to explode 0:03:25.000 --> 0:03:28.760 and take a next big step with with anything resembling 0:03:30.080 --> 0:03:32.800 competent quarterbacking because they haven't had it in so long, 0:03:33.200 --> 0:03:35.520 that's uh. And the weapons they've got, you know, London, Pitts, 0:03:35.520 --> 0:03:38.040 and Robinson are all top They were all drafted in 0:03:38.080 --> 0:03:40.520 the like lottery pick, first round. 0:03:40.320 --> 0:03:42.840 Right, top eight, all of them. 0:03:42.880 --> 0:03:45.560 Yeah, right, so you know, a great opportunity for Kirk 0:03:45.560 --> 0:03:47.880 Cousins to walk in and do really no worse than 0:03:47.880 --> 0:03:50.440 he had been just no Jefferson. You know, he had 0:03:50.480 --> 0:03:53.640 Jefferson and Hockinson and Addison and those were some you know, 0:03:53.840 --> 0:03:57.040 great proven weapons. But it's easy to project London, Pitts 0:03:57.080 --> 0:03:59.680 and Robinson being roughly that good. All right, let's move 0:03:59.680 --> 0:04:03.160 over to Gardner Minshew going over to Las Vegas. As 0:04:03.160 --> 0:04:06.800 it stands at this moment, he would be your probable 0:04:06.840 --> 0:04:09.560 week one starter, but I think the Raiders likely make 0:04:09.600 --> 0:04:12.480 a move in the draft. What are your thoughts, And 0:04:12.600 --> 0:04:14.320 you know he does have some weapons there as well, 0:04:14.400 --> 0:04:16.000 and you know, you can make a case for you know, 0:04:16.040 --> 0:04:18.159 in terms of weaponry about the same as what he 0:04:18.160 --> 0:04:20.520 had in Indianapolis. Do you view this as an upgrade 0:04:20.560 --> 0:04:22.039 or a downgrade for Gardner Minshew. 0:04:22.640 --> 0:04:24.240 You know, I kind of look at this as as 0:04:24.480 --> 0:04:27.120 as a wash too, But if you have to put 0:04:27.160 --> 0:04:29.200 one on there, I think it's got to be an 0:04:29.279 --> 0:04:32.120 upgrade because I think he's got the opportunity to hold 0:04:32.160 --> 0:04:35.599 this job as long as he can. To me, the 0:04:35.680 --> 0:04:38.279 Raiders look like they're primed to take like the bow 0:04:38.360 --> 0:04:41.839 Knicks or Michael Pennix like in the second round and 0:04:42.080 --> 0:04:45.600 have them as like a project quarterback. It to me, 0:04:45.760 --> 0:04:49.479 it looks like it's Gardner Minshew to DeVante Adams all day, 0:04:49.600 --> 0:04:53.680 every day in Las Vegas, all year and and if 0:04:53.680 --> 0:04:56.360 he can hold the job, and you know, Minshew's been 0:04:56.440 --> 0:04:59.120 a solid quarterback. He led the Colts to almost a 0:04:59.160 --> 0:05:03.720 playoff birth last year, and he's to me, he's like 0:05:04.360 --> 0:05:08.360 the best possible like bridge guy you can get in 0:05:08.400 --> 0:05:09.440 the league right now. 0:05:09.960 --> 0:05:13.960 Not only DeVonta Adams but also Jacoby Myers, uh and 0:05:14.760 --> 0:05:16.960 Michael Mayer has the right to get better in your 0:05:16.960 --> 0:05:19.839 two right as a highly drafted rookie. So you know, 0:05:19.880 --> 0:05:22.560 there's you know, it's there is. I think the weaponry 0:05:22.600 --> 0:05:25.479 for Gardner Minshew is maybe even a little bit better here. 0:05:25.760 --> 0:05:28.839 You know, you know, Pittman was obviously very good downs 0:05:28.960 --> 0:05:32.120 had moments, but I feel like there's some really established 0:05:32.120 --> 0:05:35.640 good receiving talent for Gardner Minshew. Let's go to Sam Donald. 