WEBVTT - OpenAI Finalizes $110 Billion Funding at $730 Billion Value 

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<v Speaker 2>All right, more just monster numbers being thrown about in

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<v Speaker 2>this AI game. Open AI heid erase one hundred and

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<v Speaker 2>ten billion dollars in new investment at a seven hundred

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<v Speaker 2>and thirty million dollar pre money valuation. Extraordinary, straordinary amounts

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<v Speaker 2>of money being raised. All the big names are involved here.

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<v Speaker 3>I need a little help.

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<v Speaker 4>We all need a little.

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<v Speaker 2>Help here, Caroline Hyde be tech co anker joints us

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<v Speaker 2>Here in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio. The hits keep coming, Caroline,

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<v Speaker 2>I mean the investments keep coming, and from big names.

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<v Speaker 3>We all know.

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<v Speaker 2>What do you make of it?

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<v Speaker 5>It makes for an interesting relationship of Open Air Microsoft

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<v Speaker 5>going forward, because this is Amazon coming in, which already

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<v Speaker 5>has a very strong relationship with anthropic Remember, and we've

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<v Speaker 5>seen a lot of crossover of big strategic investors and

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<v Speaker 5>venture capitalism putting money into both key frontier labs. What's

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<v Speaker 5>interesting in this agreement is not only the whopping scale

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<v Speaker 5>of money. Fifty billion is going to be coming from Amazon,

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<v Speaker 5>and we don't quite know if that is Thure cash

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<v Speaker 5>or actually whether it's more in cloud costs that just

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<v Speaker 5>get sucked up by Amazon instead, or indeed whether it's

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<v Speaker 5>GPUs and chips.

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<v Speaker 6>But we also think that thirty billions coming.

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<v Speaker 5>From in video, so the deepening tie continues there and

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<v Speaker 5>clearly therefore some gpusm in video are going to be

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<v Speaker 5>intertwined in open AI's compute needs as well as Amazon

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<v Speaker 5>Zone Tranium chips and the likes. But we're also seeing

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<v Speaker 5>well as well as Massiyoshi Son being a big player

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<v Speaker 5>in all of this, Microsoft being less of a player.

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<v Speaker 5>And remember open ai first got its big chunk of

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<v Speaker 5>change from Microsoft.

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<v Speaker 6>Microsoft was the key backer of.

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<v Speaker 5>The company, had exclusive rights to a lot of open

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<v Speaker 5>AI's technology within the Azure platform. Well, now the frontier

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<v Speaker 5>offering coming from open an that's basically the new offering

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<v Speaker 5>to help build agents, which is all anyone can talk

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<v Speaker 5>about at the moment, that's going to be exclusive on AWS.

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<v Speaker 3>Oh wow.

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<v Speaker 6>So all of this is just.

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<v Speaker 5>An interesting rearrangement of technology partners and just how people

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<v Speaker 5>are deepening their ties.

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<v Speaker 7>I like your word rearrangement because we have open aico.

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<v Speaker 7>Sam Altmann saying that he doesn't think his company's fundraising

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<v Speaker 7>is looking called circular as long as revenue keeps going.

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<v Speaker 7>And I feel like this is a conversation we've been having.

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<v Speaker 7>It's like the self funding loop and is it risky?

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<v Speaker 7>But he's saying it's not circular.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, and Video has had to try and prove this

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<v Speaker 6>point time and time again.

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<v Speaker 5>And Video has been putting money into neo clouds like

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<v Speaker 5>core Weave, which had its numbers today, putting money into

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<v Speaker 5>the likes of an Anthropic and an open AI, which

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<v Speaker 5>ultimately all want.

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<v Speaker 6>Chips from in video.

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<v Speaker 5>But many would say, look, it's not just circular financing,

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<v Speaker 5>is actually strategic financing, because how better to understand how

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<v Speaker 5>your technology works best is if you partner this closely

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<v Speaker 5>and you can understand the way in which.

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<v Speaker 6>Your GPUs, your CPUs be used in the future.

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<v Speaker 5>So for the cynics among us, yes, it looks like

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<v Speaker 5>the same big players are all moving money from one

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<v Speaker 5>place to the other within each other.

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<v Speaker 6>But for perhaps the more practical it's.

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<v Speaker 5>That well who heals has the cash pile to be

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<v Speaker 5>able to continue to build the flywheel effect to a

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<v Speaker 5>generative AI here at the moment, and open ai has

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<v Speaker 5>an enormous amount of compute needs. That's what they keep

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<v Speaker 5>saying time and time against Sarah Friar as a CFO.

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<v Speaker 5>Sam Altman is the CEO saying the thing that's holding

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<v Speaker 5>back our revenue. And remember they guided us to a

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<v Speaker 5>new kind of revenue stratosphere of to URN eighty billion

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<v Speaker 5>by next year.

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<v Speaker 6>The way they get there is by computer increasing, not

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<v Speaker 6>anything else.

