WEBVTT - College Football Week 11 Preview (Ep. 127) 0:00:00.280 --> 0:00:15.440 It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros. 0:00:16.400 --> 0:00:19.799 Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's me, Joey p Joe, Pieza, Pia, 0:00:19.880 --> 0:00:22.480 That of course is Scott Bogman, and it's you, and 0:00:22.520 --> 0:00:25.280 today it's all about college football. That's right. I had 0:00:25.280 --> 0:00:29.040 a week off so special. Thank you to Bogman for 0:00:29.480 --> 0:00:32.879 being able to hold the fort down without me. I 0:00:32.920 --> 0:00:34.920 know that was probably very easy to do, but I 0:00:35.040 --> 0:00:38.239 thank him anyway. And of course we're gonna recap what 0:00:38.440 --> 0:00:41.480 happened in week ten in college football and look ahead 0:00:41.479 --> 0:00:45.680 to week eleven. Already, some fun things going on here, Bogs. 0:00:45.760 --> 0:00:47.720 I missed you. It is good to see you again 0:00:47.760 --> 0:00:51.160 this week, my friend. I don't like going a certain 0:00:51.159 --> 0:00:52.479 period of time without talking to you. 0:00:52.520 --> 0:00:53.280 It's just that's right. 0:00:53.640 --> 0:00:56.440 Yeah, Oh, anything over a week is too much. 0:00:56.480 --> 0:00:58.120 So we're right at the cutoff here. 0:00:58.200 --> 0:01:02.640 Yeah, sixteights, I think, yeah, yeah, exactly. So you know 0:01:03.000 --> 0:01:05.520 I missed you too. Luckily my guy Nick was able 0:01:05.560 --> 0:01:07.759 to fill in. We had a good time talking about 0:01:07.800 --> 0:01:10.360 these games. Didn't like being hosts, though, I like being 0:01:10.360 --> 0:01:15.000 analysts on these more than hosts, So you know, back 0:01:15.040 --> 0:01:15.560 to normal. 0:01:15.720 --> 0:01:18.880 I'm happy, Yes, back to normal. And as you could see, also, 0:01:18.920 --> 0:01:22.320 he's got the Vince Young jersey hung up. Now he's 0:01:22.319 --> 0:01:26.080 got the fancy soundproofing. Look at you getting a big. 0:01:25.920 --> 0:01:28.200 Time on me, Scott trying to be a professional. You know. 0:01:29.800 --> 0:01:31.679 Let me know how that works out. I'm still trying 0:01:31.720 --> 0:01:34.400 as well. But in the meantime, let's do a college 0:01:34.400 --> 0:01:36.559 football show, and let's first talk about what we learned 0:01:36.560 --> 0:01:38.600 for week ten. I gotta tell you, when I got 0:01:38.640 --> 0:01:41.000 back from my little mini vacation with the children for 0:01:41.080 --> 0:01:43.640 a couple of days, I did catch some of the 0:01:43.680 --> 0:01:46.160 highlights from this Perdue game. And one of my favorite 0:01:46.160 --> 0:01:48.040 plays that I've seen all year in college football was 0:01:48.080 --> 0:01:50.960 that little trick play that they ran. Where are they fake? 0:01:51.000 --> 0:01:52.960 And off one way, handoff the other way? Throw the 0:01:53.040 --> 0:01:56.400 quarterback and five offensive linemen in front of that guy. 0:01:57.080 --> 0:01:59.240 And I'm watching this, and I'm looking at it saying 0:01:59.240 --> 0:02:03.680 to myself, well, that is spectacular play design. Look at this, 0:02:03.880 --> 0:02:06.440 five guys in front of the one with a giant wall. 0:02:06.520 --> 0:02:08.800 You couldn't draw it up better than that. And look purduce, 0:02:08.880 --> 0:02:10.359 kind of like the Kingslayer. 0:02:10.440 --> 0:02:12.919 These days they are they're the big game hunters, is 0:02:12.960 --> 0:02:15.400 what I've been calling them. They take that number two Iowa, 0:02:15.480 --> 0:02:17.519 they take that number three Michigan State. 0:02:17.919 --> 0:02:19.240 So they're a lot of fun to watch. 