0:05:36.040 --> 0:05:41.320 Currently your your Vikings starting quarterback, and Vikings probably put 0:05:41.320 --> 0:05:44.080 a draft pick at quarterback. Don't know where that'll be. 0:05:44.240 --> 0:05:46.719 Pick eleven's kind of a no man's land for for 0:05:46.839 --> 0:05:50.040 quarterbacks right now where the Vikings select in the NFL draft. 0:05:50.400 --> 0:05:52.760 So Donald could be your starter for Week one and beyond, 0:05:52.800 --> 0:05:55.400 but this has still got the got some areas to 0:05:55.520 --> 0:06:00.479 change more interceptions and touchdowns throughout Sam Donald's career. Massive 0:06:00.520 --> 0:06:05.240 downgrade for Justin, Jefferson, Hockinson, and Addison now as they 0:06:05.279 --> 0:06:07.680 go from Kirk Cousins to Sam Donald at least for 0:06:07.720 --> 0:06:11.039 the moment. Or a rookie, you know, Bridge type rookie 0:06:11.120 --> 0:06:13.719 quarterback of some kind too is a possibility. What are 0:06:13.760 --> 0:06:16.920 your thoughts on Sam Donald personally? For Donald obviously a 0:06:16.920 --> 0:06:19.920 big upgrade going from a backup status to potential starter. 0:06:21.160 --> 0:06:23.599 Well, I think the Vikings made it clear this morning 0:06:23.600 --> 0:06:26.000 when they made the trade to get pick number twenty 0:06:26.040 --> 0:06:29.760 three from the Texans that they are looking to move up. 0:06:29.800 --> 0:06:32.400 They're gonna bundle eleven and twenty three and either move 0:06:32.480 --> 0:06:35.960 up to four or five or six and get their 0:06:36.040 --> 0:06:38.400 quarterback that they want. Maybe it's even three with New 0:06:38.440 --> 0:06:41.080 England and get one of the top three guys. So 0:06:41.279 --> 0:06:44.480 to me, I think, I think Donald is the safety 0:06:44.560 --> 0:06:48.560 valve and the backup, but it seems clear that Quasy 0:06:48.680 --> 0:06:52.080 is making moves to try to get their preferred quarterback 0:06:52.120 --> 0:06:52.680 in the future. 0:06:54.240 --> 0:06:55.800 I think if you had to fight, you had to 0:06:55.839 --> 0:06:58.000 ask me right now who the Week one starter is, 0:06:58.160 --> 0:07:00.200 I would still have to say Sam Donald and Ntil 0:07:00.240 --> 0:07:02.600 I see them actually able to execute that trade and 0:07:02.720 --> 0:07:05.320 land their guy, which is not necessarily going to be 0:07:05.720 --> 0:07:08.520 a given. Jacoby Brissett goes to New England, where he's 0:07:08.560 --> 0:07:10.320 at least for the moment the start her there but 0:07:11.560 --> 0:07:12.920 and should have been the starter at the end of 0:07:13.000 --> 0:07:16.680 last year after the shell shocked Sam Howell got beaten 0:07:16.720 --> 0:07:20.480 into submission over the course of a almost record setting 0:07:20.560 --> 0:07:25.240 level of sacks absorbed for him, Brissette seems unlikely to 0:07:25.280 --> 0:07:28.880 be the Week one starter. However, another scenario where picking 0:07:28.920 --> 0:07:31.920 at three New England likely goes with a quarterback. 0:07:32.960 --> 0:07:37.240 So do you remember that the Patriots traded Brissette back 0:07:37.240 --> 0:07:39.560 in the day. So do you do you remember who 0:07:39.600 --> 0:07:43.600 they traded him for? Not anymore, no first round pick, 0:07:43.640 --> 0:07:45.480 wide receiver Philip Dorset. 