WEBVTT - Facebook Takes Heat From Skeptical Senators on Libra

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Penel podcast and Paul swing you.

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<v Speaker 1>Along with my co host Lisa Brahmas. Each day we

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<v Speaker 1>bring you the most noteworthy and useful interviews for you

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<v Speaker 1>and your money, whether at the grocery store or the

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<v Speaker 1>trading floor. Find a Bloomberg Penil podcast on Apple podcast

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<v Speaker 1>or wherever you listen to podcasts, as well as that

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot Com. Joining us now is Leonel Laurant. He

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<v Speaker 1>covers He covers all things for us from Bloomberg Opinion.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh and Leonel, can we just start with what we're

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<v Speaker 1>expecting to learn from these hearings? Why are they important? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I think the opening comments testimony from David Marcus kind

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<v Speaker 1>of lays out already what the important parts are, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>from from the from the regulatory political point of view.

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<v Speaker 1>They clearly have to answer or push on two questions,

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<v Speaker 1>which is, where does the day to go? How is

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<v Speaker 1>it really kept at our length from Facebook? And what

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<v Speaker 1>does libor mead for financial stability given that it's going

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<v Speaker 1>to be investing in big currencies like the dollar, like

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<v Speaker 1>the euro. And I think that's already the opening testimony

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<v Speaker 1>from David Marcus, who is trying to tell everyone looks,

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<v Speaker 1>don't worry. We're not even going to move. We're not

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<v Speaker 1>going to budge on this until everyone is happy, and

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to want to be regulated to an almost

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<v Speaker 1>extreme level before this even gets off the ground. So

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to be a lot of kind of soothing

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<v Speaker 1>language from from Facebook on this and hopefully more transparency.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, I'm glad you brought up to kind

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<v Speaker 1>of the type that the statement from Mr Marcus, because

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<v Speaker 1>it was extremely conciliatory. I would say, in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>as you mentioned that they will not move until they

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<v Speaker 1>get full regulatory approval. What is this sense within kind

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<v Speaker 1>of the technology world of financial regulatory world whether Facebook

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<v Speaker 1>can ever get approval for this type of currency. So

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's what we're seeing now is primarily a

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<v Speaker 1>political reaction. It is as though came with Analystica was happening. Again.

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<v Speaker 1>This is from the lawmaker Congress side of things. I

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<v Speaker 1>think on the on the regulation front, I think that

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<v Speaker 1>there is actually a lot of debate, a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>kind of open debate about whether there should be there

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<v Speaker 1>should be a trigger for say, digital currencies to be

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<v Speaker 1>shue directly by the central bank. I think that regulators

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<v Speaker 1>like Mark Karney, for instance, have been more open than

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<v Speaker 1>others and saying why don't we just bring them into

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<v Speaker 1>our tent and keep a really close eye on them

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<v Speaker 1>as the condition for letting them launch. I have yet

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<v Speaker 1>to hear anyone say let's band this, So I think

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<v Speaker 1>that a lot of this reaction is primarily about politically

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<v Speaker 1>keeping a check on Facebook's power, and not because everyone

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<v Speaker 1>has suddenly agreed that this should never see the light

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<v Speaker 1>of day. You know, I'm trying to figure out what

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<v Speaker 1>what exactly liberal is. Do we have a sense of

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<v Speaker 1>what exactly it is or is it more concept than

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<v Speaker 1>even a firmed up reality or potential of reality in

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<v Speaker 1>the near future. So I think Facebook would would like

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<v Speaker 1>it to be seen as money, electronic money. This is

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<v Speaker 1>why they're saying Libra is cash. It's why they're saying

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<v Speaker 1>they will be regulated as a money services business. But

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<v Speaker 1>they how can I put this? May be disappointed to

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<v Speaker 1>find that regulators don't agree with the definition, because remember,

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<v Speaker 1>on the cryptocurrency France, there were plenty of discussions like

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<v Speaker 1>whether Bitcoin and ethereum were securities or commodities, and Libra

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<v Speaker 1>may endure being viewed as an exchange traded fund because

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<v Speaker 1>theoretically or conceptually, you can see how someone is putting

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<v Speaker 1>money into Libra and receiving in exchange a slice of

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<v Speaker 1>something that is investing in currencies, in testing in assets.

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<v Speaker 1>So there's a very good argument to say it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>an ETS. So there's a whole debate about what it

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<v Speaker 1>should be that may not go Facebook's way. Leon. I

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<v Speaker 1>know some Facebook investors have been asking the basic question

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<v Speaker 1>of why why would Facebook, you know, attempt to get

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<v Speaker 1>into a business that is so highly regulated, not just

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<v Speaker 1>in the US but around the world, particularly given a

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<v Speaker 1>time when there are serious concerns being raised about some

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<v Speaker 1>of their core business the privacy and data security and

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<v Speaker 1>so on. Well, it's interesting because in it's very easy

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<v Speaker 1>to say in hindsight, but I remember when Libra was

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<v Speaker 1>first announced, there are plenty of self had analysts saying

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<v Speaker 1>this is fantastic, It's a whole new revenue stream. It's