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<v Speaker 5>They've got all the parts they need to build revenue

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<v Speaker 5>from the twelve billion that they raise that they made

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<v Speaker 5>in twenty twenty five. But what they really need is

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<v Speaker 5>the galvanization of infrastructure, and that comes from power and

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<v Speaker 5>that comes from compute.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, open AI says, chat GPT has more than

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<v Speaker 2>nine hundred million weekly active users, more than fifty million

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<v Speaker 2>consumer subscribers and more than nine million paying business users

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<v Speaker 2>that rely upon chet GPT.

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<v Speaker 3>That's deployment.

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<v Speaker 2>That Are they the biggest yet, I'm not even sure

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<v Speaker 2>how we define the market better. Are they the biggest

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<v Speaker 2>in consumer?

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<v Speaker 8>For sure?

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<v Speaker 5>Like in terms of like this is the size and

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<v Speaker 5>scale of people using the problem is is of course

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<v Speaker 5>Google how are you measuring Google? Many would say, like,

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<v Speaker 5>is it the person who my mum who goes onto

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<v Speaker 5>Google Search and gets an AI overview? Or is it

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<v Speaker 5>someone who downloads the Gemini app and uses it in

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<v Speaker 5>a distinct kind of model.

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<v Speaker 6>So there's two ways in which you can compare and contrast.

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<v Speaker 5>But certainly open Ai has beaten out Anthropic from a

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<v Speaker 5>how many people are using their standalone application, nine hundred

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<v Speaker 5>million is a huge amount.

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<v Speaker 6>But from an enterprise.

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<v Speaker 5>Perspective, many would say Anthropic has led the charge there,

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<v Speaker 5>and that's why open ai has really been doubling down

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<v Speaker 5>on this agentic focus and AWS is going to be

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<v Speaker 5>call to that, putting it in within Bedrock.

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<v Speaker 7>There's also a headline from Anthropic they're refusing to Pentagon's

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<v Speaker 7>lead as contract terms. They want to limit surveillance and

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<v Speaker 7>autonomous weapons. Are those reasonable asks for a company supplying

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<v Speaker 7>AI to the military.

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<v Speaker 6>The military would say no.

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<v Speaker 5>The military would say locking mar and has no power

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<v Speaker 5>over us to dictate how we use the weapons. We

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<v Speaker 5>just purchased them and us and there are laws that

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<v Speaker 5>we have to abide by, and there's humanitarian things that

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<v Speaker 5>we sign up for, and the way in which we

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<v Speaker 5>police war worldwide. However, from anthropics perspective, and if you'd

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<v Speaker 5>been keeping up with out Dario Amide, the CEO has

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<v Speaker 5>been writing of late. He put out a big piece

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<v Speaker 5>thought leadership piece in January talking about the adolescence of

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<v Speaker 5>technology and his worries and concerns about geopolitics, the use

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<v Speaker 5>of generator of AI for surveillance, the use of generative

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<v Speaker 5>A biotech and warfare. So no wonder he's still thinking

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<v Speaker 5>along these worklines. He's given us all the breadcrumbs to

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<v Speaker 5>know that this is how it feels. They just earlier

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<v Speaker 5>in the week, remember sort of put out this odd

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<v Speaker 5>statement saying they're stepping back to from some of their

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<v Speaker 5>safety as a core mission purpose. But within that statement

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<v Speaker 5>they really made clear it's because the government doesn't care.

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<v Speaker 5>The government has not been increasing their focus on AI

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<v Speaker 5>ethics in the way that they thought they would.

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<v Speaker 3>Stay with US war from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up, care

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<v Speaker 3>for this.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

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<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android

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<v Speaker 3>Dell technology shares.

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<v Speaker 2>They jumped pretty big here after the company gave an

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<v Speaker 2>outlook for sales of its artificial intelligence service that exceeded estimates.

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<v Speaker 2>As John said, stocks up nineteen point four percent today.

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<v Speaker 2>Not bad for a big, big company. Ninety seven billion

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<v Speaker 2>dollars in market cap. Would you know Joins is here

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<v Speaker 2>senior technolog channels for Bloomberg Intelligence. That's a serious print

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<v Speaker 2>for Dell. What's what's going on there?

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<v Speaker 9>I mean John just said, look, you're having these massive

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<v Speaker 9>investments by from OAI right open OAI. So essentially all

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<v Speaker 9>of these data center deployments are really starting to materialize,

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<v Speaker 9>un tell us starting to benefit from it, and.

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<v Speaker 7>They're entering a year with a forty three billion dollar backlog.

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<v Speaker 7>Does that give investors real visitibility? Or is the backlog

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<v Speaker 7>vulnerable to supply chain constraints and maybe pricing resets.

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<v Speaker 9>Well, that's a fantastic question. Right on the pricing reset,

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<v Speaker 9>I don't think so. I think there's a little bit

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<v Speaker 9>of a leverage on Dells side because and videos holding

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<v Speaker 9>the cars with the GPU chips, right, But in terms

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<v Speaker 9>of the supply environment, Dell does the supply chain very

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<v Speaker 9>very well, and the revenue guidance not only for the

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<v Speaker 9>AI server side but also traditional servers NPCs. They're managing

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<v Speaker 9>it a lot better than we thought, so they should

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<v Speaker 9>be fine on the supply side for the rest of

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<v Speaker 9>the year.