0:07:45.760 --> 0:07:49.600 Oh jesus wow. Wow. 0:07:49.680 --> 0:07:52.920 So they the Patriots essentially got Philip Dorset for free 0:07:52.960 --> 0:07:53.520 for a while. 0:07:53.600 --> 0:07:57.520 Really, well, that's a lateral move right there. 0:07:59.720 --> 0:08:02.760 Yeah. I mean with mac Jones on the move to Jacksonville, 0:08:03.280 --> 0:08:06.840 I think Brissett is kind of the guy that's locked 0:08:06.880 --> 0:08:11.000 in there. And to me it it the Patriots need 0:08:11.040 --> 0:08:14.360 a lot of things to to get better, and it 0:08:14.440 --> 0:08:17.160 seems like they could go, you know what, we want 0:08:17.160 --> 0:08:19.840 to take Marvin Harrison Junior at pick three, or you 0:08:19.920 --> 0:08:22.920 want to trade back and gather more picks. I think 0:08:22.960 --> 0:08:26.600 that there's a pretty real scenario that the Patriots go 0:08:26.680 --> 0:08:29.480 into this year and just go, we're gonna let Brissett 0:08:29.520 --> 0:08:31.640 be the quarterback this year, and we're gonna try to 0:08:31.760 --> 0:08:35.600 kind of rebuild this team with girod Mayo as the 0:08:35.720 --> 0:08:37.960 as the new coach and just kind of get that 0:08:38.200 --> 0:08:40.720 edge back before they try to go get the quarterback. 0:08:40.800 --> 0:08:42.960 So I think there's a real scenario that Brissett is 0:08:43.000 --> 0:08:43.800 the starter there. 0:08:45.080 --> 0:08:47.640 I disagree, but we'll we'll find out as it goes. 0:08:47.720 --> 0:08:50.800 And it's obviously an upgrade for Jacoby Brissett. You know, 0:08:50.840 --> 0:08:53.440 the receiving group is so bad. Yeah do you do? 0:08:53.520 --> 0:08:56.760 Smith Schuster and Ken Kendrick Bourne and that's a that's 0:08:56.800 --> 0:08:59.960 about it. And you know for Brissette, who's played competent 0:09:00.080 --> 0:09:02.800 ball by the way throughout you know, the latter you know, 0:09:02.840 --> 0:09:05.000 the last two or three years of his career when 0:09:05.000 --> 0:09:08.160 he has been asked to play. You know, but this 0:09:08.320 --> 0:09:11.479 is uh, this might be the worst offensive football potentially. 0:09:11.520 --> 0:09:15.720 I mean they just got Jalen Rager there in New England, right, Yeah, 0:09:15.760 --> 0:09:17.120 he's got that going for him. 0:09:17.360 --> 0:09:20.720 Russell Wilson is your new starter in Pittsburgh and he 0:09:20.760 --> 0:09:23.720 will be the starter now after the Deontay Johnson trade. 0:09:23.760 --> 0:09:27.440 All he's got to throw to his George Pickens. Other 0:09:27.520 --> 0:09:31.559 than that, it's Des Fitzpatrick and Calvin Austin and maybe 0:09:31.600 --> 0:09:34.400 Pat Fryarmouth makes a step forward. Should be guard now. 0:09:34.400 --> 0:09:36.640 The Russ has never seemed to prioritize tight ends, has 0:09:36.679 --> 0:09:40.080 he I'm trying to leave, has any tight end just 0:09:40.160 --> 0:09:43.480 blossomed with Russell Wilson a quarterback. 0:09:43.960 --> 0:09:47.760 Jimmy Graham in the Seahawks day, didn't he go back? 0:09:47.800 --> 0:09:49.880 Didn't he kind of go backwards from where he was 0:09:49.960 --> 0:09:50.800 with the Saints. 