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<v Speaker 1>the question is almost why this particular structure with the

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<v Speaker 1>crypto side of things. Because Facebook has tried several times

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<v Speaker 1>to get a payments business off the ground, you can

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<v Speaker 1>see why. It's a business model of ninety percent advertising

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<v Speaker 1>is way too concentrated and could do with an actual

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<v Speaker 1>revenue stream where people pay for things on Facebook. That

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<v Speaker 1>makes complete sense, but because their previous bids have flopped,

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<v Speaker 1>they clearly entrusted David Marcus with finding a new way

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<v Speaker 1>to do it a successful way. He went the cryptocurrency route.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think that is a big question, that is,

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<v Speaker 1>why why go down this blockchain route? Why go down

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<v Speaker 1>this attempt at being decentralized and trying to please all

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<v Speaker 1>types of people, including blockchain developers and bitcoin buyers. That

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<v Speaker 1>that's a declution question. Lena Laurent, thank you so much

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<v Speaker 1>for being with us calumnist for Blueberg Opinion. Well, the

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<v Speaker 1>grocery business clearly has historically been a very competitive business,

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<v Speaker 1>very tough, tight margins, particularly in New York City with

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<v Speaker 1>all of the bodegas and independent groceries. The question I've

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<v Speaker 1>always had is who supplies these small bodegas and independent grocers.

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<v Speaker 1>Well we found the answer Krasdale food Steve Silver as

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<v Speaker 1>president and CEO of Krasdale Foods based on White Plains

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<v Speaker 1>and the Bronx New York. Steve, thanks so much for

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<v Speaker 1>joining us. Tell us about Crassdale Foods. What is who

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<v Speaker 1>are your customers and kind of what is the history

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<v Speaker 1>of your company. Certainly, thank you, Paul, thanks for having

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<v Speaker 1>me here. Uh quite a story. Cras Sdale Foods hundred

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<v Speaker 1>ten year old, family owned business, now in its third generation.

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<v Speaker 1>UM servicing, as you said, Odega's and independently owned supermarkets

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<v Speaker 1>throughout the metropolitan area. Company for the longest period of time,

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<v Speaker 1>up until maybe the mid seventies, strictly serviced any supermarket,

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<v Speaker 1>any chain. If you had a convenience store, if you

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<v Speaker 1>had a Delhi, we had an army of salespeople out

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<v Speaker 1>in the street that would take orders and just uh

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<v Speaker 1>and then we would follow it up and deliver you goods.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, we were essentially a Dreyer. Where Crasdale transformed

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<v Speaker 1>into a full service company is in the seventies when

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<v Speaker 1>most of your vertically integrated chains were leaving the city,

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<v Speaker 1>leaving the urban area, heading out to suburbia looking for

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<v Speaker 1>more golden grounds, larger formats, larger stores, and essentially abandoned

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<v Speaker 1>the people of New York, leaving food deserts all over

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<v Speaker 1>the place. Management at the time that's prior to me

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<v Speaker 1>is which as you know, I've been there thirty eight years,

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<v Speaker 1>but that was still prior to me. Had the insight

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<v Speaker 1>and the foresight to see if they can collectively grab

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<v Speaker 1>up many of those independently owned supermarkets and see if

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<v Speaker 1>we can't get them to operate under common banners. And

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<v Speaker 1>that was the birth of our Sea Town program. So

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<v Speaker 1>while we don't own the stores, we service those stores.

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<v Speaker 1>We give the store owner the opportunity to operate as

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<v Speaker 1>if he was a vertically integrated chain. We provide all

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<v Speaker 1>the specialized services of a supermarket would need from professional help,

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<v Speaker 1>front and help, specialty help, perishables, anything that a chain

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<v Speaker 1>would deliver it to their vertically integrated stores, we would

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<v Speaker 1>deliver it to those supermarkets. And then obviously we would

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<v Speaker 1>get them all to run o the common Merchandising program,

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<v Speaker 1>so collaboratively and collectively they could get the cloud, the

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<v Speaker 1>purchasing cloud that we could bring to bear and go

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<v Speaker 1>to our CpG companies and essentially become a portal for

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<v Speaker 1>them to ship goods into the city. So we when

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<v Speaker 1>we can talk about food deserts, there is a concept.

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<v Speaker 1>We've see it play out across the country, across the

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<v Speaker 1>United States. How in UH poorer areas, typically it's harder

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<v Speaker 1>to get fresh foods and and really anything other than

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<v Speaker 1>fast food or processed foods. Highly processed foods, it tends

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<v Speaker 1>to also be cheaper. I understand very much the social

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<v Speaker 1>case of why it's important to get healthier foods to

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<v Speaker 1>some of those neighborhoods. What is the business case from

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<v Speaker 1>Crasdale's perspective about why it is beneficial to go into

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<v Speaker 1>those areas well? Quite quite frankly, we've always been in

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<v Speaker 1>those areas, um but opportunity. Obviously, when these chains left

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<v Speaker 1>the city at left a vacuum, we figured out the

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<v Speaker 1>best way to essentially and economically drive those products into

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<v Speaker 1>those to us of those consumers could eat healthy, good

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<v Speaker 1>meals at a reasonable price. Um. Again, that was the

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<v Speaker 1>C Town Group. Uh. It took you know, independently owned

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<v Speaker 1>supermarkets who were very not very skilled and not very

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<v Speaker 1>professional in terms of their built to raise capital and

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<v Speaker 1>go to banks and maybe operate like a story you

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<v Speaker 1>would typically see in suburbia to to use our expertise.