0:02:19.320 --> 0:02:22.000 And they got another opportunity this week against Ohio State, 0:02:22.440 --> 0:02:25.079 so we'll see if the big game hunting streak can 0:02:25.080 --> 0:02:26.119 continue here for them. 0:02:26.480 --> 0:02:28.280 I think that's a lot to ask, but I don't 0:02:28.320 --> 0:02:30.160 want to blow what we're doing next to the show 0:02:30.200 --> 0:02:32.760 and want to tease that around anything else that you 0:02:33.480 --> 0:02:36.160 learned for Week ten from watching those games. 0:02:36.280 --> 0:02:39.040 I mean Bama Ohio State, and since he all survived 0:02:39.120 --> 0:02:43.119 another scare, you know, since he just like ever since 0:02:43.160 --> 0:02:45.519 everyone's been complaining about them not being number two in 0:02:45.560 --> 0:02:48.600 the cfpeople, they have played like garbage. So it's still 0:02:48.600 --> 0:02:51.840 winning and I think they're up to five now if 0:02:51.840 --> 0:02:54.120 I'm not mistaken, So they're up there. 0:02:54.200 --> 0:02:54.600 Bama. 0:02:54.680 --> 0:02:58.520 Look, Bama is still very very good, but they're not 0:02:58.680 --> 0:03:01.320 the you know, bullet roof Alabama team that we've been 0:03:01.440 --> 0:03:04.080 used to over the last few seasons. So, you know, 0:03:04.160 --> 0:03:07.120 Georgia seems to be that team in Ohio State. Ohio 0:03:07.120 --> 0:03:10.600 State had beaten everyone by twenty one points since the 0:03:10.639 --> 0:03:13.520 Oregon lost and then played you know, Nebraska hung with 0:03:13.600 --> 0:03:16.839 them that whole game. And uh, that's my fault. It's 0:03:16.840 --> 0:03:20.120 because I put them in my in my article this week. 0:03:20.200 --> 0:03:23.040 So I'm gonna take the run of that this week. 0:03:23.200 --> 0:03:25.520 I think they'll get back on track eventually here. But 0:03:26.440 --> 0:03:28.560 those were all pretty big ones. And then the one 0:03:28.560 --> 0:03:33.000 that pissed me off the most, Joe, was TCU upsetting 0:03:33.000 --> 0:03:35.960 Baylor after firing their head coach and having a first 0:03:35.960 --> 0:03:40.080 time starting quarterback. And Baylor's been ranked, they've been great 0:03:40.120 --> 0:03:43.360 this whole year and they completely blow that game to TCU. 0:03:43.400 --> 0:03:44.920 And I was just like, well, of course this happens. 0:03:44.960 --> 0:03:46.640 And Nick even warned me about it. He said, well, 0:03:46.680 --> 0:03:48.680 you know the teams that fire their head coach. 0:03:48.960 --> 0:03:54.080 I was just gonna say, football guy, I'm a football guy. 0:03:54.480 --> 0:03:56.080 Every time you fire a head coach is like an 0:03:56.120 --> 0:04:00.200 automatic w whether it's the NFL, whether it's college. It's crazy. 0:04:00.360 --> 0:04:02.440 You need to you know what Baylor should do. It's 0:04:02.520 --> 0:04:05.960 just fire head coach every single week and they'll be undefeated. 0:04:06.280 --> 0:04:08.840 Baylor is so much better than TCU, though, Like it's 0:04:08.920 --> 0:04:10.960 just it's one of those things where it's like I 0:04:11.000 --> 0:04:13.760 know the trend, but come on, it's Baylor and TCU. 0:04:13.800 --> 0:04:14.800 I know it's a road game, too. 0:04:14.840 --> 0:04:17.479 It didn't work the part of the reason why I 0:04:17.520 --> 0:04:20.400 had a you know, two games below five hundred week here, 0:04:21.040 --> 0:04:22.760 tied for my worst week at three and seven, but 0:04:22.960 --> 0:04:25.600 still over five hundred for the year. So we will 0:04:25.640 --> 0:04:27.400 get better and I still trust my lodge. You know, 0:04:27.440 --> 0:04:28.920 a lot of those games I missed by a hair 0:04:29.000 --> 0:04:32.560 here and a hair there, so you know, it is 0:04:32.600 --> 0:04:35.000 what it is. Everyone has those weeks. But we will 0:04:35.000 --> 0:04:36.119 get better this week for sure. 0:04:36.160 --> 0:04:37.920 Well, look, I wasn't here, so it might as well 0:04:37.960 --> 0:04:38.560 never have happened. 0:04:38.600 --> 0:04:39.360 So that's right. 