0:09:51.679 --> 0:09:55.160 Yeah, probably, I think so. I mean, if you ask me, 0:09:55.200 --> 0:09:57.560 it's the biggest winner in free agency so far as 0:09:57.600 --> 0:10:01.960 George Pickens right he got a upgrade at quarterback and 0:10:02.160 --> 0:10:05.880 he his co wide receiver one got shipped out of town. 0:10:06.280 --> 0:10:08.480 It seems like two hundred targets are a lock for 0:10:08.559 --> 0:10:10.800 George Fons right now. 0:10:11.559 --> 0:10:13.440 So for Russell Wilson, is this an upgrade or a 0:10:13.440 --> 0:10:15.640 downgrade from where he was last year in Denver? 0:10:17.960 --> 0:10:24.679 You know, it's probably a down grade. Well, you know what, 0:10:24.720 --> 0:10:27.800 I think it's an upgrade. I think just a fresh 0:10:27.800 --> 0:10:31.400 scenario for him. It never was working in Denver, and 0:10:31.480 --> 0:10:34.240 the wide receivers were obviously overrated because we're going to 0:10:34.280 --> 0:10:37.800 talk about Jerry Judy getting moved in the not too 0:10:37.800 --> 0:10:41.640 distant future. But you know, I think with the running 0:10:41.640 --> 0:10:43.880 game and the way that the Steelers are just gonna 0:10:43.880 --> 0:10:46.959 play and play bully ball, I think it's probably a 0:10:47.000 --> 0:10:49.199 little bit of an upgrade for Russell Wilson. But he 0:10:49.320 --> 0:10:50.720 still won't be on many of my teams. 0:10:50.880 --> 0:10:53.640 I'm on downgrade, But just because Courtland Sutton is so 0:10:53.720 --> 0:10:56.080 good and way better than what George Pickens has shown 0:10:56.160 --> 0:10:58.720 himself to be. But I do like the idea that 0:10:58.800 --> 0:11:01.200 Wilson's gonna play with a on his shoulder in a 0:11:01.240 --> 0:11:04.240 way that he never has before. I mean, he's playing 0:11:04.240 --> 0:11:07.959 for the veteran minimum. He got ignominiously thrown aside by 0:11:07.960 --> 0:11:11.240 his old team. I'm really curious to see how how 0:11:11.280 --> 0:11:13.360 this ends up working, and if it works at all, 0:11:13.400 --> 0:11:16.679 I guess we'll we'll find out. Let's let's work in 0:11:16.720 --> 0:11:20.240 a quick break, Matt, Let's come back and talk running backs. 0:11:20.520 --> 0:11:24.240 Dus just I don't I can't remember so many big 0:11:24.360 --> 0:11:27.720 name running backs changing spots. We'll check in on Derrick 0:11:27.760 --> 0:11:30.560 Henry and all the rest when we come back. Welcome 0:11:30.559 --> 0:11:33.320 back Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul Charchie and Matt Harris And Matt, 0:11:33.360 --> 0:11:35.720 you've already updated cheat sheets at Shock Fantasy. 0:11:36.840 --> 0:11:40.520 Yeah, the the latest cheat sheet will be fresh up 0:11:40.600 --> 0:11:44.800 on the site later today Friday. So yeah, we're going 0:11:44.880 --> 0:11:48.319 to have the dynasty angles all covered for you. And 0:11:49.040 --> 0:11:51.319 I think I think I'm excited about making some dynasty 0:11:51.360 --> 0:11:52.360 trades right now. Yeah. 0:11:52.360 --> 0:11:54.439 It's always a good time. It's always a good opportunity, 0:11:54.520 --> 0:11:58.320 isn't it. Because everybody in this week this is like 0:11:58.400 --> 0:12:02.040 the buzziest week of the whole offseason until training camp starts, 0:12:02.920 --> 0:12:05.800 and so a lot of opportunity to sort of get 0:12:05.800 --> 0:12:08.400 ahead of the curve on some of the big players 0:12:08.480 --> 0:12:10.800 that have moved, like Derreck Henry. Let's talk about him 0:12:10.840 --> 0:12:13.480 as he goes to Baltimore. I think this is an 0:12:13.559 --> 0:12:17.920 upgrade for Derrick Henry because you get a better offensive line. 0:12:18.559 --> 0:12:22.040 This is the PFF's six best run blocking offensive line 0:12:22.040 --> 0:12:25.560 in Baltimore. He's got a potential thunder and lightning situation 0:12:25.640 --> 0:12:28.320 with Keaton Mitchell. But he's coming off the ACL in December. 