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<v Speaker 1>We would provide capital for expansion, remodeling, getting the stores

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<v Speaker 1>to look essentially the way they do today and be

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<v Speaker 1>you know, really shopping places to go look for a

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<v Speaker 1>consumer and where they can get a healthy meal at

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<v Speaker 1>a reasonable price. Uh So, it's basically opportunity. The opportunity

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<v Speaker 1>was there, we filled the vacuum. We did it well.

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<v Speaker 1>We did it so well that we got a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of copy cat you know, companies coming in after the fact.

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<v Speaker 1>And now there are no more food deserts in New York.

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<v Speaker 1>In fact, there's probably too many supermarkets. It gets more

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<v Speaker 1>and more difficult, you know, for not only us, but

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<v Speaker 1>for US store owners to run profitably. It's a very

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<v Speaker 1>low margin business. Uh. And when you're where it used

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<v Speaker 1>to be, as you said, Lisa, one one seat down

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<v Speaker 1>on the corner, and it might not be three or

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<v Speaker 1>four stores on the corner on top of drug stores,

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<v Speaker 1>convenience stores, dollars stores, big box stores. Now we have

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<v Speaker 1>to deal with online order ring so everybody picking away.

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<v Speaker 1>So in New York City is obviously tremendously diverse in

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<v Speaker 1>the in terms of ethnicity population. I mean, how do

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<v Speaker 1>you have to you have to have the knowledge of

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<v Speaker 1>to have you know, Korean food in the Korean neighborhood,

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<v Speaker 1>Hispanic food in Hispanic neighbor exactly right, well, exactly right.

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<v Speaker 1>In fact, you could go five blocks away and being

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<v Speaker 1>an entirely different neighborhood than when you just came from

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<v Speaker 1>the beauty of our program. While we put together a

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<v Speaker 1>base merchandising program that every store would have to run,

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<v Speaker 1>what we did that was not common at the time

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<v Speaker 1>was we gave those independent leone supermarkets the ability to

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<v Speaker 1>tailor or customize that program so that they could then

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<v Speaker 1>sell those items that they need to sell to their

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<v Speaker 1>customers that are in that neighborhood. We were smart enough

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<v Speaker 1>to realize that the owner of that supermarket knows his

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<v Speaker 1>area better than us. Just use us to be able

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<v Speaker 1>to bring the cloud of the two hundred stores that

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<v Speaker 1>we now have working collectively to bring them the best

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<v Speaker 1>products at the best price. And that's how it grew,

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<v Speaker 1>and it was wildly successful. It went from just a

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<v Speaker 1>handful of stores in the seventies to maybe two hundred

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<v Speaker 1>stores by so successful at it, you know, we start

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<v Speaker 1>another band is Bravo. Supermarkets are AIM supermarkets aims a

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<v Speaker 1>little twist AIM. A lot of these independently owned supermarkets

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<v Speaker 1>still like the independence of their own name, so we

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<v Speaker 1>call AIM. They can operate like a de Chico is

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<v Speaker 1>an AIM program. North Sure Foods is an AIM program,

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<v Speaker 1>all right, So i AM become secondary then name their

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<v Speaker 1>family name. These are royal family owned businesses like Rasdale,

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<v Speaker 1>and we're dealing with, yeah, that they can keep their

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<v Speaker 1>own identity. Steve Slilver, thank you so much for being here, President,

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<v Speaker 1>Chief Operating Officer of Crasdale Foods. Very much in New

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<v Speaker 1>York City, story near and dear to my heart, considering

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<v Speaker 1>that's where I was born and raised. Steve Silver, thank

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<v Speaker 1>you so much for being here. Let's turn our attention

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<v Speaker 1>to Amazon Prime Day, not because we want to necessarily

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<v Speaker 1>push this, but because we think it is important to

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<v Speaker 1>sort of gauge the consumer sentiment currently as well as

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<v Speaker 1>Amazon's overall goal going forward and and their success in

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<v Speaker 1>getting new Prime members joining us now. Evan Clark, Deputy

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<v Speaker 1>Managing editor for Women's Where Daily. Evan, I want to

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<v Speaker 1>just first start by what are you expecting this Amazon

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<v Speaker 1>Prime go around and how important is it to retailers. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's really important for Prime and for the

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<v Speaker 1>rest of the industry. But I think there's also kind

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<v Speaker 1>of a little bit of context in that Amazon's really

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<v Speaker 1>kind of packaged this in a really savvy way, but

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<v Speaker 1>it's a sale and retail has been holding sales forever

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<v Speaker 1>from you know, It's something that kind of comes between

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<v Speaker 1>the fourth July Memorial Day sales and Labor Day. Evan,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you for the real speak. By the way, let's

0:12:51.640 --> 0:12:55.320
<v Speaker 1>just talk about what it actually is. A sale go on, right, So,

0:12:55.800 --> 0:12:58.439
<v Speaker 1>but it's uh, you know, but all that we're we're

0:12:58.480 --> 0:13:01.360
<v Speaker 1>talking about Amazon. A lot of consumers are out there.