0:04:39.560 --> 0:04:41.800 Yeah, So if I'm not here, it doesn't exist. That's 0:04:41.800 --> 0:04:44.359 why I always say, let's talk about the games that 0:04:44.520 --> 0:04:46.720 Bogman likes this week for a week and leven. Let's 0:04:46.760 --> 0:04:50.359 start with North Carolina at twenty fifth rank Pitt Pitt 0:04:50.400 --> 0:04:51.800 is six and a half favorites and this one the 0:04:51.880 --> 0:04:55.520 number seventy three. Pretty big number here, Bogs. Do you 0:04:55.560 --> 0:04:57.799 think this can live up to the hype? 0:04:58.279 --> 0:05:02.160 Well, I stupidly took the on the UNC Wake Forest 0:05:02.200 --> 0:05:04.640 game last week, and I'll never do that again, So 0:05:04.720 --> 0:05:08.360 definitely take the over seventy three here. You know, they 0:05:08.360 --> 0:05:11.040 went over one hundred UNC and Wake last week. I 0:05:11.080 --> 0:05:12.680 don't think they're going to get to that total this week. 0:05:12.680 --> 0:05:14.880 But PIT is seven to two against the spread. UNC 0:05:15.120 --> 0:05:17.359 is four and five, but they're six and three to 0:05:17.400 --> 0:05:19.520 playing to the over. Pitt is also seven and two 0:05:19.760 --> 0:05:21.360 playing to the over, which is why I think this 0:05:21.440 --> 0:05:23.600 game will go to the over. But I think in 0:05:23.720 --> 0:05:27.159 terms of playing this game against the spread, you know, 0:05:27.200 --> 0:05:30.640 both these teams very very good on offense. Pitt first 0:05:30.760 --> 0:05:34.719 in scoring, u n C eleventh in scoring, but PITT 0:05:34.760 --> 0:05:38.440 is forty fifth in scoring defense and UNC is one 0:05:38.560 --> 0:05:42.200 hundred and tenth, So it's pretty easy Pit in the 0:05:42.520 --> 0:05:46.480 fighting Kenny Picketts for the Panthers here. So I think 0:05:46.520 --> 0:05:48.800 the Panthers win this one going away. But I do 0:05:48.880 --> 0:05:51.240 also think that this game goes over. This it's the 0:05:51.240 --> 0:05:52.839 biggest total of the week, and I think. 0:05:52.640 --> 0:05:55.320 It's just say it's a giant number. So if this 0:05:55.360 --> 0:05:57.720 goes over, this is what everybody should be watching because 0:05:57.720 --> 0:05:58.880 it's going to be entertaining football. 0:05:59.000 --> 0:06:00.840 First name man, it's gonna be on. 0:06:01.240 --> 0:06:03.120 You know you want to watch that or do you 0:06:03.120 --> 0:06:05.160 want to watch Baltimore and Miami. 0:06:05.279 --> 0:06:06.560 I think I might rather watch Pitt. 0:06:07.400 --> 0:06:10.560 I do like watching Lamar, but I'm tempted. I'm tempted 0:06:10.600 --> 0:06:11.440 with the seventy three. 0:06:11.720 --> 0:06:14.440 That's why I have two screens in here. I can 0:06:14.440 --> 0:06:14.960 watch both. 0:06:15.839 --> 0:06:16.320 What happened? 0:06:16.360 --> 0:06:16.520 You know? 0:06:16.560 --> 0:06:18.720 Picture and picture was like a thing when I was 0:06:18.720 --> 0:06:20.000 growing up as a kid. I was gonna be the 0:06:20.000 --> 0:06:22.640 big technology. And then I remember having a TV in 0:06:22.680 --> 0:06:24.360 the early two thousands that had it, and now you 0:06:25.000 --> 0:06:27.120 never see that anymore. I don't understand why can't you 0:06:27.160 --> 0:06:29.560 split four screens on a big seventy five inch TV? Now, 0:06:29.600 --> 0:06:30.640 I don't why you can't do that. 0:06:30.920 --> 0:06:33.080 I mean, maybe you can, but I feel like the 0:06:33.400 --> 0:06:35.800 maybe something with the cable companies in the box. It's 0:06:35.880 --> 0:06:37.920 just not something they offer. It's like they want you 0:06:37.960 --> 0:06:39.480 to buy more TVs. 0:06:39.760 --> 0:06:43.279 Somebody at the TV company got together with somebody over. 0:06:43.400 --> 0:06:46.000 TVs so cheap. Why wouldn't you buy them? 0:06:46.040 --> 0:06:49.920 You know that's true, But I mean space maybe that's 0:06:50.000 --> 0:06:52.520 why why if I have a giant TV, why can't 0:06:52.520 --> 0:06:55.800 I just split the screen four ways? Anyway, these are 0:06:55.880 --> 0:06:59.680 problems that need solving, also problem these are first world problems. 