0:12:28.360 --> 0:12:30.840 You know, his status very much up in the air. 0:12:31.320 --> 0:12:34.280 So this thing could be a Derek Henry could be 0:12:34.280 --> 0:12:37.559 your lead workhorse back at least for the beginning part 0:12:37.640 --> 0:12:40.600 of the season, and I'm really intriguing. I feel like 0:12:40.600 --> 0:12:42.559 this is one of the best possible landing spots for 0:12:42.640 --> 0:12:43.240 Derrick Henry. 0:12:44.280 --> 0:12:46.640 I do too. I think it's the biggest boom or 0:12:46.679 --> 0:12:51.280 bust play in fantasy for the twenty twenty fourth season too. 0:12:51.640 --> 0:12:55.400 So Henry was PFF's number five graded running back last year, 0:12:55.720 --> 0:12:58.680 and what everybody kind of thought was a down year, 0:12:58.720 --> 0:13:02.520 he did pretty well. But I will note over the 0:13:02.600 --> 0:13:07.319 last six seasons. He's averaging two hundred and ninety carries 0:13:07.360 --> 0:13:11.840 per year, and in twenty twenty one, the year that 0:13:11.880 --> 0:13:14.280 he got hurt and missed eight games, he was on 0:13:14.400 --> 0:13:17.280 pace for four hundred and thirty eight carries that year. 0:13:18.559 --> 0:13:22.880 He's got so much mileage. I know right now that 0:13:22.880 --> 0:13:26.079 that's the thing that just really worries me. For a 0:13:26.720 --> 0:13:29.480 thirty year old running back coming in on his eighth season, 0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:33.160 this will be his ninth season. Actually, yeah, I'm just 0:13:33.240 --> 0:13:36.920 a little nervous that it could be over real quick. 0:13:37.080 --> 0:13:37.360 It could. 0:13:37.400 --> 0:13:37.679 It could. 0:13:37.880 --> 0:13:40.440 I mean, he didn't look like the same guy this 0:13:40.679 --> 0:13:44.680 past year, and you know, we know the end is coming. 0:13:44.800 --> 0:13:48.240 It's just how close can we can we grind out 0:13:48.280 --> 0:13:50.560 one more good season of Derrick Henry? And I want 0:13:50.559 --> 0:13:51.400 to believe you can. 0:13:51.760 --> 0:13:55.600 This definitely isn't prime Derrick Henry. And I think people 0:13:55.679 --> 0:13:59.560 are going to draft him like it is prime Derrick Henry, 0:13:59.800 --> 0:14:02.080 and he's gonna be like the fifth or sixth running 0:14:02.120 --> 0:14:05.320 back off the board next year. But man, that that 0:14:05.480 --> 0:14:06.480 just seems scary to me. 0:14:06.760 --> 0:14:10.679 He could still be sitting at twelve fourteen touchdowns though, 0:14:10.760 --> 0:14:12.960 just you know, even if he's not great, you know, 0:14:13.000 --> 0:14:16.280 even if he's four yards per carry with a good 0:14:16.360 --> 0:14:19.360 offensive line, all the other threats that defenses have to 0:14:19.920 --> 0:14:25.000 account for, including of course Lamar Jackson, and knowing that 0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:28.080 they don't use Lamar Jackson at the stripe Derek Henry obviously, 0:14:28.160 --> 0:14:30.120 you know, build perfectly for goal line. Use one of 0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:33.240 the best players that way. Ever, man, he could still 0:14:33.280 --> 0:14:35.080 be sitting on double digit touchdowns. 