0:13:01.360 --> 0:13:04.320
<v Speaker 1>There's over a hundred million Prime members. Two thirds of

0:13:04.360 --> 0:13:06.840
<v Speaker 1>them are expected to be shopping on this kind of

0:13:06.920 --> 0:13:11.640
<v Speaker 1>prime to day uh event here, So they're generating. They're

0:13:11.679 --> 0:13:14.360
<v Speaker 1>doing exactly what merchants always are trying to do is

0:13:14.520 --> 0:13:17.640
<v Speaker 1>kind of gin up some interest in some buzz, and

0:13:17.679 --> 0:13:20.559
<v Speaker 1>a lot of retailers have you know, not to be

0:13:20.679 --> 0:13:24.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of outdone, have jumped on this. Amazon or eBay

0:13:24.440 --> 0:13:28.040
<v Speaker 1>has a crash sale, which is kind of a reference,

0:13:28.160 --> 0:13:31.400
<v Speaker 1>cheeky reference to Amazon has crashed in the past on

0:13:31.480 --> 0:13:35.040
<v Speaker 1>this day. I think it's total two fifty retailers are

0:13:35.040 --> 0:13:37.800
<v Speaker 1>expected to be holding some kind of Prime Day events.

0:13:37.840 --> 0:13:39.800
<v Speaker 1>So there's a lot going on. But in the end, yeah,

0:13:39.920 --> 0:13:42.840
<v Speaker 1>it's a it's a it's a basically a way to

0:13:42.880 --> 0:13:46.040
<v Speaker 1>cut price and you know, kind of get shopper and

0:13:46.120 --> 0:13:50.439
<v Speaker 1>motivate shoppers. So what do the typical Prime Day customers

0:13:50.520 --> 0:13:54.040
<v Speaker 1>buy is anything different than what typically is done. Now,

0:13:54.080 --> 0:13:57.040
<v Speaker 1>I think it's this it looks like we've seen in

0:13:57.080 --> 0:13:59.400
<v Speaker 1>the past. I mean, the two of the big categories

0:13:59.400 --> 0:14:03.000
<v Speaker 1>are electron Onyx and fashion, and fashion is an area.

0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:07.160
<v Speaker 1>You know, Electronics is something that Amazon's in in its

0:14:07.200 --> 0:14:09.480
<v Speaker 1>own right. There's a lot of Alexa deals, there's a

0:14:09.559 --> 0:14:12.880
<v Speaker 1>lot of echo speakers and things like that. And fashion

0:14:12.960 --> 0:14:15.080
<v Speaker 1>is an area where Amazon is very kind of keen

0:14:15.200 --> 0:14:17.600
<v Speaker 1>to build. So that those are two of the categories

0:14:17.600 --> 0:14:20.760
<v Speaker 1>to watch. One thing I'm trying to figure out is

0:14:20.960 --> 0:14:24.200
<v Speaker 1>how retailers that are not affiliated with Amazon feel about

0:14:24.200 --> 0:14:26.400
<v Speaker 1>all of this. In other words, they're being forced to

0:14:26.440 --> 0:14:30.560
<v Speaker 1>discount things yet again during the year, and they potentially

0:14:30.600 --> 0:14:35.240
<v Speaker 1>have to pay, you know, to Amazon. Bloomberg opinion Columnistsura

0:14:35.320 --> 0:14:39.200
<v Speaker 1>Ovidate calculated twenty six cents on each dollar to Amazon,

0:14:39.280 --> 0:14:42.320
<v Speaker 1>and that doesn't include any additional fees to pay for

0:14:42.400 --> 0:14:45.400
<v Speaker 1>advertising to get better placement in the search results. How

0:14:45.480 --> 0:14:49.000
<v Speaker 1>what's their what's their sense of this type of day? Well,

0:14:49.040 --> 0:14:52.000
<v Speaker 1>I think, you know, retailers don't need again, they don't

0:14:52.000 --> 0:14:54.920
<v Speaker 1>need a whole lot of pressure to cut price. It's

0:14:54.960 --> 0:15:01.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of what they do. Um. But Amazon certainly is

0:15:01.480 --> 0:15:05.560
<v Speaker 1>is a is an immense competitive force on the online sphere,

0:15:06.200 --> 0:15:09.760
<v Speaker 1>and retailers have to answer this, so you know, they're

0:15:09.920 --> 0:15:11.960
<v Speaker 1>whether or not they want to, they they kind of

0:15:11.960 --> 0:15:14.080
<v Speaker 1>really have to jump in. And I think it's also

0:15:14.120 --> 0:15:17.280
<v Speaker 1>a chance to you know, it might be a little

0:15:17.280 --> 0:15:19.520
<v Speaker 1>bit of glee here in a certain sense, and that

0:15:19.640 --> 0:15:23.080
<v Speaker 1>here's an opportunity for retailers to try to kind of

0:15:23.880 --> 0:15:26.320
<v Speaker 1>not let Amazon just run away with the day. So

0:15:26.360 --> 0:15:29.680
<v Speaker 1>they're trying to you know that they on on their own.