0:06:59.720 --> 0:07:05.080 These are definitely people number nine Michigan at Penn State. 0:07:05.600 --> 0:07:09.279 Penn State really favored in this one by half a point. 0:07:09.360 --> 0:07:10.000 They're at home. 0:07:10.560 --> 0:07:14.280 I don't care. They're terrible. No, I'm sick of Penn State. 0:07:14.600 --> 0:07:16.800 I don't care anymore. Forty eight and a half. They're 0:07:16.800 --> 0:07:18.960 Penn State. So let's still get a bowl game invitation. 0:07:19.120 --> 0:07:21.560 But they're dead to me. I'm over it. Are they 0:07:21.600 --> 0:07:23.840 dead to you? Here? I mean, can't we just take 0:07:23.880 --> 0:07:25.440 number nine Michigan and call a day? Here? 0:07:25.760 --> 0:07:26.840 I mean, that's what I'm doing. 0:07:26.960 --> 0:07:28.920 You know, Michigan seven and two against the spread, Penn 0:07:28.920 --> 0:07:31.160 State six and three, though they're good against the spread, 0:07:31.400 --> 0:07:33.920 but this one's easy Michigan for me. Penn State is 0:07:33.960 --> 0:07:37.680 a one dimensional offense, twenty fifth of passing one hundred 0:07:37.800 --> 0:07:43.080 and seventeenth and rushing. Michigan is ninth against the pass 0:07:43.120 --> 0:07:45.880 this year. I think that's the big disconnect in this game. 0:07:46.080 --> 0:07:49.520 Homefield advantage is enormous for Penn State, though, So I 0:07:49.560 --> 0:07:52.520 do think this is going to play closer. I mean, 0:07:52.800 --> 0:07:56.200 ninety percent of cash when I look this up. You know, 0:07:56.320 --> 0:08:01.280 late last night was on Michigan, so understand people taking Michigan. 0:08:01.360 --> 0:08:02.480 I think it's going to be close. 0:08:03.520 --> 0:08:05.840 And I wouldn't say Michigan is great on offense and 0:08:05.880 --> 0:08:08.960 Penn State is still really good on defense, but they've been. 0:08:08.880 --> 0:08:11.480 Trying out new stuff. Man. You know, they tried new personnel. 0:08:11.760 --> 0:08:13.800 They tried to pass the ball a little bit more. 0:08:13.920 --> 0:08:17.480 They've been mixing in JJ McCarthy, the backup quarterback as well, 0:08:17.760 --> 0:08:19.840 just to get something different, which I don't really like 0:08:19.880 --> 0:08:24.080 mixing the quarterbacks. But they're trying things, which is very 0:08:24.200 --> 0:08:27.520 unlike Harbaugh and Michigan. And that's why I like them 0:08:27.520 --> 0:08:30.480 in this game. I think they win this one, but 0:08:30.600 --> 0:08:32.640 I do think it plays very, very much closer than 0:08:32.679 --> 0:08:35.120 you expect. But I mean, if you're watching this game, 0:08:35.600 --> 0:08:38.560 you gotta watch Shahan Dotson man. He wide receiver for 0:08:39.120 --> 0:08:41.600 Penn State. He is so much faster than everyone on 0:08:41.640 --> 0:08:43.440 the field. You can just see the NFL speed there. 0:08:43.440 --> 0:08:44.480 It's a lot of fun to watch. 0:08:44.679 --> 0:08:46.360 Well, that might be the only fun thing to watch 0:08:46.360 --> 0:08:49.400 when you're watching Penn State nowadays. Number one ranked Georgia 0:08:49.480 --> 0:08:51.960 is twenty point favorites at Tennessee the numbers fifty six 0:08:52.000 --> 0:08:54.120 and a half. Is this just as simple as Georgia 0:08:54.200 --> 0:08:54.720 and the Under? 0:08:55.240 --> 0:08:56.680 Yeah? Yeah, And it's for me. 0:08:56.720 --> 0:08:59.000 It's Georgia and the Under moving forward until we see 0:08:59.040 --> 0:09:01.520 them not do it. They control the pace of every 0:09:01.559 --> 0:09:03.760 game this year. This game is gonna be no different. 