0:14:36.120 --> 0:14:39.120 I agree. That's why it's going to be boom or bust. 0:14:39.120 --> 0:14:41.080 If he can stay healthy and stay on the field 0:14:41.080 --> 0:14:43.920 the whole year, with all the miles he's got on 0:14:43.960 --> 0:14:46.480 those legs, I think it could be he could be 0:14:46.520 --> 0:14:49.520 the number one running back in fantasy next year. Deandre's 0:14:49.560 --> 0:14:52.880 downside is he could he could be just destroyed. 0:14:53.200 --> 0:14:55.640 It could be, it could be completely spent. At this point, 0:14:55.840 --> 0:14:58.800 DeAndre Swift gets a sizeable downgrade in my mind, going 0:14:58.840 --> 0:15:01.880 from the lead back in a powerful offense like the Eagles, 0:15:01.920 --> 0:15:05.440 now he goes to Chicago where he's in a muddy 0:15:05.480 --> 0:15:09.400 time share with Khalil Herbert and Roshawn Johnson. They're likely 0:15:09.400 --> 0:15:11.320 going to start over with a rookie quarterback who's going 0:15:11.360 --> 0:15:13.920 to learn on the job. This feels like a pretty 0:15:13.920 --> 0:15:18.480 sizable downgrade for DeAndre Swift to me, this is. 0:15:18.400 --> 0:15:20.000 I mean, we're gonna start getting into a lot of 0:15:20.040 --> 0:15:22.440 these running backs. A lot of these running backs were 0:15:22.480 --> 0:15:27.320 graded pretty poorly by Pro Football Focus last year. Surprisingly, 0:15:27.440 --> 0:15:31.280 DeAndre Swift twenty seventh graded running back behind guys like 0:15:31.800 --> 0:15:35.880 AJ Dillon and Tyler l Jeer and Cheuba Hubbard. He's 0:15:35.920 --> 0:15:40.480 behind those guys. So here's why I think that this 0:15:40.520 --> 0:15:44.440 could be an upgrade. Though he was just completely blocked 0:15:44.440 --> 0:15:50.000 from ever scoring touchdowns. That is true. He only had 0:15:50.040 --> 0:15:52.480 five rushing touchdowns last year. He had to break all 0:15:52.600 --> 0:15:55.120 those from deep. I think that the Bears are going 0:15:55.200 --> 0:15:58.480 to give Swift the opportunity to be a goal line back, 0:15:58.560 --> 0:16:01.680 something he wasn't in Detroit, something he wasn't in Philly. 0:16:02.240 --> 0:16:05.360 He's got an opportunity here that we've never seen him. 0:16:05.360 --> 0:16:09.920 Have Zack moscoes to Cincinnati and a fascinating move for 0:16:10.080 --> 0:16:13.680 Zack Moss. He'll have to battle Chase Brown, who had 0:16:13.720 --> 0:16:16.160 some moments where he looked really he looked really good 0:16:16.160 --> 0:16:18.760 and he had some big plays for Cincinnati. But with 0:16:18.880 --> 0:16:20.840 Joe Mixon gone to Houston, we'll talk about him in 0:16:20.880 --> 0:16:24.640 a second. I think this is a this is an upgrade. Opportunity. 