0:15:29.840 --> 0:15:33.120
<v Speaker 1>Individual retailers really have a difficulty kind of standing up

0:15:33.160 --> 0:15:36.200
<v Speaker 1>against Amazon. But if you have Amazon having their big

0:15:36.240 --> 0:15:39.760
<v Speaker 1>sale and two fifty retailers are trying to counter them,

0:15:39.840 --> 0:15:41.800
<v Speaker 1>there's actually a little bit of juice there. So I

0:15:41.800 --> 0:15:45.280
<v Speaker 1>think it's all of this just gets the conspetitive spirit firing.

0:15:45.600 --> 0:15:48.840
<v Speaker 1>So Evan, I saw yesterday that there's actually a small

0:15:49.000 --> 0:15:51.920
<v Speaker 1>strike at one of the filming centers for Amazon. You

0:15:51.960 --> 0:15:55.760
<v Speaker 1>can tell us about is anything for Amazon to worry about? Well, yeah,

0:15:55.840 --> 0:15:59.320
<v Speaker 1>I think Amazon has in the past been criticized for

0:15:59.800 --> 0:16:02.720
<v Speaker 1>how it's treated some of its workers and and and

0:16:02.720 --> 0:16:05.880
<v Speaker 1>and you know, there was a big expose a few

0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:08.840
<v Speaker 1>years back, and since then, I think they've really tried

0:16:08.880 --> 0:16:13.360
<v Speaker 1>to rehab their image to uh to an extent, and

0:16:13.400 --> 0:16:17.040
<v Speaker 1>they've focusing on the um and they've used their their might.

0:16:17.480 --> 0:16:21.240
<v Speaker 1>They're kind of financial might going to minimum wage of

0:16:21.280 --> 0:16:25.200
<v Speaker 1>fifteen an hour. So it really that's kind of what's

0:16:25.240 --> 0:16:28.400
<v Speaker 1>going on. I think it's it's you know, Amazon's big

0:16:28.440 --> 0:16:32.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, namesake day, so people who are trying to

0:16:32.440 --> 0:16:36.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, raise complaints about the company or the working

0:16:36.120 --> 0:16:38.320
<v Speaker 1>conditions kind of use that as the moment to hit.

0:16:38.400 --> 0:16:40.800
<v Speaker 1>So it's Amazon's big day, but it's also kind of

0:16:40.800 --> 0:16:44.600
<v Speaker 1>Amazon pile one day, right, a big day for Amazon.

0:16:44.680 --> 0:16:47.120
<v Speaker 1>Looking at I'm seeing some numbers, you know, five to

0:16:47.200 --> 0:16:50.760
<v Speaker 1>six billion dollars of goods bought and sold, So being

0:16:50.800 --> 0:16:53.760
<v Speaker 1>bought by consumers on Amazon during Prime days just extraordinary.

0:16:53.840 --> 0:16:56.560
<v Speaker 1>So I'm not one of them, are you, Lisa? I

0:16:57.000 --> 0:17:01.640
<v Speaker 1>did buy a gift, Yeah, I figured why not? Right? Well,

0:17:01.680 --> 0:17:04.280
<v Speaker 1>Tom was scrolling. Tom was scrolling across it all this

0:17:04.320 --> 0:17:07.320
<v Speaker 1>morning finding great deals. Seriously, you're you're you're outing him,

0:17:07.440 --> 0:17:10.119
<v Speaker 1>you're basically outing what he was doing while he was

0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:14.240
<v Speaker 1>on radio. He was actually scrolling through deals on its exactly.

0:17:14.280 --> 0:17:16.439
<v Speaker 1>We could find we could find some scooter deals for

0:17:16.480 --> 0:17:19.720
<v Speaker 1>you could, yeah, and helmets because We're gonna be safe.

0:17:19.840 --> 0:17:22.760
<v Speaker 1>Evan Clark, Deputy Managing editor, Women's World Barely. Thank you

0:17:22.800 --> 0:17:26.240
<v Speaker 1>so much for joining us again. A big day for Amazon.

0:17:26.600 --> 0:17:29.439
<v Speaker 1>It's interesting these big days. It's it's is what it is.