0:09:04.400 --> 0:09:09.600 Georgia has a cupcake in the FCSAR Charleston Southern. So 0:09:10.160 --> 0:09:12.520 after this game again Tennessee, so they're not looking forward 0:09:12.800 --> 0:09:16.200 to a tough matchup or anything. I think they pound 0:09:16.240 --> 0:09:19.200 Tennessee into the ground. So I would take Tennessee and 0:09:19.240 --> 0:09:23.679 take the under fifty six. It gets a little dicey, 0:09:24.000 --> 0:09:26.960 but you know, because I guarantee you the first half 0:09:27.000 --> 0:09:29.360 will play it a pace to go over. But then 0:09:29.440 --> 0:09:31.720 Georgia will be up and they will sit on the 0:09:31.760 --> 0:09:35.960 ball the whole fourth quarter and probably block a field 0:09:36.000 --> 0:09:38.080 goal or two in this game too. It's just this 0:09:38.240 --> 0:09:39.120 is Georgia easy. 0:09:40.040 --> 0:09:45.640 Perdue at number six. Ohio State Ohio State little, as 0:09:45.679 --> 0:09:48.199 you said, a little little close last week with Nebraska 0:09:48.240 --> 0:09:53.000 Perdue coming off another big w there. So is there 0:09:53.000 --> 0:09:55.080 any scripture can write for anything differently? And do you 0:09:55.080 --> 0:09:58.800 think last week's performance from both teams is going to 0:09:58.840 --> 0:09:59.920 impact this week's wage? 0:10:01.000 --> 0:10:04.680 Not really, it will well, I mean it'll impact the 0:10:04.679 --> 0:10:07.960 wagering for sure, because most people are on Purdue here. 0:10:08.280 --> 0:10:13.160 But you know, look, Ohio State didn't beat Nebraska against 0:10:13.160 --> 0:10:15.040 the spread because I picked them. We all know that, right, 0:10:15.040 --> 0:10:17.200 So we can put that to bed. But I know 0:10:17.280 --> 0:10:20.760 that Purdue has been the big game hunters, taking down 0:10:20.920 --> 0:10:23.520 number two Iowa, number three Michigan State, and I get 0:10:23.600 --> 0:10:26.480 number six Ohio State. But the Buckeyes they got beat 0:10:26.520 --> 0:10:29.160 early against Oregon. They had their scare last week when 0:10:29.160 --> 0:10:32.200 they played Nebraska. I think this is the letdown spot 0:10:32.280 --> 0:10:35.679 for Purdue, not Ohio State. I like the under here 0:10:35.760 --> 0:10:39.440 because Purdue is playing tough defense this year. I just 0:10:39.480 --> 0:10:41.480 don't think it's going to be enough to slow down 0:10:41.520 --> 0:10:44.400 Ohio State. And Ohio State should be able to contain 0:10:44.440 --> 0:10:48.680 Purdue better than the other two top five teams that 0:10:48.720 --> 0:10:51.480 the boiler Makers beat this year did so I just 0:10:51.559 --> 0:10:55.319 I think this is an Ohio State drubbing and I'm 0:10:55.360 --> 0:10:56.679 going to take them and lay the points. 0:10:57.000 --> 0:10:58.679 All right, Let's move on to Miami too, and a 0:10:58.679 --> 0:11:01.120 half point favorites a f Florida State. The number for 0:11:01.160 --> 0:11:04.160 this one is sixty one. Neither of these teams good 0:11:04.160 --> 0:11:06.920 against the spread, So what do you do here in 0:11:07.000 --> 0:11:07.600 this one? 0:11:08.120 --> 0:11:10.880 I mean, look, and I picked Miami last week and 0:11:10.920 --> 0:11:14.840 it didn't work out, But you know, both these teams 0:11:15.000 --> 0:11:15.960 suck against the spread. 0:11:15.960 --> 0:11:17.760 But I think Florida State straight up sucks. 0:11:18.000 --> 0:11:23.160 I think they're right, Miami's dealt with some injuries, but 0:11:23.240 --> 0:11:26.360 they put three straight wins together against much tougher competition 0:11:26.400 --> 0:11:30.079 than FSU was played. NC State Pit, Georgia Tech. Those 0:11:30.120 --> 0:11:32.920 are hard teams to beat. Miami beat them all. They're 0:11:32.960 --> 0:11:35.080 only two and a half point favorites here. I know 0:11:35.160 --> 0:11:37.320 things can get weird in a rivalry games, so I'm 0:11:37.360 --> 0:11:39.120 definitely not gonna put this one in my article or 0:11:39.120 --> 0:11:42.840 anything because of the wackiness of rivalry games here. 0:11:43.200 --> 0:11:46.080 But I think Miami wins this one pretty easy. 0:11:46.360 --> 0:11:49.920 All right. Michigan State eighth ranked at home thirteen point 0:11:49.920 --> 0:11:53.079 favorites against Maryland. Something to prove here this week for 0:11:53.200 --> 0:11:54.160 Michigan State, you think? 