0:16:24.720 --> 0:16:28.920 Zack Moss, who looked really good with Indy went in 0:16:29.000 --> 0:16:32.480 that first portion of the season before Jonathan Taylor came back, 0:16:32.880 --> 0:16:35.920 and head coach Zach Taylor usually has a workhorse back 0:16:36.040 --> 0:16:38.760 and he's not been a committee guy. I think Zach 0:16:38.800 --> 0:16:42.000 Mosks rolls in as the probable workhorse for week one. 0:16:42.480 --> 0:16:44.080 I see it as an upgrade. How do you see it? 0:16:45.080 --> 0:16:47.240 Well, yeah, that's kind of what I was wondering. This 0:16:47.320 --> 0:16:50.440 offense has featured one back, but basically since Joe Mixon 0:16:50.560 --> 0:16:55.440 got there, and is Chase Brown the chosen one or 0:16:55.640 --> 0:16:58.880 Zack Moss the chosen one? That'll be the interesting thing 0:16:59.000 --> 0:17:01.400 is we near Jill in August to see how they 0:17:01.440 --> 0:17:04.800 treat these guys in training camp, to see who's playing 0:17:04.840 --> 0:17:08.040 in preseason games and how they're playing, to hear all 0:17:08.040 --> 0:17:11.400 the coach speak coming out of camp. To me right now, 0:17:11.440 --> 0:17:15.200 it's buyer beware on Zach Moss, just because I don't 0:17:15.200 --> 0:17:18.000 know what I'm getting into. It could easily be Chase 0:17:18.040 --> 0:17:18.920 Brown's backfield. 0:17:19.560 --> 0:17:21.719 Let's go to Joe Mixon, who then goes to Houston. 0:17:22.080 --> 0:17:25.880 This was a baffling move for Houston. Hated their decision 0:17:26.080 --> 0:17:28.359 making on this to let Devin Singletary go and we'll 0:17:28.359 --> 0:17:30.680 talk more about him in a minute, and then give 0:17:30.720 --> 0:17:33.800 a three year contract to Joe Mixon who just looked 0:17:34.119 --> 0:17:38.959 washed up and ineffective last year. Plus Houston ranked twenty 0:17:38.960 --> 0:17:42.159 fifth and rushes per game and either heavily pass oriented. 0:17:42.320 --> 0:17:46.720 I can't. I don't see m And I love the Texans. 0:17:46.720 --> 0:17:49.760 They're like my second favorite team. I love what they've built, 0:17:49.800 --> 0:17:51.440 and there's so many things I love about what they're 0:17:51.440 --> 0:17:56.720 doing offensively defensively. But man, this is just such an uninspired, 0:17:56.800 --> 0:18:00.440 baffling move. I don't like it. But it's as for 0:18:00.480 --> 0:18:03.280 Joe Mixon personally, I think it might represent an actual 0:18:03.359 --> 0:18:05.679 upgrade over what he had in Cincinnati and how he 0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:07.919 looked in and that team last year. What do you 0:18:07.920 --> 0:18:09.080 think about Joe Mixon here? 0:18:11.720 --> 0:18:14.040 I think it might be a downgrade. And here's why. 0:18:14.080 --> 0:18:17.280 There was a great tweet out there by Scott and Barrett, 0:18:18.359 --> 0:18:22.719 And one of the things that Barrett cited in this 0:18:22.800 --> 0:18:28.439 tweet is Bobby Slowek has a Shanahan influenced zone running scheme, 0:18:29.080 --> 0:18:33.159 and both Damian Pierce and Joe Mixon, while playing in 0:18:33.280 --> 0:18:37.240 man gap concept runs, they were both over four yards 0:18:37.280 --> 0:18:41.520 per carry but both were at least twenty percent worse 0:18:41.720 --> 0:18:45.359 in zone concept runs in the last two years. Joe 0:18:45.400 --> 0:18:49.199 Mixon a three point three yards per carry, Damian Pierce 0:18:49.520 --> 0:18:53.480 the three point four yards per carry. So this just 0:18:53.560 --> 0:18:56.119 might be the wrong scheme for him. Maybe Joe Mixon 0:18:56.200 --> 0:18:58.120 is talented enough to overcome. 