0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:31.639
<v Speaker 1>It's a sale, and it's a sale in the summer

0:17:31.640 --> 0:17:35.040
<v Speaker 1>to drive traffic. It's also a way to I think,

0:17:35.080 --> 0:17:37.520
<v Speaker 1>really attract more prime members. And we know the prime

0:17:37.520 --> 0:17:40.879
<v Speaker 1>members spend so much more on Amazon than non prime members,

0:17:40.880 --> 0:17:43.400
<v Speaker 1>and it's just good business, so they continue to drive

0:17:43.440 --> 0:18:02.240
<v Speaker 1>the prime membership. Well. It is bank earnings day today,

0:18:02.680 --> 0:18:06.720
<v Speaker 1>JP Morgan, Goldman, Sachs, Wells Fargo, all reporting earnings to

0:18:06.720 --> 0:18:09.840
<v Speaker 1>get the latest. We welcome y'allman On Iran, senior finance

0:18:09.880 --> 0:18:13.000
<v Speaker 1>writer for Bloomberg News, joining us here in our Bloomberg

0:18:13.040 --> 0:18:16.399
<v Speaker 1>Interactive Broker studio. Yaman, thanks so much for joining us.

0:18:16.400 --> 0:18:19.000
<v Speaker 1>I know you're busy crunching all these numbers, getting out

0:18:19.520 --> 0:18:23.919
<v Speaker 1>your notes on these companies. What's your key takeaways maybe

0:18:23.920 --> 0:18:27.840
<v Speaker 1>from some of these big investment banks reporting today? Um,

0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:30.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think investors are are kind of happy

0:18:30.960 --> 0:18:35.480
<v Speaker 1>with Goldman's numbers. Um, although and that's probably because their

0:18:35.520 --> 0:18:40.119
<v Speaker 1>equities trading was was up while everybody else's was down.

0:18:40.760 --> 0:18:45.000
<v Speaker 1>Fixed income is down across the companies, but that was

0:18:45.040 --> 0:18:47.760
<v Speaker 1>sort of more expected, you know, fixed income going down,

0:18:47.800 --> 0:18:50.800
<v Speaker 1>but equities was also down at City and JP Morgan,

0:18:50.960 --> 0:18:53.800
<v Speaker 1>while Goldman held up on that and trading is is

0:18:53.800 --> 0:18:56.080
<v Speaker 1>so crucial for these guys that that that that's really

0:18:56.119 --> 0:19:00.240
<v Speaker 1>the bottom line. Everybody looks at UM the universal banks

0:19:00.280 --> 0:19:02.840
<v Speaker 1>that also do a lot of lending, and you know

0:19:02.880 --> 0:19:06.760
<v Speaker 1>they take deposits like JP Morgan, City and and Wells Um.

0:19:06.800 --> 0:19:11.400
<v Speaker 1>There we see net income nets. Interest income is still rising,

0:19:11.480 --> 0:19:14.960
<v Speaker 1>which is amazing because interest rates are dropping again. But

0:19:15.000 --> 0:19:18.040
<v Speaker 1>they're writing more loans, right right, I mean they are,

0:19:18.080 --> 0:19:20.359
<v Speaker 1>so the volume is growing exactly. You you got, you

0:19:20.440 --> 0:19:23.320
<v Speaker 1>hit it on the head. They're able to expand how

0:19:23.400 --> 0:19:26.800
<v Speaker 1>much they land even though their margin strengths because rates

0:19:26.840 --> 0:19:29.479
<v Speaker 1>are dropping. But but that's great because you know, for

0:19:29.520 --> 0:19:32.480
<v Speaker 1>the rest of the developed world that's something they can't

0:19:32.520 --> 0:19:35.080
<v Speaker 1>really they just don't have the margins and they don't

0:19:35.080 --> 0:19:37.159
<v Speaker 1>have the growth. So that's what it's they're hurting. So

0:19:37.240 --> 0:19:41.879
<v Speaker 1>the story that I gather from JP Morgan, Bank of America,

0:19:42.280 --> 0:19:45.840
<v Speaker 1>City Group, and Wells Fargo is that the consumer is

0:19:45.960 --> 0:19:49.680
<v Speaker 1>very strong. You're seeing a very robust deliverance there from

0:19:49.840 --> 0:19:53.680
<v Speaker 1>those units, and that investment banking is lagging behind that

0:19:53.840 --> 0:19:57.119
<v Speaker 1>They're just there isn't the type of fee revenue that

0:19:57.160 --> 0:20:00.119
<v Speaker 1>there has been, at least the fee revenue growth that

0:20:00.160 --> 0:20:04.120
<v Speaker 1>there has been in the past. I'm just wondering did

0:20:04.119 --> 0:20:06.920
<v Speaker 1>Goldman Sacks given any indication of why they are not

0:20:07.119 --> 0:20:09.640
<v Speaker 1>in that crew, because they have come out and actually

0:20:09.760 --> 0:20:15.360
<v Speaker 1>beat on equities trading, and they beat on investment banking revenue. Um,

0:20:15.400 --> 0:20:19.159
<v Speaker 1>you know they do. But even while beating, you know,

0:20:19.240 --> 0:20:21.880
<v Speaker 1>you look at investment banking revenue for Goldment it's down.

0:20:22.160 --> 0:20:25.680
<v Speaker 1>So so investment banking is not doing great. Um. And

0:20:25.720 --> 0:20:28.520
<v Speaker 1>this has been a few quarters now. It's not just disquarter.