0:11:54.400 --> 0:11:54.840 I think so. 0:11:54.920 --> 0:11:58.160 They got to respond after coughing up to their undefeated 0:11:58.200 --> 0:12:01.200 season to Purdue. In all four of Maryland's losses, they've 0:12:01.240 --> 0:12:04.160 also lost against the spread, and I don't see this 0:12:04.240 --> 0:12:07.280 game being much different, especially as a road game for 0:12:07.440 --> 0:12:11.679 the Terrapins. Michigan State does have the dead last passing 0:12:11.720 --> 0:12:15.040 defense in the country one hundred and thirtieth. A lot 0:12:15.080 --> 0:12:17.960 of that is probably because teams are playing catch up 0:12:18.000 --> 0:12:21.520 against them, right, and that can't be overlooked Because I've 0:12:21.840 --> 0:12:25.560 let it. I've made excuses for Michigan State before with that, 0:12:25.960 --> 0:12:29.200 but Maryland is ninety seventh in scoring defense. The Spartan 0:12:29.240 --> 0:12:31.720 should roll right over them. They should control the clock. 0:12:32.080 --> 0:12:36.120 I think this is Michigan State drubbing, but I'm not 0:12:36.160 --> 0:12:37.960 gonna put it in the leans because I do think 0:12:37.960 --> 0:12:41.080 Michigan State wins this one going away. But just understand 0:12:41.080 --> 0:12:45.240 that if litl TUA looks good, that is the reason why. 0:12:45.280 --> 0:12:48.000 Because Michigan State cannot stop anything as far as their 0:12:48.000 --> 0:12:48.640 pass game goes. 0:12:48.720 --> 0:12:50.160 So what about the sixty one and a half in 0:12:50.200 --> 0:12:50.600 this game? 0:12:50.800 --> 0:12:52.720 I play the over. I play the over on that 0:12:52.760 --> 0:12:53.479 for sure. 0:12:53.559 --> 0:12:55.920 All right. Next is eleventh ranked Texas A and M 0:12:55.960 --> 0:12:59.080 two and a half point favorites at number twelve ranked 0:12:59.160 --> 0:13:01.280 Old Miss fifty five and a half is the number. 0:13:01.400 --> 0:13:04.480 These are two teams I guess theoretically are close to 0:13:04.520 --> 0:13:06.840 each other. But what's your take on this game? 0:13:07.080 --> 0:13:08.800 Yeah, I have this one that likes to and I 0:13:08.840 --> 0:13:10.640 hate that I'm gonna go with Texas A and M. 0:13:10.679 --> 0:13:12.560 But I think I have to. This is gonna be 0:13:12.640 --> 0:13:15.040 who can control the ball in the pace of this game. 0:13:15.080 --> 0:13:17.480 I think at Texas A and M, I think is 0:13:17.480 --> 0:13:19.800 going to control the pace at the twenty seventh slowest 0:13:19.840 --> 0:13:23.119 pace in the country, which will pressure All Miss into mistakes. 0:13:23.480 --> 0:13:25.439 But Texas A and M has lost some games even 0:13:25.520 --> 0:13:27.760 in a slow pace. They controlled the pace against Arkansas, 0:13:27.840 --> 0:13:30.520 still lost that one. I mean, Arkansas plays to a 0:13:30.559 --> 0:13:34.000 slower pace too, but Arkansas is pretty flexible. We've seen them, 0:13:34.240 --> 0:13:37.400 you know, play a game that goes over one hundred 0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:39.920 points and beat Texas A and M twenty to ten, 0:13:40.120 --> 0:13:42.760 so they're kind of, you know, more of a switch. 0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:46.640 But they controlled the pace against Arkansas still one lost 0:13:46.640 --> 0:13:49.520 that game. And then even though the game went over 0:13:49.559 --> 0:13:53.040 against Mississippi State, one of only three games for Mississippi 0:13:53.040 --> 0:13:56.160 State under fifty points, they lost that one too. But 0:13:56.200 --> 0:13:58.400 the magic number here is twenty seven. All Miss has 0:13:58.440 --> 0:14:02.000 lost both games they scored under twenty seven points with 0:14:02.080 --> 0:14:04.240 the injuries at they got a ton of injuries, a 0:14:04.320 --> 0:14:06.959 wideout Ole Miss does Matt Crowe, I don't think he's 0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:09.960 even practiced to this point this week, and it's Wednesday. 0:14:10.760 --> 0:14:13.360 I think Texas A and M wins this one, even 0:14:13.360 --> 0:14:16.520 as a road game, and I think they win it 0:14:16.559 --> 0:14:18.000 by more than two and a half points because they 0:14:18.040 --> 0:14:20.400 just don't think, you know, Ole Miss Liberty played them 0:14:20.400 --> 0:14:22.480 tough last week, so they just don't have a lot 0:14:22.480 --> 0:14:24.720 of juice on offense right now with so many players. 0:14:24.480 --> 0:14:28.520 Hur TCU at tenth ranked Oklahoma State. Oklahoma State is 0:14:28.560 --> 0:14:30.760 thirteen point favorites. Fifty four and a half is the 0:14:30.840 --> 0:14:33.520 number in this one. Oklahoma State good against the spread 0:14:33.560 --> 0:14:36.680 on this year, TCU not. Is this the letdown game for. 0:14:36.680 --> 0:14:42.200 TCU, absolutely letdown spot, one hundred percent. Okay State seven 0:14:42.280 --> 0:14:45.360 and two against the spread, TCUs two, six and one, 0:14:45.440 --> 0:14:47.360 and I look, I'm just gonna go ahead and doubt 0:14:47.440 --> 0:14:50.560 them again. And you know, I've done this a couple 0:14:50.600 --> 0:14:51.880 of times and it hasn't worked out for me. 0:14:51.920 --> 0:14:52.840 But I'm fairly. 0:14:52.520 --> 0:14:55.040 Confident this one is gonna work out for me. Absolute 0:14:55.120 --> 0:14:58.040 leftdown spot for TCU. After the big win against Baylor, 0:14:58.200 --> 0:15:00.240 I'll be taking Okay State here as a I don't 0:15:00.240 --> 0:15:02.960 think TCU will be able to catch lightning in avolved twice. 0:15:03.120 --> 0:15:06.240 TCU is still down their top running back, Zach Evans. 0:15:06.600 --> 0:15:08.840 I think Okay State is just a much better team. 0:15:08.840 --> 0:15:11.520 They won't be looking ahead. They got Texas Tech next week. 0:15:11.880 --> 0:15:15.360 Okay State in an absolute beatdown. Baylor was looking forward 0:15:15.680 --> 0:15:19.560 to this Oklahoma game, so I think that this is 0:15:19.640 --> 0:15:21.520 a SmackDown f Okay State. 0:15:22.080 --> 0:15:24.040 All right, So those are all the likes. Let's move 0:15:24.080 --> 0:15:27.080 to the leans here and we'll start with first Oklahoma, 0:15:27.160 --> 0:15:29.080 fourth ranked in the nation, five and a half point 0:15:29.120 --> 0:15:33.120 favorites on the road at Baylor ranked eighteenth coming off 0:15:33.520 --> 0:15:36.840 their losses we talked about. So after that, is this 0:15:36.960 --> 0:15:40.920 where you know Baylor gets checked yet again here? Because 0:15:41.480 --> 0:15:43.880 one would think here with fourth rank Oklahoma that this 0:15:43.920 --> 0:15:47.240 should be a pretty strong performance there from Oklahoma against Baylor. 0:15:47.320 --> 0:15:49.560 Again the number sixty two and a half. So is 0:15:49.600 --> 0:15:51.000 it just as simple as that or you have a 0:15:51.040 --> 0:15:51.960 little bit of worry here? 0:15:52.680 --> 0:15:54.200 I mean, I don't like this game. 0:15:54.280 --> 0:15:58.240 I think it's gross Oklahoma, like you said, they're bad 0:15:58.280 --> 0:16:00.640 against the spread. Baylor's been pretty good against the spread 0:16:00.680 --> 0:16:03.400 outside last week. I think that Baylor was looking past 0:16:03.440 --> 0:16:07.840 TCU obviously the struggles that TCU has had this year. 0:16:07.880 --> 0:16:08.840 They fired their head. 0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:11.200 Coach, they the first time starter and Chandler Morris, all 0:16:11.200 --> 0:16:14.400 that stuff, and they're looking forward to this game. I 0:16:14.400 --> 0:16:17.120 think this could be the week that Oklahoma gets exposed. 