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<v Speaker 2>How big is the AI related product revenue for Dell

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<v Speaker 2>and how's that grown and what do you expect it

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<v Speaker 2>to go to?

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<v Speaker 9>Well, if we think about just the AI server piece

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<v Speaker 9>by itself, it is twenty five billion for this year,

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<v Speaker 9>doubling to fifty billion. I mean, we're talking about incredible

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<v Speaker 9>numbers doubling to fifty billion next year. We've also seen

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<v Speaker 9>that sort of momentum from super Micro as well that

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<v Speaker 9>they reported a couple of several weeks ago. But on

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<v Speaker 9>the AI PC front, they just started to pick up steam.

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<v Speaker 9>Still small portion of the business, but you know, quite frankly,

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<v Speaker 9>every PC is eventually going to be an AI So

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<v Speaker 9>what's an AI PC?

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<v Speaker 3>What is that practicality?

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<v Speaker 9>Yeah, you know, I'll tell you. In practicality, very little

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<v Speaker 9>for you and I right, it's a chip that can

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<v Speaker 9>handle a lot more processes, uh, and do it a

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<v Speaker 9>lot faster.

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<v Speaker 10>Right.

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<v Speaker 9>I've been actually been playing around with cloud code as

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<v Speaker 9>part of my work, and essentially what I'm doing is

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<v Speaker 9>trying to use some of the processing that's on the

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<v Speaker 9>on the PC. What I suspect is is that as

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<v Speaker 9>corporates try to bring in AI into their workflow, they

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<v Speaker 9>are going to look specifically for aipcs going forward.

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<v Speaker 7>The company says memory chips memoryship prices are right thing rapidly.

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<v Speaker 7>Do you think that the margins and those segments will

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<v Speaker 7>be sustainable if the component prices also keep climbing.

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<v Speaker 9>Yeah, So I think this is one of the reasons

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<v Speaker 9>why the stock is up so much. Right, the sentiment

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<v Speaker 9>going into the print was really really negative, primarily because

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<v Speaker 9>of the component and memory pricing HPQ. HP said on

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<v Speaker 9>just the other day that the memory pricing doubled over

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<v Speaker 9>the past month, the round pricing alone, right, so that

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<v Speaker 9>eight away margins. We actually did the math memory pricing

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<v Speaker 9>plus a higher mix of AI servers. That's eating away

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<v Speaker 9>one hundred, one hundred basis points of gross margin. And

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<v Speaker 9>the thing is is that just a relative scale of

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<v Speaker 9>the AI server revenues is helping to lift EPs altogether.

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<v Speaker 11>So talk to us about the shortage of chips out there.

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<v Speaker 2>So we hear from a lot of your companies and

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<v Speaker 2>other companies in the tech stack, What is it?

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<v Speaker 10>Why is it?

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<v Speaker 3>How does it get fixed?

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<v Speaker 9>We can blame AI on everything, yes, Right, So essentially

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<v Speaker 9>AI servers take they use HBM high bandwidth memory that

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<v Speaker 9>that's stacked, and it's sucking up a lot of the

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<v Speaker 9>memory capacity that's out there. If we come off of

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<v Speaker 9>the COVID period. Essentially, the memory makers, whether it's Microns,

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<v Speaker 9>skhih Nicks or Samsung, they were hesitant to building out

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<v Speaker 9>more capacity because they just didn't know if this AI

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<v Speaker 9>thing was going to be real. And now it's starting

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<v Speaker 9>to catch up to them. It's causing this domino effect

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<v Speaker 9>of everything else, servers, smartphones, PCs, They're just scrambling for

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<v Speaker 9>supply right now.

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<v Speaker 7>How do you read the buybacks around ten billion dollars?

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<v Speaker 7>Is that confidence in future cash flow or more like,

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<v Speaker 7>oh no, the stock is still undervalued.

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<v Speaker 9>Well, you know when the stock was at one twenty,

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<v Speaker 9>I'm sure, Michael Delta the stock was undervalued and I

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<v Speaker 9>wanted to read a lot more confidence not only in

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<v Speaker 9>the business outlook, but also in cash generation. Right, we

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<v Speaker 9>are hearing mixed things on the cash generation front from

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<v Speaker 9>from my hardware companies.

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<v Speaker 2>At least, did I d C takedown I d C

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<v Speaker 2>is the the third party independent data provider for pretty

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<v Speaker 2>much the whole technology industry. Did they take down their

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<v Speaker 2>forecast for PCs?

0:11:16.800 --> 0:11:18.040
<v Speaker 9>Was it took them long enough?

0:11:18.240 --> 0:11:18.440
<v Speaker 11>Yeah?

0:11:19.360 --> 0:11:25.439
<v Speaker 9>No, No, we had minus seven percent unit declines.

0:11:25.600 --> 0:11:27.760
<v Speaker 2>Is that because there's enough chips to make the PCs?