0:20:28.600 --> 0:20:30.960
<v Speaker 1>Really you look at the last couple of quarters. The

0:20:31.000 --> 0:20:36.080
<v Speaker 1>consumer is is still kicking strong, but but the trading

0:20:36.160 --> 0:20:39.840
<v Speaker 1>investmentking side of the business is really slowed down. Um.

0:20:39.880 --> 0:20:42.400
<v Speaker 1>It's still general and great revenues, but they're they're lower

0:20:42.560 --> 0:20:45.840
<v Speaker 1>when you look at last year's quarters similar quarters. So

0:20:45.840 --> 0:20:49.399
<v Speaker 1>so that's across the board. UM. Goldman had an incredible

0:20:49.440 --> 0:20:54.400
<v Speaker 1>wonderful jump in its uh on Investing and Lending UH division,

0:20:54.400 --> 0:20:59.119
<v Speaker 1>which is their their their own investments UM. Like merchant banking,

0:20:59.160 --> 0:21:01.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know, and and the companies their private

0:21:01.200 --> 0:21:04.400
<v Speaker 1>equity where they buy the companies investing companies and then

0:21:04.760 --> 0:21:07.119
<v Speaker 1>then they I p o them. So they had several

0:21:07.119 --> 0:21:10.360
<v Speaker 1>I pos I guess during the quarter and and monetize

0:21:10.400 --> 0:21:14.920
<v Speaker 1>those those uh increases. So so they did great on that,

0:21:14.960 --> 0:21:18.920
<v Speaker 1>but the other sides of the businesses are not doing well. Um.

0:21:18.960 --> 0:21:22.080
<v Speaker 1>They talked a lot during the call at Goldman about

0:21:22.200 --> 0:21:25.160
<v Speaker 1>Marcus and and their consumer lending as well, because they're

0:21:25.200 --> 0:21:27.720
<v Speaker 1>trying to make more money on there and and there

0:21:27.800 --> 0:21:30.440
<v Speaker 1>they are probably able to, but it for Goldman that's

0:21:30.440 --> 0:21:34.119
<v Speaker 1>still such a small amount that it doesn't really showing

0:21:34.160 --> 0:21:37.119
<v Speaker 1>their earnings. But their you know, their goal is to

0:21:37.200 --> 0:21:41.639
<v Speaker 1>really bring consumer lending and consumer deposits to be a

0:21:41.680 --> 0:21:44.520
<v Speaker 1>bigger revenue item for them. Is there a sense that

0:21:44.600 --> 0:21:47.520
<v Speaker 1>we've had, you know, several quarters, you know, maybe even longer,

0:21:47.560 --> 0:21:50.240
<v Speaker 1>I think longer where the capital market side of the business,

0:21:50.280 --> 0:21:53.520
<v Speaker 1>that whether it's the equity trading the fixed income trading

0:21:53.560 --> 0:21:56.359
<v Speaker 1>sides of the business, you know, is there an expectation

0:21:56.440 --> 0:21:59.719
<v Speaker 1>that those businesses are going are ever going to become

0:22:00.240 --> 0:22:03.560
<v Speaker 1>meaningful profit drivers in the future, or they're just as

0:22:03.600 --> 0:22:06.600
<v Speaker 1>a regulatory environment changed so much that you know, it's

0:22:06.640 --> 0:22:09.440
<v Speaker 1>just not worth the capital to really drive those businesses.

0:22:10.200 --> 0:22:12.480
<v Speaker 1>For the U S banks, they still make good money

0:22:12.480 --> 0:22:16.840
<v Speaker 1>on that side. Europeans are having second thoughts about that.

0:22:16.840 --> 0:22:21.160
<v Speaker 1>That's why which really UH going down um and not

0:22:21.280 --> 0:22:24.399
<v Speaker 1>just just even b MP party which is now like

0:22:24.480 --> 0:22:28.439
<v Speaker 1>the stronglooking European bank that's trying to take away some

0:22:28.560 --> 0:22:32.720
<v Speaker 1>of Dot's businesses as does shrinks. They've slowed down in

0:22:32.800 --> 0:22:35.679
<v Speaker 1>some areas of capital markets as well. Because for the

0:22:35.720 --> 0:22:39.400
<v Speaker 1>Europeans whose capital markets are not that strong and they

0:22:39.400 --> 0:22:41.560
<v Speaker 1>have to be really in the US to get more

0:22:42.040 --> 0:22:45.760
<v Speaker 1>volume and more more value for their buck um, they're

0:22:45.800 --> 0:22:48.960
<v Speaker 1>not It's not great UH proposal for them. But for

0:22:49.119 --> 0:22:51.440
<v Speaker 1>US banks they still make a lot of money. They'll

0:22:51.480 --> 0:22:54.560
<v Speaker 1>stay in and they'll keep grabbing more markets share from

0:22:54.640 --> 0:22:57.399
<v Speaker 1>from the European peers. Did we hear anything on the

0:22:57.480 --> 0:23:00.480
<v Speaker 1>calls or elsewhere about how much business some of the

0:23:00.600 --> 0:23:04.760
<v Speaker 1>US banks are getting from Deutsche Bank? Vaguely people were