0:18:57.680 --> 0:18:58.720 It, but I don't think so. 0:18:58.880 --> 0:19:03.080 To me, Man, I just think that this might be 0:19:03.280 --> 0:19:06.560 an issue, and it could be a Pierce mix and 0:19:06.680 --> 0:19:10.920 split backfield. We could see Joe Mixon getting eleven twelve 0:19:11.200 --> 0:19:14.240 carries a game. That's it. And once you do that 0:19:14.400 --> 0:19:17.600 and we're having CJ. Stroud chuck the ball over the field, 0:19:17.960 --> 0:19:19.840 I think it's gonna be. I think it's just gonna 0:19:19.840 --> 0:19:22.160 be almost like the old Houston Oilers, and it's gonna 0:19:22.200 --> 0:19:25.680 be four wide receivers. Let's chuck the ball, run. 0:19:25.480 --> 0:19:29.120 And shoot coming back. Let's go to Josh Jacobs as 0:19:29.200 --> 0:19:31.480 he moves to Green Bay in a bit of a 0:19:31.520 --> 0:19:36.720 surprise move. Overall, he gets a much better total offense 0:19:36.720 --> 0:19:40.840 with the Packers. The improbable signing re signing of AJ Dillon, 0:19:40.840 --> 0:19:42.840 which I did not see coming. I thought they were 0:19:42.920 --> 0:19:45.280 finally going to wash their hands of him. I don't 0:19:45.280 --> 0:19:47.960 think that impacts Josh Jacobs a lot. But Matt Lafleur 0:19:48.760 --> 0:19:51.800 has never used a workhorse back. He's always been a 0:19:51.880 --> 0:19:55.399 rotation guy. So Jacobs comes in off his worst season 0:19:55.480 --> 0:19:57.360 by a mile, but still pretty young. I think he's 0:19:57.359 --> 0:20:00.320 twenty six years old. Green Bay not a great run 0:20:00.400 --> 0:20:03.320 blocking offensive line, the ranked twenty third and run blocking 0:20:03.320 --> 0:20:06.040 by Pro Football Focus sixteenth and run block win rate, 0:20:06.160 --> 0:20:08.440 so kind of middle of the pack, lower middle of 0:20:08.480 --> 0:20:11.200 the pack. But maybe Jacobs, who's always been a workhorse, 0:20:11.240 --> 0:20:12.720 maybe he'll be a workhorse here too. What are your 0:20:12.720 --> 0:20:14.800 thoughts on Jacobs is this? I think I view this 0:20:14.840 --> 0:20:17.200 as an upgrade over his situation last year. Do you 0:20:17.280 --> 0:20:18.800 view it as an upgrade or a downgrade? 0:20:19.359 --> 0:20:21.720 Well, it's got to be an upgrade just because Las 0:20:21.800 --> 0:20:28.200 Vegas just botched the offense seemingly all year. Last year. However, Jacobs, 0:20:28.240 --> 0:20:32.000 who was in twenty twenty two the top top rushing 0:20:32.160 --> 0:20:34.800 running back in the league. He was the number thirty 0:20:34.840 --> 0:20:38.480 one Pro Football Focus graded running back last year, and 0:20:38.640 --> 0:20:42.200 by the way, the Packers just jetted the number six 0:20:42.880 --> 0:20:47.119 ranked running back, Aaron Jones. So it could be that 0:20:47.280 --> 0:20:50.440 Aaron Jones, even though he's three years older, he might 0:20:50.440 --> 0:20:52.920 have just been the better running back. And is Josh 0:20:52.960 --> 0:20:55.800 Jacobs just walking into an Aaron Jones role where it's 0:20:55.800 --> 0:21:00.359 like a sixty forty split with AJ Dillon. There seems 0:21:00.400 --> 0:21:02.680 like they know what they want him to do, they 0:21:02.840 --> 0:21:06.240 know what part of that offense they want him to be. 0:21:06.440 --> 0:21:09.919 So I just think that he's walking into a split 0:21:09.960 --> 0:21:12.639 backfield situation and he might not be as good as 0:21:12.680 --> 0:21:13.320