0:11:27.800 --> 0:11:32.120
<v Speaker 9>It's it's twofold, right, not enough chips? And number two,

0:11:33.000 --> 0:11:37.440
<v Speaker 9>PCs are very very elastic, right from a demand supply

0:11:37.559 --> 0:11:41.000
<v Speaker 9>demand perspective. And essentially what they did was they cut

0:11:41.000 --> 0:11:43.680
<v Speaker 9>their forecast from minus three percent to minus eleven percent

0:11:44.080 --> 0:11:46.560
<v Speaker 9>on the PC side, and they also cut their forecast

0:11:46.600 --> 0:11:49.880
<v Speaker 9>the smartphones to minus thirteen percent. Right, there's a couple

0:11:49.920 --> 0:11:52.640
<v Speaker 9>of things going on. The PC makers are going to

0:11:52.679 --> 0:11:56.720
<v Speaker 9>focus more on the high margin businesses, right, so it

0:11:56.880 --> 0:12:01.760
<v Speaker 9>leaves the lower end PCs at alert, so they're not

0:12:01.800 --> 0:12:05.000
<v Speaker 9>going to start supplying those. And also the low end

0:12:05.000 --> 0:12:08.080
<v Speaker 9>market tends to be a lot more price sensitive, so

0:12:08.280 --> 0:12:09.920
<v Speaker 9>they're probably not going to upgrade.

0:12:10.440 --> 0:12:12.640
<v Speaker 7>And then we have server and networking margins. I think

0:12:12.679 --> 0:12:17.080
<v Speaker 7>those came above expectations. Is THELL gaining pricing power in

0:12:17.200 --> 0:12:20.560
<v Speaker 7>AI hardware or is it just because maybe they're executing

0:12:20.600 --> 0:12:22.719
<v Speaker 7>better than their peers? How do you read that?

0:12:22.840 --> 0:12:25.280
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, so there's a couple of things going on as well.

0:12:26.160 --> 0:12:29.600
<v Speaker 9>The first thing is is that they're raising prices right,

0:12:30.679 --> 0:12:33.480
<v Speaker 9>and the term sheets are getting shorter. Instead of like,

0:12:33.720 --> 0:12:38.160
<v Speaker 9>you know, three months, it's two weeks, so that that's

0:12:38.160 --> 0:12:43.120
<v Speaker 9>happening as well, it's less price elastic. And then on

0:12:43.160 --> 0:12:45.240
<v Speaker 9>top of that, from a margin perspective, as you we

0:12:45.240 --> 0:12:49.440
<v Speaker 9>were talking about earlier, storage has a higher margin overall,

0:12:49.920 --> 0:12:52.800
<v Speaker 9>and the storage business actually is doing very very well.

0:12:53.080 --> 0:12:55.240
<v Speaker 11>Quite frankly, stay with us.

0:12:55.440 --> 0:12:57.800
<v Speaker 3>More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

0:13:01.679 --> 0:13:05.360
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:13:05.440 --> 0:13:08.559
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android

0:13:08.559 --> 0:13:11.880
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever

0:13:11.920 --> 0:13:15.040
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:13:15.840 --> 0:13:19.280
<v Speaker 7>Got big earning Saturday, Core Weave, and it wasn't good

0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:21.080
<v Speaker 7>because a stock fell by the most and more than

0:13:21.160 --> 0:13:24.160
<v Speaker 7>six months. That's after the company reported a better than

0:13:24.200 --> 0:13:27.720
<v Speaker 7>expected loss and boosted capital expenditure. So this s burred

0:13:27.840 --> 0:13:31.760
<v Speaker 7>some concerns that the company is overspending on infrastructure. And

0:13:31.960 --> 0:13:34.959
<v Speaker 7>who else can talk to us about this better than

0:13:35.000 --> 0:13:38.720
<v Speaker 7>ANAA Grana. He's Bloomberg Intelligence technology analyst. All the way

0:13:38.720 --> 0:13:42.480
<v Speaker 7>from Chicago. So ANAURAG revenue exploded to one point nine

0:13:42.480 --> 0:13:45.840
<v Speaker 7>billion last year, but losses widen. Is this a classic

0:13:46.320 --> 0:13:48.720
<v Speaker 7>gross at any cost when it comes to the AI

0:13:48.800 --> 0:13:51.120
<v Speaker 7>story or is it something a little more concerning.

0:13:52.679 --> 0:13:54.720
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean that's what the CEO is saying that Listen,

0:13:54.760 --> 0:13:57.360
<v Speaker 8>we have so much back orders of you know, sixty

0:13:57.360 --> 0:13:59.480
<v Speaker 8>plus billion dollars in orders, and we really need to

0:13:59.480 --> 0:14:01.520
<v Speaker 8>fill it and we're going to go spend as much

0:14:01.520 --> 0:14:04.720
<v Speaker 8>as we can. And today it seems investors are not

0:14:04.880 --> 0:14:07.480
<v Speaker 8>liking it. But you know, I think what happened was

0:14:07.600 --> 0:14:10.360
<v Speaker 8>they gave a bit of a outlook of what the

0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:12.760
<v Speaker 8>expenses are going to be and they missed on that.

0:14:12.840 --> 0:14:15.760
<v Speaker 8>And I think people are extremely no, I wouldn't say extremely,

0:14:15.800 --> 0:14:19.160
<v Speaker 8>but somewhat concerned that, you know, whether they have the

0:14:19.240 --> 0:14:22.640
<v Speaker 8>capital down the road to keep on continuing this particular flow.