0:23:04.800 --> 0:23:07.000
<v Speaker 1>asked about it and they all said, well, we do

0:23:07.160 --> 0:23:10.639
<v Speaker 1>expect to, but nobody has really said, you know, this

0:23:10.720 --> 0:23:14.440
<v Speaker 1>has been a boon. We're getting everything, you know. I'm

0:23:14.480 --> 0:23:16.919
<v Speaker 1>sure they're all and you know, today we have a

0:23:16.960 --> 0:23:22.080
<v Speaker 1>story on the Bloomberg terminal about about dotsches hedge fund

0:23:22.119 --> 0:23:25.879
<v Speaker 1>clients already deserting before it could be transferred to two

0:23:25.920 --> 0:23:27.800
<v Speaker 1>b MP part but which is an agreement that to

0:23:28.000 --> 0:23:32.000
<v Speaker 1>have UM. So they're all probably going fleeing, but they

0:23:32.040 --> 0:23:35.080
<v Speaker 1>all go in different directions. So it's not going to

0:23:35.119 --> 0:23:37.160
<v Speaker 1>one firm. They're all going to go to different firms.

0:23:37.400 --> 0:23:39.920
<v Speaker 1>And though they probably have relations with those firms anyway.

0:23:40.119 --> 0:23:43.840
<v Speaker 1>Typically one fund doesn't work with just one broker firm UM.

0:23:43.880 --> 0:23:46.720
<v Speaker 1>They have multiple brokers, so they probably cut one broker

0:23:46.800 --> 0:23:49.280
<v Speaker 1>and and increase or stay with three brokers that they

0:23:49.320 --> 0:23:52.640
<v Speaker 1>already had. So spent a minute on Wells Fargo. They've

0:23:52.640 --> 0:23:54.119
<v Speaker 1>got a little bit of a problem there that they

0:23:54.200 --> 0:23:57.280
<v Speaker 1>don't have a CEO. Did they have any new news

0:23:57.320 --> 0:23:59.440
<v Speaker 1>today about there? They have a lot of problems, not

0:23:59.600 --> 0:24:02.600
<v Speaker 1>just not having I mean their biggest when you look

0:24:02.640 --> 0:24:05.360
<v Speaker 1>at the numbers which which which are announced today and

0:24:05.359 --> 0:24:08.320
<v Speaker 1>and those several quarters that that I've looked at their numbers,

0:24:08.680 --> 0:24:11.280
<v Speaker 1>their problem is that they cannot grow. So when you

0:24:11.320 --> 0:24:13.800
<v Speaker 1>can't grow, when you have a cap on your growth,

0:24:14.080 --> 0:24:18.000
<v Speaker 1>you have, it's very hard to really do, you know,

0:24:18.080 --> 0:24:20.600
<v Speaker 1>make more money. You cannot make more money when you

0:24:20.640 --> 0:24:24.280
<v Speaker 1>can't grow unless the margins keep expanding, and you can't

0:24:24.320 --> 0:24:28.720
<v Speaker 1>expand margins when rates are falling. So initially they did

0:24:28.800 --> 0:24:31.400
<v Speaker 1>manage to expand their margins a little bit by cutting

0:24:31.400 --> 0:24:35.439
<v Speaker 1>costs um and squeezing more out of of the loans

0:24:35.520 --> 0:24:38.679
<v Speaker 1>they were making. But now there you know, rates are falling,

0:24:38.880 --> 0:24:41.919
<v Speaker 1>the margins are shrinking, and they can't grow the volume

0:24:41.960 --> 0:24:46.280
<v Speaker 1>because they're they're capped with with their asset and and

0:24:46.280 --> 0:24:49.560
<v Speaker 1>and balance sheet size, so so it's a problem for them.

0:24:49.560 --> 0:24:53.080
<v Speaker 1>So their numbers are always restricted and they don't have leadership,

0:24:53.200 --> 0:24:57.040
<v Speaker 1>and it's a tough sounds like a great job for me.

0:24:58.520 --> 0:25:02.000
<v Speaker 1>Go ahead, feedba yelloman owner on, Actually please don't. I

0:25:01.960 --> 0:25:04.680
<v Speaker 1>would miss you too much. Y'elloman owner on, a senior

0:25:04.680 --> 0:25:06.880
<v Speaker 1>finance writer for Bloomberg. Thank you so much for being

0:25:06.920 --> 0:25:09.119
<v Speaker 1>here with us. Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg P

0:25:09.200 --> 0:25:11.760
<v Speaker 1>and L podcast. You can subscribe and listen to interviews

0:25:11.760 --> 0:25:14.920
<v Speaker 1>at Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm

0:25:14.960 --> 0:25:17.720
<v Speaker 1>Paul Sweeney, I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. I'm Lisa

0:25:17.720 --> 0:25:20.360
<v Speaker 1>abram Woods. I'm on Twitter at Lisa abram woits one

0:25:20.560 --> 0:25:23.119
<v Speaker 1>before the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide on

0:25:23.200 --> 0:25:24.040
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio