1 00:00:13,800 --> 00:00:15,360 Speaker 1: Happy today, guys, what's up? 2 00:00:15,400 --> 00:00:18,520 Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. 3 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:20,480 Speaker 2: My name is Matt Perolzi. You guys can always follow 4 00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:23,240 Speaker 2: me across socials at Sports Talk Matt in. This podcast 5 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:25,960 Speaker 2: being brought to you by Olmaha Steaks dot Com. You're 6 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 2: going to go there, put Juice into the search bar, 7 00:00:28,720 --> 00:00:31,360 Speaker 2: and that's going to activate a ton of savings. For 8 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 2: more than one hundred years, Omaha Steaks has delivered the 9 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:38,400 Speaker 2: unforgettable gourmet experience to families across America. 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Simply go to Omaha 17 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:07,040 Speaker 2: Steaks dot com, enter the promo Codejuice into the search bar, 18 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 2: and shop for these exclusive offers at Omaha Steaks dot com. 19 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 2: All right, do we count NASCAR for Monday? This week 20 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 2: or last week? I'm gonna go last week. So I'm 21 00:01:20,200 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 2: gonna make last week a winning week because we won 22 00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 2: both bets. We won the plus two seventy for a 23 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 2: Ford to win and the plus one sixty on Kevin 24 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:34,840 Speaker 2: Harvick or over Kyle Busch. That puts us up four units, 25 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:39,320 Speaker 2: and that puts us up six units in NASCAR so far. 26 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:43,640 Speaker 2: I mean, Hi, let's do more Nascar four and oh 27 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:48,840 Speaker 2: two plus money hits. Are you riding because you should be, 28 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 2: because we're having some fun here with NASCAR at the moment. 29 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 1: With us going four and oh so far. 30 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 2: For NASCAR, I'm trying to see where Yeah, NASCAR's now, 31 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:04,160 Speaker 2: We're we're four to oh and we're up basically, Yeah, 32 00:02:04,160 --> 00:02:07,040 Speaker 2: I guess a little shy of that, right, So three 33 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:09,720 Speaker 2: point five point three units is what we're up. So 34 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 2: that's not bad. We're going to take that every single time. 35 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:16,880 Speaker 2: That's a good, nice start to our ending the week 36 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 2: last week making it a winning week. For Monday went 37 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 2: one and two, down one point three one point four units, 38 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:28,200 Speaker 2: so not great on the baseball side of things. 39 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 1: That will drop us to eighty two and. 40 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 2: Eighty eighty one, eighty two and eighty one for Major 41 00:02:37,639 --> 00:02:39,959 Speaker 2: League baseball on the year, which is crazy, down five 42 00:02:40,040 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 2: units in Major League Baseball. Again, if I can just 43 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 2: finish flat on baseball and then up on everything else 44 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:50,880 Speaker 2: will be golden. I mean absolutely, completely and totally golden. 45 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:54,280 Speaker 2: Right now, we're up about fifteen units historically by my math, 46 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:56,720 Speaker 2: since I've ever come back to the Daily Juice. So 47 00:02:57,280 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 2: we are winning in a bunch of other sports. We're 48 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,519 Speaker 2: winning in hockey, We're winning in the NBA, we're winning 49 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 2: in NASCAR, obviously, we're winning in golf. We won in 50 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 2: college baseball. You know, the sports that crushed us, the 51 00:03:09,600 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 2: ones that have hurt. College basketball wasn't great, Major League 52 00:03:14,200 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 2: baseball hasn't been great. Soccer wasn't great. NFL preseason gave 53 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 2: back a couple on the parlay. They don't bet a 54 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:24,960 Speaker 2: parlay parlay, which will come back at some point this fall, 55 00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:28,680 Speaker 2: betting it on Fridays. So you know, little paper cuts. 56 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:32,200 Speaker 2: Been a couple of big up, big quality sports. So 57 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 2: overall not bad. Let's talk about two plays I've got 58 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 2: for today, sorry, two games in three plays I've got 59 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 2: for today. 60 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 1: Let's start with the Dodgers. 61 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 2: I have no idea why this line is nine guys 62 00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 2: against the Diamondbacks. 63 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:47,520 Speaker 1: This is wrong. Okay. 64 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 2: The Dodgers are the hottest team right now offensively in baseball. 65 00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 2: They are the number one team to the over on 66 00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:58,200 Speaker 2: the road in Major League Baseball. And the guy they're facing, 67 00:03:58,240 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 2: whose name Brandon Fat fat phaa DT, I don't know 68 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:05,320 Speaker 2: much about him. 69 00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:07,080 Speaker 1: I've never heard his name be pronounced before. 70 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:10,200 Speaker 2: All I know is his home ERA is eight point 71 00:04:10,200 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 2: eighty six HI, posing batting average of three forty four 72 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 2: oh and three game log for this guy is not great, 73 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 2: although the last start wasn't bad. Seven innings, one earned run, 74 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:24,800 Speaker 2: five and two thirds, three earned runs, six innings, three 75 00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 2: earned runs, two innings, six earned runs, three point two innings, 76 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:32,920 Speaker 2: five earned runs. I mean, I guess maybe you could 77 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:35,720 Speaker 2: say he's been decent over his last three starts. Maybe, 78 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:39,280 Speaker 2: but against this Dodgers team bad news. On top of that, 79 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:45,120 Speaker 2: you have Julio Arius going for the Dodgers, who is 80 00:04:45,240 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 2: eight and six with a four point six y nine 81 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:50,200 Speaker 2: ERA overall, but on the road he has a seven 82 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:51,480 Speaker 2: point eighty eight ERA. 83 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:52,680 Speaker 1: He's two and. 84 00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:55,240 Speaker 2: Five with a three oh nine opposing batting average with 85 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:58,560 Speaker 2: thirty three earned runs given up in thirty seven innings 86 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 2: and ten home runs on the road. Why is this 87 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:05,159 Speaker 2: number nine minus one? It's one, it's one ten minus 88 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 2: one ten over nine. This is almost like one of 89 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 2: those things where I would say, like, I never say 90 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 2: double up because I never want to walk you guys 91 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 2: into a buzzsaw. 92 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 1: But this number is wrong. I mean, this number is 93 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:17,840 Speaker 1: not right. I have no idea. 94 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:22,000 Speaker 2: There's something I'm missing clearly, But over nine we'll take 95 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:24,799 Speaker 2: it for now. Minus one ten one point one units 96 00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:28,360 Speaker 2: down on that second bet, now. 97 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 1: The braves. 98 00:05:29,640 --> 00:05:33,719 Speaker 2: It's it's fun to pull numbers with Atlanta, okay, because 99 00:05:34,200 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 2: Atlanta is a team that on paper seventy wins arguably 100 00:05:41,120 --> 00:05:44,400 Speaker 2: the best team in baseball. Right, so they're seventy and 101 00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:47,320 Speaker 2: thirty nine on the season. Now, on the run line, 102 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:50,240 Speaker 2: Atlanta this season is fifty six and fifty three. So 103 00:05:50,320 --> 00:05:52,039 Speaker 2: the books, you know, when it comes to shading, the 104 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:56,160 Speaker 2: books are there after a loss, which is what they 105 00:05:56,200 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 2: lost last night to the Pirates, after a loss. Atlanta 106 00:06:00,520 --> 00:06:03,000 Speaker 2: has not been great on the run line. It's kind 107 00:06:03,000 --> 00:06:06,800 Speaker 2: of they're sixteen and twenty two after a loss on 108 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 2: the run line and over after a loss for Atlanta, 109 00:06:13,040 --> 00:06:17,719 Speaker 2: they are nineteen and nineteen to the over. Okay, but 110 00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:21,960 Speaker 2: they're facing Mitch Keller. Mitch Keller, who's nine and eight 111 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:24,200 Speaker 2: with a four point three to five ERA. Over his 112 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:30,200 Speaker 2: last four starts, has been horrible. Four straight losses ten 113 00:06:30,240 --> 00:06:34,200 Speaker 2: to one, seven, five two one, fourteen and one, three 114 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:38,679 Speaker 2: losses at a four on the run line eight six, 115 00:06:38,960 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 2: two and eight earned runs given up for Mitch Keller 116 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 2: at home against Cleveland, eight earned runs at home against Philly, 117 00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:49,799 Speaker 2: two earned runs on the road at LA, six earned 118 00:06:49,839 --> 00:06:53,440 Speaker 2: runs on the road at Milwaukee, eight earn runs. The 119 00:06:53,480 --> 00:06:57,679 Speaker 2: total for this game is nine and a half. Now, 120 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 2: the bullpen for the Pirates is okay, it's not great. 121 00:07:01,480 --> 00:07:04,120 Speaker 2: It's okay. Nothing that I'd really be too jumping up 122 00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:08,160 Speaker 2: and down about. It's just it's okay. I think the 123 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 2: Braves are gonna score a ton of runs here. Okay, Braves. 124 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:15,880 Speaker 2: You could add Braves team total to this if you 125 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 2: want to. Okay, if you want extra action on this, 126 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 2: you can bet. I'm just gonna give you two plays 127 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 2: which I think are going to come in And it's 128 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 2: not a horrible bet to bet the Braves on their 129 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:30,720 Speaker 2: team total. It is five and a half plus one 130 00:07:30,800 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 2: oh four on this, Okay. But because of the fact 131 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 2: that you could get the other side. Who who the 132 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 2: Braves are throwing a guy that is not going to 133 00:07:41,160 --> 00:07:45,560 Speaker 2: uh Cheerinos. Yanni Cherinos is five and four with a 134 00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:48,800 Speaker 2: four point four to two ERA on the road ERA 135 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 2: is better three and two record with a two point 136 00:07:51,280 --> 00:07:54,400 Speaker 2: nine to five ERA a two twenty eight opposing batting average. 137 00:07:54,440 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 2: But a guy who has been touched up before on 138 00:07:57,040 --> 00:07:58,640 Speaker 2: the road give up three earned runs. 139 00:07:58,800 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 1: He was with Tampa day before that. This is his 140 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:03,280 Speaker 1: first road start for the Braves. 141 00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:07,120 Speaker 2: Pittsburgh scored seven runs yesterday, So I don't know if 142 00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 2: I want to give up entire entirely and say, okay, 143 00:08:09,320 --> 00:08:11,480 Speaker 2: just bet the Braves over their team total, because you 144 00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:13,240 Speaker 2: might get the Pirates to score eight runs again and 145 00:08:13,280 --> 00:08:16,160 Speaker 2: we go over. But the total nine and a half 146 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:19,520 Speaker 2: Braves and the Pirates. I'm going over nine and a 147 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:23,920 Speaker 2: half and minus one fifteen to jump in on that, 148 00:08:24,760 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 2: and I'm going run line Atlanta Braves against the Pirates. 149 00:08:29,360 --> 00:08:31,240 Speaker 2: You can do first five run line as well if 150 00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 2: you want, But I want to get after that Pirate's 151 00:08:33,160 --> 00:08:35,120 Speaker 2: bullpen a little bit and see if they if the 152 00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:37,920 Speaker 2: Braves can do some damage in that as well. Over 153 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 2: nine and a half, mine's one fifteen even money Braves 154 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:45,240 Speaker 2: on the run line against the Pirates Braves after a loss. 155 00:08:45,320 --> 00:08:47,600 Speaker 2: I expect them to come out here and do some 156 00:08:47,720 --> 00:08:52,199 Speaker 2: damage to this Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff, in particular Mitch Keller. 157 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:54,120 Speaker 2: Let's see if Mitch gives up like six, seven, eight 158 00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:57,080 Speaker 2: runs right away, bullpen comes in and we can have 159 00:08:57,120 --> 00:08:59,480 Speaker 2: an easy walk to an over in, an easy walk 160 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:02,320 Speaker 2: to a run line one unit on both one point 161 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:05,440 Speaker 2: one five units down on that. One unit's down on 162 00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:08,920 Speaker 2: the even money. Bet two bets on one game, three 163 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:14,840 Speaker 2: bets overall Dodgers over nine minus one ten Braves run 164 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:19,880 Speaker 2: line even money and over nine and a half runs 165 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:22,720 Speaker 2: at minus one point fifteen one point one five units 166 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:26,240 Speaker 2: down on that three point two five units down on 167 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:27,520 Speaker 2: a Tuesday. 168 00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:29,679 Speaker 1: So we're down for the week. 169 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:32,439 Speaker 2: Let's get back on the winning track here for the week, 170 00:09:32,679 --> 00:09:35,200 Speaker 2: look forward to the weekend, get back to NASCAR. 171 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:36,360 Speaker 1: A lot of good stuff. 172 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 2: That was a lot of fun to catch that today 173 00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:40,520 Speaker 2: on a Monday, for that minus. Matt Paroltz. Follow me 174 00:09:40,559 --> 00:09:43,360 Speaker 2: on Twitter and all socials at sports Doc Matt. Each 175 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:46,160 Speaker 2: and every morning, The Diligence Podcast always being brought to 176 00:09:46,200 --> 00:10:01,120 Speaker 2: you by Omaha Steakes dot com six