0:14:22.800 --> 0:14:25.120
<v Speaker 8>I think that's really what it comes down to, is

0:14:25.400 --> 0:14:28.400
<v Speaker 8>where is the profitability going to come and at what point?

0:14:29.040 --> 0:14:31.560
<v Speaker 8>Because as we know, some of these businesses, you have

0:14:31.640 --> 0:14:34.480
<v Speaker 8>to invest upfront and then realize the profit later.

0:14:34.920 --> 0:14:37.240
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, you got to back up for me and explain

0:14:37.320 --> 0:14:39.520
<v Speaker 4>the basis, what in gun's name is a neo cloud.

0:14:41.480 --> 0:14:43.600
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, well that's just the nomenclature. But at the end

0:14:43.640 --> 0:14:45.640
<v Speaker 8>of the day, this is just a cloud. At the end,

0:14:45.720 --> 0:14:47.520
<v Speaker 8>you know, you are. What you do is you open

0:14:47.520 --> 0:14:50.680
<v Speaker 8>a data center, you buy GPUs from Nvidia, and then

0:14:50.720 --> 0:14:52.840
<v Speaker 8>you rent it out to people. It's a very simple

0:14:52.880 --> 0:14:55.920
<v Speaker 8>business model, nothing so complicated about it. But what happens

0:14:56.000 --> 0:14:58.960
<v Speaker 8>is you need to put that upfront capital to create

0:14:58.960 --> 0:15:01.280
<v Speaker 8>that data center. Then you need to buy the chips

0:15:01.320 --> 0:15:03.640
<v Speaker 8>and put it in there, and then after that is

0:15:03.640 --> 0:15:06.520
<v Speaker 8>what you start realizing the revenue when people use it.

0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:09.440
<v Speaker 8>We have enough evidence that the backlog of that is

0:15:09.560 --> 0:15:13.080
<v Speaker 8>absolutely stellar. Right now, there is so much demand. These

0:15:13.080 --> 0:15:16.320
<v Speaker 8>guys are running around and trying to you know, put

0:15:16.360 --> 0:15:19.240
<v Speaker 8>the data centers together and then go out and service that.

0:15:19.480 --> 0:15:22.120
<v Speaker 8>So there is a mismatch between how much you're putting

0:15:22.160 --> 0:15:25.080
<v Speaker 8>in terms of cost versus what's coming in as revenue.

0:15:25.160 --> 0:15:28.080
<v Speaker 4>Well, can you explain a little for what's how interwoven

0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:30.760
<v Speaker 4>are they with Nvidia at this point and what's the

0:15:30.800 --> 0:15:31.680
<v Speaker 4>significance of that.

0:15:33.120 --> 0:15:35.200
<v Speaker 8>Well, think of this as Nvidia is selling the chips,

0:15:35.200 --> 0:15:38.440
<v Speaker 8>they are really the distribution arm for the services around it,

0:15:38.640 --> 0:15:41.360
<v Speaker 8>and Video is a shareholder in cod viave and this

0:15:41.400 --> 0:15:43.600
<v Speaker 8>is a pure play you could say, in Vidia Shop

0:15:43.640 --> 0:15:47.160
<v Speaker 8>where it's basically going out and renting their chips out there.

0:15:47.360 --> 0:15:50.040
<v Speaker 8>Now it is and again this is not so much

0:15:50.040 --> 0:15:52.640
<v Speaker 8>in Vidia trying to just you know, give them capital

0:15:52.680 --> 0:15:53.480
<v Speaker 8>to stay in business.

0:15:53.680 --> 0:15:55.040
<v Speaker 11>They actually have orders from.

0:15:54.920 --> 0:15:57.880
<v Speaker 8>Everybody we know, whether it's Microsoft or Meta or a

0:15:57.920 --> 0:16:00.640
<v Speaker 8>bunch of a lot of enterprises as well well. So

0:16:00.800 --> 0:16:03.160
<v Speaker 8>I mean, core Weve has real orders that it needs

0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:05.920
<v Speaker 8>to fulfill. The question again, as I said, is how

0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:08.800
<v Speaker 8>much you have to put up front for those chips

0:16:08.800 --> 0:16:12.160
<v Speaker 8>and services versus how much you're going to realize as revenue.

0:16:12.520 --> 0:16:15.479
<v Speaker 7>And seventy seven percent of revenue came from just two customers,

0:16:15.480 --> 0:16:19.760
<v Speaker 7>with Microsoft accounting for nearly two thirds. How big of

0:16:19.760 --> 0:16:22.280
<v Speaker 7>a red flag is that, or if it's even a

0:16:22.320 --> 0:16:24.440
<v Speaker 7>red flag for IPO investments.

0:16:25.200 --> 0:16:26.920
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, to me, it's not a red flag. It is

0:16:26.960 --> 0:16:29.280
<v Speaker 8>a concentration issue. I get that. But at the end

0:16:29.320 --> 0:16:31.240
<v Speaker 8>of the day, I think Microsoft is good enough in

0:16:31.320 --> 0:16:33.240
<v Speaker 8>terms of you know, they will pay the bill to

0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:35.600
<v Speaker 8>code if they have promised some revenue, so I'm not

0:16:35.640 --> 0:16:39.080
<v Speaker 8>concerned about that part. But Codevieve is now seeing a

0:16:39.120 --> 0:16:42.120
<v Speaker 8>lot more demand from other vendors. That's also not an issue.