0:16:17.160 --> 0:16:21.080 They're nine to zero, but have had so many close 0:16:21.120 --> 0:16:25.680 calls it's crazy. But statistically this isn't the matchup to 0:16:25.840 --> 0:16:29.840 end OU streak. Ou has a great passing offense, Baylor's 0:16:29.840 --> 0:16:33.040 below average and passing defense, and Baylor has a great 0:16:33.160 --> 0:16:36.680 rush offense and OU defending the run is what they 0:16:36.720 --> 0:16:40.760 do best. So the matchup on paper is bad for Baylor. 0:16:40.880 --> 0:16:44.000 So I'll take Oklahoma here, but I wouldn't be surprised 0:16:44.000 --> 0:16:46.360 for this game goes either way, so I'll stay away 0:16:46.360 --> 0:16:46.680 from it. 0:16:46.680 --> 0:16:48.280 As far as laying my own money. 0:16:48.000 --> 0:16:52.600 Down, Mississippi State at sixteenth ranked Auburn. Auburn at home 0:16:52.680 --> 0:16:54.360 is five and a half point favorites. The number is 0:16:54.480 --> 0:16:56.880 fifty in this one. I'm not a big bon Knicks guy, 0:16:56.920 --> 0:16:58.880 but do you think they could just do enough to 0:16:59.400 --> 0:17:00.760 get to this fire and a half number. 0:17:01.000 --> 0:17:02.640 I think you look at this and you go, this 0:17:02.720 --> 0:17:05.760 is definitely Auburn. But I think I look at this 0:17:05.800 --> 0:17:08.080 and I go, I'm taking the over for sure. 0:17:08.240 --> 0:17:10.200 Fifty points. I'll take the over. 0:17:10.320 --> 0:17:13.720 Both these teams played to the under more often, but 0:17:13.880 --> 0:17:16.880 the average score. If you took the average offensive score 0:17:17.000 --> 0:17:19.640 both these teams, this game would be a fifty eight 0:17:19.640 --> 0:17:22.520 point game. Defensively it would be forty six, So you're 0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:26.080 asking to score five more points then they usually give 0:17:26.160 --> 0:17:30.359 up two SEC teams, two SEC teams that play specifically 0:17:30.400 --> 0:17:33.280 Mississippi State much better on offense than they do on defense, 0:17:33.800 --> 0:17:36.000 so I have no idea who win this game. Bonicks 0:17:36.000 --> 0:17:38.200 has been playing great, but was awful against Texas A 0:17:38.240 --> 0:17:40.359 and M, which isn't a big surprise because the Aggies 0:17:40.359 --> 0:17:44.080 played good defense. You know, they beat Bama. Mississippi State 0:17:44.119 --> 0:17:47.800 has been great. They lost to Memphis, Arkansas and LSU 0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:50.040 buy a field goal, but they beat Kentucky, Vandy and 0:17:50.080 --> 0:17:53.440 Texas A and M. The only blowout loss that they've 0:17:53.520 --> 0:17:56.880 had was to Alabama. So my prediction for this game. 0:17:57.119 --> 0:18:00.359 It'll be close, but go over. Missippi State has gone 0:18:00.680 --> 0:18:03.960 over fifty and six of nine games, Auburn five of 0:18:04.040 --> 0:18:06.560 nine games, So throw out the spread. 0:18:07.040 --> 0:18:08.240 Play the over in this game. 0:18:08.880 --> 0:18:11.400 Well, it's what you've all been waiting for. Seventh rank 0:18:11.480 --> 0:18:14.320 Notre Dame five and a half point favorites at Virginia 0:18:14.440 --> 0:18:17.520 sixty four and a half is the number. Scott Bogman, 0:18:18.160 --> 0:18:21.920 you are the worst when it comes to Notre Dame. 0:18:21.960 --> 0:18:24.920 Let's go Seanna. You are the best in life and 0:18:24.960 --> 0:18:27.639 in sports. You're my favorite person. You know that. But 0:18:28.000 --> 0:18:30.440 in terms of Notre Dame. Let's call what is It's 0:18:30.480 --> 0:18:32.400 been rough? So what do you want to do with them? 0:18:32.400 --> 0:18:33.040 In Week eleven? 0:18:33.080 --> 0:18:36.160 You too, I think I have to take him here. 0:18:36.359 --> 0:18:38.040