0:16:42.200 --> 0:16:44.280
<v Speaker 8>As I said, this is not a demand issue. The

0:16:44.400 --> 0:16:47.080
<v Speaker 8>question at hand is because one of the things code

0:16:47.080 --> 0:16:48.800
<v Speaker 8>Weave has to do is it has to go out

0:16:49.160 --> 0:16:52.440
<v Speaker 8>borrow money, issue some bonds, and then go out and

0:16:52.480 --> 0:16:53.720
<v Speaker 8>create new data centers.

0:16:53.840 --> 0:16:55.320
<v Speaker 11>So it's a financing question.

0:16:55.600 --> 0:16:57.480
<v Speaker 8>How much the rate of that is going to be,

0:16:57.640 --> 0:16:59.800
<v Speaker 8>how much they're going to charge for these services. So

0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:02.520
<v Speaker 8>I mean it's it's pretty much a most of a

0:17:02.560 --> 0:17:04.399
<v Speaker 8>cost overrun story at this point.

0:17:04.920 --> 0:17:07.159
<v Speaker 4>Do they give much clarity on when this is all

0:17:07.200 --> 0:17:07.880
<v Speaker 4>going to pay off?

0:17:09.280 --> 0:17:11.960
<v Speaker 8>They basically said, listen, long term margins are very good.

0:17:12.040 --> 0:17:14.880
<v Speaker 8>They are expecting margins to improve in the second half

0:17:14.920 --> 0:17:18.080
<v Speaker 8>of twenty twenty six. But you know, they gave some

0:17:18.200 --> 0:17:22.240
<v Speaker 8>guidance for operating income or adjusted operating income for four

0:17:22.320 --> 0:17:24.960
<v Speaker 8>Q and they came below that. So the big question

0:17:25.040 --> 0:17:27.000
<v Speaker 8>for the analyst is, you know, you're telling me that

0:17:27.040 --> 0:17:29.399
<v Speaker 8>it's going to improve in the second half of twenty

0:17:29.440 --> 0:17:31.560
<v Speaker 8>twenty six. You know, whatever, it doesn't happen. So I

0:17:31.560 --> 0:17:34.760
<v Speaker 8>think there are some doubts around that capabilities as this point.

0:17:34.920 --> 0:17:35.160
<v Speaker 11>And.

0:17:37.080 --> 0:17:39.800
<v Speaker 7>So the company could ask for a valuation north of

0:17:39.800 --> 0:17:42.320
<v Speaker 7>thirty five billion dollars in this market. Do you think

0:17:42.359 --> 0:17:45.480
<v Speaker 7>that's justified by the fundamentals or do you think it's

0:17:45.880 --> 0:17:48.200
<v Speaker 7>kind of driven by AI momentum.

0:17:49.200 --> 0:17:51.520
<v Speaker 8>And I think the question always happens is, you know,

0:17:51.560 --> 0:17:55.200
<v Speaker 8>one week, the entire AI infrastructure world is very happy

0:17:55.240 --> 0:17:57.080
<v Speaker 8>and you know, bubbly, and then the next week people

0:17:57.119 --> 0:17:59.879
<v Speaker 8>start getting concerns. The question what the code weave has

0:17:59.880 --> 0:18:01.880
<v Speaker 8>to show right now is they have to go out

0:18:01.920 --> 0:18:03.720
<v Speaker 8>and raise some debt.

0:18:03.880 --> 0:18:05.840
<v Speaker 11>I mean, you know that's tied to their.

0:18:05.800 --> 0:18:08.560
<v Speaker 8>Contracts, and we'll see what's the cost of that debt,

0:18:08.640 --> 0:18:11.879
<v Speaker 8>because that's going to dictate how the next funding is

0:18:11.920 --> 0:18:13.600
<v Speaker 8>going to be on the you know, I call it

0:18:13.640 --> 0:18:16.000
<v Speaker 8>not so much funding ground but more so a debt

0:18:16.080 --> 0:18:18.240
<v Speaker 8>raised round and how that's going to go about.

0:18:20.520 --> 0:18:22.879
<v Speaker 3>Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming.

0:18:22.840 --> 0:18:23.560
<v Speaker 2>Up here for this.

0:18:26.680 --> 0:18:30.359
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:18:30.440 --> 0:18:33.560
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Coarclay and Android

0:18:33.560 --> 0:18:36.880
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever

0:18:36.920 --> 0:18:40.040
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:18:40.760 --> 0:18:43.879
<v Speaker 2>Let's get dig into deeper this little deal there in

0:18:43.880 --> 0:18:46.480
<v Speaker 2>the media space, Warner Brothers, Discovery again, the news being

0:18:46.480 --> 0:18:47.520
<v Speaker 2>Netflix walking away.

0:18:47.560 --> 0:18:49.560
<v Speaker 3>So now paramounts guidance.

0:18:49.640 --> 0:18:50.440
<v Speaker 2>It's their deal.

0:18:50.600 --> 0:18:51.160
<v Speaker 3>Good for them.

0:18:51.359 --> 0:18:54.040
<v Speaker 2>And let's check in with Keitha Ranganath and she covers

0:18:54.080 --> 0:18:57.760
<v Speaker 2>all the media stocks for Bloomberg Intelligence. Keith, we got

0:18:57.920 --> 0:19:01.560
<v Speaker 2>Netflix stock trading higher. I guess the the shareholders like

0:19:01.640 --> 0:19:03.080
<v Speaker 2>them kind of passing on this deal.

0:19:04.320 --> 0:19:08.040
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, big relief rally, Paul, you know, I mean this

0:19:08.320 --> 0:19:11.199
<v Speaker 10>was always kind of muddying the narrative. I mean we've

0:19:11.240 --> 0:19:14.560
<v Speaker 10>spoken about this multiple times. Netflix is such a clean,

0:19:14.800 --> 0:19:19.120
<v Speaker 10>organic growth story and them just pursuing Warner Brothers Discovery,

0:19:19.119 --> 0:19:21.800
<v Speaker 10>I mean just kind of added so much of uncertainty.

0:19:21.880 --> 0:19:24.320
<v Speaker 10>You know, you have the regulatory risks of course, integration

0:19:24.440 --> 0:19:27.639
<v Speaker 10>execution risks. Plus we were talking about something like, you know,

0:19:27.680 --> 0:19:31.160
<v Speaker 10>their dead levels going up to beyond hundred billion dollars,

0:19:31.880 --> 0:19:34.199
<v Speaker 10>and yes, they do have the financial firepower, but at

0:19:34.200 --> 0:19:37.040
<v Speaker 10>the end of the day, they have always been builders

0:19:37.119 --> 0:19:40.439
<v Speaker 10>versus buyers. And once again they showed, you know that

0:19:40.520 --> 0:19:43.359
<v Speaker 10>they deserved. You know, they've always gained this reputation of

0:19:43.400 --> 0:19:46.920
<v Speaker 10>being very, very disciplined spenders when it comes to M

0:19:46.960 --> 0:19:50.159
<v Speaker 10>and A, and I think they once again exercised that

0:19:50.280 --> 0:19:52.560
<v Speaker 10>discipline and investors are cheering.

0:19:52.960 --> 0:19:55.120
<v Speaker 7>So it seems that this is a smart move according

0:19:55.119 --> 0:19:57.919
<v Speaker 7>to analysts, including you, This signal that the company is

0:19:57.960 --> 0:20:01.680
<v Speaker 7>confident in its organic growth versus and a especially in

0:20:01.720 --> 0:20:03.760
<v Speaker 7>a very crowded streaming market.

0:20:04.720 --> 0:20:07.160
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, Isabelle, I mean that had you know, been the question.

0:20:07.200 --> 0:20:09.679
<v Speaker 10>I think that's what spooked investors so much when they

0:20:09.720 --> 0:20:13.040
<v Speaker 10>actually went ahead with this eighty three billion dollar deal

0:20:13.119 --> 0:20:16.520
<v Speaker 10>for Warner, about whether they were actually seeing a slowdown internally,

0:20:17.200 --> 0:20:19.840
<v Speaker 10>and them not just abandoning the deal but also going

0:20:19.840 --> 0:20:23.440
<v Speaker 10>ahead and resuming buybacks once again just kind of signals

0:20:23.480 --> 0:20:27.280
<v Speaker 10>confidence in their underlying growth model. So I think, you know,

0:20:27.520 --> 0:20:30.480
<v Speaker 10>we know very well that they're operating metrics are really strong.

0:20:30.520 --> 0:20:32.800
<v Speaker 10>I mean, this is a company that has guided to

0:20:33.080 --> 0:20:35.880
<v Speaker 10>double digit revenue growth. We're we're going to see about

0:20:35.880 --> 0:20:39.160
<v Speaker 10>twelve to fourteen percent revenue gains this year. We're looking

0:20:39.160 --> 0:20:43.400
<v Speaker 10>at operating margin expansion of almost you know, a thousand

0:20:43.520 --> 0:20:46.000
<v Speaker 10>basis points. It's gone up ten percent over the past

0:20:46.080 --> 0:20:49.560
<v Speaker 10>two years. So and of course we also have fabulous

0:20:49.720 --> 0:20:52.160
<v Speaker 10>you know, free cash flow generation. So all of their

0:20:52.200 --> 0:20:54.720
<v Speaker 10>you know, financial lever levers and all of their growth

0:20:54.760 --> 0:20:59.080
<v Speaker 10>drivers very much in play place, and you know, not

0:20:59.240 --> 0:21:01.879
<v Speaker 10>having this disc action anymore just helps them kind of

0:21:01.920 --> 0:21:05.159
<v Speaker 10>really double down on their organic growth story.

0:21:05.880 --> 0:21:08.240
<v Speaker 2>On the other side of the equation, KEITHA, Uh, be

0:21:08.320 --> 0:21:11.360
<v Speaker 2>careful what you wish for. So paramount They've got this

0:21:11.480 --> 0:21:16.200
<v Speaker 2>great asset in Warner Brothers Discovery. What do we what's

0:21:16.280 --> 0:21:19.359
<v Speaker 2>the street think about this management team at Paramounts pretty

0:21:19.400 --> 0:21:23.480
<v Speaker 2>much unknown, untested this mister Ellison from the media community.

0:21:23.640 --> 0:21:27.000
<v Speaker 2>Is there any report card to date? Do we think

0:21:27.080 --> 0:21:29.040
<v Speaker 2>there's a market think that this is a man team

0:21:29.040 --> 0:21:30.720
<v Speaker 2>that can make this acquisition work?

0:21:31.920 --> 0:21:34.800
<v Speaker 10>They probably can, Paul, I mean they do have you know,

0:21:34.960 --> 0:21:39.800
<v Speaker 10>financial Uh, they do have some financial firepower here, although

0:21:40.080 --> 0:21:42.960
<v Speaker 10>I would point out that leverage at this company is

0:21:42.960 --> 0:21:45.040
<v Speaker 10>going to be extraordinarily high. We're looking at pro former

0:21:45.200 --> 0:21:48.159
<v Speaker 10>leverage of around almost seven times, so those are you know,

0:21:48.240 --> 0:21:50.600
<v Speaker 10>dangerously high levels. Yeah, and it's something that they're going

0:21:50.680 --> 0:21:52.600
<v Speaker 10>to have to contend with. But at the same time,

0:21:52.640 --> 0:21:55.000
<v Speaker 10>you know, they've spoken to synergies. We're looking at about

0:21:55.080 --> 0:21:58.199
<v Speaker 10>six billion dollars in synergies that they've committed to. And

0:21:58.480 --> 0:22:02.000
<v Speaker 10>remember this is a team where the fairly tech heavy bent,

0:22:02.200 --> 0:22:04.240
<v Speaker 10>so that might be something that kind of really serves

0:22:04.280 --> 0:22:07.960
<v Speaker 10>them well as they poise themselves for this new streaming future.

0:22:08.000 --> 0:22:10.560
<v Speaker 10>You know, you do have now they kind of are

0:22:10.600 --> 0:22:13.640
<v Speaker 10>to turbo charging their content offering, their turbo charging their

0:22:13.680 --> 0:22:17.320
<v Speaker 10>streaming business, and they have all of the you know

0:22:17.359 --> 0:22:20.320
<v Speaker 10>pieces in place to make this a really good business.

0:22:20.320 --> 0:22:22.000
<v Speaker 10>We'll have to wait and see how they execute, but

0:22:22.040 --> 0:22:24.160
<v Speaker 10>you're right, I mean, the management team is a little

0:22:24.160 --> 0:22:25.879
<v Speaker 10>bit of an unknown, although you know, we do have

0:22:25.960 --> 0:22:29.800
<v Speaker 10>Jeff Shell who has experienced from NBC. But again, it's

0:22:29.800 --> 0:22:31.400
<v Speaker 10>going to be a little bit of a weight and watch.

0:22:31.520 --> 0:22:33.760
<v Speaker 7>And Netflix also said they plan to invest twenty billion

0:22:33.800 --> 0:22:36.800
<v Speaker 7>this year in films and shows. Is that enough to

0:22:36.880 --> 0:22:40.959
<v Speaker 7>keep them ahead again in this really competitive to streaming wars.

0:22:41.560 --> 0:22:44.480
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, the twenty billion that they committed was actually a

0:22:44.520 --> 0:22:47.400
<v Speaker 10>pretty significant step up, Isabelle, from prior years. I mean,

0:22:47.440 --> 0:22:50.240
<v Speaker 10>we've seen them increasing content costs by roughly about six

0:22:50.280 --> 0:22:52.000
<v Speaker 10>to seven percent. This year was going to be a

0:22:52.040 --> 0:22:55.240
<v Speaker 10>much more significant jump to about ten percent. And this

0:22:55.320 --> 0:22:57.720
<v Speaker 10>is just basically Netflix saying that they are willing to

0:22:57.800 --> 0:23:00.920
<v Speaker 10>diversify into different forms of content. I mean, the big

0:23:00.960 --> 0:23:04.520
<v Speaker 10>investments that they're making are in live in sports and

0:23:04.680 --> 0:23:08.280
<v Speaker 10>international content just to kind of keep up that engagement

0:23:08.320 --> 0:23:11.240
<v Speaker 10>metric and make sure that you know, they keep building

0:23:11.280 --> 0:23:14.399
<v Speaker 10>on that competitive mode that they already have. And now

0:23:14.880 --> 0:23:16.800
<v Speaker 10>you know the icing on the cake for them with

0:23:16.840 --> 0:23:19.000
<v Speaker 10>this Warner Dealers that they're getting two point eight billion

0:23:19.040 --> 0:23:22.680
<v Speaker 10>dollars in termination fees. So hey, much more K dramas,

0:23:22.720 --> 0:23:23.800
<v Speaker 10>I guess.

0:23:23.960 --> 0:23:28.679
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